Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
As of December 31,
1998 1999
Assets
Current assets
Cash and cash equivalents 1,061 14,198
Short-term investments - 6,322
Prepaids and other current assets 635 720
Total current assets 1,696 21,240
Rental library, net 2,011 8,695
Property and equipment, net 1,062 4,499
Deposits and other assets 80 339
Total assets 4,849 34,773
Quarter Ended
March 31 June 30 Sept. 30 Dec. 31
1999 1999 1999 1999
Annual Sales
Millions of Units
6
5 Videocassette
Recorders (VCR)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5
Years since introduction
14% $800
$700
12%
$600
10%
$500
8%
$400
6% VCR Penetration
$300
DVD Penetration
4%
VCR Unit Price $200
2% DVD Unit Price $100
0% $0
0 1 2 3 4 5
Years since introduction
* Unit sales are sales to dealers. Consumer sales are estimated to be about 60% of dealer sales.
For DVD players, years 3, 4, and 5 are forecasted values.
As of December 31,
1998 1999
MES 1 MES 2
MES 1 MES 2
$0.00
INGRESOS
MES 2 MES 3
$0.00
DAR 4.3 DISCOS MANDAR 4.3 DISCOS
$0.00
1.1 nuevos discos Adq de 1.1 nuevos discos
$0.00
$0.00
NUEVO SUSCRIPTOR
LIS Y LAS REGRESA VE 4.3 PELIS Y LAS REGRESA
$19.95
INGRESOS
MES 2 MES 3
-$4.30
DAR 4.3 DISCOS MANDAR 4.3 DISCOS
-$9.83
1.1 nuevos discos Adq de 1.1 nuevos discos
MES MESES
GRATIS SUBS
(107.20) 5.80
PROBABILIDAD CON CLIENTES
SI SE DA DE BAJA A
FIN DE MES 1
30% 89.00
( 98.90 - 9.90 = 89.00 )
( 17.55 x 0.56) ** approx
COSTO AL
SUSCRIBIRSE MES
GRATIS
60%
-107.20
( -4.00 - 4.30 - 98.90 )
70% SI SE CONVIERTE EN
SUSCRIPTOR DE
PAGA
40%
N CLIENTES
118.30
SI SE MANTIENE
MÁS DE 6 MESES
5.80
PROMEDIO DE INVENTARIOS Y COSTOS LOGÍSTICOS
Total de Envíos 800,000
Total Suscriptores 155,000
Suscriptores pagando 77.4% 120,000
Suscriptores Gratuitos 22.6% 35,000
Discos con clientes 4
Discos enviados inicialmente 140,000 140,000
Envíos regulares de discos 660,000
Discos promedio vistos al mes 4.3
MES GRATIS MES PAGO
COSTOS Stock Inicial de Discos 4.0 -
LOGISTICOS Discos Vistos al Mes 4.3 4.3
8.3 4.3
Gastos de envío 1.0 1.0
Gasto total de envío al mes 8.3 4.3
Est
Est
Est
Valor del Inventario a dic 1999 10,882,000 Pag 11
Discos en librerías 620,000 Pag 4
17.55 Promedio
(17.55 x 5.6)
(17.55 x 0.6)
MESES
MES GRATIS SUBSECUENTES
37.10 37.10
1,417,500 2,126,250
50% 50%
10,000,000 10,000,000
2,500,000 2,500,000
12,500,000 12,500,000 75,000,000
delo de Negocio