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Is Coming!
"The idiot bankers have finally run out of slack"
How many times have you heard that in the last few months, heck maybe
even last 12 months or so..? If you follow Peter Schiff, Jim Rickards or
the slew of other obsessive gold bugs then you will be hearing that
probably daily as they grasp onto any news pieces they can to prove their
bias correct. Bias is a funny thing, the more evidence you get served up,
you tend to double down more and more and more- before you know it,
that is all you can see.
First off don’t think that all this is happening because they are idiots and
finally run out of robbing Peter to pay Paul, if that was the case, probably
wouldn’t have kept the banking power alive this long, their intention
with all of this is most likely to always keep banks risk low and the
peoples risk high, if the country/bank screws up, the tax payers foot the
bill. I feel most people miss this part, we pay through taxes, inflation,
and natural rise of goods/services/food which should all be getting
cheaper at this point.
Let's set the stage here for the argument that the “great recession” is
coming and then what you can do about it. First off this shouldn’t shake
you or scare you, in fact if you have been in Empire since 2018, you
would’ve had at least a year to start preparing if you hadn’t already.
There are some interesting things going on right now, first we have
Central banks accumulating GOLD at record high numbers in 2018 and
now even more in 2019 (145.5t in Q1, 68% higher y-o-y), here's a quick
look…
Next we have the BIS Basel III remember a few months back, upgrading
GOLD to a tier 1, 0 risk asset finally and they talked about a GOLD
backed standard, of course no one knows how fast they may or may not
be moving on this but we get some hints with countries and banks
accumulating at record high numbers and just the other day Malaysian
Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad on Thursday (May 30) proposed to
create a new “special currency” for the East-Asia region based on gold,
replacing the existing currency trading regime and said the following…
“We can make settlement using that (new) currency. That currency must
be pegged to the local currency as the exchange rate, which is something
that can be related to the country’s performance,”
Mohamad went on to say that with the global market being tied to the
USD its prone to manipulation, all of this coming literally a day after the
US added Malaysia to its watchlist of currency manipulation along with
Singapore, China, Germany, Japan, South Korea and Vietnam.
Lastly, all roads lead back to households, which is you and I…
Now, I will be breaking both the above reports down in greater details
along with other data points in the Q1 Global Reset report that will be
uploaded to EIA members.
So at a macro level things are seeming rocky right? Let's add to this, you
should already be aware of the Trade Tarrifs war with US & China, Also
now Mexico, Australia, India and Iran could be next.
What about the stock market, well in case you missed all the other alerts
and emails about that, this headline should summarize well enough…
Bonds flash economic warning as 3-month yield tops 10-year rate by
most since financial crisis.
What about RE in the US, that should be fine right? While no specific
cities are starting to show pullback, we are seeing a surplus of inventory
in many cities and in Hollywood alone, a back surplus of mansions for
sale. There are close to 100 homes on the market asking over $20M in LA
county, 35 of which could be classified as spec homes.
There are about 50 ultra high-end spec houses under construction in the
area from Beverly hills to Bel-Air and Brentwood.
Now, there are simply too many, and not enough buyers to go around.
“It’s created its own monster,” says Stephen Shapiro of Westside Estate
Agency. “We have an enormous oversupply of these white boxes. There’s
years of inventory out there.”
Just today as the DOJ mentioned Anti-trust lawsuits on both Apple and
Google, stocks dove 4-7% across the boards. This tells me we have a soft
market with low liquidity, expect more flash crashes on S&P, expect
more tightening at least over the next few months while we all wait to
see the shakeout of all these trade negotiations.
That's it for now, if you a premium subscriber, you will be getting access
to full report soon!
-Jameson Brandon
www.EmpireResearch.net
Sources:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-31/a-bond-market-exodus-was-actually-inter
nal-fund-move-at-fidelity
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/l-a-developers-have-a-big-problem-too-many-new
-megamansions/ar-AACbCpv?ocid=ob-fb-enus-894&fbclid=IwAR0i9VQD3ytcEahJPm1UfkS8Hg
Nku0wqGy0QjR_PxT0DsjTJX1YxbKmlkX0
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/29/corporations-were-the-biggest-buyers-of-stock-during-the-bul
l-market-but-now-they-are-selling.html