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OPERATIONS STRATEGY - Design of the workspace can impact productivity.

For
- The organization strategy provides the overall example, having tools and other work items within easy reach
direction for the organization. It is broad in scope, covering can positively impact productivity.
the entire organization. - Incentive plans that reward productivity increases can
- Operations strategy is narrower in scope, dealing boost productivity.
primarily with the operations aspect of the organization.
- Operations strategy relates to products, processes, IMPROVING PRODUCTIVITY
methods, operating resources, quality, costs, lead times, and 1. Develop productivity measures for all operations.
scheduling. Measurement is the first step in managing and
controlling an operation
COMMONLY USED STRATEGIES 2. Look at the system as a whole in deciding which
- Quality-based strategies focus on maintaining or operations are most critical. It is overall productivity
improving the quality of an organization’s products or that is important.
services. Quality-based strategies may be motivated by a 3. Develop methods for achieving productivity
variety of factors. They may reflect an effort to overcome an improvements, such as soliciting ideas from workers
image of poor quality, a desire to catch up with the (perhaps organizing teams of workers, engineers, and
competition, a desire to maintain an existing image of high managers), studying how other firms have increased
quality, or some combination of these and other factors. productivity, and reexamining the way work is done.
- Time-based strategies focus on reducing the time 4. Establish reasonable goals for improvement.
required to accomplish various activities (e.g., develop new 5. Make it clear that management supports and
products or services and market them, respond to a change in encourages productivity improvement. Consider
customer demand, or deliver a product or perform a service). incentives to reward workers for contributions.
PRODUCTIVITY 6. Measure improvements and publicize them.
Productivity – a measure of the effective use of
resources, usually expressed as the ratio of output to input. FORECASTING
Productivity A measure of the effective use of resources, Forecasts are a basic input in the decision processes of
usually expressed as the ratio of output to input. Output operations management because they provide information on
(goods and services) relative to the input (labor, materials, future demand. The importance of forecasting to operations
energy, and other resources) management cannot be overstated. The primary goal of
Output operations management is to match supply to demand. Having
Productivity = Input a forecast of demand is essential for determining how much
capacity or supply will be needed to meet demand.
FACTORS AFFECTING PRODUCTIVITY
TWO ASPECTS OF FORECAST
- Standardizing processes and procedures wherever possible 1. The expected level of demand can be a function of
to reduce variability can have a significant benefit for both some structural variation, such as a trend or seasonal
productivity and quality. variation.
- Quality differences may distort productivity measurements. 2. Forecast accuracy is a function of the ability of
One way this can happen is when comparisons are made over forecasters to correctly model demand, random
time, such as comparing the productivity of a factory now with variation, and sometimes unforeseen events.
one 30 years ago. TIME HORIZON
- Use of the Internet can lower costs of a wide range of 1. Short-term forecasts pertain to ongoing operations.
transactions, thereby increasing productivity. 2. Long-range forecasts can be an important strategic
- Computer viruses can have an immense negative impact on planning tool.
productivity. 3. Long-term forecasts pertain to new products or
- Searching for lost or misplaced items wastes time, hence services, new equipment, new facilities, or something
negatively affecting productivity. else that will require a somewhat long lead time to
- Scrap rates have an adverse effect on productivity, signaling develop, construct, or otherwise implement.
inefficient use of resources.
- New workers tend to have lower productivity than seasoned USES OF FORECASTS IN BUSINESS
workers. Thus, growing companies may experience a ORGANIZATIONS:
productivity lag.
- Safety should be addressed. Accidents can take a toll on Accounting. New product/process cost estimates, profit
productivity. projections, cash management.
- A shortage of information technology workers and other Finance. Equipment/equipment replacement needs timing and
technical workers hampers the ability of companies to amount of funding/borrowing needs.
update computing resources, generate and sustain growth, and Human resources. Hiring activities, including recruitment,
take advantage of new opportunities. interviewing, and training;layoff planning, including
- Layoffs often affect productivity. The effect can be positive outplacement counseling.
and negative. Initially, productivity may increase after a Marketing. Pricing and promotion, e-business strategies,
layoff, because the workload remains the same but fewer global competition strategies.
workers do the work—although they have to work harder and MIS. New/revised information systems, Internet services.
longer to do it. Operations. Schedules, capacity planning, work assignments
- Labor turnover has a negative effect on productivity; and workloads, inventory
replacements need time to get up to speed.
planning, make-or-buy decisions, outsourcing, project
management.
Product/service design. Revision of current features, design
of new products or services.

STEPS IN THE FORECASTING PROCESS

1. Determine the purpose of the forecast. How will it


be used and when will it be needed? This step will
provide an indication of the level of detail required in
the forecast, the amount of resources (personnel,
computer time, dollars) that can be justified, and the
level of accuracy necessary.
2. Establish a time horizon. The forecast must indicate
a time interval, keeping in mind that accuracy
decreases as the time horizon increases.
3. Obtain, clean, and analyze appropriate data.
Obtaining the data can involve significant effort.
Once obtained, the data may need to be “cleaned” to
get rid of outliers and obviously incorrect data before
analysis.
4. Select a forecasting technique.
5. Make the forecast.
6. Monitor the forecast. A forecast has to be monitored
to determine whether it is performing in a satisfactory
manner. If it is not, reexamine the method,
assumptions, validity of data, and so on; modify as
needed; and prepare a revised forecast.

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