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Precipitacion Max

Año min - horas


orden 5 min 10 min 15 min 30 min
1968 1 12.80 mm 13.80 mm 23.20 mm 38.30 mm
1969 2 14.00 mm 14.00 mm 25.70 mm 40.30 mm
1970 3 10.30 mm 15.20 mm 19.30 mm 24.40 mm
1971 4 9.60 mm 15.80 mm 18.20 mm 28.10 mm
1972 5 10.20 mm 15.80 mm 26.10 mm 32.60 mm
1973 6 10.20 mm 16.30 mm 25.70 mm 37.00 mm
1974 7 10.10 mm 16.50 mm 20.20 mm 26.30 mm
1975 8 9.90 mm 18.70 mm 17.50 mm 29.00 mm
1976 9 10.60 mm 19.60 mm 17.00 mm 18.60 mm
1977 10 10.00 mm 19.80 mm 18.00 mm 28.00 mm
1978 11 27.60 mm 20.10 mm 14.00 mm 19.60 mm
1979 12 36.70 mm 20.10 mm 15.90 mm 26.70 mm
1980 13 12.60 mm 20.10 mm 27.70 mm 43.10 mm
1981 14 10.10 mm 20.20 mm 20.20 mm 37.60 mm
1982 15 10.40 mm 20.40 mm 20.00 mm 29.60 mm
1983 16 13.40 mm 31.40 mm 25.80 mm 36.30 mm
1984 17 13.30 mm 45.70 mm 25.80 mm 36.30 mm

n 17

FORMULAS

.- tiempo de retorno

Tr=(𝑛+1
)/�
.- m ( nº de orden)

.- n (amplitud del registro)

n= (año f - año i) +1
.- p (probabilidad de ocurrencia)

p=1/𝑡�
TABLA DE PRECIPITA
min
m tr P P% 5 10
1 18.000 0.056 0.001 36.70 mm 45.70 mm
2 9.000 0.111 0.001 27.60 mm 31.40 mm
3 6.000 0.167 0.002 14.00 mm 20.40 mm
4 4.500 0.222 0.002 13.40 mm 20.20 mm
5 3.600 0.278 0.003 13.40 mm 20.10 mm
6 3.000 0.333 0.003 12.80 mm 20.10 mm
7 2.571 0.389 0.004 12.60 mm 20.10 mm
8 2.250 0.444 0.004 10.60 mm 19.80 mm
9 2.000 0.500 0.005 10.40 mm 19.60 mm
10 1.800 0.556 0.006 10.30 mm 18.70 mm
11 1.636 0.611 0.006 10.20 mm 16.50 mm
12 1.500 0.667 0.007 10.20 mm 16.30 mm
13 1.385 0.722 0.007 10.10 mm 15.80 mm
14 1.286 0.778 0.008 10.10 mm 15.80 mm
15 1.200 0.833 0.008 10.00 mm 15.20 mm
16 1.125 0.889 0.009 9.90 mm 14.00 mm
17 1.059 0.944 0.009 9.60 mm 13.80 mm

TABLA DE INTENSIDAD PO
min
m tr P P% 5 min 10 min
1 18.000 0.056 0.001 440.40 mm/h 274.20 mm/h
2 9.000 0.111 0.001 331.20 mm/h 188.40 mm/h
3 6.000 0.167 0.002 168.00 mm/h 122.40 mm/h
4 4.500 0.222 0.002 160.80 mm/h 121.20 mm/h
5 3.600 0.278 0.003 160.80 mm/h 120.60 mm/h
6 3.000 0.333 0.003 153.60 mm/h 120.60 mm/h
7 2.571 0.389 0.004 151.20 mm/h 120.60 mm/h
8 2.250 0.444 0.004 127.20 mm/h 118.80 mm/h
9 2.000 0.500 0.005 124.80 mm/h 117.60 mm/h
10 1.800 0.556 0.006 123.60 mm/h 112.20 mm/h
11 1.636 0.611 0.006 122.40 mm/h 99.00 mm/h
12 1.500 0.667 0.007 122.40 mm/h 97.80 mm/h
13 1.385 0.722 0.007 121.20 mm/h 94.80 mm/h
14 1.286 0.778 0.008 121.20 mm/h 94.80 mm/h
15 1.200 0.833 0.008 120.00 mm/h 91.20 mm/h
16 1.125 0.889 0.009 118.80 mm/h 84.00 mm/h
17 1.059 0.944 0.009 115.20 mm/h 82.80 mm/h

calculo de intensidad media, desviación estandar y coeficiente

media 163.694117647 121.235294118


desviacion 87.5599828017 46.2464720435
cv 0.5348999956 0.3814604681

Tr P ytr
2 años 0.5 0.3665129206
5 años 0.2 1.4999399868
10 años 0.1 2.2503673273
25 años 0.04 3.1985342614
50 años 0.02 3.9019386579
100 años 0.01 4.6001492268
200 años 0.005 5.2958121425

calculo Intensidad estimada para un tiempo de retorno estimado:

Tr I tr (5 min) I tr (10 min)


2 años 149.32 mm/h 113.65 mm/h
5 años 226.73 mm/h 3773.56 mm/h
10 años 277.98 mm/h 4634.65 mm/h
25 años 342.74 mm/h 5273.46 mm/h
50 años 390.78 mm/h 5907.55 mm/h
100 años 438.47 mm/h 6539.33 mm/h
200 años 485.98 mm/h 77.10 mm/h
Precipitacion Max
min - horas
1h 2h 3h 6h 12 h 24 h
57.00 mm 43.00 mm 82.00 mm 86.00 mm 86.00 mm 97.00 mm
46.00 mm 61.00 mm 55.00 mm 55.00 mm 67.00 mm 85.00 mm
26.00 mm 33.00 mm 26.00 mm 27.00 mm 31.00 mm 31.00 mm
36.00 mm 37.00 mm 43.00 mm 44.00 mm 63.00 mm 63.00 mm
35.00 mm 43.00 mm 61.00 mm 70.00 mm 106.00 mm 112.00 mm
44.00 mm 35.00 mm 65.00 mm 70.00 mm 87.00 mm 94.00 mm
36.00 mm 35.00 mm 40.00 mm 40.00 mm 40.00 mm 62.00 mm
34.00 mm 35.00 mm 38.00 mm 74.00 mm 74.00 mm 87.00 mm
20.00 mm 26.00 mm 27.00 mm 29.00 mm 30.00 mm 50.00 mm
30.00 mm 39.00 mm 45.00 mm 49.00 mm 49.00 mm 49.00 mm
33.00 mm 39.00 mm 50.00 mm 70.00 mm 83.00 mm 83.00 mm
51.00 mm 52.00 mm 59.00 mm 67.00 mm 61.00 mm 83.00 mm
46.00 mm 49.00 mm 51.00 mm 57.00 mm 61.00 mm 66.00 mm
114.00 mm 120.00 mm 121.00 mm 121.00 mm 121.00 mm 121.00 mm
37.00 mm 53.00 mm 53.00 mm 56.00 mm 73.00 mm 73.00 mm
56.00 mm 87.00 mm 106.00 mm 110.00 mm 111.00 mm 121.00 mm
56.00 mm 87.00 mm 103.00 mm 110.00 mm 111.00 mm 121.00 mm
TABLA DE PRECIPITACIÓN (mm)
min horas
15 30 1 2 3 6 12
27.70 mm 43.10 mm 114.00 mm 120.00 mm 121.00 mm 121.00 mm 121.00 mm
26.10 mm 40.30 mm 57.00 mm 87.00 mm 106.00 mm 110.00 mm 111.00 mm
25.80 mm 38.30 mm 56.00 mm 87.00 mm 103.00 mm 110.00 mm 111.00 mm
25.80 mm 37.60 mm 56.00 mm 61.00 mm 82.00 mm 86.00 mm 106.00 mm
25.70 mm 37.00 mm 51.00 mm 53.00 mm 65.00 mm 74.00 mm 87.00 mm
25.70 mm 36.30 mm 46.00 mm 52.00 mm 61.00 mm 70.00 mm 86.00 mm
23.20 mm 36.30 mm 46.00 mm 49.00 mm 59.00 mm 70.00 mm 83.00 mm
20.20 mm 32.60 mm 44.00 mm 43.00 mm 55.00 mm 70.00 mm 74.00 mm
20.20 mm 29.60 mm 37.00 mm 43.00 mm 53.00 mm 67.00 mm 73.00 mm
20.00 mm 29.00 mm 36.00 mm 39.00 mm 51.00 mm 57.00 mm 67.00 mm
19.30 mm 28.10 mm 36.00 mm 39.00 mm 50.00 mm 56.00 mm 63.00 mm
18.20 mm 28.00 mm 35.00 mm 37.00 mm 45.00 mm 55.00 mm 61.00 mm
18.00 mm 26.70 mm 34.00 mm 35.00 mm 43.00 mm 49.00 mm 61.00 mm
17.50 mm 26.30 mm 33.00 mm 35.00 mm 40.00 mm 44.00 mm 49.00 mm
17.00 mm 24.40 mm 30.00 mm 35.00 mm 38.00 mm 40.00 mm 40.00 mm
15.90 mm 19.60 mm 26.00 mm 33.00 mm 27.00 mm 29.00 mm 31.00 mm
14.00 mm 18.60 mm 20.00 mm 26.00 mm 26.00 mm 27.00 mm 30.00 mm

TABLA DE INTENSIDAD POR HORA (mm/h)


min horas
15 min 30 min 1h 2h 3h 6h 12 h
110.80 mm/h 86.20 mm/h 114.00 mm/h 60.00 mm/h 40.33 mm/h 20.17 mm/h 10.08 mm/h
104.40 mm/h 80.60 mm/h 57.00 mm/h 43.50 mm/h 35.33 mm/h 18.33 mm/h 9.25 mm/h
103.20 mm/h 76.60 mm/h 56.00 mm/h 43.50 mm/h 34.33 mm/h 18.33 mm/h 9.25 mm/h
103.20 mm/h 75.20 mm/h 56.00 mm/h 30.50 mm/h 27.33 mm/h 14.33 mm/h 8.83 mm/h
102.80 mm/h 74.00 mm/h 51.00 mm/h 26.50 mm/h 21.67 mm/h 12.33 mm/h 7.25 mm/h
102.80 mm/h 72.60 mm/h 46.00 mm/h 26.00 mm/h 20.33 mm/h 11.67 mm/h 7.17 mm/h
92.80 mm/h 72.60 mm/h 46.00 mm/h 24.50 mm/h 19.67 mm/h 11.67 mm/h 6.92 mm/h
80.80 mm/h 65.20 mm/h 44.00 mm/h 21.50 mm/h 18.33 mm/h 11.67 mm/h 6.17 mm/h
80.80 mm/h 59.20 mm/h 37.00 mm/h 21.50 mm/h 17.67 mm/h 11.17 mm/h 6.08 mm/h
80.00 mm/h 58.00 mm/h 36.00 mm/h 19.50 mm/h 17.00 mm/h 9.50 mm/h 5.58 mm/h
77.20 mm/h 56.20 mm/h 36.00 mm/h 19.50 mm/h 16.67 mm/h 9.33 mm/h 5.25 mm/h
72.80 mm/h 56.00 mm/h 35.00 mm/h 18.50 mm/h 15.00 mm/h 9.17 mm/h 5.08 mm/h
72.00 mm/h 53.40 mm/h 34.00 mm/h 17.50 mm/h 14.33 mm/h 8.17 mm/h 5.08 mm/h
70.00 mm/h 52.60 mm/h 33.00 mm/h 17.50 mm/h 13.33 mm/h 7.33 mm/h 4.08 mm/h
68.00 mm/h 48.80 mm/h 30.00 mm/h 17.50 mm/h 12.67 mm/h 6.67 mm/h 3.33 mm/h
63.60 mm/h 39.20 mm/h 26.00 mm/h 16.50 mm/h 9.00 mm/h 4.83 mm/h 2.58 mm/h
56.00 mm/h 37.20 mm/h 20.00 mm/h 13.00 mm/h 8.67 mm/h 4.50 mm/h 2.50 mm/h

desviación estandar y coeficiente de variación Tiempo de retorno, probabilidad de ocurrencia y Yt:

84.7764705882 62.564705882 44.5294117647 25.705882353 20.098039216 11.12745098 6.1470588235


17.0478565153 14.268537993 20.8929343531 12.366864527 9.1642153585 4.5721566042 2.3235526804
0.2010918407 0.2280604982 0.4691940343 0.4810908397 0.4559755934 0.4108898446 0.377994216

n tiempo de retorno estimado:

I tr (15 min) I tr (30 min) I tr (1 h) I tr (2 h) I tr (3 h) I tr (6 h) I tr (12 h)


81.98 mm/h 60.22 mm/h 41.10 mm/h 23.68 mm/h 18.59 mm/h 10.38 mm/h 5.77 mm/h
97.05 mm/h 72.84 mm/h 59.57 mm/h 34.61 mm/h 26.70 mm/h 14.42 mm/h 7.82 mm/h
107.03 mm/h 81.19 mm/h 71.80 mm/h 41.85 mm/h 32.06 mm/h 17.10 mm/h 9.18 mm/h
119.64 mm/h 91.74 mm/h 87.25 mm/h 50.99 mm/h 38.84 mm/h 20.48 mm/h 10.90 mm/h
128.99 mm/h 99.57 mm/h 98.72 mm/h 57.78 mm/h 43.87 mm/h 22.99 mm/h 12.17 mm/h
138.27 mm/h 107.34 mm/h 110.09 mm/h 64.51 mm/h 48.86 mm/h 25.48 mm/h 13.44 mm/h
147.53 mm/h 115.08 mm/h 121.43 mm/h 71.23 mm/h 53.83 mm/h 27.96 mm/h 14.70 mm/h
24
121.00 mm
121.00 mm
121.00 mm
112.00 mm
97.00 mm
94.00 mm
87.00 mm
85.00 mm
83.00 mm
83.00 mm
73.00 mm
66.00 mm
63.00 mm
62.00 mm
50.00 mm
49.00 mm
31.00 mm

24 h
5.04 mm/h
5.04 mm/h
5.04 mm/h
4.67 mm/h
4.04 mm/h
3.92 mm/h
3.63 mm/h
3.54 mm/h
3.46 mm/h
3.46 mm/h
3.04 mm/h
2.75 mm/h
2.63 mm/h
2.58 mm/h
2.08 mm/h
2.04 mm/h
1.29 mm/h

3.426470588
1.125725982
0.328538055

I tr (24 h)
3.24 mm/h
4.24 mm/h
4.90 mm/h
5.73 mm/h
6.35 mm/h
6.96 mm/h
7.57 mm/h

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