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[client name deleted]
We’ve had an interesting development in Cambodia’s crowded mobile phone
market, and I’m hoping you’re able to comment on what it means for Cambodia.
Basically, the Bank of China has extended Cambodia’s largest mobile phone operator
Mobitel some $591 million in the form of a long term, lower interest loan, on
Thursday. It replaces a previous short term, higher interest $421 million loan from a
consortium of banks led by ANZ and Standard.
Meanwhile, the second largest of the nine domestic mobile phone operator by
subscriber numbers, Metfone, is owned by Viettel, a subsidiary of the Vietnamese
military, and is rapidly expanding its penetration in Cambodia.
I’m hoping you can provide an assessment on what the financing deal means for
Cambodia. My questions are:
1‐does the latest deal appear connected to a larger political strategy by China, and
for that matter Vietnam? What are the implications for Cambodia?
ANSWER: China has always manipulated loans to suit larger political purposes. There
has been something of a tussle between China and Vietnam over influence in Phnom
Penh since the 1991 Paris Peace Agreements. Cambodia is no longer Vietnam’s
backyard stomping ground as China has made economic inroads. Vietnam tries vainly
to compete and Vietel is a definite extension of the Vietnamese military and hence
government. It is important as a money earner for the military. Cambodia has been
able to benefit from the completion.
2‐for both the firms involved and Cambodia as a whole, what are the positives of this
financing deal between Mobitel and the Bank of China (or similar deals pursued by
Cambodian firms), and what are the negatives?
ANSWER: Mobitel gains because it paid off a debt early and China gains in
commercial influence. Vietel will likely face more competition. The negatives are that
China may leverage its commercial interests to gain political influence over
Cambodian government ministers, and also to use that influence to block Vietel drive
to increase market share.
3‐would the refinancing agreement raise concerns for other regional and
international countries?
2
ANSWER: At the moment anything China does is viewed as having ulterior motives.
Any increase in China’s commercial and political influence reinforces the view that
China’s rise and dominance is inevitable. It was only last week that Secretary of State
Clinton made remarks touching on Cambodia’s opportunism towards China and
warning it of its dependency.