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Special Articles • Opinion

West et al.
Global Trend in AI-Based Publications in Radiology

Special Articles
Opinion

Global Trend in Artificial


Intelligence–Based Publications in
Radiology From 2000 to 2018
Elizabeth West 1 OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the global trend in artificial intel-
Simukayi Mutasa1 ligence (AI)-based research productivity involving radiology and its subspecialty disciplines.
Zelos Zhu2 CONCLUSION. The United States is the global leader in AI radiology publication pro-
Richard Ha3 ductivity, accounting for almost half of total radiology AI output. Other countries have in-
creased their productivity. Notably, China has increased its productivity exponentially to
West E, Mutasa S, Zhu Z, Ha R close to 20% of all AI publications. The top three most productive radiology subspecialties
were neuroradiology, body and chest, and nuclear medicine.

n recent years, there has been an “Bayesian networks,” “cluster analysis,”

I explosion in the growth of artifi- “feature learning,” “feature extraction,” and


American Journal of Roentgenology

cial intelligence (AI) research, “principal components analysis.”


particularly in the engineering, Radiology-specific AI research was se-
biotechnology, and medical industries [1]. In lected using the predefined database cate-
the field of medicine, radiology in particular gory “Radiology Nuclear Medicine Medical
lends itself to AI research because of its large Imaging.” The resulting publication database
digital data sets [2]. In response, the radiology was then categorized by country of origin,
community has largely embraced AI research, funding agencies, organizations, publication
as has been shown by the growing number of type, and journal.
publications focusing on such research and the Nine radiology subspecialty publica-
attention it has been given at large radiology tions were evaluated using the following
society meetings [3]. Despite the burgeoning search terms. The chest and body terms
nature of the field, little is known about the were “chest,” “body,” “lungs,” “lung,” “kid-
global trend in radiology AI research. The ney,” “renal,” “liver,” “hepatic,” “gallblad-
purpose of this study was to perform a large der,” “biliary,” “pancreas,” “pancreatic,”
database query to evaluate the global trend in “peritoneum,” “peritoneal,” “gyn,” “gy-
Keywords: artificial intelligence, artificial neural AI research productivity involving the field of necologic,” “uterus,” “uterine,” “ovary,”
network, bibliometric radiology and its subspecialties. “ovarian,” “prostate,” “prostatic,” “splen-
ic,” “spleen,” “intestine,” “intestinal,” “co-
doi.org/10.2214/AJR.19.21346
Materials and Methods lon,” “colonic,” “appendix,” “appendiceal,”
Received February 21, 2019; accepted after revision All publication searches were performed “stomach,” “gastric,” “testes,” “testicular,”
May 26, 2019. using a comprehensive central database “rectum,” and “rectal.” The musculoskel-
1
(Web of Science Core Collection, Clarivate etal terms were “bone,” “musculoskeletal,”
Department of Radiology, Columbia University Medical
Center, New York Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY.
Analytics) that searches the world’s leading “osseous,” “joint,” “muscle,” “skeletal,” and
scholarly journals and proceedings in the “spine.” The pediatrics terms were “pedi-
2
Columbia Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY. sciences and includes the MEDLINE and atric,” “child,” and “children.” The neuro-
3
PubMed databases. radiology terms were “brain,” “neuro,” and
Breast Imaging Section, Columbia University Medical
From 2000 to 2018, all AI-related pub- “CNS.” The breast term was “breast.” The
Center, New York Presbyterian Hospital, 622 W 168th St,
PB-1-301, New York, NY 10032. Address correspondence lications were selected using the follow- nuclear medicine terms were “PET,” “la-
to R. Ha (rh2616@columbia.edu). ing search terms: “artificial intelligence,” beled,” “FDG,” “radionuclides,” “radiophar-
“AI,” “CNN,” “CNNs,” “ANN,” “ANNs,” maceuticals,” and “technetium.” The cardiac
AJR 2019; 213:1–3 “neural network,” “neural networks,” “ma- terms were “cardiac” and “heart.” The inter-
0361–803X/19/2136–1
chine learning,” “deep learning,” “computer ventional terms were “intervention” and “in-
learning,” “support vector machine,” “sup- terventional.” The emergency terms were
© American Roentgen Ray Society port vector machines,” “Bayesian network,” “emergency,” “trauma,” and “traumatic.”

AJR:213, December 2019 1


West et al.

The global trend in the number of AI pub- 2000


lications from 2000 to 2018, including con- United States
tributing countries, was determined by linear China
and nonlinear regression analyses performed
using a statistical software program; p ≤ 0.05 Germany
1500
was considered significant.
United Kingdom

No. of Publications
Results Canada
Our bibliometric analysis yielded 8813
Japan
radiology AI publications worldwide from 1000
2000 to 2018. The global growth trend in AI The Netherlands
research was exponential (p < 0.0001; Fig. 1).
France
The top 12 most productive countries were
the United States, China, Germany, the Unit- 500 India
ed Kingdom, Canada, Japan, The Nether-
lands, France, India, Italy, South Korea, and Italy
Australia (Table 1). The United States had South Korea
the highest AI publication output since 2000,
0
accounting for approximately 35–50% of the Australia
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
total output (Fig. 2). China was the second

20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20

20
20
20
20
20
20
20
most productive country in the world, con- Year
tributing 18% of the total output in 2018.
The four countries that served as the top Fig. 1—Graph of number of radiology artificial intelligence publications by country and per year (2000–2018).
funding sources for radiology AI publi-
cations from 2000 to 2018 were the Unit- The journals in which these were published Discussion
American Journal of Roentgenology

ed States (16.5%), China (3.6%), the United most frequently were NeuroImage (16.1%), There has been an exponential growth
Kingdom (1.5%), and Canada (0.6%). The top IEEE Transactions on Medical Imaging worldwide in AI radiology research, led by
funding sources in the United States includ- (6.9%), and Medical Physics (6.9%). the United States, which produces almost
ed the National Institutes of Health (NIH; The subspecialties with the most AI-relat- half of global AI research. This is not sur-
public source), the National Cancer Insti- ed publications were neuroradiology (24.4%), prising given that the United States also has
tute, and the National Science Foundation chest and body (20.7%), nuclear medicine the most funding sources for AI research.
(public source). In China, the top funding (13.0%), and breast imaging (12.0%) (Table 2). Most U.S. funding has come from large gov-
sources included the National Natural Sci-
ence Foundation of China (public source) 50
United States
and the National Science Foundation of Chi-
China
na (public source). In the United Kingdom,
Germany
the top funding sources included the Medi- United Kingdom
cal Research Council (public source) and the 40
Canada
Wellcome Trust (private nonprofit source). In The Netherlands
Canada, the top funding sources included the France
Canadian Institute of Health Research (pub-
Annual Publications

Japan
30
lic source). India
The top three organizations in research Italy
productivity were were from the United South Korea
Australia
States (the University of California system, 20
the NIH, and Harvard University). Other top
organizations from other countries includ-
ed the University of London (United King-
dom), Institut National de la Santé et de la 10
Recherche Médicale (France), the Chinese
Academy of Science (China), the Helmholtz
Association (Germany), Radboud Universi-
ty Nijmegen (The Netherlands), the Univer- 0
sity of Toronto (Canada), and Seoul National
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20

20
20
20
20
20
20
20

University (South Korea). Year


The types of publications identified most
often were articles (53.7%), proceedings pa- Fig. 2—Line graph of percentage of total radiology artificial intelligence publications by country and per year
pers (38.0%), and meeting abstracts (6.8%). (2000–2018).

2 AJR:213, December 2019


TABLE 1:  Countries With Highest Numbers of Radiology Artificial Intelligence dition, the proprietary “Radiology Nuclear
Global Trend in AI-Based Publications in Radiology
Publications (2000–2018) Medicine Medical Imaging” category like-
Rank Country Total No. of Publications
ly would have excluded relevant studies that
were presented at non–radiology-specific
1 United States 3836 meetings and published in non–radiology-
2 China 973 specific journals that did meet the preset
3 Germany 762 criteria. Two other factors added to the un-
derestimation of the total AI research pro-
4 United Kingdom 612
ductivity: Studies from the arXiv.org web-
5 Canada 493 site (an important source of AI research)
6 Japan 398 were not part of the search query, and pri-
7 The Netherlands 372 vate for-profit entities that sponsor medical
AI research (including medical imaging re-
8 France 365
search) tend not to publish their findings.
9 India 317 Despite these areas contributing to underes-
10 Italy 311 timation of the absolute number, we believe
11 South Korea 305 our bibliometric analysis still provides valu-
able insight into the global trend of AI radi-
12 Australia 239
ology research.
Note—Some publications are recorded in more than one country according to authorship. Other limitations include the fact that our
analysis does not account for quality of pub-
TABLE 2:  Radiology Artificial Intelligence Publications by Subspecialty lications and the fact that metrics such as
(2000–2018) impact factor were not considered. In addi-
tion, funding sources were evaluated by the
Subspecialty No. (%) of Publications (n = 8813)
number of publications produced rather than
Neuroradiology 2148 (24.4) by the monetary amount given. Although
Chest and body 1825 (20.7) productivity can be used as a marker for
American Journal of Roentgenology

funding, it does not truly reflect the amount


Nuclear medicine 1143 (13.0)
of money allocated toward research.
Breast 1056 (12.0) Exponential growth in AI radiology re-
Musculoskeletal 606 (6.9) search has occurred worldwide, with the
Cardiac 416 (4.7) United States leading overall AI research
productivity. China has made the second big-
Pediatrics 202 (2.3)
gest contribution, largely driven by unique
Interventional 178 (2.0) research infrastructure ideal for AI research
Emergency 82 (0.9) and significant government funding support.
The future success of the United States will
ernment funding agencies, including the in- in research and development among Chinese depend on continued government funding
stitutes and centers at the NIH; however, researchers [4]. and prioritization of AI radiology research
the United States has a diverse portfolio of The neuroradiology subspecialty pro- within the research community.
funding that includes both governmental and duced the most AI publications in this study.
nongovernmental agencies. With such strong This is not surprising, given that neurora- References
support for AI radiology research, the Unit- diology is a unique subspecialty of acuity, 1. Litjens G, Kooi T, Bejnordi BE, et al. A survey on
ed States is home to the three institutions of where “time is brain” for stroke evaluation deep learning in medical image analysis. Med Im-
highest publication productivity. demands fast and accurate diagnoses suitable age Anal 2017; 42:60–88
Although the United States has been the for AI applications. In addition to tumor as- 2. Mazurowski MA, Buda M, Saha A, Bashir MR.
global leader, several other countries have sessment, a common AI application shared Deep learning in radiology: an overview of the con-
become increasingly significant contribu- with other subspecialties, other neurologic cepts and a survey of the state of the art with focus
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has increased its productivity exponentially, orders, traumatic brain injury, demyelinat- 3. Pesapane F, Codari M, Sardanelli F. Artificial in-
from less than 5% to close to 20% of all AI ing diseases (multiple sclerosis), and demen- telligence in medical imaging: threat or opportu-
publications. China’s ability to exponential- tia (Alzheimer disease), are well matched for nity? Radiologists again at the forefront of innova-
ly increase productivity is likely due to the AI applications [5]. Further investigation is tion in medicine. Eur Radiol Exp 2018; 2:35
country’s unique research infrastructure. The needed to better understand the nuances of 4. Diamandis P. China is quickly becoming an AI
availability of large centralized data and rap- AI radiology research within neuroradiology superpower. SingularityHub website. https://sin-
id implementation across commercial indus- and other radiology subspecialties. gularityhub.com/2018/08/29/china-ai-superpower
tries have already helped the nation become A major limitation of this study is like- /#sm.0000853f1o4hydamwwh2n368j9yt7. Pub-
very productive in AI research in a short pe- ly underestimation of total AI research pro- lished August 29, 2018. Accessed June 24, 2019
riod [4]. In addition, Chinese government di- ductivity using a single search engine, even 5. Sakai K, Yamada K. Machine learning studies on
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AJR:213, December 2019 3

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