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via Propane
Dehydrogenation,
Part 2
#TEC006B
Technology Economics
2013
Abstract
Propylene has established itself as a major member of the global olefins business, second only to ethylene. Globally, the greatest
volume of propylene is generated as a by-product in steam crackers and through the fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) process.
With ethane prices falling in the USA due to the exploration of shale gas reserves, the low price of ethylene produced from this raw
material has given ethane-fed steam crackers in North America a feedstock advantage. Such a change has put naphtha-fed steam
crackers at a disadvantage, with many of them shutting down or revamping to use ethane as feedstock. Nevertheless, the
propylene output rates from ethane-fed crackers are negligible. This, along with the rise in propylene demand, has resulted in a
tight propylene market.
For this reason, new and novel lower-cost chemical processes for on-purpose propylene production technologies are of high
interest to the petrochemical marketplace. Such processes include: Metathesis, Propane Dehydrogenation (PDH), Methanol-to-
Olefins/Methanol-to-Propylene (MTO/MTP), High Severity FCC, and Olefins Cracking. Among those, MTO/MTP and PDH stand out
due to the use of low-cost raw materials. In the US, some major companies, including Dow Chemical and Enterprise Products, are
building PDH plants to take advantage of shale gas, the fastest growing source of gas in the country. In Middle East, the propane
output is expected to be capable of supplying not only domestic needs, but also the demand from China, where many PDH
projects are scheduled to go on stream within the next few years.
In this study, the production of propylene through the dehydrogenation of propane is reviewed. Included in the analysis is an
overview of the technology and economics of a method similar to the Lummus CATOFIN® process, the technology selected by
Enterprise Products to produce propylene on Texas Gulf Coast. Both the capital investment and the operating costs are presented
for a plant constructed on the US Gulf Coast and in China. Process consumptions were validated through a comparison with
publicly available information about Petrologistics’ PDH unit, located in Texas and based on CATOFIN technology.
The economic analysis presented in this report is based on a plant fully integrated with a petrochemical complex and capable of
producing 590 kta of polymer grade propylene. The estimated CAPEX for such a plant on the US Gulf Coast is USD 493 million.
While China presented the lowest CAPEX, the USA presented the most advantageous operational margins, due to the rise of shale
gas and reduction in propane prices. The more competitive raw material justifies Enterprise Products choice for a new PDH plant
in Texas. Although China still depends on imported propane from Middle East, being subjected to shortages of supply, the
historical operational margins are high enough to explain the number of PDH planned projects in the country. The attractiveness
of propane dehydrogenation is proven by the calculated internal rate of return above 30% in the United States.
Copyrights © 2013 by Intratec Solutions LLC. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America.
This Publication Was Not a Publication…
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1
Contents
Object of Study.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Analysis Performed ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................8
Design Conditions......................................................................................................................................................................................................................9
Introduction.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
Applications.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 10
Technical Analysis......................................................................................................................................................... 14
Chemistry.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14
Raw Material ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................14
Technology Overview...........................................................................................................................................................................................................16
Detailed Process Description & Conceptual Flow Diagram.......................................................................................................................17
Technology Advances.............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 24
Reactor Operating Cycle......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 24
PDH-Integration Alternatives...............................................................................................................................................................................................25
General Assumptions............................................................................................................................................................................................................26
2
Project Implementation Schedule...............................................................................................................................................................................27
Capital Expenditures..............................................................................................................................................................................................................27
Fixed Investment......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 27
Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 30
Other Capital Expenses ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................31
Total Capital Expenses ............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 31
Manufacturing Costs................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 31
Historical Analysis........................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 32
Regional Comparison............................................................................................................................................................................................................35
Capital Expenses.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 35
Operational Expenses............................................................................................................................................................................................................... 35
Economic Datasheet................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 35
References....................................................................................................................................................................... 38
Acronyms, Legends & Observations....................................................................................................................... 39
Technology Economics Methodology................................................................................................................... 40
Introduction.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................40
Workflow........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................40
Capital & Operating Cost Estimates ............................................................................................................................................................................42
ISBL Investment............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 42
OSBL Investment ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 42
Working Capital............................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 43
Start-up Expenses ....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 43
Other Capital Expenses ...........................................................................................................................................................................................................44
Manufacturing Costs................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 44
Contingencies ............................................................................................................................................................................................................................44
Accuracy of Economic Estimates..................................................................................................................................................................................45
Location Factor..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................45
3
Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing................................................................................................... 54
Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses................................................................................................................. 64
Capital Expenditures..............................................................................................................................................................................................................66
4
List of Tables
5
Table 33 – Columns.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................60
Table 34 – Utilities Supply...................................................................................................................................................................................................................61
Table 35 – Vessels & Tanks..................................................................................................................................................................................................................61
Table 36 – Indirect Costs Breakdown for the Base Case (USD Thousands) ......................................................................................................65
Table 37 – Detailed Construction Location Factor............................................................................................................................................................66
Table 38 – Working Capital Assumptions (Base Case) ....................................................................................................................................................66
Table 39 – Other Capital Expenses Assumptions (Base Case) ...................................................................................................................................66
Table 40 – Other Fixed Cost Assumptions ..............................................................................................................................................................................67
Table 41 – Depreciation Value & Assumptions ....................................................................................................................................................................67
6
List of Figures
7
About this Study
This chapter summarizes the set of information that served The economic analysis is based on the construction of a
as input to develop the current technology evaluation. All plant inside a petrochemical complex, in which propane
required data were provided through the filling of the feedstock is locally provided and propylene product is
Technology Economics Form available at Intratec’s website. consumed by a nearby polypropylene unit. Therefore, no
storage for product or raw material is required. Additionally,
You may check the original form in the “Appendix H. the petrochemical complex supplies most utilities.
Technology Economics Form Submitted by Client”.
Since the Outside Battery Limits (OSBL) requirements–
storage and utilities supply facilities – significantly impact
Object of Study the capital cost estimates for a new venture, they may play a
decisive role in the decision as to whether or not to invest.
This assignment assesses the economic feasibility of an
Thus, in this study three distinct OSBL configurations are
industrial unit for propylene production via propane
compared. Those scenarios are summarized in Figure 1 and
dehydrogenation, implementing technology similar to the
Table 1
CB&I Lummus CATOFIN process.
Grassroots unit Unit is part of a petrochemical complex Most infrastructure is already installed
Intratec | About this Study
8
Table 1 – Construction Scenarios Assumptions (Based on Degree of Integration)
Utility Facilities Included All required All required Only refrigeration unit
Design Conditions
The process analysis is based on rigorous simulation models
developed on Aspentech Aspen Plus and Hysys, which
support the design of the chemical process, equipment and
OSBL facilities.
9
Study Background
Propylene is an unsaturated organic compound having the PG propylene contains minimal levels of impurities, such as
chemical formula C3H6. It has one double bond, is the carbonyl sulfide, that can poison catalysts.
second simplest member of the alkene class of
hydrocarbons, and is also second in natural abundance. Thermal & Motor Gasoline Uses
in liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) for thermal use or as an Oxo-alcohols Coatings, plasticizers
octane-enhancing component in motor gasoline. It can
Cumene Polycarbonates, phenolic resins
also be used in some chemical syntheses (e.g., cumene or
isopropanol). The most significant market for RG propylene Coatings, adhesives, super absorbent
Acrylic acid
is the conversion to PG or CG propylene for use in the polymers
production of polypropylene, acrylonitrile, oxo-alcohols and Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
propylene oxide.
10
areas. This process converts heavy gas oil preferentially into
Manufacturing Alternatives gasoline and light gas oil.
11
gas oils (paraffins) and residues, and produces about These on-purpose methods are becoming increasingly
20-25 wt% propylene on feedstock together with significant, as the shift to lighter steam cracker feedstocks
greater volumes of motor gasoline and distillate by- with relatively lower propylene yields and reduced motor
products. gasoline demand in certain areas has created an imbalance
of supply and demand for propylene.
Olefins Cracking. Includes a broad range of
technologies that catalytically convert large olefins
molecules (C4-C8) into mostly propylene and small
amounts of ethylene. This technology will best be
employed as an auxiliary unit to an FCC unit or steam
cracker to enhance propylene yields.
Naphtha
Steam Cracker
NGL
Propane PDH
Ethylene/
Metathesis
Butenes
Methanol MTO/MTP
C4 to C8
Olefins Cracking
Olefins
12
Licensor(s) & Historical Aspects world’s largest propane dehydrogenation units based on
CATOFIN technology (about 650 kta). The construction of a
750 kta CATOFIN unit has also been announced by
The continuous rise in petroleum prices, in addition to the
Enterprise Products and is planned to go on stream in the
increase in world demand for propylene, has led the
next few years.
chemical industry to innovate in the development of
production routes utilizing sources other than oil. In this
China built its first unit PDH in mid-2010, but has at least 9
context, the recent success of shale gas exploitation in the
plants planned. It has been confirmed that three of such
US is playing a key role in the shift to natural gas as a source
units will rely on CATOFIN technology. The first of the three
of feed to olefins production. This occurs because, in
is intended to go on stream in late 2012, while the
addition to methane, natural gas comprises C2-C4 paraffins,
remaining are scheduled to go on stream in 2014 and 2015.
such as propane, which is more frequently being used in
Capacities vary between 500 and 600 kta.
the production of propylene by a dehydrogenation process.
13
Technical Analysis
Raw Material
The feedstock to a PDH process unit is propane. Propane is
Propane Propylene Hydrogen
recovered from propane-rich liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)
streams from natural gas processing plants. Propane may
About 86 wt% of propane is converted to propylene. The
also be obtained in smaller amounts as a by-product of
propylene yield is favored by higher temperatures and
petroleum refinery operations, such as hydrocracking and
lower pressures.
fluidized catalytic cracking (FCC).
– CH4
cracking
CH3 – CH2 – CH3 CH2 = CH2 C2H2n+2
Dehydrogenation
CH3 – CH = CH2
Oligomerization CH2 = CH – CH2 – CH3
Aromatization
CH3 – CH – CH2 – CH = CH2
Dehydrogenation
–
CH3
CH2 = CH – CH2 = CH3
Alkylation Polymerization
R
CnH2n
CnH(n+y)
14
As natural gas offerings in the USA are significantly However, in certain regions, propylene production must
increasing due to the rising exploitation of shale gas, compete with the use of propane. Propane prices may be
propane and ethane prices are decreasing. elevated in cold countries where it is used as fuel for
transportation and for domestic heating. Therefore, PDH
This changes both ethylene and propylene industrial units may have elevated raw material costs in Western
production by prompting new steam crackers to use Europe countries during the winter due to the demand for
ethane as feedstock and causing existing naphtha crackers propane as fuel.
to shut down (or to be reconfigured to crack ethane). Such
a shift to lighter feedstock in crackers reduces both ethylene
production costs and propylene output as a by-product,
since cracking ethane yields negligible amounts of
propylene as by-product in comparison with cracking
naphtha.
20
15
10
0
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
15
Technology Overview
The reactor effluent is routed through a high pressure
The process is separated into two different areas: the
steam generator, feed-effluent exchanger, and trim cooler
reaction and catalyst regeneration area; and the product
to the compressor. The compressor discharge is cooled,
recovery area.
dried and routed to a low temperature separation unit to
reject light ends.
Fresh feed is mixed with recycle feed from a propylene-
propane splitter (P-P Splitter) bottoms and vaporized by
The low temperature area off-gas, which is hydrogen-rich, is
exchange with process streams. To achieve reaction
sent to a Pressure Swing Adsorption (PSA) unit. This unit
temperature, feed is then heated in the charge heater.
separates high-purity hydrogen by-product from light fuel
gas. The liquid stream from low temperature separation,
The reaction step is continuous and uses a cyclic reactor
operation, in which multiple reactors go through a
fed to distillation facilities for product recovery.
controlled sequence of reaction and the fixed catalyst bed
regeneration. Since regeneration is a heat-driven process
The distillation facilities mainly consist of a deethanizer and
and it has been verified that temperatures decrease in the
propylene-propane splitter. The deethanizer recovers fuel
reactors due to the endothermic reactions, ancillary heating
C2 and lighter hydrocarbons as the top product. Propylene
equipment is required. Regeneration prepares the off-line
and propane are obtained as the bottom product and
reactors for their next reaction phase through the burning
follow to the P-P splitter, which produces PG propylene and
of any carbon deposited on the catalyst and reheating the
recycles propane bottom product to the reaction area.
reactor.
Fuel Generated
Recovered Propane
C4 Hydrocarbons
By-Product
Intratec | Technical Analysis
16
Intratec | Technical Analysis
17
Table 6 – Design & Simulation Assumptions
Labor Requirements
18
Figure 6 – Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram
19
Figure 6 – Inside Battery Limits Conceptual Process Flow Diagram (Cont.)
Intratec | Technical Analysis
20
Table 8 presents the main streams composition and
operating conditions. For a more complete material
ISBL Major Equipment List
balance, see the “Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams
Table 9 shows the equipment list by area. It also presents a
Properties.”
brief description and the main materials used.
21
Intratec | Technical Analysis
22
OSBL Major Equipment List Table 10 shows the list of tanks located in the storage area
and the energy facilities required in the construction of a
non-integrated unit.
The OSBL is divided into three main areas: storage (Area
700), energy and water facilities (Area 800), and support &
auxiliary facilities (Area 900).
23
Figure 7 – Typical Operating Cycle for a Eight Reactor System
Intratec | Technical Analysis
24
Intratec | Technical Analysis
25
Economic Analysis
General Assumptions In Table 11, the IC Index stands for Intratec chemical plant
Construction Index, an indicator, published monthly by
Intratec, to scale capital costs from one time period to
The general assumptions for the base case of this analysis
another.
are outlined below.
26
Project Implementation “Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses” provides a detailed
breakdown for the direct expenses, outlining the share of
Schedule each type of equipment in total.
The main objective of knowing upfront the project After defining the total direct cost, the TFI is established by
implementation schedule is to enhance the estimates for adding field indirects, engineering costs, overhead, contract
both capital initial expenses and return on investment. fees and contingencies.
Capital Expenditures
Fixed Investment
Economics Methodology”.
Cost Engineers (AACE) Standard Terminology as those
Fundamentally, the direct costs are the total direct material "costs which do not become a final part of the installation
and labor costs associated with the equipment (including but which are required for the orderly completion of the
installation bulks). The total direct cost represents the total installation."
bare equipment installed cost.
27
The indirect project expenses are further detailed in
“Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses”
Non-Integrated Plant
28
Figure 9 – Total Direct Cost of Different Integration Scenarios (USD Thousands)
29
Working Capital
30
Other Capital Expenses
Table 16 – CAPEX (USD Million)
Start-up costs should also be considered when determining
the total capital expenses. During this period, expenses are
incurred for employee training, initial commercialization
costs, manufacturing inefficiencies and unscheduled plant
modifications (adjustment of equipment, piping,
instruments, etc.).
Initial costs are not addressed in most studies on estimating Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
but can become a significant expenditure. For instance, the
initial catalyst load in reactors may be a significant cost and,
in that case, should also be included in the capital
estimates.
Operational Expenditures
The purchase of technology through paid-up royalties or Manufacturing Costs
licenses is considered to be part of the capital investment.
The manufacturing costs, also called Operational
Other capital expenses frequently neglected are land Expenditures (OPEX), are composed of two elements: a fixed
acquisition and site development. Although these are small cost and a variable cost. All figures regarding operational
parts of the total capital expenses, they should be included. costs are presented in USD per ton of product.
31
Table 18 discloses the manufacturing variable costs. Indicators calculated for three major chemical industry
niches: basic, specialties and diversified chemicals.
Historical Analysis
32
Figure 12 – OPEX and Product Sales History (USD/ton)
33
Intratec | Economic Analysis
34
Regional Comparison & Economic Discussion
Capital Expenses
Operational Expenses
Variations in productivity, labor costs, local steel prices,
Specific regional conditions influence prices for raw
equipment imports needs, freight, taxes and duties on
materials, utilities and products. Such differences are thus
imports, regional business environments and local
reflected in the operating costs. An OPEX breakdown
availability of sparing equipment were considered when
structure for the different locations approached in this study
comparing capital expenses for the different regions under
is presented in Figure 15.
consideration in this report.
Capital costs are adjusted from the base case (a plant Economic Datasheet
constructed on the US Gulf Coast) to locations of interest by
using location factors calculated according to the The Technology Economic Datasheet, presented in Table
aforementioned items. For further information about 21, is an overall evaluation of the technology's capital
location factor calculation, please examine the chapter investment and production costs in the alternative location
“Technology Economics Methodology”. In addition, the analyzed in this study.
location factors for the regions analyzed are further detailed
in “Appendix F. Economic Assumptions.”
35
Figure 15 – Operating Costs Breakdown per Location (USD/ton)
36
Intratec | Regional Comparison & Economic Discussion
37
Intratec | References
38
References
Acronyms, Legends & Observations
EBITDA: Earnings before Interests, Taxes, Depreciation and RG: Refinery grade
Amortization
SB: Steam boiler
EIA: Energy Information Administration
Syngas: Synthesis gas
F: Furnaces, fired heaters (e.g., F-101 would denote a
T: Tanks (e.g., T-101 would denote a tank tag)
furnace tag)
TFI: Total Fixed Investment
FCC: Fluid catalytic cracking
Intratec | Acronyms, Legends & Observations
39
Technology Economics Methodology
Intratec Technology Economics methodology From this simulation, material balance calculations are
performed around the process, key process indicators are
ensures a holistic, coherent and consistent
identified and main equipment listed.
techno-economic evaluation, ensuring a clear
understanding of a specific mature chemical Equipment sizing specifications are defined based on
process technology. Intratec's equipment design capabilities and an extensive
use of AspenONE Engineering Software Suite that enables
the integration between the process simulation developed
Introduction and equipment design tools. Both equipment sizing and
process design are prepared in conformance with generally
The same general approach is used in the development of
accepted engineering standards.
all Technology Economics assignments. To know more
about Intratec’s methodology, see Figure 16. Then, a cost analysis is performed targeting ISBL & OSBL
fixed capital costs, manufacturing costs, and overall working
While based on the same methodology, all Technology
capital associated with the examined process technology.
Economics studies present uniform analyses with identical
Equipment costs are primarily estimated using Aspen
structures, containing the same chapters and similar tables
Process Economic Analyzer (formerly Aspen Icarus)
and charts. This provides confidence to everyone interested
customized models and Intratec's in-house database.
in Intratec’s services since they will know upfront what they
will get. Cost correlations and, occasionally, vendor quotes of unique
and specialized equipment may also be employed. One of
Workflow the overall objectives is to establish Class 3 cost estimates 1
with a minimum design engineering effort.
Once the scope of the study is fully defined and
understood, Intratec conducts a comprehensive Next, capital and operating costs are assembled in Microsoft
bibliographical research in order to understand technical Excel spreadsheets, and an economic analysis of such
aspects involved with the process analyzed. technology is performed.
Subsequently, the Intratec team simultaneously develops Finally, two analyses are completed, examining:
the process description and the conceptual process flow
diagram based on: a. The total fixed investment in different construction
scenarios, based on the level of integration of the plant
a. Patent and technical literature research with nearby facilities
b. Non-confidential information provided by technology b. The capital and operating costs for a second different
licensors plant location
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
40
Figure 16 – Methodology Flowchart
Study Understanding -
Validation of Project Inputs
Non-Confidential
Information from Aspen Plus, Aspen Hysys
Technology Licensors or Technical Validation –
Aspen Exchanger Design &
Suppliers Process Description &
Rating, KG Tower, Sulcol
Flow Diagram
and Aspen Energy Analyzer
Construction Location
Factor Economic Analysis
(http://base.intratec.us)
Analyses of
Different Construction
Scenarios and Plant Location
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
41
Capital & Operating Cost Process equipment (e.g., reactors and vessels, heat
exchangers, pumps, compressors, etc.)
Estimates
Process equipment spares
The cost estimate presented in the current study considers
a process technology based on a standardized design Housing for process units
practice, typical of a major chemical company. The specific
design standards employed can have a significant impact Pipes and supports within the main process units
on capital costs.
Instruments, control systems, electrical wires and other
The basis for the capital cost estimate is that the plant is hardware
considered to be built in a clear field with a typical large
single-line capacity. In comparing the cost estimate hereby Foundations, structures and platforms
presented with an actual project cost or contractor's
Insulation, paint and corrosion protection
estimate, the following must be considered:
Industrial plants may be overdesigned for particular The OSBL investment accounts for auxiliary items necessary
objectives and situations. to the functioning of the production unit (ISBL), but which
perform a supporting and non-plant-specific role. OSBL
Rapid fluctuation of equipment or construction costs items considered may vary from process to process. The
may invalidate cost estimate. OSBL investment could include the installed cost of the
following items:
Equipment vendors or engineering companies may
provide goods or services below profit margins during Storage and packaging (storage, bagging and a
economic downturns. warehouse) for products, feedstocks and by-products
Specific locations may impose higher taxes and fees, Steam units, cooling water and refrigeration systems
which can impact costs considerably.
Process water treating systems and supply pumps
In addition, no matter how much time and effort are
devoted to accurately estimating costs, errors may occur Boiler feed water and supply pumps
due to the aforementioned factors, as well as cost and labor
changes, construction problems, weather-related issues, Electrical supply, transformers, and switchgear
strikes, or other unforeseen situations. This is partially
Intratec | Technology Economics Methodology
considered in the project contingency. Finally, it must Auxiliary buildings, including all services and
always be remembered that an estimated project cost is not equipment of: maintenance, stores warehouse,
an exact number, but rather is a projection of the probable laboratory, garages, fire station, change house,
cost. cafeteria, medical/safety, administration, etc.
42
Working Capital Cash on hand. An adequate amount of cash on hand
to give plant management the necessary flexibility to
For the purposes of this study, 2 working capital is defined as cover unexpected expenses (estimated as a certain
the funds, in addition to the fixed investment, that a period – in days – of manufacturing expenses).
company must contribute to a project. Those funds must
be adequate to get the plant in operation and to meet Start-up Expenses
subsequent obligations.
When a process is brought on stream, there are certain one-
The initial amount of working capital is regarded as an time expenses related to this activity. From a time
investment item. This study uses the following standpoint, a variable undefined period exists between the
items/assumptions for working capital estimation: nominal end of construction and the production of quality
product in the quantity required. This period is commonly
Accounts receivable. Products and by-products referred to as start-up.
shipped but not paid by the customer; it represents
the extended credit given to customers (estimated as a During the start-up period expenses are incurred for
certain period – in days – of manufacturing expenses operator and maintenance employee training, temporary
plus depreciation). construction, auxiliary services, testing and adjustment of
equipment, piping, and instruments, etc. Our method of
Accounts payable. A credit for accounts payable such estimating start-up expenses consists of four components:
as feedstock, catalysts, chemicals, and packaging
materials received but not paid to suppliers (estimated Labor component. Represents costs of plant crew
as a certain period – in days – of manufacturing training for plant start-up, estimated as a certain
expenses). number of days of total plant labor costs (operators,
supervisors, maintenance personnel and laboratory
Product inventory. Products and by-products (if labor).
applicable) in storage tanks. The total amount depends
on sales flow for each plant, which is directly related to Commercialization cost. Depends on raw materials
plant conditions of integration to the manufacturing of and products negotiation, on how integrated the plant
product‘s derivatives (estimated as a certain period – in is with feedstock suppliers and consumer facilities, and
days – of manufacturing expenses plus depreciation, on the maturity of the technology. It ranges from 0.5%
defined by plant integration circumstances). to 5% of annual manufacturing expenses.
Raw material inventory. Raw materials in storage Start-up inefficiency. Takes into account those
tanks. The total amount depends on raw material operating runs when production cannot be
availability, which is directly related to plant conditions maintained or there are false starts. The start-up
of integration to raw material manufacturing inefficiency varies according to the process maturity:
(estimated as a certain period – in days – of raw 5% for new and unproven processes, 2% for new and
material delivered costs, defined by plant integration proven processes, and 1% for existing licensed
circumstances). processes, based on annual manufacturing expenses.
2
The accounting definition of working capital (total current assets
minus total current liabilities) is applied when considering the
entire company.
43
Other Capital Expenses Uncertainty in process parameters, such as severity of
operating conditions and quantity of recycles
Prepaid Royalties. Royalty charges on portions of the
plant are usually levied for proprietary processes. A Addition and integration of new process steps
value ranging from 0.5 to 1% of the total fixed
investment (TFI) is generally used. Estimation of costs through scaling factors
Manufacturing Costs
The project contingency is largely dependent on the plant
complexity and reflects how far the conducted estimation is
Manufacturing costs do not include post-plant costs, which
from the definitive project, which includes, from the
are very company specific. These consist of sales, general
engineering point of view, site data, drawings and sketches,
and administrative expenses, packaging, research and
suppliers’ quotations and other specifications. In addition,
development costs, and shipping, etc.
during construction some constraints are verified, such as:
Operating labor and maintenance requirements have been
Project errors or incomplete specifications
estimated subjectively on the basis of the number of major
equipment items and similar processes, as noted in the
Strike, labor costs changes and problems caused by
literature.
weather
incur, to some degree, cost increases. According to Somewhat simple, widely known
Simple
recommended practice, two kinds of contingencies are processes
assumed and applied to TPC: process contingency and Typical Regular process
project contingency. Complexity
Several unit operations, extreme
Complex temperature or pressure, more
Process contingency is utilized in an effort to lessen the
instrumentation
impact of absent technical information or the uncertainty of
that which is obtained. In that manner, the reliability of the New &
From 1 to 2 commercial plants
information gathered, its amount and the inherent Maturity Proven
complexity of the process are decisive for its evaluation.
Licensed 3 or more commercial plants
Errors that occur may be related to:
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
44
Accuracy of Economic Estimates different countries, taking into consideration the readiness
of bureaucratic procedures and the availability and quality
of ports or roads.
The accuracy of estimates gives the realized range of plant
cost. The reliability of the technical information available is
Labor and material, in turn, are the fundamental
of major importance.
components for the construction of a plant and, for this
reason, are intrinsically related to the plant costs. This
concept is the basis for the methodology, which aims to
Table 24 – Accuracy of Economic Estimates represent the local discrepancies in labor and material.
Location Factor The sum of the corrected TFI distribution reflects the relative
cost of the plant, this sum is multiplied by the Infrastructure
and the Business Environment Factors, yielding the Location
A location factor is an instantaneous, total cost factor used
Factor.
for converting a base project cost from one geographic
location to another.
For the purpose of illustrating the conducted methodology,
a block flow diagram is presented in Figure 17 in which the
A properly estimated location factor is a powerful tool, both
four major indexes are presented, along with some of their
for comparing available investment data and evaluating
components.
which region may provide greater economic attractiveness
for a new industrial venture. Considering this, Intratec has
developed a well-structured methodology for calculating
Location Factors, and the results are presented for specific
regions’ capital costs comparison.
45
Figure 17 – Location Factor Composition
Location Factor
Business Environment
Material Index Labor Index Infrastructure Factor
Factor
Domestic Material Index Local Labor Index Ports, Roads, Airports Readiness of
Relative Steel Prices Relative Salary and Rails (Availability Bureaucratic
Labor Index Productivity and Quality) Procedures
Taxes and Freight Expats Labor Communication Legal Protection of
Rates Technologies Investors
Spares Warehouse Taxes
Imported Material Infrastructure
Taxes and Freight Border Clearance
Rates Local Incentives
Spares
46
Intratec | Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties
47
Intratec | Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties
48
(kcal/kg)
(kJ/kg °C)
Mass Enthalpy
Viscosity (cP)
Mass Heat Capacity
Intratec | Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties
49
Intratec | Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties
50
Intratec | Appendix A. Mass Balance & Streams Properties
51
Intratec | Appendix B. Utilities Consumption Breakdown
52
Appendix C. Carbon Footprint
The process’ carbon footprint can be defined as the total The assumptions for the process carbon footprint
amount of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions caused by the calculation are presented in Table 27 and the results are
process operation. provided in Table 28
53
Actual gas flow rate
Inlet (m3/h)
Design gauge
pressure Outlet (barg)
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
54
Design gauge pressure
(barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)
Shell design
temperature (deg C)
Shell material
Tube design
temperature (deg C)
55
Shell design
temperature (deg C)
Shell material
Tube design
temperature (deg C)
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
56
Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)
Duty (MW)
Shell design
temperature (deg C)
Shell material
Tube design
temperature (deg C)
57
Design gauge pressure
(barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)
Material
Shell design
temperature (deg C)
Shell material
Tube design
temperature (deg C)
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
58
Design temperature
(deg C) Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
Liquid flow rate
(m3/h)
Source: Intratec – www.intratec.us
59
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
60
Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)
Design temperature
(deg C)
61
Table 35 – Vessels & Tanks (Cont.)
Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design temperature
(deg C)
Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design
temperature
(deg C)
Liquid volume
(m3)
Intratec | Appendix D. Equipment Detailed List & Sizing
62
(deg C)
Design gauge
pressure (barg)
Design temperature
63
Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses
64
Intratec | Appendix E. Detailed Capital Expenses
65
Appendix F. Economic Assumptions
Supplies and
Stores
66
Operational Expenses
The goal of depreciation is to allow a credit against
Fixed Costs manufacturing costs, and hence taxes, for the non-
recoverable capital expenses of an investment. The
Fixed costs are estimated based on the specific depreciable portion of capital expense is the total fixed
characteristics of the process. The fixed costs, like operating investment.
charges and plant overhead, are typically calculated as a
percentage of the industrial labor costs, and G & A expenses Table 41 shows the project depreciation value and the
are added as a percentage of the operating costs. assumptions used in its calculation.
Table 40 – Other Fixed Cost Assumptions Table 41 – Depreciation Value & Assumptions
67
Appendix G. Released Publications
The list below is intended to be an easy and quick way to CONCEPTUAL DESIGN
identify Intratec reports of interest. For a more complete
and up-to-date list, please visit the Publications section on Membranes on Polyolefins Plants Vent Recovery:
our website, www.intratec.us. The Report evaluates membrane units for the
separation of monomer and nitrogen in PP plants,
TECHNOLOGY ECONOMICS similar to the VaporSep® system commercialized by
MTR.
Propylene Production via Metathesis: Propylene
production via metathesis from ethylene and butenes, Use of Propylene Splitter to Improve Polypropylene
in a process similar to Lummus OCT. Business: The report assesses the opportunity of
purchasing the less valued RG propylene to produce
Propylene Production via Propane the PG propylene raw material used in a PP plant.
Dehydrogenation: Propane dehydrogenation (PDH)
process conducted in moving bed reactors, in a
process similar to UOP OLEFLEX™.
68
Appendix H.
Define the main chemical product of your interest. Possible choices are presented below.
If the main chemical product of your target technology is not found above, please check the "Technology Economic Form - Specialties".
Identify the mature chemical process technology you would like us to assess. Intratec considers mature technologies the ones already used on
a commercial scale plant.
Technology Description Technology for Propane Dehydrogenation. Similar to CB&I Lummus CATOFIN
Commercial Scale Unit. Inform the exact location of one commercial scale plant under operation.
I know the location of a commercial plant: Petrologistics Houston Site, TX - United States
If there is no commercial scale plant based on the technology of your interest, you are referred to Intratec's Research Potential advisory service
at www.intratec.us/advisory/research-potential/overview
Storage Facilities
Define the assumptions employed for the storage facilities design.
The first plant is located in the United States (US Gulf Coast) and the second location is defined by YOU.
E.g. Louisiana (USA), China or Saudi Arabia. Please define only one location.
Plant Location Data I will use Intratec's Internal Database containing standard chemical prices and location factors
Provider (only for Germany, Japan, China or Brazil).
I will provide location specific data. Please fill the Custom Location topic below.
Custom Location Description. Describe both capital investment and prices at your custom location.
A) Capital Investment. Provide the relative capital cost at your custom location in comparison to the United States (U.S. Gulf Coast)
130% means that the capital costs in the custom location are 30% higher than the costs in the United States.
B) Raw Materials Prices. Describe the raw material prices to be considered in the custom location.
C) Product Prices. Describe the products prices to be considered in the custom location.
D) Utilities Prices. Describe the utilities prices to be considered in the custom location.
Electricity UP1
Fuel UP4
E) Labor Prices. Describe the labor prices to be considered in the custom location.
F) Others. Describe any other price you deem necessary to be considered in the custom location.
If you have any other comments, feel free to write them below:
Co In addition to the ISBL facilities, please consider the installation of a refrigeration unit able to provide the required refrigeration
m capacity.
m
en
ts:
Complementary Files
Along with this form, you may also upload any other chemical document deemed relevant for the description of the project, such as
articles, brochures, book sections, patents, etc. Multiple files may be uploaded.
If you are filling this form offline please upload this form and any complementary files at www.intratec.us/advisory/technology-economics/
order-commodities
You can keep your study confidential or get discounts, by allowing Intratec to disclose it to the market as a publication, after an
agreed non-disclosure period, starting at the date you place your order.
6 months $8,000 (9 x $899) Save 84% - Payment of our advisory service is conducted
24 months $28,000 (9 x $3,111) Save 44% automatically, in equal and pre-defined installments
36 months $40,000 (11 x $3,636) Save 20% - Every 15 days, an installment will be charged to your
Inform us the email address of the Intratec Agent that introduced you to our advisory services you will benefit from a 5% discount on the total
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v.1-mar-13
Technology Economics