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To cite this article: Guy H. Walker, Paul M. Salmon, Melissa Bedinger & Neville A. Stanton
(2016): Quantum ergonomics: shifting the paradigm of the systems agenda, Ergonomics, DOI:
10.1080/00140139.2016.1231840
these deeply ‘systemic’ challenges, and the paradigm a contemporary language for advancing an agenda for
shifts necessary to cope with them, will become more more systems thinking and more value to be extracted
rather than less central (Dul et al. 2012). This paper will from ergonomic endeavours.
put forward a selection of ergonomic problems emblem-
atic of these paradigm shifts, illustrate some of the key
Catastrophic counter-intuitiveness
issues in play and show the methods used to drive out
practical insights. It is hoped the discussion will provoke Ergonomics science is not quantum physics, but ergo-
deeper thought about our often unquestioned operating nomic problems can certainly exhibit what we might
assumptions and how they may need to shift further in loosely label ‘quantum behaviour’. That is, systems have
future. many different realities depending on the level of analysis,
and elements of the system can indeed exhibit ‘comple-
mentarity’, being simultaneously one thing and another.
The quantum world of ergonomics
There is certainly a duality between nano and macro-scale
Quantum physics – at the most basic level of explanation phenomenon as the following study amply demonstrates.
possible – is the idea that fundamental properties change The ergonomic case study in question centred on road
at different scales of analysis. Key concepts include freight and logistics, and the use of vehicle telematics to
Heisenberg’s uncertainty principle, in which the more help reduce carbon emissions (see Walker and Manson
one property is known, the less it is possible to know 2014). Telematics works at the interface of road vehicles
another property. Bohr’s complementarity principle, and and the road network, helping to ensure the former make
the duality that exists when items exhibit contradictory the most efficient and rational use of the latter. We know
properties simultaneously. And Schrodinger’s equation from the literature that the shape and topology of a net-
which helps to define the degrees of freedom that a sys- work is a strong contingency factor in how it will perform
tem time evolves within. Stated in exceedingly crude (Leavitt 1951; Pugh et al. 1968; Watts and Strogatz 1998
terms, quantum physics is about understanding what etc.) yet behavioural issues like these are rarely embed-
these different states are, how jumps are made from one ded in studies of driver behaviour. It is far more common
state to another, how quantum systems evolve over time to extract the problem (the driver and the technology)
and how nano and macro-scale system behaviours are from the network, place them (and them alone) in a driv-
related. Its influence, as a mode of thought, has expanded ing simulator or other lab-based study for analysis, then
far beyond the narrow confines of Physics. It has shifted reinsert them once the solution has been applied, all on
the wider scientific paradigm in terms of epistemology the tacit assumption that the whole will be no more or
(making our knowledge of physical reality more proba- less than the sum of its parts. This is a crude and perhaps
bilistic in nature) and ontology (creating the possibility unfair classification, but it is born out in the widespread
of multiple valid positions on reality). By crude analogy engineering assumption that more technology, more
to quantum physics, therefore, we can legitimately ask route guidance and the greater the driver’s knowledge of
whether our own Ergonomic raw material, the ‘atoms’ the wider traffic conditions, the better the network will
and ‘particles’ of tasks, agents, functions and people perform (e.g. Nijkamp, Pepping, and Banister 1997). In
(and the rest) can also simultaneously exhibit more than other words, all it requires is for people in the system to
one property? The question then becomes what we behave in the correct way. A radical alternative is to use
choose to abstract from those situations. Different prac- an agent-based approach called traffic microsimulation,
titioners will observe different properties. Constraining create virtual models of entire towns and cities populate
one property experimentally may reduce our ability to them with thousands of virtual vehicles each exhibiting
measure others. A focus on the nanoscale of ergonomics ergonomically referenced behavioural patterns, run the
problems may in turn lead to a loss of perspective on models many times each and analyse the probabilistic
the macro-scale of entire sociotechnical systems. There behaviour of the entire traffic network as it evolves over
follow three ‘quantum case studies’ which, between them, time (Figure 1). The output from running these microsim-
help to meet the paper’s two main objectives. Firstly, to ulations is a set of raw data for each individual vehicle (out
remind ourselves that ergonomics is well equipped to of anywhere between 3000 and 6000 total vehicles) as it
cope with systems challenges and they have been spoken progresses through the network. Microsimulation calcu-
of frequently in the past. Secondly, to reinforce the idea lates the positional coordinates of each individual vehi-
that systems approaches are practical and usable, not cle every half a second. This data can then be combined
merely abstract or theoretical. Framing these two objec- with specific vehicle ‘drive cycles’ to calculate fuel use and
tives within the notion of ‘quantum ergonomics’ provides emissions, alongside a wide range of other performance
Ergonomics 3
Figure 2. More route guidance at the nano-scale of individual vehicles is not always associated with lower CO2 emissions at the macro-
scale of the entire traffic network: sometimes the reverse.
4 G. H. Walker et al.
Figure 3. A composite network of combined task, social and knowledge networks representing the system involved in piloting a nuclear
submarine to periscope depth.
ones in which the input, processing, output characteristics the [system] increases exponentially’ (Alberts, Garstka, and
of each node are well understood, as are the properties Stein 1999). Structure is a discoverable aspect of systems,
and flows occurring on the links between them. Systems even highly complex open-systems, and it can provide
thinking, however, also refers to open systems, and not powerful clues as to how the system will behave. This fea-
all systems methods cope equally well with open systems ture can be revealed in the following case study examining
problems. One could argue that in common usage within how nuclear hunter-killer submarines return to periscope
ergonomics the term ‘system’ is really referring to ‘open sys- depth (Stanton 2014).
tem’ (Walker et al. 2010). An open system ‘may attain (cer- This is a system comprised of many interacting social and
tain conditions presupposed) a time-independent state technical elements, one that requires a constant throughput
where the system remains constant as a whole … though of energy, information, actions and other inputs in order to
there is a constant flow of the component materials. This remain as a coherent entity. One that is able to respond to
is called a steady state’ (Bertalanffy 1950, 23). Steady-state its environment and change and adapt. Figure 3 illustrates
behaviour means that open systems can a composite network of task, social and information net-
grow by processes of internal elaboration. They manage works extracted via a method called EAST (Event Analysis
to achieve a steady state while doing work. They achieve for Systemic Teamwork; Stanton & Bessell, 2014). From this
a quasi-stationary equilibrium in which the enterprise as structural representation alone, created via existing ergo-
a whole remains constant, with a continuous ‘through- nomic methods such as Hierarchical Task Analysis (Annett
put’, despite a considerable range of external changes. et al. 1971), Social Network Analysis (e.g. Monge and
(Trist 1978, 45).
Contractor 2003; Driskell and Mullen 2005) and semantic
This is why ‘open systems methods’, as distinct from a more networks (e.g. Oden 1987), it was possible to discern exactly
general class of methods often labelled as ‘systems-based’, what was going on between the submarine’s on-board sound
tend to foreground structure. ‘ … the set of relations and control rooms, and how submariners shared information
[between system elements] determines the very charac- related to the tasks they were performing.
ter of the system … [and] … the structure of the system Seemingly abstruse network representations like
determines its function’ (Ropohl 1999, 4). Metcalfe’s Law that shown in Figure 3 translate into significant practical
reinforces this point: ‘as the number of [parts in a system] outcomes. One of these is a full-scale submarine simulator
increases linearly the potential ‘value or effectiveness’ of facility (see Figure 4) in which alternative structural
Ergonomics 5
Table 1. Types of emergence, the information needed in order to make a diagnosis of the system’s behaviour, and tentative examples of
existing methods and approaches at each level (definitions from Bar-Yam 2004).
Information needed in order to make a diagnosis of
Emergence Type the system’s collective behaviour Examples of ergonomic methods
None Deterministic Knowledge of individual system components sufficient to Static, deterministic ergonomic models and methods such
Weak Type 0 fully explain global system behaviour. as Hierarchical Task Analysis (HTA)
Type 1 As for Type 0 but with additional knowledge about the Ergonomic models and methods that incorporate a timeline
positions and dynamics of individual entities in a system, such as Operator Sequence Diagrams (OSD)
this being sufficient to describe the ‘microscopic as well as
macroscopic properties of the system’ (Bar-Yam 2004c, 17).
Strong Type 2 As for Type 1 but with additional knowledge of possible Models incorporating nodes, links and layers, such as Work
states and configurations the system can adopt. ‘the state Domain Analysis (WDA) and System-Theoretic Accident
of one part may determine (or be coupled to) the state of Model and Processes (STAMP)
other parts’ (Bar-Yam 2004c, 17).
Type 3 As for Type 2 but with additional knowledge of the environ- Methods which use networks to model how systems move
ment that the system resides in. ‘This is not contained in within a phase space, such as Event Analysis for Systemic
the conventional discussion of properties of a system as Teamwork (EAST)
determined by the system itself’ (Bar-Yam 2004c, 17).
often shy away from what this multidimensionality really physical systems, whereby multidimensionality is reduced
means, proceeding instead on the basis of more ad hoc, algebraically, here the multidimensionality can be reduced
single-case study approaches which, nevertheless, are via Principal Components Analysis, or other similar means,
often still labelled ‘experiments’ (e.g. CCRP 2004). based entirely on the structural properties of networks.
An alternative approach to the conceptual problems By clustering individual components and having them
posed by Type 3 emergence is to tackle it from the top- form the principle axes of a phase space, the relationships
down (the system) instead of from the bottom-up (the between multiple dimensions of a system are preserved:
components). Approaching the system top-down in terms the reduced set of dimensions still enables you to indi-
of structure is highly beneficial, as the submarine case- rectly manipulate all others.
study above shows, but it is possible to go further still. The In our own research, we have used a dimensionally
central idea can be summed up by the simple cybernetic reduced organisational ‘phase space’ called the NATO
principle that: ‘if all the variables are tightly coupled, and SAS050 model of command and control (NATO 2007). We
if you can truly manipulate one of them in all its freedoms, combined it with Social Network Analysis as a way to repre-
then you can indirectly control all of them’ (Kelly 1994, sent real command and control teams during a large-scale
121). Thus, the behaviour of individual components are military operational field trial. To convey an idea of the scale
not measured in isolation, rather the product of those col- and complexity of this study, and the challenges inherent
lective behaviours are measured as a whole. Phase spaces in conducting an Ergonomic analysis in this domain, it can
are a tractable ergonomic approach for doing this. be noted that it took place (outside in poor weather con-
Phase spaces arise from the study of complex dynamical ditions) in a 116-square-kilometre military training area,
systems and the inadequacies of simple one-dimensional employed a fully functioning Brigade level field headquar-
time-series analyses in capturing and representing their ters, geographically dispersed Battlegroup headquarters,
behaviour. Unlike simple time-series graphs, with time on 73 personnel, a simulated attack and over 2500 communi-
the x-axis and one variable on the y-axis, phase spaces cation exchanges. It was also not possible to interfere with
are a graphical way to analyse the time-varying interac- any of the normal activities being performed or to extract
tions between multiple variables. Although the resulting or apply more typical behavioural measures. Combining
representation is entirely abstract it can reveal fundamen- social network analysis with an organisational phase space
tal properties about the system in question. Indeed, it is represented a novel way to drive out insights the stake-
quite common for prominent graphical features to have holders were in critical need of.
some kind of physical analogue (in the famous Lorenz A social network is ‘a set of entities and actors […] who
example it is fluid flow changing direction, for example). have some type of relationship with one another’ (Driskell
Unlike physical systems, many of the variables of inter- and Mullen 2005, 58–1). Communications links between
est within ergonomics problems are not easily or usefully actors in the scenario were captured by the command
reduced to a set of fundamental equations which can and control system and via observation, thus meeting
be plotted into a coordinate space with complete pre- the stakeholder’s stipulations governing our participa-
cision. This has been resolved to some extent in related tion in this live exercise. Social network ‘analysis’ is about
approaches like Functional Holography (Baruchi and mathematically scrutinising those relationships to discern
Ben-Jacob 2004; Baruchi et al. 2006). As in the case of properties that are not necessarily apparent from visual
Ergonomics 7
Figure 5. A large scale military operational field trial was analysed using social network analysis and plotted into a dimensionally reduced
organisational phase space.
Note: It showed that the command and control organisation was not as agile or ‘net-centric’ as was originally thought and this, in turn, was born out in various
measures of performance.
inspection of the network alone (e.g. Harary 1994). These time, it was possible to observe how their interconnection
properties include several that relate to the main dimen- changed as a function of the task and the operating envi-
sions of the NATO ‘organisation model’, or phase space, ronment. These changes relate to a property called agility,
being used in this study. For example, it was established or the ‘ability to reconfigure structures rapidly […] enabled
that sociometric status, a measure denoting the promi- by an information environment that allows rapid reconfig-
nence of a node in the network based on its communica- uration of the underlying network and knowledge bases’
tions with other nodes, had good construct validity with (Ferbrache 2005, 104). As the social networks change so
the organisational property ‘decision rights’. Network the network metrics change. The range of different values
diameter, a measure denoting the maximum number of these metrics describe over time says something impor-
communication links needed to traverse the network from tant about how the sociotechnical system is reconfiguring
one side to the other, had good construct validity with the itself, in particular how fast and by how much. When the
property ‘patterns of interaction’. Network density, a meas- changing values of the network metrics are plotted into a
ure of the average interconnectivity within the network, graph with the x-axis representing time and the y-axis rep-
had good construct validity with the final axis called ‘dis- resenting the corresponding social network metric value,
tribution of information’ (see Walker et al. 2009). Mapping the resultant time-series resembles a complex waveform.
social network metrics to an organisational phase space Spectral analysis methods were then be used to unpick this
meant that an organisation as complex and dynamic as complex waveform into a set of constituent frequencies
this could be positioned in the organisation model (the which provided insights into organisational agility in a very
phase space) based on the communications taking place direct manner (see Walker et al. 2010).
within it, which were straightforward to collect. The ulti- Figure 6 shows the results of this unpicking process in
mate goal of this activity was to show if the organisation’s a representation called a periodogram. In this application,
position in the phase space, after considerable financial the x-axis shows the extent to which the social network is
investment in new equipment and procedures, was where reconfiguring, the y-axis shows how quickly it is reconfig-
it should be positioned. In this particular case it was not, uring. In the example shown there is a strong ‘fundamental
as Figure 5 shows. frequency’ of organisational reconfiguration, but weaker
Different actors in this scenario needed to communicate spikes of faster reconfigurations occurring at multiples of
with other actors at different times for different purposes. the fundamental frequency (these are called ‘harmonics’).
By analysing the social networks over successive periods of Patterns like these reveal something important about the
8 G. H. Walker et al.
Figure 6. Periodogram illustrating the presence of periodic changes in the distribution of information (i.e. network density) within a live
military command and control case study.
Note: A pattern is obtained that approximates to first, second and third order harmonic effects.
sociotechnical system’s dynamics. Evidence of periodicity and hollows, this abstract environment possesses a
indicates that the organisation is repeatedly drawn into, defined ‘causal texture’ (e.g. Emery and Trist 1965). This
or attracted, into specific locations of its phase space, is a classic sociotechnical systems concept. So is the idea
revealing in turn specific configurations of that organisa- that a sociotechnical system is itself part of the environ-
tion which are more persistent than others. The lack of ment and through its actions able to influence its causal
a pattern or periodicity is just as interesting. It suggests texture. We come back, then, to the idea that there are
that the forces present in the environment which are driv- multiple interconnected pathways which are constantly
ing the organisation’s dynamic reconfigurations might be moving and shifting … no predefined system layers …
more chaotic in nature. no predefined (static) holes in the ‘Swiss Cheese’ … and
To be even more specific, clusters that form in defined no possibility of detecting the things we really want to
areas of the phase space, and into which the organisation detect by focusing exclusively on the components. At
was repeatedly drawn (like those shown in Figure 5) can be least now, via phase spaces and innovative use of ergo-
termed ‘fixed attractors’. Fixed attractors represent some- nomic methods, these features are able to become vis-
thing analogous to equilibrium state(s) of the system or ibly manifest and open to inspection. In this case, the
the dominant prevailing behaviours. This does not fully stakeholders were able to gain a much deeper under-
describe the dynamical behaviour of the real command standing of what organisational agility actually meant,
and control organisation under analysis, however, because how to measure it and valuable insights into process
many of the other points did not fall into defined clusters improvements targeted at shifting their position in the
at all and were instead scattered widely. The organisation phase space into more desirable regions, and the ability
was thus attracted to these other points in the phase space to measure and check those improvements ongoing.
by forces whose underlying dynamics were not stable and
deterministic, but unstable and chaotic. In the parlance
Conclusions
of complex adaptive systems, these would be termed
‘strange attractors’. The aim of this paper has been to take advantage of a
The presence of attractors in an organisational phase unique opportunity (and Special Issue) to stand back
space suggests a much more fundamental source of and critically examine the ergonomic paradigm and the
organisational dynamics, linking in turn to a much more manner in which it may have to change. Strategically it
abstract idea of ‘environment’. The fact sociotechnical has been written that the discipline will be required to
systems of any kind are drawn or otherwise propelled work on more high-quality, high-impact systems prob-
into different regions of their phase spaces indicates lems (e.g. Dul et al. 2012) but this, in turn, requires that
that, like a ball rolling across a surface containing dips systems thinking remains at the forefront of ergonomics
Ergonomics 9
theory and practice. This does not mean a shift in the Disclosure statement
discipline’s overriding philosophical stance of pragma-
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.
tism. On the contrary, theoretical issues in ergonomics
science are the route along which the next generation of
methods and approaches will ultimately stem. The case References
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