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Executive summary 3
• Asset levels 4
• Performance 5-6
• Risk appetite 7-9
• New launches 10 - 15
Sources:
(1) Hedge Fund Research, Third Quarter 2010 Industry Report, Inc. © HFR, Inc. October 2010, www.hedgefundresearch.com.
(2) Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, July 19th 2010. Bank of America Merrill Lynch research is available at www.mlx.ml.com.
(3) Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, Quarterly Market Analysis, September 7th, 2010.
(4) Dataexplorers.com, October 13th, 2010.
(5) Absolute Return.com, July 1st, 2010.
(6) Hedge Fund Intelligence “UCITS hedge funds: boom time?” September 21st, 2010.
3
• In Q3 2010, the hedge fund industry’s assets were up 7.3% to $1.77 trillion from $1.65 trillion in Q2 2010 due to a combination
of performance-based gains and new capital inflows.
• The hedge fund industry saw the largest quarterly capital inflow since Q4 2007 : $19 billion in Q3 2010 bringing total YTD
inflows to $42.3 billion. In comparison 2008 and 2009 saw outflows of $154 billion and $131 billion respectively.
• 57% of managers saw inflows in Q3 2010, similar to Q2 2010. 75% of the net inflow (or $14.2 billion) was allocated to the
largest firms – those with assets under management above $5 billion.
• 74% of net asset flows in Q3 2010 were allocated to Relative Value and Macro strategies, attracting 37% each.
Industry net asset flows and industry assets (in US$ billion), 2005 – Q2 2010
$billion • Peak assets: $1.9 trillion in Q2 2008 $billion
$2,000 7.3% growth $250
Industry estimated assets
Asset levels
$0
-$200 ($200)
2005 2006 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010
Es tim ated As s ets Net As s et Flow
Source: Hedge Fund Research, Third Quarter 2010 Industry Report, Inc. © HFR, Inc. October 2010, www.hedgefundresearch.com. Please note that this source applies to all the data presented on this page.
Hedge funds started to recover in July from earlier losses in … and returned 3.61% for the month in September 2010*
Q2 2010*…
Bank of America Merrill Lynch Diversified Hedge Fund Composite Monthly HFRI Indices(2) Performances YTD as of the end of September 2010
Returns from July 2009 to September 2010
Multi-Strategy
Distressed/Restructuring
1.0%
Event-Driven
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Sep-09
Sep-10
Aug-09
Apr-10
Aug-10
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0%
• Estimated return for the Bank of America Merrill Lynch diversified • The HFRI weighted composite index was up 3.61% in September
hedge fund composite(1) is up 3.75% YTD at the end of September (5.17% YTD) with strong performance in Macro and Equity Hedge
2010*. Strategies**.
• Gains in July (1.55%) and September (2.54%) reversed losses • YTD 2010, the most profitable strategies are Multi-Strategy, Fixed
Performance
from earlier this year*. Income and Relative Value. Equity Market Neutral, Equity Hedge and
Macro are the least profitable strategies.
(1) The Diversified Hedge Fund composite is designed to represent the overall Hedge Fund universe and measure its performance by equal weighted average of all strategies.
(2) The HFRI Monthly Indices (HFRI) are equally weighted performance indices utilised globally as an industry benchmark.
(3) Bloomberg performance YTD as of October 1st, 2010 of S&P 500 Index.
Sources: * Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, October 11th, 2010.
** HFRI Monthly Indices performances, October 19th, 2010 numbers http://www.hedgefundresearch.com. 5
HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index – Percentage of constituent funds at high watermark (HWM), 2003 – Q3 2010*
100%
90%
70%
Watermarks
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 (1)
• 56.4% of hedge funds are at their respective HWM in the trailing twelve months(1)
in Q3 2010 vs. 54.4% in Q2 2010*.
• The chart above illustrates the percentage of funds at their HWM during each year. Calculations are based on the net asset value history of each
fund that reports to HFR*.
• 21% of funds need to produce a median return of 3% to return to their HWMs and earn performance fees for 2010**.
Performance
• According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch Research:
– Merger Arbitrage and CTA advisors are the strategies closest to their high watermarks as of July 2010***.
– In January 2010, most strategies were expected to still take 6 to 12 months to climb back to their HWM****.
(1) Trailing 12 months ending Q3 2010.
Sources: * Hedge Fund Research, Third Quarter 2010 Industry Report, Inc. © HFR, Inc. October 2010.
** “Half of funds may not get paid in 2010” AbsoluteReturn-alpha.com, October 2010. Note: Hedge funds often apply high watermarks for performance fee calculations: they calculate
*** Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, July 19th, 2010. performance fees based on increases in the net asset value (NAV) of the fund in excess of the highest
net asset value it has previously achieved. High watermarks are intended to limit excessive risk taking.
6
**** Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, January 19th, 2010.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
1. Industry overview
Risk appetite in Q2 2010* was more subdued following an increase in Q1 2010**.
Estimated hedge fund net holdings by quarter (2005 - 2010) Estimated hedge fund cash holdings by quarter (2005 - 2010)
Estimated
Net Exposure S&P 500 Index
S&P 500 Index Cash Levels
($bn)
35% 1,600
400 Estimated net exposure 1,600
1,500
350 1,500 30%
S&P 500
1,400
300 1,400 25%
Estimated HF cash 1,300
1,300
250 20% holdings have returned
1,200
1,200 to pre-crisis levels
200 15% 1,100
1,100
150 1,000
1,000 10%
100 900
900
5%
50 800
800
0% 700
0 700
Dec-05
Mar-06
Jun-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Jun-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
Jun-10
Sep-05
Sep-06
Sep-07
Sep-08
Sep-09
M ar-05
J un-05
D ec -05
M ar-06
J un-06
D ec -06
M ar-07
J un-07
D ec -07
M ar-08
J un-08
D ec -08
M ar-09
J un-09
D ec -09
M ar-10
J un-10
Sep-05
Sep-06
Sep-07
Sep-08
Sep-09
Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research, September 2010. Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research, September 2010.
Risk appetite
• Net exposure(1) fell by 14% to $174 billion or to the level of 33% net long by the end of Q2 2010**. Hedge fund gross exposure(2) fell by 12% to
$780 billion or to the level of 150% at the end of Q2 2010**.
• Cash holdings were estimated at 7.6% at the end of Q2 2010, below the historical average of 8-10% (peak was near 30% in Q4 2008)**.
• Market Neutral funds slightly increased equity exposure to above 50% long / 50% short benchmark*.
(1) Net exposure to the equity market is defined as long minus short as % of capital.
(2) Gross exposure is defined as long and short positions as % of capital. Estimates based on quarterly 13F filings and estimated short positions of the equity holdings of 817 funds.
Sources: * Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, October 11th, 2010.
** Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, Quarterly Market Analysis, September 7th,2010. 7
.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
1. Industry overview
De-leveraging in May and June followed a sharp correction in the equity
markets. Leverage began to increase again in July*.
NYSE margin debt vs. S&P 500 (January 2008 to August 2010)** Estimated hedge fund equity leverage(2) (2005 – 2010)*
400,000 1,600
Estimated hedge fund % long and short exposure by quarter
350,000 1,400
250.0%
300,000 1,200 HF leverage is back to
200.0% late 2008 levels
Margin Debt ($m)
250,000 1,000
150.0%
S&P 500
150,000 600 50.0%
0.0%
100,000 400
-50.0%
50,000 200
-100.0%
Jun-06
Jun-07
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Sep-05
Dec-05
Mar-06
Sep-06
Dec-06
Mar-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
0 0
May-08
Nov-08
May-09
Nov-09
May-10
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-08
Aug-09
Aug-10
Net Exp Long Exp Short Exp
(1) Margin debt refers to the amount market participants borrow on credit from their prime brokers. Increasing margin debt (2) Estimates are based on analyses of equity holdings and do not include derivatives.
shows an increased risk appetite and leverage.
• Hedge fund leverage, as measured by NYSE Margin Debt(1), is back to $230 billion but remains below the July 2007 peak of $381 billion*.
Risk appetite
• By contrast, margin debt levels were up 5.4% in March and 6.3% in April 2010 (which was back to September 2008 level), reaching $262 billion and
demonstrating increasing risk appetite in Q1***.
• Equity Long/Short funds reduced their market exposure to roughly 20% net long by the end of September 2010, well below the historical average range of
35-40% net long****.
• There is a risk that in a deeper correction margin calls can hit the equity market and force another wave of de-leveraging*.
Sources: * Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, Quarterly Market Analysis, September 7th, 2010.
** Bloomberg and NYSE data as of August 2010.
*** Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, June 7th, 2010. 8
**** Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, October 11th, 2010.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
1. Industry overview
Short interest levels are marginally higher in Europe than in the US but in both
regions they are at historically low levels*.
Breakdown of S&P 500 components by level of short Breakdown of EURO STOXX 600 components by level
interest, October 1st 2010* of short interest, October 1st 2010*
S&P 500: Short interest (borrowed Eurostoxx 600: Short interest (borrowed
Number of companies Number of companies
stock) as a % of total shares stock) as a % of total shares
• Hedge funds are the primary reason for the sharp increase in short interest levels in recent years. Our research estimates that they are now
responsible for 85% of total short positions in the US market**.
• In the US, the most common short level (as expressed by the borrowed stock as a percentage of total shares) on the S&P 500 was less than 1% as of
October 1st, 2010 which is the same level as in July and August 2010*.
• In Europe, the most common short level on the EURO STOXX 600 was between 1% and 2% as of October 1st 2010 vs. less than 1% in July and
August*.
• This remains below the 5% peak seen during the financial crisis in June 2008**.
Risk appetite
• The majority of top shorts in the US are cyclicals whilst in Europe they are split between cyclicals and defensives indicating mixed sentiment in the
market*.
in 1H 2010: -750
-1,000
• US funds account for the majority of the assets raised in 1.0
-1,250
1H 2010 with 55% of globally raised assets or $10.9 -1,500
billion**. -1,750 0.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q1 2010
New launches
• European funds account for 35% or $6.9 billion,
Launches
including UCITS III funds***.
Liquidations
• Asian funds represent 11% or $2.1 billion of new Ratio of new launches/liquidations
launches****.
Sources: * Hedge Fund Research, Second Quarter 2010 Industry Report, Inc. © HFR, Inc, July 2010, www.hedgefundresearch.com.
** Absolute Return as of July 1st, 2010.
*** EuroHedge First-Half New Fund Survey, July 22nd, 2010 and EuroHedge database as of July 2010. 10
**** AsiaHedge First-Half New Fund Survey, July 21st, 2010.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch
1. Industry overview
New US funds raised approximately $11 billion in assets in 1H 2010, more than
double the levels in 1H 2009. The number of new US funds(2) also doubled.
Top 10 US fund launches in 1H 2010 Launched assets by strategy
New launches
• As of July 2010, this year’s top ten new US hedge funds gathered a combined $8.1 billion or approximately 74% of all new US fund assets.
• Fund launches in the US amounted to $10.9 billion in June 2010, which is more than double that of the same period in 2009 but 27% less than the 1H
2007 peak.
• The number of new funds launched also doubled. At least 43 funds(2) launched in 1H 2010, up from 21 in 1H 2009, but significantly less than the 81
launches in 1H 2007.
(1) Including $3.4 billion of managed accounts.
(2) Funds with at least $25 million of assets under management.
(3) Estimated assets under management.
Source: Absolute Return as of July 1st, 2010. Please note that this source applies to all the data presented on this page.
11
Top 5 European fund launches in 1H 2010 European fund launches since 1H 2000
Total number of funds vs. AUM
Inception 200 18,000
Fund Name Strategy AUM ($m)
Date 180 16,000
Theleme Long/Short equity Jan-10 600 160 14,000
140
20 2,000
Total $2,135m
0 0
1H 1H 1H 1H 1H 1H 1H 1H 1H 1H 1H
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
• 58 European fund launches raised $3.8 billion in 1H 2010, an approximate 80% increase compared to the $2.1 billion raised in 1H 2009 by 47 funds, but this
remains much lower than the $15.5 billion raised in 1H 2007.
• As of July 2010, the top five new European hedge funds gathered a combined $2.1 billion, approximately 55% of the new European fund assets.
• Long / Short Equity, Macro and Multi-strategy were the most popular strategies in 1H 2010, representing respectively 43%, 16% and 15% of the assets
New launches
raised.
• The new fund activity in Europe is lagging that in the US and Asia given the lower confidence that investors currently have in the European outlook, partly as
a result of the volatility in Europe since the start of the year and the uncertainty surrounding the AIFM Directive.
• More than half of the new hedge funds in 1H 2010 were UK-based (or 75% in term of assets), followed by 14% for Swiss-based new launches.
(1) Estimated assets under management.
Source: EuroHedge First-Half New Fund Survey, July 22nd ,2010 and EuroHedge database as of July 2010. Please note that this source applies to all the data presented on this page. 12
Top 5 UCITS III launches in 1H 2010* New European UCITS III hedge fund strategy breakdown by
assets under management, in 1H 2010*
Fund Name Strategy Inception Date AUM ($m) Em erging
Convertible Markets Fixed Incom e
PF (Lux) Convertible Bond 1H 2010 1,013 2.4% 0.4%
Arbitrage Multi-Strategy
MW TOPS Global Alpha ETF Market Neutral Jan-10 369 4.1% Credit
Macro 0.4%
Long/Short
GLG Alpha Select UCITS Feb-10 325 4.7%
equity Long/Short
Long/Short Equity
PF (Lux) Corto Europe 1H 2010 282 Market Neutral
equity 38.7%
16.9%
Virtuoso Fund Macro 1H 2010 135
Total $2,124m
• According to Hedge Fund Intelligence, 146 UCITS III hedge funds managed
$30 billion at the end of 2009**.
• 39 new UCITS hedge funds raised $3.1 billion in 1H 2010. European Convertible
Long/Short Equity was the largest strategy in terms of AUM and accounted for Arbitrage
50% of the number of funds*. 32.4%
New launches
• The largest new UCITS fund was in Convertible Arbitrage, with the $1 billion PF Total assets: $3.1 billion. Number of funds: 39
Lux Convertible Bonds Fund launched by Jabre Capital and Pictet*.
• The top 5 new funds accounted for 68% of total assets with $2.1 billion raised*.
• The UK was the largest location by number of funds (54% of funds)*.
13
Number of Funds
Total $1,211m
New launches
• As of July 2010, the top ten new Asian hedge funds gathered a combined $1.2 billion, approximately 57% of new Asian fund assets.
• 53 Asian funds raised $2.1 billion in assets in 1H 2010 vs. $1.1 billion raised by 39 funds in 1H 2009. 60% of them are based in Hong Kong.
• The average size in 1H 2010 was $40 million in line with 1H 2009 average size but this includes only 7 funds above $100 million with most of the
launches in the $10 – 30 million range.
• More than 70% of the new launches are managing Long/Short Equity strategies.
Source: AsiaHedge First-Half New Fund Survey, July 21st, 2010. Please note that this source applies to all the data presented on this page. 14
Estimated Number of Funds Launched/Liquidated 1996 - Estimated Number of Funds: Hedge Funds vs. Fund of Funds
2,500 Q2 2010 9,000 1996- Q3 2010
2,000 8,000
1,500 7,000
1,000 6,000
Average:858
500 5,000
0 4,000
Average: -411 3,000
-500
-1,000 2,000
-1,500 1,000
-2,000 0
Q1 2010
Q2 2010
Q3 2010
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
1H 2010
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: Hedge Fund Research, Third Quarter 2010 Industry Report, Inc. © HFR, Inc. October 2010, www.hedgefundresearch.com. Please note that this source applies to all the data presented on this page. 15
• 5% of firms manage assets of $5 billion or above, representing 61% of total assets under management (AUM) or $1.08 trillion*, a slight increase from H1
2010**.
• 16% of firms manage assets of $1 billion or above, representing 87% of total AUM or $1.54 trillion, compared to $1.42 trillion in Q2 2010**.
• In Europe in terms of strategy, Managed Futures funds have overtaken European Long/Short Equity as the largest strategy group by assets. In contrast
Equity Long/Short is still the largest strategy in terms of assets on a global basis*. Long/Short Equity still has by far the largest market share by number
of funds in Europe and globally***.
5% of firms manage AUM of $5 billion or above*… … representing over 60% of total industry assets*
Distribution of industry assets by number of firms Distribution of industry assets by firm AUM size
$100 to $250
$1 to $5 > $5 Billion $250 to $500
<$100 Million Million
Billion 5.1% Million
1.6% 2.4%
11.4% 3.4%
$500M to $1
$500M to $1
Billion
Billion
5.3%
7.3%
<$100 Million
52.5% $1 to $5
Manager trends
$250 to $500 Billion
Million > $5 Billion 26.0%
9.2% 61.3%
$100 to $250
Million
14.5%
Sources: * Hedge Fund Research, Third Quarter 2010 Industry Reports, Inc, October 2010, www.hedgefundresearch.com.
** Hedge Fund Research, Second Quarter 2010 Industry Reports, Inc, June 2010, www.hedgefundresearch.com.
*** “Recovery in European hedge fund asset growth stalls in the first half” EuroHedge, September issue, 2010. 16
Top 15 US hedge fund managers* Top 15 European hedge fund managers** Top 15 Asian-Pacific (including Japan) hedge fund managers**
JPMorgan Highbridge (1) 41.1 38.21 7.03% Man Inv. 21.7 19.0 14.2% PMA Hong Kong 2.1 2.1 0.0%
Paulson & Co. 31.0 32.0 -3.1% BlueCrest 16.8 12.4 35.5% Penta Investment Japan 1.7 1.4 21.4%
Soros Fund Management 27.0 27.0 0.0% Blackrock2 16.1 5.9 172.9% Sansar Capital Singapore 1.7 1.6 6.3%
Och-Ziff Capital Management Lansdowne Partners 14.0 11.9 17.6% Artradis Fund Singapore 1.6 2.3 -30.4%
25.3 23.5 7.7%
Group
Winton 12.3 11.8 4.2% Horizon Asset Japan 1.6 1.6 0.0%
BlackRock 22.8 22.2 2.84%
GLG Partners3 10.4 9.0 15.6% Value Partners Hong Kong 1.6 1.2 33.3%
Angelo, Gordon & Co. 22.7 20.8 9.0%
Sloane Robinson 8.1 7.2 12.5% ADM Capital Hong Kong 1.6 1.7 -5.9%
Baupost Group 22.0 21.8 0.92%
Gartmore IM 7.7 5.2 48.1% Hillhouse Capital Singapore 1.6 1.5 6.7%
Farallon Capital Management 20.0 20.7 -3.4%
King Street Capital Management 19.3 19.0 1.6% Transtrend 7.6 8.1 -6.2% Aisling Analytics Singapore 1.5 1.3 15.4%
Goldman Sachs Asset Brummer & Partners 7.6 5.6 35.7% Boronia Australia 1.4 1.9 -26.3%
19.1 17.7 7.30%
Management
Avenue Capital Group 18.0 20.0 -10.0% The Children's Investment Fund 6.0 8.0 -25.5% Pacific Alliance Hong Kong 1.3 1.5 -13.3%
D.E. Shaw Group 17.8 23.6 -24.6% Spinnaker Capital 5.6 5.4 3.7% Rockhampton HK / Japan 1.1 1.1 0.0%
Elliott Management Corporation 16.9 16.0 5.6% Marshall Wace 4.9 3.5 40.0% West AM Australia 1.0 n.a n.a
Manager trends
Renaissance Technologies 15.0 15.0 0.0% Cheyne 4.6 4.5 2.2% Keywise Capital Hong Kong 1.0 n.a n.a
(1) JP Morgan includes JP Morgan Asset Management and Highbridge Capital Management with AUM of $24.64 billion and $16.46 billion respectively as of July 2010.
(2) Acquisition of Barclays Global Investors in 2009.
(3) Announcement of acquisition by Man in May 2010.
Source: * Hedge Fund Intelligence (HFI) Global Review 2010, September 2010, AbsoluteReturn-alpha.com
** Hedge Fund Intelligence (HFI) Global Review 2010, Spring 2010. 17
Manager trends
Amundi Funds Volatility World Equities (UCITS) 992 Luxembourg Exane Ceres Fund (UCITS) 598 Luxembourg
Jupiter Absolute Return Fund (UCITS) 970 UK BlueTrend (UCITS) 554 Luxembourg
1
Exane Archimedes Fund (UCITS) 960 Luxembourg Az Fund1 Active Selection (UCITS) 549 Luxembourg
Artemis Strategic Assets Fund (UCITS) 954 UK
1 AUM as of June 30th 2010, Hedge Fund Intelligence Database.
Sources: * EuroHedge “Recovery in European hedge fund asset growth stalls in the first half”, September 2010.
** Hedge Fund Intelligence “Hedge Funds using the UCITS wrapper top $50 billion” October 1st, 2010.
*** Hedge Fund Intelligence “UCITS hedge funds: boom time?” September 21st, 2010.
**** Hedge Fund Intelligence “142 more Hedge Fund Managers Considering a UCITS launch” September 21st, 2010. 18
Acquired Target
Acquirer Type Region Acquired Company Type Region Date of Announcement Scope of Acquisition
AUM
1 Goldman Sachs (Petershill) FoF US Shumway Capital Partners HF US 05 January 2010 $8 bn 8%
2 Gottex Fund Management FoF US Constellar FoF US 20 January 2010 $150 m 100%
3 Blackstone / GSO AM US Callidus IMF US 20 January 2010 $3.2 bn CLO & CDO portfolio
4 Affiliated Managers Group HF US Artemis IMF EU 01 February 2010 $16 bn Majority Stake
4 Affiliated Managers Group IMF US Pantheon Ventures FoF EU 10 February 2010 $22 bn 100%
5 Fortress Investment Group IMF US Logan Circle AM US 16 February 2010 $12 bn 100%
7 Standard Life Investments AM EU Aida Capital FoF EU 23 March 2010 Undisclosed 75.1% Definitions:
8 Goldman Sachs (Petershill) FoF US Level Global Investors HF US 02 April 2010 $4 bn Minority stake FoF = Funds of Funds
100 % of Managed accounts AM = Asset Manager
9 Sciens Capital Management AM US Partners Group AM EU 12 April 2010 Undisclosed
platform
HF = Hedge Fund
10 Skybridge Capital AM US Citi Alternative Investments FoF EU 14 April 2010 $4.2 bn 100%
11 F&C Asset Management AM EU Thames River Capital AM EU 28 April 2010 £4.2 bn 100%
HFMA = Hedge Fund
Managed Accounts
12 Carlyle Group PE US Stanfield Capital Partners AM US 29 April 2010 $5.1 bn CLO Portfolio
IMF = Investment
13 Man Group AM EU GLG Partners HF EU 17 May 2010 $24 bn 100% Management Firm
Martin Currie Investment Sofaer Capital’s European
14 AM EU HF EU 01 June 2010 $280 m 100%
Management Long/Short Equity business
16 Olympia Capital Management FoF EU Sal.Oppenheim France FoF EU 31 August 2010 Undisclosed FoF Division
17 Stenham Asset Management FoF SA Montier Partners FoF EU 06 September 2010 $400 m 100%
18 MCP Asset Management FoF Asia Asia unit of Sparx Group Co HF Asia 06 September 2010 Undisclosed 100%
Allianz Alternative Asset
19 Nexar Capital Group AM EU FoF EU 13 September 2010 $1.9 bn 100%
Management
20 Credit Suisse Asset Management AM EU York Capital Management HF EU 14 September 2010 $14 bn Minority stake
Manager trends
21 Moelis & Co IMF US Gracie Credit Opportunities Fund HF US 27 September 2010 $2 bn 100%
22 Royal Bank of Canada IMF CAN BlueBay Asset Management AM EU 18 October 2010 $40 bn 100%
Sources: 11 "F&C to acquire UK asset firm Thames River" Reuters.com, April 28th, 2010.
1 "Shumway Capital sells stake to Goldman Sachs’ Petershill fund", Bloomberg.com, January 5th, 2010. 12 Carlyle Website, Press Release, April 29th, 2010.
2 "Gottex takes over Constellar funds of funds" Hedge Funds Review, January 20th , 2010. 13 Man Group Website, Press release, May 17th, 2010.
3 Blackstone Website, Press Release, January 20th, 2010. 14 Martin Currie Website, Press Release, June 1st,2010.
4 AMG Website, Press Release, February 1st & 20th, 2010. 15 "Shroders acquires 49% stake in RWC", Investment Week.com, June 22nd, 2010.
5 "Fortress to Acquire Logan Circle Partners" Reuters.com, February 16th, 2010. 16 Olympia Capital Management, Press Release, August 31st, 2010.
6 "Religare to Acquire Majority Stake in Northgate Capital" RTTNews.com, February 23rd , 2010. 17 "Stenham Acquires Montier Partners", hedgeweek.com, September 6th, 2010.
7 Standard Life Investments Website, Press Release, March 23rd,2010. 18 Sparx Website, Press Release, September 6th , 2010.
8 "Goldman Sachs Buyout Firm Acquires Stake in Ganek's $4 Billion Hedge Fund" Bloomberg.com, April 2nd, 2010. 19 "Allianz exits hedge funds with asset sales to Nexar" Reuters.com September 13th, 2010.
9 "Sciens acquires managed account platform from Partners Group" Hedgeweek.com, April 22nd , 2010. 20 Credit Suisse Website, Press Release, September 14th, 2010. 19
10 Skybridge Website, Press Release, April 14th, 2010. 21 Moelis Website, Press Release, September 27th , 2010.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch 22 "BlueBay shares jump on £963m RBS deal", FT.com, October 18th , 2010.
2. Industry trends
Funds of funds experienced asset growth of 5.3% in Q3 2010.
• In Q3 2010, the HFRI funds of funds index was up 3.25% vs. -1.0% in Q2 2010.
• As of Q3 2010, funds of funds assets stand at $602 billion, up 6.7% from $564 billion in Q2 2010 according to HFR.
• Fund of funds assets are still 25% less than at the peak of $799 billion in 2007.
• Funds of funds assets are up 5.3% YTD 2010. If this trend continues 2010 will represent the first year of growth for fund of funds
since 2007.
• Only 33% of funds of funds experienced inflows in Q3 2010 compared to 57% of managers. Net inflows were $256 million.
Funds of hedge funds net asset flows and assets (in US$ billion), 2004 – Q3 2010.
Funds of Funds Assets ($Billion) Decrease in funds of hedge funds assets
• Peak: $799 billion in 2007.
800 • Since peak in 2007: -25%
• Trough: $526 billion in Q1 2009.
700 • In 2009: - 4%
600
500
400
300
200
Investor trends
100
0
-100
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010
Source: Hedge Fund Research, Third Quarter 2010 Industry Report, Inc. © HFR, Inc. October 2010, www.hedgefundresearch.com. Please note that this source applies to all the data presented on this page.
20
The 10 largest funds of hedge funds control over a third of Billion Dollar Club assets evolution since 2002
industry assets
Investor trends
$200
8 GAM Multi-Manager(3) 17.00 16.10 0.9 5.59% 20
9 BlackRock Alternative Advisors 16.80 16.20 0.6 3.70% $0 0
10 Pacific Alternative Asset Management Co. 16.60 16.30 0.3 1.84%
Jun-02
Dec-02
Jun-03
Dec-03
Jun-04
Dec-04
Jun-05
Dec-05
Jun-06
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Global Top 10 Funds of Hedge Funds 210.25 203.81 6.43 -
(1) The Billion Dollar Club refers to the firms with more than $1 billion under management.
(2) Total alternative assets including custody $33.211bn.
(3) As of March 31st 2010.
Source: Hedge Fund Intelligence, Global Review 2010, September 2nd, 2010 (data as of June 2010)– N.B. The InvestHedge Billion Dollar Club List is published every 6 months. Please note that this source applies to all the
data presented on this page.
21
Please note that the data from Hedge Fund Intelligence differ from those reported by Hedge Fund Research used in previous pages.
Overview of Seeding Activity in the Hedge Fund Industry, 2009 - October 2010
Seeder Region Sources Fund being invested in Region Date of Announcement Size of Seeding Fund Focus
Cyan Management Group US 1 Warwick Capital Partners EU May-10 $100 m European Distressed & Special Situations Credit Fund
2 West Spring Advisors US Jul-09 $60 m Credit
3 JD Capital Management US Aug-09 N/A Volatility Trading
FRM EU 4 Isometric Capital Management ASIA/PAC Oct-09 N/A Asian Equities Fund
5 Varna Capital US Jul-10 N/A Long / Short Equity
6 Sensato US Oct-10 $50 m Long / Short Equity focused on Asia-Pacific
7 FrontPoint Direct Lending US Feb-10 N/A Direct Lending Strategy
8 FrontPoint Event Driven US Feb-10 N/A Event-driven and Special Situations
Front Point US 9 FrontPoint Australia Long/Short ASIA/PAC Mar-10 N/A Australia Long/Short Equity
10 FrontPoint Global Statistical Arbitrage US N/A N/A Global Statistical Arbitrage
11 Emerging Market Macro US N/A N/A Emerging Market Macro Fund
12 Branta Solutions EU Jun-09 €25 m Long / Short Sustainable Investing
13 Callanish Global Macro Fund EU Apr-10 €25 m Global Macro Systematic
IMQ (APG) EU 14 Cavenagh Asia Fund EU May-10 €25 m Asian Interest Rates/Currencies
15 mCapital EU May-10 €25 m Asian/EU Multi-Strategy
16 Boston and Alexander convertible arbitrage fund EU Jul-10 €25 m Convertible Arbitrage Fund
17 Stonerise Capital Partners Master Fund US Jan-09 $100 m Equity Fund
Larch Lane/PineBridge Investments US 18 Crystal Japan Fund US Aug-09 $75 m Commodities Fund
19 Sothic Capital European Opportunities Master Fund EU Sep-09 $75 m European Distressed-Companies Fund
MAN (RMF) EU 20 5:15 Capital Management US Jul-09 $50 m Global Fixed Income Arbitrage with Macro Overlay
21 Melchior European EU May-09 $30 m Long / Short European Equity Fund
NewAlpha Asset Management EU 22 Armored Wolf US Jan-10 $40 m Global Macro
23 G Capital Master Fund US Jun-10 N/A Global Macro
24 Bayswater Asset Management US Jul-09 N/A Global Macro
25 Broadmark Asset Management US Aug-09 N/A Tactical Long / Short Equity
Revere Capital Advisors US
26 Quest Partners US Oct-10 N/A Systematic CTA
27 Dickson Capital Management EU N/A N/A Long / Short Equity focused on Western Europe
28 Union Avenue Advisors US Mar-09 N/A Emerging Markets
Investor trends
SkyBridge Capital US 29 WyeTree Asset Management EU May-09 $50 m Distressed Mortgage Fund
30 Viathon Capital US Jul-10 N/A Credit Opportunities Fund
Blackstone US 31 Taylorwoods Capital Management EU Sep-10 $150 m Commodities Fund
Sources:
(1) 'Ex-Polygon credit heads eye $100m launch', FinancialNews.com, May 21st 2010.
(2,3) 'FRM Capital makes strategic investments in JD Capital Management and WestSpring Advisors' hedgetracker.com, August 17th 2009. (21) 'NewAlpha backs Melchior European for $30 million' hedgefundintelligence.com, May 6th 2009
(4) ‘FRM Capital Seeds its First Asian Focused Hedge Fund', PRNewswire.com, October 5th 2009. (22) ‘NewAlpha AM seeds Armored Wolf Alpha Fund’ Thehedgefundjournal.com, January 13th 2010.
(5) 'FRM Capital Advisors enters relationship with Varna Capital', Hedgeweek.com, July 28th 2010. (23) 'NewAlpha invests in G Capital Fund', thehedgefundjournal.com, June 3rd 2010.
(6) ‘FRM Capital seeds Asia-focused hedge fund Sensato’ FinAlternatives.com, October 27th 2010. (24-27) Revereglobal.com
(7-11) 'FrontPoint grabs Rockbay event-driven execs for multistrat buildup' Hedgefundintelligence.com, February 25th 2010. (28) Skybridge.com, March 13th 2009.
(12-15)'Standing shoulder to shoulder', HFMWeek.com, June 23rd 2010. (29) 'Skybridge invests in manager Wyetree', Reuters.com, May 11th 2009.
(16) 'IMQubator completes sixth seed deal', HFMWeek.com, July 7th 2010. (30) 'SkyBridge invests in Viathon Capital's Whitewater Fund', Hedgeweek.com, July 13th 2010.
(17-19) 'InfoVest21 Seeding Activity', infovest21.org, July 8th 2010. (31) 'Credit Suisse Commodities Unit Bolts’, Wall Street Journal, September 24th 2010, AbsoluteReturn alpha.com.
(20) 'Man Group seeds 5:15 Capital Management fund', HFMWeek.com, July 22nd 2009. .
22
• Institutional investors are expected to increase their allocation to alternative investments from 14% in 2009 to 19% over the next two to three years. Their allocation to
hedge funds is expected to increase to 5.7% by 2012 from 4.2% in 2009*.
• The Hedge Fund Generals, a cloning strategy from BofAML’s research combining the most concentrated and popular stocks among hedge funds, outperformed the
broader market by 1.5% in 2010 and has gained 99% since the March 2009 lows (as of the end of August 2010)**.
– The strategy has outperformed the S&P 500 index by 82bp per month/247bp per quarter between September 2003 and August 2010**.
– In 2009, the index outperformed the S&P 500 by 46% while delivering a higher return to volatility ratio***.
The HF Generals rallied by 99% since March 2009 lows, The BofAML Diversified HF composite delivered a higher
outperforming the market by 1.5% in 2010** return than the S&P 500 in 1H 2010***
Daily Chart of the HF Generals vs. the S&P 500 (June 2008 – September 2010)** Return/volatility ratio - comparison by strategy (1H 2010)***
•Heavy sell-off by
hedge funds in late YTD Returns Convertible
September 2008 A rbitrage Distressed
6%
following the Lehman Diversif ied HF
Credit
collapse Dedicated 4%
Composite
Short Bias 2%
Macro
Event Driven
•Late October 2009 0%
sell-off Managed Merger
-2%
Futures Equity Equity Market A rbitrage
-4% Long/Short Neutral
•Outperforming the -6%
S&P 500 by ~65%
Investor trends
-8% S&P 500
between late
November 2008 and -10%
June 2009 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00
Sources: * Russell Investments, “2010 Global Survey on Alternative Investing” June 2010.
** Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, Quarterly Market Analysis, September 7th, 2010.
*** Bank of America Merrill Lynch Hedge Fund Monitor, Quarterly Market Analysis, June 23rd, 2010.
23
• Global pension assets reached $23 trillion in 2009, up 15% Distribution of alternative assets managed by the Top 100
from end of 2008, due to the good market performance in alternative investment managers on behalf of pension funds***
2009 and the high exposure of pension funds to equities***.
Commodities
Infrastructure $20bn
• Exposure to alternative assets(1) continues to grow, reflecting $99bn 2%
pension funds’ growing appetite for diversification***. 12%
Investor trends
Total alternative assets: $817 billion
(1) Alternative assets are defined by hedge funds, property, private equity, commodities and other assets outside of Equities, Bonds and Cash in the Towers Watson Study.
(2) Only the indirect hedge fund investments were considered via funds of hedge funds. Any direct investments into hedge funds are excluded.
Sources: * The Bank of New York Mellon and Casey Quirk Analysis 2009: The Hedge Fund of Tomorrow: Building an Enduring Firm, April 2009.
** Towers Watson, 2010 Global Alternatives Survey, June 2010.
*** Towers Watson, 2010 Global Pension Asset Study, January 2010.
24
• In 2009, North America accounted for 53% or $433 billion of the pension Top 15 largest investments from US Pension Funds with defined benefits assets in
hedge funds - assets in $ millions **
fund assets in alternatives for the top 100 alternative managers,
Funds
followed by Europe and Asia*. Total of HF Direct
Rank Fund City Assets of
Investments Investments
Funds
• The 15 largest investments in hedge funds from US pension funds(1) are Pennsylvania
1 Harrisburg $25,594 $5,845 $165 $5,680
estimated at $47 billion or 5% of their assets, with 67% as direct Employees
investments as of September 2009**. California Public
2 Sacramento $198,765 $5,598 $4,241 $1,357
Employees
Massachusetts
• 61 US pension funds(1) reported investments in hedge funds, amounting 3
PRIM
Boston $41,757 $4,540 - $4,540
to $72 billion or 2% of their assets, with 61% as direct investments**. Pennsylvania
4 Harrisburg $45,740 $3,476 $3,476 -
School Employees
5 Texas Teachers Austin $91,358 $3,469 $3,469 -
Distribution by region of alternative assets managed by the
Top 100 alternative managers on behalf of pension funds* 6 Virginia Retirement Richmond $48,203 $3,386 $3,386 -
Other
7 Boeing Chicago $71,135 $3,037 $2,078 $959
A sia Pacif ic 5%
8% 8 New Jersey Trenton $68,698 $2,965 $2,965 -
Investor trends
13 Verizon Basking Ridge $46,547 $2,062 $1,047 $1,015
Investor trends
Europe(1) UK Europe(1) UK Europe(1) UK Europe(1) UK Funds SA 145
Perpetual 111
Hedge Funds Hedge Fund of Funds United Funds Management 101
% Schemes with an Allocation Average Allocations to Asset Class % Suncorp Investment Management 83
(1) Excluding UK
Sources: * Mercer, Asset allocation survey and market profiles, European institutional market place overview 2010, April 2010. The survey covered over 1,000 plans from 11 countries, with total assets of over €500 billion.
** AIMA Australia/University of NSW Hedge Fund survey, May 2010.
*** South Korean - NPS, JoongAng Daily, July 22nd 2010.
**** Rainmaker - Australian Data, March 2010.
26
Americas
Justin Fredericks (Head of US) +1 646 855 0233 justin.fredericks@baml.com
Elizabeth Hammond +1 646 855 5226 elizabeth.hammond@baml.com
Margaret Lucas +1 646 855 0695 margaret.lucas@baml.com
Kevin Lynch +1 646 855 1707 kevin.lynch@baml.com
Liana Ryan +1 646 855 1833 l.ryan@baml.com
Marissa Solomon +1 646 855 4431 marissa.solomon@baml.com
Europe
Mairead Kenny (Head of Europe) +44 20 7996 8703 mairead.kenny@baml.com
Natalie Benjamin-Pinel +44 20 7995 3824 natalie.benjamin-pinel@baml.com
Vanessa Bogaardt +44 20 7995 8676 vanessa.bogaardt@baml.com
Iulia Buinevici +44 20 7995 6313 iulia.buinevici@baml.com
Alice Kennon +44 20 7995 3402 alice.kennon@baml.com
Jess Larsen +44 20 7995 0661 jess.larsen@baml.com
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