Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Introduction
Venezuela is located in Northern South America, bordering Colombia and Guyana. Its
capital, Caracas, is located in the northwest portion of the country, with a population of
around 3 million.
Tragically, Venezuela is suffering the worst economic crisis in its history. The country’s
inflation rate as of April 2019 stood at a staggering 282,972.80%, the highest in the
world. This has caused the prices of basic commodities such as food and medicine to
skyrocket. Therefore, constant food shortages, unemployment, violence, and lack of
access to basic necessities are widespread throughout the nation. In fact, according to
the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), there were 3.7 million undernourished
citizens in Venezuela between 2015 and 2017.
To escape the economic hardship in the country, more than 4 million Venezuelans or
have fled the country to seek asylum in neighboring countries. According to data
provided by the UN Higher Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) and the International
Organization for Migration, about 5,500 citizens left Venezuela on a daily basis in 2018.
Definition of Key Terms
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the
total value of goods and services produced
and provided within an economy in one year.
As of August 2019, Venezuela’s GDP growth
rate is reported to be around -19%.
When Chavez was re-elected in 2006, he sought to nationalise valuable state assets
such as the electricity, oil, and banking sectors. He implemented certain questionable
economic policies which proved to be detrimental to the nation’s manufacturing sector,
particularly the food production industry. Examples of such include the overvaluation of
exchange rates, overregulation of the private sector, and strict price controls.
Consequently, Venezuela’s agricultural gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by an
average of 4.7% annually.
As the global price of oil soared in the 2000s, Venezuela became increasingly reliant on
the export revenues from the sale of oil; in fact, in 2012, oil accounted for 95% of the
country’s exports. However, in 2013, Chavez’ health declined and he died of cancer in
the same year. He was succeeded by Nicolas Maduro, who rose to power as oil prices
plummeted around the world. Consequently, the Venezuelan government was suddenly
experiencing an economic crisis and a growing national debt as it struggled to continue
subsidizing the import of food, medicine, and other basic necessities which the nation
relied on. This resulted in Venezuela’s government debt to skyrocket and equate to as
much as 72.3% of its national GDP in 2013. Today, Venezuela’s total stock of foreign
debt stands at about US$160 billion, and it continues to rise.
Maduro is accused to have taken very little effective action towards resolving this
economic crisis; instead, he is worsening the situation by choosing to print more money
as a response to the lack of public finances, fueling inflation. Furthermore, the president
is said to have depleted Venezuela’s gold reserves in order to pay off foreign debt and
import basic necessities such as food. Maduro also allegedly uses violent and unjust
tactics such as arbitrary detentions, torture, and the ban of foreign humanitarian aid in
order to deter protestors and political opponents. According to the UN, 5,287
Venezuelans were killed during security operations in 2018 alone. Moreover, Maduro
also appears to turn a blind eye to the black markets, police brutality, gang violence,
and outbreaks of disease that plague the country’s starving population.
Colombia
Colombia has been the most active South American country towards the emigration
crisis in Venezuela. As of August 2019, it has hosted a staggering 1.4 million
Venezuelan immigrants. This mass immigration has resulted in a strain on Colombian
social services and government finances; the World Bank estimates that Colombia will
need to invest more than US$900 million to meet the welfare needs of all Venezuelan
migrants. As a result, recent polls reveal that a majority of Colombians are in favour of
tightening entry requirements and welfare benefits towards Venezuelan
asylum-seekers.
Cuba
Since the beginning of the 21st century, Cuba and Venezuela have maintained close
economic and political ties with one another. Former Venezuelan president Hugo
Chavez deeply admired Fidel Castro’s socialist economic policies, particularly those
regarding currency manipulation and the nationalisation of key industries. This proved to
be catastrophic to Venezuela in the long run, as it led to the insufficient domestic
production of essential goods and thus an overreliance on foreign imports. Cuba
constantly supplies Venezuela with specialist military advisors, doctors, and teachers in
exchange for a steady flow of Venezuelan oil. Therefore, the collapse of Venezuela’s
state-owned oil industry has caused Cuba to lose nearly two-thirds of its source of
power and production.
Tensions between the US and Venezuela have risen since Chavez’ rise to power in
1999; this is largely due to the US’ alleged interference in Venezuela’s internal political
affairs. This tension was sparked when Chavez accused the Bush administration of
supporting a failed coup attempt against his socialist government.
Tensions rose even further during the Obama administration which declared Venezuela
as a national security threat and imposed sanctions against seven Venezuelan officials
for alleged corruption and violation of human rights. Maduro dismissed these sanctions
as mere attempts to destabilize and dissolve his socialist government.
Since Donald Trump’s election in 2016, his administration has imposed sanctions on an
additional 82 Venezuelan officials, which includes President Maduro himself. President
Trump also imposed further sanctions in 2019 by freezing all property and interests of
the Maduro administration in the US and prohibiting any US citizen from engaging in
transactions with the said government.
Timeline of Events
Past Solutions
Cryptocurrency
On February 2018, the Venezuela launched the petromoneda (or simply, the Petro), a
new virtual currency backed by its mineral and crude oil reserves. Its purpose was to
supplement the failing bolivar fuerte currency to provide a stable currency for the
exchange of goods and services. Unfortunately, the petro has received mostly negative
responses from various stakeholders. Firstly, many cryptocurrency rating organizations
such as ICOindex and Cryptorated have described the petro as a “scam”. Secondly,
several economists have stated that the petro is likely to lead to further hyperinflation
due to the strict government controls. Last but not least, the US has also claimed that
the new digital currency was designed in order to obfuscate US sanctions and access
international finances.
Possible Solutions
UN-supervised elections
Delegates can recommend hosting UN-supervised presidential elections wherein
democracy and transparency within electoral procedures are practiced in full. This
ensures that the opposition is given a fair and equal chance at winning against Maduro.
Government transparency
Since the beginning of the crisis, the Venezuelan government has been inconsistent in
publishing data regarding the state of its economy and the health of its citizens.
Delegates can urge transparency from the Venezuelan government by publishing
statistics on health indicators such as infant mortality rate, or economic indicators such
as inflation rates.
Delegates can also promote the creation of independent bodies to evaluate civil
servants to ensure that civil servants objectively perform their duties without any
negative predisposition towards any individuals or groups, especially those with different
political views.
Bibliography
- Congressional Research Service. Venezuela: Overview of U.S. Sanctions .
Congressional Research Service , 2019, pp. 1–2, Venezuela: Overview of U.S.
Sanctions .https://fas.org/sgp/crs/row/IF10715.pdf
- Hermoso, Jesús, and María Victoria Fermín. “The Venezuela-China Relationship,
Explained: Part 1 of 4.” SupChina, 23 May 2019,
www.supchina.com/2019/01/07/venezuela-china-explained/ .
- Keaten, Jamey, and Scott Smith. “5,287 People Killed during Venezuela Security
Operations in 2018, UN Reports.” PBS, Public Broadcasting Service, 4 July
2019,
www.pbs.org/newshour/world/5287-people-killed-during-venezuela-security-oper
ations-in-2018-un-reports.
- Kennedy, Merrit. “U.N. Says More Than 4 Million People Have Left Venezuela.”
NPR, NPR, 7 June 2019,
www.npr.org/2019/06/07/730687807/u-n-says-more-than-4-million-people-have-l
eft-venezuela.
- Kurmanaev, Anatoly, and Jenny Carolina González. “Colombia Offers Citizenship
to 24,000 Children of Venezuelan Refugees.” The New York Times, The New
York Times, 5 Aug. 2019,
www.nytimes.com/2019/08/05/world/americas/colombia-citizenship-venezuelans.
html.
- Nawaz, Amna, and Mike Fritz. “For Venezuelans Fleeing Chaos at Home, Brazil
Offers Temporary Refuge -- and Uncertainty.” PBS, Public Broadcasting Service,
16 July 2019,
www.pbs.org/newshour/show/for-venezuelans-fleeing-chaos-at-home-brazil-offer
s-temporary-refuge-and-uncertainty.
- Rupa, Shenoy. “Brazil Resettles Venezuelan Refugees - with US Help.” Public
Radio International, 15 July 2019,
www.pri.org/stories/2019-07-15/brazil-resettles-venezuelan-refugees-us-help.
- Sintia , Radu. “If Venezuela Falls, So Does Cuba, Experts Say.” U.S. News &
World Report, U.S. News & World Report, 11 July 2019,
www.usnews.com/news/best-countries/articles/2019-07-11/cubas-dependency-o
n-venezuela-makes-it-vulnerable-to-economic-turmoil.
- UNHCR. “Venezuela Situation.” UNHCR, 2019,
www.unhcr.org/venezuela-emergency.html.
- Venezuela Investigative Unit. “Controversy Continues over Venezuela's New
Security Operation.” InSight Crime, 18 Oct. 2017,
www.insightcrime.org/news/analysis/controversy-continues-over-venezuela-s-ne
w-security-operation/.