ASCOPE/PMESII

P M E S I I
Political Military Economic Social Information Infrastructure
A Areas - Political (District Areas - Military Areas - Economic Areas - Social Areas –Information Areas – Infrastructure
Boundary, Party (Coalition / LN bases, (bazaars, shops, (parks and other (Radio/TV/newspape (Irrigation networks,
affiliation areas) historic ambush/IED markets) meeting areas) rs /where people water tables, medical
Areas sites) gather for word-of- coverage)
mouth)

S Structures - Political Structures - Military / Structures - Structures - Social Structures - Structures -

(town halls, Police (police HQ, Economic (banks, (Churches, Information (Cell / Infrastructure (roads,
Structures government offices) Military HHQ locations) markets, storage restaurants, bars, Radio / TV towers, bridges, power lines,
facilities) etc.) print shops) walls, dams)
C Capabilities - Political Capabilities - Military Capabilities - Capabilities - Social Capabilities - Info Capabilities -
(Dispute resolution, (security posture, Economic (access (Strength of local & (Literacy rate, Infrastructure (Ability to
Capabilities Insurgent capabilities) strengths and to banks, ability to national ties) availability of media / build / maintain roads,
weaknesses) withstand natural phone service) walls, dams)
disasters)

O Organizations - Political Organizations - Military Organizations - Organizations - Organizations - Info Organizations -

(Political parties and (What units of military, Economic (Banks, Social (tribes, clans, (NEWS groups, Infrastructure
Organization other power brokers, police, insurgent are large land holders, families, youth influential people (Government ministries,
s UN,) present) big businesses) groups, NGOs / who pass word) construction
IGOs) companies)

P People - Political People - Military People - Economic People - Social People - Info (Media People - Infrastructure
(Governors, councils, (Leaders from coalition, (Bankers, (Religious leaders, owners, mullahs, Builders, contractors,
People elders) LN and insurgent landholders, influential families heads of powerful development councils)
forces) merchants) families)
E Events - Political Events - Military Events - Economic Events - Social Events - Info (IO Events - Infrastructure
(elections, council (lethal/nonlethal (drought, harvest, (holidays, campaigns, project (road / bridge
Events meetings) events, loss of business weddings, religious openings, CIVCAS construction, well
leadership, operations, open/close) days) events) digging, scheduled
anniversaries) maintenance)
 P M E S I I

Political Military/Police Economic Social Infrastructure Information

A
Areas

S
Structures

C
Capabilities

O
Organizations

P
People

E
Events
Civil Environment Factors and Relevance
Civil Considerations Operational Variables Factors Relevance
What are the factors in the Civil How will each factor affect the
Environment that will significantly friendly forces?
affect friendly forces (positively
and negatively)?
Political

Military

Economic
AREAS
Social

Information

Infrastructure
Civil Environment Factors and Relevance
Civil Considerations Operational Variables Factors Relevance
What are the factors in the Civil How will each factor affect the
Environment that will significantly friendly forces?
affect friendly forces (positively
and negatively)?
Political

Military

Economic
STRUCTURES
Social

Information

Infrastructure
Civil Environment Factors and Relevance
Civil Considerations Operational Variables Factors Relevance
What are the factors in the Civil How will each factor affect the
Environment that will significantly friendly forces?
affect friendly forces (positively
and negatively)?
Political

Military

Economic
CAPABILITIES
Social

Information

Infrastructure
Civil Environment Factors and Relevance
Civil Considerations Operational Variables Factors Relevance
What are the factors in the Civil How will each factor affect the
Environment that will significantly friendly forces?
affect friendly forces (positively
and negatively)?
Political

Military

Economic
ORGANIZATIONS
Social

Information

Infrastructure
Civil Environment Factors and Relevance
Civil Considerations Operational Variables Factors Relevance
What are the factors in the Civil How will each factor affect the
Environment that will significantly friendly forces?
affect friendly forces (positively
and negatively)?
Political

Military

Economic
PEOPLE
Social

Information

Infrastructure
Civil Environment Factors and Relevance
Civil Considerations Operational Variables Factors Relevance
What are the factors in the Civil How will each factor affect the
Environment that will significantly friendly forces?
affect friendly forces (positively
and negatively)?
Political

Military

Economic
EVENTS
Social

Information

Infrastructure
 Key Influences
Key Influences Motivations and Goals Abilities, Capabilities, Means Potential Impact on Friendly Ops / Objectives
 Operational Culture Matrix
How do people in the What are the economic What is the way people How do people in the How do cultural beliefs
culture use the exchange systems and organize themselves and culture determine shape people’s
environment? the formal and informal distribute power and authority and behavior?
economies that the status? leadership?
culture uses?
(Physical
Environment) (Economy) (Social Structure) (Political Structure) (Belief Systems)

Cultural Factors Affecting MAGTF Operations

 (In)Stability Factors
Grievances:
What are the core grievances and societal
vulnerabilities identified in your civil
considerations (From perception data)?
Resiliencies:
What processes, relationships, or institutions
enable the society to function normally and
peacefully? Are there any previous resiliencies
that have been or are being undermined (From
perception data)?
Events:
Potential situations that could contribute to an increase
in instability (From ASCOPE/PMESII)?
Events:
What potential or anticipated future situations could
create an opening for key influences to further
reinforce stability (From ASCOPE/PMESII)?
Key influences - Means and
Motivations:
What are the influencers, the means and
motivations that contribute to an increase of
instability (From ASCOPE/PMESII)?
Key influences: Means and
Motivations:
What key influences in the society preserve and
strengthen stability? What means do they possess,
what are the motives, and what actions are taken
(From ASCOPE/PMESII)?
 Source of Instability Analysis Matrix

Instability Criteria SOI? Prioritization

Potential Sources Is the SOI a

Does this issue Does this issue disrupt Does the issue
of Instability Does this issue increase Priority
decrease support for the normal meet any
support for malign Grievance for
the Govt / legit functioning of Instability
actors? Explain. the local
governance? Explain. society? Explain. criteria?
populace?

For those issues

If the issue
that are SOIs,
Drawing from the If yes, explain how the meets
prioritize them
CPB, list all potential SOI decreases If yes, explain how the instability
If yes, explain how the based on
potential Sources support for the potential SOI disrupts criteria, it may
potential SOI increases whether the SOI
of Instability government / the normal functioning be considered a
support for malign actors is also a priority
(SOIs) legitimate governance of society Source of
grievance for the
institutions Instability
populace
 Source of Stability (Resiliencies) Analysis Matrix

Impact to
Stability Criteria SOS
mission

Potential Sources Does this issue

Does this increase Does the issue
of Stability Does this issue decrease increase societal and Do we need to
support for the Govt / meet any
support for malign institutional capacity support this
legit governance? Stability
actors? Explain. and capabilities? SOS?
Explain. criteria?
Explain.

Determine
If yes, explain how the If yes, explain how the If the issue whether the SOS
Drawing from the
potential SOS increases If yes, explain how the potential SOS increase meets Stability is needed for
CPB, list all
support for the potential SOS decreases societal and criteria, it is mission success
potential Sources
government / support for malign actors institutional capacity considered a and/or whether
of Stability (SOS)
legitimate governance and capabilities Resiliency we need to
institutions reinforce it
 Activity Design Worksheet
Stability Criteria Design Principles Resources Select

Is Activity Realistic or should

Culturally & Politically Appropriate
Leverage Support from other Org.
Short-term vs. Long Term Results

Accountability & Transparency

Leverage Existing Resiliencies

Does the Does the
Does the activity
Identify Possible Activities activity activity

Local Ownership

it be done?
increase

Sustainability

Personnel
increase decrease

Expertise
Flexibility
Money
institutional and

Time
(Insert SOI /SOS Objective support for support for
societal capacity
here) government / malign
and capability?
governance? actors?
Explain.
Explain. Explain.

Based on the
Explain how the
stability criteria,
ID potential activities that activity will
Explain how Explain how the design
contribute to achieving SOI / increase support
the activity will activity will increase Refine the proposed activity Determine principles &
SOS objective. Input each for the
decrease institutional and to make it meet as many resource resource
activity separately in this government
support for societal capacity Design Principles as possible. requirements. availability,
column and proceed across and/or legitimate
malign actors. and capability. should the
each row to ascertain viability. governance
activity be
institutions.
implemented.
 Tactical Stability Matrix
Analysis Design
Source of Causes Causes MOE MOE Data MOP MOP Data
Objective Activities
Instability (Perception) (Systemic) Indicators Sources Indicators Sources
 Monitoring & Evaluation Matrix
Measure of Performance Measure of Effect
SOI Activity MOE Objective
MOP Indicator Status Baseline Change
Indicator

Baseline
Output Impact
Data for
Indicators Indicators Change in
Taken from Taken from Status of Impact Taken from
related to related to Baseline
the TSM the TSM selected Indicator the TSM
selected selected Data
activity identified
activity on the activity on
on the TSM
TSM the TSM
Stable Civil Environment Narrative

Describe Stable Civil Environment: Describe Civil/Social Norms:

Processes, relationships, and institutions that keep a Customs and Practices often reflect deeper aspects of
society stable. the culture. It is the lens which people perceive the
world.

example: example:
• Legitimate judicial system • Family/Tribal affiliation
• Political persuasions • Greetings
• Livelihood • Concept of time
• Acceptable violence levels • Historical / Mythical Events
• Acceptable corruption levels • Gift/taboos Honor
• “Normal” civil activities
• “Abnormal” civil activities