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Department of Education
MIMAROPA Region
DIVISION OF OCCIDENTAL MINDORO
B. Performance Standards The learner is able to use precise counting technique and probability in
formulating conclusions and making decisions.
II – CONTENT
Statistics and Probability
III – LEARNING RESOURCES
A. References: The following are the references and resources used to craft the lesson and to
muster examples and problems of the said topic:
Gonzales, Jacobo and Nocon, Rizaldy. (2015). Essential Statistics: 2015
Edition.
Alferez, M. S., Duro, M. C. A., (2006). MSA Statistics and Probability.
Belecina, Rene R., Baccay, Elisa S., Mateo, Efren B., (2016). Statistics
and Probability.
B. Other Learning Resources The following links are suggested for additional references and for further
studies:
a. http://mathworld.wolfram.com
b. http://www.khanacademy.org/math
IV – PROCEDURES
A. Review of previous lesson The teacher will secure the following preliminary activities before the start of
(Preparatory Activity) the class:
Prayer (will ask a student to lead the class in prayer)
Checking of attendance
Classroom Management (picking up pieces of papers, arrangement
of chairs and cleaning of the board)
DRILLS:
B. Establishing a purpose for the The students will prepare a ¼ sheet of paper with numbers 1 to 10. The
lesson/ presenting the new lesson teacher will show a flash card in which a particular probability situation to
solve. They are to compute for its probability in 10 seconds. After which,
another flash card will be shown up until the tenth flash card. They are allowed
to utilize calculators in solving. From then, another 10 seconds will be given to
finalize their work. The class will then check the work of their classmates, and
have one minute to discuss items they find hard. The scenario says, “In drawing
one (1) card from a standard deck of 52 cards, what is the probability of
getting…”
C. Presenting examples/ instances of This time, what if we are asked to get the probability of two events such that
the new lesson we are looking for the probability of “a face card” OR “a 5 of black” how can
we find for its probability?
P(a face card OR a 5 of black) = ?
We need to get its individual probability and add them together.
Therefore, the
P(a face card OR a 5 of black) = P(a face card) + P(a 5 of black)
P( a face card OR a 5 of black) = 3/13 + 1/26
P(a face card OR a 5 of black) = 7/26 or 26.92%
But there is something wrong with the solution of the second pair of events,
what do you think the problem is?
For the second example the probability of first event (a red card) contains an
element of the second event (a queen).
Very Good!
Analyzing it carefully, you can see that the first event (a red card) consists of
A , … ,K and A , … , K , which means that the first event also has elements
of the second event (a queen): Q and Q .
D. Discussing new concepts and Before we solve for the correct answer of the probability of “a red card” or “a
practicing new skills # 1 (Leads to queen”, let’s define first the mutually exclusive and non-mutually exclusive
Formative Assessment # 1) events.
Mutually Exclusive Events are events that cannot occur at the same time.
While Non-Mutually Exclusive Events are events that have a common
outcome/s or element/s.
In our two examples, which pair of events are mutually exclusive events?
The first pair of events, because they don’t have the same elements.
E. Discussing new concepts and By definition of mutually exclusive and non-mutually exclusive events, we can
practicing new skills # 2 (Leads to conclude that the probability of compound events under mutually exclusive
Formative Assessment # 2) events is the sum of their probabilities, while the probability of non-mutually
optional exclusive events is the sum of their probabilities decreased by the probability
of both occurring.
Venn
Diagram
Using this concept, what should be the correct formula in solving for the
probability of getting “a red card” or “a queen”?
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)
Therefore, the
P(a red card OR a queen) = P(a red card) + P(a queen) – P(a red card ∩ a queen)
P(a red card OR a queen) = ½ + 1/13 – 1/26
P(a red card OR a queen) = 7/13 or 53.85%
F. Developing Mastery (Leads to Now let’s have this particular experiment, what is the sample space when you
formative Assessment # 3) roll a pair of dice and its corresponding sum?
Fixing skills
(1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5) (1,6) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
(2,1) (2,2) (2,3) (2,4) (2,5) (2,6) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)
(3,1) (3,2) (3,3) (3,4) (3,5) (3,6) = (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)
(4,1) (4,2) (4,3) (4,4) (4,5) (4,6) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
(5,1) (5,2) (5,3) (5,4) (5,5) (5,6) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11)
(6,1) (6,2) (6,3) (6,4) (6,5) (6,6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)
If your answer is MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS raise a FINGER HEART, if your answer
is NON-MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS raise LIKE.
It’s your turn now to get the probability of the given events, using the
experiment of rolling two dice and its corresponding sum. Solve it by pair in
your scratch paper.
G. Finding practical applications of The teacher will throw questions that will engage students interest in
concepts and skills in daily living connecting the lesson to real-life situation and link particular values or
principles it applies.
Question #1: How does mutually exclusive events and non-mutually exclusive
events related to real life?
Question #2: After learning this topic, what particular values now you realized
as important?
H. Making Generalizations and The teacher will reiterate definitions and technique in establishing the concept
abstractions about the lesson learned in this lesson:
Remember:
MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS are events that cannot o cur at the same time.
NON-MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS are events that can occur both at the
same time.
In solving for the probability of mutually exclusive events we need to add its
individual probabilities. And in solving for the probability of non-mutually
exclusive events we also need to add its individual probabilities and subtract
the probability of elements in which both existing on both events.
I. Evaluating Learning The teacher equips students with the skills through individual seatwork:
Seatwork:
Suppose you draw a card at random from a standard deck of 52 cards. Find the
probability of each outcome.
a. a seven, an eight or a nine. Ans: 3/13 or 23.08%
b. a club card or a diamond card. Ans: 1/2 or 50%
c. a black card or a King. Ans: 7/13 or 53.85%
d. a face card or a heart card. Ans: 8/13 or 61.54%
J. Additional Activities for Browse on this link to learn mote techniques in solving problem that involves
application or remediation or union and intersection of events in probability.
enrichment
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fQqQCVkY
V. REMARKS
VI. REFLECTION
A. No. of learners who earned 80%
on the formative assessment
B. No. of learners who require
additional activities for remediation.
C. Did the remedial lesson work? No.
of learners who have caught up with
the lesson.
D. No of Learners who continue to
require remediation.
E. Which of my teaching strategies
worked well? Why did this work?
F. What difficulties did I encounter
which my principal or supervisor can
help me solve it?
G. What innovation or localized
materials did I use/ discover which I
wish to share with other teachers?
Prepared by: