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Presentation to Analysts
October 2010
AGENDA
2 I A Glance at Petkim
3 I Investments
5 I Key Financials
2
World Economy & Petrochemical Industry
Economic Growth in Selected Economies (%, yoy) World Economic Growth Rate (%) Regional & World Ethylene Operating Rates (%)
Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook(WEO), September 2010 Source: CMAI Source: CMAI
ICIS Petrochemical Index (IPEX)* Crude Oil Naphtha Gasoline Price Expectations Global Basic Chemicals and EBIT Contribution
400 Dollars Per Metric Ton
1.200 200
800 100
Marjlar ($/MT)
300
600 50
* An indicator of average change in world petchem prices for basket of 12 essential petchem products in US, WE and Northeast Asian markets
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AGENDA
2 I A Glance at Petkim
3 I Investments
5 I Key Financials
4
PETKİM
5
Petrochemicals from Naphtha
ETHYLENE
AROMATICS
LDPE
Bags, greenhouse covers, film, AROMATICS
NAPHTHA-LPG
cables, toys, pipes, bottles, hoses, ETHYLENE PROPYLENE
packaging BENZENE, TOLUENE
C4
HDPE Detergent, white goods,
Packaging film, construction and Solvents, explosives,
water pipes, bottles, soft drink pharmaceuticals,
crates, toys, jerry cans, barrels cosmetics
MEG O-X - PA
Polyester fiber, polyester film, C4 PROPYLENE Pigments, plasticizers,
antifreeze synthetic chemicals,
BUTADIENE PP
polyester
VCM - PVC - EDC Rubber Knitting yarn, sacks,
Pipes, window and door frames, Automobile tire carpet thread, ropes
P-X - PTA
blinds and shutters, cables, bottles, and hawsers, table
Polyester fiber, polyester
construction materials, packaging cloths, napkins,
resin, polyester film
film, floor tiles, serum bags doormats, felt, hoses,
radiator pipes, fishing
CA-CAUSTIC SODA nets, brushes, blankets
Textile, detergent
ACN
Textile fibers, artificial
wool, ABS (Acrylonitrile
Butadiene Styrene)
resins
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Company Overview
• Established in 1965/Second complex commissioned in 1985
• The sole petrochemical producer in Turkey
PETKİM • 25% domestic market share and well positioned assets in
an ever growing market
• USD 1.412 mn net sales (9M 2010)
• USD 99 mn EBITDA (9M 2010)
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Petkim’s Ownership Structure
160
Strong Performance
140 Privatization process was completed in May
2008. SOCAR&Turcas Consortium acquired
120
51% stake in Petkim at an amount of USD
100 2.04 bn.
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Source: Reuters
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Petkim: The Strong & Tangible Symbol of Economical & Strategical Partnership
PETKİM
A BRIDGE LINKING AEGEAN TO CASPIAN
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Products and Capacity
PETKIM Product Capacities
ALIAGA COMPLEX (thousand tons)
START-UP 1985
ETHYLENE 520
PLANT CAPACITIES PROPYLENE 240
C4 140
PY-GAS 390
Thermoplastics
AROMATICS 320
Capacity 713,000 ton/yr
BENZENE 134
P-X 136
O-X 50
Fiber Raw Materials
CHLORINE 100
Capacity 249,000 ton/yr
VCM 152
PVC 150
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Petkim: Net Sales
Net Sales (thousand tons) Net Sales (million USD)
1600 1.442
1.371 1.391
1400
1.208
1200 1.049
1000
800
600 444
364 385
400
200
0
2007 2008 2009 9M 09 9M 10 Q3 09 Q2 10 Q3 10
11
Petkim: Exports
Breakdown of Exports Revenues by Product Type 9M 2010 Exports Revenues by Years (million USD)
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Petkim: Product Prices & Cost Breakdown
Petkim Thermoplastics and Naphtha Price Changes Petkim EBITDA Performance (million USD)
Index (2007 January=100)
115
99 99
250 95 89
200 75
150 55
39
34 31
100 35
50 15
Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 -4
-5
Thermoplastics Naphtha 2008 2009 9M 09 9M 10 Q3 09 Q2 10 Q3 10
Raw Material and Product Prices (USD/ton)* Raw Material and Product Prices (USD/ton)
500
250 500
Raw
0 Material
LDPE HDPE PP MEG PVC 78,7% 0
Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10
* As of September 2010
Naphtha Unit Price
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Petkim: A Remarkable Turnaround Driven by Operational Efficiencies
W. Europe Ethylene Capacity Utilitization Rates
• Feedstock flexibility (switching from Naphtha
to LPG/C4)
• Fuel flexibility in power generation
• Maximization of capacity utilitization (95%)
• Restructuring and rejuvenation of labor force
• Initiatives for energy efficiency
improvement
• Process optimization
(APC, DCS implementation)
• Increasing trading opportunities
Efficiencies on Marketable Production Per Capita Petkim Ethylene Capacity Utilitization Rates (%)
Person
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75
70 Low capacity
65 due to incidental outage
60
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 2009 2010
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AGENDA
2 I A Glance at Petkim
3 I Investments
5 I Key Financials
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Capital Expenditures and Planned Capacity Increases
Capital Expenditures of Petkim (million USD) • Moderate gearing of capital investments instead of fully
financing with equity as it has been in the past
160 154
• Increasing capacities of existing plants with minor capex-
140 smart debottlenecking investments
120 • Maximizing production of LDPE, where Petkim has a
100 competitive advantage
78 74
80 72
66 • Optimizing processes in the plants ( implementation of
56 54
60 50 46 Advanced Process Control and Distributed Control
Systems)
40
• Investments to enhance egergy savings and operational
20
efficiencies on existing plants (such as rehabilitation work
0 for the furnaces of the aromatics plant)
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
P
10
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
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Investment Highlights
PETKIM 1998-2009 CAGR
Dominant producer Thermoplastics demand 6,5%
25% market share GDP growth 3,0%
Growth Potential in the Domestic Market Petrochemicals Domestic Demand (thousand ton)
Therm oplastics Dom estic Grow th (%) GDP Grow th (%) 4000
30
3500
25 Thermoplastics
3000
20 2500 Fiber Raw
15 2000
10 1500
5 1000
0
500
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 0
-5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2015
-10 E
-15
Plastics Consumption per Capita
• One of the fastest growing markets Kg/capita 2007 2008 2009
• An attractive market, the second biggest importer of
U.S.A 90 75 76
petrochemicals after China
W.Europe 78 69 70
• More than 6000 small and medium sized companies Turkey 45 43 45
are active mainly in packaging, construction and Republic of China 30 28 30
automotive fields World 25 24 24
Brazil 23 25 27
• Petrochemical market size 6-7 billion USD India 6 5 6
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AGENDA
2 I A Glance at Petkim
3 I Investments
5 I Key Financials
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Growth Plan and Strategy
DOWNSTREAM
• ADVANTAGES OF WIDE PRODUCT
RANGE
• HIGH VALUE ADDED SPECIALTY
CHEMICALS
• STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIPS WITH
CUSTOMERS OR OTHER
INVESTORS (CLUSTER MODEL)
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Short Term Growth Plans
Feedstock Flexibility Energy Logistics
• Increasing LPG utilization in feed
slate of cracker • Energy saving program • New distribution centers
• Utilization of Fluid Catalytic • Opportunity for importing NG from • Increased transportation by rail
Cracking (FCC) and C4 stream Azerbaijan • Potential strategic partnership
• Setting up an advanced “steam • Power generation from wind opportunities in port business
cracker” model for the utilization of • Capability for storage facilities leasing
different feedstocks and the factory
optimization
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Mid to Long Term Growth Plans
TO REACH 40% MARKET SHARE WITH
“DOWNSTREAM” INVESTMENTS –VALUE SITE
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Growth Plan and Strategy
LOGISTICS ADVANTAGES
¾ To become one of the key logistics ¾ Increasing harbour capacity and
main terminals in the region utilization rate
¾ High capacity potential of container ¾ Storage of various solid, liquid, and
handling gas chemicals
¾ High capacity potential of liquid ¾ Paving the way for potential
and dry cargo handling investments on transportation
¾ High capacity of logistics support ¾ Import and export opportunities for
units chemicals
¾ Direct access to national railway
hubs and national transit ways and
highways
¾ Tank Farm
Exclusivity agreements have been signed with one of the industry-leading companies, APM Terminals BV, for the
development of Petkim port, and negotiations are currently continuing.
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Cluster Model
CHEMICAL INDUSTRY PARKS
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Chemical Park Cluster Models
MARL Chemical Park (Germany) Antwerp (Belgium)
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JURONG-Singapore
Year 1960 Today
25
PETKİM & Jurong International
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AGENDA
2 I A Glance at Petkim
3 I Investments
5 I Key Financials
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Financials
Balance Sheet (Million USD) (IFRS)
Cash&Bank Debt (Million USD)
31/12/2008 31/12/2009 30/09/2010
Cash&Cash Equivalents 19 116 167
Trade Receivables 149 224 223
Inventories 115 208 206
Other Current Assets 11 19 14
Current Assets 293 567 610
Non-Current Assets 830 836 873
Receivables, Inventories and Payables (Million USD)
TOTAL ASSETS 1.123 1.403 1.483
Financial Liabilities 19 58 58
Trade Payables 89 265 235
Other Payables 58 52 56
Short-Term Liabilities 166 376 348
Long-Term Liabilities 60 51 57
Shareholders’ Equity 897 975 1.078
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Financials
Income Statement (Million USD) (IFRS )
2007 2008 2009 Sep09 Sep10 3Q 09 2Q 10 3Q 10
Net Sales 1.671 1.795 1.342 937 1.412 377 470 491
Cost of Goods Sold (-) (1.514) (1.822) 1.269 (872) (1.305) (358) (421) (465)
Gross Profit (Loss) 157 (27) 73 65 106 19 49 26
Gross Profit (Loss) Margin 9,4% -1,5% 5,4% 6,9% 7,5% 5,1% 10,4% 5,3%
Operating Expenses (-) (74) (72) (44) (29) (42) (9) (15) (13)
Other Operating
(20) (3) (3) 2 (4) 1 (3) (0)
Income/(Expenses),net
Operating Profit/(Loss) 63 (102) 26 38 61 11 31 13
Financial Income/(Expenses) (11) (20) 16 6 7 5 (6) 12
Profit/(Loss) Before Taxation 52 (122) 41 44 67 16 25 24
Deferred Tax (1) 5 34 (2) (5) 1 4 (5)
Net Profit/(Loss) for the Period 51 (117) 75 42 62 16 29 19
EBITDA 128 (4) 99 89 99 34 39 31
EBITDA Margin 7,7% -0,2% 7,4% 9,5% 7,0% 9,0% 8,4% 6,3%
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Petkim’s Today
FITCH RATINGS
FOREIGN
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Corporate Governance Rating
• Upgraded to an overall Corporate Governance rating of 8,19 from previous one of 7,71
OVERALL 8,19
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Disclaimer
This presentation is confidential and does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer or invitation to subscribe for,
underwrite or otherwise acquire, any securities of Petkim Petrokimya Holdings A.Ş. (the “Company”) or any member of its group nor should it or
any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities of the Company or any
member of its group nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract, investment decision or
commitment whatsoever. This presentation has been made to you solely for your information and background and is subject to amendment.
This presentation (or any part of it) may not be reproduced or redistributed, passed on, or the contents otherwise divulged, directly or indirectly,
to any other person (excluding the relevant person’s professional advisers) or published in whole or in part for any purpose without the prior
written consent of the Company.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts,
statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of
operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-
looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the
future. The Company cautions you that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of
operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those
made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company’s results of operations,
financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking
statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods. The
Company does not undertake any obligation to review or confirm analyst expectations or estimates or to release publicly any revisions to any
forward-looking statements to reflect events that occur or circumstances that arise after the date of this presentation.
This presentation is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any
locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which
would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction.
The contents of this presentation have not been verified by any authority. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the
fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein and no reliance should be placed on it. None of the Company, their
advisers, connected persons or any other person accepts any liability for any loss howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from this presentation
or its contents.
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Investor Relations
We welcome your questions, comments and suggestions. Our corporate headquarters office address is:
Also, please visit our web site at www.petkim.com.tr for further information and queries.
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