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Introduction
Middle East, a region rich in energy resources is a very volatile region. Several wars
have been fought in this region, from interstate wars to intrastate wars and such as arab
Israeli wars, iran Iraq war, first and second gulf wars, US invasion of Iraq, and more
recently arab spring and the proxy wars between Iran and US SAUDI alliance. There
are three main regional powers in this area i.e. Saudi Arabia, Iran and Israel. The three
powers have been involved in competition for hegemony or military dominance and face
challenges to their dominance, threats to their regimes and existential threats. Based
on their threat perception these states have been highly involved in arms race. There
have been high defense budgets, military buildups, arms imports and manufacturing.
There is a chance of nuclear arms race with Israel already suspected of having nuclear
weapons, failure of JCPOA, and Saudi intentions of building nuclear reactors. In this
article we will study the threat perception and causes of arms race between these
countries.
IRAN
THREAT PERCEPTION
More than anything else, it is the survival of the Islamic Regime that dominates the
security perspective of present day Iran and protecting its regional interests and
providing support for allies of the axis of resistance. The following are the threats to iran.
The US and its western allies are stymieing Iran’s desire to play a guardian’s role
in the Gulf region. USA have heavy military presence in the region from air bases
to navy marine forces and pose a threat of pre emptive strikes on iran. Usa has
formed a naval coailation comprised of regional and international allies posing a
threat to iran and hence further increasing chances of a war
Oil export through the Persian Gulf is the economic lifeline for Iran. Any
disruptions could, therefore, be disastrous for the country and consequently for
the Islamic Regime. United states have imposed unilateral sanction on oil sector
of iran to reduce it to zero.