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A new NASA study shows that warming of the tropical oceans due to
climate change could lead to a substantial increase in the frequency of
extreme rain storms by the end of the century.
They found that extreme storms - those producing at least 0.12 inches (3
millimeters) of rain per hour over a 16-mile (25-kilometer) area - formed
when the sea surface temperature was higher than about 82 degrees
Fahrenheit (28 degrees Celsius). They also found that, based on the data, 21
percent more storms form for every 1.8 degrees Fahrenheit (1 degree
Celsius) that ocean surface temperatures rise.
Although climate models aren't perfect, results like these can serve as a
guideline for those looking to prepare for the potential effects a changing
climate may have.
"Our results quantify and give a more visual meaning to the consequences
of the predicted warming of the oceans," Aumann said. "More storms mean
more flooding, more structure damage, more crop damage and so on, unless
mitigating measures are implemented."
The peer-reviewed study was published in the December 2018 issue of the
Geophysical Research Letters journal.