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College of Business

OPM 211 – BUSINESS STATISTICS


Midterm Exam 2
Faculty: Dr. Sheraz Alam Malik March 20th , 2019

Duration: 120 Minutes


Full Mark: 40

Student Name:
University ID Number:

Instructions: (faculty may change below list to appropriately fit the exam details/conditions)
1. Answer ALL questions using ink or ball pens.
2. Do all workout on this or the accompanying answer book. If required, assume suitable data and
sketch relevant diagrams.
3. All questions carry the marks indicated in the table below.
4. For all calculations, show the workouts.
5. If required, use supplied separate sheets to write your answers, but do not forget to write your name
and ensuring that all answers are clearly numbered.
6. No PDA, computers, books or notes allowed in this examination.
7. No bathroom breaks allowed once the exam begins.
8. No speaking in Arabic or English once the exam begins.

Q# Out of Learning Domains Marks


Q1 1 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q2 1 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q3 1 Knowledge
Q4 1 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q5 1 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q6 1 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q7 1 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q8 1 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q9 1 Knowledge
Q10 1 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q11 10 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q12 10 Knowledge/Cognitive
Q13/14 10 Knowledge/Cognitive

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College of Business
OPM 211 – BUSINESS STATISTICS
Midterm Exam 2
Faculty: Dr. Sheraz Alam Malik March 20th , 2019
A. MULTIPLE CHOICE (1 point each)

1. The sum of the probabilities of two complementary events is

a) Zero
b) 0.5
c) 0.57
d) 1.0

2. If A and B are independent events with P(A) = 0.65 and P(A  B) = 0.26, then, P(B)
=

a. 0.400
b. 0.169
c. 0.390
d. 0.650

3. If P(A) = 0.4, P(B | A) = 0.35, P(A  B) = 0.69, then P(B) =

a. 0.14
b. 0.43
c. 0.75
d. 0.59

4. The range of probability is

a. any value larger than zero


b. any value between minus infinity to plus infinity
c. zero to one
d. any value between -1 to 1

5. A numerical description of the outcome of an experiment is called a

a. descriptive statistic
b. probability function
c. variance
d. random variable

6. Variance is
a. a measure of the average, or central value of a random variable
b. a measure of the dispersion of a random variable
c. the square root of the standard deviation
d. the sum of the squared deviation of data elements from the mean

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b.
c.
d. College of Business
OPM 211 – BUSINESS STATISTICS
Midterm Exam 2
Faculty: Dr. Sheraz Alam Malik March 20th , 2019

7. A continuous random variable may assume

a. any value in an interval or collection of intervals


b. only integer values in an interval or collection of intervals
c. only fractional values in an interval or collection of intervals
d. only the positive integer values in an interval

8. A description of the distribution of the values of a random variable and their


associated probabilities is called a

a. probability distribution
b. random variance
c. random variable
d. expected value

9. The center of a normal curve is

a. always equal to zero


b. is the mean of the distribution
c. cannot be negative
d. is the standard deviation

10. The probability that a continuous random variable takes any specific value

a. is equal to zero
b. is at least 0.5
c. depends on the probability density function
d. is very close to 1.0

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College of Business
OPM 211 – BUSINESS STATISTICS
Midterm Exam 2
Faculty: Dr. Sheraz Alam Malik March 20th , 2019
B. PROBLEMS
11. (10 points)

a. P(A  B) = 0

P(A  B) 0
b. P(A B)   0
P(B) .4

c. No. P(A | B)  P(A);  the events, although mutually exclusive, are not independent.

d. Mutually exclusive events are dependent.

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College of Business
OPM 211 – BUSINESS STATISTICS
Midterm Exam 2
Faculty: Dr. Sheraz Alam Malik March 20th , 2019

12. (10 points)

a. f (12) = .1144

b. f (16) = .1304

c. P(x  16) = f (16) + f (17) + f (18) + f (19) + f (20)

= .1304 + .0716 + .0278 + .0068 + .0008 = .2374

d. P(x  15) = 1 - P (x  16) = 1 - .2374 = .7626

e. E(x) = n p = 20(.7) = 14

f. Var(x) = n p (1 - p) = 20 (.7) (.3) = 4.2

 = 4.2 = 2.0494

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College of Business
OPM 211 – BUSINESS STATISTICS
Midterm Exam 2
Faculty: Dr. Sheraz Alam Malik March 20th , 2019
13. (10 points)

1
a. f(x) = for 18 < x < 26, 0 elsewhere.
8

1
P(x  25) = (26 – 25) = .125
8

1
b. P(21  x  25) = (25 – 21) = .50
8

c. This occurs when programming is 20 minutes or less

1
P(x  20) = (20 – 18) = .25
8

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College of Business
OPM 211 – BUSINESS STATISTICS
Midterm Exam 2
Faculty: Dr. Sheraz Alam Malik March 20th , 2019
14. (10 bonus points)

a. .90

b. P(at least 1) = f (1) + f (2)

2!
f (1)  (.9)1 (.1)1
1! 1!

 2(.9)(.1)  .18

2!
f (2)  (.9)1 (.1)0
2! 0!

 1(.81)(1)  .81

 P(at least 1) = .18 + .81 = .99

Alternatively

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College of Business
OPM 211 – BUSINESS STATISTICS
Midterm Exam 2
Faculty: Dr. Sheraz Alam Malik March 20th , 2019
P(at least 1) = 1 – f(0)

2!
f (0)  (.9)0 (.1) 2  .01
0! 2!

Therefore, P(at least 1) = 1 - .01 = .99

c. P(at least 1) = 1 - f (0)

3!
f (0)  (.9)0 (.1)3  .001
0! 3!

Therefore, P(at least 1) = 1 - .001 = .999

d. Yes; P(at least 1) becomes very close to 1 with multiple systems and the inability to detect
an attack would be catastrophic.

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