Nama : Didik Sugiyanto

NIM : 160231100169
Mata Kuliah : Ekonomi Moneter Lanjutan
Kelas :B

Data Negara Oman

Tahun M2 GDP (Y) R (Lending) Velocity

1984 7.74E+08 7.82E+09 10.34800 3.936548

1985 9.37E+08 8.91E+09 10.23600 3.688418
1986 8.73E+08 9.09E+09 9.916500 3.203090
1987 9.19E+08 8.78E+09 9.300250 3.266369
1988 9.74E+08 9.30E+09 9.350000 3.310235
1989 1.07E+09 1.04E+10 9.852250 3.381195
1990 1.17E+09 1.04E+10 9.853750 3.833444
1991 1.24E+09 1.10E+10 9.568750 3.528372
1992 1.27E+09 1.19E+10 9.362000 3.757868
1993 1.32E+09 1.27E+10 8.890000 3.651639
1994 1.40E+09 1.32E+10 8.383000 3.537827
1995 1.51E+09 1.38E+10 9.281750 3.510340
1996 1.63E+09 1.42E+10 9.300750 3.595280
1997 2.03E+09 1.51E+10 9.180250 2.993603
1998 2.13E+09 1.55E+10 9.737500 2.541204
1999 2.27E+09 1.55E+10 10.53021 2.664018
2000 2.40E+09 1.63E+10 10.14158 3.119982
2001 2.66E+09 1.70E+10 9.592583 2.807770
2002 2.81E+09 1.68E+10 8.824667 2.754467
2003 2.88E+09 1.64E+10 8.393083 2.888392
2004 3.00E+09 1.66E+10 7.939750 3.176624
2005 3.65E+09 1.70E+10 7.283583 3.277431
2006 4.54E+09 1.79E+10 7.292667 3.153257
2007 6.11E+09 1.87E+10 7.368833 2.647831
2008 7.53E+09 2.03E+10 6.828333 3.108645
2009 7.89E+09 2.15E+10 7.323250 2.358111
2010 8.78E+09 2.25E+10 7.141250 2.566707
2011 9.85E+09 2.23E+10 6.521333 2.650665
 2012 1.09E+10 2.44E+10 5.901000 2.702249
2013 1.18E+10 2.54E+10 5.515500 2.558942
2014 1.33E+10 2.61E+10 5.225083 2.350631
2015 1.51E+10 2.74E+10 4.878500 1.749598
2016 1.54E+10 2.87E+10 4.911083 1.643854
2017 1.61E+10 2.85E+10 5.156000 1.693742

Data diatas merupakan data Negara Oman. Data diatas meliputi data GDP Constant LCU (Y),
Broad Money Current LCU (M2), GDP Current LCU, Lending Interest Rate (R), dan Velocitas
(V). data Velocitas sendiri diperoleh dari hasil GDP Current LCU / M2 (Broad Money Current
LCU).
Hasil Regresi Data

Dependent Variable: M2
Method: Least Squares
Date: 09/23/19 Time: 02:18
Sample: 1984 2017
Included observations: 34

Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.

Y 0.241922 0.123625 1.956902 0.0597

R -1.39E+09 3.09E+08 -4.511514 0.0001
V -1.73E+09 7.68E+08 -2.254686 0.0316
C 1.75E+10 5.91E+09 2.954193 0.0060

R-squared 0.942591 Mean dependent var 4.89E+09

Adjusted R-squared 0.936850 S.D. dependent var 4.87E+09
S.E. of regression 1.22E+09 Akaike info criterion 44.79771
Sum squared resid 4.49E+19 Schwarz criterion 44.97728
Log likelihood -757.5611 Hannan-Quinn criter. 44.85895
F-statistic 164.1897 Durbin-Watson stat 0.410830
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000

Berikut kesimpulan yang dapat sampaikan:

 Variabel Y sesuai dengan teori, karena koefisien variabel Y bernilai positif dan probablitas
variabel Y signifikan yaitu 0.0597 atau 0.06.
 Variabel R sesuai dengan teori karena koefisien variabel R bernilai negatif dan probabilitas
variabel R signifikan yaitu 0.0001.
 Variabel V sesuai dengan teori karena koefisien variabel V bernilai negatif dan probabilitas
variabel V signifikan, yaitu 0.0316