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CHAPTER 10
1
Factors affecting option prices
• Current stock price, S0
• Strike price, K
• Time to expiration, T
2
Payoff Profiles – at Maturity
3
American vs European Options
Cc
P p
4
Effect of variables on option pricing
Summary of the effect on the price of a stock option of
increasing one variable while keeping all others fixed
5
Effect of changes in stock price, strike price,
expiration date, volatility and risk-free interest rate
on option prices.
Data:
• S0 = 50
• K = 50
• R = 5%
• σ = 30 %
• T=1
• In the slides below, we change the value of one variable while
holding those of other variables unchanged.
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Stock price and strike price – Impact on call option
Figure 10.1 (a) & (c), p.226.
• For a call option, the payoff on exercise is the amount by which the
stock price exceeds the strike price
• Call options become more valuable as the stock price increases and
less valuable as the strike price increases
7
Stock price and strike price – Impact on Put options
Figure 10.1 (b) & (d) p. 226.
• For a put option, the payoff on exercise is the amount by which the
strike price exceeds the stock price
• Put options become less valuable as the stock price increases and
more valuable as the strike price increases
8
Derivagem
Time to expiration (Figure 10.1 (e) & (f), p.226)
• Put and call American options become more valuable as the time to
expiration increases
• Put and call European options become more valuable as the time to
expiration increases, however, this is not always the case
10
Time to Maturity
For longer TTMs, there is a greater chance for a call to be in-
the-money
TTM , C
and TTM , C
BUT
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Impact of Time to Maturity
For an American put:
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Early Exercise
- Early exercise would be justified if:
- - the stock price fell to zero (the option would be worth K and could
never be more valuable).
- - more generally, if:
Income now ≥ income later
K- S ≥ PV (K)
14 Copyright ©2014 Pearson Australia (a division of Pearson Australia Group Pty Ltd) –9781442532793/Hull Et Al/Fundamentals of Futures and Options Markets Australian/1e
Early Exercise
At this point, it is not possible to indicate when early exercise would
take place.
Necessary conditions are that:
- It is in the money and
- The value of an equivalent European put must be lower than the
intrinsic value of the American put.
i.e. PE < K - S
15
Volatility – Impact on call & put options. Figure 10.2
(a) & (b), p.227.
• The values of both calls and puts increase as volatility increases
• The owner of a call benefits from price increases but has limited
downside risk in the event of price decreases (option premium).
• The owner of a put benefits from price decreases but has limited
downside risk in the event of price increases (option premium).
16
Risk-free interest rate – Impact on call & put
options. Figure 10.2 (c) & (d), p.227.
• An increase in the interest rate and accompanying decrease in the
stock price decrease the value of a call option and increase the
value of a put option
• A decrease in the interest rate and accompanying increase in the
stock price increase the value of a call option and decrease the
value of a put option
17
Dividends
• The value of a call option is negatively related to the size of any
anticipated dividends
18
Assumptions
• There are no transactions costs
19
Notation
• S0: Current stock price
• K: Strike price of option
• T: Time to expiration of option
• ST: Stock price on the expiration date
• r: Risk-free rate for maturity T (cont. comp.)
• C: Value of American call option
• P: Value of American put option
• c: Value of European call option
• p: Value of European put option
20
Upper and lower bounds for option prices
• If an option price is above the upper bound or below the lower
bound, there are profitable opportunities for arbitrageurs
21
Upper bounds
• An American or European call option gives the holder the right to
buy one share for a certain price. The option can never be worth
more than the stock
c ≤ S0 and C ≤ S0 10.1
22
Upper bounds
• An American put option gives the holder the right to sell one share
for K. The option can never be worth more than K
P≤K (10.2)
• A European put option at maturity cannot be worth more than the
present value of K today
p ≤ Ke-rT (10.3)
23
Lower bounds for calls
Non-dividend-paying stocks
S0 - Ke-rT
Example: S0=$20, K=$18, r=10% per annum, call price=$3 and T=1
year.
24
Lower bounds for calls
Non-dividend-paying stocks (Contd.)
The strategy:
Now:
Short the stock and buy the call to provide a cash inflow of
$20-$3= $17.
Invest for one year at 10% to grow to $18.79 (Cont. compounding).
If S0 < K, stock is bought in the market and option closed out, the
profit = $18.79 - $17 = $1.79 (assuming stock price is $17).
25
Lower bounds for calls
Non-dividend-paying stocks
• Portfolio A: One European call option plus a zero-coupon bond that
provides a payoff of K at time T. Portfolio A is worth:
max(ST, K)
• Portfolio B: One share of the stock worth ST at time T. In the absence
of arbitrage opportunities, portfolio A is worth as much as (can be
more than) portfolio B at time zero. Hence,
c + Ke -rT≥ S0
or c ≥ S0 − Ke-rT
Because the call value cannot be negative, this means that c ≥ 0 and
therefore:
26
Lower bounds for calls
Non-dividend-paying stocks
27
Lower bounds for puts
Non-dividend-paying stocks
For a European put option on a non-dividend paying stock, a lower
bound for the price is:
Ke-rT – S0
Example: S0=$37, K=$40, r=5% per annum, put price=$1.00, and
T=0.5 years, so that:
28
Lower bounds for puts
Non-dividend-paying stocks (Cont.)
At t=0:
Borrow $38 to buy both the put ($1) and the stock ($37).
At t=1:
Repayment in six months: 38 e0.05* 0.5 = $38.96.
If S0 < K, exercise the option and sell the stock for $40.
Profit = $40-$38.96=$1.04.
29
Lower bounds for puts
Non-dividend-paying stocks
• Portfolio C: One European put option plus one share. Portfolio C is
worth:
max(ST, K)
• Portfolio D: An amount of cash equal to Ke-rT (or equivalently a
zero-coupon bond paying off K at time T). So, it can be shown that:
p ≥ Ke-rT − S0
• Because the put value cannot be negative, this means that p ≥ 0
and therefore:
31
Put–call parity
European put and call options that have the same K and T
• Portfolio A: One European call option plus a zero-coupon bond that
provides a payoff of K at time T
• Portfolio C: One European put option plus one share of the stock
(no dividends). Both portfolios are worth:
max(ST, K)
• Portfolio A is worth c and Ke-rT today, Portfolio C is worth p and S0
today, so:
c + Ke-rT = p + S0
• If this were not true, there would be arbitrage opportunities
32
Put–call parity
Values of portfolio A and portfolio C at time T
ST > K ST < K
Zero-coupon bond K K
Total ST K
Share ST ST
Total ST K
33
Put–call parity
Example: S0=$31, K=$30 (for both put and call), r=10% per annum,
c=$3.00, p=$2.25 and T=0.25 years, so that:
34
Put-Call Parity - Arbitrage
In the above example, portfolio C is overpriced relative to portfolio A.
So, buy the securities in A and short the securities in C.
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American options
S0 – K ≤ C – P ≤ S0 – Ke-rT (10.7)
Example: S0=$19, K=$20, r=10% per annum, C=$1.50, and T=5
months, so that:
19 – 20 ≤ C – P ≤ 19 - 20e-0.10*5/12
1 ≥ P – C ≥ .18
Because C=$1.50, P must lie between $1.68 (lower bound) and $2.50
(upper bound).
36
Calls on non-dividend-paying stock
C ≥ S0 − Ke-rT
Given r > 0, it follows that C > S0 – K
If it were optimal to exercise early, then C would equal S0 – K
• It can never be optimal to exercise an American call on a non-
dividend-paying stock early because of:
• the insurance that it provides
• the time value of money
37
Calls on non-dividend-paying stock
Bounds
max(S0 − Ke-rT, 0) ≤ c, C ≤ S0
38
Calls on non-dividend-paying stock
Bounds
max(S0 − Ke-rT, 0) ≤ c, C ≤ S0
39
Puts on a non-dividend-paying stock
It can be optimal to exercise an American put option on a non-
dividend-paying stock early.
• The early exercise of a put option becomes more attractive as:
• S0 decreases
• r increases
• volatility decreases
40
Puts on a non-dividend-paying stock
Bounds
Bounds for a European put option when there are no dividends:
max(K − S0, 0) ≤ P ≤ K
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Puts on a non-dividend-paying stock
Bounds
Bounds for European (left) and American (right) put options when
there are no dividends
42
Puts on a non-dividend-paying stock
Bounds
Variation of price of an American
put option with stock price.
r ↓, σ ↑ and T ↑ .
Figure 10.6, page 239
43
Puts on a non-dividend-paying stock
Bounds
Variation of price of a European
put option with the stock price
44
Effect of dividends
• Portfolio A: One European call option plus an amount of cash equal
to D + Ke-rT
• Portfolio B: One share
c ≥ S0 - D - Ke-rT
• Portfolio C: One European put option plus one share
• Portfolio D: An amount of cash equal to D + Ke-rT
p ≥ D + Ke-rT - S0
45
Put-call parity
c + D + Ke-rT = p + S0
S0 – D – K ≤ C – P ≤ S0 – Ke-rT
46