CÁLCULO DE LA DISTRIBUCIÓN GUMBEL Y SQRT-ET max

Introducir los datos de la serie en las casillas amarillas. En azul los

resultados de los cálculos.

Para obtener la distribución SQRT-ET max, clicar en el botón rojo

una vez introducidos los datos de LLUVIA MÁXIMA DIARIA ANUAL
en las casillas amarillas.

Año Datos media desviacion t n

1965 136.2 111.33333 46.092526 15
1966 195.5 1.0205712 0.5128358
1967 34.8 alfa beta Cv
1968 131 0.0221418 88.171894 0.4140047245 CLICAR PARA
SQRT-ET
1969 97
1970 97
1971 144.8 Gumbel SQRT-ET Max
1972 76.4 T (años) Precipitacion (mm) Prob(Pmax<=x)
1973 94.2 2 104.72 - 0.5
1974 202 5 155.91 139.53 0.8
1975 98.5 10 189.81 168.07 0.9
1976 134.6 25 232.63 207.55 0.96
1977 68.8 50 264.40 239.29 0.98
1978 78.5 100 295.93 272.79 0.99
1979 80.7 200 327.35 308.26 0.995
1980 500 368.80 358.00 0.998
1981
1982
1983 Distribuciones
400.00
1984
350.00
300.00
250.00
P (mm)

200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
1 10 100 1000
Años

Gumbel SQRT-ET max

 200.00

P (m
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
1 10 100 1000
Años

Gumbel SQRT-ET max

Valores para el cálculo de alfa y beta Valores para k y alfa
n my sy j aj * (ln(Cv))j Cv :
0.3665 0.0000
1 0 1.802 a0
0.4043 0.4984
2 1 -2.182 a1
0.4286 0.6435
3 2 18.320 a2
0.4458 0.7315
4 3 -34.263 a3
0.4588 0.7928
5 4 36.154 a4
0.4690 0.8388
6 5 -19.040 a5
0.4774 0.8749
7 6 4.001 a6
0.4843 0.9043
8 Suma...... 4.792 =ln(k)
0.4902 0.9288
9 k= 120.512
0.4952 0.9496
10
0.4996 0.9676
11 j bj * (ln(k))j Cv :
0.5035 0.9833
12 0 2.342696882 b0
0.5070 0.9971
13 1 -0.7177286035 b1
0.5100 1.0095
14 2 -2.280289065 b2
0.5128 1.0206
15 3 0.3789317153 b3
0.5154 1.0306
16 4 0.5343191669 b4
0.5177 1.0397
17 5 -0.3572323965 b5
0.5198 1.0481
18 6 0.0664892643 b6
0.5217 1.0557
19 Suma...... -0.033 =ln(I1)
0.5236 1.0628
20 0.968 =I1
0.5252 1.0694
21 a= 0.52375
0.5268 1.0755
22
0.5282 1.0812
23 x1 111.33333333
0.5296 1.0865
24 x2 668
0.5309 1.0914
25 x 129.88888889
0.5321 1.0961
26 fx 0.7469510317
0.5332 1.1005
27 retorno 3.9518042956
0.5343 1.1047
28
0.5353 1.1086
29
0.5362 1.1124
30
0.5371 1.1159
31
0.5380 1.1193
32
0.5388 1.1225
33
34 0.5396 1.1255
35 0.5403 1.1285
36 0.541 1.1313
0.5417 1.1339
37
0.5424 1.1365
38
 0.5430 1.1390
39
40 0.5436 1.1413
41 0.5442 1.1436
42 0.5448 1.1458
0.5453 1.1479
43
44 0.5458 1.1499
0.5463 1.1518
45
0.5468 1.1537
46
0.5472 1.1555
47
0.5477 1.1573
48
0.5481 1.1590
49
50 0.5485 1.1607
51 0.5489 1.1623
52 0.5493 1.1638
0.5497 1.1653
53
0.5501 1.1668
54
0.5504 1.1682
55
56 0.5508 0.1696
57 0.5511 1.1708
58 0.5515 1.1721
59 0.5518 1.1734
60 0.5521 1.1747
65 0.5535 1.1803
70 0.5548 1.1854
75 0.5559 1.1898
80 0.5569 1.1938
85 0.5578 1.1973
90 0.5586 1.2007
95 0.5593 1.2038
100 0.56 1.2065
0.99 a 0.70 0.70 a 0.30 0.30 a 0.19
1.318615 1.801513 -1765.86
-3.16463 2.473761 -7240.6
-1.59552 23.556200 -11785.6
-6.26911 49.957274 -9538.0
-11.3177 59.775636 -3834.3
-22.6976 35.696876 -612.68
-22.0663 8.505713 0.000

0.99 a 0.70 0.70 a 0.30 0.30 a 0.19

2.307319 2.342697 -0.931508

-0.136674 -0.149784 2.156709

-0.075036 -0.099312 -0.779770

-0.013464 0.003444 0.112962

0.003228 0.001014 -0.009340

0.000521 -0.000141 0.000412
-0.000141 0.000005 -0.000008