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India in the World Economy:
Role of Business Restructuring
Raj Aggarwal
As the size and importance of its economy increases, India is becoming more
integrated with the world economy. The process of deregulation and the eco-
nomic reforms started in the early 1990s seem irreversible and continue to
accelerate. In recent decades, transactions costs in India have been declining,
especially as India deregulates its business environment. Consequently, Indian
businesses are moving away from being widely diversified and vertically
integrated business groups and are becoming focused, efficient, and often
larger firms. In addition to the resulting corporate restructuring and increased
domestic M&A, many Indian firms are investing overseas and becoming
nascent multinationals. These changes mean that the global integration of the
Indian economy will continue to increase.
1. Introduction
The Indian economy has been on a deregulatory path since at
least the early 1990s and the process of economic deregulation
software and other leading edge industries will benefit some areas
and industries earlier than others. Additionally, there are likely to
be industry variations in initial increases in growth rates.
Driven by the software industry, the computer hardware indus-
try will also continue to see very high rates of growth. The growth of
the software industry will also continue to add to the infrastructure
pressures. For example, in the telecommunications industry, India
is rapidly being wired up with large amounts of fibre optic cable.
Indeed, among developing countries, the amount of fibre optic
cable installed in India is second only to China.11 Consequently,
most rural and urban centres in India will soon have broadband
access via fibre optics. The widespread availability of broadband
will lead to a major increase in economic growth rates as these com-
munities connect to each other and to the global economy. How-
ever, Indian consumers are not just waiting for broadband—they
are being increasingly connected to each other and the world via
the cell phone. Indeed, India is now one of the largest and fastest
growing cell phone markets in the world even though some feel
that the government is too slow to make regulatory changes in this
area.12 Nevertheless, cell phones have penetrated all parts of India
including rural areas that have limited or no access to landlines.
Not only is India leapfrogging old landline technologies, it is doing
so at shockingly low cost. Indian cell phone costs are the lowest in
the world, recently being as low as ` 0.30 (less than US$ 0.01) per
minute billed in one-second increments.13 In fact, the rural ubiquity
of inexpensive (90 per cent) pre-paid phones (as low as ` 100 or
US$ 2.17) has meant a great deal of economic empowerment and
growth in rural areas as, for example, farmers can now call for crop
prices in various nearby markets and obtain the best prices for
their output.14 This is one example of the numerous ripple effects
of high-tech penetration in a country.
Table 3: Relative Market Efficiency for Corporate Inputs in the Indian Economy
for example, the highest standard tariff rate was reduced from
35 per cent in 2001 to 10 per cent by 2007. While India’s share
in world exports of goods and services remains small, having
increased from about 1 per cent in 1990 to about 4 per cent in 2007,
their domestic role and the overall impact in India have been more
significant, where exports make up 23 per cent of Indian GDP
(OECD 2007). Indeed, the rapid growth of India’s trade represents
a structural change in India’s economy, with the share of external
trade in Indian GDP increasing from about 15 per cent in 1990 to
about 49 per cent in 2007 (De 2009).
The growth of financial integration has been even more rapid.
During the 1997–2007 decade, the ratio of total external trans-
actions (gross current account flows plus gross capital account
flows) increased by more than 100 per cent from 46.8 per cent
of GDP in 1997 to 117.4 per cent of GDP in 2007. Furthermore,
corporate borrowing from external sources has also increased
significantly. In addition, India is now increasingly the focus of
inward FDI from a range of countries. For example, India has
overtaken China as the top destination of outward Japanese FDI
(Economist 2009). Overall, in 2007 India received capital inflows
that amounted to 9 per cent of GDP as against a current account
deficit of 1.5 per cent of GDP in 1997 (Subbarao 2009).
in India has meant that the largest five companies account for
75 per cent of the still exploding market.21 Overall, approximately
23 per cent of domestic takeovers by Indian firms are concentrated
in two industries; Chemicals and Allied Products with 15 per cent
of the takeovers and Business Services with 8 per cent of takeovers
(Accenture 2006).
Cross-border M&As for the first seven months of 2006 out-
numbered the total number of cross-border M&As in any previous
year in Indian history. About 75 per cent of total takeovers in India
have been cross-border since 2003. Furthermore, 94 per cent of
M&As by Indian companies are expected to be cross-border in the
next three years (Grant Thornton 2006). In cross-border takeovers,
45 per cent of takeovers occur in the same two industries as in
domestic M&A, with Business Services accounting for 25 per cent
of acquisitions and Chemicals and Allied Products accounting
for the other 20 per cent of acquisitions. However, since 2000, IT,
services, electronics, and high-technology industries accounted for
more than 50 per cent of cross-border takeovers. In addition, firms
operating in market research, human resources, and forest products
have also been active players in the cross-border takeover market
(Grant Thornton 2006). As an indication of recent trends, in 2007,
there were more outbound M&A deals than inbound M&A deals
involving Indian companies, having 240 outbound deals (worth
US$ 32.27 billion) and 108 inbound deals (worth US$ 15.61 billion).
Outward FDI from India was more than twice the inbound FDI—a
remarkable reversal compared to most other developing countries
where inbound FDI generally far exceeds any outbound FDI.
MNCs from the poorer countries may enjoy at least four types of
advantages developed in their home markets that they can use
overseas to overcome the liability of foreignness.
4. Conclusions
This essay is an assessment of the globalisation of the Indian
economy and the role played by market development with falling
transactions costs and, as a result, the rising levels of domestic
and cross-border M&A by Indian firms. These developments
started with the reforms of the early 1990s and the availability of
new technologies to Indian business. The rate of change facing
Indian business is likely to accelerate as these new technologies
and economic deregulations form a mutually reinforcing circle
of forces.
It is shown that both the adoption of new technologies and
economic deregulation will reduce transactions costs and make
product and financial markets in India more efficient. This
increase in market efficiency will then lead to changes in corporate
Notes
1. There is now much evidence that the institutional environment is a
significant influence on national economic growth rates (e.g., Olson
1996). Further, as evidenced by the great success of non-resident
(overseas) Indians, the institutional environment rather than culture
seems to be more important for Indian economic success (Pauly
2000).
2. See, for example, Timmons (3 October 2009) and Leahy (2 October
2009).
3. See, for example, Pokharel and Bhattacharya (2009).
4. See Rieff (2009).
5. See, for example, Aggarwal (2006), Leahy (2 October 2009), and
Lambert and Littlefield (2009).
6. See, for example, Polgreen (2009).
7. There are various estimates of the size of the Indian middle class. These
estimates range from estimates of about 50–80 million that can afford
an automobile to over 300 million that can afford home appliances.
8. This is similar to the situation in the 1970s and 1980s when Japan
invested much more capital than the United States for each unit of
economic growth.
9. See Merton (2009) and Timmons and Bajaj (2009).
10. The elite Indian Institutes of Technology are now becoming well
known for graduating many CEOs of major US corporations and
many of Silicon Valley’s leading successes. See, for example, Ghosh
(2001).
11. See, for example, Jayaram (2001).
12. See Lamont (16 November 2009).
13. Indian cell phone providers mostly make money providing extra ser-
vices (such as movie songs, market prices, banking services) and not
from talk time. Indeed, there is talk that cell phone talk time may be
free soon (Leahy 11 December 2009).
14. See, for example, Kazmin (2009).
15. Some tasks may be performed jointly by units internal and external
to a firm. However, this detail is not critical to our analysis here.
initially designed for low income Indian consumers of the Tata Nano
automobile and the Mahindra electric truck for urban markets.
29. Another example of this is the multinational nature of Indian IT com-
panies with English-speaking inexpensive workers like Wipro (with
operations in 53 countries) which has been outsourcing its Indian
projects to its workforce in Egypt (Leahy 12 November 2009).
30. In response to this Tata challenge, Nissan/Renault and Bajaj announced
a low-cost competitor to the Nano (Gulati and Relia 2009).
31. See, for example, Bellman (2009) and Bajaj (2009).
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