Presidential Survey Report

2020 Likely Arizona Voters

Survey conducted between December 3rd - December 4th, 2019
628 sample MoE +/- 3.91%
Sample Summary Generated on December 5, 2019

Region
Total
Sample Size 628
Maricopa
Count 383
Column % 61%
Pima
Count 100
Column % 16%
Rural
Count 144
Column % 23%

Gender
Total
Sample Size 628
Female
Count 324
Column % 52%
Male
Count 304
Column % 48%

Age
Total
Sample Size 628
18-34
Count 76
Column % 12%
35-44
Count 83
Column % 13%
45-54
Count 105
Column % 17%
55-64
Count 132
Column % 21%
65+
Count 232
Column % 37%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

Sample Summary Generated on December 5, 2019

Party
Total
Sample Size 628
Democrat
Count 214
Column % 34%
Republican
Count 245
Column % 39%
Independent
Count 170
Column % 27%

Ethnicity Combined
Total
Sample Size 628
White
Count 456
Column % 73%
Hispanic/Latino
Count 95
Column % 15%
Other
Count 65
Column % 10%
Refused
Count 12
Column % 2%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

First, how likely are you to vote in the Arizona 2020 General Election?
Total
Sample Size 628
Very likely
Count 619
Column % 99%
Somewhat likely
Count 9
Column % 1%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

8
2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

Which one of the following issues would you say is the most pressing issue facing Arizona?
Total
Sample Size 628
National Defense
Count 13
Column % 2%
Education
Count 165
Column % 26%
Health Care
Count 111
Column % 18%
Jobs and Economy
Count 52
Column % 8%
Transportation
Count 10
Column % 2%
Immigration
Count 196
Column % 31%
Gun Policies
Count 30
Column % 5%
Something else
Count 30
Column % 5%
Unsure
Count 20
Column % 3%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

9
2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

Do you believe that Arizona is on the right track or heading in the wrong direction?
Total
Sample Size 628
Right track
Count 244
Column % 39%
Wrong direction
Count 247
Column % 39%
Don't Know
Count 136
Column % 22%
Refused
Count 1
Column % 0%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

10
2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

When you cast your vote for a member of Congress, which party will you vote for?
Total
Sample Size 628
The Republican Candidate
Count 278
Column % 44%
The Democratic Candidate
Count 278
Column % 44%
Other
Count 31
Column % 5%
Unsure
Count 39
Column % 6%
Refused
Count 2
Column % 0%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

11
2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for?
Total
Sample Size 628
Bernie Sanders
Count 214
Column % 34%
Donald Trump
Count 295
Column % 47%
Undecided
Count 113
Column % 18%
Refused
Count 6
Column % 1%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

12
2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for?
Total
Sample Size 628
Joe Biden
Count 277
Column % 44%
Donald Trump
Count 289
Column % 46%
Undecided
Count 60
Column % 10%
Refused
Count 2
Column % 0%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

13
2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for?
Total
Sample Size 628
Pete Buttigieg
Count 268
Column % 43%
Donald Trump
Count 285
Column % 45%
Undecided
Count 74
Column % 12%
Refused
Count 2
Column % 0%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

14
2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for?
Total
Sample Size 628
Elizabeth Warren
Count 256
Column % 41%
Donald Trump
Count 293
Column % 47%
Undecided
Count 75
Column % 12%
Refused
Count 4
Column % 1%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

15
2020 General Election Generated on December 8, 2019
2020 Likely General Election Voter via Blended Phone Poll
628 Likely Arizona Voters - MOE +/- 3.91%
Conducted December 3rd-4th, 2019

If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for?
Total
Sample Size 628
Mike Bloomberg
Count 253
Column % 40%
Donald Trump
Count 294
Column % 47%
Undecided
Count 78
Column % 12%
Refused
Count 3
Column % 0%

Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter

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