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Default assumptions
I will assume that your firm will have a cost of capital similar to that of typical mature companies (riskfree rate + 4.5%)
Do you want to override this assumption = No Mature companies generally see their risk levels ap
If yes, enter the cost of capital after year 10 = 9% Though some sectors, even in stable growth, may h
I will assume that your firm will earn a return on capital equal to its cost of capital after year 10
Do you want to override this assumption = No Mature companies find it difficult to generate retur
If yes, enter the return on capital you expect after year 15% But there are significant exceptions among compan
I will assume that your firm has no chance of failure in the next 10 years
Do you want to override this assumption = No Many young, growth companies fail, especially if th
If yes, enter the probability of failure in the next 10 ye 20% Tough to estimate but a key input.
I will asssume that you have no NOL coming into the valuation
Do you want to override this assumption = No Check the financial statements.
If yes, enter the NOL that you are carrying over into ye $100.00 An NOL will shield your income from taxes, even af
c information
c information
timated number but does not affect value
c information
but made up this number
ry bond rate
ublic companies
nies find it difficult to generate returns that exceed the cost of capital
ignificant exceptions among companies with long-lasting competitive advantages
ncial statements.
eld your income from taxes, even after you start making money
Base year 1 2 3 4 5
Revenue growth rate 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00% 50.00%
Revenues $ 243.00 $ 364.50 $ 546.75 $ 820.13 $ 1,230.19 $ 1,845.28
EBIT (Operating) margin 8.23% 8.91% 9.58% 10.26% 10.94% 11.62%
EBIT (Operating income) $ 20.00 $ 32.47 $ 52.40 $ 84.16 $ 134.56 $ 214.33
EBIT(1-t) $ 20.00 $ 20.13 $ 32.49 $ 52.18 $ 83.43 $ 132.89
- Reinvestment $ 56.78 $ 85.16 $ 127.75 $ 191.62 $ 287.43
FCFF $ (36.65) $ (52.67) $ (75.57) $ (108.19) $ (154.54)
NOL $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
Implied variables
Sales to capital ratio 2.14 2.14 2.14 2.14 2.14
Invested capital $ 33 $ 90 $ 175 $ 303 $ 494 $ 782
ROIC 60.61% 22.42% 18.57% 17.24% 16.88% 17.00%
6 7 8 9 10 Terminal year
40.66% 31.32% 21.98% 12.64% 3.30% 3.30%
$ 2,595.57 $ 3,408.51 $ 4,157.70 $ 4,683.23 $ 4,837.77 $ 4,997.42
12.29% 12.97% 13.65% 14.32% 15.00% 15.00%
$ 319.05 $ 442.05 $ 567.36 $ 670.78 $ 725.67 $ 749.61
$ 197.81 $ 274.07 $ 351.76 $ 415.88 $ 449.91 $ 464.76
$ 350.60 $ 379.88 $ 350.09 $ 245.58 $ 72.22 $ 196.63
$ (152.79) $ (105.80) $ 1.68 $ 170.31 $ 377.70 $ 268.13
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
After year 10
2.14 2.14 2.14 2.14 2.14
$ 1,132 $ 1,512 $ 1,862 $ 2,108 $ 2,180
17.47% 18.12% 18.89% 19.73% 20.64% 7.80%
VALUATION DIAGNOSTICS: CONAME
Inputs
15%
Decrease margin until return in year 10 = cost of capital
7.81%
Industry Name Number of Firms Average BetaUnlevered Beta corrected for cashMarket D/E Ratio
Advertising 28 1.79 1.55 36.55%
Aerospace/Defense 63 1.15 1.07 23.64%
Air Transport 40 1.21 0.95 52.64%
Apparel 48 1.35 1.32 15.80%
Auto Parts 47 1.78 1.58 24.67%
Automotive 19 1.50 0.93 108.58%
Bank 418 0.75 0.47 85.86%
Bank (Canadian) 7 0.86 0.84 13.77%
Bank (Midwest) 40 0.96 0.68 69.03%
Beverage 34 0.92 0.86 13.09%
Biotechnology 120 1.13 1.20 13.24%
Building Materials 47 1.33 0.88 71.38%
Cable TV 24 1.43 0.97 68.40%
Canadian Energy 10 1.14 0.94 28.44%
Chemical (Basic) 17 1.28 1.19 18.75%
Chemical (Diversified) 31 1.51 1.39 21.07%
Chemical (Specialty) 83 1.37 1.20 23.06%
Coal 25 1.59 1.45 16.16%
Computer Software/Svcs 247 1.06 1.12 4.68%
Computers/Peripherals 101 1.27 1.31 9.13%
Diversified Co. 111 1.22 0.76 99.77%
Drug 301 1.11 1.08 14.10%
E-Commerce 52 1.14 1.19 4.58%
Educational Services 37 0.79 0.84 8.89%
Electric Util. (Central) 23 0.78 0.46 96.84%
Electric Utility (East) 25 0.73 0.49 74.73%
Electric Utility (West) 14 0.75 0.49 83.18%
Electrical Equipment 79 1.32 1.29 10.91%
Electronics 158 1.13 1.13 18.40%
Engineering & Const 17 1.65 1.85 7.93%
Entertainment 75 1.72 1.38 37.99%
Entertainment Tech 31 1.39 1.55 7.80%
Environmental 69 0.85 0.64 41.13%
Financial Svcs. (Div.) 230 1.37 0.75 135.83%
Food Processing 109 0.87 0.74 28.98%
Foreign Electronics 9 1.14 1.23 29.55%
Funeral Services 5 1.22 0.94 50.78%
Furn/Home Furnishings 30 1.67 1.49 26.18%
Healthcare Information 26 0.94 0.96 4.86%
Heavy Truck/Equip Makers 8 1.94 1.55 46.41%
Homebuilding 24 1.39 1.05 89.05%
Hotel/Gaming 52 1.76 1.33 49.08%
Household Products 22 1.17 1.05 18.38%
Human Resources 24 1.44 1.57 9.14%
Industrial Services 137 0.96 0.86 26.26%
Information Services 26 1.10 0.98 20.21%
Insurance (Life) 31 1.39 1.44 18.28%
Insurance (Prop/Cas.) 67 0.92 0.94 11.12%
Internet 180 1.11 1.21 1.57%
Machinery 114 1.22 1.05 28.52%
Maritime 53 1.37 0.64 138.71%
Medical Services 139 0.88 0.80 38.70%
Medical Supplies 231 1.02 1.01 11.48%
Metal Fabricating 30 1.44 1.44 18.24%
Metals & Mining (Div.) 69 1.33 1.25 11.01%
Natural Gas (Div.) 32 1.25 0.99 34.98%
Natural Gas Utility 27 0.65 0.45 62.04%
Newspaper 13 1.71 1.34 46.80%
Office Equip/Supplies 24 1.45 1.19 45.11%
Oil/Gas Distribution 12 0.97 0.61 75.32%
Oilfield Svcs/Equip. 95 1.48 1.34 18.94%
Packaging & Container 27 1.06 0.85 44.52%
Paper/Forest Products 37 1.52 1.01 71.26%
Petroleum (Integrated) 23 1.21 1.12 18.37%
Petroleum (Producing) 163 1.36 1.17 22.47%
Pharmacy Services 19 0.96 0.87 20.38%
Pipeline MLPs 11 0.85 0.61 42.18%
Power 68 1.34 0.78 98.86%
Precious Metals 74 1.18 1.15 6.76%
Precision Instrument 83 1.27 1.31 11.20%
Property Management 27 1.20 0.58 144.04%
Public/Private Equity 8 2.18 1.20 104.42%
Publishing 23 1.30 0.96 57.88%
R.E.I.T. 6 1.29 1.07 30.86%
Railroad 14 1.28 1.10 27.19%
Recreation 52 1.50 1.21 37.21%
Reinsurance 8 0.98 1.09 15.27%
Restaurant 60 1.33 1.21 16.09%
Retail (Special Lines) 143 1.54 1.48 17.17%
Retail Automotive 15 1.44 1.25 27.52%
Retail Building Supply 8 0.92 0.85 13.61%
Retail Store 38 1.33 1.19 25.22%
Retail/Wholesale Food 29 0.74 0.63 42.10%
Securities Brokerage 25 1.25 0.75 149.83%
Semiconductor 115 1.56 1.68 6.24%
Semiconductor Equip 14 1.79 1.97 5.84%
Shoe 18 1.31 1.48 1.71%
Steel (General) 19 1.59 1.43 23.47%
Steel (Integrated) 13 1.72 1.43 36.84%
Telecom. Equipment 104 1.04 1.22 10.71%
Telecom. Services 85 1.01 0.84 34.06%
Telecom. Utility 28 1.03 0.66 84.06%
Thrift 181 0.70 0.74 7.81%
Tobacco 13 0.73 0.66 21.57%
Toiletries/Cosmetics 15 1.27 1.19 19.52%
Trucking 33 1.20 0.97 42.14%
Utility (Foreign) 5 0.99 0.70 58.68%
Water Utility 12 0.70 0.47 77.89%
Wireless Networking 48 1.25 1.15 18.19%
Total Market 5928 1.15 0.96 36.04%
Cost of Equity Cost of Debt D/(D+E) Cost of Capital ROC ROE Net Margin After-tax Operating Margin
11.80% 6.29% 26.77% 10.11% 9.79% 0.46% 1.15% 7.70%
8.74% 4.79% 19.12% 7.79% 23.55% 23.91% 2.77% 8.02%
9.01% 5.29% 34.49% 7.32% 12.96% 0.11% 1.86% 5.83%
9.70% 5.29% 13.64% 8.95% 17.16% 11.79% 6.49% 8.70%
11.71% 5.79% 19.79% 10.38% 14.31% 4.15% 2.18% 5.79%
10.40% 4.79% 52.06% 6.97% 12.11% -24.81% -0.83% 6.66%
6.82% 4.79% 46.20% 5.58% NA 2.54% NA NA
7.39% 4.29% 12.10% 6.91% NA 11.01% NA NA
7.84% 4.29% 40.84% 6.07% NA 0.46% NA NA
7.63% 5.29% 11.57% 7.24% 23.26% 28.15% 7.46% 16.12%
8.66% 6.29% 11.69% 8.34% 13.79% 6.60% 6.97% 15.10%
9.60% 5.79% 41.65% 7.73% 11.22% 1.99% -0.57% 13.86%
10.07% 4.79% 40.62% 7.48% 14.10% 11.20% 4.08% 21.19%
8.69% 4.29% 22.14% 7.62% 18.03% 7.02% 10.01% 33.51%
9.38% 4.79% 15.79% 8.48% 21.71% 19.70% 4.67% 14.35%
10.46% 5.29% 17.40% 9.34% 18.99% 12.40% 3.46% 13.12%
9.78% 5.29% 18.74% 8.79% 17.58% 13.65% 3.11% 10.52%
10.82% 5.29% 13.91% 9.96% 24.20% 17.18% 10.06% 18.89%
8.31% 5.79% 4.47% 8.16% 41.96% 24.38% 9.67% 19.61%
9.33% 7.29% 8.37% 9.10% 41.12% 26.57% 4.94% 10.57%
9.07% 5.29% 49.94% 6.73% 10.98% 13.13% 3.70% 17.08%
8.55% 7.29% 12.36% 8.34% 22.06% 17.21% 8.32% 23.85%
8.68% 5.29% 4.38% 8.49% 16.02% 6.76% 3.32% 8.15%
7.05% 5.29% 8.16% 6.79% 33.53% 22.74% 7.06% 11.77%
6.99% 4.29% 49.20% 5.13% 10.21% 9.70% 8.55% 18.55%
6.74% 4.29% 42.77% 5.13% 11.25% 11.82% 4.88% 18.99%
6.83% 4.29% 45.41% 5.06% 10.78% 9.75% 8.48% 19.23%
9.54% 5.29% 9.83% 9.04% 18.44% 16.59% 5.78% 12.66%
8.63% 5.79% 15.54% 8.07% 15.92% 9.03% 2.25% 5.62%
11.12% 5.29% 7.35% 10.58% 20.10% 12.36% 3.17% 4.58%
11.44% 6.29% 27.53% 9.76% 11.56% 9.20% 4.19% 15.41%
9.87% 6.29% 7.24% 9.58% 6.84% -1.60% 3.61% 6.38%
7.32% 6.29% 29.14% 6.82% 12.00% 11.17% 3.57% 14.29%
9.79% 5.79% 57.60% 6.87% 6.82% -35.39% 5.54% 20.57%
7.41% 4.79% 22.47% 6.59% 15.80% 17.91% 2.70% 7.81%
8.68% 4.29% 22.81% 7.39% 11.68% -0.31% 1.69% 5.38%
9.08% 4.29% 33.68% 7.05% 10.66% 11.81% 9.07% 13.17%
11.19% 5.29% 20.75% 9.78% 11.99% 5.49% 3.37% 5.98%
7.76% 5.29% 4.64% 7.59% 17.97% 7.85% 3.39% 10.01%
12.50% 5.79% 31.70% 10.00% 12.58% 3.47% 4.55% 6.70%
9.88% 5.29% 47.10% 7.57% -17.00% -38.66% -0.77% -17.12%
11.63% 5.79% 32.92% 9.41% 8.66% 4.81% 0.79% 13.37%
8.82% 4.79% 15.53% 7.99% 18.46% 21.44% 11.96% 15.54%
10.13% 5.29% 8.38% 9.62% 10.12% 3.69% 0.37% 1.83%
7.83% 5.29% 20.80% 7.08% 15.41% 11.72% 1.88% 7.14%
8.49% 4.29% 16.81% 7.62% 15.75% 14.09% 5.27% 16.37%
9.86% 5.29% 15.46% 8.99% NA 9.09% NA NA
7.66% 4.29% 10.01% 7.24% NA 11.48% NA NA
8.54% 7.29% 1.54% 8.51% 33.77% 12.48% 7.73% 15.52%
9.05% 5.29% 22.19% 7.99% 15.27% 14.36% 2.63% 10.10%
9.79% 5.29% 58.11% 6.97% 11.34% 12.67% 3.37% 30.96%
7.47% 5.79% 27.90% 6.67% 16.71% 13.47% 3.15% 6.13%
8.13% 5.79% 10.29% 7.81% 22.36% 18.54% 3.74% 9.02%
10.12% 5.29% 15.42% 9.19% 18.19% 11.85% 3.73% 11.91%
9.59% 7.29% 9.92% 9.31% 18.61% 14.56% 3.98% 22.33%
9.23% 4.79% 25.91% 7.89% 14.08% 9.93% 16.37% 32.41%
6.35% 4.29% 38.29% 5.17% 11.38% 11.10% 2.49% 11.26%
11.40% 5.79% 31.88% 9.06% 10.07% 5.86% 2.82% 8.25%
10.17% 5.29% 31.09% 8.41% 14.74% 10.85% 3.66% 5.75%
7.90% 5.29% 42.96% 6.44% 11.66% 13.13% 4.19% 20.98%
10.32% 4.79% 15.92% 9.31% 19.02% 16.75% 5.00% 23.32%
8.32% 4.79% 30.80% 6.93% 17.60% 15.15% 5.25% 10.66%
10.48% 6.29% 41.61% 8.34% 13.13% -6.09% 1.04% 12.31%
9.03% 4.29% 15.52% 8.11% 15.12% 11.93% 7.10% 8.91%
9.76% 6.29% 18.35% 9.02% 22.24% 9.69% 4.41% 32.05%
7.85% 5.29% 16.93% 7.20% 14.08% 12.83% 2.58% 4.32%
7.34% 4.29% 29.67% 6.40% 12.52% 14.89% 7.47% 14.78%
9.64% 6.29% 49.71% 7.74% 11.83% 7.94% 1.50% 15.44%
8.90% 6.29% 6.33% 8.70% 9.87% 5.44% 12.43% 25.01%
9.32% 5.29% 10.07% 8.85% 15.47% 8.05% 5.71% 11.77%
8.99% 5.29% 59.02% 6.32% 7.63% 3.23% 3.66% 22.07%
13.62% 5.79% 51.08% 9.61% -10.39% -6.59% 18.10% -83.38%
9.47% 4.79% 36.66% 7.31% 23.00% 55.74% 3.47% 12.72%
9.40% 4.79% 23.58% 8.20% 16.46% 9.77% 68.47% 138.72%
9.38% 4.29% 21.38% 8.05% 12.95% 12.84% 8.68% 24.70%
10.40% 5.79% 27.12% 8.88% 11.44% 8.99% 3.85% 14.10%
7.91% 4.29% 13.25% 7.35% NA 13.06% NA NA
9.58% 5.29% 13.86% 8.82% 23.32% 27.13% 5.12% 13.45%
10.57% 5.79% 14.65% 9.71% 20.14% 11.19% 2.05% 5.86%
10.10% 4.79% 21.58% 8.62% 13.11% 15.84% 3.99% 5.07%
7.64% 4.29% 11.98% 7.10% 15.06% 12.48% 4.71% 6.49%
9.61% 4.79% 20.14% 8.39% 15.82% 15.70% 1.63% 4.41%
6.82% 4.29% 29.63% 5.63% 16.96% 13.81% 1.73% 3.63%
9.21% 4.79% 59.97% 5.78% 10.87% 11.17% 8.29% 19.56%
10.68% 5.29% 5.87% 10.34% 23.32% 6.99% 10.57% 18.35%
11.77% 5.29% 5.52% 11.40% 8.64% -1.32% 22.97% 7.18%
9.52% 4.79% 1.68% 9.42% 30.79% 15.53% 8.95% 8.66%
10.83% 4.79% 19.01% 9.56% 4.75% -2.01% 3.58% 3.01%
11.44% 5.29% 26.92% 9.55% 14.67% 10.55% 2.11% 15.05%
8.24% 5.79% 9.68% 7.93% 23.21% 6.63% 4.34% 9.10%
8.10% 5.29% 25.41% 7.19% 22.89% 13.75% 4.85% 28.64%
8.16% 4.79% 45.67% 6.09% 22.72% 16.35% 3.77% 26.67%
6.61% 4.79% 7.25% 6.43% NA -1.59% NA NA
6.77% 5.79% 17.74% 6.36% 29.29% 48.24% 5.60% 15.70%
9.31% 4.79% 16.33% 8.40% 27.12% 32.29% 6.50% 8.81%
8.97% 5.29% 29.65% 7.48% 11.58% -0.38% 1.73% 6.09%
7.97% 4.29% 36.98% 6.29% 9.53% 3.80% 0.31% 8.62%
6.61% 3.79% 43.78% 4.79% 7.53% 7.07% 6.08% 24.33%
9.24% 5.29% 15.39% 8.53% 15.42% 10.03% 5.65% 14.73%
8.72% 5.29% 26.49% 7.60% 16.59% 10.28% 4.47% 14.84%
Pre-tax Operating MarginSales/Capital Reinvestment Rate
13.75% 1.27 -21.48%
11.46% 2.94 2.92%
10.17% 2.22 25.03%
13.15% 1.97 7.62%
8.23% 2.47 -0.44%
8.33% 1.82 4.63%
NA NA 0.00%
NA NA 0.00%
NA NA 0.00%
21.54% 1.44 2.52%
27.94% 0.91 -3.96%
14.55% 0.81 -11.33%
34.01% 0.67 -7.87%
37.52% 0.54 36.94%
17.14% 1.51 17.10%
19.29% 1.45 26.08%
14.36% 1.67 7.86%
23.53% 1.28 13.98%
27.49% 2.14 -6.93%
13.89% 3.89 -5.57%
21.19% 0.64 -6.31%
32.12% 0.92 -29.03%
12.02% 1.97 -1.19%
18.55% 2.85 -1.61%
26.80% 0.55 55.36%
28.32% 0.59 63.04%
28.36% 0.56 63.94%
17.55% 1.46 9.49%
7.97% 2.83 10.53%
6.69% 4.38 0.82%
24.01% 0.75 -5.43%
8.33% 1.07 -62.93%
23.70% 0.84 -2.37%
26.07% 0.33 24.40%
11.05% 2.02 11.36%
8.34% 2.17 -18.30%
20.61% 0.81 -6.00%
8.29% 2.01 -24.99%
15.26% 1.80 -23.43%
10.17% 1.88 -22.53%
1.02% 0.99 NA
18.60% 0.65 39.18%
22.00% 1.19 2.10%
3.71% 5.54 -12.80%
10.73% 2.16 12.53%
21.45% 0.96 -8.83%
NA NA 0.77%
NA NA 72.42%
20.64% 2.18 -7.15%
13.82% 1.51 13.86%
33.86% 0.37 76.91%
9.76% 2.73 0.33%
12.17% 2.48 0.02%
16.07% 1.53 26.23%
35.73% 0.83 45.02%
42.09% 0.43 99.83%
16.80% 1.01 29.96%
16.18% 1.22 -59.73%
8.14% 2.56 -8.37%
24.80% 0.56 87.33%
30.58% 0.82 41.47%
14.40% 1.65 -7.84%
14.96% 1.07 -23.96%
14.73% 1.70 61.48%
43.05% 0.69 54.97%
6.84% 3.26 1.22%
15.13% 0.85 32.68%
22.74% 0.77 81.59%
36.82% 0.39 79.31%
15.32% 1.31 -14.52%
31.67% 0.35 47.28%
20.69% 0.12 NA
18.87% 1.81 -12.51%
151.62% 0.12 -7.77%
37.26% 0.52 32.15%
19.07% 0.81 45.40%
NA NA 9.74%
19.04% 1.73 14.02%
9.76% 3.44 41.81%
7.87% 2.58 134.58%
10.03% 2.32 -2.31%
6.76% 3.59 19.03%
5.44% 4.68 14.38%
27.29% 0.56 -105.93%
27.31% 1.27 -9.91%
9.81% 1.20 225.40%
12.00% 3.56 10.68%
4.31% 1.58 121.34%
19.54% 0.97 2.80%
14.56% 2.55 -20.24%
39.07% 0.80 -5.14%
38.83% 0.85 -14.93%
NA NA 0.00%
22.96% 1.87 -1.38%
12.77% 3.08 6.86%
11.78% 1.90 38.78%
14.64% 1.11 64.81%
37.41% 0.31 90.25%
21.16% 1.05 -62.83%
20.44% 1.12 7.80%