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TUGAS KELOMPOK KE -4
Nama Kelompok
53.
n = 100 sd 2001 = 48 sd 2007 = 132 miau 2001 =210 miau 2007 = 600
A. Compute in 2001
B. Compute in 2007
59
A. With items excededd 15%, 10%are known. Compute with n=50 and n=100
n=50
P(1 P)
CI P Z / 2
n
= 0,15-0,10/(√0,10(1-0,10))/50
= 0,119
n=100
P(1 P)
CI P Z / 2
n
= 0,15-0,10/(√0,10(1-0,10))/100
= 0,166
11.
-Yes, because the observation is under 25 and the standart deviation is know
= 2,0992
15
Sample (n) = 28
X = 5,25 , Sd = 0,50
Normal distribution
Rumus
s
CI X Z / 2
n
s
CI X Z / 2
n
17.
n = 26
X = 218 , sd = 72
A. The asummption is they have a sd and x and n so its make it normally distribution
21
N= 24
X = 104,6 , S= 28,8
C. What the impact of Confidence Interval Level on the width of the interval
-More hight of confidence Interval Level, the width of Interval More wider
Hal 255
27.
X = 158.000 = 36.000
CI X Z / 2 X
n
= 158.000 11.760
CI= ( 146.240;169.760)
Xi 71 73 75 76 78 81 454 75,67
n 6 6
S
( Xi X )
n 1
(71 75.67) (73 75,67) (75 75,67) (76 75,67) (78 75,67) (81 75,67) / 5
(0,02)
2
0,00894
5
B. CI = 90% =10%=0,1
s
CI X Z / 2
n
=75,67 0,00245
CI = (75,66;75,67)
Margin Error --> CI increase, N (sample size) increase, impact to error decrease.
Margin Error will be reduce because confidence interval increase effect from bigger sample size to
reduce error.
41.
A. P = 560/1200 = 0,467
P(1 P)
P P Z / 2
n
0,467(1 0,467)
0,467 1,645
560
0,467 0,0346
B. the proportion of middle-income Americans that actively participate in the stock market is not
50%?
No, since the confidence interval is contain the value of 0,50 or 50%
P
43,24 46,7 50 50,16
There is a limit of interval (43,24; 50,16) and show 50 are still in interval.
43.
P = x/n =1/5 = 0,20, is point estimate of the population proportion of successes ( P , known as point
estimate)
P(1 P)
CI P Z / 2
n
= 0,20 0,0238
47.
B.
P(1 P)
CI P Z / 2
n
0,25(1 0,25)
0,25 1,96
80
0,25 0,0948
Case 1:
P (1 P )
E Z / 2
n
50(49)
2,6 1,28
n
1,28 2
n( ) x 2450
2,6
N= 0,243 x 2450
Case 2
P (1 P )
E Z / 2
n
50(49)
2,6 1,96
n
1,49 2
n( ) x 2450
2,6
n= 0,5682 x 2450
n=1392
The higher confidence interval need a higher sample size. ( from 590 wtith 80% CI to 1392 with 95% CI)
Halaman 263
59.
A. 𝑝̅ = 0.7
n = 400
margin error = 90%
𝑝(𝑝−1) 0.7×0.3
𝑝̅ ± 𝑍𝛼⁄2 × √ 𝑛
= 0.7 ±1.645 × √ 400
Upper = 0.7377
Lower = 0.6623
2
𝑍𝛼⁄
2 1.645 2
n= ( 𝐸
) × 𝑝 × (1 − 𝑝) = ( 0.02 ) × 0.7 × 0.3 = 1420.66 ≈ 1421
Semakin banyak sample yang digunakan maka akan semakin kecil kemungkinan errornya
61.
𝑍𝛼⁄ = 2.57
2
65.
A. n = 6
549+449+705+529+639+609
𝜇= 6
= 580
∑(𝑥− 𝑥̅ ) 40607
S=√ 𝑛−1
=√ 5
= 90.11
𝑡𝛼⁄ = 2.571
2
𝑆 90.11
𝑥̅ ± 𝑡𝛼⁄2.𝑑𝑓 × = 580 ±2.571 ×
√𝑛 √6
Upper = 674.580
Lower = 485.410
B. With 95% confidence interval that the average sale price in San Luis Obispo County is between
$485,410,000 and $674,580,000.
67.
A.𝜇 = 1.22
𝜎 = 0.06
𝑍𝛼⁄2 = 1.96
n = 26
𝝈 𝟎.𝟎𝟔
𝝁 ± 𝒁𝜶⁄ . × = 1.22 ±𝟏. 𝟗𝟔 ×
𝟐 √𝒏 √𝟑𝟔
Upper = 1.2396
Lower = 1.2004
69.
A. 𝑝̅ = 0.82
n = 50
𝑍𝛼⁄2 = 2.57
𝒑(𝒑−𝟏) 𝟎.𝟖𝟐×𝟎.𝟏𝟖
̅ ± 𝒁𝜶⁄ × √
𝒑 = 0.82 ±𝟐. 𝟓𝟕 × √ = 𝟎. 𝟖𝟐 ± 𝟎. 𝟏𝟑𝟗𝟔
𝟐 𝒏 𝟓𝟎
Lower = 0.6804
Upper = 0.9596
B. E if margin of error with 99% confidence
𝑝(𝑝−1) 0.82×0.18
E = 𝑍𝛼⁄2 × √ 𝑛
= 2.57 × √ 50
= 0.1396
75.
A. large a sample is required to estimate the proportion of adults under 30
𝑝̅ = 0.85
E = 0.05
𝑍𝛼⁄ = 1.96
2
2
𝑍𝛼⁄
2 1.96 2
n= ( 𝐸
) × 𝑝 × (1 − 𝑝) = (0.05) × 0.85 × 0.15 = 195.92 ≈ 196
Halaman 277
7.
a.) I am going to get the majority of the votes to win this election -> there is claim -> to win, so this
is Null Hypothesis,
Ho = K
Ha ≠K
b.) I suspect that your 10 – inch pizzas are, on average, less than 10 inches in size -> there is claim ->
less then, so this is Null Hypothesis,
Ho ≤ K
Ha > K
c.) I will have to fine company since its tablets do not contain an average of 250 mg of ibuprofon as
advertised -> there is claim alternative hypothesis,
Ha ≠ K
Ho = K
9.
a.) The probability is, we reject Ho and Ho is true, so the probability of type I error is 0.05
b.) From the conclusion of the test, we do not reject Ho and from the test there is Ho false, so the
probability is 0.005
c.) the individual will reject Ho, or if we pot in notation the individual will Ho false and reject Ho
because the value from both of them more than other.
d.) A wrong one is the individuals didn’t want to say the truth, he is actually want to lie appealed
say the truth.
Halaman 287
a.) P value -> P(x̄ ≥ 13.4 | H = 12.6)
=P[13.4 – 12.6]
3.2/√25
= P(Z ≥ 1.25) -> 0.5 -0.3944 = 0.1056
b.) If a 0.1, so the p value of α = 0.1 is 0.108
Do not reject Ho since p values = 0.1056 > α = 0.1
c.) So the p value of P = P(x̄ ≥ 13.4 | H = 12.6)
= P[13.4 – 12.6]
3.2/√100
= P -> (z ≥ 2.5) -> 0.5 -0.4938 = 0.0062
d.) So, the p value of a = 0.1 is 0.1003
Reject Ho because p values < α=0.1 (0.1003)
13.
a.) There is two ways to find it -> you can search log to find value of Z or x̄, because both of them is
critical value
For a=0.01,
- the z method
This is one tailed with a=0.01 so the test statistic -> Z = x̄ - H
Ɵ/√n
= 144 – 150
28/√80
= -1.9
- the x̄ method
x̄ = H – Za x Ɵ/√n
= 150 – 1.645 x 28/√80
= 144.852
b.) the answer is can not because since Z = -1.9 > -2.323, we cannot reject Ho or in simple word the
value of critical value z > zx
c.) yes, because since 144(x̄) < 144.852 (x̄a), this condition will reject Ho
19
35
a.) Ho = H = 1.2pounds
Ha = H ≠ 1.2pounds
b.) Z = x̄ - H
Ɵ/√n
= 1.22 – 1.2
0.06/√36
=2
c.) P value -> P (Z ≤ 2) + P (Z ≥ 2) = 2 x 0.0228
= 0.0456
So reject Ho since p value = 0.0028 < α = 0.25 or in the other words, machine is working
improperly
d.) x̄ = H ± Za x Ɵ/√n
= 1.2 ± α 0.1
= 1.2 + 0.2 = 1.4.....1
= 1.2 – 0.2 = 1.......2
So, (1 ≤ H ≤ 1.4)
No 42.
X = 9,6 , N=34% , Sd = 5,2%
H0 = 𝜇 ≤ 7
H1 = 𝜇 > 7
9,6% − 7%
t33 = 5,2%
= 2, 92
√34
Halaman 297.
No 55
a. H0 = 𝜇 ≤ 0,82
H1 = 𝜇 > 0,82
b.
0,75 − 0,82
z= = -1,822
0,82(1−0,82)
√
100
p value = 0,1401
c. -1,822 < 0,05. P-value < 0,05. Reject H0
H1 = 𝜇 > 0,78
b.
0,75 − 0,78
z= = -0,145
0,78(1−0,78)
√
4
p value = 0,4443
5% = 0,05 . 0,4443 > 0,05
P value > 0,05, do not reject H0
Halaman 301 no 63
a. H0 = 𝜇 ≥ 10
H1 = 𝜇 < 10
b. df = 45-1 = 44
10,5 − 10
t= 1,8
= 1,86
√45
halaman 301 no 65
a. H0 = 𝜇 ≥ 20
H1 = 𝜇 < 20
N = 32
df = n-1 = 32-1 = 31
22,8 − 20
t stat = t= 5,42
= 2,17
√32
so, t stat < t crit , we do not reject H0, city should not increase the transportation budget