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REPORT
November 06, 2018
Market Cap. (in Mn) 52 Week H/L CMP Target Price
Engineers India Ltd. Rs. 68,562.40 139.45/100.45 102.25 125.08
Market leader having a strong track record
STOCK DATA Engineers India Ltd (EIL) is well placed in a highly competitive market in the engineering and construction segment with an
Recommendation BUY impressive record of executing more than 5,000 assignments and 400 major projects cumulatively valued at around $200 Bn.
EIL presence in well noted in 19 out of 22 refineries setup in India. EIL has Installed 10 out of the 11 mega petrochemical
Reuters Code ENGI.BO plant in India. EIL has leveraged its strong track record in the Indian hydrocarbon and petrochemical sector to successfully
Bloomberg Code ENGR IN expand operations internationally and over the years, the Company has emerged as a global player with the execution of a
BSE Code 532178 number of assignments for international energy majors in Middle East, Africa and South East Asia.
NSE Symbol ENGINEERSIN Robust Financials
Face Value Rs. 5 The company’s zero debt balance sheet, high return ratios and the large cash balance makes the company more competitive
Shares and attractive in the engineering and construction space and allows it to be prepared for any unforeseen circumstances or
631.9 Mn liquidity issues.
Outstanding*
Strong Growth and Increasing Order Book
Avg. Daily The topline of the company grew by 36.7% on a YoY basis in FY19 to INR 24,443 Mn. In FY19 the total order book of the
2,004,104
Volume (6m) company increased by 42.1% to INR 1,11,887 Mn, where the order book in the consultancy business grew by 3.3% and the
Price Performance (%) same in the turnkey business grew by 85.9% growth. The order book of the company was dominated by the turnkey
1M 3M 6M segment suggesting a possibility of margin pressure in the future because the margins in the turnkey business are
(13) (6) (5) comparatively much lower than in the consultancy business.
200 Days EMA Rs. 115 OUTLOOK & VALUATION
* On fully diluted equity Shares The Company has established market leadership position in the country when it comes to engineering and construction
SHARE HOLDING (%) solutions for petrochemical companies. The company’s topline has grown by 36.7% in FY19 where as the bottom line is
more or less flat implying that the increase in turnkey orders, which have low and fixed margins, has created margin
Promoters 52.0
pressure on the company and we expect that the growth of the company will taper down to ~10% CAGR over the next 2
FII 6.5 years owing to the slowdown in consultancy business. We expect the company to deliver an earnings per share of INR
FI/Bank 26.1 6.36 in FY20 & INR 6.95 in FY21 as against INR 5.85 in FY19. Assigning a target multiple of 18x, we derive a price target of
Body Corporate - INR 125.08 over the next 15-24 months, which is an upside of ~21% from current levels. At current level of INR 102.25,
Public & Others 15.4 the stock trades at ~16X of FY20(E) & ~15X of FY21(E) earnings, which we believe makes it a BUY.
COMPANY OVERVIEW
ENGINEERS INDIA LTD (EIL) is a leading global engineering consultancy and EPC company. Established in 1965, EIL broadly
operates in two main business segments namely Consultancy Segment and Turnkey Segment, though focused on the Oil & Gas and
Petrochemical Industries the company also offers complete solutions to its clients in sectors such as Infrastructure, Water and Waste
Management, Solar & Nuclear Power and Fertilizers industries. EIL is a ‘Total Solutions’ engineering consultancy company providing
design, engineering, procurement, construction and integrated project management services from ‘Concept to Commissioning’ with
highest quality and safety standards.
EIL has a strong track record in the oil & gas value chain – offshore platforms, oil & gas processing, oil refining, petrochemicals
and pipeline projects. EIL is the preferred partner of all major oil & gas PSUs like IOC, ONGC, HPCL, BPCL, CPCL and MRPL. EIL has a
leadership position in project implementation in almost all major oil & gas verticals. EIL’s technological excellence is driven by 2,339
engineers & professionals in a competent employee base of 2768 employees as on March 31, 2019. The availability of technical
resources per annum is about 4.6 Mn man-hours in EIL’s design offices along with 1.19 Mn man-hours of construction management
services.
1965-67 1969-74 1975-80 1989-94 1997
• EIL Founded & • Expanded into
• Company listed on
began work in petrochemicals, • Expansion in the
BSE & NSE.
refinery segment. metallurgy & offshore and • Set up its R&D
• Miniratna status
• Became wholly fertilizer projects & onshore Oil & Gas centre at Gurgaon.
accorded to the
owned Govt. commenced Segment
company.
Subsidy. overseas operations
2017
2015-16 2014 2007-13 2001-06
onwards
• Foray into
• JV with NFL & FCIL • Conferred Navratna • Successful FPO of infrastructure
with formation of status by GoI. 33.6 Mn shares of sector
• Buy back of shares • Commenced
RFCL • Received largest INR 5 Each.
of EIL services related to
• 10% stake offloaded order from Dangote • Expansion into
by GOI (FPO/OFS). group Nigeria. Fertilizer project sub-surface crude
storages
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
EIL’s key business segments are Consultancy Services And Turnkey (EPC) Contracts. In the Consultancy Segment, the company
provides the complete range of services required to conceptualize, design, engineer and construct projects to meet client specific
needs where the company’s association with clients extends beyond the commissioning of their plants through monitoring operations
of each plant and accumulating feedback on performance.
In the Turnkey (EPC) Contracts, EIL undertakes projects wherein it takes single point responsibility for managing all elements of
project execution viz. basic & detailed engineering, procurement, plant erection, construction and commissioning. EIL's EPC contracts
generally fall in two broad categories: lump sum turnkey (LSTK) contracts and open book estimate (OBE) contracts. EIL offers EPC
services on its own as well as in association with other established equipment manufacturers and construction companies in India and
internationally.
LINE OF BUSINESS
PETROCHEMICAL &
OIL & GAS INFRASTRUCTURE FERTILIZERS
MINING
Oil and Gas Processing Petrochemicals Smart Cities Strategic Storage & Pipelines
BUSINESS SEGMENTS
CONSULTANCY SEGMENT
Contracts under which EIL provides services related to process engineering, detail engineering,
Engineering, Procurement
procurement, construction supervision via coordination of various suppliers & contractors and
& Construction
commissioning & pre-commissioning.
Front End Engineering Upstream process design, residual design and front-end engineering for complete definition of
Design scope for selection of EPC contractor.
Project Management Contracts under which EIL provides comprehensive project management services for
Consultancy implementation of a project though turnkey contractors ensuring.
TURNKEY SEGMENT
Fixed price contracts for engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) single-point
Lump Sum Turnkey (LSTK) responsibility for completion of a project within agreed schedule at awarded turnkey price
changes in scope of work are defined by change orders agreed by both parties.
Open book estimate (OBE) contracts (form of cost reimbursable contract) with a provision for
Open Book Estimate (OBE) conversion to LSTK for a project. Benefits under OBE contracts primarily relate to ensuring
control over the time and expenses for a project and greater certainty of outcome.
OVERSEAS PRESENCE
EIL was able to secure various engineering and consultancy assignments in Middle East, Africa, Central Asia, Mauritius and other
overseas geographies against stiff international competition. EIL is pursuing opportunities in other overseas territories as well to
augment its international footprints.
Nigeria Dangote Nigeria Indo Rama Oil & gas UAE NPCC, ADCO
Nigeria Brass Fertilizers Pipelines UAE GASCO
FERTILIZERS
Bangladesh ERL
REFINERY
OVERSEAS PROJECT
Eastern Refinery Limited Unit –II Project BPC Bangladesh
Dangote Refinery & Petrochemical Project DORC Nigeria
26,0 00
25.1% 25.0%
25. 0%
24,806
25,0 00
11.7%
24,0 00
15. 0%
23,105
23,0 00
10. 0%
5.0 %
22,0 00
0.0 %
21,0 00
1,20 0
15% 16%
900
13% 16%
15% 16%
11%
800 1,00 0
14%
700
12%
800
14% 15%
600 15%
10%
500
8%
600 14% 14%
400
14%
6%
400
300
13%
4%
200
200
100
- 0%
- 12%
Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19
EBITDA Margin (%) PAT Margin (%)
14,160
15,0 00 100 %
15,0 00
13,809 100 %
10,370
80%
9,762
81% 78% 60% 7,650 60%
68%
56% 56% 5,036 40%
4,083
40%
44% 44%
2,836
20% 33% 20%
22%
19%
- 0%
- 0%
2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
Revenue % of Total Income Revenue % of Total Income
1,04 0
30% 31%
1,02 0
30%
200
7% 8%
180
1,00 0
160
6% 6% 6% 7%
5%
980
6%
29%
140
960
28% 29%
120
5%
940
28%
100 4%
920
900
27% 28%
80
3%
27%
60
880
2%
27%
40
860
1%
896 900 964 1,019 1,011 121 147 175 143 163
26%
840 20
820 26% - 0%
Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19 Q4FY19
Operating Profit (INR Mn) Margin % Operating Profit (INR Mn) Margin %
45,0 00
40,0 00
34,118
35,0 00
30,0 00
25,0 00
20,319
20,0 00
9,900
6,103 4,420 3,860 2,200 2,644 3,036 4,797
10,0 00
5,00 0 911
-
68,763
70,0 00 Petroleum
60,0 00
50,0 00
30,0 00
7,786
10,0 00
Others
97.69%
-
INVESTMENT RATIONALE – Industry Potential IMPORTS AND DOMESTIC OIL PRODUCTION IN INDIA
• As of April 1, 2019, the oil refining capacity of India stood at 249.4 Mn (MBPD)
Tonnes, making it the second largest refiner in Asia. Private companies
own about 35.36% of the total refining capacity.
• India’s energy demand is expected to double to 1,516 MTOE by 2035 0.64 0.68
from 753.7 MTOE in 2017. More over, the country’s share in global 0.74 0.72
0.76 0.76 0.75
0.76
primary energy consumption is projected to increase by 2-folds by 0.67 0.75
2035.
• Consumption of petroleum products in India increased 4.1% to 210Mn
Tonnes in 2018.
• The oil and gas industry is growing robustly and players are
3.2 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.5
undertaking investments to cater to the burgeoning demand.
• The industry is expected to attract US$25Bn investments in exploration FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
and production by 2022. Oil Imports Oil Production
• The government allows 100% FDI in upstream and private sector
refining project. EXPORTS OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTS FROM INDIA
• In FY 19, total crude oil imports were valued at US $111.96 Bn as (MMT)
compared to US $87.70 Bn in FY18. In FY19, crude oil imports
increased to 4.53 MBPD from 4.41 MBPD in FY18. 67.9 65.5 66.8
63.4 63.9
• India is one of the largest exporters of refinery products due to the 59.1 60.8 60.5 61.1
presence of various refineries. The country had the fourth largest oil 51.2
refining capacity and fourth largest refinery globally in 2017.
• Exports of petroleum products from India increased from 51.15 MMT
in FY10 to 61.10 MMT in FY19.
• The total value of petroleum products exported from the country
increased to US $38.24Bn in FY19 from US $34.89Bn in FY18.
• HSD was the major export item among petroleum products, followed
by MS, ATF and Naphtha. FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19
Oil Imports
Source: IBEF, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, BP Statistical Review 2018. MTOE: Million Ton Oil Equivalent, MBPD: Million Barrels per day
July 29, 2019 13
ENGINEERS INDIA LTD.
UPSTREAM (Exploration)
ANNUAL CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION (IN MMT) CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION (IN MMT)
Source: IBEF, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, BP Statistical Review 2018.
July 29, 2019 14
ENGINEERS INDIA LTD.
PARTICULARS IOCl BPCL1 HPCL2 OIL ONGC CAIM HMEL GAIL & Petronet Total Industry
LENGTH (KMS)
Product Pipeline 8,769 2,241 3,341 654 - - - 2,395 17,430
Crude Oil Pipeline 5,301 937 - 1,193 1,283 688 1,017 - 10,419
Total 14,049 3,178 3,371 1,847 1,283 688 1,017 2,395 27,489
CAPACITY OF CRUDE OIL PIPELINES (MMTPA)
Product Pipeline 45.6 19.5 38.1 1.7 - - - 9.4 114.3
Crude Oil Pipeline 48.6 6.0 - 8.4 60.6 10.7 11.3 - 145.6
Total 94.2 25.5 38.1 10.1 60.6 10.7 11.3 9.4 259.9
Source: IBEF, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, BP Statistical Review 2018,BMI.
July 29, 2019 15
ENGINEERS INDIA LTD.
IOCL
4.6%
6.1%
91.2 88.0 RIL
91.1 8.0% 27.8%
88.5 88.7
88.3 88.2
81.4 81.2 BPCL
33.43 38.29 48.54 74.44
10.9%
HPCL
108.0 112.5 112.2 112.1 115.1 122.6 130.6 134.2 134.7 144.2 154.3 160.8 169.2 Essar
15.4%
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19* 27.4% ONGC
Public Sector Private Sector CPCL
88.2
95.0 95.0 105.5
76.5 93.0 95.0 95.0 95.0
Source: IBEF, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, BP Statistical Review 2018,BMI.
July 29, 2019 16
ENGINEERS INDIA LTD.
Source:
E&Y; Ministry of Petroleum and
Natural Gas, Aranca Research
INCOME STATEMENT
Amounts in INR Mn
BALANCE SHEET
Amounts in INR Mn
PARTICULARS FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E PARTICULARS FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Share capital 3,160 3,160 3,160 3,160 Current Liabilities 21,401 24,001 24,188 24,529
Reserves and surplus 19,519 19,599 21,024 22,581 Trades payable 2,180 2,476 2,662 3,003
Minority Interest - - - - Other Financial Liabilities 4,165 3,555 3,555 3,555
Net Worth 22,679 22,758 24,184 25,741 Other current liabilities 10,277 13,197 13,197 13,197
Short term provisions 4,667 4,761 4,761 4,761
Long term borrowings - - - -
Current Tax Liabilities (net) 112 13 13 13
Short term borrowings - - - -
Total Borrowings / Debt - - - -
Net Current Asset 14,160 13,479 14,905 16,462
Capital Employed 22,679 22,758 24,184 25,741
Non Current Assets 5,673 6,388 6,388 6,388
Gross Fixed Assets 3,070 2,976 2,976 2,976 Investments 2,190 2,740 2,740 2,740
Property, Plant & Equipment 2,204 2,159 2,243 2,306 Loans 338 399 399 399
Capital WIP 234 337 253 189 Other Financial Assets 9 4 4 4
Investment Property 288 274 274 274 Deferred Tax Assets(Net) 3,029 2,969 2,969 2,969
Intangible Assets 343 207 207 207 Non-Current Tax Assets (Net) 10 171 171 171
Other Non Current Assets 97 106 106 106
Current Assets 35,561 37,481 39,093 40,991
Inventories 11 69 44 49
Non Current Liabilities 224 85 85 85
Investments 250 461 461 461
Other Financial Liabilities 65 39 39 39
Trade receivables 5,449 4,141 5,435 6,170
Cash and cash equivalents 24,806 26,611 26,954 28,111 Long Term Provisions 73 31 31 31
Loans 103 131 131 131 Other Long Term Liabilities 86 15 15 15
Other Financial Assets 3,563 4,445 4,445 4,445
Other Current Assets 1,377 1,623 1,623 1,623 Capital Employed 22,679 22,758 24,184 25,741
Source: Company, Sushil Finance Research
July 29, 2019 19
ENGINEERS INDIA LTD.
FINANCIAL RATIOS
Ratios FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E Ratios FY18 FY19 FY20E FY21E
Growth (%) Valuations (x)
Revenue 23.4% 36.7% 11.2% 10.5% P/E 18.5 17.5 16.1 14.7
EBITDA 36.7% -11.4% 11.4% 11.1% P/BV 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.5
EBIT 13.0% 0.0% 8.2% 9.7% P/Sales 3.8 2.6 2.4 2.2
PAT 16.3% -2.1% 8.7% 9.2% EV / EBITDA 10.5 10.4 9.2 8.1
EPS 21.0% 0.4% 8.7% 9.2% EV / Net Sales 2.4 1.6 1.4 1.2
Mcap / Net Sales 3.8 2.6 2.4 2.2
Profitability (%)
EBITDA Margin 23.1% 15.0% 15.0% 15.1% Turnover Days
EBIT Margin 31.8% 23.3% 22.6% 22.5% Debtors Days 94.7 71.6 73.0 75.0
PAT Margin 21.1% 15.1% 14.8% 14.6% Inventory Days 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8
Creditors Days 75.3 46.7 48.0 49.0
Per Share Data WC Cycle 19.8 25.7 25.8 26.8
EPS 5.83 5.85 6.36 6.95
BVPS 35.89 36.02 38.27 40.73 Others
Sales per share 28.29 38.68 43.00 47.52 Current Ratio 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7
Quick Ratio 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.7
Gearing Ratio Interest Coverage 994.0 462.6 452.8 624.4
Debt/Equity - - - - Fixed Asset Turnover 5.7 5.1 5.1 5.1
KEY RISKS
INCREASED EXPOSURE TO TURNKEY BUSINESS
Although the company has shown strong execution in the past, it still faces the risk of delay in project execution owing to
reason other than company’s control. Also the company faces an unprecedented threat of slowdown in the business secured as
seen in the consultancy business.
Rating Scale
This is a guide to the rating system used by our Institutional Research Team. Our rating system comprises of six rating categories, with a corresponding risk rating.
Risk Rating
Risk Description Predictability of Earnings / Dividends; Price Volatility
Low Risk High predictability / Low volatility
Medium Risk Moderate predictability / volatility
High Risk Low predictability / High volatility
Please Note
• Recommendations with “Neutral” Rating imply reversal of our earlier opinion (i.e. Book Profits / Losses).
• ** Indicates that the stock is illiquid With a view to combat the higher acquisition cost for illiquid stocks, we have enhanced our return criteria for such stocks by five
percentage points.
• Stock Review Reports: These are Soft coverage’s on companies where Management access is difficult. Views and recommendation on such companies may not
necessarily be based on management meeting but may be based on the publicly available information and/or attending Company AGMs. Hence Stock Reviews may be
just one-time coverage’s with an occasional Update, wherever possible.
…
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