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Ministry of Finance
Government of India
New Delhi
Report of the High Powered Expert Committee on
Making Mumbai an International Financial Centre
Ministry of Finance, Government of India, New Delhi
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The High Powered Expert Committee ( HPEC ) on
Making Mumbai an International Financial Centre
We submit herewith the ’s Report on Making Mumbai an International Financial Centre.
Our choice of the term ‘International’ instead of ‘Regional’ has been explained in our report.
Yours sincerely,
M. Balachandran O. P. Bhatt
HPEC would like to place on record its grateful thanks to Ajay Shah, Kshama Fernandes,
Saugata Bhattacharya, Ritu Anand, and S. Ravindranath who constituted the Research Team
that supported the Committee.
The also wishes to express its appreciation to Mr. M. Balachandran who put
the facilities of the Bank of India at the disposal of the Committee. The and the
Government of India would like to acknowledge their appreciation to the Bank of India for
meeting the administrative expenditure for the production of this report.
Contents
. Domestic and Offshore demand for International Financial Services (IFS) in India
. Implications of a large, rapidly growing home market for IFS, .—. India’s growing integration
with the world, .—. The impact of globalisation on demand and on s, .—.
Estimates for consumption by India, .—. Projections for consumption by India, .—.
Implications for India’s aspirations to create an in Mumbai, .—. customers outside
India as a market for an in Mumbai, .—. International comparisons, .
. Financial Regime Governance: Its role in an IFC and a comparative perspective
. The intrinsic value of regulation for production, .—. Three levels of international
competition on regulation and law, .—. Where does India stand? An illustrative bird’s eye
view, .—. The overall legal regime governing finance, .—. Summary of cross-country
comparisons, .
. Why does financial regime governance have these limitations?
. Why is the pace of financial innovation slow?, .—. Proximate underlying reasons that are not
as transparent, .—. Deeper sources of dysfunction, .—. What impedes Mumbai from
becoming an ? A summary, .
E. Activities of various financial firms in the areas of operation at an IFC: Wall chart
. Fund raising, .—. Asset management, .—. Personal wealth management, .—. Global
tax management, .—. Risk management, .—. Financial markets, .—. Securities
markets, .—. Mergers and aquisitions, .—. Leasing and Structured finance, .—.
Project financing, .—. Financing, .—. Insurance and reinsurance, .
F. Abbreviations
Executive Summary
and local) client connections possessed involving complex judgment and intellectu-
by financial firms participating in an alisation continue to be clustered at a few
international financial centre (). physical locations, where key individuals
. High level human capital specialised in meet face-to-face. This is characteristic of
finance, particularly quantitative finance, R&D in computer technology – clustered in
supported by a numerate labour force Silicon Valley and the Cambridge Corridor
providing lower level paraprofessional – despite extensive use of email, voice tele-
accounting, book-keeping, compliance phony and video conferencing. India has
and other skills. achieved a minor miracle with the explo-
sion of export revenues from services;
. World-class telecommunications infras-
tructure with connectivity around the yet, these revenues are a fraction of Silicon
clock, and around the world. Valley’s. Similarly, routine production of
financial services takes place everywhere.
. State-of-the-art systems, capability But, the most important and high value
to help develop, maintain and manage decision-making functions are concentrated
the highly sophisticated and expensive in a handful of s that have effectively
infrastructure of global financial (and consequently) become global cities
firms, trading platforms and regulators; At present, London, New York and
systems that are evolving continuously Singapore are the only global financial
to help firms retain their competitive
centres ( s). Many emerging s
edge.
around the world are aspiring to play a global
. A well-developed, sophisticated, open role in the years to come: e.g. Shanghai
financial system characterised by: (i) and Dubai. Other s in Europe and
a complete array of proficient, liquid Asia, like Paris, Frankfurt or Tokyo, connect
markets in all segments, i.e. equities, their financial systems to the world. But
bonds, commodities, currencies and they have lost market share and importance
derivatives; (ii) extensive participation in competing for global for reasons
by financial firms from around the explained in the report. The world market
world, (iii) full integration of market for is represented mainly by the ,
segments, i.e. an absence of artificially and Asia which together account for over
compartmentalised, isolated financial % of global . Correspondingly the
markets that are barred from having global market is concentrated in the
operational linkages with one another; three s located in each of these regions.
and (iv) absence of protectionist barriers
and discriminatory policies favouring
domestic over foreign financial firms in
2. Implications for India and
providing financial services. Mumbai
. A system of financial regime governance Given that an in Mumbai must be
(i.e. embracing legislation, policies, rooted in (and serve) India’s financial system,
rules, regulations, regulatory agencies rather than be an artificial offshore appendix,
etc.) that is amenable to operating on the call for creating an in Mumbai at
global ‘best-practice’ lines and standards; this time is implicitly a metaphor for (and
and finally synonymous with) deregulating, liberalizing
. A ‘hinterland advantage’ in terms of and globalising, all parts of the Indian
either a national or regional economy financial system at a much faster rate than
(preferably both) whose growth is is presently the case. Raising the issue of
generating rapid growth in demand for an in Mumbai now suggests that the
. pressing need for a new, more intensive
phase of deregulation and liberalization of
Advances in information and commu- the financial system has been anticipated
nications technologies ( ) have eased by India’s policy-makers and regulators
interactions over a distance and reduced
their cost dramatically. However, activities To understand what such a city is see Sassen ().
Executive Summary xv
and that the is a device to accelerate gap in capabilities that now exists between
movement in that direction. An will Mumbai and established s.
not be created quickly in Mumbai, nor will
it succeed, if action on further deregulation 3. The difference between BPO
and liberalisation is not taken in real time.
and IFS
In sustaining its trajectory as an
emerging, globally significant, continental The production of financial services
economy, the believes that India has worldwide is now fragmented into a series
no choice but to: (a) become a producer of interrelated sub-processes undertaken
and exporter of ; and (b) capture an separately. Business process outsourcing
increasing share of the rapidly growing ( ) of individual processes occurs at
global market. To achieve these a considerable distance from the point
two goals, its financial centre in Mumbai of customer contact where their eventual
must compete to become a successful resynthesis occurs. India is now a highly
. Incremental growth in the global successful venue for the global financial
market is now being driven by the services industry. In the last five years, it has
growing demands of China, India and gone beyond simple towards complex
A. With its strengths in human capital, knowledge process outsourcing or . This
a globally powerful services industry, and is a positive development for India to realise
its own hinterland, India has many natural its ambitions of creating an in Mumbai.
advantages for competing successfully in this Finance-related / builds up skills
market. In evolving as an , Mumbai will in India and increases the ‘mind-share’ of
probably grow in two distinct phases: India amongst global finance professionals.
However, there is a substantial differ-
. In the first phase (–) Mumbai ence between / and providing
must connect India’s financial system via an . Financial processes that get out-
with the world’s financial markets sourced under involve low-value, low-
through . That is what s like skill tasks. They are codified in a manual that
Frankfurt, Paris, Sydney, Tokyo and a indicates how tasks are to be performed, con-
host of smaller s do now in respect trols quality/integrity, and measures whether
of their national economies. they are being done correctly. Once the pro-
. In its second phase (–) Mumbai tocols are in place, the task is performed
must develop the capacity to compete repetitively. But some outsourced activities
with the three established s for in finance, involving research and analy-
global business that goes beyond sis, are moving up the value chain.
meeting India’s needs. After , For example, company financial analysis,
would hope that Mumbai would hold its credit research, and stock market research
own in competing with the other s functions are now also being outsourced.
and acquire increasing global market Still, the real value in financial services
share. provision remains concentrated in a small
number of jobs performed by qualified,
India’s financial services industry will super-numerate, imaginative people with
not become export-orientated, nor derive the specialised expertise, experience, domain
significant export-revenues, if Mumbai knowledge and skill-sets to be innovative
fails to become an . That will in designing financial instruments and
compromise not just export earnings from structures. Such people have extensive cross-
, but the quality, efficiency and range of border networks of clients and colleagues.
domestic financial services offered in India Their work involves fine judgment in
as well. For Mumbai to become an , making decisions covering a vast array of
India’s policy-makers and financial operators circumstances. It cannot be scripted in
need to understand fully the nature of and a manual codifying its mechanics. Such
opportunities in: the global market; judgments rely on intensive interaction,
the activities undertaken in s; and the inter-personal information flows, and
xvi R M I F C
sense that they serve Asean and the while New York
Financial centres that cater to customers serves North and Latin America. But because these
three centres serve the global economy, well beyond
outside their own jurisdiction are referred to meeting the needs of their respective regions, we
as international ( s) or regional ( s) classify them as global rather than regional. In that
or offshore ( s). These three different sense, the sees limited potential for Mumbai
adjectives are often (but wrongly) used to be a regional financial centre for South Asia given
current geopolitical realities. South Asia is more likely
synonymously in the literature. Yet these to be served by Singapore and Dubai for the time being.
three types of s are difficult to define We see Mumbai being an that serves India in the
in a clear-cut, mutually exclusive fashion; first stage and leapfrogs to serving the global economy
in its next stage of evolution. Ironically, Mumbai as an
although they are quite distinct. All these is likely to serve its region after it serves the world,
centres are ‘international’ in the sense that rather than before. For that reason, although the
they deal with the flow of finance and was asked to look into Mumbai becoming a regional
financial centre we dispensed with that characterisation
financial products/services across borders.
early on in the knowledge that it would be misleading.
But that description does not differentiate Throughout this report therefore we refer to Mumbai
them sufficiently in terms of their scope. becoming an international rather than a regional FC.
Executive Summary xvii
spectra; equity and quasi-equity for pri- will become increasingly important to
vate, public and public-private corpora- Indian firms as they evolve into s.
tions; as well as risk-management appen- f. Global/Regional Corporate Treasury
dices attached to primary fund-raising Management Operations: involves
transactions to ensure that the risk expo- fund raising, liquidity investment and
sure of the primary borrower or fund- management, asset-liability and dura-
raising entity (to currency, interest rate, tion matching, and risk-management
credit, market, operational and political through insurance and traded deriva-
risks) does not exceed tolerable limits. tive products for currency, interest-rate,
b. Asset Management and Global Port- credit and political risk exposure.
folio Diversification: undertaken by a g. Global/Regional Risk Management Op-
variety of national, regional and global erations and Insurance/Re-insurance:
asset managers including, inter alia pen- which involves highly developed ex-
sion funds, insurance companies, in- change traded and tailored derivatives
vestment and mutual funds of various (futures, options, swaps, swaptions, caps
types characterised by nature of instru- and collars) as well as world class deriva-
ment (i.e. debt, equity or convertibles), tives exchanges that trade a variety of
geography, or sector of activity. global contracts.
c. Personal Wealth Management (PWM): h. Global/Regional Exchange Trading of
for high-net worth individuals (s). Financial Securities, Commodities and
This activity is estimated to involve the Derivatives Contracts in Financial In-
management of personal assets of $– struments/Indices and in Commodi-
trillion worldwide. Overseas Indians ties: There is an increasing tendency to-
are estimated to hold financial wealth ward multiple listings of financial securi-
(i.e. apart from real estate, gold, art, ties (equities and debt), and of derivative
etc.) of over $ billion and total and commodity contracts, on different
wealth of over $ trillion. PWM takes exchanges with emerging investor de-
place in established s, but is more mand for x x trading of all listed
skewed towards specialised -s securities across all exchanges. Demand
in the Channel Islands, Switzerland, is highest for the securities of index-
Luxembourg, Monaco and Lichtenstein corporations in each major capital mar-
for the and Africa; Caribbean ket. It will gradually cascade downwards
offshore centres for the and Latin to cover global trading of all listed se-
America; Bahrain and Dubai for the curities in all markets – developed and
Middle East; Singapore, Hong Kong and emerging. Mumbai is better placed than
some Pacific Island offshore centres for most s to meet this demand, because
East/North Asia. of its human capital and capability,
d. Global Transfer Pricing: This is an as well as its world-class exchanges and
activity that o, like most governments, improving exchange regulation.
looks askance at, but needs to realise i. Financial Engineering and Architec-
and accept the reality of, in a global ture for Large Complex Projects: This
economy dominated by transnational primarily involves energy and infras-
corporations. This will become tructure projects requiring funds from
increasingly important to Indian firms a variety of global sources (public and
as they evolve into multinationals. private) with attached risk-management.
e. Global Tax Management and Cross- Again, Indian financial institutions and
border Tax Liability Optimisation: former FIs have well-honed skills in this
which provides a business opportunity particular arena.
for financial intermediaries as well as j. Global/Regional Mergers and Acquisi-
accountants and law firms until national tions Activity: This will become increas-
tax regimes begin to converge toward ingly important in India and for which
a global low tax norm. This activity a considerable amount of back-office
xviii R M I F C
/ and due diligence research limits set by RBI. The ability of Indian
work is already being outsourced to In- households to move resources across the
dia. border has increased with India’s increasing
k. Financing for Global/Regional Public- openness. The proliferation of Indian s
Private Partnerships: This relatively operating around the world – and transfer
new activity has emerged on scene with pricing with their subsidiaries abroad –
considerable force since the development has led to demand for fund-raising,
of the London Underground PPP. It has corporate treasury management and global
particular and immediate relevance for tax management. With rapidly increasing
the financing and rapid development of annual flows, the stock of assets outside the
Indian infrastructure without recourse country controlled by Indian households
to the treasury. and firms is rising rapidly. These assets
require for wealth, asset and global
5. Growth and globalisation tax management. All these phenomena
imply inevitable increases in purchases
drive India’s demand for IFS associated with the growing size of cross-
Since , India has grown rapidly and its border flows. Calculations in this report
economy has globalised. As India grows, suggest that on average, the revenue
it globalises faster. That happens through stream works out to % of the gross flows
the increased share of trade and foreign across the boundary.
investment in economic activity. Evidence of This translates to about $ billion of
that lies in two-way cross-border flows. Such IFS purchases by Indian clients in .
flows, on the current and capital accounts Looking ahead, India’s engagement with
combined, rose from $ billion in the world will intensify in three ways: (a)
(<% of ) to $ billion in reduction in barriers such as customs duties
(>% of ). The forces that resulted in and capital controls; (b) improvements in
this six-fold increase are intensifying and will infrastructure; and (c) greater participation
further accelerate growth of cross-border by s (Indian and foreign) in the Indian
flows. The next decade is likely to see cross- economy. These developments will induce
border flows growing as fast. deeper globalisation of the Indian economy
Current and capital account flows in- in the coming decade, inducing an upsurge
variably necessitate purchases of . For of purchases.
example, current account transactions in- Our estimates suggest that IFS pur-
volve payment services, credit enhancement, chases by Indian households and firms will
currency risk management, etc. Capital ac- rise to $ billion by on the basis of
count flows involve purchase of investment conservative assumptions in a ‘base-case’
banking, legal, accounting, risk manage- scenario. Under more propitious circum-
ment, research and other similar services. stances (e.g. if GDP growth is sustained at
When / enters or exits India, fees %) that figure could be over US$ billion.
are paid to various providers (e.g. com- By that amount could exceed US$
mercial and investment banks, securities billion in nominal terms.
brokerages, exchanges, insurance compa- These estimates warrant a different way
nies, asset managers, etc.). As India engages of thinking about exports and about
more with the world, the stock of assets held an in Mumbai. Traditional conceptu-
in India by foreigners rises. Similarly, the alising by Indian exporters about market
stock of foreign assets held by Indian house- opportunities typically assumes tapping into
holds and firms also rises. Purchases of risk a quasi-infinite world market. Financial ser-
management services grow in proportion
to these stocks which are far larger than the This was the approach taken by the Indian software
capital flows of any one year. industry which now has domestic sales of a mere $
million while its exports are a -fold multiple of
It is estimated that Indian households roughly $ billion a year. The search for growth on
have accumulated considerable wealth the part of firms like , Infosys or Wipro has been
outside the country; well beyond the present primarily about finding international customers. The
Executive Summary xix
vices are like software services in that they are exists for Indian financial genius to achieve
labour, skill, /communications intensive. similar export success in world markets;
But, in terms of market opportunity, there is but with one key difference. India’s own
a fundamental difference between finance growth and globalisation, and consequent
and software. It lies in India’s hinterland domestic demand for , generates natural
advantage. Rapid growth, even more rapid opportunities for producers in India
integration with the rest of the world, and (local and foreign) to acquire skills and
the high consequent growth rate of two-way exploit economies of scale. Indian software
cross-border financial flows now being seen, exports required an enabling framework
all serve to make India a large and growing from the State in the form of telecom
customer for . Unlike service exports, reforms. Indian exports will require
India provides a platform for nurturing a similar enabling framework from the
capabilities that can ‘go global’ instantly. State. Deeper and wider reforms and
Against that growing demand for , a improvements are needed in: (a) India’s
failure to respond on the supply-side, (i.e. financial system and the way it is governed
by creating a successful in Mumbai) and regulated; as well as (b) Mumbai’s urban
will simply oblige Indian customers to infrastructure and political/administrative
do increasing business abroad. That governance on a scale not yet envisaged.
will fuel the growth of Singapore, Dubai,
London and other s while depriving 6. India’s competitive
Mumbai of capturing opportunities for high advantages in creating an
value-added exports. For example, IFC
the Tata Steel-Corus deal generated
revenues in Singapore and London. Some Hinterland Advantage: As argued above
elements of such transactions do not appear the growth of the Indian economy
in Indian BOP accounts. Financial firms and and more rapid growth of cross-
policy makers in the three s and border financial flows have created
are highly attuned to the opportunities substantial local demand for . This
for selling into India. They have ‘driver’ supports the development of
embarked on strategies that exploit the skills, and generates economies of
current infirmities of the Indian financial scale on the part of financial firms
system. The most capable Indian financial operating in Mumbai. China has the
firms are likely to move to these centres in same hinterland advantage. New York
order to acquire the flexibility to provide has the North American economy as
their extant client base with the they its hinterland. London has the even
need, rather than risk losing their clients to larger economy, as well as its own
global financial firms. national economy, to serve. Singapore
Rapidly growing demand for in has a limited national economy. But
it is the financial epicentre of an
India provides an opportunity for its
A regional economy that is
financial services industry that its software
almost as large as China and larger
industry never had. Indian software exports
than India. Dubai does not have
were generated by ingenious Indian human
that kind of national or regional
capital exploiting foreign markets and
economy. But it is located in a region
requiring nothing from the State other
that is generating enormous financial
than telecom reforms. Indian genius
surpluses for investment abroad.
conquered world markets between and
Human Capital: India has four strengths
in a way that was not imagined in even by way of human capital endowments
the most optimistic forecasts of . In that give it a competitive edge over
the case of , an identical opportunity Shanghai, Singapore and Dubai:
• The extensive use of English,
domestic market does not loom large to the s of
these firms, and played no role in their graduating into which is the lingua franca of
export-oriented MNCs. international finance
xx R M I F C
to . The quality and credibility of traded volumes – in all areas other than
provided from India is inextricably linked to equities. A normative rule-of-thumb
the soundness and global acceptability of the would suggest that the traded volume
regulatory/legal system that governs finance of an exchange-traded futures contract
in India. Global competition in is, to in India should be at least one-tenth the
an extent, a function of global competition turnover of a corresponding product in
(in terms of reputation, capability, efficiency the . By this yardstick, the turnover
and effectiveness) among regulatory regimes of Nifty futures is about that size. But
and the institutions that apply those regimes. that is not the case for almost all of the
The market share of an is determined as top underlying contracts in the .
much by the quality and reputation of its • An inadequate universe of institutional
regulatory/legal regime as by the abilities of investors: The second deficiency in
its financial firms. A cross-country assess- India is a universe of institutional
ment suggests that India is weak on many investors that have the size, visibility
aspects of the legal and regulatory frame- and capability of those in established
work governing its financial system which s. The progress made so far
the report discusses in detail. The report with liberalisation has been based
also identifies two key strategic institutional largely on speculative price discovery
(or structural) weaknesses in Indian finance by non-institutional investors in equity
that impede production: markets. Other segments are dominated
by state-owned entities which are
• ‘Missing’ Debt, Currency, and Deriva- bound by restrictive rules. Banks and
tives Markets: The most critical finan- insurance companies are restrained, if
cial market components missing in In- not banned, from undertaking risk-
dia are: a properly functioning bond hedging activities and other kinds of
market, a currency market and a deriva- sophisticated business due to regulatory
tives market for currencies and inter- restrictions. Consequently their assets
est rates. These three interlinked mar- are growing too slowly.
kets are termed collectively as the bond- Indian financial firms tend to operate
currency-derivatives ( BCD ) nexus in in one key business segment at a
this report. Six specific deficiencies time. Their portfolios are narrowly
in this respect include the absence of: confined and concentrated; so is their
(a) a liquid and efficient sovereign risk exposure. That has stunted their
bond market with an arbitrage-free growth, imagination and ability to
yield curve, (b) a wide range of handle risk. Indian financial firms now
essential derivatives on interest need to evolve into full fledged large,
rates, (c) a liquid spot market for - complex financial institutions (s in
denominated corporate bonds, (d) credit Basel parlance). They need to operate in
derivatives on credit spreads or credit all financial market segments of finance
events, (e) a liquid currency market and to come up with credible offerings
(f) a full range of currency derivatives. and ‘packages’ for the export market.
Under a functional nexus, all India lacks domestic commercial and
six elements are based on vibrant investment banks capable of taking on
speculative price discovery, and are global counterparts without higher levels
tightly knitted by arbitrage. They of capitalisation, global market access,
interact to result in market efficiency. operational expertise, and high-
There is no successful that lacks such level human capital. India also lacks
a nexus. Its conspicuous absence large securities brokerages capable of
in India handicaps the country’s ability competing with global counterparts.
to provide . Another shortcoming India’s brokerage industry reflects the
is the inadequacy of India’s spot and infirmities of its retail sector as a
derivatives markets – in terms of the whole. It is characterised by too
variety of contracts traded and their many small, undercapitalised, limited-
xxii R M I F C
capability firms (brokers and sub- regulation. There is no that has so
brokers) that are mostly still single compartmentalised an approach to the
proprietorships in corporate form. structuring, management and regula-
Structural reforms are required urgently tion of its financial markets. Reversing
to create Indian financial firms that are counterproductive segmentation of fi-
equivalent in size and capabilities to nancial markets in India, and removing
global counterparts. Looking ahead, barriers to entry, would result in greater:
if India is to create an , there is no economies of scale/scope, competition,
escape from inviting the participation and global market-reach.
of domestic and foreign institutional • Inhibiting Financial Innovation:
investors of adequate size, who would Whether an should be created for
deploy the economies of scale, global India to catch up with the world, or to ex-
market-reach and efficiency-enhancing ploit comparative advantage in a global
behaviour that is evident at other s. market, a considerably faster pace
Why does India have these weaknesses? of financial innovation in India is essen-
Close scrutiny of the regulatory regime tial. But, financial regime governance in
examines the origins of these infirmities India can only cope with change slowly.
through a matrix that identifies and analyses The regulatory approach to any change
restraints on the activities of different in the structure or functioning of the
financial firms in providing various . financial system is conservative, cautious
Such a matrix has been prepared as a and inconducive to innovation. As a
‘wallchart’ for this report. It outlines result India falls behind international
activities that take place at s and practice by the day in every market seg-
the kinds of financial firms that typically ment. The default signal emitted by
undertake them. A careful analysis of this Indian regulators when faced with any
wallchart reveals that, at present, most of new idea seems to be set at ‘amber’ if not
the activities that take place at s ‘red’. Innovative instruments, contracts
are banned or severely proscribed in India. and new ways of doing business are acted
The red ink across the wallchart – signifying upon in days in the three s. Such
activities banned in India – portrays the a pace of rapid progress is not found
license-permit-control raj that still operates in India. Basic contracts like interest
in Indian finance. It retards development rate futures and options have failed to
and sophistication of the financial sector materialise in this climate.
and inhibits exports. A pragmatic view
of these constraints highlights three urgent, Deregulation and liberalisation through
cross-cutting priorities for reform: the s have largely unshackled India’s
manufacturing sector, and much of its
• Competition Policy: India’s experience real economy. Competition, innovation
with liberalisation in the real economy, and scale economies in these sectors are
suggests that the most powerful tool for no longer blocked by the State. Yet,
having efficient and well-functioning somewhat dissonantly, a much higher degree
firms is competition. Application of of control continues to operate in key
sound competition policy in all market parts of the financial sector; despite the
segments of India’s financial sector is many regulatory reforms of the s. This
now a matter of urgency. financial governance regime now needs to
• Compartmentalisation of the Finan- be overhauled to create a more modern
cial System: Global competitiveness re- governance regime. It does not need
quires exploiting fully the economies traditional fine-tuning with the extant
of scale and scope. India’s hinterland regime remaining largely intact.
advantage represents an opportunity Regulatory reform has had a positive
to exploit such economies. However impact on the functioning of India’s capital
Indian finance has been artificially frag- markets and the insurance sector. In the
mented by financial sector policy and capital markets, India has achieved global
Executive Summary xxiii
standards in some aspects. Other financial in Mumbai. The goal of public
markets lag behind in not yet having been policy is to foster high economic growth
reformed as widely or deeply. Despite the and enhance welfare in India; it is not
presence of a large number of different types to cater to the interests of Indian firms
of banks, and despite incremental measures or their shareholders. But, in saying
aimed at ‘opening-up’, the banking market this, the is mindful of the reality
in India has yet to improve substantially that developments during the last decade
in competition, innovation and efficiency. have resulted in a debilitating anomaly
The improvements achieved at the margins for Indian financial firms versus their
have not yet permeated the banking system foreign competitors. In manufacturing,
as a whole. They are unlikely to, without the removal of barriers to imports was
a major reformative push and diminished accompanied by a simultaneous unshackling
public presence. of Indian firms. Indian firms were exposed
For that reason, a dramatic change to greater competition from imports and
in the governance regime for all financial the entry of foreign s in domestic
markets in India is now imperative. Without market space. But they were, simultaneously,
it India will not be able to create an given a transitional period and considerable
innovation-orientated financial system freedom in terms of formulating business
that can evolve and compete at a pace strategies and innovating.
commensurate with changes in the Indian The evolution of Indian finance,
economy and global finance. Such a in contrast, has resulted in growing
system would have the following activities dissonance between external competition
undertaken on a par with global norms: and a repressive license-permit raj. India’s
(a) continual innovation and improvement long and tortuous evolution towards de facto
in the design of financial products and convertibility (which in some respects is
customer services as well as in their delivery; not dissimilar to tariff reductions in the
(b) the rapid reintegration of segregated real economy) has not been accompanied
financial markets into more liquid and more by Indian financial firms being given the
integrated markets; and (c) the rapid growth same opportunity and room for manoeuvre
and market-induced consolidation of Indian to develop their competitive capabilities.
financial firms in a manner that enables They are at a disadvantage in coping with
them to achieve economies of scale. competition (for their clients’ business)
For this to be achieved, Indian financial from global providers operating in India
system regulation needs to be brought up and from abroad for two reasons:
to world standards. Regulatory attitudes, • First, key financial markets (i.e. the
policies, practices as well as institutional nexus and risk management) have
arrangements need to undergo a sea- been prevented from developing in India
change. They need to become more because of regulatory restraints. That
attuned to, and supportive of, the dynamism, has resulted in Indian financial firms not
growth and global competitiveness of the having the opportunity or the time/space
Indian financial services industry. Policy to develop domain knowledge and skill-
and regulation must adjust and adapt to sets in crucial areas e.g. global fund-
the needs of Indian and global financial raising or developing sophisticated risk
markets. Financial markets should not management products/services tailored
be artificially fragmented, segmented, to client needs.
compartmentalised. • Second, the same regulatory restraints
This report does not advocate using have deprived Indian financial firms of
the hinterland argument as a reason the freedom they need to develop and
for protectionism. Nor is the the necessary flexibility in formulating
making an argument for ‘self-sufficiency’. global business strategies. They have not
Instead the believes that India and had the scope for innovating for and
Indian financial firms should be globally thus developing the skills required to
competitive in providing through an compete with global providers.
xxiv R M I F C
The is clear that, in providing debt of centre and states, including on-
from India, there is no case whatsoever and-off-balance-sheet liabilities (such
for protectionism. The interests of Indian as pensions) and endorses a lower
customers, and that of economic efficiency, level (than the present %) for the
are best served by enabling them to choose total consolidated public debt-to-GDP
from the best providers in the world. ratio. A public debt ceiling should be
But, the asymmetry in policy that has placed bolstered by flexible triggers for actions
Indian financial firms at a disadvantage, to be taken by the Ministry of Finance
underlines the case for phasing reforms (e.g. accelerated sales of public assets
aimed at creating capabilities in a whose proceeds are used to liquidate
manner that enables Indian financial firms outstanding public debt if that is deemed
to be similarly unshackled in competing to appropriate) when the adopted debt
provide . ratio ceiling is breached. While the
did not wish to recommend a
particular debt ceiling ratio without
8. Reorienting the financial looking more deeply into the matter,
system towards IFS global experience suggests that ratios in
provision: A temporal the range of –% are widely applied
roadmap for reform as prudent. Such a debt ratio should be
added to existing measures for
The strategy proposed in this report for deficit and debt reduction.
creating an comprises in essence a ten- For an Indian to be credible, in
point agenda: keeping with ‘best-practice’ worldwide,
. Macroeconomic (i.e. Fiscal and Mone- India’s central bank should be indepen-
tary) Management. dent and separate from government. It
As a new competitor in global must be independent and separate from
financial markets, the credibility of government; i.e. in the same way that
India’s macro-economic policies, and the Federal Reserve in the , the
the quality of its macroeconomic and in Europe, the various national central
financial system management, will be banks of Europe and Japan, and the Bank
judged more stringently than in the case of England, are independent of and sepa-
of established s. This asymmetric rate from their governments. The central
reality highlights the importance of bank must employ global best-practices
redoubling efforts in reforming policies, in the conduct of monetary policy, in
legal and institutional arrangements to order to suffuse international investors
achieve and sustain a high growth rate and issuers with growing confidence in
(–%) for the economy in general and the as an acceptable global currency
the financial sector in particular. for transactions. The level of con-
Creating a vibrant, competitive fidence engendered should permit the
in Mumbai will require, as an integral to become one of the world’s major
backdrop, success in meeting the reserve currencies by or at the
legal commitments entered into by latest.
the Government of India, and the The gold standard for a stabilising
governments of individual states, to monetary policy is a transparent,
reduce the consolidated fiscal deficit on independent, inflation-targeting central
the timeline announced. In addition, it bank. With such an arrangement the
will require (a) reducing the total public Indian State would be: (a) underlining
debt/ ratio to more acceptable its commitment to delivering low and
levels; and (b) pursuing sound fiscal predictable inflation; and (b) inducing
and monetary policies thereafter. greater confidence in the in the eyes
HPEC therefore recommends that of domestic and global investors. The
further action should be taken to recommends that the Ministry
reduce more rapidly the consolidated of Finance consider: (a) reforming
Executive Summary xxv
moved to without further ado . Create wholesale asset management
and unified with the regulation of businesses with freedom for outsourc-
all organised financial trading. The ing by existing financial firms such as
goal should be to create and launch a banks or insurance companies. This
significant nexus, in conformity would separate the legal and contrac-
with world standards, within months. tual structures through which assets
. Financial Market Integration and are sourced and securities are created
Convergence vs. Market Segmentation – across multiple front-ends across
the country – from the ‘factories’ in
Indian finance suffers from a frag-
which assets are managed. It would
mented approach whereby the overall
also achieve economies of scale in
financial industry has been cut up into
asset management.
pieces reflecting legislation that is out-
dated by years or more. exports . Shift away from regulation by entity
will not take place as long as the com- to regulation by domain. As an
petencies of Indian financial firms are example, IRDA would regulate only
artificially stunted. India now needs its the insurance business, not all the
own s present in all lines of busi- activities of insurance companies.
ness, and able to achieve economies of . Principles-based Regulation
scope and scale. A series of measures Over the decades India has built
are needed to achieve market integra- up a license-permit raj in finance.
tion and convergence, and thus enable It over-emphasises compliance at the
economies of scale, economies of scope, expense of competence, competition
greater competition and enhanced IFS and innovation in financial services.
export capability, i.e.: A similar raj dominated the real
economy since independence. But
. Redraft the legal foundations for it was dismantled during the s
organised financial trading, so as to the immense benefit of the Indian
to unify all organised financial economy and particularly Indian global
trading under regulation. This competitiveness. To achieve the same
would include currencies, equities, objectives, that raj in finance now needs
sovereign and corporate bonds, and to be dismantled if India is to develop
commodity derivatives. It would provision and export capabilities
immediately diminish some of the and if an is to emerge in Mumbai.
fragmentation which has taken place At present financial regulation in In-
amongst financial firms. dia is fragmented and rules-based. It is
. Remove barriers to a holding over-prescriptive and restrictive of man-
company structure through which agerial discretion. In every market seg-
virtual financial firms can be created, ment, regulators attempt to codify every
with an array of subsidiaries that fit detail of a business in which the shape of
Indian regulatory constraints but the future can neither be anticipated nor
with corporate headquarters and predicted. Anything not explicitly per-
top management able to operate mitted is banned. Any proposed change
a unified financial firm. The in the way of doing business requires
holding company would be regulated clearance from the regulator. Supervi-
only by the Companies Act. It sors apply checklists in verifying that
would typically be listed and able to every rule is met while not quite un-
leverage itself; while its subsidiaries derstanding all the dimensions of the
might be unlisted. All barriers to business possibilities of the regulated
M&A in finance need to be identified entity and how it might evolve. This
and removed, so as to achieve approach is inflexible and unamenable
a market-induced consolidation to swift adaptation of a kind that the
process which would permit Indian world of global finance demands. This
s to emerge. is counterproductive for the purposes
Executive Summary xxvii
exports to global markets competitively, it and exchanges – even external and global
will have no choice but to match London, regulatory agency representatives – from
New York and Singapore in terms of over a hundred different countries. To
attracting the requisite high-level human attract such internationally mobile high-
talent to the city. If it fails to do so it will level human capital to an in Mumbai,
not succeed as a . To match these global special efforts will be required on four fronts:
cities in the span of the next - years for i.e.
their world class quality of infrastructure
and their global standards of governance, • First, elementary, glaring deficiencies
Mumbai needs to make a start now. in Mumbai’s urban infrastructure will
The individuals that Mumbai must need to be addressed and rectified on a
attract (and who matter most) to be globally war footing. These deficiencies have,
competitive in providing – whether over the last decade or more, been
Indian or not and whether working for discussed in central, state and municipal
Indian or foreign firms – are affluent, mobile, government circles, the media, the
and multi-culturally inclined in terms of corporate world, and by the public
their habits, tastes and preferences. They at large. Progress in addressing these
demand world class facilities to live, work deficits is now being made. The
and play, as well as world standards of was assured by the of
infrastructure and urban governance. They Maharashtra that the pace of progress
have ample choice in terms of where they was about to accelerate. Mumbai’s
(and their families) choose to be located, deficiencies include: crumbling housing
and how their time is allocated. Whether in dilapidated buildings pervading the
they choose to locate in Mumbai will be city; poor road/rail mass transit as well
influenced by the attractions of Mumbai as a as the absence of water-borne transport
global city in which they can live, work and in what is essentially an island-city;
play in a manner similar to what they can absent arterial high-speed roads/urban
expressways; poor quality of airports,
do in other s. This reality may involve
airlines and air-linked connections
the creation of facilities to support lifestyles
domestically and internationally; poor
that could result in increasing social tension
provision of power, water, sewerage,
in the city; that risk will need to be managed
waste disposal, as well as a paucity of
sensitively and adroitly.
high-quality residential, commercial,
For Mumbai to become an that can
shopping and recreational space that
operate on a par with the three established
meets global standards of construction,
s, it will eventually need to attract a
finish and maintenance.
large population of individuals who are
an integral part of the globally mobile • Second, Mumbai will need to be
(globile) finance workforce that already exists. seen as a cosmopolitan metropolis
Perhaps –% of them will be of Indian that welcomes and embraces migrants
origin. The remainder will be expatriates from everywhere – from India and
from around the world representing every abroad. That will mean providing
country that has significant trade and more user-friendly visa/resident permit
investment links with India (and Asia). mechanisms, making all arms of
Most of them will be working for foreign government expatriate-friendly, and
financial firms that will include, inter exhibiting a gentle, tolerant, open and
alia: commercial and investment banks, welcoming culture.
asset management companies, insurance • Third, lifestyle facilities that concern
companies, securities and commodities human welfare will need to be brought
brokerages, bills discounting houses, private up to world standards and run on
equity firms, venture capitalists, hedge funds, world-class lines in terms of their
as well as the financial media and financial management and growth. These include:
reporting agencies (such as Bloomberg, hospitals and the health system (public
Reuters, major global financial publications) and private); educational facilities
xxx R M I F C
into multinationals and relocate their path, are much greater than the
operations outside the country. direct revenues that would accrue from
The maturity of Indian finance in , sale of to local and foreign customers.
in terms of coping with competition and India’s experience with manufacturing has
globalisation, is comparable to where Indian demonstrated that outward orientation and
manufacturing stood in . The export export competitiveness are the best tools
of financial services from India in for producing world class quality for the
sounds about as unlikely today as the export domestic market. An Indian financial sector
of automobile components or software that can export will do a better task of
sounded in . The outlook for export of financial intermediation for India. That is
automobile components or software in likely to generate an acceleration of
was nothing but bleak. Yet India managed growth as growing investment resources
to find the energy to unleash revolutionary (now exceeding % of ) are more
changes in policy. efficiently allocated.
Such radical changes now need to be These benefits need to be weighed
replicated in finance, if export competitive- carefully by India’s leadership against the
ness in the provision of financial services political capital that needs to be expended
(domestic and international) is desired and in overcoming the technical and realpolitik
to be achieved. Visionary thinking needs to constraints of: (a) changing the financial
be applied to issues of financial architecture, system in India with a second, more
the role of the central bank, and regulatory intensive set of reforms; and (b) urban
philosophy. governance in Mumbai.
In parallel, Mumbai needs to become a This report has tried to bring objectivity
first-world city that can attract the brightest and professional competence to sketching
minds of the world by being an attractive the trajectory, should India’s leadership
place to live, work and play. decide to take the path. It strives to
If India is able to meet these twin deliver a nuanced appreciation of the likely
challenges, then exports could outstrip costs and benefits of the path to an ,
service exports by . The benefits based on understanding of which policy-
to the Indian economy, from taking the makers can make a reasoned choice.
xxxii
HPEC Report on making Mumbai an International Financial Centre: Timelines for Recommended Actions
Recommended Actions 2007 by Quarter 2008 by Quarter 2009 by Quarter 2010 by Quarter 2011>
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Year
A. Actions on Fiscal Deficit, Tax and Public Debt Financing/Management Fronts:
1. Achieving and maintaining an average growth rate of 9% to 10% Increase to 9% Increase to 9.5% Increase to 10% Maintain at 10% or more
2. Reduce the gross consolidated fiscal deficit (GCFD) from 8+ to 4–5% of GDP. Reduce to 7%by y.e. Reduce to 6%by y.e. below 5%
3. Reduce total public debt to GDP ratio from 80% of GDP to significantly less. Reduce to 75% Reduce to 70% Reduce to 65% Reduce to 60% <50%
4. Implement the FRBM Task Force Report of 2004. Implement 40% Implement 70% Implement 100% Implementation Completed
5. Eliminate Securities Transaction Tax (STT) and Stamp Duties (SDs). Eliminate STT Eliminate all SDs All Transactions Taxes, Stamp Duties eliminated
6. Apply GST to the financial services industry. Technical Studies Preparation Phase Pilot Phase Implementation
7. Open up purchase of INR denominated debt instruments issued by GoI to All Buyers Open up fully No further restrictions on INR denominated paper for any buyer
8. Restructure budgets/‘balance-sheets’ of states and metropolitan municipal corporations Start Phase-1 Phase-2 Phase-3 Phase-4 Complete
9. Shift burden of future infrastructure financing from public to private sector through PPPs Pilot PPP Projects PPP s in 10 states PPP s in 15 states PPP s in All states
10. Set up independent public debt management office (or as second-best locate it in MoF) De facto shift Independent PDMO Public Debt Managed Independently
B. Actions on Monetary Policies and Monetary Management based on Inflation Targeting
11. Focus Monetary Authority exclusively on single task of managing key short-term ‘base rate’ Technical Studies Policy Decisions Implementation of Changeover Separate Regulator
12. Full CAC to be achieved in a time-bound manner within the next 18–24 months Technical Studies Prepare Execute Capital and Current Accounts Fully Open
C. Actions on Financial Regime Governance and Financial System Regulation
13. Improve functioning of Legal System insofar as it affects financial services. Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Legal System at Global Standard
13A. Improve knowledge-skills and training of judges and arbitrators Train 30% of staff Train 65% of staff Train All Staff Continue training/updating
13B. Reduce Case Backlog of cases involving financial contract disputes Reduce by 25% Reduce by 50% Reduce by 75% Eliminate Totally
14. Create International Financial Services Appellate Tribunal (IFSAT) covering all of finance. Technical Studies Insurance/Pensions Extend to Banking Extend to all of finance
15. Permit unrestricted entry of well-known global legal firms operating in other IFCs/GFCs Prepare Ground Open up Entry All Global legal firms permitted to operate
16. Permit unrestricted entry of well-known global accounting firms operating in IFCs/GFCs Prepare Ground Open up Entry All Global Accounting firms permitted to operate
17. Dismantle barriers between different financial market segments Except Banking Include banking No further compartmentalisation of finance
18. GoI to prepare ‘exit strategy’ for its withdrawal from the ownership of financial firms Build Consensus Non-bank PSFFS Strong PSBs Weak PSBs All PSFFS
19. GoI to reduce equity stake gradually in all types of public sector financial firms; esp. PSBs Prepare Ground Reduce to <49% Reduce to <33% Reduce to 26% 0 by 2015
20. Shift Financial Regulatory Regime from Rules-Based (RBR) to Principles-Based (PBR) Technical Studies Apply PBR-SEBI Apply PBR-IRDA Apply PBR-BR All PBR
21. Conduct Periodic Regulatory Impact Assessments of the financial regulatory regime. Prepare Ground RIA for Banks RIA -Cap Markets RIA –Others Regular
22. Examine Carefully the Need for changing extant Regulatory Architecture Technical Studies Consolidation to 4 Consolidation to 2? Single Regulator? Unified?
23. Trading platform for sovereign bonds to be moved to exchanges (NSE and BSE) Technical Studies Shift Platform All bond trading to be done on market exchanges
24. Draft new Financial Services Modernisation Act embracing ‘Principles Based Regulation’ Prelim Drafting Consultations Final Draft Table FSMA Bill FSMA
24A. FSMA should incorporate redrafted Banking Regulation Act ( BRA) giving banks more flexibility Prelim Drafting Consultations Final Draft Table FSMA Bill FSMA
25. Transfer all regulation/supervision of any type of organised financial trading to SEBI. Technical Studies Execute Transfer All financial market trading supervised by SEBI
26. Distinguish between wholesale and retail markets and use appropriate regulation for each Technical Studies Separate Markets Wholesale and Retail Markets regulated differently
27. Open up immediately to DMA and algorithmic trading Rules Open No bans on DMA and algorithmic trading to be regulated reasonably
D. Actions on Filling the Gaps in ‘Missing Markets’
28. Create rapidly the Missing BCD Nexus in Indian Capital Markets:
R M I F C
A. Bond Market Technical Studies Shift Platforms Widen and deepen sovereign/corporate bond markets
B. Establish Currency trading exchange with a minimum transaction size of INR 10 million Prepare Launch Currency Market operates on NSE/BSE supervised by SEBI
C. Derivatives Market: Shift trading in vanilla products (futures, options, swaps) to exchanges Widen Range of Contracts to cover currencies, interest rates, credit default and trade them
D. Retain and Expand OTC trading of exotic and tailor-made derivatives. Widen OTC trading Continually expand range of products traded on OTC to global levels
E. MoF to review/remove constraints on any financial firm operating in derivatives Technical Study Remove all restrictions/bans other than usual prudential regulations
F. Create INR cash settled currency derivatives on exchanges open to all (FIIs). Technical Study Launch range of multi-currency futures, options, swaps for trading
HPEC Report on making Mumbai an International Financial Centre: Timelines for Recommended Actions
Recommended Actions 2007 by Quarter 2008 by Quarter 2009 by Quarter 2010 by Quarter 2011>
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Year
E. Actions to Strengthen Institutions operating in Indian Financial Markets
Technical Remove Encourage Let market drive consolidation and segment integration
29. GoI to support emergence of Indian LCFIs to emerge, through M&A and takeovers.
Studies Restrictions M&A through financial system
Technical Framing of Launch Encourage rapid expansion of WAM with PBR-based regulation by
30. GoI to permit Wholesale Asset Management regulated by SEBI (minimum account Rs.10 crores)
Study Rules WAM s SEBI
Technical Remove Full outsourcing of asset management activities by any financial firm operating
31. Remove all impediments to outsourcing of asset management by banks, insurance companies,
Study Restrictions in India
mutual funds, pension funds, FIIs, hedge funds, etc.
Technical Accelerated liberalisation Indian financial system fully open to global participation subject
32. GoI to bring forward liberalisation of financial sector in keeping with commitments to WTO Agree-
Studies Programme in place to prudential regulation and fitness tests
ment on Trade in Financial Services.
33. Interim adjustment period of two years for Indian institutions to adapt to global competition. Capacity building by Indian firms Indian financial sector open to foreign competition
34. Opening of branches by domestic banks to be decontrolled immediately. All restrictions on branch opening by domestic banks to be removed immediately
35. Opening of branches by foreign banks to be decontrolled after one year All restrictions on branch opening by foreign banks to be removed
36. Remove immediately all restrictions limiting corporate ownership of banks to 10% Restrictions limiting private corporate ownership of banks to 10% to be removed
37. Open up Indian capital markets to entry of hedge funds and alternative investment vehicles Remove all restrictions on entry of hedge funds and AIVs
38. Set up range of programmes for development of specialised human capital for the financial industry Set up MSc in Finance and a range of specialised technical training programmes
F. Actions to Improve Infrastructure in Mumbai
39. Transport Infrastructure:
A. Intra-city roads and arterial routes [PPPs ] Phased development and expansion of Mumbai’s road transport capacity
B. Coastal Highways and Expressways [PPPs ] Technical Feasibility Studies Tenders Preparation Contracts Construction
C. Suburban Railways and new Metro System [PPP ] Technical Feasibility Studies Tenders Contracts Construction
D. Water-borne Transport – Ferries/Hydrofoils/Jetfoils [PPPs ] Feasibility Tenders Contracts Facility Construction and Operations
E. Increase/upgrade airport and runway capacities Actions already taken for Santa Cruz and Sahar. New plans for Navi Mumbai airport and runways
40. PPPs for Power Infrastructure:
A. Increase in Power Generation Capacity (24 × 7 × 365) Studies Tenders Contracts Power Plant Construction and Operations
B. Increase in Transmission/Distribution Capacity Studies Tenders Contracts T&D Line Construction and Operations
41. Water Supply, Sewerage& Drainage:
A. Increase in Storage Capacity and Pipelines [PPP ] Plans and Projects underway to increase and improve water supply quantity/availability
B. Increase in Filtration and Water Quality [PPP ] Plans and Projects underway to increase and improve water quality
C. Upgrading/Expansion of Sewerage Capacity Plans and Projects underway to increase and improve sewerage capacity/treatment
D. Upgrading of Storm and Flood Drainage Plans and Projects already underway to increase and improve storm/flood drainage
42. Increase Waste Disposal Capacity: For solid and liquid waste with environmental protection Develop PPPs Contracts PPP Contracts Underway and Operating
43. Telecommunications Infrastructure:
A. Substantial Expansion of Cellular Network TRAI to hold cellular operators to service quality commitments to upgrade continuously
B. Expansion of Landlines and Broadband MTNL to expand landlines in keeping with demand growth; increase competition
C. Expansion of International Bandwidth VSNL , FLAG to increase bandwidth rapidly; introduce greater foreign competition
44. Accommodation: Residential, Office and Commercial Drop ULCRA/RCA Normalise rentals Dispense with all controls except urban planning
G. Actions to Improve Urban Governance in Mumbai
45. GoM and BMC to appoint or arrange to elect a City Manager accountable for Mumbai Prepare Appoint/Elect Place City Administration under full control of City Manager
Groundwork
46. Bring the existing city governance machinery under the full control of the City Manager Prepare
Groundwork
47. Establish independent financial base for the city that is under the control of the City Manager Study Options Agree Fund Sources Place City on mainly independent financial footing
48. Rationalise and streamline to organisation structure and lines of responsibility in city management Organisation Study Transition Implement Rationalisation/Streamlining Programme
Executive Summary
xxxiii
The Emergence of IFCs:
A brief history
1
1. Meeting cross-border trade, providing trade financing services to specific
investment and other needs regions.
In this chapter we take a synoptic look
The growth of international finance has at the evolution of s around the world, chapter
been shaped by history. It is a chronicle of consider how they might classified in terms
episodic needs for capital across geographies of what they do and whom they serve, look
outgrowing the domestic resources available. at recent trends in the formation and spread
Financial services, institutions and markets of s and, finally, we examine at the case
have evolved in response to requirements for Mumbai to emerge as an as India
for capital. As colonial empire-building takes its place in the world.
and industrial development took off – in
Europe, the Orient and elsewhere – large 2. Evolution of international
financing needs arose that triggered the
need for large cross-border financial firms financial services (IFS) and
and markets to emerge. Such needs were centres (IFCs)
compounded by new technologies that The provision of has a longer
enabled the geographical separation of chronology than commonly recognized.
production from consumption (of goods The world had a global currency (based
and services) around the world. They fuelled on gold and silver) for several centuries.
exponential growth in cross-border trade –in the most basic conceivable forms –
and investment. These economic forces were, were provided by merchant traders-cum-
and are, the main drivers of international financiers for at least two millennia; if not
financial services (). before. Pre-modern flourished across
At first, merchants who became bankers Europe, the Middle East, and coastal Africa,
worked alone to raise or put together funds under the umbrella of the Roman Empire
for large investments. They gradually – which also traded with Persia and the
diversified their sources of funds to Orient. Its trajectory was nearly extinguished
royalty, church, landed aristocracy, and between the th and th centuries but
wealthy professionals. Modern-day financial revived to finance the Crusades in the
infrastructure did not exist. Central banking th and th centuries.
and financial regulation were nascent and The antecedents of modern are
primitive. Securities exchanges/markets traceable to the Renaissance when the city-
were few and far between. Credit-rating states of Venice, Florence, Naples and Genoa
facilities were nonexistent. Resort to law became mercantile centres that dominated
for the settlement of financial disputes was trade between Europe and the Orient from
virtually unknown. In this raw environment, the th to th centuries. In the th and
vendors in each centre of finance acted th centuries these Mediterranean centres
alone or collaborated with partners in were superseded by the rise of Amsterdam,
other locations with extreme caution. That Lisbon, London, Madrid, and Paris as s,
resulted in delays and inefficiencies. Yet with the discovery of the New World, the
these early impulses saw incipient clusters of Antipodes, and the establishment of colonial
financial expertise emerge that evolved into empires across the Americas, Africa and Asia
s. Over time, many city-states specialised by European powers; viz. Britain, France,
in arranging complex financing deals and Holland, Spain and Portugal.
2 R M I F C
The nature of mercantile was . In , the Suez Canal was built
transformed with the first round of halving sailing time between London
globalisation that occurred from the mid- and Mumbai.
th to the early th century. It was
revolutionised again by the second round By , two large, productive and
of globalisation that had its origins in post- politically stable, economic blocs – the
nd world war reconstruction and recovery, British Empire (with India as its economic
but gathered real steam since the s. centrepiece) and the – had emerged as
Since the s globalisation has entered dominant. They straddled the extremities
a new and more intensive phase. It has of the globe from west to east with well
become the principal force driving and established intra-imperial trade routes
reshaping the world economy. In the process, connected by steamships, railways and the
it is increasing the tensions caused by an telegraph. But the world economy of the
economy that is increasingly global, being th century was not limited to these two
inadroitly governed by polities that remain blocs. Other European powers also had
national and, as yet, incapable of graduating ‘intercontinental’ empires in the Americas,
toward the kind of supranational governance Africa, and Asia. These were similar to,
that globalisation demands. but much smaller than, the British Empire.
The Russian and Ottoman empires exerted
domain over territories in Eastern/Central
3. The first round of Europe, and the Middle East and North
globalisation: circa Africa respectively. Japan established its own
1860–1914 empire in Korea and Formosa (now Taiwan).
Cross-border trade occurred mainly
From around onwards, there was within the geographies of these separate
a quickening of the pace of first-round empires, rarely across them. But there
globalisation, owing in part to the following was inter-empire trade in Africa, Asia and
major developments among others: Latin America across contiguous borders of
neighbouring colonies (e.g., between British
. In , a ,-mile telegraph system Kenya and German Tanganyika as well as
linking Calcutta, Agra, Mumbai, Pe- Italian Ethiopia, between British Nigeria
shawar and Madras was completed. It and French Cote d’Ivoire, or British Malaya,
was the first high-speed messaging sys- Dutch Indonesia and French Indochina).
tem in India. The th century saw a historically
. After the Civil War, economic growth unprecedented surge of intra-colonial trade
in the took off based on liberal, with accompanying demand for trade and
market driven egalitarian economic investment related . Sophisticated
relationships, i.e., without relying on trade finance spilled over into long term
slave labour. In the s the First investment finance, for plantation farming,
Transcontinental Railroad was built, ranching, mining and infrastructure (e.g.,
with construction from both coasts railroads and steamships) as well as
linking up in . the production of agro-industrial and
industrial manufactures. Thus trade and
. In parallel, railways were being con- investment (for localised production, based
structed in India where, by , over on natural and comparative advantage,
, kilometres of railway lines had but aimed at empire-wide consumption)
been put in place. provided the principal impulses for the
. In , telegraph links between Europe development and growth of in enabling
and India became operational, so that economic decentralization and geographical
a message could get from London to dispersion. They still do that today; but, on
Mumbai in less than minutes. In , a much larger scale, with the growth of cross-
the first transatlantic telegraph cable was border trade and investment far exceeding
completed. the rate of global output growth.
. The Emergence of IFCs: A brief history 3
During the first round of globalisation, semiconductors, transistors and silicon chips
London was the pre-eminent , with – was made in decades that previously had
Amsterdam and Paris playing supporting taken centuries.
roles. New York was still in its infancy then. The -year period (–) between
It did not come into its own till around the end of the first, and beginning of
. This was an age of universal capital the second, rounds of globalisation was
convertibility. Citizens of the world were disrupted by two world wars and an unstable
free to move their assets across boundaries -year interregnum. The second round
without governments or central banks of globalisation had its hesitant origins in
impeding them. Enormous pools of capital an era of post war recovery, adjustment
were intermediated in Europe for investment and decolonization (-) that again
abroad. Savings were mobilised in London changed the economic structure of the world
from around the British Empire (including and the trajectory of the global economy.
India) for investment in the Americas, as The revival of cross-border trade across the
well as the British colonies in Canada, the Atlantic and Pacific, along with massive
Caribbean, Africa, the Middle East, Asia investment for post-war reconstruction
(West, South and East), the Indian Ocean financed by the , played a major role
and the Antipodes. in resurrecting and galvanising it at a
In this period, large amounts of capital more frenetic pace than before. During this
flowed from rich to poor countries. Funds period (i.e., –) New York replaced
for investment in the colonies of continental London as the world’s pre-eminent .
European empires were raised in their In both rounds the distinction between
domestic and overseas financing for trade and
imperial capitals; but augmented by global
investment became blurred in determining
funds raised in London for large risky
the content of . And, in both rounds,
ventures: e.g., ranching and mining in Chile
the process of financial integration and
and Argentina, mining in almost all of
globalization was driven by:
Southern Africa, and for financing telegraph
systems, railroads, sailing and steamship . Financial innovation in instruments,
lines, telegraphy, and such monumental services and risk management arrange-
projects such as the Erie and Suez Canals. ments that spread instantaneously across
borders (when it was permitted to) to
4. An interregnum, the second meet the evolving needs of clients (savers
round of globalisation and users of funds) in the real economy.
(1945–71), and beyond . Different risk/return and portfolio
diversification demands of global savers
In the late th century accelerated and investors.
dramatically, driven by the industrial,
. The injection of information processing
transport (steamships) and communications
and communication technologies into
(telegraph) revolutions, resulting in a
massive-scale gathering, dissemination
structural transformation of the world
and processing of data. Ubiquitous
economy. More technologically-driven
access to low-cost information tended to
change in the world economy occurred in
undermine relationship-based banking
the course of the th century than in the two
and fuel the growth of arms-length
previous millennia. It triggered profound
securities markets, particularly when
geopolitical change, resulting in a series of
it came to large issuers of securities.
European wars culminating in two world
wars. In many countries, imported capital
The th century that followed made financed domestic investment and vice-
the remarkable th century appear primi- versa, as direct and portfolio investors (in
tive by comparison. Progress – in air trans- an increasingly integrated global market)
port, information, communications and diversified their investment portfolios to
process technologies for manufacturing, in manage/balance country and sector risk.
4 R M I F C
The second round of economic and financial has been dwarfed by private capital flows
globalization began with the being throughout the second half of the th
the world’s locomotive and sole provider century, except in –.
of surplus investment capital for the As happened through the th and early
global economy. While driven initially by th centuries, financial products became
the reconstruction needs of Europe, the more diversified. Plain vanilla finance ceded
, and Japan, global economic recovery to more complex structures following the
resulted in dispersing manufacturing introduction of financial derivatives in the
capabilities (and consequently enhanced – period. grew horizontally
trade in goods) throughout the developed and vertically. Financial firms innovated
world. Second round globalization was imaginatively. enabled rapid changes in
boosted by new investment needs created by a number of new technologies (e.g., , bio,
the decolonization of the developing world nano, eco, to name a few) to be translated
after . into equally rapid changes in products,
The drove second round globaliza- services and markets served by entirely new
tion single-handedly in –. But that companies. The was not invented till
role diminished rapidly with the collapse of . Cellular phones came on the scene in
Bretton Woods in . The global mone- the s.
tary system that prevailed from to – vastly enhanced by – enabled
was designed by Harry Dexter White, John these changes to be transmitted globally
Maynard Keynes and others. It consisted and instantly with the management of a
of pegged exchange rates and closed capital variety of attendant risks. In response,
accounts to support large amounts of pub- risk management techniques, instruments,
lic spending for reconstruction and social products, services and risk-trading markets
welfare without risking capital leakage from evolved rapidly. They became more
resource-starved economies. But that histor- sophisticated with the unbundling of risk,
ically anomalous and unnatural confinement specialisation in risk-taking, and synthesis
of capital lasted for just years. of risk management packages in a variety of
The primordial nature of unrestrained different forms. also financed the tides
capital flows across borders (that national of geopolitical flux – both the conflicts that
governments consider sacred, but ‘capital’ have taken place and the reconstruction that
is oblivious to) was restored in the face of has followed in their aftermath.
unsustainable global pressures. These arose The changes of the th and th
from chronic global imbalances in savings, centuries seem dramatic in retrospect;
consumption, investment and trade. They indeed almost unimaginable in the context
were driven by the shifting geographies of of progress made over the previous
production, the economic revival of Europe millennium. But, the time-span for progress
and Japan, and decolonisation. Between in the st century is becoming even more
– the Bretton Woods regime was compressed in considering the speed with
replaced in all economies by the new which new technologies keep emerging
stable regime based on floating exchange and shortening product/market life-cycles.
rates and open capital accounts. Technological innovation is occurring on
In the developing world, the role played a log rather than linear scale. Financial
by the as the principal global creditor- innovation is struggling to keep pace.
cum-investor was supported by capital flows Technological changes that took cen-
(official and private) from former imperial turies before occurred in decades in the
countries: i.e., Britain, France and, to a th and th centuries. But, just one year in
lesser extent, Holland. They were catalyzed the st century, is seeing changes that took
and augmented by multilateral institutions five years or a decade in the th. Techno-
such as the , World Bank and regional economic and ‘financial world’ changes keep
banks. Governments and official institutions racing ahead unbridled. But the social, cul-
have played a useful role in global finance; tural, political and institutional changes
especially in times of crises. But that role needed to accompany them – and cope
. The Emergence of IFCs: A brief history 5
economies were incapable of absorbing such products/services across borders. But that
a sudden, large increase in the volume of does not differentiate them sufficiently in
resources available. They were recycled terms of their scope.
around the world – mainly through London We categorise s in this report as:
and New York – by banks with global branch (a) Global (GFCs); i.e., those that genuinely
networks and established correspondent serve clients from all over the world in
relationships. The Eurodollar market has the provision of the widest possible array
since diversified into a multi-currency Euro- of ; (b) Regional (RFC s) that serve
market that is global in nature. It establishes their regional rather than simply their
the benchmark for interest rates in all national economies (see below) – examples
commonly traded currencies. It has been of such s would be Dubai or Hong
mimicked in Singapore by the Asian dollar Kong; (c) International non-global and
market although that market is yet a pale non-regional IFC s like Paris, Frankfurt,
reflection of its Euro-counterpart. Tokyo and Sydney that provide a wide range
The second round of globalisation has of but cater mainly to the needs of their
entered a new phase in the st century. national economies rather than their regions
The world’s centre of economic gravity has or the world – one might be tempted to call
shifted to Asia. It is possible, even likely, that them national s although that term is
– with greater market-driven integration awkward because its two defining adjectives
of Asian economies – the Asian dollar (or are contradictory; and (d) Offshore (OFCs)
multicurrency) market may equal or exceed that are primarily tax havens for wealth
the present size of Eurocurrency markets management and global tax management
within the next two or three decades. That rather than providing the fully array of .
depends on whether Asian bond markets
develop in the same way, by taking a lead 6.1. Global financial centres
from Japan. Global Financial Centres ( s) such as
For that to happen, wide and deep London, New York, and Singapore are full-
markets will need to be created for currency service centres. They offer a complete
trading in Asia and for a wide range of range of markets, products and services
derivatives (for currencies, interest rates to clients worldwide, along with advanced
and commodities) in the more adroitly settlement and payments systems. All
regulated Asian s like Singapore and, three support large hinterlands whether
hopefully, Mumbai. The growth of an national (i.e., New York) or regional (e.g.,
Asian multi-currency market will have major London and Singapore). All have deep and
implications for the internationalisation liquid national financial markets. Their
of the as a world currency and sources and users of funds are global and
perhaps even for the emergence of common diverse. Their legal/regulatory frameworks
currencies for two or three Asian sub- are robust enough to safeguard the integrity
regions. of all principal-agent relationships and
supervisory functions. s generally
borrow short from residents and non-
6. Classification of IFCs
residents and lend long mainly to non-
Financial centres that cater to customers residents. In terms of assets and trading
outside their own jurisdiction are referred to volumes, London is the premier ,
as international ( s) or regional ( s) followed by New York. The key difference
or offshore ( s). These three adjectives is that the proportion of international
are often (but wrongly) used synonymously to domestic business is much greater in
in the literature on s. The three types London.
s they identify are difficult to define in a The most recent entrant to the
clear-cut, mutually exclusive, fashion. But club is, arguably, Singapore. When its
they are quite distinct. All these centres financial services sector was confronted by
are ‘international’ in the sense that they the deregulation of Tokyo’s markets in the
deal with the flow of finance and financial mid-s, and when Hong Kong’s future
. The Emergence of IFCs: A brief history 7
was rendered uncertain by the Anglo-Sino Regional centres include s such as Hong
accord of , the Singapore government Kong and Dubai.
responded by adopting a strategy aimed London and Singapore are s in
at creating a niche for Singapore in Asian a way that Frankfurt, Paris and Tokyo
and global markets. It imported are not. New York also serves the North
the best expertise, enhanced support American and Latin American regions. But
services, and adopted globally competitive all three centres go well beyond serving their
tax and regulatory regimes. The success of neighbourhoods to serving the world; so we
these policies was reflected in global firms classify them as s. Paris and Frankfurt
transferring their Asian regional financial serve the needs of the French and
operations from Tokyo and Hong Kong to German economies. Paris also serves, to a
Singapore through the s. Singapore also limited extent, the Francophone world while
looked west and took steps to encourage the Frankfurt is becoming an increasingly useful
emergence of a non-deliverable forwards to neighbouring Eastern European
market on the . It is now actively gearing economies. But neither are s, nor s,
its industry to capture a larger market as yet.
share of Indian business. This digression was necessary because
HPEC was tasked to look into making
6.2. Regional financial centres Mumbai a ‘regional financial centre’. But
The phrase regional financial centre causes the Committee has deliberately chosen to
some confusion because it is commonly avoid using that nomenclature because of
used in two different senses: (a) when its implications and connotations.
a particular actually serves not just Under present circumstances, it is
its national economy but its surrounding difficult to see Mumbai becoming a of
neighbourhood region – it is genuinely choice for the South Asian region. India’s
a – and probably derives more immediate neighbours may, for geopolitical
business from its neighbourhood than from reasons, prefer to use Dubai or Singapore
its own economy; and (b) while an may instead for their needs. So, while
be regional in the sense of being located in Mumbai is located in South Asia, it is
a particular region – it may not necessarily unlikely to become a South Asian
serve that region but be confined to serving in the foreseeable future. Instead, the
its own economy instead. This report tries believes that it is more likely to
to avoid that confusion by accepting only the leapfrog from emerging as an that
first definition and disregarding the second. serves India, into becoming a that
For example, Paris and Frankfurt are serves the world, without serving its South
European s. But they do not provide Asian neighbourhood along the way. In
for the to the extent London that sense Mumbai’s emergence as a
does. In the same way, Tokyo is an Asian may be different from that of London, New
. But Singapore and Hong Kong serve York and Singapore which are all s as
more Asian economies with a wider range well as s. Whether Mumbai becomes a
of except for the global market for depends on whether the preconditions
denominated bonds, which Tokyo necessary for it to play that role are met
dominates. Paris, Frankfurt and Tokyo by the concerned authorities. The irony is
are not, in our definition, s. They are that if South Asia’s geopolitics are eventually
more national than regional in orientation. ironed out, and reach an equilibrium that
s differ from s in that they have permits meaningful economic interaction,
reasonably developed financial markets Mumbai may become an RFC after it has
and infrastructure; but they are not as achieved status.
sophisticated, wide or deep as s. They
intermediate funds in and out of their region, 6.3. Offshore financial centres
but they have relatively small domestic s comprise a third category of .
economies (compared with their regions) They are smaller, and provide more limited
and are not as globally competitive as s. specialist services in the areas of tax, transfer
8 R M I F C
pricing, wealth management and private lightly regulated centres that provide services
banking. Offshore finance is, at its simplest, to high-net worth individuals and small
the provision of financial services by banks companies or trusts. They are almost entirely
and other agents to non-residents. These tax driven. They have limited resources to
services include borrowing money from non- support financial intermediation. Many of
residents and lending to non-residents. This the financial institutions registered in s
can take the form of lending to corporates have little or no physical presence beyond
and other financial institutions, funded by a nameplate; although that is not the case
liabilities to offices of the lending bank for all s. They are mainly providers
elsewhere, or to market participants. It
of corporate and accounting services for
can also take the form of the taking of
‘passively managed’ offshore accounts.
deposits from individuals and investing
them elsewhere.
s are typically found in the island 7. Why did Tokyo and
economies of the North Atlantic, Caribbean, Frankfurt not emerge as
Indian and Pacific Oceans as well as in credible GFCs?
a few exotic European jurisdictions (e.g.,
Andorra, Monaco, Lichtenstein and of In considering the prospects for Mumbai as
course Switzerland). They range from an , and later as a , it is instructive
large and well-established private banking to examine why Frankfurt and Tokyo did not
centres like Switzerland – that provide become successful s? Tokyo is located
specialist and skilled wealth and asset in the world’s second largest economy,
management activities, attractive to major measured in nominal . Frankfurt was
financial institutions – to smaller, more located in the world’s third largest national
. The Emergence of IFCs: A brief history 9
economy (till China overtook it in ). It to competing centres. But its role as a
is at the centre of the world’s largest regional was circumscribed even without the
economy – the . So why did these crisis. Barriers to competition and lack of
two centres not become s despite their openness restricted its potential. Although
hinterlands while London and Singapore Japan deregulated its financial system, as
did? the and did in the s and
One explanation lies in historical s, it left residual controls in place. Its
demand from a large hinterland (home regulatory mindset did not change. Japan’s
or regional) capital market that is more financial markets and institutions were
sophisticated, better regulated and more sharply segmented and segregated. New
sensibly taxed, than elsewhere. This allows financial products had to be approved by
financial firms to diversify and exploit the MoF, which banned instruments that
economies of scale to become globally were commonplace elsewhere, such as
competitive while being able to offer services equity options. Banks were not allowed to
that are not over-taxed. It explains London’s fail, however weak.
and New York’s success as s because Japan’s Big Bang reform program in
their financial firms (mainly investment the mid-s to deregulate the financial
banks and asset managers) developed by system had a positive effect. A collapse
serving the largest, most sophisticated and in domestic prices and the value of the
most demanding capital markets in the made Japanese firms and real estate
world. attractive targets for foreign investors. More
It also explains why Tokyo (with of Japan’s assets and business came under
its huge but unsophisticated and tightly international management. However, its
regulated domestic market) and Frankfurt reforms did not go far enough. Tokyo
(with its heavily taxed home market) still lacks the right combination of human
have not succeeded in emulating them. and market resources for producing and
Both Frankfurt and Tokyo are centres in exporting sophisticated financial services.
economies with more traditional, rigid Tokyo functions as a large financial
bank-dominated rather than capital market plantation, producing a commodity – money
dominated financial systems; resulting – in huge amounts. But it lets London and
in their being relatively uncompetitive. New York process that commodity and add
Their banks have not developed the value to it. Thus, while Tokyo has many of
same institutional capabilities for inducing the ingredients needed for a , it has not
financial innovation as more capital-market unfettered its institutions nor deregulated its
institutions in the and have. financial system properly. It has protected its
Tokyo’s example is instructive for banks at the expense of its capital markets.
Mumbai. Tokyo possessed many of It has not attracted foreign institutions, in a
the attributes needed to rise to global way that encourages more competition and
prominence. But it was unable to capitalize financial innovation. Equally importantly,
on them. Powered by Japan’s economic Tokyo does not use English as its lingua
strength and external surpluses, Tokyo franca. It has a mono-cultural environment
achieved status in the late s, that inhibits it from becoming a genuinely
when the top global investment banks global city. But Japan is reviving again
and brokerages headquartered their Asian and may learn from its mistakes. For that
operations there. Indeed, the global capital reason it would be premature to dismiss the
market could not ignore Japan’s enormous prospect that Tokyo may yet emerge as a
surplus assets in public and private savings. although Japan’s outlook would need
Nor could the world go anywhere else to to change dramatically for that to happen.
issue bonds or raise funds denominated in Frankfurt, for different reasons, also
. does not pose a challenge to London and
The bursting of the real estate bubble, New York. Initially it was thought that
and Japan’s economic decline since , London would be eclipsed by Frankfurt as
ended Tokyo’s rise. The city lost business Europe’s because Britain did not adopt
10 R M I F C
Box 1.2: How London lost the German interest rate futures market
The German bond market is one of the trading terminals in the US. By October 1997, lost by LIFFE. By late 1998, the 10-year Bund
world’s most liquid and diversified capital 10 firms in the US had terminals, and futures contract traded on the Eurex was the
markets. Trading on the “Bund futures” began accounted for 18% of Eurex Bund futures third most actively traded derivative in the
at London International Financial Futures volume. In August 1997, Eurex extended world, after Treasury bond futures on the CBOT
Exchange (LIFFE) in September 1988. It was a trading hours to match those of LIFFE. In and Eurodollar futures on the Chicago
futures contract based on notional German September 1997, Eurex announced that until Mercantile Exchange. In 1999, the Eurex Bund
Government bond with a 4% coupon and a the end of 1997, fees on Bund futures trading futures contract became the biggest contract
maturity between 8.5 and 10.5 years. By 1990, on Eurex would be zero. In January 1998, in the world.
the Bund futures contract accounted for Eurex introduced a new pricing structure
LIFFE was stung by this loss of a lucrative
almost one third of the total volume on LIFFE. which effectively set the marginal cost of
contract, and abandoned manual trading. But
Trading at LIFFE was then carried out by open trading to zero for medium and large traders.
by this time, merely matching the electronic
outcry. Bund futures trading was also initiated
From January 1998 onwards, LIFFE started system at Eurex was not enough to bring the
at Deutsche Terminborse (DTB) at Frankfurt in
losing market share. Even though the impact liquidity back to LIFFE. From 1972 onwards,
Spring 1990, but this market failed to gain
cost on LIFFE was at first superior, the lower the financial community had engaged in a
liquidity; LIFFE remained the dominant
charges at Eurex were big enough to sway debate about the merits of electronic trading
exchange.
some of the order flow to shift from LIFFE to as opposed to trading floors or telephone calls.
In March 1996, DTB provided screen-based Eurex. The trade processing efficiencies on The Eurex versus LIFFE story on the Bund
trading in London, competing against the Eurex were sufficiently large to overcome futures in 1998 marked the end of this debate.
open outcry trading at LIFFE. At the time, LIFFE LIFFE ’s initial liquidity advantage. Once this
The loss of the Bund futures contract set off
continued to insist that pre-computer trading started happening, the order flow started
substantial soul searching in the UK about the
mechanisms were superior. shifting and impact cost on Eurex started
failures of LIFFE and of public policy which led
improving.
In early 1997, the Eurex futures and options to this debacle. The loss of this contract led to
exchange was created by a merger of In early 1997, 65% of Bund futures trading a substantial decline in revenues of UK finance.
Germany’s DTB and the Swiss Options and took place on LIFFE. By the end of 1997, These events formed the backdrop and helped
Financial Futures Exchange. In March 1997, market share was roughly 50–50. Over the provide impetus for the major reforms to the
the US CFTC gave Eurex permissions to place next 21 months, market share was decisively Bank of England and the FSA in 1998.
the Euro. The presence of the European Frankfurt. Focused activities at one
Central Bank ( ) was a significant centralized location are important for the
development for Frankfurt. It bolstered development of a . Businesses that are
the city’s international reputation and clustered in a confined geography gain from
enhanced its importance as a financial one another by deriving external economies
centre. Frankfurt profited from German of scale. By crowding together, they create
financial market reforms as well as European large, liquid markets that drive down trading
integration; and especially from the costs and reduce risks by allowing large deals
accession of contiguous Eastern European to be handled. Frankfurt has not benefited
countries formerly in the ambit of the Soviet from a process of national consolidation
bloc. In the future it is expected to be a for providing . It could, possibly, head
bridgehead to Russia, the rest of Europe a secondary network of smaller European
and Turkey. However, Frankfurt lags behind s.
London and New York in terms of most
criteria – regulation, taxation, asset 8. The Race to establish more
management expertise, securities trading, IFCs around the world
and banking. Like Tokyo its language is
not English. Nor is it a global city on the Since , the resurgence of the European,
same scale as the other s. London has a Japanese and East Asian economies and the
great edge because of its established global revival of petrodollar surpluses has resulted
networks and historical interdependencies in a plethora of s (of some form or
with the rest of the world. other) blossoming in other major (but not
The ‘decentralization’ of Germany (into all global) cities including the following:
lander or states) has also worked to the
disadvantage of Frankfurt as an . Not * San Francisco, Los Angeles, Chicago,
all German banks are headquartered in Philadelphia, Boston, and Miami in the
Frankfurt. Non-German banks in the
have a larger presence in London than in * Santiago, Sao Paulo, Buenos Aires, and
. The Emergence of IFCs: A brief history 11
puters, communications, and analytical * Given its present role and size in the
financial economics; which has resulted world economy India is becoming a
in improved financial risk management. major user of . The locus of the
These factors have generated a world- world economy is increasingly shifting
wide shift away from bank-dominated to Asia, the home of Japan, China, India
finance to securities markets. and . Soon, trans-Himalayan
. The supposed stability of the gold and trans-Malaccan trade will rival trans-
standard that shaped the first round Atlantic and trans-Pacific trade in size
of globalization has been absent after and global importance.
. The abandonment of that anchor * As that happens, India’s needs (as well
was disconcerting at first for central as those of its Asian trading partners,
bankers and financial markets. Now the most importantly China) for will
world is coming to recognize that having grow exponentially as global trade
a gold standard may be anachronistic and investment (and intra-Asian trade
if not antediluvian. The modern and investment) account for a larger
consensus holds that the right anchor proportion of its economy.
for fiat money is the -basket, i.e., * India cannot afford to remain a taker of
that monetary policy should be tied from the global market indefinitely
down by inflation targeting. After as its needs for such services grow.
centuries of exploration, it appears that Like the , the and Japan, India
we now know the correct technique must develop its own -provision
for creating fiat money. Floating capability as an essential concomitant of
exchange rates, open capital accounts, its growing role in the world economy.
and inflation targeting monetary policy So must China, although China is
which stabilises the local business cycle already able to rely on a world-class
are now the reality pervading and financial centre in Hong Kong, and
shaping international economics and to a lesser extent by Singapore (which
finance in the second globalization. serves the regional economy
Every developing country faces the task even more).
of mastering the institutional dance that
is required to pull off this combination. * India has emerged in the world as a
competitive, reliable provider of
. production is now dispersed across services. The provision of on a
a number of s, s, s and competitive basis to the global economy
s spread across the globe. But is highly dependent on capability and
it is still concentrated mostly in the an endowment of human capital that
developed world. This was unlike the is numerate, adept mathematically and
first globalization, where London was entrepreneurially inclined. Given the
clearly the dominant . There is critical importance of those ingredients,
a striking difference between financial provision is an arena in which India
services production, and that of most has natural advantages for competing
other goods and services, in that the bulk successfully. It would be making a
of global financial services production major error in not developing its policy-
takes place at a few s in what have making, operational and regulatory
come to be known as global cities. capacities to compete globally in the
What can usefully be deduced from arena as quickly as possible.
this brief history of s, in the context of * India’s aspiring to enter the market for
India rapidly becoming one of the world’s globalised financial services provision is
most significant economies post-? How synonymous with India aspiring to have
should India cope as a third and more an in Mumbai, that connects the
intense phase of globalization emerges with Indian financial system with the global
India and China playing key roles? Simply financial system. This is in contrast
put, the main deductions are these: with conventional goods and services,
. The Emergence of IFCs: A brief history 13
2
The st century is witnessing the world’s world with a range of financial products
transformation into a global village. This and services in this globalised world. The
is being caused by: (a) an inexorable sections of this chapter look at some key
process of internationalization – that is products/services provided by s. While chapter
linking countries through trade, investment London and New York provide all of them,
and cultural exchange; and (b) equally other s around the world provide some
inexorable deregulation. Both forces were combination of them.
unleashed by regulatory relaxation in the
s. Their impact was amplified in the 1. Fund Raising in IFCs: What is
s with the rediscovery and acceptance
involved? Who does it and
of market economics following the collapse
of socialism as an alternative. More how?
countries are shifting to market economics An provides a platform for entities to
from socialist paradigms to drive their raise large amounts of funds on a global
development models. Their governments, rather than domestic scale. This includes:
firms, and civil societies – which were (a) debt and quasi-debt across all maturity
inward-looking and myopic – have revised and currency spectra; (b) equity and quasi-
their views about their respective roles. equity for private, public, multilateral
They have become long-sighted, outward- and public-private entities; as well as
orientated and global in outlook. (c) diverse risk-management appendages
Markets – for goods and services, fi- to primary fund-raising transactions. Such
nance, factors of production, and knowledge arrangements permit the risk exposure of
– are no longer confined to national geogra- the primary fund-raising entity (to currency,
phies. Products and services are no longer interest rate, credit, market, operational
designed and made for domestic and export and political risks) to be contained within
customers separately with different quality tolerable limits. The presence of large
standards for each. Resources are no longer investment banks and global securities firms
restricted to those available domestically. In- in an facilitates access to a huge pool of
vestments are no longer limited to domestic global finance unconstrained by domestic
projects. In other words, economic bound- boundaries.
aries have become porous. Among other As the example of London illustrates,
things, this new world – in which economics this calls for dynamic, transparent and highly
and finance are no longer constrained by liquid capital and derivative markets with
geography – is making new demands on firm, principles-based yet flexible regulation
financial firms, services, systems and mar- that is unintrusive and does not involve
kets. New financial products/services are micro-management.
being demanded from traditional financial It is often asserted that modern com-
firms to meet the needs of clients who have munications technologies have resulted in
suddenly emerged as global players. the ‘death of distance’. It is therefore possi-
A modern financial system includes ble for geographically dispersed investors
banking, insurance, asset management, and issuers to interact without needing a
securities dealing, derivatives and risk geographically focused . However, the
management. An provides individuals, empirical reality is that – even after large
corporations and governments around the changes in technologies of communication –
18 R M I F C
Table 2.1: Markets for foreign equities (2005) Table 2.2: International Bond Markets (2005)
systems their choice is usually restricted to just from India but elsewhere,
loans from commercial banks. . A liquid and efficient bond market with
Tables . and . show the amount a traded yield curve in the currency of
of equities and bonds issued in global the that enables global corporate
capital markets in . The bulk of the and sovereign bond issuance,
bond market is in domestic bonds issued
. A large and liquid currency trading
by companies in their own country and
market,
currency. But the share of international
bond issues in the total bond market . Robust derivatives markets that permit
has risen in recent years. The value of laying off a variety of risks i.e., including
bonds issued worldwide totalled over $ credit, interest rate, maturity and
trillion at end-. Table . shows the duration, currency, and political risk,
percentage share by nationality of the bond . Efficient and globally open banking
issuer. International bonds, which include markets that minimize or eliminate
Eurobonds and foreign bonds, totalling the conflicts-of-interest that arise with
$, billion were issued in . issuers state-ownership and domination of the
had the largest share in with nearly a banking system; and
fifth of the total, followed by Spain and the
. Globally efficient insurance and re-
. insurance markets open to global players
There is a natural synergy between
with all the necessary products and
global funds seeking investment opportuni-
services available.
ties (with a wide range of risk/return possi-
bilities) and global seekers of funds. Their Global fund-raising is one of the most
mutual interests converge in an . Each prominent revenue sources in every IFC,
induces network effects that feed off the and a tangible goal that every IFC aspires for.
other. It is not possible to conceive of one However, this prominent activity requires
without the other. For that reason India does an underlying infrastructure in the form of
not have the luxury of prioritizing either these markets. Hence, the development of
one or the other of these two elements in public markets for securities, banking and
sequencing the emergence of Mumbai as an insurance on an international scale is a sine
. Both have to be accommodated simul- qua non for global fund-raising capability. In
taneously. Another key facet that needs to be other words, whether generally recognized or
emphasised from a sequencing viewpoint is not, the call for creating an IFC in Mumbai
that efficient and cost-effective fund-raising is a metaphor for (and synonymous with)
in any requires mature, deep and liquid deregulating, liberalising and globalising,
financial markets in all segments at all levels; all parts of the Indian financial system
i.e., it requires: at a faster rate than is presently the case.
. An efficient, liquid, large and globally Raising the issue of creating an IFC in
connected, equity market that can Mumbai at this time, suggests that the
support equity issuance by issuers not need for more intensive deregulation and
20 R M I F C
Table 2.3: Global assets under management in three visible categories ($bn 2004)
Table 2.4: Number of wealthy individuals and value of their wealth ($ trillion)
Source: Merrill Lynch Cap Gemini and The Boston Consulting Group
London is a leading international centre their incoming cash flows from customers;
for the provision of accounting and related and (d) execute transactions electronically
global tax management services. Services across a wide array of currencies, bank
that include auditing, taxation, corporate account holdings, tradable bills of exchange
finance and consultancy and are dominated and letters of credit, as well as temporary
by the big four accounting firms. According investments in treasury bills and corporate
to Accountancy Age’s league table, fee money market instruments across a number
income amongst the Top accounting of national markets.
firms rose from £. billion to £. billion. Broadly, services include deposi-
Table . shows the fee income earned by
tory, collection and disbursement, liquidity
some of the largest accounting firms in
and cash management services and export
the . While there are around ,
and import related financing services. Most
accounting firms in the , the bulk of
global banks such as Chase, Citicorp, and
services provided to larger companies and
organizations including cross border and offer all of the above services. They
international services are the preserve of have their own cash management systems,
a relatively small number of large firms, often suitably modified to take into account
particularly the Big Four. a particular corporation’s needs. They use
techniques such as netting, exposure man-
6. Global/regional corporate agement and cash pooling to reduce transac-
treasury management
Table 2.5: Largest accounting firms in the UK
s provide the infrastructure necessary
for global investment banks to provide Firm Fee income
international treasury management services (£million)
for s. These banks provide support PwC LLP 1780.0
systems that enable organizations to: Deloitte LLP 1350.0
(a) optimize cash management and working KPMG LLP 1066.0
Ernst and Young LLP 828.0
capital while earning high returns on surplus Grant Thornton UK LLP 254.3
liquidity; (b) streamline their receivables BDO Stoy Hayward LLP 224.0
using sophisticated information technology Baker Tilly 172.9
Smith and Williamson LLP 127.5
to monitor and direct daily cash flows;
PKF ( UK) LLP 113.7
(c) manage their payables through their
supply chain in keeping with the rhythm of Source: Accountancy Age Top 50, June 2005
26 R M I F C
tions costs, manage risks and make effective 7. Global and regional risk
use of available funds. Major money mar- management and
kets in London, New York and Zurich offer
insurance/re-insurance
a wide variety of highly liquid short-term
instruments so that firms practically hold operations
no idle cash. providers in turn set Historically, a corporate treasury’s involve-
up money management systems that allow ment with risk management has focused on
client organizations to borrow from their asset-liability management and on identify-
open lines of credit and repay commercial ing and hedging financial exposures to cur-
lines of credit automatically without manual
rency and interest rate risks. The company
intervention.
treasurer’s classical responsibilities were to:
In recent years, banks have created
establish policies for financial risk manage-
enormously sophisticated Internet-based
ment, execute related practices, and track
offerings where the services of the bank
take over, on an outsourcing basis, many and report on results.
functions of handling an upstream or Today, however, risk management
downstream vendor network of a firm. is concerned with an increasingly broad
This involves a complex blend of payments range of risks, financial and operational.
services and Internet technology. Indian Risks such as: liquidity risk, counterparty
financial firms could excel in this area, given risk, operational (including employee)
India’s strengths in computer technology, risk, and country risk, confront all
and the ability to run low cost call centres in corporate contenders in today’s complex
India. and volatile global environment. They have
. st Century IFS provided by IFCs 27
Table 2.6: Largest insurance markets innovation and growth at national, regional
and global levels. Financial markets,
Country Total ($bn) % share
of world
especially equity markets, have grown
dramatically in developed and developing
US 1,098 34
countries over the last two decades.
Japan 492 15
UK 295 9 Sovereign and corporate bond markets of
France 195 6 interest to global investors have grown
Germany 191 6 rapidly since in the emerging countries
Italy 129 4
Canada 79 2
of Latin America and Europe. But that
Others 765 24 has not been the case in Asia or Africa.
World 3,244 100 Derivatives markets have grown explosively
and become extremely deep and liquid in
Source: Swiss Re
capital markets but remain nascent
become important considerations in overall in most emerging markets.
corporate risk management. In Europe, capital markets have become
Risk management has become so im- increasingly regionalised. Globalisation has
portant that individual financial institutions resulted in: substantially increased cross-
invest an average of $ million annually in border capital flows, tighter links among
risk management technology. Many of the financial markets, and greater commercial
largest institutions have invested hundreds presence of foreign financial firms around
of millions of dollars. Independent risk man- the world. Indeed, one feature of London,
agement consultants collaborate with cor- as perhaps the best-connected in the
porations to identify their business-specific world, is the extent of foreign involvement
needs and design integrated solutions de- and ownership of financial firms, exchanges
livered through a seamless distribution net- and markets (as well as the employment of
work to meet marketplace challenges. large numbers of foreigners) in the City.
This involves employing highly sophis- Up to the s, British investment and
ticated exchange traded and tailored deriva- merchant banks played a prominent role in
tives (futures, options, swaps, swaptions, offering to global clients. But in
caps and collars) as well as world class deriva- there was no independent British-owned
tives exchanges networking together for trad- global investment bank left standing. They
ing a wide variety of global contracts. It also had all been taken over by, or had merged
involves providing insurance and reinsur- with, other global firms. in the City
ance related services.
This was due largely to the global trading of Brady
Table . shows the fees earned by the
bonds (deep discount, low-coupon, and face value
largest insurance markets in the world. The protected) issued in – as a means for converting
insurance industry is the largest followed the bank debt of highly indebted Latin American and
by Japan and the . It consists of groups European countries in crises into market tradable debt.
That mechanism enabled country risk to be spread
and companies such as Lloyd’s, underwriters, more widely across a global institutional and individual
brokers and intermediaries and their clients. investor base; rather than being concentrated in a few
The London market is the world’s leading banks, thus endangering the stability of the global
market for internationally traded insurance banking system. Brady bonds were credited with not
just developing bond markets in these two regions but
and reinsurance. with bringing an end to a developing country debt crisis
that had been prolonged unnecessarily, and at great
expense to debtors and creditors alike, throughout the
8. Global/Regional exchange ‘lost decade’ of the s. Such bond markets were
trading of securities, instrumental in dealing more expeditiously with smaller
debt crises that occurred in other emerging markets
commodities and derivatives through the s. Had such markets existed in Asia
in financial instruments and during the Asian debt crisis of –, it is arguable
that Asia might have escaped the worst effects without
indices in commodities recourse to the IMF, and with much lower overall
economic costs being incurred, especially by Indonesia,
Capital (and derivatives) markets have a and without the unnecessary spread of contagion into
crucial role to play in enabling enterprise, the secure markets of Singapore and Hong Kong.
28 R M I F C
of London are now offered by a plethora investors. Given the network properties
of multinational, American, Japanese and of stock exchanges, high liquidity further
European investment banks along with a increases the value of additional transactions
few from emerging markets. Yet, contrary at exchanges such as New York or London,
to popular belief that the success of an leading to even greater concentration of
is characterised by the strong presence order flow and increased liquidity at these
of indigenous financial firms, London has exchanges. As a natural extension of these
thrived and grown as an rather than tendencies the first steps were taken in
suffered any loss of influence as a result of to cross-link ownership and management
foreign presence. of corporate exchanges in the and
This is an important lesson for Indian through take-over bids such as those
policy-makers and regulators to imbibe: launched by Nasdaq and the Deutsche
i.e., the success of an IFC and the revenues Bourse for the London Stock Exchange.
a country derives from IFS exports should In response the LSE has developed closer
not be confused with reserving space and partnership arrangements with the Tokyo
ensuring gains for indigenous firms alone. stock exchange.
An IFC succeeds because it is international Even more recently, in September
in every sense of that word. What makes , a group of global investment banks
an IFC international is the multinational announced their intention of collaborating
origin of players operating in it. An IFC to establish a global corporate exchange
in Mumbai dominated by Indian financial that would provide a more efficient,
firms, or reserved for them, would not be less expensive global securities trading
as successful as an IFC that embraced all platform to compete with established
the global players that already operate in exchanges. Those types of developments will
the world’s other GFCs and IFCs . undoubtedly spread world-wide with capital
A key feature of financial globalisation market exchange platforms being globally
has been the migration of stock exchange owned and operating on universal standards
activities abroad, particularly in from of accepted best practice to meet the needs
European and emerging markets. There of global investors. It is unlikely that Indian
is now an increasing tendency toward exchanges will remain exempt from such
multiple listings of financial securities, trends for too long.
and of derivative/commodity contracts, on Table . shows the growth of the global
different exchanges with emerging investor futures and options market, in units of a
demand for ×× trading of all listed million contracts that is used internationally.
securities across all exchanges. Many India performs well in equity indexes and
firms, from the and emerging markets, individual equity derivatives. But India lacks
now cross-list their shares on international interest rate or currency contracts; both of
exchanges in the form of s and s. which have now become integral features
For example, the shares of are listed in the emergence of viable bond markets.
and traded in Hong Kong, London and New London is the biggest market in the world for
York; they should perhaps be listed and derivatives traded over-the-counter, and the
traded in Mumbai and Shanghai as well. By second largest for exchange-traded futures
the same token the shares of several Indian and options; both of whose turnover has
multinational companies and transnational doubled in recent years.
financial firms, public and private, are traded Mumbai is better placed to develop
in New York ( s) and Luxembourg these particular capacities more quickly than
(s). other emergent s owing to the presence
Remote access to trading systems is of strong exchange institutions, highly
ubiquitous, implying that the services efficient and cost-effective computerized and
offered by stock exchanges can now be fully automated trading platforms, rapid
accessed from anywhere, including firms real-time gross settlements and delivery.
having their stocks traded on international At the same time, the present situation
exchanges while still being accessible to local is daunting, with a huge gap between
. st Century IFS provided by IFCs 29
Table 2.7: Global futures and options volume by sector (million contracts)
Table 2.8: OTC derivatives turnover (average daily turnover 10. Cross-border mergers and
in April $bn)
acquisitions (M&A)
1998 2001 2004
Global corporate deal-making (whether
UK 171 275 643 in the form of voluntary or hostile M&A,
US 91 135 355 or divestiture, disinvestment, unbundling,
France 46 67 154
privatization etc.) has become an important
Germany 34 97 46
Italy 5 24 41
activity as organizations expand and
Belgium 42 22 39 diversify across the world. Global M&A
Netherlands 6 14 32 advisors provide cross-border support
Others 79 130 198 and opportunities for clients who wish
Total 474 764 1,508
to complete acquisitions, company sales,
buy-outs and buy-ins, fund raising and
Source: Bank of international settlements other corporate finance transactions. The
objective is to obtain the best combination of
Indian prices and world prices (see Box .). price, form of consideration, deal structure,
Significant policy reforms will be necessary and compatible purchaser within a targeted
in order to translate India’s latent strengths timescale.
in this regard into global competitiveness. Comprehensive research, involving
cooperation and expertise of relevant
partners is used to generate an agreed list
9. Financial engineering and
of recommended buyers with most to gain
architecture for large from acquiring the business. By creating a
complex projects competitive bidding situation and actively
managing the sale process through to legal
Large projects (over $ billion or more)
completion, the advisor delivers the best
in energy and infrastructure now require
possible deal, structured for maximum
blocks of wholesale funding sourced from
tax effectiveness, whilst maintaining strict
national and global capital markets, export
confidentiality throughout.
credit agencies and banks. Often these
In the global M&A arena, India was
funds have to be raised with complex
ranked second last in terms of dollar value of
risk-management instruments attached.
M&A in a recent ranking by Bloomberg. But,
Investment banks situated in s are best
what is important in the data for regional
suited for putting together the funding and
breakdowns by target countries is that, with
the risk management of such projects in a % volume change, India’s M&A growth
place. is blazing enough to take the country to the
A decade ago, funding of such projects third slot, next only to France and Hong
was mostly done using convertibles, cum- Kong, each of which have achieved more
warrant bonds, credit-linked notes and than % growth. Latin America and
forex-linked bonds. Today, while these Canada are at distant fourth and fifth places,
products still exist, more complex products, with % and % increase, respectively.
including a whole range of s (s as Clearly global M&A is an activity that will
well as s), exchangeables and reverse become increasingly important in India and
convertibles as well as a huge number of for which a considerable amount of back-
certificates linked to all kinds of underlyings office / and due diligence research
such as indices, baskets, securities, funds and work is already outsourced to India.
hedge funds are available. A large proportion
of risk management for these projects is done 11. Financing for public-private
using global derivatives. A range of
innovative products are developed for clients
partnerships (PPP)
and governments around the world. Table This relatively new activity has emerged
. shows the average daily turnover of on scene with considerable force since the
derivatives. development of the London Underground
. st Century IFS provided by IFCs 31
() . Expert consultants, who help in support services to the public and private
putting together a deal, provide legal, parties co-operating under s, providing
accounting, consulting and other business comprehensive support from the beginning
32 R M I F C
3
As observed in the two preceding chapters, in other large economies such Germany,
are being provided to the world by a France, Japan and the were being over-
few international financial centres ( s) regulated and over-taxed.
located in the , and East Asia. In chapter
this chapter, we present four case studies: New York rose to prominence as an
London, New York, Singapore and Dubai. with: (a) the growing stature of the
We have chosen these four cities to economy between and – similar to
look at closely because: (a) the first two what is happening in China and India today;
epitomise what a fully-fledged is, and and (b) relentless American innovation in
what Mumbai should aspire to become finance – which is not happening in China
as it matures; and (b) the latter two or India as yet. Financial innovation in the
offer immediate competition in India’s (not just New York but Chicago as well)
own neighbourhood of a kind that may has continued ever since. New York became
compromise the emergence of Mumbai as the world’s dominant in when war-
an . ravaged Europe involuntarily ceded global
Indeed, if policy-makers and regulators leadership to America. That baton is now
do not take the necessary actions for making passing to Asia as the st century unfolds.
Mumbai a credible/viable in the near
future, then Indian financial institutions that Singapore’s emerged in the s and
are managerially capable, and have freedom s and is now well established if not yet
of manoeuvre, are likely to locate in the fully developed. It is still a far cry from
two proximate centres within a matter of London and New York. But it is arguably
months. From there they can offer their ahead of Tokyo, Paris and Frankfurt. That
clients (whose business they do not wish is a remarkable feat for a small entrepot
to lose by default) a range of that they economy to have achieved in the space of a
cannot offer from India today. Indeed Dubai mere quarter-century.
International Financial Centre ( ) is
counting on that eventuality materialising. Dubai – or more specifically, the Dubai
Such a move would compromise, delay, International Financial Centre ( ) –
and perhaps even prevent, Mumbai from is a newly emergent enclave with the
becoming the kind of that an economy resources and infrastructure in place to
of India’s growing stature should have. develop very rapidly in providing to
markets in the Middle East as well as in West,
Central and South Asia.
1. Summary overview
Unlike London and New York, the s
London has been an important for over in Singapore and Dubai have not evolved
three centuries. It was predominant in – as a consequence of their historical and
when the British Empire covered much geographical legacies, or natural evolution
of the world. After an interregnum in – of their market economies at the crossroads
– when it ceded primacy to New York – it of global financial flows for trade and
has now recaptured its status as the world’s investment. They have emerged as a result
premier . That has been a result of of a powerful push by their respective
canny opportunism and adept regulation. It governments to develop s. Singapore
exploited the reality that financial markets has the advantage of being at the centre of
34 R M I F C
the large and flourishing regional From what we discern of activity
economy. Dubai is located in a more since , it is clear that the emergence
volatile neighbourhood. Its political and of competing s does not necessarily
administrative governance is not based on displace work at other s. A study on
an established democratic structure, nor on career development patterns in the global
global norms concerning the rule of law. It industry insightfully suggests that it is
is based upon the unusual competence of typical for high-flyers to work in a number
two generations of a monarchic autocracy. of s; particularly London, New York and
But the next generation of leadership is Singapore. They do so for different global
as yet untried and untested. Succession financial firms, and establish their own
is unclear. is incipient and has yet to informal working networks, before settling
prove itself. Dubai is only at incipient stages down as senior executives in any one of them.
of establishing itself as a stable global city Perhaps as a consequence of such human
whose future is assured. But if its recent networks, the growth and development of
accomplishments in other spheres (in a Singapore as an appears to have created
shorter span than Singapore) are indicative, more business for London and New
then portents for success are favourable. York rather than less. On that basis the
Taken together, these four global cities emergence of Mumbai and Shanghai as s
(two old, two new) are natural reference should be welcomed by London and New
points for a policy debate in India about York if not by Singapore and Dubai.
establishing an and how it might evolve. But, at the same time, anecdotal
In a nutshell, Mumbai’s should, over and quantitative evidence suggests that
the long term, aspire to emulate the City of Singapore has diverted some business from
London. It should operate and be regulated Tokyo and Hong Kong. Tokyo has not
in the same flexible way. But it faces been as global or culturally adaptable in its
competition from Singapore and Dubai aspirations and outlook as an . It has not
whose capabilities/ambitions are clearer. As adopted English as its ’s lingua franca;
noted, that may compromise Mumbai’s nor is it as prone to financial innovation, or
development as an in the nascent stage to light-touch regulation, that adapts quickly
if the ingredients for a successful are to changing national/global circumstances.
unavailable or poorly blended. The main Similarly, the primacy of London ap-
such ingredients of course are political, pears to have constrained opportunities
administrative and regulatory leadership. for other European centres like Amsterdam,
They are required at central, state, municipal, Paris and Frankfurt. These centres have not
and corporate, levels of governance. adapted governance frameworks for their
If past experience is any guide, symbi- financial regimes, nor their regulatory and
otic relationships will develop across s tax practices, in tune with rapidly evolving
over the years. The task of global global expectations/standards as London
provision is already fragmented into sub- has: nor do they use English for commu-
components produced at the most efficient nicating with the world. Though home to
production location and synthesised at the large immigrant populations they are not
point of contact with the client. Manufactur- as open to, or as tolerant of, cultural and
ing in almost all industries is now organised lingual heterogeneity on the same scale as
on that basis in a seamless global produc- London and New York. And they have oner-
tion chain. Similar complex organisation ous tax regimes that deter expatriates in the
of production is now technologically industry from locating there.
feasible and becoming increasingly desirable Evidence from all four case studies –
in terms of cost-effectiveness and efficiency. and contra-evidence from s like Tokyo
Given the proximity of time zones, this will and those in continental Europe – suggests
generate strong pressures for close working strongly that the use of English is an essential
relationships between/among the in- ingredient for the development of a viable
dustry in Mumbai with that in Singapore,
Dubai, London and New York. These results are from the ‘Loughborough Study’.
. Case studies: London, New York, Singapore, Dubai 35
. That is because English is the default equity trading and syndicated insurance.
language of global business. This triggered the growth of public traded
The following four case studies have securities and of merchant banks to deal
been presented in order to help policy- in them. London invented the market-
makers and the wider public to understand dominated financial system now known
in concrete terms what it takes for an as the Anglo-Saxon model. Individual
to be commercially viable, competitive shipping ventures, as well as such enterprises
and successful; and to guide debates as the British, Dutch and Danish East
about specific policy aspects important India Companies, were financed by equity
in the formation of s. They are interests privately distributed among wealthy
particularly relevant given the coming aristocrats, government personages or
years of cooperation and competition that merchants from sponsoring countries. Early
Mumbai will inevitably confront in its mining ventures were routinely funded by
dealings as an with Singapore, Dubai the issue and sale of shares or participations.
and London. Another need that London met was
government financing for countries ranging
2. A closer look at the City of from those of major European countries
to small princely states; often for financing
London
wars. Given the risks and difficulties of
London is at present the most successful contract enforcement, wars could not be
Global Financial Centre ( ). It is the financed by equity participation. They were
world’s largest net exporter of financial funded by debt arranged by bankers, such
services, earning a net surplus of about as the Rothschilds. Indeed, historians have
$ billion in from . It leads in noted that England had an advantage in
international bank lending, consulting on waging war against France because of its
cross-border mergers and acquisitions, and superior expertise in bond financing with
trading/issuing international bonds. It is the centuries of financing wars through large-
leading global currency trading centre, with scale sovereign bond issues. Such public
a % market share of total global currency debt was run down through fiscal surpluses
trading. in peacetime. The long history of the
London’s origins as an can be shows a remarkable ability to doggedly run
traced back to just before the Napoleonic surpluses and run down the debt/
wars. Edward Lloyd’s Coffee House – ratio for decades on end in peacetime,
where maritime insurance was arranged which established the credibility required
– was established in . The Bank of for borrowing of the order of % of
England was formed in . By the at the time of the Napoleanic wars, the First
late th and early th century, economic World War and the Second World War.
development in north and west Europe Capital flows in the th and th
had advanced to a point where surplus centuries involved issuing securities in
savings were being generated. New types of Europe to finance development in the
financing needs were making themselves felt Americas and the colonies. Infrastructure
simultaneously. This was a period in which (e.g., railways) in the and Latin America,
European imperial powers were expanding as well as mining, ranching and plantation
their colonial domains rapidly. Colonisation ventures in the colonies, were financed
required substantial risk financing for through share and bond issues in London.
transport (e.g. railway projects), trade, other In real terms, they would seem enormous
infrastructure, as well as for productive even by today’s standards.
investment in agriculture, mining and Global trade, finance and capital flows
primitive manufacturing. were disrupted for three decades between the
In financing commercial activity at start of the First () and end of the Second
home and abroad, London played a World War (). Between and ,
significant role in key innovations such as: the exported capital to Europe and Japan
the limited liability company, organised to the tune of over % of its for the
36 R M I F C
Marshall and Stimson Plans alone. A further deregulation and liberalisation of the ’s
% of was transferred by way of private capital, insurance and currency markets
capital flows as major corporations and replaced the gentlemanly atmosphere
established manufacturing bases in Europe. in which business was traditionally done
But as domestic consumption in America in the City. Professionalism was infused
grew during –, and as domestic from abroad, mainly the . London’s
production in Europe revived (much of it financial markets were opened to all. That
being exported to the to earn surpluses led to the entry of major global institutions
that repaid reconstruction loans), the (e.g., and Citigroup) as well as
’ trade balance with Europe shrank financial institutions from every economy
dramatically, thus deepening its overall in Europe, Japan and the developing world.
balance-of-payments deficits. An unfortunate consequence was that such
Faced with a massive expansion opening-up led to the demise (through
of public spending under the Kennedy acquisition) of British owned investment
and Johnson Administrations, and the banks which were outclassed by their
simultaneous financing of a war in Vietnam, better capitalised and more professionally
the Treasury realised in the early run foreign rivals. However, many
s that capital exports to Europe could owned commercial banks and mortgage
not continue. The Treasury had finance institutions continue to flourish
begun encouraging European authorities in providing retail financial services to
to develop their own capital markets since domestic customers rather than specialising
the late s. That initiative resonated in .
well in London where the authorities began The capstone for ensuring London’s
immediately to revive its role as an . competitive edge in the provision of was
In June , the first Eurobond was laid by the Blair Government in . The
issued in London by Autostrade, the Italian Bank of England was made constitutionally
state highway authority. British merchant independent and responsible solely for the
banks (e.g., Morgan Grenfell, Barings, conduct of monetary policy. That was to
Cazenoves, Flemings, Jardines, etc.) rapidly be done in a transparent manner with no
assumed leadership in Eurobond issues interference by the Treasury. All tasks other
for sovereign, corporate, multilateral and than setting the base rate were shifted out
parastatal issuers; not just from Europe of the Bank of England. The frameworks
but from around the world. That market for accountability and for total transparency
expanded rapidly. It became so lucrative, of decision-making were put into place
that leading American investment banks for this one task. The Bank of England
such as Morgan Stanley, First Boston, does not trade on the currency market to
Lehman Brothers, J.P. Morgan and Goldman intervene in stabilising exchange rates, even
Sachs also set up operations in London in times of stress. The burden of financial
in the late s; propelling its resurgence regulation and supervision was transferred
as an . Its role was bolstered by to a Financial Services Authority () that
the recycling of petrodollar surpluses via became a unified single regulator for all
London throughout the s via syndicated financial services. Regulatory unification
bank lending and sovereign bond issues. prevented the fragmentation of finance,
American institutions operating out of avoided regulatory turf wars, eliminated the
London were joined in the s by financial problem of regulatory issues falling between
firms from Holland, Germany, Japan, France, the cracks when multiple regulators regulate
Italy, Scandinavia and Canada. That second different institutions, and increased benefits
wave was followed by a third through the from economies of scale and scope.
s and s from Singapore and the The developed and applied
developing world. What cemented London’s a unique framework of principles-based
primacy as a in the st century was regulation — a counterpoint to the
the Big Bang triggered by the Thatcher and continental European approaches of
Government in . It resulted in total rules-based regulation that necessitates
. Case studies: London, New York, Singapore, Dubai 37
Table 3.1: London’s share in global foreign exchange and rule-of-law: London has a long
trading
tradition of a mature democracy with
April Global foreign % share of markets freedom of speech, as well as an array
2006 exchange market UK US Japan of constitutional and popular checks-
turnover ($bn)
and-balances to curb the excesses of
2001 1,277 31.1 17.7 9.1 government, legislature, and politicians
2004 2,041 31.3 19.1 8.3 at every level of government. These are
2005 2,103 31.5 18.9 8.3
2006 2,901 32.4 18.2 7.6 firmly respected and enforced without
discrimination, fear or favour. London
Source: IFSL estimates; Bank for International establishes global standards for the rule
Settlements
of law with a capable and sophisticated
legal system for resolving commercial
codifying detailed rules and regulations disputes. This attribute dovetails well
that define all financial products and with the contractual requirements of
markets. The superiority of principles-based
international finance.
regulation (with its inherent flexibility in
permitting financial innovation) over rules- . A multinational, multilingual work-
based regulation (which cannot anticipate force: London has embraced a large
every future innovation and therefore tends population of immigrants thanks to the
to suppress it) has been proven over a legacy of Empire and a tradition of pro-
decade. It has further entrenched London’s viding asylum from oppression in Eu-
role as a . It has resulted indirectly rope. People of all nationalities and eth-
in many global banks (investment and nic origin are to be found in the City of
commercial) shifting entire divisions for London at every level for financial firms
major corporate financing functions from from all over the world. Ethnic origin
New York to London to take advantage of the and nationality do not pose insuperable
regulatory flexibility offered in that location. barriers to employment or advancement
Table . shows the growth of the in the City. That enables London to net-
currency trading market in London while work and communicate with the rest of
Table . indicates the share of London in the world – including the most remote
overall . developing country – more effectively
than any other .
Why/How did London become the world’s . Language: With English having become
pre-eminent IFC? Eight factors made a the default language of globalisation,
major contribution to that outcome. They
London (along with New York) has an
need to be considered carefully by Indian
advantage over other s that operate
policy-makers.
in different lingual environments. Lack
. Location: London has a particularly of English has hindered the emergence
convenient time-zone location. In the of Tokyo, continental European centres,
morning, London talks with Tokyo, as well as other aspirant s such as
Sydney, Singapore, Hong Kong and Shanghai and Seoul.
Mumbai. In the evening, London talks . Capital Controls: The has no cap-
with New York, Chicago, Miami and ital controls. But, London was an
San Francisco. London daytime overlaps even when capital controls were in force
with daytime in Tokyo Singapore, South between and . However global
Asia, the Middle East, Europe and the circumstances have changed dramati-
Americas. These regions account for the cally since then. In –, the cities
bulk of world . Longitudes from that London competed against also had
Mumbai to New York can be accessed capital controls consistent with the then-
through flights of below hours from prevalent Bretton Woods system. It is
London. impossible to see London being as suc-
. Open, genuine participatory democracy cessful as a if capital controls (of
38 R M I F C
% share
Cross-border lending (Sep 2005) 20 9 8 8 11 44
Foreign equities turnover (2005) 43 31 – – 3 23
Currency spot turnover (Apr 2004) 31 19 8 3 5 34
Derivatives turnover
– exchange-traded (2005) 6 34 2 2 12 44
– over-the-counter (Apr 2004) 43 24 3 10 3 17
International bonds – secondary market (2005) 70
Fund management (as a source of funds, 2004) 8 45 12 5 4 26
Hedge fund assets (Dec 2004) 20 69 1 2 – 8
even a limited sort) were now in place. lack the level of commitment to open-
Today, the Bank of England, the ness which enables such a level of inter-
and the Treasury do not attempt to nationalisation (e.g., most continental
even capture data about capital flows European countries and Japan) and are
of the kind that the authorities in India thus unable to compete with London in
feel is necessary. But the advent of new providing .
regulations aimed at preventing money . Policy innovations of the late s: The
laundering and the financing of terror- reforms that: (a) gave the Bank
ism may change that situation on an of England statutory independence for
exceptional basis. the conduct of monetary policy with a
single price stability target and without
. Openness and lack of protectionism in any interference from the Treasury
the IFC: The Big Bang of resulted and (b) created a single unified finan-
in complete deregulation, liberalisation cial system regulator (the ) have
and opening up of the market in the together set global standards for cutting
. Some restrictions remain on direct edge central banking and financial reg-
foreign entry into the domestic finan- ulation. The example has, over the
cial services market. But those can be last decade, become the ideal model for
overcome by acquiring extant financial central banks and financial regulators
firms operating in that market. This pol- worldwide. Moreover the ’s pioneer-
icy of openness was pursued despite the ing principles-based approach to regu-
threat to the survival of venerable British lation is now seen as more innovation
merchant banks. That threat eventually friendly and less risky than traditional
materialised. But it did not deter the rules-based regulation.
authorities from internationalising the
. Policy focus on finance: With a
City with no preconceived limit on for-
of around $ . trillion, the
eign presence, nor any insistence on the
economy is the world’s fifth largest
participation of domestic institutions, in nominal terms. That is more than
nor on the employment of nationals three times the size of the Indian
in key executive positions. The inter- economy in nominal dollars; although
nationalisation of its financial system it is actually slightly smaller in
that the has achieved is remarkable terms. But the role of its financial
by any standards; particularly by Indian services industry, and of provision
standards that favour protectionism over in particular, in generating employment,
openness and efficiency. Table . shows output and net export revenue is
that of the banks authorised to op- sufficiently large to command the special
erate in the , only are owned attention of politicians and government.
and controlled. Many other countries Whereas the has lost competitiveness
. Case studies: London, New York, Singapore, Dubai 39
Table 3.3: Ownership structure of banks operating in UK That has led to difficulties in co-ordinating
multiple regulators across the financial
1995 2005
system. Legislative myopia, and suspicion of
Total authorised banks 481 347 the motives of foreigners in compromising
Incorporated in UK 224 165
the ’s commercial interests, has resulted
UK owned and controlled 142 78
Foreign owned and controlled 82 87 in the passage of legislation such as the
Incorporated outside the UK 257 182 Sarbannes-Oxley Act. Sarbox is anathema
Total Foreign banks 339 264 to the global business community. It
imposes punitive measures on foreign firms
and nationals for questionable reasons
in manufacturing, and a number of and attempts to exert extra-territoriality
service industries as well (other than in extending the remit of law.
publishing, media and entertainment) After the tragic events of //, there
it has remained competitive in the have been profound changes in the attitudes
provision of . This heightened of the authorities in response to
prominence of finance has helped to public concern about terrorism on soil.
ensure that the City of London attracts Homeland security concerns on the part
its best professional talent, as well as the of the have, in turn, led to reciprocal
attention of the ’s key administrators, concerns on the part of global financial
political leaders and statesmen. It firms about the stability, reliability and
inclines them toward reaching consensus consistency of policy-making under
on far-reaching reforms in the financial stress. There is now a perception on the
services sector in a timely manner part of capital surplus countries that hold
(such as the Bank of England and large reserves of a heightened risk of
reforms) and continually adjusting/fine- foreign asset seizure; that has happened in
tuning the legislative framework and the case of Iran. Consequently, a subtle
regulatory environment in keeping with change in attitudes has occurred on the part
changes in the global environment to of foreign financial players about the wisdom
assure continued competitiveness. If of putting too many eggs in the New York
London lost market share in the global basket, simply as a matter of political
marketplace, this would affect risk-management. That perception, along
election outcomes in the UK through with the ’s better regulation, has driven
the large direct and indirect impact of business from New York/Chicago to
revenues upon UK GDP. London since .
What London has achieved as a
In contrast, whereas financial services standard-setting is surprising; espe-
in the as a whole account for a cially given some weaknesses that might
significant proportion of value-added, net otherwise have seemed insuperable. Lon-
exports are small in comparison with don lacks the intellectual depth of academic
the size of the economy ( $ trillion financial economics in the . American
in ) and of gross exports. American minds have dominated the development of
administrations and congressional leaders modern quantitative finance from on-
– inclined to be insular – lack a similar wards. Yet, although short on theory and
dedicated focus on when compared skills in quantitative finance, in practice Lon-
to their counterparts. This has posed don is not at a significant disadvantage where
greater difficulties for the in reforming theoretical financial innovation is concerned.
unhelpful financial policies (such as the Financial innovations in instruments and
prolonged separation of banking and capital markets are now diffused very swiftly.
markets under Glass-Steagall). London has established its own
Regulation is fragmented across the Fed reputation for innovation: e.g., in financial
for banking, the for spot securities regulation and in arranging complex
trading, the for derivatives, and the financial packages for politically sensitive
Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. privatisations and s. In these areas it is
40 R M I F C
well ahead of New York. It lacks as large a Despite these developments in each
national economy as other s (e.g., New of these two competing s, the
York, Frankfurt, Tokyo, and now Shanghai). overwhelming cerebral power reposed in
Yet London has positioned itself to serve the the American academic establishment keeps
economy as the premier with other New York ahead of London intellectually
continental s playing a subordinate role. as the ‘Silicon Valley’ of finance with a key
Thus, London has leveraged its inherent role in continued financial innovation. Box
strengths and flexibility to overcome some . shows one example of the fascinating
of its apparent handicaps. interplay between the ideas of academic
economics and the operations of real world
finance. Another famous example of such
3. New York/Chicago as the an interaction is the pair of academic papers
GFC for the Americas and (Christie and Schultz, ; Christie et al.,
the World ) which led to the demise of the erstwhile
market design.
New York and Chicago are financial centres While New York continues to have
that reflect the overwhelming dominance remarkable strengths based on its intellectual
community, to extend that metaphor, it
of the economy. Chicago has a strong
creates the space and the precedent for
position in exchange-traded derivatives.
Mumbai as an to relate to New
New York accounts for virtually all other
York/Chicago and London in the same way
financial activities in the . But in both
that Bangalore (and now many other centres
cities, the provision of is secondary to
in India) have prospered by relating to
serving the needs of the domestic economy
Silicon Valley.
whereas in London, assumes primacy.
The tides of global financial flows
New York is home to and
have been turning dramatically since .
, the two largest stock exchanges A previously closed second world entered
in the world measured by the number and
the global economy in as a full
dollar value of transactions. It is also home participant creating new demands and
to the New York Mercantile Exchange, the needs for . After the lost decade of
largest global commodity futures exchange. the s, the developing (or third) world
Virtually every major financial conglomerate has grown substantially. It has become a
and bank in the world, American-owned more significant part of the global economy;
or not, has a presence in New York. Indeed despite ructions such as the Mexican debt
any financial institution anywhere that deals crisis of , followed by the Asian crisis of
directly in dollars in large amounts finds – and the Turkish, Russian, Brazilian
it essential to maintain such a presence. New and Argentina debt crises of –. The
York has a bewildering array of integrated, has turned from being the world’s largest
as well as specialised, financial firms engaged creditor to being its largest debtor in a span
in moving money from one place to another, of years. Large fiscal and current account
inventing new trading strategies, raising deficits in the are now being financed
capital in all markets and using derivatives largely by international investors. Table .
to reshape risk. shows purchases and sales of long-term
London and other s replicated the securities by foreign investors. Table .
human capital and computer technology indicates investor purchases and sales of
in their industries to match New long-term foreign securities. But, although
York/Chicago in terms of the instruments global financial flows have reversed, the
and contracts they could offer global underlying transactions are still being done
clientele, and the platforms needed to in New York.
trade them. London, on the other hand, The eight factors that contributed to
led the way with innovations in financing London’s success as an have also
privatisation and s which New York did contributed in large measure to the success
not keep pace with. of New York. But, over the last five years,
. Case studies: London, New York, Singapore, Dubai 41
global financial firms have begun moving key Traditionally, New York firms had
operations from New York to London. operated under a regulatory regime that
This is partly attributed to London’s more was, in most respects, more open to
benign regulatory environment and partly innovation than those that governed other
to post-/ neurosis in the . s, with the exception of London.
42 R M I F C
Box 3.2: Futures on the Value Line Index: A case study in the interplay of ideas and finance
The US pioneered the idea of futures bravely with the situation, treating the futures arbitrage strategy of Eytan and Harpaz, 1986).
markets being applied to underlying contracts as an ordinary futures product, where the basis Once this arbitrage capital and mechanism
other than those for physical commodities. should be positive and should roughly reflect a was in place, the KCBT index futures was
This began with currency futures in 1972, the cost of carry applied on the spot price. priced correctly (Thomas, 2002).
success of which immediately led to attention
on the stock market index as an underlying for In 1986, a pair of economists named This story involves five remarkable elements:
derivatives. Operationalising stock index T. H. Eytan and G. Harpaz wrote a paper in
futures required a key innovation – cash Journal of Finance titled “The Pricing of
Futures and Options Contracts on the Value . The innovative spirit of the US financial
settlement. Cash settlement is now
Line Index” where they worked out the new industry in pushing on from commodity
mainstream in derivatives trading, and many
mathematics of how futures prices and futures to currency futures to stock index
commodity futures are now settled in cash.
arbitrage worked when the index was a futures;
But, though obvious and standard now, it was
an important innovation at the time. In all geometric mean of prices (Eytan and Harpaz, . The effort at KCBT to get going on such a
countries, cash settlement has presented legal 1986). Remarkably enough, their arbitrage product even if it involved an awkward
difficulties owing to laws against wagering. procedures implied that the correct basis (i.e. geometric-mean-of-prices index;
the gap between the futures price and the
Three exchanges – the Chicago Board of spot price) for the KCBT index futures contract . The engineering approximation of traders
Trade (CBOT), the Chicago Mercantile should be negative. who tried to make do in trading this index
Exchange (CME) and the Kansas City Board of even though the theory was not
Trade (KCBT) – engaged in developmental work It is widely believed that Fischer Black, who developed;
leading up to stock index futures trading. was at Goldman Sachs at the time, took up
these ideas and rapidly implemented them as . Scholars like Eytan and Harpaz who solved
When the legal constraints were resolved, the
an operational trading strategy (Ritter, 1996). the puzzle of how to arbitrage and price
regulator gave the green light first to KCBT
As a consequence, almost immediately after the product; and
since their application had been filed first – as
early as 1977. Trading began in February 1982. the publication of Eytan and Harpaz, 1986, . Scholars like Fischer Black who were able
The index used by KCBT was the Value Line the basis on the KCBT flipped from a positive to rapidly turn the idea from the academic
Index. It was a geometric mean of prices of basis (which was based on traders wrongly literature into a trading strategy backed by
1,650 shares. The pricing of futures on such thinking that the geometric mean of prices enormous capital at Goldman Sachs, and
an index presented a challenge that was not index was like any other index) to a negative thus bring market efficiency to the market.
understood at the time. The market coped basis (which correctly flowed from the
Table 3.4: Foreign purchases and sales of long-term US The is now ahead of the in terms
securities (in USD mn)
of its regulatory approaches, attitudes
2002 2005 and practices. The rules-based regulation
of the faces severe competition
United Kingdom 186,691 361,822
Rest of Europe 57,064 158,173 from the principles-based regulation of
Caribbean Banking centres 76,144 126,289 the . That competition is being
Japan 91.412 81,955 worked out in the global marketplace as
Rest of Asia 109,314 188.435
country after country opts for the
All other countries 26,940 126,272
model.
Total 547,565 1,042,946 But whether New York leads London
Source: Treasury International Capital Reporting System as an , or vice versa, is less relevant than
the growing reality that these two centres are
beginning to increasingly operate as a sin-
Table 3.5: US investor’s purchases and sales of long-term gle linked entity. The same global financial
foreign securities (in USD mn)
firms operate in, and dominate, both s.
2002 2005 In a move was made by exchanges in
New York to acquire London’s main stock
Foreign bonds −28,492 28,603
Foreign stocks 1,493 126,735 exchange. activity in these two centres is
being undertaken within the same ten major
Total −26,999 155,338
global intra-group/inter-corporate brand
Source: Treasury International Capital Reporting System umbrellas. The booking of any particular
transaction by a given firm is depen-
dent on which jurisdiction offers the most
However, as other nations moved to favourable regulatory and tax environment
liberalize their financial markets, while the for that activity.
came up with legislation like Sarbox, What is now happening between
this advantage has eroded dramatically. London and New York may well extend to
. Case studies: London, New York, Singapore, Dubai 43
bringing all significant s within a single rival the two gigantic economic blocs of the
linked operating network that constitutes and – , China, India seem
an integrated web of global finance. In to be the main contenders to do so in the
that sense the specific -industry based st century – they will need equivalent s
linkages between/among global city IFCs to represent their financial and economic
may supersede the importance of more interests in the world economy in the same
general linkages between/among their way and with the same skills and capabilities.
national and regional economies. In such an But the most important lesson is that for
environment, an Indian needs to blend s in China and India to function as
into that unified global financial industry. effectively as those that already exist, they
Both London and New York will remain will need to invite and embrace the same
at the top of the heap for some time global players – who know no particular
to come, probably well into the middle of nationality of ownership as such – that
the st century. New York will represent are already operating in London and New
the economic weight of the and North York (and in Singapore, Dubai, Hong Kong,
America in the world economy and London Sydney, Amsterdam, Paris, Frankfurt and
will do the same for the . Singapore and, other s as well).
to a lesser extent, Tokyo (as well as other s do not succeed in providing
smaller s) already serve East Asia. But effectively and competitively if, by
with the growing weight of China and India, policy design or regulatory preference, they
new s will emerge, especially in these remain closed and protected to favour only
two countries. However, history suggests domestic players. Nor do s succeed if
that Singapore and the newer s will the policy-makers attempting to promote
take decades to equal or surpass London them focus exclusively on the domestic
and New York. While relative changes scene, and remain unconcerned about what
in the economic strength of countries is happening in the world outside. Most
(such as China and India) may occur quite of all, s are unlikely to succeed or be
rapidly, the more fundamental changes in competitive if financial system regulators
institutional arrangements for handling and institutional operators do not adapt
global trade and investment transactions swiftly and responsively to changing global
through s will continue to occur more best practices and norms of regulation, risk
slowly, even in the st century. management and corporate governance.
Thus, while the economy was larger
than the British Empire by , it still took 4. Singapore as the
New York another fifty years until to
ASEAN /Asian GFC
exceed London in importance as an .
By the same token, while the relative size In the s and s, many East Asian
of the economy in the world economy countries emulated the success of Japan
has been steadily diminishing since the mid- in the s and grew very rapidly. They
s, and has now been overtaken by the increased employment with labour-intensive
enlarged , New York still remains one of manufacturing exports and low barriers
the world’s two key s. for imported inputs. Unlike Japan, they
While new s will spring up in China relied on . Ironically, much of it was
and India – if not by design then by default from Japan. The most successful East Asian
– they will take time to establish themselves economies – which provided a model later
and reach the same level of size, credibil- for China – were Hong Kong, Taiwan, and
ity and competitive ability as the premier Singapore; followed in quick succession
league s; even though transformational by South Korea, Malaysia, Thailand and
changes (such as in Dubai) are now occur- Indonesia (although it suffered a near-fatal
ring in a shorter time span than they did in reversal in ). Singapore transformed
earlier centuries. its economy rapidly and sustained a high
The lessons that London and New York rate of growth between –. It adopted
convey is that as other economies grow to an export-orientated manufacturing hub
44 R M I F C
1996 2005
Domestic banking units’ external asset and liabilities (S$ mn) 60,302.3 117,685.9
Equity market turnover + market capitalisation (S$ mn) 88,855.1 205,164.4
Number of listed companies (SGX) 323 664
Foreign exchange market turnover (S$ mn) 44,974,690 70,734,830
Exchange traded derivatives turnover (number of contracts) 22,568,545 26,026,128
Singapore benefits from Indian restric- World Bank’s private sector affiliate – the
tions on finance by capturing business that International Finance Corporation, in .
Indian regulatory and capital controls pre- Singapore has established itself as a
vent. An active ‘non-deliverable forwards’ reliable and secure safe haven for private
market exists in Singapore and Hong Kong wealth management by wealthy individuals
on the - exchange rate, and there in (particularly the wealthy and
has been a mushrooming of interest rate influential overseas Chinese community in
derivatives on Indian underlying contracts. Asia) resulting in a vibrant private banking
Over the years, Singapore’s financial industry. Given the difficulties with political
sector has matured from providing basic stability of many neighbouring countries,
services, to sophisticated, technology-driven, Singapore has played a role as a safe haven
innovative offerings. As a result, which is reminiscent of that played by
the financial services sector has developed Switzerland in the th and th centuries in
simultaneously with the growth of the Asian unstable Europe.
Currency Unit ( ), the Asian Dollar More than international asset
Bond ( ) market and the Singapore management firms are located in Singapore.
Dollar Corporate Bond () market. This process has been assisted through
Like the Eurodollar market, the Asian a mechanism where asset management
dollar market () has played a significant companies domiciled in Singapore are
role in Asia’s economic development. more able to obtain contracts from the
Through the , financial institutions government portfolios. Total assets
channel surplus funds from regional and under management ( ) stood at
international financial markets to finance S$ . billion at the end of .
development projects in . Since its Many of the world’s leading names in
launch in , the has grown times; insurance broking, captive management and
it stood at $ billion by end-. risk management are present in Singapore.
Table . shows the growth in the equity, In addition to meeting the needs of the
foreign exchange and derivatives markets domestic market, numerous re-insurers
over a ten year period. and captive insurers use Singapore as a
Since , several initiatives have base to write risks in the region. Offshore
boosted the growth of the Singapore bond insurance business has become a major
market. The issuance of more Singapore component, accounting for more than half
Government Securities () was aimed at of the total general insurance business
building market depth and liquidity while written. Singapore is the largest domicile for
the issuance of new and -year captive insurers in Asia.
served to extend the benchmark yield curve. Singapore is a remarkable success story
Rules relating to the use of the Singapore about the extent to which the government
Dollar by foreign entities were liberalized was able to see the importance of an
to enable foreign players to participate in the late s – roughly years
more actively in issuing Singapore Dollar before this issue achieved salience in India.
bonds. These have resulted in a series of The build-up of modern knowledge in
landmark deals including the first Singapore economics and finance at , and the
Dollar foreign entity bond issued by the supportive role played by in the
46 R M I F C
development of sophisticated finance, are virtue of having a zero income tax for locals.
both accomplishments that bear great The institutional structure at
lessons for India. involves a series of specialised agencies with
supervisory and regulatory tasks: i.e.,
5. Dubai as a RFC for the Financial Services Authority, Courts
and the Registry of Companies. These
Middle East and South Asia
institutions will allow to operate
The newest entrant into space is Dubai, independently of federal law while
which has long pursued an economic strat- still being under its broad umbrella.
egy based on commerce and trade seeking to These institutions are being staffed with
reduce dependence upon oil-related activi- world class talent recruited internationally. As
ties. The was setup in September with Singapore, this institutional infrastruc-
and has been actively encouraging global ture is supportive of global financial firms that
financial firms, including Indian institutions, use modern practices, and are fairly effective
to set up operations there. at supporting the innovative deployment of
Most successful s in the world reflect new kinds of financial products and practices.
the organic strengths of a city gained from a In terms of organised financial trading, Dubai
legacy of geography and commercial history, International Financial Exchange and Dubai
as well as the potential for becoming a Gold and Commodities Exchange were started
‘global city’. Singapore exemplifies how in September and November .
an can grow out of a policy effort is a very recent entrant in the
at cultivating relevant strengths such as space. It is too early to tell how successful
financial regulation and taking advantage of it will be. Bank and Kotak Mahindra
its geography in the context of the regional ( ) have set up offices in , where a
economy. It has also exploited to total of global firms, including the likes of
the full its connections (trade, investment -Amro, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch,
and ethnicity) with China and India. Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan Chase, Goldman
By contrast, represents an enclave Sachs International, Franklin Templeton
approach brought to bear on developing Investment, Citigroup Global Markets,
another in the context of an extremely Deutsche Bank and Barclays Bank, have begun
small domestic financial sector and no operations. However, as yet, is more of
established stature as a regional provider of a location where staff is placed by global firms
for the Middle East and Persian Gulf. to book transactions and attract clients, rather
That role, until now, has been dominated than undertake the range of activities
by Bahrain. Dubai is essentially a township typically found in a fully-fledged .
surrounded by . million square miles of Dubai as a city has recorded a
desert. ’s aim is to have , people stunning rate of growth and transformation
providing a wide array of to its region over the last years. But it has the
and to the world. disadvantage of being located in a highly
is providing world class infras- unstable and volatile neighbourhood –
tructure to global financial firms for their from the viewpoint of security, politics
offices, communication and transportation. and economics as well as growing social
As with Singapore, a good quality airport, a instability exacerbated by ethnic tensions –
world-class airline, and excellent telecom- that is unlikely to be perceived as totally safe
munications facilities are already in place. by global investors in the foreseeable future.
In the case of both Singapore and Dubai, But, from the perspective of Indian
there is full capital convertibility. In addition, corporates, Indian with growing wealth
Dubai has set up unique tax privileges, management needs, and most importantly,
declaring a zero tax rate on profits with a growing number of increasingly powerful
a -year tax holiday. While the and capable private Indian financial
has embarked on a synchronised effort at institutions, the is being seen as a
preventing countries from helping foreigners convenient and easily accessible alternative
evade taxes, Dubai is in a unique position by for meeting their needs in the immediate
. Case studies: London, New York, Singapore, Dubai 47
neighbourhood (a mere . hour flight from financial firm that believes its capacity
Mumbai). to expand, by providing essential to
That opportunity will be evaluated – their large client base, is being artificially
along with Singapore – by every Indian restricted in the present Indian environment.
Domestic and Offshore
demand for International
Financial Services (IFS)
in India
4
1. Implications of a large, remain, these substantially increased two-
rapidly growing home way flows reflect an increase in demand-
supply for related to trade/investment
market for IFS
transactions in India. Put another way, there chapter
A little appreciated aspect of India’s has been an increase in consumption by
impressive growth from onwards is Indian customers and by global customers
that it has resulted in even faster integration in India. Demand for from both has
of India with the global economy and been growing exponentially.
financial system. There has been a rapid Cumulative two-way flows in –
escalation of two-way flows of trade and were a multiple of such flows in –. The
investment. Since , India has globalised degree of ‘globalisation-integration’ that has
more rapidly than it has grown, with a occurred in the last years, since reforms
distinct acceleration in globalisation after began in earnest, is much larger than in the
. Capital flows have been shaped by years between independence and India
(a) global investors in India (portfolio and embarking on ‘serious’ reforms. We have
direct); and (b) Indian firms investing made up for six lost decades of economic
abroad (direct). Indian investors – corporate, interaction with the world in a decade and a
institutional and individual – have as yet half. Still, what has happened over the last
been prevented from making portfolio years is a small harbinger of what is to
investments abroad on any significant scale follow over the next twenty: particularly if
by the system of capital controls. the current growth rate of % per annum is
By the same token, Indian firms have accelerated to –% as is evocatively being
borrowed substantially abroad. But foreign suggested, and if India continues to open
firms and individuals have yet to borrow
private investment abroad, is that such borrowings (by
from India. Capital controls still preclude external issuers of reserve obligations) will remain
that possibility. Despite the controls that increasingly confined within the ambit of ‘official
finance’ rather than being marketised. That will
In saying that, however, it has to be recognised that, result in concentration risk in India’s reserve portfolio.
over the past decade, the Treasury has effectively It will make India vulnerable to increased currency,
‘borrowed’ over $ billion from India. But, it does interest rate and political risk as reserves keep growing.
not appear that way because that ‘borrowing’ is seen as Instead India’s reserves could (unlike China’s) be made
an investment of India’s official reserves; i.e., as meeting more manageable by opening the capital account to
India’s investment needs, rather than meeting the deficit encourage development of a more efficient, open and
financing needs of the . The fact is that they are robust financial system that promoted rapid growth
meeting both, because there is no such thing as a one- and global integration simultaneously. In that event
way financial transaction. By the same token European Indian assets might not be concentrated only in
governments have ‘borrowed’ another $– billion Treasuries or similar Euro obligations. They would be
or so in India as well. Such ‘borrowing’ may rise to $ spread across a wider risk-return matrix of securities
– billion or more by . One problem created issued by the official and corporate world. That would
by not liberalising the domestic financial system, and yield higher returns in an overall economic ‘welfare
removing capital controls more rapidly to permit more gain’ sense if not for the central bank.
50 R M I F C
Figure 4.1: Evolution of the trade/GDP ratio customers constitute India’s ‘hinterland
advantage’. India’s attempt to establish an
30
in Mumbai will be aided by retaining
such customers on the books of Indian
25
Trade/GDP ratio (%)
reintegration into the world economy since Figure 4.2: Growth of gross flows on the current account
, is illustrated in Figure . (Bhagwati, 200
; Desai, ; Panagariya, ). It
Figure 4.4: Year-on-year growth (in percent) of gross flows on the current account: 2002-2007 in the post-crisis recovery after the -
reforms.
60
Gross inflow
Gross outflow These results encourage a focus on
50 the - period as being different
from the overall - experience, and
40
Yoy growth (percent)
Table 4.3: CAGR Growth comparison during selected reference periods (%)
after having grown at a Compound Annual merchandise trade in the Nineties, reflecting
Growth Rate ( ) of % over the India’s success with services exports, but
eleven years from – to -, have merchandise trade growth has now caught
increased at a CAGR of % between up with the growth rates of services. The
and . highest growth rates have been in
Table . shows a breakdown of the and Portfolio () flows, reflecting India’s
growth of gross flows. Large values engagement with private capital flows.
characterise all components. Gross As a proportion of , external flows
invisibles had been rising faster than have increased from .% of in –
54 R M I F C
1992–93 28 32 23 19 51 51 102
2001–02 81 78 43 35 125 113 238
2003–04 120 106 76 59 196 165 361
2004–05 154 159 99 68 253 227 481
2005-06 196 207 139 115 337 322 657
banking, due diligence by lawyers and financing’. India is now one of the
accountants, risk management, etc. world’s biggest customers of aircraft
• Issuance of securities outside the country buying roughly % of the world’s
involves fees being paid by Indian firms new output of planes in . This
to investment bankers in s around requires buying % of the world’s
the world. aircraft financing services.
• The stock of cross-border exposure • Indian individuals and firms control a
(resulting from accumulation of annual growing amount of globally dispersed
flows) requires risk management services assets. They require a range of
to cover country risk, currency risk, for wealth management and asset
etc. This applies in both directions: management.
foreign investors require to protect
the market value of their exposure in Outbound by Indian firms in
India while Indian investors require the joint ventures and subsidiaries abroad
same services to protect the market value has increased since – as they have
of their exposure outside the country. globalised. Foreign investments by Indian
firms began with the establishment of
• The shift to import-price-parity (ow-
organic presence, and acquisitions of
ing to trade reforms) implies that In-
companies, in the and in the
dian firms that do not import or export
-related services sectors. Now they
are nevertheless exposed to global com-
encompass pharmaceuticals, petroleum,
modity price and currency fluctuations.
automobile components, tea and steel. And,
These firms require risk management
geographically, Indian firms are spreading
services.
well beyond the and by establishing
• Many foreign firms are involved in com- a direct presence or acquiring companies in
plex infrastructure projects in India. In- China, A, Central Asia, Africa and the
dian firms are involved in infrastructure Middle East.
projects abroad. These situations in- Such outward investments are funded
volve complex . The same applies through: draw-down of foreign currency
to structuring and financing privatisa- balances held in India, capitalization of
tions (especially those involving equity future export revenue streams, balances
sales to foreign investors) and public– held in accounts, and share swaps.
private partnerships which are becoming Outward investments are also financed
a growing feature in infrastructure de- through funds raised abroad: e.g., s,
velopment around the world. s and s/s. Leveraged
• The growth of the transport industry buy-outs related to these investments
(shipping, roads, rail, aviation, etc) and executed through s abroad are
involves financing arrangements for not captured in the overseas investment
fixed assets at terminals (ports, etc.) as transactions data. The Tata Steel-
well as for mobile capital assets with a Corus transaction, for example, involved
long life: i.e., ships, planes, bus and substantial revenues going to financial
auto fleets, taxis, etc. That is done firms in Singapore and London.
by specialised firms engaged in ‘fleet When two firms across the globe agree
56 R M I F C
OIS swaps 25 cr. 1 bps 2500–3500 cr. $5Mn 1.5–2 bps $50–150
MIFOR swaps 25 cr. 3–5 bps 250–500 cr. $5Mn 10–15 bps $50–100
Forward rate 25 cr. 10 bps 250–500 cr. Not liquid N.A. N.A.
agreements
1Y GOI swaps 25 cr. 10 bps 250–500 cr. Not liquid N.A. N.A.
Other 25 cr. 15 bps 100–200 cr. Not liquid N.A. N.A.
benchmarks
major s– whether Indian or foreign s. But, on all these fronts, what
– being located in India; since the lion’s has really changed in India is a shift from
share of trade in the world today takes egregiously high barriers to modest barriers
place within boundaries. This that are still much higher than they should
requires removing India’s barriers to be. Incremental changes have been made
and opening up to participation in lowering tariff and non-tariff barriers.
in all sectors of the economy without Tariffs are still too high by global standards
as many obstacles, and encouraging and for meeting India’s own growth and
more Indian firms to become global development interests.
multinationals. The reduction in barriers that has
occurred so far, and the consequent
India has made significant progress on improvement in competitiveness, while
this three-fold agenda. It is worth noting significant, are not sufficient; except in
that, post- when swift advances on these a few instances where remarkable results
three issues were made, gross flows rose have been achieved. Similarly infrastructure
dramatically. Yet, much work on all three has improved; but, insufficiently in terms
fronts still remains to be done. of quantity or quality in every sub-
India cannot be sanguine about how far sector: whether power, water, irrigation or
it has come in the last years; although it transport. Communications infrastructure
has much to applaud in that regard. It has has improved dramatically; simply because
come a long way. But now India has to focus reforms in that sector were more sweeping.
on how far it still lags behind the rest of the It would improve even faster if such reforms
world (especially A , China, Korea, were continued and foreign entry was
Brazil, South Africa, leave alone Japan, the opened up further. Entry barriers to
and ) and what it must do to catch s have been lowered; but a host of
up; not in decades, but in months and years. mind-numbing restrictions, differentiated
On the issue of tariffs and capital by sector, size and location, still remain.
controls, the empirical experience is The biggest economic gains (in terms
that substantial reduction of restrictions of growth and diversification) will be
compared with earlier years led to small achieved when India takes the next step in
economic benefits as long as the level of moving from modest barriers to no barriers.
the barriers remained high in absolute When barriers to entry and competition
terms. When a tariff for a product is are removed altogether in the real and
lowered from % to % this seems like a financial economies, two-way cross-border
dramatic improvement. But % is still a financial flows will grow dramatically – not
high barrier that fundamentally undermines incrementally – in the next ten years. As
imports. It affects adversely the export shown earlier, they doubled in – and
competitiveness of industries that utilise nearly tripled in –. If India ‘goes for
the protected product as a raw material. broke’ in reducing extant barriers, especially
In the same way, in the financial world, in the financial sector, those flows may
allowing mutual funds to start schemes for multiply yet again in –.
overseas investment (subject to a series of Another perspective that encourages
quantitative restrictions on investment per nonlinear thinking is the empirical expe-
fund and aggregate investment by all funds) rience of s such as Singapore. When
is quite different from decontrolling overseas Singapore became a , the volume and
investment by mutual funds altogether and variety of transactions grew exponen-
leaving them to get on with it. That is a tially, not incrementally. If India is able to
key issue for understanding the outlook for establish an in Mumbai quickly, a point
India’s future. of inflection will be reached when growth
Since –, it appears as if India has will be non-linear and not incremental. The
made considerable progress in: lowering establishment of an is similar, in that
tariffs, lowering capital controls, improving sense, to the provision of liquidity in finan-
infrastructure, and permitting entry to cial markets where only a binary outcome is
60 R M I F C
1 2 3 4 5
Merchandise outflows 21.6 26 28 305.14 600.05
inflows 14.5 17 23 199.52 492.90
Invisibles outflows 7.0 7.44 8.62 87.32 184.73
inflows 12.6 15 16.7 176.04 357.89
Total inflows 27.1 33 32.62 375.56 850.78
Total outflows 28.5 29.44 32.79 392.46 784.78
Gross flows on C Account 55.6 62.44 66.00 768.02 1,635.56
Gross flows on K Account 35.0 35.20 35.20 412.64 754.35
Official flows outflows 0.0 0.3 0.3 3.52 6.43
inflows 0.0 0.5 0.5 5.87 10.72
FDI outflows 0.4 1 0.6 11.74 12.86
inflows 1.2 2 1.47 23.47 31.50
Portfolio (equity + debt) outflows 7.7 6 8.94 70.42 191.59
inflows 9.4 9.4 11.37 110.32 243.66
Debt outflows 7.2 5 4 58.68 85.72
inflows 8.0 9 6 105.63 128.58
Miscellaneous outflows 0.5 0.46 0.27 5.40 5.79
inflows 0.7 1.5 1.75 17.60 37.50
Total external flows 90.6 98 101 1,181 2,390
feasible: (a) explosive growth or (b) abject be as large as (columns and of the
failure. Table). The actual flows are computed by
multiplying (in billion) by the
5.2. Baseline projections of external respective shares. The reasoning for these
flows shares is as follows:
Under reasonable and plausible assumptions,
India’s at nominal market rates will • Exports and imports (other than
exceed $ trillion in . It will be over petroleum) have been growing at over
$ . trillion by and over $. % annually in the last two years.
trillion by . India’s share of global merchandise trade
remains below %. But its increasing
Based on these growth rates, a
competitiveness will take it above %
crude metric of India’s globalisation is
of by . On the current account,
provided by the proportion of total gross
India’s merchandise trade share will
cross-border flows to its . In –,
rise, especially after , with India’s
this was % of . This ratio is projected,
accession to the trade regime.
conservatively, to rise to % of by Moreover, providing further impetus
–. It is on that basis that the table to Mumbai’s growth as an , India’s
below summarises BoP projections of India’s linkages with other growing countries
external flows in the years – and – will increase.
. The figures in column are actual shares
• In recent years, Asian economies have
of individual o components in -.
been emerging as major trading partners
Given deepening globalisation (i.e., share of
of India. Trade with these countries
o as a share of ) observed in the past, has grown faster than overall trade.
and faster growth likely in the future, Emerging Asia accounted for .% of
we have assumed that external flows would India’s exports in – (.% in
Kelkar (b) offers arguments about why Indian –) and .% of total Indian
growth will accelerate into the coming decade. imports (.% in –). In –
. Domestic and Offshore demand for International Financial Services (IFS) in India 61
Table 4.7: External BoP flows under different scenarios (US$ billions)
CAGR 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Low 10% 657 723 795 875 962 1058 1164 1280 1408 1549
Medium Low 15% 657 756 869 999 1149 1322 1520 1748 2010 2311
Medium 20% 657 788 946 1135 1362 1635 1962 2354 2825 3390
Medium High 32% 657 867 1145 1511 1995 2633 3476 4588 6056 7994
High 40% 657 920 1288 1803 2524 3534 4947 6926 9697 13575
, China emerged as the second major scenarios presented in Table . above.
export market for India after the . It The different growth rates shown above
has now become the largest source of indicate the magnitudes of total external
imports, surpassing the . Exports flows that would be generated. The choice
to China surged by % in – of s corresponds to those observed
and imports increased by %. A over various time horizons in India. The
similar trend was noticeable vis-à-vis –% rates are in line with the in
the A- . Looking ahead, there India’s BoP over the s and the early
is further scope for expansion in trade years of this millennium. The –% rates
with these countries. correspond to growth in the last two years.
The data available for – indicate that
an assumption of a % growth might be
5.3. Alternative scenarios for foreign more justified in projecting two-way flows
transactions growth for the next few years.
There are already signs of a profound
qualitative change in India’s financial 5.4. Projections for the revenue
linkages with the world, in its current and potential of Mumbai as an IFC
capital accounts. Table . indicates a rough The direct fees that in Mumbai might
quantitative measure of the change, in terms generate by and are illustrated
of overall transactions levels over various below. Ancillary taxes and other influences
periods, starting from – (the first on current account flows, resulting in
inflexion point) to the latest year for which surpluses, would be additional. Although
data is available, i.e., –. the range of fees varies widely across
The following table indicates the financial services, it is reasonable to estimate
magnitudes of BoP flows associated with a an aggregate average of these fees across
range of s that could be achieved over various services. We have assumed fees
the next decade. It starts with o numbers for intermediating external sector flows to
for –, to which these different CAGRs be about % of flows. We arrive at this
are applied, assuming that the indicated approximation using the weighted average
compound growth rate continues apace over of generic charges for corporate transactions,
the next ten years. Obviously, this simplifies including fund raising, asset management
reality; but it provides a useful illustration and add the service charges on current
nonetheless. The resulting projections account flows.
of total o shares are consistent with In summary, our median (base case)
the conservative ’s of –% in the projections involve IFS demand in India
rising from $ billion in to $ growth in demand for steel. If Indian steel
billion in . A low-case assumption producers are unable to keep pace with the
would see IFS consumption rising from quality and quantity of steel required in
US $ . to nearly US $ billion over the the country, then Indian demand will be
same period. A more optimistic (but not met by producers outside. Applying similar
implausible) ‘high-case’ assumption would reasoning, if India chooses not to make
see it grow from US$ . to nearly US$ the financial and urban governance regime
billion. changes required to create a viable IFC in
Mumbai, then Indian customers will look
6. Implications for India’s to Singapore, Dubai, London and other
aspirations to create an IFC s. Financial firms and policy-makers
in Mumbai in these three cities are already attuned to
opportunities for selling to India. They
The estimates shown and projections made have embarked on strategies to exploit the
for the purposes of this chapter require a new infirmities of the Indian financial system,
way of thinking about an in Mumbai. which – as discussed earlier – has not evolved
The traditional approach for Indian service apace with the (or ) needs of a rising
exports has been that of tapping into a India.
quasi-infinite world market. This approach
was taken in the case of the software 6.2. The opportunity
industry. That industry has domestic sales At the same time, Indian demand
of $. billion a year and exports of about provides an opportunity for developing the
$ billion a year. Indian software firms overall capability of the industry that
have grown by expanding their lists of the software industry never had. Indian
international customers. The domestic software exports took place by dint of Indian
market does not feature as significant in human capital. firms asked nothing from
the minds of the s of these firms. It the State other than telecom reforms though
certainly played no role in their graduating they were given tax benefits as well. Indian
into multinational export-oriented firms. genius was able to conquer world markets
are similar to software in that they in – in a way that could not have
are labour and skill intensive. They thrive been predicted.
on human capital, telecommunications In the case of , there is an identical
infrastructure, and sound policies. As opportunity for Indian financial genius
has been argued in this chapter, there is a to achieve success in the world market;
fundamental difference between finance and but with one key difference. Unlike
software: i.e., India’s hinterland advantage exports, the potential for achieving
for provision. The sheer size of the exports are increased dramatically by a
Indian economy, its growing integration hinterland advantage. India’s growth and
with the world, and the high growth rates the consequential domestic demand for
of cross-border flows that are likely to generate natural opportunities for
materialise in the future, all imply that India producers in India (local and foreign) to
is already a large and growing customer gain skills and realise economies of scale.
for . It will be one of the three largest But just as Indian software exports required
customers in the world for these services an enabling framework from the State by
within a short span of time. way of telecom reforms, Indian exports
will require an enabling framework from the
6.1. The threat State through:
Intuitively, a simple analogy for might
be made with (say) the steel industry. • The removal of capital controls as early
India’s rapid growth implies that Indian as practicable
demand for steel will rise sharply. Steel, • Further reforms in the financial sector
like , is a superior good: a % growth – involving deregulation, liberalisation,
in is likely to induce an above-% gradual exit from public ownership of
. Domestic and Offshore demand for International Financial Services (IFS) in India 63
Sources: International Financial Services, London; Bank of International Settlements; London Stock Exchange, Bank of England, Systematics International,
International Securities Market Association, World Federation of Exchanges, International Securities and Derivatives Association
financial firms, markets and exchanges, Table 4.10: Global financial stock (USD trillions)
and open competition without restric-
2003 2010
tion, by removing all remaining barriers
to foreign and domestic competitive en- Equity securities 31.9 56.8
Corporate debt 30.8 60.7
try by financial and non-financial firms securities
as investors in financial firms Govt debt 20.3 32.4
• A dramatic improvement in the quality securities
Bank deposits 34.8 58.8
of urban facilities and governance in
Mumbai. Overall 117.8 208.7
s in which fund managers set up their the phenomenal growth of this particular
operations. Looking into the future, the market after .
consulting firm McKinseys estimates that It is worth reiterating that the services
the stock of global financial assets will almost considered are only a small subset of the total
double from $ trillion in to range of financial services that are currently
$ trillion by . The breakdown of on offer.
these totals is shown in Table ..
The fees and profits associated with
these magnitudes are enormous. A major
8. International comparisons
mental paradigm-shift is required in India to Tables . and . show a rating
comprehend these numbers: for market size, comparison of established and emerging
and the corresponding fees generated. As s on demand for from their national,
an example, most financial policy makers in regional and global clients. When compared
India today would perceive a currency spot against established s, Mumbai fares well
market with a daily turnover of $ billion, on domestic demand, but poorly on regional
or $ trillion per year, as inconceivable. or global clients. When compared with
Profits from investment banking ser- emerging s, Mumbai lags the others
vices alone, internationally, were estimated on demand from the region or the globe.
at $ billion in . If India had a % share But Mumbai stands out – and perhaps is
of investment banking revenues, that matched only by Shanghai – on having a
alone would have amounted to over $ vibrant domestic market.
. billion. This estimate of course ignores
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an Mumbai Hong Kong Labuan Seoul Sydney Dubai
IFC : (Scale of 0–10 with 0 = worst; 10 = best)
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an London New York Tokyo S’pore F’furt Mumbai
IFC : (Scale of 0–10 with 0= worst; 10= best)
5
1. How does an IFC produce the instruments and trading platforms,
IFS? doing the deals, and generally innovating for
global finance.
As argued in preceding chapters, the A lot is made of the ‘death of distance’ chapter
provision of differs from the production (Cairncross, ) resulting from new
of conventional goods and services. It technologies. But, that has not yet affected
involves strong economies of agglomeration. the primacy of s, or of national financial
This is partly because of the network centres within large economies. The
externalities that shape liquid markets web of human networks, inter-personal
and complex inter-personal and inter-firm relationships, and information flows (about
relationships. In addition, financial regime clients, products and markets) that make
governance is an intrinsic, inextricable, a national or international financial centre
‘un-detachable’ part of the financial what it is, has eluded functioning over a
product/service, leading to provision distance; despite facilities such as e-mail and
being focused in a few s whose video-conferencing. For example, despite
governance regimes have achieved global the enormous growth of financial trading
acceptability. across India with the use of since ,
Spectacular progress in and in the the fact is that Mumbai remains the financial
costs of transportation of goods has helped capital of the country. That is just as true for
to disperse the production of goods and London, New York and Singapore as s
services around the world – often within the serving the world well beyond the needs of
umbrella of a single MNC. Such dispersion their own national or regional economies.
has occurred because firms wish to be The addendum to this argument is that
nearer to sources of cheaper/better labour, – if the history of s over three centuries
large consumer markets, sources of key raw is any guide – all globally significant
materials, or inputs such as water, access economies have no option but to turn their
to infrastructure, or simply a more tax national financial centres into s, as
advantageous location. their integration with the global economy
Paradoxically, the concentration of widens and deepens. That process occurs
global provided from London and New by design or default. It cannot be avoided.
York has increased even as the dispersion That is because every globally significant
of production of goods has taken place in economy has to have a central node
the last years. Today, the provision of connecting its financial system with the
global is more concentrated than (say) global financial system. The question for
global automobile production and assembly. such economies (particularly for China and
The latter is decentralised around the world India – now the world’s two largest emerging
through a production chain that involves economies) is whether the nascent capacities
fragmentation of component manufacture of their financial centres (i.e., Mumbai and
and synthesis in assembly. The most intense Shanghai) as s will remain limited to
concentration of auto production in the serving only their own economies (like Paris,
world – in Detroit – is far less important Frankfurt and Tokyo) or whether they will
in determining the contours of global car grow into export-oriented s, serving the
production when compared with the role needs of their regions and the world,
that just three s now play in shaping the and making a handsome living from service
contours, setting the standards, providing export revenues by doing so.
66 R M I F C
The question for Indian policy-makers markets (if they were permitted to) on level
and financial firms interested in develop- terms and with a distinct cost advantage.
ing -provision linkages through sub- Under those circumstances a continued
contracting/outsourcing is not whether the relationship that did not offer the possibility
models and systems already in place of complete absorption of the Indian firm
(between global financial firms and Indian by its global partner would only result in
service providers) can creep up the value continuation of the forced ‘marriage’ being
chain. Of course they can; and they will. But of more net benefit to the Indian partner (in
will that result in developing full-fledged terms of access to learning and increasing
capabilities in Mumbai? Probably not: competitiveness) than to the foreign one.
unless Indian financial firms (rather than Those conclusions have an important
firms) organise themselves into being implication: i.e., that: (a) established global
sub-contractors, service providers or part- financial firms already acknowledge both the
ners to global financial firms. That would significance of the Indian market in global
need to be done under contractual arrange- terms, and (b) the innate capability of Indian
ments that enabled them to graduate into financial firms to compete in it. Indeed the
providing services on a fully-fledged faith of these global firms in Indian financial
basis seamlessly through natural progression. firms appears to exceed that of India’s policy-
It may require an entirely different approach makers and regulators.
to outsourcing and different relationships
with extant global providers through 3. A BPO opportunity: Asset
the three s.
management in Mumbai
In looking at that possibility, policy- based on algorithmic trading
makers and financial leaders in India need
to understand why global financial firms An increasing proportion of the trading
(. Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs, strategies of major global financial firms can
J.P. Morgan Chase, Barclays, Natwest, etc.) – be classified as ‘algorithmic trading’. Such
that entered India as joint-venture partners trading involves the translation of public
with Indian firms (particularly in investment information into mathematical models that
banking and securities markets) – are now compute orders that are placed automatically
arranging amicable separations from their on the market for execution. There is, of
Indian partners, and preferring to ‘go-it- course, a continuum in two dimensions.
alone’. These joint-ventures, on the face To what extent does a human get involved
of it, offered one possible structure and in decisions? And, to what extent is order
venue for the Indian partners eventually to placement automated? In both dimensions,
develop their own provision capabilities there are shades of grey.
for the Indian market and beyond. What • The decision-making dimension: In the
was the crux of the concern that led decision-making dimension, different
these global financial firms to abandon trading houses have varying levels of
those partnerships and retain their own automation. Some firms build complete
brand identities within organisational and systems that analyse information
institutional structures that they controlled and make decisions. Some firms build
on their own rather than in partnership? sophisticated models that analyse data
In the view of , some of whose and interact with humans. But the final
members are s of the Indian partners decision is taken by the human.
of global firms, these global firms probably • The order-placement dimension: Sim-
felt that: (a) the Indian market was too ilarly, there are shades of grey on the
large and globally significant for them to extent of automation for order place-
share the returns from it in perpetuity with ment. Some firms build systems where
partners they were forced to ‘marry’ to enter sophisticated quantitative information
India; and (b) their Indian partners had the processing drives the thought process,
innate ability to compete with them in global but the actual order placement is done
. Augmenting IFS provision via BPO 69
Box 5.1: Algorithmic Trading ( ) and Direct Market Access ( )
From the late 1980s onwards the phenomenon orders give greater liquidity and greater resilience of
of algorithmic trading (AT) has become increasingly liquidity.
prominent in international financial transactions. At
Contrary to popular perception, the computers
first such trading was viewed as an exotic side
involved in AT do not continuously make rapid
show. But it now occupies centre-stage: to a point
trades or run amok without any human supervision.
where 80% of the NYSE turnover now comes from
On the contrary AT systems are intensely monitored
AT . In the case of the Chicago Board Options
and controlled by humans and exchanges. As an
Exchange (CBOE) the proportion of business
example, in doing cash-and-carry arbitrage, the role
accounted for by algorithmic trading is even higher.
of the human is that of choosing which traded
AT represents a fusion of human traders and products to monitor, setting the cost-of-carry
computers where the role of the human input shifts parameters to be applied when comparing the spot
away from executing trades to instructing the and the futures prices, handling special situations
computer on how to place buy/sell trades. such as close of market or futures expiration dates,
Computers excel at repetitive work; i.e., at the task and applying a manual override when the system
of processing vast amounts of information using misbehaves.
pre-defined rules. AT consists of providing electronic
market exchange feeds and news feeds into a In the options market, “auto-quote” systems are
computer simultaneously. The computer is particularly important, given the large number of
controlled by a human decision-maker. But it listed option products. As an example, on the NSE,
processes all the data it receives in real-time and there are 9,000 different traded options. It is
places buy/sell orders on the exchanges it is impossible for humans to monitor all these
connected to and receives price information from. products. Computers excel at interacting with a
The connection between the AT system to the human manager, computing a fair price for every
exchange is through Direct Market Access (DMA). traded option, and performing market-making
functions on the options market. The human
The sophistication of the algorithms in use is manager with such an auto-quote system infuses
limited only by human imagination and by liquidity into a vast array of options, and runs an
mathematical modelling capacity. At their simplest, options book. The overall risk of the book is then
algorithms can scan the spot market and the laid off using the futures market using
futures market simultaneously, looking for delta-hedging or other dynamic trading schemes.
violations of the cost-of-carry mathematical model.
If a situation is found in which the futures price In India today, the absence of such sophisticated
exceeds the fair price, the computer immediately systems is a key factor explaining the poor liquidity
swings into action buying the spot and selling the of the options market, since human traders are
future. This is an equilibrating response, one that simply unable to produce liquidity in all 9,000
brings the spot price and the futures price back into traded options.
alignment. Computers are inherently superior, For the last quarter century, a debate has taken
when compared with humans, at relentlessly place world-wide about the relative efficiency of the
scanning the prices of a vast range of contracts on exchange as a way of organising financial trading;
a large number of futures and spot markets and at as opposed to the over-the-counter (OTC) market.
responding to a mispricing within milliseconds. A In some areas, OTC markets have been unusually
market with computers watching for mispricing, successful, such as in the currency forwards market.
and undertaking the arbitrage transactions needed In recent years, the rise of algorithmic trading has
to eliminate it, is much more efficient than a market re-emphasised the importance of the exchange as a
where this task is done in a labour-intensive way. venue. OTC trading is extremely labour intensive; it
In London and New York, hundreds of the best involves humans talking to one another, which is
mathematical minds in the financial industry are expensive and time-consuming. Minutes if not
continually at work analysing historical data and the hours are taken by humans to do what computers
performance of extant AT systems. They are can do in milliseconds. In addition, humans are
constantly improving the models and the thought more error-prone. It is therefore simply impossible
process that drives such trading. There is a to obtain the cost efficiency, enhanced liquidity, and
continuous process of analysis of past performance, enhanced rationality that comes from plugging an
learning, and innovation leading to building better algorithmic trading into an OTC market. This is one
and better AT systems all the time. of the reasons for the significant gains in market
share of exchange-traded derivatives, and
AT systems are not just liquidity consumers –
particularly the growth of currency futures, in the
placing orders into an existing order book.
last five years.
Computerised algorithms can also place limit orders.
Algorithms are able to patiently place and revise The prospect of fully automated computerised
thousands of orders, even when only a few turn trading systems without human intervention raises
into trades, in a way that would exhaust human fears on the part of many mathematically
traders. Through this, AT systems tend to drive up unsophisticated people, who worry about a
the number of orders processed by an exchange per Frankenstein that can run amok and destabilise the
trade matched at the exchange. In return, these market. It is often claimed that the October 1987
70 R M I F C
by humans. Other firms build systems through , so India might be losing half
where the system interfaces directly or more of potential order flow by erecting
with exchanges and orders are placed by regulatory barriers to . Such barriers
the machine. are costly for India given the unique role of
algorithms in improving market efficiency,
All this appears exotic in the present and fostering liquidity at moments when
Indian context, where algorithmic trading human traders are thrown off balance.
using Direct Market Access ( ) is In terms of contractual structures, what
banned with the exception of just one is often seen in established s is such
( – ) trading strategy: one-shot work being housed in a specialised asset
futures arbitrage through cash-and-carry management firm. Assets thus managed
or reverse cash-and-carry. staff read might flow in from a hedge fund, or from
the computer programs of the trading house large institutional investors like pension
to verify that this is the only strategy that funds, insurance companies, banks or
is being used before permission to trade is mutual funds. But this is not the only
given. This policy framework eliminates the possibility. Most large international banks
possibility of developing proprietary trading have a quantitative arbitrage group either
strategies for algorithmic trading. Such an housed within the bank as an affiliate or as a
approach is out of touch with global reality. % captive subsidiary.
There is no other country where regulatory From an / provision perspec-
staff read the computer programs written by tive, India can host quantitatively orien-
algorithmic trading firms. Roughly % of tated firms that analyse vast data feeds with
the order flow into the now comes decision-making by computers. This re-
. Augmenting IFS provision via BPO 71
quires high quality skilled labour in econo- economics. The second is labour cost of the
metrics, quantitative finance, advanced highly sophisticated human capital inputs
mathematics, and computer science. Access that account for the bulk of this business.
to top-end staff of this nature, at present,
is best obtained in a like London or 4. IFS subcomponents
New York. However, it would be possible
for India to compete in this space based on
amenable to outsourcing
low-cost but high quality human capital. The essence of an is the web of human
There are two possibilities open to relationships and information flows which
India for exploiting this opportunity (in lead to the best possible decision making
which India could excel) regardless of capital when faced with complex problems where
controls: judgment is required. This is the defining
feature of s like London and New York.
• As long as capital controls remain, such
It might be the most difficult characteristic
firms would be restricted to managing
foreign assets, consuming information for Mumbai to replicate without the acqui-
feeds from outside the country and sition of more knowledge and experience.
sending orders back into financial That will take time, as well as openness to
markets outside the country. Some firms importing sophisticated human capital with
have established operations in India, the kind of experience and expertise that
with a structure involving tax domicile in India does not, at present, possess.
a tax-haven, raising funds in a number of However, computer and communica-
s, and undertaking actual operations tions technologies are now making it possi-
in India. ble to break down the production process
of specific into sub-tasks, which are
• When India removes capital controls, then done at locations around the world.
this business will be transformed owing Consequently, an increasing number of
to: (a) opportunities for obtaining assets sub-tasks are being performed outside es-
for management within the country and tablished s. These include customer call
(b) opportunities for sending orders centres and direct selling, accounting, back
back into Indian financial markets. office processing, software development, sys-
This would benefit India in three ways: tems administration, data processing, re-
these finance firms would be more
search, etc.
viable; Indian assets would be managed
What makes outsourcing possible is
more professionally; and Indian markets
codifying the task that has to be performed
would obtain global order flow.
in a process manual defining how it will be
Consuming public information and performed. A global financial firm operating
sending orders back into exchanges is a in an has a financial incentive to identify
highly competitive business. Every trader tasks that can be outsourced at a lower cost.
and every financial firm has the identical Firms in Mumbai are well placed to bid for
information set. Yet some firms believe they and win such contracts given the low prices
can obtain an edge by faster and superior of labour with adequate skills and finance
processing of information. A large number domain knowledge. This process is already
of high people, along with a very large underway. Some sub-tasks of are simple
mass of capital sourced from banks and and require no domain knowledge. These
hedge funds, strive to obtain supernormal can be easily performed at low-cost
returns through such strategies. Algorithmic centres like Jodhpur or Chandigarh. Other
trading is therefore a highly competitive sub-components of production require
field. There are two possible sources of greater domain knowledge in finance. It
competitive advantage. The first is original is in performing these tasks that Mumbai
ideas in how to process the information has an edge that overcomes the labour cost
available and imagine which trades would advantage of Jodhpur or Chandigarh.
be profitable: this is shaped by high-end There is a direct relationship between
intellectual capacity in modern financial increasing sophistication in Indian finance,
72 R M I F C
and India’s ability to win outsourcing highly skilled labour with finance domain
contracts requiring higher value addition. knowledge. That requires a large number
As Indian finance acquires greater sophis- of postgraduates – masters and doctorates
tication in risk management and trading – in economics, mathematics, finance and
derivatives, it will create a larger pool of computer science. All four are areas in which
qualified human capital in these fields. That Indian output of high quality graduates is
will result in more risk management tasks woefully inadequate. While India’s labour
being outsourced to India. The disadvantage force is internationally acclaimed, there are
of outsourcing, from a strategic perspec- important gaps in education that need to be
tive, lies in low price realisations. Once an redressed.
sub-task has been codified, and the ini- Specifically, formal education in eco-
tial cost-saving allure of out-sourcing has nomics and finance is inadequate. At present,
subsided, the outsourcing contract will be there is no programme in India offering a
Master of Science in Finance or a Master of
opened up to competitive bidding. This
Science in Computational Finance. These
will result in a price close to long-run av-
two degrees are of crucial importance in the
erage cost. Prices will be cut to the bone
labour market for analytical finance jobs.
through global competition. India will get
On the international landscape, top univer-
high billing rates in comparison with Indian
sities in the and that have a strong
per capita income. But the much larger rev-
economics department and a strong math-
enues and value-addition generated in an ematics department produce doctoral stu-
will remain elusive. dents in quantitative finance who enter the
top end of the financial labour force. That
5. Making progress along two has not yet happened in India where there
paths: IFC Evolution and is no world-class university that has a good
BPO mathematics department and a good eco-
nomics department together in the same
The key feature of the evolutionary opening place.
up for an and the path – , Mumbai, and some
whether for outsourcing or quantitative fund of the other free-standing quantitatively,
management – is that they both rely on mathematically orientated research institutes
. Augmenting IFS provision via BPO 73
around India could be built up into such labour market with relevant skills, and a
institutions. But they would need to set of employees able to network with each
have: (a) leadership vision; (b) complete other. The development of skills would be
independence of operation that is not further facilitated if restrictions on
circumscribed by their funding sources; were eliminated to put India on par
(c) an adequately funded corpus to attract with other countries. Skills development by
and retain the best faculty at globally local firms engaged in quantitative trading
competitive wages; (d) incentives to develop would improve the viability of Mumbai
cutting edge research programmes in as a venue where such activities could be
financial derivatives and develop state-of- located. Electronic trading and are
the-art trading strategy algorithms: (e) the easily implemented in the equity spot and
right global partnership arrangements derivatives markets, and commodity futures
with the best institutions in the area of exchanges. Reforms in the debt and currency
quantitative finance from abroad such as markets that lead to successful electronic
Wharton, Chicago, Stern, and , for exchange platforms will help augment the
example. This turnaround in otherwise scope and knowledge with quantitative
moribund institutions could be achieved trading firms.
quite easily and swiftly if the political and In sum, there are two things that
administrative will needed for the purpose India should do to foster an agenda
were exercised. The Indian (and global) of using high-value outsourcing as a
financial sector would fund and support means of preparing capabilities on
such institutions enthusiastically; if for no a fast-track. First, it should attach
other reason than because they would be the great priority to the development of an
principal beneficiaries of their human and elite, high-skill labour force with masters
research outputs. and doctoral programmes in economics,
There is a considerable flow of knowl- mathematics, quantitative finance, and
edge across three financial domains: do- computer sciences. Second, it should
mestic finance, outsourcing, and quanti- adopt regulatory attitudes and policies that
tative fund management. All three draw induce and encourage, rather than inhibit
upon a common labour force. The learning- and discourage, sophistication in domestic
by-doing that takes place in these areas is finance. That would automatically increase
pertinent for all. Hence, increasing the the pool of qualified labour with relevant
sophistication of domestic finance would domain knowledge. One specific control
improve the quality of the financial labour which particularly needs to be removed, as
force. It will engage in learning-by-doing in part of a quest for sophisticated finance, is
response to demand for more sophisticated the ban on .
skills. For example, despite the profound
weaknesses of graduate education in finance, 6. Conclusion
India has one of the world’s most respected The expansion of in India is a positive
equity derivatives markets. This came about development that can exploited to advantage
through learning-by-doing assisted by ’s in strengthening symbiotically the attempt
mandatory certification program. to create an in Mumbai. Some kinds of
In the quantitative fund management , involving low skills, are irrelevant for
arena, which is a specific area of opportunity that purpose. Owing to cost factors, these
for India, the goal should be to create are not already performed in Mumbai but in
an ecosystem of a hundred operational other low-cost centres across the country.
firms applying such an approach, located However, an impressive array of tasks that
in Mumbai. This would lead to a fluid requires finance domain knowledge has
already come to India. These tasks are
Many research articles, such as Lucas (), have
performed in Mumbai where specialised
emphasised the role of learning by doing in the context
domain knowledge exists. A synergistic
of a competitive and globalised economy, rather than
formal education, as being of decisive importance in feedback loop now results in Indian finance
the process of economic development. creating specialised human capital; it attracts
74 R M I F C
to Mumbai and further enhances the While the continued development of
quality of human capital. A two-way flow in finance is a positive feature that is
of highly skilled people between domestic supportive of the development of an in
finance employers, and employers, is Mumbai, winning high-value contracts
already taking place. in financial services does not necessarily
High-skill work done in Mumbai result in creating an . The real value in
enhances its prospects of becoming an production lies in areas where creativity
. It gives Mumbai prominence in the and judgment are required. India’s sights
minds of senior decision-makers in global need to be set higher than relying on more
financial firms. That strengthens India’s revenues. These are infinitesimal
ability to attract such firms into other compared to the revenues that could be
activities in Mumbai. It enhances derived from creating a successful . That
the development of greater skills and requires a policy approach quite different
induces a more international outlook on from Mumbai being promoted as a host for
the part of Indian staff, whose knowledge of higher value-added .
global capital market opportunities would The only sub-component of the overall
otherwise be more limited. universe, where distance is not an
With telecom reforms there are no insuperable impediment to capturing full
impediments to the growth of other value from such services, is algorithmic
than rising labour costs and labour skill trading. It is an area in which India could
shortages. Through finance-related , participate immediately in the global
the skills of the financial labour force in marketplace with a pure model, even
Mumbai are being deepened. But further if India makes no progress on regulatory
development of hinges on two factors. difficulties of the local market or on capital
controls. The universe of algorithmic
• First, India needs to create an elite labour traders comprises firms that consume
force in quantitative finance. That is vast quantitative data feeds, analyse them
lacking in Mumbai at present. London through algorithms, and automatically place
and Mumbai have a similar number buy-sell orders on the world’s exchanges.
of individuals – roughly one million This activity is the least firmly anchored
– engaged in providing financial services. in existing s, since the conduct of
But the knowledge of London’s labour such business does not require the human
force (augmented by easy immigration interactions that can only be found at an
in filling skills that are domestically in .
short supply) is vastly superior. Hence, is an area in which
• Second, a programme of financial sector India can make early progress in attracting
reform, leading to greater sophistication global financial firms to establish operations.
of domestic finance, would enhance India’s growth in this area will be assisted
further the quality of skills through by operations in existing financial
on-the-job learning. India’s success in exchanges that trade in equities and
creating an equity derivatives market has commodities. It will facilitate progress in
led to a large labour force that can do bringing currency and fixed income trading
equity derivatives arbitrage. India’s lack to these exchanges as well. A key goal should
of a liquid and efficient bond market for be to have about hundred international
sovereign, sub-sovereign, supranational firms operating in Mumbai. That
and corporate issues, has led to the lack can commence even with capital controls,
of a labour force that can arbitrage the though deriving the full benefits for India
yield curve. would require their removal.
Market deficiencies in
Mumbai that inhibit the
provision of IFS
6
1. The context in which India is not a small entrepot economy
Mumbai must develop and like Dubai or even Singapore; although it
is a much poorer one in per capita income
evolve as an IFC
terms than both. It does not need an to chapter
This chapter aims to provide a strategic diversify from dependency on oil income.
perspective on some interrelated questions: Nor does it have any other dependency that
(a) what kind of should Mumbai limits its diversification alternatives. The
strive to become? (b) How should its Indian economy is deep and immensely
capabilities relate to those of its diversified in the production of goods and
domestic financial system; (c) What market services. India needs an because it is a
deficiencies inhibit Mumbai in becoming an growing global powerhouse. It is already one
? (d) Which institutional deficiencies of the four largest economies in the world
prevent financial markets in India from in ‘real’ purchasing power parity ( )
functioning as they should? (e) Do these terms. It will achieve the same rank by
deficiencies compromise prospects for a in nominal terms. By the middle of
successful – rooted in the domestic the st century India will be the world’s
financial system – to emerge? second or third largest national economy,
First, therefore, this chapter looks competing only with the and China
at the obvious gaps in the market and on the world stage, having surpassed the
institutional structures of Indian finance; individual economies of Europe (but not
viz. seen specifically from the viewpoint of the as a whole) and Japan. By the end of
provision and export of globally competitive the century, India may well be the world’s
. If the provision and export of largest and most powerful economy in size
from Mumbai were to capitalize on the though not in per capita income.
inherent capability of the domestic Indian In that context, for Mumbai to become
financial system – and, by the same token, the kind of that India needs (as opposed
be compromised by its weaknesses – where to the kind of that developers
do the most important gaps lie and what has might wish to promote) it must start out
to be done to fill them? What are the main and develop properly. It must do so in a way
priorities? that does not at any time compromise its
By way of a necessary but brief prospects for becoming like, and competing
digression, it must be noted that posing this with, newer s like Singapore, or even
question precludes an in Mumbai that established s like London and New York,
is either initially or eventually an artificial in the provision of to its extant national,
annex, affixed opportunistically, to the and its latent regional and global clientele.
domestic financial system. In other words These are the benchmarks that Mumbai
an in Mumbai should not be an . must aim to target from the outset. It must
Nor should it be like the that does not not be seduced to emulate the easier targets
relate to the wider economy. Those of Dubai or Mauritius simply because those
models of de-linked s are inappropriate models are quicker to kick-start, or conform
for India. better to an -based model.
76 R M I F C
To achieve its destiny, there is no option Every customer generates immediate
other than for Mumbai’s capabilities to transactions on the currency spot (and
be rooted in its domestic financial system possibly derivatives) markets even if he/she
– in the same way as New York, London just buys Indian equity shares, bonds,
(representing the rather than the ) country index funds, index futures or
and Singapore (for the wider A bloc). options. Furthermore, every successful
Given that reality, the only sensible is a centre for global currency trading. In
choice for Indian policy-makers is to focus the absence of currency trading, a country
on deregulating, liberalizing and unleashing cannot have a ‘real’ . Currency trading
the domestic financial system in the rest of services, sold by Indian markets to national,
this decade, in the same way that India’s regional and global customers, are an
manufacturing and trading sectors were essential ingredient in the creation of a
liberalized and unleashed in the previous functional Indian in Mumbai.
one. A Mumbai-based that is rooted Similar considerations surround the
in a large and efficient domestic financial domestic bond market. Before too long,
market, and that operates on global lines, the will be one of the six most traded
is likely to be more successful and useful currencies (i.e., the , , , ,
to India and the world, than one that is a and ) in the world. International
mere artifice created to indicate movement bond issues, sovereign and corporate, will
rather than commitment. In creating an be denominated in these six currencies. In
the Indian authorities would make a many cases, global issuers will probably want
serious mistake if they were to repeat the to issue and trade debt securities in all of
experiment of failed offshore banking units them. For an in Mumbai to succeed
(s). it will be essential to attract global issuers
In contemplating the emergence of and investors into the Indian bond market.
Mumbai as an , one has to envision An appetite will need to be created and
movement towards the removal of capital expanded on the part of global investors for
controls, on a purely hypothetical basis at denominated bonds issued by domestic
the start. But, assume for a moment that and foreign, public and private, entities.
capital controls were out of the way: Would This will require a liquid and arbitrage-free
strong revenues immediately emanate from yield curve, backed by interest rate and
exports of financial services? Or, even with credit default protection derivatives of every
the removal of capital controls would there kind.
be structural deficiencies and institutional The use of the in global markets
gaps in the financial markets that would for bond issuance, portfolio trading, and
impede the export of ? The purpose investment necessitates an active market
of this chapter is to answer the question: for all bonds issued by every type of
If India had to sell services in global issuer, with an even more active market
markets today, and capital controls were not for credit derivatives tiered on top. These
an issue, what are the other key deficiencies essentials – the yield curve and interest rate
of the existing financial system that would derivatives markets and the currency spot
prevent this from happening? and derivatives markets – are inextricably
bound together by arbitrage. The currency
2. Inadequate currency and forward curve is but a reflection of interest
bond markets (BCD Nexus) rate differentials. A plethora of arbitrage
and speculative trading strategies fuse the
The most important deficiencies that India currency and debt markets.
must overcome, in developing its domestic
financial market and moving towards an For a treatment of the problems of bond markets
, lies in the absence of efficient, liquid, in Asia, see Eichengreen ().
Arbitrage is well understood to be the foundation
currency and bond markets. Transactions
and cornerstone of market efficiency. As Shleifer and
on currency spot and derivatives markets Vishny () have famously pointed out, quasi-infinite
are, by definition, the lifeblood of an . capital in the hands of arbitrageurs cannot be taken for
. Market deficiencies in Mumbai that inhibit the provision of IFS 77
These relationships are summarised rapidly in order to: attract local and foreign
in Figure .. Speculation and arbitrage participation; have vibrant trading in spot
(which are essential ingredients for ensuring and derivatives; have vibrant speculation and
liquidity) in the three key markets – the arbitrage to guarantee liquidity. In the case
bond market, the currency market and the of the yield curve, the defining issue is that
derivatives ( ) market – will integrate of attracting foreign issuers and investors
tightly the yield curve, Indian credit into the yield curve.
quality curves, and foreign yield curves such The absence of these three markets is
as those in the , , , and . a key impediment to an emerging in
Once these informational relationships Mumbai today and offering the basic range
are in place, with three liquid and efficient of . At present, these markets have fun-
markets, they will set the stage for five damental problems. Institutional structures
flows: i.e., from two types of foreign issuers are weak. Liquidity is poor. There is no
(governments and corporates), from two width or depth. Participation is artificially
types of foreign fixed income investors (in constrained through a number of eligibility
and origin barriers. Speculative price dis-
government and corporate bonds), and from
covery is lacking because arbitrageurs and
global customers of currency trading. For
risk-takers – who are essential for providing
these reasons, in creating an in Mumbai,
liquidity, and binding these markets by en-
the Indian authorities need to comprehend
suring informational efficiency – are lacking.
the challenge of developing the nexus –
Their participation is discouraged.
i.e., the bond market, the currency market,
In that context, it is odd for Indian
and the derivatives market (in interest rates regulators to regard risk-hedging through
and currencies) – as an integral package selling futures as proper, safe and prudent,
whose individual components cannot be while seeing buying futures as speculative
de-linked. All three markets need to develop and harmful. How can counter-parties
buy a future or option (deemed good
granted. This suggests a special role for public policy in
identifying and removing regulatory restrictions which and prudent) in a market if there is no
inhibit arbitrage transactions. one to sell it, because it is deemed risky
78 R M I F C
Figure 6.1: Integrated markets for interest rates, currencies and credit risk
INR Foreign
Riskless Currency
Curve Curve
Foreign
Currency
Curve
INR
Credit
Curve Foreign
Currency
Curve
and speculative and therefore discouraged? takers will ensure that these two paths will
The implicit value judgements made about yield borrowing at the identical all-in cost
the desirability or undesirability of certain after currency and interest rate risks are
types of activities or players by regulators covered. In an inefficient market, with
in this regard need to be revisited and barriers to arbitrage they almost certainly
revised. will not; instead they will increase exposure
An example of the difficulties with to currency and interest rate risk (while the
these markets in India at present lies in borrowing is outstanding) and will distort
the most basic arbitrage relationship on the costs of hedging.
the currency forward market: i.e., covered In India, the principle is persis-
interest parity ( ). The principle tently violated (Figure .) to a point where
requires that two alternatives for borrowing the deviation is utilised as a predictor
should have identical returns: (a) borrowing of future currency fluctuations (Shah and
in and using funds in India with Patnaik, , Forthcoming). For a com-
a locked-in / exchange rate for parison, in mature market economies, the
repayment in ; versus (b) borrowing size of the CIP deviation seldom exceeds
in over the same maturity. In an basis points. The deviation in India
efficient currency market, arbitrage by risk- points to hurdles in the way of arbitrage
. Market deficiencies in Mumbai that inhibit the provision of IFS 79
transactions that induce in all mature Figure 6.2: Deviation from covered interest parity on the INR/USD
financial markets.
25
Financial integration between the three
elements of the bond-currency-derivatives 20
Percentage points
() nexus – i.e., the risk-free yield 15
curve, the currency market and the credit 10
risk market – is supported by other elements
5
that go beyond them.
The market for corporate bonds is, 0
in turn, tightly linked to the market 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
for corporate equities. Indeed, modern
financial economics sees the corporate
bond and the corporate share as being two
different derivatives written on the same tive judgments – even if crude and somewhat
underlying assets of the firm (Merton, ). imprecise – in order to identify areas where
The underlying assets of many firms are India is doing well and areas where it is weak.
interlinked with commodity derivatives: The provides a good benchmark
e.g., there is a clear relationship between comparison because it is (like India) a large
steel futures and the shares/bonds issued domestic economy with primarily domestic-
by Tata Steel. Finally, in an age of import focused financial markets where the
parity pricing, there are tight relationships component is relatively small. In London
between currency fluctuations and Indian the opposite is the case with its financial
commodity futures markets. The larger markets being primarily global -focused.
picture is thus one where there is full London does not serve as large a national
financial integration, where speculative and economy as the although it does serve
arbitrage strategies run across all kinds of a regional economy (the ) that is now
financial instruments, inducing liquidity larger than the . The size of financial
and market efficiency. markets in London is disproportionately
In India’s present situation, consider- large in comparison with the size of the
able progress has been made with achieving economy, but not against the size of the .
organised financial trading for equities, eq- For that reason it does not provide as useful
uity derivatives and commodity futures. a comparator for Mumbai.
But the development of a concomitant An Illustrative Comparison: In
nexus has lagged, though it is a pivotal ele- comparing India with the , two ratios are
ment of the global market. Hence, any relevant:
attempt to create an in India has to
frontally attack the barriers that have held • In the Indian fiscal year –,
back the emergence of the nexus. (in nominal dollars) was $.
trillion. Indian at that time was
$ billion. In other words the
3. Missing currency & economy was . times larger than
derivatives markets: An India’s in nominal terms.
illustration • On th October , the Russell ,
‘Missing markets’ in currencies and deriva- a stock market index of , companies,
tives are markets that either do not exist in which covers practically all equities
India, or are so small as to be insignificant, listed, had a market capitalisation of
when compared with the requirements of $. trillion. On th September ,
the global market for . In order to un- the -Cospi index of , firms
derstand gaps in the range of traded had a market capitalisation of $
products where India has (or lacks) liquidity, billion. In other words total market
it is useful to make normative and compara- capitalisation of listed firms was .
times the size of Indian listed firms in
See Thomas (, ). nominal dollar terms.
80 R M I F C
Table 6.1: Biggest futures contracts in the US by daily trading volume, with an associated illustrative Indian calculation
showing one-twentieth this turnover
These relationships suggest that, as a in Nifty futures. But, this one isolated case
rule-of-thumb, by averaging these two broad apart, India lags substantially in every other
multiples, financial stocks/flows in India respect:
should be just under one-twentieth (or %)
of the amount of those in the . It must be • The key interest rate contracts in
emphasised that this percentage should not markets – Eurodollar futures, Fed funds
be taken literally but illustratively. There will futures, Treasury notes (, and
be contract-to-contract variations reflecting years), Treasury bond contracts – are all
differences between the two countries. missing in India.
However, the intent is not to isolate fine- • India has made a beginning with
grained differences but to understand the commodity futures. Some of the
dimensions of broad gaps. turnover numbers in India have crossed
Table . shows the twenty largest the % threshold. But, as yet, these
futures contracts in the . The turnover markets lack the regulatory credibility
of each, measured in billions of dollars, required to attract national or global
is shown. In addition, % of this turnover, customers.
expressed in crores of Indian rupees, is also • India has only one successful stock index
shown. This serves as an illustrative number contract – the Nifty. Other contracts
which illustrates in broad brush strokes such as the Nifty Junior have yet to
where the gaps in India lie. commence trading or obtain liquidity.
The two S&P futures contracts on
• The trading of currency futures is
equities (a big contract and a small contract)
banned in India.
add up to a trading volume of $.
billion per day of turnover; % of this The India/ crude comparative ratio of
amount works out to about Rs. , crores : or % cannot, of course, be interpreted
(or billion) per day. That is in the as hard and fast. The share of agriculture
ball-park when compared with daily trading in Indian is larger than for the ; so
We are grateful to Michael Gorham and Poulomi
Indian agricultural commodity derivative
contracts should have ratios of greater than
Kundu of the Illinois Institute of Technology, Chicago,
who constructed this information from primary sources %. In any row of the table, interesting
at the request of the Committee. differences can be pointed out between the
. Market deficiencies in Mumbai that inhibit the provision of IFS 81
and India where the ratio should be day at the . believes that only
higher or lower than %. The main point when is at a point of doing such a daily
of this table is to show the areas where turnover of $ billion a day will crucial
there is a large gap when compared with the exchange-traded derivatives in India have
normative ratio of %. liquidity that is competitive when compared
Apart from Nifty futures, there are against global exchanges.
important gaps in all rows. The premier With a number of critical missing
derivatives exchange in the – the markets in bonds, currencies and derivatives,
Group, which represents a merger of the Indian finance is operating in a setting where
erstwhile and the erstwhile – the equity spot and derivatives markets are
has a daily turnover (futures and options) the only financial markets that are liquid,
of $. trillion a day: i.e., trading every day efficient and market rather than fiat driven.
is valued at roughly one-third of annual This distorts the relative importance of
. The premier exchange where the equity market for financial and non-
derivatives are traded in India – the – is financial firms and for signalling. The
well below % of this amount (which works supporting bond, currency and derivative
out to $ billion a day). ( ) markets either do not exist or are
If India is to export IFS a normative mutations. In a properly functioning market
goal of % of the market size of the US is economy with a responsive financial system,
not good enough. Indian is growing when relevant news breaks, adjustments
at a trend rate of per cent, while should take place instantaneously at myriad
is growing at a trend rate of . per cent. places: i.e., in currencies, interest rates, credit
Taking that into account, within years the spreads and stock prices. In India, the brunt
multiple of will be replaced by a multiple of adjustment to all news is concentrated
of . Or, inversely, from % of contract in equities. That has probably resulted
equivalents in nominal terms, Indian values in excessive volatility in that one market
will come up to .%. From an / because the other markets needed to share
perspective, however, a market size in India the strain do not exist or function as they
that is merely % or % that of the should.
is not sufficient for entry into a globally Similarly, the differences between
competitive market. If India had an a modestly functioning equity market,
- futures market that was only % and other dysfunctional and undeveloped
the size of the - futures market at financial markets (in particular the bond
the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the market), have led to a situation where equity
business that would come to India for this financing (internal and external) dominates
contract would be zero. the financing of firms and distorts efficient
Purchasing power parity () trans- resource allocation and use. In –,
lations are made by economists because the market value of equity for all large
nominal exchange rates do not reflect real- firms in India stood at Rs. . trillion.
ity. A reasonable rule-of-thumb that India Their total debt stood at only Rs. trillion.
should utilise for the desired size of an In- Under normal leveraging that figure should
dian financial market, from an IFS export have been closer to Rs. trillion. Thus,
perspective, is % of the size of a compa- on a market value basis, the debt-equity
rable US market, and not %. That would ratio of corporate India stood at just .
reflect economic reality more closely by re- (Thomas, ) or about a fifth of what
moving the distortions of an exchange rate it should have been. That represents a
that does not reflect the ‘real’ size of the phenomenal degree of inefficient under-
Indian economy in comparison with the . leveraging, and a distortion of returns
Applying such a adjustment, it would between equity and debt, than would be
stand to reason that if the Group does expected in a more efficient market economy
$. trillion of derivatives turnover a day, with more balanced debt and equity markets.
India should have about $ billion (or This domination of equity financing in
Rs. trillion) of derivatives turnover per corporate finance reflects in part the rational
82 R M I F C
choice of minimising leverage on the part of markets in the country lack speculative
firms faced with considerable uncertainty price discovery given the constraints of
and crowding out by government debt. But it institutional investors and the lack of non-
also reflects the differential pace of progress institutional participation.
in the development of the equity and debt One strategy for India would be
markets. to replicate the features of its equity
market in other financial markets: i.e.,
4. The market weakness of harnessing non-institutional participants
to induce liquidity and market efficiency.
institutional investors Non-institutional investors are a powerful
The other weak link in Indian finance lies agent for driving market efficiency. Each
in the relative incapacity of institutional participant is motivated, deriving the
investors in India to be more responsive full profits or losses of his or her own
to market-signals, to induce liquidity and actions. There are no principal-agent
market efficiency, and to interface between problems that affect decisions made by
India and the world. employees of financial firms. The actions of
As far as mutual funds are concerned, participants are oriented towards rationality
the regulatory framework in India and the and maximisation, and undistorted by
behaviour of such funds as institutional regulators. So, this approach would work
investors broadly reflects world standards. to some extent. But the imperatives
But, at present, mutual funds have assets of creating a viable in Mumbai
under management () of about requires going beyond this and building
trillion or just % of . This is not large a wider, more diversified, base of ‘normal’
enough to influence overall price formation. institutional investors because they have
The universe of other institutional unique advantages in certain respects:
investors in India – i.e., banks, insurance
companies, and pension funds – is • Institutional investors have the capac-
characterised by too large a proportion of ity to build systematic processes of in-
public ownership (and therefore prone to vestment analysis and decision-making
directed, rather than market-responsive, that can be applied across millions of
behaviour). There are barriers to the entry transactions in different market seg-
of a wider range of private financial firms as ments. Sophisticated, modern analytical
institutional investors, coupled with many methodologies based on quantitative
regulatory weaknesses. These constraints financial economics can be embedded
coalesce to make a considerable difference into these processes. Institutional par-
between the role that market-responsive ticipants can engage in unique market-
institutional investors normally play in efficiency-enhancing trades when such
mature market economies and the role groundwork drives their decision mak-
that (mainly publicly owned) institutional ing.
investors play in India. • Institutional investors can marshal pools
The achievements of the Indian equity of capital that individuals cannot match.
market in building speculative price India is a large economy. Institutional
discovery have been driven primarily by investors are the only channel through
non-institutional participants, with only a which the large mass of savings of
supporting role played by mutual funds the economy can be brought to bear
and s. The equity market reflects in financial markets to induce greater
a unique situation in India. Financial efficiency and liquidity. Only a tiny
repression was absent in that market. The fraction of the country is presently able
government did not have much overt to participate directly in markets. The
involvement in influencing prices (except assets of most households, and thus the
when was the dominant mutual fund opportunity for India to use its huge
and responded to government direction) and size in order for Mumbai to succeed as
there were no quantitative controls. Other an – will not come into play in the
. Market deficiencies in Mumbai that inhibit the provision of IFS 83
Attributes, characteristics and capabilities of an IFC : London New Tokyo S’pore F’furt Mumbai
(Scale of 0–10 with 0 = worst 10 = best) York
Attributes, characteristics and capabilities of an IFC: Mumbai Hong Kong Labuan Seoul Sydney Dubai
(Scale of 0–10 with 0 = worst;10 = best)
financial markets is a unique edge that India have not yet been reached by these types of
has when compared with established or investors.
emerging s. But, a world-class
cannot be built without private institutional 5. A cross-country comparison
investors. Such investors bring special
qualities through their participation in As has been done elsewhere in this report, we
financial markets by: (a) using sophisticated have attempted an international comparison
analytical tools in quantitative trading of Mumbai against established and emerging
systems; (b) bringing enormous pools of s on a variety of metrics. A subjective
capital into financial markets; and (c) linking classification has been made, where each city
Indian finance with the rest of the world. has been scored on a set of measures on a
India has established a solid beachhead with scale from to .
institutional investors such as mutual funds As Tables . and . suggest, there is a
and s. The regulatory strategies applied large gap between Mumbai and established
in these two areas need to be deployed into as well as emerging s on a wide variety
reaching those parts of Indian finance that of supply factors in the provision of .
The macroeconomic fallout
of an IFC
7
1. Introduction for becoming a by . But it
also faces great challenges in realising
As suggested earlier, two significant benefits
that potential – in terms of financial
would accrue from having an in
Mumbai that is rooted in a strong domestic
liberalisation, urban infrastructure and chapter
governance. Mumbai will, at least,
financial system:
need to first become an like Paris,
. Improvements in Domestic Finance: Frankfurt, Sydney and Tokyo – which
Finance is the ‘brain’ of any economy. meet the needs of their national
In India it mobilises resources for and economies – by . If it does not, India
allocates an investment-to- ratio will be buying over $ billion of
of over % (roughly $ billion, or from abroad. But, if Mumbai becomes
Rs. trillion per year as of ). It an , it can go beyond serving its
ensures value-maintenance and risk national market and capture export
management of debt and equity stocks revenues. The opening up of such a large
(about Rs. – trillion) issued in the export-oriented sector would influence
form of tradable financial securities. India’s growth trajectory; exports of
Higher growth will result when the from India could be bigger than
Indian economy is served by a better exports from India.
financial system than the sub-optimal
one it has now. The believes it is critical for
The transformation in Indian manu- India’s development, to have a world
facturing since shows that the best class financial system with -provision
way to ensure that the local economy capabilities that can: (a) mobilise and
gets top quality goods is to have them allocate private and public resources as
pass the test of ‘export quality’. This efficiently as possible; (b) manage the risks
logic applies equally to finance. India involved in optimising and protecting the
can only produce world-quality financial value of its financial stocks; (c) ensure that
services if it competes in and exports to financial stocks yield returns that minimise
the global market for . At present, the risks of servicing those stocks; and
India’s share of that market is zero, re- (d) export financial services to the global
flecting the artificially restrained abilities economy on a competitive basis.
of its financial sector. In comparison, In- That said, however, it is important for
dia’s share of global merchandise exports the Committee to stress how mindful it is,
had never dropped to zero, even in the of the macroeconomic and macro-financial
worst policy environment of the s implications for the domestic economy, of
and s. Creating an in Mumbai measures it believes need to be implemented
is therefore of strategic importance to to create an in Mumbai. India needs
India’s growth. to carefully avoid the mistakes of macro
. IFS Exports: Like exports of services, policy in Mexico, Thailand, South Korea,
exports are labour, skill and and Indonesia, so as to avoid the ingredients
intensive. They constitute a natural which led to currency crises and banking
global market opportunity for India. crises. Conversely, it is equally mindful of
Of all the cities aspiring to become policies that militate against the prospect of
s and s in the st century, creating a credible Indian . The policy
Mumbai perhaps has the most potential implications that concern the Committee
86 R M I F C
most, impinge inter alia, upon: fiscal policy, The enactment of legislation by
monetary policy, exchange rate policy, and the Centre and subsequently, following the
capital account controls. These policies need recommendations of the Twelfth Finance
to be considered by policy-makers for the Commission, by a majority of state
simple reason that there is no economic or governments as well, reflects recognition
financial policy or instrument that is not that this situation had to be rectified.
double-edged. Progress needed to be made to reduce
An advantage gained by some in the the beginning with reducing the
pursuit of a particular policy for a particular deficit of the Centre. But, what is being
purpose (like setting up an ) invariably achieved through is neither rapid nor
results in a disadvantage suffered by others
who may not be directly involved in economists) that fiscal deficits of over –% of
benefiting from it. On balance, the question in any country are “undesirable, unfinanceable and
unsustainable”. But India has managed to finance and
is whether the sum total of the advantages sustain deficits larger than these proportions (ranging
that accrue to the economy and populace from –% of ) for over two decades. The
at large outweigh the sum total of the general view is that it has managed to do so relatively
disadvantages or vice versa. successfully; without compromising its growth potential
or creating too many distortions in markets that have
It would be remiss of the Committee caused serious collateral damage. That, however, is a
to omit mentioning, even en passant, what misleading impression. The indirect costs in terms of
some of these implications might be when it financial repression and growth depression have been
comes to what it believes needs to be done obscured and are unamenable to easy quantification.
India has managed to finance its deficits at below-
for an to emerge in Mumbai. This market rates through pre-emption. With the reforms of
Chapter attempts to meet that obligation. , and a commitment to reducing pre-emption, that
situation has been changing; but too slowly. Financing
too large, and for too long, a fiscal deficit in this
2. Implications for fiscal policy manner has, among other things: (a) slowed down
& deficit reduction and impeded the creation of an effective market for
government and corporate bonds that operates along
There is a strong connection between fiscal global norms and is open to global investors; (b) created
a bias toward a capital market that leans too heavily
stability and a healthy, efficient financial toward trading risk-paper (equity) without being
system. Many of the problems faced by the balanced by coupon (fixed return) debt, thus preventing
financial system in India owe their origins in investors from managing properly their exposure along
part to: a risk-return matrix given their investment objectives;
(c) crowded out more efficient private investment in the
domestic market for decades; (d) put upward pressure
* Fiscal policies pursued since the mid- on Indian interest rates; (e) created artificial regulatory
s that have: (a) distorted the burdens for that have exacerbated financial
functioning of key markets – including repression by impeding migration from a bank-
dominated financial system to a market dominated
financial markets – by emitting the one in order to protect the government’s interests as
wrong price signals; (b) diverted and both the largest borrower in the financial system and
dissipated scarce public resources in the largest owner of financial institutions; (f) created
low-yield expenditures; and (c) created too many conflicts-of-interest in financial regime
governance that have influenced adversely its credibility,
too large and inefficient a state-owned quality and content; (g) protected banks from effective
institutional superstructure, with high competition in the domestic market by the erection
financial resource absorption and low of high barriers to competitive entry thus fostering
inefficient intermediation with high margins and
financial yield, in too many areas of
high costs for all savers/investors; (h) forced a degree
economic activity of segmentation across financial markets (banking,
insurance, capital markets, etc.) that is damaging to
* the means resorted to for financing
a healthy financial system and sound capital market
and sustaining gross consolidated fiscal development; (j) induced inefficiencies in resource
deficits (i.e., – of the centre, states, use; (k) indirectly impeded the emergence of essential
s and quasi-fiscal accounts like the derivatives markets and risk management instruments,
particularly for the management of currency and
oil pool account) that have been too interest rate risks; and (m) indirectly and inadvertently
large for too long. created a situation in which the lowest returns on
financial savings (adjusting for risk and inflation) are
It has often been asserted (by s and renowned accrued by the poorest depositors.
. The macroeconomic fallout of an IFC 87
transformational enough. Further, as recent fiscal management in India is a sine qua non
differences of opinion at policy-making for: (a) the participation of global financial
levels suggest, there is a perceived trade-off firms in an Indian ; (b) its ability to
between maintaining the schedule for deficit transact complex financial transactions with
reduction targets under , and risking multi-decade time horizons; and (c) the
a loss of economic momentum created by ability of the government to shift part of
rapid growth. The impact of such a trade-off its public financing burden from domestic
could be ameliorated by having a ‘public financial markets and investors (who carry
debt reduction target rule’ added to the excessive India risk today) to global markets
deficit reduction target rules under . (that desire more India risk in their globally
But, whatever rules are applied, the diversified portfolios).
aim of fiscal policy over the next – In consonance with the kind of
years should be to achieve reduct- macroeconomic backdrop needed for having
ions (through adjustments in revenue, a successful in India, the would
expenditure and public asset sales) that countenance the pursuit of a fiscal policy
bring: (a) the down to –% of that minimises distortions in the proper
; and (b) overall public short and long- functioning of goods and services markets.
term debt (central, and states) down Such distortions occur either through:
to well below the present % of . (a) direct price suppression or manipulation
The scale of reduction in the debt/ (however well intended) as in the case of
ratio that is required is bigger than appears the oil pool subsidy account; or (b) through
to be the case, as many off-balance-sheet interventionist public mechanisms whose
liabilities (e.g., pensions) need to be fully protection – through implicit or explicit
recognised in an improved accounting and government capital guarantees that induce
disclosure framework, while the present inefficiency, or through the suppression of
estimate (%) ignores these liabilities. competition in markets dominated by them
Those targets should be achieved within a – also results in compromising the efficient
time-frame that is consistent with stable and functioning of financial markets and distorts
non-disruptive adjustments in government resource allocation.
accounts, and in financial markets, while But there are political economy
maintaining growth momentum or even implications of adhering firmly to such
increasing it. rules. They might result in the government
Both measures are necessary in order being accused of having an ‘anti-poor’
to achieve (and maintain) the kind of fiscal bias if cutting deficits involves reducing
stability that, in the Committee’s view, is a expenditure on populist schemes. It
fundamental requirement for a successful is difficult to see, however, how deficit
and credible to emerge in Mumbai. reduction could be seen as anti-poor per
Strict adherence to clear, transparent ‘golden se. The interests of the poor are never served
rules’ aimed at achieving such stability is by running high fiscal deficits that distort
critical. That is particularly true for a finance, send the wrong price signals to a
large, plural, federal, developing country number of key markets, and destabilise the
like India attempting to establish an economy.
while maintaining a reputation and image of Financial repression imposes a regres-
integrity and probity in the world of global sive tax on unsophisticated users of finance.
finance. The commercially sophisticated elite avoid
Confidence (on the part of domestic financial instruments where artificially low
and global financial markets) in the outlook returns are given through state interference –
for long-term macroeconomic stability and i.e., the richest households hold very small
balances in bank savings accounts. A high
For a discussion of debt/GDP rules, see Mistry
fiscal deficit usually results in long-term ef-
().
For a first effort on measuring the implicit pension fects that are even more anti-poor – as is
debt on account of the civil servants pension, see the case when cumulative deficits require
Bhardwaj and Dave (). partial monetisation and inflation (the most
88 R M I F C
regressive tax of all). Over time, high fiscal confidence in the government’s ability to
deficits result in governments (states and repay debt denominated in foreign currency
centre) running out of headroom to finance can erode rapidly. That, in turn, makes it
physical and social infrastructure in poor difficult for government to sell bonds to
rural areas and urban slums. Similarly there domestic and foreign investors. Bond prices
is no headroom – without a substantial and fall, sometimes accompanied by herd exits.
politically difficult restructuring of expen- This is particularly dangerous in a country
diture priorities at state and central levels – with a history of financial repression where
to provide income support for subsistence banks hold too large a part of government
consumption targeted at the poor. debt. A drop in the value of bonds can
Instead fiscal policy remains orientated trigger a banking crisis and exacerbate the
toward: (a) maintaining an edifice of fiscal deficit by requiring the government to
government that is overstaffed and under- recapitalise banks.
compensated at senior levels, leading o has never defaulted on its debt
to distortions and inefficiency; and in the past. It aims to maintain a policy
(b) unsustainable market-distorting price stance that encourages the world to be con-
subsidies on a number of key goods (oil, fident that it will never do so in the future.
diesel, gasoline and kerosene) that result However, even when the possibility of de-
in transferring more income to the rich fault on sovereign obligations is low, the
and middle classes than to the poor, whose additional costs to the economy – arising
consumption of such goods, direct and from rising interest payments due to in-
indirect, is much lower. The combined creasing levels of government debt caused
effect distorts prices in too many markets. by persistently large deficits – are signif-
It disables prices from equilibrating supply icant. Domestic interest rates rise, slow-
and demand thus preventing markets from ing down private consumption and invest-
performing their role. It compromises ment. That can result in lower profitabil-
the use of inflation-targeting as a tool ity for companies with foreign currency
of monetary policy. It makes efficient borrowings. Interest rates for such for-
resource allocation via the financial system eign borrowings rise when profitability falls
more difficult to achieve. Having a low and takes the credit rating of the company
fiscal deficit over the long term, and re- down.
orienting expenditure priorities toward
income support for the poor, will have a 3. Financing public debt
greater ‘pro-poor’ effect than extant policies.
differently
That strategy will result in spreading the
benefits of growth more evenly than they are The first priority for Indian fiscal policy is
now. the stabilisation of consolidated debt/,
Running a large fiscal deficit constrains inclusive of all implicit liabilities such as
a country’s ability to open its capital account civil servants’ pensions, at –% of .
without running undue risks. Countries This issue has been well understood in
that have opened capital accounts and the debate on fiscal policy over the last
stabilised or pegged their exchange rates years. Second, public finance thinking in
– while running large fiscal deficits financed India has not made progress in considering
in foreign currencies – have triggered an more efficient, mechanisms for public
economic crisis. That happened in Mexico borrowing. Until banks were required
in , Argentina in –, Russia in to hold a large share of their assets as
, Ecuador in and Turkey in . government bonds under the Statutory
When the debt-to- ratio starts rising, Liquidity Ratio ( ) requirement. They
were paid lower than market rates on
An extensive literature has pointed to the role of
government bonds. After the liberalisation
pegged exchange rates in generating currency crises and
of , rates on time deposits ceased to
speculative attacks. In addition, exchange rate flexibility
assists macroeconomic stability by offering a ‘shock be fixed. But banks are still required to
absorber’ (Edwards and Yeyati, ). hold an astonishing % of their assets in
. The macroeconomic fallout of an IFC 89
government bonds. Demand deposits pay opportunities for public borrowing with
negative real interest rates. Similar pre- fewer adverse side-effects and consequences
emption is in place with insurance and for the Indian financial system.
pensions. The basic imperative of a sound non-
The argument is made that improved distortionary mechanism, for financing the
liquidity and market efficiency in financial fiscal deficit in a globally credible financial
markets will limit the ability of the system, is that sovereign or sub-sovereign
government to control all points on the bonds should be bought voluntarily by any
yield curve; which (it is argued) is required kind of buyer, without any direction, coercion
for reducing the cost of borrowing for the or restriction by the government. It should
government. When such arguments are not be considered necessary to distort
deployed for repression, the financial system national finance in order to sell bonds to
suffers a loss of credibility and confidence. finance public deficits. That would imply
Banking regulators are supposed to uphold abandoning the policy framework which
sound risk measurement/management to presently governs investment by banking,
support their demands for minimum levels pensions and insurance.
of risk capital being held by banks. In If nothing else changes, the removal
applying their judgements of risk in bank of repression would increase the cost of
portfolios, regulators must be technically financing public debt. It is intuitively
proficient, unbiased and impartial in obvious that with coercion out of the picture,
evaluating the risks of portfolio choices and with markets that are liquid and
made by banks. However, their ability efficient, higher interest rates may need to
to be unbiased is compromised when be paid in order to attract voluntary buyers
portfolio choices are driven by regulators of bonds. However, there are three lines of
themselves. thought which address this problem:
When regulation imposes rules that
support other aims (such as financing . A sophisticated financial system requires
deficits) that have no bearing on the safety sovereign bonds as a credit bell-weather
and soundness of the banking system, The liberalisation of finance and wider entry
what occurs is a loss of credibility in the of pension funds, insurance companies,
financial system on a global scale. It mutual funds, etc. into the sovereign
raises doubts in the minds of the global bond market will increase demand for
financial community about the technical long-term bonds. These investors
soundness and supposed lack of bias in need to buy government bonds as part of
banking regulation. prudent portfolio management strategies,
The global market involves on a voluntary basis, without coercion.
competition not just across s and global As India becomes a more mature market
financial firms but across different systems economy, the need for and should
of financial regulation. As long as India disappear. When that happens there is no
continues with its present system of financial likelihood of demand for o bond holdings
regulation, it will induce a lack of respect disappearing as well. For prudential and
and credibility, for provided from India portfolio balancing reasons, banks and other
and will compromise the functioning and investors will still need to have holdings of
competitiveness of an Indian . o bonds in their asset portfolios. It is
There is a need, and an opportunity, to quite possible that, with investor desire to
find more efficient, less counterproductive hold o bonds becoming voluntary rather
ways of financing India’s large and rapidly than forced, demand for such paper will rise
escalating public debt. A more efficient and and not fall.
better developed financial system would The asset choices of the mutual fund
create many more options for doing so. industry exemplify this lack of risk of shifting
The creation of provision capacity away from financial repression. Formerly, in
through an in Mumbai would add to an India that was more repressed than it is
those options by increasing the range of now, mutual funds were the monopoly of
90 R M I F C
under a bank-monopolised financial open capital account, bond issuance
system. The shift towards a market-driven avoids concerns about incurring currency
system has come with the rapid growth of risk on sovereign debt. It also averts the
mutual funds. Regulation of mutual funds liquidity risk involved in servicing such
is now free of repression. s are not debt, should a sudden balance-of-payments
obliged to hold government bonds. Yet, crisis materialise because of an unforeseeable
without compulsion, s have invested very exogenous shock .
large sums of money in government bonds. When global investors hold o debt
Easing up on repressive policies for s has denominated in , they bear the currency
not automatically created problems with risk. In a scenario with a sudden crisis of
their buying government bonds. confidence and capital flight out of India,
At present, the size of the asset the drops and bond prices drop – this
portfolios of banks, insurance companies affects global investors holding bonds
and pension funds in India are relatively and does not exert balance sheet effects on
small by world standards. The total assets the government. These balance sheet effects
of these three groups of firms, expressed as are spread over the very large base of assets
percent of , are one-half the size that is held by global institutional investors. It is,
commensurate with the level of development therefore, safe to permit such investors to
of the Indian economy. When financial buy sovereign bonds as they wish with-
repression is eased, and a superior system of out limit. The only risk in doing so is that
financial governance is put into place, these such investors, uninfluenced by government
three sectors are likely to grow dramatically. direction, might dump o bonds on the
That will induce new sources of demand open market when the government of the
for o bonds. If greater demand is not day pursues unsound macroeconomic poli-
matched by increased supply, the prices cies or generates political risk. As a warning
of such bonds should rise, implying that for restraint, that would be a useful signal
coupon rates could be reduced. for global investors to emit. It is one that
any prudent government should respond
. Global fixed income investors are to appropriately.
interested in INR denominated sovereign
bonds, and it is in India’s best interest to quasi-state programs such as the have, for all
practical purposes, entailed a sovereign bond program
sell these to them. Traditionally, India has denominated in foreign currency. These have flirted
been reticent about financing its fiscal deficit with original sin. The present Indian policy on public
through the sale of sovereign bonds to global and private borrowings is paradoxically asymmetrical.
It causes an overall asset-liability currency mismatch
investors. Many economists trained in the
when Indian firms are permitted to borrow overseas
s and s when derivatives markets in foreign currencies in increasing amounts, while
did not exist (and still unfamiliar with or investment in denominated bonds is still
distrustful of currency derivatives and how heavily restricted. The policy framework encourages
original sin on the part of firms, shifts revenues
markets in them work) felt that financing outside the country, and involves an opportunity cost
the fiscal deficit through issuance of dollar- for liquidity and market efficiency on the local
denominated bonds was dangerous. This denominated corporate bond market while putting
reticence has been based on a perception upward pressure on Indian interest rates. Both these
strategies serve to increase the macroeconomic risk
of ‘original sin’ where dollar-denominated for the Indian economy. A reversal of these policies –
liabilities represent a currency mismatch for discouraging original sin and encouraging local bond
a state whose revenues are in . That market development – would simultaneously improve
systemic stability and growth.
issue does not arise when government Of course such risk is already being incurred on
bonds are sold to global investors but borrowings from the s and regional banks which
denominated in INR . In the context of an are quite large but concessional. Moreover India has
more leverage in dealing with such creditors than with
The goal of policy makers has long been to impartial bond markets that are much less easy to
have policies on capital flows which are ‘prudent’. persuade or manipulate.
Yet, the overall policies on debt financing have For a treatment of international developments on
decreased financial stability in two respects (see local currency bond markets, see Burger and Warnock
http://tinyurl.com/37vq58 on the web). First, ().
. The macroeconomic fallout of an IFC 91
There is now a large demand for long- markets. It is thus a key ingredient for having
term bonds on the part of global a successful in India.
fixed income investors. One reason is
portfolio diversification. No large global . Sophisticated financial structures for in-
investor can afford to have less than % frastructure projects will help to put many
of total fixed-income investment in bonds assets “off balance sheet” thus reducing
issued by a country which has over % the public borrowing requirement. The
of world GDP and is one of the fastest third bit of innovative thinking in public
growing economies of the world. In addition, finance concerns shifting the burden of fi-
as a growing economy with sustained nancing infrastructure from government
productivity increases, it is likely that budgets to corporate balance sheets. This
the will appreciate through Belassa- can be done by improving the policy and
Samuelson effects. Thus an international regulatory climate for public private partner-
pension fund looking for a -year bond ships (s). As the private sector invests in
might prefer an bond to a bond. infrastructure, the pressure to keep issuing
Indeed most global portfolio managers public debt for capital investment would
(especially pension funds) bemoan the diminish.
absence of access to a larger pool of Today a large part of the burden of
denominated paper in global bond and borrowing for infrastructure falls on the
money markets across the maturity and balance sheet of the government. In a
duration spectrum from -days to - framework under the viability gap funding
years. If India had a mere –% share model, a private partner bids for a grant
in global fixed-income portfolios, this covering the difference between the cost of
would represent a quantum of investment the project and the profit expected from
significantly larger than the forced-holdings it. The project goes to the lowest bidder.
of bonds by domestic banks, insurance Spending by the government is limited to
companies and pension funds. In an optimal the grant. The loans that a private company
long maturity global fixed income portfolio, takes to finance the project do not appear in
the holdings of paper are likely to be the government’s accounts. If the grant given
closer to –%. by government is financed by a deficit then
In the judgment of the , opening only that element appears in the debt liability
denominated sovereign bond purchases of o . Greater resort to s would
to global institutional investors, and simul- support the downsizing of government
taneously removing all forms of repression expenditure required to achieve stabilisation
in the domestic financial system, will result of the public debt/ ratio. The Ministry
in a significantly higher probability of low- of Finance has embarked on establishing
ering the financing cost for o , than the a viability gap funding mechanism. This
low probability of increasing that cost. needs to be scaled up, at the expense of
A fiscal deficit financed by o bonds traditional mechanisms for State expenditure
issued in global capital markets, but on infrastructure, thus yielding reduced
denominated in INR – rather than financed government expenditure and thus deficits.
by banks that monopolise domestic
bank deposits – would alleviate crowding
4. The mutuality of interests in
out effects in the domestic market. It would
release more domestic resources for more modernising debt
efficient private investment, and alleviate management and having an
upward pressure on local interest rates. IFC
That would reduce the need for o and
to protect the profitability and balance Moving away from financial pre-emption
sheets of state-owned banks. It would for financing the fiscal deficit is essential
create more room for neutral regulation that Analysis of investment requirements, and potential
allowed greater competition, efficiency and for private sector financing, has been offered at great
innovation in banking and other financial length in Mohan ().
92 R M I F C
in its own right as the most appropriate . Investors from all over the world parti-
step toward more rational development of cipating in the bond market in
the Indian financial system in overcoming Mumbai.
the distorted legacies of the past. At the
same time it would be highly supportive of Each of these three elements bolsters
creating an in Mumbai. Reciprocally, the other two. Creating an yield curve
an in Mumbai would provide many – a fundamental pre-requisite for an
more options for diversifying sources of in Mumbai – and ensuring that it sends
public borrowing, globalising the market the right signals, requires macroeconomic
for denominated debt, and reducing stability as a critical pre-condition. The
its costs. The emergence of an active absence of such stability would result
bond market (as part of an integrated in a loss of confidence in the economic
package) that attracted full participation of governance of India. If that happened,
global portfolio investors – especially long- domestic and foreign investors would shun
term, fixed-income investors such as pension bonds, drive up interest rates and
funds – would create new opportunities for precipitate a crisis. For that reason, it is
the export of and enhance the stature incompatible to consider having an and
of an in Mumbai. It would provide continuing to run destabilising deficits.
impetus to a currency trading market as well
The market for corporate bonds is
as to a more diversified derivatives market
an integral part of the nexus that
that traded contracts in currencies and
this report has stressed the importance of.
interest rates.
Progress in creating an independent debt
In recent years, a number of developing
management office that auctioned sovereign
countries have attempted to attract global
bonds and notes across the maturity
investors to buy their local currency bonds.
spectrum into a liquid yield curve
India has, paradoxically, discouraged them
from doing so; although that policy posture in Mumbai, with international investors
appears to be changing. India is unusually participating in this market has some
well placed to attract global investment in interesting downstream implications. In
sovereign bonds because voluntary particular, it would create the opportunity
demand for them in the global investment for creditworthy sub-sovereign issuers – i.e.,
community appears to be far larger state governments and municipalities – to
than o ’s inclination to accommodate access the same pool of investors. It would
that demand. Looking ahead a sound create a new sub-market in India that does
public borrowing strategy for India would not yet exist; although sub-sovereign and
incorporate three elements: municipal bond markets are key features
of bond markets in developed financial
. An independent Indian ‘debt manage-
systems.
ment office’ – operating either as an au-
tonomous agency or under the Ministry While there has been legitimate
of Finance – that regularly auctioned criticism of o for persistent fiscal deficits,
a large quantum of denominated it has not been given the credit it deserves
bonds in an in Mumbai. The size for the transformation in public finance that
of these auctions would be substantial it has painstakingly wrought. Progress has
by world standards and would enhance been sufficiently tortuous as to be invisible.
Mumbai’s stature as an . Yet it has been profound. Over the last
. A liquid yield curve along with a decade, distortionary taxes like customs
functional Bond-Currency-Derivatives and excise have been removed with a shift
( ) nexus and vigorous arbitrage towards . High marginal income tax
by sophisticated investors with Direct rates have been reduced. Double-taxation
Market Access, ensuring that the yield of firms has been partially reformed. The
curve is arbitrage free, with an associated incidence of taxation has increased its focus
set of interest rate derivatives for risk on consumption. The Act has been
management. passed and income tax collection/accounting
. The macroeconomic fallout of an IFC 93
has been automated. All these measures . Making targeted commitments under
amount to a paradigm shift in fiscal policy the binding. The
and practice. Public finance in India today does not specify the strictures that
has been transformed quite dramatically follow if the existing deficit targets are
from the situation of ; but the size of violated. There is a need to introduce
fiscal deficits has been slower to respond strict penalty clauses and bolster fiscal
through desirable shrinkage. accountability about what would happen
These achievements need to be built if the targets are violated.
upon with a commensurate paradigm shift
. Extending rules and principles
in debt management. The aim should
to States: While the was a key
be to create a new policy framework for
milestone, it addressed only the fiscal
public borrowing that mirrors practice in
deficit of the central government and
mature markets. Resorting to global markets
not that of state governments. Current
for public borrowing through an in
estimates for the consolidated deficit of
Mumbai would require some new elements
the centre and states amount to some of
when compared with current practices. In
the most extravagant aggregate deficits
the present framework, o bonds are sold
in the world. State governments have
by . Designated buyers (like banks
been given incentives to restrict deficits
and pension funds) have no choice but to
by the th Finance Commission. But
buy them. Under the alternative paradigm,
deficit reduction targets have been not
with bonds auctioned to voluntary buyers
been defined in a state-specific manner.
(domestic and global), the government
There need to be state specific targets,
will need to work harder in providing the
agreed to by state governments, which
information required by the global fixed
the states should then be held to and
income investment community to make
penalised if they are not met. MoF needs
reasoned judgements. This will involve:
to translate the full picture, in terms of
. Advertising clearly in headline terms the
projections for the Centre and for the
gross consolidated fiscal deficit of India
States, into projected numbers for the
rather than obscuring it by referring
consolidated deficit of the centre and
to the fiscal deficit run by the centre.
states, and projected numbers for the
o needs to publish regular reports consolidated debt/ ratio. Cogent,
of total public debt: i.e., of central
comprehensive analytical documents
and state governments. That should
showing historical statistics, present
include: implicit/explicit government
stocks and projections for five years
guarantees, implicit pension debt and
need to come out from the Ministry
the total (public sector borrowing
of Finance to the global fixed income
requirement) including the debt of
investment community, where the unit
public sector companies that has a
of discussion is the consolidated Indian
contingent o or state government
State, not just the central government.
guarantee. Similar reports should be
published by state governments with . Lowering the Total Public Debt/
the aim of publishing the consolidated Ratio: The structure of the
debt of the centre and all states. These Act places undue emphasis on the
reports should be accessible to the public. annual fiscal deficit in terms of financial
They should appear on the website of flow and insufficient emphasis on the
the Ministry of Finance every quarter. cumulative effect in terms of the debt
The consolidation of information, in stock thus created. Economic logic
one place, of all liabilities of all arms does not suggest only that fiscal deficits
of government is a key milestone for should be low. It also suggests that
strengthening public debt management. the debt/ ratio should be low
This information needs to be fully and stable. Low fiscal deficits are a
shared with the global bond trading and means to an end: i.e., a fiscal policy
investment community. framework in which the debt/
94 R M I F C
ratio falls in all normal years except if Its conduct becomes more complex and
there is a war or a comparable national sophisticated with an open capital account
calamity. A greater focus needs to which, as discussed below, is a sine qua
be put on full measurement of public non for an in the st century. With
debt, avoiding new contingent liabilities, inordinately large fiscal deficits, and a large
and finding new ways to ensure that stock of public debt, now exceeding % of
properly-measured public debt (which , monetary policy has to bear the brunt
is presently well in excess of % of of adjustment when fiscal policy proves too
) does not cross a publicly stated sticky. The expansionary effect of large
ceiling such as –% of . The fiscal deficits has often to be countered by
is reluctant to suggest a rigid monetary policy: i.e., through higher interest
ceiling without studying in more depth rates and more pre-emption than would
what ceiling would be appropriate for otherwise prevail.
India. For that reason it has suggested a The expanded supply of government
range that is typically found around the paper has to remain attractive to the domes-
world in terms of prudent public debt tic investor in order to be absorbed. That
management practice. The also drives up rates, increases the government’s
recommends that, in reducing public borrowing costs, further increases the fis-
debt, governments at all levels consider cal deficit, and expands the stock of public
not only revenue and expenditure debt explosively through compounding. An
measures but other measures – in ever escalating spiral resulting in a loss of
particular public asset sales at the fiscal control is thus set in motion. It be-
appropriate time and at the appropriate comes difficult to break out of that spiral
price – to bring about a reduction in except through: (a) gradual or disruptive
public debt. The proceeds of such sales
fiscal adjustment – usually too little too late
should be applied exclusively to public
– which incurs political problems; (b) draco-
debt reduction and no other purpose.
nian monetary adjustment that throws the
In summary, quarterly reports tracking economy out of kilter and creates economic
the performance of the centre, states, s as well as political problems; or (c) trans-
and the consolidated fiscal situation showing ferring the costs of adjustment to foreign
the size of the total deficit and the size bondholders through currency depreciation,
of outstanding debt (including implicit if the country is an issuer of reserve currency
liabilities), need to be made available to and borrows from foreign investors in its
the investing public in a timely manner. own currency (e.g., the ).
Projections of the deficit, for five years on With large fiscal deficits, an open capital
a rolling basis, should be released every account worsens the problem. In open-
quarter. The Ministry of Finance should economy macroeconomics, when a rapidly
be required to explain deviations from growing economy opens up, stabilisation
projections to the public and to Parliament. of the business cycle through fiscal policy
This requires making substantial progress becomes ineffective. Achieving the same
on the accuracy of fiscal measurement and result through monetary policy is more
improving the quality and performance of effective. As the Indian economy has opened
public institutions.
That problem is aggravated if the government’s
borrowing strategy is to finance its deficit exclusively in
5. Implications for monetary the domestic market. It gets worse if the government is
policy obliged to borrow abroad in foreign currency rather
than its own because it then takes on added currency
A key element in managing a macro- risk and o liquidity risk. But if it can borrow abroad
in its own currency the problem gets ameliorated by
economy with large fiscal deficits and rapidly reducing interest rate pressures in the domestic market;
growing public debt is monetary policy. as long as the expected real return is perceived by global
investors in bonds to be superior to returns in
For a treatment of contemporary thinking on bonds after adjusting for credit, country, political
monetary policy, see Mishkin (). and currency risk.
. The macroeconomic fallout of an IFC 95
up, gross flows across borders have risen cycle conditions were adverse in order to
sharply. They exceed % of today and counter weak or negative capital flows. That
are expected to rise further. would exacerbate the downturn. A policy
As in other open economies, it will of pegging the exchange rate would thus
become increasingly difficult to control the enable the direction of capital flows to
exchange rate through interventions induce a destabilising monetary policy, one
by the central bank; as has been done in that increases the volatility of GDP growth
the past in India by . The larger the instead of reducing it.
interventions by the central bank, the more India, with its large and fast growing
the cost of a policy of managing the economy, can no longer peg the to
exchange rate. The main ‘cost’ of such a the and incur the resultant loss of
policy is the loss of monetary autonomy exercising monetary policy autonomy under
as predicted by the iron-law or ‘impossible changing domestic market conditions. An
trinity’ of open-economy macroeconomics open capital account would require giving
(Joshi, ; Patnaik, ; Joshi and Sanyal, up a stable exchange rate and choosing
). Too many central banks around the autonomous monetary policy. But the
world have lost too large an amount of their public and private sectors would need to
reserves trying to defend pegged exchange have the resilience and risk management
rates when global markets moved against capacity, with world class currency futures
them. India should not repeat that error. and options instruments and markets, to
In an environment of free capital flows, cope with more frequent movements in
downward pressures on the would exchange rates.
need to be relieved by raising interest The key element of such a monetary
rates if exchange rate stability was the policy would need to be inflation targeting.
prime goal. If that was done regardless of When the is not the anchor for the ,
domestic conditions, an externally induced the basket should take its place. Such a
contraction in money supply could prove policy has been shown to have many long
deleterious to domestic industry. It would term benefits, including fiscal stability and
raise its costs of capital and reduce the low output volatility. Today central banks
enhanced export competitiveness that a in the , Euro-zone, Japan, , Australia,
depreciating would have afforded. The Israel, Chile, etc. all target inflation to keep
opposite would occur if pressure on the it low. For all practical purposes, the Fed in
were upward. Interest rate movements the targets inflation de facto; although
would be governed by fluctuations in capital it is constitutionally required also to be
flows instead of fluctuations in local inflation concerned about growth and employment.
and government borrowing requirements. In a country like India, which needs
A particularly difficult feature of the loss to build global confidence in the ,
of monetary policy autonomy lies in the pro- an explicit and legally mandated de jure
cyclical nature of capital flows (Kaminsky inflation-target regime governing monetary
et al., ). In an ideal world, with a policy would be superior to a de facto pegged
sophisticated financial system, capital flows exchange rate regime (as is presently
should respond to investment opportunities the case) or a de facto inflation targeting
in the real economy. In practice, information regime (as is the case in the ). When
asymmetries can lead to pro-cyclical capital domestic and foreign investors hold
flows. When the business cycle in India assets – originating from any issuer – an
is on the upswing, capital flows would
tend to flood in. Conversely, when the Chandavarkar (); Mohanty and Klau ();
business cycle reversed, capital might flow Khatkhate () discuss monetary policy in India.
Patnaik () demonstrates that in India’s case,
out. Pegging the exchange rate would lead to as with many other developing countries, there is a
higher interest rates in India when business distinction between the de facto currency regime in
operation as opposed to the de jure currency regime
For a treatment of the issues in moving to a floating which is claimed to exist, and that India has followed a
exchange rate, see Duttagupta et al. (, ). de facto INR/USD pegged exchange rate.
96 R M I F C
investment ratio higher than the savings * Low risk of changes in tax policy or tax
ratio, with net capital inflow of –% of rates;
per year, would permit India to raise * Zero probability of more capital controls
its investment rate and stabilise it at –% being introduced in the future;
of in order to sustain growth of % or * Low and stable inflation; zero probability
more. of hyper-inflation;
However, even with these levels of net
* A respected and tradable arbitrage-free
capital flow, an in India will result
yield curve going out to years;
in outflows and inflows that are much
greater. The benefits of an do not * Lower fiscal deficits to bring about a
come as much from more ‘net’ investment stable or declining debt/ ratio;
as from gross capital flows in and out of * A high investment grade sovereign credit
the country. The benefits of capital flows rating;
come from more efficient international * Monetary policy that stabilises the
allocation of capital, capital deepening and business cycle;
international risk-sharing. All these factors * A ‘consistent’ framework of monetary
raise growth and reduce consumption policy that recognises the impossible
volatility. But recent research shows that trinity;
while such direct benefits do accrue, the * Business cycle volatility that is more
potential collateral benefits are even larger. like an industrial country and less like a
These arise from better financial market developing country.
development, better governance and the
macroeconomic discipline that comes with In the case of the , an embarrass-
financial globalisation (Kose et al., ; ing history of macroeconomic instability
Mishkin, ). The resulting growth in through most of the th century – including
capital productivity and efficiency, spread an program in and a breakdown of
over a much larger volume of investment, the currency regime in – was resolved
can have a greater impact than a mere by the reforms of the late s and s.
increase in the investment level. These required the central bank to focus
exclusively on monetary policy and nothing
else, created an explicit inflation targeting
7. Macro-stability for an IFC
regime, and introduced fiscal rules which
For a credible to be established in eliminate the risk of a growing debt/
Mumbai, global financial markets need to ratio.
be persuaded about the enshrined sanctity India and the both experienced
of maintaining macroeconomic stability in difficulties with their currency regimes in the
India regardless of which government rules. early s. But the came up with a more
This involves institutional reforms on three far-reaching response involving institutional
fronts: fiscal, monetary and financial system. surgery and new legislation. The resulting
So far, India has made more progress on macroeconomic stability, and an enlightened
fiscal reforms. The other two elements have approach to financial regulation that is
stayed about where they were in the early principles-based, have been key factors in
s. Further, deeper reforms are now bolstering the success of London as a
required in fiscal and monetary economics, over the last decade.
in order to ensure: The has travelled in the opposite
direction since . A loss of hard-
The well known results of Feldstein and Horioka
earned fiscal control, and the imposition
() suggest that in the , convertibility was
not very effective at decoupling domestic savings of counterproductive regulation, and
from domestic investment. These results have been legislation such as Sarbox, has damaged
significantly modified by post- data. However, New York’s standing as a . London’s
the basic position of is consistent with the idea
that convertibility accelerates growth through
experience and that of New York are
mechanisms other than a large increase in the instructive for India in opposite ways.
sustainable current account deficit. In the , only a few years after the
98 R M I F C
breakdown of its currency regime, the loopholes than on designing the right
reforms implemented have becalmed the kind of for clients.
expectations of financial markets. They have If the s of financial firms
restored global confidence in the despite are forced to focus on the policy
a tendency toward fiscal profligacy becoming and regulatory constraints faced by
increasingly apparent in recent years. In their business plans – rather than on
the , by contrast, global credibility and implementing their business plans and
confidence in financial probity has been continually refining them by talking
steadily eroded since the new millennium to customers – then what is replicated
dawned. is a situation like the India of the
A mature market economy is one where s in the real economy. In those
inflation and growth are stable, while circumstances the most capable Indian
exchange rates are more variable. In the manufacturing firms were unable to
third world, this is reversed. Emphasis on a achieve international competitiveness
stable exchange rate results in more volatile because they spent more time dealing
inflation and more volatile growth. with the government than with their
India has to put monetary policy on a sound customers in export markets. But
footing to avoid this pathology. when that constraint was removed their
success went beyond the imaginable.
8. The incompatibility of As an example, despite many years of
policy effort, Indian Depository Receipts
capital controls in a 21st have a zero market share in the market
century IFC for international equity issuance and the
In some ways it might appear to be licenses granted earlier were not
theoretically feasible for India to make worth the paper they were printed on.
some progress towards internationalisation Even a broad opening of capital controls
of finance while retaining an elaborate but with quantitative restrictions on
structure of capital controls. For example, different types of transactions involves
an institutional mechanism for the issuance financial firms being engaged in heavy-
of Indian Depository Receipts (s) could duty persuasion in the interpretation of
be created: a narrow opening in a system onerous rules. The complexity of such
of controls through which one kind of an institutional mechanism runs afoul
transaction can be conducted. Or attempts of the need for speed, flexibility and
could be made to find a way of providing innovation in the global market. It
through that part of the system where encourages rent-seeking (Krueger, ).
the capital account is open; while having to * Piecemeal opening-up defeats the pur-
persuade regulators at every step that what is pose of capital controls. Capital is
being done is in line with what is permissible more agile and mobile than merchandise.
on a ‘moving-target’ basis. But the efficacy When India embarked on autarky on the
of this obviously sub-optimal approach is trade account, some items – like gold or
questionable for two reasons: s – came into India in boats from
Dubai. In the case of most things – like
* A successful comprises a vibrant, steel – the Indian attempt at autarky was
competitive financial market ecosystem. successful but self-harming. Warding
If financial firms have to operate under a off free flows of capital is more diffi-
complex maze of ambiguous restrictions, cult than monitoring imports/exports of
and have to comply with quantitative steel or cement (Patnaik and Vasudevan,
restrictions or license/permit require- ). Under draconian capital and cur-
ments that achieve very little, then the rent account controls, the hawala market
quality of thinking in, and the services flourished. It effectively bypassed those
provided by, the are compromised. controls. As has been noted, the pres-
More time is spent by financial firms ence of harsh capital controls did not
and their key executives on exploring prevent the currency crisis (Vir-
. The macroeconomic fallout of an IFC 99
mani, ; Acharya, ). Conversely, they deprive Indian financial firms of an
a more open capital account in – opportunity to earn larger export revenues
did not trigger a crisis when many than those derived from services. They
East Asian countries experienced disas- reinforce protectionism and barriers to com-
ter. What India has achieved, in opening petitive entry in the Indian financial system
its capital account, implies more con- rendering it less efficient and more costly as
vertibility than is commonly appreciated. an intermediation mechanism than it should
Every month, the ‘calibrated opening be. They do not permit financial system lib-
of the capital account’ further under- eralisation and reform to take place as swiftly
mines residual capital controls. Main- and to the extent that it should.
taining partial controls, and removing On the whole, the is of the view
remaining obstacles over a long drawn that the capital account should be opened at
out period of time, contingent on con- a faster rate than is currently being envisaged.
comitant conditions being met, impedes It believes that the risks of doing so can
incoming cross-border capital flows in be managed given: (a) the proven skills
a counterproductive manner. What it and capabilities of the in managing
achieves is to inhibit the export of India’s external accounts with extraordinary
from India – while having a de facto open competence; (b) the trends that are now
capital account for the real economy, but manifest in accelerating two-way financial
not for financial services. That creates a flows at a very rapid rate – i.e., at two or three
strong bias against exporting ; an ac- times the output growth rate; and (c) the
tivity in which India has a much greater problems that will increase as the partially
competitive advantage over most other closed regime is maintained,
countries – providing the nexus Opening the capital account decisively
can be created quickly in Mumbai – than is not a matter of tweaking technical ratios
in almost any other domain. and tinkering with the present limits of
At the same time it has to be recognised what is allowable and what is not. That
that there has been much argument in process adds little of value. But it increases
international financial circles about the levels of frustration throughout the Indian
advisability of removing all capital controls financial system, and on the part of Indian
when faced with the risk of coping with non-financial firms that are ready and able
capital surges (especially of short term hot to showcase their world-class competitive
money) induced by the herd instincts of abilities more meaningfully on the global
bankers and high-risk fund managers. These stage. Neither of these categories of firms is
arguments gathered steam after the Asian enthusiastic going through the hoops of a
debt crisis of – and a number of capital account regime that is supposedly
subsequent crises that occurred around the ‘open’ for them in theory but still involves
developing world since. Clearly no member considerable administrative obstruction in
of the would like to see India open its practice. Clearly the focus of the would
capital account fully only to be confronted then need to shift rapidly to managing
by a financial crisis because capital surges monetary policy in an open economy, with
could not be controlled. an open capital account, in a way that
But, in weighing the balance of risks, supports the growth and globalisation of
what is obscured is what India is losing by the real economy, while maximising the
keeping the capital account partially closed, prospects for the success of an in
and applying the regime in a manner Mumbai.
that effectively closes it even more than the Simply put, in the Committee’s view,
rules permit. That loss has been discussed India can have an IFC in Mumbai with
at length throughout this report. Remain- an open capital account or it can keep
ing capital controls – even partial ones – its capital account partially closed, in the
pose a high practical (rather than theoret- way it is now, and forego/delay the option
ical) barrier to permitting India to compete of creating an IFC until conditions are
in the global market for . By doing so, deemed right to open the capital account
100 R M I F C
many synergies with moving more rapidly com/yapulp on the web, and Bodie and Merton ().
. The macroeconomic fallout of an IFC 101
The second impact of an on build operations all over the world and
monetary policy concerns efficacy. Central become multinationals, capital controls lose
banks in mature market economies set only efficacy. They simply become discriminatory
the short-term interest rate and articulate rather than useful. They discriminate against
clear rules about how they will react in firms that do not trade or invest abroad while
the future to new domestic and global favouring those that do.
developments and data on prices. Once Many countries – e.g., all the small
this is done, market arbitrage translates countries of Europe – have local financial
adjustments in the short-term rate into systems that are not globally significant
changes in long-term interest rates and while having an open capital account. But
prices on the corporate bond market across there are powerful synergies between having
the maturity/duration spectrum. The a world-class financial system in a large,
efficacy of monetary policy comes about globally significant economy and having an
through this plethora of changes, which open capital account. An in Mumbai
flow through arbitrage in the fixed income dovetails with an open capital account in
market. In India, since the fixed income India. On the one hand, an will not
market has neither liquidity nor arbitrage, take root without the removal of capital
this channel for the exercise of effective controls. But equally, the establishment of
monetary policy is made defunct. An an , and an accompanying program of
in Mumbai of the kind the envisages financial sector reforms, provides the ideal
would result in the creation of a liquid supporting infrastructure for dismantling
and arbitrage-free yield curve and a capital controls and coping with the
corporate bond market. consequences more smoothly. Worldwide
India is headed towards convertibility experience with opening the capital account
sooner or later. That is partly due to emphasises the importance of having strong
the vision and foresight of policy makers financial markets and institutions to cope
but, more importantly, to increasing with the consequences of that transition. The
globalisation and the consequent ease with creation of an in Mumbai is an integral
which capital controls can be evaded. In and indispensable element in making that
practice, when a country has an open transition.
current account, and when local firms
Financial Regime
Governance: Its role in an
IFC and a comparative
perspective
8
1. The intrinsic value of practices. A side-effect has been that export-
regulation for IFS production orientation has improved the productivity
and efficiency of production, as well as
The fundamental difference between the pre- the quality/quantity of goods and services chapter
and post- approaches to development available, for the domestic market. In
strategy in India – i.e. the themes addition, competing in global markets has
of outward orientation and openness to proved to be useful in sidestepping problems
enhance technology, efficiency, productivity, of domestic competition policy, reducing
quality and competitiveness throughout rent-seeking impulses in local political
the economy – apply with equal force economy, and thus accelerating growth.
when it comes to providing . An However, it is important to take note of
inward-looking policy aimed at protecting a fundamental difference between the export
the domestic market for financial services of financial services and the export of goods
(e.g. protecting financial firms from the and non-financial services.
force of competition from other domestic IFS exports are intrinsically differ-
and foreign competitors) exacerbates and ent from ordinary exports. When a car
prolongs: intermediation inefficiency, is exported from India, its quality/value is
over-staffing, cost-ineffectiveness, higher measured without regard to the difficul-
intermediation margins, poor management, ties encountered in its manufacture. Deal-
poor service quality, sub-optimal technology, ers/customers who sell/use the car – any-
and inability to capture fully a number of where in the world – evaluate/verify its qual-
economies of size and scale. ity and relative value by applying objective
In establishing an appropriate context tests. An Indian car is accepted by the world
for the discussion on Indian financial market if it passes these tests; it is rejected if
regulation that follows, it is essential it does not.
to underline that, since , India has Production of the car in India might
made a belated but fundamental shift take place in a difficult institutional and
from an import-substituting development operating environment characterised by
model to an outward oriented strategy a number of weaknesses such as: poor
emphasising greater openness and trade infrastructure, restrictive labour laws, high
(particularly exports). In the process, real costs of capital, inefficient taxation, a
India has discovered that achieving export- weak legal system, difficult trade unions,
competitiveness requires a combination poor public governance, poor standards of
of: (a) cost-effective human capital inputs; regulation (e.g. health and safety standards,
(b) good management and corporate factory hygiene, conformity with local
governance; (c) the use of cutting-edge planning rules, etc.).
technology that is continuously updated; These difficulties induce additional
and (d) the application of best global ‘coping costs’ for firms manufacturing cars
104 R M I F C
in India. For example, an industrial process For example, a simple deposit at a bank
that consumes tap water in an involves the performance of an action or
country might require a special purification fulfilment of an obligation by the bank to
plant in an India; or the unreliability of the customer at a future date: i.e. when one
power supply may require investment in a buys or invests in a CD for Rs. , at an
captive power plant; or a car manufacturer interest of % for months, one expects
may need to have special infrastructure for the bank to return Rs. , at the end of
effluent discharge and sewage. However, that period with even thinking about it. The
once the car is made, these problems thought process of the customer involves
do not affect either the reality or user the financial regime governance at two
perceptions of its quality. An objective levels. First, is the bank well regulated and
technical assessment of the finished car is supervised, so as to induce a low probability
‘ahistorical’; it has no links to the policy, of failure? And, if the bank goes bankrupt, is
regulatory or physical environment under there an effective bankruptcy procedure with
which it was produced. This applies for a a high and predictable recovery rate, on a
wide range of ordinary goods and services highly predictable time horizon? If Mumbai
– ranging from motorcycles to steel to is to become an , and attract global
computer programmes. For this reason, customers who place deposits in banks
India has made considerable progress in in Mumbai, then an intrinsic part of the
exporting a variety of goods and services, product offering would be to have answers
even though the underlying institutional to these questions that instil confidence in
environment continues to be deficient in the global customer that in these and other
many respects. High coping costs induce respects an in Mumbai operates with
lower wages, yielding globally competitive world-class standards.
prices for finished goods in most industries. When an Austrian customer buys
But this separation between final an Indian car, he is concerned with
product and the institutional/policy and its quality, performance, reliability and
regulatory environment in which it was functionality. He is blithely unaware of
produced (i.e. the regime that governed the Indian policy framework for auto
its production) does not hold for . manufacturing, the legal regime, the
Finance is about the fulfilment of contingent infirmities of physical infrastructure, or the
contracts that specify performance of stated capability and competence of the regulatory
actions by stated parties at future dates. institutions that governed its production.
The quality, performance, and value of Once the car is produced and used, those
a financial product or service depends connections cease to matter. In contrast,
critically on confidence in the mind of the when an Austrian customer places an order
customer, and trust on his/her part, that on an Indian - futures market,
stated actions/obligations at future dates will or buys an Indian bond or share, he is
be performed/fulfilled as promised. Given inextricably and inexorably affected by
their very nature, the implicit obligations Indian law and regulation. Indian law
that underlie all financial contracts, and and regulation are an intrinsic part of the
the regulatory regime that governs their financial product/service purchased. They
fulfilment, become an intrinsic part of such cannot be stripped out.
contracts – represented operationally as For that reason, one of the key elements
financial products and services. in judging the technical merits and relative
Financial Regime Governance: i.e. the safety of a - futures position on
framework of laws, rules and regulations an Indian exchange, in the eyes of a foreign
governing financial products/services (and customer, are the strengths and weaknesses
the way in which authorised regulatory of Indian law and regulation; as well as the
institutions specify, apply and enforce them) credibility and capability of its regulatory
is therefore intrinsic to the value of financial institutions and exchanges. Hence, achieving
services in a way that governance is not success in the export of such as
intrinsic to the value of a car or a ball bearing. currency futures trading, or involving
. Financial Regime Governance: Its role in an IFC and a comparative perspective 105
Table 8.1: Comparing Mumbai against established IFCs on the quality and impact of the financial system regulatory regime
Table 8.2: Comparing Mumbai against emerging IFCs on the quality and impact of the financial system regulatory regime
A closer look at the numerical scores on one indicator (coping with market and
shows that Mumbai has better scores – such institutional failures) with a score of .
as , and – for indicators E through Mumbai may have a slight edge over
E. Mumbai appears to match Frankfurt on these measures, though this partly reflects
110 R M I F C
the relative age of ; there is little doubt to the legal system; and (d) the integrity
that Dubai will strengthen these features as and competence of the legal system as a
time passes and experience is gained with whole and all its components for resolving
episodes of failure. civil conflicts and disputes and assuring the
enforcement of contracts through recourse
Where Mumbai fares badly is on indica-
in real time.
tors E through E concerning competition,
invariably involve multiple instru-
level playing field, protectionism, conflicts
ments (underlying contracts accompanied
of interest, innovation, regulatory intrusive-
by a variety of risk management instru-
ness, micro-management, and rules-based
ments) bundled under a single financial
regulation. Mumbai has to make progress
structure (such as a syndicated loan or a
on E through E, where it lags emerging
sovereign bond with features and conditions
s by a small extent. But fundamental attached). also involves complex finan-
rethinking is required on factors E through
cial structures such as those involved with
E where both established and other emerg-
privatisations involving the participation of
ing s out-perform the Indian financial
global investors and lenders, or arrange-
regime governance.
ments involving municipal, state and central
On balance, these constraints hamper governments acting in concert with private
the ability of the financial system to perform contractors, domestic and foreign, but with
its core task: that of supporting efficient distinct performance obligations (and penal-
resource mobilisation and allocation (E). ties in the event of default or breach) for
Here Mumbai fares poorly when compared each. These complex contractual structures
with both established and emerging s. require commensurately sophisticated con-
An interesting feature of indicators E to E tract enforcement mechanisms.
is that these are the areas in which London An illustrative approach, using indica-
appears to fare better than New York. A tors and scores in the same way as above,
deeper understanding of the task facing the is brought to bear on understanding the
Indian authorities in making Mumbai is quality, efficiency, effectiveness and support-
an is illuminated by the international iveness of the legal system insofar as it affects
debate about the approach to financial finance in general and in particular. The
regulation as opposed to the approach. quality, efficiency and effectiveness of legal
Concerns in the that New York is falling recourse for redressing non-performance
behind London in these respects are reflected under contracts, is a fundamental ingredi-
in recent speeches made by the Treasury ent in the globally competitive provision of
Secretary and by the Committee on Capital . In attempting that task, eight indicators
Market Regulation that has been set up to are relied upon. The first (F) concerns the
see what can be done. knowledge base (‘know-how’) that exists
in a particular ; i.e. in terms of having
4. The overall legal regime law firms, specialist lawyers and judges who
understand and are experienced in the in-
governing finance
tricacies of dealing with complex financial
Underlying the key, but specific, question contracts.
of financial regulation are a broader set of Most established s are characterised
issues concerning the extent to which an by the presence of global accounting, law and
jurisdiction adheres in principle to globally tax advisory firms employing professional
accepted standards for the ‘rule-of-law’ as staff at all levels who have worked in
well as how such notions are applied in several s over many years. These
practice. Specifically, where the provision of institutions are familiar with not just the
is concerned, global financial firms and laws and regulations of the jurisdictions
investors place considerable emphasis on: (a) concerned but of other s and the source
respect for property rights; (b) enforcement countries of global investors.
of creditor and shareholder rights; (c) the Though it does not yet have an
efficiency, cost and ‘fairness’ of recourse in Mumbai, India’s legal system is
. Financial Regime Governance: Its role in an IFC and a comparative perspective 111
widely perceived as adhering in principle believe in eternal life has never litigated in
to the rule of law, underpinned by a an Indian courtroom”. The Indian civil
time-tested constitution and a durable, legal system in every city at every level
resilient legislative democracy that has been seems beset by frequent interruptions and
time-tested for six decades. At its apex, delays in the way cases proceed. There
India is perceived as having a paradoxical is a phenomenal backlog of cases (several
combination of: (a) world-class knowledge, million) in the pipeline. It can take up to
competence and sagacity about global two decades for civil cases to be resolved;
finance, reposed in a few accomplished often after the demise of the original litigants
individuals with technocratic backgrounds and their immediate descendants. Such
and relevant practical experience; coupled absence of time-consciousness would be
with (b) a lack of similar knowledge, and a significant deterrent to global investors
ideological opposition, at other levels as from using an in Mumbai. Under
to how the global economy and financial such circumstances, even if property or
system function. creditor rights are respected in principle,
The legal system – in terms of its ability they cannot be applied or enforced in
to understand and deal with issues of inter- practice, simply because of the perception
national finance – is perceived as capable that as many Indian eminent jurists have
at the apex level, but weaker at intermedi- repeated: “justice delayed is justice denied”.
ate and lower levels. The legal system in Distinct from the time taken to resolve
India/Mumbai is perceived by practitioners contractual disputes through legal recourse,
abroad as adequate by international stan- an indicator (F) of some concern to
dards but not as knowledgeable about global global firms operating in s, and to
finance simply because it has not had the global investors, is the issue of probity
opportunity to acquire such expertise. The and effectiveness of the legal systems in an
absence of recognised global legal firms in , especially when it comes to enforcing
India, with specific expertise and experience judgements, and applying the rule of law
in dealing with , provides some cause for in practice, as opposed to adhering to
concern. That deficit represents a serious in- it in principle. Again, on this measure,
stitutional handicap if Mumbai is to become India (Mumbai) would fare poorly when
an . compared with s in countries.
The second indicator (F) concerns the The next indicator (F) deals with issues
efficiency of the ’s legal system. It conveys of integrity and probity across the legal
a composite assessment of factors like: the system. It is an illustrative measure that
legal requirements and processes involved in indicates the degree to which attributes
getting conflicts/disputes resolved through such as fairness, impartiality, and credibility
the legal system; interruptions and delays characterise the legal system in an , along
in the progress of cases through the system; with the relative presence or absence of
the backlog of cases in the civil system; corruption. Global publicity attracted by
the quality of decisions and incidence of perceived miscarriages can affect the image
successive appeals; the overall time taken of a legal system adversely.
for dispute resolution; and the cost involved. The fifth indicator (F) focuses on the
The World Bank’s ‘Doing Business’ database quality (in purely technical terms i.e. by way
has come out with numerical measures for of professional competence) and the human
the number of days that it takes to settle and institutional capacity of the legal system
disputes in various countries. This is related
No comparative scores have been provided for
to indicator F. On this indicator Mumbai
Mumbai in these two tables. The felt that as
would not fare well relative to other s. there was no in Mumbai, the basis for comparison
Most global investors seem aware that might be misleading and controversial if numerical
the concept of ‘real time’ appears to be scoring was attempted to convey a spurious sense of
accuracy. However it also felt in qualitative terms that
elusive in Indian legal practice. That was
Mumbai was quite far behind other s in these areas
substantiated by the late Nani Palkhiwala and much needed to be done to catch up with best
who said that: “Anyone who does not global practices.
112 R M I F C
Table 8.3: Comparing IFCs on the quality, efficiency and effectiveness of the legal system
insofar as its capability for dealing with, and ( , , or ) when they are
supporting, is concerned. While this available; and (b) which foreign jurisdictions
indicator may involve a judgemental overlap are chosen by most s as centres for
with the first indicator of ‘know-how’ (F) it adjudication and settlement of disputes.
is different in the sense that it attempts to Again, on these two indicators, Mumbai
capture dimensions that go beyond simply would fare poorly but then so do most
the ‘know-how’ aspect. F tries to capture other s other than the three s and
a sense of the quality standards of legal those that use and law for their
training and expertise in dealing with issues contracts as a matter of course. An attempt
that the provision of raises, the degree to make Mumbai an will require a
of professionalism, quality of jurisprudence, substantial improvement in the functioning
depth and width of human capital, and the of its legal system for this purpose.
professional capabilities of legal firms and Under the present circumstances it
advocates in comparison with their global would be unrealistic to assume – if an
peers. Again a comparison across established were to emerge in Mumbai – that Indian
and aspirant s would reveal Mumbai as law covering contracts, or Mumbai as a
comparatively weak as far as the capacity jurisdiction for adjudication concerning ,
of the extant legal system for supporting would be immediately acceptable to global
the provision of by financial firms in participants. It is more likely that, as in most
Mumbai is concerned. But that weakness s at present, or law would be
could be corrected quite swiftly if the will chosen to cover contracts. Over time
was exerted to accomplish that. – with experience, expertise and credibility
In a similar vein, the sixth indicator being gained, along with improvements in
(F) attempts to convey a sense of how well the operating and quality standards of the
extant s adhere to global benchmarks Indian legal system – it is more than likely
and standards of best practice in matters of that Indian law could gradually be applied
law and legal support where the provision of to operations in Mumbai and become
is concerned. The seventh indicator (F) acceptable globally.
assesses the extent to which: (a) ‘national Finally, the eighth (F) indicator at-
law’ prevailing in an jurisdiction tempts to encapsulate information con-
governs the provision of in/from tained by all the previous seven indicators
that jurisdiction or whether contracts into a composite judgement. Unsurprisingly
are governed by the use of foreign law it reflects what has already been alluded to
(invariably or ) or international codes above.
. Financial Regime Governance: Its role in an IFC and a comparative perspective 113
The two tables on the ability of the The second interesting comparison is
extant legal system to support the provision Hong Kong. Here, the traditional argument
of reveal a discouraging picture because made in Indian circles is that the Chinese
in our subjective judgement Mumbai lags financial and legal systems lag far behind
in all aspects. The four tables comparing those of India. That is undoubtedly true as
different s on financial regulation and far as Mumbai competing with Shanghai
the legal system are particularly illuminating as an is concerned. But China has an
in terms of two comparisons: against enormous asset in the form of Hong Kong, a
Shanghai and . While Mumbai might thriving well-established that has been
be competitive with Shanghai in these shaped by over a half-century of liberal law
aspects, that is not the case with , and regulation based on the model.
whose legal governance and regulation Hong Kong scores better than Mumbai on
is de-linked from the ’s legal and financial regulation and its legal system. This
regulatory regime for financial services. It is affects India in two ways.
purpose-built for alone. has First, in the global competition for
a stated policy of hiring the best available production, China may have a stronger
practitioners from abroad to ensure that position than appears to be the case, if
regulation and dispute settlement at the institutional attributes of Hong Kong
are of the highest world class standards; are taken into account. The caveat lies in
i.e. similar to those prevailing in the three whether China will rely more on Hong Kong
s. That could give an edge to than on Shanghai as its premier .
as a competitor to Mumbai (as an ) in Second, if resource allocation in China
attracting regional and global customers for is influenced by the way in which Hong
. has a head start over Mumbai in Kong’s financial markets operate, that will
the process of complex institution building certainly improve the quality of capital
required for financial regulation and the productivity. This facet of having Hong
legal system governing its . It is willing Kong contradicts the stereotype that Indian
to be flexible, adopt the best global practices, finance and law are far superior to Chinese
and has the resources as well as the political finance and law as far as provision is
will to employ the best people available in the concerned. A considerable deployment of
world, as regulators and for administering Chinese savings, and fundraising by Chinese
the special legal framework that has been firms, especially for the southern special
established for governing the operations of economic zones and the economic region
. surrounding Guangdong, is being done in
Table 8.4: Comparing emerging IFCs on the quality, efficiency and effectiveness of the legal system
Hong Kong which outperforms Mumbai by other s are issues of financial regulation
a considerable margin as a financial centre. (E to E) and the overall weakness of its
legal system. These are the areas on which
5. Summary of cross-country this report places great emphasis as needing
immediate strengthening if a viable is
comparisons to emerge in Mumbai.
In summary, it appears that the weakest
links in an Indian effort to compete with
What are the limitations of
financial regime governance?
9
1. Where do we stand? describe what takes place at an . Each
An IFS – Market × Players cell lists specific activities and accompanying
restrictions. This can serve as a useful visual
matrix
aide for Indian policy-makers to focus on the chapter
Apart from comparing financial regime constraints that hold back production
governance in India with other global in India at present. The wallchart can be
markets as done in the previous chapter, downloaded from the M website.
an illuminating approach to understanding There is an inchoate sense of discomfort
impediments to production in India in the Indian financial community that
is to look forensically into what constitutes regulation, more than any other variable,
provision. That requires opening the prohibits many mainstream activities from
‘black box’ to describe precisely what takes being undertaken by Indian financial firms
place when different financial firms provide in space. The wallchart translates
various kinds of . This is done through such vague discomfort into operationally
a classification of into the various understandable specifics. In other words, for
activities/markets discussed at some length each kind of , for each kind of financial
in Chapter of this report along with a firm, the wallchart shows what each financial
classification of financial firms into ten firm does (or could do) in connection with
broad categories as follows: each kind of at an , and the state of
B ANKS the play in the Indian regulatory regime.
This report attempts to describe and
• Commercial Banks document, as comprehensively as possible,
• Private (not in the Indian vernac- what s do in clear detail and illustrate
ular sense but in the Swiss) how much needs to be done in specific terms
for Mumbai to become a credible . The
• Investment Banks and Universal
wallchart conveys the present situation in
Banks
Mumbai by colour coding: green to identify
A SSET MANAGERS permitted activities; blue for restricted
activities; and red for banned activities. For
• Mutual funds
India to become a player in the global
• Insurance companies space, the colouring in a large number of
• Pension funds cells will need to turn from blue/red to green,
• Hedge funds as is the case with other s.
The most remarkable feature of the wall
F INANCIAL EXCHANGES chart is the extent to which it is coloured red.
C OMMODITIES EXCHANGES Most of the activities that global financial
S ECURITIES FIRMS firms undertake at s as a matter of course
Combining the activities with the are prohibited in India. This is only partly
financial firm classifications, a 19 × 10 due to capital controls. Careful examination
matrix has been constructed as a wallchart shows that many activities in India are
(see Appendix ). The rows indicate various not banned because of convertibility
types of and the columns represent Bhattacharya and Patel () have an insightful
various firms. For each kind of firm, in discussion about the difficulties of regulatory
each activity, the cells in the matrix institutions in India.
116 R M I F C
constraints. There are regulatory restrictions firms into ten categories or compartments
as well, probably reflecting caution and that are mutually exclusive. But it is
conservatism on the part of regulatory important to emphasise that in an
authorities. That, unfortunately, stifles these are not watertight compartments.
financial competition and innovation. An does not specify that there
The detailed wallchart, colour coded should be only ten different types of
line by line, indicates prohibitions, permis- financial firms in broad terms. Financial
sions, and lack of restrictions with some firms self-select the categories they place
specificity for each activity in each cell. It themselves in. Large complex financial
shows colour variations within cells of pre- institutions ( s in Basel parlance) that
scribed and proscribed activities. A con- operate on a global scale, like
densed chart colours each cell – rather than and Citigroup, may embrace all ten
each line – in red, blue or green. The colour categories under one brand, under a
white denotes ‘not applicable’. holding company structure. But different
This simpler rendition, dominated by and distinct intra-group corporations
red, shows the imbalance between what is may undertake different activities like
allowed and disallowed when it comes to commercial banking, investment banking,
providing from India. It illustrates how securities brokerage, insurance, and asset
significant are the restrictions: (a) bans on management to conform to regulatory and
the provision of financial products and ser- market requirements.
vices that are quite commonplace worldwide; Or, alternatively, a single firm –
and (b) excessive compartmentalisation of fi- like Goldman Sachs – might undertake
nancial sub-markets in India by prohibiting any or all of these activities; sometimes
certain financial activities from being under- with multiple activities being undertaken
taken by different kinds of financial firms. by one firm, or through dedicated
Restrictions on financial market oper- subsidiaries for each separate activity. It
ations, instruments and services have not may choose different routes in different
been sufficiently debated either academi- s depending on their particular rules.
cally or by the authorities concerned. This Competitive pressure is continually applied
lack of debate is counterproductive for the by the market contestability of each of
kind of India that is emerging, and for the the ten categories. But the financial
kind of financial system that a new India authorities in any jurisdiction play no role
needs. in constructing walls between different
In summary, the wallchart serves two kinds of financial firms to prevent them
purposes. First, it documents the kinds from competing with each other in
of activities that are typically performed undertaking whatever combination of these
at an . Second, it shows where India activities they wish in any way they
stands in terms of regulatory barriers wish.
impeding or obstructing the types of Contrarily, in India, a ‘primary dealer’
typically provided at an . The wallchart or a ‘mutual fund’ for example is seen
thus provides a finer-grained sense of the as a self-contained firm that is highly
impediments we face in competing in the circumscribed in the business it is licensed
global market. It provides a useful to do. A ‘primary dealer’ in India can
checklist for the task facing policy-makers be a primary dealer in government bonds,
and regulators in reforming and aligning and has numerous regulatory restrictions
financial regulation and policy to aim at on what other activities it can perform.
enabling an to emerge in Mumbai. By contrast, in a typical setting, a
primary dealership is merely one activity
1.1. A caveat about what the term undertaken by sophisticated financial firms.
“financial firm” implies in the These financial firms do a myriad other
matrix things – based on business strategy and not
The columns in the wall chart attempt regulatory restrictions – apart from having a
to classify different kinds of financial primary dealership.
. What are the limitations of financial regime governance? 117
Matrix of Regulatory Issues Influencing the Emergence of Mumbai as an International Financial Centre (IFC)
Banks Asset Managers and Funds Securities markets
h.
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xc
cia
Fs
t
en
.
e
.E
s/S
ch
er
ns
nc
tm
l
m
m
te
ua
Ex
e
er
sio
ra
dg
es
m
m
iva
ok
ut
su
.
Co
Fin
Co
He
Pe
M
Br
Pr
In
In
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Fund Raising
Equity
Debt
Composite
Asset Management
Risk Management
Financial Markets
Currency Trading
Equity Trading
Bond Trading
Derivatives Trading
Commodities Trading
Leasing/Structured Finance
Project Financing
PPP Financing
The wallchart helps to illuminate for policy- All three issues are tightly related to each
makers those key impediments that restrain other and need to be seen in an integrated
provision in Mumbai. Policy makers context. Segmentation adversely influences
can focus on specific cells in the wallchart competition; poor competition adversely
matrix with the aim of converting all the influences innovation. believes that
‘blue’ and ‘red’ cells into ‘green’. That can these three issues constitute the essence in
be done by alleviating the regulatory and understanding the regulatory constraints
legal constraints that prevent financial firms that inhibit India’s ability to engage in
in Mumbai from providing to their export-oriented production.
domestic clients and exporting them as well.
However, such an attempt on an item- 3. Lessons from applying
by-item, rule-by-rule basis is unproductive.
A more effective approach would be to competition policy in the
look categorically (rather than individually) real economy
into the more fundamental sources of the A generic issue that cuts across Indian
detailed prohibitions on and deal with finance, but remains as yet unresolved,
them at their roots; instead of focusing concerns the use of competition as a tool
on trimming single branches and leaves, to drive financial system development and
the detail of which would divert attention innovation.
from the core problems that afflict Indian In a large, complex economy like
finance. The case-by-case and rule-by-rule India’s – that is gradually but inexorably
approach to problem identification and shifting away from an autarkic model of
resolution is precisely what has prevented development to a more market-driven
Indian finance from being transformed in model, and globalising rapidly as a result –
the same way that the real economy was the most profound insight gained from post-
transformed in the mid-s; through experience for modern policy-making
blanket reductions in tariff and non-tariff is the importance of competition. There
barriers rather than product-by-product, was a time not so long ago (until the late
rule-by-rule, and industry-by-industry. s) when the centrality of competition
A careful analysis of the wallchart, and in Indian economic policy was treated as
the comparison with other s, suggests unproven conjecture. However, in the last
three areas of policy that need to be focused fifteen years, India has seen the impact of
upon in a fundamental way: greater competition in the real economy with
tradable goods and services. Competition is
• Competition policy: Examine the entry
now understood as being the most powerful
barriers that hinder competition across
tool for encouraging firms to innovate, adopt
financial firms and market segments and
new ideas, abandon counterproductive
remove them.
beliefs and traditions, cut costs, and increase
• Segmentation of the financial services exports.
industry: Examine the inefficiencies that That view was resisted powerfully by
arise from subdividing financial activ- the crème de la crème of Indian industry
ities artificially and unnecessarily – to during the early phases of trade and tariff
make regulation easier or make certain reforms. The universal belief on the part
activities fall within the purview of one of the country’s public as well as its most
regulator rather than another – into sub- prominent businessmen and intellectuals
industries with excessive constraints on was that foreign goods were ‘naturally’
interactions and competition. better. Goods produced domestically under
• Financial Innovation: Examine the sub-optimal conditions would always be
causes of an innovation-unfriendly worse. The Mumbai Club claimed in –
environment that limits the ability that, if exposed to global competition,
. What are the limitations of financial regime governance? 119
Indian manufacturing would die. But the real sector: i.e., lowering/removing:
such resistance proved ill-founded as events
. Barriers to entry in the domestic market
unfolded. India proved to be more resilient,
by new Indian firms
flexible, adaptable and competitive than
commonly believed. Indian corporations . Barriers inhibiting entry by foreign firms
proved to have better management teams into the Indian market
which were able to cope with global realities. . Barriers against the sale of foreign goods
The same industrialists who opposed such in the domestic market.
reforms at the time at the time are now their
These developments directly influenced
most ardent advocates.
the ability of Indian firms to compete in
Indian firms are now growing from
selling overseas in the following three ways:
strength to strength, and becoming major
s in their own right competing around • Modified factor markets: The removal
the world with companies from the , of entry barriers led to heightened
, China, Japan, Korea and A. competition resulting in the exit of weak
Indian consumers have benefited from firms, thus freeing up the labour and
goods of much better quality being available capital controlled by these firms. This
immediately at much lower prices. Inflation influenced the price at which healthy
in tradable goods has been kept down firms could obtain labour and capital.
through import parity pricing. • Modified product markets: Ease of
Table . shows that Indian customs importing made imported raw materials
revenues dropped from .% of imports cheaper. It ensured internationally
in –, to .% in –. Over this competitive sourcing of local raw
same period, Indian manufacturing exports materials priced at import parity.
rose from $. billion to $. billion. This • Modified technology: The entry of for-
data understates Indian export revenue eign firms brought technical knowledge.
growth since service exports are excluded. That set the stage for export from India
The sharpest gains – a nearly three-fold of goods and services of international
growth of exports – were concentrated in quality. In a world where % of interna-
the recent period, from – onwards, tional trade is intra-firm trade within
where the customs collection rate dropped multinational corporations, the reduc-
from .% to .%. This suggests that tion of barriers to into India was a
the gains obtained when going from very key element that enabled exporting from
high protection to high protection are India. Foreign firms induced competi-
smaller than the gains obtained in going tive pressure on Indian firms. That gen-
from high protection to moderate or low erated incentives for Indian firms to ac-
protection. India’s emergence as an export quire the knowledge (technology, design,
powerhouse selling goods and services quality and market research) needed to
into the global market began only after become globally competitive. Individu-
a significant, though as yet incomplete, als who gained this knowledge working
reforms initiative. at foreign firms went on to work at In-
Policy reforms undertaken from to dian firms and carried knowledge with
ignited manufacturing exports growth them. Export of software from India by
by injecting three kinds of competition into IBM and Sun Microsystems is as much a
For an early treatment of s emerging from
part of the great Indian software story as
the third world, see Lall (). export by Infosys and .
The measure of protectionism – customs tariffs
divided by imports – is a poor one, since it masks areas Through these three channels, India
where high tariffs generate zero imports. There can came to understand the intimate linkages
be situations where a reduction in protectionism is between the three pillars of competition
associated with a rise in this measure. For the purpose
of this table, “manufacturing” exports are defined as
policy, and the ability of firms located in
merchandise exports while excluding agricultural and India (whether local or foreign) to compete
natural resource based exports. successfully in selling to global markets.
120 R M I F C
With competition in any industry, economy. Thus they drive up prices paid
Schumpeterian creative destruction steadily by healthy firms for these inputs. When an
reshapes the landscape of firms. It ensures intervention is made to protect a firm from
that labour and capital gravitate toward bankruptcy, damage is imposed upon the
efficient firms. Weak firms die. Strong economy through these three channels.
firms gain market share. The process of Table . below provides empirical
creative destruction is not neat or tidy. evidence about the competitive dynamism
It involves social disruptions caused by achieved in less than years by the major
fluctuations in market share, death of firms, non-financial firms in India by comparing
and entry by new firms. However, there is a the biggest firms of – against those
fundamental distinction between a tidy and in –. The metric of size used is
apparently stable industry – that is usually value added. This overstates the relative
inefficient by world standards – as opposed importance of natural resource extraction
to a competitive and efficient one. firms: a firm like , which pumps
When public policy seeks to prevent crude oil out of the ground and sells it at
untidy events such as firms being kept alive import parity pricing, appears to generate a
artificially, this gives rise to firms that are lot of value added.
unviable in competitive markets, but still
The most interesting feature of this table
kept alive on artificial ventilation by the
is the new firms in the – ranking:
state. Three kinds of effects come into play
(), Infosys (), Wipro (), Rashtriya
when barriers to exit are erected. The first
Ispat Nigam (), Bharti Airtel (), Satyam
is moral hazard. Managers of such firms
(), Hindalco (), and Nuclear Power
make decisions knowing that they might
Corporation (). Eight out of the top
be protected in a future eventuality. The
firms in – were not on the list in –
second is the competitive pressure exerted
by such firms on the market. Healthy firms . Many ranks have changed. The role of
are unable to make profits and invest, when firms has been diminished. Apart from
prices on the market are artificially driven (which gained a rank) and
down by artificially-subsidised firms. Finally, (which stayed on top), all s experienced
such firms distort factor markets. They is a new firm in –, but it is the
make claims on labour and capital that they corporatised arm of which was present and large
could not make in a truly competitive market in – also.
. What are the limitations of financial regime governance? 121
Table 9.2: Changing ranks of Indian firms (non-finance) by value added (Rs. crore): 1991–92 versus 2004–05
1991–92 2004–05
Rank Firm Value added Rank Firm Value added
a decline in rank. The scale of creative finance. Indian finance now needs to
destruction amongst Indian non-financial benefit from similar modifications in
firms would show up more sharply if firms its factor markets, product markets and
engaged in natural resource extraction were technology as were made in the Indian
excluded and only manufacturing firms were real economy. The analogy is obvious
compared. when it comes to: (a) Indian exports of IFS
The remarkable growth of Indian to the world market; and (b) productive
exports of goods and services in the s restructuring of the Indian financial system
is intimately related to improvements in through creative destruction induced by
competition policy. Most non-financial competition.
firms now have zero possibility of a India has enormous potential as a
government rescue. That removes moral cost-efficient, competitive producer of
hazard and focuses the minds of managers. . But there is a gap between the
Firms buy raw materials from competitive present capabilities of Indian financial firms
industries, at import parity prices. That and the requirements of the world
ensures the cheapest-possible sourcing of market. The same situation characterised
raw materials. The steady decline in customs Indian manufacturing industry prior to
tariffs has brought input prices in India . It was overcome by the visionary
close to those found internationally.
There is much synergy between an export-
and imports have led to a flow of new
oriented real economy and an export-oriented finance
knowledge into the Indian economy. The industry. The real economy consumes a large quantum
ecosystem of the Indian real economy has of financial services. It would be more globally
been transformed by competition making competitive if it was able to buy world-class financial
services at lower than world prices. Conversely,
the remarkable growth of Indian non-
financial firms require purchase of non-finance inputs
finance exports possible. such as computer hardware/software. The global
These lessons apply equally to Indian competitiveness of Indian financial firms would be
122 R M I F C
boosted by being able to buy world-class inputs at world banking policy, see Hanson (); Mor and
prices. Chandrasekar ().
. What are the limitations of financial regime governance? 123
Table 9.3: Biggest 10 Indian banks: 1991–92 versus 2004–05 (Assets in Bln Rupees)
1991–92 2004–05
Rank Bank Total assets Rank Bank Total assets
India now confronts entirely different financial firms; but those do not pervade or
global prospects and challenges. It may dominate the system.
still be a poor developing country in In a tidy and stable scenario financial
terms of per capita averages. But it firms are not permitted to expire. The
can no longer afford to think or act like established players remain the same, with
one, when it is the world’s fourth largest little incentive to compete or innovate. This
economy in real terms, and an emerging needs to be replaced with a preference for
global power in geopolitical terms. It has a vibrant, efficient, competitive, world-
reached an inflexion point of rapid growth beating financial services industry, where
through domestic consumption and export entry and exit is taking place ceaselessly
competition. That is likely to be maintained through a process of Schumpeterian creative
for some decades to come. There is no room destruction. Financial sector policy should
for complacency, sanguinity or maintaining be judged for the pace of entry and exit.
an unacceptable status quo in Indian finance.
Policy mindsets, expectations and attitudes 4. Artificial segmentation of
now need to change as dramatically in the financial services
political, administrative, legal and regulatory
circles as they have in the corporate world.
industry
At present, Indian finance is subdivided
The public sector needs to catch up with the
into sets of firms operating in tightly sealed
private sector and the world.
sub-industry compartments. There are
India therefore needs to apply market
competition policy as forcefully in finance two sources of segmentation: (a) rules that
as was done in the Indian real economy to prohibit emergence of s (i.e., financial
create efficient firms capable of exporting conglomerates), and (b) boundaries between
IFS . Financial authorities need to remove the domains of multiple regulators. As an
the domestic entry barriers that presently example of the rules that prohibit complex
exist. They need to encourage rapid entry firms, consider a ‘primary dealer’. In an
by foreign firms, and remove barriers to international setting, the term ‘primary
the open import of financial products and dealer’ pertains to one activity of a complex
services. That effectively means removing securities-oriented financial firm. However,
capital controls as quickly as possible and in India, the term ‘primary dealer’ is
not on an ambiguous, opaque timescale interpreted to mean ‘a specialised financial
that can be stretched with infinite elasticity. firm that performs only the task of primary
Correcting competition policy in finance dealership’. The regulatory framework
requires abandoning a preference for a tidy, governing a primary dealer in India prohibits
stable and complacent financial services the firm from doing many other highly
industry still dominated by state-owned related activities on the securities markets,
firms, many of which are uncompetitive and such as equity index arbitrage or commodity
uninnovative. So are many small private futures market making.
124 R M I F C
Box 9.1: Case Study – The Clearing Corporation of India Ltd ( )
India embarked on an important innovation, by world standards, when market participation and currency market participation has remained
the idea of novation at the clearing corporation was applied to trades on restricted to the small club of financial firms that existed before CCIL. The
the OTC market. Traditionally, there was a divide around the world key economic benefit of building a clearing corporation – lowered entry
between exchange ecosystems – that had transparent trading coupled barriers – has not been obtained.
with risk management at the clearing corporation – as opposed to the 2. Competitive conditions for critical securities industry
OTC market. which had neither. infrastructure
In India, it was felt that even if the problems of transparency in trading CCIL has monopoly status in performing clearing services for fixed
could not be addressed, it was possible to make progress by introducing income and currency markets. It is the only clearing corporation with
risk management at the clearing corporation. The clearing corporation access to clearing in central bank funds and connectivity into RBI
would interpose itself into transactions, becoming the legal counterparty settlement systems. The other clearing corporation in India – the National
to both sides of the trade, and thus eliminate counterparty credit risk. Securities Clearing Corporation Ltd (NSSCL) – is prohibited from
As argued above, a key feature of a sound financial sector is having a performing these functions. This reflects the segmentation of the Indian
framework supportive of exit by firms. A clearing corporation is the securities industry into three parts, regulated by RBI, FMC and SEBI. Such
institutional mechanism through which the externalities of firm failure are segmentation, and the consequent loss of competition, is suboptimal.
controlled. Even if a firm fails, counterparties on the OTC market are not Particularly when dealing with the OTC market, it is easy to have
affected by that failure because the clearing corporation is the competition between the two clearing corporation.
counterparty. The introduction of a clearing corporation into the system In a competitive policy framework, every player on the OTC market for
makes it possible to lower entry barriers, by bringing in firms into the OTC currencies or fixed income would be free to choose between multiple
market that have weak credit. It also makes it possible to have financial clearing corporations based on price and services. Using cross-margining
sector policy framework where more firm failure and exit of weak firms arrangements between clearing corporations, it would be possible to
takes place in a smooth manner. obtain seamless functioning when the two counterparties to a trade are
These ideas led to the creation of the Clearing Corporation of India Ltd. customers of two different clearing corporations. Such a competitive
(CCIL). CCIL has undoubtedly been a valuable institution which has given a framework would drive both NSCCL and CCIL to higher levels of cost
more modern, more stable financial system. However, the policy efficiency, quality of service and customer responsiveness, which would
framework in which CCIL has operated has flaws on competition policy at improve India’s ability to export financial services.
two levels: The CCIL case is thus an ironic blend of intellectual success and
1. Competitive conditions on the bond market and currency opportunity lost. On one hand, India’s ability to conceive of an institution
market like CCIL, and swiftly translate the broad idea into a smoothly functioning
The raison d’etre of a clearing corporation is to lower entry barriers. institution, has been the envy of the world. But at the same time, the
Once the clearing corporation handles firm failure, there are no difficulties larger policy problems of segmentation and faulty competition policy have
in opening up entry to a large number of firms that might otherwise be induced a lost opportunity, whereby India has benefited less from the
considered weak credits. However, even though CCIL was created, bond creation of CCIL than could have been the case.
firms) may seek marriages with cost- for India but not for the world.
efficiency (located in Indian firms) through • New world-class innovation: One of the
acquisitions and mergers on terms more hallmarks of a first-class financial system
advantageous to the innovators. Conversely, is its ability to steadily create innovative
if an innovation-friendly environment is new financial contracts and instruments
setup, then Indian financial firms (that to satisfy different risk appetites and
are more than intellectually capable of needs. New institutions and methods of
innovation) are likely to flourish. They transacting are continually generated
will turn into financial s in their own by a dynamic financial system. The
right and may even turn into predators best Indian example is the deployment
(rather than be predated upon) and generate of an idea from financial exchanges
substantial export-revenues. – the clearing corporation – into
Innovation in finance is the creation the markets for currencies and
of new products, new trading mechanisms, fixed income, in the form of the
new contracting arrangements, and new Clearing Corporation of India ().
kinds of finance companies. Innovation in This was a genuinely new idea by
Indian finance can be classified into two world standards, and translated into a
classes of ‘newness’: successful implementation in India.
• Catching up with the world: As an
example, cash-settled currency futures 5.1. The economics of financial
are a familiar and well-proven idea on a innovation
global scale. They do not exist in India. Indian finance currently exhibits a very low
The launch of currency futures trading rate of innovation when compared with the
in India would constitute an innovation world. To explain this anomaly, superficial
. What are the limitations of financial regime governance? 127
explanations are often invoked. It is claimed that provides the return on investment in
for example that because Indians naturally innovation. If the policy environment places
defer to authority, or to elders, they are high costs upon the innovator, and slows it
‘culturally’ unable to innovate. However, as down to a point where first-mover advan-
experience in industry and software services tage is lost to competitors, then firms lose
has shown, Indian firms and individuals the incentive to innovate.
can excel at innovation when faced with The public advocacy and policy work
difficult global competition. What they have required to get innovations across induces
lacked is the incentive to do so. Hence, focused costs on one or a few innovators.
understanding the problems of innovation The benefits then become public, because
in Indian finance requires understanding the all firms – whether pioneers or not –
economic incentives that shape innovation, derive benefits from the policy and rule
rather than invoking irrelevant superficial changes. Under this environment, a single
explanations. private firm does not have the incentive
Innovations usually trigger regulatory to persevere and push proposals through
and policy concerns (Rajan and Shah, ): hurdles in its way. It requires a special
• Who is the target? Is the target public policy effort to create an innovation-
sophisticated enough to understand a friendly environment and for government to
new financial instrument and benefit push through contractual and institutional
from it? Should the new instrument innovations.
be restricted only to a smaller set of The process in the case of many recent
sophisticated buyers? attempts at financial innovation in India
• What risks does it pose to the system? appears to be too convoluted and time-
Does the instrument/institution create consuming. This is illustrated by a series of
uncontrollable or unmeasurable risks? examples.
Who will regulate its use (if that needs Example: stock index futures. Box .
to be done)? How will the costs of shows a chronology of how trading in the
regulation be paid for? simplest possible equity derivative, cash-
settled index futures, came about in India.
• What are the tax implications? How
This process took from th December
will the instrument be taxed? Is it an
to th June , a delay of . years. A
instrument merely to evade taxes?
further three years lapsed in dealing with first
• What new legislation does it entail? Is order difficulties of regulation and taxation.
the act covering financial instruments In this case, the innovator () could have
broad enough to allow for the instru- had a five-year head start. Instead, trading
ment? If not, does new legislation have on actually started a few days before
to be brought in? How can it be framed
and trading on started a few days
broadly enough to allow the maximum
later. captured no temporary advantage
contractual freedom?
by invested in innovation.
Policy makers and regulators governing
the financial regime inevitably and under-
standably take time to consider and resolve Box 9.2: Case study – Stock index futures
these issues. Firms proposing a new instru- Table: Chronology of stock index futures
ment or product have to invest considerable 14 Dec. 1995 NSE asked SEBI for permission to trade index futures.
resources in awareness building, research, 18 Nov. 1996 SEBI setup L. C. Gupta Committee to draft a policy framework for
and persuasion to achieve the required pol- index futures.
11 May 1998 L. C. Gupta Committee submitted report (Gupta, 1998).
icy and/or rule-changes. A firm embark- 24 May 2000 SIMEX chose Nifty for trading futures and options on an Indian index.
ing upon innovation must weigh the costs 25 May 2000 SEBI permitted NSE and BSE to trade index futures.
and benefits from investing in new devel- 09 June 2000 Trading of BSE Sensex futures commenced at BSE.
opmental work. In a Schumpeterian world, 12 June 2000 Trading of Nifty futures commenced at NSE.
25 Sep. 2000 Nifty futures trading commenced at SGX.
the innovating firm secures a temporary
monopoly owing to a first-mover advantage
128 R M I F C
Example: Collateralised debt obligations products that have to deal with: (a) an
( s). Box . shows a case study of outdated legal/tax environment and the
Collateralised Debt Obligations ( s). need for creative solutions to tax/legal
Unlike the case with and exchange- impediments; and (b) multiple regulators
traded derivatives, where there was just one to come up with regulations adapted to
problem (obtaining approval for trading bringing new products to the market.
index futures) this example illustrates the On an international scale, the
difficulties of creating complex financial is a perfectly mainstream and ordinary
Box 9.5: The introduction of interest rate futures in the – a case study in innovation
In 1975, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange the direction of interest rates, isn’t that right, hesitation Stein quipped, “I don’t oppose
(CME) obtained permissions to do the first Beryl?” anything between two consenting adults”.
trading of interest rate futures in the world. Beryl Sprinkel hesitated and looked to me
The then CEO of CME, Leo Melamed, tells this I next turned to the CFTC. Commissioner
for guidance. I didn’t know the answer, so I Gary Seevers quickly understood the potential
story on page 235 of this book Escape to the looked up at the ceiling and watched the
Futures. The following text is a verbatim value of these new interest rate products and
billows of smoke that had gathered there. became a valuable ally. But now it was up to
extract from this book. Mark Powers, Mark Powers too remained silent. After an
mentioned in the story, was Chief Economist Bill Bagley, the CFTC chairman. I tried to
embarassing pause, Beryl thought of a impress Bagley with the fact that many federal
of CME at the time. noncommital response, “Well, Mr. Chairman, officials were already aboard. But Bagley did
Unlike our listing of currency futures four it will probably be as good as the Federal not have any financial background and was
years earlier, which required no federal Reserve’s own econometric model.” afraid to take the responsibility for such a
approval, this time around, new contracts “That,” said the chairman of the Fed with a revolutionary decision.
required approval by our newly established laugh, “isn’t worth a shit.” It was a refreshing
federal regulator, the CFTC. That approval “Leo,” he implored, “I love you like my
bit of honesty. brother and want to do it, but I need someone
wouldn’t come about without some fancy
footwork on our part. That meeting with Dr. Burns evolved into a higher up to give me an okay.”
friendship after I discovered that he and his
It was deja vu. First, I recruited Beryl wife were Yiddishistin like my parents. At their “How high up?” I inquired, thinking maybe
Sprinkel, now an IMM director, to set up a request, I found for them the works of I. L. he was looking for divine intervention.
meeting with his former professor Arthur Peretz in Yiddish which Dr. Burns took with
Burns, chairman of the Federal Reserve. That “Well,” Bagley responded, “aren’t T-bills the
him when he became U.S. Ambassador to property of the U.S. Treasury? Maybe we need
was pivotal to the approval. The meeting that Germany. Having survived this hurdle, I next
followed in the boardroom of the Fed, which approval, in writing, from someone like the
sought and gained the support of Alan Secretary of Treasury, William Simon.” (Note:
also included Mark Powers, is forever Greenspan, who at the time was chairman of
ingrained in my memory and could make an The US Secretary of Treasury is equivalent to
the Council of Economic Advisors ( CEA). The the Indian Minster of Finance).
interesting and funny story. Both Burns and meeting with him was a shot in the arm.
Sprinkel were heavy pipe smokers and I, of Before I could fully explain our plans for a A tall order. Simon was a fairly new name in
course, was still a chain smoker. Between the futures contract in T-Bills, Greenspan Washington D.C. And E. B. Harris’ connections
three of us, the smoke was so thick we could interrupted. provided me with no go-between. To go
hardly see each other. without proper protection seemed wrong. So I
“What a great idea,” said Greenspan, who began to call around to some of the senior
“What a clever idea,” said the chairman of was destined to become one of this nation’s
the Fed after we explained what we had in officials of our clearing members to see if
most admired Federal Reserve Board chiefs. He anyone knew Bill Simon. Sure enough, I hit
mind. “Such a futures contract would be used then proceeded to rattle off a dozen uses for
by government securities dealers, investment paydirt. Sanford Weil, the chief of Shearson &
such a market, some of which we hadn’t even Co., was a friend of the Secretary of Treasury.
bankers, all sorts of commercial interests as considered. In short, this meeting made him a
well as speculators, isn’t that right?” Weil was also a shrewd market analyst and
friend, which he has remained throughout the sensed the great potential of our T-bill
“Yes,” Sprinkel and I agreed. “Its years. Our friendship was of particular contract. He agreed to help. I then took one
participants would include every segment of importance at the time of the 1987 stock additional precaution. I called on Milton
the commercial and speculative world.” We market crash. Friedman and asked him to again weave his
talked further about the value of this contract, As I was leaving his office, I got a bonus by magic. Friedman obliged by calling Simon and,
until the Fed chairman fell into his thoughts. bumping into Herbert Stein, Greenspan’s by the time Sandy Weil and I appeared before
Suddenly, he had a bright idea. predecessor at the CEA. Like any good him at the Treasury in the winter of 1975, it
“In such case,” Dr. Burns said, “this futures evangelist, I immediately expounded on why was a done deal. He quickly agreed and
contract would become a terrific predictor of we were there and asked his opinion. Without signed the prepared approval letter to Bagley.
product. But in this case, the innovator date of this Report (January ), the
(a private bank) wasted resources invested in Gold had not yet been launched in
innovation, because, in the end, the India. In parallel, important international
failed to overcome regulatory constraints. developments have taken place.
The lack of the remains a critical weak talked with World Gold Council ( )
link in the modernisation of the Indian in June , who agreed to market the
credit market. Gold for . waited for the
Example: Gold ETF – an Indian Indian product launch till the end of .
innovation that might have been. The In , initiated a process which
Gold case, described in Box ., is resulted in the Gold being launched
particularly interesting from the viewpoint in Sydney at the end of . then
of examining the phenomenal bottlenecks took the new idea to London and
faced by financial innovation in India. in . The Gold now has $
For this reason, a detailed chronology of billion in assets, thus making it a successful
events is offered in Appendix . As of the product.
130 R M I F C
10
1. Why is the pace of financial of flying or, because road crashes occur,
innovation slow? that no traffic should be allowed to flow.
In India financial regulation has put so
The design of a reforms process aimed many roadblocks in place that financial chapter
at improving financial regime governance innovation can only occur at a snail’s pace.
needs to flow from a diagnosis of the sources Worse, the road to financial innovation in
of difficulties. There are a number of obvious the st century cannot be travelled at any
operational reasons as well as proximate speed by regulation that results in India’s
reasons and deeper sources of dysfunction. financial firms remaining the equivalents
of antediluvian Ambassadors and Fiats in
1.1. Regulators are preoccupied with
India’s financial services industry when the
averting scams
rest of the world is using s and Ferraris.
In an ideal world, regulators evaluating their
Every year, the gap between Mumbai and
impact on financial system development
London is growing, not narrowing.
need to weigh in a balanced fashion three im-
A more appropriate regulatory view
portant factors: (a) encouraging progressive
might be to accept that even the best-
improvement in the capability of the domes-
regulated financial system will have some
tic financial system; (b) improvements in its
small problems (of less than say Rs.
global competitiveness; and (c) the risk of
financial regime reputation loss in the event crores or Rs. billion). That is one basis
of firm/market failure or default. However, point compared to total financial assets
the incentive structure faced by regulators in of over Rs. lakh crores (Rs. trillion).
India attaches low priority to improving the The efficient safety level is not %. Each
quality of domestic resource allocation by percentage of point of safety beyond %
financial markets, or on achieving greater has a disproportionately higher cost; one
international competitiveness. Indian regu- that increases in logarithmic rather than
lation appears disproportionately focused linear fashion – and one that is not worth
on averting financial scams. This generates expending.
a regulatory bias of blocking innovation in In that context it should be noted
order to be safe, and an industry bias of that the evidence accumulated over the
avoiding untested ideas since they expose last decade in the (when compared
firms to indirect risk when the next failure to the ) suggests that principles-based
occurs. regulation might be more effective than
A more nuanced but realistic regulatory rules-based regulation, in averting damaging
perspective might be to recognise that financial malfeasance. That is because it
accidents will happen even with the best requires financial firms to conform not just
regulation. But they will be fewer and with the letter of the law (rules/regulations)
less fatal. The only way to avoid accidents but with its spirit as well. It co-opts the
altogether is to choke traffic with too financial firm into becoming an integral
many roadblocks, or stop it from flowing player, along with the regulator, in a
altogether. Air-crashes occur; but that does cascading and co-operative (rather than
not imply airlines should be regulated out adversarial) process of self-regulation at the
132 R M I F C
level of the individual, firm and market. mechanism is written down in meticulous
Principles-based regulation avoids the risk detail either in the law or in subordinated
of turning financial firms (as well as their legislation. The consequence of this ap-
lawyers, accountants and tax advisors) into proach is that every financial innovation
guerilla game-players that ceaselessly focus requires interminable changes to be made
on beating or side-stepping the rules in order to either governing laws, subordinated reg-
to gain a competitive edge in the financial ulations or both. This raises the cost of
marketplace. innovation considerably. It deters financial
A rational cost-benefit analysis in firms from innovating because the returns
the form of regular ‘regulatory impact from investment in innovation are rendered
assessments or s’ (standard practice uncertain.
in most countries) therefore needs By contrast in the the approach to
to be undertaken to compare the cost regulation permits financial innovations to
of inefficient resource allocation (e.g., be tried and tested almost instantaneously
through financial preemption) against the by financial firms in markets with large
cost of tolerating the occasional small sophisticated customers at their own risk
scandal by loosening regulation to permit and with full customer awareness. If the
more financial flexibility and innovation. innovation works, the regulators step in to
Such an analysis might suggest that: see how the risk involved (to customers,
achieving allocation efficiency through firms and markets) can be diminished and
better functioning of the financial system managed better until the product becomes
with an investment ratio of % of (i.e., accepted as standard. This more innovation-
Rs. trillion) per year, and the avoidance of friendly approach perhaps explains why
financial preemption, might be important London is so successful as an while
enough to pay for a scandal costing around financial frauds of Enron, Worldcom, Tyco
.% of (roughly Rs. billion) once and Arthur Andersen dimensions continue
every few years. to occur in the despite the best rules-
based regulation in the world.
1.2. A de facto shift towards
over-prescriptive regulation in 1.3. Regulatory architecture
India A major source of delay is fragmentation
Given its legal heritage, India started out among regulators and uncertainty about
with a more open basis of law based not on which one will regulate new instruments
exclusive reference to a codified constitution, and markets. Modest innovations like
but on equal respect for the evolution of the Gold , interest rate futures or
precedent based on trial-and-error. But currency futures – which would not be
over time it has moved relentlessly toward called innovations outside the country
a style of regulation under which every given their extreme degree of obviousness
minute detail is either written into the basic – run afoul of inconsistencies and turf
legislation or into detailed subordinated battles across the multiple regulatory
rules and regulations. Under such a agencies. The problem is particularly acute
system if something is not specified, it is with organised financial market trading,
proscribed; or conversely, if something is regulatory responsibilities for which are
proscribed then non-proscribed activities spread between three regulators: commodity
remain contentious as to whether they are derivatives are regulated by the Forward
permissible or not. Markets Commission ( ); equity spot
For example, a Committee on and derivatives and corporate bonds are
Gold s did the kind of preparatory regulated by ; government bonds and
groundwork that a financial firm, and not currency trading are regulated by .
a regulator, should do – i.e., it designed
an alternative product structure. In the 1.4. Lack of competition
prevailing financial governance regime, ev- The: (a) lack of sufficient competition in the
ery detail of financial product and market financial services industry: (b) pervasiveness
. Why does financial regime governance have these limitations? 133
genuine competition to bear against local Table 10.1: The role of the largest firms in global currency
trading, May 2005
firms through unrestricted entry, this would
rapidly change the behaviour of local firms Firm Share in total
and of policy makers. volume (%)
asset management firms, pension funds, and the survival and profitability of public sector
firms/agencies involved in commodities. financial firms through artificial means. By
In the mutual funds industry (and, so doing, it generates perverse incentives
to a lesser extent, insurance), India has for government to diminish competition,
made some progress with permitting entry enforce artificial and counterproductive
of private and foreign players, as well segmentation, and throw up greater barriers
as creating a more level playing field in to innovation.
regulating that industry. The point has now In evaluating the characteristics of
been reached where, although is still established or emerging s worldwide,
the dominant mutual fund, it no longer it is significant that none of these cities
commands an overwhelming market share. (other than Shanghai, which is further
For Mumbai to become a viable and behind than Mumbai in having a financial
competitive IFC within the next few years, services industry that can become globally
this successful experiment in the asset competitive quickly) have any significant
management segment of financial services, public ownership of financial firms in
needs to be replicated in all other segments, any segment of financial markets. The
most particularly banking and insurance. most vibrant parts of Indian finance –
It needs to be accompanied by eliminating the securities markets – where export
restrictions on: (i) the formation of competitiveness is perhaps most visible
financial conglomerates or LCFIs that can in the attraction of voluminous foreign
compete with their counterparts in the rest portfolio investment, are the parts where
of the world; and (ii) the entry of hedge public ownership is the smallest. That
funds and the entire range of other funds is no mere coincidence. It signals
such as exchange traded funds across the clearly what the government needs to do
spectrum. in withdrawing gradually but resolutely
(b) The single largest borrower from from the ownership of all financial firms
the Indian financial system, with an inherent within the political economy constraints it
vested interest in keeping the cost of confronts (but not using those as a reason
its borrowing suppressed to the extent to defer taking action indefinitely). That
possible; even when that might have larger is indispensable to create the institutional
implications in managing monetary policy and competitiveness conditions that are
and sending signals through interest rates necessary and fundamental for Mumbai
that affect every big price in the economy. to become a viable .
In the absence of constitutionally
guaranteed regulatory independence – i.e., 3.2. Strategic issues of public debt
with regulators being independent public financing and management
agencies accountable to the legislature (as An in-built propensity toward financial re-
they are in many countries) rather than to pression has become chronic and endemic
government – the government’s ultimate in India. It has its origins in historical con-
responsibility for sound, impartial and ceptual notions among post-independence
objective regulation, collides unavoidably policy-makers, seduced by the supposed
with its ownership and borrowing interests. development success of the in –
Not only does that create a conflict of interest , about how public (sovereign and sub-
in a fundamental sense (i.e., the non sequitur sovereign) debt should be financed and man-
that arises from an entity regulating itself), aged. Lacking belief in the efficacy, desirabil-
it also incurs the risk of compromising ity (and feasibility) of India’s having efficient
fairness of treatment on a uniform basis capital markets in the s, the option of
for all financial firms. creating a wide, deep and open bond market
Apart from the invidious and corrosive (for sovereigns, sub-sovereigns, municipals
nature of these conflicts of interest, studies and corporates) – of the kind that now char-
of government ownership of financial firms acterises almost all mature economies – was
around the world suggest that it leads to a eschewed in the nascent stages of India’s eco-
normal propensity to protect, at any cost, nomic and financial system development.
138 R M I F C
Figure 10.1: Market capitalisation of COSPI firms against non-food credit (trillion rupees) the MoF view on what the level of interest
rates should be. The lack of independence
Mkt. cap. of liquid set of the central bank hinders acceptance by
Non−food credit of banks
30 global investors who prefer to operate in an
that adopts global norms concerning
separation of powers between monetary and
20
Rs. trillion, log scale
many respects, Indian finance continues acting on them. China has the opposite
to be rooted in the past, with a banking- reputation of acting too swiftly, without
dominated financial system that should, thinking through all the implications.
by now, have become much more capital- So far China has made more progress
market oriented especially in the market for than India. Perhaps there is a lesson in
debt in the form of traded securities rather there somewhere, although the optimal
than bank loans. solution would be to blend both these
opposite tendencies in a happy medium.
4. What impedes Mumbai from Neither country can afford, however, to
delay its entry into the burgeoning global
becoming an IFC? A market for providing – driven in
summary large measure by their own needs as they
This group of three chapters has dealt become more significant players in the global
with some of the critical hurdles that economy. The Indian financial industry
presently impede the emergence of Mumbai and policy-makers need to focus on, and
as an . Clearly, making the profound engage with, these problems at many levels
changes that are necessary in financial simultaneously, in order to address these
regime governance (i.e., adapting legislation difficulties.
to meet modern realities, policy-making, Portraying the world of in
regulation, enforcement, and changes in the a somewhat simplistic but nevertheless
functioning of the legal system that provides powerfully illustrative matrix, the wallchart
recourse for contractual dispute settlement) constructed for this purpose offers specific,
is a complex undertaking. Swift progress tangible views on what holds back a specific
will be difficult to make. from being provided in India and what
India has a reputation for taking far needs to be done to make India a significant
too much time to contemplate and discuss player in markets on the world stage.
changes ad infinitum without necessarily
on this theme.
Reforming financial regime
governance
11
The previous three chapters offered a diag- codified rules cannot look beyond the
nosis of challenges in financial governance letter of the law to its spirit. In recent
regime that inhibit Indian firms from export- years, many large financial firms in New
ing . This chapter offers an alternative York engaged in activities which were chapter
path for progress to be made on this frontier. unfair to customers and did not meet
It dwells on the normative economics of minimum ethical standards. However,
financial sector policy at the level of ideas. most of these firms were still able to
Based on these, specific recommendations argue that no laws had been violated and
that need to be implemented for an are supervisors could not disagree though
made in Chapter . both knew that the spirit and intent of
the law had not been honoured.
1. A shift toward . From the viewpoint of detection of fraud,
or of impending firm failure, supervisors
principles-based regulation need to have an overall understanding
India’s strategy for financial regulation of the business of the firm. They need
deploys rules based regulation – the same to understand its business plan and its
strategy used in continental Europe and, sources of profit to form a judgment
to a significant extent, in the . It about the incidence of malpractice or
consists of building up a large repository probability of default. Rules-based
of subordinate law through codification of regulation requires supervisors to focus
detailed rules and regulations by specialised on minutiae. It obscures the woods
regulators. These define the permissible from the trees. This leads to reduced
features of financial products and services awareness and inferior perceptions
and the functioning of financial markets in about financial firms in the minds of
detail. Such a prescriptive approach avoids supervisors.
legal ambiguity through precise codification. . Rules-based regulation inhibits inno-
Rules-based regulation has two strengths. vation. Every new idea on products,
First, it provides greater legal certainty to services, markets or even new ways of
market players, who are able to abide by clear doing business requires going to the reg-
rules governing all aspects of their business. ulator requesting a modification of rules.
Second, it enables financial regulators and This tends to eliminate the temporary
supervisors to operate in a non-discretionary profits obtained by innovative firms who
manner. As the manual of rules defines all obtain an edge over their competitors
permissible activities, the act of supervision by coming up with new ideas, which (in
reduces to ticking off a long checklist, and turn) tends to reduce investments into
objectively verifying whether specific rules research and development.
have been complied with or not. However, . Rules-based regulation induces corrosive
over the decades, important weaknesses of political economy, where firms seek to
rules-based regulation have become visible: influence the evolution of rules into
pathways which favour themselves.
. Sophisticated compliance officers of
finance companies are frequently able High quality regulation and supervision
to find ways of pushing the edge of is a sine qua non for . It determines
the envelope while not violating the the competitiveness of an . If an
letter of the law. Supervisors focused on lags in innovation, through slow governance
142 R M I F C
processes, and through weak incentives for firm’s: sources of profit; core businesses
firms to invest in innovation, then that processes; corporate adherence to ‘principles’
will lose competitiveness and global market based on its management commitment,
share. If regulators and supervisors at an its corporate culture and the corporate
are unable to block fraudulent or unfair sanctions applied to rule-breakers; as well
behaviour by firms, and are ineffective in as the strength and depth of its compliance
setting up a sound risk management system processes. Principles-based supervisors
for markets and firms, then the will lose engage in broader and deeper continuous
reputation as well as global market share by interaction with the financial firms being
becoming a pariah. regulated to understand their businesses
The alternative to rules-based regula- and to anticipate how they are evolving as
tion – i.e., ‘principles-based regulation’ or markets change. They are often consulted by
– was first introduced in the in . the firms they supervise about new products
It involves less detailed prescription of what and ideas informally but do not have the
is allowed and what is not in every activity or powers to block those ideas from being tried
market, less codification, less rigidity of rule- out. Their influence is through relationship
book interpretation, and a greater reliance and persuasion rather than through policing.
on practice and precedent. The prime expo- The main strength of is that it
nents of this approach are the , Ireland fosters innovation. It encourages greater
and Australia. However, the ideas underly- competition among financial firms that are
ing this new regulatory approach are being able to introduce new ideas into markets
applied all over the world, including in es- rapidly. The malpractices that occur when
tablished s like Singapore. The same supervisors focus on checklist compliance
ideas have been adopted in Japan. But they are avoided. However, imposes
have been less effectively implemented there. onerous demands on, and requires adequate
Japan has had difficulty erasing the legacy protection for, the staff of supervisory
of -style rules-based regulation with the agencies. They are required to understand
meticulous application to detail that Japan’s each regulated firm, and make discretionary
supervisors appear loath to relinquish. That judgments about whether its business plan
stance has inhibited Tokyo’s role as an . and modus operandi are consistent with the
It serves as a lesson for Mumbai as well. principles established by the regulator. This
The bedrock of is that the regulator requires an elaborate system of transparency
articulates broad principles and avoids and checks-and-balances, in order to prevent
codifying details of allowable products, abuse. No approach is perfect. Rules-based
markets or business plans. Under , the regulation poses no such risk for supervisory
top management of financial firms is held staff apart from the risk of performance
accountable for ensuring that the business failure. , on the other hand, places
plan of the firm, and all its activities, are greater burdens of knowledge, responsibility
consistent with the principles defined by the and accountability on supervisory staff.
regulator – i.e., not just with the broad letter runs the risk that: (a) supervisory staff
of the law but with its intent and spirit. It might misuse their discretion; and (b) they
removes incentives for financial firms to play may need to be shielded sufficiently to be
an adversarial game (induced by rules-based confident about exercising discretion and
regulation) of ‘beat-the-regulator’ to become not become convenient political scapegoats
competitive. Under unsavoury business when things go wrong.
plans for financial market operations cannot Applying a historical perspective, the
be rendered palatable by clever compliance use of at the is not that unique.
officers. By its very nature ensures As Jayanth Varma has pointed out, it is
that such game-playing does not take only in modern times that regulation by
place. With , supervisors are inevitably the - has turned into de facto over-
called upon not to think of supervision in prescription. In its early years, the -
terms of checklist compliance. They are had enormous flexibility and competence,
required instead to understand a financial with a more flexible, accommodating
. Reforming financial regime governance 143
philosophy much like . The radically changed the approach of the ,
was a product of the civil law era in away from a rules-based system towards a
administration (the New Deal). But principles-based system. The CFMA defines
Chairman Douglas made the the most ‘designation criteria’ and ‘core principles’.
successful and least prescriptively oriented Under the CFMA, a futures exchange only
of all the New Deal agencies. The - has to certify to the regulator that it is
in its heyday – the Douglas and Landis eras – starting a new product or rule, with a notice
stands out as an exemplar of the flexible of at least one day in advance. If the exchange
approach. This period probably laid the wants to request an approval, the agency has
foundations of the enormously successful days to give it.
financial system. It would probably not In contrast, stock exchanges in the
have emerged as such if the existing cannot change products or rules
approach of over-prescription and harmfully without a notoriously slow approval process
intrusive legislation had been applied in the at the . In a speech in June
formative years. , Commissioner Walt L. Lukken said
The European Commission has also the gave exchanges the flexibility
become an outpost of excessively prescriptive required to foster innovation, saying:
approaches to financial regulation. It stands
“While the monitors
out in sharp contrast with the . The shift
whether a core principle is
at the and on the continent towards
ultimately met, the exchanges
over-prescriptive rules-based regulation has
with their hands-on experience
helped London to achieve success as the
are given discretion to tailor
world’s premier .
their rules to their special
requires a regulator to make in- circumstances”.
formed judgements based on an understand-
ing of firms, their customers, and the mar-
kets in which they operate. In making judge- 2. Reducing the artificial
ments about outcomes, and about what con- segmentation of financial
stitutes minimum standards, requires a firms, products, services and
broad degree of consistency in terms of the markets
quality of outcomes that firms deliver; rather
than consistency in detailed requirements How can the problem of segmentation in
about processes. Firms are expected to adopt Indian finance be addressed? In four ways.
approaches to delivering outcomes that meet
high regulatory objectives. 2.1. The holding company approach
There has been some movement In an international setting, financial firms
towards principles-based regulation in the exploit economies of scope and scale by
also. For example, in the operating in all sub-segments of financial
Congress created the Commodity Futures product/services markets. Global s
Trading Commission () for oversight have reaped competitive advantage in the
of derivatives exchanges. This resulted global market as a consequence. In some
in regulatory bifurcation in the , with jurisdictions, such as the , the integration
spot markets being regulated by the of all financial regulation under a single
and futures markets being regulated by regulator has facilitated the integration of
the . A key milestone for the a range of financial activities in unified
was the Commodity Futures Modernisation financial firms. But many countries have
Act ( ) of December . This law fragmented regulatory architecture, as in
India. In such instances corporate structures
Across the Irish Sea is an even more remarkable need to be contrived to support the creation
financial regulator in Ireland ( ). It has a of a virtual unified financial firm that
reputation exceeding that of the in terms of
applying the rule of common sense alongside common
is able to operate in any or all areas of
law. It is increasingly seen as one of the smartest and the financial services business. The most
most flexible securities regulators in the world. expedient of these is the “holding company
144 R M I F C
civil servants and private citizens, and there is discretion in the hands of the civil servant.
Box 11.2: Case Study – Principles-based regulation in the for treating customers fairly
As an example of how PBR works, consider finance firms – and not just their compliance removing a significant volume of detailed rules
consumer protection, or what the FSA calls departments – to embed these objectives on consumer protection. Detailed rules on
“Treating Customers Fairly” (TFC)a . The FSA has within the business strategy, culture and money laundering, and on training and
defined six desired outcomes from its work in behaviour of their firms. The FSA holds the top competence for wholesale business have been
the TFC area: management of each firm accountable for removed. The Authorisation Manual is being
meeting these six desired outcomes, and not dismantled. It intends to further implement a
. Consumers can be confident that they are seek to micro-manage firms on how these radical simplification of investment Conduct of
dealing with firms where the fair treatment outcomes are achieved. Business rules, rules on financial promotions
of customers is central to corporate culture and rules on complaints handling.
This principles-based approach provides
. Products and services marketed and sold in financial firms with more flexibility to decide When firms ask FSA to define minimum
the retail market are designed to meet the how best to run their businesses, while standards, in the quest for legal certainty and
needs of identified consumer groups and meeting FSA regulatory objectives. Firms are predictability, the FSA response is that the
are targeted accordingly better placed to judge the detail of how best Principles and other high level rules are
. Consumers are provided with clear to deliver those outcomes in the marketplace, themselves minimum standards, and that FSA
information and are kept appropriately and thus deliver fair treatment to their sees these minimum standards primarily in
informed before, during and after the customers in a way that is consistent with their terms of outcomes, not of prescribing detailed
point of sale commercial objectives. FSA argues that inputs and processes.
. When consumers receive financial advice, providing flexibility rather than prescribing Predictability is enhanced by statements of
the advice must be suitable and tailored to detailed processes enables firms to compete good and poor practice and through case
take explicit account of their circumstances and innovate more effectively in product studies illustrating ways in which firms have
design, in the quality of customer service, and successfully met requirements. Such
. Consumers are provided with products in achieving economic efficiency. statements of good and poor practice help
that perform as firms have led them to
FSA works on improving financial capability senior managements of firms to think for
expect, and the associated service is both
and awareness of consumers, and the themselves about how best to meet high level
of an acceptable standard and also as they
provision of clear information by firms and by requirements within the specific circumstances
have been led to expect
the FSA to consumers, to help consumers to of their own activities and business models. By
. Consumers do not face unreasonable pursue their own best interests by playing an publishing examples of good and poor practice
post-sale barriers imposed by firms to active and informed role in the markets for on either side of an acceptable standard, FSA
change product, switch provider, submit a financial products and services. Enforcement indicates to firms both where the minimum
claim or make a complaint. actions are taken against firms and their senior standards lie, and that there are alternative
management when they fail to achieve high ways of delivering them. In doing this, FSA
These six principles define what the FSA level outcomes. respects the confidentiality of ‘proprietary’
requires the financial industry to do for As part of the move to a more good practice that firms have developed to
consumer protection. FSA emphasises the principles-based approach, FSA is working on give themselves a competitive advantage.
responsibility of the senior management of
a See http://www.fsa.gov.uk/pages/Library/Communication/Speeches/2006/0724_cb.shtml
Box 11.3: Principles Based vs. Rules Based Regulations ( vs. )
. Principles Based Regulation (PBR) is . In an environment accustomed to RBR, players in the industry conform to rules
outcome oriented regulators see PBR as posing high that protect the reputation and integrity
. It differs from Rule Based Regulation regulatory risks of that industry; and ensuring that the
(RBR) which is process driven. . They fear that the operating flexibility best global standards of corporate
. PBR is based on the idea that the that PBR permits could be misused in ethics and governance are applied by all
regulator is not always best placed, or environments with insufficiently high players.
better placed than market participants, standards of internal corporate ethics,
compliance and governance. . PBR is particularly well suited to the
to judge what is best, or what is right regulation of securities markets, which
and what is wrong in terms of products, . With RBR, market participants leave it to regulators that are RBR driven (such as in
instruments, services, practices or regulators to specify what those the US) have now explicitly recognized.
market functioning. standards should be through detailed
. PBR is based on the premise that rules. . PBR does not mean lax regulation and
competition and innovation in rapidly . But experience suggests that RBR does supervision. Compliance under PBR
evolving markets driven by technology not necessarily or automatically instill or depends as much on the spirit as the
should not be inhibited by encourage high standards of ethics or letter of the law. For that reason,
over-prescriptive regulation. governance to be applied in any compliance with PBR is different and
. PBR allows for greater flexibility in particular environment. more demanding than the “checkbox”
devising internal corporate business and . What RBR appears to encourage is the compliance under RBR.
compliance processes to cope with development of capabilities aimed at
changes in rapidly evolving markets . Violation of rigid but specific rules is
evading rules through technicalities and
much easier to establish than broader
. RBR invariably prescribes permissible loopholes. This weakens incentives for
principles that are more open to
business processes in micro-detail and better self-regulation within the
subjective interpretation.
changes too slowly in response to regulated industry and induces a
market changes. tendency for market competition to be . PBR requires greater knowledge on the
. The overall effectiveness of PBR is driven by a propensity for cleverly part of regulators, an obligation to
critically dependent on the ethical and evading rules faster than the competitor. remain up to date with changes in
governance standards that prevail in the . The key to determining the regulatory rapidly evolving markets, as well as
financial and corporate worlds in any tone in a particular environment, and more accountability and responsibility to
country. deciding whether PBR is more suitable be exercised by supervisors in exercising
. The higher such standards are in a given than RBR in a particular country judgments than RBR which focuses too
operating environment, the better is circumstance, depends on the standards much on the use of detailed checklists
compliance with PBR and the better its applied by the regulated industry in: for compliance assessment.
overall outcome. monitoring itself, ensuring that all
total amount of its share capital and free approval of the central government is re-
reserves. This restriction is archaic. It needs quired prior to availing such services. This
to be removed, particularly for listed com- requirement needs to be reconsidered in a
panies where mature corporate governance modern corporate governance environment.
processes are in place. At the minimum, this
restriction needs to be rephrased to make a 2.2. Reforms in financial system
link to the share capital and free reserves of regulatory architecture
the consolidated balance sheet. One important source of segmentation
in Indian finance is the turf separation
D. Restrictions on intra-group transac- created by having multiple regulators.
tions. The ultimate goal of a holding com- Reforms to regulatory architecture could
pany structure is to support listing and run- be undertaken to mitigate these problems.
ning a corporate headquarters for a set of India needs to choose between two paths.
finance companies, each of which complies One is to consolidate down to four
with the requirement of a separate regulator. regulators covering finance with one each
The ultimate objective is to create a virtual for: (a) banking with a regulator separate
financial firm that spans the financial ser- from the monetary authority; (b) capital
vices universe. However, Section of the markets, with a merger of securities markets
Companies Act constrains the utilisation functions on the fixed income, currency
of the services of any group company by and commodity markets into a single
another group company. When group com- securities and derivatives market regulator;
panies have a common directorship, prior (c) pensions with the consolidation of
148 R M I F C
Box 11.5: Costs of compartmentalisation, and benefits of unification, in the ‘exchange ecosystem’
Exchange NSE, BSE NDS, Clearcorp Clearcorp Dealing NCDEX, MCX, All 8–10 exchanges would compete in trading all products.
Dealing Systems Systems, Reuters, IBS NMCE etc. (This assumes NDS will be put out as one more exchange).
Clearing NSCC, BSE CCIL CCIL None All three clearing corporations would compete in offering
corporation Clearing House clearing services for all products
Depository NSDL, CDSL SGL n.a. NSDL All three depositories would compete for all demat services.
(This assumes that SGL will be put out as one more
depository).
Problems: Lack of competition, lack of economies of scale, lack of Benefits: More competition, economies of scope and
economies of scope. Conflicts of interest owing to functions held scale for both exchange institutions and member firms.
within the State at NDS and SGL. Heightened costs for financial firms. Improved functioning of NDS, SGL and the State, owing to
elimination of conflicts of interest.
pension regulation into a single pensions 2.3. Shift away from “entity-based
regulator; and (d) the insurance regulator. regulation” towards domain
Such a quartet might reduce the extant based regulation
degree of segmentation and regulatory turf Until an -style agency comes about,
protection in Indian finance; but it would care needs to be taken in identifying rules
not eliminate them. that induce segmentation in Indian finance
Alternatively, India could choose to and removing them. For India to succeed
integrate all financial regulation into a in provision, it has to be understood
single -style agency. The experience of that the end goal is for India to have
London suggests that that provision is efficient, globally competitive financial firms
encouraged by the unification of all financial which are able to do what is needed to
regulation into the . The principle of the compete effectively in all markets. The
is that it is able to take a complete view goal is not to make regulatory life less
of all activities of all finance companies and complicated by maintaining the tidy status
a holistic view of trends in financial market quo of segmented financial firms that fall
development. At the same time, there are neatly within current regulatory domains,
problems of accountability and governance and are easy to control, supervise and
as well as regulatory monopoly associated regulate. This requires, for example, treating
with creating an -style agency. a ‘primary dealership’ as one of the many
While the is not yet a statutory regulator,
business activities of a financial firm, and not
requiring that standalone firms be created
the present direction of policy thinking in the field of
pensions envisages such a role for it (Shah and Patel, which do nothing but primary dealership.
). The strategy for regulation needs to be one
. Reforming financial regime governance 149
where the banking regulator regulates the Rs. crores or $ . million equivalent)
business of banking, but does not regulate all for management. A small set of professional
the activities of a financial firm that chooses trustee companies – perhaps three to five –
to call itself a “bank”. should supply supervisory functions over
an industry composed of perhaps –
2.4. Organisation of the asset s.
management industry Once this industry is in place, it should
The very nature of the asset management be possible for banks, insurance companies,
industry enables large economies of scale to mutual funds, hedge funds, s, pension
be captured. The costs of managing a bond funds, , etc. to outsource their
portfolio of Rs. trillion are not a thousand asset management to one or more of these
times larger than those of managing a bond companies. What is envisaged, of course, is
portfolio of Rs. billion. They may not even a market-driven process. There should be
be ten times larger. Hence, when a firm no compulsion that an insurance company
manages a larger quantum of assets, it is must outsource fund management to an
able to quote lower prices when expressed . However, any regulatory barriers that
as basis points of assets under management impede outsourcing should be removed,
(). As an example, in the world market, so that the in-house versus outsourcing
the price for index fund management for $ decision is made by every financial firm
billion of assets is roughly basis point or in India on the grounds of pure economic
.%. At present in India, there is no index efficiency.
fund with a size of $ billion, and hence It is important to maintain a distinction
index funds in India cost much more than between the regulatory structure that applies
basis point. to an insurance company and the regulatory
Asset management functions are per- structure that applies for the wholesale
formed in almost every sub-segment of fi- . The insurance regulator has a
nance: banking, insurance, pensions, mutual legitimate focus on the risk profile of
funds, hedge funds, etc. The fragmentation the portfolio of the insurance company.
of finance owing to regulatory architecture However, the relationship between the
induces huge diseconomies of scale in asset and the insurance company has no link to
management. That will hamper the compet- the complex obligations of the insurance
itiveness of Indian firms in an international company.
setting. As an example, an insurance company
Considerable progress can be made on might place Rs. billion with an
this problem by separating out the ‘front for managing an equity index fund. The
end’ through which assets are sourced for regulatory focus on the would then be
management, from the back-end ‘factory’ restricted to verifying that the index fund is
where assets are managed. The front ends being correctly managed. As an example, in
embed specific contractual structures, and a mutual fund setting, the costs associated
regulations, such as insurance companies with retail investor protection should be
as opposed to mutual funds. However, the concentrated into the mutual fund. When
task of fund management that takes place the MF outsources to an , this contract
in each of these firms is done in the same should be struck at the low prices seen in
kind of factory. The difference between a wholesale fund management, and the burden
mutual fund and a pension fund lies in the of regulation associated with retail investor
front-end, not in actual asset management. protection should not fall upon the .
This suggests the creation of a new With such a structure, wholesale s
industry of Asset Management Companies could achieve significant economies of
(s) that are wholesale fund managers. scale by tapping into assets from many
This industry should be regulated by . institutional funding sources. In such an
The customers of s might be restricted environment, when an insurance company
to wholesale customers who put up a evaluates the decision of managing assets
minimum of (say) Rs. million (or internally, as opposed to outsourcing that
150 R M I F C
activity, it is likely to find that the charges sound pricing of the insurance and
of the wholesale are much lower than administration in a way that avoids
the costs of internal asset management. This moral hazard – is of the essence. This
would encourage the outsourcing of assets needs to be coupled with a prompt
for management from a large number of corrective action ( ) framework,
financial firms to save their own costs and where strictures are placed upon weak
achieve economies of scale in the firms well before failure; such as a
industry. Such a move would immediately prohibition on accepting new business
make asset management in India globally when underlying risk capital is too
competitive. Asset management companies low. Listing is a powerful tool through
in India with over $ billion in assets which stock market speculators monitor
under management would be cost-efficient firms, and produce daily estimates of
by the standards of the global money their failure probabilities. A policy of
management industry. But, for that to requiring listing, and the establishment
happen, appropriate institutional structures of procedures within regulators of
for wholesale s would need to be monitoring stock prices, would help
created and economies of scale captured generate early warnings about distress
in the domestic market before such services based on which can be taken.
could be globalised. . In the securities markets, clearing corpo-
rations which manage counterparty risk
3. Creating an environment are a powerful tool for preventing firm
conducive to exit failure from having systemic repercus-
sions. India has made excellent progress
As argued above, the foundation of through the establishment of the Na-
competition policy is a ceaseless process of tional Securities Clearing Corporation
creative destruction, where every year, some () and the Clearing Corporation
financial firms fail and exit from the business, of India ( ). The scope of these in-
while new financial firms enter into the stitutions, and the competitive market
business every year. This ceaseless churning structure of the clearing corporation
appears messy since newspaper headlines business, need to be steadily extended.
dwell on firm failure. However, it is the . A host of sophisticated finance activities
only way to achieve a globally competitive can be encouraged under firms organ-
financial sector. ised like hedge funds, where customers
This requires a corresponding paradigm are restricted to sophisticated investors.
shift on the attitude towards both entry and Once this is done, the death of such firms
exit. Financial regulators in India today imposes no political problems upon the
are often fearful of exit. The death of a government.
financial firm is seen as a failure of the
financial governance regime. This attitude
needs to shift towards an approach where 4. Retail vs. wholesale markets
the death of financial firms is seen as proof Financial regulators around the world are
that a properly competitive environment is concerned about investor protection of
actually in place. “small households”. Ordinary households
There is ample international experience lack the specialised financial knowledge or
on how a sound approach towards exit can incentive to understand complex financial
be constructed. It comprises the following products that might be mis-sold or embed
key elements: dubious practices encoded in fine print. If
the regulator does not protect the interests
. Regulatory concerns about the failure of ordinary households, then the flow of
of financial firms are focused only savings from millions of households into
on banking, insurance and defined modern finance will not take place. This
benefit pensions. In these areas, a legitimate concern induces regulators to
framework of deposit insurance – with be particularly cautious before permitting
. Reforming financial regime governance 151
products to be sold to retail investors. This, investors will shift to hedge funds. The
in turn, induces a bias toward caution and economy would then benefit from a low cost
conservatism and slows down innovation. organisation of money management and
This problem has traditionally been from increased competition.
seen as a difficult trade-off faced by Hedge funds are appealing when it
the regulator. On one hand, financial comes to exit in the event of failure.
innovation produces superior products for If a money manager such as a mutual
end-consumers. Yet, along the way, new fund has a large number of small retail
products need to be screened carefully by customers, then the government inevitably
the authorities to avoid episodes where gets involved in the resolution of failure.
households are defrauded and bolster In contrast, hedge funds will have only
public confidence in modern finance. a small number of wealthy customers.
One way of dealing with this issue, and That makes it politically feasible for the
fostering innovation without sacrificing the government to watch impassively when a
protection of small investors, is to cultivate hedge fund fails. The hedge fund manager
a separate policy stance for sophisticated goes out of business and a few rich customers
‘wholesale’ players in the financial markets get hurt. Government is not obliged to
who do not have the same knowledge deficits intervene on their behalf and no issue of
as retail investors and do not need the same public interest policy arises. Under such
degree of protection. In India, a threshold a framework – that distinguishes between
of Rs. crore (or Rs. million) might the capabilities and interests of wholesale
be appropriate in defining a ‘wholesale’ vs. retail investors – the principle of
transaction. Once this is done, in a broad caveat emptor applies to the former and
range of settings, the stance of regulators strong regulatory safeguards protect the
should be to permit a free flow of innovation. latter permitting financial markets to be
The best example of this approach is the regulated in a manner that encourages
hedge fund. Mutual funds are specifically aggressive competition, with free entry and
designed for retail investors and they are exit of different kinds of financial firms
regulated and supervised intensively. This while protecting those that need protection.
level of scrutiny imposes costs of compliance Another well-known recent example where
and opportunity cost of trading strategies ‘wholesale-retail’ differentiation has been
which are prohibited by the government. successfully applied is in the exchange
The hedge fund is the unregulated alternative industry in the . There the
to the mutual fund. But it can be restricted has eased the entry criteria and softened
to deal only with customers who put considerably the regulatory regime for
up more than Rs. million of assets for exchanges in which only large financial
money management. The argument is firms, and not small individual investors
that any customer who has more than or ordinary households, are permitted
Rs. million of assets under management to participate. This two-track approach
with a hedge fund has the knowledge and makes entry possible for a range of internet-
capability to understand what the hedge oriented start-ups which compete against
fund manager is doing before investing in it. the established exchanges, without needing
The government does not need to protect to incur all the costs and particularly the
such a customer. Once such a separation is regulatory burdens associated with the
created between mutual funds and hedge established exchanges.
funds, there will be healthy competition A fast-paced, globally competitive
in the capital market. Large investors will financial sector, in which rapid innovation
have a choice between mutual funds and occurs, can be a useful laboratory where
hedge funds. If the benefits of regulation new products and services can be quickly
outweigh the costs, then large investors will tested in wholesale markets restricted to
continue to patronise mutual funds. If the transaction sizes of at least Rs. million.
costs of regulation of mutual funds are larger Successful ideas from such tests can later
than the consequent benefits, then large be approved for the retail market by the
152 R M I F C
regulator. From an perspective, almost trading. With interest-rate derivatives, while
all transactions are likely to be bigger exchange-traded interest rate derivatives are
than Rs. million. Hence, a rapid pace of enormous worldwide, they continue to be
innovation in wholesale markets is quite smaller than their OTC counterparts.
consistent with a focus on export of . But Despite these international empirical
this approach has an important downside, regularities, the following seven factors
in the context of organised arms-length suggest a greater role for exchange-traded
financial markets, where secondary market derivatives in an Indian IFC:
liquidity is formed by pooling millions of
. The present OTC market in India
orders, small and large. The fragmentation
largely trades plain vanilla products.
of liquidity between segregated retail and
For trading plain vanilla products, the
wholesale markets would reduce liquidity.
exchange traded environment induces
India’s key strength – i.e., its vast
transparency and liquidity at no cost
retail market – will not be able to play in flexibility. Indian currency forward
in areas where retail participation is trading is already halfway to the
prevented. Hence, while this wholesale exchange-traded framework, with the
versus retail approach has merit in some Clearing Corporation of India Ltd
areas such as money management, there ( ) performing the services of a
is a need of caution when it comes to the central counterparty. The only further
securities markets, where unification of step required in shifting from a forward
all orders into a single order book yields market to a futures market is the
maximum liquidity and thus international introduction of transparent trading at
competitiveness. an exchange venue.
. Even though the global currency futures
5. The role of exchange-traded market is small when compared with
vs. OTC derivatives in the the global currency forward market,
BCD nexus recent research has shown that it plays a
disproportionate role in price discovery.
Derivatives can be traded on an exchange Rosenberg and Traub () find that
or bilaterally negotiated on the ‘over the the currency futures market might
counter’ (OTC) market. Trading on contribute as much as % of the price
exchange requires standardised ‘plain vanilla’ discovery. This reflects the role of
products, is anonymous, utilises a clearing transparency in price formation. Traders
corporation to eliminate credit risk, and is who might place orders on the opaque
fully transparent. The trading computer OTC market find it advantageous to
ensures that each buy order is matched constantly watch the transparent futures
with the lowest priced sell order. OTC market. A transparent trading venue
trading permits unlimited flexibility in the seems to matter disproportionately for
contract, lacks anonymity, generally involves overall price discovery, even if the
counterparty credit risk, and is generally turnover at this public marketplace is
non-transparent. There is never a certainty relatively small.
that one privately negotiated purchase was Similar evidence for the role of
contracted at the best price available on the exchange-traded futures on the interest
non-transparent market. rate market is found in Mizrach and
Currency futures were the first situation Neely () who estimate that over %
where the idea of the exchange-traded of the price discovery on the US long
futures market was applied to a financial bond market takes place in the exchange-
underlying. For many years, currency traded product in the period after .
futures were not particularly successful . Exchange-traded derivatives have be-
when compared with OTC currency come particularly important in the new
forwards which dovetailed well with the world of algorithmic trading and in-
primarily inter-bank character of currency ternet trading, both of which dovetail
. Reforming financial regime governance 153
on utilisation of the prices and liquidity regulator. The difficulties confronted by the
produced on this screen. Indian legal system in tackling sophisticated
are well known. The system lacks
6. Regulatory impact specialised domain knowledge. Legal
assessments processes are drawn out over excessively
elongated periods of time. Recent reports
In the foreseeable future, India could indicate that over million cases are
be headed for a four-way separation of currently pending resolution in India.
financial regulation, with separate agencies From an perspective, the most
performing regulatory and supervisory useful strategy may be the creation of
functions for Banking, Securities, Insurance, specialised courts that combine (a) highly
and Pensions. The merits of a larger all- experienced arbitrators equipped with
inclusive unification – such as emulating specific domain knowledge, and
the - – can be debated ad nauseam (b) streamlined workflow leading to minimal
in the Indian context. The would
delays. Extending the scope of the present
prefer not to trigger or indulge in that debate
Securities Appellate Tribunal () might
as it diverts from its main concern – i.e.,
be a useful way of addressing these concerns.
that of establishing a successful in
already has judicial capacity with
Mumbai as swiftly as possible. Regardless of
specialised domain knowledge in securities
whether -style unification is attempted
markets. It processes cases with obvious
or another form of regulatory architecture
is applied, an in Mumbai will still efficiency at an impressive pace. Going
require world-class financial regulation and beyond , there is a possibility of
supervision (in terms of policy, approach, utilising for processing appeals against
attitude and practice) in either case. and also.
One tool for improving the quality of Applying the same logic, ’s scope
regulatory agencies is a periodic process and remit could be extended to covering
of “Regulatory Impact Assessments” (). as well with adding an
These are now commonplace in Appeals Tribunal ( ) to its extant
countries. Each is essentially a cost- role. could have its remit expanded
benefit analysis carried out independently to deal with appeals not just for capital
every – years to review regulatory markets transactions but cover banking,
architecture and implementation. The term securities, insurance and pensions as well.
‘architecture’ describes the boundaries of A larger role for arbitration would help
the agency, its legal foundations, and its strengthen the legal system . Arbitration
mandate, while the term ‘implementation’ is a key mechanism through which faster
refers to how the agency translates these and superior contract enforcement can be
goals and conceptual framework into achieved between private agents who have
successful, globally competitive regulation disputes about private contracts.
and supervision. Each needs From the viewpoint of a global
periodically to compare Mumbai against participant utilising Indian financial services,
peer s, and examine how architecture legal risk induces a risk premium; it reduces
and implementation can be evolved so as to the competitiveness of India as a venue
improve India’s ability to produce for for production. Effective arbitration
the global market. procedures give private agents a way to
bypass the constraints of the courts. The
7. Strengthening the legal Indian Arbitration and Conciliation Act was
system supporting an IFC passed in , with the intent of enabling
The ideas and facts here greatly draws upon
The legal system comprises legislature, laws,
“What next for Indian arbitration?” by A. Ray and
courts and judges. In a finance setting
D. Sabharwal, of the International Arbitration Practice
with independent regulators, an appeals Group at White & Case, London, which appeared in
mechanism is required for all actions of the Economic Times, August .
. Reforming financial regime governance 155
and strengthening this channel . However, stantial question of law”. Although this new
two decisions of the Supreme Court have ground for challenge is narrower in defini-
dealt severe blows to the Act: () the tion than the Saw Pipes ruling, it still affords
Oil & Natural Gas Corporation v Saw Pipes losing parties an opportunity to approach
() [] and () & Co. v the courts in an attempt to second-guess
Patel Engineering () . arbitral tribunals. This could lead to a po-
As a response to these problems, the sition not dissimilar to that under the
Arbitration and Conciliation (Amendment) Act and complete a full circle for Indian arbi-
Bill, , currently pending before Parlia- tration. The problems of Patel Engineering
ment, proposes to introduce a new section case prima facie, do not appear to have been
that would allow an award to be set aside addressed in this Bill.
“where there is an error apparent on the face The last (but not least) component
of the arbitration award giving rise to a sub- of the legal system is lawyers. At present,
there are some significant weaknesses in the
The Act was designed primarily to implement
development of legal skills by the present
the Model Law on International
Commercial Arbitration and create a pro-arbitration
Indian education system, particularly when
legal regime in India. Prior to its enactment, there it comes to the legal aspects of sophisticated
was widespread discontent over the excessive judicial finance. The internationalisation of Indian
intervention allowed by its predecessor, the finance will induce new kinds of pressures
Act. The Act attempted to rectify this problem
by narrowing the basis on which awards could be upon the legal fraternity. On one hand, legal
challenged, thereby minimising the supervisory role skills will be demanded in global finance that
of courts, ensuring finality of arbitral awards and go well beyond the skills developed in dealing
expediting the arbitration process. with Indian financial law. In addition, many
Saw Pipes addressed a challenge to an Indian
arbitral award on the ground that it was “in conflict global financial firms might feel comfortable
with the public policy of India”. Despite precedents utilising the services of the same global law
suggesting that “public policy” be interpreted in a firms they use in other s when doing
restrictive manner and that a breach of “public policy”
certain transactions out of India. This is
involves something more than a mere violation of
Indian law, the Court interpreted public policy in perhaps analogous to FIIs favouring foreign
the broadest terms possible. The Court held that brokerage firms when operating in India.
any arbitral award which violates Indian statutory This suggests that India needs to open
provisions is “patently illegal” and contrary to “public
policy”. By equating “patent illegality” to an “error
up on the issue of foreign law firms
of law”, the Court effectively paved the way for losing operating in India. Such measures will help
parties in the arbitral process to have their day in Indian simultaneously in three directions. It will
courts on the basis of any alleged contraventions of improve the legal knowledge available in
Indian law, thereby resurrecting the potentially limitless
judicial review which the Act was designed to
the country, particularly on the interfaces
eliminate. between finance and law. It will help
In Patel Engineering, the Supreme Court
global financial firms feel comfortable with
subsequently sanctioned further court intervention operating in Mumbai, since they would find
in the arbitral process. The case concerned the
appointment of an arbitrator by the Chief Justice in familiar global legal firms. It would have
circumstances where the parties’ chosen method for the same impact on improving the skills,
constituting the tribunal had failed. The Court held technology and competitiveness of the Indian
that the Chief Justice , while discharging this function, legal services industry that permitting
is entitled to adjudicate on contentious preliminary
issues such as the existence of a valid arbitration in manufacturing had on Indian industrial
agreement and is entitled to call for evidence to resolve firms.
jurisdictional issues. Significantly, the Court ruled that Developments along these lines are
the Chief Justice’s findings on these preliminary issues
already taking place. On th October, ,
would be final and binding on the arbitral tribunal,
making a mockery of the well-established principle the Minister for Commerce and Industry said
of Kompetenz-Kompetenz – the power of an arbitral that a panel of lawyers had been constituted
tribunal to determine its own jurisdiction – enshrined under the -India Joint Economic and
in section of the Act. This encourages parties
to sabotage the appointment process of arbitrators,
Trade Committee ( ) to work with
make spurious arguments about preliminary issues a similar group in the to deliberate on
and use evidentiary hearings in courts to delay arbitral opening up the legal services sector.
proceedings.
Tax policy for an IFC in
Mumbai
12
1. Does India need an IFC or a Moreover, the current global climate
Tax Haven? (especially in countries but also
in countries like India) is opposed to
Creating an in Mumbai – that offers ‘tax competition’ or, more euphemistically, chapter
as competitively and efficiently as other ‘harmful tax practices’. In particular,
established s– will induce lobbying
the disfavours ‘dual tax regimes’
pressure on the authorities, from service
offered by small countries to create tax-
providers as well as global investors, to
arbitrage to the detriment of its member
provide zero or near-zero taxation of the
IFS offered. Such pressures are based on countries. They object to a non-
three arguments: (a) the desirability of country applying a ‘normal’ tax regime to
creating a tax haven explicitly in order to its own citizens/residents, while offering
attract a greater proportion of global IFS non-residents a low-tax or no-tax-regime
flows for servicing through India; (b) the o should recognise, however, that this is a
‘obvious’ need for providing temporary fiscal self-serving characterisation, contrived to permit
subsidies aimed at kick-starting a desirable governments of rich (but uncompetitive)
export services industry using infant countries to maintain egregiously high tax regimes that
support wasteful public expenditure. Such tax-spend
industry arguments; or, more legitimately, policies enable too large an intermediation role to be
(c) achieving greater competitiveness with played by these governments (particularly in Europe)
other established and emergent/aspirant in transferring – opaquely and unaccountably – real
s. income from one part of the middle-class (e.g. the
healthy, young working adults, or the childless) to
In that connection, proponents for another (families with children, those on the dole, those
total tax-exemption of an to encourage who smoke/drink excessively, retirees who have not
exports – or for exemption of at least saved enough) – in so-called ‘public service’ domains
that are more efficiently served by private markets.
some products and services – often
Public revenues (and expenditures) in many north
point to the success of the Indian European countries now pre-empt over –% of
export services industry since . They . They finance unsustainable, failing public health,
argue that explosive growth in export education and welfare systems. These nations are
becoming uncompetitive and losing jobs – indeed
services occurred at least in part because of entire industries – to poorer (therefore lower-cost, more
(a) benign Government neglect, resulting in competitive) countries like China (in manufacturing)
few opportunities for interference and petty and India (in services and manufacturing as well).
rent seeking; and (b) initially favourable Under domestic political pressure, governments
(particularly in Europe) are now engaging in a cartelised
tax treatment – which, of course, the IT form of ‘protectionism’ to insulate themselves from
industry (along with others) is attempting competition by developing countries that have lower
to perpetuate through devices like s. public revenues and expenditures of the region of %
of in order to encourage savings, investment,
In the view of the – which is in growth, markets and competitiveness. Yet the new
favour of global competitiveness – these accession countries to the EU have been introducing low
pressures have no legitimacy in an effort to flat tax regimes that are proving simpler, more attractive
create an in Mumbai. They should be and more efficient. Poorer countries must eventually
attain levels of per capita income and standards of
resisted at municipal, state and central levels. living now enjoyed in the world. In an efficient,
A country like India does not need a tax equitable, open global economy, average per-capita
haven. As has been argued before, India is incomes should converge gradually. If it takes tax
competition to achieve that happy state, then that is
not a small enclave or island economy, with
how it should be. o should not accept the anti-
limited options for economic diversification tax-competition argument as having any intellectual
and growth. legitimacy.
158 R M I F C
at the same time. But the cannot attracting international financial business
oppose or punish (via sanctions or black- (i.e., transfer pricing, tax management, and
listing) an emirate like Dubai offering the avoidance of high tax in countries
same uniform ‘low-tax’ or ‘no-tax’ regime by their residents). There are over
to residents and non-residents alike. Doing such centres around the world (see Box
so would violate a key tenet of international .) in landlocked principalities and micro-
law: i.e., the sovereign right of countries countries such as Andorra, Botswana,
to determine their own fiscal policies, as Monaco, Luxembourg, Lichtenstein, etc.
long as they do not create discriminatory as well as in island economies in: the
dual regimes aimed solely at tax-arbitrage, north Atlantic vicinity (the Channel Islands,
or apply their tax policies in a way that Bermuda, Isle of Man); in the Caribbean
affects adversely the fiscal rights of other (where there are over fifteen s, the
countries. Besides, apart from issues created largest being The Bahamas, The Cayman
by artificial tax-arbitrage, an emirate in the Islands, Barbados and the Netherlands
Gulf may not need to levy any personal Antilles); as well as in the Indian Ocean
income or corporate taxes, because of a (Seychelles, and Mauritius) and Pacific (e.g.,
surplus of public income derived from Vanuatu).
sources such as oil/gas revenues or the sale s derive revenues from the legal, tax
of land, or whatever. and accounting services offered to firms that
In such a climate, creating a tax haven seek to tax-domicile, or book transactions,
would be detrimental for an in Mumbai. in these jurisdictions to avail of near-zero
Besides as an observer (and potential new tax rates. In the relative context of their
member) of the Financial Action Task Force economies (e.g. Mauritius has a of
(), the Indian government can hardly $ . billion or less than the sales of the
countenance the creation of yet another Reliance Group) such limited revenues
tax-haven . Doing so would trivialise can be quite large (>% of GNI). But such
the two main arguments for having an a strategy is inappropriate for India. An
in the first place – i.e., (i) to meet India’s in Mumbai should aim to achieve not
(and Asia’s) legitimate and rapidly growing just the booking of transactions but
IFS needs as one of the world’s largest the actual provision of the product/service
emerging trading and investing economies; underlying them. India’s strength lies
and (ii) to derive significant service export in its human and technological capacity
revenues from , in which India has to provide tradable financial services and
natural comparative/competitive advantages capture the value added on a significant
for capturing significant global market scale by world standards; not just to the
share. A tax haven would compromise the small extent of routine legal, tax, audit or
functioning and credibility of an Indian accounting services offered in a tax haven.
in the eyes of the world. That is another As an , Mumbai should therefore aspire
reason why the Committee would advise to become like London or New York; a
against locating an in Mumbai (or venue where large-scale production
anywhere else in India) in a SEZ. and exports takes place for the global
Also, experience suggests that infant market rather than being content as a mere
industry arguments in India are dangerous. transactions-booking centre and artificial
Prior to , over-susceptibility to that company registry.
argument resulted in India nurturing - Many financial transactions in a success-
year old infants in all its industries other ful , such as bond issues, securitisation
than IT. products and derivatives contracts, involve
Many offshore financial centres in small embarking on a contractual structure with
landlocked and island countries chose to consequent cash-flows taking place as per
become tax havens – for multinational contract for the coming or even years.
corporations as well as wealthy private In order to give the private sector confi-
individuals and trusts – to create a tax dence in undertaking such transactions, In-
arbitrage advantage for themselves in dia needs to establish a sound tax framework
. Tax policy for an IFC in Mumbai 159
Box 12.1: Countries, Territories, and Jurisdictions with Offshore Financial Centres
Africa Asia and Pacific Europe Middle East Western Hemisphere
Djibouti Cook Islands (FSF) Andorra (FSF) Bahrain (J) (OG) (FSF) Anguilla (FSF)
Liberia (J) Guam Campione Israel Antigua (FSF)
Mauritius (OG) (FSF) Hong Kong, SAR (J) (OG) (FSF) Cyprus (OG) (FSF) Lebanon (J) (OG) (FSF) Aruba (J) (OG) (FSF)
Seychelles (FSF) Japan1 Dublin, Ireland (FSF) Bahamas (J) (OG) (FSF)
Tangier Labuan, Malaysia (FSF) Gibraltar (OG) (FSF) Barbados (J) (OG) (FSF)
Macao, SAR (FSF) Guernsey (OG) (FSF) Belize (FSF)
Marianas Isle of Man (OG) (FSF) Bermuda (J) (OG) (FSF)
Marshall Islands (FSF) Jersey (OG) (FSF) British Virgin Islands (FSF)
Micronesia Liechtenstein (FSF) Cayman Islands (J) (OG) (FSF)
Nauru (FSF) London, UK Costa Rica (FSF)
Niue (FSF) Luxembourg (FSF) Dominica
Philippines Madeira Grenada
Singapore2 (J) (OG) (FSF) Malta (OG) (FSF) Montserrat
Tahiti Monaco (FSF) Netherlands Antilles (J) (OG) (FSF)
Thailand3 Netherlands Panama (J) (OG) (FSF)
Vanuatu (J) (OG) (FSF) Switzerland (FSF) Puerto Rico
Western Samoa (FSF) St. Kitts and Nevis (FSF)
St. Lucia (FSF)
St. Vincent and Grenadines (FSF)
Turks and Caicos Islands (FSF)
United States4
Uruguay
West Indies (UK) (J)5
Source: Based on Errico and Musalem (1999), IMF Working Paper WP/99/5 (unless otherwise indicated).
Legenda:
(J) = Joint BIS-IMF-OECD-World Bank Statistics on External Debt.
(OG) = Offshore Group of Banking Supervisors.
(FSF) = Financial Stability Forum’s Working Group on Offshore Financial Centers (Press Release of May 26, 2000).
1
Japanese Offshore Market (JOM).
2
Asian Currency Units (ACUs).
3
Bangkok International Banking Facilities (BIBFs).
US International Banking Facilities ( IBF s).
4
5
Includes Virgin Islands, Anguilla, and Monserrat.
which will be sustained in the long term. An same quality, but provided at lower cost,
artificial ‘infant industry’ argument based with greater efficiency, and better customer
on tax breaks is not credible in the eyes of service) even if they might prefer – for
the private sector, for it is clear that once the global tax management reasons – to book
takes hold, the tax code will be changed. transactions in tax havens around the world.
This very uncertainty about future tax treat- There are deeper problems with an
ment will serve to deter transactions from ‘industrial policy’ of government supporting
taking place in Mumbai. the financial industry or IFS via tax
Through the proliferation of incentives. If the government ‘encourages’
technologies, it is now increasingly feasible financial firms through lower tax rates, this
to decouple the booking of an IFS would implicitly constitute a subsidy from
transaction from where it is produced. the general taxpayer to shareholders and
Tax domiciles can be far removed from workers in financial firms. Such a fiscal
locations where real value is added. subsidy for an is neither necessary nor
To the extent that this takes place, India justifiable. More importantly, if financial
will not be disadvantaged by having a firms in a Mumbai-based were provided
rational taxation regime governing its . with a tax advantage over firms undertaking
Global customers will still buy genuine other types of activity, that would encourage
from India (providing those are of the less competitive firms (i.e., smaller, weaker
160 R M I F C
and insufficiently capitalised) to provide from different sources (e.g., whether trading,
. It would also provide an incentive for dividends, interest, rent, wages, partnership
other types of services firms to camouflage profits, or salaries).
themselves as financial firms. An ecosystem
with financial firms propped up by tax 2. Tax policy for Mumbai as an
incentives and exemptions is not one that IFC: and, by implication, for
would be populated by the most capable,
India
efficient and innovative financial firms nor
would it necessarily attract global financial By and large, the endorses fully,
firms to locate in such a . and urges swift implementation of all
But, it should be emphasised that the recommendations contained in the
the argument against tax exemptions, or Kelkar Committee Report (i.e., Report of
any form of preferential tax treatment the Task Force on Implementation of the Fiscal
in an , is not the same as making Responsibility and Budget Management Act,
an argument for having a regime of ) that was issued in June . The kind
generally high, complex and harmful taxes of tax regime suggested by the Kelkar Report
– that provide disincentives for effort, should be applicable to the financial system
transparency, volunteerism and honesty in (domestic and ) as a whole – one that
provides incentives for increased output,
tax payments – being applied to the
high value-addition, and efficiency rather
either. What would be best for an Indian
than for tax breaks.
– as well as for the rest of industrial,
It would also be the desired strategy
commercial and financial India – is a
to apply to an while keeping in mind
general regime of uniformly low marginal
the need for flexibility to make adjustments
tax rates, applied universally across the for certain types of in keeping with
board in every sector of economic activity international norms. Such flexibility would
without any exception (including agriculture be desirable to ensure that an in
and agricultural finance) with as few tax Mumbai remained competitive with s
incentives, exceptions and exemptions as elsewhere. With clearer tax policies, a
possible. The tax regime should be simpler tax regime, and consensus that such
simple, and structured so as to be as non- a regime would the most appropriate for the
discriminatory and non-distortionary as financial sector and for exports, three
possible; i.e., across different activities, and key principles come to the fore:
in the tax-treatment of income derived
. The need for applying a modern, low but
In that connection it needs to be observed that universally applicable income tax regime
inadequate prior analysis, and confused policy support across all sectors and activities, and a
(lacking full public consensus), has resulted in far too
modern low to avoid the prospect
many disparate, variably-sized s being approved by
central and state governments, in too many fragmented of smuggling and cash transactions
locations. That has compromised the tax principle compromising collections.
being enunciated here at the outset. It has also created
opportunities for distortions to arise in piecemeal,
. Confining taxation to resident income
imbalanced investment in infrastructure around the and consumption while exempting non-
country. That reduces the prospect of economies residents from all direct taxes (regardless
of scale from being exploited; e.g. by fragmenting of whether or not India has s
power generation across s rather than having
generation being determined by the needs of a particular with their home countries). This
contiguous area or geographic region. Moreover, it does not mean exempting non-residents
appears that many approved s now incorporate from indirect taxes on consumption
sub-projects for speculative real estate development of goods/services in the country. It
for residential and commercial purposes (as opposed
to dedicated manufacturing or service industry use). does mean creating a special tax
These entirely unnecessary add-ons could compromise regime specifically for non-residents
the financial portfolios of major financial firms lending under which they could arbitrage tax
to s and to firms locating in them. That harm
liabilities against their own tax regimes.
should not be exacerbated by extending similar tax
benefits to an . . Removal of all bad taxes: i.e., those that
. Tax policy for an IFC in Mumbai 161
lead to incentives for evasion, those that government at several levels should not be
cost more to collect than yield, those that a reason to create and sustain (through in-
are discriminatory and distortionary, ertia) a plethora of cascading and distort-
and those that create friction in the ing taxes (such as stamp duties and octroi,
production of goods and services (i.e., which are a barrier to intra-country trade
eliminate all transaction taxes such and movement of goods) with negative ef-
as stamp duties and transfer taxes on fects on output, efficiency and intra-country
capital assets, particularly in financial as well as international trade in goods and
transactions). As proposed in the Kelkar services.
Task Force report, this needs In sum: the first issue to be emphasised
to be done as part of the reform. in the context of a fiscal regime that would
The simultaneous removal of all bad support India having an – but one
taxes plus the introduction of the that has wider resonance and applicability
is fiscally neutral while enhancing both – is that the most immediate objective
and tax buoyancy. in tax policy has to be to move rapidly
For an in India to be credible, tax- towards a modern income tax and a modern
wise, to residents and non-residents alike, it for universal applicability in India
is essential that the features, structures, rates (and applied uniformly above practical
and quantum of taxation in India should be thresholds). The second principle governing
consistent with: desired tax strategy is that no government
should attempt to ‘export taxes’ or try to
(a) Optimising (not maximising) public rev- achieve extra-territoriality in the imposition
enue in line with the minimal financing of its tax regime. The incidence of a
of essential public goods/services – using should fall on domestic consumption only.
a minimalist approach to defining what With a well-designed , imports are
these should be and who should benefit charged , and exports are zero-rated,
from them so that foreign customers of Indian goods
(b) Emphasising rapid output and high and services do not pay to the Indian
value-added growth over any other government. The third principle is that bad
objective over the next years taxes (no matter how politically attractive)
(c) Avoiding tax distortions, tax discrimi- lead to a weak, dysfunctional economy.
nation, tax exemptions and preferences They compromise fairness, growth and
altogether and adhering to the notion of equity.
universality Once a framework of sound and low
(d) Incentivising tax-payment ‘volunteerism’ income taxes and is created, the maze
rather than inducing tax avoidance of distortionary taxes and exemptions that
and/or evasion by making it less India has inherited from previous decades
expensive for taxpayers to comply needs to be removed. In particular, turnover
instead of avoiding compliance; and taxes matter greatly for export of ; their
(e) Cost-effectiveness: i.e., taxes should not removal is directly material to the effort of
be levied that are more expensive to India emerging as an .
collect at the margin than the amount of
revenue they yield regardless of equity 3. A modern income tax
or social engineering concerns.
At the level of broad principle, India
In achieving these objectives the ques- should seek to roughly match the income
tion should be asked whether India’s multi- tax treatment of a modern such as
layered political/administrative structures, Singapore, while avoiding the zero-tax
at multiple levels of governance, and its tra- approach of a city like Dubai. It should
ditional political/administrative practices, avoid attempting to have a dual tax regime
do not result in too many taxes being levied for residents and non-residents specifically
by too many different authorities at higher to attract business.
than necessary rates. The need to finance
162 R M I F C
3.1. What should the capital gains tax Kelkar Report. These concern () tax
be? treatment of savings, () taxation of
An important debate now taking place asset management, () definitions and
in India that has considerable relevance tax treatment of ‘speculative’ transactions
for finance and concerns the capital and () the tax treatment of zero coupon
gains tax. Modern macroeconomic and bonds. The basic approach of the
public finance theories shed much light Implementation Task Force on these issues
on the optimal conduct of monetary and is entirely consistent with the goal of making
fiscal policies. A robust result of the Mumbai an Indian .
research literature suggests the need for From an perspective, the primary
low taxes on capital income (Chari and priority is to bring about a liquid and
Kehoe, ; McCaffery, ). One of the efficient bond market with an arbitrage-free
foundation blocks of economic reasoning yield curve. Administered interest rates,
suggests that the goal of a sound fiscal system and tax exemption provisions for particular
(especially in a developing country) should financial products, militate against this
rely on taxing consumption not savings. goal. exports are unlikely to materialise
This can be achieved by taxation with from India in the absence of its asset/fund
large permissible annual savings per person. management industry operating in the same
Under such a scheme, individuals should be way and being governed by the same policy
encouraged to save, with income and capital regime as its global counterparts in other
gains being exempt from taxation, until they mature financial markets. That requires
chose to consume. achieving ‘neutrality’ as an essential feature
Thus, the path to a sound consumption between ‘in-sourcing’ and ‘outsourcing’ of
tax lies in low or zero tax rates applied to asset/fund management where three cases
capital income. Such an approach dovetails can be distinguished:
well with the export of . Low or zero . A firm or a person manages funds/assets
tax rates applied to capital gains would put
. Funds are given to an AMC for asset
India on par with many other countries that
management on an agency basis
have taken such a path. But, this approach
needs to be applied symmetrically to both . A global further subcontracts to
domestic and foreign investors without other national/sectoral s.
creating officially sanctioned loopholes of Tax considerations should not encour-
the kind that exist in Indian tax treaties age or discourage the way in which the asset
allowing special tax treatment for investors management business is organised in terms
in Mauritius, Cyprus and Singapore. Many of the extent of outsourcing that takes place.
of these treaties will lose their potency in As an example, corporations should have
diverting tax revenues almost automatically no tax-induced motivation to outsource
with the removal of residual capital controls. treasury functions to mutual funds in an
It may be better to take that approach in attempt to reduce their effective tax rates.
dealing with the problems they appear to Furthermore, tax considerations should not
create than to attempt renegotiating them generate artificial differences in the rela-
clause-by-clause. This overall approach to tive attractiveness of alternative financial
the taxation of finance would be consistent products, in the eyes of either providers
with Indian exports of being rooted or consumers of those products. As an ex-
in the Indian financial system, and not ample, an insurance company should not
separated into an enclave. have to (or be allowed to) embellish an asset
management product with a small actuarial
3.2. Mature issues in the Indian tax component, in order to obtain superior tax
debate concerning finance and treatment when compared with the same
IFS product being sold by a mutual fund or a
There are four specific areas of tax policy private bank. Concessional tax treatment of
that influence where the policy debate certain savings instruments is particularly
in India is mature and articulated in the important insofar as it distorts price discov-
. Tax policy for an IFC in Mumbai 163
ery for the yield curve. The adoption that are applicable to financial transactions:
of a rational tax policy in these respects is • The securities transaction tax ( )
inextricably bound to having an emerge applies to some kinds of securities: e.g.,
in India that is viable. equity spot and derivative transactions.
• Registration duties/fees need to be
3.3. LLPs as tax-efficient
paid for specific services provided by
pass-throughs
government in recording contract and
In creating sophisticated financial products
deeds. The government maintains
or structures the need keeps recurring
a registry of deeds in return for a
for a ‘corporate or partnership’ structure
fee. Government agents (called ‘sub-
that supports tax-efficient transmission of
registrars’) do not verify the legal validity
cash-flows coupled with specific types of
of documents; they focus only on the
financial contracts. Internationally, such a
payment of the correct fee. The payment
structure is provided by the Limited Liability
of the registration fee does not entitle
Partnership (). Examples include:
the payee to a guaranteed legal title.
• A securitisation special purpose vehicle • Stamp duty is a tax on the value of in-
() can be in the form of an . It struments used in various transactions.
would be the placeholder for a certain
contractual set of obligations through All three of these are cascading taxes; they
which cash-flows would come into are comparable with excise taxes in the case
the . These cash-flows would be of manufactured and traded goods.
transmitted to the holders of securities
issued by the . The itself 4.1. Taxation of transactions distorts
would need to be a tax pass-through, the conduct of business
while the cash-flows reach their eventual In the real economy, it is now a well accepted
beneficial owners and get taxed in their principle that turnover is an inappropriate
tax-domiciles. If double-taxation takes base for taxation. When transactions are
place – if the cash-flow gets taxed once taxed, this leads to a cascading impact. The
at the and again in the tax domicile incidence of such taxes falls to a greater
of the owner of the security – then extent upon processes that involve several
securitisation cannot take place. stages of production. Transaction taxes
encourage vertical integration i.e., they
• ‘Hedge funds’ are invariably structured
encourage transactions to occur within the
as . The lack of an structure
firm (rather than between independent
in India hinders the development of
firms) so as to incur lower taxes. This runs
hedge funds as an institutional investing
contrary to a key feature of a mature market
mechanism although these funds are
economy, where firms are specialised to
now the mainstays of other s. In dis-
focus on core competencies, and where
allowing them, India is doing enormous
transactions take place between firms.
damage to itself.
Transaction taxes give firms a bias in favour
Some development work towards getting of some production mechanisms over others:
structures legitimised in India has been these biases distort the organisation of
taking place, but it is more focused on the production and firms.
needs of professional services firms such as The identical issues apply in the
lawyers or accountants. Such development taxation of financial transactions. A financial
needs to take into account the needs of the firm can be thought of as buying raw
as a key building block of sophisticated materials (securities or money on its assets
financial structures. side) in order to produce finished goods
(securities on its liabilities side). The
4. Taxation of financial activities of a typical financial firm consist
transactions of a set of transactions that transform risk
At present, there are three main kinds of and return in a variety of ways to meet the
transactions (i.e., turnover) taxes in India needs of different customers. In finance,
164 R M I F C
Box 12.2: Case Study on Swedish experience with transaction taxes, –
The research literature suggests that with those involving equity options being seen over 30% of all trading volume in Swedish
transaction taxes can have negative effects on as the least useful. Continuing pressure from equities. By 1990, that share increased to
price discovery, volatility, liquidity, and lead to the Left compelled Parliament to double rates around 50%. Only 27% of the trading volume
a reduction in the informational efficiency of in July 1986, and broaden its coverage in in Ericsson, the most actively traded Swedish
markets (Habermeier and Kirilenko, 2003). 1987. Furthermore, following large losses in stock, took place in Stockholm in 1988.
One fascinating experiment with the interest rate futures and options (most notably In the Swedish experience, revenues from
introduction, and then the repeal, of a by the City of Stockholm, which lost SEK 450 the STT were poor for two reasons: shift in
securities transaction tax took place from million), the tax was extended to transactions turnover to venues free of STT, and the decline
October 1983 to December 1991 in Sweden in fixed-income securities, including in share prices associated with the tax and its
(Umlauf, 1993; Campbell and Froot, 1995). government debt and the corresponding impact upon market liquidity.
Left-wing political parties in Sweden derivatives in 1989. The maximum tax rate for
Broadening the tax to fixed-income
believed that trading on financial markets was fixed-income instruments was set at 0.15% of
instruments resulted in a sharp drop in trading
an undesirable activity. It was argued that “the the underlying notional or cash amount. In
volume in Swedish government bills and bonds
salaries earned by young finance professionals addition, the tax was designed to be and in fixed-income derivatives contracts.
were unjustifiable in a society giving high yield-neutral, with longer maturity instruments During the first week of the tax, bond trading
priority to income equality, especially given the being taxed at progressively higher rates. volume dropped by about 85% from its
seemingly unproductive tasks that they The empirical experience with revenues average during the summer of 1987 and
performed”. Despite the objections of the from STT was poor. When rates were doubled trading in fixed-income derivatives essentially
Swedish Finance Ministry and the financial in July 1986, tax collections only went up by disappeared. This significantly undermined the
industry, popular support led to the adoption 22%. Customers were avoiding the tax by ability of the Bank of Sweden to conduct
of the STT by Parliament in October 1983, with shifting their order flow to London or New monetary policy, made government borrowing
effect from January 1, 1984. The STT was York. The first thing which dried up was the more expensive, and eroded both popular and
levied on domestic stock and derivative order flow from foreign investors. Domestic political support for the tax. Taxes on
transactions. Purchases and sales of domestic investors avoided the STT by first establishing fixed-income instruments were abolished in
equities were taxed at 0.5% each, resulting in offshore accounts (and paying the tax equal to April 1990. Taxes on other instruments were
a 1% tax per round trip. Round-trip three times the round-trip tax on equity for cut in half in January 1991 and abolished
transactions in stock options were taxed at funds moved offshore) and then using foreign altogether in December 1991.
2%. In addition, exercise of an option was brokers. The scale of avoidance was Following the abolition of the tax, some
treated as a transaction in the underlying stock manifested by a massive migration of stock trading volume came back to Sweden. By
and, thus, was subject to an additional one trading volume from Stockholm to other 1992, roughly 56% of trading in Swedish
percent round-trip charge. financial centres. Following the doubling of equities took place in Sweden. Once lost to
The tax coverage and rates were based on the tax, 60% of the traded volume of the 11 other centres such trading volume becomes
populist notions about the usefulness of most actively traded Swedish stocks migrated extremely difficult for countries to bring back
transactions in different financial instruments, to London. The migrated volume represented home.
Centre and States – that are harmonised in on transactions would ensure that there
terms of tax policy and administration. The would, in all probability, be no trading
incidence of falls on consumption in in/from Mumbai at all. Without stamp
the domestic economy; foreign consumers duties and other forms of ‘local’ taxation to
are not taxed. All parts of the economy – capture, state and city politicians may ask:
including the financial sector – would be “What does Mumbai gain from having an
covered by . This objective is consistent ?” The answer is that:
with both modern economic reasoning • First, the two-part proposed
(Auerbach and Gordon, ) and with involves a layer that consists of a
the establishment of an in India. In consumption tax enforced at the State
the context of debates about treatment of level. This would generate incremental
domestic firms versus foreign firms, the revenues in proportion to the substantial
comes down very clearly, seeking to have incremental consumption opportunities
identical treatment of all firms. created by having an in Mumbai; i.e.,
From the viewpoint of Indian public as a consequence of having more global
finance, the emergence of an in Mumbai financial firms locating in Mumbai to
would generate tax revenues through: trade and employing a far greater
(a) taxes on the income of individuals number of high-income people from
working in the industry; (b) corporate Mumbai and abroad.
income taxes applied to the firms operating That would create downstream
in the ; and (c) the GST applied to opportunities for providing these
value added by the industry when selling incoming high-income firms and people
to local customers. Once these three with the usual range of incremental
sources of tax revenue are in place, it goods and services (from homes, to cars,
should become possible to simultaneously refrigerators, washing machines, food,
remove all turnover taxes, including stamp clothing, household linen and durables,
duty, registration duty and the securities domestic helpers, chauffeurs, peons,
transaction tax (). clerical workers, secretaries, finance
Applying the to financial services professionals and paraprofessionals
is sound in principle. But the practical such as accountants, book-keepers,
difficulties of achieving this outcome need auditors, compliance officers, as well
to be better appreciated. The European as restaurants, laundries, bakeries,
Union pioneered building an -scale clubs, cinemas, theatres, bookshops,
on finance. Its experience has highlighted hairdressers, fuel, gas stations, etc. etc.)
But it would also have incremental
many areas of complex decision-making in
costs: i.e., by generating new needs for
tax policy and tax administration. India
infrastructure (homes, office space, re-
needs to approach the construction of a
tail space, water, power, telecommunica-
on finance as a multi-year process, to be
tions, roads, sewerage, storm drainage,
undertaken delicately and thoughtfully.
parking, airlines, airports, trains etc.),
for law and order, security, and for phys-
6. Mumbai as an IFC: Tax ical/social recreation. Such investment
Implications for could be made through PPPs thus saving
Maharashtra and Mumbai the state and the city from making the
actual investment necessary in creating
This chapter underlines the principle that such facilities.
there is no role for taxation of transactions The additional demand created for
on financial services – whether for or goods and services by an in Mumbai
(domestic financial services). Hence, would generate a significant amount of
neither Mumbai nor Maharashtra should additional revenue for the city and the
expect a new revenue base emerging from state without having to resort either to
large trading volumes of in Mumbai. In directly taxing transactions, or the
fact turnover taxes (like stamp duties) levied profits of firms providing or trading
. Tax policy for an IFC in Mumbai 167
Attributes, Characteristics and Capa- London New York Tokyo Singapore Frankfurt Mumbai
bilities of an IFC: (Scale of 0–10 with
0 = worst; 10 = best)
Attributes, Characteristics and Capa- Mumbai Hong Kong Labuan Seoul Sydney Dubai
bilities of an IFC: (Scale of 0–10 with
0 = worst; 10 = best)
13
In contemplating the creation of an in can take place with transacting coun-
India, the metropolis of Mumbai, backed terparties from Tokyo to London i.e.,
by the human resources of India as a whole, covering all of Asia, the and every-
has six manifestly visible strengths: where in between. While the Americas chapter
are beyond daytime conversations with
. Hinterland advantage: Mumbai is the Mumbai, the experience of services,
financial and commercial capital of / and call centre industries has
one of the largest and fastest-growing shown that this handicap can be over-
countries in the world. India is already come. The same will be true of the
the world’s fourth largest economy in industry. There is no operating in
terms after the , China and the Indian time-zone; resulting in a wide
Japan. By it will be the fourth largest empty space ( time zones) between the
in nominal terms. By it will be the clusters of s in the East (Tokyo, Hong
third largest. India’s rapid growth has Kong, Singapore and Sydney) and the
resulted in a phenomenal increase in West (London, Paris, Amsterdam, Frank-
two-way cross-border financial flows furt and New York). Dubai, for instance,
that are related to trade and investment. is using its location, straddling these
Those flows are inducing high growth in time zones as a selling point for .
demand. Mumbai is to India what But it does not have many of the advan-
New York is to the (see Chapter ). tages that Mumbai has (human capital,
. Human capital: India has high well-developed exchanges and trading
quality, low cost human capital (at platforms, a large hinterland market,
all skill/knowledge levels) with English support capability) while having some
speaking ability for a world class advantages that Mumbai does not have:
industry that can export successfully to i.e., excellent infrastructure, good urban
the world. But such human capital is governance, political and administra-
being absorbed at a rapid rate across tive drive, the makings of a global city
all service industries, and specialised with expatriates from all over the world,
knowledge in the frontiers of finance is and an ambition to succeed, with no
weak. Much needs to be done by way domestic political economy constraints
of education and training to expand holding it back.
the human resource base in terms of its . Democracy and Rule-of-Law: Properly
width and depth. These constraints are functioning financial markets require
discussed later in this chapter. a basis for governance that is stable,
. Location: In the -hour trading en- reliable, resilient and flexible; i.e.,
vironment of what is now an increas- one that reduces future political
ingly integrated global financial mar- risks and uncertainty. While these
ket (encompassing countries and are important strengths, they are
embracing many significant emerging accompanied by equally important
markets as well) a well placed location difficulties in governance of Mumbai
that permits contact with participants and of India’s financial regime. These
in this market during daylight can be a issues are discussed later in this chapter.
significant strategic advantage. In work- . Mindshare: High growth, the
ing hours, conversations from Mumbai phenomenon, and the remarkable
172 R M I F C
success of Indians in global finance all prominent role in the top global
over the world, serve to ensure that India financial firms. They are well-positioned
has significant ‘mindshare’ at senior to intermediate between the business
decision-making levels of most global strategies of these vital firms and the
financial firms. genuine strengths and weaknesses of
. Strong securities markets and techno- India as an .
logically advanced trading platforms:
India has established a beach-head for The international image of India today
providing global by virtue of its involves a ‘high-skill with high motivation
dynamic, technologically capable securi- and high adaptability’ labour force for almost
ties trading platforms in the and all service export industries. The attitude of
. These are the rd and th biggest ambition and hard work is epitomised in a
exchanges in the world measured by vol- statement of Shri Kamal Nath, the Indian
ume of transactions. Minister of Commerce: “In India, a hour
Three of these six factors constitute working week is considered part-time”.
unambiguous strengths: hinterland Table . applies the same -to-
advantage, location and mindshare. scoring scheme, utilised earlier in this report,
The remaining three issues represent in making a cross-country comparison of
strengths, but a nuanced analysis reveals human skills in various kinds of finance
many important flaws. In the case of functions. Mumbai is compared against
securities markets and trading platforms, established and emerging s. It shows
these issues have been dealt with at that Mumbai has some strengths when
length earlier in the report. It was argued compared with established s. But at
that the framework of financial sector the same time, the table does not support
policy and regulation at present severely simplistic triumphalism of a kind often
limits India’s ability to utilise and expressed about the superiority of the Indian
fully in order to obtain an edge in labour advantage. While India has a certain
international competition. In this presence in the finance labour force, there
chapter, we turn to a careful analysis are many areas of weakness.
of the two remaining points: human India is weak in not yet being a full
capital, and the issue of democracy and beneficiary (because it does not yet have its
rule-of-law. own ) of the globally mobile expatriate
workforce in finance. To be sure, Indian
1. Human capital needs for IFS expatriates populate almost all the English-
speaking s. The three s and
India has four strengths by way of human would not be able to function as
capital endowments that give it an edge over well as they do without them. But these
other emerging s as far as the utility of its expatriates choose to live in these s
human capital endowments for competitive and change their nationality rather than
provision is concerned: remaining India-centric. By contrast, the
. The extensive use of English, which is the financial community of British, American,
lingua franca of international finance; Australian, Japanese, Canadian, Singaporean
and European nationals is genuinely globally
. Generations of experience with en- mobile, shifting continually across s at
trepreneurship, speculation, trading in home and abroad, while remaining anchored
securities and derivatives, risk taking, to their nationalities and homelands. They
and accounting. Indeed the ability to
accrue significant benefits for their home
provide competitively seems geneti-
economies by doing so. Having an
cally coded into Indian finance profes-
in Mumbai would enable India to
sionals;
shift from exporting its best financial
. Strong skills in information technology talents permanently, to retaining a hold
and quantitative thinking; on such talent in the future by providing
. Individuals of Indian origin play a greater global mobility, combined with an
. A perspective on Mumbai’s strengths 173
Table 13.1: Cross country comparison of human capital support for the IFS Industry
London New York Tokyo Singapore Mumbai Hong Kong Seoul Sydney Dubai
attachment to the homeland, that will prove is only % of the total university educated
mutually beneficial. workforce in India, compared to % in
A McKinsey Global Institute Survey Germany and % in China.
estimates India’s pool of young university Some evidence from the World Eco-
graduates (those with years or less of nomic Forum and from (Switzerland)
experience) at million – the largest of comparing India against some other coun-
the countries surveyed. This is . times tries on workforce skills is shown in Ta-
that of China and almost twice that of the ble .. There are divergent views between
. This pool increases by about . million the two sources on the educational system:
every year. But, only a fraction of this pool ranks India at th out of (i.e., in
has credible, usable skills. managers the top decile) while ranks the educa-
surveyed estimate that only –% of tional system at th out of (i.e., in the
this pool would be suitable for an bottom third). India scores high on edu-
environment. That is half the proportion in cation and staff quality in finance in both
Central Europe. The reason for this outcome instances.
is ascribed to: (a) extreme variability in the One aspect of labour quality concerns
quality of tertiary educational institutions support services – e.g., accounting, legal
– India has a handful of the best such services, business consulting and support
– that are typically outsourced by financial
institutions in the world; but they co-exist
firms. These services complete the skill
alongside too many of the worst; (b) high
sets required by an . The presence, for
rates of emigration of graduates from India’s
instance, of highly specialised printing firms
top quality institutions to countries;
with tight internal security arrangements,
and (c) the inadequacy of communication
has become a complex specialised service in
skills in English except for the top tier of
the market, given increasingly stringent
students from the better institutions who
regulatory disclosure and insider-trading
come from relatively high income groups prohibitions. Hitherto, a combination of
and class backgrounds. In terms of technical legal and commercial skills was a prized
and quantitative skills, only . million requirement in financial contracts; this
students hold engineering degrees. That combination is now meshed with specialised
“Ensuring India’s offshoring future”, Diana Farrell, printing skills.
Noushir Kaka and Sacha Sturze, in Fulfilling India’s Broadly speaking, in a cross-country
Promise (McKinsey Quarterly Special Edition ). comparison, India fares well in these support
174 R M I F C
(a): Global Competitiveness Report 2004/05, World Economic Forum, (104 countries);
(b): World Competitiveness Yearbook 2005, Institute for Management Development, Switzerland, (60 countries)
services, except in the case of global law Modern post- finance knowledge,
firms, where India lags other s. One at present, in India is weak; especially
way of developing capacities rapidly in the on the part of senior executives in most
support services and financial segments Indian financial firms as well as in the upper
mentioned above is to attract dominant echelons of financial regime governance.
players in these segments into the . Lacking such knowledge and familiarity
London got a major boost when Deutsche with the kinds of operations and risks
Bank decided to move its global operations involved in derivatives markets for instance,
there. The presence of all the big investment the approach taken in India is to avoid
and commercial banks provides a critical these activities altogether or to constrain
mass to financial operations in Singapore. them to a point of irrelevance. Mainstream
Emerging s like Dubai are pulling out programs have a heterogeneous intake,
and do not delve into modern quantitative
all the stops to attract global financial talent
finance. Staff quality at universities
supported by middle management and lower
is inadequate when compared with the
level labour skills for from India.
requirements of teaching modern finance.
Although there are still many regulatory
As an example, the Heath-Jarrow-Morton
restrictions on the entry of foreign banks
model is the workhorse of thinking about
into its domestic banking market, India fixed income derivatives. There are probably
has not been able to attract large capital not more than five individuals working at
markets players, even though there are universities in India who understand this
fewer restrictions on their entry in that model.
sub-segment. That is mainly because the Indian finance professionals have
development of major areas of financial a reputation for being quantitatively
activity in which such institutions excel (e.g., competent. This is rooted in the high quality
mergers and acquisitions, risk management, of high school education in India, where
currency trading, interest-rate arbitrage, everyone going through the th Standard
corporate-sovereign-sub-sovereign bond learns calculus. Many engineers who turn
issuance, hedge funds) are also artificially to finance are skilled in calculus and linear
proscribed in India. algebra. But they often do not know as
Table 13.3: Rankings: Quality and Capacity of Business Support Services to sustain an IFC
London New York Tokyo Singapore Mumbai Hong Kong Seoul Sydney Dubai
much about probability theory. Finance School ( ) and the London School of
professionals in London do more computer Economics () supported by mathematics
programming, while their counterparts in and quantum physics graduates from nearby
Mumbai are likely to use a spreadsheet. Oxford and Cambridge which are an hour’s
If Mumbai is to emerge as an , drive away. But they do not quite compare
substantial skills development will be as yet with the sheer cerebral firepower in
required to overcome a potential human quantitative finance that is concentrated at
capital supply constraint in financial services: the top institutions.
especially in the areas of stochastic calculus Singapore has the National University
and analytical financial economics. Middle of Singapore ( ). In a recent and
level executives and senior staff employees remarkable achievement, the ‘Singapore
of financial firms, who knew mathematics Management University’ has been created.
when they were in their twenties, need to This is a private university, created in
go back to learning probability, statistics, using public funding. It operates in the
analytical financial economics and computer heart of the city, in order to maximise
programming. The flow of young people the two-way flows of knowledge between
coming into the finance field needs to have the industry and the university. It pays
a much stronger grounding in probability, globally competitive wages in order to
statistics, analytical financial economics and attract world class researchers. Singapore
computer programming. Management University is very young when
New York has the Stern School of compared with the IIMs, and it has only
Business at New York University (), and one campus when compared with the
the Economics Department at Columbia numerous IIMs. Yet, a google search for
University. It is also supported by schools “singapore management university” already
in close proximity such as , Wharton yields , hits while a google search
and Chicago that excel in quantitative for “indian institute of management” yields
finance. London has the London Business ,. This suggests that Singapore
176 R M I F C
London New York Tokyo Singapore Hong Kong Seoul Sydney Dubai
Management University has been able of openness. Respect for property rights
to very rapidly build up a presence and is strong (more in principle than practice).
achieve impact. In addition, the Singapore India has, in the past expropriated property
government is working with over a dozen and undertaken sweeping nationalisations
global universities, attracting them to in finance and industry. That history should
establish campuses in Singapore. In theoretically count against it as far as having
contrast, India has presented a forbidding an is concerned although London was in
environment where foreign universities are a similar situation when the also resorted
unable to establish operations in India. to nationalisations that it later reversed.
Mumbai has no institutions (except And, in the era of nationalisation in the
perhaps ) where a few of the highest- , London’s fortunes as an definitely
calibre intellectuals inhabit an ivory tower, suffered.
conduct on-going research programmes As Fareed Zakaria has emphasised, the
with Indian financial firms at the frontiers heart of a democracy (and its protection
of finance, and teach the next generation and safe-keeping) lies in the quality of its
of finance professionals. Mumbai lacks judiciary and not only in the legislature or
the wealth of conferences, seminars, short- in elections. The infrastructure for law and
term continuing education courses, and order, and contract enforcement, are central
intellectual life that sustains the top end of to a vibrant democracy. They directly affect
the financial services industry. The top ten the credibility/viability of Mumbai as an
books on the desks of quantitative financial emerging .
professionals in global financial firms are India is a thriving democracy – the
available off the shelf at bookshops in New world’s largest, most complex and most
York, London and Singapore. But they are vibrant – supported by a legal system that
almost impossible to find in Mumbai and is now being strained at the seams with
have to be acquired abroad. India lacks not the rapid growth and progress that has
just the sophisticated mathematical skills it occurred since the s. The length of
needs in its financial services workforce it time taken for cases to progress through the
lacks teachers in these disciplines and simply legal system and the consequent enormous
does not produce enough of an annual flow backlog of cases that has built up in
of them. the lower civil courts, impinges on the
question of whether India has a legal system
2. Democracy, Rule-of-Law and environment that is sufficiently supportive of
the swift resolution of conflicts and disputes
the Legal System
arising from the settlement/enforcement of
India has a long tradition of free and fair complex international financial contracts.
elections, freedom of speech, and a spirit That in turn influences the prospects of
. A perspective on Mumbai’s strengths 177
Strength of
Extent of Extent of Ease of investor
disclosure director shareholder protection
index liability index suits index index Procedures Time
(0–10) (0–10) (0–10) (0–10) (number) (days)
Singapore 10 9 9 9.3 23 69
United States 7 9 9 8.3 17 250
Hong Kong, China 10 8 8 8.7 16 211
United Kingdom 10 7 7 8 14 288
Australia 8 2 8 6 11 157
Japan 6 7 7 6.7 16 60
Germany 5 5 6 5.3 26 175
Korea 7 2 5 4.7 29 75
Malaysia 10 9 7 8.7 31 300
France 10 1 5 5.3 21 75
Taiwan, China 8 4 4 5.3 28 210
UAE 4 8 2 4.7 53 614
China 10 1 2 4.3 25 241
providing to the global market from consensus that there was considerable scope
Mumbai on an efficient, competitive basis for improving governance at all levels of
and of Mumbai becoming a competitive the system –particularly at sub-sovereign
in the foreseeable future. levels. It felt that governance standards in
Using the same techniques as in earlier India needed to approach world standards
chapters, the comparative Table . ranks as rapidly as possible if Mumbai prospects
various established and emerging s on a for emerging as an that was credible
series of layered governance variables. As in in global financial markets were not to be
the case of legal comparators shown in an compromised.
earlier chapter, the felt that it was not The most critical role of the State
in a position to derive subjective rankings (and the government in power at the time
on these variables for Mumbai. Consensus exercising the functions of the State), as far as
could not be achieved on quantitative scores its citizens and residents are concerned, is its
for Mumbai, given the degree of subjective ability (with the infrastructure and human
judgement involved in coming up with capacity it has in place) to uphold the law,
such scores. But the did have broad to ensure the maintenance of law and order
Singapore 16 30 19.5
United States 9 325 21.5
Hong Kong, China 1 80 14.3
United Kingdom 22 – 52.9
Australia 12 107 37
Japan 26 315 34.6
Germany 32 105 50.3
Korea 26 290 29.6
Malaysia 28 – 11.6
France 29 72 42.8
Taiwan, China 15 296 23.6
United Arab Emirates 15 12 8.9
China 34 584 46.9
India 59 264 43.2
through enforcement capability (i.e., the areas. On the specific question that exercises
effectiveness of its police forces and other the mind of those operating in an – i.e.,
mechanisms), to prevent crime and provide the problem of enforcing a contract, this
security for persons and their property, to takes on average days in India, far longer
enforce property and creditor rights fairly than in any other country shown in the table
and impartially, and to resolve contractual with the exception of the .
disputes through the due processes of law. Finally, an important aspect concerning
In all these respects it is no secret that the functioning of the State in a country
much progress needs to be made at sovereign intent on establishing an – that auto-
and sub-sovereign levels of governance to matically requires extensive participation
arrive at global standards. The challenge by international firms and individuals – at a
of a third world country attempting to procedural level is the overhead and com-
achieve first world standards in these areas is plexity of its tax system. Table . below
daunting; but India has made a promising shows that in India, there are distinct tax
start with domestic expectations rising as payments made by a firm, a task which takes
rapidly as incomes. The believes up man-hours per year. This compares
that progress in governance at all levels – in poorly with alternative s like Dubai or
the public and private sectors – needs to be Singapore.
commensurate with rate of progress in other
Urban infrastructure and
governance
14
1. The importance of high in turn need to be supported by high
quality urban infrastructure quality electric power supply (with minimal
voltage and current fluctuations) and with
for an IFC
sufficient back-up to minimize (to nearly chapter
While the answer may seem obvious, or it zero probability) the risks of interruption.
may be otiose, the question has to be asked: For these reasons, production re-
Why do successful s, like London, New quires a venue where physical infrastruc-
York or Singapore, need to have such high ture (i.e., residential and commercial space,
quality urban infrastructure? For two main power, water, waste disposal, transportation
reasons: and communications) has to be of the high-
The first concerns productivity: Inter- est quality in order to be globally competi-
national finance involves highly compen- tive. Deficiencies in infrastructure increase
sated specialists with unusual knowledge- direct and indirect production costs.
experience skill sets. They are busy and need They hurt finance directly by confounding
to make the most of their time. To them, the the mission-critical processes of the securi-
costs of delay, non-performance, or failure ties markets and payments, and by placing
on their part are inordinately high. pro- onerous coping costs upon every firm which
vision involves intensive national, regional has to plan on failures of public infrastruc-
and inter-continental travel and -hour ture and incur additional costs privately in
telecommunications connectivity. In that order to compensate for these shortcomings.
respect it is unlike , which takes place The indirect cost imposed by poor infras-
in an isolated campus with staff-persons tructure is upon the wasted staff time of
who mostly sit at their desks all day long. high-skill and high-wage finance profession-
In contrast, production involves inten- als, and the opportunity cost suffered when
sive intra- and extra-city travel for meeting tasks which could be performed in Mumbai
clients, exchanging information and analysis, are directed elsewhere as a response to the
negotiating and putting together transac- weaknesses of Mumbai.
tions that often involve a consortium of As has been argued elsewhere in
cooperating financial firms. this report, an abundance of fibre-optic
Moreover production in an cables and video-conferencing have not
is highly systems dependent. That is removed the fundamental role of face-
true not just for financial firms operating to-face meetings for the most important
in an , but for exchanges and trading negotiations and decisions. A day in the
platforms, payment and settlement systems, life of a skilled worker in production
and regulators who need to exert continuous may involve an early morning breakfast
surveillance over transactions in real time. meeting at a club or hotel, a long commute
All this requires not just sophisticated to work, moving around several different
hardware (and immediately available meeting venues within the city throughout
hardware maintenance) but also software the day to meet clients, colleagues in other
and software support capacity, along firms, accountants, lawyers, consultants,
with stable and reliable systems of high- along with lunch and dinner meetings
quality air-conditioning and ventilation to before returning home after a -to--hour
maintain constant atmospheric conditions day. That daily routine is interspersed
of temperature and humidity. All these during the week and month with air
180 R M I F C
travel around the country and across the origin. All these people have a choice of
world. living and working in any city in the world.
Mumbai faces a tall hurdle in being Their choice will hinges on the attractiveness
hospitable to this kind of individual. More of a city as a place in which to live, work
than half of his/her day can be spent stuck and play. All the attributes that a city must
in traffic. Mumbai needs to match at least have – as a hospitable, friendly, welcoming,
the mundane efficiencies of London, New efficient and pleasant environment – matter
York and Singapore in order to be a credible very much in influencing the decisions made
venue for production. by this community.
There is a paradoxical effect at work Once again, the more skilled a person
in having the city and country make is, the more sensitive he/she will be to
a transition from to . The the wastage of time, and the disutility
more skilled a person, and the higher associated with the very large number of
the opportunity cost of time, the less mundane irritations imposed by Mumbai
inclined that person will be to spend time on its residents such as poor roads, air
in Mumbai’s traffic, or in solving mundane and noise pollution, road and rail traffic
problems of power, water or electricity, or congestion, poor health and safety standards
law and order. Hence, as long as the urban and frequent city shut-downs.
problems of Mumbai are not resolved more These realities make Mumbai an
decisively, there will remain a bias in favour unattractive urban environment for housing
of keeping the junior staff-persons of global an . They need to be tackled and
financial firms in Mumbai to do the low- overcome on a war footing after long years
value work required. High-value work of delay and many declarations of intent
will migrate to proximate centres that are that remain to be translated into action
better endowed with infrastructure and with plans for a new reality. Yet, despite all
much higher, more efficient standards of city its shortcomings, Mumbai remains the
administration and urban governance i.e., financial and commercial hub of India.
Dubai and Singapore. This kind of fracture Those who wish to serve the Indian market
will frustrate the goal of Mumbai becoming for will have little choice but to endure
an that can capture high value addition its privations and put even further pressure
in work. on the city’s limited resources and drive up
The second, related issue is that the accommodation and land prices. But those
most skilled staff-persons in global finance privations will not be endured by global
have choices about where they are located clients of an who have other choices.
and where their time is spent. Initially The highest skill individuals specialised
Mumbai’s role as an is likely to be in providing are precisely those who
limited to serving mainly the Indian market would make a material difference to
for – in other words it will be an Mumbai’s aspirations to become an .
more like Tokyo and the continental s It has oft been remarked by the cognoscenti
rather than like the three s. That who have lived and worked in the three
initial phase will probably stretch from s that, more often than not, the
around –. It will require additional most innovative ideas in production
infrastructure. are exchanged by imaginative, creative
But those demands are unlikely to be as financial architects, engineers and artists
great as those made when Mumbai enters over cups of coffee. The most fundamental
its second phase (from onwards) and ingredient in a vibrant is the intellectual
attempts to compete with the three s. and commercial interplay between a large
A defining issue for Mumbai’s becoming a number of heterogeneous requirements and
credible post- will be the challenge viewpoints.
of attracting around , high level people A successful is one that brings a
of the kind typically employed by global diverse array of knowledge into financial
financial firms in the three s. Only problem solving through lateral thinking,
–% of these are likely to be of Indian and constructing creative links across diverse
. Urban infrastructure and governance 181
groups of players. This requires a large Hence, the most critical task in a
number of conversations and a wide range strategy for making Mumbai an is the
of participants in these conversations. challenge of upgrading the city to world
If Mumbai is a hospitable and attractive standards in terms of the quality of its
city to a globally mobile population of infrastructure and, even more importantly,
high-level providers, then a person the quality of its governance. For Mumbai
who comes to Mumbai for a meeting on to become a successful , the best minds
a Friday is more likely to stay over on in global finance will need to perceive it
the weekend for amusement or leisure. as a city that is as attractive as the other
The stray conversations of the weekend three established s in terms of locating
can ignite further -related business. If their families, educating their children,
Mumbai is inhospitable, and the person and as a venue for furthering their own
concerned cannot wait for his flight to careers and for enhancing their lives. If
depart the same evening, these conversations Mumbai is not perceived in that way by this
and informal relationships, and thus the highly mobile community with extremely
business they contribute to the , are demanding standards then it will not succeed
lost. as a even if it manages to survive
The growth and success of the Indian as a more limited serving India’s
economy does not automatically overcome needs on a partial rather than total
the problem of an inhospitable Mumbai for basis.
. In fact, in the short-term, it appears In offering this observation, the
to be making that problem much worse Committee realises the challenge it poses
as the city is unable – in a meaningful to all levels of government in India,
sense other than haphazard building – Maharashtra and Mumbai. It may be that the
to cope with the consequences of such human talent needed to manage and run a
rapid growth in a deliberate, planned world class city may have to be sourced from
way that allows for carefully designed wherever it exists to upgrade dramatically
urban regeneration, redevelopment and the quality of local city administration. It
expansion. If India is successful, but is by no means easy to create and govern
Mumbai continues to be a hostile urban a first world global city in a third world
environment, then global financial firms environment. But it is not impossible.
intent on expanding their India-related Malaysia has managed to do that with Kuala
business will continue to make key Lumpur; although that city does not have
decisions connected with India as they are the advantages of the vast Indian market and
doing now: i.e., in New York, Singapore, and is obliterated from competition in the
London. race by having Singapore on its doorstep
Perhaps over time some of the executive with vastly superior capabilities. China
functions undertaken in those s for has managed to do that with Hong Kong,
India-related business may migrate to Beijing and Shanghai. South Africa has
Dubai if the manages to establish managed to do that with Johannesburg.
itself in the face of Mumbai’s (and India’s) Brazil has managed to accomplish the same
failure to come to grips with the physical with Rio de Janeiro and Sao Paulo. Chile has
infrastructure challenges that both city and managed to do that with Santiago and so
country face. The creation of is on. The problems faced in Mumbai are
predicated partly on anticipating such failure. not new, having been solved by dozens
In this scenario, relatively junior staff will of cities, including many in the third
be placed in Mumbai to maintain regular world.
client contact at managerial (rather than To accomplish that difficult, but by no
senior executive) levels and to undertake means impossible task central and state level
routine process work. Senior executives policy-makers may have to consider the
will travel infrequently to Mumbai to short-term perpetration of an inequity quite
handle the more critical functions and deliberately, as an investment in the future
decisions. not just of Mumbai but of India. What
182 R M I F C
needs to be done is to recreate Mumbai Table 14.1: Index of fully loaded costs per head
(London = 100)
within the next – years (i.e., in –
) as a forerunner, at the city level, of London 100
what India should become in the next New York 96
– years – i.e., a developed country. Paris 97
Frankfurt 84
Meeting the challenge of making Mumbai Hong Kong 99
an capable of graduating to status Mumbai 36
relatively quickly is not a secondary issue.
Source: The Competitive Position of London as a Global
It ranks as being equally important to the
Financial Centre, the Corporation of London, November
major transformation that is required of the 2005. Based on Z/Yen Limited, 2005 Cost per Trade
license-permit raj in Indian finance. Survey (July 2005).
In other words whether Mumbai
becomes a successful , and graduates
quickly to status, depends on whether in distorting reality and compromises the
two strategic challenges can be met achievement of the outcome.
simultaneously by the authorities in the
knowledge that the Indian private sector 2. Problems of cost
has the capacity to meet its operating Even though India is a third world country,
challenge. The two challenges confronting and labour costs in India are low, the
the authorities at central and state/municipal costs of renting office space in Mumbai are
levels respectively are: high when all components of establishment
cost are taken into account. This will
. Having the vision, resolve, and political deter the placement of activities in
courage/will to make the fundamental Mumbai.
wide and deep reforms needed across As Table . and . show, Mumbai
Indian finance to make it operate on has a significant cost advantages over most
global lines and integrate more rapidly s in countries; but it fares poorly
with the global financial system (a GoI when compared with Shanghai or Singapore,
challenge); and two cities which are likely to compete with
. Making the equally wide and deep ur- Mumbai in the space. The costs seen
ban policy reforms needed to upgrade in Mumbai are out of line with general cost
the quality of Mumbai’s infrastructure levels associated with India’s low per capita
and governance – so that it can become . As an example, even New Delhi –
a global city similar to the other GFCs; which has severe problems of urban policy
(a GoM and municipal challenge). itself – has costs that are much lower than
The most important aspect of becoming Mumbai’s.
an – with enormous beneficial side-
3. Cross-country comparison
effects for the Indian economy – lies in
In Table ., established and emerging s
attracting the people needed from around
are ranked for indices K through K, all
the world to live and work in Mumbai.
of which measure the quality of physical
Whether Indian or foreign, all of them can
and social infrastructure, and the living
live anywhere in the world they choose.
environment. Mumbai has two strengths:
For Mumbai to become an / this
(a) the use of English as the default language
community needs to choose to be in
for global and financial contracts; and
Mumbai. That basic reality needs to be
(b) the availability and quality of personal
seen for precisely what it is. Going for an
and domestic services. In the area of
in Mumbai is a policy choice that will telecommunications, Mumbai is increasingly
inevitably invoke social reactions in the city
closing the gap against other cities. In all
and require astute political management.
other areas, there is a huge gap between
Those reactions may be difficult to cope with.
Mumbai and the emergent s.
But it would be remiss to obscure this reality
for that reason; or attempt to deal with it Occupancy costs are defined as the average total
through a rhetorical compromise that results cost of leasing , sq.ft. ( sq.m.) of net usable
. Urban infrastructure and governance 183
Source: DTZ Research, Global Office Occupancy Costs Survey, January 2005
Table 14.3: Rankings: Quality of physical and social infrastructure and living environment
15
Throughout the chapters of this report In most cases the focus of other
a series of suggestions have been made Committees has not taken into account the
either implicitly (i.e., arising from the logic possibility of Mumbai becoming an .
of the arguments made) or explicitly in Their recommendations were crafted mainly chapter
the form of a specific change. These in a domestic context. Therefore it should
recommendations/suggestions have been not be surprising that in some instances
arrived at bearing in mind that the ToR of their findings may (implicitly) militate
the outlined a broad remit requiring against the establishment and successful
the Committee to raise any issue that, in operation of an . In many instances
its view, impinged upon the success of the recommendations may require
an in Mumbai. In some areas, the further detailed scrutiny by specialists to
recommendations of the concern convert broad ideas and suggestions for
formulating an appropriate approach. In change into specific ‘actionables’. With
other situations, the Committee has crafted this background in mind, the has
specific recommendations. In some attempted to draw an appropriate balance
situations, the Committee proposes a re- in making its recommendations in terms of
examination of certain issues by the Ministry their width, specificity and depth. These are
of Finance, recognising their bearing upon pulled together in coherent form below.
the issues of achieving an in Mumbai, In recommending that policy makers
but at the same time recognising that their opt for creating an Indian in Mumbai,
resolution requires more detailed treatment, for a variety of strategic reasons of national
which impinges upon many other issues interest, this chapter explicates what is
in economic policy. Putting both together, implicit. It collates and clusters its
the believes it has articulated a set recommendations under the following three
of immediate and medium term goals in pillars on which an has to be supported:
the form of a roadmap to put Mumbai on a
. The general macroeconomic environ-
trajectory for becoming an .
ment in which an operates and
The is mindful that it has not
the policy framework that affects its op-
been tasked specifically with looking into
erations and credibility in the global
detailed matters concerning macroeconomic
financial system.
policies (ie fiscal, monetary, exchange rate,
convertibility etc..) financial regulation . The agenda for further financial system
and regulatory architecture or, for that reform that needs to be carried through
matter, the prevailing legal or educational so that an can operate on a viable
systems. Nevertheless all these areas exert basis. Such reforms include changes
a considerable influence upon whether an that need to be made in: (a) financial
can be established in Mumbai and upon regime governance and regulation;
its prospects for success. Therefore they have (b) the development of ‘missing’ or weak
attracted our attention and comment. Other markets; (c) the development of globally
Committees have looked into some of these competitive institutions and financial
issues. The has taken their findings firms; and (d) other policies concerning
and suggestions fully into account in its the financial system and ensuring that
deliberations. That does not necessarily its growing need for qualified human
mean that it agrees with what has been capital are met.
suggested by others in every instance. . The agenda for urban infrastructure
188 R M I F C
comes even more potently dangerous when of differentiation and privilege of one
the conduct of an independent monetary economic agent over another strikes at the
policy is fused with the exercise of regula- roots of what makes a market economy
tory responsibility under circumstances in tick – i.e., a level playing field, equality of
which the state as the ultimate regulator is opportunity, application of the same rules
implicitly protecting its own interests as a to all players across the board regardless of
privileged economic agent as much as it is their ownership, no barriers to entry or exit,
protecting the wider interests of a market competition, innovation and adaptation
financial system. through unfettered freedom.
It is important for us to stress at The inescapable result of the accumu-
the outset that, in tracing this history lated legacy of pre-emptive and repressive
as a matter of fact, the does not policies in Indian finance has resulted in a
question the legitimacy or propriety of ‘lowest common denominator’ approach
what has happened and why. Nor is influencing the outlook and mindset of fi-
it advocating any particular ideological nancial policy and financial regime gover-
line. It is simply establishing the links nance. These deficiencies began to be cor-
between historical impulses, policy choices rected with the onset of ‘serious’ reforms in
and market/institutional outcomes in the –. Those reforms have gone far, wide
evolution of Indian finance since . In and deep in the real economy resulting in
opting, through a democratic process of a transformation of Indian manufacturing
choice, for a command-and-control type and of service industries such as services.
of economy between and , the But those reforms have not yet penetrated
State had the legitimacy and the right to India’s financial system to the same extent.
arrogate unto itself a special privileged Considerable progress has since been made;
position as a superior economic agent and especially on public finance, with tax re-
driver of development; as well as the prime forms and the passage of the Act. But
protector of wider social interests. That key issues and concerns remain that
public choice was supported by successive is obliged to illuminate and adumbrate in
electoral mandates. the context of establishing an :
But in shifting gears and transiting
toward a market oriented economy – which 1.1. On Economic Strategy, Fiscal
is what the reforms of onwards were all Policy and Deficit Financing
about – the legitimacy and ‘appropriateness’ . An in Mumbai would become
of that privileged position for the state as credible and successful more quickly
an economic agent, over other types of if India’s overall economic strategy was
economic agents, has come into question. It aimed at achieving and maintaining
causes systemic discomfort and dysfunction an average growth rate of % to
when the prerogatives and privileges of % between now and . With
the State as an economic agent are % growth, India’s nominal
maintained in a market economy which, expressed in dollars is likely to
by definition, does not recognise such double every – years. In terms of
prerogatives or privileges as legitimate or crude approximations, that would imply
functional. Markets – whether financial or India’s nominal dollar increasing
real – and market economies do not function from $ billion in to $. trillion
as they are intended to when economic in . It would increase again to
agents are differentiated in this fashion $. trillion by , and $ trillion
and when one type of agent (the State) by . Such growth would create a
maintains a privileged position over other favourable environment for an in
economic agents in terms of access to natural Mumbai to capture a huge hinterland
or financial resources, pre-emption in the advantage. These rates of growth are
ownership of productive or institutional achievable. Indeed they may be the
assets, or in access to factors that determine only way of generating sufficient public
a firm’s competitive abilities. That kind resources to deal with poverty, fiscal
190 R M I F C
deficit, and public debt reduction all at ratio as a ceiling. It has done no detailed
the same time. When is $ trillion, work on the range that would be appro-
a government that spends % of on priate; that was not its primary mandate.
welfare programs puts itself in a position By way of illustration, however, it does
to transfer about Rs. , per person suggest that ratios of –% have been
per month to the poorest one-sixth of adopted by different countries as being
the country’s population. Clearly, a % indicative of prudence. India needs to
real rate of growth cannot be achieved establish its own ratio for a debt/
unless extant, binding infrastructure ceiling after careful study, as a natural
and governance constraints are relieved. accompaniment to the deficit
Those key objectives would be facilitated reduction targets. That ceiling should
by India having its own in Mumbai. suggest to global markets India’s com-
mitment to fiscal prudence at all levels
. Despite the Act and a number of
of government. Total public debt in this
other measures that have been taken,
context would mean the outstanding
insufficient progress has been made
long and short term debt of central and
toward reducing the gross consolidated
state governments, as well as the debt of
fiscal deficit (GCFD ) to –% of
s guaranteed (directly or indirectly)
GDP . More progress needs to be
by o, and all contingent liabilities of
made to underline an unshakeable
central and state governments incurred
o commitment to establish the fiscal through off-balance sheet financing or
foundations for a rapidly growing – but
quasi-fiscal accounts. When these ad-
still ‘developing’ – economy in which a justments are made, the true debt/
‘newcomer’ must operate credibly. ratio of India is well in excess of %.
No IFC has taken off or thrived in any Public debt reduction depends, to a large
economy where such sizeable deficits degree, on fiscal deficit reduction. But it
have been incurred for so long. Global can be accelerated through programmes
markets are deterred from participating of public asset sales at all levels of gov-
in s whose home economies are ernment. Such sales would galvanise
fiscally incontinent because of a chronic capital markets, spur growth and result
inability to align public expenditure with in more foreign investment (portfolio
public revenue. Large deficits (and the and direct) to achieve a higher growth
build-up of an overhang of public debt) rate.
pose a latent threat to systemic stability
. In restructuring tax revenues to achieve
in the event of endogenous or exogenous
deficit reduction, particularly in the
shocks. Confidence in the is
context of an and the effects that
diminished in such an environment. For
taxes have on influencing financial
that reason, if having an is a strategic
system evolution, the HPEC would
objective to be achieved by India (and
recommend, broadly, that tax policy
for other obvious reasons as well), then
should implement the key principles
governments at all levels (central, state
determined by a series of expert
and local) need to exert greater political
committees starting from the mid
will over the next five years and beyond
s, and leading up to the FRBM Task
to reduce their respective fiscal deficits.
Force Report of . This involves a
. Related to the deficit reduction target simple tax code, with administrative
(and contributing to its achievement) efficiency, low tax rates, removal of
the HPEC would recommend progres- exemptions, and a tax system which
sive reduction of the total public debt places the main burden of taxation
to GDP ratio from the current level of on consumption rather than income
% of GDP to significantly less. That or saving. From an perspective,
reduction has already begun. It must be the HPEC recommends eliminating
sustained. The HPEC did not reach a transactions taxes in the form of the
consensus on any particular debt/GDP Securities Transaction Tax (STT) and
. The HPEC’s recommendations 191
prescriptive ‘rules-based’ regime under . Finally, in keeping with the recommen-
which the regulator and regulated dations made above for improving regu-
adopt adversarial and antagonistic latory approaches and practices, there
postures vis-à-vis one another; to may be a corresponding need for an
(b) the more flexible and state-of-the- accompanying change in regulatory ar-
art ‘principles-based’ regime or PBR chitecture and arrangements governing
pioneered in the by the Bank of the financial system as a whole and, less
England and embraced and applied importantly, to permit a credible
enthusiastically by its supervisory to emerge. Such a change, if made only
successor, the . is becoming to satisfy the needs of an , would be
more popular around the world. A akin to “a very small tail wagging a very
decade’s experience with it in the large dog”. The change has to be made
and elsewhere suggests that it is more for the sake of the financial system as
effective. The regime is more whole and not just for the sake of hav-
open, flexible and user-friendly. It ing an . But, in suggesting this, the
does not expect regulators to perceive observes that the interests of the
‘non-compliance’ as the natural default financial system as a whole, and those of
setting of regulated firms. It is non- an , happily coincide.
adversarial and more co-operative. It . When it comes to reconsidering regula-
expects regulated firms not only to obey tory architecture – whose foundations
and comply with the letter-of-the-law were set as early as with the original
(i.e., what is codified) but also with Act, although many amendments
its spirit (i.e., compliance with what have been made since – India has three
may be uncodified because it was not options, i.e.,:
anticipated, but was intended in any a. Keeping the extant architecture
event). For financial firms, is much in place but with improved co-
more demanding, since they are required ordination and co-operation to
to adhere to the spirit of the law, and reduce regulatory conflict, turf-
not just the letter. Such a transition protection, and achieve coherent,
will require a major mental adjustment consistent regulation across the
on the part of both Indian regulators entire financial system
and financial firms for many of which b. Partial consolidation of extant reg-
‘beating-the-rules-of-the-regulator’ has ulators into a tightly knit quartet
become an essential game in order to covering: (a) banking; (b) insur-
secure marginal competitive advantage ance; (c) pensions; and (d) capital,
over rival firms. derivatives and commodities mar-
kets. Any area of activity that did not
. Adopting practice that is now normal fall neatly or obviously into these
in almost all countries, the four categories would be regulated
HPEC would recommend that G o I automatically by the capital mar-
conducts – using independent, impartial kets regulator. In other words ac-
interlocutors, including regulators from tivities such as asset management
other s– a periodic (– yearly) and mutual funds would fall under
Regulatory Impact Assessment of the the purview of the capital markets
financial regulatory regime. The regulator, as would regulation of the
would aim to evaluate, using sovereign and corporate bond mar-
enhanced cost-benefit methodology, ket. Under such an arrangement,
how efficient and cost-effective extant regulators of specific types of institu-
regulation (policy, practice, application, tions (e.g., banks or insurance com-
and institutional arrangements) is in panies) would not have the right
meeting the main regulatory objectives, to regulate other domains/market
and to understand what modifications segments (e.g., capital markets) in
are needed to improve it. which banks or insurance companies
. The HPEC’s recommendations 197
under the new law, should replicate the are ‘missing’ in India’s financial system:
objectives and approach of the -. i.e., (i) a properly functioning, liquid
This requires closely studying the corporate and sovereign bond market;
and the , the and (ii) a spot currency trading market;
the regulatory and legal foundations and (iii) a broad derivatives markets
used in Ireland. The new law governing that includes exchange traded as well as
financial system regulation should ar- tailored derivatives for the management
ticulate broad principles, and provide of currency, interest rate, and credit
sufficient flexibility for more rapid fi- default risk.
nancial innovation. It should embed . These three markets, termed the bond-
the distinction between wholesale mar- currency-derivatives ( BCD ) nexus in
kets and retail markets, where a much this report, are inter-woven by currency
lighter regulatory touch is applied to and interest rate arbitrage. In an
wholesale markets. efficient market, the currency forward
. The proposed new Act should also is only a reflection of current and
embed a redrafting of the Banking expected interest rate differentials across
Regulation Act (BRA), shifting towards currencies. A number of sophisticated
principles-based regulation, and giving trading strategies employed by global
banks greater flexibility in operations financial firms (using sophisticated
and management than is presently the quantitative finance models to drive
case. There is considerable merit in algorithmic trading) bind together all
merging the new securities law and traded products of the nexus. No
the new banking law into a unified can function (or even become an
financial sector law (the Financial ) in the absence of any of these
Services Modernisation Act), even if markets. If India is to have an
the two regulatory agencies continue in Mumbai, the HPEC would place
to be distinct. This would underline emphasis on having these ‘missing’
the unity of finance, and increase the BCD markets develop rapidly.
extent of coherence found in different . A domestic bond market, in which
parts of finance. As an example, the global investors can participate on the
creation of the proposed International same basis as in other s, cannot
Financial Services Appellate Tribunal operate without having an established
( ) which would provide an INR yield curve that is arbitrage free,
appeals procedure covering all aspects of liquid and well-traded along maturities
finance is best done within an Act which ranging from the very short (-days) to
covers both banking and securities. the very long ( or years). A bond
. Finally, when it comes to financial market operating along global lines is
regime governance, the believes propelled by the monetary authority
that India should immediately open setting the short (base) interest rate
up to Direct Market Access (DMA ) at which banks can borrow from it.
on Indian exchanges to match the The market arbitrage process in a free
situation with foreign exchanges in and liquid bond market translates such
other IFCs that provide a hospitable base rate changes into changes in long
environment for algorithmic trading. rates over different maturities; based
That would enable India to compete as on expectations about policy stability,
an venue for global firms in this the market view about the monetary
important market segment. policy rules in operation, expectations of
the future direction of domestic interest
2.2. On ‘Missing Markets’ rates, inflation and external conditions.
. As has been elaborated upon at some . In India, the bond market is limited
length in the report, an Indian is and stunted. It is a market in which the
handicapped by three key markets that monopoly trading platform for bonds is
. The HPEC’s recommendations 199
managed and governed by the monetary markets (including those for sovereign
authority rather than by a securities debt) under the regulatory purview of
exchange. This is a sharp departure the regulator responsible for securities
from global practice. The framework trading, ie SEBI; and (b) to ensure that
of existing regulations permits neither the platforms for trading all such debt
liquidity nor arbitrage. Nor does it have instruments are transferred to the NSE
bond issues reflecting a wide spectrum and BSE.
of credit risks through the inclusion of . Short selling of bonds is of funda-
corporate issuers. The bond market is mental importance for obtaining an
dominated by sovereign issues that have arbitrage-free yield curve. This re-
no credit risk given the government’s quires the ability to borrow bonds.
right to print money in . Moreover, A borrowing mechanism needs to be
the market’s institutional structures setup by exchanges, to enable short
are weak, participation is artificially selling in government bonds, corpo-
constrained by a number of eligibility rate bonds and equities. This needs
and origin barriers, speculative price- to be done in an integrated way, for all
discovery is lacking because of the three kinds of securities, so as to harness
absence of arbitrageurs, option-writers economies of scope and scale.
and speculative risk-takers who are
barred from operating in this market. . At present bond purchases by
FIIs are constrained by quantitative
. But a bond market in an Indian restrictions whereas equity purchases are
needs to also issue and trade bonds in not. An essential step for increasing the
currencies other than the . Indian presence of INR denominated bonds
and foreign corporate borrowers may (and the INR yield curve) in global
wish to choose, in an Indian (as investment portfolios (e.g., of globally
they could in any other ), to issue managed pension funds) is to remove
bonds in a wide range of globally traded the existing quantitative restrictions
or even exotic currencies to optimise so as to put INR bond purchases by
their borrowing costs using derivatives FIIs and other foreign buyers wishing
to cover future currency and interest to purchase INR denominated bonds
rate risk. They may want to issue a in global markets on a par with their
long-term bond in and immediately equity purchases.
swap it into another currency with built-
. At present, there is a small currency
in provisions for a reverse swap when
derivatives market and a small interest
repayment is due on maturity. At present
rate derivatives market where trading of
they can do none of these things.
primarily vanilla products takes place
. The R.H. Patil Committee Report on over-the-counter ( ). However,
domestic debt markets made a number there is a considerable advantage in
of far-reaching policy, operational, transparent trading of vanilla products
and technical recommendations. In on the exchange platform, particularly
the view of , these should be given the dramatic progress of electronic
implemented as soon as possible to exchanges and algorithmic trading.
make domestic bond markets function Electronic trading and transparency
more efficiently and to perform the assist liquidity, and it is easier for
important economic role that such India to compete in the global IFS
markets play. To the Patil Committee’s market by emphasising order flow
many recommendations, and from into electronic exchanges – where
the viewpoint of internationalising the objective characteristics of liquidity
Indian debt market as a key building matter more than human relationships
block for creating a viable in and counterparty risk. Hence, there is a
Mumbai, the HPEC would add the need to shift trading in vanilla products
need to: (a) bring all securities trading (futures, options, swaps) to exchanges
200 R M I F C
while retaining and expanding the OTC . This wholesale currency spot market
trading of transactions for exotic and needs to be accompanied by an
tailor-made products. INR cash settled currency derivatives
market, offering products such as
. Vibrant trading, on exchanges, of inter-
currency futures, currency options
est rate derivatives is a fundamental part
and currency swaps, traded on India’s
of the nexus. India’s experience
established exchanges. The currency
with interest rate futures has been an
derivatives market should be open
unfortunate one, with banks being pro-
to all (including FII s). It must
hibited from participating in the market
aspire to replace the trading that
except as short sellers of interest rate
presently takes place on the -
futures. The Ministry of Finance needs
market. Regulatory responsibility of the
rapidly to take stock of the constraints
suggested currency market – spot and
that hold back exchange-traded inter-
derivatives, exchange and – needs
est rate derivatives, including futures,
to be shifted to .
options and swaps, and obtain the req-
uisite modifications of regulations of . Contracts involving the four major
insurance companies, banks, mutual globally traded currencies (ie , ,
funds and FIIs so as to get this critical and ) are well established and
component of the BCD nexus off the account for the bulk of global trading
ground immediately. in spot and derivatives markets. A
number of smaller countries in
. By the same token, markets for trading with open capital accounts offer traded
global currencies (spot and derivatives) contracts in their own currencies against
are the lifeblood of an . Every these four global currencies. The
customer buying generates a trading market could be networked
series of immediate transactions on into and piggy-back off trades in these
the currency spot market and covers markets. An market could quickly
exchange risk with currency derivatives. dominate trading in vs. the four
That is true whether a global investor global currency contracts. But it should
operating in a Mumbai-based seek to also establish a first-mover
wants to buy Indian equities, bonds, advantage in trading new contracts
index funds, or index derivatives. As involving: (a) the vs. other
India’s growth continues over the next tradable but exotic currencies such as
decade the will join the global the Australian, Canadian, Hong Kong,
club of major currencies. By New Zealand and Singapore dollars, the
these will comprise the , , various Scandinavian kroners, and Swiss
, , and : the reserve franc; as well as (b) emerging market
currencies of the world. That requires currencies (under special arrangements
establishing immediately a currency with their central banks) of countries
trading exchange in Mumbai, with a with which India is likely to have growing
minimum transaction size of INR trade and investment links such as the
million (or roughly $ , at Malaysian dollar, the Thai baht, South
present exchange rates). Initially, this African rand, the Russian new rouble
market should be open to domestic and and the Brazilian real. It could develop
foreign financial firms including FIIs; pass-through contracts between the
opening to individual traders should and currencies that are loosely
be deferred until the INR becomes fully or firmly pegged to the USD (e.g., the
convertible. Establishing a wholesale and as well as a range of
but fully-fledged currency market will Gulf currencies) but lacking in formal
require removing those capital controls arrangements to protect the peg. The
that presently disallow financial firms possibilities are limitless and must be
from holding multicurrency deposits left to the ingenuity of indigenous and
with banks. global market operators and arbitrageurs
. The HPEC’s recommendations 201
to develop and exploit. Some contracts when the relative difference in the size
will fail to attract trading volumes of their respective home economies is
and die a natural death. Others (like smaller, deprives Indian financial firms
the / contract) may trade in of the ability to realise greater economies
volumes that, in a decade, could rival of scale and competitiveness within their
the volumes of traded contracts across internal structures. It reflects the in-built
the four global currencies. advantage that foreign financial firms
have established in operating globally
2.3. On Weak Institutions in an unfettered manner for several
. Side-by-side with weak or missing decades when Indian financial firms
markets, the Indian financial system has have been constrained from doing so.
a number of weaknesses in the make- International financial firms have a
up, diversity, skill sets, competitiveness presence in all aspects of finance, while
and size of its financial firms. India’s Indian financial firms are hemmed into
equity and limited derivatives markets slots defined by over-compartmentalised
are dominated by trading done by financial system architecture. This
private firms and s although public increases the risks of Indian financial
institutions in the insurance and mutual firms. They have less diversified sources
funds industries are also large players in of profit. It results in Indian financial
these markets. That bias in institutional firms requiring intermediation spreads
structure, in all financial markets other to cover costs that are higher than
than the equity market, gives Indian international norms. It disables them
financial firms an excessive ‘home bias’ from operating successfully in a global
in their operational orientation and marketplace where substantial resources
handicaps them from developing global have to be expended to establish a
reach beyond the community. globally accepted brand identity, and to
invest capital in globally sized operations
. That feature also disables Indian for: commercial banking, investment
financial firms from competing on banking, securities broking, derivatives
level terms with foreign counterparts in trading or insurance.
global markets. It will constrain the
development of an in Mumbai. For . The same is true of Indian investment
example, the ten largest global financial banks. At present, they are anaemic
conglomerates (comprising, under a replicas of their global counterparts,
single brand umbrella like Citigroup despite their considerable reserves
or , subsidiaries or affiliates of human capital and their core
that are commercial banks, investment competencies. Earlier a number of
banks, insurance companies, securities joint-ventures were created (largely to
brokerages, global fund managers, hedge accommodate Indian entry barriers
funds and derivatives operations) all at the time) between established and
have a balance sheet size exceeding reputable Indian financial houses and
$ trillion. The top four or nearly all the major global investment
five now have a balance sheet size banks. These joint ventures are now
approaching or exceeding $ trillion. coming apart. That raises questions of
In India, the largest financial group how the Indian partner ‘divorcees’ from
() has a balance sheet size of around these ‘arranged marriages’ will evolve
$ billion; or less than a fifth that of in the future. While they may have the
its ‘smaller’ foreign counterparts when human capital, they certainly do not yet
India is the fourth largest economy in have the size of financial capital they
the world in PPP terms and the seventh need.
largest in nominal terms.
. What is said about commercial and
. Such a large relative difference in the investment banks above applies even
size of Indian vs. global financial firms, more to the indigenous securities
202 R M I F C
brokerage industry. It is a far cry from dation of Indian firms in the financial
achieving the size, efficiency, capability sector to permit – through the uncon-
or capital of its foreign equivalents. The strained operation of natural market
Indian brokerage industry exhibits many processes – sizeable Indian financial
of the same symptoms and malaise as conglomerates to emerge, through ac-
India’s retail sector in general. It is quisitions, mergers and (hostile as well
dominated by a landscape of ‘mom-and- as amenable) takeovers. The aim should
pop’ shops and single proprietorships be to create a few (at least five or six)
masquerading as companies. They Indian s– led by the most capable
do not have the capital or knowledge and dynamic financial groups in India –
required to service their investor-clients the size of whose consolidated balance
on a basis that remotely approaches sheets exceeds US$ billion. No fi-
global brokerage service standards; nancial firm should be exempt from this
although they do provide a limited array consolidation process, regardless of own-
of brokerage services at a fraction of ership. Furthermore the consolidation
global costs for a securities account. of Indian financial conglomerates should
. None of these institutional categories are be facilitated by foreign equity participa-
inherently or congenitally weak. Their tion on the part of private equity firms,
weakness is derived from a legacy of strategic direct investors, and institu-
financial policies and strategies that tional portfolio investors to augment the
are proving, in retrospect, to have limitations of Indian capital resources.
discouraged emergence of the kind The implementation of this strategy does
of institutional base of financial firms not require government or regulatory
that India needs to compete in global direction concerning which firm should
financial markets. acquire which other firm. It requires re-
moving the barriers to reintegration, and
. The legacy problem inherited by Indian impediments to market-driven M&A,
financial firms, and exacerbated by that are present today.
the domination of financial
firms in the Indian financial universe, . The end goal should be to have Indian
needs to be tackled boldly on two s that span the entire financial
simultaneous tracks: (a) first, India spectrum. Until India achieves
needs to moderate, and eventually style integration of all finance under
dispense with, its legacy of state one regulator, a key tool for achieving
ownership in the financial universe; this goal might be the ‘financial holding
(b) second, Indian policy-makers and company’ as described in Chapter .
regulators need to shift away from the sees the holding company as
artificial over-compartmentalisation of the logical organisational structure for
sub-markets. Those two propensities Indian financial firms that seek to
have inhibited the proper development become global players in the period
of these markets. They have also where India uses the proposed four-pillar
prevented larger, more capable financial regulatory architecture. A set of policy
conglomerates – operating across measures need to be taken to enable this
different market segments – from institutional structure to emerge.
emerging and competing globally. With . In the specific field of asset management,
reintegration across the extant sub- a major organisational innovation to har-
sectors of finance, and with barriers to ness scale economies is recommended.
expanding into new lines of business At present, banks, insurance companies,
being removed, large, sophisticated and mutual funds, pension funds, s, etc.
competitive Indian financial firms will all undertake uneconomic asset manage-
emerge. ment operations. Each of these opera-
. The HPEC believes that the Indian au- tions is small, lacks economies of scale,
thorities should support the consoli- and is unable to compete in the global
. The HPEC’s recommendations 203
market for asset management. In this sit- India’s progress on this score should
uation, the government needs to permit be measured by comparing the Indian
the emergence of Wholesale Asset Man- wholesale price for running an index
agement businesses, regulated by SEBI, fund for $ billion of the S&P against
where the minimum size of customer the wholesale price seen in New York or
funds is at least Rs. crores. London.
. This initiative should get the benefit of . In addition, Indian authorities should
light-touch regulation, given that the bring forward their liberalisation plans
protection of retail investors does not for the financial sector (e.g., opening
arise as an issue under this arrangement. up to branch banking by foreign banks)
All impediments to outsourcing of ahead of the commitments to the
asset management by financial firms Agreement on Trade in financial services.
in India – banks, insurance companies, In this instance, the believes that
mutual funds, pension funds, FII s, more open foreign entry will be in India’s
hedge funds, etc.. – should be identified own self-interest in the short, medium
and removed. Once these artificial and long term.
barriers to outsourcing are removed, . The protectionist arguments that have
each entity – such as a mutual fund – will become so familiar in other sectors – to
make a commercial decision on whether give Indian financial firms more time
the task of asset management should be to adjust to new global realities – need
in-sourced or outsourced to one of the to be re-examined carefully. Indian
Wholesale Asset Management firms. financial firms have seen the writing
. Given the immense economies of scale on the wall since . It is true that
that can be captured by large asset they have not had the freedom and
management factories, differentiated flexibility as yet to grow organically and
front-end entities – such as mutual diversify as they might have wished.
funds, insurance companies, pension envisages convertibility within
funds, investment banks – may choose – months. This gives all Indian
to outsource their asset management financial firms a window of –
functions to such Wholesale Asset months for gearing up to cope with the
Managers. This would separate the opportunities and competition that flow
front-end interface with a customer – from convertibility. Giving firms more
such as a mutual fund, bank, insurance time than that will prolong inefficiency
company or pension fund – from the rather than enhance competitiveness.
back-end factory undertaking the actual . The Indian financial sector now needs
activity of asset management. The front- to open its doors to face the full
end financial firms would continue to force of international competition and
be regulated by their domain regulator adjust accordingly. As with their
while the factory would be regulated counterparts in manufacturing industry
by using . Undertaken on some Indian financial firms will perish.
a wholesale basis, that is blind to the Others will strengthen to take their
sourcing of assets being managed, such place in the world in the same way that
asset management factories can achieve the more robust, competitive Indian
much lower costs and much larger manufacturing firms are now doing. The
economies of scale than the present HPEC sees no convincing argument
plethora of fragmented, small asset in favour of delaying this move any
management units of disparate financial further. It will enable India to rectify its
firms. By pooling assets from all institutional weaknesses and deficiencies
parts of the Indian financial system, faster than it otherwise would. There
Wholesale Asset Managers could achieve is little point in being cautious simply
pricing efficiencies that would make for the sake of caution if, given the
them competitive by global standards. balance of probabilities, such caution
204 R M I F C
only ends up in damaging India’s ability % ownership of the same types of
to compete effectively in the global institutions. While this will increase the
market for by having a less efficient workload and complexity of banking
financial system. regulation and supervision, the benefits
through increased competition will be
. The control of branch licensing for
considerable.
banks is an anachronism, at a time when
India has moved away from the license- . Banking regulation requires strong fea-
permit raj in most respects. There tures of market discipline to accompany
is no other industry in India, today, the kinds of competition policies de-
where firms have to take permission scribed above. This requires that all
from the government in order to open banks in India should now raise equity
branch offices. Simply because they in the capital market and raise a mini-
take deposits does not make bank mum proportion of their liabilities by
branches any different from other issuing bonds with no safety net of de-
market enterprises. Banks should decide posit insurance. In the context of the
where and when they want to open need for additional equity capital on the
branches and not the regulator. As part of Indian banks to meet Basel-II
part of improving competition policy, requirements, regulators appear to have
the opening of branches by domestic been tempted to accommodate high asset
banks should now be immediately growth with diluted equity requirements.
decontrolled. No domestic bank should This temptation needs to be checked,
have to ask the banking regulator for in the interests of controlling the lever-
permission for each ATM or branch. age of Indian banks and simultaneously
After one year (ie by the beginning of exposing banks to market discipline.
) this policy should be extended to . Finally, the Indian financial market
all banks. This will give local banks a should be made fully open to the
one-year head start over foreign rivals entry of globally established alternative
on opening branches. investment vehicles with a track record
as well as to exchange traded funds,
. Indian banking is afflicted by a weak arbitrage funds and any financial entity
pace of entry and exit, reflecting poor of any sort provided it meets the
competition. Entry into domestic requisite performance, track record
banking has been hampered by over- and ‘fit-and-proper’ tests for entry.
prescriptive and asymmetrical rules These tests should not be manipulated
about the ownership of banks. Banning to bar or delay entry in practice when
banks with ownership patterns that have it has been opened up in principle.
close relationships with the owners of Alternative investment vehicles should
non-finance companies eases the task of also be enabled on the domestic market.
regulators and supervisors. The time has
come to remove these restrictions and . In Chapter , Box . showed a
permit unrestricted entry by Indian comparison of the charges for trading
corporates into banking and all other index futures in Mumbai versus Chicago.
financial services. As the Tarapore- Indian exchanges have charges that
Committee has pointed out, and the are higher by a multiple of or
HPEC concurs, the discriminatory % depending upon the size of the
ceiling on investments by corporates customer. The reforms proposed in this
in banks is unjustifiable and should report rectify this egregious anomaly
be removed immediately. As a through the following measures:
member of the observed, in . Eliminating all transactions taxes
a market economy there can be no like the and stamp duties;
justification for such a restriction when . Subsuming into the on finance
another economic agent – i.e., the all service taxes on brokerage and
state – can have any level up to refunding the applied to foreign
. The HPEC’s recommendations 205
bai covers its debilitating infrastructure international agencies) in the recent past.
and urban governance deficits. The . In ’s considered view (with many
HPEC has more concerns about how members of the Committee having
and whether these large urban gover- resided in Mumbai for most of their
nance challenges in Mumbai will be lives) the progress that has been made
met than it does about achieving the so far has been more rhetorical than
necessary transformations in Indian real. The state and civic administrations
financial policies and practices to ac- have made numerous statements of
commodate an IFC. intent in the past but little progress
was made until recently. But the scene
. For a Mumbai based to be globally
appears to be changing with new vision
competitive, on a par with other
and drive on the part of the State’s
s and the three major s, it
Chief Minister to go on a war footing
has to have world class infrastructure
to improve the urban environment of
that meets global standards in the
Mumbai. Excellent staff appointments
quality of construction, finish and
have been made in Mantralaya to drive
ongoing maintenance. That applies to:
the development of infrastructure in the
(a) residential and commercial space;
city. The change in the air is palpable.
(b) shopping and recreational facilities;
While India was progressing rapidly
(c) uninterrupted, high quality electric
by way of economic growth, Mumbai
power supply with minimal fluctuations
seemed until last year, paradoxically, to
in voltage and current; (d) water
be decaying and crumbling at almost
supply with minimal fluctuations of
the same pace. That obviously could
pressure and quality; (e) sewerage
not continue. The Chief Minister and
and waste disposal as well as storm
his dynamic team have done much to
drainage and flood control during the
change that state of affairs.
monsoon season; (f) local gas and utility
. If Mumbai is to host an then its
distribution; (g) global standards in
infrastructure deficiencies need to be
all modes of private and public urban
resolved quickly – and not through
commuter transport – road, rail and
arabesques such as the Navi Mumbai
water-borne – as well as rapid transport
. The HPEC suggests that the
links that connect the Mumbai with
impressive and laudable combined
the rest of India (ie air links involving
efforts now being made by central, state
airports and airlines as well as high-
and civic authorities – along with the
speed rail and world class motorways)
active support of the private corporate
and the rest of the world (mainly air-
sector – should be enhanced and
linkages); and (h) global standards of
supported by multilateral financing
telecommunications (landline, cellular
institutions and PPP arrangements
and broadband) that connect the
in every sub-sector of infrastructure.
Mumbai around the clock to the
The authorities should invite the open
world. Apart from coming close on the
participation of foreign construction
last of these requirements, Mumbai does
and development firms alongside their
not hit the board on all the others.
Indian counterparts to ensure that
. All these infrastructural requirements Mumbai’s infrastructure deficit is
have been explicated in several forums covered in the next years. If that
before with elaborate plans being drawn is not done then the pursuit of an
up to meet these challenges by a variety in Mumbai will remain a pipe dream
of public and private bodies aiming to that will be impossible to convert into
put ‘Mumbai First’. For that reason reality. Locating it in a is not a
the has desisted from going too viable option.
far down a path trodden too often . In that connection the believes
by too many others (a slew of local that state and civic administrations need
city committees as well as national to move swiftly but fairly in resolving
208 R M I F C
the outstanding issues posed by the to its citizens and residents. The city
and the Rent Control Act needs an administrative apparatus for
that are blocking access to pipeline governance that is under the direct
funds available from the Centre and control of such a City Manager – with
multilateral financing institutions. the support of the state and centre
. Apart from the present state of its – and that has its own revenue base
physical infrastructure – that makes and financial independence to match.
Mumbai remote from being world Mumbai has been a ‘milch cow’ for both
class – the city also confronts a serious the Centre and State for some time. It
‘governance deficit’. The reasons for that has got very little back for its own urban
are well-known and have been discussed development. That asymmetry needs to
ad nauseam in academic circles, the be reversed.
media, and in policy-making circles at . Mumbai needs to be seen across India
central and state levels of government. and around the world as a welcoming,
Given this backdrop, believes cosmopolitan and cultured metropolis
that it is time for the talking to stop capable of accommodating a large
and the action to start. Mumbai needs number of expatriates. It is only with
a City Manager (whether elected or such an ethos that Mumbai can become
appointed) who is directly accountable an .
HPEC Report on making Mumbai an International Financial Centre: Timelines for Recommended Actions
Recommended Actions 2007 by Quarter 2008 by Quarter 2009 by Quarter 2010 by Quarter 2011>
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Year
A. Actions on Fiscal Deficit, Tax and Public Debt Financing/Management Fronts:
1. Achieving and maintaining an average growth rate of 9% to 10% Increase to 9% Increase to 9.5% Increase to 10% Maintain at 10% or more
2. Reduce the gross consolidated fiscal deficit (GCFD) from 8+ to 4–5% of GDP. Reduce to 7%by y.e. Reduce to 6%by y.e. below 5%
3. Reduce total public debt to GDP ratio from 80% of GDP to significantly less. Reduce to 75% Reduce to 70% Reduce to 65% Reduce to 60% <50%
4. Implement the FRBM Task Force Report of 2004. Implement 40% Implement 70% Implement 100% Implementation Completed
5. Eliminate Securities Transaction Tax (STT) and Stamp Duties (SDs). Eliminate STT Eliminate all SDs All Transactions Taxes, Stamp Duties eliminated
6. Apply GST to the financial services industry. Technical Studies Preparation Phase Pilot Phase Implementation
7. Open up purchase of INR denominated debt instruments issued by GoI to All Buyers Open up fully No further restrictions on INR denominated paper for any buyer
8. Restructure budgets/‘balance-sheets’ of states and metropolitan municipal corporations Start Phase-1 Phase-2 Phase-3 Phase-4 Complete
9. Shift burden of future infrastructure financing from public to private sector through PPPs Pilot PPP Projects PPP s in 10 states PPP s in 15 states PPP s in All states
10. Set up independent public debt management office (or as second-best locate it in MoF) De facto shift Independent PDMO Public Debt Managed Independently
B. Actions on Monetary Policies and Monetary Management based on Inflation Targeting
11. Focus Monetary Authority exclusively on single task of managing key short-term ‘base rate’ Technical Studies Policy Decisions Implementation of Changeover Separate Regulator
12. Full CAC to be achieved in a time-bound manner within the next 18–24 months Technical Studies Prepare Execute Capital and Current Accounts Fully Open
C. Actions on Financial Regime Governance and Financial System Regulation
13. Improve functioning of Legal System insofar as it affects financial services. Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Legal System at Global Standard
13A. Improve knowledge-skills and training of judges and arbitrators Train 30% of staff Train 65% of staff Train All Staff Continue training/updating
13B. Reduce Case Backlog of cases involving financial contract disputes Reduce by 25% Reduce by 50% Reduce by 75% Eliminate Totally
14. Create International Financial Services Appellate Tribunal (IFSAT) covering all of finance. Technical Studies Insurance/Pensions Extend to Banking Extend to all of finance
15. Permit unrestricted entry of well-known global legal firms operating in other IFCs/GFCs Prepare Ground Open up Entry All Global legal firms permitted to operate
16. Permit unrestricted entry of well-known global accounting firms operating in IFCs/GFCs Prepare Ground Open up Entry All Global Accounting firms permitted to operate
17. Dismantle barriers between different financial market segments Except Banking Include banking No further compartmentalisation of finance
18. GoI to prepare ‘exit strategy’ for its withdrawal from the ownership of financial firms Build Consensus Non-bank PSFFS Strong PSBs Weak PSBs All PSFFS
19. GoI to reduce equity stake gradually in all types of public sector financial firms; esp. PSBs Prepare Ground Reduce to <49% Reduce to <33% Reduce to 26% 0 by 2015
20. Shift Financial Regulatory Regime from Rules-Based (RBR) to Principles-Based (PBR) Technical Studies Apply PBR-SEBI Apply PBR-IRDA Apply PBR-BR All PBR
21. Conduct Periodic Regulatory Impact Assessments of the financial regulatory regime. Prepare Ground RIA for Banks RIA -Cap Markets RIA –Others Regular
22. Examine Carefully the Need for changing extant Regulatory Architecture Technical Studies Consolidation to 4 Consolidation to 2? Single Regulator? Unified?
23. Trading platform for sovereign bonds to be moved to exchanges (NSE and BSE) Technical Studies Shift Platform All bond trading to be done on market exchanges
24. Draft new Financial Services Modernisation Act embracing ‘Principles Based Regulation’ Prelim Drafting Consultations Final Draft Table FSMA Bill FSMA
24A. FSMA should incorporate redrafted Banking Regulation Act ( BRA) giving banks more flexibility Prelim Drafting Consultations Final Draft Table FSMA Bill FSMA
25. Transfer all regulation/supervision of any type of organised financial trading to SEBI. Technical Studies Execute Transfer All financial market trading supervised by SEBI
26. Distinguish between wholesale and retail markets and use appropriate regulation for each Technical Studies Separate Markets Wholesale and Retail Markets regulated differently
27. Open up immediately to DMA and algorithmic trading Rules Open No bans on DMA and algorithmic trading to be regulated reasonably
D. Actions on Filling the Gaps in ‘Missing Markets’
28. Create rapidly the Missing BCD Nexus in Indian Capital Markets:
A. Bond Market Technical Studies Shift Platforms Widen and deepen sovereign/corporate bond markets
B. Establish Currency trading exchange with a minimum transaction size of INR 10 million Prepare Launch Currency Market operates on NSE/BSE supervised by SEBI
C. Derivatives Market: Shift trading in vanilla products (futures, options, swaps) to exchanges Widen Range of Contracts to cover currencies, interest rates, credit default and trade them
D. Retain and Expand OTC trading of exotic and tailor-made derivatives. Widen OTC trading Continually expand range of products traded on OTC to global levels
E. MoF to review/remove constraints on any financial firm operating in derivatives Technical Study Remove all restrictions/bans other than usual prudential regulations
F. Create INR cash settled currency derivatives on exchanges open to all (FIIs). Technical Study Launch range of multi-currency futures, options, swaps for trading
. The HPEC’s recommendations
209
210
HPEC Report on making Mumbai an International Financial Centre: Timelines for Recommended Actions
Recommended Actions 2007 by Quarter 2008 by Quarter 2009 by Quarter 2010 by Quarter 2011>
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Year
E. Actions to Strengthen Institutions operating in Indian Financial Markets
Technical Remove Encourage Let market drive consolidation and segment integration
29. GoI to support emergence of Indian LCFIs to emerge, through M&A and takeovers.
Studies Restrictions M&A through financial system
Technical Framing of Launch Encourage rapid expansion of WAM with PBR-based regulation by
30. GoI to permit Wholesale Asset Management regulated by SEBI (minimum account Rs.10 crores)
Study Rules WAM s SEBI
Technical Remove Full outsourcing of asset management activities by any financial firm operating
31. Remove all impediments to outsourcing of asset management by banks, insurance companies,
Study Restrictions in India
mutual funds, pension funds, FIIs, hedge funds, etc.
Technical Accelerated liberalisation Indian financial system fully open to global participation subject
32. GoI to bring forward liberalisation of financial sector in keeping with commitments to WTO Agree-
Studies Programme in place to prudential regulation and fitness tests
ment on Trade in Financial Services.
33. Interim adjustment period of two years for Indian institutions to adapt to global competition. Capacity building by Indian firms Indian financial sector open to foreign competition
34. Opening of branches by domestic banks to be decontrolled immediately. All restrictions on branch opening by domestic banks to be removed immediately
35. Opening of branches by foreign banks to be decontrolled after one year All restrictions on branch opening by foreign banks to be removed
36. Remove immediately all restrictions limiting corporate ownership of banks to 10% Restrictions limiting private corporate ownership of banks to 10% to be removed
37. Open up Indian capital markets to entry of hedge funds and alternative investment vehicles Remove all restrictions on entry of hedge funds and AIVs
38. Set up range of programmes for development of specialised human capital for the financial industry Set up MSc in Finance and a range of specialised technical training programmes
F. Actions to Improve Infrastructure in Mumbai
39. Transport Infrastructure:
A. Intra-city roads and arterial routes [PPPs ] Phased development and expansion of Mumbai’s road transport capacity
B. Coastal Highways and Expressways [PPPs ] Technical Feasibility Studies Tenders Preparation Contracts Construction
C. Suburban Railways and new Metro System [PPP ] Technical Feasibility Studies Tenders Contracts Construction
D. Water-borne Transport – Ferries/Hydrofoils/Jetfoils [PPPs ] Feasibility Tenders Contracts Facility Construction and Operations
E. Increase/upgrade airport and runway capacities Actions already taken for Santa Cruz and Sahar. New plans for Navi Mumbai airport and runways
40. PPPs for Power Infrastructure:
A. Increase in Power Generation Capacity (24 × 7 × 365) Studies Tenders Contracts Power Plant Construction and Operations
B. Increase in Transmission/Distribution Capacity Studies Tenders Contracts T&D Line Construction and Operations
41. Water Supply, Sewerage& Drainage:
A. Increase in Storage Capacity and Pipelines [PPP ] Plans and Projects underway to increase and improve water supply quantity/availability
B. Increase in Filtration and Water Quality [PPP ] Plans and Projects underway to increase and improve water quality
C. Upgrading/Expansion of Sewerage Capacity Plans and Projects underway to increase and improve sewerage capacity/treatment
D. Upgrading of Storm and Flood Drainage Plans and Projects already underway to increase and improve storm/flood drainage
42. Increase Waste Disposal Capacity: For solid and liquid waste with environmental protection Develop PPPs Contracts PPP Contracts Underway and Operating
43. Telecommunications Infrastructure:
A. Substantial Expansion of Cellular Network TRAI to hold cellular operators to service quality commitments to upgrade continuously
B. Expansion of Landlines and Broadband MTNL to expand landlines in keeping with demand growth; increase competition
C. Expansion of International Bandwidth VSNL , FLAG to increase bandwidth rapidly; introduce greater foreign competition
44. Accommodation: Residential, Office and Commercial Drop ULCRA/RCA Normalise rentals Dispense with all controls except urban planning
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The Committee
A
The members of the Committee and its This report reflects their personal expertise
Terms of Reference are as follows: and judgement about the best strategy for
India in modernising finance and achieving
Members:
an ; it does not reflect the views of the Appendix
organisations they represent.
(i) Mr. Percy S. Mistry, Chairman,
Oxford International Group, Chairman Terms of Reference of the Commitee
(resigned as Chairman of w.e.f. In the recent decade, India has made
//) significant strides in the financial sector.
(ii) Mr. M. Balachandran, , Bank of Some of the important developments
India are strengthening of banks, de-regulation
(iii) Mr. Aditya Puri, , Bank of interest rates and sector competition
(iv) Mr. K.V. Kamath, & , in the banking system, development of
Bank the government securities market, and
infrastructure for trading, particularly on
(v) Mr. C.B. Bhave, ,
the equity market, with the move to
(vi) Mr. Ravi Narain, , National Stock electronic trading, novation at the clearing
Exchange corporation, T + 2 rolling settlement,
(vii) Mr. Bharat Doshi, , Mahindra & dematerialised settlement, demutualisation
Mahindra of stock exchanges and derivatives trading.
(viii) Dr. P.J. Nayak, , Bank This raises questions about how Mumbai
(ix) Shri T.T. Srinivasaraghavan, , Sun- can play a bigger role in the global market
daram Finance for financial services. Our current policy on
capital account convertibility constrains the
(x) Shri Mohan Raj, , Mutual Fund
emergence of Mumbai as a financial centre.
(xi) Mr. Nimesh Kampani-Chairman, JM There is, however, a need to look ahead and
Morgan Stanley prepare for the emergent role of Mumbai
(xii) Mr. O. P. Bhatt, Chairman, State Bank of as a regional/international financial centre,
India (Mr. A.K. Purwar, Chairman, so that our institutions get integrated with
was a member of till // global institutions and economies in terms
and Mr. Bhatt, Chairman, from of provision of financial services.
// till the submission of the The committee will look into and make
report.) recommendations on the following issues:
(xiii) Ms. Usha Narayanan, , Securities and (i) Review the functioning of and develop-
Exchange Board of India ments related to international/offshore
(xiv) Mr. Subodh Kumar, Principal Secretary financial centres and current trends in
(Finance), Government of Maharashtra regard to establishment of new centres;
(Mr. O.P. Gahrotra, Additional Chief (ii) Identify the characteristics of a regional
Secretary (Finance) was a member of financial centre (), and the current
till // and Mr. Subodh state of Mumbai as a national financial
Kumar, Principal Secretary (Finance) centre;
from // till the submission of
the report.) (iii) Review the existing legal, regulatory,
taxation and accounting framework
(xv) Dr. K P Krishnan, Convenor-Joint related to financial services in India,
Secretary (Capital Markets), , GoI. identify the extant policy and regulatory
(xvi) Representatives of participated in restrictions constraining the emergence
some of the meetings as invitees. of Mumbai as an and the changes
220 R M I F C
therein necessary for enabling and (vii) Identify and evaluate the considerations
facilitating the function of such a centre; that should govern the development
(iv) Identify the measures that would need of the institutional framework for
to be adopted for Mumbai to transform such a centre in India in the light of
itself from being a national financial international experience, issues in the
centre to an in each of the financial management of the capital account
sub-sectors e.g., the equity, bond, forex in India and international financial
and commodity markets; integration of the Indian economy
consistent with the framework;
(v) Examine the nature of financial services
and
that could be permitted to be undertaken
in the in Mumbai, the desirable In light of the above, recommend
sequencing of permitting such services a phased action plan, including specific
and the appropriate regulatory frame- actions required by different agencies
work therefore, in each of the financial covering institutions, infrastructure, legal,
sub-sectors aforesaid, including the al- taxation issues etc. for the development of
location of regulatory responsibilities Mumbai as an .
amongst different financial sector regu-
lators, consistent with the progress made
in achieving full capital account convert- Team of consultants
ibility; The committee was supported by a team
(vi) Make an assessment of the risks and of consultants comprising Ritu Anand
benefits inherent in such a centre and the ( ), Saugata Bhattacharya ( Bank),
safeguards that would need to be built Kshama Fernandes (Goa Institute of Man-
into the policy framework, alongwith the agement), S. Ravindranath (Bank of India),
scope and structure desirable for such a and Ajay Shah.
centre;
Comparing existing IFCs
against Mumbai
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an IFC : (Scale of
0–10 with 0 = worst 10 = best)
10
New York
10
Tokyo
10
Appendix
Singapore
4
B
Frankfurt
10
Mumbai
10
A2. Demand for IFS from Regional clients 10 10 3 9 7 1
A3. Demand for IFS from Global clients 10 10 3 5 3 0
D. Services Offered
D1. Fund Raising, Wholesale and Corporate Banking 10 10 8 7 7 5
D2. Asset Management 10 10 8 9 6 4
D3. Private Banking & Wealth Management 10 7 5 7 5 2
D4. Global Tax Optimisation & Management 6 5 3 8 4 1
D5. Corporate Treasury Management 10 10 9 8 8 4
D6. Risk Management 10 10 7 7 6 2
D7. Mergers & Acquisitions: (national, regional, global) 10 10 6 5 5 3
D8. Financial Engineering for Large Complex Project and PPP 10 10 8 7 6 3
Financing
D9. Leasing & Structured Financing of Mobile Capital Assets (ships, 10 10 9 9 10 2
planes etc.)
222 R M I F C
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an IFC : (Scale of London New York Tokyo Singapore Frankfurt Mumbai
0–10 with 0 = worst 10 = best)
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an IFC : (Scale of London New York Tokyo Singapore Frankfurt Mumbai
0–10 with 0 = worst 10 = best)
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an IFC : (Scale of London New York Tokyo Singapore Frankfurt Mumbai
0–10 with 0 = worst 10 = best)
D. Services Offered
D1. Fund Raising, Wholesale and Corporate Banking 5 7 3 7 7 5
D2. Asset Management 4 9 4 6 6 8
D3. Private Banking & Wealth Management 2 9 6 4 5 9
D4. Global Tax Optimisation & Management 1 9 7 4 4 9
D5. Corporate Treasury Management 4 7 2 7 8 7
D6. Risk Management 2 6 1 4 6 3
D7. Mergers & Acquisitions: (national, regional, global) 3 5 0 5 5 4
D8. Financial Engineering for Large Complex Project and PPP 3 5 1 7 6 5
Financing
D9. Leasing & Structured Financing of Mobile Capital Assets (ships, 2 9 5 5 5 7
planes etc.)
226 R M I F C
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an IFC : (Scale of Mumbai Hong Kong Labuan Seoul Sydney Dubai
0–10 with 0 = worst 10 = best)
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an IFC : (Scale of Mumbai Hong Kong Labuan Seoul Sydney Dubai
0–10 with 0 = worst 10 = best)
Attributes, Characteristics and Capabilities of an IFC : (Scale of Mumbai Hong Kong Labuan Seoul Sydney Dubai
0–10 with 0 = worst 10 = best)
D
• May Draft offer document of Gold • Sep Presentation made to
filed by with . stating that the Scheme would not
amount to forward trading in gold.
• May Copy of offer document sent
to for information. • October again wrote to
Appendix
• May raised first list of
explaining the mechanism and how
the Scheme will help meet objectives of
queries, and asked to incorporate
Gold Deposit Scheme.
the features of Gold Deposit Scheme
in the offer document. Meanwhile, • October replied to
informally advised to seek stating that primary gold cannot be
specific approval of . deposited by Authorised Participants
under Gold deposit scheme. It also
• June wrote to seeking
advised to satisfy before
clarification on Gold Deposit Scheme
launching the product.
for inclusion in offer document.
• October informed
• June asked for a detailed that it planned to launch the Scheme
mechanism including investment and under existing Gold Deposit Scheme
settlement process envisaged under Gold guidelines and that it will accept gold
. from s as per existing Gold Deposit
• July A detailed note was submitted guidelines.
to . • November responded to a
• July to September, Several meetings request with information about
took place between , and the proposed method for valuation of
to sort out issues relating to Gold s issued by banks under Gold Deposit
. asked for comments Scheme.
from . • November informed
• September Fresh offer document and that the Scheme is violative of
was filed with incorporating the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act.
observations made by vide its letter • December called a meeting
dated May , . However had of bankers interested in Gold .
still not replied. Bank and Bank of Nova Scotia
230 R M I F C
attended the meeting in ’s office • st week May forwarded
and reaffirmed their commitment to this letter to for their
enabling the Gold . comments and action.
• nd week December wrote to • th week August Presentation made
asking its views on Gold and by to ( ), Ministry of
whether s issued under Gold Deposit Finance.
scheme are money market instruments. • th week September Presentation
• January obtained a made by to and
legal opinion from Dave, Girish & .
Co. stating that Gold does not • th week October Presentation made
amount to spot trading in gold and by to Member, .
the Scheme is not violative of Forward
• nd week December Presentation
Contract Regulations. forwarded
made by to Monetary Policy
this opinion to , and .
Department of . was to
Subsequently, lifted the ban on
prepare a note and forward the same to
forward trading in gold, so in any case,
/.
’s objection became irrelevant.
• All of Silence.
• st week February wrote to
stating that should decide • February Finance Minister
whether a Gold was a “money market announced in his budget speech that
instrument”, and that the Gold gold s would come about in India.
structure had not been envisaged by • March–April constituted a
RBI when the Gold Deposit Scheme was committee to write down rules about
launched. Gold s.
• February modified the • December Board approves
Scheme stating that deposit of gold amendment to Act for permitting
under Gold Deposit scheme will not launch of gold s.
be restricted to s and will be open to • April announced valuation
all. Moerever any party would be able to guidelines for gold s.
deposit gold in a form acceptable under
• May filed fresh offer
Gold Deposit Scheme.
document with which was
• nd week April again wrote consistent with the committee report.
to asking whether this modified
Scheme is acceptable to .
Activities of various financial
firms in the areas of
operation at an IFC:
Wall chart
In Chapter , we looked at the various activities that take place in an . We discussed in
details the products and services that s like London and New York provide. If the goal is to
make Mumbai an in the true sense, we would need to put in place the infrastructure, both
institutional and regulatory that would enable entities to engage in providing and availing
E
Appendix
1. Fund raising
An provides a platform for entities to raise large amounts of funds on a global scale. Funds
could be raised via equity, debt or composite structures across various maturity and currency
spectra. We look at the impediments on fund raising by various entitites in India.
. Raise equity in India or abroad for their own capital base. However banks have
problems since GOI does not allow their own share to drop below %. Raising equity
abroad is a problem because of government restriction on foreign ownership and on the
voting rights of foreigners.
. Give lending to specialised finance companies involved in the equity market such as
investment banks, exchanges, securities firms, asset managers and hedge funds subject to
prudent limits. However these banks are not permitted to lend to the above entitities in
foreign currency. Nor are they allowed to invest by way of equity into these specialised
finance firms.
However they face various regulatory impediments in terms of providing products and
services in fund raising:
. Lack of identical policy/regulatory treatment for lending through loans versus corporate
bonds.
. Lack of identical policy/regulatory treatment for a domestic borrower as opposed to a
foreign borrower, across currencies of denomination of lending.
. Absence of a sound legal framework governing bankruptcy, with a well–developed
“bankruptcy code” with adequate supporting institutions.
. Absence of a legal framework which makes it possible to exactly codify the seniority
associated with a given loan/bond.
. Absence of regulations which enable equity capital requirements for credit portfolio to be
based on the portfolio risk after all credit derivatives and other derivatives are taken into
account.
. Lack of access to liquid and risk-manageable and foreign loan and bond markets.
. Absence of prudent limits for the and foreign debt financing based on credit risk of
both borrower and lender.
. Inability to engage in syndication, securitisation, cash-flow stripping, trading in loans,
between a full range of finance companies and third parties.
. Inability to provide holistic /forex financial structure to corporate clients comprising
packages of equity, debt, convertibles, options, swaptions, caps, collars.
. Inability to finance convertible instruments in or forex, either up-front or in
“workouts”.
. Inability to exercise conversion options in or forex (issues of price, period, post-
conversion ownership structure, ownership concentration, foreign ownership).
. Absence of legal/regulatory framework that permits the handling of workouts that may
involve debt conversion into various kinds of equity or quasi-equity.
In terms of providing composite funding structures, investment banks in India face the
same issues as the commercial banks.
E. Activities of various financial firms in the areas of operation at an IFC: Wall chart 233
2. Asset management
The bulk of asset management is transacted through the world’s major s. Asset management
includes a combination of front and back office functions. We look at two forms of asset
management and the legal/regulatory impediments that exist from the point of view of banks,
asset managers and brokers/security firms — discretionary asset management (assets are
managed purely by the asset manager and the client has no involvement other than a broad
view about risk exposure) and non-discretionary asset management (assets are managed with
partial or full instructions from client).
Besides being able to offer all the services provided by commercial banks, private banks
need to be permitted to operate freely in the asset management space to do the following:
Investment banks need to be permitted to do all of the activities listed above for commercial
and private banks, both for discretionary as well as non-discretionary asset management, but
in the context of investment banking. The same would hold good for brokerage and securities
firms.
. Rules on qualification and capitalisation of fund manager which permit a steady pace of
entry.
. Sound regulation of fees, entry and exit by customers, trading of fund assets, valuation
rules, periodicity and communication of and portfolio composition.
. Almost a full range of asset classes permissible, except forex.
. Almost a full range of products that can be offered, excluding forex based products.
What we do not have in place in terms of mutual fund asset management is neutrality
between Indian and foreign mutual funds and Indian and foreign assets. There are restrictions
on Indian mutual funds investing abroad and foreign mutual funds investing in India.
In terms of discretionary asset management by insurance companies, we do have a fair
amount of regulations in place. Insurance companies can:
E. Activities of various financial firms in the areas of operation at an IFC: Wall chart 235
. Ability to offer and manage a full range of personal assets such as gold, commodities, art,
wine, real estate etc.
. Ability to provide the customer with comprehensive services as a one-stop solution. This
would include property management services, credit card services, travel, entertainment
etc.
In terms of private banks in India offering services, the following needs to be done:
. Removal of contraints against banks or specialist ‘private bankers’ offering private banking
services.
. Enable commercial banks to setup a private banking division, subsidiary or affiliate.
. List out regulatory issues concerning client solicitation, invitation for services,
global assets, global customers including local and customers.
. Serve local customers with global assets and global customers with global assets.
. Deal with s, firms or trusts owned by s.
. Do full service global tax management for Indian multinationals, which requires
substituting the services provided by foreign banks, foreign accountants and foreign
lawyers.
5. Risk management
Risk management is an important activity at an . Risk management consultants work with
clients to identify sources of risk and design integrated solutions. We look at the regulatory
framework that would need to be set in place in order to enable banks, asset managers and
funds and brokers/security firms to avail risk management services in India.
. Operations in derivatives markets for hedging risks of the core commercial banking book
and for clients on an agency basis (possibly in the context of a personal wealth management
structure).
E. Activities of various financial firms in the areas of operation at an IFC: Wall chart 237
. Identical structure for currency, interest rate and credit derivatives markets, regardless of
whether or forex.
. Ability to combat political risk through derivatives and insurance.
. Ability to cover market risk and operational risk.
Investment banks would require a similar enabling framework with respect to investment
banking activities. So would private banks for risk management of private portfolios in
currencies, equities, bonds and commodities and risk management of discretionary funds.
. Mutual funds are permitted to trade in equity and equity index derivatives.
. There has been full integration of derivatives positions into rules about valuation and
disclosure.
However a lot of risk management activities essencial for fund management are not
permitted in India. So are risk management products. To enable risk management on an
scale, regulations would have to be put in place to enable the following:
From the point of view of insurance companies, regulations will have to enable the
offering of financial risk reduction insurance products ranging across currencies, interest rates,
credit risk, political risk, catastrophes, weather, and any risk that can be analysed in actuarial
terms.
From pension funds’ point of view, regulations would have to enable the following:
And finally regulations that would permit hedge funds to use derivatives, insurance,
proactive trading, short selling and leverage.
. Risk management of private portfolios and discretionary funds, across all manner of
derivatives markets (currencies, credit risk, political risk, equities, bonds, commodities)
. Proprietary derivatives trading
. Neutrality between local and offshore markets, and or exchange markets
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6. Financial markets
Most world class s provide financial institutions which provide trading in various
asset classes such as currency, equity, bonds, commodities and derivatives. We look at the
legal/regulatory system from the point of view of banks, asset managers and funds, and
securities markets in terms of their access to various asset classes in India.
. Full fledged participation in speculation, market-making, hedging and arbitrage for all
currency pairs out of , , , and futures, options, swaps and exotics.
. Participation out of Mumbai in Chicago, New York and London markets.
Private banks also need to be enabled to give clients global currency management and
currency trading services along with multi-currency checking, savings and deposit accounts.
Investment banks should be able to offer clients multi-currency facilities with conversion
rights across currencies through swaps and swaptions. They should also be in a position to do
and tailored multi-currency facilities.
In terms of equity trading, commercial banks need to be enabled to do the following:
. Invest in equities for proprietary in-house trading, with full access to leverage and/or
short-selling.
. Offer equity trading and portfolio management facilities to individuals, trusts and s.
. Finance equity trades through collateralised leverage.
. Market making on equity spot and derivatives markets.
. Equity derivatives arbitrage.
. Accept listed equities as collateral subject to risk-based limits.
. Engage in all the above without concern for the location of the exchange.
Investment banks should be enabled access to equity trading and be able to do all the
above from an investment banking perspective.
Commercial and private banks need to be allowed access to the entire spectrum of bond
market products enabling them to do the following:
Investment banks should have access to the bond market and be able to do all the above
from an investment banking perspective.
Commercial banks should have access to derivatives markets which would enable them to
avail/offer a range of products and services as follows:
Besides being able to do all the above in an investment banking context, investment
banks must be able to develop innovative new commodity contracts and be able to trade on
established // contracts.
In terms of equity trading by mutual funds, we have some regulations in place. For
instance the transperancy and disclosure requirements, and customer redemption
rules and rules about fund liquidation and distribution of proceeds are fairly clearly laid out.
However mutual funds are not permitted the following:
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commodities such as gold or oil either through direct holdings or indirect paths such as s
is not permitted. Neither is trading and taking proprietary positions on commodity markets.
Even hedging of commodity positions on derivatives markets is not permitted.
Pension funds should be able to take exposures in currency markets and design pension
products which cope with foreign contributions or benefits, sell pensions to individuals or
firms outside the country, globally diversify their assets and be able to manage currency
exposure on foreign assets or liabilities. At the moment none of this is permitted.
While pension funds are allowed to invest in equity to a limited extent, they cannot
hold equity indexes and individual stocks across countries. There are no clear rules about
computation of equity portfolios nor is there clarity about transperency and disclosure
requirement.
As far as trading in bond funds, derivatives and commodities markets is concerned, the
same issues that apply for insurance companies also apply to pension funds.
7. Securities markets
We look at the regulatory framework for financial exchanges that do currency trading, trading
of equity and debt, derivatives trading and commodity trading. The only market in currency
trading that exists in India at the moment is the interbank currency forward market. There is a
need for an exchange that would offer spot or derivatives trading facilities on any currency pair.
Similarly partnerships with global exchanges on transfer of currency derivatives positions need
to be put in place. To enable entities to arbitrage and exploit price differentials across markets,
there is need enable direct market access.
As far as equity trading is concerned, we have a fair degree of success in terms of the
following regulations already in place:
. Listing of s including s on closed-end funds, investment trusts, etc.
. Disclosure and transperancy rules governing all trades.
. Required minimum publicly traded stock that has to be issued.
. Rules about proportions that can be owned by certain kinds of institutional investors.
. Support for diverse array of market participants.
. Flexible framework permitting multiple listing by a given issuer.
. Sound rules about circuit breakers.
. On-line realtime surveillance by exchange that is world respected.
What we are lacking in terms of regulations on the equity markets is the following:
. Listing rules that enable listing of a diverse array of international issuers.
. Listing of s on commodities.
. Neutrality between local and offshore issuers.
. Support for borrowed shares and margin trading.
. Consistency with global approved - regulations for members, dealers and
customers.
. Direct Market Access.
As concerns the bond markets, we have rules in place for listing of fixed income funds and
s. There are no restrictions on multiple listing. However the following still needs to be
enabled:
. Listing and trading of government bonds, sub-sovereign bonds, corporate bonds, with
issuers from across the world.
. Sound procedures for disclosure, transparency and surveillance.
242 R M I F C
On the derivatives trading front, a lot needs to happen. We need regulations in place that
will permit the following:
. Ability to innovate and create derivatives contracts on all underlyings in equity, currency,
fixed income and commodities.
. Global exchanges to trade local underlyings.
. Placement of terminals by global exchanges in India and placement of terminals by Indian
exchanges abroad.
. Margin requirements based on overall portfolio risk, where there is an attempt at
incorporating maximal information into the definition of the position, including
positions, asset holdings, etc.
. International-style position limits.
. Direct Market Access.
As far as commodity exchanges are concerned, there is a need for listing of all manner of
futures and options on all types of commodities and providing fungibility of local contracts
against those prevalent globally. All issues of market design and operations as seen with
securities exchanges need to be implemented on the commodity exchanges.
As far are brokerage/securities firms are concerned, all issues that apply to banks in terms
of trading on the various markets discussed above also apply to these firms.
. Undertake structured leasing activities, under and international-style tax regime, for a full
range of client-specific assets including aircraft, ships, containers, locomotives, wagons,
cars, buses, trucks, computer equipment, etc.
. Deal with assets abroad and assets subject to cross-border movement.
. Be subject to sound provisioning requirements for leased assets.
E. Activities of various financial firms in the areas of operation at an IFC: Wall chart 243
From the securities markets point of view, we need regulations in place that would enable
exchanges to offer spot and derivatives trading on securitised paper. So also enable them to
offer a full range of complex derivatives required for putting together complex financing
structures.
. Selling insurance services either in India or abroad, either to an Indian client or to a foreign
client.
Private bank client need to be able to participate in local or global insurance/re-insurance
syndicates, such as Lloyds.
As far as insurance companies are concerned, regulations need to permit them to do the
following:
. Sell insurance products across the world insuring against global risks.
. Participate in trading on the global reinsurance market.
. Hold global portfolios in the management of assets.
. Be subject to sound pruential regulations which do not discriminate against equity.
. Participate in local and offshort, exchange traded and derivatives.
To promote competitiveness in a global context, it is essential that entities operating in the
insurance and reinsurance business are free from financial repression and are not forced to
purchase Indian government bonds or restricted by requirements for corporate bonds to have
high ratings.
Abbreviations
F
ADB Asian Development Bank FEMA Foreign Exchange Management Act
ADR American Depository Receipt FII Foreign Institutional Investor
AMC Asset Management Company FIPB Foreign Investment Promotion Board Appendix
AT Algorithmic Trading FMC Forward Markets Commission
AUM Assets under Management FRBM Fiscal Responsibility and Budgetary
BAMC Benchmark Asset Management Management Act
Company (a mutual fund) FSI Floor Space Index
BCD Bond-Currency-Derivatives Nexus FSMA Financial Services Modernisation Act
BHEL Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (an GAIL Gas Authority of India Ltd. (an SOE
SOE electrical equipment maker) in the natural gas business)
BOB Bank of Baroda (an SOE bank) GFC Global Financial Centre
BPCL Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. GST Goods and Services Tax
(an SOE petroleum company) GoI Government of India
BPO Business Process Outsourcing HDFC Housing Finance Development Cor-
BSE Bombay Stock Exchange poration (a financial firm working in
home loans)
BSNL Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd. (an SOE
telecom company) HNI High Net Worth Individuals
BoP Balance of Payments HNW High Net Worth
CAC Capital Account Convertibility HNWI High Net Worth Individuals
CAGR Compound Average Growth Rate HPCL Hindustan Petroleum Corporation
Ltd. (an SOE petroleum company)
CBDT Central Board of Direct Taxes (the
agency which implements central HPEC High Powered Expert Committee
direct taxes) IAS Indian Administrative Service
CBEC Central Board of Excise and Customs IDRs Indian Depository Receipts
(the agency which implements central IFS International Financial Service
indirect taxes)
IFSAT International Financial Services
CCI Controller of Capital Issues Appellate Tribunal
CCIL Clearing Corporation of India Ltd. IGIDR Indira Gandhi Institute for Develop-
CDO Collateralised Debt Obligation ment Research
CFMA Commodity Futures Modernisation IIT Indian Institute of Technology
Act KPO Knowledge Process Outsourcing
CMIE Centre for Monitoring Indian Econ- KYC Know Your Customer
omy LCFI Large Complex Financial Institution
CRR Cash Reserve Ratio LIC Life Insurance Corporation (an SOE
DEA Department of Economic Affairs insurance company)
DMA Direct Market Access LLP Limited Liability Partnership
DOT Department of Telecommunications MAS Monetary Authority of Singapore
EET Exempt-Exempt-Tax MOF Ministry of Finance
EPFO Employee Provident Fund Organisa- NBER National Bureau of Economic Re-
tion search
ETF Exchange Traded Fund NBFC Non Banking Finance Company
246 R M I F C