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interpreted with extreme caution as the proportions quoted are crude rates. The figures for
London and Middlesex are taken from the reports of the respective County Medical Officers.
It is interesting, but possibly without significance, to observe that the deaths seem to follow the
pattern of London, the area from which the estate inhabitants have come, while the incidence
of new cases follows Middlesex in which county they are now living. From Table XVII it
TABLE XVII.-CouNcIL ESTATE B, RELATIONSHIP OF "INFECTED HousEs" 1930-51
Next door houses Next door but one
Actual ............ ... ... ... ... ... ... 79 62
Expected ... 65 2 60-9
Difference/Standard Error.. 1 71 0-14
5% level. ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 195
can be seen that on this particular estate the number of next door "tuberculous" houses does not
reach statistical significance. Further, as in 28 instances it is known that although next door
houses contained at some time tuberculous individuals there was in fact no possible connexion
between them (e.g. both were tuberculous before living on the estate), we conclude that there
is no evidence of appreciable house-to-house spread of tuberculosis on this particular estate.
Summary.-Our findings suggest that the known case of tuberculosis can, when taught the
necessary hygiene precautions, be largely neutralized as a source of infection to others; the
unknown case is a great danger and is probably the cause of tuberculous infection and consequent
disease in individuals soon after leaving school; the X-ray of doctors' referred cases is a very
important although not the only method of discovery of these unknown cases of phthisis; there
is no evidence of appreciable house-to-house spread of tuberculosis on the new housing estates
we have studied.
We wish to thank Drs. A. F. Adamson, E. Grundy, and E. W. Caryl Thomas, Medical
Officers of Health of Hendon, Wembley, and Harrow, and Drs. A. W. Anderson and W. C.
Harris for the help they have given us with the work reported, Mr. D. J. Wheeler for assistance
in the statistical analysis of the housing estate results, the General Practitioners in our areas for
their co-operation, and Miss E. Last and Miss M. Shaw for preparing tables and lantern slides.
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