Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Investor Relations Unit (IRU) of the Republic of Indonesia has been established as a joint effort between Coordinating Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance and Bank Indonesia since 2005. The main objective of IRU is to actively communicate Indonesian
economic policy and to address concerns of investors, especially financial market investors.
As an important part of its communication measures, IRU maintains a website under Bank Indonesia website which is administered by
International Department of Bank Indonesia. However, day-to-day activities of IRU are supported by all relevant government agencies,
among others: Bank Indonesia, Ministry of Finance, Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs, Investment Coordinating Board, Ministry of
Trade, Ministry of State Owned Enterprises, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources and Financial Services Authority.
IRU also convenes an investor conference call on a quarterly basis, answers questions through email, telephone and may arrange direct
visit of banks/financial institutions to Bank Indonesia and other relevant government offices.
1
What’s New in This Edition
Bank Indonesia
Lowered Rupiah
Reserve Requirement
by 50 bps.
…page 61
2
Overview
3
Section 1
Institutional and Government Effectiveness:
Accelerated Reforms Agenda with
Institutional Improvement
Improving Global Perception
…with recent improvements on corruption perception index and governance indicator
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Rank 0
20 Higher rank is better (rankings at the time of annual report publication)
20
Higher rank is better 36 40
30
41 60
45 72
40 73
80
50 91
100
60
120
70 *New Concepts by using the Global 140
Competitiveness index 4.0 which
80 captures the determinants of long- 160
term growth.
90
India Indonesia Philippines Bulgaria Colombia Indonesia India Philippines Bulgaria Colombia
35 38 38
29 36 36
25
34
Higher rank is better
15 32
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
30
Voice and Accountability Political Stability/Absence of Violence 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Government Effectiveness Regulatory Quality
Rule of Law Control of Corruption Indonesia India Philippines Bulgaria Colombia
EoDB 2019 EoDB 2018 Change in EoDB 2019 EoDB 2018 Change in
Rank Rank Rank Points Points Points
BBB / Stable
BBB / Stable
Baa2 / Stable
Apr 2018, Rating Upgraded at Baa2/Stable
“The upgrade to Baa2 is underpinned by an increasingly
credible and effective policy framework conducive to
macroeconomic stability. Together with a build-up of
financial buffers, prudent fiscal and monetary policy
strengthens Moody’s confidence that the sovereign’s
resilience and capacity to respond to shocks has improved.”
The Economist: Indonesia rounds out the top five of Asian economies that
can look forward to increased investment spending. (January 2019) 1 Indonesia Enjoys Large Investments Relative to Peers within the Region 2
40
China 58.3
35
31.59
31.74
31.81
34.47
34.61
34.69
23.63
24.61
24.56
27.04
27.14
28.05
25.01
25.79
26.17
26.57
26.04
25.98
5
South Korea 26.3
Taiwan 25.2 0
Myanmar 22.5 India Indonesia Malaysia Philippines Thailand Vietnam
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2018 2019e 2020e
UNCTAD: Indonesia is listed in the top 20 host economies based on FDI JBIC: Among ASEAN countries, Indonesia is one of the most preferred place
inflows, 2016 and 2017 (June 2018)3 for business investment (November 2018)4
500 China 52.2
450 India 46.2
400 2016 2017 Thailand 37.1
350 Vietnam 33.9
Billion USD
Election Day
Priority Sector
Human Development Development Equitable Development
Necessary Condition
Legal Certainty & Politic & Democracy Governance
Security & Order
Law Enforcement
11
Economic Equality Policies
to support sustainable public welfare...
• Social Housing
Urban Poor & Affordable • House financing
Housing • Land banks and affordable land prices
• Law enforcement on spatial policies
• Develop and improve progressive tax, capital gain tax and tax on unutilized asset
Fair Tax System • supporting fiscal spending
Financing & Government • Improving Kredit Usaha Rakyat (KUR) scheme to support non-bankable SME
Budget • Improving procurement scheme to support SME accessibility to finance
• Identified and built priority scale on sectors, sub-sectors of leading industries and profession
Vocational, • Improving link and match scheme between industries and vocation
Human Resource
Capacity
Entrepreneurship & Labor • Early childhood education
Market • Encourage education system to be more skill, collaborative, flexibility and impact oriented instead
of degree consideration
“To improve national industry competitiveness, export and investment to generate significant economic growth”
In addition to the 16 Policy Packages, on August 31, 2017 the Government has issued a Presidential Regulation
No.91/2017 for enhancing business license service standard
Background
In order to further increase investment value in
Indonesia, there is a need for expansion of sector and
standard classification of Indonesian Business Fields
(KBLI) that are given tax holiday, complemented with a
process simplification to receive the tax holiday
according to the Online Single Submission (OSS).
TOTAL INITIAL
REGULATIONS 236 I–XVI
I–XII
Initially, there are 236 regulations which need to be
deregulated
11 I–XVI
Based on the further assessment, 11 regulations has been
I–XII
REVOKED
REGULATIONS revoked from deregulation process
TOTAL
REGULATIONS 225 I–XVI
I–XII
Total regulation subject to be deregulated: 225
regulations
98%
PRESIDENTIAL LEVEL
PRESIDENTIAL
54 are finished (99%), comprising 53 regulations at
47 TOTAL 42 53 FINISHED
SELESAI
Presidential level and 169 regulations at
Ministerial/Institutional level
MINISTERIAL/INSTITUTIONAL LEVEL
171
TOTAL 169 FINISHED 99%
ON GOING
DISCUSSION 3 1% Total regulation which are still discussed: 3
16
Investment Incentives to Boost Industry Sector
Tax holiday of corporate income tax in a certain amount and time Decreasing MSMEs Tax from 1% to 0.5% of gross revenue
Pioneer Industry with minimum investment value of Pioneer Industry with minimum investment value of 500bn
1 trillion Rupiah (minimum investment value of Rupiah
500bn Rupiah for telecommunication sector) Applied to 17 industry groups:
Applied to 8 industry groups: (i) upstream base metal; (ii) oil and gas refinery; (iii)
(i) upstream basic metal industry; (ii) oil and gas petrochemical (oil, gas, or coal based); (iv) non-organic base
refinery industry; (iii) organic basic chemicals industry; chemical; (v) organic base chemical; (vi) pharmaceutical materials;
(iv) machinery industry; (v) plantation, forest, and (vii) semiconductor and other components; (viii) communication
Taxpayer devices components; (ix) medical devices components; (x)
fishery products processing industry; (vi)
telecommunication, information and communication machine manufacturing for industry; (xi) machine main
industry; (vii) marine transportation; and (viii) components manufacturing; (xii) robotic components
economic infrastructure manufacturing; (xiii) ship components manufacturing; (xiv) airplane
components manufacturing; (xv) train components manufacturing;
(xvi) power plants; and (xvii) economic infrastructure
Tax allowance not provided Tax allowance for business expansion can be
provided with terms and conditions applied
After Tax Holiday
Source: Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs *) MoF has issued a new Tax Holiday policy through Regulation No. 35/PMK.010/2018 (PMK-35) dated 4 April 2018.
18
Enhancing Business License Service Standard
Presidential Regulation to Accelerate Ease of Doing Business has been launched
2 4 6
1 3 5
Accelerate the Increase coordination & Implement integrated
business licensing synergy between central & licensing process
process regional government (single submission)
OSS is a web-based business licensing system intended to cut the red tape involved in obtaining business
permits and integrated between the central government and regional administrations
Sectors
Other Sector
21
Improving Investment Climate
…revising the Negative Investment List
Strengthen implementation of
negative investment law through
active roles from ministries, agencies 49% 67% 55% 67% 67%
65%
and regional governments
25
Indonesia’s Strong GDP
1. Source: Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia (BPS), ** Including non-profit household consumption
2. Source: World Economic Outlook Database – April 2019; * indicates estimated figure 26
GDP Growth Breakdown
1. Source: Central Bureau of Statistics of Indonesia (BPS), ** Including non-profit household consumption
Movement of Rupiah
IDR/US$ In general, rupiah exchange rate stability has been maintained. In May 2019,
15,500 IDR/USD
15,176 Quarterly Average
the rupiah depreciated 0.18% (ptp) compared with the position recorded at the
end of April 2019. The latest developments are linked to the recent furtherance
Monthly Average
of international trade tensions, which triggered risk-off sentiment in the global
15,000 14798 financial markets. The rupiah regained momentum in June 2019, however,
14,409 appreciating 0.04% (ptp) as of 19th June 2019 compared with the rate
14,282
14,381
recorded at the end of May 2019, or by an average of 0.69% compared with
14,500
14601 the May 2019 average. The rupiah strengthened in June 2019 on the back of a
14,207
solid domestic economic outlook, including the recent improvement in
14269 Indonesia’s sovereign rating affirmed by Standard & Poor’s (S&P), in addition to
14,000
14134 a global loosening of monetary policy. Such dynamics are expected to attract
13952 14270
13,378 foreign capital flows back to Indonesia and appreciate the value of the rupiah.
Moving forward, Bank Indonesia expects to maintain rupiah exchange rate
13,500
stability in line with market mechanisms. Meanwhile, to enhance the
13576 Data as of May June 19th, 2019
effectiveness of exchange rate policy and reinforce domestic financing, Bank
Indonesia will continue to accelerate financial market deepening, targeting the
13,000
money market and foreign exchange market in particular.
1-Jan 1-Feb1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 1-Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec 1-Jan 1-Feb1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun
Rupiah Exchange Rate Fared Relatively Well Compared to Peers Rupiah Exchange Rate Volatilty
YTD 2019 vs 2018 %
point-to-point average 25 Data as of June 19th, 2019
2 Dual intervention in
2 Coordination with the Coordinating
the foreign exchange To stabilise the rupiah Policy Ministry of Economic Affairs, the
market and exchange rate, adjust fair coordination to Ministry of Finance, and the
government securities prices in the financial markets accelerate Financial Services Authority to
(Surat Berharga Negara and maintain adequate liquidity financial market accelerate financial market
– SBN) market in a in the money market deepening deepening, particularly in private
measured way financing for infrastructure.
3 3
Strengthening the Payment system Electronification to support social
To maintain adequate liquidity
monetary operations in development to assistance disbursement and
in the rupiah money market
the foreign exchange and support digital financial transcation of the central
and interbank swap market
money markets economy and regional government
4 Intensive communication,
To form rational expectations,
4 Sharia economy and finance
Sharia economy development to create halal value
especially to market
thus helping to mitigate the and finance chain, sharia financal sector
players, banks,
rupiah overshooting its development development both for commercial
businesses, and
fundamental level. and social purposes, including its
economists
education and communication
Ample Reserves
Swap Arrangement
Renewed a 3 year USD22.76 billion swap line with Japan on October 14th, 2018
Japan The facility is available in USD and JPY
South Korea Renewed a 3 year KRW / IDR swap arrangement with the size of up to KRW 10.7 trillion / IDR 115 trillion in March 2017
Bilateral
Australia Renewed a 3 year A$/IDR swap arrangement of up to A$10 billion or IDR 100 trillion in August 2018
Singapore Established a one year SGD/IDR swap arrangement with a size up to USD10 billion (equivalent) in November 2018
Renewed a 3 year swap arrangement and increased the size of swap line up to CNY 200 bn / USD 30 billion in
China November 2018
Chiang Mai Entitled to a maximum swap amount of US$ 22.76 bn under the ASEAN+3 (Japan, China, and Korea) FX reserves pool
Initiative created under the agreement
Multilateralization Came into effect in 2010 with a pool of US$120 bn
(CMIM) Agreement Doubled to US$240 bn effective July 2014
IMF Global
Global
Indonesia is entitled to access IMF facilities for crisis prevention to address potential (actual) BOP problem
Financial Safety
Such facilities include Flexible Credit Line (FCL) and Precautionary and Liquidity Line (PLL)
Net - GSFN
Social Security
Organizing Agency BPJS (min. level Aware)
(BPJS)’s Budget
Debt Burden Indicator (External Debt/GDP) Remains Comparable to Peers Rating Encouraging Corporates Compliance on Hedging Ratio & Liquidity Ratio
Indonesia
34.4
35.2 ≤ 3 months > 3 - 6 months
34.8
20.8 2,466
Philippines 21.9 2,545
23.3 , , 93.4%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90.5%
2019F 2018F 2017
Source: Moody’s Statistical Handbook, November 2018
Liquidity Ratio*
Regulation on Prudential Principle in Managing External Debt
308 ,
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
Regulation Key Points Jan 1,2015 – Jan 1,2016 – Jan 1, 2017 11.3%
Dec 31,2015 Dec 31,2016 & beyond
Object of Regulation Governs all Foreign Currency Debt
Hedging Ratio
< 3 months 20%* 25%**
> 3 – 6 months 20%* 25%** 2,418 ,
Liquidity Ratio (< 3 months) 50% 70% 88.7%
Credit Rating Not applicable Minimum rating of BB-
Must be done
Hedging transaction to meet not necessarily be done with a
with a bank in Comply Not Comply
hedge ratio bank in Indonesia
Indonesia
Sanction As of Q IV-2015 Applied *Data as of Q4 2018, with total population 2.726 corporates
Source: Bank Indonesia
Source: Bank Indonesia 35
Healthy External Debt Composition
External Debt Structure The Structure of External Debt is Dominated by Long-Term Debt
Private Debt Government and Central Bank Debt Short Term External Debt Long Term External Debt
100% 100%
90% 90%
80% 80%
46.4 44.2 45.9 49.3 49.1 48.7
52.6 50.0 49.5 51.2 49.6 50.0
70% 57.4 58.6 70%
60% 60% 81.7 78.8 79.3 78.3 78.8 79.8 82.1 82.9 84.4 84.2 84.2 85.1 84.6 83.9
50% 50%
40% 40%
30% 30%
53.6 55.8 54.1 50.7 50.9 51.3
47.4 50.0 50.5 48.8 50.4 50.0
20% 42.6 41.4 20%
10% 10% 18.3 21.2 20.7 21.7 21.2 20.2 17.9 17.1 15.6 15.8 15.8 14.9 15.4 16.1
0% 0%
External Debt Remains Manageable External Debt to GDP Ratio & Debt to Export Ratio
Million USD External Debt External Debt Growth (rhs) %
450,000 20.0 % External Debt to Export Ratio External Debt / GDP Ratio (rhs) %
200 36.1 36.2 36.9 40
400,000 18.0 34.3 34.7
17.1 32.9
16.0 31.8 35
350,000 180 29.1
14.0 26.5 27.4 30
300,000 25.0 176.1
12.0 160
12.0 168.4 168.0 168.4 25
250,000 11.5 11.3 164.0
10.2 10.1 10.0
200,000 7.9 140 20
8.0
139.5 15
150,000 7.1 120
5.9 6.0
5.4 123.1
100,000 121.8 10
4.0 114.9
100 113.8
3.0
50,000 2.0 5
101.0
0 0.0 80 0
*Provisional Figures
Source: Bank Indonesia, External Debt Statistics of Indonesia, May 2019
36
Manageable External Debt Profile
Short term non-bank corporate debt (non affiliation) represents only 8.4% of total private external debt
Affiliation
US$189.7bn US$145.2bn US$26.7bn
or or or
48.7% 72.8% 13.4% US$10.9bn
of Total Ext. of Private Ext. of Private or
Debt Debt Ext. Debt 5.5%
External Debt of Private
Position Ext. Debt
Private
Non-Bank US$16.8bn
Short-Term1 or
8.4%
Private of Private
Ext. Debt
External Debt Position as of April 2019
1 Based on remaining maturity
Non Affiliation
Source: External Debt Statistics of Indonesia, June 2019
37
Section 4
Fiscal Performance and Flexibility:
More Fiscal Stimulus with Prudent Fiscal Policy
Integrated Reform to Provide Higher Quality of Economic Growth
Structural reforms to enhance potential growth and navigate through challenges
Fiscal
Synergy in reform to
boost the more
sustainable
and
inclusive
Monetary & • Monetary policy to support
• Efficient, competitive, and Real Sector growth
Financial macroeconomic stability
innovative real sectors
Sector • Price stability and sustainable
• Job-creation
current account deficit
• Trade and investment
• Efficient and credible
policies that support growth,
financial sector
efficiency, and stability
40
2019 State Budget (APBN 2019)
Healthier, More Equitable, Self-Sufficient
Healthier Macroeconomic
• Deficit 1.84% of GDP, the Assumption Growth Inflation 3 months T-bills Exchange Rate
lowest since 2013 5.3% 3.5% 5.3% 15,000/US$
• Towards positive primary
balance ICP Oil Lifting Gas Lifting
• Debt to GDP ratio below
70/barrel 775 thousands barrel/day 1,250 thousands barrel/day
30% of GDP
2018 2019
2016 2017
% %
Description (IDR Trillion) Audited Audited Realization Proposed Realization
Budget Realization Budget Realization
Realization Realization (a.o. Dec 31) Budget (a.o. May 31)
to Budget to Budget
A. Revenues and Grants 1,555.9 1,666.4 1,894.7 1,942.3 102.5 2,142.5 2,165.1 728.5 33.6
I. Domestic Revenue 1,546.9 1,654.8 1,893.5 1,928.4 101.8 2,142.1 2,164.7 727.7 33.6
1. Tax Revenue 1,285.0 1,343.5 1,618.1 1,521.4 94.0 1,781.0 1,786.4 569.3 31.9
2. Non Tax Revenue 262.0 311.2 275.4 407.0 147.8 361.1 378.3 158.4 41.9
II. Grants 9.0 11.6 1.2 13.9 1161.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 162.3
B. Expenditure 1,864.3 2,007.3 2,220.7 2,202.2 99.2 2,439.7 2,461.1 855.9 34.8
I. Central Government Expenditure 1,154.0 1,265.3 1,454.5 1,444.4 99.3 1,607.3 1,634.3 530.8 32.5
1. Ministerial Spending 684.2 765.1 847.4 836.2 98.7 840.3 855.4 288.2 33.7
2. Non Ministerial Spending 469.8 500.2 607.1 608.2 100.2 767.1 778.9 242.6 31.1
II. Transfer to Region and Village Fund 710.3 742.0 766.2 757.8 98.9 832.3 826.8 325.1 39.3
C. Primary Balance -125.6 -124.4 -87.3 -1.8 2.1 -21.7 -20.1 -0.4 1.9
D. Surplus (Deficit) -308.3 -340.9 -325.9 -259.9 -297.2 -296.0 -127.5
% of GDP -2.49 -2.51 -2.19 -1.76 -1.84 -0.79
E. Financing 334.5 366.6 325.9 300.4 106.2 297.2 296.0 157.9 53.3
42
Increasing Tax Revenue Over The Years
Tax revenue in 2019 is expected to grow by 15,4% from 2018’s outlook, supported by
continuous tax reform
1,786.4
1000 7%
Tax compliance supervision
1,548.5
1,343.5
800 a. Implementing the AEol and financial information access
1,285.0
1,240.4
5%
1,146.9
aTax ratio derived from tax revenue + revenue from natural resources/GDP
Source: Ministry of Finance 43
Non-Tax Revenue
Encouraged by rising in oil prices, increasing quality and volume of services, and improving
governance (non-tax revenue in 2019)
IDR tn IDR tn
123.1
600 125
107.4
492.5
500 435.0 100 91.4 92.4
390.3 406.0
400 353.4 370.8
75 65.9
59.7
300
50
200
25
100
0 0
2014 Real 2015 Real 2016 Real 2017 Real 2018 2019 Budget 2014 Real 2015 Real 2016 Real 2017 Real 2018 2019
Outlook Outlook Budget
Some Improvements are made for 2019 Education Program Some Improvements are made for 2019 Health Program
Quality and Access Improvement: Quality and Access Improvement:
a. Increasing the effectiveness of BOS (School Operations Aid) a. Expansion of Contribution Aid Recipients (PBI) in the
BOS is based on performance and affirmation. framework of National Health Insurance (JKN) (2015: 86.4
b. The continuity of Program Indonesia Pintar is followed by million people; 2019: 96.8 million people) followed by an
the increasing of target accuracy. increase in target accuracy.
c. Acceleration of the construction of school and university b. Improving services at first-level health facilities.
facilities (part of which is carried out by the Ministry of c. Strengthening the stunting handling by specific and sensitive
Public Works and DAK supervised by the Ministry of Public nutrition intervention in 160 regencies/cities (2018: 100
Works). regencies/cities).
d. Expansion of the affirmation/Bidik Misi Scholarship program. d. Continuing the optimalization of BPJS health deficit handling
e. Allocating the endowment research. policy:
f. Enforcement fulfills the education budget by the Regional • Cigarette tax policy
Government. • Improvement of referral system
g. Link and match vocational education. • Improvement of claim management.
46
Subsidy Policy is Directed to be Better Targeted and
Toward Non-cash Distribution
through various policies in energy and non-energy subsidy
%
Increasing allocation of Transfer to Regions Trilion IDR
and Village Fund (TKDD) Budget 900 16
proportionally (fits to the region’s needs and 14.0 826.8
capacity, and also state financial 800 763.6
742.0 14
capabilities) 11.8
710.3
700
12
Supporting the regions financing needs (to 623.1
provide services and developments) 600 573.7
10
Focus on decreasing service inequality 500
between-region 08
Synchronizing planning and budgeting of 400
8.6 8.3
TKDD dengan belanja K/L 4.5 06
300
Maintaining the 5 years sustainability 2.9
04
development program (human resource 200
development, connectivity, tourism
02
destination, poverty reduction, village fund 100
strengthening)
- -
Encourage effective, efficient, and productive 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
use of region’s budget with value for money Outlook APBN
as its principle. DBH DAU DTK DID
Village
Otsus & DIY Dana Desa Growth (%)
Fund
• Tax revenue growth vs. • Revenue of customs • Non-tax revenue over • Growth of realized • Capital expenditure • Growth of transfer
2016 (excluding Tax and excise over 2017 2017 revised Budget, a government spending growth vs. 2016, a to village vs. 2016,
Amnesty and Asset revised Budget, a growth of 17.7% vs vs. 2016 92.8% over 2017 99.6% over 2017
Revaluation) 7.4% increase vs. 2016 revised Budget. revised Budget
2016
Infrastructure:
• 794 km road development
Bridges: 3,749 m bridge • 9,072 m bridge development
in development, 291 m • 3 airports completed
maintenance, and • 618.3 km railways
2,916m improvement Classroom: 1,351 new
Roads: 1,033 km in classrooms, 11,006
development, 1,503 km rehabilitation, 11,758
maintenance, 9,789 km rural library collection Education:
improvement • Distributed Indonesian Smart Card to 19.8
million students
Tuition: Reduced tuition • School Operational Benefit for 8.0 million
costs for 46.6 million • Scholarship for 364.4 students
students and 5.6
million kindergarten- Welfare: Increased welfare
aged children and work ethics of 1.7
Medical: Improved
million civil teachers in rural Healthcare and Social Security:
facilities in 347
areas and compensated • Distribution of Indonesian Health Card to
hospitals and 3,873
41,000 teachers in special 92.1 million people
clinics
regions
Rural: 107,9 village roads,
89,200 health clinics,
178,800 toilets, and
107,700 connected clean
water and 25,903 Ha
irrigated lands
Preliminary Repatriation
Evidence Payment 3% SMEs
1% 2%
Tax Arrears Offshore Companies
Payment 147.1 12%
14% 1.7 Declaration 85.59
21%
18.8 1,036 594.99
Individual
SMEs
18% 861.81
Onshore 3,323.36
114.2 3,698 Declaration
Individuals
Redemption 76% 68%
Money
85%
39.3
1.10
% of GDP
% of GDP
0.62 0.58
8.3
0.20 0.17 5.2
0.15 0.12 3.9 3.6
0.04 0.04 2.1
0.3
Germany Belgium Italy Chile Indonesia India South Spain Australia India Spain Chile Indonesia Italy South Australia
(2004) (2004) (2009) (2015) (2016) (1997) Africa (2012) (2014) (1997) (2012) (2015) (2016) (2009) Africa (2014)
(2003) (2003)
Investment
Lending
Other GS Loan Financing Sources
Financing Financing IDR382,74 T IDR91,94 T
IDR2,35 T
IDR75,9 T (IDR15,0 T) 80,63% 19,37% IDR833,94 T
Budget
Non-Debt Financing (nett) Matured Debt Foreign Denominated Debt Domestic Debt
Deficit
IDR296,0 T
IDR63,25 T IDR474,68 T IDR180,28 T (21,62%) IDR653,66 T (78,38%)
• Auction:
• Conventional Securities – 24x
• Islamic Securities – 24x
• Non-auction:
SBN Neto • ORI, Retail Sukuk, Online Retail Bonds;
[388,96] • Private Placement – based on request.
Government Securities realization as of May 31, 2019 IDR475.12 T or 57,54% from the target
475.12 29.52
(57.54%) 6%
Isuance Need for 2019
825.7
127.76
27%
251.25
53%
187.53
(48.21%) 66.59
Government Securities Net
14%
388.96
Realization as of May 31, 2019 Budget 2019 IDR Sovereign Sharia Securities FX Sovereign Sharia Securities
Domestic GS
IDR591.0 tn
Deficit
Domestic Debt
Rp325,9 T
Debt IDR595.5 tn
matures (75%)
Rp394,1 T
(include
Domestic Loan
Rp10,1 T of
IDR4.5 tn
Private
Placement)
Investment
Financing Lending Financing
Rp65,7T Rp6,7T Needs
IDR793.3 tn Foreign
Other Denominated
financing Bonds
(Rp0,2T) (JPY, EUR, USD)
IDR139.3 tn
Government
Guarantee Foreign Debt
Obligation IDR197.8 tn
Rp1,1T (25%) Foreign Loan
(Program &
Project)
IDR58.5 tn
Japan
Italy
Australia
S Africa
UK
Indonesia
USA
Brazil
China
Turkey
Saudi Arabia
Korea
100.0 207.0 10.0%
155.2 174.7
136.3
50.0 5.0%
- 0.0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 *) 2019**)
Bond Loan Debt/GDP Ratio Fiscal Deficit (% GDP) GDP Growth
Source: Ministry of Finance Source: MOF, World Economic Outlook – IMF October 2017
Weighted Average Debt Maturity of ~8.5 Years Well Diversified Across Different Currencies
% of Yearly Issuance
9.8
ATM (in years) 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
100%
3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4%
9.4 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6%
12%
9.1 80%
29% 32% 31% 30% 30% 29%
29%
60%
8.7
8.5
8.4 40%
53% 57% 55% 57% 59% 59% 60%
20%
0%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 May-19
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 May 2019 IDR USD JPY EUR OTHER
Source: Ministry of Finance
Source: Ministry of Finance
Note: *Preliminary Data (unaudited) **as of end of May by using GDP assumption (interpolation), ***GDP growth and fiscal deficit numbers are average of 10 years (2007-2016) 55
Well Balanced Maturity Profile With Strong Resilience
Against External Shocks
Declining Interest Rate Risks Declining Exchange Rate Risks
Variable rate ratio [%] Refixing [%] FX Debt to GDP ratio (%) FX Debt to total debt ratio (%)
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 May 2019 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 May 2019
34.7 36.0
350 33.9
156
151
300
130
168 25.0 25.5 25.6
250 161 22.7
21.4
120 68 20.1
200 105
102
150 71 253 25 15
238
151 9.9 10.6
100 191 24 21 8 32 7.7 8.4 7.6
217 191 144 6.5
187 135 145 143
116 140
50 29 96 91 99 27 88 3 2 2 37
52
34 34 23 30 26
33 42 12 19.8
-
4 27 21 18 15 28 30 19 10 13
- - -
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 May 2019
Holders of Tradable Gov’t Domestic Debt Securities Foreign Ownership of Gov’t Domestic Debt Securities by Tenor
100%
37.5% 32.0%
38.1% 38.2% 37.7% 37.9% 36.0% 37.0% 38.6%
39.8% 80%
42.8% 44.7%
60%
30.8% 39.8%
37.8% 39.9% 36.8% 38.1% 38.2% 37.5% 37.7% 38.0%
42.0% 42.0% 40%
35.3%
37.4% 35.6%
33.6% 36.8%
(IDR tn)
Banks* 350.07 23.95% 399.46 22.53% 491.61 23.41% 481.33 20.32% 503.90 20.10%
Govt Institutions (Bank Indonesia**) 148.91 10.19% 134.25 7.57% 141.83 6.75% 253.47 10.70% 252.30 10.07%
Bank Indonesia (gross) 157.88 8.90% 179.84 8.56% 217.36 9.18% 233.44 9.31%
GS used for Monetary Operation 23.63 1.33% 38.01 1.81% (36.15) (1.52%) (18.85) -0.75%
Non-Banks 962.86 65.87% 1,239.57 69.90% 1,466.33 69.83% 1,633.65 68.98% 1,750.24 69.83%
Mutual Funds 61.60 4.21% 85.66 4.83% 104.00 4.95% 118.63 5.01% 107.08 4.27%
Insurance Company and Pension
221.45 15.15% 325.52 18.36% 348.86 16.61% 414.47 17.50% 449.13 17.92%
Fund
Foreign Holders 558.52 38.21% 665.81 37.55% 836.15 39.82% 893.25 37.71% 949.56 37.88%
Foreign Govt's & Central Banks 110.32 7.55% 120.84 6.81% 146.88 6.99% 163.76 6.91% 159.58 6.37%
Individual 42.53 2.91% 57.75 3.26% 59.84 2.85% 73.07 3.09% 84.20 3.36%
Others 78.50 5.37% 104.84 5.91% 117.48 5.60% 134.22 5.67% 160.27 6.39%
Total 1,461.85 100.00% 1,773.28 100.00% 2,099.77 100.00% 2,368.45 100.00% 2,506.44 100.00%
1) Non Resident consists of Private Bank, Fund/Asset Manager, Securities Company, Insurance Company and Pension Fund.
2) Others such as Securities Company, Corporation, and Foundation.
*) Including the Government Securities used in monetary operation with Bank Indonesia.
**) net, excluding Government Securities used in monetary operation with Banks.
2
consistent with fundamentals
Accelerate implementation of
reserve requirement averaging 1 Macro-
prudential
Maintaining a monetary Monetary Electronification: Social
operations strategy oriented Policy Policy program, e-payment for
towards increasing available Government
liquidity (FX swap) Financial technology
The BI Board of Governors agreed on 19th and 20th June 2019 to hold the BI 7-Day Reverse
Repo Rate at 6.00%* and to lower Rupiah Reserve Requirement by 50bps.
*while also maintaining the Deposit Facility (DF) and Lending Facility (LF) rates at 5.25% and 6.75%, respectively.
Source: Bank Indonesia 61
Principles of Average Reserve Requirement Ratios Improvement
a. Additional rupiah
• Improvement in average reserve requirement is a average reserve Fixed RR: 5% Fixed RR: 4.5% 16th July
follow up to the monetary policy operational requirement for Average RR: 1.5% Average RR: 2% 2018
framework reform implemented by Bank Indonesia conventional RR: 6.5% RR: 6.5%
since 2016. commercial banks
• Monetary policy operational framework reform
b. Annulment of 16th July
started in August 2016 as BI7DRR replaced BI Rate 2.5% (from 1.5%
demand deposit 0% 2018
as policy rate. This was then strengthened in 1st RR)
renumeration
July 2017, by the implementation of the average
reserve requirement in rupiah for conventional c. Implementation of
commercial banks at 1.5% out of the total 6.5% of foreign exchange
GDP reserve requirement in Rupiah. The Fixed RR: 8% Fixed RR: 6% 1st
average reserve
reformulation is also backed by various efforts in Average RR: 0% Average RR: 2% October
requirement for
financial market deepening. RR: 8% RR: 8%* 2018
conventional
• The current improvement aims to elevate flexibility in commercial banks
banking liquidity management, enhance banking
intermediation function, and support efforts in d. Implementation of 1st
Fixed RR: 5% Fixed RR: 3%
financial market deepening. This multiple targets will average reserve October
Average RR: 0% Average RR: 2%
in turn improve the effectiveness of monetary policy requirement for 2018
RR: 5% RR: 5%*
transmission in maintaining economic stability. Islamic banks
1 2 3 4
Striving to stimulate the bank The regulation is The policy is expected to This
intermediation function and effective for stimulate the bank macroprudential
liquidity management, Bank conventional intermediation function to the policy instrument is
Indonesia issued Bank Indonesia commercial banks from real sector congruent with countercyclical and
Regulation (PBI) No. 16th July 2018 and for sectoral capacity and the can be adjusted in
20/4/PBI/2018 and Board of sharia banks from 1st economic growth target in line with prevailing
Governors Regulation (PADG) No. October 2018. compliance with prudential economic and
20/11/PADG/2018 concerning principles, while also financial dynamics.
the Macroprudential overcoming the issue of
Intermediation Ratio (MIR) and liquidity procyclicality.
Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer
(MLB) for Conventional
Commercial Banks, Sharia Banks
and Sharia Business Units.
5 Criteria for securities held Corporate bonds and/or corporate sukuk Corporate bonds and/or corporate sukuk
Issued by a nonbank corporation and by a resident
Offered to the public through a public offering
Equivalent to investment grade rating affirmed by a rating agency
Administrated by an authorised securities institution
*Effective on July 1st, 2019
64
Principles of Macroprudential Intermediation Ratio (MIR)
Regulation MIR (Conventional Commercial Bank) MIR Sharia (Sharia Banks and Sharia
Business Units)
6 Percentage of the
100%
securities held
7 Criteria for securities medium-term notes (MTN), floating rate notes sharia-compliant medium-term notes (MTN)
issued (FRN) and/or bonds other than subordinated and/or sukuk other than subordinated sukuk
bonds
Issued by a nonbank corporation and by a resident
Offered to the public through a public offering
Equivalent to investment grade rating affirmed by a rating agency
Administrated by an authorised securities institution
8 Securities Reporting Offline delivery mechanism (email)
9 Scope of deposits to Average daily total deposits in rupiah at all Average daily total deposits in rupiah at all
meet DD MIR /DD MIR branch offices in Indonesia branch offices and sharia business units in
Sharia Indonesia
Including rupiah liabilities to a resident and
non-resident third-party nonbank, consisting Including rupiah liabilities to a resident and non-
of: (i) demand deposits, (ii) savings deposits; resident third-party nonbank, consisting of: (i)
(iii) term deposits, and (iv) other liabilities wadiah savings; (ii) unrestricted investment funds,
and (iii) other liabilities
10 Relaxation of DD Bank Indonesia may relax the provisions of the DD MIR/Sharia DD MIR based on credit/financing
MIR/Sharia DD MIR disbursement and fund accumulation
The provisions may be relaxed based on a request from a conventional commercial bank, Sharia
bank or Sharia business unit or a recommendation from the Financial Services Authority (OJK)
Conventional commercial banks, Sharia banks or Sharia business units that receive the relaxed
policy are exempt from sanctions
65
Principles of Macroprudential Liquidity Buffer (MLB)
3 Calculation Formula Percentage of rupiah securities held by a conventional Percentage of sharia-compliant rupiah securities
commercial bank to rupiah deposits held by an Sharia bank to rupiah deposits
4 Flexibility Under certain conditions, the securities used to meet Under certain conditions, the securities used to
the MLB may be used for repo transactions to Bank meet the sharia MLB may be used for repo
Indonesia for open market operations, totalling no transactions to Bank Indonesia for open market
more than 2% of rupiah deposits operations, totalling no more than 2% of rupiah
deposits
5 Sources of Data on Monthly Commercial Bank Reports Monthly Sharia Bank Reports
Deposits
Rupiah deposits to calculate MLB are the average Rupiah deposits to calculate sharia MLB are
daily total deposits at all branches in Indonesia the average daily total deposits at all
branches in Indonesia
Rupiah deposits include: (i) demand deposits, (ii)
savings deposits; (iii) term deposits, and (iv) other Rupiah deposits include: (i) wadiah savings; (ii)
liabilities unrestricted investment funds, and (iii) other
liabilities
66
Relaxing the Loan-to-Value (LTV) and Financing-to-Value (FTV) Ratios
The LTV/FTV relaxation is conducted while taking into account aspects of prudential and consumer protection
1. Increasing opportunities of first time buyers to fulfill their housing 2. Relaxing the amount of loan/financing facility through indent
needs through housing loan, specifically by adjusting the LTV ratio mechanism to a maximum of 5 facilities without taking
for property loan and the FTV ratio for property financing for the account of the orders
1st facility, 2nd facility, etc., making the largest LTV ratio for 3. Adjusting the arrangement of stages and amount of property
property credit and FTV ratio for property financing as shown in the loan/financing disbursement of indent property:
table below.
Prudential aspects of Relaxing the Loan-to-Value (LTV) and Financing-to-Value (FTV) Ratios
1. The requirements of the LTV ratio for property credit and FTV ratio for property financing are as follows:
i. The net ratio of NPL to total credit or NPF to total financing must not exceed 5%; and
ii. The gross ratio of property NPL to total property credit or property NPF to total financing must not exceed 5%.
2. Banks must make sure that there is no loan transfer to another borrower at the same bank or different bank for
tenors of less than 1 year. The requirements are valid for banks that will disburse pre-order property loan/financing.
3. Banks are required to comply with prudential principles when disbursing loans.
4. Gradual loan liquidation is only allowed for developers that comply with bank’s risk management policy (e.g.the
business feasibility of the developer).
5. Banks are required to ensure that transactions to disburse loans (including down payment) and gradual liquidation
must be processed through the debitor and developer/seller’s bank account.
Central government or local government loan / financing programs are exempt from this regulation.
Transaction Settlement
• Use Fixing mechanism
• Reference rate: JISDOR for USD/IDR and BI FX Transaction MidRate for non-USD/IDR
• Settlement currency : IDR
• Roll over and early termination are not allowed
Cover Hedging
Bank may conduct DNDF Transactions with Bank Overseas for cover hedging purpose.
• Underlying Transactions: DNDF Transaction between Bank and Customer/Foreign
• Purpose: Hedging
Notes:
Customer A conduct DNDF transactions with Bank B, and so Bank B can conduct DNDF
transactions with overseas Bank for the purpose of cover hedge.
Source: Bank Indonesia
71
Overnight Index Swaps (OIS) & Interest Rate Swaps (IRS)
As hedging instruments against Rupiah interest rate changes IRS is a contract between two parties to
periodically exchange rupiah interest rate
4 flows during the contract period or at the
completion of the contract based on certain
notional amount. IRS pricing is based on
JIBOR.
Improvement of
IRS transaction
2 liquidity
Alignment
between JIBOR
and OIS interest Encourage price transparency in the
rate rupiah money market
OIS transaction
1 with IndoNIA as
Strengthen monetary policy
transmission
benchmark rate Provide alternative hedging instruments
IndoNIA & JIBOR against rupiah interest rate changes
Support securities market deepening in
Indonesia
Strengthening
reference rate
based on real
transactions
Source: Bank Indonesia
72
OIS and IRS Transactions: General Provisions
1. Monetary Policy • BI Rate cut of 25bps (Feb) Policy Rate cuts of 150bps • BI 7-day RR Rate cut of
Moving from BI Rate (12 25bps to 4.50% (Aug)
month) to BI 7-day Reverse • Further BI 7-day RR Rate
Policy Rate Repo Rate (Aug) cut of 25 bps to 4.25%
(Sept)
Obligation to use IDR in E-money for social transfer National Payment Gateway
4. Payment domestic transaction (Nov) (June)
System Policy (March) Financial Technology Modernized cash
Non-cash movement (FinTech) Office (Nov) management underway
(GNNT) New Rupiah issuance (Dec)
Well Maintained Inflation Ensured Price Stability Strengthened Monetary Policy Framework
(%) (%) 19 August 2016
20 8.38 8.36 9.00 8.00
CPI (%, yoy) - rhs The New
18 8.00 LF Rate: 7.00 Monetary
Volatile Food (%, yoy) - lhs Operation
16 7.00 LF Rate: 6.75
Administered (%, yoy) - lhs 7.00 Framework
14
Core (%, yoy) - lhs 6.00 BI Rate: 6.50 BI 7Day RR Rate: 6.00
12
6.00
10 5.00
DF Rate: 5.25
8 3.61 3.32 4.00
3.35 3.02 5.00
3.13 2.82 2.83
6
2.57 3.00
2.48
4
2.00 4.00
2
0 1.00
3.00
-2 0.00
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19
On May 2019, all provinces recorded inflation (yoy) within national inflation target corridor and lower than the historical
average of the past three years. Lowest inflation was recorded in Bali-Nusa Tenggara (2.74%, yoy), Java (3.27%, yoy), and
Sumatra (2.28%, yoy).
4 Strategies
Strengthening
production, Encouraging
Government trade Improving Strengthening
Stabilizing Managing Strengthening Improving data
food reserves cooperation trade central-regional
the price demand side institution quality
and food between infrastructure coordination
export-import regions
management
Bank Indonesia has instituted a Reformulation of Monetary Policy Operations Framework which consists of 3 pillars;
(1) implementation of BI 7day Reverse Repo Rate;
(2) implementation of reserve requirement averaging; and
(3) continue to implement money market deepening program.
Reformulation of
Monetary Policy Operational Framework
PREVIOUS JIBOR
• Can be traded among contributor banks for 10
minutes.
• Up to the amount of Rp10 billion.
• Up to 1-month tenor.
Banking intermediation is relatively stable, while multifinance financing grows 4.52% (yoy) in April 2019. At the same period, domestic
capital markets capital is raising (particularly right issues and corporate bond issuance).
May-17
Jun-17
Aug-17
Aug-18
Nov-17
Jan-18
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Feb-17
Sep-17
Dec-17
Sep-18
Dec-18
Apr-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Apr-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
Mar-17
Jul-17
Jul-18
Mar-18
Mar-19
May-17
May-18
Aug-17
Sep-17
Aug-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
Jan-17
Apr-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Apr-19
Dec-17
Feb-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Jul-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Capital raising through rights issues and corporate bond issuance is The gross premium revenue of the domestic insurance industry
picking up. maintains its growth.
IDR Tn IPO IDR Tn
180
Rights Issue 500
160 450
Corporate Bond & Sukuk
140 400
120 350
100 300
80 250
60 31 200 148
150 110
40 5.49
100 71
20 1.3 36
50
0
0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 May 2019
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan'19 Feb'19 Mar'19 Apr'19
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) 80
Financial Institutions Remain Robust
Domestic financial institutions maintained a generally robust condition capital is steadily well above the minimum requirements, while
profitability and leverage are still constantly at a sufficient level.
CAR of the banking sector remained stable at a high level. As of Apr-19, Risk-based capital (RBC) of the insurance industry slightly increased, well
CAR & Tier-1 Capital was 23.78% & 21.98% respectively. above the minimum threshold (120%).
Aug-17
Nov-17
Aug-18
May-17
Jun-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-17
Sep-18
Jan-19
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jul-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Apr-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Aug-17
Dec-17
Aug-18
Dec-18
Jan-17
May-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Sep-17
Sep-18
Apr-17
Apr-18
Oct-18
Apr-19
Feb-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Jul-18
Feb-19
Jul-17
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19 Gearing ratio of multifinance companies was 2.82 times, providing ample
Profitability of the banking sector was relatively stable. room for future growth.
% 4.0
6.0 Net Interest Margin Return on Assets
4.87 3.5
5.0
3.0 2.82
4.0
2.5
3.0 2.42
2.0
2.0
1.5
1.0
1.0
May-17
May-18
Aug-17
Aug-18
Jan-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Sep-17
Dec-17
Sep-18
Dec-18
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Feb-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Jul-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
May-18
Aug-17
Aug-18
Jan-17
May-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Sep-17
Sep-18
Apr-17
Apr-18
Feb-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Apr-19
Feb-19
Jul-17
Jul-18
Mar-18
Mar-17
Mar-19
Source: Financial Service Authority (OJK) 81
Manageable Credit Risks with Sufficient Liquidity
Banks are equipped with sufficient liquid assets. Meanwhile, insurance industry also demonstrates adequate level of investment. Credit
risk is also managed at a low level as non-performing loan and non-performing financing remains below the threshold.
The ratio of liquid assets to deposit and LA/NCD in the banking Investment adequacy ratio in the insurance industry was steadly above
sector was maintained at a sufficient level. 100%.
% % %
140 Liquid Assets to Non-Core Deposits (lhs) 30 Life Insurance General Insurance
Liquid Assets to Deposit (rhs) 210
130 26
120 20.15 190
173.76
110 22
170
100 18
90 150
14
80 96.51
130 116.94
70 10
110
60 6
Aug-17
Aug-18
Jan-17
May-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Sep-17
Sep-18
Apr-17
Apr-18
Oct-18
Apr-19
Feb-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Jul-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
90
Jun-18
Nov-18
May-18
Aug-18
Jan-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
Feb-18
Apr-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
Jul-18
Oct-18
Mar-18
Mar-19
As of Apr-19, the gross & net NPL ratios of the banking sector were
2.57% & 1.15% respectively, still well maintained below the threshold. NPF ratio of the multifinance industry remained low at 2.76% as of Apr-19.
% 4.0%
3.5 NPL Net NPL Gross
2.57
3.5%
3.0
1.15
3.0% 2.76%
2.5
2.5%
2.0
2.0%
1.5 1.5%
1.0 1.0%
0.5 0.5%
0.0 0.0%
Jun-17
Aug-17
Aug-18
Apr-17
May-17
Nov-17
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
Apr-18
Feb-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Apr-19
Feb-19
Mar-17
Jul-17
Mar-18
Jul-18
Mar-19
Aug-17
Aug-18
Jan-17
May-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Sep-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Sep-18
Dec-18
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Feb-17
Oct-17
Oct-18
Feb-19
Jul-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Financial institutions’ risk profile are still manageable. Investment value of domestic institutional investors (mutual funds, insurers, and
pension funds) is relatively stable, and the Net Open Position of Banks are maintained at a safe level.
Net open position in the banking sector kept far below the maximum Mutual funds’ net asset value (NAV) was at a steady level with low
limit (20%). volatility.
% IDR Tn
NAV Mutual Funds IDX (rhs) 6,800
4 530
6,600
500
6,400
3 470
2.04 6,200
440
6,000
2 410
380 5,800
350 5,600
1
320 5,400
290 5,200
0 260 5,000
Aug-18
Aug-17
Nov-17
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
May-17
Jun-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
Apr-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
Jan-17
Apr-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Apr-19
Feb-17
Jul-18
Feb-19
Jul-17
Mar-18
Mar-17
Mar-19
Nov-18
Jun-19
Aug-18
May-19
Sep-18
Jan-19
Dec-18
Feb-19
Apr-19
Oct-18
Jul-18
Mar-19
The investment value of insurance & pension funds were still in Multifinance companies’ exposures to foreign debt has generally been
increasing trend. mitigated through company hedging measures.
IDR Tn IDR Tn IDR tn 174.483
1,100 Insurance Pension Funds (rhs) 300 180
1,050 1072.1 160
275
1,000 140 Domestic Debt Foreign Debt
268.2
950 250 120 102.849
900 100
225
850 80
800 200 60 May-17
May-18
Aug-17
Aug-18
Jan-17
Apr-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Sep-17
Dec-17
Sep-18
Dec-18
Feb-17
Oct-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Feb-19
Jul-17
Jul-18
Mar-17
Mar-18
Mar-19
Aug-17
Aug-18
May-17
Jun-17
Nov-17
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Apr-19
Jan-17
Sep-17
Jan-18
Sep-18
Jan-19
Apr-17
Apr-18
Feb-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Jul-17
Jul-18
Mar-18
Mar-17
Mar-19
The IDX Stock Composite Index has maintained positive growth since Domestic capital markets performance is contracted, due to global
early 2019 pressure, but maintain to stabilize
Stock Index Performance 10 Jun 2019 (compared to 31 Dec’18) Comp Bond Index Comp Stock Index (rhs)
WORLD 12.44
260 7,000
THAI 6.45
KOREA 2.87 6,500
INDO 1.54 240
HKN 6.70
SIN 3.89 6,000
PHIL 7.76 220
CHIN 14.36 5,500
MAL -2.08
JPN 5.59 200
EURO 13.28 5,000
AS 11.73
RUS 15.76 180 4,500
BRAZ 10.90
Aug-18
Nov-18
May-19
Jun-19
Sep-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Oct-18
Feb-19
Mar-19
TURK 3.10
%
-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
May-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
May-19
Sep-18
Apr-18
Apr-19
Feb-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
Mar-18
Mar-19
5 13,000
Aug-18
Apr-19
May-19
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
Jun-19
Dec-18
Feb-19
Mar-19
Oct-18
Jul-18
OJK has also built a strong foundation for financial inclusion programs, to ensure access to financial
products & services by Indonesians of all social classes. Such initiatives also include the enhancement of
financial literacy and financial consumer protection.
Promoting the
Developing Developing Strengthening
establishment
financial Enhancing the micro-credit the role of
of Islamic
education role of the products with Financial Access
microfinance
models utilizing “Investment additional Acceleration
institutions
various delivery Alert Taskforce” business support Taskforce (TPAKD)
(“Bank Wakaf
channels (“KUR Klaster”) in local areas
Mikro”)
The result of OJK’s 2016 national survey demonstrated an improvement in financial literacy & inclusion
among Indonesians compared to that of 2013, but there is still room for further improvement.
In Apr-2016, the Minister of Finance, the Governor of Bank Indonesia, and the Chairman of the Board of Commissioners of the Financial
Services Authority launched a Coordination Forum for Development Financing through Financial Market (FK-PPPK). The three authorities
have agreed to formulate “The National Strategy of Financial Market Development”
Vision:
To Establish Deep, Liquid, Efficient,
Inclusive, and Safe Financial Market
Mission: Financial Market as Sources of National Development Financing
TARGET KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATOR STRATEGIC ACTION PLAN
1 2 3 POLICY COORDINATION,
ECONOMIC FUNDING & MARKET INFRASTRUCTURE
3 Pilars HARMONIZATION &
RISK MANAGEMENT DEVELOPMENT
EDUCATION
Simplification of public-offering requirements and Expansion of Single Investor Identification (SID) coverage
procedures Development of electronic trading platform (ETP) in the
Development of debt market debt market
Development of mutual fund industry Development of Integrated Investment Management
Development of other products, including those to System (S-INVEST)
support infrastructure development (private equity Enhancing the clearing and settlement process
funds, REITs, ABS) Enhancement of capital market data warehouse
Development of Islamic capital market Development of Extensible Business Reporting Language
Development of municipal bonds (XBRL) for issuers
Enhancing the role of the domestic institutional Development of market players’ capacity
investors (insurers & pension funds) in capital Enhancement of GCG for publicly-listed companies
markets Development of repo regulations and infrastructure
Development of the domestic investor base
(conducting investor education programs)
Expansion of distribution channels of market
products
NCSA Programs
Pilot Project
2016-2020
9876543210
XXYYZZ
12345678
Full
Non Cash
Food Assistance Implementation
(Bantuan Pangan
Non Tunai – BPNT) LPG
Subsidy
Interconnected &
interoperable
payment system
Inflation Rate (%) IDR Movement (%) Foreign Reserves (USD bn)
Significantly higher than 1998 & 2008, ample to cover
Inflation controlled within the target range IDR appreciated year-to-date in June 2019
6.7 months of import and external debt repayment
2008 -35
2008 12.1 2008 50.2
19-Jun-19 0.77
(ytd)
Sep-15
May ‘19 3.32
6.8 (yoy) Sep-15
May ‘19 120.3
Aug-15
Apr ‘19 2.6
2.8
1998 2008 May ‘19
Jul-15
91
Outlook of Domestic Economy Remains Robust
...domestic economic growth is predicted to be higher in 2019
Bank Indonesia projects national economic growth in the 5.0-5.4% range in 2019, buoyed by domestic demand and
improvements in terms of net exports.
Bank Indonesia will consistently maintain price stability and strengthen policy coordination with the Central Government and
Local Administrations to maintain low and stable inflation, which is projected within the inflation target of 3.5±1% in 2019.
Bank Indonesia projects credit growth in 2019 at 10-12% (yoy), while predicting deposit growth in the 8-10% (yoy) range.
Bank Indonesia will continue to monitor liquidity adequacy and distribution in the banking system in conjunction with the
other relevant authorities consistent with efforts to help maintain financial system stability.
2018
5.17% 3.13% 2.98% 11.75%
Realization
Presidential Reg. No. 20/2018 on Use of Foreign Labor – released on March 2018
This regulation aims at simplifying the permit application process for foreign workers, hence making the process more efficient and
faster, in order to rise foreign direct investment in Indonesia
Presidential Reg. No. 56/2017 on Social Impact Handling in Land Acquisition Process for PSN – released on June 2017
This Presidential Reg. allows the Executing Agency to pay land acquisition compensation to the impacted community who does not
have official rights over the land required for PSN. This regulation helps to solve the land acquisition problem due to community
objection over the land use.
MoF No. 60/2017 on Procedures for the Provision of Central Government Guarantee for the Acceleration of the National
Strategic Projects Implementation – released on May 2017
The supporting regulation for Presidential Reg. No. 3/2016 on the Acceleration of the National Strategic Projects Implementation.
This regulation regulates the scope and general requirements and procedures to propose and grant guarantees, as well as allocate
state budget obligation on government guarantees to all PSN. The guarantee provision is expected to increase the feasibility and
trust of investors to participate in the implementation of PSN.
Government Reg. No. 13/2017 on National Spatial Plan (RTRWN) – released on April 2017
The issuance of RTRWN can resolve spatial planning mismatch in the implementation of infrastructure projects listed in the annex of
Government Reg. No. 13/2017. A number of breakthroughs were developed, and one of them is that the Minister of Agrarian and
Spatial can issue a recommendation of spatial utilization; so that the process of obtaining project permission can be done.
MoF No. 21/2017 on Procedures for Land Acquisition for National Strategic Projects and Asset Management of Land
Acquisition by State Asset Management Agency – released on February 2017
The implementing regulation of Presidential Reg. No. 102/2016 on Financing of Land Acquisition for the Development of Public
Interest in the Framework of the National Strategic Implementation. This regulation becomes the legal basis for the financing of the
procurement of National Strategic and Priority Projects by BLU LMAN.
Government of Indonesia
Project Viability
Guarantee Availability Land
Development Funding Tax Facilities
Fund Payment Acquisition
Facility (PDF) Gap (VGF)
1
The issuance of RTRWN can resolve spatial planning mismatch in the implementation of infrastructure
projects listed in the annex of Government Reg. No. 13/2017. A number of breakthroughs were developed,
and one of them is that the Minister of Agrarian and Spatial can issue a recommendation of spatial
utilization; so that the process of obtaining project
permission can be done.
MoF No. 60/2017 on Procedures for the Provision of Central Government Guarantee for the
Acceleration of the National Strategic Projects Implementation
2
The supporting regulation for Presidential Reg. No. 3/2016 on the Acceleration of the National Strategic
Projects Implementation. This regulation regulates the scope and general requirements and procedures to
propose and grant guarantees, as well as allocate state budget obligation on government guarantees to
all PSN. The guarantee provision is expected to increase the feasibility and trust of investors to
participate in the implementation of PSN.
Presidential Reg. No. 56/2017 on Social Impact Handling in Land Acquisition Process for PSN
3 This Presidential Reg. allows the Executing Agency to pay land acquisition compensation to the impacted
community who does not have official rights over the land required for PSN. This regulation helps to
solve the land acquisition problem due to community objection over the land use.
MoF No. 21/2017 on Procedures for Land Acquisition for National Strategic Projects and Asset
4
Management of Land Acquisition by State Asset Management Agency
The implementing regulation of Presidential Reg. No.102/2016 on Financing of Land Acquisition for the
Development of Public Interest in the Framework of the National Strategic Implementation. This
regulation becomes the legal basis for the financing of the procurement of National Strategic and
Priority Projects by BLU LMAN
Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP)
99
Under Presidential Reg. No.56/2018, PSN list has been
revised into 223 Projects and 3 Programs
26
53 18
Projects
12
Projects Projects
Projects
Sulawesi
Sumatra Kalimantan US$22.8 B
Maluku & Papua
US$40.4 B US$35.6 B
US$34.4 B
89
Projects 3 Programs
National projects Projects
12 Projects
Java
US$99.7 B
US$73.8 B 13
Projects
Bali &
Nusa Tenggara
US$0.7 B Exchange rate: US$ 1 = IDR 13,500
Electricity
1 Program
Road Dams SEZs & IEs Railway Ports Clean Water & Airports
Energy
69 Projects 51 Projects 29 Projects 16 Projects 10 Projects Sanitation 7 Projects
11 Projects Aeroplane Industry
8 Projects
1 Program
11 02
Accelerate Goods and
Spatial Planning
Service Procurement
10 03
08 05
SOE’s Assignment 07 06 Local Content
Utilization
Existing Facilities
From the revised National Strategic Projects, the Government has selected a list of 37 Priority Projects to be the focus
of infrastructure provision.
1. Balikpapan-Samarinda Toll Road 13. LRT of DKI Jakarta 26. Tuban Oil Refinery
2. Manado-Bitung Toll Road 14. Kuala Tanjung International Hub Seaport 27. RDMP/Revitalization of the Existing Refineries
3. Panimbang-Serang Toll Road 15. Bitung International Hub Seaport (Balikpapan, Cilacap, Balongan, Dumai, Plaju)
4. 15 Segments of Trans – Sumatera Toll 16. Patimban Port 28. Abadi WK Masela Field
Road 17. Inland Waterways Cikarang-Bekasi-Laut (CBL) 29. Unilization Field Has Jambaran-Tiung Biru
5. Probolinggo – Banyuwangi Toll Road 18. Palapa Ring Broadband 30. Indonesian Deepwater Development (IDD)
6. Yogyakarta – Bawean Toll Road 19. Batang, Central Java Power Plant (CJPP) 31. Tangguh LNG Train 3 Development
7. SHIA Express Railway 20. Central – West Java Transmission Line 500 kV 32. West Semarang Drinking Water Supply System
8. MRT Jakarta South-North Line 21. Indramayu Coal-fired Power Plant 33. Jakarta Sewerage System
9. Makassar-Parepare Railway 22. Sumatera 500 kV Transmission (4 Provinces) 34. National Capital Integrated Coastal
10. Light Rail Transit (LRT) of Jakarta- 23. Mulut Tambang Coal-fired Power Plant (6 Development (NCICD) Phase A
Depok-Bogor-Bekasi Provinces) 35. Jatiluhur Drinking Water Supply
11. LRT of South Sumatera 24. PLTGU (16 Provinces) 36. Lampung Drinking Water Supply
12. East Kalimantan Railway 25. Bontang Oil Refinery 37. Waste to Energy Program in 8 cities
1 project is completed
Palapa Ring
3% 4 projects in construction and West package has been fully operasional since April 2018.
19% 11%
partial operation phase
16 projects in construction and
8% will start operating in 2019 Yogyakarta-Bawen Toll Road
6 projects in construction and Outline Business Case has been done on December 2017.
will start operating after 2019
16% 43%
3 projects in transaction
West Semarang Water Supply System:
7 projects in preparation On March 2018, pre-qualification stage has resulted 4 shortlisted
bidders
Funding Scheme of 37 Priority Projects
Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) Jakarta South-North
Total Investment Value Allocation of repayment liability on additional-loan for Phase I
US$ 183.9 Billion and Phase II has been decided in the KPPIP Ministerial meeting –
8% 49% will be borne by Central Government and 51% will be borne
US$120.7 billion from Private/ Provincial Government of DKI Jakarta.
PPP
Patimban Port
26% US$47.7 billion from SOE/
Loan Agreement has been signed on 15 November
Regional SOE
2017.
66% US$15.5 billion State/
Regional Budget
(including G-to-G loan)
17 Dec ‘14 Jan ‘15 Jan ‘15 16 Mar ‘15 4 May ‘15
Cabinet Meeting
“There’s electricity crisis in The progress so far: June‘17
Indonesia, requires construction
of large capacity plant " 35,000 MW Program Distribution
Kalimantan Sulawesi No Phase MW %
PLN: 900 MW PLN: 2,000 MW
Papua
Private: 1,735 MW Private: 1,470 MW
PLN : 220 MW 1 Operating 3,009 8
Transmission: 5,604 ckt.km Transmission: 5,275 ckt.km
Private: 0 MW
Substation: 3,500 MVA Substation: 4,390 MVA
Transmission: 364 ckt.km 2 Construction 20,416 58
Substation: 460 MVA
Sumatera 3 Signed Power-purchase Agreement 9,507 27
PLN: 1,100 MW
Private: 8,990 MW 4 Procurement 1,383 4
Transmission: 18,729 ckt.km
Substation: 35,521 MVA 5 Planning 954 3
Maluku
Nusa Tenggara PLN: 260 MW
Note : Progress of 35,000 MW Electricity Program as of January 2019
Jawa & Bali
PLN: 670 MW Private: 12 MW
PLN: 5,000 MW
Private: 0 MW Transmission: 653 ckt.km
Private: 13,697 MW
Transmission: 2,347 ckt.km Substation: 620 MVA
Transmission: 9,185 ckt.km
Substation: 1,410 MVA
Substation: 66,265 MVA
Source: PLN
The Government has issued Presidential Regulation No. 4/2016 on Electricity Infrastructure Acceleration to accelerate power projects
PT PLN
Provision of Electricity
1 2A 2B
Strengthen Equity
Strengthen PLN‘s Balance Sheet
Loan from Equity Injection by PT PLN’s divident
independent lenders the Government allocation
Refinancing Hedging
Bond issuance Asset Direct Company
by PT PLN Revaluation Lending Tax Holiday *)SJKU=Surat Jaminan
Financial Asset Optimization Kelayakan Usaha/
Direct Other types Business Viability
Lending of funding Guarantee Letter
Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP) 107
Significant Progress on Infrastructure Projects
Roads Improving Monitoring System on Infrastructure Projects1
Trans-Sumatra Toll Road Merah Putih Bridge, Ambon Database Platform data outlook
Dams Drinking Water Processing
Project information that is efficient and
such as map, track, functional using a
existing study and user-friendly
latest project status. framework.
Jatigede Dam (Operational) Umbulan Drinking Water Provision System, East Java
Transportation
109
Government Guarantee For Basic Infrastructure Development
Reflects strong commitment to national development planning
*) MOF provides both credit guarantees and BVGs for 35GW program
Source: Ministry of Finance
110
Government Financial Facilities for PPP Projects
Financial Facilities to Attract More Private Participation More Funding Schemes are on the Pipelines
Those financial facilities were instrumental in supporting the execution of Scheme Characteristics
PPP projects, indicated by the signing of financial close
of the following PPP projects: • Asset is owned by private sector
• Greenfield / brownfield / operating projects
111
Progress of PPP Infrastructure Projects
Project Cost
No Project Name Financial Facilities Status
(IDR tn)
1 Central Java Power Plant 40 Guarantee (MoF & IIGF) FC on June 6th, 2016; Construction 30%; COD Target: May 2020
2 Palapa Ring – West Package 1.28 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on August 11th, 2016; COD target: February 2018
3 Palapa Ring – Central Package 1.38 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on September 29th, 2016; COD target: March 2018
4 Palapa Ring – East Package 5.13 PDF, IIGF Guarantee & AP FC on March 29th, 2017; COD target: September 2018
5 Umbulan Water 2.1 PDF, VGF & IIGF Guarantee FC on August 30th, 2016; COD target: July 2019
Project Cost
No Project Name Financial Facilities Status
(IDR tn)
1 Batang–Semarang Toll Road 11 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on April 27th, 2016
2 Manado–Bitung Toll Road 5.1 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
3 Samarinda–Balikpapan Toll Road 9.9 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
4 Pandaan–Malang Toll Road 5.9 IIGF Guarantee PPP & guarantee contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
5 Serpong–Balaraja Toll Road 6.0 - PPP contracts signed on June 8th, 2016
6 Jakarta–Cikampek Elevated Toll Road 14.8 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts both signed on December 5th,
2016 and February 22nd, 2017
7 Krian–Legundi-Krian Toll Road 9.0 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts both signed on December 5th,
2016 and February 22nd, 2017
8 Serang–Panimbang Toll Road 5.3 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts signed on February 22nd, 2017
9 Cileunyi–Sumedang-Dawuan Toll 8.2 Co guarantee (MoF & IIGF) PPP & guarantee contracts signed on February 22nd, 2017
Road
Source: Ministry of Finance, as of July 2017 112
New Guarantee Schemes for Non-PPP Projects
The Government had issued Presidential Regulation No 82/2015 and Ministry of Finance Regulation No 189/2015 to provide
guarantee for SOE Direct Lending from IFIs for the Development of Infrastructure Projects.
The objective of this guarantee is to provide credit enhancement in terms of low interest rate and long tenor financing,
with 3 main principles: