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MASON-DIXON® TENNESSEE POLL

JANUARY 2020

Polling in Tennessee since 1986

FOR RELEASE: 12 noon CST, Friday, January 31, 2020


© Copyright 2020

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2020 Tennessee Poll
TENNESSEE VOTERS SUPPORT TRUMP, OPPOSE REMOVAL
ALEXANDER DECISION CONSISTENT WITH CONSITUENT VIEWS

A majority of Tennessee voters continue to approve of the job performance of


President Donald Trump and they are strongly opposed to the Senate removing
him from office. Statewide, a strong 59% oppose removal, while only 37% support
it and 4% are not sure.

REMOVE TRUMP?

4%
37% SUPPORT
OPPOSE
59% NOT SURE

Opposition to removal of the president is found among all groups of voters


with the exception of African-Americans and those who identify their party
affiliation as Democrat. It is pretty clear that Senator Lamar Alexander’s
decision to come out against removing Trump was what his constituents
preferred.

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2020 Tennessee Poll
In the meantime, Trump’s job approval rating has continued to rise in the
Volunteer State. Statewide, 57% approve of the president’s performance in
office (up from 54%) and 42% continue to disapprove.

TRUMP JOB RATING APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

November 2017 51% 42% 7%


April 2018 54% 42% 4%
January 2020 57% 42% 1%

TRUMP JOB RATING


1%

APPROVE
42%
DISAPPROVE
57% NOT SURE

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2020 Tennessee Poll
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance
as president?

APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

STATE 57% 42% 1%

REGION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

East Tennessee 61% 38% 1%


Middle Tennessee 56% 43% 1%
West Tennessee 53% 46% 1%

SEX APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Men 63% 36% 1%


Women 52% 47% 1%

AGE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

<50 53% 45% 2%


50+ 60% 39% 1%

RACE APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

White 65% 34% 1%


Black 8% 91% 1%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION APPROVE DISAPPROVE NOT SURE

Democrat 10% 89% 1%


Republican 93% 6% 1%
Independent 53% 45% 2%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2020 Tennessee Poll
QUESTION: Having been impeached by the U.S. House, do you support or
oppose the U.S. Senate removing President Donald Trump from office?

SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED

STATE 37% 59% 4%

REGION SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED

East Tennessee 32% 63% 5%


Middle Tennessee 38% 59% 3%
West Tennessee 43% 53% 4%

SEX SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED

Men 32% 65% 3%


Women 41% 54% 5%

AGE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED

<50 43% 52% 5%


50+ 32% 65% 3%

RACE SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED

White 25% 72% 3%


Black 79% 15% 6%

PARTY IDENTIFICATION SUPPORT OPPOSE UNDECIDED

Democrat 87% 7% 6%
Republican 2% 97% 1%
Independent 38% 56% 6%

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2020 Tennessee Poll
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Jacksonville,
Florida from January 28 through January 30, 2020. A total of 625 registered
Tennessee voters were interviewed live by telephone statewide.

Those interviewed were randomly selected from a phone-matched Tennessee


voter registration list that included both land-line and cell phone numbers.
Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is


no more than ± 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent
probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were
surveyed. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or
age grouping.

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2020 Tennessee Poll
DEMOGRAPHICS

PARTY IDENTIFICATION:

Democrat 171 (27%)


Republican 247 (40%)
Independent or Other 207 (33%)

AGE:
18-34 103 (16%)
35-49 186 (30%)
50-64 190 (30%)
65+ 141 (23%)
Refused 5 (1%)

RACE/ETHNICITY:
White/Caucasian 525 (84%)
Black/African American 85 (14%)
Other/Refused 15 (2%)

SEX:
Male 300 (48%)
Female 325 (52%)

REGION:
East Tennessee 225 (36%)
Middle Tennessee 245 (39%)
West Tennessee 155 (25%)

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2020 Tennessee Poll
TENNESSEE POLL REGIONS

EAST TENNESSEE: Voters in Johnson, Sullivan, Carter, Washington, Union,


Greene, Hamlin, Hawkins, Hancock, Claiborne, Grainger, Jefferson, Cocke,
Sevier, Blount, Knox, Campbell, Scott, Morgan, Anderson, Cumberland, Roane,
Loudoun, Monroe, Polk, Meigs, McMinn, Bradley, Hamilton, Marion,
Sequatchie, Rhea and Bledsoe counties.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE: Voters in Pickett, Fentress, Overton, Clay, Jackson, Putnam,


White, Van Buren, Warren, Grundy, Franklin, Coffee, Moore, Cannon, DeKalb,
Smith, Macon, Trousdale, Sumner, Wilson, Davidson, Robertson, Cheatham,
Rutherford, Williamson, Maury, Marshall, Bedford, Lincoln, Giles, Lawrence,
Wayne, Lewis, Perry, Hickman, Humphreys, Dickson, Houston, Montgomery and
Stewart counties.

WEST TENNESSEE: Voters in Henry, Benton, Decatur, Hardin, McNairy, Chester,


Henderson, Carroll, Weakley, Obion, Lake, Dyer, Gibson, Crockett, Madison,
Henderson, Fayette, Haywood, Lauderdale, Dyer, Tipton and Shelby counties.

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Mason-Dixon® Polling & Strategy – January 2020 Tennessee Poll