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Q3 2010
U.S. Search Market Report
Overview
• Google Continues to Seize Significant Market Share: Google now
stands at more than 80% of PPC ad spend, up nearly two percentage points from
just last quarter, and taking the most dominant market share lead since
SearchIgnite began tracking spend share among the engines (2007).
• Strong Quarter for Paid Search with Solid Momentum for Q4: Paid
search spend in Q3 increased 5.8% year-over-year compared with flat growth a
year ago and exhibited positive momentum month-over-month, with July growing
4.9%, August 5.8% and September 6.7%. The growth throughout the quarter
bodes well for a strong Q4.
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Q3 2010
Google continued to lead among the engines with 80.2% of U.S. search spend -- up
nearly 2 percentage points from Q210 -- and, representing 7.9% YoY growth. This is the
largest market share commanded by Google since SearchIgnite began tracking search
engine market share data (Q1 2007). As search marketing becomes a more mature
market in the US, a jump of this size in a single quarter is very significant and marks the
largest QoQ increase for Google since Q1 2009.
Microsoft’s Bing showed the most pronounced spend growth among the engines, up
21% YoY, though market share gains showed just modest improvement at 6.4% in Q310
(up from 6.2% in Q210). Yahoo! saw a 10% decline in search ad spend over Q3, with
market share dipping to 13.4% from 15.4% in Q210. This drop, along with the gain in
Bing, is partially due to testing occurring on the combined Yahoo/Bing Search Alliance.
Year Over Year Spend
Growth by Engine
25%
21.0%
20%
15%
10%
7.9%
Change in Spend
5.8%
5%
0%
‐5%
‐10%
‐10.0%
‐15%
Google Yahoo Bing Total
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Q3 2010
Quarterly Percentage of Advertising
Spend by Engine
Percentage of Advertising Spend
90%
80.2%
80%
70%
60% Google
50% Yahoo
40%
Bing
30%
20%
13.4%
10%
6.4%
0%
Q1 07
Q2 07
Q3 07
Q4 07
Q1 08
Q2 08
Q3 08
Q4 08
Q1 09
Q2 09
Q3 09
Q4 09
Q1 10
Q2 10
Q3 10
Strong Quarter for Paid Search with Solid Momentum for Q4
Paid search spend in Q3 increased 5.8% year-over-year compared with flat growth a
year ago and exhibited positive momentum month-over-month, with July growing 4.9%,
August 5.8% and September 6.7%.This compares favorably to the deceleration in Q309,
when all verticals showed flat to negative spend (flat in July ’09, up 0.6% in August,
down 4.5% in September).
YoY Search Spend Growth by Month
8%
6.7%
5.8%
6%
4.9%
4%
Change in Spend
2% 3Q10
0.6% 3Q09
0.0%
0%
‐2%
‐4%
‐4.5%
‐6%
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Q3 2010
YoY Search Spend Growth by Quarter
25%
22.0%
20%
14.3%
15%
Change in Spend
11.0%
10%
5.8%
5%
0.0% 0.1%
0%
‐2.0%
‐5%
‐6.5%
‐10%
4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10
Yahoo! and Bing have been testing the paid search integration portion of their alliance
since mid-July. Based on SearchIgnite’s analysis of this initial Bing-Yahoo! paid search
combination, we predict the following trends on the combined platform after the paid
search portion of the alliance is complete:
Early data shows that Bing is more effective at delivering ads on Yahoo! search engine
results pages. This has positive implications for both marketers and the Bing-Yahoo!
alliance.
Methodology
Looking at Q3, our data shows three distinct phases of Bing-Yahoo! paid search testing
(see graph below).
1. The Base Case: zero Bing ads on Yahoo sites - July 1st to July 23rd
2. Trial #1: limited (~6%) Bing ads on Yahoo sites - July 24th to August 23rd
3. Trial #2: slightly more (~8%) Bing ads across the Yahoo sites - August 24th to
Sept 30th
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Q3 2010
Looking at the relative engine performance across the three phases provides insight into what
can be expected once the full integration is completed in late October.
AdCenter Ads Served on Yahoo
10%
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3% BASE CASE TRIAL #1 TRIAL #2
2%
1%
0%
Prior to integration testing by Bing and Yahoo! (7/1/10-7/23/10), CPCs are almost
identical across the two engines, illustrated in the chart below. This is the primary reason
why SearchIgnite does not anticipate CPC hyper-inflation as a result of the platform
integration.
Base Case Metrics – CTR, CPC, eCPM – Separate platforms (July 1 – July 23)
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Q3 2010
As the Trial #2 period began in late August, data shows more Bing advertising being
delivered on Yahoo! inventory, creating a more indicative sample across both Yahoo!
wholly-owned and network partner sites.
Analysis of the overall performance improvement from the Base Case to the end of Trial
#2 period (9/30/10) shows similar CPC rates and increased CTRs (see chart below). The
results of Base Case to Trial #2 are likely more indicative (but not fully indicative) of what
marketers can expect to see upon full transition of the platform in late October.
A potential driver of CPC inflation as a result of the Alliance may occur if there was
significant growth of new advertisers, who may not have previously participated in paid
search on Bing – therefore bidding on Bing inventory for the first time. An analysis of
SearchIgnite’s clients shows that only 6.3% of total Yahoo/Bing spend is spent by
advertisers who do not currently have a Bing account in Q3. So, while new advertisers
on the combined Yahoo/Bing advertising platform are probably coming, their potential
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Q3 2010
impact on the market for CPC auctions will be limited – especially among mature
advertisers.
The net result for advertisers is that early indications show the Bing ad serving
technology is more effectively driving clicks from the Yahoo! audience than Yahoo‘s ad
serving technology. This means that the scale of total clicks (and spend) coming from
the combined Yahoo/Bing audience should increase, regardless of CPC changes,
assuming these early trends hold.
Methodology
This report tracked more than 55 billion impressions and more than 1 billion clicks on
Google, Yahoo! and MSN/Bing from January 1, 2006 through September 30, 2010.
This report is the latest in a series of quarterly reports from SearchIgnite, which can be
found at http://www.searchignite.com/about_research.aspx.
About SearchIgnite
SearchIgnite is the leading provider of search optimization and digital media attribution
solutions that help major marketers achieve their search marketing goals quicker and
spend their advertising budgets smarter. The company's media management technology
offers an advanced suite of tools to manage, optimize and report on paid search
campaigns in one central dashboard, as well as gather insights into the relationship
between media channels including PPC, SEO and display. Some of the world's leading
brands and advertising agencies depend on SearchIgnite to power their search
campaigns and improve their online media ROI.
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