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Basic Probability
Introduction
Random Experiment
Examples:
• Tossing a coin once or several times
• Picking a card or cards from a deck
• Measuring temperature of patients
• ...
Sample Space
The sample space is the set of all possible outcomes.
Event
Simple Events An event is any collection
The individual outcomes are called simple events. of one or more simple events
IBS-09-SL RM 501 – Ranjit Goswami
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Example
• Sample space
• B = {HTT, THT,TTH}
= {exactly two tails.}
Example
• Let A = { 0, 2, 4, 6, 8, 10}.
• A B= {0, 1, …, 10} = .
Rules
• Commutative Laws:
• A B = B A, A B = B A
• Associative Laws:
• (A B) C = A (B C )
• (A B) C = A (B C) .
• Distributive Laws:
• (A B) C = (A C) (B C)
• (A B) C = (A C) (B C)
Venn Diagram
A A∩B B
Probability
Axioms of Probability
• P() =1.
Properties of Probability
Example
• not rich?
• rich but not famous?
• either rich or famous?
More Formal:
Independence
P(A,B,C) = P(A)P(B)P(C)
Bayes Theorem
Conditional Probability
A
B
Bayes Theorem
Using Partitions:
Random Variables
X()
Random Distributions:
Uniform Distribution
X1 X2
IBS-09-SL RM 501 – Ranjit Goswami
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IBS-09-SL RM 501 – Ranjit Goswami
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Statistical Characterizations
•Second Moment:
Statistical Characterizations
• Variance of X:
• Standard Deviation of X:
• Machine Perception
• An Example
• Pattern Recognition Systems
• The Design Cycle
• Learning and Adaptation
• Conclusion
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Machine Perception
An Example
Sea bass
Species
Salmon
• Problem Analysis
• Set up a camera and take some sample images to extract
features
• Length
• Lightness
• Width
• Number and shape of fins
• Position of the mouth, etc…
• This is the set of all suggested features to explore for use in our
classifier!
• Preprocessing
• Classification
• Select the length of the fish as a possible feature for
discrimination
Lightness Width
Issue of generalization!