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Last updated on November 15, 2019, published by Daniel Faggella
Daniel Faggella is the founder and CEO at Emerj. Called upon by the United Nations, World Bank,
INTERPOL, and many global enterprises, Daniel is a sought-after expert on the competitive strategy
implications of AI for business and government leaders.
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Consultants need to come to their clients and prospects with fresh ideas and
open opportunities, to “open the eyes” of their clients in ways that demonstrate
competence and value.
Most of the work that we do with our AI Capability Map services is about
finding trends in quantitative data – which requires hundreds of hours of
expert research, and established frameworks for interpreting and categorizing
data for insight.
While this robust research approach is often the right step for companies who
are on their way to building a complete AI strategy – it’s easiest to begin with
simple secondary research online – and that’s our focus in this article.
In the rest of this very brief guide, we’ll highlight some of the strategies we use
in our research and editorial efforts at Emerj.
1 – Follow the Venture Money
While AI startups can raise $2MM or even $10MM with just a timely idea or an
impressive resume, $100MM doesn’t come so easy.
Look across the firms who have raised the most money in a given sector (this
information can often be found publicly on Crunchbase, Owler, or Pitchbook).
Of the 20-80 legitimate AI startups within a given sector (e.g. auto insurance,
drug development, trucking, etc) or function (e.g. email marketing, HR, etc),
the top 10% of firms by “funds raised” is likely telling a story.
Patterns can begin to emerge when we ask the right questions about the top
VC-backed firms:
Data access and availability. What kind of data do these applications feed off
of? What kind of data seems most valuable? What new kinds of integrations are
making this data accessible?
Claims of success. What are the success claims of these top vendors? Do any
of them have concrete, quantifiable results to speak of, or do they only mention
vague results – or simply list client companies with no success claims at all?
Related resource: How to Cut Through the Artificial Intelligence Hype – Three
Simple “Rules of Thumb”. Sift the real AI companies out from the hype to
improve your web research efforts. Hundreds of our readers swear by these
simple rules to sift through AI hype.
Related service: Emerj AI Capability Map. Access a comprehensive visual
map of AI ROI in your sector, with a complete assessment of enterprise and
startup innovation.
For this reason, an enterprise will promote a press release about their AI
“chatbot” even before their pilot with the chatbot company begins (and even if
the actual bot fails miserably). The same company will almost never divulge
the AI company that it uses for cybersecurity (even if they invest millions per
year with this vendor), as this might put the company’s data at risk from savvy
hackers – or raise security concerns in the eyes of customers.
These presentations often skirt major issues and usually won’t divulge the
crown jewels of a competitive strategy, but they will often present a candid
insight into the priorities of leading executives. Find patterns by asking the
right questions:
Threats. Are there any common risks or threats that executives aim to address
with AI, or that they think might be caused by AI?
Future vision. What kind of AI-enabled future are these leaders painting for this
industry? What key changes do they think are inevitable? What are the
implications for competitive strategy?
This means that AI will often not be adopted where it has the most promise for
transformation, but where it has the most alignment with existing priorities in
that sector.
Example: After 2008, the banking sector has been increasingly focused on
compliance and regulation. Not surprisingly, AI initiatives for fraud and
compliance are massive compared to other banking functions (marketing or
accounting, for example).
While each sector varies, the following questions can provide fruitful initial
clues as to where AI is likely to gain traction more easily in a given sector.
What do industry leaders already think will separate winners from losers in their
industry, and what do they think they need to do about it?
Artificial intelligence and machine learning are hot terms right now, and many
companies are eager to talk about how their products rely on these cutting
edge technologies. Established companies and startups want to explain how
AI is a critical part of their business.
1. AI expertise in leadership
2. The use of AI in marketing language
3. Assessing a company’s investors
This article does not pretend to be an all-inclusive guide to determining who is
using AI or not, but we find these approaches to be very accurate proxies in
determining true from false AI companies.
You might be thinking, “Ok, they say they’re doing AI. Maybe somebody other
than the top executives have the qualifications. Maybe the people working
under them somewhere have the requisite AI experience.”
That is certainly possible, and you can look for that. However, for a young
company to leverage artificial intelligence or machine learning in a powerful
way, it usually requires someone on the leadership team to have the AI
qualifications and experience.
It is not even a question of size or resources. You may find larger, profitable
companies with 500 employees that claim to be “doing AI,” and they have one
or two senior developers with a bit of machine learning experience.
What might have happened here is the company hired them because they
want to use the buzzword. Top executives at large firms often realize the
potential of AI (either in practice, or as a buzzword), and thought they should
hire some AI people – and BAM – the “about” page now mentions “artificial
intelligence” and “machine learning” along with other bluster, like “cutting-
edge” or “revolutionary”.
These non-AI leaders probably mean well when they try to “plug in” AI into
their existing product suite, but this is absolutely always easier said than done,
and anecdotally we believe it’s much more likely to fail than succeed in the
near term (i.e. AI won’t actually be leveraged meaningfully in their product, or
the process of doing so will take many, many times longer than expected).
It is hard to take a company that has not started with artificial intelligence in its
DNA, and implant it after the fact without having any executives that have data
science experience. It takes a very long time to revamp an existing product
and bring in artificial intelligence.
You are much more likely to have a product or service that really does
leverage AI as a core part of its functionality when the executive team has that
background versus an existing profitable growing company that hires some
machine learning people later to try to do some machine learning to catch up
and be “hip.” This does not mean that a startup with AI people in the executive
team will necessarily give value. However, it is more likely to get a product
that has AI as part of the core product if somebody in the executive team has
a deep AI background.
To summarize, the first thing you look for to determine if a company is truly
leveraging AI in a meaningful way is robust academic qualifications and/or
robust marquis company AI experience at the executive level. If you do not
find that, then the company is probably not going to be leveraging AI in a
meaningful way, despite what they tout on their homepage.
1. To whom do they sell? (i.e. What kind of buyer benefits from using
them?)
2. How did they benefit that kind of target client? (i.e. What is their
deliverable result?)
3. What is the role of AI in their product? (i.e. Where is it relevant?)
I’ll lay out an example:
A company sells sentiment analysis and text mining software to call centers.
The product description on the website states it uses artificial intelligence to
comb and mine data for call centers. It transcribes calls, find patterns within
the words and within the calls themselves, and determine the kind of
sentiment of those calls such as anger or happiness. The software also
determines the topics of those calls, such as refunds, delivery problems,
buying another product, and so on.
They sell to any company with a call center, such as large businesses with in-
house call centers and a reasonably high volume of calls.
The software will help them learn from the broad patterns of complaints,
topics, and sentiments from their customers in real time.
With a large volume of calls, it can be hard to extract data. The AI software
takes text transcripts and extracts common topics and sentiments from the
actual words in the dialogue and perform an analysis.
It seems relatively clear that the company above has a clear idea of their
target market and know the role AI plays to benefit software users. If you go to
a company website and you cannot answer these questions, then it is very
likely that the company is just riding the hype, and not actually doing AI in any
meaningful way. Here are two things you should look out for in a website:
Vague statements
For example, the company website might say “We leverage AI to extract new
patterns” but does not specify what those patterns are, or it does not specify
how this pattern extraction is meaningful to the user. It might also state “We
use cutting edge algorithms to optimize for this and that,” but it does not
explain what these algorithms actually do. If you encounter statements like
these, then you are very likely looking at a hype company, not a real AI
company.
Doing business with suspected “hype AI” companies usually isn’t something
I’d advise. Either they have not figured out what they are doing, or they are
just fudging their way to get sales or buyer conversations.
To determine why this step is important, let’s take a step back. If you are
trying to figure out if a company is really using AI and their product has any
real promise, you will have to do the following things:
Examine the financials of the company, i.e. income and expense reports
Examine the company business model in deep detail over a few months
You probably do not have the ability or time to do any of these if you are
reading this article. However, other people do, and those are venture
investors. Venture investors have the time to do that because that is their
business. They would almost never invest substantial sums of money into a
company without a robust due-diligence process.
They routinely do much deeper research into a company than most outsiders
can ever hope to do. While some artificial intelligence companies bootstrap
their funds from savings and revenue, most require a lot of upfront investment
to develop the technology, hire capable developers, and market it. The bulk of
AI companies will have venture investment behind them. Most are young
teams that have not saved up money for the last 10 years to have millions of
dollars in the bank, so they need to raise money. That usually means pitching
to venture investors, who will then do the types of research abovementioned.
With that in mind, it is a good sign if an AI company has raised a lot of venture
capital. This does not mean that success in raising money through venture
investors automatically makes it a real company, or means you no longer
have to do your own research into said company. In most cases, however, it is
a rule of thumb.
For example, if a company that says AI in the homepage and in LinkedIn, and
you see it is backed by big reputable venture investor firms such as Koshla
Ventures, Andreessen Horowitz, Atlas Ventures, Charles River Ventures, or
Sequoia Capital, you can assume that claims of AI is not a lie.
By looking at the type of venture investors for a company, and the amount of
the investment, you can determine whether this company is in fact leveraging
AI in their sector.
Bare in mind that not all VC-backed firms use AI. I’m not implying that AI is
critical for all firms that raise VC funds. Rather, I’m stating that if a firm has
raised $20MM from Sequioa Capital – AND that firm claims to use AI – then
that claim is much more likely to be true that it would be without the
substantial investment from a reputable firm.
Conclusion
To wrap up, here are the three things you can check on a company’s website
and LinkedIn page to find out if an AI company has products or services that
can actually benefit your business:
Together, these three rules of thumb can help you determine within half an
hour and with more certainty if a company is a bonafide AI provider or not.
I have mentioned on a number of occasions here at Emerj that only about 20-
30% of the companies who claim to do artificial intelligence on their website
have some kind of robust experience required to actually be doing AI in the
first place. In most cases, it is just a couple of people with MBAs or a couple
of Java or C++ developers saying they do AI on their website, but its absolute
nonsense.
If you get a pitch from a company who claims, “Oh, yeah, we leverage AI to do
this fraud detection stuff,” go look at their website. Go look at their leadership
and quickly figure out if these people know anything about AI. Oftentimes,
they do not.
However, the rules I discussed are by no means inclusive. I do not claim that
you know everything about a company by using these three rules. However, if
you are a busy executive with no time to do what we do here at Emerj, they
can help you get a good sense of whether an AI company is real or not
without too much effort.
Our analysis and research work in the artificial intelligence space is 100% of
our focus here at Emerj. It is our business to spend weeks at a time examining
a large number of companies in different sectors.
Most business executives that read our content do not have that kind of time.
They need quick tips and advice on determining whether a company who says
they are using AI is actually using it, and that is what this article provides –
and I hope that some of the pointers in this article prove useful as you assess
the AI landscape in your own sector.
Is Artificial Intelligence for Small
Business? Factors to Consider for
Technology Adoption
Last updated on February 12, 2019, published by Daniel Faggella
Daniel Faggella is the founder and CEO at Emerj. Called upon by the United Nations, World Bank,
INTERPOL, and many global enterprises, Daniel is a sought-after expert on the competitive strategy
implications of AI for business and government leaders.
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Not necessarily – timing will be critical for small business adoption – and in
this article I’ll aim to lay out a framework for how small businesses should
prioritize the adoption of AI in the years ahead. This article will explore how
small businesses can use artificial intelligence now, and you will see why it is
very important that small business leaders act with prudence.
But why?
These first PCs worked and looked nothing like the computers of today, and
only a very few people could program these archaic machines to “do” anything
useful at all.
Then, as in now for AI, personal computers were not necessary to run a
business. If you had a small business in 1980, such as a bookstore, a couple
of restaurants, or a lumber delivery business, you would not need to buy
computers and allocate a ton of your time to getting people to learn how to do
programming on these new fancy personal computers.
Computer adoption for most small businesses in 1980 was not just
unnecessary, it was probably an irresponsible use of time and resources.
The same thing is true for AI in small businesses in 2018. It is not generally
necessary to reach a small business’s objectives. Most people in the 1980s
did not feel the need to rush out and get computers for their small business,
but (due in large part to the hype and excitement around the technology)
many small business owners today feel that they should be finding ways to
use AI immediately.
Of course, some people in the 1980s did correctly assess that computers are
a good investment because they saw how it could help their business in the
future. The same exception applies for small business owners today who can
actually leverage AI technology to improve business functions and profitability
now.
Just as PCs and the internet are positively mission-critical for many small
businesses today, we should expect AI to be similarly ubiquitous – but not
anytime in the next five years.
The same dynamic is likely to take place with AI-related tech. Good examples
of how small businesses are leveraging AI today are in programmatic
advertising through companies such as Facebook and Google. These
technologies are simple to use (and not surprisingly, built by consumer tech
firms who are expert in creating easy-to-use technologies).
Small companies are more vulnerable to hackers than large companies are
because so many of them do not have adequate checks in place.
Data security is also a serious issue for any business that accepts online
payments through credit cards and debit cards. In most cases, merchant
account companies have their own security measures in place, and a good
number of these have embraced AI technology. Stripe, for example, is a
payment processing company that uses adaptive machine learning to detect
fraud. It collects data from all thousands of businesses already running Stripe
to improve its ability to detect anomalies and malicious activities for new
users. Stripe, too, works out of the box and is easily customizable for any
business owner.
Small business owners can leverage AI by using what is currently available
from vendor companies out-of-the-box. Many are already using these types of
application without knowing anything about AI simply by placing an ad on
Facebook or Google, or accepting a payment through Stripe. It is simple, cost-
effective, and drives value for the company.
This applies even when placing ads on Facebook. It may not be a good use of
your resources, no matter how small an investment, to do so if you can market
your business more effectively offline, such as through a local network or
trade show. However, you might be thinking that since Facebook uses AI, it
must be a good place to spend your money. That is not the case at all.
Instead of asking where you can use AI in your business, think about what will
give you the highest return on investment. Choose software that can help you
achieve your business goals. Do not pick software or a company based on
what uses AI with the mistaken idea that doing so makes your business
cutting edge.
Pick the software that seems to have the best use cases to achieve your
business goals and to give a positive return to your company. If that happens
to use AI, then so be it. You can leverage AI through existing vendors that are
using this for email, security, payment processing or advertising, but no small
business should be picking software because it AI is there somewhere.
For one thing, many companies that say they are doing AI are not and those
that are really doing AI have products that are too complicated to use for small
businesses. For another thing, AI is a buzzword that may not benefit your
business. When choosing software or services, think about which software
has the features, the prices, and the support that are going help reach your
business goals, and drive growth and profitability for your small business.
There are two very possible circumstances where small companies might get
more involved with AI than simply leveraging somebody else’s AI tools that
are “off-the-shelf” tools.
In the near future, more and more AI applications will not involve a significant
stream of data from small business clients. These applications will likely
leverage data from many, many client companies (small and large), and train
an AI-based system so that any new client will not need huge reams of data.
For example:
A marketing automation vendor might determine the best times of day to send
certain kinds of promotional emails – or might determine the best way to split-
test email subject lines – by working with thousands of eCommerce companies.
When a new, smaller eCommerce company begins using the same product,
they’re able to begin leveraging this past training data without having to
generate it themselves.
A security and surveillance vendor might train it’s algorithms to detect
suspicious behavior by consuming millions of hours of security camera footage
from thousands of clients. When a new client uses this security service, they’re
able to leverage all of that training data to detect security threats without
providing the data themselves.
Etc…
That said, small business leaders can do something right now to help them
prepare for the time when they qualify for either of the two scenarios
described above:
AI tools require copious amounts of data to “learn,” so the best way for
leaders to prepare for the future with AI is to make sure their data is easily
retrievable using compatible formats. You don’t want important business data
siloed and distantly separated.
AI for AI’s sake is a bad idea – choose tools for the value it can deliver to your
business, and not because it uses AI in some form
Some small businesses can already use some AI applications out of the box –
best examples are in marketing, logistics and operations, and fraud detection
Data is the key to AI – AI needs data to “learn” and work properly
Data is a valuable resource – Small business owners need to store and record
data in a consistent manner for eventual use with AI
Again, most small businesses today are not ready to take on AI initiatives.
However, that does not mean that you should not keep an eye on AI tools that
might affect your industry. Check what the bigger companies in your industry
or similar industries is doing with AI, and see if it is working for them. If it
seems to be gaining traction, put that on your wish list until such time that you
can do the same thing or something even better.
There will come a time when AI will become as accessible as your favorite
computer software, which is when your properly stored data will become
invaluable. However, that time has not yet come. In the meantime, the best
thing small business leaders can do is to grow their business and take steps
to make it profitable. If you have cash in the bank and smart people working
for you – you’ll be in a position to adopt and leverage AI as it becomes “small
business accessible.”