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Energy Production & Consumption (Quadrillion Btu)

Fossil Fuels Primary Energy Primary Energy Primary Energy


Year Production Production Imports Exports
1949 28.748176 31.72216 1.448158 1.59176
1950 32.562667 35.540384 1.912887 1.465322
1951 35.792151 38.750615 1.892425 2.621545
1952 34.976732 37.916913 2.145984 2.365131
1953 35.349336 38.180796 2.313042 1.866013
1954 33.76433 36.51843 2.347876 1.696301
1955 37.36368 40.147667 2.789908 2.285508
1956 39.771452 42.622033 3.206741 2.945377
1957 40.133484 42.98279 3.528983 3.439441
1958 37.216322 40.133327 3.884371 2.049839
1959 39.045216 41.948742 4.076278 1.533808
1960 39.869117 42.803347 4.187626 1.477475
1961 40.307136 43.27904 4.436901 1.376584
1962 41.731885 44.875724 4.994279 1.472536
1963 44.037181 47.171759 5.086654 1.835183
1964 45.788951 49.054018 5.447296 1.814661
1965 47.234902 50.673882 5.891935 1.828933
1966 50.035367 53.531987 6.145832 1.829067
1967 52.597132 56.375801 6.159155 2.115402
1968 54.306187 58.220376 6.905114 1.998489
1969 56.285569 60.534182 7.676216 2.125659
1970 59.186071 63.495439 8.341615 2.632135
1971 58.04156 62.716712 9.53477 2.150898
1972 58.937904 63.903664 11.387141 2.11831
1973 58.241491 63.562605 14.613145 2.033086
1974 56.330758 62.344692 14.304275 2.203366
1975 54.733273 61.320191 14.032389 2.323251
1976 54.722896 61.561168 16.760059 2.171688
1977 55.100782 62.011511 19.948131 2.051891
1978 55.074118 63.103684 19.10617 1.920437
1979 58.005609 65.90429 19.459817 2.855114
1980 59.007873 67.175384 15.796235 3.694771
1981 58.529329 66.950606 13.719027 4.307241
1982 57.457822 66.568607 11.861081 4.607601
1983 54.415961 64.114122 11.751802 3.692931
1984 58.849156 68.83955 12.470726 3.786147
1985 57.538724 67.698304 11.780575 4.196178
1986 56.575231 67.06648 14.151402 4.021479
1987 57.166745 67.542485 15.398223 3.81195
1988 57.874997 68.918719 17.29593 4.366453
1989 57.482679 69.320072 18.766297 4.660899
1990 58.559602 70.704629 18.817258 4.752484
1991 57.871727 70.362375 18.334821 5.140965
1992 57.655057 69.955616 19.372204 4.936942
1993 55.822082 68.31536 21.272542 4.258366
1994 58.043638 70.725632 22.389927 4.061146
1995 57.540135 71.173994 22.260473 4.510868
1996 58.387225 72.486072 23.701778 4.633266
1997 58.856691 72.471913 25.215347 4.513993
1998 59.314083 72.87623 26.580687 4.2992
1999 57.614481 71.742196 27.252254 3.714985
2000 57.366024 71.332158 28.972788 4.005863
2001 58.541348 71.734567 30.157055 3.770671
2002 56.833673 70.713029 29.408183 3.668722
2003 56.032784 69.93828 31.061029 4.054219
2004 55.942348 70.232902 33.543727 4.433981
2005 55.044002 69.434001 34.709032 4.559902
2006 55.937854 70.751869 34.678919 4.872577
2007 56.435649 71.419023 34.703625 5.483466
2008 57.587014 73.233667 32.993294 7.062745
2009 56.670274 72.681078 29.705994 6.965738
2010 58.206642 74.769217 29.877211 8.23423
2011 60.563478 78.002358 28.719733 10.458598
2012 62.342412 79.251064 27.074759 11.356824
http://www.eia.doe.gov/aer/overview.html

Fossil Fuels Total Energy Nuclear Electric


Consumption Consumption Power Consumption
29.002099 31.981503 0
31.631956 34.615768 0
34.008105 36.97403 0
33.799903 36.747825 0
34.826156 37.664468 0
33.8773 36.639382 0
37.410105 40.207971 0
38.888151 41.754252 0
38.925592 41.787186 0.000112
38.716702 41.645028 0.001915
40.550068 43.465722 0.002187
42.136751 45.086455 0.006026
42.758243 45.737837 0.019678
44.68077 47.826437 0.026394
46.509283 49.644195 0.038147
48.54305 51.814788 0.039819
50.576504 54.015001 0.043164
53.513987 57.014332 0.064158
55.126873 58.904521 0.088456
58.50247 62.414507 0.141534
61.361751 65.61402 0.153722
63.522269 67.838325 0.239347
64.595645 69.282843 0.412939
67.69588 72.687867 0.583752
70.31386 75.68369 0.910177
67.905124 73.962369 1.272083
65.356532 71.964553 1.899798
69.107176 75.974826 2.111121
70.991179 77.96133 2.701762
71.853522 79.950406 3.024126
72.890521 80.858584 2.775827
69.827758 78.066668 2.739169
67.571093 76.105776 3.007589
63.888374 73.099185 3.131148
63.151858 72.970566 3.202549
66.505984 76.631701 3.552531
66.09315 76.392385 4.075563
66.033275 76.647005 4.380109
68.520615 79.054456 4.753933
71.557051 82.709172 5.586968
72.911156 84.785998 5.602161
72.332203 84.485118 6.10435
71.880348 84.437962 6.422132
73.395686 85.782977 6.479206
74.835705 87.42362 6.410499
76.2564 89.091331 6.693877
77.259296 91.029071 7.075436
79.784722 94.022218 7.086674
80.873464 94.602201 6.596992
81.36898 95.017912 7.067809
82.427168 96.651965 7.610256
84.730573 98.814473 7.862349
82.901596 96.168164 8.028853
83.698975 97.645141 8.145429
84.013528 97.942622 7.958858
85.818797 100.160004 8.221985
85.794214 100.281501 8.16081
84.702035 99.629524 8.215414
86.21138 101.31413 8.455364
83.55108 99.292861 8.427297
78.486601 94.596985 8.356019
81.412091 98.016397 8.434433
79.896457 97.366497 8.268698
77.946105 94.976067 8.050282
exponential smoothing factor
Total Energy
Consumption 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7
31.981503 #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
34.615768 31.9815 31.9815 31.9815 31.9815 31.9815 31.9815 31.9815
36.97403 32.24493 32.50836 32.77178 33.03521 33.29864 33.56206 33.82549
36.747825 32.71784 33.40149 34.03246 34.61074 35.13633 35.60924 36.02947
37.664468 33.12084 34.07076 34.84707 35.46557 35.94208 36.29239 36.53232
36.639382 33.5752 34.7895 35.69229 36.34513 36.80327 37.11564 37.32482
40.207971 33.88162 35.15948 35.97642 36.46283 36.72133 36.82988 36.84501
41.754252 34.51425 36.16918 37.24588 37.96089 38.46465 38.85674 39.19908
41.787186 35.23825 37.28619 38.59839 39.47823 40.10945 40.59525 40.9877
41.645028 35.89315 38.18639 39.55503 40.40181 40.94832 41.31041 41.54734
43.465722 36.46834 38.87812 40.18203 40.8991 41.29667 41.51118 41.61572
45.086455 37.16807 39.79564 41.16714 41.92575 42.3812 42.68391 42.91072
45.737837 37.95991 40.8538 42.34293 43.19003 43.73383 44.12544 44.43374
47.826437 38.7377 41.83061 43.3614 44.20915 44.73583 45.09288 45.34661
49.644195 39.64658 43.02977 44.70091 45.65607 46.28113 46.73301 47.08249
51.814788 40.64634 44.35266 46.1839 47.25132 47.96266 48.47972 48.87568
54.015001 41.76318 45.84508 47.87317 49.07671 49.88873 50.48076 50.93306
57.014332 42.98837 47.47907 49.71572 51.05202 51.95186 52.60131 53.09042
58.904521 44.39096 49.38612 51.9053 53.43695 54.4831 55.24912 55.83716
62.414507 45.84232 51.2898 54.00507 55.62398 56.69381 57.44236 57.98431
65.61402 47.49954 53.51474 56.5279 58.34019 59.55416 60.42565 61.08545
67.838325 49.31099 55.9346 59.25374 61.24972 62.58409 63.53867 64.25545
69.282843 51.16372 58.31534 61.82911 63.88516 65.21121 66.11846 66.76346
72.687867 52.97563 60.50884 64.06523 66.04423 67.24703 68.01709 68.52703
75.68369 54.94686 62.94465 66.65202 68.70169 69.96745 70.81956 71.43962
73.962369 57.02054 65.49246 69.36152 71.49449 72.82557 73.73804 74.41047
71.964553 58.71472 67.18644 70.74178 72.48164 73.39397 73.87264 74.0968
75.974826 60.0397 68.14206 71.10861 72.27481 72.67926 72.72779 72.60423
77.96133 61.63322 69.70861 72.56847 73.75481 74.32704 74.67601 74.96365
79.950406 63.26603 71.35916 74.18633 75.43742 76.14419 76.6472 77.06202
80.858584 64.93447 73.07741 75.91555 77.24261 78.0473 78.62912 79.08389
78.066668 66.52688 74.63364 77.39846 78.689 79.45294 79.9668 80.32618
76.105776 67.68086 75.32025 77.59892 78.44007 78.7598 78.82672 78.74452
73.099185 68.52335 75.47735 77.15098 77.50635 77.43279 77.19415 76.8974
72.970566 68.98093 75.00172 75.93544 75.74348 75.26599 74.73717 74.23865
76.631701 69.3799 74.59549 75.04598 74.63432 74.11828 73.67721 73.35099
76.392385 70.10508 75.00273 75.5217 75.43327 75.37499 75.4499 75.64749
76.647005 70.73381 75.28066 75.7829 75.81692 75.88369 76.01539 76.16892
79.054456 71.32513 75.55393 76.04213 76.14895 76.26535 76.39436 76.50358
82.709172 72.09806 76.25404 76.94583 77.31115 77.6599 77.99042 78.28919
84.785998 73.15917 77.54506 78.67483 79.47036 80.18454 80.82167 81.38318
84.485118 74.32185 78.99325 80.50818 81.59662 82.48527 83.20027 83.76515
84.437962 75.33818 80.09162 81.70126 82.75202 83.48519 83.97118 84.26913
85.782977 76.24816 80.96089 82.52227 83.42639 83.96158 84.25125 84.38731
87.42362 77.20164 81.92531 83.50048 84.36903 84.87228 85.17029 85.36428
89.091331 78.22384 83.02497 84.67742 85.59086 86.14795 86.52229 86.80582
91.029071 79.31059 84.23824 86.0016 86.99105 87.61964 88.06371 88.40568
94.022218 80.48244 85.59641 87.50984 88.60626 89.32436 89.84293 90.24205
94.602201 81.83641 87.28157 89.46355 90.77264 91.67329 92.3505 92.88817
95.017912 83.11299 88.7457 91.00515 92.30447 93.13774 93.70152 94.08799
96.651965 84.30348 90.00014 92.20898 93.38984 94.07783 94.49136 94.73894
98.814473 85.53833 91.3305 93.54187 94.69469 95.3649 95.78772 96.07806
96.168164 86.86595 92.8273 95.12365 96.3426 97.08968 97.60377 97.99355
97.645141 87.79617 93.49547 95.43701 96.27283 96.62892 96.74241 96.71578
97.942622 88.78107 94.32541 96.09945 96.82175 97.13703 97.28405 97.36633
100.160004 89.69722 95.04885 96.6524 97.2701 97.53983 97.67919 97.76974
100.281501 90.7435 96.07108 97.70468 98.42606 98.84992 99.16768 99.44292
99.629524 91.6973 96.91316 98.47773 99.16824 99.56571 99.83597 100.0299
101.31413 92.49052 97.45644 98.82327 99.35275 99.59762 99.7121 99.74965
99.292861 93.37288 98.22797 99.57053 100.1373 100.4559 100.6733 100.8448
94.596985 93.96488 98.44095 99.48723 99.79953 99.87437 99.84504 99.75844
98.016397 94.02809 97.67216 98.02015 97.71851 97.23568 96.69621 96.14542
97.366497 94.42692 97.74101 98.01903 97.83766 97.62604 97.48832 97.4551
94.976067 94.72088 97.6661 97.82327 97.6492 97.49627 97.41523 97.39308

MAD 9.962682 5.529661 3.983933 3.198971 2.751078 2.444669 2.228228


MSE 122.0151 39.96977 21.03629 13.61638 9.932118 7.836119 6.534189
MAPE 14.28465 8.28975 6.053854 4.870336 4.174436 3.697102 3.352601
0.8 0.9
#N/A #N/A
31.9815 31.9815
34.08892 34.35234
36.39701 36.71186
36.67766 36.74423
37.46711 37.57244
36.80493 36.73269
39.52736 39.86044
41.30887 41.56487
41.69152 41.76495
41.65433 41.65702
43.10344 43.28485
44.68985 44.90629
45.52824 45.65468
47.3668 47.60926
49.18872 49.4407
51.28957 51.57738
53.46992 53.77124
56.30545 56.69002
58.38471 58.68307
61.60855 62.04136
64.81293 65.25675
67.23325 67.58017
68.87292 69.11258
71.92488 72.33034
74.93193 75.34835
74.15628 74.10097
72.4029 72.17819
75.26044 75.59516
77.42115 77.72471
79.44456 79.72784
80.57578 80.74551
78.56849 78.33455
76.59832 76.32865
73.79901 73.42213
73.13626 73.01572
75.93261 76.2701
76.30043 76.38016
76.57769 76.62032
78.5591 78.81104
81.87916 82.31936
84.20463 84.53933
84.42902 84.49054
84.43617 84.44322
85.51362 85.649
87.04162 87.24616
88.68139 88.90681
90.55953 90.81685
93.32968 93.70168
94.3477 94.51215
94.88387 94.96734
96.29835 96.4835
98.31125 98.58138
96.59678 96.40949
97.43547 97.52158
97.84119 97.90052
99.69624 99.93406
100.1644 100.2468
99.73651 99.69125
100.9986 101.1518
99.63401 99.47876
95.60439 95.08516
97.534 97.72327
97.4 97.40217

2.064181 1.9351327
5.676421 5.0890552
3.089116 2.8801812

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