that they are rather variable, suggesting the exisîence of N(3, 1959)= N(3, 1947) exp((0.03824)( 1959.

5-
differential age-misreporting or fluctuations by age in
enumeration completeness. However, beyond noting the 1947.392))
possibility of errors, not much else can be done.
Mid-year population denominators can now be calcu- = (638,334X1.588849)
lated for each year, from 1950 to 1969, by applying
equation (B.15). A few examples will make the pro- = 1,014,216.
cedure clear. The female population aged 15-19 in
mid-1950 (that is, at 1950.5 in decimal terms) is needed. For 1960, however, the 1960-1970 growth rate would be
used:
T able 23. A ge -specific growth rates for the female population , N(3, 1960)= N(3, 1960) exp((0.01383X1960.5-
1947-1960 AND 1960-1970, after adjustment .T hailand
Growth rate of
1960.317))
female population
4|« Index
i 19471960 1960-1970 = (1,046,464X1.002534)
ot O) «>
15-19............. î 0.01801 0.04740
= 1,049,116.
20-24.............. 2 0.03238 0.01729
25-29.............. 3 0.03824 0.01383
30-34.............. 4 0.03259 0.02643 The estimated mid-year populations are shown in table
24. Note that, for the sake of clarity, the calculations
have been performed with a higher number of
The growth rate for age group 15-19 between 1947 and significant digits than is really required. For efficiency of
1960 is 0.01801, and the period from the 1947 census calculation, it would be worth working with only four
to mid-1950 is 1950.5 — 1947.392 years. Hence, the significant digits, rounding the female populations in
estimated female population in 1950.5, N(I, 1950), is each case to thousands.
obtained from the 1947 census population, N( 1, 1947), Step 3: calculation of age-specific fertility rates from
as registered births. Age-specific fertility rates for each year
are calculated by dividing the number of births
N( I, 1950)= JV(l, 1947) exp((0.0l 801X1950.5-
registered for each age group of women (table 21) by the
estimated mid-year female population of the age group
1947.392))
(table 24). Thus, the age-specific fertility rate for age
= (979,613) exp((0.01801 )(3.108)) group 15-19 in 1950 is calculated as

= (979,613X1.05757) /(I, 1950)= B(\, 1950/A(1, 1950)

= 1,036,009. = 32,352/1,036,009

For 1959 and age group 25-29, = 0.0312.

T able 24. Estimated mid-year female population, by age group. Thailand. 1950-1969

Year 13-19 20-24 23-29 30-34

(0 (2) (3) (4) (5)
1950........ 1 036 009 876 258 718 892 631 692
1951........ 1 054 838 905 095 746 915 652 618
1952........ 1 074 008 934 882 776 030 674 237
1953........ 1 093 526 965 649 806 280 696 573
1954........ 1 113 399 997 428 837 710 719 648
1955........ 1 133 633 1 030 254 870 364 743 488
1956........ 1 154 235 1 064 159 904 291 768 117
1957........ 1 175 211 1 099 181 939 541 793 562
1958........ 1 196 568 1 135 355 976 165 819851
1959........ 1 218313 1 172 719 1 014216 847 010
1960........ 1 247 065 1 207 969 1 049 116 874 094
1961........ 1 307 599 1 229 036 1 063 726 897 504
1962........ 1 371 071 1 250 471 1 078 539 921 541
1963........ 1 437 625 1 272 280 1 093 559 946 222
1964........ 1 507 409 1 294 469 1 108 788 971 564
1965........ 1 580 581 1 317045 1 124 229 997 585
1966........ 1 657 304 1 340015 1 139 885 1 024 303
1967........ 1 737 752 1 363 385 1 155 760 1051 736
1968........ 1 822 105 1 387 163 1 171 855 1079 904
1969........ 1 910 552 1 411 355 1 188 174 1 108 826

50