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as the mid-point. Below 50 denotes contraction and above 50 indicates expansion; higher the difference from mid-point greater the expansion or contraction
Growing interest from domestic and Further, the average size of space take-up
international players, backed by other factors, increased from approximately 75,000 sq. ft.
have prompted rating agency ICRA to maintain a during H1 2017 to close to 90,000 sq. ft. during
stable outlook for the logistics sector and peg its H1 2018. Over the past two years, space take-up
medium-term growth at 8-10%. by occupiers from sectors such as electronics and
e-commerce has increased phenomenally by
TRAC TI ON I N DE MAND B OOS TE D L E AS I NG 168% and 131%, respectively. 3PL (83%) and
AC TI V I TY S I G NI F I C ANTL Y I N H1 2 0 1 8 FMCG (44%) occupiers also reported significant
growth in warehousing space take-up.
Transaction activity continued to gain strength in
H1 2018 as close to 10 million sq. ft. of space was This take-up is expected to further increase in the
leased across seven cities, an increase of about quarters to come as companies are increasingly
45% compared with H1 2017. The number is considering large warehousing options, owing to
higher than the 9 million sq. ft. of leasing continued consumer-led growth, increasing
recorded in the entire 2015. Owing to purchasing power of occupiers and renewed
government initiatives, the growth of leasing focus on reducing overall logistics cost. further,
activity has remained in the 20-24% range on a the upcoming organized supply and proposed
yearly basis since 2015.
Figure 2: Demand movement in Past 3 Years (Pre and Post GST Era)
Post - GST
12
10
Pre - GST
8
million sq. ft.
0
H1 H2 H1 H2 H1 H2 H1
2015 2016 2017 2018
Leasing activity in the review period was developments by various players coupled with
primarily driven by consolidation and expansion end user demand, the average space requirement
initiatives of firms belonging to sectors such as e- across major cities has increased, the trend is
commerce, 3PL, retail, and engineering and likely to continue in forthcoming quarters.
manufacturing, which together accounted for
more than 75% of the leasing reported during DE L HI -NC R, B ANG AL ORE AND MU MB AI
the review period. The cities of Bangalore (32%), RE MAI NE D THE TOP DE MAND DRI V E RS
Mumbai (25%) and Delhi-NCR (20%) remained
the preferred destinations for the primary The overall demand for logistics and
occupants during the period (e-commerce, 3PL warehousing space was largely concentrated in
and retail). The demand for large-sized spaces Bangalore (25%), Delhi-NCR (21%) and Mumbai
(exceeding 200,000 sq. ft.) continued to gain (20%). Chennai and Hyderabad also reported
traction and remained almost stable when sizeable transaction activity, and accounted for
compared to previous review period. about 12% and 10% of the demand, respectively.
Smaller cities such as Kolkata, Ahmedabad and
Pune collectively held a 12% share.
When compared on a half-yearly basis, Mumbai Figure 3: Segment Wise Leasing Activity
witnessed significant increase in absorption
activity, followed by Hyderabad and Pune. Other Others
10%
cities such as Delhi-NCR, Bangalore, Chennai,
FMCG
Kolkata and Ahmedabad posted a marginal drop. 5% E Commerce
30%
Electronics
Prominent deals closed during the period 6%
included Flipkart leasing 390,000 sq. ft. in
Engineering &
Bangalore, D’Mart taking up 300,000 sq. ft. in Manufacturing
Mumbai and Yusen Logistics occupying 250,000 8%
RE NTAL APPRE C I ATI ON WI TNE S S E D AC ROS S Others include companies from Telecom, Automobile, F&B and FMCG industry
0
Prominent transactions included 3PL
H1 2016 H2 2016 H1 2017 H2 2017 H1 2018
companies Kuehne Nagel and Yusen Logistics
taking up 300,000 sq. ft. and 250,000 sq. ft., Bhiwandi (NH - 3) Panvel (NH - 4 & NH - 17)
respectively, in Bhiwandi, along with Spear Source: CBRE Research, H1 2018.
Logistics leasing 300,000 sq. ft. in Patalganga.
Demand for industrial space was led by
Table 4: Selected Leading Transactions
Lindstrom Services, Selec Controls and Lizer
Technologies Ltd., which occupied about 20,000
Size
sq. ft., 25,000 sq. ft., and 36,000 sq. ft. Property Location (sq. Tenant
respectively at TTC, MIDC (Navi Mumbai). ft.)
companies.
15
MARK ET S U MMARY The city also witnessed the entry of about 0.3
million sq. ft. of supply with the addition of two
Chennai continued to witness robust leasing medium-scale warehousing developments. A
activity during the first half of 2018, with the majority of this supply addition was witnessed in
closure of several medium-to-large-sized West Chennai.
transactions. Leasing activity was largely driven
by automobile (23%), FMCG (17%), and e- Rental values, largely in West Chennai, dipped
commerce (14%) companies, followed by 3PL marginally due to supply influx. However, rental
(9%) and engineering and manufacturing values in the Southern and Northern industrial
players. Apart from logistics, Chennai is also a belts remained stable.
preferred city for long term Industries,
considering the supply from recognized Figure 8: Rental Value Movement
Industrial parks supported by superlative
30
connectivity to national highway and port. With
the collective demand from Industrial and 25
logistics occupants, various developers are
evaluating the opportunity of setting up 20
industrial parks (approximately 100 + acres).
(INR / sq. ft. / month) 15
micro-market. The Northern Industrial Belt Western Belt Northern Belt Southern Belt
accounted for about 30% of the leasing activity
Source: CBRE Research, H1 2018.
during the review period, driven by electronics
and FMCG occupiers. The Southern Industrial
belt reported moderate leasing activity and held
Table 8: Selected Leading Transactions
a share of about 7% in overall leasing, mostly led
by auto ancillary occupants. Size (in
Property Location Tenant
sq. ft.)
Notable transactions included Butterfly Independent Butterfly
Periyapalayam 123,000
Appliances leasing about 123,000 sq. ft., Development Appliances
Paishing Packaging taking up about 60,000 sq. ft. Top Run
Casa Grande Mappedu 120,000
Auto
and Flyjac renting about 50,000 sq. ft. in North
Chennai; as well as Top Run Auto occupying Indospace Vallam 100,000 SV Global
about 120,000 sq. ft., SV Global leasing about
100,000 sq. ft. and Bharat Benz taking up about Source: CBRE Research, H1 2018.
70,000 sq. ft. in West Chennai. In addition, South
Chennai witnessed the take-up of about 70,000
sq. ft. by Magna Automotive in Mahindra World
City.
18
Leasing activity in Hyderabad increased by about
25% during the first half of 2018, compared with 16
25
Kolkata witnessed a marginal increase in
demand as close to 0.8 million sq. ft. of space
20
was leased in H1 2018. The Dhulagarh micro-
market along NH-6 accounted for about 65% of
the leasing, followed by Dankuni at 54%. 15
International occupying about 52,000 sq. ft. and Source: CBRE Research, H1 2018.
50,000 sq. ft., respectively, in an independent
development on NH-2.
Table 14: Selected Leading Transactions
During the review period, nearly 0.35 million sq.
Size (in
ft. of warehousing space was added in the form Property Location Tenant
sq. ft.)
of four medium-sized developments on NH-6 and
Sankrail
Dankuni (Old Delhi Road). NH – 6 256,000 Flipkart India
Industrial Park
Independent
The NH-2 and NH-6 micro-markets witnessed NH – 6 80,000 Philips India
Development
rental appreciation of about 8% and 16%, Sankrail Great Eastern
NH – 6 70,000
respectively, on a half-yearly basis due to limited Industrial Park Appliances
availability of space. However, rentals in the
Source: CBRE Research, H1 2018.
Taratala micro-market remained stable.
Leasing activity is likely to remain upbeat in this TE C H I NNOV ATI ON TO S HAPE THE F U TU RE OF
sector over the next six months. In the short to THE S E C TOR
medium term, 3PL and e-commerce players are
expected to drive the demand for warehousing Indian e-commerce companies, 3PL players and
space. Most of this demand is expected to be online grocery chains are increasingly using
concentrated in large urban centres, with innovative tech solutions to improve inventory
Gurgaon in Delhi-NCR, Aslali and Changodar in management. The use of fleet management
Ahmedabad, Bhiwandi in Mumbai, the Eastern software (provides live tracking of goods), RFID
and Western Corridors in Bangalore, the systems for inventory identification and
Northern Corridor in Hyderabad and the automated pallet storage is growing quickly, as is
Western Belt in Chennai likely to remain the number of start-ups aimed at bridging the
preferred destinations for occupiers. technology gap. The widespread deployment of
IoT is expected to revolutionize operations by
G OV ERNMENT I NI TI ATI V ES TO B OOS T creating smart warehouses that improve supply
L OG I S TI C S AND WARE HOU S I NG S E C TOR chain efficiencies. While the initial green shoots
of these initiatives have already started
According to the economic survey 2017-18, the appearing, their actual impact would only unfold
Indian logistics sector employs 22 million people over the next couple of years.
and improvements in the sector can result in a
MODERN WAREHOU S ES TO DRI V E DEMAND
10% reduction in indirect costs, leading to a 5-
8% growth in exports. The survey also estimates
that the worth of the Indian logistics sector As technology permeates the logistics sector and
would be USD 215 billion by 2020, from the the government push to the sector continues,
current USD 160 billion. This growth is likely to corporates across all sectors would be driven to
be on the back of various government incentives opt for large, modern warehouses as they seek to
to spur the logistics sector as well as the GST. leverage the new GST regime as well as
consolidate and expand their operations. This
The creation of a separate Logistics Department demand would be further boosted by the entry of
under the ministry of commerce in July 2017 is a various private equity firms and foreign players
reiteration of the government’s focus on the in the Indian logistics market. As a result,
development of the sector. A National Integrated leading real estate developers have begun
Logistics Policy is also being formulated by the acquiring large land parcels for the development
ministry as a part of a comprehensive plan to of warehousing facilities – a trend likely to
boost business and exports. The commerce continue through 2018. This would lead to an
ministry has also announced its plan for a Cargo increase in the supply of modern warehouses
Policy, which will be the first time that India will over the coming years. While cities such as
have a policy on the carriage of goods. Another Mumbai, Pune and Chennai would remain major
key initiative by the government has been The investment destinations, Delhi-NCR and
Logistics Ease Across Different States (LEADS) Bangalore are also likely to be on the investors’
Index, which was unveiled in January 2018 and is radar.
a composite indicator to assess international
trade logistics across states and union territories.
It is based on a stakeholders’ survey conducted
by Deloitte for the ministry of commerce and
industry. The index which ranks different states
on the logistics sector in each of these states,
currently considers Gujarat, Punjab and Andhra
Pradesh as the top three states in terms of
logistics ease.
CONTACTS
Chinmay Panda
Manager, India CBRE
+91 33 4019 0200
chinmay.panda@cbre.co.in
Ram Chandnani
Managing Director,
Advisory and Transaction Services, India
Ground Floor, Hulkul Brigade Centre,
No. 82 Lavelle Road, Bangalore 560 001
+91 80 407 40000
ram.chandnani@cbre.co.in
Jasmine Singh
Senior Executive Director
Industrial & Logistics Services, Advisory & Transaction Services , India CBRE
19th Floor, DLF Square, M Block,
Jarcanda Marg, DLF City Phase II,
Gurgaon 122 002
+91 124 465 9700
Jasmine.singh@cbre.co.in
Disclaimer: CBRE Limited confirms that information contained herein, including projections, has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. While we do not doubt its accuracy, we have
not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about them. It is your responsibility to confirm independently their accuracy and completeness. This information is presented
exclusively for use by CBRE clients and professionals, and all rights to the material are reserved and cannot be reproduced without prior express written permission of CBRE.
CIN - U74140DL1999PTC100244