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LOS (F) COMPANY'S VALUE IE. MARKET CAP = NO. OF SHARES × SHARE PRICE
The objective of a finance mgr is to take financial decisions in such a manner that shareholder's
wealth (Reqd: Market Cap) is maximized.
Let us acknowledge the Standard discounted Cash Flow (DCF) framework According to this
framework,
Value today = PV of Future Cash Flows
CF1 CF2 CF3
V0 ......
1 r 1 r 1 r 3
2
In Capital Budgeting, we have LONG - TERM sources of finance ie Equity and Long term Debt
investing in a project. Suppose, the Net Cash Flows associated with the project are as follows -
Years 0 1 2 3
Cash Flows (600) 150 300 700 → in $ billion
INTERPRETATION - This is the min rate of return reqd by long term sources of finance (why min
?) Also, it is the rate of return that a firm must earn to maintain its market value.
Now that the funding aspect is over. let us determine whether this project is at all viable -
For this to happen, it has to cross this huddle of 10.2%
To check this out, one of the most popular decision making criteria is NET PRESENT VALUE
(NPV)
Years CF Unrecovered
1 150 (- 600 × 1.102) + 150 = - 511.2
2 300 ( - 511.2 × 1.102) + 300 = - 263.34
3 700 ( - 263.34 × 1.102) + 700 = 409.8
1
Assuming no information a symmetry (full transparency), markets today will see a rise in dd for the
firm's share. This will result in higher share price and market cap of the firm today will rise to the
409.8
extent of P0 $306.216 NPV
1.102
3
Calci
CF 2nd CE/C
CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3
CPT NPV → I → Enter
NPV → CPT
Operationally, it can be calculated
Yrs CF PV
1 150 150
136.12
1.102
2 300 300
247.03
1.102
2
3 700 523.06
NPV = (600) - '''''
= 306.21
NPV Interpretation - It shows the Net Addition to the wealth of the equity shareholders ie net
increase in market cap. If the firm has 40 b shares outstanding, share price should go up by
306.21
$7.66
40
Does this actually happen is real life?
- No because of Information Asymmetry and market inefficiency
Eg: X ltd. presently has 20 m equity shares trading at $300 each. A new project is announced with an
NPV of $60 m. What will be the new share price in a hypothetical would?
$60m
Sol: $3 Increase in share price
20m
New share price = $ (300 + 3) = $ 303
Note: The focus of real life application of this LOS is that -
The project announcement should be new info which was not anticipated by the market earlier.
LOS (A)
CAPITAL BUDGETING refers to the process of identifying and evaluating new business
opportunities.
CAPITAL BUDGETING decisions are important because they involve significant amt, they
are irreversible in nature, they have strategic consequences.
The PRINCIPLES used in capital budgeting are equally applicable in other disciplines like
mergers & acquisition, refunding callable debt etc.
Note 1: When A ltd acquires B Ltd, it needs to pay purchase consideration and expects incremental
cash flows.
2
Note 2: Callable bonds are long term bonds where the company issuer enjoys the right to refund the
bonds prior to maturity.
Administrative Steps in the Capital Budgeting Process
1. Idea Generation
2. Through Analysis - Financial + Marketing + Technical + Risk analysis
3. Firm - wide optimal capital budget: Projects should not be accepted or rejected in isolation.
Projects might be interdependent such that firms should look at them collectively and choose
the best set of projects which has the highest NPV.
4. Monitoring and Post Audit: This is comparison of actual with projections to remove systematic
errors in projections & decision making, improve business operations control cost
Does Not eliminate potentially profitable but risky projects.
3
The Principles are:
1. Incremental Principle - Consider opportunity cost of scarce resources
LOS (C)
1. Mutually Exclusive Projects - If two projects are mutually exclusive, they cannot be
simultaneously undertaken
Let us define the following terms:
Independence - two projects are said to be independent if the acceptance or rejection of one does
not affect the other. An extreme from of interdependency is mutual exclusiveness - if you accept
one project, you have to reject the other.
2. Project Sequencing - This means that if we accept project X today, it will give us an opportunity
to move into project Y later. This is often called Real Option.
4
3. Capital Rationing - It refers to a situation where Funds available < Funds required
Hence, all projects NPV with positive cannot be under taken firm will need to priorities and
accept that set of projects which has the highest NPV.
Note: Example for building thought process on the application of mutual exclusiveness and
capital rationing.
A firm is facing the fell project opportunities
Invst reqd PV of Futures CFs NPV
A 300 430 130
B 400 560 160
C 500 680 180
D 200 270 70
LOS (D)
Given the cash flows of a project derived as per the principles of los (b) flow do you decide whether
to accept or rejected a project?
Selection Criteria
5
Discounted Pay Back Period (DPBP)
PI ( Profitability Index
Amount
300 400 200
NPV 3
600
1.14 1.14 1.14
2
Caci
CF 2nd CE/c
CF0 CF1 CF2 CF3 Enter
CPT ADPV → I = 14
NPV → CPT = $105.94 m
Interpretation: NPV directly shows the additional value created as a result of the project. In fact,
firm is new value equal to existing value + NPV.
NPV
New share price = Existing share price +
No.of shares
Hence, NPV is considered to be the best criterion as it focuses on the very objective of financial
mgmt ie. shareholders wealth maximization.
Decision Rule
If NPV > 0 → Accept
NPV < 0 → Reject
705.94
1.18m Relative Considering the size of the project
600
Shortcut
* PV of cash outflow
Actual NPV
6
Decision Rule -
If PI > 1 - Accept
PI < 1 - Reject
NPV PI 1 Initial Investment
Since all these three ie NPV, IRR and PI are based on DCF technique, they give the same
accept/reject decision.
NPV > 0 PI > 1 IRR > Kc Accept
NPV < 0 PI < 1 IRR < Kc Reject
Q2.
unconventional - Cash Flows
Yrs NCF
- investment twice (more than once)
0 300
1 200 - more than 1 change of sign.
2 100
3 250
4 300
5 200
6 400
7
782.18
375.61
= 2.08
NPV > 0, IRR > Reqd return, PI > I - Project is viable
Q3.
Yrs NCF
0 500
1 200
2 200
3 200
4 300
5 300
k c 10%
Since the project is less risky than the avg. risk of the firm, reqd return would be 1% less.
Sol:
NPV = $413.76 m
IRR = 34.63%
413.76 500
PI 1.827
500
4. Pay Back Period (PBP)
- It is the no. of years in which the project will pay back the initial investment ignoring time value of
money. The mgmt fixes a cut off. Say N, All projects with PBP less than N are accepted.
Eg: Consider the fall project
Yrs 0 1 2 3 4
NCF 800 300 100 200 500
Drawbacks of PBP
It ignores TVM
It ignores cash flow beyond the PBP
It has a judgmental cutoff.
It is not a profitability measure.
Hence, PBP is not a measure of profitably at all. It is a measure of liquidity (advantage) - How soon
do you get your money back?
Conclusion: Any firm that focuses on liquidity takes on less risk. Hence, would advice firms to use
PBP as a screening/filtering device.
Step 1 - Shortcut those projects whose PBP is less than N*
Step 2 - Out of the shortlisted projects, determine the optimal capital budget wing NPV.
8
5. Discounted Pay Back Period
- It is the no. of years in which the project pays back initial investment in Present Value (PV) terms.
Eg: Consider the follwing project.
Yrs 0 1 2 3 4
NCF 600 300 200 500 400
If k c 12% Calculate discounted pay back period and comment on projects acceptance/rejected. If
the cutoff period is 3.5 yrs.
Use TVM mode PV, 1/4, N CPT → PV
Sol:
Yrs 0 1 2 3 4
NCF 600 300 200 500 400
PV 600 267.85 159.44 355.89 254.21
427.29
172.74
0.49
355.89
DPBP → 2.49 yrs
This is less than the cutoff of 3.5 yrs - Project is accepted
9
Q. Consider a project whose NPV profile is shown below
It is a 3 year project whose 1st Year CF is 70m, 2nd yr's CF is 90m and 3rd yrs CF is 140 m. Calculate
NPV at k c 12%
10
20.61 34.77
24.876 0 [IRR]
25 0.96
30 37.41
These two projects are comparable because they are of the same size (600 m) & Same life (34 yrs)
The main difference b/w the two projects is cash flow and CF timing pattern (better for B)
As discount rate rises, project A's NPV falls at a higher rate because proj A has unfavorable
timing pattern ie. higher CFs towards the end than the beginning. So, as k increases, it is
penalized more and falls at a greatest speed.
Cross - Over Rate known as the Fisherian Rate of Return calculation i* is the discount rate at
which NPAA = NPVB
200 300 400
600
1 i * 1 i * 1 i * 3
2
230 200
1 i *
2
1 i *
230
1 i *
2
200
1/2
230
i* 1
200
= 7.23%
11
CALCI
200 given at t = 0 (say) → after 2 years becomes 230
200 ± PV
2N CPI 1/4 = 7.23%
230 FV
There is a conflict b/w NPV and IRR. NPvA NPVB But IRR B IRR A . If the projects would
be Independent - Both would be accepted (+ve NPV), however since they are mutually
exclusive, we will accept project A ie the one with the higher NPV.
12
Problems of NPV - ignores size of project (blasted towards bigger size)
Problems of IRR
There may be multiple IRR or no IRR.
State T/F, Is NPVy NPVx ~ Net Necessarily because NPV depends on the amount of money
invested in project but IRR is a% (ignores errors, millions and so on).
Give Spore
13
COST OF CAPITAL
In order for the investment division, to calculate NPV of a project, there is a requirement of WACC
or MCC (Marginal Cost of Capital). This has to be supplied by the financing division.
The financing division has to study the market and decide upon the optimal capital structure - The
optimum mix of capital components which minimizes WACC.
In deciding upon the optimum capital structure, the primary thought process runs like this
Debt is chapter than equity bcoz debt holders demand a lower return and interest on debt is tax
deductible
However, as a firm takes on more and more debt, equity shareholders are exposed to higher &
levels of financial risk in addition to business risk. So, cost of equity rises. Somewhere an
optimum balance b/w these two forces is struck andan optimum capital structure is
determined.
Give Spore
Eg: The target capital structure of a firm is:
Equity → 40% long term debt → 50%
Preference → 10%
Component Cost of Capital
The cost of various capital components are -
k e 22% k d Yield on debt 15%
k p 18% Tax rate → 30%
Calculate "WACC"
Sol: k c 0.4 22 0.1 8 0.55 15 1 0.3
8.8 1.8 5.25 15.85%
14
Interpretations -
1. It is the min rate of return reqd by the capital components and is hence used as the hurdle rate
or the reqd rate of return, it is the rate of return that a firm must use to maintain its market
value. WACC is the cost of financing firms is assets & can be viewed as an opportunity cost.
*Equity
Mks value - Effect of reserves incl on shares price
BV - We have to take reserves bcoz net incl.
Eg: X ltd has not defined any target capital structure, An extract of X ltd's Balance Sheet is as follows
-
Equity share capital $ 200m
[ 20m shares of $ 10 FV]
Reserves & Surplus $ 300 m
BV of equity/Net Worth 500
Preference Capital $ 500 m
[ 5m shares @ 100/-]
Bonds [ 2m @ 100] $ 200 m
15
$ 300 m
Capital employed/ Invested Capital 1500 m
LOS (D)
MCC Schedule - As we raise more and more funds, k c would be rising [The math of it would
be done in LOS (k)]
As we search for more & move money to be deployed in projects, IRR would falling -
Downward Sloping Investment opportunity schedule (IOS)
Given the wealth maximization objective, firm's optimal capital budget is achieved at the point of
intersection of the MCC & IOS as shown below:
16
2. Assm: The capital structure of firm will remain at the target capital structure over the life of
the project.
Issues to Calculate Kd
Company's current o/s bonds contain embedded options
Company uses leases as a source of finance.
17
LOS (H) COST OF EQUITY (Ke)
Equity also called common stock
Ke is the rate of return reqd by equity shareholders.
Kc R c
To digest this, think of the following situation -
Q. A firm has earned $ 500m Net Income this year. Out of this amount, $200 m is distributed as
dividend.
The remaining amt ie $ 300 m is plowed back in business. who does this amt belong to? -
Obv, equity, shareholders. They require a certain return (Re)
So, firm must earn that Re for them. Hence, Ke = Re
There are 3 methods of computing Re
Method I
Re = Bond Yield + Risk prem
Eg: X ltd has outstanding bonds which yield 9%. Since, shareholders are exposed to higher risk as
compared to bond holders, they require 2% higher return.
Sol: So, Re = 9 + 2 = 11%
18
Sol: g = B × R
= 20% × 30%
= 6%
As per DDM,
Re = Dividend yield + Capital gains yield (g)
= 7% + 6%
= 13%
Eg: A stock is trading in equilibrium. The constant growth DDM is applicable to the stock. Equity
capitalization rate is 18%. If sustainable growth rate 5%, what is the expected Dividend Yield (DY)
on the stock.
Sol: Re = DY + g
18% = DY + 5% → DY = 13%
Eg: A stock is presently trading at an equal price of $500m. It is expected to pay dividend of $75m
next year. If sustainable growth is 6%, what is the equity capitalization as per Gordan Growth
Model (GGM) ?
D1 75
Sol: R e G 0.06
P0 500
0.15 0.06
21%
Stage III: There is a model called Behavioral Asset Pricing Model (BAPM) which assumes that
investors are normal. This means that investors consider themselves to be equity savvy and select a
group of stocks resulting in undiversified portfolio. They face both SR and USR.
However, CAPM assumes that investors are rational. They invest in a diversified portfolio where
USR is gone. The only risk relevant in the CAPM would is SR.
So We have,
19
R e R f Syst risk prem
Where, SRP - Extra return reqd for systematic risk of that stock.
If of a stock = 2. It means that when the economy changes by 1%, the stock is expected to change
by 2%. Obv, cyclical stocks with high financial leverage (debt) will have high beta.
Defensive stocks like consumer staples and pharmaceutical with low financial leverage have low
beta.
A projects Beta is quantitative measure of its systematic risk or market risk
Beta tends to revert to 1 overtime
Give Spore
Betas of small companies should be adjusted upward to reflect greatest risk
It is calculated by regressing stock's returns against the market's returns [net vice versa]
Stage V: Economy - As per CAPM< Economy is captured by
The Market Portfolio
Hence, if Beta of Microsoft = 1.2, it means that for a 1% change in the S & P 500 Index, the stock of
Microsoft is expected to change by 1.2%
Note: Any hint regarding how is calculated?
Step 1: Select a past period (say 5 yrs) - Why not 10?
Step 2: Select frequency of returns (say annual) - why not monthly?
Step 3: Plot a scatter diagram.
Period Ret on S & P (x) Ret on Microsoft (y)
1 11% 14%
2 - 4% - 7%
3 20% 30%
4 10% 15%
5 2% - 2%
20
2nd DATA 2nd CE/C
XO1 Enter YO1 Enter ............. cont.
2nd STAT
Stage VI: Systematic Risk Premium (SRP) = Price of (PR) × Quantity of Risk (QR)
We would like to use CAPM to determine KC of a project. However, a project is not tradable so
its is not readily available.
We choose proxy companies which are in the same line of business as the project. Thus, if a
project is an IT project. The proxy companies may be Infosys and WIPRO - Pure play method
because we begin with the of a company that are purely engaged in a business similar to
that of the project & is thus comparable to the project.
Since both Infosys and WIPRO are traded, their data are available inf osys 1.6; WIPRO 1.9
Challenges of Beta
is estimated using historical returns - sensitive to the length of time used and frequency of
data.
Estimate affected by the index chosen to represent market return
21
They tend to result to 1 overtime - adjustment reqd because of this.
However, these s don't' only reflect IT business systematic risk but also reflect the financial risk of
these firms.
Infosys has a debt - equity ratio = 0.4
D/E of WIPRO = 0.5
Tax rate = 30%
So we have to unlevered the of Infosys and WIPRO. This means we have to remove the
effect of debt eq ratio.
The relationship b/w levered and unlevered Beta is given by:
D
L u 1 1 t
E
L
u
D
1 E 1 t
Infosys
1.6 1.6
u 1.25
1 0.4 0.7 1.28
Wipro
1.9 1.9
u 1.41
1 0.5 0.7 1.35
Average
1.25 1.41
u 1.33
2
This can be taken as the of the IT project provided the project is wholly financed by equity.
Suppose this is not the case - the project has a debt eq ratio of 0.2. So, we need to relever.
L 1.33 1 0.2 0.7
= 1.33 × 1.14 = 1.51
Suppose, Rf = 6%, Market risk premium = 5%
So cost of equity for the project (Ke) = Rf + (Rm - Rf)
= 6 + 5 × 1.51
= 13.55%
Suppose the pre tax cost of debt is 15%
ie Post tax (kd) = 15 × 0.7 = 10.5%
Cost of capital for the project = wd k d we k e
0.2 1
10.5 13.55
1.2 1.2
= 1.75 + 11.29
= 13.04%
Q. X ltd - an IT company is evaluating a project in the food processing industry. [Can x ltd's present
Kc be used for this project? - NO]
22
X ltd presently has a debt eq ratio = 0.7 - Irrelevant But food processing industry project can sustain
a debt eq ratio = 0.9
[Which one is relevant? - 0.9]
Effective tax rate for x ltd is 32%
The firm has decided to use CAPM to determine the project's cost of capital. Two proxy firms in the
food processing industry have been selected -
Firms D/E Efft
A 1.3 0.3 27%
B 1.1 0.2 35%
Step 3 - k e R f R m R f
= 5 + 5.5 × 1.636
= 13.99 %
~ 14%
Step 4 - Post tax Kd = 12 × 0.68
= 8.16%
K c = wd k d w e k e
0.9 1
8.16 14
1.9 1.9
= 3.87 + 7.37
= 11.24%
Q. L 1.7, wd 40%, t 30% Calculate u
L 1.7
Sol: u 1.16
1 D /E 1 t 1 0.4 0.7
0.6
23
LOS (J) COUNTRY RISK PREMIUM
To reflect the increased risk associated with investing in a developing country, CRP is added to
MRP.
Us company is setting up a project in Karachi
Rf = 6% MRP (Mkt Risk Prem) = 5
of the project = 2
So, k c R f MRP
= 6 + 5 × 2 = 16%
On second thoughts it is fell that the kc computed above is understated. It needs to
incorporated Country Risk Prem (CRP) ie. the extra return reqd for sovereign risk.
Mathematically, CRP has the same status as MRP.
Both represent the price per unit of risk.
Hence, The revised equation: k c R f MRP CRP
Thus, if CRP for the Pakistan economy is 3%
k c 6 5 3 2 22%
How is CRP Computed?
We find that US Treasury Yield = 5%
Pakistan Treasury Yield (denominated in dollars) = 7.2%
Sovereign Yield Spread = 2.2%
We feel like taking this as CRP. However, on second thoughts we relied that we are wanting
to get CRP for the equity market and not bond market.
Sovereign equity
Hence, CRP
Yield Spread bond
Suppose SDbond 20% while that of equity mkt = 30%
30
CRP = 2.2% 3.3%
20
24
MCC increases as add 'capital' raised when:
Derivations from target capital structure
Company's existing debt covenants that restrict it from issuing debt with similar seniority.
Break Points in the MCC schedule occur when any component cost of capital charged. So Break
point is given by:
Amt at which component cos t changes
P
Weight of the component
Q. A firm has a target debt equity ratio of 3 : 1. The cost of various sources of finance are shown
below:
Debt
Range Pretax kd
0 - 49 10%
50 - 149 11%
150 & ab 12%
Equity
Range Kc
0 - 39 16%
40 & above 17%
Show the marginal cost of capital schedule (Tax Rate = 30%).
50
Sol: P1 $66.67
3/4
150 Important Part
P2 $200
3/4
40
P3 $160
1/4
MCC Schedule - Not the focus (not in syllabus)
Funds to Be Raised Kc
0 - 65.67 9.25%
66.67 - 159 9.775%
160 - 199 10.025%
200 and above 10.55%
WN 0 - 65.67
Pre tax Kd = 10
25
So post tax Kd = 10 × 0.7 = 7
Ke = 16
1
K c 3 / 4 7 16 9.25%
4
66.67 - 159 - Here Kc remains same Check 159 × 1/4 = 39.75
Pre tax Kd = 11
Thus, Post tax Kd = 11 × 0.7 = 77
Ke = 16
3 1
kc 7.7 16 9.775%
4 4
160 - 199
Pre tax kd = 11, Post tax Kd = 7.7
3 1
Kc = 17% kc 7.7 17 10.025%
4 4
200 and above We got 200 through debt So kd changes.
Pre tax kd = 12%
Post tax kd = 12 × 0.7 = 8.4%
3 1
kc 8.4 17 10.55%
4 4
k c 17%
26
D1 6
ke g 0.05 12.5%
P0 80
However, due to floatation cost - Net Proceeds per share (Pnet)
P0 1 f
= 80 (1 - 0.2)
= 80 × 0.98
= 78.4
Most authors suggest that the cost of external equity be calculated via (Pnet).
D1
ke g
Pnet
6
0.05 12.65%
78.4
k c 0.6 9 0.4 12.65
Post tax Kd = 15 × 0.6 = 9%
10.46%
Calculate NPV = 208.07
CF 2nd CLR work
CF1 CF2 .......... I = kc
Calculator
CF0 504 , k c 10.4% I rest same
NPV = $ 204.86 m
Note: If the sum specifically mentions that flotation cost is tax deductible, Post tax floatation cost
= 4 (1 - t) = 4 (1 - 0.4) = 4 × 0.6 = $2.4 m
CF0 502.4% NPV = $206.46 m
27
Reading No. 37 - Measures of Leverage
LOS (A)
Leverage refers to the risk assuming on a/c of the existence of fixed expenses in business. As a
result of fixed expenses, our earnings become more sensitive to changes in the level of activity.
It is often defined as a double edged sword - It amplifies the financial consequences.
Business Risk - Variability of EBIT
Source: 1. Sales Risk - Variability of sales
2. Operating Risk - Variability of EBIT on a/c of the existence of fixed expenses in
business.
EBIT = Q (P - V) - F
The presence of F makes EBIT more sensitive to Q - Operating Risk
Financial Risk - It is the risk arising out of the use of debt, borne by common stockholders.
EPS
EBIT I 1 t N: No. of common equity shares
N
When EBIT charges, Interest expense will remain the same, And therefore, EPS will change at a
fasters rate. This is financial leverage or financial risk.
LOS (B)
Leverage is mathematically an elasticity measure.
Irrespective of any discipline, elasticity is explained this way:-
y f x 1 , x 2 ..........x n
Elasticity of y w.r.t x1 ceteris paribus
% change in y
% change in x1
If the answer is 2, it means than when X1, changes by 1%, y changes by 2%
In this topic, we have three stages.
Key determinant of OL = Trade off b/w Fixed and variable costs.
Stage 1: Operating Fixed Cost (F)
Hence, we would like to calculate the elasticity of EBIT w.r.t. sales (Q) known as Degree of
operating leverage (DOL)
%change in EBIT
DOL INTERPRETATION
% change in Q
By applying differential calculus, we get a formula for calculating DOL.
Contribution Q P V
DOL
EBIT Q P V F
certain inferences out of this formula:
i. If a firm has no operating fixed cost, DOL = 1 which means if sales change by 1%, EBIT will
change by 1%
ii. However, if F is present DOL > 1
28
Eg: Contribution = 50,00,00
Fixed Cost = 1,00,000
EBIT = 4,00,000
5, 00, 000
DOL 1.25
4, 00, 000
However, if contribution = 5,00,000
Fixed Cost = 4,00,000
EBIT = 1,00,000
50, 00, 00
DOL 5
1, 00, 000
Conclusion: Higher the level of F, higher the sensitivity of operating income to sales ie higher
the DOL.
iii. DOL being an elasticity measure, is different at different levels of sales (activity). At low
levels of Q, DOL is very high. As Q becomes higher and higher, DOL keeps on falling and
tends towards 1 (This language is applicable for the firm operating above the operating
BRP).*
LOS (C)
Operating BEP is the level of qty at which operating profit ie EBIT = 0
Q (P - V) - F = 0
F
Q*
PV
Note: Below operating BEP, DOL may be negative.
Eg: Fixed Cost = 5,00,000 Variable cost per = 30
Selling price = 40
5, 00, 000
Q* 50, 000 units
40 30
Now, let us dig inside the behavior of DOL w.r.t Q:-
If the firm is operating at Q* - DOL is undefined
If the firm is operating above Q* - DOL a positive and keeps on falling towards 1 as quantity
rises.
If the firm is operating below Q* - DOL is negative.
Conclusion: You should focus on (2). Also understand the overall theme. High fixed cost results in
higher operating BEP and also result in higher DOL. This is what operating risk is all about.
29
Certain Inferences
1. For an unlevered firm, I = 0 DFL = 1
2. If a firm has high levels of debt, i would be high and therefore DFL would be high.
Eg: EBIT = 2,00,000
Int expense = 10,000
PBT = 1,90,000
2, 00, 000
DFL 1.053
1, 90, 000
Now, suppose, EBIT = 2,00,000, Int expense = 60,000
PBT = 1,40,000
2, 00, 000
DFL 1.428
1, 40, 000
Financial BEP = Int expense → that level of EBIT where EPS is equal to 0.
Stage 3: Focus on all Fixed Expenses ie F and I
Degree of Total Leverage (DTL)
% change in EPS
DTL
% change in Q
Cont r Q P V
Applying differential calculus, DTL
PBT Q P V F I
Certain Inferences
i. DTL = DOL × DFL
ii. If F and I = 0, DTL = 1
iii. Higher the levels of F and I, higher the DTL.
iv. Linked to LOS (D).
LOS (D)
Overall BEP (Q**) is that level of quantity at which EPS = 0
Q P V F I 1 t 0
N
We get,
FI
Q **
PV
Hence, the behavior of DTL at different levels of Q can be summarized as follows:
Case 1: At Q**, DTL is undefined
Case 2: If firm is operating above Q**, DLT is positive and keeps on falling towards 1 as Q keeps on
rising.
Case 3: If firm is operating below Q**, DLT is negative.
Eg: Consider the firm's capital structure:-
10 m equity shares of $10 each = $100 m
10% term loan = $400 m = 40 mn
DFL = 1.4 Calculate EBIT.
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EBIT EBIT
Sol: DFL 1.4 EBIT 140 m
PBT EBIT 40
Eg: DOL = 3
DFL = 4
Firm is presently operating above the BEP.
By what % must sales fall to wipe out the current EPS.
Sol: DTL = DOL × DFL = 3 × 4 = 12%
Wiping out EPS means making EPS fall by 100%
Thus, for a 12% fall in EPS, % fall in sales required is 1%.
100
Hence 100% fall in EPS, % fall in sales required is
12
LOS (C) EFFECT OF FINANCIAL LEVERAGE
(1) On ROE (Return of Equity)
EBIT
Let us define ROI (Ret on Investment)
Capital Employed
Compare this with interest rate (i) and the conclusion is obvious:-
Case 1:- ROI > i - Use of financial leverage (debt) will result in higher ROE
Case 2:- ROI < i - Use of financial leverage will result in lower ROE.
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Dividend and Share Repurchased - Reading 38, SS 11
LOS (A)
* Return of capital, Not tax free unlike other dividends (which is paid out of a company's PAT)
CASH DIVIDEND
Effect - These is an outflow of cash. So, market cap of the company will fall by the amount of the
dividend paid. Also, share price will fall, by the amount of DPS (div per sh.)
Leverage Rations
D D
Cash going to pay dividends - A Subsequent fall in E
E A
CA
Liquidity Ratio with fall.
CL
3 Accounting Gimmicks
32
Sol: No. of adds shares isued = 40% of 15 m = 6 m
So, no. of o/s shares post stock dividend = 21 m (15 + 6)
All absolute figures will remain the same but the per share figures will fall.
Net Income - Same as earlier - 15 × 40 = $ 600m
600
EPS $28.57
21
Market cap - Same as earlier = 15 × 800 = $ 12000 m
12000
Share price $571.43
21
Net worth/shareholder's fund - same → 15 × 500 = $7500 m
7500
BVPS $357.14
21
Case II Company announces a stock split of 2 : 1. So, No. of shares = 15 × 2 = 30 m
Absolute amounts will not be affects. Per share amounts will be halved.
EPS = $20, share price = $400, BVPS = $250
Eg: The stock price of a firm has gone down below $5. Ac per the stock exchange listing guidelines,
a stock is to be de listed if it stays below $5 for a month. What do we advise?
- Reverse Stock Split
33
LOS (B) DIVIDEND PAYMENT CHRONOLOGY
Method 1 Company will buy share from the open market at market price.
Method 2 Tender offer or auction - Company will announce a buyback programme wherein people
can lend their shares at a fixed price above the current market price. If there is oversubscription
these would be pro data allotment.
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Proof:
N → 20 m shares
PAT → 500 m
PAT
EPS $25
N
Share Price → $300
E
Earnings Yield 100
P
25
100 8.33%
300
Firm decides to borrow $600 m and use it to buy back shares at the current market price.
$600m
So, no. of shares bought back 2m shares
300
So, no. of share o/s after buy back = (20 - 2) = 18 m shares
35
LOS (E) Effect of share Repurchase on BV per share
Net worth
We know that BVPS
No. of shares
As a result of buyback - NW will fall by the amount of the funds used for buyback.
No. of shares will fall by the amount of shares repurchased.
So, Effect on BVPS :-
If repurchased price = BVPS - BVPS remains same
If repurchase price > BVPS - BVPS will fall
If repurchase price < BVPS - BVPS will rise.
Suppose in the previous eg, BVPS is presently $200. This means that Net Worth = $200 × 20m = $
4000m
We are buying back using $600 m at a price of $300.
New net worth = old net worth - asset used for buyback
= 4000 - 600 = $3400 m
New no. of shares = 18m
3400
New BVPS $188.88 Old BVPS of $200
18
36
Case 2 Cash dividend of $300 m
300
DPS $7.5
40
7700
New share price $192.5
40
Add: DPS $ 7.5
Wealth per share $ 200 → Same as earlier
Repurchases offers shareholders more choices (tendering, not tending) than cash dividends
(payment they can't refuse)
Some shareholders prefer cash div while others prefer share repurchases.
Increasing cash dividends due to ↑ short term cash flows - not sustainable confusing to
investors.
37
Reading 39 - Working Capital Management
LOS (A) Primary and secondary sources of liquidity
Primary
Cash from normal day to day operations ie sale of goods, collection from debtors, interest
income on investments.
Share term finance in the form of trade credit, short term bank finance.
Effective cash management is accelerating cash inflows and decelerating cash outflows.
Secondary
Sale of short term and long term assets
Renegotiation with debt providers
Filling for bankruptcy and recognisation
Note: Obv. primary source of liquidity do not change the operational structure of the firm and are
desirable. Secondary sources are drastic - they hurt the firm's reputation as well as the firm's
operating flexibility.
DRAGS PULLS
Factors that increase the speed of cash Factors that slow down cash inflows oe
outflows. increase interest expense.
Eg: Paying creditors earlier than when they fall Eg: Not being able to collect from A/cs
due, repayment of O/S balance due to change receivable on time loss of reputation or tight
in credit terms. liquidity condition causes higher int rate on
short term bank borrowing, obsolete inventory
(more than to sell plus at discounts)
Note: In any turnover ratio. turnover is always in nr. combination of IS and B/C figs in a ratio - B/S
fig taken as avg.
CA
1. Current Ratio CR 1 means negative working cap (CA - CL), facing a liquidity crisis.
CL
Cash Short term Mktable Sec AR
2. Quick Ratio/Acid Test Ratio QR
Ag.debtors
Credit Sales /Total Sales
3. Receivables Turnover Ratio DTR
Avg. debtors
365 365
Receivables Collection DCP 36.5 days
DTR 10 Say
38
COGS
4. Cash Sales Inventory Turnovers ITR
Avg. inventory
Ratio - not affected by credit terms
365
Inventory Conversion/Processing Period ICP
ITR
Credit purchases /Total purchases
5. Payables Turnover Ratio PTR
Avg. A /cs payable
365
Payables payment Period PPP
PTR
Note: All these should be neither high nor low. They should be close to the peers.
Net operating cycle/Cash cycle States with payment for R/Material and ends at T4.
Thus, operating cycle = Inventory period + Receivable period
Cash Cycle = Operating cycle - Payable period.
A firm should carry out time services (Intra firm analysis) as well as cross sectional (Inter firm
analysis) of operating cycle and its components. If a firm has a longer operating cycle as compared
to industry, it represents inefficiency.
Eg: X ltd. furnished the fall. data -
39
Opening inventory = $400 Opening A/cs receivable = $500
Closing inventory = $430 Closing A/cs receivable = $550
Opening A/cs payable = $150 Credit Sales for the year = $2500
Closing A/cs payable = $140 COGS for the year = $ 2000
Credit purchases for the year = $1800
Compute cash cycle.
Avg Inventory
Sol: Inventory Period Use Logic.
COGS per day
415
75.74 days
2000 /365
Avg A /cs receivable
A/cs Receivable Period
Credit sales per day
525
76.65 days
2500 /365
Avg A /cs payable
A/cs Payable Period
Credit purchases per day
145 365
29.4 days
1800
Cash cycle = 75.74 + 76.64 - 29.4
= 122.99 days
Eg: Suppose in the previous sum, the industry to which x ltd. belongs has the fall operating cycle
and its components.
Inventory Pd = 60 days
A/cs Receivable period = 50 days
A/cs payable period = 40 days.
Cash Cycle = 60 + 50 - 40 = 70 days
40
2. X ltd's Debtors Period = 76.65 days is significantly higher than the industry average = 50 days.
There are two drawbacks of having higher debtors period:
More funds are blocked in debtors - opportunity cost
Bad debts would be higher.
A/cs receivable ↑ sales ↑ ie cash ↑ (liquidity ↑) but profitability (blocked fund's bad debt)
LOS (F)
Note: Regarding receivable management, we got to know -
Liquidity - profitability tradeoff
Receivables period
Ageing Schedule:
Age bracket Receivables in ends Jan % of Receivables % Receivables at end of
Feb
0 - 30 30m 35.3% 50%
34 - 60 40m 47.06% 40%
61 - 90 10m 11.76% 9%
> 90 5m 5.9% 1%
85m
It is a removable improvement -
A higher % is now falling is (0 - 30) and a lower % is falling in > 90
Weighted average Collection Period
This is a unique figure derived from the ageing schedule. To understand the same, look at the
ageing schedule for Jan end.
If receivables collection period is lower then industry average
Strict credit policies resulting in lost sales. This does not necessarily mean better credit controls.
High - blocked funds.
Age bracket
(0 - 30)
The breakdown of receivables is:-
Amount % (wr) Days (x) Wx
7 23.33% 11 2.57
15 50% 4 10.5
8 26.67% 23 6.13
30 *19.2 days
* This is a single figure representative of the class 0 - 30 suppose for the age 31 - 60 → The single fig
comes to 42 days similarly, for 61 - 90 - 85 days
> 90 - 108 days
41
3. Payables - The firm seems to be paying off creditors faster than the industry ie 29.4 days v/s 40
days.
This might be pure inefficiency, on the other hand, it might be a deliberate policy of the firm to
avail cash disc.
2
IMP Suppose, the supplier effects the fall credit terms - net 60
10
Thus, means that the firm is supposed to pay in 60 days.
If it pays in 10 days, it gets a 2% discount.
The first thing that we understand from these terms is that we should either pay on the 10th day
or 60th day.
Lower avg trade payable - better liquidity & delayed requirement from its suppliers of cash
payment.
Also, if we are not availing discount, it is like taking a loan of 98 on the 10th day and repaying 100
on the 60th day. Funding cost = 2/98 × 100 = 2.04% for 50 days.
So, annualized effective cost of not taking discount
= 1.0204
365/50
1 15.89% pa
If the firm's cost of sheet term funds < 15.89% the firm should borrow from other sources and pay
on the 10th day.
Eg: A firm has sheet term funding = 12%.
Its suppliers quote 1/10 net 40. Should it avail the discount?
Sol: Finding cost = 1/99 × 100 = 1.01% fees 30 days
So, annualized eff cost = 1.0101
365/30
1 13%
Since, short term funding cost < 13% Firm should avail the discount and pay on the 10th day.
Los (f)
Note: Payables Management:
Do not pay easily
Do not pay late
Take rational decision regarding utilizing the discount.
If a firm's creditor's period is increasing regularly, its a sign of liquidity problems.
* Taking trade discount only if firm's annual return on short term investment is less than the
discount percentage.
Not annualized rate
If the annualized eff cost < short term funding cost < No need to avail discount pay on due date.
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Medium term (monthly for a year)
Long term (covering several years)
From the cash budget, firm gets to know its surplus position on deficit position before hand. It
can accordingly plan for the deployment of surplus or the procurement of deficit.
In the cash budget, typical cash inflows arise from cash sales, collection from credit sales,
interest & dividend income, sale of investments, borrowing etc. Typical cash outflows result
from cash purchases, payment for credit purchases, payment of operating expenses, taxes,
interest, purchase of investments, repayment of loan etc.
Los (E) Various Types of Yield & Short term investment Policy Guidelines
Short term securities in which firm can invest cash:
Us Treasury bills - 2 to 7 of maturity
Certificate of Deposits
Time Deposits
Commercial Papers
Money market Mutual Funds
FV Pr ice
% discount
FV
FV P 360
Discount basis yield
FV n
Always
MMY DBY
BEY DBY EAY BEY MMY DBY
EAY BEY
FV P 360 360
Money Market Yield (MMY) Holding Period Yield (HPY)
P n n
Bond Equivalent Yield FV P 365 365
HPY
BEY P n n
- most appropriate in comparing a company's investments in short term securities.
% disc
365/No.of days past disc
Cost of Trade Credit 1 1
1 % dise
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Notes
1. Limitations of Financial Ratio Analysis (Current Ratio)
Need to use judgment
Differences in international accounting practices
Multiple industries in which firm operates (difficult to find comparable industry ratios)
2. Many ratios are industry specific but not all ratios are important to all industries. Financial
ratios always improve when the economy is strong and vice versa.
3. Inventory Management
Increase in inventory period may be good inventory management (adequate supplies to
avoid losses on customer's demand) or bad inventory management (poor sales/absolute
stock)
b. Pledge - Loan against collateral. For working capital purpose, the collateral is generally
inventory or A/cs receivable. If A/cs receivable (A/R) is the collateral, it is NOT sold. AR
remains in the books of the company and the company services the same.
Note: Sometimes the bank has a blanket lien (ie the right of retention) on all present and future
assets of the company if the primary collateral is insufficient.
c. Factoring - The firm sells its A/cs receivable (AR) to a bank for a discount on a non recourse
basis. This means that bank will have to bear the bad debt loss if any. Also, bank will be
responsible for following up and collections.
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d. Bankers' Acceptance (discounting of ROE in India)
The firm is an export company, when it exports goods, it draws a bill on the importer who
accepted the same. Then, acceptance now becomes a credible paper. The exporters can discount
that acceptance from any other bank and avail funds.
CP is comparable to Treasury bill and certificate of Deposit (CD) interest costs are typically less than
the bank.
Conclusion: Firms should decide upon their short term financing policy keeping into consideration
-
Alternative sources of finance (for large borrowers)
Flexibility ie freedom to pre pay short term borrowings
Lower cost.
It is betters to have higher overall short term funding costs in order to have flexibility &
redundant sources of financing.
NB Lines of credit used by large, financially sound companies. Companies with weaker credit -
Pledge, Factoring.
Smallest firms with poor credit - Non bank finance sources, Large, creditworthy companies issue
CPs, to raise finance.
45