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Tactical Investor: Mass psychology & Tactical Investing

The Tactical
investor is the
place where
Mass

Psychology and Technical analysis converge


seamlessly in a process we have come to refer to as
Tactical Investing. This convergence helps ensure we
are on the right side of the markets. Emotions and not
logic drive the markets. Emotions are behind every
investment decision, even though many traders will
vehemently deny this. Mass psychology identifies the
emotion that’s driving the crowd, and once that is
identified, the trend can be determined. Identifying the
trend allows us to get into investments just before they
take off.  Technical analysis helps with fine-tuning the
entry points, thereby providing us with the opportunity  
to get into a given investment at the best possible
price.

Tactical Investing equates to combining Technical Tactical Investor


analysis with Mass psychology; a clear example of Article Database
which is  The Trend Indicator. It combines the most
important aspects of Mass psychology with the best of Search
Technical analysis to yield a system that identifies the
trend in advance of the event. Our technical indicators
By using also enableyou
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to identify crucial
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market accurately.  Over 85% of the plays
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Tactical Investor: Mass psychology & Tactical Investing

have trended higher.

Tactical Investing amounts to being on the right side of


the markets at the right time. To ensure we are always
on the right side of the market, we incorporate the four
elements (shown in the infographic) into our analysis. 
  Employing this methodology gives us an advantage
very few systems can boast; we can spot trend
changes in advance of the event.

The place where Mass Psychology and Technical


Analysis Converge harmoniously. our investment
philosophy is very simple, identify the Trend and stick
with until it ends. We could list a plethora of reasons as
to why you should join our service,  but instead of
doing that, we will let our past calls speak for
themselves.

A sharp pullback is still an outcome we view through a


very bullish lens. The ideal setup calls for the Dow to
trade to the 28,800 to 29,000 ranges, with a possible
overshoot to 29,300. After that, a nice sharp pullback
would set the bedrock for a surge to and possibly well
past 30k.  Market Update Dec 29, 2019

We have a stunning development the combined score

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of netural and bearish sentiment has surged to 80 and


that is extremely telling. Consider that we are trading
several 100% points away from the 2009 lows and the
masses are almost as scared as they were back in
2009. 

While it’s hard to be calm when the markets are


volatile, history illustrates (and we have done this in
real time several times over the past few years), that
the best time to buy is when the markets are volatile
and the masses appear to be hanging for dear life.
Even though it feels like the markets should crash and
burn, due to all the horrendous news out there, market
sentiment is not supportive of a crash type scenario.  If
the markets were to crash it would be the first time in
history a bull market ended on a note of uncertainty. 
History is never kind to the crowd and we don’t think
that picture will change in the near future. Market
Update Oct 10, 2019

When the trend is positive (UP) train yourself to view


strong pullbacks, corrections and other negative
developments through a bullish lens. Anyone can
panic in the face of trouble, but only the astute
individual can stand still and direct their energy to
spotting opportunities. Don’t do what the masses are
trained to do, for, after all these years of panic, they
have nothing to show for it. Market Update Sept 15,
2019

The Dow has now dipped below 27K (on a monthly


basis).  We see no reason to worry; investors should
continue with their daily lives and focus on the things
that make you smile or leave you in a peaceful state.
Remember, today’s news is nothing but weaponised
propaganda. Tactical Investing Market update July
31, 2019

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To embrace the “trend player” methodology, one


needs to clear one’s mind from all the nonsense
injected via the Mass media. Secondly, change the
way they used to trade, and lastly, they need to
understand that it takes time. Depending on how open-
minded one is; the average turnaround time falls in the
4-12 week range period.  While this might sound like a
long time, consider the amount of time the average
person has wasted by listening to these so-called
experts who purposely go out of their way to misdirect
the public. When viewed in that context, 4-12 weeks is
a small price to pay. Remember that nothing good
comes easy, and more importantly, this change will be
permanent. One will know how to fish instead of
always waiting for a handout.  Tactical Investing 
Market Update July 24, 2019

Bitcoin is finally showing strength, it has managed to


stay above 3900, and this suggests that a bottom
could be in for the year.  There is an active zone of
resistance in the 5850-6150 ranges. If it can manage a
monthly close above $6150, then it will be in a position
to test the 6900-7200 ranges with an overshoot to the
7500-7740 ranges.  Market Update May  7, 2019 

In such an atmosphere, the main thing you should


focus on is on the trend; if the direction is up, then use
pullbacks ranging from mild to wild to add to your long
positions. The most important thing to know when it
comes to playing the markets is to be able to identify
the long term trend, and that’s our main focus. Hence
do not let panic enter the equation if the market
experiences a minor or strong pullback unless the
trend changes and the trend is showing no signs of
breaking.  With V readings in the super Ultra-high
ranges, traders should be prepared and ready to deal
with volatile market swings. Do not make the terrible

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mistake of confusing pullbacks regardless of the


intensity for market crashes. Until the trend changes,
those shorting the markets are asking for trouble
unless they are ready to move very fast.  Market
Update April 13, 2019 

So far in 2019, the number of individuals in the neutral


camp has always surpassed those in the bullish or
bearish camps, and this is very revealing. It clearly
indicates that the masses are suffering from a long
term bias and that the political landscape is messing
with their ability to distinguish reality from fiction.
Market Update March 31, 2019

This bull market is unlike any other; before 2009, one


could have relied on extensive technical studies to
more or less call the top of a market give or take a few
months; after 2009, the game plan changed and 99%
of these traders/experts failed to factor this into the
equation. Technical analysis as a standalone tool
would not work as well as did before 2009 and in many
cases would lead to a faulty conclusion. Long story
short, there are still too many people pessimistic
(experts, your average Joes and everything in
between) and until they start to embrace this market,
most pullbacks ranging from mild to wild will falsely be
mistaken for the big one. Market Update Feb 18, 2019

 The trend is up and showing no signs of weakening.


Therefore we must treat anything the media attempts
to market as a disaster, as an opportunity factor. The
media is an extension of the mass mindset. For any
con, you need at least two elements, a con artist and a
bunch of idiots. An observer is not part of this equation
for he/she does not equate with the conman or the
idiot, the observers function is to observe, and then
use the data to plot the most favourable path. Tactical

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Investing Market Update Feb 28, 2019 

90% of advisers, experts, financial commentators do


not know what they are talking about, which means the
same rules apply to the masses. Want proof look, go
back and look at how they repeated the same
nonsense each time the markets were crashing and or
surging upwards. They screamed that the world was
going to end when the markets were pulling back, and
they alluded that the Milky Way was the next stop for
the bull market when it was rising. In both cases, they
failed to spot the so-called top or the bottom. Why do
you need someone to tell you the obvious, do you
need a jackass to tell you that the markets are
crashing, when it is all but evident and vice versa. The
only function these media wenches/experts serve is to
inject emotion into the equation; make the masses sing
right at the top and make them panic right at the
bottom.   Tactical Investing Market Update Jan 14,
2019

The average trader has a convoluted view of the


markets and the world. They are forever willing to bend
the definition of risk and opportunity to suit whatever
perspective is taking the lead role at the moment. 
When prices are low, they assume that it is the wrong
time to buy because they are bound to go lower, and
when they are soaring upwards, they assume that it is
the right time to buy because they are bound to soar
even higher. The concept of risk to reward is thrown
out of the window; they state they seek an opportunity
with low risk, but their actions speak otherwise.  No
Bull Market has ever ended on a note of fear; they end
when the crowd is in a state of ecstasy.Tactical
Investing Market Update Nov 26, 2018 

Ironically, in times of risk, the masses seek to take on

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more risk as opposed to taking on less risk. The


masses beg for the opportunity to buy low and sell
high, but when the moment finally arrives (and the risk
factor is much lower) they baulk, and their argument is
always the same “it is different this time, the market
is going to crash, and we need to bail out”.
However, they never put forth the same argument
when the markets are racing upwards, and analysts all
over the place are issuing insane targets such as $1
million (high-end price for Bitcoin, at which point we
stated a top was near at hand), and they blindly
assume the next stop is the sun or the next galaxy.
Instead, the next stop is usually “hell”.   Market
Update Nov 26, 2018

Remember polarised people are the easiest individuals


to manipulate and deceive. Ultimately, higher rates of
polarisation could be very beneficial for the markets.
Tactical InvestingMarket Update July 8, 2018

Despite all the drama over the past ten days (since the
last update), the markets continued to trend higher,
and the Nasdaq is putting in new 52 week highs, so
much for the naysayer’s argument that this market was
set to crash.  If the Nasdaq is already surging to new
highs, it indicates that there is a lot of extra cash sitting
on the sidelines.  Because the other indices are not
trading at new highs and not all the money is directed
towards the Nasdaq.   It also tells us that there is a
boatload of hot money waiting to be unleashed into the
market; fools generally control hot money, and fools
never lead the way up, they always follow.  Market
Update June 23, 2018

Oil is rising; the dollar is trending higher, silver is


putting in what could turn out to be a very explosive
pattern, and the US bond market is issuing mixed

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signals. It sounds like everything is out of sync, and


that’s exactly why it’s not. The bull market is not dead,
and the trend is showing no signs of turning negative.
In short, if this pattern continues and our indicators on
the monthly charts move into the oversold ranges, then
Dow 30K  is virtually a done deal.Tactical Investing
Market Update May 22, 2018

The bull market is not dead that is the most important


thing we want everyone to get from this update. If it
were dead, we would be making alternative plans.  The
best signal that the bull market “is not dead” comes
from the number of pending plays; if this bull market
were dead, we would have very few plays on this
list. The mass mindset is wired to react emotionally,
and therefore it’s destined to fail.  Market Update
April 30, 2018

 As long as the trend is up, every pullback is a buying


opportunity; that’s what you should focus on. Market
Update Jan 16, 2018

We believe in the adage that an ounce of prevention is


worth pound or several kgs of cure. We focus primarily
on Mass psychology; technical analysis plays a
secondary role. Mass Psychology is telling us that its
time for defensive action.  We are going to opt for
safety instead of glory.   Bullish readings indicate the
masses are now very happy and to ignore that
development would be foolhardy. Market Update Jan
8, 2018

For the first time in almost two years, the bullish


sentiment has soared past the 50% mark, and the
combined score of the bears and neutrals has dropped

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below 50%.  This could be the first signal indicating


that the markets might experience a correction in the
15% plus ranges in 2018. We will continue to monitor
the situation closely.  We are going to be the first ones
to tell you that if this comes to pass it’s going to be
helluva of buying opportunity. Tactical
Investing Market Update Dec 28, 2017

The bitcoin mania will end badly one day; the masses
can never win, just remember that. It might sound sad,
but that’s not what we focus on, we focus on trends
and reality. Market Update Dec 17, 2017

It appears that a new trend in motion is starting to take


hold in the sentiment arena; we are witnessing wild
swings in sentiment.  This week we have experienced
another wild swing; bullish sentiment soared to 44%;
it’s quite a big move from the last reading.  We expect
this trend to gain momentum going forward. Until the
bullish sentiment surges past the 60% mark for several
weeks on end, the markets are more likely to correct
than crash. Market Update Dec 17, 2017

This whipsaw action we have witnessed for the past


few weeks is here to stay; this is the beginning of a
new trend. It also suggests that no matter how strong
the next correction is; it will prove to be a buying
opportunity and not the start of a bear market. No bull
market has ended on a note of uncertainty.  Market
Update Nov 31, 2017

On the weekly charts, the Nasdaq is still trading in the


oversold ranges, so it has room to run-up.Tactical
Investing Market Update Nov 31, 2017

Despite trading in the overbought ranges, the Nasdaq

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has room to run before it hits the extremely overbought


ranges and it is likely to trade in the insanely
overbought ranges before it pulls back.    Market
update Nov  2, 2017

The combined ratio of bears and Neutrals has dropped


below 60% once again, and this marks the 3rd time
this has happened this year. Therefore, it’s almost a
certainty that the market will experience a strong
correction and the likely time frame is within the next
six months.  Market update Nov  2, 2017

On the weekly timelines, we note that the picture is


very bullish. The trend is up, and so even though the
MACD’s (Nasdaq) are trading in the overbought
ranges on the monthly charts, the path of least
resistance is up. Market Update Oct 17, 2017

A strong reaction from the markets does not


necessarily equate to a pullback. The markets could
surge upwards; hard to imagine when the markets are
so overbought.  However, just because this might be
the least expected reaction, this is what might initially
occur before the pullback. Tactical Investing Market
Update  Oct 3, 2017

We will go on a limb and state that this market will


probably not crash until the combined score of the
bears and neutrals plunge below 30%.  Market
Update Sept 17, 2017

Surprisingly, bullish sentiment dropped 8% this week;


bearish sentiment soared by 9%.  39% of the
individuals are in the bearish camp and only 27% in
the bullish camp.   The markets hardly let out any
steam, and the crowd is already in panic mode. What

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would happen if the Dow had to shed 1000 points; the


media which in general seems to be on some very
strong cerebrally damaging substance would
scream “bloody murder”.  Forget the naysayers; the
markets are not going to crash until the sentiment turns
bullish. Tactical Investing Market Update  Sept 1,
2017

Logic has no place in this market; so focus on the


emotional state of the crowd.   Until the masses turn
bullish, the very most we can expect from this market
is a strong correction which will prove to be a buying
opportunity. In the short term, the path of least
resistance is still up. Market Update August 18, 2017

  Bearish sentiment is insanely low; in fact, while many


want this market to crash, they don’t think it is. They
have no conviction. Okay, that would be somewhat fine
if the bulls were not adopting a similar stance. The
bulls also lack conviction. And with almost no free
market forces at play, the path of least resistance is
upwards. Market update Aug 1, 2017

Given that markets tend to follow each other, the


Nasdaq by default will probably trade deeper into the
extremely overbought ranges as it started off late
compared to the Dow and SPX. When a market plays
catch up, it tends to overshoot to the upside.  Market
Update July 21st, 2017

Give the resiliency of this market; the Dow could very


easily trade to 22K before it trades to 19K.  Market
Update July 6th, 2017. 

One has to wonder why so many experts almost


purposely go out of their way to proclaim the next
crash will mark the end of everything. Stock market
crashes are perfect examples of misdirection; the

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crowd is directed to fixate on the fear factor and not the


opportunity factor. The dumb money always buys close
to the top and sells close to the bottom, and the smart
money always does the opposite. Tactical Investing
Market Update July 6th, 2017

The utilities are in a full bullish mode; they continue to


trend higher, and if the alternative Dow theory holds,
then it is not possible for the Dow to crash as the
utilities would lead the way first.   Therefore a crash
appears to be unlikely now, but a correction ranging
from mild to strong cannot be ruled out in the future.
Market Update June 18, 2017

The Dow appears to have broken through the top of


the Channel formation that fell in the 20,800-21,000
ranges. If it closes above 21,300 on a monthly basis
then despite the markets being overbought, the Dow
could surge past 22K before running into a strong
zone of resistance.  Market Update June 18, 2017

Give the resiliency of this market; the Dow could very


easily trade to 22K before it trades to 19K.  Market
Update July 6, 2017

The markets appear to have gone through a stealth


correction over the past few months, several sectors,
many of which we covered in this update are trading in
the extremely oversold ranges on the monthly charts.
This not atypical of an old bull market and implies that
the markets might not have to experience a sharp
correction.  Tactical Investing Market Update March
26, 2017

The masses are getting agitated, and that is always a


bloody good signal as far we are concerned. Market

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Update Jan 31, 2017

The stock market has surged to new highs proving all


the experts wrong and what we repeatedly stated
before Trump won has played out perfectly. Market
update Nov 30, 2016

Bank stocks and stocks in the transportation sector are


rallying strongly; these two areas alone could power
the Dow to 21K, thus if other industries kick in with the
same strength, it is possible that the Dow could soar
much higher. Over the years we have stated over and
over again, that this bull market would rise to levels
that would stun even the most ardent of bulls. We
believe this has occurred, but as sentiment levels are
far from euphoric, the markets are likely to continue
marching upwards.  Market update Nov 30, 2016

We would like to state that it now appears that the Dow


will trade past 20K and could surge well over 25K.
However, let’s focus on 20K and 21K for now. Market
Update Nov 6, 2016

All the long-term ingredients are almost in place for the


Dow to trade to 21,000 over the next 12-18 months. 
Hence, in short, we must whether we like it or not view
all pullbacks as buying opportunities.  Tactical
Investing Market Update August 2, 2016

Our long-term targets have not changed; we still see


the Dow trading to 21,000.Market Update Aug 19,
2016

Here is the exact chart predicting Dow 21,000 we


sent to our subscribers in August of 2016

People expect the market to crash and hence it


won’t. Our trend indicator is positive, and we have not
seen a market crash when this indicator is bullish;

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that’s it. Market Update, June 2, 2016

The odds of a crash are low.  Markets never crash


when the crowd is uncertain, and those in the neutral
camp are usually the most confused players out there.
We would gladly welcome a substantial pullback. 
Tactical Investing Market Update July 2, 2016. 

Even in a negative rate environment the dollar could


hold up well and end up being one of the strongest
looking currencies out there. People expect the market
to crash as Market sentiment is rather negative and
hence it won’t. Our trend indicator is positive, and we
have not seen a market crash when this indicator is
bullish; that’s it. Market Update June 2, 2016 

 The more likely outcome is for the dollar to test the


92.80-93.00 ranges before trending higher. If 90 is hit,
we will jump up in joy.  Market Update May 17, 2016 

Oil is still expected to trade to the $50-$55.00 ranges,


with a possible overshoot to $60.00 by year-end. The
ride up is expected to be volatile. Market Update May
2, 2016 

 We have shown everyone in real-time (not some


hypothetical matchup) since July of last year that it
pays to drink, celebrate, jump in joy or relax when the
masses are panicking and to do the opposite when
they are euphoric. Panic is a useless emotion. As
usual, the masses lapped all the negative headlines
and were left holding an empty can. Remember that
the mass mindset is very dangerous when it comes to
trading the markets.  Life is short, but if you think like a

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cow, it’s even shorter. Wake up or walk happily to the


slaughterhouse.  Tactical Investing Market Update
March 21, 2016

Oil Appears to have bottomed out in February as


projected and now that it is trending higher, one of the
so-called negative omens has been removed from the
market.  Oil is projected to continue trending higher for
the rest of the year; this upward move will be
interrupted with rapid corrections. In other words, the
ride up is not going to be smooth. Interim Update
March 14, 2016

Notice that the $30.00 price point level has held on a


monthly basis. Oil has not closed below this important
level on a monthly basis for two months in a row, and
this has to be viewed as a very bullish development.
Our overall view is for crude oil to trend higher with the
possibility of trading past the  $55.00  ranges.  Market
Update Feb 29, 2016

After trading as low as $27.56 oil reversed course and


headed higher, it is now in a transition phase; moving
from a down-trending phase to a bottoming phase.  Oil
did not close below $30 on a monthly basis, so the
outlook has not changed.  The current bottom has all
the signs of a fake bottom, meaning that it is probably
a setup for the early bulls.  Oil is likely to test its lows
once again before a bottom takes hold.  A bottom
could take hold in the month of February. Tactical
Investing Market Update Jan 31, 2016

2016 could be a perfect repeat of 2011;  the market


sold off strongly, and it looked like the end was near,
but turns out that the only people that took a beating
were the naysayers proclaiming the world is going to
end.    Market Update Jan 16, 2016 

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we will stick our necks out even further and state that
we expect the Dow to trade to the 18,800-19,000
ranges in 2016; this view will remain valid unless the
trend turns negative.  Market update Jan 2, 2016

It felt good to celebrate in the face of panic and brush


fear away like a pesky fly.    Always remember, the
masters of deception, thrive on fear.  Fear is actually
very good if you are not on the receiving end. Once
you learn to control this useless emotion, it can help
you make a lot of extra money over your lifetime, and it
can also help you lead a much better life.  Market
Update July 17, 2015

Indeed, the late bulls were skinned alive, and you can
still hear their bellows; the bloodletting is not over. The
markets (Shanghai Index) will rally for a bit, and then
there should be one more down leg, to snap the backs
of the semi-strong bulls.  From a long-term
perspective, we see nothing to worry about; everything
is taking place as envisioned.  The long-term trend is
still up.  Wait for some more blood to be spilt on the
streets before taking larger bites. Tactical Investing
Market Update July 17, 2015

When you think logically and or use old parameters to


gauge this market, every single bone in your body
probably screams out that this market should crash
and burn. That is true, but what is also true is that as
nothing is real, logic has no place when it comes to the
illusory. Every statistic imaginable has been, is being
or will be manipulated to satisfy whatever picture the
manipulators want the masses to believe in. The most
likely outcome is that the markets will trade higher than
anyone expects as long as the trend remains
up. Market Update May 31, 2015

We have infinite reasons and then some as to why this

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market should crash and burn.   However, the only


thing that matters today is not what is going to happen,
what has happened or what might happen. The man
who controls the money supply (in this case woman) is
the one that controls the direction of the market.  All
the other stuff well it just makes for good chatter.   
Overall, these tools are affirming the trend; therefore,
all pullbacks must be viewed as buying opportunities.
 Market Update Feb 28, 2015

The dollar easily traded past 93.50 and surged to our


upper-level targets, when it surged to 95.85 (just a few
points shy of 96.00).  As the trend was up we
specifically stated that there was nothing stating that
the dollar had to pull back and that is why we stated all
pullbacks should be treated as buying opportunities. 
The weekly trend is still strong so the overall outlook
still calls for higher prices.     This means that the euro
still has more downside. Tactical Investing Market
Update Jan 31, 2015

The weekly trend is still positive, but showing signs of


being extremely overbought and thus the current
pullback is healthy; the same outlook applies to the
monthly trend.   As long as the weekly trend does not
change, then all pullbacks have to be viewed as buying
opportunities, even though we might personally feel
otherwise.   We have support in the 2000-2015 ranges
and if that is taken out, the SPX will most likely revisit
the lows of Dec 2014.    The last update for Dec
2014, sent out Jan 3, 2015

Note we stated that the Chinese markets were also


extremely oversold not too long ago and continued to
do this for a while; we were a bit early, but as the
saying to the early bird comes the worm to the late
bird the bullet.  The Chinese markets started to rally

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nicely since October of this year and topped out with


our markets and should continue to resume their
upward trend. One day we see FXI trading past 200
and RSX north of 70.   Market Update Dec 21. 2014

As the weekly trend is still up, and the daily neutral, the
markets will/should experience another quick
correction. We will not short the markets until the trend
turns negative on the long-term time frames (weekly
charts).   The trend indicator overrules everything else;
thus regardless of the pattern if the trend says
something else, we will follow the trend. Tactical
Investing Market Update Sept 13, 2014

Dow 21,000 predicted in Aug of 2016

Top in the Gold market predicted in 2011 before


Market topped out and broke down. Click here for full
details 

The demise of the Japanese Yen also predicted in


2011. Click here for the full scoop 

Multi-Year Dollar Rally Predicted as early as May 2011

Euro Top Precisely  Predicted in May 2011. Click here


for the full scoop 

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market advice. We publish information regarding

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Tactical Investor: Mass psychology & Tactical Investing

companies in which we believe our readers may be


interested and our reports reflect our sincere opinions.
However, they are not intended to be personalised
recommendations to buy, hold, or sell securities.
Investments in the securities markets, especially
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Only you can determine what level of risk is
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full 

 If one combines the concepts of Mass psychology &


Tactical investing the results are usually spectacular.
It’s the best way to invest for the long term. 

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