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The layout of government and enterprise security market, is expected to bring new growth point
Company News
◆ Free Internet security pioneer, technology, brand and data have obvious advantages:
Overweight (first)
Three hundred sixty founded in 2005 , Is the initiator of free Internet security. The company has launched
Current price / TP: 25.88 / 28.16 yuan
360 a security guard, 360 Phone security guards, 360 Antivirus and other security products, and free of charge to hundreds of
millions of Internet users, has accumulated a broad user base. Up 2018 year 12 Month, the company PC
Analyst
Security products market penetration 96.98% , Ranked first in the security market for many years, leading entrenched. The
IN TRADITIONAL ( Practicing Certificate Number: S0930514080007)
company focuses on the core strengths of the brand, technical data and three blocks. the company PC Security products, 021-52523857
PC The browser and the average monthly number of active users of mobile security products are more than 4 Million higher brand
jianggp@ebscn.com
awareness, in addition to a broad user base for the company also provides continuous network security and network behavior data
WAN Yi-lin ( Practicing Certificate Number: S0930519080001)
sample, the company now has the world's largest security database. And the company now has the largest Eastern Hemisphere 021-52523859
wanyilin@ebscn.com
"white hat" Legion, technical strength lead. the company 2018 Annual revenue 131.29 Billion, an increase of 7.3% Net profit 35.35 Billion,
an increase of 4.83% .
Rong hole ( Practicing Certificate Number: S0930517120002)
◆ The layout of government and enterprise security market, is expected to bring new growth points: 021-52523837
kongrong@ebscn.com
The company actively expanding security business, based on the protection of personal user security, to further deepen
the layout of government and corporate security business, to further expand the urban space security based on the existing Wei Shu-gen ( Practicing Certificate Number: S0930517090002)
network security business on the physical space community safety and other safety scenarios. 2019 year 6 Month, the company 021-52523858
weishugen@ebscn.com
announced the successful Chongqing Hechuan District 360 Network Security Collaborative Innovation Industrial Park, a project ( EPC
Mode), the winning bid amount 2.395 Billion, is by far the largest amount of projects in the field, also played a very good role model
market data
for future expansion of government and enterprise markets. Considering the company has multiple advantages in the field of
The total share capital (million shares): 67.64
security technology, brand and data base and a wealth of experience in the field of country, city and social security, the future of
The total market value (million): 1750.54
government and enterprise security field is expected to become an important strategic direction and new business growth of three hundred and sixty.
Year minimum / maximum (yuan): 16.95 / 29.52
considering 2019 The company sold equity investment income Cian letter will bring, the company expects
Share price performance (one year)
19-21 Annual net profit 67.90 , 43.05 with 49.52 Billion, corresponding to EPS Respectively 1.00 ,
0.64 with 0.73 Yuan / share. Taking into account comparable companies 20 year PE Mean 45 Times, giving the company 20
40%
year 44 Valuation times, corresponding to TP 28.16 yuan. Promising to bring the income elasticity of government and enterprise 23%
5%
markets force companies, covering first, give an "overweight" rating.
--13%
◆ risk warning: Government and enterprises to promote the market less than expected; Internet advertising increased - 30%
0818 1018 1118 0119 0319 0419 0619 0819
competition; the company's products can not meet the market demand in a timely manner; decline in the overall market valuation.
360 Founded in 2005 , Is a free Internet security pioneer, from 2007 In the beginning, the company has launched 360 a
security guard, 360 Antivirus & 360 Mobile security guards and a series of security products. In addition, relying on the accumulation of
advanced technologies in the field of security and extensive customer base, the company launched the transverse 360
search for, 360 Navigation and gaming products into the class access to information, content and gaming areas and so on. The
company has gradually formed from information security to obtain information, complete security information content aggregation,
content services chain. With the arrival of artificial intelligence and interconnection of all things, 2013 In the beginning, 360 The
company launched, including mobile phones, children watch, smart cameras, tachograph and family, including a series of intelligent
hardware firewall products, committed to address information security through intelligent products, travel safety, home security and
2005 year , 2007 year 9 month , 2008 year 7 month , 2009 year 9 month , 2011 year 3 month , 2012 year 8 month , 2013 year 10 month , 2016 year 7 month , 360 2018 year 2 month , 360 2019 year , Cian letter
360 Founded 360 Security guards 360 The company 360 roll out 360 Mobile 360 In the formal traded on360 Search on line, it 360
has The company It announced the The company changed its stake sale
users exceeds Rising, introduced the world's Guardian, officially the NYSE; become second only to
released the first completion of the privatization transaction. announcement,
name to complete the restructuring, smooth landing A
Kingsoft has become first free antivirus entered the field of Baidu's second largest
intelligent hardware Share market. declared a government and enterprise markets.
one of the largest users software free --360 mobile security. search engine products, 360 Children's 2018 year 5 month ,
2005 2007 2008 2009 2011 2012 2013 2016 2018 2019
Three hundred sixty mainly engaged in Internet technology (especially the Internet security technology) research and
development and network security product design, development, operations, and network-based security products, Internet
advertising and services, Internet value-added services, intelligent hardware business and other commercial services. Three
hundred sixty provide free Internet security and mobile security products, to provide users with secure Internet access point
activities and information content. As a result, three hundred and sixty accumulated a large number of users, on the basis of three
hundred and sixty expand the business to the Internet advertising and business services, business Internet value-added services,
intelligent hardware business. Three hundred sixty build Internet ecosystem in order to drive the core technology to product system for the carrier
According to the company 2018 Annual report, the company's Internet advertising business accounted for total revenue
81.18% , Is the company's main source of revenue and profits; Internet value-added services (mainly from the company's gaming
revenue) accounted for total revenue 8.97% ; Develop new intelligent hardware business accounted for a total revenue 7.73% .
The company grew steadily in recent years, income from 2014 Year 78.2 One hundred million yuan has risen steadily 2018 Year
131.29 Billion, 4 CAGR 13.83% . Net profit attributable to the parent company from 2014 Year 11.83
Billion yuan to 2018 Year 35.35 Billion, 4 CAGR 31.49% . Profit growth faster than revenue growth was driven by scale
Please refer to the last page special statement --3- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
Considering the company's expenses from staff salaries, an increase of nearly three years, the number of company
personnel is not obvious, the corresponding increase in administrative expenses is not very clear, as the company continues to
grow revenue, expense rate during recent years 2014 Year 64.5% Decreased to 2018 Year 38.6% . Benefit expense ratio gradually
decreased, net profit margin of the company 2014 Year 15.2% improve to 2018 Year twenty three% Profitability steadily. By the first
half of this year to sell part of the shares Cian letter brought investment income growth, substantial growth in first-half profit.
Map 4 : Three hundred and sixty years income Map 5 : Three hundred and sixty years Net profit
source: wind Everbright Securities Research Institute source: wind Everbright Securities Research Institute
Map 6 : In recent years, the Company's expense ratio Map 7 : Company profitability in recent years
Source: Company, Everbright Securities Research Institute Source: Company, Everbright Securities Research Institute
Up 2019 In the first quarter, Tianjin odd letter Zhicheng Technology Co., Ltd. holding company 48.74% Of the shares, is the
controlling shareholder. The higher the controlling shareholder equity ratio, stable ownership structure. Odd letter Zhicheng and Mr.
Zhou Department of Tianjin CITIC control of the enterprise, Mr. Zhou Hongyi, odd letter Zhicheng and Tianjin Zhongxin is acting in
Please refer to the last page special statement --4- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
Solid growth in online advertising, mobile advertising accounted for further improvement. According to iResearch 2018
Annual Chinese Internet advertising core data show that China's online advertising market reached 4844.0 Billion, an increase of 29.2%
. In absolute terms, the vitality of Chinese online advertising industry is still strong, it is expected to 2021 The market size will reach
nearly trillion. among them 2018 On the scale of China mobile advertising market reach 3663 Billion, an increase of 43.67% The
overall market growth rate higher than the growth rate of online advertising market, the proportion of online advertising reached 75.6%
, To benefit from the accelerated development of mobile Internet, the proportion of mobile advertising will further enhance the
expected future 2021 Mobile advertising accounted for in the proportion of online advertising will exceed 85% .
Please refer to the last page special statement --5- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
Map 10 : 2015-2021 China's mobile Internet advertising market size and forecast
Electricity supplier and a short video of the rapid growth in recent years, electricity providers and information flow gradually en
2018 Years, the Chinese online advertising market share in the segments of change continues, continue to reduce the share of
traditional search advertising; Advertising and electricity supplier 2017 Compared has increased, the share accounted for 33.6% It
can be expected that the high-traffic business platform will still attract a large number of advertising; but in the long term, along with
many other forms of advertising to the conversion of information flow, information flow advertising there is still much room for growth.
While search advertising share has decreased, but the future will maintain a certain growth rate. Affected by the
impact of the mobile Internet in recent years, the proportion of search advertising accounted for by online advertising 2015 Year 32.3%
decrease to 2018 Year 24.3% . 2018 In search advertising market reached 957.7 Billion, an increase of reach 12.4% ,versus 2017 In
comparison, the growth rate has increased. from 2017 In search advertising growth is bottoming out, it has entered a stage of
steady growth. From the client perspective, the search service user in the case of higher utilization of the existing, still maintain a
certain growth. From the product end, the head of search products are actively layout information flow and short video in two
forms, the future, intelligent search plus the flow of information, the next short video multi-engine drive, users can be more accurate
Map 11 : 2015-2021 China's online advertising search advertising market size and forecast
The rapid development of artificial intelligence will further enhance the precision level of advertising. In recent years, artificial
Please refer to the last page special statement --6- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
Intelligent rapid development of information technology and Internet advertising as a relatively high degree of digital industry, will
greatly benefit from the application of artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies. 1 ) Future, the media will remain
intelligent advantage of and used, including information gathering, intelligence processing, intelligent integration, verification and
judgment, intelligent distribution areas will be corresponding improvement and enhancement in the intelligent push. 2 ) Meanwhile,
in the face of conflict intelligent and user privacy, as well as bring a personalized recommendation algorithm information cocoon
housing problem, the media will do on the intelligent use some restraint, which will be in production on the algorithm ethics,
man-machine boundary, several aspects of the data and make appropriate adjustments as claimed constraint.
According to our recent visits to research this year, regardless of the scope or terms of the intensity of care to a large
network operations than in previous years, the industry is expected to directly stimulate short-term demand growth. In addition, this year 5 Releas
2.0 "And the previously released" Network Security Act "is expected to enhance long-term government and enterprise information
security awareness needs to be done to increase the number of security systems, increase investment in information security,
bring marginal improvement of the information security industry needs. Benefit from the level of protection 2.0 And other relevant
laws and regulations to gradually fall, IDC We raised the growth rate of the information security industry as a whole, the marginal improvement in
3.1 , "Protect the network action" and other short-term stimulating industry growth
from 2016 Since, Ministry of Public Security to carry out combat offensive and defensive drills for critical information
infrastructure each year, known as " Care network actions " The main objective of this action is an important trade and industrial
enterprises industry. For particularly important areas of government affairs, energy, finance, telecommunications, transportation,
aviation, utilities, etc., is superimposed on the implementation of attack test turns on stage, in order to promote anti-attack, they may
say, the maximum troubleshoot. For this reason, companies or units are actively preparing for the program, testing network security
risks exist, and to seek the support of the major security vendors.
According to our recent visits to research, protect network operations this year in advancing the scope and intensity much
larger than before, significantly increase the number of systems involved in offensive and defensive drills. In addition, provinces
and cities to test the critical information infrastructure sites and key network security defense capability and comprehensive level,
the local Public Security Bureau have also organized special care network operations, and some provinces and cities have a great
time and scope of increase (Guangdong Province 2019 In time protection network operations increased 4 Months). Promote the
patron of network operations, government and enterprises to significantly improve network security awareness, information security
industry needs also increase significantly. According to the data display Maxima bidding website, 18 In no action related to the
tender care network, 19 In bidding on government action significantly increased care network.
3.2 , And other insurance 2.0 Policy Network and Security Act and other industries to
This year, the top network security policy intensive introduction is expected to improve overall community awareness of
2017 year 6 Month, National People's Congress issued the "People's Republic of China Network Security Act" Since then, Network
security increased from the original departmental regulations to the legal system, binding strong. The law is the legal basis for the
Ministry of Public Security, Network Information Office, the Ministry of Industry and other regulatory authorities to develop Internet
safety work, related work will go into the law, enforce the implementation stage, is expected to raise overall awareness of network security comm
Please refer to the last page special statement --7- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
2019 year 4 month 18 Day, SASAC issued the "central business person in charge of management assessment approach"
(hereinafter referred to as the "Rules"), approaches For the first time included in the scope of examination of network security
incidents And depending on the circumstances to give the person in charge appropriate sanctions. Prior to that, because information
security investment is not directly bring revenue growth, concern about government-enterprise information security investment is
relatively low, released this way will significantly enhance the degree of importance of information security the central enterprises is expected to s
2019 year 5 month 10 , The State Administration of Work Market, Standardization Administration of China issued the
"Information Security Technology Network Security Protection basic requirements ", marking the level of protection entered a new
stage - such as Paul 2.0 era. According to regulations, insurance, etc. 2.0 From 2019 year 12 month 1 Day began. Paul and other 2.0
Impact on the industry several fronts: 1 , Insurance and other institutional rise to the legal level, which will greatly improve the
enterprise customer safety awareness; 2 , Significantly expanded the scope of regulation, into a network of important information
from the original system, a variety of technical application of information systems, cloud platforms, networking, industrial control
systems, big data, mobile Internet and other full coverage; 3 , And other security requirements for safety has improved significantly,
the lowest score has increased from 60 Points to improve 70 Minute. 4 , The new active defense needs. Taking into account the
new security standards such as the year 12 January started, is expected to pull the information security industry and long-term
growth in demand.
2019 year 6 month 30 Japan, the Chinese software industry in the development of the press conference, "National Cyber
Security Industry Development Plan," the official release, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and the Beijing
Municipal Government decided to build the National Cyber Security Industry Park. According to the plan, 2020 Years, relying on the
industrial park in Beijing led the network security industry size of more than 1000 Billion, pulling GDP An increase of more than 3300
Billion yuan to build not less than 3 Annual income of more than 100 Billion backbone enterprises. To 2025 Years, relying on the
industrial park will be built our network security industry, "five base." The plan is the second and so on Paul 2.0 After another
top-level network security national planning policy, information security status of a national strategy to further affirmed, the
information security industry as a whole will benefit from policies to promote. Industrial park planning industry is huge, the relevant
part of the industry's support and investment will increase, part of the information security companies in Beijing and North China
3.3 Benefit from policies to accelerate floor, third parties raised the industry growth
forecast
Benefit from the "Critical National Information Infrastructure Security Protection Ordinance", data security, protection rating
2.0 And other relevant laws and regulations to gradually fall, IDC We raised the growth rate of the information security industry as a
whole, according to IDC in 2019 year 4 Month released a report, 2018 China's overall expenditures for security solutions 55
Billion US dollars, while expected 2018-2022 Compound annual growth rate of China's overall expenditure during the period of
security solutions in ( CAGR )for 25.6% Growth rate compared to 17 Forecast a significant increase ( 2017 year 11
month 14 day, IDC Forecast 2016-2021 China's network security market compound annual growth rate ( CAGR ) Is twenty three% , And
Map 12 : The size of China's network security market forecast ( 2017.11 ) Map 13 : The size of China's network security market forecast ( 2019.4 )
source: IDC Forecast, Everbright Securities Research Institute source: 17-18 Years IDC Statistical data, 19-22 Years IDC Forecast data
4 , The layout of government and enterprise business market, worth looking forward to the
The company actively expanding security business, based on the protection of personal user security, to further deepen
the layout of government and corporate security business, to further expand the urban space security based on the existing
network security business on the physical space community safety and other safety scenarios. Considering the company has
multiple advantages in the field of security technology, brand and data base and a wealth of experience in the field of country, city
and social security, the future of government and enterprise security field is expected to become an important strategic direction
" 360 "Network security is the well-known leading brand. Three hundred sixty's 360 a security guard, 360 Mobile guards, 360
Mobile Assistant, 360 Antivirus, 360 Cleanup master, 360 Browser and other products highly recognized by the market. According to
iResearch data, as of 2018 year 12 Month, three hundred sixty PC Security products market penetration 96.98% The average number
of monthly active users remain steady in 5 Million or more, PC Security market continues to rank first; PC Secure browser market
penetration
82.11% The average number of monthly active users 4.3 One hundred million; the average monthly number of active users of mobile security pro
4.63 Billion. " 360 "China is already well-known Internet security brands, well-known brand in the Internet field, with a
The strength of technology, providing a powerful guarantee for business development. The company is a
technology-driven high-tech Internet companies, R & D expenditure in the year 20 More than a billion, it is the largest investment in
the field of security companies, research and development staff of more than 70% . In the field of network security technology, the
company has 17 Technical support on behalf of the world's top level team of security experts, 3 Large security research laboratory, 3 Large secu
11 Large security sector. 2018 year 8 Month, Microsoft released the world Top100 Security contribution list, 360 Total company 13 People
honored glory, is the largest number of people enrolled, the highest ranking security vendor, and the company now has the largest
The company has the largest safety database. " 360 Security brains "of the use of artificial intelligence technology to
automatically analyze and deal with the behavior of the whole network security data more than ten million devices produced nearly a
trillion per year, the annual amount of new data sample more than 10 billion domestic security in the amount of data ranked first. in
addition, the company continued through the accumulation of safety data and analysis, the huge amount of data across PC Big Data
systems and mobile sides of the current 360 The company already has a leading real-time network security database, including the
world's largest library of sample files ( 200 One hundred million) and survival URL libraries (every day 800 One hundred million) as
well as the world's most comprehensive library of program behavior log ( twenty two One trillion) and the global domain information base ( 80 Mill
Previously, network security threats mainly for personal computers or personal cell phone, after several years of
development, government and enterprises against cyber attacks is also increasing. Government, enterprises pay more attention to
network security, have increased investment in security building. In addition, with innovative technology, security requirements also
extend from physical space to cyberspace, cities, communities safe investment increasing, China has entered the "great security"
era. Future, government and enterprise security field will become an important strategic direction for three hundred sixty and new
business growth, the company will implement further by including self-built limited to, investment, mergers and acquisitions.
2017 year 9 month , 360 the company CEO Zhou Hongyi Internet security conference in China, China made full access to
the Internet, "the era of big security.". 2018 year Full implementation of the "big security" strategy. 2018 year 5 month , 360 Pioneering
- " 360 Security brains ", and thus the overall defense strategy to build a large security system of the times, actively participate in the
construction of national security, internal security boost eco further improved. " 360 Safety brain " It is designed to provide integrated
network against threats and attacks at the national level for the solution. Three hundred and sixty five core has the ability to
perceive, reason, early warning platform, and the situation derived from the perception, attack monitoring, network security
command and other specific platforms and operating systems, widely used in major national events security reserve to protect the
process. 2018 Years, three hundred sixty as an important security unit actively participated in the two sessions, network security
work of major events Boao Forum, China-Africa Forum, the World Internet Conference, Cyber Security Awareness Week, the SCO
summit in Qingdao and so on. Company as a leader in the field of security technology and outstanding performance in a number of
international security events, is expected to benefit from the international situation is complicated.
Offensive and defensive capabilities, vulnerabilities mining capabilities and a strong team of security experts is the
company's core security capabilities. Relying on companies in the data base and the ability of Internet security endpoint security
accumulation, the company has been a major breakthrough in the field of country, city and social security.
1 White hat hacker described positive. He can identify a computer system or network security vulnerabilities in the system, but not malicious to
take advantage of, but announced its vulnerability. Such systems can be exploited fix vulnerabilities before others (for example, black hat).
Please refer to the last page special statement --10- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
In terms of national security : In addition to participating in more major national security activities, and the company 2018
More than ten years as national ministries, regulators and central state-owned enterprises to provide network services offensive
In the city in social security : The company has built dozens inside " 360 City Safety brain " AI Design model, the basic
completion of product development related to the development of business systems and big data platform for future product and
service solutions to optimize and adjust the pilot put the situation in each region. 2018 Years, the company has launched a strategic
cooperation with the male An District, Tianjin, Xi'an, Chengdu, Nanjing and other regions. 2019 year 6 Month, the company
announced the successful Chongqing Hechuan District 360 Network Security Collaborative Innovation Industrial Park, a project ( EPC
Mode), the winning bid amount 2.395 Billion, is by far the largest project in the field amount.
4.3 , Cian letter stake sale, the overall layout of the large safety
2019 year 4 month 13 , The company announced will 37.31 Billion price sold their holdings Cian letter 22.58% Of the shares,
after the completion of the sale of shares, the two sides will sign a "termination agreement", from the date of signing the agreement,
the letter will not be used Cian 360 Brand publicity, the two sides will also cancel the license on technology and data. After
completion of the transaction, 360 Announced that the focus of future government and enterprises to enter the field of security,
without being bound by the original agreement to further deepen the "great security" strategy, by including the self are not limited to,
investment, mergers and acquisitions further implemented. Up 2019 year 6 month 30 Japan, the equity transfer transaction has been
completed, the transaction in the first half investment income recognized 29.86 Billion, the company will 2019 Annual profit has
thickened. 360 Brand has many advantages, data, technology and capital in the field of information security, is expected to expand
the company's future government and enterprise markets will provide a good foundation.
5 ,profit prediction
1 , Taking into account the company's Internet ads to search-based advertising and the company has continued to
strengthen information flow and layout of the mobile end products, the company expects Internet advertising and services
business 19-21 Annual revenue growth respectively 13% , 13% with 13% ;
2 ,because 18 In the game version number suspend approval, industry growth is slow, 19 In the new version number being
issued, industry growth picked up, taking into account the company's business from a low base, the company expects Internet
value-added services business 19-21 Annual revenue growth respectively 30% , 30% with 20% ;
3 ,along with 5G And other rapid development of new technologies and new applications in recent years, the rapid
development of the networking industry, the company's intelligent hardware business will benefit from the overall development
of the industry. The company expects business 19-21 Annual revenue growth respectively 20% , 20% with 20% ;
Please refer to the last page special statement --11- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
Intelligent
Other
In summary, we expect the company 2019-2021 Annual income, respectively 151.11 , 174.30 with 199.40
Billion. considering 2019 The company sold equity investment income Cian letter will bring, the company expects
19-21 Annual net profit 67.90 , 43.05 with 49.52 Billion, corresponding to EPS Respectively 1.00 ,
5.2 Valuation
The current location information of listed companies in the same security are Venus, the Green League and Technology,
Westone, Blue Shield shares and deeply convinced, taking into account fluctuations Westone performance, integration and Blue
Shield of shares in order to secure electricity supplier based business, we will study Venus (main business: sales UTM , IDS / IPS And
other security products), the Green League and Technology (main business: sales WAF Leakage and other security sweep products)
and deep conviction (main business: selling online behavior management, VPN And other security products) valuation of the
company, which provides data for the three hundred and sixty valuation.
Currently A Shares information security companies, the average valuation for the 19 year 57 Times, 20 year 45 Times, twenty one
year 35 Times, 3 Net profit CAGR 24% ~ 35% , PEG in 2.3 to 3.3 .
As the three hundred and sixty 19 In the presence of the performance of large non-recurring items, select 20 year PE As a
reference index to value. Comprehensive comparison and consideration of three hundred and sixty 2019-2021 Net profit CAGR
Please refer to the last page special statement --12- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
12% Internet security and leading position, giving the company 20 year 44 Time PE , The corresponding share price 28.16
yuan.
Venus 34.40 0.63 0.79 0.97 54 1.20 43 36 29 twenty four% 2.3 308
Green League and Technology 17.90 0.21 0.29 0.39 85 0.51 61 46 35 35% 2.4 143
SINFOR 114.65 1.50 1.68 2.15 77 2.83 68 53 40 twenty four% 3.2 462
average 72 57 45 35 27% 2.7
Three hundred sixty 25.88 0.52 1.00 0.64 50 0.73 26 41 35 12% 4.2 1751
source: wind Consensus expectations, three hundred sixty EPS Everbright Securities Research Institute forecast data
considering 2019 The company sold equity investment income Cian letter will bring, the company expects 19-21
Annual net profit 67.90 , 43.05 with 49.52 Billion, corresponding to EPS Respectively 1.00 , 0.64
with 0.73 Yuan / share. We use the relative valuation method for company valuation, taking into account the comparable companies 20
year PE Mean 45 Times, giving the company 20 year 44 Valuation times, corresponding to TP 28.16 yuan. Promising to bring the
income elasticity of government and enterprise markets force companies, covering first, give an "overweight" rating.
6 ,Risk Analysis
Government and enterprises to promote the market is less than expected : Prior to the company's business 2C Based, 2B
Cian mainly relying on the letter before subsidiaries conduct business. Government and enterprise market business models and
consumer end markets have some differences, in the process open up government and enterprise markets, the company has its own obvious ad
Internet advertising competition : Internet advertising is the company's main source of income in recent years, along with
the impact of mobile Internet traffic costs increased competition and other factors, the company has the possibility of developing
The company's products can not meet the market demand in a timely manner. Information security industry is a
relatively high technical threshold industry, and rapid change of technology and products, each product requires a lot of research
and development, the company has not timely replacement of the product risks to meet the market demand.
The overall decline in market valuation : Investor risk appetite by many factors, the risk of future decline in the overall
market valuation.
Please refer to the last page special statement --13- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
Cash flow from operating activities 4,143 3,748 3,684 4,403 5,131
Net profit 3,372 3,535 6,790 4,305 4,952
Depreciation and amortization 701 381 523 578 640
Net working capital increase 8,320 652 1,714 --474 2,932
other -8,250 --820 -5,343 --7 -3,393
Cash flow from investing activities 9,046 -4,042 2,718 - 400 - 500
Net capital expenditures --268 --495 - 600 - 700 - 800
Changes in long-term investments 4,431 4,427 0 0 0
Other changes in assets 4,882 -7,975 3,318 300 300
Cash flow from financing activities - 11,981 --247 439 403 439
Capital Changes 1,603 4,764 0 0 0
Net debt change 14 4 0 0 0
Changes in non-interest bearing liabilities 3,658 330 499 732 833
Net cash flow 1,162 --501 6,840 4,405 5,070
source: Wind Everbright Securities Research Institute forecast
Please refer to the last page special statement --14- Equity Research
2019-09-14 three hundred sixty
Valuation measures
PE 52 50 26 41 35
PB 11 7 6 5 4
EV / EBITDA 12 26 34 31 26
EV / EBIT 14 28 39 35 30
EV / NOPLAT 17 33 46 42 35
EV / Sales 4 13 11 9 8
EV / IC 4 12 10 10 8
Profitability (%)
Net profit margin after tax (attributable to parent) 27.55% 26.92% 44.93% 24.70% 24.83%
Solvency
Equity attributable to parent / interest-bearing debt 1172.16 1332.64 1709.97 1949.22 2224.37
Indicators per share (calculated according to the latest forecast annual capital stock of historical data)
Cash flow from operations per share 0.61 0.55 0.54 0.65 0.76
Free cash flow per share ( FCFF) -0.71 0.64 0.25 0.60 0.19
Ratings Definitions
Industry Buy Future 6-12 Month return on investment leading market benchmark index 15% ; Overweight future 6-12 Month return on investment
and leading market benchmark index 5% to 15% ; Neutral future 6-12 The fluctuation range of investment yield and market-month benchmark
company index difference - 5% to 5% ; Reduction of future 6-12 Months behind the market rate of return on investment benchmark index 5% to 15% ;
rating Sell future 6-12 Months behind the market rate of return on investment benchmark index 15% the above;
No rating due to inability to obtain the necessary information, or the company faces major uncertainties result of unforeseen events, or for other reasons, makes it impossible to give a clear
Investment rating.
Benchmark Description: A Share benchmark for the Shanghai and Shenzhen main board 300 Index; reference small cap is small plate means; GEM GEM reference means; new board reference index for the
Analysis contained in this report is based on numerous assumptions. Different assumptions could result in materially different results. Various valuation methods and models used in this report has its limitations,
does not guarantee the results of the valuation of securities can be traded on the price involved.
Analyst Certification
The report signed by analyst with investment consulting qualification granted by the Securities Association of China and registered as a securities analyst to professional ethics, professional careful research
methods, the use of information legal compliance, independence, objectivity issued this report , and responsible for the content and views expressed in this report. All the researchers responsible for preparing and writing
this report hereby certify, in this research report or any information about issuers of securities views expressed are accurately reflect the personal views of researchers. The researchers get paid the judgment factors
include the quality and accuracy of research, client feedback, competitive factors, and overall earnings Everbright Securities Co., Ltd.. All the researchers to ensure that they pay any part was, is and also will not have
Special statement
Everbright Securities Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as the "Company") was founded in 1996 Years, invested by China Everbright (Group) Company holding the national comprehensive securities joint-stock
company, is one of China Securities Regulatory Commission approved the first batch of three innovative pilot companies. According to China Securities Regulatory Commission issued the securities and futures business
operating license, the company's business scope includes securities investment consulting business.
The Company Business: securities brokerage; securities investment consulting; related to the securities trading, securities investment activities of the financial adviser; securities underwriting and sponsorship;
securities dealers; provide intermediary business for the futures companies; securities investment fund distribution; margin trading business ; other business approved by China Securities Regulatory Commission. In
addition, the company also carried out through wholly owned or holding subsidiaries asset management, direct investment, futures, fund management and securities business in Hong Kong.
This report was prepared by the Institute of Everbright Securities Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Everbright Securities Research Institute"), in order to legally acquired we believe to be reliable, accurate and
complete information-based, but does not guarantee that the original information we have obtained, and reporting accuracy and completeness of the information contained in it. Everbright Securities Research Institute
may be supplemented from time to time, revise or update the information, but does not guarantee the timely release of such updates.
Information in this report, advices and forecasts reflect the judgment of initial publication of the Institute of Securities big time, you may need to be adjusted at any time and without notice. In any case, in this report
the information or opinions expressed herein does not constitute investment advice to any person. Customers should make independent investment decisions and bear the investment risk. The information in this report
or the opinions expressed herein does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of individual investors. Investors should take full account of their specific
situation, and to understand and use the full contents of this report, this report should not be considered as the sole factor in making investment decisions. Basis or for any consequences caused by use of this report, the
Different periods, you may write and publish the information contained in this report, recommendations and to predict inconsistent reports. The company's salespeople, traders and other professionals may provide
in this report different point of view oral or written commentary or trading strategies to our customers. The company's asset management subsidiary, proprietary trading desks and other investment business segments
could make independent opinions or recommendations in this report are not consistent investment decisions. We remind investors and understand the risks of investment securities and investment products, before
making investment decisions, we recommend investors to always consult the professionals and prudent choice.
In the case permitted by law, the Company and its affiliates may hold positions in companies mentioned in the report of the securities issued and traded, or may provide or being sought for these companies to
provide investment banking, financial advisers or financial products Related Services. Investors should take full account of the subsidiary bodies of the Company and the Company will report the contents of a conflict of
interest may exist, do not trust this report as the sole basis for investment decisions.
The report circulated within the territory of People's Republic of China under the laws of People's Republic of China, transferred only to a specific customer. Copyright of this report is only owned by the company,
without the written permission of any institution or individual in any form, for any purpose be reproduced, copied, reproduced, published, publication, modification or reference. As a result of infringement have any direct or
indirect losses to the Company, the Company reserves the right to pursue all legal responsibilities. All trademarks used in this report, service marks and logos are the company's trademarks, service marks and logos.
contact us
Nanjing West Road, Jing'an District 1266 No. Plaza 1 No. office 48 Xicheng District Yuetanbeijie 2 No. Yuetan Building, East Side Shennan Road, Futian District, 6011 number NEO Greenview era
Floor building
Building 2 The revival of the street outside layer 6 Everbright Building No. 17 Floor A seat 17 floor
Please refer to the last page special statement --16- Equity Research