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Submitted by:
Name of Faculty Guide: Dr. Jyotirmoy Dasgupta Name of the Student: Sourav Musaddi
Designation: Professor Roll No.: 182053921
Program: Financial Market
Batch: 2018-20
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CERTIFICATE FROM THE FACULTY GUIDE
This is to certify that the Project Work titled Financial Analysis and Valuation of two pharmaceutical
companies is a bonafide work carried out by Mr. Sourav Musaddi Roll No. PGDM 182053921 a student
of PGDM program 2018 – 2020 of the Institute for Technology & Management, Kharghar, Navi
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Contents
1.Introduction ......................................................................................................................................... 5
1.1 Identification of Sector ........................................................................................................... 5
1.2 Overview of the Sector ........................................................................................................... 5
1.3 Need for the study ........................................................................................................................ 7
1.4 Objective of the study ................................................................................................................... 7
1.5 Porter’s Five Forces ....................................................................................................................... 8
1.6 Industry Trends ............................................................................................................................. 9
1.7 Strategic Perspective................................................................................................................... 11
1.8 Product ........................................................................................................................................ 11
1.9 Customer ..................................................................................................................................... 12
1.10 The Indian Pharmaceutical Industry at a glance: ...................................................................... 13
1.11 Market Size: .............................................................................................................................. 13
1.12 Indian Government: Vision and Initiatives: .............................................................................. 13
1.13 Future ........................................................................................................................................ 14
2. Literature Review .............................................................................................................................. 15
2.1 Origin of Indian Pharmaceutical Industry ................................................................................... 15
2.2 Indian Pharmaceutical at a glance .............................................................................................. 15
2.3 Challenges overcome by financial analysis ................................................................................. 16
2.4 Top 5 Pharmaceutical Companies in India .................................................................................. 18
Cipla............................................................................................................................................... 18
Aurobindo Pharma ........................................................................................................................ 19
Lupin Limited................................................................................................................................. 19
Dr Reddy’s Laboratories ................................................................................................................ 20
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd................................................................................................ 20
2.5 Analysis ....................................................................................................................................... 21
On the basis on Return on Equity (ROE) ....................................................................................... 21
On the basis of Net Profit Margin ................................................................................................. 22
2.6 Road Ahead ................................................................................................................................. 23
2.7 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................... 23
3.Research Design ................................................................................................................................. 24
Research Design Characteristics ................................................................................................... 24
Types of Research Design............................................................................................................. 25
3.1Objective ...................................................................................................................................... 25
3.2Methodology................................................................................................................................ 25
3.3 Data Analysis ............................................................................................................................... 26
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3.4 Potential Outcome of the Project ............................................................................................... 26
3.5 Findings ....................................................................................................................................... 26
4.Data collection, Analysis and Interpretation ..................................................................................... 27
4.1 Different methods used for valuation ........................................................................................ 27
4.2 Details of data collected ............................................................................................................. 28
4.2.1Financial Statements of CIPLA .............................................................................................. 28
4.2.2 Financial Statements of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. ............................................... 30
4.3 Analysis and Interpretation of Data collected ............................................................................ 32
4.3.1 Valuation of CIPLA ................................................................................................................ 32
4.3.2 Valuation of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. ................................................................. 34
4.3.3 EPS vs MPS ........................................................................................................................... 36
5. Findings ............................................................................................................................................. 37
5.1 Cipla............................................................................................................................................. 37
5.2 Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.............................................................................................. 37
6.References ......................................................................................................................................... 38
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1.Introduction
The “Pharmaceutical Sector” in India ranks 3rd in the world in terms of volume and 14th
in terms of value.
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The functions of the laboratory are as follows:
a) Analytical quality control of majority of the imported Drug available in Indian
market.
b) Analytical quality control of drug and cosmetics manufactured within the
country on behalf of the Central and State Drug Controller Administrations.
c) Acting as an Appellate authority in matters of disputes relating to quality of
Drug.
d) Collection, storage and distribution of International Standard International
Reference Preparations of Drug and Pharmaceutical Substances.
e) Preparation of National Reference Standards and maintenance of such
Standards. Maintenance of microbial cultures useful in drug analysis
Distribution of Standards and cultures to State Quality Control Laboratories and
drug manufacturing establishments.
f) To advise the Central Drug Control Administration in respect of quality and
toxicity of drug awaiting licence.
g) Quick analysis of life saving Drug on an All-India basis received under National
Survey of Quality of Essential Drug Programme from Zonal Offices of Central
Drug Standard Control Organisation.
3. The emerging players of the Pharmaceutical Sector at national and international level
are:
a) Sun Pharmaceutical Industries
b) Glenmark Pharmacy
c) Lupin Limited
d) Aurobindo Pharma
e) Dr.Reddy ’s Laboratories
f) Amgen
g) GlaxoSmithKline (GSK)
h) Gilead Sciences
i) Abbvie
j) Novartis
k) Merck & Co. (MSD)
l) Pfizer
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1.3 Need for the study
The interest of the various groups related to a firm (promoters of business, stock holders,
bond holders, trade creditors) is affected by the financial performance of the firm. So, it is
much of significance for these groups to analyze the financial performance of the firm they
are interested in. The type of analysis varies according to the specific interest of the party
involved. While trade creditors are interested in the liquidity of the firm, bond holders and
stock holders are interested in the cash flow ability of the firm. Further stock holders, ie.,
investors are interested in the present and expected future earnings as well as stability of
these earnings. Therefore, a study like this carries much significance for promoters, stock
holders and trade creditors.
The study focuses on overall financial position of particular pharmaceutical companies
during the specific period based on the selected variables, which may interest not only for the
respective companies in the industry but also brings a process of development operational
aspects of the entire industry. The study is much important to the management from the point
of decision-making purpose, to identify the strength, weakness areas of the company and
finally helps to maximize the intrinsic value of the company. The study has academic and
practical significance. It helps the academicians and researchers to develop new ideas for
further study.
• To examine the consistency and growth rate of selected financial parameters of the
particular Pharmaceutical Companies.
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1.5 Porter’s Five Forces
Below is an anlysis of the Pharmaceutical Industry using the above named forces:
• High entry barriers due to costs associated with research & development of new drugs
(i.e. years of investment in R&D for a drug that may/may not work)
• Government regulation (i.e. FDA)
• The threat of entry posed by new or potential competitor is a LOW competitive force
due to the above entry barriers & regulatory constraints.
• Hospitals & other health care organizations buy in bulk quantities and exert pressure
on pharmaceutical companies to keep prices in check
• Regular patients have lost bargaining power due to price increases in generic drugs
• The bargaining power of buyers is a MEDIUM competitive force.
• Sales for the pharmaceutical industry concentrate in a handful of large players and that
has decreased the bargaining power of suppliers.
• The bargaining power of suppliers is a LOW competitive force
• Demand for generic versus brand name drugs has increased because of the costs
• Generic drug companies do not have the high costs associated with the research &
development of new drugs and that allows them to sell at cheaper prices
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• The closeness of substitute products is a HIGH competitive force
Overall and based on the above analysis of Porter’s Five Forces, we can conclude that the
pharmaceutical industry is not attractive for new entrants.
Source: www.ibef.org
The market share, sales turnover and net profit of the top ten pharmaceutical companies in
India are depicted below:
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Company Market Share Sales Turnover Net Profit (in
(in crores) crores)
Cipla 1.14 11444.81 1468.52
Reddy’s Laboratories 0.93 9359.3 566.9
Lupin 1.01 10088.18 1344.66
Mylan 0.12 1191 69.6
Sun Pharma 0.79 7947.6 -494.59
Aurobindo Pharma 1.03 10303.15 1812.77
Cadila Healthcare 0.58 5822.6 1090.8
Torent Pharma 0.42 4248.24 482.04
Glenmark 0.64 6431.88 1014.35
Pharmaceuticals
Abbott 0.33 3307.12 401.22
Source: www.nseindia.com/ www.bseindia.com
12000.00
10000.00
8000.00
6000.00
4000.00
net profit(in crs)
2000.00
0.00 market share
-2000.00
Source: Self
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1.7 Strategic Perspective
1.8 Product
The range of products offered by the companies under the Pharmaceuticals sector in
India are:
a) Cardiovascular
b) Children’s Health
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c) Dermatology & Cosmetology
d) Diabetes
e) Hepatitis
f) HIV/AIDS
g) Infectious Diseases & Critical Care
h) Neurosciences
i) Oncology
j) Opthalmology
k) Respiratory
l) Urology
m) Women’s Health
n) Devices
1.9 Customer
The pharmaceutical industry functions just like any other industry. It has raw
materials manufacturers, finished goods manufacturers, R&D (research and
development) companies, marketing companies, and consumers. Yet, it is far more
regulated and capital-intensive than other industries. The supply chain of the
pharmaceutical industry is similar to that of any other industry in the manufacturing
sector. Because pharmaceuticals directly affect millions of people’s health,
industry manufacturers are very strict about ensuring the safety and quality of drugs
at each level of the supply chain. These companies use fixed, regulator-certified
suppliers of raw materials. Companies also store the raw and packaging materials
in separate warehouses. After a company processes the raw materials, it makes the
final drug at the manufacturing unit. A company that has a single manufacturing unit
uses only one warehouse, while a company with multiple manufacturing units stores
its drugs in central and regional warehouses.
Next, distributors and super stockists receive the drugs and supply them to entities in the retail
segment:
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• hospitals
• pharmacy stores
• health care centers
• clinics
Then, retailers sell OTC drugs directly to consumers. A prescription drug purchase
requires authorization from a qualified doctor.
The Indian pharmaceuticals industry, as per the report by equity master, is third and thirteenth
largest in terms of volume and value respectively around the globe. Branded generics with 70
to 80 percent share, dominate the market. India has achieved an eminent global position in
pharma sector with huge pool of scientists and technologists working in this flourishing
industry. The Union Cabinet has allowed Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) up to 100 per cent
under the automatic route to manufacture medical devices in India.
Among the manufacturing facilities registered with US FDA as on March 2014, Indian
pharmaceutical was the highest at 523 in number outside US. The domestic pharma market
grew at 12% Year on Year in Financial Year (FY) 2015-16 almost at par with average of
12.9% in FY15. Indian pharmaceutical firms aimed for acquisitions in Japan owing to aging
populations and rising health costs, with aim to increase the penetration of generic drugs to
sixty percent of the market by next year. Within the country, with 22.4% rate, Gujarat
recorded the highest growth during November’14, which was more than the industry growth
rate of 10.9%, as per AIOCD Pharma soft-tech AWACS. Biotechnology industry of India
expected to achieve US $ 100 billion mark by end of 2025 with average growth rate of 30% a
year.
The Addendum 2015 of the Indian Pharmacopoeia (IP) 2014 was published on behalf of the
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Ministry of Health & Family Welfare (GOI), with the ambition to improve the quality of
medicines for better public health. 'Pharma Vision 2020' set by the government aimed to help
India become a leader renowned globally for drug manufacture with quick processing time
supplemented with new facilities to increase investments, simultaneously addressing the issue
of affordability and availability of common drugs.
1.13 Future
The future of Indian pharma industry is quite bright. At present, the pharmaceutical
industry of India is the world's 3rd largest in terms of volume. Over the years, the
Indian pharmaceutical industry has emerged as the most attractive investment
destinations in the world. Several MNC pharma companies have fairly a good market
access in India as compared to other countries. Moreover, the increased returns lower
risks and expected diversified growth are some of the major factors leading to an
increased number of investors in this industry. Indian pharmaceutical industry has all
the requisite things including a skilled workforce, low cost of production, high
managerial and technical competence and much more needed to flourish in the global
market. In addition to this, the growing number of pharma companies are producing
immense employment opportunities for a large number of job seekers. Therefore, it
would be right to say that the future of Indian pharma industry is definitely bright.
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2. Literature Review
The pharmaceutical production in India began in 1910s when private initiatives established
Bengal Chemical and Pharmaceutical Works in Calcutta and Alembic Chemicals in Baroda
and setting up of pharmaceutical research institutes for tropical diseases like King Institute of
Preventive Medicine, Chennai (in Tamil Nadu), Central Drug Research Institute, Kasauli (in
Himachal Pradesh), Pastures Institute, Coonoor (in Tamil Nadu), etc. through British
initiatives.
India’s pharmaceutical industry has emerged as one of the major leader in drug production
from almost nothing. As a result, it has emerged as world’s third largest producer of in terms
of volume and fourteen in terms of value. It is one of the major contributors to Indian economy
with a growth percentage of 7-8% and is projected to grow to US $55 Billion by 2020. It is
quite heartening to note that the pharma sector is out-performing most other sectors in
achieving consistently high growth. India is now among the top five pharmaceutical emerging
markets of the world.
Indian drugs are exported to more than 200 countries in the world, with the US as the key
market. Generic drugs account for 20 per cent of global exports in terms of volume, making
the country the largest provider of generic medicines globally and expected to expand even
further in coming years. India’s pharmaceutical exports stood at US$ 17.27 billion in FY18
and US$ 9.29 billion in FY19 (up to September). In 2018-19, these exports are expected to
cross US$ 19 billion. The Government of India plans to set up a US$ 640 million venture
capital fund to boost drug discovery and strengthen pharmaceutical infrastructure. The ‘Pharma
Vision 2020’ by the government’s Department of Pharmaceuticals aims to make India a major
hub for end-to-end drug discovery.
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The pharmaceutical industry in India meet around 70% of the country’s demand for bulk
drugs, drug intermediates, pharmaceutical formulations, chemicals, tablets, capsules, orals
and injectibles. There are approximately 250 large units and about 800 small scale units.
Which from the core of pharmaceutical industry in India (including 5 central sector
units).The pharma companies have started facing challenges in domestic market due to
increase in competition from unlisted MNCs in this segment. They are rapidly expanding
their field force to extend their geographical reach and also pharmaceutical companies
entered a difficult period where shareholders, the market and regulators have created
significant pressures for changing within the industry. The pharma industry also have
challenges particularly to improve infrastructure, new product patent, drug price control and
quality management and R&D programs.
Current global financial conditions and the threat of a broad recession accelerated the
timetable for implementing transformational changes in global organizations, as the industry
confronts lower corporate stock prices and an increasingly cost-averse customer. Leaders of
the largest global pharmaceutical companies recognize the need for transformational change
in their organizations, but will need to move swiftly to ensure sustained growth. The Indian
pharmaceutical industry would have to contend with several challenges particularly
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− Regulatory reforms
− Infrastructure development
For all these challenges financial performance is playing a vital role and a sound financial
strength is meet all these challenges and it is necessary to find out the overall financial status
of the pharmaceutical industry. Financial performance analysis is the process of determining
the operation and financial characteristics of a firm from accounting and financial statements.
The ability of an organization to analyze its financial position is essential for improving its
competitive position in the market place. Through a careful analysis of its financial
performance, the organization can identify opportunities to improve performance of the
department, unit or at the organizational level.
Financial performance analysis is the process of determining the operation and financial
characteristics of a firm from accounting and financial statements. The goal of such an
analysis is to determine the efficiency and performance of the firm’s management, as
reflected in the financial records and reports. From the above point of view the researcher has
undertaken an analysis of financial performance of selected Indian pharmaceutical companies
to understand how management of finance plays crucial role in the growth.
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2.4 Top 5 Pharmaceutical Companies in India
Cipla
Cipla is one of the largest pharma companies in Mumbai. Founded in 1935 by Dr. K
A Hamied, Cipla sets up an enterprise with the vision to make India self-sufficient in
healthcare. Over the past 82 years, they have emerged as one of the most recognized
pharmaceutical names in the global market. Today Cipla has over USD 2 billion turnovers
annually and over 23,000 employees working on over 1500 products. The market capitalization
as on 27th December 2018 is Rs 41729.55 cr.
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Aurobindo Pharma
Aurobindo Pharma was founded by K. Nityananda Reddy and P.V. Ramaprasad Reddy with
others in 1986. Headquartered in Hyderabad, Telangana, Aurobindo Pharma Limited
manufactures APIs and generic pharmaceuticals. Six prime therapeutic areas of medication
addressed by the company are anti-allergic, gastroenterology, antiretrovirals, antibiotics,
central nervous system and cardiology. The market capitalization as on 27th December 2018 is
Rs 41760.56cr.
Lupin Limited
Lupin, also based out of Mumbai, is a renowned pharma player having a wide range of quality,
affordable generic and branded formulations and APIs. The company commenced its business
in 1968, and first gained recognition when it became one of the world's largest manufacturers
of Tuberculosis (TB) drugs. Today, it has significant market share in the
cardiovascular, diabetology, asthma, pediatrics, CNS, anti-infectives and NSAIDs therapy
segments in the global market. The market capitalization as on 27th December 2018 is Rs
37879.90 cr.
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Dr Reddy’s Laboratories
Dr. Reddy's is one of the most profitable Indian multinational pharma companies in
Hyderabad. The company began as an active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) manufacturer
in 1984, producing high-quality APIs for the Indian domestic market. In 1987, the company
started its formulations operations and, after becoming a force to reckon with in the Indian
formulations market, went international in 1991. Today, the company is more than a 200
million-dollar venture with a presence in almost all major therapeutic areas in the global
market. The market capitalization as on 27th December 2018 is Rs 42968.25 cr.
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2.5 Analysis
Return on equity =Earnings after taxes/shareholder’s equity. The return on equity measures the
return earned on equity shareholder’s investment in a firm. The higher this return, the better
off the owners.
Return on Equity
Aurobindo
Years Cipla Pharma Lupin Dr Reddy's Sun Pharma
2018 10.4 18.15 8.51 4.8 -2.5
2017 7.61 20.23 21.25 11.93 -0.1
2016 12.2 23.69 23.76 11.67 -4.99
2015 10.65 28.29 26.55 15.79 -6.48
2014 13.76 29.21 33.3 20.71 -38.18
Mean 10.924 23.914 22.674 12.98 -10.45
Source: www.nseindia.com/ www.bseindia.com
Return on Equity
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5 Cipla Aurobindo Lupin Dr Reddy's Sun Pharma
-10 Pharma
-15
Source: Self
The calculated Mean ROE values coincides with those obtained directly from the data.
Aurobindo Pharma has the maximum ROE followed by Lupin while Sun Pharma has the
lowest, infact negative ROE. Negative return on equity of Sun Pharma is because its equity is
not sufficient and not sustainable. It pays more for its capital than what it generates in return.
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On the basis of Net Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin=Earning after Taxes/Sales. It measures how profitable a company’s sales
are after all expenses, including taxes on interest and preferred stock dividends, have been
deducted. The higher the firms net profit margin, the better.
Source: Self
The graph shows that Mean Net Profit Margin is highest for Lupin which is a good sign and it
seems that the company’s management is working hard and has been successfully
maximizing its shareholder’s profits. But a deeper analysis shows that Sun Pharma has been
witnessing negative Net Profit Margin which seems to be the main reason for its low ROE
and also higher investments in research and development even as sales growth slows down,
could further pinch margins. Indian pharmaceutical companies have hit by US regulatory
bans and warnings over quality control violations at production plants, which have weighed
on profitability.
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2.6 Road Ahead
The generic drugs have made the medicines affordable by common man. Health programmes
for rural India, lifesaving medicines and vaccines with preventive measures are positive
indications for the pharma companies. The Indian pharma market size is expected to grow to
US $ 100 billion by 2020 due to increasing consumer spending, rapid urbanization, and
raising healthcare insurance. With increase in consumer’s affordability to spend with fast
pace urbanization and awareness about the healthcare insurance, the vision 2020 appears
achievable.
2.7 Conclusion
Sharma and Sharma (2009) The study found that the traditional method signals firm’s
profitability, cash performance, operating efficiency and liquidity and growth signals related
with the firm’s earnings, growth, research and development, capital expenditure and
advertising expenditure. Finally, the study concludes financial analysis based on growth
signals is very successful in differentiating firms.
Pascal Nguyen, (2003) constructs a simple financial score designed to capture short term
changes in firm operating efficiency, profitability and financial policy. It concluded that
government policy with respect to input and outputs has the significant influence on the
liquidity position of the company.
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3.Research Design
The sketch of how research should be conducted can be prepared using research design. Hence,
the market research study will be carried out on the basis of research design.
The type of research problem an organization is facing will determine the research design and
not vice-versa. Variables, designated tools to gather information, how will the tools be used to
collect and analyze data and other factors are decided in research design on the basis of a
research technique is decided.
An impactful research design usually creates minimum bias in data and increases trust on the
collected and analyzed research information. Research design which produces the least margin
of error in experimental research can be touted as the best. The essential elements of research
design are:
Neutrality: The results projected in research design should be free from bias and neutral.
Understand opinions about the final evaluated scores and conclusion from multiple individuals
and consider those who agree with the derived results.
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research questions can be formed to ensure the standard of obtained results and this can happen
only when the research design is reliable.
Validity: There are multiple measuring tools available for research design but valid measuring
tools are those which help a researcher in gauging results according to the objective of research
and nothing else. The questionnaire developed from this research design will be then valid.
Generalization: The outcome of research design should be applicable to a population and not
just a restricted sample. Generalization is one of the key characteristics of research design.
3.1Objective
The objective of the “Financial Analysis and future prospects of the Indian Pharmaceutical
Industry” is to study how “Pharmaceuticals Sector” is affecting the Indian economy. New
global strategies implemented by them.
3.2Methodology
Secondary Research: I shall be doing secondary research through the study of:
• Already published articles
• Journals
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• Websites
The present trend of the Indian Pharmaceutical industry and the strategies adopted by the
two pharmaceutical companies to make a presence in the minds of the consumers shall be
studied in detail. If necessary, data will be collected through secondary research and will be
analysed. My views about the analysed data will be explained and if any recommendation
required will be mentioned.
Statistical tools and techniques help us to analyse the collected data. Collected data can be put
up in excel sheet and can be analysed using different methods. In case of secondary research,
the data collected from secondary research can be analysed using different parameters like:
• Standard Matrix
• Porter’s generic strategies
• BCG Matrix
• SWOT Analysis.
• Review of Literature.
Attempts will be made to conduct a secondary research by collecting information about top 5
pharmaceutical companies. The aim of this project is to analyse how pharmaceutical sector is
contributing to the GDP of the country. Also, about the financial analysis of the top 5
pharmaceutical companies.
3.5 Findings
• During the study I found that Financial Analysis are the most important for any type of
decision making towards investment of the company.
• Financial Analysis are very important for management to make their budgets.
• The liquidity of the company is dependent upon the profitability of the company.
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4.Data collection, Analysis and Interpretation
Price to Sales Model- The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is a valuation ratio that compares a
company’s stock price to its revenues. It is an indicator of the value placed on each dollar of a
company’s sales or revenue.
The P/S ratio can be calculated either by dividing the company’s market capitalization by its
total sales over a designated period – usually twelve months, or on a per-share basis by dividing
the stock price by sales per share. The P/S ratio is also known as a "sales multiple" or "revenue
multiple."
EV/EBITDA- Enterprise multiple, also known as the EV multiple, is a ratio used to determine
the value of a company. The enterprise multiple looks at a firm in the way that a potential
acquirer would by considering the company's debt. Stocks with an enterprise multiple of less
than 7.5x based on the last 12 months (LTM) is generally considered a good value.
However, using a strict cutoff is generally not appropriate because this is not an exact
science. Enterprise multiple, also known as the EV/EBITDA multiple, is a ratio used to
determine the value of a company. It is computed by dividing enterprise value by EBITDA.
Enterprise multiples can vary depending on the industry. It is reasonable to expect higher
enterprise multiples in high-growth industries and lower multiples in industries with slow
growth.
PE Model- The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) is the ratio for valuing a company that
measures its current share price relative to its per-share earnings (EPS). The price-to-earnings
ratio is also sometimes known as the price multiple or the earnings multiple.
P/E ratios are used by investors and analysts to determine the relative value of a company's
shares in an apples-to-apples comparison. It can also be used to compare a company against
its own historical record or to compare aggregate markets against one another or over time.
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4.2 Details of data collected
28
Balance Sheet as on March
Equity and Liabilities FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19
Equity Share Capital 161 161 161 161
Reserve and Surplus 11825.2 12639.61 13952.5 15620.77
Equity shareholders funds 11986.2 12800.6 14113.5 15781.8
Non-Current Liabilities
Long Term Borrowings 0.13 0.07 0 0
Deferred Tax Liabilities [Net] 35.85 0 0 42.84
Other Long-Term Liabilities 130.72 125.2 125.3 117.86
Long Term Provisions 132 125.61 124.45 108.12
Total Non-Current liabilities 298.7 250.88 249.75 268.82
Current liabilities
Short Term Borrowings 1131.68 324.26 174.43 0
Trade Payables 990.84 1298.21 1580.02 1481.35
Other Current Liabilities 582.73 670.58 579.07 458.18
Short Term Provisions 249.22 262.78 398.18 428.55
Total Current Liabilities 2954.47 2555.83 2731.7 2368.08
Fixed assets
Capex 849.38 539.83 355.66
Gross Fixed Assets 4240.43 5089.81 5629.64 5985.3
Depreciation 414.32 854.23 1309.29 1795.99
Net Fixed Assets 3826.11 4235.58 4320.35 4189.31
Cap Work in progress 512.81 540.52 435.28 241.32
Investments 3716.26 3647.71 3597.24 3803.61
Deferred Tax Assets [Net] 0 59.54 46.8 751.7
Long Term Loans And Advances 219.37 215.75 233.13 207.91
Other Non-Current Assets 458.89 547.53 496.68 442
Total Non-Current Assets 8733.44 9246.63 9129.48 9635.85
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4.2.2 Financial Statements of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.
30
Balance Sheet as on March
Equity and Liabilities FY 16 FY 17 FY 18 FY 19
Equity Share Capital 240.66 239.93 239.93 239.93
Reserve and Surplus 21242.4 20772.5 22082.7 22603.7
Equity shareholders funds 21483.1 21012.5 22322.6 22843.6
Non-Current Liabilities
Long Term Borrowings 1929.27 760.64 1564.69 1422.5
Deferred Tax Liabilities [Net] 0 0 0 0
Other Long-Term Liabilities 13.57 0.68 0.91 19.12
Long Term Provisions 1924.55 1132.83 345.18 157.07
Total Non-Current liabilities 3867.39 1894.15 1910.78 1598.69
Current liabilities
Short Term Borrowings 3733.72 4054.04 5213.81 4428.05
Trade Payables 1772.44 2072.6 2565.97 2154.92
Other Current Liabilities 1906.83 2988.58 2125.89 4145.13
Short Term Provisions 1425.79 1847.43 2652.75 2543.73
Total Current Liabilities 8838.78 10962.7 12558.4 13271.8
Fixed assets
Capex -1678.9 922.46 -250.31
Gross Fixed Assets 6627.75 4948.81 5871.27 5620.96
Depreciation 3059.58 910.18 1312.74 0
Net Fixed Assets 3568.17 4038.63 4558.53 5620.96
Cap Work in progress 767.73 1055.11 830.39 456.25
Investments 22283.1 19293.3 18310.5 17656.2
Deferred Tax Assets [Net] 0 749.06 751.7 751.7
Long Term Loans and Advances 2165.47 4.87 3.42 1
Other Non-Current Assets 61.75 2294.73 2518.57 2514.54
Total Non-Current Assets 28846.2 27435.7 26973.1 27000.6
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4.3 Analysis and Interpretation of Data collected
Using the price to sales ratio, will calculate the target price of the company.
Using the growth rate of 10% the estimated sales is calculated and then with the price to sales
multiple forecasted market capitalisation is calculated to find out the target price. And
comparing it with the current market price of Rs 480.15 it is overvalued.
2.EV/EBITDA
32
EBITDA 1,726.11 2,530.43 3,079.52
EV/EBITDA 55.46 34.68 27.59
Through the data from the financial statements have calculated the Enterprise Value and
EBITDA to find out the EV/EBITDA multiple for calculating the target price for next year.
I have estimated a 15% growth rate in EBITDA to calculate the expected EBITDA for next
year and through the EV/EBITDA of Mar’19 and the expected EBITDA have calculated the
target price which indicates the price is overvalued.
3.P/E Model
The P/E model is used to calculate the target price for the next year, for this first I have
calculated the expected PAT through the year on year growth and then through that have
calculated the expected EPS which is then used with the average P/E to calculate the target
price.
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4.3.2 Valuation of Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd.
As there is year on year growth on Mar’18 by 17% and on Mar’19 by 14.4% so I had estimated
a 15% growth for the next year on the basis of past performance to calculate the estimated sales
for next year.
Using the price to sales ratio, will calculate the target price of the company.
Using the growth rate of 15% the estimated sales is calculated and then with the price to sales
multiple, forecasted market capitalisation is calculated to find out the target price. And
comparing it with the current market price of Rs 449.45 it is overvalued.
2.EV/EBITDA
Particulars Mar'17 Mar'18 Mar'19
EV
Price 688.15 495.1 478.85
No. of shares 239.93 239.93 239.93
Market Capitalisation 165107.83 118789.34 114890.481
Total Debt 4814.68 6778.5 5850.55
Cash and cash
equivalents 170.28 155.27 340.77
Total 169752.23 125412.57 120400.261
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EBITDA 545.79 2,106.30 3,027.70
EV/EBITDA 311.02114 59.541648 39.7662452
Through the data from the financial statements have calculated the Enterprise Value and
EBITDA to find out the EV/EBITDA multiple for calculating the target price for next year.
I have estimated a 15% growth rate in EBITDA to calculate the expected EBITDA for next
year and through the EV/EBITDA of Mar’19 and the expected EBITDA have calculated the
target price which indicates the price is overvalued.
3.P/E Model
The P/E model is used to calculate the target price for the next year, for this first I have
calculated the expected PAT through the year on year growth and then through that have
calculated the expected EPS which is then used with the average P/E to calculate the target
price.
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4.3.3 EPS vs MPS
CIPLA
20.50 800
20.00 700
19.50
19.00 600
18.50 500
18.00
MPS
EPS
400
17.50
17.00 300
16.50 200
16.00
15.50 100
15.00 0
Apr'14
Apr'15
Apr'16
Apr'17
Apr'18
Jan'15
Jan'16
Oct'16
Jan'17
Jan'18
Jan'19
July'14
July'15
July'16
July'17
July'18
Oct'14
Oct'15
Oct'17
Oct'18
EPS MPS
As it can be seen that though there is fluctuation in the market price but it is not affecting the
earning price per share and it is increasing at an increasing rate. It is also because of increase
in profit year on year and also because of rise in revenue.
SUN PHARMA
16.00 1200
14.00
1000
12.00
800
10.00
MPS
EPS
8.00 600
6.00
400
4.00
200
2.00
0.00 0
Apr'14
Jan'15
Apr'15
Jan'16
Apr'16
Jan'17
Apr'17
Jan'18
Apr'18
July'18
Jan'19
July'14
July'15
July'16
July'17
Oct'14
Oct'15
Oct'16
Oct'17
Oct'18
EPS MPS
Here it can be seen that though there is fluctuation in market price which was rising in the
initial stage but gradually started falling. Earning price is continuously falling, so it can be
concluded that the fall in market price is directly affecting the earning per share.
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5. Findings
5.1 Cipla
• Net sales stood at INR 12374 crores which was up by 7%. The top line was impacted
due to lower sales from domestic as well as from US business. However, the same
was offset by strong sales growth from the South Africa’s and emerging markets.
• Share of specialty medicine will continue to increase and is projected to reach 50% of
the total spending by 2023.
• Spending is expected to reach USD 1.5 trillion by 2023, representing CAGR 3% to
6% over next five years.
• Profit increased by 8% to 1528 crores in FY18-19 (highest PAT in 6 years)
• Employees expenses expected to rise by 6%, other expenses by 8%, finance cost by
47%.
• The company will maintain its R&D spend between 7% to 8% in FY20 of total sales
to fund its ongoing clinical trials.
• CIPLA has guided that the domestic business of the company would see growth of
10% to 13% going ahead mainly aided by health product mix and shifting its focus
from generalization to therapy wise focus.
• CIPLA has focused on building strong specialty portfolio for US and is looking
forward to acquire assets in neurology and respiratory.
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6.References
1. https://www.proclinical.com/blogs/2017-6/opportunities-challenges-for-
pharmaceutical-industry-in-2017
2. https://www.nseindia.com/
3. https://www.bseindia.com/
4. https://www.quora.com/What-is-future-of-the-Indian-pharma-industry
5. https://www.ibef.org/industry/pharmaceutical-india.aspx
6. https://www.omicsonline.org/open-access/an-analysis-of-indian-pharma-trade-and-
future-challenges-2153-2435-1000409.
7. https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/pharma-life-sciences/pdf/global-pharma-looks-to-india-
final.
8. https://www.moneycontrol.com/stocks/marketinfo/marketcap/bse/pharmaceuticals.ht
ml
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