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CEO PREDICTIONS
2011
The region’s leading business
minds share their hopes, fears
and strategies
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CONTENTS
Vol. 15 Issue 8 December 2010
CEO
GCC NOW
12
The top 100
The round-up
News, numbers and people from
around the region.
companies in the
COMMENT GCC
PREDICTIONS
22
Mishal Kanoo
2011
Greed delays the long road to recovery.
24
Matein Khalid
How to gain from currency wars.
26
Tommy Weir
A tribute to Vodafone’s Grahame Maher.
28
Chris Bruin As the economy recovers from the worst
Why credit bureaus are a must
recession since 1930s, a collection of the
ANALYSIS
32
45 region’s leading CEOs share their hopes, fears
and strategies for 2011 with Gulf Business.
Gold rush
COMMODITIES Gold prices edges
up after QE2 in the US. 42 LUXURY SPECIAL
Back on track
34 REAL ESTATE Dubai Pearl says it 88
Liquid assets can deliver despite gloomy outlook. Prestige profits
RETAIL Region’s energy drink RETAIL Analysis of the region’s
high-end shopping sector.
consumption shows growth. FEATURES
36 92
66
Travel tactics Everlasting beauty
Green report PROFILE An interview with
TOURISM The Gulf courts Asians to ENVIRONMENT Profits and Clarins Middle East.
offset decline in traditional markets. protecting the earth go hand in hand.
94
38 77 Designs on Lebanon
Takaful review Turning tides RETAIL Louis Vuitton plans to
INSURANCE Analysts debate the LOGISTICS The regional shipping extend Mid-East footprint.
credibility of Islamic insurance. industry says stormy waters are over.
96
40 83 Stepping up profits
New frontiers Aerial ambitions RETAIL Italy exports 10 per cent
MARKETS UAE’s emerging market SPACE Dubai’s first satellite has of high-end shoes to the UAE.
status could open investment gates. spurred a raft of space initiatives.
Editor-in-Chief
Obaid Humaid Al Tayer
Group Editor and Managing Partner
Ian Fairservice
Editor
Alicia Buller alicia@motivate.ae
Business editor
Karen Remo-Listana karenr@motivate.ae
108
Chief Sub-editor
Iain Smith iains@motivate.ae
Editorial coordinator - business
Concessa D’Souza concessa@motivate.ae
Art Director
Cris Domdom cris@motivate.ae
Senior Designer
B Raveendran raveendran@motivate.ae
Contributors
Ryan Harrison; Martin Morris;
Adrian Morley; Robert Bailey.
111
General Manager Group Sales
110
Anthony Milne anthony@motivate.ae
Senior Advertisement Manager
Abraham Koshy abraham@motivate.ae
Advertisement Manager
Ajay Mathews ajay@motivate.ae
100 Deputy Advertisement Manager
Business essentials Melroy Noronha melroy@motivate.ae
LIFESTYLE 100
108 REGULARS
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Events
112 122
Competition In your shoes
Win a two-night stay at Yas Hotel Alicia Buller goes racing with Printed by Emirates Printing Press, Dubai
Abu Dhabi. Gordon Ramsay.
Reuters
thwarting of a recent bomb recent bomb plot. New York Times reported.
plot which could have The Saudis have stepped
brought down two planes. for Homeland Security and has confirmed that the up their intelligence-
Born in Jeddah in counter-terrorism, and intercepted explosive gathering efforts in Yemen
August 30, 1959, he moved former CIA station chief in device was carried by two since last year, when Al
to the United States to Riyadh, to warn him of its planes via Doha. Qaeda in the Arabian
study for his bachelor of the 2010 cargo plane The hidden bomb, a Peninsula came close
degree, with political bomb plot. printer cartridge packed to assassinating Prince
science as a major.
On October 28, 2010,
His communication
with US and British
with the explosive PETN
attached to a concealed
F Muhammad. On August
27, 2009, a suicide bomber
he called US Homeland investigators over the mobile SIM card, was posing as a reformed
Security official John information led authorities posted via freight firm jihadist detonated a bomb
Brennan, the US to seize two parcel bombs FedEx, and the second hidden inside his body,
administration’s deputy at airports in the Midlands device – which was but only lightly injured
national security advisor and Dubai. Qatar Airways posted via UPS in Yemen the prince.
SOAPBOX
We have good relations with I have no fear whatsoever. I Why ask people to remove flat
America, in terms of military ties, strongly believe that the orderbook shoes? What can you conceal
education, health, but politically, no. today is over exaggerated. in a flat shoe?
27
DP World has become their greenhouse gas (GHG) and 3.52 per cent when
the first international emissions and climate normalised against TEU
marine terminal operator to change strategies. throughput against a 2008
join the Carbon Disclosure The Dubai-based global base year. DP World has
Project (CDP), a disclosure
and reporting framework
port operator reduced the
absolute carbon emissions
per cent set a goal to reduce GHG
emissions at its terminals
DP World’s target green
used by 3,000 of the world’s of its terminals and by 27 per cent by 2013
house gas reduction.
largest companies to report businesses by 4.24 per cent under its five-year plan.
Dhs122 bn Dhs10 bn
exports scored the highest
growth rate throughout
the past five years,
exceeding Dhs44 billion
The UAE federal budget for the 2011- Aldar Properties’ funding requirements by the end of August 2010
2013 period, of which Dhs 41 billion is by 2011 in order to “survive”, according to with a 39 per cent increase
earmarked for 2011. Bank of America Merrill Lynch. rate on last year, according
to Dubai Customs.
Cosmo quits
block 11
Japan’s Cosmo Oil has
given up on commercial
production from the
block 11 offshore oil field
in Qatar and has booked
a 3.5 billion yen ($43
million) special loss as
a result. Japan’s fourth-
biggest oil refiner, said
the firm and its partners
could not find enough
Qatar Airways chief says
some security measures
oil reserves in the block
after they had drilled two
Getty
should be ditched.
trial wells.
QAR80 bn 300,000
seeing high inventories
in other countries,”
he said, adding that
countries have to cope
with rising oil prices. He
The combined assets of Islamic banks in Barrels per day is the production said $70-$90 per barrel
Qatar, a fifth of the total local banking from Al Shaheen field, overshooting was “very reasonable”
sector’s assets. original estimates of 50,000 barrels. for consumers and
producers.
Jazeera returns
to profitability
Jazeera Airways, a
Kuwaiti low-cost airline,
is confident of sustaining
profit into next year and
beyond after reporting
an almost six-fold rise in
third-quarter net income.
The company incurred
Zain is in the process
losses in the previous
of collecting the
needed shares from three quarters. Net income
other holders to make in the three months to
Getty
programme to be re-tendered
the world,” SPC Member
Imad Al Atiqi, said.
30
30 seconds to
make sense
of… the coffee
business.
Kim Thompson
Owner and manager, Raw Coffee Company
recession?
Nawras celebrated its first day of trading on the Muscat Securities We have not been affected by the economic recession
Market . because we are a gourmet niche business. If people are
Nawras lists on Oman looking to reduce their big expenditure items, maybe they
didn’t buy the home espresso machine package from us,
but they will still pop in and buy a coffee each day.
Nawras has completed its IPO, which raised
OMR182 million ($472 million) and has listed on As an export commodity, the price of coffee in the
the Muscat Securities Market under the ticker symbol, global market is volatile. How do coffee shop owners
‘nwrs’. The initial market capitalisation of Nawras respond to these price movements?
was OMR456 million, positioning Nawras as a top five We have been able to hold our roasted coffee price
Omani company by market capitalisation. The IPO is fixed since inception three years ago. Coffee pricing
the largest to take place in the GCC since July 2009 is controlled on a daily basis by the New York Coffee
and was also the first offer in Oman to be completed
using the book build method. F
Exchange, and as a company we have had to absorb
the variances.
Al Khalili to revive IPO plans You import coffee beans from Ethiopia, Nicaragua,
Peru, Colombia, East Timor and Mexico. How do they
Al Khalili United Enterprise, the flagship company differ from one another?
of the Al Khalili Group, will revive its plans to The taste profile of the green coffee beans varies by
float an IPO, after seeing response to the Nawras share origin, due to the microclimate of each area – soil type,
offer. The company is planning to offer 40 per cent of rainfall, sunshine, temperature, age of plants, etc. All
its stake in the IPO, which was postponed last year due Raw Coffee Company product is certified organic and
to sluggish market conditions. The group will follow fairly traded at origin and all from the Arabica coffee
the traditional fixed price method, unlike Nawras’ book bean family. For example African beans tend to have a
building process. Oman Arab Bank is the financial floral citrus flavour and South American beans will have
adviser and lead manager of the proposed IPO. a more chocolate-nutty flavour.
8 out of 10
Coffee is classified as one of the 20 super foods – as
with many food groups, moderation is sensible. Freshly
extracted espresso is high in antioxidants, it has anti-
Bahrain’s score in the Economic Freedom of the carcinogenic properties, specifically for the prostate, is
Arab World: 2010 report, making it the most free used in skin products in Japanese health spas, and
economy in the Arab world. has stimulant properties, with caffeine found in many
pharmaceutical products such as Panadol Extra.
M
oaning and groaning are just a constant in this For the economy to revive itself two things need to
part of the world. If not for one reason, it’s happen. The first is that people should understand that
for another. But do we really have something they have to pay back what they owe and live within their
genuine to groan about when it comes to means. The second is that banks must start living the
the economy? Two years on from the beginning of the reality of the situation and not hope that with time things
financial crisis that brought the house of cards down will correct themselves. That is the theory.
all over the world, we are still not close to seeing the Now here is a practical solution. Banks must lower
light at the end of the proverbial tunnel. The reason we their mortgage rate to three to four per cent and make
must ask ourselves is why? Why, after two years of a lot the time horizon 20-30 years. This will immediately
of pain and suffering and after many people discovered incentivise the people who were interested in leaving
how stupid they were in buying into Ponzi schemes their asset and going back home to think twice because
that they euphemistically called investments, after eventually the value of the asset will recover over the
people discovered that land prices cannot double for no next decade and that will still mean if they have a 30 year
good reason, and after the gullible were taken out and outlook, they will make a capital gain as well.
financially shot for thinking that it was normal for banks Why this is not happening is also due to greed. Greed
to lend them money with no strings attached? The simple by the banks as they are now making double or triple the
answer is greed, but it gets complicated. amount I had mentioned but it is paper money that has
The people who used the system no value unless someone takes it up.
were greedy. Both the consumers got People should now pay There is a secondary reason for
greedy because they lived in la la
land thinking that banks gave them
back what they owe the banks as they are in a quagmire
that they can’t extricate themselves
money for free. Land developers and live within their from. Over the years of 2003 to 2008,
got greedy because they believed means. Banks must they had taught their shareholders
that there was an endless supply of that double-digit dividend rates
dumb and greedy people who would also start getting real were the norm.
feed their addiction to their own and not just hope that They also fortified this ridiculous
greed. The press got greedy because notion by issuing bonus shares.
they saw that the land developers things will correct Now the shareholders’ greed has
were throwing away money into themselves in time. taken over rationality and that is the
advertising because they all wanted norm that is now expected by the
to tell the fools…oops...I mean prospective, intelligent shareholders of the banks.
buyers that their pie in the sky was the one the greedy Here’s a suggestion. In order for people to deposit their
consumer could make the most money from flipping it to money with the banks, and trust me on this, instead of
yet an even greedier sucker. focusing on the deposit rate, the banks should focus on
All of this naked stupidity was fueled by banks and customer service. When banks offer a higher rate than
mortgage lenders who touted themselves as the one with the norm, it usually means one thing. They are desperate
the most money to give away. Imagine, if you will, an for liquidity to survive and that is never a good sign.
addict with dealers all vying to hook the addict with their Personally, I would rather have a low rate with a solid
particular designer addiction. The only problem with that bank that is not about to collapse than a bank that offers
scenario is that the addict will eventually die. If you give me a higher percentage but is on the brink of collapsing
the addict an overdose that he cannot handle, his death due to their bad management in the past.
will come faster than the dealer would like and that is Yes we have a real reason to moan and yes the economy
not good for business. But this is something you all know can be fixed. The only question is whether all parties
happened. The question that is staring us all in the face involved have the will and strength to make the changes
but seemingly unanswered is what should we do about it? that are necessary and to see it through.
Simple again… stop being greedy. Mishal Kanoo, deputy chairman, Kanoo Group.
1
NOW,
T
he Fed, the G-20 conclave in Seoul, currency wars incredible six per cent. Winter heating oil demand alone
and Ireland’s woes obsess the financial markets. should allow crude oil to trade above $90. This macro
Time to gaze into my macro crystal glass, even at milieu is obviously bullish for Saudi petrochemical
the risk of swallowing crushed glass. The forex shares, notably SABIC, APQ and Petro Rabigh, whose
gnomes were shocked by Uncle Ben’s money printing product margins will rise even as operating rates expand.
spree after the Federal Reserve’s FOMC voted to pump It is no coincidence that Saudi petrochemical shares
$600 billion to revive a moribund US economy. This meant outperformed the Tadawul by a factor of five in November.
the dollar plunged against the Euro and commodities This sector outperformance will continue in December.
soared on safe haven flows in November. However, Ireland US equities have been on a roll since early September
has joined Greece as the EU’s next policy nightmare and and the S&P 500 index added 200 points to regain
Dublin might well be forced to go cap in hand to the ECB/ its April 1218 high before Cisco Systems shocked the
IMF at a time when Berlin and the Elysee Palace will not financial markets with a revenue miss. However, trading
allow taxpayer bailouts to spare private investors pain at 13 times forward with inflation and bond yields at
from a potential default. This means Euro-dollar can fall epic lows, US equities are not expensive. Cash yields
as low as 1.32 in December, particularly if risk aversion in zero, Uncle Sam’s 10 year debt yields a mere 2.6 per
the sovereign debt markets continues to rise. cent but the free cash flow yield on American equities
The ideal macro trade for next month is to sell the is a juicy six per cent even as corporate balance sheets
Euro against sterling at 0.86 for an are better credits than most
eventual 0.78 target with a 0.88 stop UK growth rates Western governments.
loss. Why? One, the Bank of England may rise, while the The old Wall Street adage “don’t
need not and will not follow the fight the Fed” is also bullish for stock
Fed’s QE model and boost its gilt Eurozone, plagued by prices. So I doubt the stock market
purchase programme as long as Club Med/Celtic debt will fall much below 1180 even in a
inflation is running above its two correction in December. This means
per cent target limit. Inflation will woes and a strong the index fund SPZ is a buy on any
only rise, not fall, due to VAT higher Euro, could stumble dip below 1190 for a 15 per cent
priced high street imports, crude total return potential in 2011.
oil spikes and the fallout from
against the sterling and Gold is the optimal reserve
sterling’s epic 2008 devaluation. Australian dollar. currency in the Euro, dollar and yen
Two, the monetary mandarins ugly stepsisters contest. At $1400,
at the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street have clearly nervous longs should be introspective as gold no longer
underestimated both economic growth and inflation in the offers steep adjusted returns. At 30 year highs, silver is
sceptred isle in 2010. Three, UK growth rates may well rise an accident waiting to happen. All asset bubbles end in
while the Eurozone, plagued by Club Med/Celtic pussycat tears. That much, at least, is certain.
debt woes and a strong Euro, stumble this winter. The The G-20 conclave in Seoul ended with predictable
Euro could well fall significantly against sterling and the platitudes. The Chinese inflation data and the Irish
high yield Australian dollar next month. bailout rumours have now coupled to trigger a global sell
Oil prices have broken above their $65-85 trading range off in risk assets and a rise in the dollar. The financial
due to the lower dollar, Fed quant easing, rise in Chinese markets, as usual, have priced in a worst case scenario
imports, speculative inflows into the London North Sea for Ireland and its nationalised banking system. Since US
Brent and New York West Texas futures contracts and, retail sales rose for a fourth month in October, long-term
above all, Saudi Arabia’s public admission that the Treasury bond yields have begun to move sharply higher
kingdom was comfortable with a $70-90 trading range. as double dip recession risk is priced out of the bond
This is a hugely positive backdrop for cheaply valued, market. This is yen bearish!
reserves rich, high dividend integrated oil supermajor Matein Khalid, fund manager in a royal investment
shares such as Total, whose dividend yield is now an office and writer in finance and geopolitics.
T
his is not the typical article that I would normally are able to grow. So, how did Grahame do in leading the
write for Gulf Business. But this painful event PBO? On the financial and business growth side, since 2008
deserves a tribute to purpose. he led Vodafone Qatar through a $1 billion initial public
On November 2, I found a surprising post on offering and the rollout of service to the public last year.
Facebook reading “Rest in peace Grahame. May God rest The company, which achieved a customer base of 600,000 in
your soul. You were a true respectful gentleman and I September out of a population of about 1.6 million, became
was honoured and privileged to have met you on several the first domestic competitor to QTel. And it hopes to be
occasions. My deep condolences to Jenny, Jess, Kate, your profitable by the year-end. Not bad for two years of work.
friends and colleagues.” I was shocked and confused by But the real tribute to his leadership comes from what
what I was reading until I learned…That Grahame Maher, others have to say:
CEO of Vodafone Qatar, had passed away in the night. “Everyone who worked at Vodafone NZ during Grahame’s
Grahame began his career with Vodafone in 1998, where time has very fond memories of an electric working
he soon after became their CEO. During his three years environment where we believed anything was possible. But
at the helm of Vodafone NZ, the mobile carrier lifted most of all he was down to earth and humble.”
its market share from 16 per cent to 53 per cent. Then “He absolutely believed that people were a company’s
in September 2001 he left to become Chief Executive of most valuable asset and treated everyone, regardless of
Vodafone Australia. Grahame went on to become Chief position, with equal value. He drove a culture that just
Executive of Vodafone Sweden, and can’t be manufactured. It came
Chairman and Chief Executive of Everyone who from his heart and that was clear to
Vodafone Czech Republic before
taking his Qatar role in 2008.
worked at Vodafone everyone. His ready sense of fun was
absolutely infectious.”
Grahame was not your ordinary NZ during “His mission has truly made a
CEO; he believed that the reason an Grahame’s time world of difference for all people in
organisation exists goes beyond profits. Qatar.”
“This is why we exist, our reason for has very fond “Now this guy was healthier than
being, and it goes beyond just making memories of an I. He ran marathons, went on Tour De
money. We simply won’t compromise France-style bike rides, and was an
on it. We need to live it every day in electric working amazingly positive person. So why
everything we do.” As CEO he was environment. did this happen? In Qatar, we don’t
committed to shaping a Purpose question why. We accept that this
Based Organization (PBO). He inspired this approach in every was written by God. It’s in His plan and with every action
operating company that he helmed. there’s some good reason. Maher has left a legacy. Every
For Qatar, Vodafone’s purpose is “To make a world of single person in Vodafone feels for him.”
difference for all people in Qatar.” It is easy to have a In his obituary, Mr Maher’s colleagues remember an
mission or statement. But a purpose is much deeper as “inspiration leader”; his family, a man “who crammed 100
the purpose is your reason for being. Can you imagine the years of life into just 51.”
difference it would make for your business if you were a Grahame himself made a difference to the lives of
Purpose Based Organization? everyone he touched. He was a great CEO, coach, mentor,
Simply put, a PBO is an organisation that holds people and friend. We will all sorely miss his inspiration and
firmly at its heart. When all of your employees understand vision, his passion and energy, and his love for all the
and live the ethos of a PBO, they will know why your people he worked with.
business exists (your purpose), how you work together Will your tribute be to profits or purpose?
(values), where you’re going (your vision) and what you’ll Grahame is survived by his wife Jenny Maher, and his
do to get there (strategies). It also helps to create an daughters Jessica and Kate, both in their 20s.
environment where power is shared, where rules and titles Dr Tommy Weir, vice president of leadership solutions at
are secondary and where people feel valued, respected and Kenexa and author of The CEO Shift.
THE IMPORTANCE OF
CREDIT BUREAUS
The announcement of the UAE’s federal credit information initiative will boost
the economy and ensure good borrowers get preferential rates.
CHRIS J DE BRUIN
A
s banks and regulators continue to fine-tune Credit bureaus also allow for greater information
risk-management processes, the question of sharing which allows lenders to review how much and
credit bureaus has increasingly popped up, at what rate they lend to borrowers. Good borrowers
especially in Asia, where they are still relatively should not be penalised as a result of a large number of
new. The concept has come a little later to this region for bad borrowers – as is the case without a bureau. With the
a number of reasons. establishment of a positive bureau, good borrowers get
Many banks have, in the past, been reluctant to share access to credit at more beneficial interest rates.
credit information with other banks for competitive The UAE Ministry of Finance’s decision to introduce a
reasons, although there has been a shift since the Federal credit bureau is a step made by the government
global economic downturn began. This shift occurred to improve transparency in the UAE’s financial sector.
as financial institutions across the region started Shortly after this announcement, emcredit was made the
looking at new ways to provide a better level of service official credit information agency of Dubai. Both moves
to the market. On the other hand, consumer advocacy will bring about a greater sharing of information between
groups opposed the concept because it was perceived to banks across the UAE .
undermine rules protecting individual privacy. For both bureaus to be a success, getting the correct
In more and more countries, concerns over data infrastructure right is essential as economic growth
sharing has given way to two basic realities: consumers becomes driven by domestic consumption, although
and businesses want easier and exports will remain important.
quicker access to competitively From a What the UAE and a number of
priced loans and banks seek to
make safer, more reliable financial
macroeconomic other countries in the region have
increasingly realised is an
decisions to drive growth. One of point of view, export-led strategy can put them in
the best means of achieving both credit bureaus can a severe boom and bust cycle,
is through the establishment of a whereas personal consumption is a
positive credit bureau. bring about higher mitigating influence.
A positive bureau is one whereby growth rates for Additionally, by building an
banks and other lenders share and informed financial society, consumers
receive all information on a borrower, businesses and will become more aware of their
allowing them to have a holistic the economy. financial exposure and turn to better
view on a person’s credit history. A financial management tools to grow
negative bureau on the other hand only allows for banks/ and protect their wealth effectively and manage their
lenders to view negative information on a borrower finances more closely.
including where he/she has defaulted. Approximately 35 To be successful, credit bureaus need to be either
per cent of potential good customers are refused credit if government-led, or industry controlled and regulated by
an application is only based on negative information. the government. If it is to be a success, such a move must
From a macroeconomic point of view, credit bureaus be a collective initiative by the financial services industry
can bring about higher growth rates for businesses for the benefit of the sector and consumers.
and individuals, and therefore the economy, through an Banks need to be aware of a number of dimensions to
increase in credit lines to those who wish to borrow. truly assess the credit risk of customers. Proactive and
There are several other benefits of positive credit bureaus positive data sharing enables banks to get loans out to
that end up benefiting the economy, organisations and the vast majority of reliable borrowers faster, will help
individuals. It is always important for banks not to with good lending to drive growth in the economy and
lend money to those who are already over leveraged and help protect the end user by providing beneficial interest
therefore unable to pay back their debts – credit bureaus rates to those who are financially responsible.
allow lenders to assess a candidate’s total indebtedness Chris J de Bruin, head of consumer banking, Standard
and calculate a borrower’s capacity to honour their debt. Chartered UAE
100
out of your list of top 100 companies. I wonder why.
But what’s obvious is that quite a lot of these companies are largely
owned by the state who have deep pockets. Banks, utility firms
and telecom companies dominate the list and these are all widely
TOP
So much for the talks about opening up to the private sector. What
we need is government entities divesting their crown jewels for
privatisation. But that is unlikely to happen any time soon.
Christa Dionisio, Doha, Qatar.
Ambiguity challenges economy that characterises the its growth strategy but, on the other
Tommy Weir’s commentary (Gulf UAE today. These ingredients will hand, they tend to forget that they
Business, November, p. 26) on CEO also serve to trim the exponential belong to a world without borders.
turnover rate in the UAE is rather turnover rates. But how come they were able to
worrying for two broad reasons. The Dr. Nnamdi O. Madichie continue their primitive rules?
country seems to be leading other University of Sharjah, UAE. Sovereignty has always been their
markets for all the wrong reasons escape clause. But that defence also
– with a staggering 50 Per cent Secretive equity has its own limit.
CEO turnover rate. Weir cites four I have always been against private Baiju Nimer
interesting challenges about the UAE equity. Granted that they are Bahrain.
market – young, mobile, fast-moving helpful in the transition period of
and ambiguous. privately owned companies to the
The expectation of CEOs to hit public market but their greedy goal Email: Write to the editor,
the ground running might not bode to take multiples of profit from an
Gulf Business, alicia@motivate.ae
well for this market as “what got investment bought three to five
and the letter of the month wins
the CEO here might not be enough years ago was a major reason for
to keep him here.” If the fat pay the world’s financial collapse. And an Alessi watch.
packet in the financial incentive is they are very secretive. For me,
deemed the only motivating factor transparency is the only way to go.
I am sure most OB (organisational How can they teach transparency
behaviour) and HR academics to their portfolio companies if the
and practitioners would argue management decision-making itself
that there is more to performance is opaque?
than an attractive remuneration. John Matthews
An appropriate enabling work Dubai, UAE.
environment, a cohesive team, and
an unambiguous market garnished Telecom tactic
with a set of realistic expectations I love the honesty in your story,
of CEOs should complement the Calling for Growth. Indeed, this
young, mobile and fast-moving region has been very aggressive in
G
lobal economic uncertainty
has seen gold prices soar over
the last 12 months. Since the
yellow stuff’s break above
the key $1,000 an ounce level in early
September 2009, its stellar ride has
continued unabated.
Just over one year later, following the
US Fed’s decision to pump more money
into the American economy through a
process of quantitative easing, the price
of gold has since soared to a record
$1,400 an ounce.
However, QE carries longer term
risks for the country’s economy
and the dollar. It is this uncertainty
that is pushing investors to load
WGC
more gold into their portfolios,
either through acquisition of bullion,
coin, exchange traded funds or “While gold’s role as a protection for their negative correlation with
mining shares. against inflation and a currency equity and financial based markets
The fear is that the dollar weakens hedge are widely known, its ability and so offer an ideal tool for portfolio
further, which means higher prices both to diversify risk and to mitigate diversification, according to Miller.
for commodities that historically are investment losses is increasingly “DGCX gold futures are the
priced in US currency. Oil prices have attracting investor attention,” says exchange’s flagship contract and have
also accelerated to a year long high Juan Carlos Artigas, WGC investment introduced a new pricing benchmark
with the expectation that easier money research manager. for gold in the UAE – namely, the 1kg
will give a substantial upside to many As a result the future for gold is gold futures contract. We expect gold
commodities, but especially precious looking very bright. Year to date trade to grow further in the region
metals such as platinum, palladium, volume for DGCX gold futures as and DGCX is well positioned to benefit
silver as well as gold. at November 9, 2010 was just over from this demand.”
Claire Miller, head of marketing at 425,000 contracts. Average daily How long the trend continues though
Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange volume for DGCX gold futures is dependent on the global economy
(DGCX) told Gulf Business that currently stands at 2,750 contracts. and whether its prospects are as
“uncertainty in the equity markets Overall the exchange has traded fragile as the gold price suggests. In
and economy as a whole, as a result of 1.63 million contracts in the year to several emerging markets such as
the global financial crisis, has led to
increased demand and price volatility
in gold. Institutional investors have also Gold futures are now the DGCX’s flagship
been allocating higher assets to bullion contract with a new pricing benchmark for
linked Exchange Traded Funds”
The World Gold Council (WGC), gold in the UAE – the 1kg gold futures.
which represents the international
gold industry, says that between date, already surpassing the total Russia, central banks have continued to
October 2007 and March 2009 – annual volume achieved in 2009. increase their gold reserves while sales
the height of the global financial The metal is seen by many as a safe by European banks have remained
meltdown – an investor with a haven investment and an asset class negligible in 2010.
portfolio of $10 million experienced which can be easily liquidated to The USA holds more than 72 per
an additional $500,000 loss simply by generate cash. Commodities, including cent of its reserves in gold a total of
not maintaining a position in gold. gold, have traditionally been known 8,100 tonnes. Germany, Italy, France,
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T
he Gulf has a thirst for energy
drinks like no other region in
the world. After a blistering
few years of growth, the
numbers on beverage consumption
are truly staggering.
In the UAE alone about 12
million litres of the energy drinks
are consumed a year. Plus, the UAE
has one of the highest per capita
consumption of drinks in the world –
about 635 litres per year, versus 197
litres annually for the global average.
Annually, approximately 15.5 billion
litres of packaged water, tea and
carbonated drinks are consumed in
the GCC, with Saudi Arabia having the
highest share with approx 65 per cent
and the rest being made up by UAE
(18 per cent), Kuwait (seven per cent),
Oman (six per cent) and Bahrain &
Qatar (two per cent each).
Out of all the beverage categories,
sugary brands are far and away the
best-sellers year after year.
With demand through the roof, the
market has become fiercely competitive, Energy is actually the number one has hired big name endorsers such
verging on the cut-throat. energy drink in the US. It’s bigger than as Michael Schumacher and MotoGP
Underpinning this demand is Red Bull and is the fastest growing World Champion Valentino Rossi.
dry weather, disposal incomes and energy drink in the world. The firm said it’s taken a different
thriving young populations across “We are currently rated 4.5 /5 vs Red approach to Red Bull and other energy
the Gulf states. Bull at 2/5 on taste flavour by BevNet. drink competitors by using these pro-
Red Bull is largely regarded as the com, with Monster Energy being a athlete ambassadors at the forefront
energy drink incumbent in the region, smooth tasting energy drink, unlike of their marketing campaigns.
Red Bull has the first mover advantage
in the Gulf and even though its recession
Beverage demand is driven by dry weather, wasn’t the best, growth, and more
high disposal incomes and thriving young importantly market share, remain solid.
The company will need to keep its wits
populations across the Gulf states. about it in the coming years.
Energy drinks started in Asian
although it suffered a stagnant financial what some describe as the ‘medicinal markets, and Red Bull helped fully
crisis. But US giant Monster recently taste’ of Red Bull.” exploit the category in the west. Since
launched in the UAE through retailer He added: “In terms of retail price, 1998, the firm has been instrumental
African & Eastern to upset the applecart. given the size of the Monster Energy in spreading the word around the
The two players face a brutal fight cans, consumers get double the energy Middle East.
for the Gulf’s sweet tooth. Both tell for approximately the same price, plus Alberto Chahoud, area communication
dramatic growth stories. our extended flavour categories gives us manager for Middle East & Africa at
Damon Tudor, general manager at a broader choice range for consumers.” Red Bull, said: “Engaging our target
African & Eastern, said: “Monster Monster is pulling no punches and audience has always been a main pillar
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C
ash-rich Asians are being
courted by Middle Eastern
countries as a source of
tourism revenue to offset
declining revenue from the traditional
Western markets. This trend was in
full evidence at Asia’s leading tourism
fair, ITB Asia in Singapore where
tourism promotion agencies from a
number of Gulf and Middle Eastern
countries made a strong pitch to
woo tourists from the Association of
Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and
other parts of Asia.
While Egypt’s pyramids have
historically attracted tourists from
around the world, the bulk of its
tourism revenue has always come
from Western countries. “The 21st
century is the century of Asia,” Egypt’s
senior assistant minister of tourism
Hisham Zaazou, declared. S. Iswaran, senior minister of State Singapore (right) and Hisham Zaazou, assistant
“We are using ITB Asia as a minister, Egypt (far right) at the Qatar Tourism pavilion at ITB Asia.
M
Insurance, the UAE’s largest insurer
ohammad Al Marri, 45, a has been denied a licence to operate
perfume shop owner in in this sector.
Sharjah, is not familiar “We tried to obtain a licence but
with the concept of takaful the authorities objected. It can only
insurance. “I’m not used to that, but be offered by a specialised insurance
I would like to have one soon and company,” says Abdul Muttalib Al
perhaps I can also offer that to my Jaidi, CEO of Oman Insurance, noting
staff. And if ever I avail that, I want a that the policy in issuing new licences
policy that follows Islamic principles,” has been rigid.
he says. “We have existing partnerships but
Al Marri is part of a large majority I don’t think the authority is granting
that the insurance sector plans to any new licence. We have not applied
tap. Although volume of insurance for a licence, though,” adds Michel
premiums in the Gulf Corporation Khalaf, Middle East, Africa and South
Council last year grew 28 per cent, Asia president of Alico, which was
compared to the global average of acquired by Metlife earlier this year.
getty images
3.4 per cent, penetration remains The nascent sector also faces a
extremely low at one per cent of number of challenges. First, takaful
the GDP. operators are somewhat constrained
in their investment opportunities. The
The GCC takaful operators fall short most common investment class for
global insurers is investment grade
of industry best practice in terms of rated bonds.
transparency and governance. However, the bond market is not
well developed in the Middle East,
Research by consulting firm Value stood at $2.9 billion in 2008 and primarily due to a small local market
Partners shows that Saudi Arabia – Malaysia, with $900 million, are the for such instruments. There is also
the region’s largest economy – has top takaful markets in the world. no regulatory requirement dictating
penetration of 0.6 per cent which is “In the recent past, cultural practices the asset allocation of insurance
dwarfed by its smaller neighbour the and religious beliefs have limited the companies and takaful operators.
UAE which has a penetration rate of development of the life insurance In a study conducted by Alpen
two per cent. market. However, the growing Capital, the GCC takaful insurers
“Insurance penetration lags behind awareness and acceptance of Islamic score way below their conventional
that of the Western economies, yet insurance is opening up a significant peers in terms of efficiency. The GCC
economic growth rates would be growth opportunity,” Koster says. takaful operators are also falling
the envy of most of the world,” Paul According to Ernst & Young, the short of industry best practice in
Koster, chief executive, Dubai Financial global market for takaful is set to terms of transparency and governance
Services Authority (DFSA) told a global surpass $8.8 billion this year with practices. “The demand for takaful is
industry event in Dubai. contributions growing by 29 per cent there because people always look for
One specific source of growth is in 2008 to $5.3 billion. something different,” says Al Jaidi. “If
the Islamic-compliant insurance (or Zurich Insurance, which recently that new something can add value to
takaful) concept of which dates back acquired 99.98 per cent in Lebanon’s their business then yes, the demand
more than 1,400 years and is based Campagnie Libanaise D’Assurances, will be great but were the takaful
on the principle of mutual guarantee. is bullish that the deal will boost its companies able to offer that added
Saudi Arabia, whose contributions takaful business. “The takaful business value? I don’t think so.” ■
G
ulf financial industry officials
believe that the UAE could
attract nearly $40 billion in
foreign capital into its stock
markets. This follows a decision by the
FTSE index to upgrade the investment
ranking of the emirates’ from frontier
to secondary emerging market status.
Many frontier markets offer attractive
valuations partly because they are
relatively undiscovered, and even less
Naveed Ahmed
correlated with developed markets than
traditional emerging markets. However,
they are mainly limited to niche foreign
investment funds.
It is more than a fine point of
distinction for the legions of fund “Upgrading Arab stock markets ADX introduced exchange trade funds
managers sitting in London, Frankfurt, by international institutions from (ETF) in March one of a few emerging
New York and Tokyo. Emerging market frontier to emerging markets is of markets to do so.
status implies fewer local restrictions great importance at this stage, a Qatar’s bourse, in which the NYSE
on foreign participation, greater course of action that is earnestly Euronext has a 20 per cent stake,
market depth, transparency as well pursued by the UAE owing to is also considering opening up to
as efficient settlement and custody the vast opportunities offered by exchange-traded funds. According
proceedings. The status provides placing Arab stock markets on the to Al Baloushi the upgrading of
a comfort zone making it easier to map of international investment Arab stock markets by international
disburse fund allocations measured opportunities,” says Rashed Al institutions is “of great importance” to
worldwide in billions of dollars a day. Baloushi, deputy chief executive and the investment aims of the region.
In the last two years, professional director of operations of Abu Dhabi He and other professionals in the
investors have, too, become more Securities Exchange (ADX). region are aware though that the
bullish on emerging markets, betting Nasdaq Dubai’s chief executive necessary moves will require Arab
on some of them being a haven Jeff Singer also believes the move is exchanges to adhere increasingly to
international norms and standards
of efficiency for trading, settlement,
Consolidation is another important factor. A clearance, custody and depositary.
region with a population of less than 40 million Consolidation is another important
factor. A region with a population of
is too small to support nine stock markets. less than 40 million is too small to
support nine stock markets. Since the
from an economic slowdown in the significant since many institutional financial crisis gripped the world in
developed world. investors have mandates to invest in late 2008, calls for mergers among the
The Financial Times Stock Exchange emerging markets he points out that region’s stock markets have increased.
(FTSE) list upgraded the UAE stock previously an emerging market fund This would allow exchanges to offer a
markets from frontier to secondary could easily overlook a country that did broad enough liquidity pool to attract
emerging markets in September. not have the classification of emerging sizeable global investments.
Another influential index, Morgan market but it is now likely that funds The merger, in July, of Dubai
Stanley Capital International (MSCI), will allocate an increasing amount Financial Market and Nasdaq Dubai,
has also announced that the UAE of assets to the UAE which could be under one holding company, for
and Qatar will be under review for a measured in billions of dollars. example, is expected to improve
potential reclassification to emerging In an effort to open up to support liquidity, lower brokers’ fees and
markets in 2011. the country’s drive to attract capital, attract more listings.
A
report from the Institute of
International Finance says
the UAE is returning to a
solid growth path, thanks
to robust government spending and
normalisation of global trade.
But some remain sceptical. With
the Dubai sovereign bond prospectus
revealing that half of all projects
registered by Dubai’s Real Estate
Regulatory Agency have been cancelled Dubai Pearl rendering.
and industry forecasts indicating that
supply won’t peak until 2012, there’s industry is also weak but when it on the purchase. DIFCI has an
valid reasons for doubt. recovers, so does real estate. I expect outstanding legal agreement with
Yet against this oversupply that to happen at the end of Dubai Pearl valued at Dhs3 billion
projection, Dubai Pearl has taken bold next year.’’ for the purchase of commercial
steps to continue the project after Currently, Dubai Pearl has zero- space within phase 1. The deal is
months of quiet market observation. debt on its balance sheet. It has sold now being restructured. “We have
The project, known for its plans with 95 per cent of the commercial units considered that. That’s why we may
MGM Mirage to develop Bellagio, and 25 per cent of the residential be increasing our equity and quasi-
MGM Grand and Skylofts, has resumed units. On the surface, Joseph’s job equity base to overcome that. Our
construction activity at the 15 million looks less troubling than that of equity base is Dhs1 billion, but over
square feet development. other Dubai bosses. the next two years we are looking at
It was originally intended for But on closer inspection, the bringing in at least Dhs2 billion of
completion in the 2011-2012 period. company is in a dire need of equity and quasi-equity,” Joseph says.
Because of the crisis, however, Dubai increased liquidity. Although Today, Dubai Pearl is owned by
Pearl construction was divided Dhs 5 billion worth of properties, the Al Fahim Group of Abu Dhabi
into two phases, the first one to be or half of phase one, has been and Joseph. But other institutional
completed in 2013 and the second sold, customers are nevertheless investors have also begun to look at
in 2015. struggling to pay. So in addition to Dubai Pearl as a prime investment,
“We believe markets will show signs the pressure of sourcing cash to claims Joseph.
of good recovery end 2011 or early
2012 and by 2014, we expect markets Markets will show signs of recovery
to reach very stable levels,” says
Santosh Joseph, president and CEO of
by late 2011 or early 2012 and we will
Dubai Pearl. see stable real estate levels by 2014.
“I have been in the real estate
business for 20 years and I have finance the completion, the company “One of the Dubai Pearl’s
seen that every five years there is a has to restructure most of its advantages is we have the work,
cycle. Things will go up again and payment terms. play, stay and live concept
people will realise that the maximum In 2008, DIFC Investments altogether in once place. It’s like a
appreciation is in real estate.” (DIFCI), purchased 29 floors of a city within a city.”
Joseph says one of the main reasons yet-to-be-constructed building So despite the roller coaster ride
real estate is still in a slump condition at the development. This year, of the recession, Joseph exudes a
is the lack of liquidity due to scarce DIFCI claimed that Bisher Barazi, contagious optimism that Dubai –
mortgage lending. “When the banking its former managing director, like Sheikh Mohammed says – will
industry is weak, the real estate failed to carry out due diligence spring back to its feet in time. ■
Dubai-based construction
firm Arabtec Holding said
its board had accepted the
nomination of Abdulla
Kalban, CEO of Dubai
Aluminium Company,
as a new board member
following the resignation
of Arif Naqvi, founder
of Abraaj Capital. The
company also elected
Ibrahim Balsaleh as chairman of the firm’s Audit
Committee, Dr Henry Azzam as chairman of the
Investment Committee and Adel Al Nowais as chairman
of the Nomination and Remuneration Committee.
T
need to collaborate with solution
he telecommunications sectors important in the future, whether partners, such as Etisalat, who
are developing at a relentless between people or machines, we understand every component of the
pace. Competing for market hope to position Etisalat to profit mobility ecosystem.
share, delivering innovative from rising demand for machine-to- In addition, the trend of social
solutions and keeping pace with machine connectivity. The internet networks will spread further
technology were just some challenges will become much more about in the workplace. As the lines
that faced the telecom industry in the
past couple of years. As global markets
evolve, converge and grow, there is a
Growing reliance on mobility is creating
need for operators to be constantly higher stress for the CIOs who have the
updated with capabilities and talents in task of integrating efficiency.
order to keep pace.
Etisalat excelled in its operations connectivity for the customer, between professional and personal
and has continued to spend whether it is customers with communications become increasingly
where needed, whether it is on networks, or machines. There are now blurred, the industry will need
infrastructure such as the fiber optic more machines than people and this to incorporate enterprise social
network, which will be accomplished will be a major area of future growth networking into their overall unified
in UAE in 2011 making Abu Dhabi in the telecom market. communications and strategy.
the first city in the world be fully Mobility solutions have created a Enterprise-grade versions of Facebook,
connected by this network, or in paradigm shift in the way Twitter and Wikis in the workplace
maintaining the quality of services businesses are conducted in the will begin to be as common as e-mail
and networks upgrades. region. While, on the one hand, and will change the way business is
In a world where seamless proliferation of mobile devices are conducted. As a result, the decision-
connectivity will be far more helping to liberate the workforce by making process will be accelerated. ■
I
n 2008, there were $44 billion of
construction contract awards in
the emirate; in 2009 this decreased
to $9 billion; and so far in 2010
there has been just $5 billion of
projects awarded in Dubai. Our home
market, which traditionally accounted
for most of our turnover, has slowed
down in awarding contracts.
The slowdown has resulted in
fierce competition and squeezed
margins, the contracts awarded for
mega projects are not healthy and
for the smaller ones the margins are
even worse. Squeezing margins to
unhealthy levels results in them not
being delivered as they should be;
quality will suffer.
Both the construction and real
estate market in Dubai continued
to exhibit signs of sluggishness
throughout 2010. Arabtec tackles
these issues by maintaining close
and continuous interactions with
clients, particularly with regard
Riad Kamal
to payment terms and completion
schedules, whilst continuing to back
our commitment to the UAE and
our clients.
To compensate for the slowdown in
business in Dubai, the main trends
will be of continued geographical Riad Kamal, CEO of Arabtec, the region’s largest
expansion. The UAE’s construction
market is now driven by development
construction company, says local firms will have to
projects in Abu Dhabi, while, just two expand out of Dubai to survive the near-term.
years ago, it was Dubai’s real estate
projects that dominated the sector.
Abu Dhabi will remain the best
market for contractors in the UAE for infrastructure development projects. We continue to seek both local and
the near future. The UAE accounts Following a challenging period in regional opportunities with the aim
for nearly 20.3 per cent of total 2009 and this year, we are expecting a of continuing to grow and expand
construction industry in the region, more promising 2011 and beyond. In on our current capabilities. We have
followed by Saudi Arabia, Algeria recent months, firms have branched confidence the emerging markets we
and Egypt. into new markets, switching focus are growing in, especially Abu Dhabi,
There is a trend towards moving from private to public sector schemes Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Syria, Qatar,
into infrastructure projects and an and forming new alliances in a bid Bahrain and Angola, will compensate
increased demand for work in this to win work in this increasingly for the reduced opportunities in the
sub-sector caused by the regional competitive environment. UAE market, namely Dubai. ■
macro-economic factors and the
related increased governmental
spending. Most countries in the
To compensate for the slowdown in
MENA region have to cater to a business in Dubai, the main trends will
young growing population and a
faster moving society – this has
be of continued geographical expansion.
created ambitious intentions to push
MOD 70’
On Equal Terms
on the Ocean Planet
"TJB t .JEEMF &BTU t &VSPQF t /PSUI "NFSJDB t 4PVUI "NFSJDB t 0DFBOJB
- Crédits photo : © Yvan Zedda - Multi One Design S.A. 2010
I
t’s important to state that 2010 is
the year where the banking industry
has settled, after two years of trying
to emerge from the financial crisis.
Now, we can say that the market is
stable and there is no fluctuation.
The UAE banking industry has been
through the worst and it’s recovering
now, slow but steadily. In the region,
the crisis has been dealt with very
cautiously to limit damages and
operate at the same time.
Financial institutions now are more
vigilant and decisions to lend are led
by a concrete business plan. Lending
never stopped in such a tough
environment, however, it has slowed
down because certain measures are
James Hogan
while the emirate’s expansion will help
generate more traffic as it becomes
an increasingly sophisticated place to
vacation and to do business.
Etihad will use 2011 to further
CEO of the UAE’s national airline writes that 2011 increase its scale through key strategic
will be a year of increasing frequencies and depth for alliances with likeminded airlines.
Partnering with other carriers in their
corporate customers, as well as boosting alliances. home markets to source greater banks
of traffic is the most effective way we
can design a global network.
2
Out of Korea we will codeshare from
010 was a year where, month Erbil in Iraq; to Nagoya and Tokyo in Seoul and into other Asian cities on
by month, we saw our yields Japan; and to Alexandria, Colombo ASIANA, while they will be doing the
edge rather than gallop and Seoul. same over Abu Dhabi and onwards.
towards pre-crisis levels. We also increased our frequencies We have partnered with Virgin’s
And as the year concludes, I’d say on our services to Beijing, Beirut, Australian airline brands to connect
we’re pretty much there. There were Brussels, Cairo, Dublin, Frankfurt, our passengers across that vast
no seismic shifts for global aviation
in 2010. But, certainly, there was
consolidation – British Airways and
We will take delivery of six widebody
Iberia in Europe; Delta and Northwest, aircraft, almost all of which will be
as well as Continental and United
in the US, both eclipsing American
allocated to our existing route network.
Airlines as the world’s largest carrier.
And Emirates overtook Lufthansa as Geneva, Hyderabad, Manila and continent and into New Zealand the
the largest international carrier. Milan. So I’d say this year our Pacific Islands. And from February
But it was mainly a year that growth has been unmistakable, if not next year, V Australia will be the first
fortified the existing trends. One of headline grabbing. Australian airline to operate into the
those trends is the growth of the Gulf, 2011 is likely to be similarly steady. Middle East for twenty years.
both as a passenger hub and as an We will take delivery of six widebody But making too many predictions
endpoint. Etihad, like its competitors aircraft, almost all of which will is a pointless practice in the aviation
in the Gulf, is growing strongly. We be allocated to our existing route industry. Anything can happen. The
took delivery of four aircraft this year network to increase our frequencies, best strategy is to always be prepared
and launched routes to Baghdad and adding depth to the network. We know for the best and the worst. ■
Samer Majali
We opened 11 new destinations,
10 of which are within the MENA
region. We brought in 12 new aircraft
and phased out 12 older aircraft,
reducing the average age of our fleet
to just 6.8 years.
CEO of Bahrain-government owned airline Financially, our costs have come
Gulf Air says there will be turbulent times ahead down and losses have reduced while
our load factors and punctuality have
for the industry, with brighter skies to come. improved significantly. Our ultimate
goal is to continue to improve our
S
customer travel experience with
omeone once said the only record 11 per cent growth. Leading this superior and more consistent products
way to make a million growth is the Middle East which set as we continue implementing our
dollars in the airline for a 15.2 per cent increase this year. strategy through 2011.
business was to start with a This remarkable progress is driven Though our strategy has seen
billion; somewhat ironic considering by the region’s oil wealth, its unique us stay on in the right track during
that the aviation industry is the geographical position making it a 2010, we are approaching 2011 with
greatest catalyst of the global
economy, driving more than a trillion
dollars in economic activity.
I believe that, despite all the positive
The problem facing airlines is their signals, full recovery in the industry will
susceptibility to external factors; no not come until after 2014.
industry in the world can be more
volatile than the aviation industry. transit hub between the East and cautious optimism. We will continue to
If 2009 mauled the industry with the West, improved airplane and maintain our leadership position in the
economic recession, 2010 punished it airport capabilities and the owner ME region, but will also connect the
with rising fuel prices. Yet commercial countries ambitious growth and region with the key financial capitals
aviation has demonstrated resilience investment plans. of the world. Coming back to my 2011
in the past and will continue to do so Despite all the positive investment, predictions for the industry in general,
in the future. operating in the region is far from I believe that despite all the positive
This year is a perfect example; easy. Planned aircraft purchases of signals, full recovery will not come
despite difficult operating conditions, $200 billion over the next decade will until after 2014. But 2014 is not far off
the industry is set to return to the flood the market with over-capacity, and I am optimistic that the coming
’black’ this year, expecting to post an resulting in the more generously- years will be bullish. Maybe investing a
estimated $8.9 billion in profit and funded carriers subsidising fares as billion may be a wise idea now! ■
T
he closing months of the year
look to be bringing some
relief to the financial services
industry and we will enter
2011 with cautious optimism.
Without question, 2010 had a
profound impact on our industry.
We have seen many of our smaller
competitors fall away and industry
consolidation increase. In brokerage,
we have seen a reduction of the
number of securities firms by a third
to around 70 and predict this will
continue into 2011. For larger players
such as Shuaa, this consolidation,
along with flight to quality, will
benefit our business and help increase
our market share.
The financial crisis has forced
Sameer Al Ansari
leadership teams to reassess their
strategy and to refocus on core
strengths. This has also been the case
at Shuaa, where we spent the last
12 months rebuilding the business
and implementing a more focused
fee-based strategy, developing CEO of investment firm Shuaa Capital says the
our management, governance,
internal processes and systems and
Dubai World restructure will usher in a more
positioning ourselves for the eventual positive financial year in 2011.
recovery. We went into 2010 with over
100 business improvement projects,
of which two thirds have already launch of a number of important emerge with the first IPOs in 2011.
been delivered and are now part transactions. Dubai’s successful Acquisitions have been few and
of ‘business as usual’. As a result, sovereign bond launch reassured far between in recent years as
we have become more efficient and markets that Dubai was over its buyers and sellers have remained
better-positioned to compete across credit difficulties. This was followed resolutely far apart on price. This
our core markets. by several successful key Dubai looks to be changing slowly as asset
valuations fall and financing for
Firms have been strengthening their good transactions in certain sectors
becomes available.
finances, improving working capital and Organic growth has been hampered
reducing balance sheet liabilities. by reduced access to capital and we
expect sources of bank funding to
Many companies have been corporate bond offerings, a clear remain tight into 2011.
strengthening their financial position, testament to the positive sentiment Although there are signs of a shift
improving working capital, tightening that Dubai is receiving from back into equities, investors remain
costs and reducing balance sheet regional and international investors. primarily interested in lower risk
liabilities. This has been a major Additionally, we saw a number of IPO fixed income products.
focus for Shuaa and we leave 2010 launches across the Gulf, including Since I joined Shuaa Capital just
with a much stronger balance sheet Axiom Telecom, the first in the UAE over a year ago, I have led a major
and more focused business than when for over two years. Shuaa has been change programme. We also have a
we entered it. working on several IPOs which are to strong view that the GCC region, and
Since September, we have seen a launch shortly and expect defensive the UAE in particular with strong
pick-up in market sentiment with sectors, including consumer and food fundamentals, will be clear winners
trading volumes increasing and the products, as well as healthcare, to in the medium to long-term. ■
DEFINE
new perspectives.
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CEOs DIFCA
O
ver the course of 2010 we
have seen an important
shift in sentiment towards
the economic climate of
the GCC. This time last year we were
facing significant challenges, with
regional economic confidence at
possibly its lowest point since the
invasion of Kuwait in 1991. However,
decades of careful planning,
investment and guidance by our
governments have ensured that
the long-term fundamentals of our
economies are strong, resilient and
capable of withstanding the worst
economic crisis the world has faced
since 1929.
Dubai International Financial
Centre was established with the
aim of being a leading international
financial centre, serving not just
Dubai and the UAE, but the entire
region. Since its inception in 2004,
Abdulla M. Al Awar
DIFC has become recognised as
the gateway connecting the Middle
East, Africa and South Asia (MEASA)
region and the world. Today, DIFC,
with its modern infrastructure,
free zone status and self-governing
laws and courts, is the pre-eminent
The CEO of Dubai International Financial Centre
and favoured financial centre in the Authority is hopeful for a shift in confidence
region. These facets have enabled
DIFC to continue to make a going into 2011.
major contribution to the UAE’s
economy throughout the global
economic crisis. growth of our clients as it is this and analysis of the core business
Despite the testing times, DIFC which determines our success. By proposition. This included extensive
now comprises of 760 active working closely with our clients analysis and benchmarking of costs.
registered companies, with 299 we are able to tailor DIFC to their Accordingly, DIFC is currently
regulated and 384 non-regulated specific needs, allowing them to use reducing the cost of doing business
from the centre and will enhance its
client services.
Equity markets are picking up as liquidity As we look to 2011, we can
eases and firms are looking to deploy dry expect the region to continue on
its path to recovery. I firmly
powder, this will inject life into the economy. believe the worst is behind us.
Equity and debt markets are picking
companies and 77 retailers. We DIFC to grow their businesses and be up as liquidity eases and firms
are able to count 16 of the world’s as competitive as possible. are looking to deploy dry powder,
top 20 banks, 14 of the world’s 20 Perhaps the most significant case this will inject life into the wider
largest asset managers and four of of working with our clients was in economy. DIFC will continue to
the world’s five largest insurers as the first half of 2010 when DIFC’s work closely with its clients
members of our community. senior management, in consultation throughout 2011 as we strive
We at DIFC are committed to with its clients, completed a towards developing not just our own
supporting and encouraging the comprehensive strategic review businesses, but also the region’s. ■
Ammar AlKhudairy
has forced exits away from the other
‘copy-paste’ approach that prevailed
– namely IPO exits. Now that IPOs
have proven more difficult to pull off,
investors will have to pour blood,
Private equity firm Amwal AlKhaleej says 2011 sweat and tears into identifying and
will mean putting into practice modesty lessons planning for exits. Going forward, exits
will be very meticulously planned from
learned from the financial crisis. the outset, and much of the holding
period will be spent polishing up and
A
positioning the investment for what
s private equity investment Perhaps the first application of post- will likely be a trade sale exit.
starts to come out of the crisis wisdom for MENA investment In conclusion, we believe that
cautious environment that is to adopt the right model for the starting 2011 and for the next few
has prevailed since the right region. Against this background, years to come, MENA private equity
financial crisis, Amwal AlKhaleej, and in the absence of the plentiful stands to see some creativity, hard
along with its peers, has been taking debt that was the hallmark of pre- work and potentially lucrative exits.
stock of lessons learnt from the
tumultuous times brought on by Perhaps the first application of post-crisis
the events of 2008 and 2009. With
2010 and 2011 promising to be wisdom for MENA investment is to adopt
good vintages for private equity the right model for the right region.
investments, every deal maker will
have the lessons learnt from the crisis times, investors will turn away Through a combination of strict price
financial crisis engrained in their from ‘copy-paste’ use of debt, in discipline, a hands-on approach
minds forever, and it is these lessons favour of back-to-basics investing to operational and strategic value
that will shape private equity in the where higher returns are a function addition and continuing to partner
MENA going forward. For Amwal of value creation, not leveraging and with management capable of taking
AlKhaleej, these lessons are three- flipping. For Amwal AlKhaleej this companies to the next level, we at
dimensional: a strict price discipline has served to underscore our policy Amwal AlKhaleej are confident that
with respect to entry valuations, a of unleveraged growth investing in we will successfully build value into
continued emphasis on value creation, sectors where competitive advantages our portfolio companies and build
and keeping an eye on tangible exits prevail. Our investments in Saudi towards realising the exits that
based on fundamentals that are Arabia are betting on demand for will confirm that 2011 can lead to
planned from the outset. education services, healthcare and excellent vintage years. ■
Dave Lesar
demand in 2012 to exceed the peak of
the fourth quarter of 2007.
In North America, the primary
fact is relatively stable prices for oil,
but soft prices for natural gas. This
is causing operators to invest more
The chairman, president and CEO of Halliburton heavily in oil and liquids-rich plays,
predicts growth for the energy sector in 2011, causing us to position our resources
in those basins.
particularly for unconventional resources. Weak natural gas fundamentals will
likely restrain dry gas directed drilling
H
and completions next year. However,
alliburton and other changes in the relative demand make we believe strongly in the long-term
integrated energy services us redeploy assets. prospects for the North American gas
companies provide the well The most important phenomenon market, and we are working with our
construction and reservoir shaping the energy business in customers to create new business
evaluation services our customers 2011 and beyond is the dramatic models that will keep the rigs working
need to create producing oil and rise of unconventional resources, in those basins even if short-term gas
gas fields.
We go where the work is – wherever
national oil companies, international
Unconventionals depend on horizontal
oil companies and independents are drilling and completions technology –
exploring and developing fields. We both areas of strength for Halliburton.
have more than 55,000 employees
working in more than 70 countries; especially shale gas. Unconventionals fundamentals decline.
managing that vast infrastructure depend on horizontal drilling and We anticipate 2011 will be a
so we have the right technology, sophisticated multi-stage fracturing year of solid if not spectacular
equipment and expertise where our and completions technology – both growth in the energy industry and
customers need it most is one of our areas of strength for Halliburton. for Halliburton. Most importantly,
greatest challenges. These advanced technologies are the fundamental trends in energy
Being in the right place at also finding increasing application demand, combined with our
the right time demands close in conventional oil developments; constantly improving technical
cooperation with our customers so this will be positive for our future ability to develop oil and gas
we can anticipate their needs, and business and for energy supply. resources, point to a continued
it demands flexibility and quick Across the Eastern Hemisphere, strong demand for our services
responses, because even slight unconventional basins are around the world. ■
Tarek Sultan
This year has been a year of
transition for Agility – but we’re
closing the year in good shape to
take advantage of the major business
opportunities we see ahead for
Chairman of Kuwait logistics giant Agility says us in 2011. Our Global Integrated
Logistics business serves thousands
industry will face higher fuel costs and regulatory of commercial customers across
more than 120 countries and will
changes, but growth lies in emerging markets drive our growth in the coming year –
especially in emerging markets.
Emerging market leadership
T
continues to differentiate the
he logistics and Being able to tell our customers company, and it’s where we continue
transportation industry where their freight is at any time, to make big investments. Agility is
continues to be impacted being able instantly to identify, the only player in the industry top 10
adversely by repercussions escalate and address issues – and with roots in developing markets. It’s
of the global financial crisis of late even track the carbon impact of where we have grown our business
2008. GDP declined in nearly every shipments – are becoming real and it’s where we have an edge
country; global trade was down nine differentiators. Technology can help over the competition. Many of our
per cent in 2009 and international air us provide these “real time” solutions, customers see their best opportunities
and sea freight volumes followed suit, and at Agility, we are investing here too, so Agility is uniquely
dropping 10 per cent in 2009. Figures heavily in our technology platform. positioned to meet their needs. ■
for 2010 are unlikely to be stellar.
Against this backdrop, customers
are looking to us more than ever to Being able to tell our customers where
contain cost while providing tailored, their freight is and being able to address
value added solutions. This has driven
an increased focus on the role of issues are becoming real differentiators.
technology across the industry.
ECO-DRIVE, WORLD-FIRST
ECO-FRIENDLY TECHNOLOGY
BY CITIZEN
Back in 1976, Citizen
has had the foresight to
commercialise the analogue
solar watch and commitment to
develop it further to contribute to the
sustainable life style.
In 1995, before the word “eco”
became commonplace in Japan, we
came up with the name “Eco-Drive”
for Citizen’s range of watches fitted
with solar cells that uses any source
of light absorbed through the crystal
and dial to power a rechargeable
battery. Eco-Drive constantly keeps
on running anytime and anywhere,
as long as there is light.
Since battery changes are never
required, Eco-Drive watches well
meet the universal demand for
environmentally friendly products. If
the total of 7.2 million pieces sales
of Eco-Drive watches in 2005-
2007 had been conventional quartz
watches, their primary batteries
could be piled up to 1.7 times the
height of Mt. Everest and such a
massive quantity of batteries would
have been eventually dumped into
the soil.
Ever since becoming the first
watches to be granted Eco-Mark Noboru Yamaguchi, General Manager Citizen Watches Gulf Co.
certification in Japan in 1996, as
well as the Chinese Eco-Mark in
2001, our Eco-Drive watches have
continued to lead the solar-powered Eco-Drive concept models, but also
watch market. all our models of Eco-Drive watches
At BASEL WORLD in 2009 and feature the innovative designs and
2010, we unveiled Eco-Drive powered by Eco-Drive engine inside
concept models, demonstrating the casing.
Citizen’s potential for the future and I am proud to say that Citizen
towards the eco-sustainability in would commit ourselves to
terms of expanding the possibilities endeavour to deliver comfortable and
of design and technology. Not only exciting eco-friendly time to you.
CEOs GE
A
chieving a sustainable
energy future for the
Middle East is clearly
one of the most pressing
issues facing the region today. Next
year will continue to see countries
in the region working hard to meet
the increasing energy demand –
projected to double for power and
triple for water over the next 20
years. With no silver bullet in sight,
pursuing a sustainable energy future
requires a comprehensive approach,
with countries in the region looking
at diversifying the power generation
technology mix and increasing the
adoption of wastewater reuse.
To meet the growing energy
demand, regional governments
are also encouraging increased
Joseph Anis
private investments into new energy
infrastructure projects in the form
of Public Private Partnerships which
support national privatisation
strategies for utilities.
On the power side, reflecting global
The president of GE Energy in the Middle East
trends, renewable and alternative presses for a sustainable energy plan in the region
energy will play an increasingly
significant role in the regional power and ramps up Gulf investment plans.
mix. Some countries have already
set a target in order to encourage
the adoption of new technology. The generation capacity, there is also an integration of power and water at
establishment of long-term renewable urgent need to enhance the flexibility, a single site. Integrated Water and
energy targets for Abu Dhabi and efficiency and reliability of the grid Power Plants (IWPP) are gaining
Egypt are cases in point. and transmission and distribution strength, as they are able to achieve
However, with fossil fuels and of electricity. economies of scale by providing two
thermal energy continuing to be New technologies, such as Smart essential resources simultaneously.
the mainstay for regional power Grid that GE is investing in to GE has played a key role in
generation, the public and private deliver cleaner, smarter, and more supplying innovative technology to
sectors are working together to efficient solutions, will gain more key regional IWPP projects in Oman,
implement solutions to enhance the attention as the region begins to Bahrain, UAE
efficiency of power generation while integrate the delivery of energy from and Saudi’s Marafiq, the world’s
fulfilling environmental obligations. different sources. largest IWPP.
The region is increasingly turning On the water side, regional GE has been a growth partner in
to emission-reducing technologies to governments are looking into the region’s energy infrastructure
promote a sustainable environment, technologies that can maximise the growth for almost 80 years. We
with countries such as Qatar use of water while greening announced over $11 billion in energy
already putting in place regulatory the environment. Another trend that projects that support the region’s
requirements that limit emission we are seeing in the region is the growth in the last 24 months. ■
levels. Technologies such as DLN
that GE is supplying to utility and As the region increases its power
industrial customers around the
region can go a long way to fulfilling
generation capacity, there is an urgent
environmental obligations. need to enhance grid efficiency.
As the region increases its power
I
n the last decade, the corporate
world has accepted that
sustainability can save money,
increase efficiency and ultimately
boost profits. Indeed, although
the Gulf has been somewhat of
a late bloomer in this regard,
businesses and governments
have taken to environmental action
in a big way. This has often led to big
statements like Abu Dhabi hosting the
International Renewable Energy
Agency, the construction of Masdar
City or Saudi Arabia’s numerous large
scale eco-cities.
Yet, companies are still struggling
to find day-to-day practical examples
of implementing their broad
commitments to the environment. Switch bowling centre, pool hall.
Plus, they often battle with the exact
definition of corporate sustainability.
A key moment in all of this was the
UK government’s publication in 2006
of the groundbreaking Stern Review
on the Economics of Climate Change,
which served as a wake-up call for
many businesses to take action on
managing their climate impact.
The 700-page report written by
economist Nicholas Stern, chair of
the Grantham Research Institute on
Climate Change and the Environment
at the London School of Economics, was
internationally hailed for putting the
challenge of climate change into terms
that corporate leaders could understand.
This helped to cement the concept
that increasing your bottom line
doesn’t have to mean depleting the
earth’s resources.
To take it further, some would say
the only reason that corporations have
taken action in recent years is precisely
because being green made financial
sense to their bottom line.
Tim Drury, Unilever’s vice president
iStock
December 2010 gulfbusiness 67
FEATURES GREEN SPECIAL REPORT
emissions, and waste management/ product – anything from hula hoops to Drury said: “We replaced the
recycling practices. If suppliers heavy machinery – if you do it in a way wooden pallets, that are traditionally
want to stay on IBM’s radar, they that is more efficient, you’ll consume used by Unilever’s Global Tea Supply
have to report their results and ask less energy, save money on energy Network to ship teas worldwide, with
subcontractors to do the same thing. costs and lessen your contribution slip sheets. It was initiated by the
Wayne Balta, IBM’s vice president to greenhouse gas emissions. We’re Lipton factory at Jebel Ali, Dubai in
of corporate environmental affairs seeing this across all industries.” which tea raw materials have been
and product safety, said: “A key Practical environmental solutions received on the slip-sheets from
aspect of this programme is that don’t have to be as large as IBM’s Assam, India to Dubai. It is a classic
we want suppliers to create a gesture, though. Major said one example of Unilever’s belief of ‘small
management system that works for particular product development actions making a big difference’.
their particular business operations. which seemed to have caught people’s “This eco-friendly initiative enabled
Since our suppliers are diverse, imagination is Light & Space paint. Lipton to save wood while also
there cannot be a one-size-fits-all “This paint is more that 20 per cent minimise shipping costs by increasing
solution. Some are huge publically- more efficient at reflecting available loadability per container. The slip-
traded companies while others may light, so dark rooms require less light sheets are much thinner than the
be small businesses with much fewer to appear equally bright. This means traditional wooden pallets which
employees. We want them all to you have to turn your lights on less helps cut down transportation and
build long-term sustainability in a often and when you do they can be of a fuel costs while reducing the impact
way that is integral to their routine lower wattage or power consumption.” on the environment,” he added.
operations, not as an add-on fix.” Meanwhile, at Unilever, Drury Regardless of the size of the
He added: “We’re seeing more said one of the firm’s most effective initiative, it’s clear that doing
activity in areas where business green endeavours was hatched out something sustainable is doing
interests intersect with the of its Lipton factory in the UAE and something savvy. In fact, going green
environment and sustainability. More involved replacing costly wooden properly, which experts say is not
companies are realising that what is pallets with environmentally friendly just cynically jumping on the green
good for the environment is good for polly plastic slip sheets. bandwagon, will drive the sort of
business, especially when it makes a Logistics companies globally agree behavior which will add to your
company more efficient and effective. that wooden pallets are now too bottom line profitability and therefore
A case in point: if you produce a expensive to buy, ship and dispose of. shareholder delight. ■
Regional renewal
The Gulf is starting to take sustainabilty seriously and has launched some of
the world’s most ambitious green projects, writes RYAN HARRISON.
S
ome will say the Gulf It‘s only natural that the debate to take advantage of it. After all, their
has had little choice around harnessing renewable sources oil and natural gas reserves are also
but to pump billions of energy has centred on solar. limited capital that is not increasing.
of dollars into Indeed, the Gulf is a global leader in “Start living on the solar income to
sustainable green producing green ventures to recycle change from using capital to using
projects; after all, oil the sun’s power. annual income from the sun,” he
has a shelf life. Yet Donald Huisingh, from the added. A company that specialises in
Governments, Institute for a Secure and Sustainable making that happen is SunTech, which
however, argue it’s their social duty to Environment at the University of is now the world’s largest producer of
protect the future of their citizens. Tennessee in the US, said still more solar panels.
But in all of this there’s no disputing needs to be done on the research and The firm has shipped more than 12
that the petrodollars invested in development side to fully make the million solar panels and works with
green initiatives in recent years have transition to solar-based systems. hundreds of partners in more than 80
spawned some of the most exciting “The Middle East has so much countries around the world.
and innovative projects in the world. wealth and so much sun, they need But James Hu, president of Asia
December 2010 gulfbusiness 71
FEATURES GREEN SPECIAL REPORT
Hotels go green
GCC hospitality firms are upping the eco stakes to capture the increasingly
lucrative green tourist, writes RYAN HARRISON.
F
rom simple recycling of energy is estimated at 40 per cent to produce a booklet that will detail all
to the more creative of total energy used, and they are the birds that live on the Creek.
solar water heaters, estimated to produce over 50 per cent For these hotels, the debate has
all methods are of all waste. moved on from basic activities, such as
being deployed as At the very least, environmentalists using lower energy usage light bulbs
hoteliers attempt to say that for hotels – which are massive and the recycling of materials and
limit the damage their consumers of both water and electricity segregation of plastics and glass. It’s
businesses have on the – there’s a lot of room for improvement. now more about convincing tourists
environment. And because hospitality One of the routes taken by four and local authorities that green is part
is a pillar of all Gulf economies, it will star hotel Qamardeen, near Dubai’s of the culture of the hotel.
be uplifting for tourist authorities to Burj Khalifa, was to simply raise For instance, Park Hyatt Dubai
see action taken, particularly given the awareness. It recently took part in the upgraded its light fittings and air-
spending power of green travelers. annual Clean up the World initiative conditioning units to an economy
According to the World Tourism organised by Dubai Municipality, an mode that can be applied to each of the
Organisation, sustainable tourism effort that also involves providing four wings; it installed a composting
today is estimated at 11.4 per cent of handbooks from the Dubai Electrical programme; and a Treat Sewage
global consumer travel spend & Water Authority to new members of Effluent plant used to power cooling
It’s also estimated that buildings staff and guests. towers and for external irrigation.
use one third of the world’s energy Park Hyatt has taken a similar There are plans to use that water for
resources to run their lighting, heating approach, also taking part in clean-up its laundry at some point in the future.
and air-conditioning systems. Within campaigns at Dubai Creek and teaming Meanwhile, the Hyatt Regency said
the region, buildings’ consumption up with the Emirates Wildlife Society that in the last year its Gulf hotels
December 2010 gulfbusiness 75
FEATURES SHIPPING
Turning tides
After two slow years, the regional shipping industry is confident that the
worst of the stormy waters has passed, writes KAREN REMO-LISTANA.
GOP-Bahrain
L
ast year, hundreds of UAE twice a month.” Their ship arrived officer, United Arab Shipping
seafarers were afforded in the UAE waters in July 2009 to fuel Company (UASC). As it was more
the luxury of visiting up. But with no orders, the vessel cost-effective to have the vessels idle
tourist spots in the UAE had to stay there until March this than have them sail with less than
as their vessels lay idle year. At a rate of $30,000 per day, that 50 per cent utilisation, shipowners
in the port of Fujairah. translates to losses of around pulled significant capacity out of the
“There was nothing to $5.4 million. trade and shed thousands of jobs to
ship,” recounts Manuel But that case was just a drop in the remain afloat.
Atienza, a Filipino seafarer whose ship ocean. Globally, the recession cost But the sector, a macro-economic
was kept idle for eight months. “It was $15 billion to $25 billion losses in the barometer, seems to be on its way to
a blessing in disguise though. I could shipping and port industry, estimates recovery. Atienza and his crew, along
visit my friends and relatives in the Waleed Al Dawood, chief operating with many others, have sailed back to
Since 1999, we have been serving clients in the Middle East, both with our minds, and our hearts.
For our financial services, real estate, retail, manufacturing, trading, and government clients,
www.cedar-consulting.com
SHIPPING
General Organisation of Sea Ports (GOP) in Bahrain saw a 33 per cent net profit increase in 2009 over 2008.
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in the boom years, analysts said. There throughput, is also on track to meet
are much cheaper ways to expand its $2.5 billion capital expenditure
fleets, such as buying used ships. programme. The global port operator
Meanwhile, ports are also back to spent $411 million in the first half
growth and expansion mode. and plans to spend $589 million in
The General Organisation of Sea the second half. The remaining $1.5
Ports (GOP) in Bahrain, which saw a billion will be allocated for 2011 and
33 per cent net profit increase in 2009 2012 investments.
over 2008, is pushing ahead with its Gulftainer, a Sharjah-based port
expansion plan. GOP chairman Shaikh operator, has registered a 23.75 per
Daij bin Salman Al Khalifa says the cent growth in traffic in the first five
second phase of Khalifa Bin Salman months of this year and is bullish of
Port expansion is on track, increasing a double-digit growth in container
capacity from 1.1 million TEUs to 2.5 volumes for 2010 over the 2.75 million
million TEU. TEUs handled in 2009.
“I do not foresee any serious “We are outlining $100 million capex
oversupply situation with regard to this year,” says Gulftainer managing
port capacity, especially as the region director Peter Richards.
is fast becoming one of the most “For us, we don’t just jump into the
dynamic global ports and maritime boom. Our strategy is to look at niches
centre,” he says. which we can afford and where we can
“This process is assisted by see good returns on our investments.”
the fact that the global economic The common consensus in the
equations are changing drastically region’s shipping industry is that as
with the economies of several Asian economic recovery spurs another wave
nations growing by over eight per of expansion, moderation will be the
cent per annum.” key. Double-digit growth may still be
DP World, which witnessed 14 achievable but it must be driven by
per cent growth in consolidated well-structured business plans. ■
Aerial
ambitions
The launch of Dubai’s first
satellite has spurred a raft
of local space-endeavours,
writes MARTIN MORRIS. 58
F
ormerly the preserve four-fold agenda includes promoting It is also spearheading the Dubai
of the major advanced scientific research/ Space Programme, including the
economic powers, technology innovation in Dubai and DubaiSat series of satellites.
the space industry the UAE; creating an internationally DubaiSat-1, launched from the
in recent years has competitive base for human skills Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan
seen an opening development; positioning Dubai and in July 2009, is the UAE’s first remote
up to new players the UAE as a science and technology sensing satellite. Images of Earth
looking to match development hub; and establishing relayed back to a ground station in
their ambitions – more usually international collaborative links Dubai are being used by the UAE
in the field of scientific research. and joint projects with industry and government to help plan future land
The UAE is proving no exception. research organisations. development programmes.
Central to its space ambitions is EIAST focuses on four main Meanwhile, in October, EIAST
EIAST (The Emirates Institution for scientific programmes: space, and the Institute for Community
Advanced Science and Technology). astronomy, energy and environment Engagement (ICE) of Zayed University
Set up in 2006, the organisation’s and water research. (ZU) formally agreed to pursue
Virgin Galactic
– recently saw the first UAE nationals
participating in a student internship
programme at NASA’s Ames Research
Center in Moffett Field, California. Bill Richardson (left) and Sir Richard Branson (right), Virgin Galactic.
Previously only open to US
citizens, the deal will see up to 12 Aabar investments – the non-energy America in Upham, New Mexico – the
UAE students participating each investment arm of state-owned world’s first.
year for three years. Shamma Al International Petroleum Investment In December 2009, Virgin Galactic
Qassim, 19, Hazza Bani Malek, 20, Company (IPIC) – announced it had unveiled the first commercial
and Hamad Rajab, 21, formed the first taken a $280 million, 32 per cent passenger spaceship – SpaceShip Two,
intake, having been selected for the stake in Virgin Galactic – previously a set to propel tourists into space (and
NASA education initiative to work wholly-owned subsidiary of Branson’s zero gravity) within two to three years.
with top scientists on a variety of Virgin Group established as a space Designed by US-based company
projects, including the space shuttle tourism company in 2004 to develop Scaled Composites and legendary
and International Space Station, sub-orbital spacecraft with US partner aircraft builder Burt Rutan,
deep space missions, solar system Scaled Composites. SpaceShipTwo evolved from the
exploration and aeronautics research. As part of the deal, Aabar said it smaller SpaceShipOne rocket plane
Al Qassim, a computer engineering planned to build a spaceport in Abu that won the $10 million Ansari X
major at the American University Dhabi and would have rights to all Prize in 2004 for becoming the first
of Sharjah, will be applying her Virgin Galactic traffic in the region. commercial manned rocket to reach an
studies in satellite thermal data While there is yet no timeframe for altitude of 100 kilometers, or 62 miles.
analysis to predict earthquakes when the spaceport will be built and While SpaceShip Two is still seen
through the detection of stresses in become operational, Virgin confirmed in many quarters as a big gamble
the Earth’s crust.
As NASA Ames Center Director As the UAE becomes increasingly
Pete Worden puts it: “Under this
programme, the goodwill generated engaged in the academic sphere, so it
by students working side by side also aims to be at the forefront in the
with our NASA scientists and
researchers will serve as a bridge
commercial sphere.
between the USA and UAE, opening Aabar’s infusion would be sufficient on the commercial viability of space
doors for future collaboration in to fully fund the company through to tourism, there has been no shortage of
scientific research.’’ As the UAE when it commences commercial space paying customers, with 370 would-
becomes increasingly engaged in the tourist operations. be astronauts – including around 20
academic sphere, so it also aims to Aabar also announced it was setting from the Gulf–signing up. The first
be at the forefront in the commercial aside $100 million to build a small 100 passengers have already paid
sphere as Sir Richard Branson and satellite launching facility, suggesting the necessary $200,000 up-front and
his Virgin Group looks to make the the team plans to use the spaceport as booked their rides into space.
businessman’s dream of putting a base for scientific research as well To get into space the VSS
‘tourists’ into space a reality. as space tourism. Enterprise, attached to its mother
Indeed, space tourism in the Middle Virgin Galactic’s principal ship White Knight 2, will climb to
East took a major step forward in operations, however, will be run out 50,000 feet before detaching. Its
July 2009 when Abu Dhabi-based of the recently opened Spaceport rocket motors will then ignite, taking
Hey
spender
The Gulf’s appetite for luxury brands survived the recession and
double digit growth is expected by 2012, writes ALICIA BULLER.
T
he latest round of global
austerity cuts couldn’t be
further from mindset of the
luxury consumer, according
to the latest figures. After
two slow years, the world’s
well-heeled sheppers are
digging deep into their
pockets once again for high-end goods.
While the sector experienced an eight per
cent slump in 2009, sales of expensive leisure
goods are now set to grow by four per cent
this year up to $191 billion, according to an
analysis of 220 global luxury goods firms by
consulting firm Bain & Company.
The general consensus is that the future of
bling – from clothes, to accessories, to cars –
is a glittering one.
December 2010 gulfbusiness 89
FEATURES LUXURY
an ADPC company
PROFILE LUXURY
Everlasting beauty
GULF BUSINESS talks to consumers get influenced by and adopt.
Consumers in the Gulf have adopted the
president of Clarins luxury lifestyle from quite sometime
Group Middle East, and will continue adopting it as long as
their financial situation is not adversely
Osama Rinno, about the affected. The availability of brands and
how they are displayed, especially with
rise of luxury skincare. the enormous retail space they occupy,
L
continues to attract consumers which
triggers demand.
uxury skincare and
make-up brand Is it true that ‘beauty’ is a
Clarins first put its recession proof business?
Parisian roots down I agree with this. Before the global
in the Middle East in crisis, I would have had my doubts.
Dubai in 2000. Osama Today, this crisis has taught us that
Rinno was charged brands that have done their work
with establishing a properly and have invested over the
full operations hub and eventually years in building a solid foundation are
converting all the GCC countries not affected. Furthermore, I am sure
from distributor representation to a that you have heard of the Lipstick
servicing agents representation, giving index. Lipstick sales could be an
Clarins Group Middle East (CGME) economic indicator, in that purchases
control of the day-to-day operation of of cosmetics tend to be inversely
their brands in the markets. in their actions: some reduced correlated to economic health. The
spending on all categories, some speculation was that women substitute
How much of Clarins’ business is switched to more affordable brands, more expensive purchases like dresses
based in the Middle East? and some kept purchasing only and shoes for cosmetics in times of
Although the Middle East is less than essential items. economic distress.
10 per cent of the global turnover of
the group, it is still considered an What do you see as being the What is your upcoming product
emerging market for Clarins Group. main upcoming trends in the Gulf strategy for Clarins ME?
Sales have grown five times in 10 skincare and cosmetics sector? Based on the sales figures that major
years since CGME started in 2000. The The main changes will be the brands share with each other every
market has not yet reached maturity continuous growth in skincare as more year, Clarins is number one in the
and that is why there is great growth people are aware of products and luxury skincare sector. However, we
potential once the financial crisis is enter into their daily beauty habits. are still not number one for skincare
completely over. Therefore, all businesses related to in every door we are in. This is a
skincare and SPA treatments will target for us. We also intend to be the
How did the recession affect the become stronger year by year. leader in foundation in the industry.
skincare and cosmetics sector in For example, in Europe skincare Based on our expertise in skincare,
the region? represents roughly 35 per cent of the we have great complexion lines. In
In early 2009, retailers and agents cosmetics business while make-up terms of make-up colours, and also
stocked minimum quantities and does not exceed 15 per cent. In the perfumes, we are now developing
that has affected all brands. Things Middle East, the trend is the opposite. more and more products especially
started to improve gradually by the suitable for the Middle East. There
end of 2009 and today we are in a Do you see the Gulf as a growing are several initiatives that we are
much better situation. On the market for luxury products? evaluating now and will hopefully
other hand, consumers were divided Using luxury products is a lifestyle that start implementing next year. ■
Designs on Beirut
Luxury brand Louis Vuitton has launched its first Lebanese store and is
looking to expand its regional footprint, writes NICK COOPER.
L
iving in the lap of benchmarking Lebanon before taking
luxury isn’t bad, the plunge. “We have been tracking
except that you never our overseas Lebanese clients all over
know when luxury is the world for years and years and we
going to stand up,” saw very encouraging numbers there.
said Orson Welles. We know that this is a market where
Perhaps this could people are very fashion aware, very
have been regarded fashion savvy and quite sophisticated
as a prescient insight into what – they buy in Dubai, they buy in
should have happened to the luxury Paris and they buy in London – so we
goods market when the downturn already knew the potential was there,”
arrived. Except that it didn’t. Spend he says.
on luxury goods during 2010 in Vernet points out an interesting
the MENA region saw only a minor statistic that there are four times
downward adjustment, in comparison more Lebanese people living outside
to much greater slumps witnessed in of Lebanon than there are in Lebanon
other retail sectors. Tentative spend itself and he believes this global
projections for the Middle East upscale diaspora provides a very big reserve
retail market put growth at around Switch
of customers forbowling
Beirut. centre,
With anpool hall.
eight per cent for 2011, and while it is estimated 12 million Lebanese spread
not an astronomical rebound, it does throughout the globe, cultural nuances
herald a return of consumer confidence can play a part in the brand’s success.
at the upper end of the socioeconomic The overseas Lebanese are generally
spectrum. Ironically then, luxury may friends and family-oriented and like
be thought of as a necessity in the to visit home often, providing a steady
high-spending MENA market. stream and rich vein of clientele to the
Take Louis Vuitton, for example. firm’s Beirut outlet.
The Paris-based brand – part of the So, does the brand’s focus on the
LVMH group – is confident that its MENA region, and to some extent the
opening of a store in Beirut in July emerging BRICs, signify a turn against
of this year was certainly the right its more mature and established
move. Valerie Chapoulaud, president markets like Europe and the US?
of south Europe for Louis Vuitton, said All well and good, but Lebanon’s Chapoulaud disagrees this is the
that the opening was part of a “quite GDP is only a fraction of those case. “We have a lot of projects in key
aggressive” strategy the group has in countries that make up the GCC, mature markets like Italy, which is
mind for the region. normally considered a more luxury- a big market for the south Europe
“If Lebanon goes well I’m sure we are friendly environment. How can this region, and we have key projects
going to add additional space here in translate to market demand in a in Damien’s market in the Middle
Beirut very soon, in the coming two or country that is not only getting over East, so it’s always a balance. I think
three years. We have some plans in other the worst of its economic woes, but we’re not going in one direction over
countries, tomorrow it could be Kuwait has also suffered major political another, it’s on the same path and we
or it could be Qatar, or it could be Abu upheaval in recent years too? have to do it in parallel.”
Dhabi. If there is a good opportunity and Damien Vernet, general manager So, the future looks both bright and
we consider that we need to bring more Middle East & India for Louis Vuitton, busy, then? “Oh yes,” says the Milan-
service and more stores to our clientele says that the Beirut opening was a based Chapoulaud vehemently. “As
we will do it. So, we’re extremely reactive long-term project and that the brand we say in Italy, there is a lot of meat
and flexible,” she says. had been looking at potential and boiling at the moment!” ■
True diversification
begins with a
difference of opinions.
With so many industry-leading thinkers at our affiliates, there’s no shortage of opinions on
any investment issue. We make the most of them, bringing together experts from firms like
Loomis, Sayles & Company, Aurora Investment Management, AlphaSimplex Group and
Gateway Investment Advisers. Their ideas frequently drive the markets, and we value their
different perspectives and insights. Out of their exchange of viewpoints come new invest-
ment strategies for our clients.
This communication is provided in and from the Dubai International Financial Center (DIFC) by Natixis Global Associates Middle East. It is only available to persons
who have sufficient financial experience and understanding to participate in financial markets within the DIFC, and qualify as Professional Clients as defined by the
Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA). This communication should not be delivered to or relied on by any other type of person. Natixis Global Associates Middle
East is the trade name for Natixis Global Associates Middle East, a branch of Natixis Global Associates UK Limited, which is duly licensed and regulated by the DFSA.
Registered office: PO Box 118257, 5th Floor, Building 8, Gate Village, DIFC, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Natixis Global Associates Middle East is a business development
unit of Natixis Global Associates, the global distribution organization of Natixis Global Asset Management, the holding company of a diverse line-up of specialized
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Natixis Global Asset Management mentioned in this communication conduct any investment management activities only in and from the countries in which they are
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sell shares in any financial instrument. Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks and expenses of any investment carefully before investing.
ADINT169-1010
FEATURES LUXURY
Stepping up profits
Ten per cent of Italy’s high-end shoes are exported to the UAE. How are
suppliers putting their best food forward, asks DOROTHY WALDMAN.
A
lthough China craftsmanship. Saudi Arabia imported showed significant increases in the
is the world’s over one million pairs with a median number of pairs and the total value of
largest supplier value of $25.5 last year, according to Italian shoes imported, although the
of lower-end the Istituto Nazionale di Statishca median price per pair only increased
footwear with a (ISTAT). Though this was a 20 per cent in Lebanon. This may indicate that
60 per cent decrease in volume from the previous instead of buying the highest-priced
market share, year, there was an 18.5 per cent designer or bespoke shoes, consumers
the upper end increase in the median price per pair. are lowering their sights somewhat
of the market – shoes with a leather Lebanon, Jordan and Iran all but, unwilling to forego Italian quality,
component – is dominated by the purchase from less expensive lines.
Europeans, with Italy boasting a 30 Iraq posted a lofty 180 per cent
per cent market share, according to increase in the number of pairs
Dubai Trade Statistics. imported, which translates
In 2009, to a 94 per cent increase
approximately 1.5 in the value of its Italian
million pairs of shoes, shoe imports. Although,
valued at $79 million, in monetary and volume
were imported into terms its numbers are still
the UAE from Italy. quite small, these numbers
With an average price indicate that this is an
of $50.5 per pair, this economy to watch.
represents 21 per cent Recognising what
of Italy’s exports in
terms of quantity and
15 per cent in terms
of value.
Riva del Garda Fierecongressi
Throughout the
Middle East, there
continues to be
significant demand for
Italian shoes, which
are known for their
high styling and quality
December 2010 gulfbusiness 97
LUXURY
THE SUBMARINER
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APPLE IPAD
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Designed and developed by Apple, the
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ACCESSORIES
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Dhs1,527 - Dhs2,115
Samsonite’s third generation
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SONY DSC-TX9
Dhs1,699
Sony Gulf claims the DSC-TX9 and DSC-WX5
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Destination
nostalgia
Enjoy Europe from the unique vantage point
of the Orient Express train journey from
Istanbul to Venice, writes Adrian Mourby.
L
oud music hits us as we arrived at Istanbul’s Sirkeci railway
station. A janissary band in vivid red and gold uniforms was
creating a welcoming din on the platform. Inside a huge,
high-ceilinged waiting room, unchanged since it was built in 1890,
my wife and I checked-in and deposited our luggage. We were
offered glasses of tea but we were keen to get to the platform.
There it stood. Immaculate is hardly the word. In its polished
navy blue, gold and white livery, the new Venice Simplon-Orient-
Express ( VSOE)is the most cherished train in the world. At the
door to every carriage stood bright-faced young men in blue and
gold uniforms ready to help passengers on board, although most
of their time was taken up being photographed. A lot of locals had
turned out to see this legendary train on its visit to Istanbul.
We found our compartment. Like all the carriages that run
on this annual journey, it was an original from the 1920s and
wonderfully restored. In the 1970s the VSOE company tracked
down rolling stock across Europe and rebuilt them, recreating
in exact detail all the brass and leather fittings, the marquetry,
mahogany and lacquer decorations. It’s like taking your seat in
a film set. Each compartment had a small sink discreetly hidden
behind the panelling and the fitted sofa converted into bunk beds.
We discovered this was always done while guests were at dinner.
That faint smell of woodsmoke turned out to be the original wood-
burning boilers that provided our hot water, hidden at the end of
each carriage.
There was a bucket of iced champagne waiting in our
compartment so we settled ourselves for the afternoon journey out
of Istanbul. What we hadn’t expected was the attention that this
train receives. The VSOE runs regularly from Calais to Venice and
now has routes heading up through Germany in the direction of
Russia but the annual journey from Istanbul to Venice is the star
route. People lined the tracks and waved from railway bridges
as we left Istanbul. As we passed through fields of sunflowers
and sheep, locals clustered at the tiny stations. On the Bulgarian
border the station master got out his trumpet and played as the
Orient Express trundled through.
And we were just as excited. We were in a mobile five-star
hotel, eating well and about to get a unique perspective on Turkey,
Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, Austria and Italy. It was time to get
dressed for dinner and listen to the pianist in the bar. Yes, the train
really does have its own grand piano and resident pianist! ■
SINAIA
Heading north through Romania,
the train stops at the village of
Sinaia where a uniformed brass
band greets the party just as it
Clockwise from top: The train passes used to greet King Carol when
through Switzerland; the on-board he visited Peles Castle, the royal
restaurant; the janissary band send summer palace. Lunch is held in a
off; the on-board staff includes a
porter and a pianist; the sumptuous hunting lodge followed by a tour of
Orient Express bar. the castle.
BUDAPEST
A night in Budapest means that
Orient Express guests have the
chance to see this spectacular
city from the river. After the boat
cruise and a tour of the castle
district, dinner is held in the
Hungarian Academy of Sciences,
a splendid 19th-century palace
overlooking the Danube.
VIENNA
An afternoon stop in the
Hapsburg capital means a tour
of the city in a traditional
horse-drawn fiacre followed by
coffee and Sachertorte in one
of Vienna’s many cafés. Free
time is allowed for shopping or
visiting the Albertina museum
then it’s back to the train for a last
dinner before Venice.