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Your PIIGSty Guide

to
ECON101
A PIIGSty.com Publication

Darren Lawlor

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© 2012 Darren Lawlor. All rights reserved.
ISBN 978-1-4716-2324-0

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Table of Contents

1. The Factors of Production (FOPs) and Economic Resources ..................................................................... 5


2. The Producer ............................................................................................................................................... 6
3. Economy of Scale ........................................................................................................................................ 7
4. The Consumer ........................................................................................................................................... 10
5. Markets ..................................................................................................................................................... 11
6. Demand ..................................................................................................................................................... 12
7. Supply ........................................................................................................................................................ 14
8. Market Equilbrium .................................................................................................................................... 15
9. Consumer and Producer Surplus .............................................................................................................. 17
10. Price Elasticity of Demand (PED) ............................................................................................................ 18
11. Cost Curves.............................................................................................................................................. 20
12. Market Structures ................................................................................................................................... 21
13. Perfect Competition ............................................................................................................................... 22
14. Imperfect Competition ........................................................................................................................... 23
15. Oligopoly ................................................................................................................................................. 24
16. Monopoly ................................................................................................................................................ 26
17. Price Discrimination ................................................................................................................................ 27
18. Markets for the Factors of Production................................................................................................... 28
19. Land and Rent ......................................................................................................................................... 29
20. Labour (and Wages) ................................................................................................................................ 30
21. Capital (and Interest Rates) .................................................................................................................... 32
22. Enterprise (and Profit) ............................................................................................................................ 35
23. Money and Banking ................................................................................................................................ 36
24. Measurement of National Income ......................................................................................................... 38
25. Factors Affecting National Income ......................................................................................................... 40
26. The Price Level (and Inflation)................................................................................................................ 42
27. Economic Objectives of the Government .............................................................................................. 44
28. Fiscal Policy ............................................................................................................................................. 45
29. International Trade ................................................................................................................................. 47
30. Currencies and Exchange Rates .............................................................................................................. 49
31. The Balance of Payments ....................................................................................................................... 51
32. The Evolution of the International Economic System ........................................................................... 53
33. Economic Development and Growth ..................................................................................................... 54
34. The Economics of Population ................................................................................................................. 57
35. History of Economic Thought…………………………………………………………………………………………………….………57

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Introduction

To all readers

PIIGSty.com has always tried to be a beacon of clarity by providing a clear and comforting (even soothing)
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As we're fond of saying, we at PIIGSty.com aim to cut through the rhetoric, jargon and nonsense to give
our followers a well rounded but focused sense of how economics impacts their world (and as well all
know, the subject ain’t going away any time soon). Economics is an inexact and tricky science because
(primarily) It’s a social science. What that means it’s a very fluid science. Economies are people after all.
As you might expect, anything which is driven by people is very organic and changeable, and so is usually
hard to pin down. Academics like to fudge the subject, padding out basic concepts by bringing in all these
complex economic ‘models’ that do more harm to a students sanity than you’d imagine (believe me, I
know!).

Your average citizen isn’t an economist (lucky us). The average Joe and Joanna on the street leads their
own unique and busy lives with their own private concerns and personal challenges. As a result, their
actions don’t often mirror perfect those rational but rigid economic models. Conforming is never fun after
all.

A key cornerstone of economics is satisfying demand and we at PIIGSty have decided to ignore the others
and do just that for our growing list of followers and readers. No longer will those hungry for answers to
their economic questions be swamped under text heavy pages, get lost in boring tech-speak or be
confused by drab monochromatic illustrations. This guide aims to satisfy your needs through 35 fully
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Enjoy.

PIIGSty Editor
Darren Lawlor

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1. The Factors of Production (FOPs) and Economic Resources

Factors of production are the resources of LAND, LABOUR, CAPITAL and ENTERPRISE
used to produce goods and services

1 2 3 4
LAND LABOUR CAPITAL ENTERPRISE

All things All human Anything made by man and


supplied by effort which Initiative
used to produce
nature and used goes into the involved in
goods/services
in the production of organising land,
goods/services  Fixed stock of fixed assets i.e. labour and
production of
buildings, factories, capital and
goods/services warehouses, vehicles
which bares the
 Social owned by the
i.e. farmland, community in general i.e. risks involved
forests, rivers, roads, water, sewerage
lakes, seas or  Working manmade raw
minerals materials and partially finished
goods

The production of every good/service requires a certain combination of each FOP

Goods and services are produced The interaction of demand and


(supply) to satisfy what people supply determines the price (P)
want (demand) people pay

2 Economic Fields

Microeconomics Macroeconomics
(The Detail) (The General Picture)

Its all about…FIRMS/INDIVIDUALS Its all about the…wider ECONOMY


The study of the behaviour and decisions Deals with the structure, behaviour and
of individuals and businesses in markets changes in the wider economy at
across the economy national, regional or global level
Key Terms Key Terms
Demand, Supply, Price Discrimination, GDP, Interest Rates, Unemployment,
Elasticity of Demand, Producer, Consumer, National Income, Inflation, Exchange Rates,
Market Equilibrium, Market Structure Fiscal/Monetary Policy

5
2. The Producer

The producers in an economy are firms/companies.


A firm is an individual unit of business which produces output and sells in the market
The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources
Sole Trader Private Limited Public Co-Op
A single person Company (Ltd) Limited
Collective business
who sell a
Owned by 1-50 Company loosely based
product/service (PLC)
on his/her own shareholders who have around a product
limited liability (only Owned by at (usually agricultural
stand to lose what least 7 such as butter)
they’ve invested in the shareholders who
Partnership business) have limited Profit depends on a
2-20 Individuals liability. Shares members volume of
Shares not traded on traded on stock
who share business
the stock exchange exchange
profits

A firm aims to fulfil key goals

Produce stuff Produce stuff at Make profits


people prices people Organise production

want will pay so revenue exceeds


costs

How does a firm decide where to locate?

Nature of the Industry Labour Proximity to Transport


Availability Similar Firms/ Availability
 Supply orientated?
Needs access to raw Certain skills vital Facilities Firms might need access
materials i.e. coal mines, oil and must be More efficient and to International
wells, steel mills nearby i.e. less costly i.e. Silicon airports/subways/rail-
hospitals locating Valley hub for tech ways for their global
 Market orientated?
near universities firms employee/client reach
Needs direct access to
market i.e. Apple stores in
cities where incomes are
higher and more people live Energy/Telecommunications Government Policy
Availability What is the government offering
 Footloose industries?
Flexible…depends on other A firm might aim to be as businesses? i.e. Availability of
factors i.e. airlines can environmentally friendly as possible grants, corporate tax level,
move their planes and air or might want low energy costs, high education policy on training
routes to suit demand broadband speeds etc potential workers

6
3. Economy of Scale

Definition: Factors which make it cheaper for larger companies to produce goods than smaller
companies. This explains why some companies have cost advantages over others
The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources
Economies of Scale exist where average Definition
cost (AC) is declining
(A) Economies (B) Scale
Its all about costs! The amount of
AC AC Economies = Cost investment in fixed
advantages/savings factors of
production

Economies Economies
Production Cost = Fixed Costs (FC)
of Scale of Scale + Variable Costs (VC)

Benefits of a Larger Organisation Total Cost = FC + VC


Average Cost = FC/Q + VC/Q
Productive Efficiency Competitive
 VC/Q Depends on output
Advantage
Lower prices  FC/Q is the key! AC drops because of an
Consumers/ Higher Profits increasing function of FC/Q i.e. better
Society Win Company Wins spread of fixed assets

Short Run Long Run

. EOS
Unit
Cost € If AC is If AC is Unit
SRAC LRAC

.
falling, rising, Cost DOS

.
you you €
Falling Costs

have have
. . MES
F/Q

EOS DOS Minimum


Efficient Scale
Scale of
production
Q
Q where intern EOS
are fully
exploited
Increasing Output Q

Composed of an infinite number of firm sizes/scales i.e.


many possible levels of production (combinations of SR cost
Summary and output that could be produced)
Unit
Cost
€ EOS DOS AC
. SRAC1
LRAC

.
Cost per unit Cost per unit SRAC2
Steep falling rising

.
.
Curve (increasing (decreasing
SRAC3
Very efficiencies) efficiencies)
responsive SRAC4
to Q
MES

.
changes

As the firm grows (SRAC1  SRAC2  SRAC3), it will


Flatter Curve eventually arrive at the most efficient level of production
Less responsive to Q (SRAC4), where it produces at the lowest point on its AC
changes MES curve. The firm has reached MES
Q

7
There are two types of economies of scale: internal (streamlining processes within the
company) and external (outside the company but common to all in the industry)

Example An industry with 10 firms; each firm produces 100 discs


Industry output is 1,000 discs. Now imagine....

Industry doubles in size (20 firms) and produces at the Industry output remains the same (1,000 discs). Numbers of
same level (100 discs). Industry grows so each firm costs firms in the industry falls (to 5 firms) that each of the
may fall; efficiency gains per firm as a result of resources remaining firms produce 200 discs. If costs of production
controlled externally to the firm remain the same, advantage goes to large firms

Exhibits External EOS Exhibits Internal EOS


Every firm benefits Larger firms benefit

Internal Economies of Scale Internal Diseconomies of


Scale
Technical Financial
 Buy/utilise better machinery/methods  Better access to credit Technical
 Promotion of integrated production  Larger = potential of  Repetition as a result of specialisation.
 Specialisation of labour quote on stock exchange Management layers grow unwieldy
 Learning by doing principles (realise best = cheaper borrowing  Duplication
production methods and tech)  Monitoring costs (time)

Network
Managerial/Labour  Perfect for mainly online Managerial/Labour
 Bargaining power with employees companies (cheap  Communication (due to no. of workers)
 Use new financial resources to outsource expansion)  Issue of non-productive workers
unnecessary elements  eCommerce success  Issue of insuring against fidelity (employee
 New mechanical process = ‘human dishonesty/stealing)
error’ risks/costs removed  Conflict/Absenteeism/Morale ‘merely cogs
Risk Bearing in the production machine’
 Firms diversify product
Commercial portfolio to reduce risk
 Marketing Spread of advertising costs  Many ‘back-up’ products
over wider output and materials/parts
Financial
 Monopsony Bulk buying @ discounted  Overreliance on cheap credit for expansion
 Production can shift
prices  Risk of bad debts
according to demand

External Economies of Scale External Diseconomies of


Scale

Infrastructure R&D Facilities


 Better transport network  Local universities/
Infrastructure
 Overuse causing damage,
 Airports/Ports/Motorways/ Local roads Institutes
congestion, high accident
 Cheaper/More direct access to raw  Availability of training
rate
materials courses/colleges

Component Economies Labour


 Relocation of component suppliers  Demand for skilled labour
 Relocation of support businesses explodes – skills needed
 Growth of ‘industrial parks/estates’ i.e. in short supply = hiring of
Shannon Free Zone, Canary Wharf, Silicon less qualified
Valley, IFSC Dublin  Hits productivity

Overexploitation
 Raw materials demand
rises = price rises
 Usage of lower quality
materials! Risky

8
9
4. The Consumer

A consumer is a decision making unit that buys goods/services (g/s)


Assumptions are made in relation to human/consumer behaviour…

Our ability to buy g/s depends on income and this is finite (it has a limit i.e. our
Income weekly/monthly wages)

As our incomes are finite, once our basic needs are met (food, shelter and
Choice warmth) the ‘excess’ income becomes disposable income. We spend this freely
as we choose. What will we choose?

Rationality People will spend income to maximise their own satisfaction (utility)

An Economic Good has 3 characteristics…

Economic PRICE UTILITY TRANSFERRABLE


The good must be scarce in
Good relation to demand (producing
Satisfaction is key Can physically
otherwise why pass person to
infinite amounts of it would mean
selling each for very little)
would you want it? person

Law: As more units of a good are consumed, satisfaction per unit falls (you become
bored/full). But how do know this ‘law’ exists?
Law of
Diminishing DISCOUNTS HUMAN LIMIT EXCEPTIONS
Marginal It exists because stores offer We all know we have Addiction drugs such
Utility discounts encouraging people to physical limits to as alcohol, nicotine or
buy more at a lower price per what we can eat or medicines/
unit drink prescription drugs

The good must be scarce in


relation to demand (producing
infinite amounts of it would
So, whymean
doselling
consumers
each for very buy
little) certain goods/services?

FUNCTIONAL BANDWAGON EXCLUSIVE SPECULATIVE IMPULSE


Demand /FAD Effect Demand Demand Buying
Spur of moment
Buying a g/s to Buying Buying a g/s now
Buying a g/s to be [purchase, well
do a specific expensive because you positioned in the
part of a trend
task goods with think the price supermarket
Example status to them will rise in the (good
Example Clothes, new Tech future merchandising) or
Hammer, paint, products Example because of a good
car part etc BMW, 5* Hotel Example ad campaign
stay, iPhone Housing (good marketing)

10
5. Markets

A market is all Individuals/companies involved in buying or selling a good or service

The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources


Questions
DEMAND SUPPLY
What Who Quantity
Quantity Should We Are we
Consumers Produce? doing it for? Producers
willing to willing to
buy at make
available at
different
prices
How Rewards different
Will We For the suppliers prices
Make it? of the FOPs?

4 Types of Markets

1 2 3 4
Factor Market Intermediate Final Market Foreign
Market Consists of Exchange
Where a Factor of
Production (FOP) is Goods/Services Market
Where an output which are
bought or sold is sold as a raw Where currencies
complete, are bought/sold for
Buyer = Entrepreneur material (i.e. iron) provide profit. This
and used an input
Use = Production of consumer utility facilitates
to produce
Goods and Services and they are international trade
another good (i.e. prepared to pay a between nations
Seller = Owner of the steel) price with different
FOP i.e. we all sell
Intermediate goods Final market goods currencies
our labour for
aka ‘Producer goods’ aka ‘Consumer
wages/salary Price = exchange rate
goods’

11
6. Demand

Movement Along Demand Curve Demand Curve Shifts

.
P P
P1

P2 . D
D

Q Q
Q1 Q2

Caused By: A Change in Price Caused By: A Change in Demand

Demand for Good X (Dx) depends on:


What 6 factors affect Demand?
1. The Price of Good X (Px)
2. The Price of Complementary Goods (Pc)
Dx = f (Px, Pc, Ps, y, t, E) 3.
4.
The Price of Substitute Goods (Ps)
Income (y)
5. Taste (t)
6. Future Expectations (E)

Basic Law of Demand: ↑Price P ↓Quantity Demanded QD and ↓P ↑QD


There are some exceptions to this…

P
Giffen Goods (GGs) Snob ‘Status Symbol’ Expectation/
Necessity goods i.e. bread, Goods Speculative Goods
x milk. If the price of GGs goes Show of wealth/success in i.e. property
up, more income is spent on goods means you will spend Buy now as you might expect
GGs than luxuries, more to be part of an price next year to be
raising the QD exclusive trend unaffordable

Pc  Complementary Goods: Two goods which require the use of another i.e. tea and milk, bread and
butter, printers and ink cartridges

Ps  Substitute Goods: Goods with similar characteristics and used in identical ways i.e. Aldi Cornflakes
V. Kellogg’s, different brands of bread, milk, butter, chocolate etc

2 different types of income… It is possible to get a


a) Money Income – nominal earnings expressed as wages/salary rise in money income
b) Real Income – purchasing power of earnings (what you can buy)

Y
and suffer a decline in
real income as cost of
NORMAL GOOD INFERIOR GOOD living (groceries,
Good with positive income effect Good with negative income effect
transport costs etc)
More Y = More QD More Y = Less QD
might exceed rise in
Less Y = Less QD Less Y = More QD actual money

T
For all goods if consumer tastes react positively toward them…more will be demanded. If tastes
change negatively toward a good…less will be demanded

E Expectations change depending on (1) Future Price (2) Future availability (3) Future Income

12
We can tell one type of good from another with
3 simple tests on any test ‘good/service’

INCOME EFFECT SUBSITITUTION EFFECT PRICE EFFECT


What effect does a What effect does a What effect does a
rise/drop in income rise/drop in the price of rise/drop in the price of
have on demand for the a substitute good have the good itself have on
good? on demand? demand?

Good Income Effect Substitution Effect Price Effect Type


A More More More Normal Good
B Less More More Inferior Good (Not Giffen Good)
C Less More Less Inferior Good (Also Giffen Good)

Remember: ALL giffen goods are inferior goods but not all inferior goods are giffen goods

13
7. Supply

Basic Supply Curve Perfectly Inelastic Supply

P ↑↓P will not ↑↓Supply P S


Basic Law of
Supply S Situation where the
↑Price P ↑Quantity quantity supplied (Qs) is
Supplied Qs fixed and must be sold
and ↑P ↑Qs (at any price) i.e.
perishable goods Q
Q

Minimum Supply Maximum Output (Limited Capacity)

A minimum price (P1) is P A point is reach where more


S cannot be supplied (Q1). S
established by suppliers
below which supply = 0 Producers cannot increase
P1 output due to constraints in
i.e. Trade Union imposing
their factory, i.e. lack of
minimum price at which inputs i.e. machinery, raw
workers will be supplied materials
Q
Q1

Supply of Good X (Sx) depends on:

What 5 Factors Affect Supply? 1. The Price of Good X (Px)


2. The Price of Related Goods (Pr)
3. Cost of Production (C)
Sx = f (Px, Pr, C, T, U) 4.
5.
State of Technology (T)
Unforeseen Circumstances i.e.
adverse weather (U)

Px Basic Law of Supply: ↑Price P ↑Quantity Supplied Qs and ↓P ↓Qs

Related Goods are goods which could be produced instead of Good X. If the price of a
Pr related good (Pr) rises, the supplier will shift production away from Good X and increase the
supply of Good R will rise at the expense of Good X

SUPPLY FALLS if… SUPPLY RISES if…

C 

Labour costs rise
Raw material (input) costs rise


Labour costs fall
Raw material (input) costs fall
 Taxes rise  Taxes fall
 Grants/Subsidies to firms fall  Grants/Subsidies to firms rise

T As technology improves, supplying (distributing) goods becomes easier and less costly

Factors outside the control of the firm might jeopardise shipments


U i.e. warehouse fire, transport difficulties due to adverse weather or war

14
8. Market Equilbrium

We can summarise what determines changes in


demand and supply as follows:

P
S
RISE IN DEMAND
P2 1. ↑Ps Price of substitute good
2. ↓Pc Price of complementary good
P1
3. ↑Y Income (normal good)
D1 4. Change in Tastes (t) in favour of good
D 5. Expectations (E) of future scarcity and price rise
Q
Q1 Q2

P
S FALL IN DEMAND
P1 1. ↓Ps Price of substitute good
2. ↑Pc Price of complementary good
P2 3. ↓Y Income (normal good)
D 4. Change in Tastes (t) against good
D1 5. Expectations (E) of future abundance and price fall

Q
Q2 Q1

P S
RISE IN SUPPLY
S1
1. ↓PR Price of related good
P1 2. ↓C Cost of production
P2 3. ↑T State of technology
4. Favourable unplanned factors (i.e. good growing
D conditions for crops)

P S1 S FALL IN SUPPLY
1. ↑PR Price of related good
P2 2. ↑C Cost of production
P1 3. Unfavourable unplanned factors (i.e. severe
D growing conditions for crops)

Q
Q2 Q1

KEY: The interaction of supply and demand determines the optimal PRICE and QUANTITY
DEMANDED (aka Equilibrium P and Q)

So, what changes the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity?

15
Looking at these graphs…

Change Equilibrium Price Equilibrium Quantity


Demand Rises Rises Rises
Demand Falls Falls Falls
Supply Rises Falls Rises
Supply Falls Rises Falls

The Interaction of Demand and Supply

P Excess Supply
S

.
P1

EP = EQ (No excess)
EP
Excess Demand

P2
D

Q
EQ

16
9. Consumer and Producer Surplus

Price is determined by the interaction of demand and supply. But we don’t always pay the
maximum price that we are willing to pay…often we get a bargain!

Its all about value (for consumers) and cost (for producers)

Value of one more unit of a good/service is Cost of producing one more unit of a
its marginal (extra) benefit (MB). This good/service is its marginal (extra) cost (MC).
‘willingness to pay’ determines demand This ‘willingness to produce’ determines supply
Demand curve = MB curve Supply curve = MC curve

When consumers buy something for less When producers supply something for
than its worth to them, they receive more than the marginal cost of production,
a consumer surplus they receive a producer surplus

Consumer Surplus Producer Surplus


€ € € €

D = MB D = MB S = MC S = MC
P P

Q Q Q Q
QD QD QS QS
Price (P) determines Quantity Demanded Price (P) determines Quantity Supplied
Quantity Demanded determines Quantity Supplied determines willingness to
@P, QD is willingness to pay @P, QS is produce
demanded (Maximum price) Supplied (Maximum supply price)


Maximum €
Price Consumer Producer
Surplus Surplus S = MC
Market
Market Price
Price

Amount Paid D = MB Cost


Minimum
of
Supply Production
Price
Q Q
Q Demanded Q Supplied


Consumer S = MC
Surplus An
Market Price Efficient
Producer
D = MB
Market
Surplus

Q
Efficient
(Equilibrium Q)

17
10. Price Elasticity of Demand (PED)

As you saw in #8, sometimes to reach equilibrium P and Q, demand and supply
have to adjust - this takes time
Sometimes, demand changes very quickly in response to price changes – demand is price elastic
Sometimes, demand changes very slowly in response to price changes – demand is price inelastic

Price Elastic Your mobile phone provider Price Inelastic When oil prices rise, you can’t change
increases its charges – you can switch to a choice suppliers – you have to just pay the higher price. Some
of other companies or you can cut your usage to fit might choose to drive less or buy less heating oil but
the new tariff demand stays relatively stable

Is a good a normal good?


How to Measure PED? Ans: PED must be negative

PED = % ΔQ or Proportionate Change in QD PED = %ΔQ = - or + value


% ΔP Proportionate Change in P %ΔP (decimal answer)

P1 = Original Price Q1 = Original Quantity Demanded ↓QD = MINUS or ↑QD = PLUS


P2 = New Price Q2 = New Quantity Demanded ↑P PLUS ↓P MINUS
Both NEGATIVE

Working Out the Sums… Exceptions


Not ALL goods obey the Law and
PERFECTLY PRICE INELASTIC Demand (See #6)

INELASTIC PED < 1 
Inferior Goods
Giffen Goods
PED = 0 QD isn’t very

2
 Snob ‘Status Symbol’ Goods

1 QD isn’t changed
by a Δ in P
responsive to Δ in P

If P↑10% and
All these have a POSITIVE PED

What Determines PED of a good?


Vertical Demand QD↓ 2.5%
1. Availability of Substitutes
Curve PED = 0.25  > No. of substitutes
> Price elasticity
. 2. Its Price (Luxury or Necessity)
UNIT ELASTIC PRICE ELASTIC  > Price >Likelihood the good is elastic (a
PED = 1 PED > 1 price rise could be too much for current
customers)
QD is perfectly QD is responsive to
3. Durability

3 4
responsive to Δ in P Δ in P  > Price could mean postponing replacing
the good (i.e. washing machines) – price
If P↑10% and If P↓5% and elastic
4. Income Spent
QD↓ 10% QD↓ 10%  A low proportion of income spend on it
PED = 1 PED = 2.0 means its more likely to be price inelastic
5. Brand Loyalty/Habits
 If strong loyalty/addiction, you will buy at
PERFECTLY ELASTIC

5
any price = price inelastic
PED = ∞ 6. Complementary Good?
 If its 1 of 2 goods used together cheaper
QD falls to zero after any Δ in P good = price inelastic
Evident in perfectly competitive markets

18
Price Elasticity of Demand (PED) for Normal Goods

1 2
PERFECTLY INELASTIC DEMAND RELATIVELY INELASTIC DEMAND
 A good is have perfectly inelastic demand if a  An increase from P1 to P2 will cause a
change in its price (P) will cause no change in smaller drop in QD from Q1 to Q2
the QD  Demand is not very responsive to P changes
 Demand is fixed, QD wont change  Example: Petrol, Alcohol, tobacco (Less
 Maximise Revenue/Profit by increasing P as responsive – more likely to be taxed)
much as possible. Costs wont rise as P does
because no more goods are produced
 Example: Lifesaving drugs P
P P2
D
P2
P1
P1 D
Q Q
Q Q2 Q1

3 4
UNIT ELASTICITY OF DEMAND RELATIVELY ELASTIC DEMAND
 If the prop change in QD = prop change in P  If proportional change in QD is greater than
(i.e. PED=1) proportional change in P = Good is elastic
 Revenue = Constant  Demand for such goods is very responsive to
 Profit = Max profit by increasing P as high as P
possible – could sell sell at higher P (less
costs/unit more profitable)
P
P

P2
P2
P1 D
P1 D

Q Q
Q2 Q1 Q2 Q1

5
PERFECTLY ELASTIC DEMAND

 Situation where PED = ∞ P


 Customers are prepared to buy ALL they can of
a product at ONE price ONLY
P* D
 Any increase in P will cause demand to fall to 0
 Example: Any homogenous product with many
substitutes i.e. potatoes, vegetables Q

19
11. Cost Curves
A cost curve is a graph of the costs of producing a good as a function of the amount of that good
produced. Firms will always aim to minimise costs per unit while maximising profits (revenue less
costs)

The Marginal Cost Curve


(Think of firms cost of producing apples…)

MC AC
TinyApple Inc makes only 5 apples If MC<AC…then
AC is FALLING
 Each of the 5 apples costs €1 each to
produce so the average cost (AC) = €1
 The firm decides to make one more apple
(marginal cost MC = the cost of that extra If MC>AC…then
apple) AC is RISING
 The extra/marginal cost is 80c

.
80c < €1 so MC < AC If MC=AC…then
AC is at its lowest
 Now, 6 apples are produced costing €1, point
€1, €1, €1, €1 and 80c…average 97c each

The Average Cost Curve More Cost Curves


AC AC MC
ATC

.
AVC

AFC

Downward sloping Upward sloping


1. Better spread
Diseconomies of
MC The cost of producing that extra unit
of fixed assets
2. Specialisation of scale
labour Spread of fixed assets per unit of
production. Fixed assets = buildings or
equipment . You pay rent or maintenance
MES: Minimum Efficient Scale
Scale of production where internal Economies of AFC on these which doesn’t change as the
company ↑ (unless you buy more of
Scale (EOS) are fully exploited them)
As Q produced↑ AFC per unit↓

The Revenue Curves Spread of variable assets per unit of


production. Variable assets = overheads,
P AR: As Q↑, income AVC labour costs or raw materials. These
per unit falls and cost change as production grows. As Q
per unit rises. AR↓ produced ↑, AVC falls ↓ (at first), then
rises ↑)
AR
MR: Like AC, AR is
falling when
MR MR<AR (MR is twice as ATC Total average cost (fixed + variable)
Q steep as AR)

20
12. Market Structures

There are 4 different types of market structure

Perfect Imperfect
TheCompetition
Factof Productios)
Competition Economic Resources
and Oligopoly Monopoly

Increasing market power, concentration and market price


Declining market efficiency and competition

Short Run (SR) Long Run (LR)


MC = MR = AR = Market Price (P) AC > Revenue AC=AR=MC=MR
or
Firm will leave industry Only normal profits
P
Perfect Market
SNP MC AC
P P
Price
Competition (P) MC AC MC AC
D =AR=MR

D =AR=MR D =AR=MR

Q Q Q
Total supernormal profit (SNP) = P1XYZ Total supernormal profit (SNP) = P1XYZ

AC > Revenue or AC=AR=MC=MR


Firm will leave industry Only normal profits

P P
Imperfect
Competition SAME AS MONOPOLY MC
AC
P2
MC
AC

Monopoly AR
AR

MR MR

Q Q2 Q

P Elastic D = AR

P1

MR
Oligopoly
MC1 Inelastic D = AR
SR = LR
MC2
MR
Q
Q1

MC = MR , AR > AC Supernormal Profits Earned

P Total supernormal profit (SNP) = P1XYZ


SNP MC
AC
Monopoly P1
SR = LR
AR
MR

Perfect Competition Monopoly Imperfect Competition Oligopoly


No of Many (all producing One (supplies one good Many (all producing similar Small group of
Firms identical goods) to the entire market) but not identical goods) firms

21
13. Perfect Competition

Perfect Competition (PC) is a type of market structure where there are many similar firms
producing an identical product in an industry
Many firms with 1 basic product = the entire industry

Many near identical firms provide Many close substitutes are available for
output at one fixed market price CHARACTERISTICS the same product (i.e. potatoes)

ASSUMPTIONS
Many buyers and sellers Perfect knowledge
in the market exists
No barriers Aim of firms is Many
Buyers and sellers to entry/ to maximise Firms
act independently of exit exist profits in Industry Product
each other is homogenous
IMPLICATIONS

IMPLICATIONS
PC applies to many Firms are price takers A firm under PC faces a
agricultural products horizontal demand curve
(i.e. potatoes, tea, rubber, They must sell output at the
coffee or wheat) prevailing market price It cannot use P to sell more

Short Run (SR) Equilibrium


P P P
MC AC
SNP
TR Market X
Price
P
(P) D =AR=MR D =AR=MR
Z
Y

Q Q Q

Total Revenue TR  Firm must accept market price MC=MR (Profit Maximisation)
 As price is fixed so TR = Price (P) (individual firms cant affect market  Supernormal profits (SNP) being earned
X Quantity (Q) price or quantity) (P1XYZ)
 This is represented by a perfect  Demand curve is a horizontal straight  Not perfectly efficient as firm not
straight line line operating at lowest point on AC curve

Long Run (LR) Equilibrium


S1
P P P
MC AC
MC AC
S1
P1
P2
D
D =AR=MR D =AR=MR

Q2 Q Q
Q1 Q

Some firms see the product demand For other firms, new entrants lower
(AR curve) fall sharply. Heavy losses are AR (Demand) and MR. Costs remain
New firms enter due to SNPs the same. SNPs reduce so that…
made as AC > Revenue
Industry Supply↑ AC=AR Normal profits being earned
Firm will leave industry
S1  S2 and MC=MR Profit maximisation

22
14. Imperfect Competition

Imperfect Competition (IC) is a type of market structure between the two extremes of perfect
competition (PC) and monopoly (MONO)

CHARACTERISTICS
Large Aim of Product differentiation Free Knowledge is Many
number of firm is to exists. The products are entry/exit of widespread each buyers of the
independent maximise not homogenous and
firms to/from
competitors know goods produced
firms in competitive advertising what the other is in the industry
profits the market earning
industry occurs

ASSUMPTIONS
Like in PC, industry = Widespread knowledge of profit Unlike in PC, products are not homogenous. Even if firms
many buyers and sellers similar, consumers distinguish one firm/product from
High profits (Supernormal
another (branding, packaging, marketing)
Profits or SNPs)
Each influences the other encourage new entrants Firms are NOT price takers

Short Run (SR) Equilibrium Long Run (LR) Equilibrium


New firms enter due to profits (SNPs), forces AR (demand) down.
At this level of output MC =MR , AR > AC Prices, output and profits fall

P
P

.
AC New firms enter due to
SNP MC
X SNPs (High profits).

.
P1 AR1 Existing firms see demand
for their products fall
Y AR1  AR2
Z AR2
AR= D
MR Q
Some firms see the
Q P MC product demand (AR
curve) fall sharply. Heavy
AC
Total supernormal profit (SNP) = P1XYZ losses are made as
AC > Revenue
AR2 Firm will leave
Key Points MR industry
1. Demand curve (AR) slopes downward
2. When AR is falling, MR < AR Q
3. AC is U shaped For other firms, new
P
4. MC cuts AC at lowest point entrants lower AR

.
5. MC =MR for profit maximisation MC (Demand) and MR. Costs
AC
remain the same. SNPs
P2
reduce so that…
In SR, same as the monopolist (MONO)
AC=AR normal
EXCEPT…under imperfect competition, the demand curve is AR2 profits being earned
more elastic (because of availability of substitutes and more MR MC=MR profit
choice between competing companies/products) maximisation
Q2 Q

Why? In IC…
In LR, firm not producing at Problems with Imperfect Competition (IC)  Some substitutes
lowest point on AC curve available
Why is IC Inefficient and not PC?  Firms must innovate,
Inefficient position market and brand their
Excess Capacity Competitive Advertising products (reduces
Producing too little to More costs as firms spend to efficiency)
exploit economies of scale distinguish their products

23
15. Oligopoly

Oligopoly is a type of market structure where a small number of large firms


supply similar products in an industry

The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources


Many big similar firms provide industry Many close substitutes are available but
output but each is aware that any action CHARACTERISTICS market is tightly coordinated (with
on price will provoke a rival to react interdependent firms)

ASSUMPTIONS

Sticky Prices
Dominated Market Price Competition
 Firms reluctant to engage in
Barriers Cyclical periods of price
 Few large suppliers in the
industry who have power price competition – want to
avoid a price war
to Entry stability and intense
price competition
to influence the sales price
 Industry is ‘clustered’ with
 Instead – they engage in non Exist
price competition i.e. free
high concentration ratio gifts, promotions, coupons or
(output is concentrated in sponsorship
Firms
a handful of big firms)
Collusion Interdependent
Product Differentiation 2+ Firms can collude to Each decision is
Objectives Huge amounts spent on restrict competition to ‘reaction based’ on
advertising to distinguish g/s increase joint profit
Other than max profits what rivals may do

The Kinked Demand Curve


Remember, it’s a tale of two halves

.
P Elastic D = AR
P
D2
P1
Inelastic D = AR
D1 MR
MC1
MR1
MR2

Q MC2
MR

Q1
Q
Firms will always aim to keep profits
high and keep their position in the
market (market share) Increase in Price If a firm ↑P (>P1), it will lose a disproportionate
 A firm can only do two things: ↓ or share of the market (customers will switch to rival similar products). An
elastic demand curve (AR) exists (>P1)
↑P
 Either rivals follow the firm (after
Decrease in Price If a firm ↓P (<P1), it wont gain many customers –
↓P) or don’t (after ↑P)
its rivals will likely follow and lower prices (causing a price war). An
 These two reactions suggest two
inelastic demand curve (AR) exists (<P1). So a firm likely wont change its
distinctively different demand (and price (price stability)
therefore MR) curves
D1 (MR1 is twice as steep as D1) Why are prices so stable? A firms marginal cost (MC) can change
D2 (MR2 is twice as steep as D2) and not cause the firm to have to change its price (as MR is still equal to
MC) – thanks to the vertical MR curve (unique to oligopoly)

24
ASSUMPTIONS (Continued)

Barriers to Entry Collusion


 High start up costs Any action taken by separate and rival companies to
 Brand proliferation (several restrict competition between them (and increase profits)
brands advertised and
controlled by one large 2 Types
company)
 Economies of scale (EOS) in Explicit Collusion
advertising Separate companies jointly decide to collude
 Cost advantages of existing (i.e. via a cartel)
firms (EOSs, well trained
workforce, customer good  Fixed price applies to all firms
will/loyalty or patents)  Refusal to supply/buy to/from retailers not in the
cartel
 Quota system which limits products to certain agreed
amounts (to keep price as high as possible)

Price Competition Implicit (Tacit) Collusion


(and Price Leadership) No formal agreement between firms but each firm
recognises that joint profits will be higher if firms
 Price Leader: One firm in behave as monopolists (i.e. OPEC)
dominant position because of
large size or early market entry  (Quasi) Fixed price a firm will not provoke its rivals
 This leader may set its prices into a price war
independently of others in the  Joint policy of profit maximisation each firm can set
industry (but a price increase MC=MR
can cause a price war – self  Conflicting aims (a) maximise profits (b) cooperate
defeating) with competitors

Objectives (other than profit maximisation)


Avoid Gov Keep Market Position Satisfaction
Interference High profits attract new entrants Small family business will
High profits attract suspicion/ (and potential price wars) causing be happy with a certain
regulation government will
loss of sales. Firm will engage in profit to have a good
impose restrictions to
‘limit pricing’ (a certain price standard of living. Don’t
encourage more competition/
tackle monopoly power level to limit profits). Potential want the stress and added
Will opt for lower output firms discouraged from entering workload of higher output

Fixed Salary Baumol’s Theory


Companies where managers are not ‘Inverse U’ Shaped Graph
shareholders (semi-state public companies) Once an established minimum level of
do not aim to max profit. They aim to provide profit reached – firm focuses on other
a public service (i.e. bus service or postal objectives (not concerned with
service) – salary of these managers fixed maximising sales, profit or revenue – at
regardless of profit the peak of the ‘inverse U’ curve)

25
16. Monopoly
Monopoly (MONO) is a type of market structure where there is only one firm
producing in an industry
So 1 firm with 1 product = the entire industry

One firm controls entire No close substitutes are


output of the industry CHARACTERISTICS available for the only product

ASSUMPTIONS

1 Firm Aim of firm is Significant Supernormal Monopolist cant


to maximise Profits control both P and Q
in Industry barriers to entry
profits can be earned supplied

IMPLICATIONS
IMPLICATIONS

More likely to attract Barriers mean short run Monopolist faces


government profit maximising downward sloping demand
(regulator) position is maintained in curve – It must lower P to
monitoring the long run sell more

HOW BARRIERS TO ENTRY ARISE


Economies of Scale Trade Agreements Sole Ownership Monopoly due
Firm operating so efficiently of Raw Material to Patent/
Companies agree to share Natural
(and is huge) so no room for market and restrict Copyright
competitors + high start up monopoly in New production
competition in some way production
costs for new entrant method = patent
to prevent rival
copying
Product Differentiation Mergers & Takeovers Legal patent/processes
Advertising/marketing can May achieve by taking Monopoly for period of time
be so successful - customers over competitors/rivals State gives
(new entrants
think no real alternative exclusive right to
selling similar products supply a g/s discouraged)
(i.e iPad)

Short Run (SR) and Long Run (LR) Equilibrium


In order to sell more, a monopolist AC will be U shaped. MC cuts AC at At this output level MC =MR , AR > AC
must lower price lowest point (see #10). In LR... Total supernormal profit (SNP) = P1XYZ

P P P
MC
MC AC

.
AC SNP

.
AR P1
MR
Y
Z
Q Q
MR
AR
When price (AR) is reduced to sell Monopolist will produce where
more – MR will be less than P MC = MR (Profit Maximisation) Q

26
17. Price Discrimination

Selling of a good (or service) to different consumers at different prices, where such prices aren’t
caused by differences in cost

The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources


Who does it? Monopolists (and near Monopolists)!
Why? To maximise profits!

Selling SAME goods to DIFFERENT


consumers at 2 Selling SAME goods at different
QUANTITIES to SAME consumers at
DIFFERENT prices TYPES DIFFERENT prices

How Example: Cinema tickets


Is it done?

All consumers have ELASTIC CUSTOMERS A price Why?


different price Those on lower/fixed
discriminating To maximise
elasticities of demand incomes: retired, students, profits! (and revenue)
(PED) elderly, unemployed monopolist
INELASTIC CUSTOMERS breaks down the overall The monopolist will
Higher incomes: market into sub-markets charge each market
Cinema charges different
teenagers, employed (depending on these segment the highest
prices for the same seat
(double income, no kids) different PEDs) possible price

2 Market Segments Elderly and Standard (Cinema Go-ers)

(A) Elderly (More Elastic) + (B) Standard (More Inelastic) = Total Market

P P P MC = S
MC = S
MC = S
AC

PE Ps PT
AR = D
MR AR = D MR AR = D MR

QE Q Qs Q QT Q

The elderly are far more responsive to The ‘standard’ person is less To maximise profits, the monopolist
a change in price. PE is less than the responsive to a change in price. PS matches MR=MC in the total market
standard price PS and less than the is more than the elderly price PE and THEN in each submarket (Costs
equal)
average price PT and more than the average price PT
Cinema company maximises profits
 Costs are the same for all segments  Costs are the same for all segments and revenue by adjusting prices so
 Sets MR=MC to get max profits  Set MR=MC to max profits that MR=MC in all segments

Conditions Necessary for Price Discrimination Price Characteristics of Consumers

Element of Distinct and Differing Consumer Ignorance Consumer Attitude


Monopoly Separate Elasticities They must be unaware that a They must be willing to pay
Power Markets of Demand substitute good is available higher price for good
from another supplier at lower supplied by one firm because
Some barriers to Consumers must Price prices of a certain status attached
entry must exist not be able to discriminating
so new entrants resell to each other monopolist will
can’t undercut (i.e. elderly selling KNOW about Consumer Inertia
They must be reluctant to change suppliers should they
the price cinema ticket to different PEDs exist (now or in the future)
charged by the standard of its customers
monopolist customers)

27
18. Markets for the Factors of Production

A certain minimum quantity of each of the 4 factors of production (FOP) is required to produce
any good or service (g/s)

What determines Demand for a FOP?


Derived Demand Profitability of Return
Factor not wanted for its own sake – it is The firms choice to employ more FOPs
useful to produce a g/s people want depends on the extra (marginal)
↑Demand for finished good = output and revenue earned from
↑Demand for factors needed to make it employing them

Marginal Physical Productivity (MPP) Marginal Revenue Productivity (MRP)


The extra output produced as a result of the The extra revenue produced as a result of the
employment of an extra unit of FOP i.e. new employment of an extra unit of FOP i.e. new worker,
worker, new machine etc new machine etc

MPP rises at low levels because of increasing If the firm is a price taker (as in Perfect
returns to labour Competition)…

1. MPP rises at first due to specialisation and MRP = MPP X Price


division of labour A firms MRP curve represents the firms demand
2. MPP will fall eventually due to law of curve for that factor. MRP will fall eventually due to
diminishing returns law of diminishing returns

Why doesn’t a firm just set


MRP = Price?
 MPP for one factor is not
always = MPP of another
 Difficult to measure MPP

The Issue of Economic Rent

-
Payment to a Transfer Earnings Economic
factor of production
Land rent
Labour wages
Capital interest
Enterprise profit
Minimum payment
necessary to keep FOP in
current use (discourage
movement to another
employment)
= Rent
Any surplus earned by
a FOP over and above
its transfer earnings

How to Control Economic Rent?

Impose A Max Price


(like banker wages in new state owned banks) Tax Government Reduces/
Eliminates it by increasing
But skilled workers in demand can always earn high
economic rents
It FOP supply

28
19. Land and Rent

Land is one of the 4 factors of production (FOP)

Land is anything from nature and used in the production of goods/services

Agricultural Rivers, Mineral Forests Atmosphere,


land Lakes and Wealth and Timber for Weather and
Foodstuffs, crops, Seas Natural construction Climate
(non renewable
fruit and veg, Fisheries, farming Resources Adequate rainfall
animal pasture (all natural) (non renewable) unless replanted) and sunshine
essential

Economic Characteristics of Land

(A) Fixed in Supply (B) No Cost of Production


 Supply S cannot be ↑ in response to  It cost nothing to put land in place (costs only
↑Demand from D to D1 (you can’t make involved in using land). Why?
more land)  Land requires the addition of labour, capital
 ↑Demand will simply cause an ↑price from and enterprise
P1 to P2  Land is non-specific – cant be transferred
form one use (agricultural) to another
P S (commercial)
 Since land costs nothing, the entire payment
to land is economic rent (see #17)
P2

-
P1 D1
Payment Transfer Economic
D
to a
FOP
Earnings
Minimum
= Rent
Surplus
Q

Market Intervention
As land is scarce (and finite), it must be carefully controlled
Local Authorities (Councils) and planning authorities ensure...
1. Development takes plan in a planned, responsible and orderly manner
2. Ensure greenbelt/open spaces are preserved and amenities provided to
citizens
3. Ensure adequate supply of industrial and commercial sites
4. Ensure areas of historical/special beauty aren’t lost to society

29
20. Labour (and Wages)

Labour is one of the 4 factors of production (FOP)

Labour is any manmade effort which goes into the production of goods/services
The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources

USUAL DEMAND CURVE USUAL SUPPLY CURVE BACKWORD BENDING


SUPPLY CURVE
P P
P
Wage S
Rate S
W1
D

Q Q Q

As Wages↑, Market As Wages↑, Supply of Labour↑ Some Workers Work Less as


Demand for Labour↓  Higher wages cause more to join Wages Increase
 Demand given by the MRP curve labour force (> participation)  Workers prefer more leisure time
of labour  Higher wages mean existing after wages hit a certain level
 Employers become less likely to workers work more and are usually (given here W1).
hire due to high cost) more productive (more motivated)  >W1 more leisure and less work

DEMAND for Labour

Productivity (Output Availability of Demand Trade Union


produced per employee) Government Subsidies Involvement
for
Company
Taxation on Taxation on Company Availability of
Products
Company Profits Employees (PAYE) New Technology

SUPPLY for Labour


Population Participation Rate (PR) Hours Worked/Length of
Labour force of an economy = >PR >Supply Holidays
total number of people at (Depends on: school leaving age, Greater the amount of time spent
work + those looking for work retirement age, job demand and at work (per employee), the
(unemployed) numbers in third level greater the supply of labour

TYPES of UNEMPLOYMENT (UE)

Insufficient Demand Seasonal Unemployment Structural Unemployment


for goods/services More employed at different times of Caused by change in economy
Cyclical UE follows boom/bust of the year (Summer, Christmas)
1. Change in pattern of demand
economy
(i.e. decline of shipbuilding in
Belfast)
Underemployment 2. New improved technology
Fractional Unemployment Workers not working to full capacity
(Unavoidable)
 Worker employed for only part of week
 Unemployed between jobs  Worker employed on a week on-off
‘lag time’ basis
 Lacking needed skills  Weak productivity (MPP)

30
How Wages Are Determined

Free Market (No Trade Unions)


P
S  No restrictions on either demand or
supply of labour
W1  Trade Unions don’t restrict supply
 Employers doesn’t restrict demand
D  Government doesn’t impose a minimum
wage
Q

Free Market (With Trade Unions)


Trade Unions (TUs) have 4 effects
1. Set a minimum wage below which NO P
labour will be supplied
2. Restrict supply to an occupation to keep
wages high (by keeping supply low) S
3. Gov restrictions temporary wage W1
Minimum
freezes with unions to control inflation Wage

4. TUs won’t accept wage reductions


D
 W1 minimum wage fixed by trade
union
Q1 Q2 Q
 Q1 is the quantity of labour employers
willing to employ (demand) at wage
rate W1 UE
 Q2 is the quantity of labour workers
willing to supply (maximum)
 Unemployed = Q2 - Q1

End result: Wages kept artificially high


(above equilibrium – see diagram)

31
21. Capital (and Interest Rates)

Capital is one of the 4 factors of production (FOP)

Capital (K) is anything made by man and used in the production of goods/services

Main Features Who Saves? SAVERS owners of K who


 Those who incomes exceed receive a reward (interest)
current needs
1. K makes labour more  Those who decide to forego
productive present consumption (in favour of INVESTORS users of K who
future consumption) i.e. save for a pay rewards (interest)
2. Creation of K involves holiday next year
opportunity cost
A. People don’t spend all their
Investment requires saving income (personal savings) Why Save?
Sacrificing current B. Companies don’t spend all their  Buy goods/services in the
consumption so future profits (retained future
consumption can be higher earnings/dividends)  ‘Just in case’ rainy day fund
Savers provide funds C. Government doesn’t spend all its
3.  Retirement income
budget surpluses (if available)
for investors  Build up credit rating

Factors Affecting Savings = f (y, Int , I , S , TS & GP)


y ↑y ↑Amount saved
I
If Inflation Rate > Interest Rate
Real rate of interest is negative
> Inflation = Less incentive to save
↑Interest Rate ↑Amount
Int saved ( > Incentive) The higher the level of state pension
S financing, the lower level of individual
saving for retirement

 Gov can ↑↓ tax on interest (DIRT)


TS & GP  Gov can grant tax relief on personal pension plans (encouraging saving)
 Gov can use unique strategies such as Special Savings Incentive Accounts (SSIA)

Factors Affecting Factors Affecting


Rate of Interest Investment
Process of adding to the stock of capital
Rate charged by Risk to (capital formation)
ESCB (European System
of Central Banks) Lender Rate of Interest Gov Policy
> Risk = > ROI = < Willingness to
> Rate of Return invest
Liquidity of Loan expected State of
> Period of loan = >Rate of Technology
interest charged Future Demand
Demand Expectations
Availability of
Rate of Inflation for Loans Skilled Labour
> Inflation = > ROI >Demand >ROI Cost of Capital Force

32
Changes in Interest Rates

Market
Interest Rate
on savings/credit
cards
Domestic

Drives short term economic growth


Demand

AGGREGATE
C+I+G
Asset Prices Domestic

DEMAND
Official i.e. houses
+ Inflationary
Pressure
Interest Net Changes in
Rate Expectations
External the output

and Business/ Demand gap


Exports less
Consumer imports
Confidence X-M

Exchange Rate Prices of Inflation


Imports

Factors to Consider when setting Interest Rates (IRs)


1. The Level of Demand (Market Interest Rate): if consumer spending is too
strong, IRs act as automatic stabiliser to control spending to sustainable levels
 ↑IR = ↑Savings and ↓Demand for Credit by reducing aggregate demand and raising
costs of paying back loans)

2. Property Prices (Asset Prices): If there is a likelihood of a housing bubble


(helped by cheap mortgage rates and cheap credit), this can raise consumer
demand and cause demand pull inflation. For mortgage holders…
 ↑IR = ↓ Income/Demand (Mortgage holders)
 ↓IR = ↑ Income/Demand (Mortgage holders)

3. Expectations of Business/Consumer Confidence: the Central Bank will


research and assess business/consumer confidence
 ↑IR = ↓ Business Expansion/New Businesses
 ↓IR = ↑ Business Expansion/New Businesses

4. Exchange Rate Trends: The value of domestic exports (priced in foreign


currency) might be too expensive
 ↑IR = Strengthens currency (↑Export price, ↓competitiveness and worsened BOP)
 ↓IR = Weakens currency (↓Export price, ↑competitiveness and strengthened BOP)

5. Imported Inflation (Price of Imports) is the economy dangerously exposed


to external factors? This must be quantified and considered
6. Labour Market: Is there a likelihood of causing a wage-price spiral (and pricing
domestic workers competitively out of the market

33
Why People Prefer Liquid Wealth
(Having readily available cash or easily saleable assets on hand)

TRANSACTIONS PRECAUTIONARY SPECULATIVE


MOTIVE (DT) MOTIVE (Dp) MOTIVE (Ds)
 Money held in case of  People taking advantage of
 People need cash for day to
emergencies i.e. illness, car profit making opportunities
day spending
repairs etc  Investors expect price to rise
 This depends on income
 As Y↑ Dp↑ in the future (so buy now)
 As Y↑ DT↑
 ROI has some effect (as  As Y↑ Ds↑
 R.O.Interest (ROI) has no  ROI has a big effect (as ROI↑,
effect on this spending ROI↑, Dp↓
Dp↓

ROI ROI ROI


% DT % %
Dp Ds

Q of Money Q of Money Q of Money

Keynes’ Theory of ROI SM


Liquidity Preference %

DM = Aggregate demand
(Precautionary demand Dp R1
+ Speculative demand Ds)
DM
 ROI will be determined by
intersection of DM and SM
Q of Money

Capital Categories

Capital Widening Capital Deepening


Increase in use of K which leaves ratio of Increase in use of K which increases ratio
capital (K) to labour (L) unchanged of capital (K) to labour (L)

 Factory has 100 workers and 10  Factory has 100 workers and 10
machines machines
 Demand ↑  Demand ↑
 Firm takes on 30 extra workers and 3  Firm takes on 10 extra workers and 5
machines machines
 Ratio of K: L before (1:10) same as  Ratio of K: L before (1:10) different to
after (1:10) after (1:6.6) – Production now more K
intensive

34
22. Enterprise (and Profit)

Enterprise is one of the 4 factors of production (FOP)

Enterprise
The FactofInitiative involved in organising
Productios) land, labour and
and Economic capital and
Resources
which bares the risks involved

For Enterprise and its practitioner the ‘Entrepreneur’ – its all about RISK

Types of Risk

Insurable Non-Insurable
 Damage to infrastructure/property  Strikes
by acts of nature  Declining competitiveness
 Theft  Competition from others
 Dishonesty by employees (Fidelity  Loss of profitability
insurance)  Change in consumer tastes
 Accidents to workers or the public  Change in company
 Non-Payment for goods (Breach of leadership
contracts)

The Role of Profits in a Free Market System

Encourage Sign of Guide Resources to


Risk Taking Efficiency their Most Efficient Use

Encourage Encourage a Ensure


Entrepreneurs to begin Firm to Stay in Investment is put
a new business Business to Best Use

The Economic Characteristics of Profit

Payment to
Only FOP Return to the
Enterprise is
capable of a Entrepreneur
Residual fluctuates
Remainder after all other negative more than the
payments of the other reward (Loss) other FOPs
FOPs are paid

35
23. Money and Banking

‘What is money?’ Money is anything that is used to buy/sell goods and services. Money (including
credit) is the fuel to the economy
The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources
Before money, there was
bartering… So What Defines Money?
Functions of Money
Swapping of good(s) for another
Very inefficient/costly. Why?
Medium of Exchange Measure of Value
 Relies on double coincidence of Aid the process exchanging Provides a common value where
wants What you want to buy must goods/services between people relative values can be compared
be accompanied with what
someone wants to sell and vice
Store of Wealth Means of Payment
versa Allows people to save wealth Allows for efficient buying/selling
 Relative value of goods How do for the future by depositing it (no back and forth as with
you quantify and worth? and gaining interest bartering)
 Stops specialisation and division
of labour

Different Types of Money

Commodity Money Fiat Money Bank Money


Good whose value serves Good whose physical value is Credit created by banks
as value of money i.e. less than the value It extended to customers via
gold coins represents i.e. paper money loans, cheques and credit cards

How do Banks Create Credit?

Reserve Ratio (RR) Credit Creation


Commercial Banks can create credit in the
This 10% is the bank ‘reserve ratio’
i.e. what % it keeps in reserve Banks economy this way

 Accept cash from depositors ↑ Money Supply =


 Depositors only ever demand a
↑ Cash Deposits X 1
What Determines RR? small proportion back to use Reserve Ratio
 Availability of (around 10%)
creditworthy customers  Bank can use the 90% to
 Central bank monetary loan out on credit (keeping > Money Supply
policy enough cash (10%) to meet  ↑Consumer spending +
 The state of the economy customers demands) Boost aggregate demand
 The liquidity requirements (and employment)
of the bank  But could ↑Inflation and
 The solvency of the bank Commercial Banks can
imports (worsen balance
borrow money from the of trade)
Central Bank

Remember!
 For the eurozone-17, these functions are carried out by the European Central Bank (ECB) under
European Monetary Union (EMU)
 Each member country within EMU maintains a Central Bank with limited functions
 Within EMU – a country lacks the ability change its ‘Interest/Exchange Rate’ and ‘Supply/Print Money’

36
Government Loans Reserves Research
Functions of Banker Make loans to Hold gold and Carry out economic
Holds public monies commercial (high- foreign exchange research and make
the Central (tax revenue) street) banks reserves projections

Bank
Interest/Currency Rate Supply Money
Adjusting interest rates and currency Issues notes/coin and ‘prints
exchange rates (Monetary policy or MP) money’ by issuing credit

Commercial Bank Assets


Bank assets are in two broad categories: profitable (normally over the long term) and
liquid (short term assets readily converted into cash at short notice)

Liquid (SR)
1. Cash

PROFITABILITY (LR)
2. Money at call Money Cash
LIQUIDITY (SR)

10%

INCREASING
INCREASING

loaned on the interbank


market (loaned
between banks) Money at Call
3. Exchequer Bills (aka 10%
Bills of Exchange)
Gov ‘loans’ out bonds to Exchequer Bills
be repaid with interest 10%
after a given time
Government Stock/Bonds
20%

Profitable (LR) Terms Loans and Overdrafts


50%
1. Government bonds
(aka Gilt edged
securities) ‘Sold’ to
debtors at a given rate
of interest to be repaid Banks Borrow From Each Other
over 3, 5 or 10 years (Interbank Market)
2. Term loans (+  Major source of short term financing for banks
Overdrafts)  Banks lends funds to each other and an interbank
Interest rate is paid
 If more money is available on the interbank market
than is demanded, there is a surplus. The interbank
interest rate will fall (because demand is insufficient)
making lending cheaper

37
24. Measurement of National Income

National Income = Total Income earned by permanent residents of a country in one year. It is also
the total value of the flow of goods and services (output) produced over the year (or…the
combined spend on this production)
The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources
The level of national income can be measured in 3 ways
Measuring aggregate (1) incomes (2) output or (3) expenditure in the economy

Included
The INCOME Method All factor incomes generated via production of
The sum of all (factor) incomes
goods/services
People earn their incomes by supplying FOPs in Wages + Rent + Profit (Private Sector
return for rewards businesses) = GDP (by factor income)

Rewards: Land (Rent), Labour (Wages), Capital


(Interest) and Enterprise (Profit) Excluded
 Transfer Payments i.e. social welfare (dole)
National Income (at factor cost) = net domestic payments, state pension etc
(from home) product at factor cost + net factor  Private Money Transfers
income from non-domestic (from abroad)  The Black ‘Shadow’ Economy unrecorded
income from unofficial sources (criminal)

GNP = GDP + NFIA


(Using Ireland as an example)
The OUTPUT Method
 GNP ( Gross National Product) = the
The sum of the combined value added of production
product of the ‘nation’ i.e. the GNP of Ireland
includes the final value of output/expenditure
Net Domestic Product at factor cost of all Irish owned FOPs at home and abroad
ADD Depreciation
 GDP (Gross Domestic Product) = measure
= Gross Domestic Product at factor cost
of output/expenditure within Irelands borders
ADD Taxes on expenditure regardless of company nationality (and where
MINUS Subsidies their profits go!)
= Gross Domestic Product at market prices
ADD Net factor income from ROW  NFIA (Net Factor Income from Abroad) =
= Gross National Product at market prices That earned (profits) Irish citizens MINUS that
earned (profits) by foreigners in Ireland

For Ireland, GDP is higher than


GNP (because NFI is negative)

EXPENDITURE Method Sum of Spending


(at current market prices)
Total expenditure on goods and services
(aggregate demand)
Y = C + I + G + (X-M)
Gross National Product at market prices
MINUS Taxes on expenditure Consumption (C)
ADD Subsidies + Investment (I)
= Gross National Product at factor cost + Government Spending (G)
MINUS Depreciation + Exports (X)
= Net National Product at factor cost - Imports (M)

38
Uses and Limitations of National Income Figures

Limitations
Why is it important to
measure national Distribution of Income Figures Wont Explain level of
income? might mask Government Involvement
inequalities in Economy
1. Make international
comparisons Using GDP stats to measure
No Account Taken of
2. Analyse the standard of standard of living
living Nature of Goods
overly simplistic
3. Analyse changes in
distribution of income Fails to take
between income groups GDP figures don’t show human
account of
4. Assist government in development standards i.e. life
Population
policy decisions expectancy, adult literacy,
>Pop >GDP education attainment etc

39
25. Factors Affecting National Income

Potential level of national income (Y): Max level of output an economy is capable of
producing given its resources

This isn’t constant…it depends on quality of the FOPs and the skill/flexibility of the
workforce

Actual Level of National Income Depends on…

Y = C + I +G+ X -M
Income Consumption Investment Government Exports Imports
Spending

Trade Balance

With your income (Y), you either consume/spend it (C) or you save it (S)
Y=C+S
C What encourages you to 1. How much you earn
2. The Interest rate
spend rather than save?
3. Availability of credit facilities

Spending by businesses on capital equipment (to replace or add to existing stock)

I What encourages you to


invest?
1.
2.
3.
Expectations
The interest rate
Availability of credit facilities
4. Return on capital employed

Depends on government resources (if a government is facing austerity in public


G expenditure, there won’t be much money left to pay for expanding/increasing public
expenditure)

Depend on strength of demand for your production abroad

X What makes your exports


desirable?
1. Advantageous exchange rate
2. Quality of exports (i.e. Irish beef)
3. Type of exports (what you’re selling)

M Depends on private sector needs which depends on growth (and income!)


↑ Y (Income) ↑Imports as ↑Economic Growth/Output

40
The Circular Flow of Income
Shows how different sectors of the macro-economy are linked

INJECTIONS
C+I+G+X

Spending on
Goods/Services

Provides the factors of production


(i.e. land, labour, capital, enterprise)

Provides payment on the factors


Households/
Individuals
provided (i.e. wages for labour)
Firms
Produces + Supplies
Goods/Services

1. Taxation the higher tax is, the less disposable income


LEAKAGES households/individuals have to spend in the economy
Taxation/Savings/ or the less output businesses are willing to provide
Imports (M) 2. Savings the more that’s saved, the less that’s spent
3. Imports (M) the more spent on foreign goods, the
less that’s spent on goods at home

Marginal Propensity to Marginal Propensity to


Consume (C) or Save (S) Tax (T) or Import (M)
MPC or MPS MPT or MPM

Fraction of extra (marginal) Fraction of extra (marginal)


income which is consumed income which is paid in tax
or saved
or used to buy imports

Δ C or S Δ Y Spend on T or M
Δ Income (Y) Δ Income (Y)

MULTIPLIER
Number of times an injection 1 X Injection
results in an ↑Y MPS + MPM + MPT

41
26. The Price Level (and Inflation)

Inflation is the rate of a gradual rise in the general level of prices. If the rate of inflation exceeds
income growth, the purchasing power of consumers falls

How Price Changes are Measured

A Simple Price Index A Composite (Weighted) Price Index


1. Choose base years i.e 2009, ‘10 base Each good is given a ‘weight’ according to the
year = 100 % of income spend on it (i.e. its importance in
2. Find price of goods in 2011 consumer expenditure)
3. Express price today as a % of price in
the base year 1. Choose base year i.e. 2007
2. Decide which goods to include
Current Price x 100 = SI 3. Find price of goods today (Y)
Old Price 1 4. Calculate simple price index

Year 2009 2010 2011 Year Good A Good B Good C


Simple Index 100 SI1 SI2 2009 100 100 100
2010 SI(A) SI(B) SI(C)
2011 SI(A) SI(B) SI(C)

The Consumer Price 5. Find weights (% of income spent on each

Index goods) i.e. 20% of income spent on Good


A means the Simple Index for A SI(A) Is
 Most common example of a composite multiplied by 20. 45% is spent on Good B,
(weighted) price index 35% on Good C.
 Measures change in the average level of prices 6. Calculate Weighted Average (WA)
paid for consumer goods/services by all private
Year Good A Good B Good C
individuals in the country
2009 100 x 20 100 x45 100 x 35
KEY LIMITATIONS 2010 SI(A) x 20 SI(B) x 45 SI(C) x 35
Based on Average Weights Apply in
2011 SI(A) x 20 SI(B) x 45 SI(C) x 35
Spending Patterns Base Year Only
Doesn’t relate to Fraction of income 7. Add all 3 values from each year together
cost/standard of living should change!
changes and divide by 100. Result is our Composite
Price Index!
Improvement in
New Products Features of Year Total Composite Index
not included Goods Ignored 2009 10,000 100.00
2010 WA (All Goods) WA ÷ 100
2011 WA (All Goods) WA ÷ 100
Switch to Cheaper
Brands Not Measured

USES OF THE CPI


To Measure Provide Justification for Maintaining real value
Inflation Rate Widening Tax Bands of welfare payments

Wage Negotiations Maintaining Indexation of


(Maintaining real value of real value of Investments Avoid
incomes) savings Underinsurance

42
Causes (and Types) of Inflation?

Demand-Pull Government Cost-Push


Inflation Induced Inflation Inflation
When the economy cant Government policy can When prices rise because
produce enough to meet cause inflation producers face greater cost of
demand production (COP)
Caused By:
Demand > Supply 1. Gov ↑ Direct/Indirect Taxes How does COP rise?
 Reduces economic activity
Caused By:
 Taxes on inputs increase 1. ↑Price of imported raw
 Low interest rates cost to manufacturers materials (Imported
 High economic growth which is passed on (Cost- Inflation)
 Producer unable to meet Push Inflation) 2. ↑Cost of Labour – wage
demand for goods (so they 2. Gov ↑ Public Expenditure increases = pressure on
can ↑Profits by ↑Price) 3. Loose Banking Policy (low profit margins = ↑Prices to
 In smaller economies, regulation of banks) compensate (Wage-Price
excess demand means  Gov allows banks dole too Spiral)
↑Imports (worsening many loans (overheat 3. ↑Price of home produced
balance of trade) economy) raw materials (component
costs)

Both Can Be Classed


‘Demand-Pull Inflation’

Economic Effects of Inflation


Production Consumption Fixed Incomes
Encouraged Encouraged Lose Out
If consumers expected Includes employers, welfare
↑P = ↑Qs
Inflation to continue recipients and pensioners

Self Employed Borrowers Gain/Lenders Lose


Gain (If Inflation rate > Interest rate)
 Borrowers pay less (in real terms)
They ↑P > Inflation
 For lenders, value of savings held falls

Loss of International Government Benefits


Competitiveness  Gov Borrowing: If Inflation rate > Interest rate,
Exports can become too
expensive on world markets real government borrowing level falls
(less desirable, demand  Gov Revenue: inflation brings more people into tax
falls…state loses income) net (gradually, as incomes rise and rates are static)

43
27. Economic Objectives of the Government

All elected governments have common key economic goals to


achieve during their term in office

The The
Factof Productios)
Economic and Economic
Objectives Resources
of Governments

Provision of Adequate Equilibrium on Achievement of


Infrastructure Balance of Payments Economic Growth
 Communication networks (high  Ideally, gov aims to achieve Growing output is vital
speed broadband access) Imports = Exports (at least)
 Transport networks (motorways,  If imports>exports – country
national roads, waterways and living beyond its means (buying
airports) too many foreign goods) Balanced Regional
 Public services (post offices,  If exports>imports – good sign
water, sewerage, electricity) but inflation can happen
Development
Spread development via
national development plans

Control of Inflation Achievement of


(Price Stability)
 Control of prices is very Full Employment Control of Public
important. Inflation erodes
 Situation where jobs are
Expenditure
economic competitiveness available for all those willing to
 > Inflation >Cost of your work at existing wage levels
Keep costs and revenues
exports on foreign markets  Full employment = control of balanced
 Inflation = Bad for countries unemployment
reputation

Instruments of Government Economic Policy

Fiscal Monetary Exchange Direct


Policy Policy Rate Policy Intervention

Control of Control of the level of Control of the value Gov intervenes


government revenue money in the of your currency ( + Keynesianism)
and expenditure economy How? How?
How? How? Devaluation (worth less) State companies/spending
↑↓Tax or ↑↓ Interest Rate or Revaluation (worth State laws
↓↑Spending ↓↑ Money Supply more) Capital/Public projects

Conflicts Between Government Objectives

Full Employment (FE) Economic Growth (EG) Full Employment (FE)


Vs. Price Stability/ Vs. Balanced Regional Vs. Control of
Control of Inflation Development Spending

FE means ↑public EG means growing investment FE means ↑public


expenditure in the + output (private and public). expenditure + budget deficits
economy which Balanced development = state which can ↑ inflation
can ↑ inflation imposes taxes on high income earners + national debt
to ↑social welfare
(discouraging investment)
44
28. Fiscal Policy

Fiscal Policy: Any action by government which affects the size or composition
of government revenue or expenditure

Key Fiscal Terms

Current Expenditure Current Capital Exchequer


Spending on day to day items Revenue Expenditure Balance
financing the ‘running of the Money received by Spending on long
country’ i.e. public sector term projects such Sum of current
the government in
wages, cost of running
taxation and other as large scale and capital
government departments infrastructure budgets
income

Budgets

Current Budget Deficit Current Budget Surplus Neutral Budget


[Expenditure > Revenue] [Revenue > Expenditure]
Caused By Caused By Revenue = Expenditure
 Weak economic growth (high  Strong economic growth (and
unemployment) high employment/spending)
Aka Balanced
 External economic shocks  Strong tax revenue Budget

REDUCES the.. REDUCES the.. NO EFFECT

NO EFFECT
ADDS

ADDS

on…

on…
to…

to…

NATIONAL
DEBT
The total outstanding debt
owed by government

It’s a bad thing as/if it… It’s a good thing if…


 Pushes up Interest rates (In a small  Its spent on infrastructure (if money
economy with small savings supply) borrowed in spent on productive or social
 Is spent to finance current spending rather projects to provide necessary public
services or increase economic output)
than investment (country is living beyond its
means)  Its spend on ‘self liquidating uses’ (if
money is medium term and will likely be
 Crowds out private sector (increases state
repaid eventually i.e. current spending on
involvement in the economy)
banks)
 Causes higher taxation (Higher borrowing
is ultimately unsustainable and will reduce  Its due to natural growth in the economy
aggregate demand and economic growth)  It leads to borrowing at home, instead
of abroad (which can recoups tax)
 As national debt grows, so do interest
payments. In a downturn (as since 2007)
these payments are difficult to make and the
public budget gets cut, causing hardship
(welfare, education, transport services)

45
Characteristics of the Good Tax System

Equity Certainty Economy Automatic Stabiliser


Should be based Know your tax Cost of collection Should have stabling effect on
on ability to pay liability must be low national income level

Convenience Redistribution Flexible Not Discourage


Must be easy to Taxation should enable to Changeable to Work or
collect tax redistribute wealth from rich to poor suit economic Investment
conditions

Types of Taxation
Advantages Advantages
 Based on principle of  Cost of collection is low
equity, certainty and (Economy)
economy  Easier to extract from the
 Convenient to taxpayer DIRECT INDIRECT public (less sensitive)
 Acts as automatic  Doesn’t discourage work
stabiliser Income Tax  Acts as automatic
VAT
Corporation Tax stabiliser
Excise Duties
Capital Gains Tax
Custom Duties
Disadvantages Capital
Stamp Duties
Acquisitions Tax Disadvantages
 As it rises, work is
discouraged  Inflationary/Deflationary
(absenteeism becomes  Not equitable
a problem)  Hard to predict yield
 Tax evasion rises (based on assumptions of
 Can discourage consumer spending)
investment

46
29. International Trade

CHARACTERISTICS

Wider Choice ↑Competition ↑Productivity Allows economy to


Countries can consume Lower prices for consumer Produce more efficiently. Better use of scarce
products they don’t (and higher efficiencies)where resources (exploit comparative advantage),
produce domestically producers compete technology, innovation and ‘best practice’ ideas

↑ Standard of Living (SOL) Improved Relations Provides Markets


 Individual worker gains by specialisation of labour > Contact with outside For Excess
 Country is able to enjoy a higher SOL by world and Output
concentrating on what its good at neighbours

BASIS

Absolute Advantage Comparative Advantage


One country can produce a good cheaper than One country is relatively more efficient
others producing a both goods (output per worker)

Chemicals Coal
Beer Bread
Ireland 1000 2000
Ireland 50 80
UK 500 3000
Denmark 100 90

Law of Absolute Advantage Compared with ‘Beer’, Ireland produces ‘Bread’ at a


Each country should specialise in much closer level to the Danish level than ‘Beer’
producing a good in which is has an
absolute advantage Law of Comparative Advantage
(Aka Ricardo’s Theory)
Each country should specialise in producing a
How Valid is this Law/Theory? good at which it is relatively most efficient (and
fulfil its other requirements through trade)
Ignores Assumes Constant
Returns to Scale  Why would Country A differ to B? Different
Transport
‘endowments’ (available quantities) of key
Costs factors of production (FOPs) [aka
Assumes FOPs (i.e.
Labour) Will Move Heckscher-Ohlin Theory)
Assumes  This maximises economic welfare (through
Across Occupations
Free specialisation of what you’re good at doing)
Trade Assumes
Exists Specialisation can
occur unhindered What determines Comparative Advantage
(i.e. cost of production)

Summary: What is Free Trade? Factor Endowments Investment


(and their quality) in R&D
Exchange Specialisation
Buy what they cant
Exploit economies Tariffs/ Long Term Exchange
produce cheaply/
of scale Quotas Inflation Rate Rate Changes
efficiently at home

47
The Government and Free Trade

Why Government How a Government Intervenes


Intervenes
1. Tariffs
 Tariffs increase the price of an imported
Protect from competition by low
good (after it arrives). This can be ad
wage countries valorem (% of selling price) or a specific
‘duty’ amount
 Earn revenue
Protect an To prevent  Reduce level of imports (depending on
‘Infant ‘Dumping’ of elasticity of demand)
Industry’ low price
from goods (from 2. Quotas
 Physical limit placed by government on
competition Asia)
the import limit of a good
 Raises no revenue
 Limits market size
To protect
For political
domestic 3. Exchange Control
purposes i.e.
workers (in  Imports are limited to a certain money
US embargo of
domestic value (in foreign currency)
Cuba
industries)
4. Embargoes
 Complete ban on the importation of
certain goods
 Political/Health and safety reasons

5. Administrative Barriers
 “Red Tape” obstacles for importers i.e.
excessive documentation, length
processing delays

6. Subsidies
 Provide incentives to exporting firms to
encourage exports i.e. grants, low
interest loans, marketing assistance

48
30. Currencies and Exchange Rates

One of the most commonly items of trade is currency. Investors come in many forms, from the
average tourist buying a different currency before a holiday to giant pension and hedge funds
The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources
who profit from speculating on the rising/falling prices of currencies

The price of a currency is relative – it is measured in relation to the price of another currency, rather than itself

Why Does the Price of a


Currency Change?
Two Main Exchange Regimes
You often hear on the news ‘the dollar has
fallen in value against the euro..’ What
does this mean?
Floating Pegged/Fixed
Governments via Countries ‘peg’ or ride a
On Monday: €1 = $1 their Central Banks stronger, respected and
On Tuesday: €1 = $0.75 adjust the exchange stable currency to build
rates to suit credibility, reduce
economic policies or instability and promote
The main reasons for this: in response to market investment in their
1. The economy. If one economy using a perceptions (or to economies. Many
certain currency appears to be weakening, maintain harmonious European currencies
then the price of the currency falls as trade relations) pegged to the US$ after
demand falls WW2 to rebuild their
2. Profitability: investors will always aim to Commonplace today economies
maxmise their return. If a country has high especially in
interest rates, government bonds (debt) developed Originally, many countries
and other investments will have a much economies fixed their currencies to
greater return than countries with low the value of gold (a fixed
interest rates. Investors will buy from the value) in a regime known
high interest rate economy, demand will as the Gold Standard
soar and the value of the currency will
rise. More common in the 19th
and 20th centuries

Demand for a Current Exchange Expected Exchange


Rate (CER) Rate (EER)
Currency
>CER = <QD of your >EER = >QD of your currency
The QD (Quantity Demanded) currency
of your currency in the ‘foreign Investors expect currency to get
 High exchange rate = More dearer so they buy now to sell at
exchange market’ depends on 3 expensive exports = Less profit later
factors Desirable/Low Demand for
goods = Low Demand for
1. The current exchange rate stuff priced in your
2. The expected exchange currency (exports) The Interest Rate (IR)
rate  Low exchange rate = High >IR = >QD of your currency
3. The interest rate (at home expectation of profits by (and your assets)

and abroad) currency investors (they


Higher interest rate = Higher rate of
expect the currency to get return (so investors buy more of
dearer so they buy now) assets priced in your currency)

49
Expected Exchange Current Exchange Supply of a
Rate (EER) Rate (CER)
>EER = <QS of your currency
Currency
>CER = >QS of your
Investors expect currency to get currency The Qs (Quantity Supplied) of
dearer. Those who hold your home your currency in the ‘foreign
currency will hold it to sell later (for exchange market’ depends on
 High exchange rate =
profit then)
Cheaper imports = Buying 3 factors
more foreign currency
(using your home currency) 1. The current exchange rate
The Interest Rate (IR)  High exchange rate = High 2. The expected exchange
>IR = <QS of your currency expectation of losses by rate
(and your assets) holding your home 3. The interest rate (at home
currency (so, you will dump
Higher interest rate = Higher rate of and abroad)
your home currency and
return (so investors buy more of
buy more profitable
assets priced in your currency and
supply is snapped up) currencies)

Pros and Cons of a


Strong Currency

Pros Cons
 Cheaper imports = higher  Erosion in trade competitiveness
standards of living for citizens worsens trade balance (citizens
(import cheaper consumer import more and buy less at home)
goods/cheaper food) = More  Weakness of exports reduces
disposable income economic growth (domestic
 Low inflation by disciplining economy shrinks)
domestic producers and domestic  Domestic demand and domestic
wage demands (as your trade industry suffers (upward pressure
competitiveness erodes) on unemployment)
 Low inflation = Less upward  Mounting deficits bad for investor
pressure on Interest rates confidence

50
31. The Balance of Payments

The Balance of Payments (BOP) is a record of all the financial transactions that are made
between all those active in the domestic economy (consumers, businesses and the
The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources
government) and the rest of the world

Includes

How much is being Composed of 2 parts The level of exports


spent by domestic 1. Current Account are (production sold
consumers/businesses abroad to foreign
2. Capital Account
on imports countries)

CURRENT ACCOUNT CAPITAL ACCOUNT


All flows of money received from the purchase of All flows associated with ‘capital’ items i.e.
goods/services private capital, official capital and banking

Visible Exports Imports


Balance = (Goods) - (Goods) Private Capital Transactions
(of Trade) Purchases of land, factory buildings
or company shares

Invisible Exports Imports +


Balance = (Services) - (Services) Official Capital Transactions
Government borrowing and the sale of
Exports (Services) Imports (Services) government stock/bonds to foreigners by the
Examples Examples government
 Earnings of domestic  Your own citizens using
airlines from foreign foreign airlines +
passengers  Spending by your own
 Earnings of domestic citizens on holidays Banking Transactions
hotels from foreign guests abroad Change in net external position of banks
 Earnings of domestic  Payments by your own
singers/bands from citizens to foreign
abroad companies
 Subsidies received
domestically from the EU
 Earnings of foreign artists
in your country
= Total Capital Transactions
 Earnings of Irish  Taxes pay by your country
consultancies from foreign to the EU
clients  All interest pay on debt Net Balance on Current Account
owed to those abroad
+
Total Capital Transactions
Net Investment Current
Income Transfers

BOP on
Interest payments, profits Private transfers
and dividends from between countries and =
external assets owned by government transfers (to
nationals but sited abroad EU, UN and other
international bodes) Capital/Current
= Net Balance on Current Account Account
Visible + Invisible + Net
+ Current
Balance Balance Investment Transfers
Income

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Balance of Payments Explained

Current Account (in €m)


Visible Trade Export of Goods 20,000
Visible
Imports of Goods 45,000
trade
Balance of Trade -25,000 deficit

Invisible Trade Export of Services 18,000


Imports of Services 8,000 Invisible
-10,000 trade
deficit
Net Balance on Current Account -15,000

Capital Account (in €m)


Private Capital -10,000
Official Capital +15,000
Banking Transactions +2,000
+7,000 BOP Deficit
Balance of Payments Net capital outflow
on Capital Account -8,050
The country isn’t paying it
way with other countries

Why is there a BOP (Trade) Deficit?

SHORT TERM FACTORS MEDIUM/LONG TERM FACTORS


1. Booming home economy means high 1. Structural problems in the economy (long
consumer demand which can’t be term decline of once strong exporting
satisfied by domestic production. sectors i.e. deindustrialisation and the
Imports grow growth of more competitive and
2. Strong exchange rate reduces prices footloose services)
of imports, switching consumer 2. Decline in comparative advantage in the
spending away from domestic international economy
production (cheaper to import) 3. Low level of capital investment
3. Global economic weakness damages 4. Productivity/Competitiveness problems
export growth

Many economies in Western Europe are shifting toward


INVISIBLE exports (services) rather than VISIBLE exports (goods)
 Economies are exposed to increased competition in services
 This exposes them more to investor confidence (fluctuates)
 Employment shifts to service based (most ‘developed’ economies =
70%)

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32. The Evolution of the International Economic System

The International Monetary The World Bank


Fund (IMF) (Fmr. International Bank for Reconstruction
and Development)
 Intergovernmental organisation HQ’ed in
Washington D.C.  Intergovernmental organisation
 Set up by as part of the post-war Bretton Woods  Each member contributes on proportion to their
Agreement of 1944 in New Hampshire, USA share in world trade
 Commenced operations in 1947  Set up by as part of the post-war Bretton Woods
 It has 187 members (nations) Agreement of 1944 in New Hampshire, USA
 Commenced operations in 1946
 It has 187 members (nations)

Goals
1. Encourage monetary cooperation Goals
2. Promote expansion of world trade Facilitate loans to member governments for
3. Stabilise exchange rates (by linking every development (poorly developing countries) and
member currency to the US$) reconstruction (all)
4. Facilitate a system of payments between Consists of 2 Organisations
countries (for Marshall Aid)
5. Provide funds (and advice) or countries in 1. International Finance Corporation (IFC):
BOP crises (and stop devaluations though it Invests in private capital projects via loans and
now advocates it as a first step to fiscal guarantees
rectitude) 2. International Development Association (IDA):
Gives long term loans at very low rates for
infrastructural development

The General Agreements on Tariffs


and Trade (GATT)
 HQ’ed in Geneva, Switzerland
 In operation 1947-1993. Replaced by WTO 1995-
 Consists of several ‘rounds’ of agreements including the
Kennedy Round. Most recent is the Doha Round (2001-)
 It has 153 members (nations)

The World Trade Organisation


(WTO)

Goals
1. Promote free and unhindered trade
2. Provide forum for negotiations and for dispute resolution
3. Increase multilateral trade (combating protectionism)
4. Reduce tariffs and quotas
5. Abolish and penalise preferential trade agreements which
distort trade
6. Help the developing world to compete on the world market
(in agriculture)

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33. Economic Development and Growth

Development: The Increase in output per person, involving


a signfiicant change (evolution) in society
Growth: Increase in output without change in society
The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources
Rostow’s 5 Stages of Economic Growth

Age of Mass Highly


sophisticated
Consumption society
Level of Development

Diversification +
Drive to Specialisation +
Maturity Innovation + Investment

Urbanisation +
Take Off Industrialisation +
Growth of manufacturing

Preconditions Commercial exploitation of


primary production +
For Take-Off Commercialisation

Traditional Subsistence farming


+ Static + Barter +
Society Small governing elite

Time

Traditional Society is very primitive with very limited technology and a reliance on subsistence
farming. People rely on community bartering rather than advanced coinage/banking.
Society Society is governed by a small wealthy ruling elite with strong traditional values

Citizens see possibilities of improvement. Growing specialisation and commercialisation


Preconditions of skills and investment in infrastructure. Increasing focus on exports (of primary
For Take-Off production such as mining and farming) and fuelling investment through surpluses

Economic growth becomes self sustaining. Huge technological advancement =


Take Off development of domestic manufacturing sector. Agriculture output/worker increases as
do services. Urban flight + rural depopulation skyrockets (regional city growth). Political
modernisation = growing democratisation (demands). Greater pending on education and
social development

Drive to Range of domestic production widens – country replaces imports with domestic
Maturity production (import substitution). Increasing diversification and investment (from home
and abroad). Increasing need for innovation for efficiency gains in existing techniques

Economy becomes heavily geared toward service provision (consumer orientation) due
Age of Mass to exploiting comparative advantages in trade. High quality world class infrastructure is
Consumption now in existence. Citizenry demand consumer durable goods

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55
Least Developed Countries (LDCs)

CHARACTERISTICS

Low Income High % Engaged Poor Terms Poor Living


Per Head in Agriculture of Trade Conditions

Rapid Population Uneven Wealth Lack of Resources Low Adult


Growth Distribution for Investment Literacy

STRATEGIES FOR DEVELOPMENT

Trickle Down Export-Led


Self Policy Growth Central
Sufficiency Placing few Country
Planning
Fulfil domestic restrictions on concentrates on
needs/wants via industry/low taxes mass production of State planning and
growing the on wealthy to cheap, reliance public ownership of
domestic economy promote business consumer goods i.e. the means of
growth and toys production
India employment
Many South-east Cuba
Brazil Asian economies

WHATS NEEDED FOR DEVELOPMENT?

Foreign Infrastructural Greater Openness to


Capital Improvements trade (and ideas)
Aid

Increased agricultural Peace and ↑Literacy


output Political Stability (and Education)

Economic Growth

Benefits Costs
 Greater standard of living with wider  Uneven distribution of wealth causing
consumer choice of goods/services widening income inequality
 Greater output = Higher employment levels  Damage to environment
(and enhanced demand for other FOPs)
 Urbanisation leading to ghettoisation in
 Reduces poverty levels (increasing
cities (poverty/crime black spots) and
employment and more resources to pay for
social welfare) rural depopulation
 Provides resources for capital/infrastructural  Uneven growth can cause unbalanced
spending and public expenditure on regional development
education, transport and health

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34. The Economics of Population

Demography is the study of population

The Factof Productios) and Economic Resources


Key Stats in Demography

Birth Rate Fertility Rate Death Rate Density of Infant


Average annual Average annual Average annual Population Mortality Rate
number of live number of children number of Average number Average number of
births per 1,000 born to a woman of deaths per of people per infant deaths per
people childbearing years 1,000 people square kilometre 1,000 live births

Developing Countries (LDCs) Developed Countries


1. HIGH birth rate 1. LOW birth rate
2. HIGH fertility rate 2. LOW fertility rate
3. HIGH death rate 3. LOW death rate
4. LOW population density (usually rural 4. HIGH population density (more
societies) urbanised societies)
5. HIGH infant mortality rate 5. LOW infant mortality rate

Population Movements

Emigration Immigration Migration


+ =
GOING OUT COMING IN TOTAL CHANGE
Residents leaving their Foreign nationals entering The difference between
home country (in search of the home country (in search those who leave (emigration)
employment, better of employment, better and those who arrive
prospects or other reasons) prospects or other reasons) (immigration)

Economic Effects of Pull Factors


Emigration Conditions in other countries which makes working and
living there more attractive
 Higher pay
1. Falling demand for domestic goods
 Better social life/cultural experiences
and services
 Training and development opportunities
2. Reduced demand for imports
 Better job prospects
(Improves country’s balance of
 Booming economy
payments situation)
3. ‘Brain drain’ as highly skilled/college
graduates leave (despite free state
education at home) Push Factors
4. Pressure on home companies to raise Conditions in the home country which cause
pay and conditions to prevent their residents to leave
employees leaving
 Low (or falling) pay
5. ‘Pressure valve’ for unemployment –
 Religious/social reasons
reducing it
 Poor training and development opportunities
6. High rates = Symbolic of an economy
 Poor job prospects
in crisis (Negative on national pride)
 Economic recession

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