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A
PROJECT REPORT
ON
COMPREHENSIVE STUDY
OF
(SESSION 2008-2010)
SUBMITTED TO:
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REG.NO. 04-
VB-746
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I would take this opportunity to thank Mrs. Bhawana Sharma , Faculty, D.A.V. Institute of
Their support, guidance and motivation were very valuable and encouraging.
Bajrang Kaushik
PREFACE
The introduction and application of the concept of customer services entered in a welcoming way
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in India only after independence. The banking system in India has come a long way during the
last two centuries. Its growth was faster and the coverage wider since 1969. In 1969a major
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position of banking sector was entrusted to the public sector. This process continued and
embraced few private banks in 1980.
The transfer of ownership of banks from the public to private was aimed at entrusting the banks
Download Now with greater responsibilities for the economic development of India by taking banking services to
the masses and taking special care of the weaker section of the society and the priority sector of
the economy. Though the number of banks offices magnitude and the variety of their operations
has grown considerably during the period of near about three decades, but it appears that the
banking sector has entered into serious among customers.
For overcoming this problem, banking industry should seek introspection and adopt refined
management techniques. It has been endeavor of this study to analyze the present state of various
banks keeping in view the primary data has been collected regarding the present state of loan
schemes in various banks by using a questionnaire.
DECLARATION
I undersigned Bajrang Kaushik The student of MBA 3rd Sem. hereby declare that the
project work in my own work and has been carried out under the guidance of Mrs. Bhawana
Sharma Faculty Member of DAV Institute of Management of Studies in Faridabad
(Haryana) . This Report has been submitted to M.D. University for Evaluation.
Date:
Place:
Bajrang Kaushik
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Table of contents
S. No. Indian
Particulars 201
Banking SystemPages
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMERY 07-08
0
2. INTRODUCTION: 09-19
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
CONCEPTULIZATION
FOCUS OF THE PROBLEM
RESEARCH DESIGN
LOAN DEMAND
RISING FUNDING
NON-PERFORMING LOANS
6
TECHNOLOGY
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EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
8
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Download Now The Indian Economy is driven by strong fundamentals with GDP growth at 9.1% for H1 FY07 –
strongest growth in any six months since H1 FY04 and uptrend in Industrial Cycle with Average
Index of Industrial Production growth at 10.2% being the strongest run in the past 11 years.
On political front, the Indian Government has signed nuclear deal with America indicating
India’s importance in the global context opening up many opportunities. Along with this,
Chinese President Hu is expected to visit India. This will improve trade and other ties between
two of the fastest growing economies.
In Capital Market, Strong foreign inflows with Portfolio flows of nearby USD 9.2bn took BSE
Sensex to 14,000 + (50% higher) compared to FY 05-06. The Indian corporate raised USD 6bn
by issuing Initial public offer in India and abroad. High Credit growth at 30%, it continued the
trend of last 5 years where it has averaged around 25% and lastly M&A activity which was at its
peak with sectors beyond IT and Pharma making global & domestic acquisitions.
The high growth sectors are Power where power ministry and local private players
announce 9 ultra mega projects (4,000 MW each) provides visibility on power & infra
front.
Retail - a Point of inflection with major Indian corporate announcing plans, entry of
world majors like Wal-Mart & foreign investment allowed in single brand retail and Real
Estate with major huge build-out plans and Special Economic Zone policy of government
is major driver of growth.
Banking in which Banks are allowed to raise hybrid capital which opens new avenues for
funding credit growth.
As such, the report focus on change factors in Banking Industry as this industry is expected to
INTRODUCTI
ON
10
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INTRODUCTION
In India, given the relatively underdeveloped capital market and with little internal resources,
firms and economic entities depend, largely, on financial intermediaries to meet their fund
requirements. In terms of supply of credit, financial intermediaries can broadly be categorized as
institutional and non-institutional. The major institutional suppliers of credit in India are banks
and non-bank financial institutions (that is, development financial institutions or DFIs), other
financial institutions (FIs), and non-banking finance companies (NBFCs). The non-institutional
or unorganized sources of credit include indigenous bankers and money-lenders. Information
about the unorganized sector is limited and not readily available.
An important feature of the credit market is its term structure:
(a) Short-term credit
(b) Medium-term credit
(c) Long-term credit.
While banks and NBFCs predominantly cater for short-term needs, FIs provide mostly medium
and long-term funds.
11
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
http://indiapost.com/article/techbiz/1038/
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IA Bank ties up with SBI for money transfers
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transfer services to India for its clients. Under the new money transfer service, which will
provide expanded services to Indus American Bank customers can expect service at over 14,000
branch locations of State Bank of India within India, and at over 14,000 additional RTGS
participating banks.
Funds remitted from Indus American Bank would reach recipients typically within 24 hours. As
the largest bank in India, State Bank of India offers excellent exchange rates which are now
available to Indus American Bank customers. India is one of the biggest destinations for foreign
remittances.
http://www.myiris.com/newsCentre/newsPopup.php?
fileR=20070925165003043&dir=2007/09/25&secID=livenews
ICICI Bank allotted 17,800 equity shares of face value of Rs 10 each on Sep. 18, 2007 under the
employees stock option sceme, 2000 (ESOS).ICICI Bank (ICICIBANK) was promoted in 1994
by ICICI, an Indian development financial institution. The two entities subsequently merged to
become the largest commercial bank in the private sector.
12
Indian Banki
The fund, HDFC FMP 18M September 2007, will be open for
invest at least 60 percent of the assets in debt and money mar
tells about how these funds are effectively and efficiently utilized in order to maximize
profits. "The cost of wholesale funding has come down and we are t
To study the growth and performance of banking company.
the company.
benefits to borrowers," HDFC Chairman Deepak Parekh was quo
To find out what are the policies that we have to be adopted to increase the goodwill of
14
To make a detailed study of various financial services provide by the different banks.
To analyze customers view point regarding their banks.
To study effective and most popular bank among the customers regarding its services.
To find out the rate of interest of banks and reaction of customers on it.
To make analysis on the economic benefits provided by various banks.
Suggest the investors whether to invest in shares of Banking Companies.
15
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CONCEPTUALIZATION
The last decade has seen many positive developments in the Indian banking sector. The policy
makers, which comprise the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Ministry of Finance and related
government and financial sector regulatory entities, have made several notable efforts to improve
regulation in the sector. The sector now compares favourably with banking sectors in the region
on metrics like growth, profitability and non-performing assets (NPAs). A few banks have
established an outstanding track record of innovation, growth and value creation. This is
reflected in their market valuation. However, improved regulations, innovation, growth and
value creation in the sector remain limited to a small part of it.
The cost of banking intermediation in India is higher and bank penetration is far lower than in
other markets. India’s banking industry must strengthen itself significantly if it has to support the
modern and vibrant economy which India aspires to be. While the onus for this change lies
mainly with bank managements, an enabling policy and regulatory framework will also be
critical to their success.
The failure to respond to changing market realities has stunted the development of the financial
sector in many developing countries. A weak banking structure has been unable to fuel continued
growth, which has harmed the long-term health of their economies. In this “white paper”, we
emphasize the need to act both decisively and quickly to build an enabling, rather than a limiting,
banking sector in India
16
The research report concentrates on macro and micro factors affecting Banking Industry,
Evolution of Banking Industry and its current status. Various regulatory and reform processes
also affect banking industry. The report also throws a light on them.
The report finally ends with valuation of major players in banking Industry and the major
challenges faced by this industry.
1. Banking Challenges
It is expected that the Indian banking and finance system will be globally competitive. For this
the market players will have to be financially strong and operationally efficient. Capital would be
a key factor in building a successful institution. The banking and finance system will improve
competitiveness through a process of consolidation, either through mergers and acquisitions
through strategic alliances. Technology would be the key to the competitiveness of banking and
finance system. Indian players will keep pace with global leaders in the use of banking
technology.
In such a scenario, on-line accessibility will be available to the customers from any part of the
globe; ‘Anywhere’ and ‘Anytime’ banking will be realized truly and fully. In this context, the
research paper approached “Indian Banking System” as the shape of the banking sector will be
the result of a strong interplay between the decisions taken by policy makers and
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managements.
17
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The last decade has seen many positive developments in the Indian Banking Sector. The policy
makers, which comprise the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Ministry of Finance and related
government and financial sector regulatory entities, have made several notable efforts to improve
regulation in the sector.
The sector now compares favorably with banking sectors in the region on metrics like growth,
profitability and non-performing assets (NPAs). A few banks have established an outstanding
track record of innovation, growth and value creation. This is reflected in their market valuation.
However, improved regulations, innovation, growth and value creation in the sector remain
limited to a small part of it. The cost of banking intermediation in India is higher and bank
18
The research focuses on emphasizing the need of decisively and quickly to build and enabling,
rather than a limiting, banking sector in India. The major challenges ahead for bank management
are as follows:
First, cost management, a key to sustainability of bank profits as well as their long-term
viability.
Second, recovery management, which is a key to the stability of the banking sector.
Third, technological intensity of banking, an area where India happens to be a world leader in
information technology, but its usage by our banking system is somewhat muted. It is wise
for Indian banks to exploit this globally state-of-art expertise domestically available to their
for Indian banks to exploit this globally state of art expertise, domestically available, to their
fullest advantage.
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Fourth, risk management, Banks can, on their part, formulate ‘early warning indicators’
suited to their own requirements, business profile and risk appetite in order to better monitor
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and manage risks.
Fifth, governance because the quality of corporate governance in the banks becomes critical as
competition intensifies, banks strive to retain their client base, and regulators move out of
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19
The scope of the study will be restricted to selected Banks.
Many of the respondents did not think hard enough while choosing the specific point.
This could have led to a biased view and thus affected the analysis.
There may be other events during the Clean and Window Period which may distort the
results.
20
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Indian Banking System 201 Sign In Join
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21
RESEARCH
METHODOLO
GY
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Problem Definition:
22
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Objective:
Discover insights into and develop an understanding of the various Macro and Micro Economic
Factors that have bearing on the functioning of the Banking sector.
Evaluate the performance of some of the banks based on the past data and forecast the future
prospects.
Valuation :
The project involves valuation of major Indian Banks including ICICI Bank, SBI and HDFC
Bank. The methodology followed is Target Pricing, which includes estimating growth rate by
regression on historical sales to forecast next year sales, earning and Profit and Loss account.
Then EPS is calculated which is multiplied to Historical P/E to forecast intrinsic value of share.
Result:
All shares are undervalued and expected to give positive risk adjusted returns to investors. Since
the intrinsic value is more than current market price for all the companies, the share can be
recommended to conservative investors.
RESEARCH DESIGN
23
Collected the past information in the form of details of the various accounting statements
(Income Statement, Balance Sheet etc.), including the sales for the past 10 years (1997-2006).
Forecasts are done in relation to the future performance in terms of sales for HDFC Bank, ICICI
Bank, and SBI. Other forecasts include the EPS calculation and comparison of forecasted Future
Target Price with the Current Market Price.
Once the information was collected, the next step was to search for resources and constraints
with respect to the area of research.
Resources:
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Constraints:
Lack of time availability with the people involved in any manner with the research
especially when decisions were to be made quickly.
Difficulty in making accurate forecasts because of presence of Economic impediments
like inflation, RBI policies etc.
25
Sampling Technique:
Sample Size:
Sample Size was restricted to 3, including ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank and State Bank of India.
Through making a comparison among the various key figures of sales, profits and accounting
ratios deduced from accounting statements.
M th d f D t C ll ti
Method of Data Collection:
Secondary Data is collected to carry out the study. To review the literature available regarding
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the subject; various journals, magazines, related research papers and Internet would be used Sign In Join
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26
INDIAN
ECONOMY
27
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WPI (Wholesale Price Index) rose to 5.43% for the week ending December 16; higher
inflation in primary commodities remains. The inflation in the coming weeks may remain
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Download Now credit off-take and liquidity management by raising repo and reverse repo rate could not
achieve the desired results due to which RBI used CRR rate hike – a new instrument to
control liquidity
Exports growth back on track in November 2006. On the basis of the BoP, in H1FY06
exports grew at 23%, imports at 25.3% resulting in the trade balance of US$35bn. Net
invisibles grew by 17.6% to US$23.5bn and capital inflows (in the form of FDI, NRI
deposits and ECB) at US$20.3bn (a yoy growth of 49%) brought the balance of payment
to US$8.6bn, (a yoy growth of 33%).
Rupee appreciates further against dollar and yen but continues to depreciate against Euro
and pound on an YTD basis as on December 2006. In real terms, from April 2006 to
October 2006, the rupee appreciated by 1.8% vis-à-vis a basket of six currencies.
28
The Indian Economy is driven by the strong fundamentals and uptrend in industrial cycle.
The Indian economy maintained a strong growth momentum for the third successive year in
2005-06 with real GDP growth accelerating to 8.4% 2005-06. The services sector recorded
double digit growth to contribute nearly three-fourths of incremental GDP. A consistent
increase in domestic investment rate from 23.0% of GDP in 2001-02 to 30.1% in 2004-05
supported a high credit growth witnessed during the past few years. The manufacturing
sector – the key growth driver for banking credit, clocked a healthy growth of 9.0% during
FY06.
Source: www.rbi.org.in
In FY 06-07, services sector account for major 55% of India GDP followed by 25% in Industrial
sector and 20% in agriculture sector.
FY07 Vs Q2FY06, the growth rate in GDP components are as follows:
29
Service: 10.7
2. FDI Confidence Index:
Relaxation of foreign direct investment rules has expanded the mountain of capital in every
sector of Indian economy. The government is making efforts in liberalizing the guidelines
and norms for investment through FDI, making them more NRI friendly. Mainly due to
efforts taken by Indian Government, Indian rank 2nd among all countries in the world on FDI
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Confidence Index. Sign In Join
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3. Inflation:
Inflation remained largely benevolent due to investment driven nature of growth and
subsidized nature of oil prices as pass-on of international crude price rise remained
incomplete in India. WPI Inflation has risen to 5.45% for the week ended November 18,
2006 after remaining in the range of 4.0-5.0% earlier. RBI has repeatedly cautioned that
maintaining inflation in the target range may call for substantial monetary tightening should
crude prices persist at high level. The money supply has grown by 18.7% yoy till November
30
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31
5. Interest Rate:
The yield on dated government securities (G-Sec) has been moving up since the
beginning of FY05. The yield on 10 year paper began during Q1 to close the quarter at
8.12%. During July 06, it continue to move up to 8.42% but reacted sharply thereafter to
once again come down to 7.4% at present as the market participants believed that US Fed
and other central banks worldwide would not only pause rate hikes but soon get into rate the
current fiscal at 7.50% but moved up quite sharply cut mode.
Source: RBI
Real interest rate indicated by spread between inflation and 10 year benchmark yield has trended
in the range of 2-4%. The real interest rate in developed economies is normally in the range of 2-
32
threatened the global economies with inflationary pressures. The US Fed, which embarked
on an aggressive rate hike campaign through 17 consecutive rate hikes of the magnitude of
25 bps, several economies including Euro-zone and Japan hiked their key policy rates. In
response to the same, RBI has hiked the key policy Repo and Reverse Repo rates five times
over the past two years. This has led to a significant hardening of interest rates over the past
4-5 quarters, which has adversely impacted the cost of funds for banks.
Financial markets in India and globally have seen little volatility over the
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7. Capital Market:
last few Years. Sign In Join
There have been only two spikes in India – in April 2004 when the UPA government came to
power and in May 2006. In India, stock markets will be the most impacted by negative news
flows as other areas where shocks can be absorbed such as the currency, interest rate and
corporate bond markets are not free or well developed. The Capital Market has seen balance
Download Now sheet value being unlocked through monetization of embedded assets, demergers, IPOs, etc.
Indian companies continue to build value in the balance sheet as newer opportunities emerge
through smart capex, inorganic growth and extracting value thru the revenue statement.
33
INDIAN
BANKING
INDUSTRY
34
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requirements. In terms of supply of credit, financial intermediaries can broadly be categorized as
institutional and non-institutional. The major institutional suppliers of credit in India are banks
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and non-bank financial institutions (that is, development financial institutions or DFIs), other
financial institutions (FIs), and non-banking finance companies (NBFCs). The non-institutional
or unorganized sources of credit include indigenous bankers and money-lenders. Information
Download Now about the unorganized sector is limited and not readily available.
An important feature of the credit market is its term structure:
(a) Short-term credit
(b) Medium-term credit
(c) Long-term credit.
While banks and NBFCs predominantly cater for short-term needs, FIs provide mostly medium
and long-term funds.
Role of Bank
35
Indian Banki
Channel Risk
household savings Transformation
The GoI also felt the need to bring about wider diffusion of bank
uneven distribution of bank lending. The proportion of cred
The nationalization of banks was the culmination of pressur
increased from a high 83% in 1951 to 90% in 1968. This increase
instruments of development. The GoI imposed `social control’ on
crucial segment of the economy like agriculture and the sma
it was generally perceived that the operational efficiency of ba
failures and mergers resulted in a decline in number of banks fr
characterized by low profitability, high and growing non-perfo
capital base. Average returns on assets were only
Indian Banking System 201 36 around 0.15%
and capital aggregated an estimated
0 1.5% of assets. Poor interna
disclosure norms led to many problems being kept under cover.
did not keep pace with the increasing expectations. In 1991, a fre
with the introduction of banking sector reforms as part of the ov
India.
INDIAN FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR
SWOT ANALYSIS
Strengths:
Weaknesses:
Continued crowding out effect from govt budget deficit, combined with accelerating
private sector credit demands
Ownership restrictions
Constraints on state-owned banks' micro reforms, including HR, staff cut, branch cut
constraints
38
37
37
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Indian Banki
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Opportunities:
Improving secular GDP growth prospects
Establishment of special economic zones likely to promot
Years, if not decades, of catch-up economics— low per c
workforce
Rapid financial deepening, i.e. loan growth as multiple of
Threats:
Indian
"Running on empty" in terms of liquidity Banki
Tightening in global liquidity may trickle down to India
Potentially hawkish RBI stance on inflation/monetary pol
Potential rise in long bond \ yields, MTM risk for banks
Potential for valuation pullback, should earnings delivery
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39
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STRUCTU
Cancel Anytime.
banking
The SCBs for the purpose of this comment can be classified into the following three categories:
Public sector banks or PSBs (SBI & its associates, and nationalized banks);
Private sector banks (old and new); and
Foreign banks
41
29 30
20
SBI & Associa tes Na tiona lised Ba nks Priva te Ba nks Foreign Ba nks
Category of Banks
Source: IBA
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Asset Size of Banks for FY 05-06 ('000 crores)
1327
565
198 201
SBI & Associa tes Nationa lised Ba nks Priva te Ba nks Foreign Ba nks
Category o f Banks
Source : IBA
In terms of asset size, among Foreign banks – Citibank, HSBC and Standard Chartered bank are
leaders with asset base of Rs.45437 cr, Rs.37473 cr and Rs.48412 cr. Resp. in FY 05-06. Among
private sector banks, ICICI Bank is the leader with asset base of Rs.251389 cr followed by
HDFC Bank of size Rs.73506 cr and UTI Bank of size Rs.49731 cr. In terms of asset size,
public sector banks have highest base compared to private and foreign banks. SBI & Associated
42
Indian Banki
MICRO
FACTORS
BANKING INDUSTRY
Loan Demand:
45
which is not just a function of economic buoyancy but also the broad-basing of loan demand.
Download Now This has recently been articulated by the central bank too:
“A contextual analysis of the co-movement between macroeconomic performance and bank
credit in the current phase of the business cycle suggests that factors other than demand may
also be at work: financial deepening from a low base; structural shifts in supply elasticity’s;
rising efficiency of credit markets; and competitive pressures augmenting the overall supply of
credit.” (Reserve Bank of India, Monetary Policy Review, October 2006).
Source: RBI
The slowdown of the mid-1990s hit the banks very hard because corporate, which accounted for
a lion’s share of bank credit, went into a less profitable and hence a financial restructuring mode.
There was no retail credit then, banks did not focus on Small and Medium Enterprises and farm
lending was done grudgingly, under compulsion. Along with the diversification of the pie that
46
If a substantial portion of loan growth gets driven by the banking system taking away market
shares from informal sectors – this is clearly happening to farm credit, SMEs and to a limited
extent non-mortgage retail – interest rate considerations influencing demand will be relatively
low. SMEs and the rural folk have accessed credit from other sources at exorbitant interest rates,
and hence banks’ rates going by 200-300bps is not so meaningful. That explains the apparent
lack of correlation between rates that have been rising and loan demand.
47
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tighten the liquidity. Also, banks will be cautious about the actual implementation of the lending
rate increases and may do it in a graduated fashion so as not to invite outright resistance or overt
attention from the government. HDFC Bank, PNB, SBI and a few others have nevertheless
already made a beginning by increasing their prime lending rates after the cash reserve ratio hike
by the RBI. However, the fight for deposits has intensified and it is possible that in Q4FY07
banks could be increasing their exposure to high-cost wholesale deposits, taken at higher than
card rates.
Loan growth-NPL
48
Residential mortgages:
It is very unlikely in near term that there can be a large-scale increase in delinquencies on loans
taken for the first house (typically self-occupied); unless there is a household income problem, it
does not matter to the borrower whether the price of the house he is staying in is rising or falling.
Even then, with an average loan-to-value of 75%, a 25% fall is theoretically not possible. LTV
ratios had gone up to more risky levels at the peak of the mortgage boom.
Problems can arise more frequently for loans taken for the second house, typically for
investment/speculation. Banks have been reluctant to disclose the exact volume of second houses
financed. Most banks claim that it is in the range of 2-5% of incremental mortgage lending.
There is a possibility that some individuals have been hiding from banks the fact that they
already have one more loan, but this is becoming increasingly difficult with a credit bureau now
in full swing. Even if the assumption that 10% of the outstanding mortgages are for the second
house and all of that goes bad, it will mean 1% of the banking system’s loans go bad.
Commercial real estate: According to figures disclosed by the RBI itself, real estate loans
constituted 2.0% of gross non-food credit of banks as of end-June 2006. Even if it has been
growing at high percentage rates is not material as the base was very low. In any case, by
increasing standard assets provisioning on these loans to 100bps from 25bps, risk weights from
100% to 150% and instructing banks not to lend unless the developer has “all the permissions.
One stark example of this is the largest bank SBI itself. In the mid 1990s, SBI’s portfolio was
distributed between large corporate, farm credit and trade, with little coming from others. The
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Sep’06 portfolio looks dramatically different.
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SBI’s loan portfolio now quite diversified
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Indian Banki
Source: Company data,
Search inflation
fact that manufactured product has Sign
beenIn rising.Join
Indian Banki Even th
on the increased ability of manufacturers to pass on cost increas
leveraged corporate India compared with the early/mid 1990s, th
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costs havein
The trend been easilyisabsorbed
banking changingby companies.
from computerization of branch
by having a core banking solution in all the branches. At the sam
at internet banking which promises to grow into an alternate self-
Technology:
of the Indian customer undergoes a change, Indian banks need to
the services that are required and dictated by customers.
50 In futu
value-differentiating services by keeping in-Houser their
partnering with others who complement its services. The em
Areas of Improvement:
Potential Pitfalls:
Banks should not get overwhelmed by the concept of automation
need to realize that they need to maintain different delivery for d
need to maintain brick-and-mortar locations that people feel com
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VALUAT Sign In
51
Indian Banki
Join
TOOL
Business
ICICI Bank was promoted in 1994 by ICICI Ltd., an Indian deve
The two entities subsequently merged to become the largest com
sector. A new generation bank, ICICI Bank started with all the la
Indian banking industry in the second half of the nineties. All its
with the state-of-the-art technology and systems, networked throu
bank is connected to the SWIFT International network. In 2005,
branches and 1,910 ATMs. It continued to expand its electronic c
banking, mobile banking, call centers and ATMs, and migrate cu
these channels. Over 70% of customer induced transactions take
channels. It has acquired a small Russian banking entity, Investit
which
ICICIwill help boost its corporate business and deposit franchise
Bank:
services we offer.
The BankIndian
has prioritised its engagement
Banking System 201 55
in technology and the
0
and has already made significant progress in web-enabling its
businesses, the Bank has succeeded in leveraging its market posit
Based on its superior product delivery / service levels and strong customer orientation,
Business:
stock exchange members and banks.
Retail Banking Services:
The objective of the Retail Bank is to provide its target market customers a full range of
HDFC Bank offers a wide range of commercial and transaction
financial products and banking services, giving the customer a one-stop window for all
his/her banking requirements. The products are backed by world-class service and
products to wholesale and retail customers. The bank has three ke
delivered to customers through the growing branch network, as well as through
alternative delivery channels like ATMs, Phone Banking, NetBanking and Mobile
Banking.
Wholesale Banking Services:
The HDFC Bank Preferred program for high net worth individuals, the HDFC Bank Plus
and the Investment Advisory Services programs have been designed keeping in mind
combine
57 cash management services with vendor and di
superior supply chain management for its corporate custo
56
Indian Banki
Management:
SBI : Mr. Jagdish Capoor took over as the bank's Chairman in July 200
a Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of India. The Managin
State Bank of India (SBI) is the largest bank in India. It is also, measured by the number of
branch offices and employees, the largest bank in the world. Established in 1806 as Bank of
Bengal, it remains the oldest commercial bank in the Indian Subcontinent and also the most
been a professional banker for over 25 years, and before joi
successful one providing various domestic, international and NRI products and services, through
its vast network in India and overseas. With an asset base of $126 billion and its reach, it is a
59
According to PM Network, State Bank of India launched a project in 2002 to network more than
14,000 domestic and 70 foreign offices and branches. The first and the second phases of the
project have already been completed and the third phase is still in progress. As of December
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2006, over 10,000 branches have been covered.The new infrastructure serves as the bank's Sign In Join
backbone, carrying all applications, such as the IP telephone network, ATM network, Internet
banking and internal e-mail. The new infrastructure has enabled the bank to further grow its
ATM network with plans to add another 3,000 by the end of 2008 raising the total number to
8,600.
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MAJOR
FINDINGS
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MAJOR FINDINGS
Major Macro – Economic Factors include Gross Domestic Product – which has grown by over
8% in 2005-06, FDI Confidence Index – where India stands II in the world, Inflation – which has
slow down due to falling crude prices, Gross Fiscal Deficit Interest Rate – the UPA government
is confident to achieve the budgeted targets, Rising Oil prices & Exchange Rate – Indian
government and oil companies are relax as oil prices have fallen beside Indian Rupee has
strengthen against USD, EURO and Yen and Capital Market – the year is booming for market
with FII and mutual fund are pumping money increasing BSE Sensex returns over 50%.
In June 2006, Indian Banking System is spread through 66000 branches with an asset base of
about $270 billion. There are 87 Scheduled Commercial Banks operating in India including 8
Bank of SBI & Associates, 20 Nationalized Banks, 29 Private Banks and 30 Foreign Banks. In
terms of asset size, public sector banks have highest base compared to private and foreign banks.
SBI & Associated have asset base of Rs.691872 cr. Bank group-wise, new private sector banks
grew at the highest rate during 2005-06 (43.2 per cent), followed by foreign banks (31.2 per
cent), public sector banks (13.6 per cent) and old private sector banks (12.2 per cent).
As a result, the relative significance of PSBs declined significantly with their share in total assets
of SCBs declining to 72.3 per cent at end-March 2006 from 75.3 per cent at end-March 2005,
while that of new private sector banks increasing to 15.1 per cent from 12.5 per cent.
Credit to the priority sector increased by 33.7 per cent in 2005-06 as against 40.3 per cent in the
previous year. The agriculture and housing sectors were the major beneficiaries, which together
accounted for more than two-third of incremental priority sector lending in 2005-06. Credit to
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ICICI Bank is the leading market player with change in loans market share in FY02-06 of over
5% and change in deposits market share in FY 02-06 is nearby 2.5%. HDFC Bank and UTI Bank
are also in high growth phase. The laggards are SBI Bank, Bank of Baroda Bank, Bank of India
and Punjab National Bank.
Loan Demand in which the Indian Banking Industry has seen sustained strength in credit
growth (a 30% increase in Oct 2006 of which 58% growth has seen in service sector and
growth (a 30% increase in Oct 2006, of which 58% growth has seen in service sector and
100% in real estate sector).
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of 22% of
Rising funding costs with soft lending rates – Deposits has seen a growth Sign In Join
which household savings contribute to 43%, credit spread increase to 3.3% and Yield on
government bonds reduced to 7.75% due to rising interest cost
Non – Performing Loans (NPLs) - The Total bank loans stood at Rs 15,231.7bn, of which
Download Now housing loans are Rs. 1719.2bn. However, the Industry’s share of total credit has dropped
to 40%
Technology - Indian banks still don’t have the robust systems required for efficient
functioning of online banking and Banks need to explore newer channels such as SMS,
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conclusion
64
CONCLUSION
The project involves valuation of major Indian Banks including ICICI Bank, SBI and HDFC
Bank The methodology followed is Target Pricing which including estimating growth rate by
Bank. The methodology followed is Target Pricing, which including estimating growth rate by
regression on historical sales to forecast next year sales, earning and Profit and Loss account.
All shares are undervalued and expected to give positive risk adjusted returns to
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Then EPS is calculated which is multiplied to Historical P/E to forecast intrinsic value of share.
investors. Since Sign In Join
the intrinsic value is more than current market price for all the companies, the share can be
recommended to conservative investors.
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65
BIBLIOGRAPH
Y
66
Company Reports
IMF Working Paper - Competition in Indian Banking by A. Prasad and Saibal Ghosh
Reserve Bank of India, 2008, “Annual Policy Statement for the year 2007-08” (Mumbai).
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0
Reserve Bank of India (a), Various Years, Report on Trend and Progress of Banking in
India (Mumbai).
Reserve Bank of India (b), Various Years, Statistical Tables Relating to Banks in India
(Mumbai).
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