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Software requires Windows & Excel for Windows: Apple users must have these or th
Download from here Do NOT "extract SQL" at the end of the software installation.
When you are done, you should have the following software shortcuts on your computer De
installation.
load problems, an IT specialist will provide help ONCE ONLY (he does not work for us; he is
(2) To verify the plausibility of an exponential growth model for the KRM locality, select ce
Click Insert and among the Charts, select Line Chart and within it, the first graph.
Right Click the "line" within the graph and select "Add Trendline".
Is the "Exponential" model a good fit to the data? There could be better candidate models
(3) For the exponential growth model fitted in each of the 15 localities, individual r-square
If we instead look at total deliveries across Tier 1 / 2 / 3 (e.g. Tier 1 includes HSR, IND and
Financial projections requires forecast of deliveries across the 15 localities: Would you use
i.e. Which is preferable: Sum of individual locality forecasts (see F71-H122) or Fo
ExponentialGrowthForecastOrders
Forthcoming Q1 ie Week 53-65 691903 649247 258837 You can also produce quarterly forecast based
Forthcoming Q2 ie Week 66-78 923382 917457 333951
Forthcoming Q3 ie Week 79-91 1232303 1296476 430862
Forthcoming Q4 ie Week 92-104 1644580 1832074 555894
understand by that? When do businesses exhibit such a growth pattern?
the KRM locality, select cells L16:L67 which contain its weekly deliveries in the past 52 weeks.
t, the first graph.
calities, individual r-square is between 0.71 (cell S69) and 0.95 (cell W69).
er 1 includes HSR, IND and KRM etc), the r-sq for the exponential models are respectively 0.9655 / 0.9694 / 0.9649 in B69:D69.
5 localities: Would you use forecast for each locality or across the 3 Tiers? Why?
ecasts (see F71-H122) or Forecast of a sum of deliveries across localities within each of the 3 Tiers (B71-D122) ?
Tier 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3
HSR IND KRM CBD JPN JYN MLS MRT ELC
3410 7470 5821 1449 2294 2484 2224 1798 646
3156 6405 4871 1596 2298 2616 2293 1576 647
3913 6857 6059 1333 3538 2690 2178 2432 675
3159 5217 5495 1574 4668 2518 2206 2068 675
3871 6374 5358 1540 3767 2682 2392 2654 719
3929 5582 5226 2126 2586 2827 2613 1629 669
4629 6626 7817 1978 2848 2842 2152 1506 674
4006 7057 5564 2314 3237 3062 2737 2177 750
3592 8220 5123 1929 2478 3115 2859 2395 724
3781 6783 6829 1827 3143 3234 2294 2321 754
4549 7852 5953 2545 3984 3307 2426 2841 783
4717 8067 6103 2199 2664 2982 3123 2177 738
3941 7256 7447 2482 3218 3445 2650 2463 777
4161 9290 8073 2216 2699 3492 2832 2933 901
4613 8633 7607 2785 3970 3399 3369 2656 965
4588 8998 6416 2650 4531 4156 3051 2499 966
4982 7695 7385 2793 5302 4035 3637 2961 797
3998 9082 9130 2098 3573 4382 2895 3632 813
5188 8978 9760 2333 4270 3942 2725 3591 1019
4357 9123 9383 2011 4499 4237 3041 2917 981
4387 8777 9475 2640 3814 4197 3728 2550 899
5018 8169 8995 3404 4441 3967 3409 2830 1176
5476 9593 8995 3400 3622 3667 3741 4296 768
5762 8674 9188 2875 5598 3897 3986 4575 1221
5459 9691 9725 2742 4124 3652 3187 2804 921
5530 8617 9444 2684 5744 3659 4460 4721 1241
6527 10536 10210 3452 5820 4025 4299 4431 903
5888 12149 10529 4330 4975 4010 5575 4458 873
6392 13057 11233 4681 5401 4307 4940 4148 967
5910 11780 8371 4843 6008 4720 5687 4631 1097
6030 9398 9949 4865 6006 4467 5183 3353 1376
6988 9942 10232 3567 6837 4504 5070 3333 1115
5770 10137 10870 3627 4489 4257 5251 3243 1195
6950 11879 12196 4506 6724 5109 4889 3963 1237
7375 12983 9391 4426 4854 4453 5851 4140 947
7908 10677 11325 3554 6071 5088 6280 3903 1337
7272 11970 13094 4102 6991 5727 4825 4684 1126
7557 13619 12955 3817 7957 5354 4497 6127 1106
6231 15257 12953 4645 7831 6081 4942 4783 1186
7636 12144 14636 5760 7673 6370 6293 6122 1429
6346 13575 14759 4696 6691 6283 5402 5937 1690
7003 16906 13117 5096 8527 6232 6549 5712 1648
8670 13188 14453 4068 8119 5467 5614 6252 1715
7002 14182 14175 4841 9496 5956 6785 6810 1004
8796 16964 16801 4940 8727 6581 8125 6629 1396
9085 17620 13895 5556 9847 7102 7013 7335 1542
7562 18584 12796 6267 10399 6770 6179 6423 1329
8447 17433 13848 5589 10806 7240 7517 6514 1528
9152 19796 14592 6347 11577 6880 8380 7065 1364
10100 20105 16160 6697 9746 7394 7478 8137 1520
9498 21869 15636 7026 11039 8601 7389 7989 1745
10262 22691 17057 7339 12450 9865 8407 7350 2041
e quarterly forecast based on the individual forecasts which have been summed in F71-H122
.9649 in B69:D69.
3 3 3 3 3 3
FRT HBL RJJ SNT WLG WTF
1103 669 1322 1331 743 957
1134 581 1356 1188 755 771
1164 438 1352 1181 775 659
1165 499 1347 1238 779 853
1219 599 1353 1130 780 1168
1222 544 1428 1243 809 1227
1215 617 1386 1143 793 1267
1194 422 1550 1300 814 1472
1303 763 1552 1387 829 1570
1211 489 1585 1437 880 1316
1345 446 1470 1501 942 1247
1323 425 1610 1553 877 961
1314 764 1568 1586 980 1238
1304 617 1542 1692 849 1593
1401 531 1508 1412 1008 1598
1140 860 1770 1245 1005 1968
1287 896 1551 1584 920 1578
1209 805 1525 1615 993 1822
1311 1174 1854 1573 983 1541
1240 893 1956 1669 982 1588
1366 755 1910 1351 945 1688
1581 830 1843 1375 1029 1314
1414 883 2009 1421 1029 1486
1362 1424 1879 1311 1148 2188
1583 1449 1673 1743 1027 2400
1609 694 2241 1531 1057 2640
1664 864 1736 1514 1057 2513
1191 503 1921 1697 1165 1733
1603 1002 2213 1972 1136 1638
1748 1048 2303 2296 1098 2005
1513 1806 2447 2364 1223 2419
1188 1730 2494 1966 1215 2587
1645 1465 1971 2479 1098 1940
1572 1925 2523 2731 1148 1825
1766 1700 2022 2046 1162 1957
1382 1672 2586 2131 1409 2054
1558 1420 2433 2273 1399 2225
1807 1417 2124 1999 1453 2394
1673 1350 2921 2036 1440 2032
1891 1808 2413 2105 1381 2104
1711 1990 2209 1772 1458 2144
1317 2248 2151 2527 1477 2708
1853 2367 2428 2926 1651 2996
1894 1813 2400 1928 1390 3473
1769 1578 2192 2494 1670 3415
2138 2647 2701 2798 1592 3765
1749 2361 2288 3583 1610 3820
1593 2293 2749 3156 1619 3494
1774 2468 2521 2833 1677 3250
1880 2652 2468 3312 1487 3734
1779 2553 2343 3569 1596 3842
1928 2463 2838 3375 1522 4035
ChangeFactorQ2 1 1 1
Tier Rider Fixed Weekly Salary Per Order Tip Avg Deliveries per Week per Rider
1 2000 35 90
2 1700 30 82
3 1500 25 75
ChangeFactorQ3 1 1 1
Tier Rider Fixed Weekly Salary Per Order Tip Avg Deliveries per Week per Rider
1 2000 35 90
2 1700 30 82
3 1500 25 75
ChangeFactorQ4 1 1 1
Tier Rider Fixed Weekly Salary Per Order Tip Avg Deliveries per Week per Rider
1 2000 35 90
2 1700 30 82
3 1500 25 75
1 1 ForecastOrders
Avg Order Value Avg Commission Rev/Order Q1
340 51 923,382
292 15.00% 43.8 917,457
260 39 333,951
1 1 ForecastWeeklyOrders
Avg Order Value Avg Commission Rev/Order Q1
340 51 1,232,303
292 15.00% 43.8 1,296,476
260 39 430,862
1 1 ForecastWeeklyOrders
Avg Order Value Avg Commission Rev/Order Q1
340 51 1,644,580
292 15.00% 43.8 1,832,074
260 39 555,894
ng as changes are made to DIFFERENT parameters e.g. Fixed Salary in Q1 and Tip in Q3 etc.
made to SAME parameter (eg Fixed Salary in Q1 & Q4), problem becomes NON-LINEAR due to product of 2 unknowns.
of 2 unknowns.
DHL Supply Chain © David Ringrose and Singfat Chu, April 2012
A 2009 World Economic Forum publication declared, “ Human activity generates annual greenhouse gas emissions of around 5
We estimate that 2,800 mega-tonnes or 5.5 per cent of the total are contributed by the logistics and transport sector.” [1]
[1] “Supply Chain Decarbonization — The Role of Logistics and Transport in Reducing Supply Chain Carbon Emissions”, Page
The executive summary (on page 4 of the report) stated, “Significant movement is expected towards reduced supply chain carb
This will create both opportunities and risks for logistics and transport firms, with changes in supply and demand driven by regu
The sector can play an influential role in decarbonization, both in its own operations and through broader supply chain optimiza
It concluded with several recommendations for supply chain stakeholders. Among the six recommendations for logistics and tra
For shippers and buyers, it was recommended to “plan to allow slower and better optimized transport.” Finally, policy makers
COMPANY INFORMATION
After reading the report, Yee Hwai, a member of the solutions team at DHL Supply Chain, recognized the very findings he had
environmental protection program initiated by parent firm, Deutsche Post DHL.As the thought leader on sustainability in the ind
the carbon emission problems faced by many of its customers. DHL even stated on its website, “We recognize environmental p
Deutsche Post DHL was the first logistics company to set a quantified carbon efficiency goal — to improve its CO2 efficiency ac
THE PROBLEM
The simulation exercise Yee Hwai undertook pertained to a consumer electronics company (CEC). Prominent among its line of
Production of the LCD TV sets was subcontracted to various original design manufacturers (ODMs) located in China and Taiwa
The responsibility of DHL Supply Chain was to ship the LCD TV sets from the ODMs to the distribution centre (DC) located in S
In the latest contract, the CEC had allocated a budget of (Chinese Renminbi) CNY 3 billion for the production and shipping of 9
Yew Hwai had worked with the CEC to configure the optimal supply chain which would fulfill this order within the CNY 3 billion b
economy of scale, production capacity, supplier risk management and service level requirements on the shipping front. At tha
The CEC had a list of seven ODMs to which it could subcontract the production of LCD TV sets according to their availability an
ODM1 and ODM2 were the only companies which could produce both LCD32” and LCD42”. The remaining five ODMs produce
Their unit production costs are listed in the next worksheet. To engender economies of scale in the production, the CEC gu
Also, to mitigate dependency risk on any ODM, the maximum order for either LCD32” or LCD42” was capped at 600,00
ODM1 and ODM2 had high production capacities and if chosen, they each had the ability to produce 600,000 units of L
Several transportation modes were available to ship the TV sets from the ODMs to the DC: regular air, air express, road, road L
The distances from the ODMs to the DC and the various shipping rates are tabulated in the data sheet. ODM5 was located nea
ODM6 was located in Taiwan and shipping could only be conducted via air or water.
Across shipping modes, the rates of carbon emission (see next worksheet) varied greatly from as high as 1.44 (regular air or ai
Each LCD32” weighed about 16.5 kgs and each LCD42” weighed about 22 kgs.
Shipping times varied from two days (via air express) to 10 days (via water). Based on historical information on shipping times a
DHL Supply Chain had to ship a minimum number of 32” and 42” LCD TV sets, according below. There was no constraint on sh
Supply Chain Production and Shipping Constraints
Minimum production of LCD42” (ditto for LCD32”) at any manufacturing ODM
Maximum production of LCD42” at manufacturing OEM (ditto for LCD32”) at manufacturing ODM
Minimum number of units of LCD42” (LCD32”) to be shipped by Regular Air or Air Express
Minimum number of units of LCD42” (LCD32”) to be shipped by Road or Road LTL or Road Network
Minimum number of units of LCD42” (LCD32”) to be shipped by Rail
In the simulation exercise, Yee Hwai assumed a likely consequence of government legislation to reduce the emission of CO2 w
He also anticipated the brand value of the LCD TV sets could rise as a result of customer awareness. Yew Hwai estimated thes
He was eager to find out the potential reduction in CO2 emission made possible through a potential CNY 3.21 billion budget for
Complete the optimization template on the next worksheet to help Yee Hwai figure out
(a) the supply chain based on the original budget of CNY3 billion i.e. which ODMs will be chosen, which / how many L
(b) the reduction in CO2 emission when the budget is increased.
gas emissions of around 50,000 mega-tonnes CO2 (Carbon Dioxide emission).
ansport sector.” [1]
Carbon Emissions”, Page 4, accessed April 2012 at http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_LT_SupplyChainDecarbonization_Rep
ations for logistics and transport providers was to “switch (transport) modes where possible.”
rt.” Finally, policy makers were also invited to “reflect the cost of carbon in energy tariffs; support carbon measurement and labeling stand
the very findings he had uncovered in a recent simulation analysis, undertaken as part of the "Go Green"
on sustainability in the industry, Deutsche Post DHL recognized there were clear opportunities to begin resolving
recognize environmental protection as our responsibility as well as a business opportunity".
rove its CO2 efficiency across global operations by 30 per cent compared to the 2007 baseline - see http://www.dp-dhl.com/en/respo
ominent among its line of products were 32” and 42” LCD TV sets (LCD32” and LCD42”).
cated in China and Taiwan.
n centre (DC) located in Shanghai.
oduction and shipping of 920,000 units of LCD42” and 530,000 units of LCD32” TV sets to its DC.
within the CNY 3 billion budget while satisfying various constraints pertaining to
the shipping front. At that point, this optimization exercise did not consider the volume of CO2 emissions.
, air express, road, road LTL (Less than Truck Load), road network, rail and water.
t. ODM5 was located near the DC, restricting shipping to road, road LTL and road network.
h as 1.44 (regular air or air express) to 0.007 (water) kilogram (kg) per ton shipped per kilometer (km) travelled.
mation on shipping times and customer order cycle times, the CEC decided that to maintain satisfactory inventory levels,
re was no constraint on shipments via water.
200,000 units
600,000 units
46,000 (53,000) ie minimum of 46,000 LCD42" (and 53,000 LCD32") by Regular Air or Air Express
92,000 (79,500)
138,000 (79,500)
en, which / how many LCD will they manufacture and how will these be transported to the Distribution Center
upplyChainDecarbonization_Report_2009.pdf
measurement and labeling standards and build open carbon trading systems.”
http://www.dp-dhl.com/en/responsibility/environment.html
ventory levels,
Air Express
ion Center
DHL Supply Chain
The matrices below indicate (1) the combined production and shipping cost and (2) CO2 emission
SupplyChainMatrix
Chosen Air Express
LCD 42" ODM1
LCD 42" ODM2
LCD 42" ODM3
LCD 42" ODM4
LCD 42" ODM5
LCD 42" ODM6
LCD 42" ODM7
LCD 32" ODM1
LCD 32" ODM2
ShipmentModeTotal MinServiceReq
LCD42" - Air / Express ? 46000 Cost
LCD42" - Road, Road LTL, Road Network ? 92000
LCD42" - Rail ? 138000 Carbon Emission
LCD32" - Air / Express ? 53000
LCD32" - Road, Road LTL, Road Network ? 79500 When a problem involves small (eg B
LCD32" - Rail ? 79500 e.g. a constraint is NOT satisfied but
One REMEDY Is to select AUTOMATI
SupplyChainTotal Units Required
LCD42'' 0 920,000 Other helpful "lessons" when workin
LCD32" 0 530,000
(1) Before you go to Solver, CLEAR a
Zerocells 0
(2) If you have INTEGER constraints,
The reason is an INTEGER solution m
Insert the INTEGER constraints on th
nd (2) CO2 emission for each LCD unit from ODM to DC.
=2
0, 0
Road Road LTL Road-Network Rail Water TotalODM MinProd How
0 ? WI
0 ?
0 ?
0 ?
0 ?
0 ?
0 ?
0 ?
0 ?
oblem involves small (eg BINARY solution) and BIG (eg the cells in the SupplyChainMatrix) numbers, "numerical" issues may arise
raint is NOT satisfied but there is NO error message.
DY Is to select AUTOMATIC SCALING in OPTIONS.
you go to Solver, CLEAR all UNKNOWN cells (in YELLOW) - the presence of numbers in these cells may occasionally take SOLVER on a non
ave INTEGER constraints, do not enter them when you are testing your SOLVER logic.
is an INTEGER solution may requires LENGTHY number-crunching.
NTEGER constraints on the final run after you've ascertained everything else is fine.
ave an EQUALITY constraint like Supply=Demand, do consider using instead Supply>=Demand or Supply<=Demand depending on which
ent DHL case, I have seen a huge difference in using >= or <= compared to = (which can yield a sub-optimal solution).
from OEM to Customer Warehouse in KM
Road Road LTL Road-NetwRail Water
2508 2508 2508 2508 2508
1553 1553 1553 1553 1553
1380 1380 1380 1380 1380
2150 2150 2150 2150 2150
30 30 30
690
686 686 686 686 686
2508 2508 2508 2508 2508
1553 1553 1553 1553 1553
Bruno Oehy and Professor Singfat Chu wrote this case solely to provide material for class discussion. The authors do not intend
to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a managerial situation. The authors may have disguised certain names and
other identifying information to protect confidentiality.
Version: 2018-03-20
It was 8:00 a.m. on July 4, 2017, and Dorothy Kwok, regional head of Operations and Supply Chain at Sika
AG (Sika), had just squeezed into the elevator that would take her to her office on the 17th floor. Having a
quick read of an email on her mobile phone, Kwok noted another quarter of significant capacity
underutilization in the Asia Pacific (APAC) supply chain for one of Sika’s epoxy flooring products. Stepping
out of the elevator, she wondered, “Is it time to review our current decentralized supply chain model?”
SIKA
Sika was a Swiss specialty chemicals leader in the development and production of solutions for the
building and automotive industries. 1 Its business activities straddled seven markets: concrete,
waterproofing, refurbishment, roofing, flooring, sealing, and bonding.
Kaspar Winkler laid the cornerstone of the firm in 1910 with his invention of waterproofing agents for
mortar. Sika’s first breakthrough came with its contribution to the sealing of Swiss Federal Railways’
15-kilometre Gotthard Base Tunnel in 1918. An innovative type of waterproofing mortar designed to
protect against water ingress allowed electric trains to use the tunnel. Following an early expansion in
Europe in the 1920s, Sika established its first Asian subsidiary in Japan in 1932.
By 2017, Sika had expanded globally with national subsidiaries and more than 190 production plants
in 100 countries. Its workforce of more than 17,000 employees generated annual sales of SFr5.75
billion2 in 2016.3 Its market capitalization was approximately SFr16 billion in November 2017.4 The
APAC region, where Sika had a presence in 19 countries, contributed 19 per cent to its turnover.
Sika’s flooring and coating solutions were based on synthetic resin and cementitious systems. They were used in
different functional areas in buildings and facilities used by various industries such as manufacturing, food and
beverage, pharma, warehousing, car park, commercial, and institutional (e.g., schools, hospitals, and sports
complexes). Each of these markets had specific requirements for floors in terms of traffic and mechanical wear,
chemical resistance, temperature, slip resistance, impact resistance, permeability to liquids, fire resistance, and
rapid curing. Sika introduced the modular concept for epoxy
1
Sika website, accessed December 1, 2017, https://www.sika.com/.
1
Sika website, accessed December 1, 2017, https://www.sika.com/.
2
SFr = CHF = Swiss franc; SFr1 = US$0.99721 on November 1, 2017.
3
Sika, “Record Sales with Growth in All Regions,” media release, January 10, 2017, accessed December 1, 2017,
www.sika.com/en/group/Media/Mediareleases/2017/rekordumsatz-mit-wachstum-in-allen-regionen.html.
4
“Sika AG (SIKS.S),” Reuters, accessed December 1, 2017, www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/overview/SIK.S.
systems in the early 1980s and followed this initiative with numerous other innovations. It was also the
market pioneer in hybrid and self-levelling solutions.
In the APAC region, Sika operated more than 50 production facilities in 18 countries. The epoxy
flooring solution, whose capacity underutilization was of concern to Kwok, was produced in six
countries and sold in eight countries, mostly in China, India, and Indonesia. While its production in
different countries was very similar, its formulation varied due to local climate (hot/cold) and colour
preferences.
The epoxy flooring solution was sold mainly to construction projects via contract specifications. The time
from Sika being awarded a project to it supplying the material could be between four and six weeks. As a
result, the demand throughout each quarter was project-based and could fluctuate in volume and in product
variations. To reduce net working capital and the risk of expiration of the product in stock, Sika produced
the epoxy flooring solution on a make-to-order basis. In the past, Sika had lost projects due to too long a lead
time. Since then, Sika had instituted a maximum lead time of 30 days in the epoxy flooring product supply
chain.
To allow quick decision making in the eight APAC countries where it sold the epoxy flooring product,
Sika operated in a decentralized organization model, i.e., free choice of supply partners with no formal
coordination through the Regional Operations and Supply Chain function. Demand for epoxy flooring
in these countries was satisfied by local production or through imports from neighbouring Sika plants
when there was no local production.
Exhibit 1 illustrates the supply chain in the second quarter of 2017. Each of the six producing countries
primarily supplied its local market, while the plant in Country 3, which had the highest quarterly
production capacity (5,286 tons), also fulfilled the demand in Country 7 and Country 8, which had no
Sika production plants. Under the “freedom of choice” model, the total supply chain cost, comprising
fixed operating costs plus landed costs, was US$50,537,164
Kwok had been concerned about the efficiency of the APAC epoxy flooring product supply chain since
2016. Leaving supply chain decisions to the local units had resulted in significant capacity and price
inefficiencies. She had noted, for instance, that for the second quarter of 2017, capacity utilization
ranged from 53 per cent (Country 2) to 88 per cent (Country 6), with an average of 71 per cent across
the six producing countries. She believed that having production concentrated in fewer countries could
meet the demand in the eight markets at a lower total cost. Production plants that were not needed could
readily be reassigned to other products for which capacity was lacking.
On July 5, 2017, Kwok was sharing a morning coffee break with her colleague Roger Nadal, who had
just returned from the first residential segment of an executive MBA program. When she described her
supply chain concern to Nadal, he could not believe his luck—Nadal was looking for a problem to work
on for an “Analytics@Workplace” project that was required for the completion of his Business
Analytics for Decision Makers course. If he was provided the pertinent data, Nadal believed he could
the six producing countries. She believed that having production concentrated in fewer countries could
meet the demand in the eight markets at a lower total cost. Production plants that were not needed could
readily be reassigned to other products for which capacity was lacking.
On July 5, 2017, Kwok was sharing a morning coffee break with her colleague Roger Nadal, who had
just returned from the first residential segment of an executive MBA program. When she described her
supply chain concern to Nadal, he could not believe his luck—Nadal was looking for a problem to work
on for an “Analytics@Workplace” project that was required for the completion of his Business
Analytics for Decision Makers course. If he was provided the pertinent data, Nadal believed he could
optimize the supply chain and improve its cost efficiency.
On the same afternoon, Nadal received data pertaining to the current quarterly capacity and fixed operating cost
for each of the six production plants; for example, 1,725 tons and US$1,380,000 in Country 1, and so
on for the other countries. He was also provided matrices of landed costs (comprising production,
transportation, and import tax costs) and lead times (for order processing and transportation) from the
production plant to market; for example, US$4,900/ton and 18 days for shipments from Country 1 to
Country 2, and so on (see Exhibits 2 and 3). Lead time was not an issue when a production plant supplied
its local market, and in such cases the lead time was at most seven days. However, for overseas
shipments, the lead time varied widely between 12 and 49 days. As Sika imposed a 30-day maximum
lead time, a producing plant could therefore only serve some markets. For instance, the plant in Country
1 could service countries 1, 2, 3, 4, and 7, but not 5, 6, and 8 (see Exhibit 3).
Nadal quickly applied the knowledge gained in his analytics course to develop an optimization template
for the epoxy flooring supply chain problem.
Soon after Kwok forwarded Nadal’s solution to the company’s headquarters (HQ) in Baar, Switzerland,
she received an urgent email:
HQ loves the supply chain rationalization proposal. Ultimately, we want a ROBUST solution
that can be implemented for the next few years. According to our collaborative forecast model,
the demand for this epoxy flooring product will grow moderately in the near future. Also, the
landed cost and lead time matrices are expected to remain stable due to long-term contracts
with our strategic supply and transportation partners; i.e., they will not change much.
In light of these, please forward us a ROBUST solution that (1) has at least 700 tons [of] spare
capacity to accommodate future growth in demand and (2) can satisfy a shorter lead time, which
we think will be required by more of our customers. Can we hear from you by tomorrow?
The Exhibits appear on the SikaSolver worksheet
Required
For the upcoming INDIVIDUAL case, you will also submit one EXCEL file containing
Team1 will present its SOLVER template, findings and recommendation in about 15 m
Presentation Guidance
For your presentation, use a thumb drive on the class computer. Setting up your notebook is not time-friend
Every team will present TWICE during the course, first for an assigned case study and secondly, in the last w
Organize yourselves so that every team member present at least ONCE during the semester: Marks are in pl
Imagine the class as a lay audience => Use simple and concise English even for complicated ideas!
Suggested Coverage:
(1) What is the problem about?
(2) Guide audience through your analysis SMARTLY e.g.
Your SOLVER window must show NAMES for the objective, unknowns and constraints and absolutely NO ce
Design your template and SOLVER window MINIMALLY i.e. no superfluous variables or formulae and define
(3) Briefly discuss if the problem can be solved intuitively i.e. quick "System 1 thinking" (if so, outline "ideas
(4) X-factor: Anything interesting and related to this problem you wish to share e.g. Have you experienced a
Desired Outcome
Analytics plus COMMUNICATIONS will contribute a synergistic leap to your career!
Y CHAIN
Version: 2018-03-20
roduction plants
ales of SFr5.75
mber 2017.4 The
turnover.
looring product,
s with no formal
r epoxy flooring
ring Sika plants
ducing countries
ighest quarterly
8, which had no
cost, comprising
ed operating cost
and so
sing production,
tation) from the
om Country 1 to
n plant supplied
er, for overseas
0-day maximum
plant in Country
ization template
aar, Switzerland,
OBUST solution
forecast model,
future. Also, the
g-term contracts
much.
cl@nus.edu.sg
n "Reply to all" when emailing my feedback.
ents set by HQ.
complicated ideas!
Write your Memo in Word, select page by page (see how I did it in the SikaCase worksheet), COPY
The most successful students are those who can analyze and report their analyses FLUIDLY i.e. in a CLEA
The purpose of the weekly communication exercise is to spur you to reach such a stage - you'll have to inv
…. days while servicng the 8 countries? A TABLE would effectively summarize your findings.
onfiguration of plants to operate in the next few years.
worksheet), COPY and go to say cell B12 below, PASTE SPECIAL, Microsoft Word Document Object (you wi
UIDLY i.e. in a CLEAR, CONCISE and POLISHED (eg gramatically correct) manner which makes the reading EASY
ge - you'll have to invest perhaps more time & effort into it than in the analysis!!!
ment Object (you will have to do this for the first INDIVIDUAL case)…
es the reading EASY and PLEASING i.e. "How/what you write says a lot about you".