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Marine Policy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/marpol
A R T I C LE I N FO A B S T R A C T
Keywords: Perception of the importance of the marine industry is crucial for marine policy measures. Based on China's
Input–output analysis input–output tables for 2002, 2007, and 2012, this study disaggregates 12 major marine sectors as exogenous
Marine industry and assesses the impacts of China's marine industry by determining the inter-industry linkage effect, the pro-
Marine policy duction-inducing effect, the sectoral supply shortage effect, and the employment-inducing effect. These models
China
are effective in estimating the contribution of the marine industry and explore the evolution of marine industrial
structure. Finally, policy applications are proposed to provide reliable and useful information for China's pol-
icymakers to promote marine policies and manage the marine system.
⁎
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: wangnuo@dlmu.edu.cn (N. Wang).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2018.10.019
Received 31 May 2018; Received in revised form 25 September 2018; Accepted 8 October 2018
0308-597X/ © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Y. Wang, N. Wang Marine Policy 99 (2019) 42–49
accurate and effective method to evaluate the inter-sectoral linkage and Table 1
to analyse the contribution of the marine industry. The categories of the 12 major marine sectors.
Previous studies of China's marine economy have been limited to a Category Specific sectors
single specific marine sector, such as marine fishing, aquaculture, or
marine tourism [25–27]. Moreover, few studies have comprehensively marine primary marine fishery
sector
assessed the impacts on the economy of the entire marine sector.
marine secondary offshore oil and gas, oceanic mining, marine salt, marine
Therefore, this study uses the I–O model to assess China's marine in- sector chemical, marine biological pharmaceutical, marine power,
dustry according to the panel data of China's I–O tables for 2002, 2007, seawater utilisation, marine shipbuilding, marine
and 2012. An additional 12 marine sectors are extracted, and their engineering construction
outputs are exogenised to build a series of models of marine sectors. marine tertiary marine transportation, coastal tourism
sector
The results are estimated as the inter-sectoral linkage effect, the pro-
duction-inducing effect of marine investment, the supply shortage effect
of marine loss, and the employment-inducing effect. The main objective China's marine industry is not only one of the most important eco-
for these findings is to quantify the contribution of marine sectors to nomic pillars but also improves opportunities in the job markets, pro-
China's national economy over time and explore the evolution of ducing great employment benefits. The development of the marine
marine industrial structure. In addition, policy applications are pro- economy has directly increased its own demand for employees and
posed to provide policy-makers with full understanding of the marine indirectly promoted employment in marine-related industries. In 2017,
economy and to help establish marine regulations. the number of people employed by the marine and marine-related
This study is structured as follows: Section 2 describes the current sectors increased to 36.57 million, representing 4.17% of the national
status of China's marine industry. Section 3 shows the data and meth- employment [31]. With the vigorous development of emerging sectors,
odology examining the marine industry's contribution to the national like the marine biological pharmaceutical, marine power, and seawater
economy from four aspects: the inter-industry linkage model, the pro- utilisation sectors, the quality of employees has been improved uni-
duction-inducing model, the sectoral supply shortage model, and the versally. This phenomenon provides a strongly talented reserve force
employment-inducing model. Section 4 analyses the results. Section 5 for the development of marine undertakings.
provides policy applications and makes concluding remarks.
43
Y. Wang, N. Wang Marine Policy 99 (2019) 42–49
1400 10
$ billion
%
tertiary industry secondary industry primary industry GOP/GDP
1200
9
1000
800
8
600
400
7
200
0 6
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Fig. 1. China's gross ocean product (GOP), and the proportion of GOP in GDP for China from 2001 to 2017.
100%
Coastal tourism
Marine shipbuilding
70%
Seawater utilization
60%
Marine power
50%
Marine biological pharmaceutical
Oceanic mining
20%
Offshore oil and gas
10%
Marine fishery
0%
20012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017 Year
of time. The conventional representation of I–O equations can be ex- With regard to the power of dispersion, the backward linkage re-
pressed as follows [7,15–24]: flects a column vector analysis of the Leontief inverse matrix [15]. This
n n model analyses the impacts on all sectors’ production when the final
Xi = ∑ xij + Yi = ∑ aij Xj + Yi demand of one marine sector increases by one unit. The social average
j=1 j=1 (1) level of all sectors is 1. Thus, when the backward linkage of one marine
sector is more than 1, it means that the sector's impact on the national
n n
economy exceeds the social average level of all sectors. The larger the
Xj = ∑ xij + Zj = ∑ rij Xi + Zj
i=1 i=1 (2) backward linkage, the greater the production-inducing effect on other
sectors. The backward linkage effect can be expressed as follows:
There is not a single separate marine sector in China's 42-sector I–O
n n n
table. To analyse the I–O model of the marine industry, we need to
disaggregate the 12 major marine sub-sectors from the I–O table [20].
λi = ∑ bij /((1/n) ∑ ∑ bij)
j=1 i=1 j=1 (3)
The specific steps are as follows: Firstly, we collect the statistical data
(e.g., value added, total output value, and compensation of employees) n
where λi denotes the backward linkage effect, ∑ j = 1 bij is the sum of the
of 12 marine sectors [28]. Next, according to the Industrial Classification Leontief inverse matrix column vector, and (1/ n) ∑i = 1 ∑ j = 1 bij is the
n n
Standard GB/T4754–2011, we calculate the decomposing weights, that
average of the Leontief inverse matrix.
is, the proportions of each sub-sector's added value in its affiliated
With regard to the sensitivity of dispersion, the forward linkage
sector (Table 2). Finally, the separate 12 marine sectors are dis-
analyses the change of one marine sector when the final use in the
aggregated from the original I–O table.
remaining sectors increases by one unit [15]. The forward linkage re-
flects a row vector analysis of the Leontief inverse matrix. The forward
3.2.2. Inter-industry linkage model linkage effect can be expressed as follows:
To examine the strengths of the inter-sectoral linkage within the
n n n
national economy account, the inter-industry linkage model is proposed
to measure the backward linkage and forward relationship; that is, the
δj = ∑ bij /((1/n) ∑ ∑ bij)
i=1 i=1 j=1 (4)
backward linkage represents the importance of the marine sectors as
n
demanders, whereas the forward linkage shows their importance as where δj denotes the forward linkage effect, and ∑i = 1 bij is the sum of
suppliers [18,19]. Leontief inverse matrix row vector.
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Y. Wang, N. Wang Marine Policy 99 (2019) 42–49
Table 2
Added value of marine sub-sectors and their weights in 2002, 2007, and 2012.
Initial sector→ Marine sector 2002 2007 2012
Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery→ marine fishery 17.89 0.0727 28.20 0.0664 54.09 0.0697
Petroleum and natural gas extraction→ offshore oil and gas 5.18 0.1506 11.39 0.1350 23.25 0.2095
Metals’ mining and dressing→ offshore oil and gas 0.01 0.0018 0.04 0.0014 0.58 0.008
Non-metals’ mining and dressing→ oceanic mining 0.01 0.0018 0.03 0.0014 0.33 0.008
Food products’ and tobacco processing→ marine salt 0.41 0.0063 0.74 0.0049 1.10 0.0036
Chemical→ marine chemical 2.61 0.0304 3.10 0.0166 11.61 0.0338
Chemical→ marine biological pharmaceutical 0.24 0.0081 0.59 0.0064 2.55 0.0146
Electricity, heat production and supply→ marine power 1.57 0.0267 0.07 0.0006 1.04 0.0056
Water production and supply→ seawater utilisation 0.12 0.0297 0.06 0.0073 0.16 0.0141
Transportation equipment manufacturing→ marine shipbuilding 0.03 0.0009 6.64 0.0697 19.71 0.1035
Construction→ marine engineering construction 2.04 0.0209 5.07 0.0236 15.92 0.0292
Transportation and warehousing→ marine transportation 15.39 0.1523 50.56 0.2334 71.12 0.2094
Accommodation and catering→ coastal tourism 15.40 0.3596 37.71 0.4573 75.37 0.5336
Tourism→ coastal tourism 2.10 0.3596 – – – –
Culture, sports, and entertainment→ coastal tourism 4.37 0.3596 10.31 0.4573 27.89 0.5336
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Y. Wang, N. Wang Marine Policy 99 (2019) 42–49
Table 4
Production-inducing effects of China's marine sectors.
No. Sector 2002 2007 2012 No. Sector 2002 2007 2012
1 Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery 0.1436 0.1413 0.1337 22 Waste scrap 0.0038 0.0116 0.0074
2 Coal mining and dressing 0.0215 0.0289 0.0398 23 Electricity, heat production and supply 0.0493 0.0959 0.0762
3 Petroleum and natural gas extraction 0.0365 0.0659 0.0508 24 Gas production and supply 0.0019 0.0031 0.0057
4 Metals’ mining and dressing 0.0085 0.0212 0.0257 25 Water production and supply 0.0036 0.0033 0.0016
5 Non-metal minerals’ mining and dressing 0.0070 0.0080 0.0160 26 Construction 0.0124 0.0043 0.0099
6 Food products and tobacco processing 0.1030 0.1548 0.1576 27 Transportation and warehousing 0.0757 0.0588 0.0812
7 Textile 0.0114 0.0182 0.0212 28 Postal 0.0019 0.0017 0.0018
8 Leather, furs, down, and related products 0.0067 0.0137 0.0106 29 Information transmission, computer 0.0234 0.0142 0.0123
services, and software
9 Timber processing and furniture manufacturing 0.0107 0.0127 0.0103 30 Wholesale and retail trade 0.0754 0.0463 0.0759
10 Papermaking and Paper Products 0.0344 0.0344 0.0288 31 Accommodation and catering 0.0134 0.0127 0.0082
11 Petroleum processing, coking and nuclear fuel processing 0.0654 0.1133 0.1007 32 Finance and insurance 0.0489 0.0519 0.0811
12 Chemical 0.1441 0.1721 0.1975 33 Real estate 0.0089 0.0123 0.0154
13 Non-metal mineral products 0.0188 0.0310 0.0356 34 Leasing and business services 0.0259 0.0258 0.0434
14 Metal smelting and rolling processing 0.0694 0.1226 0.1243 35 Tourism 0.0017 0.0038 0
15 Metal products 0.0214 0.0278 0.0269 36 Research and technology services 0.0008 0.0093 0.0206
16 General and special equipment manufacturing 0.0485 0.0713 0.0511 37 Comprehensive technical services 0.0059 0.0021 0.0025
17 Transportation equipment manufacturing 0.0568 0.0887 0.0848 38 Other social services 0.0113 0.0191 0.0144
18 Electrical, mechanical, and equipment manufacturing 0.0241 0.0378 0.0307 39 Education 0.0031 0.0027 0.0013
19 Communications equipment, computers, and Other 0.0315 0.0354 0.0334 40 Health, social security, and social welfare 0.0021 0.0028 0.0004
electronic equipment manufacturing
20 Instrumentation and cultural office machinery 0.0075 0.0121 0.0082 41 Culture, sports, and entertainment 0.0035 0.0041 0.0037
manufacturing
21 Other manufacturing 0.0053 0.0056 0.0019 42 Public management and social organisation 0.0000 0.0005 0.0016
Total 1.2487 1.6030 1.6543
The sectoral impacts of marine investment are summarised in Table 6 and Table 7 show the sectoral maritime supply shortage
Table 4 and Table 5. From Table 4, one can see that, when the in- costs in 2002, 2007, and 2012. As Table 6 reveals, if the outputs of the
vestment of marine sectors increases by $1 in 2002, 2007, and 2012, entire marine sectors decrease by $1, the costs of output loss in the
the production-inducing impacts on other sectors are $1.2487, $1.6030, other industrial sectors are $1.4276, $1.8881, and $1.9618, respec-
and $1.6543, respectively. According to the marine industry's gross tively. Therefore, assuming that the 12 major marine sectors disappear,
output value, it can be calculated that the total production-inducing the total outputs of other sectors in China would reduce by $191 billion,
impacts of the marine sectors’ investment are $167 billion, $592 billion, $697 billion, and $1455 billion, respectively. Additionally, the influ-
and $1227 billion, respectively. ence of the marine industry is greatest on the chemical sector (No. 12),
Table 5 shows that the three key production-inducing marine sec- construction (No. 26), and metal smelting and rolling processing (No.
tors are coastal tourism, marine transportation, and marine ship- 14).
building. For example, in 2012, when the investment in the marine Table 7 shows the losses of individual marine sector when faced
industry increases by $1, the production-inducing impact of the marine with a marine supply shortage. For example, when the supply of the
sectors is $1.6543; this includes marine fishery ($0.1195), offshore oil marine industry reduces by $1 in 2012, the supply shortage impact on
and gas ($0.0535), oceanic mining ($0.0047), marine salt ($0.0101), the marine sectors is $1.9618; this includes marine fishery ($0.2111),
marine chemical ($0.1774), marine biological pharmaceutical offshore oil and gas ($0.4219), marine mining ($0.0170), marine salt
($0.0389), marine power ($0.0105), seawater utilisation ($0.0007), ($0.0073), marine chemical ($0.2295), marine biological pharmaceu-
marine shipbuilding ($0.3093), marine engineering construction tical ($0.0503), marine power ($0.0182), seawater utilisation
($0.1699), marine transportation ($0.3698), and coastal tourism ($0.0007), marine shipbuilding ($0.1194), marine engineering con-
($0.3900). Overall, the marine industry is strongly influenced by both struction ($0.0089), marine transportation ($0.5082), and coastal
primary and secondary industry in China's national economy. tourism ($0.3693). It can be observed that the shortages in the marine
transportation, offshore oil and gas, and coastal tourism sectors will
have relatively serious impacts on the economy.
Table 5
4.4. Employment-inducing effect
Production-inducing effects on each marine sector in China.
Marine sectors 2002 2007 2012 Table 8 and Table 9 show direct and indirect employment-inducing
impacts of all sectors. Table 8 shows that, when total demand of the
Marine fishery 0.1861 0.1303 0.1195
Offshore oil and gas 0.0345 0.0606 0.0535 marine sectors increases by $1 million in 2002, 2007, and 2012, the
Oceanic mining 0.0007 0.0010 0.0047 figures for inducing employment are 165, 94, and 58, respectively. The
Marine salt 0.0130 0.0138 0.0101 result shows a significant downward trend and it means that the labour
Marine chemical 0.1186 0.0957 0.1774
mode of China's marine sectors’ development is changing from pro-
Marine biological pharmaceutical 0.0104 0.0183 0.0389
Marine power 0.0019 0.0015 0.0105 duction-intensive to technology-intensive. Additionally, it can be esti-
Seawater utilisation 0.0005 0.0005 0.0007 mated that the number of people employed by the marine and marine-
Marine shipbuilding 0.0819 0.2372 0.3093 related industries is 24.50 million, 35.72 million, and 46.10 million,
Marine engineering construction 0.1125 0.1331 0.1699 respectively, the proportions of which in China's total population are
Marine transportation 0.2545 0.4066 0.3698
3.32%, 4.64%, and 6.01%, respectively.
Coastal tourism 0.4340 0.5044 0.3900
Total 1.2487 1.603 1.6543 Table 9 presents the employment-inducing effects on a single
marine sector. Of all the marine sectors, the marine fishery sector has
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Y. Wang, N. Wang Marine Policy 99 (2019) 42–49
Table 6
Supply shortage effects of China's marine sectors.
No. Sector 2002 2007 2012 No. Sector 2002 2007 2012
1 Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery 0.1006 0.0731 0.0715 22 Waste scrap 0.0000 0.0013 0.0017
2 Coal mining and dressing 0.0122 0.0186 0.0157 23 Electricity, heat production and supply 0.0246 0.0556 0.0443
3 Petroleum and natural gas extraction 0.0054 0.0115 0.0061 24 Gas production and supply 0.0024 0.0049 0.0085
4 Metals’ mining and dressing 0.0061 0.0146 0.0138 25 Water production and supply 0.0015 0.0017 0.0014
5 Non-metal minerals’ mining and dressing 0.0076 0.0100 0.0069 26 Construction 0.1421 0.1646 0.1569
6 Food products and tobacco processing 0.0897 0.1241 0.1321 27 Transportation and warehousing 0.0682 0.0669 0.0955
7 Textile 0.0515 0.0664 0.0531 28 Postal 0.0025 0.0019 0.0014
8 Leather, furs, down, and related products 0.0334 0.0437 0.0375 29 Information transmission, computer 0.0144 0.0136 0.0180
services, and software
9 Timber processing and furniture manufacturing 0.0222 0.0279 0.0258 30 Wholesale and retail trade 0.0652 0.0655 0.0403
10 Papermaking and Paper Products 0.0322 0.0329 0.0376 31 Accommodation and catering 0.0218 0.0180 0.0110
11 Petroleum processing, coking, and nuclear fuel processing 0.0713 0.0980 0.1201 32 Finance and insurance 0.0222 0.0308 0.0551
12 Chemical 0.1344 0.1849 0.2216 33 Real estate 0.0141 0.0106 0.0153
13 Non-metal mineral products 0.0276 0.0525 0.0601 34 Leasing and business services 0.0194 0.0388 0.0562
14 Metal smelting and rolling processing 0.0635 0.1263 0.1231 35 Tourism 0.0054 0.0033 0
15 Metal products 0.0260 0.0381 0.0381 36 Research and technology services 0.0029 0.0096 0.0336
16 General and special equipment manufacturing 0.0560 0.0825 0.0897 37 Comprehensive technical services 0.0087 0.0041 0.0077
17 Transportation equipment manufacturing 0.0502 0.0997 0.1129 38 Other social services 0.0213 0.0181 0.0159
18 Electrical, mechanical, and equipment manufacturing 0.0343 0.0604 0.0634 39 Education 0.0221 0.0279 0.0143
19 Communications equipment, computers, and Other 0.0517 0.0829 0.0722 40 Health, social security, and social welfare 0.0180 0.0261 0.0267
electronic equipment manufacturing
20 Instrumentation and cultural office machinery 0.0077 0.0106 0.0064 41 Culture, sports, and entertainment 0.0061 0.0060 0.0059
manufacturing
21 Other manufacturing 0.0104 0.0151 0.0036 42 Public management and social organisation 0.0508 0.0451 0.0410
Total 1.4276 1.8881 1.9618
Table 8
Employment-inducing effects of China's marine sectors (Unit: person/$ million).
No. Sector 2002 2007 2012 No. Sector 2002 2007 2012
1 Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery 29.78 16.67 9.79 22 Waste scrap 0.37 0.49 0.15
2 Coal mining and dressing 2.69 1.42 1.08 23 Electricity, heat production and supply 6.09 5.08 2.31
3 Petroleum and natural gas extraction 4.36 2.84 1.46 24 Gas production and supply 0.17 0.12 0.16
4 Metals’ mining and dressing 0.82 0.77 0.47 25 Water production and supply 0.38 0.14 0.06
5 Non-metal minerals’ mining and dressing 0.68 0.41 0.33 26 Construction 1.37 0.16 0.27
6 Food products and tobacco processing 14.42 12.78 10.14 27 Transportation and warehousing 9.63 3.17 2.46
7 Textile 1.26 0.78 0.65 28 Postal 0.23 0.11 0.05
8 Leather, furs, down, and related products 0.69 0.52 0.32 29 Information transmission, computer services, 2.42 0.80 0.39
and software
9 Timber processing and furniture manufacturing 1.31 0.55 0.24 30 Wholesale and retail trade 9.98 2.86 2.89
10 Papermaking and Paper Products 3.68 1.67 1.03 31 Accommodation and catering 1.45 0.62 0.25
11 Petroleum processing, coking, and nuclear fuel processing 7.99 4.71 2.92 32 Finance and insurance 6.83 2.61 2.54
12 Chemical 21.76 14.46 7.59 33 Real estate 1.00 0.50 0.54
13 Non-metal mineral products 1.90 1.16 0.73 34 Leasing and business services 2.82 1.26 1.36
14 Metal smelting and rolling processing 6.52 4.25 2.20 35 Tourism 0.11 0.25 0.00
15 Metal products 2.36 1.32 0.60 36 Research and technology services 0.11 0.85 0.63
16 General and special equipment manufacturing 5.60 2.97 1.23 37 Comprehensive technical services 1.17 0.23 0.11
17 Transportation equipment manufacturing 5.56 2.41 1.16 38 Other social services 1.49 0.94 0.42
18 Electrical, mechanical, and equipment manufacturing 2.45 1.47 0.66 39 Education 0.39 0.17 0.04
19 Communications equipment, computers, and Other electronic 3.46 1.51 0.77 40 Health, social security, and social welfare 0.26 0.18 0.01
equipment manufacturing
20 Instrumentation and cultural office machinery manufacturing 0.79 0.55 0.18 41 Culture, sports, and entertainment 0.32 0.15 0.14
21 Other manufacturing 0.64 0.31 0.06 42 Public management and social organisation 0.00 0.04 0.05
Total 165.32 94.29 58.47
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