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EMPLOYMENT 1
PRIYANSHI AGRAWAL
1933360
1ECOH A
John Maynard Keynes was born in an academic family. He always excelled in his subjects
especially mathematics. His best-known work ‘The general theory of employment, interest and
money’ published in 1936 became a standard in economic thoughts for future. In 1944, he guided
the British authority to the Bretton Woods Conference at United States of America. He gave a
new thought on income and employment theory at the time of Great Depression in his book, The
In this theory Keynesians have emphasized the link between income, employment and
output. Generally, the transactions are two-sided—in this, one person’s income is another
national income, O is national output and E is national expenditure. A consumer has two options
Similarly, for estimation of national output, produced goods are either sold in the market for
consumption or invested by the firms in stock. Thus, equation becomes O=C+I. So, from the
previous two equations we conclude that C+S=C+I or S=I. From the equation, inference is that
saving and investment are equal but ex-post investment and ex-post savings are never equal.
Therefore, Keynesians say that economic uncertainty arises from this difference between savings
and investment. For an instance, if present savings rise above its previous level due to high prices
then there will be reduction in preset demand for a commodity to demand more in future at a
lower price. If by chance the investment increases by same amount of savings in the economy
i.e., productive resources continue to operate at capacity; then there will be no net change in the
economy and the economy will be at equilibrium. On the other hand, if there is no subsequent
rise in investment, then demand for one of the factors of the production that is, demand of labor
PHILOSOPHICAL IDEAS BEHIND KEYNES’ THEORY OF INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT
3
will fall (keeping fixed the wage rate) leading to voluntary unemployment and thus it may lead to
reduction in their present income. The reduction in income reduces market demand for a
commodity and also savings. So, at this point if producers do not increase their investment plans,
equilibrium will be established at lower level of income. So, in reality investments are uncertain
not savings. So, we conclude that a fall in investment and a rise in savings badly affects economy
while rise in investment or decrease in saving will stabilize the economy. This instance depicts
how changes in savings will affect changes in national income but it does not show the extent of
those changes. So, to determine this change Keynes designed consumption function. The motive
behind this theory was to reveal that under certain circumstances, economy could be stuck in
disequilibrium with productive resources in surplus i.e., unemployment, but income and output
unable to rise sufficiently to reach equilibrium level (Practice, n.d.). In his essay on Economic
Research and the Keynesian Thinking of our times, Keynes said about underemployment
equilibrium that a free enterprise economy, unless stimulated by government policies may sink
employment- “in the short period, level of national income and level of employment is
determined by aggregate demand and aggregate supply in the country. Equilibrium of national
income occurs where aggregate demand is equal to aggregate supply. But this equilibrium level
of income necessarily does not indicate the full employment level” (Keynes,1930).
PHILOSOPHICAL IDEAS BEHIND KEYNES’ THEORY OF INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT
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income is measured along X-axis and desired consumption and investment are shown on the y-
axis. C+I curve represents the aggregate demand and 45-degree line represents the aggregate
supply. The intersection of these two curves determines the equilibrium level of national income.
The equilibrium level is at E1 corresponding to the desired aggregate demand curve (C+I) with
the supply curve. Accordingly, equilibrium level of income is Y1 because at this level of income
desired aggregate demand equals aggregate supply. At this level of income desired aggregate
spending is equal to the national output. Purchaser can fulfill their spending plans and the firms
are able to sell whatever they desire to produce. There is no incentive for the firms to change
their output. Therefore, output and income are at equilibrium. Keynes had made many
assumptions before proposing his theory of income and employment. Following are his
Keynes assumed price to be constant in his theory. He also gave reasons for price to be constant.
Firstly, producers generally have long-term, multi-year agreements with suppliers of different
raw materials and different resources so these contracts prevent the fluctuation of prices.
Secondly wages are the means of livelihood for labors so they oppose to lower their wages.
Therefore, workers are ready to get temporarily unemployed instead of getting lower wages.
2)EFFECTIVE
PHILOSOPHICAL IDEAS BEHIND KEYNES’ THEORY OF INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT
5
DEMAND- The point at which aggregate demand is equal to the aggregate supply is called
effective demand point. People demand goods only at their disposable income. Disposable
income means the income available to the consumer only after paying several taxes. This
assumption primarily states that change in specifically disposable income leads to change in
consumption pattern which in turn leads to change in demand for goods by the consumer. When
economic growth is increasing then there is increase in per capita income so consumption
expenditure also increases. On the other hand, if economic growth is decreasing, then there is
3)THE SHORT PERIOD-Keynes said that short period is the time in which induction of new
investment do not change the technique, the organization and the assets. According to this
assumption, method of production and the fixed capital amount remain unchanged.
4)PERFECT COMPETITION- Keynes assumed that there is high degree of perfect competition
in the market in which firms can sell more of goods only by lowering its price. He chose perfect
competition because in this market form, price is decided by the market forces and in his theory
also price is determined at that level where aggregate demand is equal to the aggregate supply.
increasing but at a decreasing rate. So, Keynes assumed this stage because a rational producer
does production of goods in this stage as there is increase in total production without any fall in
marginal production.
6)CLOSED ECONOMY-In order to simplify his theory, he did not want any foreign interference
in the form of exports, imports, and foreign investments in a national economy. Therefore, he
Now there is Keynes theory of involuntary unemployment that states that wage
PHILOSOPHICAL IDEAS BEHIND KEYNES’ THEORY OF INCOME AND EMPLOYMENT
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fixability is the main cause of involuntary unemployment. It means that a free enterprise working
in a capitalist form of economy fails to achieve full employment level because of wage rigidity.
The other reason for involuntary unemployment is liquidity trap i.e., a situation where interest
rate on investment is low but savings rates are high. In this situation, consumers withdraw from
investing in any bonds or shares of a company and keep most part of their fund as savings.
Keynesian theory failed to explain the problems caused by stagnation and inflation. Economic
unemployment. This is called as stagflation. Also, the together occurrence of inflation and
Keynes , J.M. (1930). The general theory of employment, interest and money.
from https://www.britannica.com/science/income-and-employment-theory
economics/keynesian-theory-of-income-and-employment-2/20753