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Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

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Energy Strategy Reviews


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Determinants of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the power sector: A case T


study of Bangladesh
Tareq Mahbuba,∗, Juthathip Jongwanichb
a
School of Management, Asian Institute of Technology, P.O. Box 4, Klong Luang, Pathumthani, 12120, Thailand
b
Faculty of Economics, Thammasat University, 2 Prachan Road, Phranakorn, Bangkok, 10200, Thailand

ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT

Keywords: This paper investigates the determinants of the decision-making process of firms conducting foreign direct in-
Foreign direct investment vestment (FDI) in the power sector. With the unavailability of long-term data series on FDI in Bangladesh's power
Bangladesh sector, a mixed method approach (semi-structured interviews and questionnaires) is used. The findings indicate
Government guarantee that regulatory aspects are the most influential for firms when engaging in FDI in the power sector, followed by
Tax
economic and financial, political, and societal aspects. For individual factors, government's commitment to
Land
Gas
contracts, land acquisition, and tax exemption are key decision-making factors in conducting FDI, while road
networks, gender diversity policies such as male predominance, and the right to freedom of association such as
trade unions are considered least important. Firm-level characteristics, including firm ownership, firm size, and
contract period, are important in ranking the determinants of conducting FDI.

1. Introduction while in 2015–2016, they increased to USD 208 million, accounting for
around 10% of total flows. In 2015–2016, FDI flows into the power
The United Nations General Assembly has declared the decade sector were close to those in gas and petroleum, and banking and tel-
2014–2024 the Decade of Sustainable Energy and launched a global ecommunication [5].
initiative to make to energy services accessible to all by 2030. To that Consequently, this paper investigates the determinants of FDI in-
end, it called upon member states to make accessible sustainable flows into Bangladesh's power sector. Based on previous literature on
modern energy a priority [1]. The Government of Bangladesh embarked FDI in the power sector (see section 3) these factors are grouped into
upon its Vision 2021 to comprehensively adopt energy development four key areas, namely regulatory prospects, political, macroeconomic,
strategies towards long-term energy security and sustainability [2], and social viewpoints. A very recent study by Keeley and Matsumoto
including adopting new capital outlays in generation, transmission, and [6] investigated determinants of FDI in the wind and solar energy sector
distribution; diversifying the energy mix from gas to cleaner coal based on four categories: the institutional environment, macro-
technologies and renewable energy; conserving energy; and the better economic environment, natural conditions, and renewable energy po-
use of existing installed power generation capacities. licies. The study used semi-structured interviews with experts in wind
The installation of power plants requires large capital outlays and and solar energy investment. Results show that feed-in tariff and
concomitant sophisticated technological requirements. In Bangladesh, competitive bidding and regulatory support policies, such as priority
the investment requirements for power generation beyond 2015 are access to the grid and absence of local content requirements, are more
estimated at USD 7.5 billion by 2021 and a further USD 21 billion by important than traditionally argued determinants of FDI, i.e., (i) labor
2030 [3], which is beyond the ability of the public and the private costs, (ii) exchange rate volatility, and (iii) access to local finance. In
sectors in Bangladesh. As such, the Bangladeshi government encourages contrast to Keeley and Matsumoto [6], our study takes into account a
the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in this sector, with sup- wider range of institutional determinants for conducting FDI in the
portive policies already implemented [4] (e.g., tax exemption on roy- power sector under four broad categories of investment prospects (i.e.,
alties, technical know-how and technical assistance fees, and on the regulatory, economic and financial, political, and societal) and takes a
interest of foreign loans). FDIs to the power sector in 2004–2005 wider sample set of power plants, both conventional and renewables,
amounted to USD 30 million, accounting for 4% of total FDI flows, but is not limited to renewables per se.


Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: Tareq.Mahbub@ait.asia (T. Mahbub), Juthathip@econ.tu.ac.th (J. Jongwanich).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.03.001
Received 1 April 2017; Received in revised form 25 February 2019; Accepted 6 March 2019
Available online 16 March 2019
2211-467X/ © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/BY-NC-ND/4.0/).
T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

Additionally, we further examine whether characteristics of power The installation of power plants requires large capital outlays,
plants, including ownership (joint venture, wholly owned subsidiary, which is beyond the ability of the public and the private sectors in
and consortium), firm size (small, medium, and large), and contract Bangladesh. As such, foreign investors have played a key role in the
periods lead to different sets of FDI determinants. In the context of power sector. FDIs to the power sector increased from USD 30 million
Bangladesh, to the best of our knowledge no study has hitherto em- in 2004–2005 (accounting for 4% of total FDI inflows) to USD 53
pirically analyzed factors attracting FDI in the power sector, especially million (7% of total FDI inflows) in 2010–2011 and to USD 208 million
in the context of differences in firm characteristics.1 (10%) in 2015–2016. Although FDI inflows have showed an increasing
This study employs a mixed method approach, using both qualita- trend in the power sector over the past decade, the flows have still been
tive and quantitative data by conducting semi-structured one-on-one in- relatively low compared to other sectors, including gas and petroleum
depth interviews and a questionnaire survey, respectively. Such a (Fig. 2). This was an exception in 2015–2016, when the share of FDI
combined method is better suited to understanding complex problems inflows to the power sector was close to that of gas and petroleum, and
and is considered superior to other mono-methodical studies, as it seeks banking and telecommunication.
complementarity (i.e., elaboration, enhancement, illustration, and
clarification of the findings from one method with the results from
another) [7]. In addition, a mixed method approach helps investigate 3. Literature survey
complex issues for which long-term data series are not available for
conducting econometric analysis, as is our case, where collection of Based on extant literature, factors affecting the decision of multi-
data on FDI in Bangladesh's power sector commenced only in 1998. national enterprises to conduct FDI in the power sector can be grouped
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. Following the into four main areas: regulatory, political, macroeconomic, and social
introduction, Section 2 presents briefly the recent outlook of the power prospects.2 Some factors are highlighted as key in some studies but not
sector and FDI inflows in Bangladesh. Section 3 surveys relevant lit- in others. For example, in Table 1, Woodhouse [19], examining 34
erature, with emphasis on the key factors that attract FDI for the power greenfield independent power producers (IPPs) in 13 countries, iden-
sectors of developing countries. Section 4 presents the research meth- tifies macroeconomic, political, and regulatory as the three areas that
odology. The results and discussions are presented in Section 5, and the influence FDIs. Specifically, the study shows that strong public finances,
effects of power plant characteristics discussed in section 6. Conclusion stable political climate, and a responsive legal framework are the most
and policy inferences are presented in Section 7. important determinants in these areas. Lamech and Saeed [20], on a
survey of 67 European and North American firms from January to April
2002, find that decision-making regarding FDI is influenced by three
2. Recent outlook of the power sector in Bangladesh factors: a legal framework defining investors' rights and obligations,
strictness and enforcement of payments, and the availability of gov-
Faced with a severe power crisis in 2009, Bangladesh adopted the ernment guarantees or counter guarantees from multilateral agencies.
Power Sector Master Plan (PSMP) 2010 for 2010–2030 [11]. The gen- Bergara et al. [21] studied the role of country institutional endowments
eration plan is based on achieving 8% growth and ensuring electricity on electricity utilities' investment decisions for a sample of 87 countries.
for all by 2021. Based on these targets, the PSMP 2010 has set the Their study reveals that well defined and credible political institutions
installed generation capacity target at 23,000 MW (MW) by 2020, appear to be significant explanatory variables for generation capacity
24,000 MW by 2021, and 40,000 MW by 2030. (taken as a proxy for investment decision), after controlling for eco-
The increase in power generation has been significant between June nomic control variables such as income levels, the degree of in-
2010 and June 2015, as total installed capacity increased from dustrialization, and urbanization. They find judicial independence to be
5823 MW to 13,540 MW during this period (Fig. 1). The population's particularly important as a prerequisite to a government's ability to
access to electricity increased from the 2010 baseline of 48%–72% in credibly commit to contract terms for attracting FDI.
2015. Per capita electricity consumption also increased from 220 kW- The four areas of FDI determinants are based on the eclectic para-
hour (kWh) to 371 kWh, but is still considered as one of the lowest in digm developed by Dunning [22,23], and are extended to include in-
the world [2]. stitutions. The basic assumption behind this model is that, to invest in a
Bangladesh's power sector is heavily reliant on gas. In 2010, around foreign country, a firm needs to have three different types of ad-
84% of the power-installed capacity was gas based, around 4% was vantages: (1) ownership, (2) locational, and (3) internalization. For FDI
coal, 4% hydro, and the remaining 8% was oil based. In 2015, with a to take place, all three advantages must be present simultaneously.
competing demand for gas and its continuing supply shortage, gas- Examples of ownership advantage are access to patents, specific en-
based installed capacity has fallen to 63%. The contribution of coal and trepreneurial skills, scale economies, or superior technology. Owner-
hydro are also negligible; they fell by 2% each, while 4% of power was ship advantages make it possible to move between different locations
import-based and the remaining 29% liquid-fuel-based [2]. As of June and can thus be transferred to a foreign country. For FDI to take place,
2015, out of a total installed capacity of 11,532 MW, the public sector's the ownership advantage also has to be profitable for internalization by
contribution was 52%, while the private sector contributed 44% [13]. the firm rather than the market taking care of transactions such as
Although the generation capacity has substantially increased in the selling or leasing. If an internalization advantage is missing, the firm
Sixth Five-Year Plan (2011–2015), the costs of electricity production will serve the foreign market through exports rather than through in-
have been increasing along with the continuing operational deficit in vesting in order to produce locally.
the power sector. The Seventh Five-Year Plan (2016–2020) addresses Finally, there must also exist some forms of locational advantages
these two major issues by adopting low-cost and efficient sources of specific for the geographical location that would eventually trigger
electricity by relying more on base-load power plants rather than actual investment. Locational advantages are country specific and
rental, while the choice of power imports is moved towards a regional cannot be transferred to another location such as low input costs, ex-
base, especially with India, Myanmar, Bhutan, and Nepal. Additionally, istence of raw materials, or special tax regimes. The eclectic paradigm
the choice of primary fuel has shifted from reliance on gas to imported
coal, and a small increment was registered in renewable energy, such as
2
solar and wind power [14]. Numerous studies examine FDI determinants in the general FDI literature
(e.g., Refs. [15–18]), but only a few empirical studies (Table 1) examine FDI
determinants in the power sector in particular and none systematically analyze
1
There are studies examining determinants of FDI in Bangladesh, but only a wider range of FDI determinants from the four broad categories of investment
from macroeconomic perspectives [8–10]. prospects, namely, regulatory, economic and financial, political, and societal.

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

Fig. 1. Trend in grid-based installed capacity. Note: The FY (Fiscal Year) runs from July 1 through June 30 in Bangladesh.
Source: Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources [12].

Fig. 2. Proportion of FDI in the Bangladeshi power sector, 2004–2015. Source: Bangladesh Bank [5].

focuses on economic efficiency as the ultimate determinant of location through conducting semi-structured interviews and quantitative
choice for multinational enterprises (MNEs). through questionnaires.
However, economic efficiency only partially explains the location To assess the ground conditions in Bangladesh, an empirical study of
choice of MNEs, as they also require institutional legitimacy to survive 25 FDI private power companies was conducted. A list of FDI power
and succeed in a challenging foreign environment [24]. From this companies, of which 14 were in operation and 11 under construction,
perspective, it has been argued that the nexus of MNE investment ac- was prepared from the Registrar of Joint Stock Companies and Firms,
tivity and institutional environment is an analysis on the ability of in- and the Bangladesh Power Development Board. The sample comprised
stitutions to reduce transaction costs associated with FDI in an un- 20 conventional power companies and 5 renewable power companies.
certain foreign environment [25]. Therefore, MNEs are motivated to Out of the 20 conventional power companies, 7 were gas based, 5 liquid
enhance their legitimacy to become isomorphic to the host country's fuel, 2 dual fuel, and 6 were coal based. Of the renewables, one was
institutional environment. As such, the need to integrate institutional wind and four were solar power based. Of the conventional power
factors into FDI theory can hardly be over emphasized. Noting a lack of companies, 2 were small (0–50 MW), 8 were medium (50–150 MW),
institutional content in the eclectic paradigm, Dunning [26] argues it is and 10 were large (above 150 MW). Of the renewables in the solar
important to incorporate institutional factors in an extension of the power category, two companies were medium (1–25 MW) and two were
model, and his subsequent research suggests that institutions affect all
three paradigm components [27].
(footnote continued)
4. Methodology power sector. Collection of data for FDI in the Bangladesh's power sector
commenced only in 1998. To get trusted results from econometric or modeling
This study employs a mixed method approach,3 which is qualitative analysis, we need to have a reasonable number of observations to perform the
analysis. In Bangladesh power sector, FDI data collection started from 1998, but
from 2004 onwards, data have been collected on a bi-annual basis. Thus, we
3
This study did not employ econometric or dynamic general equilibrium have data for only 18 years to perform our econometric/modeling analysis. The
model due to the unavailability of long-term data series from the Bangladesh sample size is too small to obtain sensible results from modeling analysis.

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich

Table 1
Examples of determinants for a firm's decision to conduct FDI in the power sector.
Source: Authors' compilation
Category Variable Literature References Category Variable Literature References

A. Regulatory 1. Government commitment to contracts e.g. Refs. [19–21,28,29] 24. Foreign investors can buy shares locally or acquire a e.g. Ref. [53]
local company
2. Land acquisition/rent/lease of land e.g. Refs. [2,6,30,31] 25. Regulation on labor e.g. Refs. [42,43,49]
3. Tax exemption e.g. Refs. [30,32–34] 26. Price cap regulation e.g. Refs. [43,54]
4. Avoidance of double taxation e.g. Refs. [30,32] 27. Regulation on subsidy for consumers e.g. Refs. [43,55]
5. Protection of Foreign Investors Act (1980) e.g. Ref. [35] 28. Regulation on trade union e.g. Refs. [43,49]
6. Profit repatriation controls e.g. Refs. [30,36] B. Economic and 1. Economic growth and development e.g. Refs. [39,43,56]
Financial
7.Presence of government guarantee e.g. Refs. [19,20,37,38] 2. Gas transmission line e.g. Refs. [11,19,57]
8. Time and efficiency of staff to complete the procedure e.g. Refs. [39,40] 3. Government spending for infrastructure e.g. Refs. [2,58,59]
9. World-class security package e.g. Refs. [38,39,41,42], 4. Skilled labor e.g. Refs. [2,59]

181
10. Protection of property rights e.g. Refs. [19,21,43,44] 5. Financial facilities e.g. Refs. [19,20,60,61]
11. Quick allocation of work permits e.g. Refs. [30,32] 6. Credit facilities e.g. Refs. [19,41,43,61]
12. Approval of central bank for transferring capital e.g. Refs. [30,31,36]
13. Environmental regulations e.g. Refs. [38,45] C. Political 1. Coordination and collaboration between ministries e.g. Refs. [2,55,56]
14. Need for internationally accepted Environmental and Social Impact e.g. Refs. [46–48] 2. Accountability of public officials e.g. Refs. [19,30,60]
Assessment for large projects
15. Property registration e.g. Refs. [3,30] 3. Control of corruption e.g. Refs. [19–21]
16. Regulation on health, hygiene, and safety of workers e.g. Ref. [49] 4. Capacity to adapt policies e.g. Refs. [19,31,57]
17. Responsiveness of needs and time frame of investors e.g. Refs. [20,40] 5. Excessive bureaucracy and red tape e.g. Refs. [31,62]
18. Level of administrative competence e.g. Refs. [6,20,29,43] 6. Electoral process e.g. Refs. [63,64]
19. Construction permit e.g. Refs. [39,40,42,43] 7. Freedom of press e.g. Refs. [50,51,65]
20. Continuity and consistency of rules and processes e.g. Refs. [31,50,51] 8. Vested groups e.g. Refs. [37,43,63,66]
21. Bangladesh Arbitration Act 2001 e.g. Ref. [52] D. Societal 1. Citizen security and accountability e.g. Refs. [56,58]
22. Regulation on qualification of personnel who supervise construction e.g. Refs. [39,42] 2. Strengthening links between the citizen and the e.g. Refs. [57,60]
government
23. Regulation on ownership (wholly owned subsidiary/joint venture (JV)) e.g. Ref. [32]
Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192
T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

large (above 25 MW). In the wind category, only one company Table 2
(0–20 MW) was small. Respondent characteristics.
To gain insight on factors influencing FDI, 30 semi-structured one- Sample (N) Conventional power 20 80
plants
on-one in-depth interviews were conducted during December
2015–April 2016. Four target representative groups were chosen, in- Renewable 5 20
cluding private company personnel, government officials, multilateral
agencies, and academics. A purposive sampling technique was chosen Ownership Conventional power JV 11 44
Wholly Owned 9 36
for data collection. Examples of key questions to the respondents are: (i)
Renewable JV 3 12
what is the basic profile of your company; (ii) how important do you Consortium 2 8
think is FDI in Bangladesh's power sector; (iii) what are the strategic Capacity Conventional power 0–50 MW 2 8
factors that influenced you to make investments in the Bangladeshi 50–150 MW 8 32
> 150 MW 10 40
power sector? The study used grounded theory to analyze qualitative
Renewable Solar 5 KW-1 MW 0 0
data, using coding for concepts and themes for FDI [67]. The interviews 1–25 MW 2 8
were digitally recorded and, to increase quality, the interviewees were > 25 MW 2 8
given the option of reviewing the transcripts and amending them if Wind 0–20 MW 1 4
necessary. Then, we compiled detailed case-based memos to capture the 20–100 MW 0 0
> 100 MW 0 0
initial ideas and compare between the participants' accounts. This en-
Fuel Conventional power Gas 7 28
riched the data analysis and further guided the data collection. Fur- Liquid Fuel 5 16
thermore, this constant comparison between the participants' reflec- Dual Fuel 2 12
tions helped refine the concepts by identifying similarities, differences, Coal 6 24
trends, and patterns in the data, and come up with the appropriate and Renewables Wind 1 4
Solar 4 16
robust themes or FDI determinants [67]. Contract Period 0–5 years 7 28
To link quantitative data with the qualitative analysis, concurrent 5–10 years 0 0
triangulation was used. Equal weights were established for both 10–15 years 3 12
methods (i.e., qualitative and quantitative data collection). The ad- 15–20 years 5 20
20–25 years 10 40
vantage is that it produces well-validated and substantiated findings,
> 25 years 0 0
such as interpreting the statistical data with qualitative quotes for Position of respondent Power companies Chairperson 1 1.6
confirming or disconfirming the arguments. Additionally, this strategy Managing Director 3 4.8
helps in carrying out both forms of data collection (i.e., qualitative and Director 20 32.3
quantitative) at the same time, thus having a shorter data collection Manager 8 12.9
Government Secretary 4 6.5
period compared to the sequential approaches of qualitative data col- Director 15 24.2
lection. The limitation of this design is that it is sometimes difficult to Multilaterals Senior Energy experts 4 6.4
compare the results of the two analyses (qualitative and quantitative) if Academics 7 11.2
discrepancies arise in this process. However, this could be resolved by
additional data collection and, in our case, we have revisited the firms
for collecting additional data to confirm our arguments [68]. latter falling into the category of rental power groups. In the solar ca-
The questionnaire was developed in three phases. See the ques- tegory, the proportion is equally divided between large and medium
tionnaire in Appendix 1. First, the FDI determinants in the ques- sized firms, each accounting for 8%, while in wind energy, one FDI
tionnaire were primarily developed through 10 preliminary expert in- company (presently carrying out wind mapping for bankable data),
terviews from April to July 2015. This was then confirmed through a which has signed a contract and is under construction, is small. The
literature review.4 This offered a first-hand understanding of the area of contract period of the sample companies differ widely from 5 to 25
investigation and identified any missing gaps between theory and the years, with the rental power plants (not IPPs) having the shortest op-
actual ground conditions.5 Second, the quantitative questionnaire was erational life span in the range of 0–5 years, while the conventional and
pretested by six experts from the four stakeholder groups through pri- renewables IPPs have the longest, within a range of 10–25 years. The
mary reviews and suggestions. Finally, the questionnaire was improved majority of interviewees (i.e., 56%) are directors involved in policy-
by incorporating feedback from these respondents. The respondents making, research, and strategic investment decisions. Therefore, this
were asked to fill out a five-point Likert scale structured questionnaire helped us gain sufficient insight into the workings of FDI in the Ban-
[69] ranging from 1—“not at all important”—to 5—“extremely im- gladesh power sector.
portant.” The questionnaire was composed of three parts on firm in- For quantitative data analysis, descriptive statistics were used to
formation, determinants, and personal information. It investigated 46 compute the average scores and standard deviations. To facilitate data
factors from both literature review and expert interviews. analysis, the means were interpreted as follows: (i) not at all im-
Table 2 shows respondent characteristics. Among the sample FDI portant = 1.00–1.79; (ii) slightly important = 1.80–2.59; (iii) fairly
power companies, 80% are in conventional thermal power generation important = 2.60–3.39; (iv) very important = 3.40–4.19; and (v) ex-
and 20% in renewable energy. In conventional power, most companies tremely important = 4.20–5.00.7 One-way analysis of variance
are JVs, while 36% are wholly owned. In renewables, the majority are (ANOVA) and t-tests were then applied to analyze whether all de-
JVs and two firms are consortiums. In terms of capacity for conven- terminants were rated differently according to three firm-level char-
tional power plants 40% are large,6 32% medium, and 8% small, the acteristics for both conventional thermal power plants and renewables,
that is, (i) ownership (JV, wholly owned subsidiary, and consortium);
(ii) capacity (small, medium, and large); and (iii) contract period
4
Examples are provided in Table 1.
5
We identified two new variables namely, road network and male pre-
dominance, through the expert interviews. (footnote continued)
6
For conventional thermal power plants from the Bangladeshi power sector 20–100 MW medium, and above 100 MW large (source: selected interviews and
those with a capacity of 0–50 MW are small, 50–150 MW medium, and above Correspondence with personnel from the government and private sector,
150 MW large. In solar power, a capacity of 5 KW–1 MW is small, 1–25 MW January–March 2016).
7
medium, and above 25 MW large. In wind, a capacity of 0–20 MW is small, Range of means is calculated from standard deviations.

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

direct support to the project through various commitments, including pro-


tection against any changes in law or of government, and offers guaranteed
payment obligations. They cannot cancel the agreement. From the start of
IPPs since 1998, Bangladesh had no payment defaults to date.”

5.1.2. Land acquisition/rent/lease of land


Access to land is a major issue for setting up power plants in
Bangladesh, and this factor is rated as the second most important. In our
field research interviews, all interviewees responded that the cost,
availability, and difficulty in procuring land are some of the major
concerns when making investment choices in Bangladesh. Moreover,
there are other sensitive issues, such as resettlement and rehabilitation
of the affected people, who primarily depend on the agricultural land
for their livelihood, and costly litigation and ownership issues, as there
are multiple titles of land ownership, which makes the entire land ac-
quisition process costly, time consuming, and risky (see also [3,70]).
Additionally, when investors are successful in acquiring large tracts of
land in a suitable place, there are several pockets the landowners do not
want to give up and use them as a bargaining tool for raising prices,
Fig. 3. Mean scores of determinants categorized by area. Source: Authors' es- thus creating additional costs for the investors. However, for some re-
timates. spondents, this was not a major issue, as they have been provided with
lease land from the government due to their strong affiliations with the
political process or had the recourse to make available their own pri-
(0–25) years. If the p-value is equal to or below 0.05, there was a sta- vate land to complement the land acquisition process.
tistically significant difference. Also note that adding to the literature
[19,20,51,56] on firm characteristics could influence FDIs in the power 5.1.3. Tax exemption
sector. Therefore, we analyzed these determinants. In the ques- This factor is also significant in influencing FDI in the power sector.
tionnaire, we had three different characteristics of FDI (i.e., ownership, In Bangladesh, power companies are exempt from corporate tax for 15
capacity, and contract period). years. Apart from conventional thermal power plants, renewable com-
panies are also exempted from corporate income tax for 10 years. These
5. Results measures are part of the fiscal incentives given by the government to
draw large-scale private investment in this sector. Additionally, as the
The results from the questionnaire data show MNEs do not future fuel mix would be heavily drawing on coal, the government has
provide equal weight for the four areas of FDI determinants and char- also recently introduced incentives for coal-based power plants to come
acteristics of power plants matter in determining the set of FDI under the provision of the 15-year tax break if these could bring their
factors (Fig. 3). operation online by June 2020 [71].
The regulatory area is the most influential, followed by economic Most respondents, from both private companies and the govern-
and financial factors, political, and societal (Fig. 3). Within regulatory, ment, indicated that tax exemption is a key determinant to drawing FDI
government commitment to contracts, which is rated at 4.52, land ac- to the power sector. Moreover, this incentive is helping the government
quisition/rent/lease of land (4.29), and tax exemption (4.24) are rated ensure a lower tariff from private companies, which helps for the
as extremely important and found to be significant (Table 4). For eco- subsequent mitigation of losses for the off-taker when selling subsidized
nomic and finance, three factors are rated as the very important (score power to end users. One respondent opined, “Bangladesh follows a fixed
above 4) (i.e., economic growth and development; gas transmission price cap regime, where the tariff for IPPs is fixed for the entire contract
line, and skilled labor). For political considerations, the coordination period and, on top of that, if we had to pay tax, it will squeeze our revenues
and collaboration of ministries assumes the highest weight, with a score even more.”
of 4.11, followed by accountability of public officials (4.06) and control
of corruption (4.06). Finally, for societal factors, only the citizen se- 5.2. Economic and financial
curity and accountability is rated as very important, with a rating of 4.
These factors are described in detail in Table 3. 5.2.1. Economic growth and development
Bangladesh has experienced a robust and resilient economic growth
5.1. Regulatory factors performance over the past decade. Its real gross domestic product grew
at a healthy rate of around 6% [30].
5.1.1. Government's commitment to contracts This factor is rated as very influential in attracting FDI in the power
This factor is rated as the most influential in attracting FDI to the sector. Both private and government respondents unanimously agreed
Bangladeshi power sector from the regulatory category. All respondents that, by any standards, the Bangladeshi economy has performed well.
unanimously agreed that it represents the guiding rule for doing busi- Many respondents suggested the country is giving top priority to in-
ness as a means to see contractual obligations honored, revenues se- frastructure development, including power with large capacity im-
cured, and creating the confidence that investors' interests are pro- provements having been achieved, largely from private sources, which
tected. All respondents agreed that Bangladesh has set a good track is helping draw foreign investment. Moreover, many also highlighted
record with IPPs and there have not been any instances of payment Bangladesh's current sovereign rating by Moody's with a Ba3 stable
defaults per se. This is in line with the literature arguing that foreign outlook, which is positive for foreign investors in the country [2,41].
investors in developing countries would like to see the “rules of the
game” remain credible and not altered at the government's convenience 5.2.2. Gas transmission line
once they have made investment decisions based on such rules This factor is the most important variable in the economic, in-
[19,20,29,43]. For example, one respondent opined, “Our project is guar- cluding infrastructure and financial, category. Natural gas is the pri-
anteed by an Implementation Agreement from the government, which gives mary source of fuel for power generation in Bangladesh. Most

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

Table 3
Mean scores and P-values of individual factors.
Source: Authors' estimates
a
Class Variable label Mean P-value Class Variable label Mean P-value

Regulatory Government's commitment to contracts 4.52 0.000 Regulatory (cont.) Foreign investors can buy shares 3.29 0.002
locally/acquire a local company
Land acquisition/rent/lease of land 4.29 0.000 Regulation on labor 3.18 0.000
Tax exemption 4.24 0.000 Price cap regulation 3.15 0.001
Avoidance of double taxation 4.19 0.000 Regulation on subsidy for consumers 2.40 0.000
Protection of Foreign Investors Act (1980) 4.18 0.000 Regulation on trade union 2.16 0.000
Profit repatriation controls 4.16 0.000 Economic (infrastructure Economic growth and development 4.15 0.000
and financial)
Presence of government guarantee 4.15 0.000 Gas transmission line 4.08 0.001
Time and efficiency of staff to complete the procedure 4.15 0.000 Skilled labor 4.06 0.000
World-class security package 4.13 0.000 Government spending for 3.95 0.003
infrastructure
Protection of property rights 4.10 0.000 Financial facilities 3.94 0.001
Quick allocation of work permits 4.08 0.000 Credit facilities 3.87 0.042
Approval of central bank for transferring capital 4.08 0.000 Road network 1.77 0.000
Environmental regulations 4.06 0.000 Political Coordination and collaboration 4.11 0.000
between ministries
Need for internationally accepted environmental and 4.06 0.000 Accountability of public officials 4.06 0.000
social impact assessment (ESIA) for large projects
Property registration 4.03 0.001 Control of corruption 4.06 0.000
Regulation on health, hygiene, and safety of workers 4.00 0.001 Capacity to adapt policies 3.97 0.002
Responsiveness of needs and timeframe of investors 3.98 0.001 Excessive bureaucracy and red tape 3.26 0.017
Level of administrative competence 3.97 0.002 Electoral process 3.06 0.000
Construction permit 3.92 0.011 Freedom of press 3.06 0.000
Continuity and consistency of rules and processes 3.92 0.002 Vested groups 2.77 0.000
Bangladesh Arbitration Act 2001 3.90 0.022 Societal Citizen security and accountability 3.90 0.000
Regulation on qualification of personnel who supervise 3.87 0.003 Strengthening links between citizens 3.35 0.023
construction and the government
Regulation on ownership (wholly owned subsidiary/ 3.39 0.036 Male predominance 1.90 0.012
joint venture)

Note: Only significant factors are reported in this table.


a
Note: A one-tailed hypothesis test was performed, and to interpret the results, the P-value was compared to the significance level, which in this case was P-value
≤ 0.05.

interviewed respondents rated this factor highly in considering the opportunity to move between locations and across projects as part of a
choice of fuel mix as part of their investment decision. Moreover, gas global learning initiative. However, some respondents argue that the
price is highly subsidized in the country, which is one sixteenth of the country still needs to improve worker quality, as it lacks adequate su-
international level [72]. This creates a proclivity to run power plants on pervisory and management skills, for which employees need to be hired
this cheaper and clean fossil fuel and have less greenhouse gas emis- from neighboring countries, especially semi-skilled and highly skilled
sions. workers. One respondent said, “Workers’ need to improve their skills. The
From our interviews, we found it is easier to get a wider source of competency of MBAs is very low. There is availability of skills and institu-
financing for such projects. One respondent opined, “The payment is faster tions in the country, but they are not up to the job and require training.”
for gas-based power projects and multilaterals generously lend for such
projects, with many plants running at 60% efficiency level.” Moreover, the
5.3. Political factors
government is planning to import liquefied natural gas (LNG), which
would be fed through the existing gas transmission pipelines with ad-
5.3.1. Coordination and collaboration between ministries
ditional pipelines to be built for feeding LNG, creating the opportunity
Most respondents identified this factor as the most crucial among
for investing in more in gas-based power projects in the future.
political factors to attract FDI inflows in the power sector. However,
Additionally, respondents also suggested that alongside LNG imports,
many private companies revealed that, in Bangladesh, there is still a
Bangladesh should increase its reserve gas ratio through accelerated
lack of effective coordination and collaboration among the different
exploration and development of new gas fields for production, aug-
line ministries and departments and other government agencies that
mentation, and optimization of recovery. The transportation and dis-
operationalize the power sector. For example, almost all respondents
tribution network would be expanded accordingly. Note that although
complained about the slow and uncoordinated services of the Board of
Bangladesh is rich in natural gas, the present reserves are depleting fast,
Investment (BOI),8 which is supposed to be a one stop shop to ensure a
having a current demand shortage of 600 million standard cubic feet
wide range of business set-ups and other facilitation services to foreign
per day (MMSCFD) due to low levels of exploration work and in-
investors, but due to a general lag of coordination among various
adequate transmission systems [73].
government agencies, processes get persistently delayed and become
cumbersome in the detriment of foreign companies. Moreover, at the
project implementation phase and also on the working level, investors
5.2.3. Skilled labor
face hurdles in expediting tasks from various line ministries or in the
Skilled labor is another variable that most respondents rated as a
grant of concessions for certain provisions already incorporated in po-
very important in attracting FDI into the power sector in Bangladesh.
licies.
From our interviews, there are skilled workers in the country, and
foreign firms can hire technicians and engineers from local universities
and colleges. Many companies retain them by providing better financial 8
Currently, the BOI has merged with the Privatization Commission to form a
packages and job training. Additionally, they give employees the new agency, named the Bangladesh Investment Development Authority (BIDA).

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

This issue is more serious on a macro level, impeding future project 5.4. Societal factors
development. For example, one respondent opined that, while working
on a 6000 MW new coal hub to be built in the island of Moheshkhali in For societal factors, only citizen security and accountability was
the southern part of the country, the company signed a JV with a ranked as a very important factor in affecting investor decisions to
government power company. The government intends to build several conduct FDI. In our interviews, most respondents expressed their ap-
large coal-based power plants on a public-private partnership basis. The prehension about the overall security (both life and goods) conditions
government initially planned to have each power plant to have their in the country. This may be attributed to the fact that the country's law
individual jetties. However, it later transpired that there should be one and order situation (for example, crime, theft, and other disorders) has
common jetty for sharing water utilities, water output, and other an- seriously deteriorated. Additionally, there have been kidnappings and
cillary facilities for all power companies. However, due to a lack of killings of foreign nationals. The most vivid representation of this
effective coordination among the various line ministries, which in this manifestation is the very recent terrorist attack conducted in the dip-
case were the Ministry of Transportation, Ministry of Shipping, and the lomatic enclave of the capital, where nine Italian and seven Japanese
Port Authority, no concrete development work has been initiated. More personnel were killed [76]. This incident has garnered wide-scale
FDI could enter the economy if this problem is resolved. global attention about the current law and order situation in the
country, and influenced the government to maximize security efforts for
combating global terrorism.
5.3.2. Accountability of public officials
Accountability of public officials was identified as another crucial
6. Effects of power plant characteristics
variable in attracting FDI. However, as in the case of coordination and
collaboration, many respondents believe that accountability of public
Interestingly, based on ANOVA and t-tests,9 our study shows that, in
officials still needs to improve (see also [74]. For example, one re-
Bangladesh, FDI determinants are influenced by firm characteristics of
spondent from a large multinational power company invoked that, in
power plants, including ownership (joint venture, wholly owned sub-
one specific competitive bidding for a large gas based power plant, the
sidiary, and consortium), firm size (small, medium, and large), and
bid process was conducted three times, since there was no initial re-
contract periods. In terms of ownership, there are 25 variables that
sponse from the bidders. Due to a lack of adequate response, the project
wholly owned firms rated to be more crucial than JVs in determining
was rebid for a second time, where the respondent company was the
FDI inflows. These variables are shown in Table 4. Based on statistic
sole bidder to participate. However, the project was not awarded. It is
values (i.e., both t- and p-values), differences in opinion between
to be mentioned that, according to the public procurement guidelines,
wholly owned firms and JVs are the highest in level of administrative
an evaluation should proceed and an award be made even if a single bid
competence, capacity to adapt policies, competition policy, foreign
is received and found technically and commercially responsive to the
technicians not subject to personal income tax for up to three years,
project requirements [75]. The third time, the project was awarded to a
workers’ insurance, wage and other returns, and land acquisition/rent/
sole local bidder having strong ties with political circles, in which the
lease of land.
respondent company did not participate.
For the level of administrative competence, wholly owned compa-
nies rank this factor more influential than JVs. As many wholly owned
companies are representatives of global multinationals, they would like
5.3.3. Control of corruption
to see stability and consistency when dealing with the local bureau-
All FDI firms from our interviews have agreed that corruption is a
cracy. They also expect their needs to be met with quick responses and
major issue that prevents foreign investors from participating in the
urgency, as they have a sense of standardization and expediency. In
Bangladesh's power sector. Irregularities and rent capture are con-
contrast, as JVs are more embedded in the local culture, they have a
sidered significant stumbling blocks at the procurement stage in the
higher comfort zone for adjustment within the local bureaucracy.
Bangladesh's power sector. For example, procurement irregularities
Additionally, they engage heavily in building personalized relationships
have resulted in persistent problems about procedures and transparency
among different spheres of government and employ informal con-
with the World Bank, especially when large projects with multilateral
tracting arrangements for obtaining priority. Therefore, level of ad-
involvement are bid.
ministrative competence becomes less crucial for JVs in Bangladesh's
It has been argued that, some, technical specifications of submitted
power sector.
bids when preferring a particular party are evaluated with less than
Regarding the capacity to adapt policies, wholly owned companies
vigorous scrutiny or are being doctored for bringing them in line with
give this factor a higher importance than JVs. For changes in govern-
project-specific bid criteria for conferring awards, while for others
ment policies, wholly owned companies have a faster response time,
overly rigorous scrutiny is applied for seeking grounds for forced dis-
review and adapt to these changes, and make the good use of them as a
qualification as to prevent them from proceeding to the final stages of
function of the subsidiary's internal policy framework for acting as good
the bid award. Additionally, projects are sometimes blocked at the final
corporate citizens in the host country. Conversely, JVs are not that fast
stage by rival factions or disaffected parties and are called for addi-
in responding to such changes, since they have some influence with the
tional retendering. These factional conflicts are common and temper
host government policies, and are likely to negotiate or manage a de-
the award of private power projects in Bangladesh, resulting in sig-
layed response in their favor for such changes.
nificant rent capture and corruption at the procurement stage, favoring
Competition policy is the third variable that wholly owned com-
particular sponsors by insiders who represent powerful party elites and
panies give higher weight to than JVs. This could be explained by the
the bureaucracy as to influence bids when awarding projects [74]. One
fact that the former would like to see a good level playing field through
respondent from a multilateral organization remarked, “I think the policy
competitive selection and award, while the JVs, who engage heavily in
and regulations are adequate to attract FDI in the energy sector. What I think
personalized and privileged relationships with the government, tend to
is missing is a transparent and competitive tendering process. I think com-
bypass the competitive selection process and engage in direct negotia-
petent foreign investors are hesitant to take part in IPPs because of the
tion with the government.
perception that the tender evaluation will not be objective and that some
The factor of Foreign technicians not subject to personal income tax
“preferred party” will win the contract.” Another respondent said, “There is
too much corruption in the sector. One tender is done three times. Re-
tendering is due to corruption. After the tender, they sell their award through 9
The questionnaire data for FDI determinants were used for conducting the
a company name change to some other party.” ANOVA and t-tests analyses.

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

Table 4
T-test and ANOVA analysis results.
Source: Authors' estimates
Variable Private ownership Firm size (Capacity) Contract period

T-value P-value F-value P-value F-value P-value

Competitive selection process 0.19 0.854 0.21 0.811 1.51 0.234


Responsiveness to needs and time frame of investors 0.57 0.571 0.56 0.580 1.53 0.228
Presence of government guarantees −2.64 0.014* 0.87 0.431 0.78 0.516
World-class security package −2.05 0.051 0.84 0.444 1.53 0.229
Government's commitment to contracts −2.38 0.025* 0.43 0.656 0.69 0.565
Construction permit −1.11 0.277 0.20 0.818 0.85 0.477
Time and efficiency of staff to complete the procedure −1.48 0.151 2.58 0.096 0.94 0.433
Liability insurance −2.03 0.053 0.18 0.839 1.13 0.353
Regulation on qualification of personnel who supervise construction 1.50 0.147 0.73 0.491 1.46 0.246
Tax exemption −3.34 0.003* 1.30 0.290 0.14 0.935
Price cap regulation 4.48 0.000* 1.66 0.211 1.39 0.265
Competition policy −4.34 0.000* 1.37 0.274 1.23 0.319
Protection of Foreign Investors Act (1980) −3.36 0.002* 1.55 0.232 1.16 0.344
Protection of property rights −3.94 0.001* 1.32 0.286 1.39 0.266
Profit repatriation controls −0.89 0.384 0.14 0.870 1.77 0.176
Environmental regulations −1.08 0.292 0.28 0.760 4.09 0.016*
Need for internationally accepted environmental and social impact assessment for large projects −2.88 0.008* 0.94 0.403 0.94 0.435
Level of administrative competence −5.14 0.000* 1.64 0.215 0.94 0.436
Continuity and consistency of rules and processes 1.09 0.285 0.47 0.631 1.43 0.254
Wage and other returns −3.70 0.001* 4.17 0.028* 3.49 0.029*
Workers' insurance −3.94 0.001* 0.78 0.470 1.67 0.197
Regulation on health, hygiene, and safety of workers −1.63 0.116 0.84 0.443 1.93 0.148
Land acquisition/rent/lease of land −3.69 0.001* 2.20 0.133 1.17 0.338
Property registration −2.94 0.007* 0.62 0.546 0.66 0.582
Exit policy −1.96 0.061 1.19 0.320 2.41 0.088
Foreign investors can participate in more than one project for prequalification of investors and/or tenders −2.22 0.036* 2.26 0.126 1.33 0.283
Foreign investors not obliged to sell shares through public issues −2.09 0.047* 0.62 0.547 0.99 0.410
Foreign technicians not subject to personal income tax for up to three years −4.01 0.000* 1.27 0.300 1.03 0.394
Avoidance of double taxation −1.52 0.140 1.19 0.323 0.09 0.966
Reinvestment of remittable dividend to be treated as new foreign investment 0.10 0.924 0.84 0.444 0.45 0.718
Quick allocation of work permits −1.51 0.144 0.89 0.422 0.46 0.714
Free flow of raw materials −2.07 0.049* 0.17 0.842 2.13 0.119
Approval of central bank for transferring capital −2.47 0.021* 0.73 0.494 2.74 0.062
Fast track procedure for small claims −0.10 0.919 0.88 0.429 1.68 0.195
Bangladesh Arbitration Act (2001) −3.65 0.001* 0.05 0.952 2.11 0.121
Democracy −0.67 0.508 0.15 0.865 0.75 0.532
Accountability of public officials −3.42 0.002* 0.89 0.425 1.49 0.238
Transparency in government policy making −1.91 0.068 0.42 0.664 1.55 0.223
Capacity to adapt policies −4.88 0.000* 0.73 0.492 0.67 0.576
Policy consistency and forward planning 0.50 0.621 2.42 0.110 4.99 0.007*
Coordination and collaboration between ministries −2.64 0.014* 0.19 0.827 0.60 0.623
Control of corruption −1.38 0.180 1.08 0.356 1.96 0.143
Economic growth and development 0.76 0.454 0.52 0.602 0.47 0.705
Good sovereign credit rating 0.00 1.000 0.88 0.427 1.15 0.347
Government spending for infrastructure 1.12 0.272 0.07 0.932 0.88 0.463
Labor costs 0.18 0.855 1.80 0.186 4.95 0.007*
Skilled labor −2.15 0.041* 1.58 0.227 1.74 0.181
Gas transmission line −2.45 0.021* 0.26 0.770 1.42 0.259
Real exchange rate −2.57 0.017* 1.48 0.248 0.35 0.791
Financial facilities −0.71 0.483 1.29 0.295 0.84 0.485
Credit facilities −1.15 0.260 4.64 0.020* 1.05 0.384
Citizen security and accountability −0.88 0.387 0.78 0.471 0.81 0.499

for up to three years is ranked higher for wholly owned companies than none, while some are in the way of developing such schemes by
JVs. This could be attributed to the fact that the former need to deploy creating a common fund for developing a standard compensation
many foreign workers during the construction phase of the project due package. Therefore, wholly owned companies rated this factor as more
to lack of sufficient knowledge and experience of skilled labor available crucial than JVs.
on the ground. It could also occur because the technology aspects of the For wage and other returns, the reason that wholly owned compa-
project are new and sophisticated, and specialized skills may not be nies rank this factor as more important than JVs could be explained in
readily available locally. Therefore, receiving tax exemptions helps that the former have global standardized polices aligned with local
wholly owned companies reduce costs in the initial stage. However, for market conditions. They use the market median as the base pay for
JVs, since the local counterpart has to otherwise pay regular taxes for determining their wage policies. Conversely, for JVs, due to their or-
its own employed workforce for the assigned project, this does not bear ientation for being local, in most companies, local partners control the
crucial importance. equity share, and they tend to cut costs and employ less resources for
For workers' insurance, wholly owned companies have good employee development.
workers’ insurance packages, which comprise standard emergency risk Land acquisition and rent or lease of land ranked higher for wholly
and medical insurance. For JVs, these benefits are mixed from our in- owned companies than JVs possibly because wholly owned companies
terview, as some have a good compensation package and some have tend to face complex, cumbersome, and often-risky land acquisition

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Table 5 number of projects operated globally or sell generators or machines,


Post-hoc analysis: capacity. and have less recourse to large credits for setting up emergency power
Source: Authors' estimates plants for short-term contracts on a rental basis. Additionally, these
Variable Mean difference P-value companies use multiple sources of financing and have strong credit
support from their lenders.
Wage and other returns Small Medium −0.36 0.657 For the contract period, the third firm characteristic we have con-
Large 0.38 0.616
sidered, our ANOVA analysis shows that firms with a contract period of
Medium Large 0.75 0.021*
Credit facilities Small Medium −1.52 0.015* 0–5 years emphasize environmental regulations more than firms with a
Large −1.18 0.060 contract period of 15–20 years (Table 4), due to the fact that the former
Medium Large 0.34 0.540 are mostly rental power plants either as direct representations of their
foreign parents, which ensure a higher level of global compliance on
environmental issues and performance standards, or are liquid-fuel-
processes. Conversely, for JVs, this is not a major issue, as they have based plants, which are subject to stringent local regulations and
influential local partners who interact with the government both at the monitoring standards due to their higher carbon emissions and the re-
central and local level for help in acquiring land with the government's lease of toxic pollutants. However, for the latter (i.e., 15–20 years)
intervention or have their private land for setting up power projects. these are all renewable power companies, which virtually have no
Therefore, wholly owned companies pay attention to this factor sig- harmful impact on the environment and are subject to less stringent
nificantly more than JVs. monitoring standards than fossil fuel based power plants. Similarly,
The second firm characteristic we considered is firm size. There are firms with a contract period of 20–25 years ranked this factor more
two variables, namely wage and other returns and credit facilities, for influential than firms with a contract period of 15–20 years. This could
which firm size matters (Tables 4 and 5). Our p-values show that be accredited to the fact that most of the former run on gas, liquid fuel,
medium companies tend to place a higher weight on wages and other and some under construction would be using coal. Since these are
returns in influencing FDIs than large companies. From our interviews, primarily fossil-fuel-based plants, they have to conform to stringent
medium companies intend to optimize their workforce more than large environmental monitoring standards by the local environment au-
firms. They also focus more on productivity gains rather than workers’ thority, which for coal is even higher due to its larger harmful effect on
size, so that they are more willing to offer a generous package and the environment. However, for the latter (i.e., 15–20 years) since these
better on the job training opportunities. Conversely, large companies are renewable power companies they have fewer harmful effects on the
tend to economize costs and are more reasonable about the use of these environment and are subject to less scrutiny and control regulations
policies, if not being optimistically generous. For credit facilities, than fossil-fuel-based plants.
medium-sized companies give higher weight to this factor than small- Another variable rated significantly different by contract period is
sized companies in influencing FDI. For medium-sized companies, wage and other returns. Our p-value shows that companies with a
especially for IPPs, it sometimes proves difficult to arrange large credits contract period of 0–5 years rated this factor higher than those with
for initially funding power projects, as they customarily lack the fi- 20–25 year contracts (Tables 4 and 6). This is because most the short-
nancial wherewithal and strong balance sheet support or an established term rental power companies tend to hire workers on a contractual
track record for help arranging large credits. In contrast, small com- basis and, therefore, offer a more generous package for their retention.
panies, which constitute rental power plants, are either the affiliates of Additionally, some are representatives of global multinationals, who
global multinationals or global equipment manufacturers investing in have otherwise higher standardized wage policies. However, for the
power plants, who depend on strong balance sheet financing and op- latter (i.e., 20–25 years) where the majority are JVs, these packages are
erating cash flows generated from revenues coming from a significant not overtly generous, as their local partners tend to economize costs

Table 6
Post-hoc analysis: contract period.
Source: Authors' estimates
Variable Mean difference P-value

Environmental regulations 0–5 years 10–15 years 0.16 0.981


15–20 years 1.36 0.014*
20–25 years 0.17 0.950
10–15 years 15–20 years 1.20 0.071
20–25 years 0.02 1.000
15–20 years 20–25 years −1.19 0.024*
Wage and other returns 0–5 years 10–15 years 0.44 0.554
15–20 years 0.64 0.241
20–25 years 0.83 0.018*
10–15 years 15–20 years 0.20 0.952
20–25 years 0.38 0.622
15–20 years 20–25 years 0.18 0.936
Policy consistency and forward planning 0–5 years 10–15 years −0.87 0.061
15–20 years −0.07 0.997
20–25 years −0.82 0.016*
10–15 years 15–20 years 0.80 0.162
20–25 years 0.05 0.999
15–20 years 20–25 years −0.75 0.093
Labor costs 0–5 years 10–15 years −0.98 0.023*
15–20 years 0.22 0.897
20–25 years −0.47 0.251
10–15 years 15–20 years 1.20 0.013*
20–25 years 0.51 0.348
15–20 years 20–25 years −0.69 0.121

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

and their foreign partners would like to ensure that at least the contract period of 15–20 years. Similarly, wage and other returns bear
minimum standards as per the law are followed. more significance for short-term rental power companies than those
For policy consistency and forward planning, companies with a with a contract period of 20–25 years. Policy consistency and forward
contract period of 20–25 years rank this factor higher than companies planning is more important for companies with a contract period of
with a contract period of 0–5 years. This is because long-term contract 20–25 years than for those with a contract period of 0–5 years. Finally,
power companies would prefer aligning their operations with the labor costs bear more relevance for 10–15 years contract power com-
government's future policy direction and continuity and consistency of panies than 0–5 years rental power plants and also for 15–20 years
present policies for the smooth running of their operations, as to be able renewable power companies.
to plan long-term new capacity generation in line with these directives. To attract sustainable FDI in the power sector there are four areas
However, any retroactive changes in regulations undermine investors' that need to be strengthened, namely land acquisition, government
confidence and subject them to act cautiously [77]. However, this is not procurement, infrastructure, and citizen security and accountability. As
so important for short-term rental power companies with a contract acquiring land is a perennial problem for foreign investors investing in
period of 0–5 years, as they are temporary power providers and primed the power sector and it is difficult to find large tracts of land at suitable
to readily halt their business at the end of their contract periods without locations close to the government's power evacuation infrastructure,
having any long-term serious involvement in the sector. the government should contemplate setting power hubs at different
For labor cost, companies with a contract period of 10–15 place locations, which would be providing the integrated infrastructure for
higher weight on this factor than companies with a contract period of setting up future power plants. Additionally, the government should
0–5 years and companies with a contract period of 15–20 years. This is also lease land to the private power companies for locating in these
owed to the fact that companies with a contract period of 10–15 years specialized zones as a long-term solution to this problem.
are primarily medium-sized companies and have a policy of econo- For procurement, there is a need for a transparent and competitive
mizing costs by working with the lowest number of labor force, while selection process, which would ensure an objective evaluation criterion
boosting productivity. They would like to supplement their initial cost that meets the best technical and financial responsiveness of projects
of hiring with better on-the-job training and provide additional benefits free from vested group interests. In this regard, the government should
for higher productivity in the long run. Conversely, companies with a also stop nurturing unsolicited offers, which raise the suspicion of
0–5 years contract periods, which are rental power companies oper- transparency, accountability, and consistency in the procurement pro-
ating through global multinationals, view the labor cost in Bangladesh cess. Moreover, for attracting large IPPs, there is a need for early as-
much cheaper by regional standards, which has a nominal effect in their sessment of market attractiveness of projects, gauge potential level of
total project costs in view of their wider experience in operating glob- interests from serious bidders and financing agencies, devise suitable
ally. Correspondingly, companies with a contract period of 15–20 years risk sharing arrangements in early stages of projects should any un-
are renewable power companies and operate with the least number of foreseen contingencies arise such as shortage of primary fuel supply,
workforce, with no more than 10 people on site at one time during the and stick to the original plans and technical configurations of projects
operation phase of the project, and their labor costs constitute an in- for attracting large IPPs.
significant portion of total project costs. Table 6 shows results among For infrastructure, priority to explore both onshore and offshore gas
these four contract periods. fields as more gas becomes available through exploration and devel-
opment works should be permitted, along with the concomitant ex-
7. Conclusions and policy inferences pansion of the gas transmission network for acquiring a regional bal-
ance of primary energy supply and the setting up of additional gas
This paper investigated the key determinants of the investment based power plants in the country. Further, since Bangladesh is vul-
decision-making process of firms in conducting FDI in the power sector nerable to the effects of global warming, to reduce its dependence on
using Bangladesh as a case study. Our results show that, on average, the the fast depleting resources of fossil fuels, it should exploit its ample
regulatory is the most influential area influencing investment decision reserves of wind and solar energy and introduce generous feed-in tariff
to conduct FDI in this sector, followed by economic (including infra- policies, not currently in place, that would attract scalable renewable
structure) and finance, political, and social factors. In terms of in- energy projects by global renewable IPP developers and eliminate the
dividual factors, government's commitment to contracts is the most need for incentives and subsidies for promotion of renewables to sustain
influential in conducting FDI, followed by land acquisition and tax long-term development.
exemptions, respectively. Policies related to gender such as male pre- Finally, citizen security and accountability needs to be improved.
dominance and rights to freedom of association or collecting bargaining This entails fundamental institutional changes of the working culture
such as trade unions are considered the least crucial factors for con- and attitudes of the law enforcement agencies in the country to make
ducting FDI. them more accountable to the public. In this regard, there should be
Interestingly, the characteristics of firms matter in ranking the de- more community-oriented law enforcement, including community po-
terminants of a firm's decision to conduct FDI. Wholly owned compa- licing, ensure in crisis situations security actors are professional, ac-
nies tend to place a higher weight on several factors for conducting FDI countable and respect human rights, early warning and capacity
over JVs: level of administrative competence, capacity to adapt policies, building to deal with conflicts and terrorist activities, information ex-
competition policy, foreign technicians not subject to personal income changes amongst agencies (i.e., law enforcement and intelligence)
tax for up to three years, workers' insurance, wage and other returns, and the overall participation of civil society to strengthen the rule of
and land acquisition/rent/lease of land. Additionally, our results show law.
that, in terms of capacity, wage and other returns are more crucial for As Bangladesh plans to transit from a single-buyer model to an open
medium-sized than large power companies, while credit facilities are market system in the future as the market matures, future research
more important for medium-sized than small power companies. could focus on how new FDI should be directed into this sector and the
Furthermore, environmental regulations matter more for short-term changing dynamics of market competition that such a system would
rental power companies with a contract period of 0–5 years and 20–25 unfold for private power producers.
years long-term contracts than for renewable power companies with a

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

Acknowledgements Ahmad Syahrani Bin Sulaiman, the General Manager of two pioneering
FDI power companies in Bangladesh for the insightful discussions and
We would like to thank all survey respondents and interviewees useful comments that enriched this paper.
who participated in this study. Further, a special note of thanks to Mr.

Appendix 1. Part II. Factors/determinants influencing FDI decision-making in the Bangladesh power sector

Please indicate ☑ to what extent the factors influenced your firm to make investment decision in the Bangladesh power sector. Please choose the
most appropriate level ranging from 1 - “not at all important” – to 5 - “extremely important.”

No. Factors (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)


Not at all important Slightly Fairly Very Extremely important
important important important

1. Regulatory
Investment Process
1. Competitive selection process
2. Enforcement of contract
3. Responsiveness of needs and time frame of investors
4. Presence of government guarantee
5. World-class security package
6. Government's commitment to contracts
7. Power and Energy Fast Supply Enhancement Act (2010)
8. No international benchmark for tariff setting

No. Factors (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)


Not at all impor- Slightly Fairly Very Extremely impor-
tant important important important tant

Establishment

1. Construction permit
2. Time and efficiency of staff to complete the procedure
3. Liability insurance
4. Regulation on qualification of personnel who supervise construction

Revenue risks/controls
1. Tax exemption
2. Termination of contracts without compensation to foreign stakeholders
3. Price cap regulation
4. Regulation on subsidy for consumers
Regulatory risks and controls
1. Competition policy
2. Regulation on ownership (Wholly owned subsidiary/JVs)
3. Protection of Foreign investors Act (1980)
4. Long approval process of IPPs
5. Protection of property rights
6. Profit repatriation controls
7. Environmental regulations
8. Need for internationally accepted Environmental and Social Impact Assessment (ESIA) for
large projects

Government and legislative processes


1. Level of administrative competence
2. Continuity and consistency of rules and processes

No. Factors (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)


Not at all im- Slightly im- Fairly impor- Very impor- Extremely im-
portant portant tant tant portant

Labor market
1. Wage and other returns
2. Workers' insurance
3. Employment condition/turnover
4. Conduct towards female workers
5. Regulation on trade union
6. Regulation on health, hygiene and safety of workers

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

Foreign investment
1. Land acquisition/rent/lease of land
2. Property registration
3. Tax/rebate scheme
4. Exit policy (for large projects five to seven years) For smaller projects after two years)
5. Foreign investors can participate in more than one project for prequalification of
investors and/or tenders
6. Foreign investors are not obliged to sell share through public issues
7. Foreign investors can buy shares locally/acquire a local company
8. Foreign technicians are not subject to personal income tax for upto three years
9. Avoidance of double taxation
10. Foreign investors when investing their retained earnings/dividends locally, will be
considered as new investment
11. Quick allocation of work permits
International trade
1. Free trade across border
2. Free flow of raw materials

No. Factors (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)


Not at all Slightly important Fairly important Very important Extremely important
important

Financial institutions
1. Approval of central bank for transferring capital
Judicial structure
1. Fast track procedure for small claims
2. Commercial arbitration governed by a consolidated law or chapter of the
applicable code of civil procedure (Bangladesh Arbitration Act 2001)
2. Political
Voice and accountability
1. Democracy
2. Vested groups
3. Accountability of public officials
4. Civil liberties
5. Electoral process
6. Transparency in government policy making
7. Freedom of press
8. Violence and terrorism
Government effectiveness in implementing policies
1. Capacity to adapt policies
2. Policy consistency and forward planning
3. Political interferences
4. Excessive bureaucracy and red tape
5. Coordination and collaboration between ministries
6. Control of corruption
3. Economic and financial
Economic factors
Growth and income
1. Economic growth and development
2. Good investment credit rating by Moody's
Government side
1. Government spending for infrastructure
2. Government debts
No. Factors (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
Not at all Slightly important Fairly important Very important Extremely important
important
Labor
1. Labor costs
2. Human capital/skilled labor
Infrastructure
1. Gas transmission line
2. Deep seaport
3. Domestic waterway
4. Railroad
5. Coal and LNG terminal
6. Bulk oil terminal
7. Natural resources
8. Others
Road network

Prices
1. Inflation
2. Real exchange rate

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T. Mahbub and J. Jongwanich Energy Strategy Reviews 24 (2019) 178–192

Financial
1. Financial facilities
2. Credit facilities
4. Societal

Inclusion
1. Others
Male predominance
Cohesion
1. Strengthening links between citizens and the government and promote more
accountable government structures
Resilience
1. Resistance to natural resource extraction (like coal, oil or gas)
2. Citizen security and accountability

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