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Indian Telecom
Industry
Suresh Solanki (50)
Term II
international business
BONAFIDE CERTIFICATE
SECTOR… ……………..”
7 Industry Updates
11 Conclusion
12 References
Appendix A
This is evident from the facts of Telecom Industry for example, India
added 113.26 million new customers in 2008, the largest globally. The
country’s cellular base witnessed close to 50 per cent growth in 2008,
with an average 9.5 million customers added every month. This would
translate into 612 million mobile subscribers, accounting for a tele-density
of around 51 per cent by 2012. It is projected that the industry will
generate revenues worth US$ 43 billion in 2009-10.
1.1 History
1.3
International Business: Term II
Teleco
m
service
s
Telecommunication sector in India is primarily subdivided into two
segments, which are Fixed Service Provider (FSPs) and Cellular
Services. Telecom industry in India constitutes some essential
telecom services like telephone, radio, television and Internet.
Telecom industry in India i s specifically emphasizing on latest
technologies like GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications),
CDMA (Code Division Multiple Access), PMRTS (Public Mobile Radio
Trunking Services), Fixed Line and WLL (Wireless
Intern
et
PMRTS
VSATs
Radio
Paging
GMPCS
Basic
Services
Mobile
Services
T
e
l
e
c
o
m
Telecom Solutions
Telecom Equipment
Providers: Tech-
Manufacturers:
Mahindra, Aricent,
Nokia, Motorola,
IBM Indi Wipro,
Samsung
Sasken
• Value Added Services: The VAS industry was worth USD 632 million in
2006–07. The industry is estimated to grow by 60 percent in 2007–08 and
become an USD 1,011 million opportunity.
The VAS industry is currently focussing on the entertainment sector, such as the
Indian film industry and cricket; however, there is scope for growth in other
avenues as utility-based services, such as location information and mobile
transactions.
• Rural Telephony: As the government targets to increase rural teledensity from
the current 2 percent to 25 percent by 2012, rural telephony will require major
investments. This segment will boost the demand for telecom services,
equipment, Internet services and other value-added services; thereby, offering
great market opportunities for telecom players.
1.6 Industry Revenue (2002-2010)
According to a Frost & Sullivan industry analyst, by 2012, fixed line revenues are
expected to touch US$
12.2 billion While mobile revenues will reach US$ 39.8 billion in India. India has
become the second country in the world to have more than 100 million CDMA-
based (code division multiple access) mobile phone subscribers after the US,
which has 157 million CDMA users. The Indian telecommunications industry is on
a growth trajectory with the GSM operators adding nearly 9 million new
subscribers in April 2009, taking the total user base to 297 million, a growth of
3.11 per cent over the additions made the previous month. The figures, however,
do not include the GSM subscriber additions made by
Reliance
Telecom.
Yea Revenue(US$
r
2002- billions)9
03
2003- 10
04
2004- 11
05
2005- 15
06
2006- 20
07
2008- 32
2009- 09 43
10(forecasted)
Revenue (US$
billion)
Revenue (US$
billion)
43
32
20
15
9 10 11
1.7 Subscriber Growth
India added 130 million new customers in 2008-09, the largest globally. The
country’s cellular base witnessed close to 50 per cent growth in 2008, with an
average 9.5 million customers added every month.
By April 2009, the total number of telephone connections reached 441.47 million.
With this growth, the overall tele-density reached 37.94 at the end of April 2009.
According to Business Monitor International, India is currently adding 8-10 million
mobile subscribers every month. It is estimated that by mid 2012, around half the
country's population will own a mobile phone. This would translate into 612 million
mobile subscribers, accounting for a tele-density of around 51 per cent by 2012.
Source:
www.trai.gov.in
Bharti-Airtel leads the wireless market with 24% market share. The company
recently achieved the magic figure of 100 million subscribers. However, Bharti-
Airtel expects a bloodbath in the Indian telecom market in the near future, and is
looking to spread its risks by entering new geographies (Bharti-MTN deal is
discussed in Industry Update Section). With 12-13 players present in the market
there would be a severe pressure on margins. Be it an Aircel or Etisalat, the new
operators would not remain fringe players in the Indian market, but would try and
rock the applecart of existing operators. The growth in Indian market could start
tapering off very soon. According to an industry expert the subscriber base will not
expand beyond 800 million in coming years from current number 400 million. Also,
ARPUs in India have steadily falling ($5-$6). There have been talks about 3G and
IPTV pushing growth, but it all seems far-fetched. The third generation of mobile
services (3G) will be used by telcos to gain more spectrum. Besides, the services
will be used only in urban areas.
1.8.1 Wireless Service Providers (Market share)
A
i
r
c
e
l
Reliance GSM
MTNL
5%
11% Loop Mobile
1
1 Tata Teleservices
%
S
o
u
rc
e:
w
w
w
.c
o
ai
.c
o
m
1.8.2 Handset Manufacturers (Market share)
H
a
n
d
s
e
t
M
a
r
k
e
t
5% N
ok
15%
ia
6%
6 So
7
% 0 ny
%
8% Sa
m
su
ng
M
ot
or
ol
a
L
G
Others
1.9 Major Investments
The booming domestic telecom market has been attracting huge amounts of
investment which is likely to accelerate with the entry of new players and launch of
new services. Buoyed by the rapid surge in the subscriber base, huge investments
are being made into this industry.
Rural India had 76.65 million fixed and Wireless in Local Loop (WLL) connections
and 551,064 Village Public Telephones (VPT) as on September 2008. Therefore, 92
per cent of the villages in India have been covered by the VPTs. Universal Service
Obligation (USO) subsidy support scheme is also being used for sharing wireless
infrastructure in rural areas with around 18,000 towers by 2010.
The government has taken many proactive initiatives to facilitate the rapid growth
of the Indian telecom industry.
2.1 Mission
To ensure that the interests of consumers are protected and at the same time to
nurture conditions for growth of telecommunications, broadcasting and cable
services in a manner and at a pace which will
Enable India to play a leading role in the emerging global information society.
2.2 Role of
TRAI One of the main objectives of TRAI is
to provide a fair and transparent policy
environment which promotes a level
playing field and facilitates fair
competition. In
pursuance of above objective TRAI has
issued from time to time a large
number of regulations, orders and
directives to deal with issues coming
before it and provided the required
direction to the evolution of Indian
telecom market from a Government
owned monopoly to a multi
operator multi service open competitive market. The directions,
orders and regulations issued cover a wide range of subjects
including tariff, interconnection and quality of service as well as
governance of the Authority. The functions of TRAI can be divided
as : Recommendatory function and Mandatory Function.
2.3
Recommendatory
Functions
• Need and timing for introduction of new service provider
2.4
Mandatory
Functions
• Ensure compliance of terms and conditions of license
• Lay-down and ensure time period for providing local and long-
distance circuits of telecommunication between different service providers
• Notify in Official Gazette the service rates and message rates within and
outside India
Snapshot of TRAI
functions
3 Scenario of Indian Telecom Sector
The telecom services have been recognized the world-over as an important tool for
socio-economic
development for a nation. It is one of the prime support services needed for rapid
growth and modernization of various sectors of the economy. Indian
telecommunication sector has undergone a major process of transformation through
significant policy reforms, particularly beginning with the announcement of NTP 1994
and was subsequently re-emphasized and carried forward under NTP 1999. Driven by
various policy initiatives, the Indian telecom sector witnessed a complete
transformation in the last decade. It has achieved a phenomenal growth during the last
few years and is poised to take a big leap in the future also.
The Indian Telecommunications network with
430 million connections (as on March 2009) is the 3rd largest in the world. The sector is
growing at a speed of 46-50% during the recent years. This rapid growth is possible
due to various proactive and positive decisions of the Government and contribution of
both by the public and the private sectors to the Indian consumers at affordable
prices. Presently, all the telecom services have rapid strides in the telecom sector have
been facilitated by liberal policies of the Government that provides easy market access
for telecom equipment and a fair regulatory framework for offering telecom services
been opened for private participation. The Government has taken following main
initiatives for the growth of the Telecom Sector:
3.1 Liberalization
The process of liberalization in the country began in the right earnest with the
announcement of the New Economic Policy in July 1991. Telecom equipment
manufacturing was de-licensed in 1991 and value added services were declared open
to the private sector in 1992, following which radio paging, cellular mobile and other
value added services were opened gradually to the private sector. This has resulted in
large number of manufacturing units been set up in the country. As a result most of
the equipment used in telecom area is being manufactured within the country. A major
breakthrough was the clear enunciation of the government’s intention of liberalizing
the telecom sector in the National Telecom Policy resolution of 13th May 1994.
In 1994, the Government announced the National Telecom Policy which defined certain
important objectives, including availability of telephone on demand, provision of world
class services at reasonable prices, improving India’s competitiveness in global market
and promoting exports, attractive FDI and stimulating domestic investment, ensuring
India’s emergence as major manufacturing / export base of telecom equipment and
universal availability of basic telecom services to all villages. It also announced a series
of specific targets to be achieved by 1997.
3.3 Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI)
The entry of private service providers brought with it the inevitable need for
independent regulation. The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) was, thus,
established with effect from 20th February 1997 by an Act of Parliament, called the
Telecom Regulatory Authority of India Act, 1997, to regulate telecom services,
including fixation/revision of tariffs for telecom services which were earlier vested in
the Central Government.
The TRAI Act was amended by an ordinance, effective from 24 January
2000, establishing a Telecommunications Dispute Settlement and Appellate Tribunal
(TDSAT) to take over the adjudicatory and disputes functions from TRAI. TDSAT was set
up to adjudicate any dispute between a licensor and a licensee, between two or more
service providers, between a service provider and a group of consumers, and to hear
and dispose of appeals against any direction, decision or order of TRAI.
The most important milestone and instrument of telecom reforms in India is the New
Telecom Policy 1999 (NTP 99). The New Telecom Policy, 1999 (NTP-99) was approved
on 26th March 1999, to become effective from 1st April 1999. NTP-99 laid down a clear
roadmap for future reforms, contemplating the opening up of all the segments of the
telecom sector for private sector participation. It clearly recognized the need for
strengthening the regulatory regime as well as restructuring the departmental telecom
services to that of a public sector corporation so as to separate the licensing and policy
functions of the Government from that of being an operator. It also recognized the
need for resolving the prevailing problems faced by the operators so as to restore their
confidence and improve the investment climate.
(Rs in
Crores)
Rising demand for a wide range of telecom equipment, particularly in the area of
mobile telecommunication, has provided excellent opportunities to domestic and
foreign investors in the manufacturing sector. The last two years saw many renowned
telecom companies setting up their manufacturing base in India. Ericsson set up GSM
Radio Base Station Manufacturing facility in Jaipur. Elcoteq set up handset
manufacturing facilities in Bangalore. Nokia and Nokia Siemens Networks have set up
their manufacturing plant in Chennai. LG Electronics set up plant of manufacturing
GSM mobile phones near Pune. Ericsson launched their R&D Centre in Chennai.
Flextronics set up an SEZ in Chennai. Other major companies like Foxconn, Aspcom &
Solectron etc have decided to set up their manufacturing bases in India.
The Government has already set up Telecom
Equipment and Services Export Promotion Council and Telecom Testing and Security
Certification Centre (TETC). A large number of companies like Alcatel, Cisco have also
shown interest in setting up their R&D centers in India. With above initiatives India is
expected to be a manufacturing hub for the telecom equipment.
3.6 Opportunities
India offers an unprecedented opportunity for telecom service operators, infrastructure
vendors, manufacturers and associated services companies. A host of factors are
contributing to enlarged opportunities for growth and investment in telecom sector:
Investors can look to capture the gains of the Indian telecom boom and diversify their
operations outside developed economies that are marked by saturated telecom
markets and lower GDP growth rates.
Inflow of FDI into India’s telecom sector during April 2000 to March 2009 was about Rs
275,444 million. Also, more than 8 per cent of the approved FDI in the country is
related to the telecom sector.
The telecom sector has shown robust growth during the past few years. It has also
undergone a substantial change in terms of mobile versus fixed phones and public
versus private participation.
The number of telephones has
increased from 54.63 million as on 31.03.2003 to 429.72 million as on 31.03.2009.
Wireless subscribers increased from 13.3 million as on 31.03.2003 to 391.76 million as
on 31.03.2009. Whereas, the fixed line subscribers decreased from 41.33 million in
31.03.2003 to 37.96 million in 31.03.2009. The broadband subscribers grew from a
meager 0.18 million to 6.22 million during the last 5 years.
4 India’s Competitive Advantage
An analysis of the Indian telecom industry under the Porter’s Diamond Model
reveals that India offers a competitive advantage for firms operating in the country.
A decade of reforms has opened the country to greater competition and spurred
industries to become more efficient. India is currently the fourth-largest economy
on PPP basis and is well positioned on a continuously increasing growth curve.
India’s emergence as a leading destination for foreign investment is a result of
positive indicators such as a stable 6 per cent annual growth, rising foreign
th
exchange reserves of over US$ 266.18 billion(July 24 2009) and Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) of US$ 15 billion. Goldman Sachs had earlier predicted that India
will become the third-largest economy in the world. However, it has now revised
its previous estimates and claims that by 2050, India will even surpass the US and
become the second-largest economy after China. The country’s economic growth
has become more attractive due to the rising share of the services sector in the
GDP.
4.2 Large Market Potential
Around 30-40 million people in India join the middle class every year. The country’s
upper middle class spends 6 percent of its earnings on telecom services. India is
one of the largest consumer markets in the world. Due to rapid economic growth
and rise in disposable income, the spending power of consumers is increasing
rapidly. It has been forecasted that 15 years down the line, Indians will be
approximately four times richer than they are today. As per this forecast, Indians
will purchase five times more cars and consume three times more crude oil than
they do today.
According to the 2001 census, about 54 per cent of the country’s total population
was below 25 years of age. By 2013, another 200 million people will be joining the
league, representing an exponential growth in the ‘consuming class’. India will
become a large consumer of world resources - be it natural or man- made, thereby
offering numerous opportunities to marketers around the globe. Approximately 33
per cent of India’s population will be residing in urban areas by 2026, as against 28
per cent in 2001.
Facto Dema
r nd
Cond Conditi
itions ons
in mers.
- Presence of
skilled labour pool.
c -
o
- Rapidly
m Incre
developing
e asing
robust
of dema
telecom
c nd
infrastructure due
o
. to
n
- Increasing chan
s
disposable ging
u
lifestyles and Governmen
growing t
attraction for
mobiles with new
features.
Rela
ted
and
sup
port
ing
Ind
ust
rie
s
- Competent handset
manufacturers have -The government
produced the lowest extends full support to
priced handsets for the industry through
Indian market. reform processes.
- Handset players are setting
up manufacturing bases in - Policies are in place
India for better operation to safeguard the
management.
interests of service
- Many telecom and
equipment and software providers, as well as
companies are based in those of consumers.
India.
The target for the 11th Plan period (2007-12) is 600 million phone connections
with an investment of US$ 73 billion. Apart from the basic telephone service, there
is an enormous potential for various value- added services. In fact, the real potential
for telecom service growth is still lying untapped.
According to the CII Ernst & Young report titled 'India 2012: Telecom growth
continues', revenue from
India's telecom services industry is projected to reach US$ 54 billion in 2012, as
against US$ 31 billion in
200
8.
5.5 The reasons for the increasing importance of MVAS can be classified as:
Decrease in ARPU despite increase in MOU: Though the subscriber base is
growing at a rapid pace and has positively impacted industry revenues, operator
margins also have shrunk owing to competition and lower “Average Revenue per
User” (ARPU) as the major growth is coming from bottom of the pyramid. As ARPU
declines and voice gets commoditized, the challenge is to develop alternative
revenue streams and retain customers by creating a basis for differentiation in
high-churn markets.
Need for differentiation: There is a greater need among the telecom
operators to differentiate themselves from each other.
• Number of Licensees: With increasing number of licensees (98 UASL, and
37 cellular licenses) in the telecom space the average numbers of
operators in many circles have increased to 5-6 operators offering more
choices to the consumer. Thus the competition among the operators has
increased tremendously. Therefore it is very important for them to
differentiate themselves from the others. Now that voice has got
commoditized these operators are using MVAS for their
• differentiation and marketing these services heavily for creating
awareness among the consumers.
• Decreasing Call Rates: In order to attract consumers with relatively low
purchasing powers
primarily from Semi Urban and Rural India the operators have drastically
reduced the call rates making it affordable to even the lower segment of
society. The tariff in India is one of the lowest at Rs.1 per minute as compared
to the tariff in developed nations like USA and UK where the call rates are
Rs.13 and Rs7-8 respectively.
• 3G bidders who are non operators: The arrival of new technologies will
give rise to greater competition as many non operators are also bidding for
the 3G licenses. Department of Telecom
• has planned to allow five 3G operators in each circle depending on
the availability of spectrum.Therefore there would be a greater need to
differentiate one self in order to attract new customers and retain the
existing ones.
• Saturation in Metro and Urban Market: The metro/urban areas offer
high level of penetration and have significant mobile subscribers. In such a
highly saturated market with the entry of MVNO’s the competition will get
fierce. Therefore capitalizing on value added services will give operators
opportunity to increase ARPU by providing premium services.
Increasing need and demand from consumers: In addition to the above supply
side reasons the ‘pull effect’ from consumers asking for more than just basic
telephony is also a key driver for MVAS services. Today most of the consumers are
seeking more from their communication device apart from just mobility and
desire to stay connected. As we have seen, Telecommunication has moved beyond
providing just basic voice calls. The mobile phone has evolved from a mere
communication device to an access mode with an ability to tap a plethora of
information and services available in the ecosystem. This is the reason why it is
now being referred to as the ‘fourth screen’, after Cinema halls, Television and PC.
Marketing the content in rural market is going to be all the more challenging. This
would require right packaging and pricing of MVAS. Providing cheap access mode
to end consumer would be another key booster to rural MVAS. Current voice
MVAS charges are expensive from a rural consumer perspective
therefore that also would need to be addressed for e.g. the ‘sachet model’ could
prove to be successful
here.
MVAS is going to address two main needs of rural consumers- connectivity and
entertainment mode. Connectivity will provide Information VAS on Agriculture
necessary for the farmer’s livelihood e.g. mandi rates, weather, etc. Health,
finance, job opportunities etc are potential areas. Mobile also has the potential
to evolve as a key entertainment mode considering lack of other entertainment
options in rural areas. The industry has witnessed some type of content being
downloaded more in small towns of UP and Bihar rather than in metros like
Delhi and Mumbai. Therefore by leveraging on these two aspects MVAS can be a
success in rural area.
This clearly indicates that the consumer today engage more in text based services
than the web based applications. Therefore for MVAS to grow to its full potential
the handset manufacturers will have to look at ways to manufacture GPRS
enabled phones which are affordable and user friendly. Moreover they would also
need to increase its awareness and educate the consumers on how to use GPRS.
5.8.2 3G Handsets
The market for 3G in the country is expected to be huge with over 65 million
wireless subscribers, who use their handsets to access data services on the Web.
These subscribers are currently using mobile handsets which are internet-enabled
and are potential broadband subscribers with the deployment of advanced
wireless technologies such as 3G. According to Indian Cellular Association (ICA)
about 5% of mobile users already have handsets that can work on 3G
spectrum. In addition, out of all those possessing the 3G enabled handsets
the number of people who would use 3G services would be determined by the
quality of content available. Unlike most other countries, we are looking at 3G
services not only as premium services but also as an extension of 2G. Since our
broadband penetration is abysmal, 3G would provide a much required boost to it.
Given that mobile phones are much cheaper as compared to PCs, the demand
for broadband on mobile is expected to be much greater. More importantly,
3G will solve problems more in rural India. Therefore the shift towards 3G would
depend on affordability of handsets along with the quality of content available.
6 Key trends in telecom industry
One of the most frequent definitions that prevail in the telecom circles for
number portability is: "Number portability is a circuit-switch telecommunications
network feature that enables end users to retain their telephone numbers when
changing service providers, service types, and or locations."
From the subscribers’ perspective, this is a deceptively simple and very welcome
change, because they can change wireless service providers without worrying
about notifying friends, family and business contacts that their wireless number is
changing. In addition, being able to ‘port’ a number from one provider to another
eliminates the hassle and expenses of changing business cards, stationery,
invoices and other materials for businesses.
From the wireless carrier’s perspective the change is anything, but simple.
Virtually all of wireless carriers’ systems are affected. Especially any system that
relies on mobile identity numbers (MINs) or mobile directory numbers (MDNs) will
be affected. Examples of critical systems and processes that would be affected
are: billing, customer service, order activation, call delivery, roamer registration
and support, short messages service center, directory assistance, caller ID,
calling name presentation, switches, maintenance and CSC systems, home
location registers (HLRs), and visiting location registers (VLRs).
Huge Costs: One of the most common barriers in MNP implementation, within
any country, has been the implementation cost. Service Providers have been
constantly bargaining for time, based on the cost factor, from their respective
governments. Referring to the recent example of the US, where each of the large
carriers would need to spend $50–60 million to institute the service and an
equivalent sum to maintain it. The FCC on this plea gave wireless carriers in the
US another year, i.e., till November 2003, for resolving implementation issues. The
experience of developed countries exhibits that local number portability for fixed
wireline was introduced within two to three years of introduction of competition to
incumbent state telcos. The cost estimate for the implementation of WNP in
developed nations like the US can be very helpful for the other countries, who wish
to think on the lines of number portability. To add on increased marketing costs
are to be realized as the carriers look to lock up their current base before number
portability is implemented, and then aggressively pursue the customers of other
carriers thereafter.
Customer Retention/Increased Competition: Every subscriber in a race to
retain its customer would like to offer its customers best services so as to save
them from porting. It’s like a blessing in disguise for the customers, as they would
get better service irrespective of the carrier, albeit with the same number.
While it has worked in markets like Hong Kong and Australia, it failed to bear fruit
in the UK, France, Germany, Pakistan, Ireland, Malta, among others. MNP worked in
Hong Kong due to the speedy porting process and the availability of already
implemented solution (for fixed-line services). In Australia, the regulator effectively
promoted number portability and was able to maintain the maximum porting time
of just under three hours.
According to experts, disaster recovery and business continuity are also critical
elements for MNP providers and hence, it is essential to have a backup center
connected over secured redundant leased lines. This center should also be located
on a different seismic area.
The regulators therefore need to build their fundamentals. To make MNP utilitarian
for consumers, the government needs to have a clear roadmap, strategic policies
and should define strict guidelines and timelines for the service providers.
The WiMAX vs. 3G cellular showdown is poised to become one of the next great
market battles in the telecom industry. Fortunes will be made and lost in this
battle, and the user experience of the Internet will be irreversibly changed in the
process. 3G scores for voice; Wimax may lead to increased broadband penetration.
With the Department of Telecommunications gearing up for simultaneous release
of 3G and WiMax spectrum, analysts expect the two emerging wireless
technologies to battle it out for supremacy.
The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India has set a target of 20 million broadband
connections by 2010 from the current 4.3 million. The industry expects WiMax to
bridge the gap. According to a consultant of Ernst & Young service providers
would mainly use the technology for gaining traction with the customers, as
providing the last mile over the conventional digital subscriber lines would be
time-
consuming and
costly.
3G WiMax Result
To be auctioned DoT has Advantage WiMax
recommended
2
5
%
o
f
r
e
s
e
r
v
e
p
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i
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o
f
3
G
s
p
e
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t
r
u
m
Spectrum Allocation Simultaneous Simultaneous Neutral
ces Best technology Evolving Advantage 3G
technology
Equipment/Standard Evolved over the years New
technology Advantage 3G
Data 15 Mbps 70 Mbps Advantage
download WiMax
speeds
(Fixed)
15 Mbps 20 MBPS Advantage
Data
WiMax
download
speeds
(Mobile)
Usually MVNO's do not have their own infrastructure; some providers are actually
deploying their own Mobile Switching Centers (MSC) and even Service Control
Points (SCP) in some cases. Some MVNO's deploy their own mobile Intelligent
Network (IN) infrastructure in order to facilitate the means to offer value-added
services. In this way, MNVO's can treat incumbent infrastructure such as radio
equipment as a commodity, while the MVNO offers its own advanced and
differentiated services based on exploitation of their own IN infrastructure. The
goal of offering value-added services is to differentiate versus the incumbent
mobile operator, allowing for customer acquisition and preventing the MVNO from
needing to compete on the basis of price alone.
MVNO's have full control over the SIM card, branding, marketing, billing, and
customer care operations. While sometimes offering operational support systems
(OSS) and business support systems (BSS) to support the MVNO, the incumbent
mobile operators most keep their own OSS/BSS processes and procedures
separate and distinct from those of the MVNO.
In the future a cell phone user may be able to subscribe to a network operator plus
multiple MVNOs for specific data services over the same phone. One MVNO could
provide sports news, another weather and traffic and still another could provide
instant messaging capabilities. In this way, each MVNO and the network operator
could focus on their own niche markets and form customized detailed services
that would expand their customer reach and brand.
So far MVNOs have not been regulated in any country. The ITU has received
several requests to study the issue, specifically to provide input on whether
government intervention is necessary to allow MVNOs to offer services and
applications at a lower price to consumers. This would help to ensure a more
efficient use of the spectrum but some incumbent providers argue that the
market is already competitive and intervention is not necessary.
6.4 IPTV
IPTV (Internet Protocol Television) delivers television programming to
households via a broadband connection using Internet protocols. It requires a
subscription and IPTV set-top box, and offers key advantages over existing TV
cable and satellite technologies. IPTV is typically bundled with other services like
Video on Demand (VOD), voice over IP (VOIP) or digital phone, and Web access,
collectively referred to as Triple Play.
Because IPTV arrives over telephone lines, telephone companies are in a prime
position to offer IPTV
services initially, but it is expected that other carriers will offer the technology
in the future. IPTV
promises more efficient streaming than present technologies, and therefore
theoretically reduced prices to operators and subscribers alike. However, it also
adds many advantages that may play into market pricing.
One of the advantages of IPTV is the ability for digital video recorders
(DVRs) to record multiple broadcasts at once. According to Alcatel, one leading
provider, it will also be easier to find favorite programs by using "custom view
guides." IPTV even allows for picture-in-picture viewing without the need for
multiple tuners. You can watch one show, while using picture-in-picture to channel
surf!
IPTV viewers will have full control over functionality such as rewind, fast-forward,
pause, and so on. Using a cell phone or PDA, a subscriber might even utilize
remote programming for IPTV. For example, if a dinner function runs longer than
expected, you don't have to miss your favorite program. Just call home and
remotely set the IPTV box to record it.
One can also receive Web service notifications while watching IPTV for things such
as incoming email and instant messages. If you IPTV is packaged with digital
phone, Caller ID might pop up on screen as your telephone rings.
Even as the rural market is growing attractive for India's telecom industry, the
operators face several challenges in rural penetration like illiteracy and low revenue
per user, according to a report.
"Despite the inherent attractiveness of the rural market for telecom operators, several
challenges in going rural stare the operators in their face," said the report jointly
prepared by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) and
global consultancy KPMG.
6.6 TRAI fixes MNP charges at Rs 19
India is all set to usher in the mobile number portability services, offering a facility to
the customers to change their service provider while retaining the same number. It is
likely to be put in place by January 2010 as the telecom regulator has directed
operators to make adequate technical arrangements for the same.
The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) has decided to fix Rs. 19 as MNP
request processing charges; the customers are required to pay the intended operator
from December 31, 2009.
The ongoing tariff war in the highly competitive Indian telecom market has been taking
new shape with every passing day. Operators have been announcing new promotional
schemes including reduction in tariffs for voice call, slashing roaming charges and
many more such lucrative offers. Recently floated idea of per second call rates has
further aggravated competition among telecom players with every operator seemingly
imitating others for retaining their market share.
Research firm IDC, in its latest outlook for 2010, has claimed
further growth of telecom and Information Technology industry
next year given to some transformational changes on the anvil in
these segments.
There would be a surge in desktop and mobile devices with the introduction of smart
phones, cloud-based computing and telephony. The firm said in its influential
Predictions 2010 study that market has been on recovery path and there is a wide
spread anticipation of modest growth in IT and telecommunications spending in 2010
7 Industry Updates
The deal was strategically important for Idea Cellular as it was looking forward to
transfer itself into a pan-India telecom service provider. The spectrum auctioned
by GoI is a scarce resource nowadays and cost a premium. Also there’s restriction
by TRAI with respect to number of operators per telecom circle. So it makes sense
to acquire a small telecom operator. Small players like Spice Telecom operating at
only a few circles(Karnataka and Punjab) will find difficult to compete with the
nationwide players in the long run. So it was a win-win deal for both companies.
The high subscriber base and financial muscle will give Bharti-MTN the desired
edge while dealing with vendors. Once the merger happens, the economies of
scale of the complete outfit (Bharti-MTN) would be taken into account. For
instance, even if the company places an order worth just $1 million, the vendor
would not hesitate to lap it up, as there could be orders worth a billion dollars in
other projects. This would offset whatever concerns there may be with respect to
the small population size in countries where MTN operates.
The Indian telecom industry has always allured foreign investors. In fact, the
cumulative FDI inflow, from August 1991 to March 2007, in the telecommunication
sector amounted to US$ 7,513.22 million. This makes telecommunication the
third-largest sector to attract FDI in India in the post liberalization era.
The investment was majorly in handset manufacturing and telecom
service provider.
2008-09 2345.38
2007-08 1275.65
2006-07 521
2005-06 680
2004-05 129
2003-04 116
With stable macroeconomic impetus and numerous other advantages, India
has the potential to become the electronics manufacturing hub of the world.
Excited by the record-breaking industry growth, investors have outlaid US$ 1.5
billion in the past two and a half years in the Indian telecom sector. India will
receive an additional US$ 2 billion investment in the next one year. With the world
now recognising India’s manufacturing potential, the Indian telecom handset
manufacturing market is likely touch US$ 7 billion by 2010.
Advantages of Managed
Service
• Reduction in financial
outlay
This comes close on the heels of Bharti’s recent signing of a $1bn three-year
service contract with
Ericsson towards design, planning, supply, installation, commissioning and
upgrading of its network in
15 telecom
circles.
&
Having started in the Moscow license zone in 1994, МТS in 1997 received licenses for
further areas, and began expansion, later entering other countries of the CIS. On
October 31 2008, Vodafone announced a partnership deal with MTS, whereby
Vodafone services will be available to MTS subscribers; some form of co-branding will
follow, and both companies have noted the potential for more efficient purchasing. In
2008, Sistema formed 74:26 joint venture with India’s Shyam Group to form Sistema
Shyam Teleservices (SSTL), and acquired PAN-India license to provide CDMA services
in the country. In March 2009, SSTL launched the MTS brand in state of Tamil Nadu,
followed by neighboring state Kerala and W.Bengal in April and May respectively. At
present MTS India present in 8 circles out of 22 telecom circles of India. AUSPI reports
show MTS gets a huge response in India due to its excellent competitive & cheaper
tariff.
Consumer durables major
Videocon Group, which has bagged national telecom licence through its subsidiary
Datacom Ltd, would roll out the GSM services from Chennai on August 15 this year.
Unveiling the plans, Videocon Chairman Venugopal Dhoot said that GSM services would
be first launched in, to be followed by other metros, Kerala and North India. Datacom
had obtained licences for providing GSM services in 22 circles across the country.
Dhoot said telecommunications would be a focus area for Videocon Group in the
coming years and the group would invest around Rs 6,000 crore in this business. The
group was also in talks with some companies based in the Middle-East to rope in a
foreign partner for the telecom business.
8 Future Technology Trends
In this section we have listed down the future technologies which are in roadmap
and are speculated to make an impact on current business model of telcos.
• Presence services
• Instant messaging
• Unified messaging
• Multimedia advertising
• Multiparty gaming
• Video streaming
• Web/Audio/Video Conferencing
The basic voice was the driver for second-generation mobile and has been a
considerable success. Currently, video and TV services are driving forward third
generation (3G) deployment. And in the future, low cost, high speed data will
drive forward the fourth generation (4G) as short-range communication
emerges. Service and application ubiquity, with a high degree of personalization
and synchronization between various user appliances, will be another driver. At the
same time, it is probable that the radio access network will evolve from a
centralized architecture to a distributed one.
The evolution from 3G to 4G will be driven by services that offer better quality
(e.g. multimedia, video and sound) thanks to greater bandwidth, more
sophistication in the association of a large quantity of information, and improved
personalization. Convergence with other network (enterprise, fixed) services will
come about through the high session data rate. It will require an always-on
connection and a revenue model based on a fixed monthly fee. The impact on
network capacity is expected to be
Significant. Machine-to-machine transmission will involve two basic equipment
types: sensors (which measure parameters) and tags (which are generally
read/write equipment).
It is expected that users will require high data rates, similar to those on fixed
networks, for data and streaming applications. Mobile terminal usage (laptops,
Personal digital assistants, handhelds) is expected to grow rapidly as they
become more user friendly. Fluid high quality video and network reactivity are
important user requirements. Key infrastructure design requirements include:
fast response, high session rate, high capacity, low user charges, rapid return on
investment for operators, investment that is in line with the growth in
demand, and simple autonomous terminals. The infrastructure will be much
more distributed than in current deployments, facilitating the introduction of a new
source of local traffic: machine-to-machine.
9 Targets Set By Government
· 2 One phone per two rural households by 2010 (about 80 million rural
connections).
9.3 Broadband
· Broadband coverage for all secondary & higher secondary schools and public
health care centres by the
End of year 2010
· USO subsidy support scheme for shared wireless infrastructure in rural areas with
about 19,000 towers
By 2010
9.6 Manufacturing
· Making India a hub for telecom manufacturing by facilitating more and more
telecom specific SEZs.
· Doubling the telecom equipment R&D by 2010 from present level of 15%.
10 Indian Telecommunications at a glance (As on 31st March 2009)
Fixed 37.96
Mobile 391.76
Total 429.72
Licenses issued
Basic 2
CMTS 39
UAS 240
The Indian Telecom Service provider industry is gearing for a revolution. The
customer is driving this revolution and will see more unique and sophisticated
offerings coming his way. The 3G which will pave the way for 3.5G, 3.75G and the
next big thing-4G and the VAS services will keep the customer asking for more.
Doors have being opened for the new entrants to enter the market and lots of FDI
coming in which will create a stiffer competition among the players. The rural areas
which have remained untapped will see an insurgence of services. Also the easing
of the regulations by TRAI, the ease of spectrum licensing, the FDI influx will make
the telecom space in India a must watch in the coming years.
12 References
[11] www.trai.gov.in
Appendix A
SNAPSH
OT
(Data As on 31st
March 2009) Telecom Subscribers
(Wireless +Wireline)
Total Subscribers 429.72 Million
% Growth During Quarter 11.68%
Urban Subscribers 309.43 Million
(72%) Rural Subscribers 120.29 Millions
(28%) Overall Teledensity 36.98 %
Urban Teledensity 88.66
% Rural Teledensity 14.8
% Wireline Subscribers
Total Wireline Subscribers 37.96 Million
% Growth During Quarter 0.15%
27.38 Million
Urban (72.13%)
Wireline 10.58 Millions
Subscriber (27.87%)
Rural
Wireline
Subscribers
Village Public Telephones (VPT)
391.76 Million
% Growth During Quarter
12.93%
Urban Wireless Subscribers
6.22 Million
Wireless Data Subscriber 117.82 Million
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