Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Technological Forecasting & Social Change

journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/techfore

Bibliometric overview of the Technological Forecasting and Social Change T

journal: Analysis from 1970 to 2018
Shiwangi Singha, , Sanjay Dhira, V. Mukunda Dasb, Anuj Sharmab
⁎

a
Department of Management Studies, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi - 110016, India
b
Chandragupt Institute of Management Patna, Patna - 800001, Bihar, India

ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT

Keywords: The purpose of this paper is to analyze the evolution of Technological Forecasting and Social Change journal for a
Technological Forecasting and Social Change period between 1970 and 2018 for 4248 articles. The growing scope and diversity of the field creates frag-
Journal analysis mentation and the belief that reviews could contribute to synthesis and integration. This analysis includes key
Bibliometrics factors impacting growth of a journal such as publication evolution and citation structure, most cited articles,
Keyword co-occurrences
leading authors, institutions and countries, related journals and ranking, key research streams in the journal, and
Co-citation analysis
Factor analysis
co-citation analysis. Factors of the Technological Forecasting and Social Change journal determine the relationship
between various sub-fields. The analysis also provides key insights about the evolution of the field over time.

1. Introduction 2006; Gartner et al., 2006; Landström et al., 2012). By conducting

The “Technological Forecasting and Social Change” (TF&SC) is an in-
ternational journal that investigates technological forecasting and fu-
ture studies. TF&SC first appeared in 1969 as Technological Forecasting,
later in mid-1970, the name was changed to Technological Forecasting
and Social Change. The first editor-in-chief was Harold A. Linstone for the
period from 1969 to 2010. The current editor-in-chief is Fred Phillips,
University of New Mexico. With the advent of digital era, TF&SC has
evolved with time with more number of submissions from across the
world. Today, TF&SC is one of the leading academic journals in busi-
ness management area and has a strong academic as well as a practi-
tioner influence on areas like sustainability, energy, and engineering.
Bibliometric study is used to assimilate various ideas found in the
research and provides a static, transparent, and systematic view of the
research (Aria and Cuccurullo, 2017). It enables the assimilation of
various ideas developed by the authors. It is a structural analysis that
deduces patterns over time, researches themes, identifies shifts, detects
the most prolific institutions, authors, and countries in a particular area
of research (Aria and Cuccurullo, 2017; Sun and Grimes, 2016). In the
domain of management research, bibliometric methods are increasingly
used, especially in the areas of strategy (Ramos-Rodriguez and Ruiz-
Navarro, 2004; Nerur, Rasheed, and Natarajan, 2008; Di Stefano,
Peteraf, and Verona, 2010; Singh and Dhir, 2019; Singh et al., 2018),
innovation (Fagerberg and Verspagen, 2009; Fagerberg, Fosaas, and
Sapprasert, 2012), and entrepreneurship (Schildt, Zahra, and Sillanpaa,
bibliometric analysis, the evolution of a topic can analyzed. Moreover,
it also helps to know the evolution of a journal. Many bibliometric
studies analyze only one particular journal to provide a comprehensive
overview of the leading trend in that particular journal. The scholars
have analyzed the evolution over 60 years of the Accounting Review
(Heck and Bremser, 1986), first 16 years of Journal of Urban Economics
(Allen and Kau, 1991), first 25 years of the Journal of International
Business (Inkpen and Beamish, 1994), first 30 years of the Journal of
Management (Van Fleet et al., 2006), and Journal of Business Research
(Merigó et al., 2015).
This study aims to analyze the main factors of the TF&SC journal
taking into account the authors, institutions, countries, journals, key-
words, and co-citation factors. This analysis uses bibliometric methods
and factor analysis for the above. The study visualizes the literature
from a dynamic view by identifying key journals, significant institu-
tions, countries, most cited authors, most cited keywords, and co-cita-
tion network of keywords. This study will also help to identify devel-
opment of research areas for future studies.
The study provides an overview of the elements which have influ-
enced TF&SC. Thus, it (1) considers the publication and evolution
structure of journal, (2) examines the most cited study of all time, (3)
provides a list of most productive authors, countries, and institutions,
(4) identifies related journals and ranking of TF&SC, (5) identifies the
key research streams in the journal over different periods of time, and
(6) identifies factors of co-citations (co-citation analysis).

⁎
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: shiwangi.iitd@gmail.com (S. Singh).

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2020.119963
Received 15 March 2019; Received in revised form 27 January 2020; Accepted 14 February 2020
0040-1625/ © 2020 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
S. Singh, et al.
The rest of the paper is as follows. Section 2 present methodology,
Section 3 analyzes the results. Section 4 summarizes the study and
discusses limitations.
2. Methodology
2.1. Database
The study focuses on TF&SC articles published from 1970 to 2018
using the Scopus database. Scopus was chosen as the database as it has
wide coverage compared with SSCI and is useful for covering smaller
research areas in more detail. For social sciences and management
studies as research field, Scopus has 20% more articles indexed than
other databases (Martín-Martín, Orduna-Malea, Thelwall, and López-
Cózar, 2018). The search query was built like the source title “Tech-
nological Forecasting and Social Change” and language “English” and year
2019 “exclude” which resulted in 4248 articles. Therefore, 4248 arti-
cles were analyzed for the purpose of identifying the evolution and
structure of the journal.
2.2. Methods
2.2.1. Bibliometric analysis
The scientific mapping aims to uncover the structure and dynamics
of area under study. Scientific literature mapping using bibliometric
methods is in a way complementary to meta-analysis and structured
review, as they can provide analysis of a broader spectrum of studies
(Dhir and Dhir, 2015; Bindra et al., 2019; Singh et al., 2019; Dhir et al.,
2019; Singh et al., 2020; Shaik and Dhir, 2020). Compared with the
structured literature review, this method provides a macro view. Pat-
terns and progressive themes are generated. This also complements the
depth of the literature review with the breadth of analysis coverage.
Bibliometric analysis employs quantitative approach to describe, eval-
uate, and monitor the published research (Small, 1973;
Dzikowski, 2018). It provides a static, transparent, and systematic
picture of the research. It enables the assimilation of various ideas
developed by the authors. Depending on the unit of analysis different
aspect of research domain can be analyzed. The most common unit of
analysis includes authors, institutions, countries, journals, cited docu-
ments, and keywords. The bibliometric indicators also measure quan-
tity and quality of publications. The quantity is measured in terms of
number of publications, whereas, quality is measured by impact of re-
ceived total number of citations by a publication. It is a structural
analysis which can help to deduce the pattern over time, themes re-
searched, identify shifts, and to detect the most prolific institutions,
authors, and countries in a particular area of research (Aria and
Cuccurullo, 2017). Additionally, the interpretation is augmented with
visual representation of network topology.
A wide range of bibliometric indicators are used in the study in-
cluding total number of publications, citations, h-index, and cite-ratio.
Additionally, the study uses co-citation, bibliographic coupling, and co-
occurrences analysis. Co-citation analysis calculates number of times
two articles are cited by third article. Bibliographic coupling occurs
when the two documents have cited the third document. Co-occur-
rences analysis of keyword means measures the most common key-
words in the published articles. VoS viewer is used to develop graphical
visualization of co-citation analysis of journals, co-occurrences of key-
words, and bibliographical coupling of countries.
2.2.2. Factor analysis
Factor analysis is a statistical tool which helps in data reduction and
factoring of variables. It uses co-citation correlation value as input and
groups the variable. The amount of variance explained by each factor
contributes to the conceptual development of the field. The major steps
2
Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963
Table 1
Number of articles and citations per decade.
Period Number of Articles Number of Citations
1970-79 400 587
1980-89 522 1635
1990-99 538 3029
2000-09 668 9644
2010-18 2129 58,665
in factor analysis are calculation of initial factor loading, factor rota-
tion, and calculation of factor scores. The two most common methods of
calculating initial factor loading are principal component method and
principal axis method. The commonly used factor rotation techniques
are oblimin and varimax.
Factor analysis is an important tool to get an insight about the re-
lationships among the publications (Nerur et al., 2008; Dhir, Dhir, and
Samata, 2018). Publications in a specialized area tend to be co-cited by
each other and generally build on each other's ideas (McCain, 1990).
Publications co-cited by paper tend to have a load on the same factor.
Thus, factor loading explains how the articles correlate to each other. In
this study, principal components (oblimin rotation) were employed to
extract the key factors. Extant literature on co-citation analysis suggests
that only factors with loading of ± 0.4 were included as a factor; and if
the factor explained a single variable, it was taken into consideration
(Patil et al., 2008).
From Scopus, we retrieved all the bibliographic data for the TF&SC
journal for the period between 1980 and 2019. A file was created with
all the references cited in the articles. With the help of Bibexcel, 100
most frequently cited documents were mapped. The co-citation fre-
quency obtained as an output from BibExcel is converted into r-
Pearson. The benefit of using factor analysis over other keyword clus-
tering techniques is that it uses r-Pearson as a measure of similarity
between the documents, which is important because of two reasons: (1)
Person's correlation provides the degree of similarity between co-cita-
tion profiles rather than raw frequency count (Ramos-Rodríguez and
Ruíz-Navarro, 2004), and (2) It also overcomes the differences of scale
between the documents (White and McCain, 1998; Ramos-
Rodríguez and Ruíz-Navarro, 2004). Also, the co-citation analysis of
cited references helps to trace relationship between them and identifies
schools of thought and prevailing topics of research (Ramos-
Rodríguez and Ruíz-Navarro, 2004) whereas keyword-based clustering
will be more based on topics of research.
2.3. Software
2.3.1. VOS viewer
VOSviewer (v.1.6.12) is used for creating, visualizing, and exploring
scientific maps (Van Eck and Waltman, 2010) of the bibliometric study.
It displays large bibliographic data into easy to interpret maps. By using
VOS, outputs such as bibliographic coupling of countries, co-citation of
journals, and keyword occurrences, can be presented in a graphical
format easily.
2.3.2. BibExcel
BibExcel (v.2011.10.12) is freely available software developed by
Professor O. Persson. It is used for the purpose of extracting biblio-
graphic information such as frequency counts for cited references, field
of cited references, and co-citation analysis. The documents containing
the bibliographic information for all research papers were downloaded
in RIS format from Scopus database. Further, the co-citation analysis is
performed for the cited references of 4248 articles in the journal. The
100 most cited co-citations are used for the analysis.
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Fig. 1. Annual publication, citation structure, and h-index of TF&SC.

Fig. 2. Total citations of articles published in a year.

Fig. 3. Evolution of Basic Keywords.

2.3.3. SPSS
Statistical package for Social Science commonly known as SPSS
(v.20) is used for factor analysis in the study. It is commonly used for
statistical analysis and clustering. The data obtained by BibExcel for
100 most commonly cited co-citations was fed to SPSS to conduct factor
analysis.
3. Results
3.1. Publication and citation structure evolution
TF&SC started publication in 1970 and that year it published only
18 articles. During the mid-seventies, the annual volume of published
study was in between 17 and 77. During the eighties and nineties,
TF&SC reached an average annual publication of around 55 articles.
The numbers of articles published and total citations in a decade from
1970–79, 1980–89, 1990–99, 2000–09, and 2010–2018 are con-
tinuously growing (Table 1). Since 2009, a tremendous increase in the
annually published articles can be seen. More than 4248 articles have
been published in the journal between 1970 and 2018 and are cited
more than 73,560 times. The highest number of publications was in
2018, followed by 2017 and 2016 with the total number of publications
as 457, 364, and 326, respectively. Fig. 1 represents the annual pub-
lication, citation, and h-index of the documents published in TF&SC.
Whereas, Fig. 2 represents the total citation of articles published in a
year. The articles published in year 2015 are highly cited followed by
year 2014. The recently published articles may not demonstrate true
potential at a particular time, thus, the total citations of articles pub-
lished in 2017 and 2018 are comparatively lower than year 2015.
The TF&SC journal aims to publish in the area of technological

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Fig. 4. Evolution of citations of top ten most cited papers.

Table 2
Top 10 most influential authors according to highest number of publications.
R Name Affiliation* Country TF&SC Total
TP TC TC/TP h TP TC TC/TP h

1 Coates, J.F Coates & Jarrett, Inc. United States 88 506 5.8 8 133 622 4.7 10
2 Linstione, H.A TF&SC United States 60 782 13 12 85 1410 16.6 15
3 Porter, A.L Georgia I of Technology United States 28 1456 52 17 255 5252 20.6 36
4 Kostoff, R.N Georgia I of Technology United States 24 926 38.6 18 141 3353 23.8 30
5 Mitroff, I.I U Southern California United States 24 302 12.6 8 129 2138 16.6 23
6 Modis, T Growth-Dynamics Switzerland 24 384 16 11 27 405 15 12
7 Ayres, R.U INSEAD Europe 23 324 14.1 13 157 5325 33.9 39
8 Gordon, T.J The Millennium Project United States 20 186 9.3 5 48 758 15.8 13
9 Martino, J.P United States Air Force United States 18 313 17.4 7 46 407 8.8 9
10 Park, Y Seoul National U South Korea 18 894 49.7 13 192 5061 26.4 40

Abbreviations: TP = total publications; TC = total citations; h = h-index, TC/TP = cites per paper. A distinction exists between the studies in TF&SC and the total of
each author
⁎
The study considers the last affiliation of the author according to his or her publication in TF&SC.

Table 3
Top 10 most influential author according to highest number of citations.
R Name Affiliation* Country TF&SC Total
TP TC TC/TP h TP TC TC/TP h

1 Porter, A.L Georgia I of Technology United States 28 1456 52 17 255 5252 20.6 36
2 Hekkert, M.P Utrecht U Netherlands 12 1454 121.2 10 109 4688 43 34
3 Riahi, K Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 15 1269 84.6 13 163 19,859 121.8 56
4 Phaal, R U Cambridge United Kingdom 10 1051 105.1 7 143 3316 23.2 27
5 Kostoff, R.N Georgia I of Technology United States 24 926 38.6 18 141 3353 23.8 30
6 Park, Y Seoul National U South Korea 18 894 49.7 13 192 5061 26.4 40
7 Grübler, A Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 11 894 81.3 10 79 5079 64.3 30
8 Turoff, M New Jersey I of Technology United States 17 811 47.7 11 175 4542 26 32
9 Linstione, H.A TF&SC United States 60 782 13 12 85 1410 16.6 15
10 Daim, T.U Portland State U United States 9 781 86.8 6 366 4023 11 29

Abbreviations available in tables 2. A distinction exists between the studies in TF&SC and the total of each author.
⁎
The study considers the last affiliation of the author according to his or her publication in TF&SC.

forecasting which can inter-relate to technological, social, and en-
vironmental factors. Therefore, the basic keyword identification to
study the journal includes technology, energy, climate, resources, and
innovation. In total, technology contributes to 19.7%, energy con-
tributes to 4.4%, climate contributes to 1.1%, resources contributes to
2.1%, and innovation contributes to 12.5% of the total articles. Detailed
evolution of these keywords can be seen in Fig. 3.
The annual citation structure of the TF&SC journal is shown in
Table A1. Total, 3% of the articles have received 100 or more citations.
Approximately 28% of the papers have more than 20 citations, and 98%
of the papers have received one citation. Therefore, the citation pattern
of the journal suggests that the TF&SC has maintained excellent quality.
3.2. Most cited papers and authors
In any domain, few publications play an essential role in the evo-
lution of the field. Those publications act as a catalyst for the growth of
research in that field (Berry and Parasuraman, 1993). Since 1970,
TF&SC has published many influential articles with a specific focus on
technology forecasting. Table A2 lists the top 50 most cited studies of
TF&SC. Fig. 4 represents the citation evolution of top 10 most influ-
ential publications.

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table 4
Top 10 most influential authors according to highest cite-ratio.
R Name Affiliation* Country TF&SC Total
TP TC TC/TP h TP TC TC/TP h

1 Hekkert, M.P Utrecht U Netherlands 12 1454 121.2 10 109 4688 43 34

2 Phaal, R U Cambridge United Kingdom 10 1051 105.1 7 143 3316 23.2 27
3 Daim, T.U Portland State U United States 9 781 86.8 6 366 4023 11 29
4 Riahi, K Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 15 1269 84.6 13 163 19,859 121.8 56
5 Grübler, A Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 11 894 81.3 10 79 5079 64.3 30
6 Walsh, S.T N Research U Higher School of Economics United States 10 614 61.4 10 113 2009 17.8 28
7 Porter, A.L Georgia I of Technology United States 28 1456 52 17 255 5252 20.6 36
8 Von der Gracht, H.A Friedrich-Alexander-U Germany 11 568 51.6 9 31 1114 35.9 15
9 Park, Y Seoul National U South Korea 18 894 49.7 13 192 5061 26.4 40
10 Turoff, M New Jersey I of Technology United States 17 811 47.7 11 175 4542 26 32

Abbreviations available in tables 2. A distinction exists between the studies in TF&SC and the total of each author.
⁎
The study considers the last affiliation of the author according to his or her publication in TF&SC.

Table 5
Top 10 most influential authors according to highest h-index.
R Name Affiliation* Country TF&SC Total
TP TC TC/TP h TP TC TC/TP h

1 Kostoff, R.N Georgia I of Technology United States 24 926 38.6 18 141 3353 23.8 30
2 Porter, A.L Georgia I of Technology United States 28 1456 52 17 255 5252 20.6 36
3 Riahi, K Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 15 1269 84.6 13 163 19,859 121.8 56
4 Park, Y Seoul National U South Korea 18 894 49.7 13 192 5061 26.4 40
5 Ayres, R.U INSEAD Europe 23 324 14.1 13 157 5325 33.9 39
6 Mahajan, V McCombs School of Business United States 16 585 36.6 12 94 6268 66.7 41
7 Heitor, M.V Minister for Science Portugal 10 309 30.9 12 122 1917 15.7 22
8 Wright, G U Strathclyde United Kingdom 17 516 30.4 12 91 4371 48 32
9 Heitor, M Minister for Science Portugal 11 309 28.1 12 122 1917 15.7 22
10 Linstione, H.A TF&SC United States 60 782 13 12 85 1410 16.6 15

Abbreviations available in tables 2. A distinction exists between the studies in TF&SC and the total of each author.
⁎
The study considers the last affiliation of the author according to his or her publication in TF&SC.

Table 6
Most influential institutions according to highest total publication.
R Institution Country TP TC h TC/TP ≥ 100 ≥ 50 ≥ 20 QS Rank ARWU

1 Utrecht U Netherlands 71 3968 35 55.9 7 24 47 124 49

2 Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 61 2847 27 46.7 7 16 32 - -
3 Delft U Technology Netherlands 58 1463 22 25.2 0 10 25 52 151-200
4 U Manchester United Kingdom 54 1538 23 28.5 2 8 26 29 33
5 Georgia I of Technology United States 44 1128 19 25.6 2 4 19 69 101-150
6 Portland State U Portland State U 44 1571 16 35.7 5 8 13 - 801-900
7 National Chiao Tung U Taiwan 41 923 16 22.5 1 5 13 208 501-600
8 N Research U Higher School of Economics United States 40 432 11 10.8 0 1 6 343 901-1000
9 U Twente Netherlands 37 1111 14 30 2 5 13 172 401-500
10 Massachusetts I of Technology United States 37 779 15 21.1 1 4 14 259 4

Abbreviations available in table 2, except for: >100, >50, and >20 = Number of documents with equal or more than 100, 50, and 20 citations; ARWU = world
ranking of the universities according to ARWU; QS = World ranking according to QS; I = institute; U = university; Int. = international

Table 7
Top 10 most influential institutions according to highest number of citations.
R Institution Country TP TC h TC/TP ≥ 100 ≥ 50 ≥ 20 QS Rank ARWU

1 Utrecht U Netherlands 71 3968 35 55.9 7 24 47 124 49

2 Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 61 2847 27 46.7 7 16 32 - -
3 Portland State U Portland State U 44 1571 16 35.7 5 8 13 - 801-900
4 U Cambridge United Kingdom 29 1551 16 53.5 4 8 15 6 3
5 U Manchester United Kingdom 54 1538 23 28.5 2 8 26 29 33
6 Delft U Technology Netherlands 58 1463 22 25.2 0 10 25 52 151-200
7 Seoul National U South Korea 35 1410 18 40.3 3 11 18 36 101-150
8 Fraunhofer I for Systems and Innovation Research ISI Germany 34 1383 13 40.7 1 3 10 - -
9 Eindhoven U Technology Netherlands 24 1374 15 57.3 5 9 14 99 301-400
10 U Sussex United Kingdom 36 1309 17 36.4 4 10 17 227 151-200

Abbreviations available in table 2 & 6

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table 8
Top 10 most influential institutions according to highest cite-ratio.
R Institution Country TP TC h TC/TP ≥ 100 ≥ 50 ≥ 20 QS Rank ARWU

1 Eindhoven U Technology Netherlands 24 1374 15 57.3 5 9 14 99 301-400

2 Utrecht U Netherlands 71 3968 35 55.9 7 24 47 124 49
3 U Cambridge United Kingdom 29 1551 16 53.5 4 8 15 6 3
4 EBS U Germany 20 982 16 49.1 1 6 16 - -
5 Office of Naval Research United States 17 807 17 47.5 1 5 16 - -
6 Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 61 2847 27 46.7 7 16 32 - -
7 PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency Netherlands 18 797 13 44.3 2 5 12 - -
8 U Oxford United Kingdom 19 782 10 41.2 1 3 7 5 7
9 Fraunhofer I for Systems and Innovation Research ISI Germany 34 1383 13 40.7 1 3 10 - -
10 Seoul National U South Korea 35 1410 18 40.3 3 11 18 36 101-150

Abbreviations available in table 2 & 6.

Table 9
Top 10 most influential institutions according to highest h-index.
R Institution Country TP TC h TC/TP ≥ 100 ≥ 50 ≥ 20 QS Rank ARWU

1 Utrecht U Netherlands 71 3968 35 55.9 7 24 47 124 49

2 Int. I for Applied Systems Analysis Austria 61 2847 27 46.7 7 16 32 - -
3 U Manchester United Kingdom 54 1538 23 28.5 2 8 26 29 33
4 Delft U Technology Netherlands 58 1463 22 25.2 0 10 25 52 151-200
5 Georgia I of Technology United States 44 1128 19 25.6 2 4 19 69 101-150
6 Seoul National U South Korea 35 1410 18 40.3 3 11 18 36 101-150
7 U Texas at Austin United States 25 786 18 31.4 1 3 16 63 45
8 Office of Naval Research United States 17 807 17 47.5 1 5 16 - -
9 U Sussex United Kingdom 36 1309 17 36.4 4 10 17 227 151-200
10 U Cambridge United Kingdom 29 1551 16 53.5 4 8 15 6 3

Abbreviations available in table 2 & 6.

Fig. 5. Bibliographic coupling of countries that published in TF&SC.

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Fig. 6. Publication evolution of top 10 countries having highest number of documents.

Table 10 a list of top 10 most influential authors according to the highest number
Citations of articles published in TF&SC for 2010-18. of publications, Table 3 lists top 10 most influential authors according
Rank Journal Citations Country Citations to highest number of citations, Table 4 lists top 10 most influential
authors according to highest cite-ratio, and Table 5 lists top 10 most
1 Technological Forecasting and 1892 United States 3561 influential authors according to highest h-index in TF&SC. The table
Social Change
also provides a comprehensive profile of the authors along with key
2 Sustainability Switzerland 711 United Kingdom 3497
3 Journal of Cleaner Production 649 China 3113
metrics of their publication in TF&SC and total publications. A brief
4 Energy Policy 364 Germany 2003 current working profile of the authors is also mentioned in the table.
5 Renewable and Sustainable 248 Netherlands 1953 Most authors work in the United States, although many authors work in
Energy Reviews other important countries like South Korea, Taiwan, United Kingdom,
6 Futures 231 Italy 1585
Austria, India, Italy, Japan, Portugal, Russian Federation, and South
7 Scientometrics 221 Australia 1379
8 Technology Analysis and 208 Spain 1327 Korea.
Strategic Management
9 Research Policy 191 South Korea 1075
10 Environmental Innovation and 178 Taiwan 960 3.3. Most influential institutions and countries
Societal Transitions
11 Energy Research and Social 173 France 934
Science Researchers from top institutions across the globe have published in
12 Applied Energy 148 Finland 811 TF&SC journal. The paper presents various metrics to provide com-
13 Energy 143 Canada 808 prehensive view of the institutions. The indicators used are total papers,
14 Foresight 142 India 786 total citations, h-index, ratio, and number of studies reaching a
15 Technovation 113 Sweden 753
16 Journal of Business Research 112 Brazil 731
threshold citation of 100, 50, and 20. Table 6 presents a list of top 10
17 Energies 109 Malaysia 561 most influential institutions according to highest number of publica-
18 Advances in Intelligent Systems 100 Portugal 552 tions, Table 7 lists top 10 most influential institutions according to
And Computing highest number of citations, Table 8 lists top 10 most influential in-
19 Computers In Human Behavior 89 Russian 545
stitutions according to highest cite-ratio, and Table 9 lists top 10 most
Federation
20 Journal Of Technology Transfer 86 Austria 536 influential institutions according to highest h-index in TF&SC. Quac-
quarelli Symonds (QS) and Academic Ranking of World Universities
(ARWU) are also provided.
The top 10 institutions with highest number of publications include
In TF&SC, the most cited article was published by Utrecht University, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis,
Hekkert et al. (2007) and has 893 citations. This study proposes a Delft University of Technology, University of Manchester, Georgia
systematic mapping model of processes taking place in the innovation Institute of Technology, Portland State University, National Chiao Tung
system, which leads to technological change. The second most cited University, National Research University Higher School of Economics,
paper was published by Fisher and Pry (1971) and has 618 citations. University of Twente, and Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Most
The model developed is useful for investigating rate of technological of the top institutions are from the United Kingdom, followed by
change in different countries and culture of forecasting technological Netherlands, United States, South Korea, and Taiwan. The top uni-
opportunities. versities ranking is quite diverse; thus, TF&SC has an impact over in-
In addition to the authors mentioned in Table A2, several authors stitutions all over the world.
have also contributed significantly to TF&SC. The paper presents var- The country level analysis is performed through bibliographic
ious metrics to provide a comprehensive view of the authors. Indicators coupling. Bibliographic coupling is when two different articles com-
such as total studies, total citations, h-index, and cite-ratio (total cita- monly cite third study in their reference (Kessler, 1963). In this study,
tions/total studies) in TF&SC are provided. The number of articles bibliographic coupling between countries that have influential pub-
shows the productivity of the journal whereas, number of citations lication in TF&SC is analyzed. Fig. 5 represents the bibliographic cou-
shows the influence of the journal. H-index measures the quality of pling analysis for most productive countries with a threshold of 100
influence over a group of articles (Sharma et al., 2013). Table 2 presents links and minimum 5 documents (Laengle et al., 2017). The map

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Fig. 7. Co-citation of journals cited in TF&SC.

South Korea. The exact number of publications, citations, h-index, and

citations/publications is given in Table A3.
Fig. 6 represents the publication evolution of top ten countries since
1970. The United States has majorly been the leader in publications
except for the years 2013, 2014, 2017, and 2018. During the seventies
and eighties, the majority of the articles were published from the United
States. In the nineties, countries like Netherlands, United Kingdom,
Germany, South Korea, and Italy started publishing in TF&SC. During
the last 10 years, the number of authors from various countries pub-
lishing in TF&SC has grown tremendously and the same is expected in
the coming years.

3.4. Analysis of articles that cite the TF&SC

The citation element indicates the source of the journal's influence

Fig. 8. Comparative analysis of journal performance indicator.
illustrates the most productive countries and links indicates the cou-
pling of countries.
The United States (US) appears to be the most productive country
followed by the United Kingdom (UK), Netherlands, Germany, and
(Merigó et al., 2015). Table 10 presents the top 20 journals and coun-
tries citing TF&SC for the year 2010-18. With the increase in the total
number of publications since 2010, the number of citations has also
increased. The previous published research of TF&SC is cited by various
authors of TF&SC. This result is quite logical because of the specific
technology-related and social change area. The Sustainability

Table 11
Comparison of the three widely used metrics of journals.
Source: Colledge et al., 2010
Factors/ KPI for Journal SJR SNIP IF

Publication Window 3 Years 3 Years 2 and 5 Years

Citation Window 1 Year 1 Year 1 Year
Inclusion of Self-citation documents Maximum percentage of 33% All All
Documents types (Numerator) Reviews, conference paper, and articles: Reviews, conference paper, and articles: All
Peer reviewed only Peer reviewed only
Document types (denominator) Reviews, conference paper, and articles: Reviews, conference paper, and articles: Reviews, conference paper, and articles:
Peer reviewed only Peer reviewed only Source items only
Status of citing sources Weights citations on prestige (SJR) of No role No role
journal issuing them
Effect of increasing extent of database Fixed prestige of database; Journal shares No effect. Increase IF of journal as an effect of more
coverage the prestige citations.

Abbreviations: IF = impact factor; SNIP = Source Normalized Impact per Paper; SJR = Scimago Journal Rank

8
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Fig. 9. Annual publication, citation structure, and h-index of International Journal of Forecasting.

Fig. 10. Total citation of articles published.

Fig. 11. Evolution of citations of top ten most cited papers.

9
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Fig. 12. Keyword co-occurrences of IJoF.

Fig. 13. Author keyword co-occurrences.

10
S. Singh, et al.
Fig. 14. Scopus indexed keyword occurrences.
Switzerland and Journal of Cleaner Production cite TF&SC frequently
with 711 and 649 articles, respectively. In general, Technological Fore-
casting and Social Change related journals cite TF&SC more. The other
general management and journals also have considerable figures.
The United States and United Kingdom are the top countries that
cite TF&SC articles the most with 3561 and 3497 articles, respectively
followed by China, Germany, Netherlands, Italy, Australia, Spain, and
South Korea with more than 1000 citations. For the years 1970-79,
1980-89, 1990-99, and 2000-09, the analysis can be seen in appendix
Table A4.
3.5. Related journal and ranking of TF&SC
Fig. 7 represents the journal co-citation analysis based on the pub-
lication of TF&SC. Co-citation of journals happens when two journals
receive a citation from a third source. In co-citation analysis, the map
illustrates the most-cited journals and the link indicates the most co-
cited journals. The minimum threshold criterion of two hundred cita-
tions is applied (Laengle et al., 2017). The most cited articles in TF&SC
have referred to the past publications of TF&SC. This is a common result
found in any particular journal (Merigó et al., 2015). Journals like
Research Policy, Energy Policy, Technovation, Strategic Management
Journal, and Journal of Cleaner Production play an important role in
the development of an article published in TF&SC. The co-citation
diagram is represented by four colors (red, blue, green, and yellow).
11
Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963
The forecasting journals included are Technological Forecasting and
Social Change, International Journal of Forecasting (IJoF), Energy
Policy, Nature, Futures, and Foresight.
Lastly, the comparative analysis (Fig. 8) is done for different per-
formance criteria h-index, IF, SNIP, and SJR for the TF&SC and IJoF
until 2018. The total publications and citations of TF&SC is 4248 and
73,560 respectively, whereas, the total publications and citations of
IJoF is 1938 and 46,727 respectively.
Scimago Journal Rank (SJR) is the prestigious metric of ranking a
journal, whereby, a journal reputation, subject, and field will have a
direct effect upon the citation value it gives to the other journals. It also
limits the excessive benefits derived from journal self-citation. It is
freely accessible via website (https://www.scimagojr.com/). It con-
siders peer reviewed articles, conference papers, and review articles.
However, it does not support cross-discipline comparison.
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) measures the ratio of
the citation impact of a journal and citation potential of the subject
concerned (Colledge et al., 2010). Citation potential is ascertained by
how quickly and how often scholars cite the works of others, and how
well is the database covered for the respected field. It corrects for dif-
ferences in referencing practices between subjects and between journal
categories. It enables comparability across subjects. However, it neither
differentiates prestige of citations, nor corrects for journal self-citations.
Impact factor (IF) measures the impact of all the articles published
in a particular journal. It is average number of articles from the journal
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Fig. 15. Keyword co-occurrences (Author and Scopus Indexed).

Fig. 16. Evolution of top 10 keywords over years.

12
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table 12
Co-citation factors.
Factor 1 Factor 2 Factor 3 Factor 4

Hekkert et al., 2007 Teece et al., 1997 Mansfield, 1961 Linstone and Turoff, 2011
Unruh, 2002 Adner, 2006 Peres et al., 2010 Rowe and Wright, 1999
Markard et al., 2012 Adner and Kapoor, 2010 Meade and Islam, 2006 Turoff, 1970
Markard and Truffer, 2008 Barney, 1991 Mahajan et al., 1990 Landeta, 2006
Smith et al., 2005 Teece, 2007 Rogers, 2003 Goodwin and Wright, 2010
Geels and Schot, 2007 Zahra and George, 2002 Bass, 1969 Bishop et al., 2007
Jacobsson and Johnson, 2000 March, 1991 Griliches, 1957 Wright and Goodwin, 2009
Bergek et al., 2008 Wernerfelt, 1984 Fornell and Larcker, 1981 Bradfield et al., 2005
Geels, 2002 Geels and Schot, 2007 Fisher and Pry, 1971
Quist and Vergragt, 2006 Eisenhardt and Graebner, 2007 Geroski, 2000
Eisenhardt, 1989 Rohrbeck and Gemanden, 2011
Arthur, 1989 Eisenhardt, 1989
Dosi, 1982 Teece, 1986
Tushman and Anderson, 1986 Cohen and Levinthal, 1990
Dosi, 1982 Nonaka, 1994
Malbera, 2002 Malebra, 2002
Henderson and Clark, 1990
Daim et al., 2006
Abernathy and Clark, 1985
Lee et al., 2009
Cohen and Levinthal, 1990
Percent of Variance 19.22 10.83 9.53 7.45
Cumulative Variance 19.22 30.05 39.58 47.02
Academic Fields / Technological Innovation Competitive advantage Innovation Diffusion Methodology
Research Tradition
Major Themes Transition Management; Innovation Dynamic Capability; Resource Based Technological Change; Rate of Delphi Method; Forecasting
Studies; Technological change; View; Complementary Assets; Imitation; Marketing; New Methodology; Scenario
Innovation Systems Exploration; Exploitation Product Development; Scenario techniques

Factor 5 Factor 6 Factor 7 Factor 8

Venkatesh and Davis, 2000 Ayres, 1969 Dosi, 1982 Zarah and George, 2002
Ajzen, 1991 Fisher and Pry, 1971 Malerba, 2002 Cohen and Levinthal, 1990
Davis, 1989 Mansfield, 1961 Henderson and Clark, 1990 Podsakoff et al., 2003
Venkatesh et al., 2003 Bass, 1969 Pavitt, 1984 Nonaka, 1994
Anderson and Gerbing, 1988 Thompson, 1967 Aghion and Howitt, 1992 Boschma, 2005
Podsakoff et al., 2003 Griliches, 1990 March, 1991
Fornell and Larcker, 1981 Cohen and Levinthal, 1990 Romer, 1990
Geels, 2002 Anderson and Tushman, 1990
Anderson and Tushman, 1990
Eisenhardt, 1989
Percent of Variance 6.78 5.78 5.70 4.1
Cumulative Variance 53.8 59.6 65.30 69.4
Academic Fields / Technology Acceptance New Product Technological Transition Knowledge Creation
Research Tradition
Major Themes User Acceptance; End User; Consumer Products; New Product Technical Change; Architectural Innovation; Dominant Designs; Exploration;
Information Technology Growth; Innovation; Imitation Creative Destruction; Absorptive Capacity; Exploitation; Learning
Technological Discontinuities

Factor 9 Factor 10

Bradfield et al., 2005 Jacobsson and Johnson, 2000

Bishop et al., 2007 Malerba, 2002
Popper, 2008 Geels, 2002
Bergek et al., 2008
Percent of Variance 3.18 2.94
Cumulative Variance 72.58 75.52
Academic Fields / Research Tradition Scenario Techniques Innovation System
Major Themes Evolution; Overview; Methods Selection Sectoral System of Innovation; Innovation System; Technology

published in the past two years and five years that are getting cited in
the present year. It helps to make comparison of journals in the same
domain. However, the impact factor depends on the size of the field. A
major drawback is that all self-citations are counted.
A comparative study of SJR, SNIP, and IF is illustrated in Table 11.
SNIP is more informative than SJR in the field of engineering & com-
puter science and social sciences (Colledge et al., 2010). However, if
one considers heterogeneity in quality, topical research themes, weight
citations on the basis of quality journal, and limit self-citation of
authors, SJR is a better indicator than SNIP and IF.
Thus, by comparing the two similar journals, TF&SC has more ci-
tations in the current year than the previous two years. Also, looking at
the cite score factor which opens the citation window for 3 years,
TF&SC has more number of citations. TF&SC journal has more citation
potential than International Journal of Forecasting. SJR score of TF&SC
is comparatively low. A probable reason for the same would be inclu-
sion of more self-cited papers than the other journal. Thus overall,
TF&SC is a leading journal in forecasting domain with a high impact

13
S. Singh, et al.
factor, cite score, and SNIP.
Key Bibliometric Indicator of International Journal of Forecasting
(IJoF)
IJoF is a publication of International Institute of Forecasters. It
started its publication in 1985.
In IJoF, more than 1938 articles have been published in the journal
between 1985 and 2018, whereas TF&SC has published more than 4248
articles. Fig. 9 represents annual publications, citation structure, and h-
index of the articles published. The highest number of articles was in
the year 2016 followed by 2014 and 2015 with the total number of
publications being 105, 94, and 90, respectively. It has 4.4% articles
having more than 100 citations, around 31% of the papers have more
than 20 citations, and around 87.2% of the papers have at least one
citation (Table A5). It has more number of articles which have more
than 100 citations as compared to TF&SC, but fewer articles which have
been cited at least once. Fig. 10 represents the total citation of articles
published in a year.
Table A6 represents top 50 most influential studies of IJoF. The
most cited article was published by Zhang, Eddy Patuwo, and Hu
(1998) and has 2139 citations. This study is about forecasting with
artificial neural network. The second most cited paper was published by
Hyndman and Koehler (2006) with total citations of 1348. This article
talks about measures of forecast accuracy. Fig. 11 represents evolution
of citations of top ten most cited papers.
Energies and Energy Economics are cited frequently on IJoF with
126 and 124 articles, respectively (Table A7).
The top keywords of the IJoF are forecasting, time series, ex-
ponential smoothing, combining forecast, judgmental forecasting, sea-
sonality, model selection, and accuracy. In Fig. 12, the IJoF has more of
forecasting methodologies and countries as compared to TF&SC. The
TF&SC is more related to technological forecasting, sustainability, and
resources. Therefore, both the journals focus on technological fore-
casting area, but the emphasis of IJoF is mathematical-model / meth-
odological aspect of forecasting whereas, the TF&SC is more with its
practical application in several areas of interest.
3.6. Keyword analysis of TF&SC
As keywords provide vital insight into the content of the article
(Singh et al., 2019), a keyword co-network analysis can be used to
monitor research themes and emerging domains (Kevork and
Vrechopoulos, 2009). Scopus provides two alternative sets of keywords;
the original keywords as provided by the authors, referred to as author's
keywords; and indexing keywords as provided by Scopus referred to as
keyword plus. The Fig. 13, Fig. 14, and Fig. 15 represent the author
keyword co-occurrences, index keyword co-occurrences, and keyword
co-occurrences, respectively, published in the journal during 1970-
2018. The top ten identified author keywords are innovation, foresight,
scenario, china, forecasting, bibliometrics, patents, delphi, technology,
and patent analysis. The top ten identified index keywords are in-
novation, technological developments, technological forecasting, re-
search and development, economics, technology adoption, technology,
patents & invention, commerce, decision making, strategy, diffusion,
road mapping, strategic foresight, and climate change. The general
keyword list (author keyword and index keyword) is similar to the
index keyword list as provided by Scopus (see Table A8). Therefore, the
top ten identified keywords are innovation, technological develop-
ments, technological forecasting, economics, technology adoption, re-
search and development, decision making, commerce, patents & in-
ventions, and competition.
The evolution of the top ten common keywords is shown in Fig. 16.
In 1970-2009, the highest cited keyword was technology forecasting.
However, in 2010-18, the highest cited keyword is innovation, followed
by technological development and technological forecasting. More
14
Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963
detailed analysis of keywords for the periods 1970–79, 1980-89,
1990–99, 2000-09, and 2010–18 can be seen in Table A9. During
2010–19 (Table A9), the domain saw new trends like big data, strategic
foresight, smart cities, and absorptive capacity along with use of system
dynamics in methodology.
3.7. Co-citation analysis
The result of factor analysis during 1970-2018 yields insight on the
structure of the journal (Table 12). The first factor is dominated by the
works of Markard et al. (2012), Lee et al. (2009), Bergek et al. (2008),
Markard and Truffer (2008), Geels and Schot (2007),
Hekkert et al. (2007), Daim et al. (2006), Quist and Vergragt (2006),
Smith et al. (2005), Geels (2002), Malbera (2002), Jacobsson and
Johnson (2000), Unruh (2002), Cohen and Levinthal (1990),
Henderson and Clark (1990), Arthur (1989), Eisenhardt (1989),
Tushman and Anderson (1986), Abernathy and Clark (1985), and
Dosi (1982). They were all related to technological innovation and tran-
sition, since they discuss about theory related to technology transition
and innovation system. The second factor highlights the works of
Rohrbeck and Gemanden (2011), Adner and Kapoor (2010),
Eisenhardt and Graebner (2007), Geels and Schot (2007), Teece (2007),
Adner (2006), Malebra (2002), Zahra and George (2002),
Teece et al. (1997), Nonaka (1994), Barney (1991), March (1991),
Cohen and Levinthal (1990), Eisenhardt (1989), Teece (1986), and
Wernerfelt (1984), which are related to dynamic capability as the paper
analyzes various resources and capabilities that affect competitiveness
of the firm. The third factor identifies the works of Peres et al. (2010),
Meade and Islam (2006), Rogers (2003), Geroski (2000),
Mahajan et al. (1990), Fornell and Larcker (1981), Fisher and
Pry (1971), Bass (1969), Mansfield (1961) and Griliches (1957), all of
them are related to innovation diffusion, which is about technological
change and rate of imitation. The fourth factor highlights the works of
Linstone and Turoff (2011), Goodwin and Wright (2010), Wright and
Goodwin (2009), Bishop et al. (2007), Landeta (2006),
Bradfield et al. (2005), Rowe and Wright (1999), and Turoff (1970),
which are related to the different methodologies used such as delphi
method, forecasting methodology, scenario development, and scenario
techniques.
The fifth factor identifies works of Venkatesh et al. (2003),
Venkatesh and Davis (2000), Davis (1989) and other authors, which is
related to technology acceptance and discusses about user acceptance,
end user acceptance, and information technique. The sixth factor
identifies works of Fisher and Pry (1971), Ayres (1969), Bass (1969),
Thompson (1967), and Mansfield (1961), which is related to new pro-
duct and discusses about consumer products, new product, growth,
imitation, and innovation. The seventh factor identifies the works of
Geels (2002), Malerba (2002), Aghion and Howitt (1992),
Anderson and Tushman (1990), Cohen and Levinthal (1990),
Griliches (1990), Henderson and Clark (1990), Eisenhardt (1989),
Pavitt (1984), and Dosi (1982), which is related to technological tran-
sition. The works of these authors talks about various key areas in-
cluding technical change, architectural innovation, and technological
discontinuities. The eighth factor identifies the works of
Boschma (2005), Podsakoff et al. (2003), Zarah and George (2002),
Nonaka (1994), March (1991), Anderson and Tushman, (1990),
Cohen and Levinthal (1990), and Romer (1990), which is related to
knowledge creation and discusses about dominant designs, exploration,
exploitation, and learning. The ninth factor highlights about scenario
techniques including evolution, overview, and method selection. The
tenth factor discusses about innovation system.
S. Singh, et al.
4. Conclusion
The aim of the paper was to trace the evolution of the journal
“Technological Forecasting and Social Change”. The present study pro-
vides a general overview of the articles published in TF&SC journal
from 1970 to 2018. The result shows a high increase in number of
publications and citations during 2010–18. TF&SC publishes mainly in
the area of business, management, and accounting and has a special
focus towards technology forecasting, innovation, climate, and social
change. The articles of TF&SC has also received wide attention from
other scientific domains like engineering, sustainability, and energy.
The United States is the leading country with highest number of pub-
lications, citations, and h-index followed by the United Kingdom and
Netherlands. Many of the developing countries like India have also
started to appear in the list of top 50 most influential countries. It is
expected that other developing countries will also increase their pre-
sence in the TF&SC journal. The top authors contributing to the field are
Joseph F. Coates, Harold A. Linstone, Alan L. Porter, Theodore Modis,
and Ronald N. Kostoff. The top institutions are Utrecht University,
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Delft University of
Technology, University of Manchester, and Georgia Institute of
Technology. The journal is very diverse in terms of institutions and
countries.
The study also provides a comprehensive view of the leading trends
of TF&SC. The top keywords of the journal are innovation, technolo-
gical developments, technological forecasting, economics, technology
adoption, research and development, decision making, commerce, pa-
tent and invention, and competition. The popular keywords in different
period of study reveals the evolution of TF&SC during last 50 years. The
journal is at the core of technology journals and is also related to many
other journals like International Journal of Forecasting, Energies,
Energy Economics, Journal of Forecasting, Economic Modeling,
European Journal of Operational Research, Applied Energy, Energy
Empirical Economics, and Journal of Business Research.
The study also identifies ten factors: technological innovation,
competitive advantage, innovation diffusion, methodology, technology
acceptance, new product, technological transition, knowledge creation,
scenario technique, and innovation systems. The factor on technolo-
gical innovation focuses on transition management, innovation studies,
technological change, and innovation systems. The competitive ad-
vantage factor includes dynamic capability, resource-based view,
complementary assets, exploration, and exploitation. The factor on in-
novation diffusion in the literature has been discussed in the context of
technological change, rate of imitation, marketing, and new market.
Various methodologies used in the journal are Delphi, scenario tech-
nique, and other techniques. Technological acceptance in the literature
is discussed in the context of user acceptance, end user, and information
technology. The scholars have analyzed new products in different
contexts like consumer products, growth, innovation, and imitation.
The technological transition in the literature focuses on technical
change, architectural innovation, creative destructive, absorptive ca-
pacity, and technological discontinuities. The factor on knowledge
creation highlights dominant designs, exploration, exploitation, and
learning. The factor on scenario technique focuses on its evolution,
15
Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963
overview, methods, and selection. The last factor on innovation system
involves the sectoral system of the innovation and technology used for
developments. These identified factors form a structure of the TF&SC
journal.
The present study was subject to a number of key constraints re-
garding the tools used. However, the purpose of this study was to
provide overview of journal's leading trends using specific bibliometric
indicators. Therefore, it provides a comprehensive overview of the
TF&SC. However, the results are dynamic and may change overtime
with the emergence of new mainstream subjects and some variables
increasing or decreasing their place in the paper.
Further, the evidence from this paper can be used for future re-
search direction. Firstly, evolving areas including strategic foresight,
sustainability, technology transfer, entrepreneurship, and absorptive
capacity can be explored further. Secondly, by reviewing the literature,
we came across various research objectives that can be addressed in
future studies: to develop and deploy policy initiatives to improve in-
novation system functioning; to assess TIS functionality, i.e. the
“goodness” of different functional patterns; to study different perspec-
tives and structural patterns for technological transition; to develop a
multi-variables approach to the theory of innovation and technical
change; to analyze the point of parity and differences between com-
petence-enhancing and competence-destroying technological advances;
to know more about what distinguishes between incremental im-
provements and dramatic advances, what are dominant designs and
how they occur, and the influence of competence-destroying advances
in mature product classes; to develop public policy proposals on how to
affect the transformation of sectoral systems, the innovation and dif-
fusion processes, and the competitiveness of firms and countries; to link
multiple dimensions of absorptive capacity for creating and sustaining a
competitive advantage; and to know the structure of firms, particularly
the scope of their boundaries, coupled with national policies with re-
spect to the development of complementary assets, which determines
the distribution of the profits amongst innovators and imitators/fol-
lowers. Thirdly, quantitative techniques can be applied on factors
identified as a result of keyword and factor analysis.
The TF&SC journal caters to an important and niche area related to
technological forecasting along with creating social impact. Evolution
of publications, citation structure, authors, countries, institutions, si-
milar journals, keywords, and co-citation analysis are the key factors
which impact TF&SC journal. It is expected that by evolution of the
technological field, similar dynamics of creation of knowledge will
occur and will help to grow this field further.
CRediT authorship contribution statement
Shiwangi Singh: Conceptualization, Methodology, Validation,
Formal analysis, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing,
Visualization, Software. Sanjay Dhir: Conceptualization, Methodology,
Validation, Formal analysis, Supervision, Writing - review & editing,
Visualization. V. Mukunda Das: Conceptualization, Methodology,
Validation, Formal analysis, Writing - review & editing. Anuj Sharma:
Conceptualization, Methodology, Validation, Formal analysis, Writing -
review & editing.
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Supplementary materials

Supplementary material associated with this article can be found, in the online version, at doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2020.119963.

Appendix

Tables A1–A9.

Table A1
Total publication, annual citation structure and h-index of TFandSC.
≥ 100 ≥ 50 ≥ 20 ≥1 TP TC h

1970 1 1 0 15 18 317 4
1971 1 5 7 29 37 1081 11
1972 0 2 2 14 18 209 5
1973 0 0 5 38 44 280 7
1974 0 1 4 21 26 277 9
1975 2 2 9 35 48 561 12
1976 0 3 5 34 41 433 11
1977 0 1 3 30 37 303 8
1978 0 1 2 37 48 295 9
1979 1 2 9 67 77 682 12
1980 1 3 8 49 74 592 12
1981 0 3 6 31 47 504 10
1982 0 0 3 38 43 273 9
1983 1 2 8 37 47 532 12
1984 0 2 3 38 58 335 10
1985 0 1 11 43 47 591 15
1986 0 1 8 40 52 466 10
1987 0 1 10 40 49 488 14
1988 0 2 8 44 51 554 11
1989 0 0 4 45 53 303 9
1990 0 1 7 45 54 528 12
1991 3 3 8 44 51 1043 11
1992 1 1 3 45 60 389 10
1993 1 2 8 42 54 856 13
1994 2 4 14 54 63 908 16
1995 2 3 12 48 61 859 14
1996 4 6 14 44 49 1305 18
1997 3 5 12 43 45 1273 15
1998 2 5 18 46 49 1016 19
1999 4 8 24 46 51 1336 21
2000 2 14 28 47 48 1771 24
2001 3 7 20 40 40 1343 20
2002 5 8 21 46 50 1630 20
2003 5 13 28 42 43 1985 25
2004 6 14 25 47 49 2594 23
2005 6 21 34 73 75 3277 30
2006 8 22 45 69 71 3621 29
2007 5 18 60 100 103 4646 34
2008 6 21 55 81 82 3105 34
2009 9 35 71 105 106 4697 41
2010 7 35 78 135 137 5309 46
2011 11 29 72 133 136 4736 37
2012 2 21 67 137 139 3829 33
2013 3 25 77 142 145 4213 37
2014 3 16 76 206 210 4327 35
2015 2 15 107 324 332 5696 36
2016 2 10 53 275 321 3730 28
2017 1 4 35 329 360 3595 24
2018 1 3 17 305 349 2069 19
Total 116 402 1204 3818 4248 84,762
% 3% 9% 28% 90% 100%

Abbreviations: TP = total publications; TC = total citations; h = h-index, % = percentage of publications, >200, >50, >20, and >1 = Number of documents with
equal or more than 200, 50, 20, and 1 citations.

16
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table A2
Top 50 most influential articles of TF&SC.
Rank Title TC Author/s Year C/Y

1 Functions of innovation systems: A new approach for analysing technological change 807 Hekkert, M.P; Suurs, R.A.A; Negro, S.O; 2007 73.36
Kuhlmann, S; Smits, R.E.H.M
2 A simple substitution model of technological change 598 Fisher, J.C; Pry, R.H 1971 12.72
3 Technology roadmapping - A planning framework for evolution and revolution 533 Phaal, R 2004 38.07
4 Scenarios of long-term socioeconomic and environmental development under climate 512 Riahi, K; Grübler, A; Nakicenovic, N 2007 46.55
stabilization
5 Forecasting emerging technologies: Use of bibliometrics and patent analysis 455 Daim, T.U; Rueda, G; Martin, H; Gerdsri, P 2006 37.92
6 Current validity of the Delphi method in social sciences 428 Landeta, J 2006 35.67
7 The Past and Future of Constructive Technology Assessment 400 Schot, J; Rip, A 1997 19.05
8 Analysis of interactions among the barriers of reverse logistics 389 Raci, V; Shankar, R 2005 29.92
9 The adoption of agricultural innovations. A review 364 Feder, G; Umali, D.L 1993 14.56
10 Delphi: A reevaluation of research and theory 300 Rowe, G; Wright, G; Bolger, F 1991 11.11
11 Processes and patterns in transitions and system innovations: Refining the co-evolutionary multi- 294 Geels, F.W 2005 22.62
level perspective
12 The design of a policy Delphi 264 Turoff, M 1970 5.50
13 Consensus measurement in Delphi studies. Review and implications for future quality assurance 253 von der Gracht, H.A 2012 42.17
14 Theory and applications of the Delphi technique: a bibliography (1975-1994) 246 Gupta, U.G; Clarke, R.E 1996 11.18
15 Climate change impacts on irrigation water requirements: Effects of mitigation, 1990-2080 242 Fischer, G; Tubiello, F.N; van Velthuizen, H; 2007 22.00
Wiberg, D.A
16 An evaluation of Delphi 229 Woudenberg, F 1991 8.48
17 Does social capital determine innovation? To what extent 225 Landry, R; Amara, N; Lamari, M 2002 14.06
18 The Art of Scenarios and Strategic Planning: Tools and Pitfalls 219 Godet, M 2000 12.17
19 Understanding the determinants of RFID adoption in the manufacturing industry 216 Wang, Y.-M; Wang, Y.-S; Yang, Y.-F 2010 27.00
20 Technology futures analysis: Toward integration of the field and new methods 214 Porter, A.L; Ashton, W.B; ....; Smits, R; Thissen, 2004 15.29
W
21 Internationalization of services: A technological perspective 209 Miozzo, M; Soete, L 2001 12.29
22 The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerization? 202 Frey, C.B; Osborne, M.A 2017 202.00
23 Establishment and embedding of innovation brokers at different innovation system levels: Insights 198 Klerkx, L; Leeuwis, C 2009 22.00
from the Dutch agricultural sector
24 Applying the gray prediction model to the global integrated circuit industry 193 Hsu, L.-C 2003 12.87
25 How to improve scenario analysis as a strategic management tool? 189 Postma, T.J.B.M; Liebl, F 2005 14.54
26 A review of selected recent advances in technological forecasting 188 Martino, J.P 2003 12.53
27 Disruptive technology roadmaps 186 Kostoff, R.N; Boylan, R; Simons, G.R 2004 13.29
28 Roadmapping a disruptive technology: A case study The emerging microsystems and top-down 186 Walsh, S.T 2004 13.29
nanosystems industry
29 Combining neural network model with seasonal time series ARIMA model 180 Tseng, F.-M; Yu, H.-C; Tzeng, G.-H 2002 11.25
30 Innovation Forecasting 175 Watts, R.J; Porter, A.L 1997 8.33
31 Timing, diffusion, and substitution of successive generations of technological innovations: The 171 Mahajan, V; Muller, E 1996 7.77
IBM mainframe case
32 The objectives of waste management in India: A futures inquiry 169 Sharma, H.D; Gupta, A.D; Sushil 1995 7.35
33 National learning systems: A new approach on technological change in late industrializing 169 Viotti, E.B 2002 10.56
economies and evidences from the cases of Brazil and South Korea
34 Functions of innovation systems as a framework to understand sustainable technological change: 168 Hekkert, M.P; Negro, S.O 2009 18.67
Empirical evidence for earlier claims
35 Intellectual capital and new product development performance: The mediating role of 168 Hsu, Y.-H; Fang, W 2009 18.67
organizational learning capability
36 The choice of innovation policy instruments 167 Borrás, S; Edquist, C 2013 33.40
37 Applying the Technology Acceptance Model to the introduction of healthcare information systems 165 Pai, F.-Y; Huang, K.-I 2011 23.57
38 Forecasting emerging technologies with the aid of science and technology databases 162 Bengisu, M; Nekhili, R 2006 13.50
39 Thinking inside the box: A participatory, computer-assisted approach to scenario discovery 161 Bryant, B.P; Lempert, R.J 2010 20.13
40 RT Delphi: An efficient, "round-less" almost real time Delphi method 160 Gordon, T; Pease, A 2006 13.33
41 Identifying and evaluating robust adaptive policy responses to climate change for water 158 Lempert, R.J; Groves, D.G 2010 19.75
management agencies in the American west
42 Forecast of the output value of Taiwan's opto-electronics industry using the gray forecasting 158 Lin, C.-T; Yang, S.-Y 2003 10.53
model
43 A systematic approach for identifying technology opportunities: Keyword-based morphology 154 Boon, B; Park, Y 2005 11.85
analysis
44 Sustainability transitions in the making: A closer look at actors, strategies and resources 148 Farla, J; Markard, J; Raven, R; Coenen, L 2012 24.67
45 Exploring sustainability transitions in the electricity sector with socio-technical pathways 146 Verbong, G.P.J; Geels, F.W 2010 18.25
46 Enhancing rigor in the Delphi technique research 144 Hasson, F; Keeney, S 2011 20.57
47 Towards an effective framework for building smart cities: Lessons from Seoul and San Francisco 143 Lee, J.H; Hancock, M.G; Hu, M.-C 2014 35.75
48 Sectoral systems of environmental innovation: An application to the French automotive industry 140 Oltra, V; Saint Jean, M 2009 15.56
49 Social innovation: Moving the field forward. A conceptual framework 139 Cajaiba-Santana, G 2014 34.75
50 From rapid prototyping to home fabrication: How 3D printing is changing business model 111 Rayna, T; Striukova, L 2016 55.50
innovation

Abbreviations available in table A1 except for: R = rank; C/Y = citations per year

17
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table A3
Top Countries of TF&SC.
R Country TP TC h TC/TP ≥ 100 ≥ 50 ≥ 20

1 United States 1067 21,013 66 19.7 35 105 288

2 United Kingdom 467 12,224 54 26.2 22 63 179
3 Netherlands 326 11,481 55 35.2 19 65 155
4 Germany 236 6561 43 27.8 9 32 92
5 South Korea 233 4635 34 19.9 5 21 68
6 Taiwan 198 5323 39 26.9 10 25 76
7 Italy 185 3777 37 20.4 2 19 60
8 China 180 2759 27 15.3 1 13 48
9 France 158 3805 32 24.1 7 18 61
10 Spain 150 3447 33 23.0 2 15 54
11 Japan 113 2469 28 21.8 2 15 44
12 Australia 110 1802 23 16.4 1 7 26
13 Austria 107 3606 31 33.7 7 20 45
14 Canada 86 2255 24 26.2 3 16 33
15 Finland 86 1584 23 18.4 1 5 31
16 Switzerland 72 1861 25 25.8 2 11 32
17 India 71 1698 17 23.9 2 7 16
18 Portugal 71 1355 20 19.1 1 7 21
19 Denmark 70 1636 22 23.4 2 10 27
20 Russian Federation 60 578 12 9.6 0 1 8
21 Sweden 57 1731 23 30.4 4 11 25
22 Brazil 50 1014 17 20.3 1 4 15
23 Israel 40 774 12 19.4 1 5 11
24 Belgium 38 779 16 20.5 1 5 13
25 Greece 36 904 16 25.1 1 3 14
26 Turkey 36 700 15 19.4 1 2 10
27 Iran 30 226 9 7.5 0 0 2
28 Norway 26 561 12 21.6 1 2 8
29 Thailand 24 530 13 22.1 0 5 9
30 Poland 22 211 9 9.6 0 1 5
31 Singapore 22 372 10 16.9 0 2 7
32 Hong Kong 20 409 11 20.5 0 2 7
33 South Africa 20 408 13 20.4 0 0 11
34 Malaysia 18 249 7 13.8 0 2 4
35 New Zealand 17 180 8 10.6 0 0 3
36 Mexico 16 206 8 12.9 0 0 3
37 United Arab Emirates 15 145 6 9.7 0 1 1
38 Colombia 10 207 7 20.7 0 1 4
39 Romania 10 77 4 7.7 0 0 1
40 Lithuania 7 74 5 10.6 0 0 0
41 Nigeria 6 30 4 5.0 0 0 0
42 Solvenia 6 99 5 16.5 0 0 2
43 Chile 5 98 4 19.6 0 1 2
44 Cyprus 5 62 3 12.4 0 0 1
45 Czech Republic 5 39 3 7.8 0 0 1
46 Egypt 5 78 5 15.6 0 0 1
47 Ghana 5 58 4 11.6 0 0 1
48 Hunagry 5 49 4 9.8 0 0 1
49 Ireland 5 74 4 14.8 0 0 2
50 Philippines 5 69 4 13.8 0 0 1

Abbreviations available in tables A1, A2, and 3

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table A4
Citations of articles published in TF&SC for years 1970-79, 1980-89, 1990-99, and 2000-10.
1970-79
R Journal Citations Country Citations

1 Technological Forecasting And 514 United States 1070

Social Change
2 Futures 83 United Kingdom 336
3 Energy 31 Germany 173
4 Research Policy 26 India 172
5 Technovation 24 australia 120
6 Energy Policy 20 Canada 114
7 Journal of Cleaner Production 19 Netherlands 94
8 Omega 19 China 87
9 Risk Analysis and Human Behavior 19 Spain 85
10 Foresight 18 Italy 78
11 International Journal Of 16 South Korea 70
Forecasting
12 Long Range Planning 15 Austria 65
13 Journal Of Forecasting 14 Finland 65
14 European Journal Of Operational 13 Japan 65
Research
15 Journal Of Product Innovation 13 Taiwan 51
Management
16 Policy Sciences 13 Switzerland 47
17 Sustainability Switzerland 13 Greece 45
18 R D Management 12 France 43
19 Decision Sciences 11 Sweden 43
20 Technology Analysis And Strategic 11 Thailand 43
Management

1980-89
R Journal Citations Country Citations

1 Technological Forecasting And 509 United States 1117

Social Change
2 Futures 93 United Kingdom 383
3 Research Policy 52 Germany 188
4 Energy Policy 44 Canada 169
5 Technovation 32 Australia 152
6 System Dynamics Review 31 India 151
7 Energy 26 Netherlands 135
8 Omega 24 Italy 115
9 European Journal Of Operational 23 China 94
Research
10 International Journal Of 22 South Korea 92
Forecasting
11 Journal Of Forecasting 20 Spain 76
12 International Journal Of 19 Sweden 76
Technology Management
13 Journal Of The Operational 19 Japan 69
Research Society
14 Science And Public Policy 19 Finland 67
15 Scientometrics 18 Ireland 67
16 Ecological Economics 16 France 63
17 IEEE Transactions On Engineering 16 Greece 50
Management
18 Human Systems Management 15 Austria 49
19 Renewable And Sustainable Energy 15 Taiwan 45
Reviews
20 Socio Economic Planning Sciences 13 Switzerland 40

19
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

1990-99
R Journal Citations Country Citations

1 Technological Forecasting And 673 United States 1895

Social Change
2 Futures 85 United Kingdom 876
3 Research Policy 85 Netherlands 503
4 Energy Policy 81 Germany 450
5 Technovation 81 China 443
6 Journal Of Cleaner Production 79 India 397
7 Technology Analysis And Strategic 68 Australia 353
Management
8 Scientometrics 55 Taiwan 347
9 Foresight 47 Spain 276
10 Science And Public Policy 46 South Korea 275
11 International Journal Of 42 Canada 260
Technology Management
12 Sustainability Switzerland 42 Italy 245
13 Technology In Society 38 France 212
14 European Journal Of Operational 34 Finland 206
Research
15 Renewable And Sustainable Energy 31 Sweden 181
Reviews
16 R And D Management 29 Austria 164
17 International Journal Of Foresight 28 Japan 157
And Innovation Policy
18 Ecological Economics 27 Switzerland 142
19 Science And Engineering Ethics 27 Brazil 141
20 Expert Systems With Applications 26 Belgium 119

2000-10
R Journal Citations Country Citations

1 Technological Forecasting And 1405 United States 3238

Social Change
2 Energy Policy 325 United Kingdom 2364
3 Journal Of Cleaner Production 310 China 2298
4 Sustainability Switzerland 241 Netherlands 1592
5 Technology Analysis And Strategic 215 Germany 1439
Management
6 Futures 202 Taiwan 1032
7 Research Policy 194 Italy 895
8 Renewable And Sustainable Energy 161 South Korea 866
Reviews
9 Scientometrics 158 Australia 848
10 Expert Systems With Applications 138 Spain 846
11 Technovation 136 India 788
12 Foresight 123 France 664
13 Environmental Innovation And 116 Finland 626
Societal Transitions
14 Energy 100 Canada 588
15 Science And Public Policy 91 Sweden 575
16 International Journal Of 77 Brazil 493
Innovation And Technology
Management
17 Climatic Change 75 Japan 491
18 Ecological Economics 74 Australia 470
19 Technology In Society 73 Switzerland 415
20 Applied Energy 71 Iran 369

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table A5
Annual citation structure of IJoF.
≥ 100 ≥ 50 ≥ 20 ≥1 TP TC h

1985 1 3 4 20 27 378 9
1986 1 2 8 33 36 544 12
1987 2 4 13 37 45 961 16
1988 0 2 11 41 51 672 15
1989 1 8 15 54 60 2182 17
1990 0 4 14 50 58 834 17
1991 1 3 12 31 42 638 14
1992 4 9 25 55 63 2006 22
1993 4 11 13 47 63 1469 14
1994 2 8 15 43 56 1167 16
1995 2 7 15 37 40 1418 16
1996 2 6 18 33 34 1027 19
1997 6 10 18 42 42 2148 18
1998 1 6 14 36 36 2905 15
1999 2 4 15 28 29 1742 17
2000 7 13 21 34 34 2738 20
2001 0 7 14 33 34 904 16
2002 1 8 16 44 47 1321 17
2003 5 13 28 42 55 1990 25
2004 6 14 25 47 65 2494 23
2005 7 13 28 54 61 2277 24
2006 9 17 28 49 51 4779 23
2007 2 7 22 49 56 1304 21
2008 8 15 27 55 55 2257 23
2009 3 11 26 58 63 1664 24
2010 1 4 21 62 67 1187 20
2011 2 13 44 81 86 2235 27
2012 2 6 18 71 85 1635 19
2013 0 2 11 54 61 776 15
2014 2 6 27 83 94 1913 22
2015 0 1 9 79 90 843 17
2016 2 4 24 91 105 1475 21
2017 0 0 1 63 76 390 9
2018 0 0 1 53 71 240 8
Total 86 241 601 1689 1938
% 4.4% 12.4% 31.0% 87.2%

Abbreviations: TP = total publications; TC = total citations; h = h-index, % = percentage of publications, >200, >50, >20, and >1 = Number of documents with
equal or more than 200, 50, 20, and 1 citations.

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table A6
Top 50 most influential articles of IJoF.
Rank Title TC Author/s Year C/Y

1 Forecasting with artificial neural networks: The state of the art 1949 Zhang, G; Eddy Patuwo, B; Y. Hu, M 1998 97.45
2 Another look at measures of forecast accuracy 1104 Hyndman, R.J; Koehler, A.B 2006 55.20
3 Combining forecasts: A review and annotated bibliography 1074 Clemen, R.T. 1989 53.70
4 The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: Issues and analysis 915 Rowe, G; Wright, G 1999 45.75
5 The M3-competition: Results, conclusions and implications 645 Makridakis, S; Hibon, M 2000 32.25
6 25 years of time series forecasting 585 De Gooijer, J.G; Hyndman, R.J 2006 29.25
7 Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons 551 Armstrong, J.S; Collopy, F 1992 27.55
8 Testing the equality of prediction mean squared errors 537 Harvey, D; Leybourne, S; Newbold, P 1997 26.85
9 Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers 452 Diebold, F.X; Yilmaz, K 2012 22.60
10 A survey of credit and behavioural scoring: Forecasting financial risk of lending to 382 Thomas, L.C 2000 19.10
consumers
11 modeling and forecasting the diffusion of innovation - a 25-year review 371 Meade, N; Islam, T 2006 18.55
12 Exponential smoothing: The state of the art-Part II 361 Gardner Jr., E.S 2006 18.05
13 Forecasting seasonals and trends by exponentially weighted moving averages 344 Holt, C.C. 2004 17.20
14 Forecasting tourism demand: A review of empirical research 319 Witt, S.F; Witt, C.A 1995 15.95
15 Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future 306 Weron, R. 2014 15.30
16 A state space framework for automatic forecasting using exponential smoothing methods 296 Hyndman, R.J; Koehler, A.B; Snyder, R.D; Grose, S 2002 14.80
17 Forecasting electricity prices for a day-ahead pool-based electric energy market 277 Conejo, A.J; Contreras, J; Espínola, R; Plazas, M.A 2005 13.85
18 A comparison of univariate methods for forecasting electricity demand up to a day ahead 262 Taylor, J.W; de Menezes, L.M; McSharry, P.E 2006 13.10
19 Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research 219 Brown, L.D. 1993 10.95
20 Forecasting the short-term demand for electricity: Do neural networks stand a better 206 Darbellay, G.A; Slama, M 2000 10.30
chance?
21 Accuracy measures: theoretical and practical concerns 204 Makridakis, S. 1993 10.20
22 Short-run forecasts of electricity loads and peaks 204 Ramanathan, R; Engle, R; Granger, C.W.J; Vahid- 1997 10.20
Araghi, F; Brace, C
23 Judgmental forecasting: A review of progress over the last 25 years 203 Lawrence, M; Goodwin, P; O'Connor, M; Önkal, D 2006 10.15
24 Out-of-sample tests of forecasting accuracy: An analysis and review 190 Tashman, L.J. 2000 9.50
25 Artificial neural network models for forecasting and decision making 188 Hill, T; Marquez, L; O'Connor, M; Remus, W 1994 9.40
26 The financial analyst forecasting literature: A taxonomy with suggestions for further 179 Ramnath, S; Rock, S; Shane, P 2008 8.95
research
27 Betting on trends: Intuitive forecasts of financial risk and return 179 De Bondt, W.P.M 1993 8.95
28 Extreme value theory and Value-at-Risk: Relative performance in emerging markets 176 Gençay, R; Selçuk, F 2004 8.80
29 Sales forecasting practices. Results from a United States survey 176 Dalrymple, D.J. 1987 8.80
30 An Analytic Network Process model for financial-crisis forecasting 169 Niemira, M.P; Saaty, T.L 2004 8.45
31 Short-term inter-urban traffic forecasts using neural networks 167 Dougherty, M.S; Cobbett, M.R 1997 8.35
32 A new approach to forecasting intermittent demand for service parts inventories 166 Willemain, T.R; Smart, C.N; Schwarz, H.F 2004 8.30
33 Short-term prediction of wind energy production 164 Sánchez, I. 2006 8.20
34 The accuracy of intermittent demand estimates 163 Syntetos, A.A; Boylan, J.E 2005 8.15
35 Illusions in regression analysis 154 Armstrong, J.S. 2012 7.70
36 Forecasting stock indices: A comparison of classification and level estimation models 149 Leung, M.T; Daouk, H; Chen, A.-S 2000 7.45
37 The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods 149 Fildes, R 1992 7.45
38 Forecasting spot electricity prices: A comparison of parametric and semiparametric time 148 Weron, R; Misiorek, A 2008 7.40
series models
39 To combine or not to combine: Selecting among forecasts and their combinations 147 Hibon, M; Evgeniou, T 2005 7.35
40 Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for 145 Fildes, R; Goodwin, P; Lawrence, M; Nikolopoulos, K 2009 7.25
improvement in supply-chain planning
41 Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review 141 Booth, H 2006 7.05
42 Efficient market hypothesis and forecasting 137 Timmermann, A; Granger, C.W.J 2004 6.85
43 Should we use neural networks or statistical models for short-term motorway traffic 135 Kirby, H.R; Watson, S.M; Dougherty, M.S 1997 6.75
forecasting?
44 Forecasting international quarterly tourist flows using error-correction and time-series 134 Kulendran, N; King, M.L 1997 6.70
models
45 Probabilistic electric load forecasting: A tutorial review 133 Hong, T; Fan, S 2016 6.65
46 A dynamic artificial neural network model for forecasting time series events 132 Ghiassi, M; Saidane, H; Zimbra, D.K 2005 6.60
47 Prediction market accuracy in the long run 130 Berg, J.E; Nelson, F.D; Rietz, T.A 2008 6.50
48 Global energy forecasting competition 2012 129 Hong, T; Pinson, P; Fan, S 2014 6.45
49 The M2-competition: A real-time judgmentally based forecasting study 129 Makridakis, S; Chatfield, C; (...), Simmons, L.F 1993 6.45
50 Probabilistic energy forecasting: Global Energy Forecasting Competition 2014 and beyond 128 Hong, T; Pinson, P; Fan, S; (...), Hyndman, R.J 2016 6.40

Abbreviations available in table A2

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S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

Table A7
Citations of articles published in IJoF for 2010-18.
Journal Citation Country Citation

1 International Journal Of Forecasting 453 United States 1453

2 Energies 126 China 1190
3 Energy Economics 124 United Kingdom 1083
4 Journal of Forecasting 118 Germany 673
5 Economic Modelling 93 Australia 459
6 European Journal of Operational 88 Spain 437
Research
7 Applied Energy 78 Italy 386
8 Energy 76 France 330
9 Empirical Economics 75 Canada 243
10 Journal of Business Research 71 Netherlands 236
11 Journal of Applied Econometrics 62 India 209
12 Applied Economics 61 Brazil 187
13 Physica A Statistical Mechanics And 60 Turkey 170
Its Applications
14 Technological Forecasting and Social 59 Greece 164
Change
15 Journal of Econometrics 54 Taiwan 157
16 Expert Systems With Applications 50 Poland 151
17 Journal Of Banking And Finance 48 Belgium 143
18 Finance Research Letters 45 South Korea 140
19 IEEE Transactions On Smart Grid 44 Portugal 133
20 Journal Of Business And Economic 44 Switzerland 129
Statistics

Table A8
Top 20 author keywords, index keywords, and author plus index keywords.
Author Keyword Index Keyword (Scopus) Author + Index Keyword

1 Innovation Innovation Innovation

2 Foresight Technological Technological
developments developments
3 Scenario Technological Technological forecasting
forecasting
4 China Research and Economics
development
5 Forecasting Economics Technology Adoption
6 Bibliometrics Technology Adoption Research and Development
7 Patents Technology Decision making
8 Delphi Patents & invention Commerce
9 Technology Commerce Patents & inventions
10 Patent Analysis Decision making Competition
11 Sustainability Forecasting method Sustainable development
12 Text Mining Sustainable development Forecasting method
13 Energy Technological change Modeling
14 Nano Technology Modeling China
15 India Competition Strategic Approach
16 Strategy China Investments
17 Diffusion Technology Diffusion Empirical Analysis
18 Roadmapping Empirical Analysis Technology Diffusion
19 Strategic Foresight Forecasting Technological change
20 Climate Change Industry Forecasting

23
S. Singh, et al. Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963

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Shiwangi Singh is a research scholar in Strategic Management Area at the Department of
Management Studies (DMS), IIT Delhi. She is gold medallist during her studies in gra-
duation and post-graduation. Her area of research is the strategic management, innova-
tion, implementation of innovation, and start-ups. Her research papers were selected for
presentations at various research conferences like PANIIT International Management
Conference (PANIITIMC), Academy of International Business (AIB) India Chapter, and
Academy for Global Business Advancement (AGBA). She has also been conferred with
“Best Paper Award” at AGBA Conference, 2018.
Sanjay Dhir is Assistant Professor in Strategic Management Area at Department of
Management Studies (DMS), IIT Delhi. He is a Fellow (PhD) from the Indian Institute of
Management (IIM) Lucknow. He is also the coordinator for Executive MBA program at IIT
Delhi. He worked at corporate sector – Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd (Automotive), R&D
S. Singh, et al.
Department, Nasik – for three and a half years. He has been involved in several consulting
projects which include – Integrated Child Development Services (ICDS, Bihar); National
Skill Development Corporation (NSDC, New Delhi); Bihar Prashashnik Sudhaar Mission
(BPSM, Bihar) and Directorate General of Supplies & Disposals (DGS&D, GoI, New Delhi).
Vellupillai Mukunda Das is a gold medallist from Kerala University and has a PhD in
Management. He has over 33 years of experience in management teaching, research, and
consultancy at both Indian and international organizations. He has worked in Indian
Institute of Management, Ahmedabad, Management Development Institute, New Delhi,
Institute of Rural Management, Anand, Indian Institute of Management, Kozhikode,
26
Technological Forecasting & Social Change 154 (2020) 119963
Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Kerala and now, he is the
Director of Chandragupt Institute of Management Patna, Bihar.
Anuj Sharma is an Assistant Professor at Chandragupt Institute of Management Patna.
With an academic and professional background in information systems, his research in-
terest focuses primarily upon adoption of emerging and cutting-edge information tech-
nology in general and the impact of this on organizations in particular. His-work has been
published in leading academic journals and conference proceedings. He also has versatile
experience in handling large scale government sponsored consultancy projects.