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TUESDAY, APRIL 4, 2017 ~ VOL. XLI NO. 150 WSJ.com ASIA EDITION
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WORLD NEWS
T
he problem in Wash- splitting over whether to is largely to his voters out- now as 100 or more. This Trump on anything. The pre- White House are “completely
ington is no longer force a blowup in the Sen- side Washington. And those group also is well repre- cise number is hard to tell, dependent on what the issue
simply paralyzing par- ate rules in an attempt to voters are standing with sented in the Senate. but Sen. Bernie Sanders of- is,” says Ms. Heitkamp. “The
tisanship. The danger at the stop Supreme Court nomi- ten gives voice to the feel- question is whether the well
moment is that the capital nee Neil Gorsuch. A similar ings of such Democrats; on is too poisoned to get any-
could be sliding into a kind fate may await coming ef- Friday he defended Trump thing done. I think the an-
of tribalism. forts at tax reform and in-
The polarizing nature of the Trump voters while calling the pres- swer to that is no.”
The fights over health frastructure spending unless presidency is fueling this trend. ident a “fraud.” In fact, the Senate’s com-
care and a new Supreme the White House finds a Intense anti-Trump feel- bination of governing Re-
Court justice way to blur the lines to ings at the Democratic grass publicans and Democrats
suggest that form a governing coalition roots are fueling such incli- willing to work with them
the divides across them. him. The Journal’s Dante • Freedom Caucus Re- nations. Republicans are form the likeliest path to
aren’t simply For now, think of the capi- Chinni dug deep into Gallup’s publicans. This is a group pointing to a speech last any legislative achievement
between Re- tal as divided among five presidential job-approval that, at its core, consists of week by new party Chairman amid a tribal Washington.
publicans tribes: numbers for February and about 40 of the House’s Tom Perez in which he told a Democratic Sens. Heitkamp,
and Demo- March and found that, even most conservative Republi- rally that Democratic pro- Manchin, Mark Warner and
crats. Instead, there are • The Trump Tribe. This as Mr. Trump’s approval rat- cans. (The exact number testers feel Mr. Trump Claire McCaskill, and Repub-
schisms within the parties, group is made up of the ings slumped nationally, they isn’t clear and shifts “didn’t win the election.” lican Sens. Bob Corker, John
and in some cases schisms president, his advisers and went up in the working-class around a bit.) They are the McCain, Rob Portman and
within the schisms. his wider administration. and Appalachian counties people who stood in the • Maybe-Sometimes- Lamar Alexander—they are
The polarizing nature of The president is essentially that form his base. way of the bill to repeal Trump Democrats. These the kinds of people who
President Donald Trump and an independent force who and replace Obamacare be- are moderate to conservative hold the key.
his presidency is fueling this won office with limited sup- • Governing Republicans. cause they thought it didn’t Democrats, many from states It may be impossible for
trend, though the roots run port from his Republican These are Republicans who sufficiently adhere to their the president won in the No- them to prevent a standoff
deeper. “Most of these fault Party’s leaders, and who think that, after waiting to principles. vember election, who are over a Supreme Court nomi-
lines, in my view, predate now is surrounded in the gain full control of the gov- The Freedom Caucus has willing to work with the nee, but a tax overhaul
the president,” says Republi- White House largely by peo- ernment, it’s essential the in the past found sympathiz- Trump administration on se- looms as the next big test.
Yet, Tesla remains a shaky 40 billion* tery storage units and elec- in Silicon Valley in 2013. The
NEED ASSISTANCE WITH
bet. The 13-year-old company tric-powered cars. It is a China Circuit column in the
Ford YOUR SUBSCRIPTION?
is unprofitable, deeply in- vision he highlighted in Feb- Friday-Sunday edition about By web: http://wsj-asia.com
debted and delivered just $46.14 ruary when he removed the Tencent’s investment in By email: service@wsj-asia.com
20 billion* By phone: Hong Kong: 800 901 216; Australia:
76,000 cars last year. Its Au- word “Motors” from Tesla’s Tesla Inc. incorrectly said 0011 8000 322 8482; China: 400 991 1174;
topilot mode is untested as a official name. the meeting took place in India: 000 800 440 1938; Indonesia: +62 21
2970 2702; Japan: 0120 779 868; Korea: 0030
fully autonomous feature and Mr. Musk is betting that a 2014. 844 0063; Malaysia: 1800 804 612; New
0 *Based on prices during early Monday trading
has raised safety concerns. less-expensive Model 3 will Zealand: 0800 442 434; Philippines: 1800 1441
2010 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 Readers can alert The Wall Street 0033; Singapore: 1800 823 2042; Taiwan:
Ford has over 20 times the help Tesla evolve from a lux- Journal to any errors in news articles 00801 444 141; Thailand: 001800 441 8323
annual revenue, billions of Source: FactSet THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. ury-car maker into one with by emailing wsjcontact@wsj.com.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, April 4, 2017 | A3
WORLD NEWS
For Black Boxes, a Holding Pattern U.N. Slams
Australia’s
Aviation community is United Nations agency that
Fumio Kishida said Tokyo is sides said would “finally and nese consulate in South Ko- burgeoning nuclear power, as good for China, and if they
also sending its ambassador irreversibly” end a dispute rea’s second city of Busan. he put trade and the military don’t it won’t be good for any-
back to prepare for a new gov- over Japan’s atonement for Japan recalled its ambassa- threat from Pyongyang at the one.” He added: “I think trade is
ernment in South Korea, the so-called comfort-women dor, Yasumasa Nagamine, in top of the agenda of his the incentive.”
which is set to hold a presi- system by providing an apol- early January, saying the instal- planned meeting with Chinese Asked if a grand bargain
dential election on May 9. ogy from Japan’s prime minis- lation of the Busan statue was President Xi Jinping this week. with China could result from
Japan and South Korea are ter and ¥1 billion ($9 million) a violation of the 2015 agree- In his comments, Mr. Trump the meeting, he said: “Well, if
the two closest allies of the U.S. in Japanese government funds ment. It called on South Korea looked to tie U.S. imports of China is not going to solve
in East Asia and coordinate to support the women. Around Yasumasa Nagamine in January to remove it before Mr. Naga- Chinese goods with China’s co- North Korea, we will. That is all
with Washington on defense. 40 of the women remain alive. mine would return to Seoul. operation on North Korea. The I am telling you.”
The three nations are holding a The deal was accepted by removed from office. Critics of Since then, concerns have Trump administration, which China has favored talks with
joint three-day antisubmarine most of the women but became the deal in South Korea have risen in both countries about the has made narrowing the trade North Korea, while signing on to
exercise starting Monday as unpopular in South Korea, in also slammed the Korean gov- threat from North Korea follow- deficit a priority, has called United Nations sanctions.
part of moves to counter rising part because it was agreed to ernment for not consulting the ing a string of missile launches. China a nonmarket economy —Ben Kesling
threats from North Korea. by former President Park surviving comfort women be- —Jonathan Cheng in Seoul with unfair trade practices, and and Peter Nicholas
However, Tokyo and Seoul Geun-hye, who has since been fore the agreement was signed. contributed to this article.
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A4 | Tuesday, April 4, 2017 HK JP KO ML SI IN UK FR MN PR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
WORLD WATCH
South Africa EUROPEAN UNION tors watch for signs that the
Cabinet Shuffle
ECB is preparing to end its very
Unemployment Falls, generous monetary policy. Critics
But Remains High say strong growth numbers com-
bined with recent sharp rises in
Deepens Divide
A drop in the number of peo- inflation render the central bank’s
ALI LUFTI/EUROPEAN PRESSPHOTO AGENCY
ple without work in Italy and negative interest rate and bond-
Spain drove a decline in the eu- buying program inappropriate.
rozone’s unemployment rate to Still, the day of reckoning
BY GABRIELE STEINHAUSER as analyst warnings of an al- its lowest level since mid-2009 likely remains far off. The ECB
most-certain downgrade of the in February, a sign that the cur- hasn’t yet discussed its exit
JOHANNESBURG—Rifts be- country’s credit rating. rency area’s modest economic from its bond-buy program, Mr.
tween allies and opponents of But it is unclear how much recovery accelerated slightly in Coeuré said. The central bank’s
South African President Jacob the opposition or a disgruntled the early months of 2017. chief economist said separately
Zuma deepened over the week- ANC leadership can do to rein The European Union’s statis- that the ECB’s monetary policy
end, setting up a decisive week in Mr. Zuma. The 86-member tics agency said the unemploy- remained appropriate.
for the ruling African National National Executive Committee, ment rate across the 19 coun- Mr. Coeuré said the central
Congress following the ouster the ANC’s top decision-making tries that use the euro fell to RECOVERY: Indonesian rescuers carried the body of a landslide victim bank’s negative deposit rate was
of a popular finance minister. panel, remains stacked with the 9.5% from 9.6% in January, in Ponorogo on Monday. Three people are dead and dozens missing. a good complement to bond
The ANC’s top six officials— president’s allies. A previous at- reaching its lowest level since buying, but cautioned that this
three of whom have lashed out tempt to oust him failed in No- May 2009. The number of peo- in just under six years. must prepare for higher borrowing couldn’t last forever. “Negative
against the firing of Pravin vember and among the officials ple without work fell by 140,000 However, unemployment costs, a top European Central Bank rates were very effective but
Gordhan—were meeting on promoted in the cabinet shuffle from January, as the number of rates in southern Europe are still official said, putting the economy they shouldn’t go on for too
Monday to decide whether to were several members of the jobless Italians dropped to 2.98 very high, with Italy’s clocking in on notice that the days of ultralow long as that penalizes the bank-
take further steps against Mr. National Executive Committee. million from 3.06 million, and the at 11.5% in February, and Spain’s policy rates are numbered. ing sector.”
Zuma, including a gathering of “That is Zuma taking out number of jobless Spanish to at 18%. Overall, the eurozone’s “It is clear that the financial The central bank is unlikely to
the party’s National Executive insurance against the NEC tip- 4.09 million from 4.13 million. jobless rate was more than dou- sector and the economy and change policy soon, meaning
Committee, which could force ping against him,” Prof. Booy- The eurozone’s unemployment ble its U.S. equivalent. states should prepare for an en- there will continue to be a sig-
the president to step down. sen said. rate has been falling steadily, if —Paul Hannon vironment of higher rates,” nificant policy divergence be-
Parliament Speaker Baleka slowly, since the bloc’s economy Benoît Coeuré said. Mr. Coeuré tween two of the world’s most
Mbete said on Sunday that she returned to growth in mid-2013. EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK sits on the ECB’s six-person important central banks. The
would spend the week in con- The decline is set to continue in Frankfurt-based executive board, Federal Reserve decided in mid-
Top Official Says
CORNELL TUKIRI/EUROPEAN PRESSPHOTO AGENCY
sultations on whether lawmak- coming months, with a survey of which along with the 19 national March to raise interest rates and
ers should be recalled from re- 3,000 manufacturing companies Brace For Rate Rise central bank governors of the policy makers there expect fur-
cess to vote on the president’s by IHS Markit pointing to a countries that use the euro sets ther tightening this year.
future. Without a special ses- pickup in hiring during March as Interest rates will rise again and ECB monetary policy. —Todd Buell
sion, any motion against Mr. output grew at its fastest pace firms, households and politicians The comments come as inves- and William Horobin
Zuma would be delayed until
May, giving the ANC time to
pacify defectors in its ranks.
Zweli Mkhize, the ANC’s
treasurer, added his criticism of
Mr. Zuma’s conduct to that of
IRAQ George W. Bush who is now
serving as Mr. Trump’s home-
land security adviser.
Mr. Mattis and Gen. Dun-
new strategy would look like.
But, according to numerous
U.S. officials, the strategy may
largely resemble the old one,
where we go strategically—
having good situational
awareness about what’s hap-
pening tactically and hear it
Deputy President Cyril Rama- Continued from Page One ford are completing a review initiated under President Ba- first hand and unfiltered, how
phosa and ANC Secretary-Gen- zations, launched an innova- of the strategy to fight the rack Obama, with tweaks and our advisers assess the Iraqi
President Jacob Zuma eral Gwede Mantashe, who tion office for the White group. Mr. Trump signaled additions in the margins, U.S. security forces, both the op-
complained they weren’t con- House last week that intends during the campaign and officials said. portunities and the chal-
Opposition parties de- sulted on the cabinet changes. to help reform government. since assuming office that he Gen. Dunford said he in- lenges—will feed into some-
manded that Parliament be That means three of the Mr. Kushner didn’t speak had a plan to accelerate the vited Messrs. Kushner and body’s strategic view,” Gen.
convened for a special session ANC’s six most senior officials with reporters on the trip into fight against Islamic State, Bossert to join him on the trip Dunford told the small group
to consider motions of no con- have come out against the shuf- Iraq, his first ever trip here, offering no details about some weeks ago so they could of reporters traveling with
fidence against Mr. Zuma, fle, with only ANC Deputy Sec- which was preceded by an what it might be. see for themselves the work him on a military jet.
while civil-society groups retary-General Jessie Duarte overnight stay at a U.S. mili- No plan has emerged, and it troops are doing here, since The new strategy, or a re-
called on citizens to wear black standing by the president. tary base in Germany. now falls to Mr. Mattis and they will be part of the deci- finement of it, may include ad-
on Monday to protest the cabi- Ms. Mbete, the final member He is accompanied by Tom Gen. Dunford to come up with sion on strategy. ditional U.S. troops for both
net shuffle. The hashtag of the leadership team, which Bossert, a former administra- a new strategy. Gen. Dunford “I think anyone who’s in- Iraq and Syria, possible
#BlackMonday was trending includes Mr. Zuma, on Sunday tion official under President declined to discuss what the volved in the discussion on changes that could put Ameri-
on Twitter in South Africa. declined to endorse or criticize can soldiers closer to the front
More street protests are the president’s decision. lines, and an accelerated air-
planned for Friday, the same In a statement released Sat- strike campaign.
day Moody’s Investors Service urday, Mr. Mkhize warned that Under Mr. Obama last fall,
is expected to release its latest the way Mr. Gordhan was let the U.S. military had already
assessment of South Africa’s go “may have had long unde- been given additional authori-
creditworthiness. It rates the sirable consequences for the ties which essentially dele-
country’s debt at Baa2, two ANC and South Africa,” includ- gated decision making closer
notches above junk. ing the economy. to the battlefield.
“What we see this time is a Opposition parties took ad- The visit comes as Ameri-
more all-around mobilization vantage of the warring within can and Iraqi troops fight to
against the president,” said Su- the ANC to harden their own evict Islamic State militants
san Booysen, professor at the ranks. from the northern Iraqi city of
Wits School of Government in The Democratic Alliance an- Mosul and prepare for a fight
Johannesburg. “What we do nounced Sunday it was initiat- against the group in Raqqa,
not know is whether this time ing disciplinary actions its self-declared de facto capi-
ANDRES MARTINEZ CASARES/REUTERS
around it will go further.” against its former leader and tal in Syria.
Mr. Zuma dismissed Mr. current premier of the West- Meanwhile, the U.S. mili-
Gordhan—along with 19 other ern Cape province, Helen Zille, tary is investigating a series
ministers and deputy ministers for a series of tweets in which of airstrikes in recent weeks
who were either moved out of she defended the legacy of co- that officials believe may be
or around the cabinet—early lonialism in South Africa. DA partly responsible for the
Friday, ignoring objections leader Mmusi Maimane said deaths of scores of civilians in
from his party’s top brass. The the tweets damaged the repu- both Iraq and Syria. There
move sent the rand tumbling tation of the DA, which has was no new assessment from
and triggered a selloff of South been working to draw in more those investigations, Gen.
African banking stocks, as well black voters. An Iraqi police officer walks along a street recaptured from Islamic State fighters in Mosul. Dunford said Sunday.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, April 4, 2017 | A5
Turning Dreams
Into Success
MULTIPLIERS OF
PROSPERITY
For others, it’s their own savings, kept in a safe place — a bank account — for the first time, or a
small grant that can give just enough of a lift to help them escape the rut of poverty.
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A6 | Tuesday, April 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
IN DEPTH
0.2
his neighborhood by night 0 station said thousands of
with a flashlight looking for 2015 ’16 ’17 ’18 ’19 shared bikes routinely block
damaged or misused bikes Forecasts buses from entering or leaving
from Mobike, one of China’s Source: BigData Research the station. “It causes argu-
largest bike-share programs. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. A mass of sabotaged shared bikes near a park in Shenzhen in southern China. ments and even fights,” said
He reports problems via the Mr. Yan, the vendor, who gave
Mobike app, moves badly The bright yellow, single- $400 each to build; users un- countryside shops. cal media reported. only his surname. “The city
parked bikes and tapes a small gear bikes from Ofo, another lock them by scanning a QR A man in Chengdu was ar- In January, hundreds of sent a guy to maintain order,
notice—which he made him- of the nation’s largest opera- code on the bike with their rested last month after being shared bikes were found but he does nothing.”
self—to the bike’s saddle re- tors, cost under $60 apiece, smartphone. They are bristling caught red-handed, sur- dumped in a huge pile in the Some local governments
buking the previous user for making them relatively unat- with security measures, in- rounded by the dismantled southern city of Shenzhen by have impounded thousands of
irresponsible behavior. tractive to thieves, said Chief cluding GPS tracking and an parts of numerous shared unknown saboteurs. In other bikes, and Shanghai authorities
“They are the prey, and I Operating Officer Zhang Yanqi. alarm system. That makes Mo- bikes. Stealing the bikes and locations, ranks of bikes have warned bike companies not to
am the hunter,” he said of the But their locks are simple and bike’s loss rate “negligible,” reselling them whole was too had their brake lines severed. put any more on the streets.
saboteurs. security is rudimentary, a said spokesman Martin Reidy. unsubtle, the man told police, Vandals have also taken to Mobike and Ofo both said they
Before China began opening strategy Mr. Zhang said helps Nevertheless, tech-savvy local media said, so he was scratching off Ofo bikes’ ID are working with authorities to
up in the late 1970s, bicycles keep costs low. Users receive a thieves have begun producing breaking the bikes down and codes, making locked bikes un- iron out these troubles.
conferred prestige. They were code for a bike’s combination fake QR codes for Mobikes and jumbling the parts together to usable. Mr. Sun, the Good Samari-
one of the four status symbols lock after inputting the bike’s sticking them over the genuine form new ones. Some of the vandalism is tan, said bike sharing had
Chinese newlyweds aspired to ID number into the Ofo app. codes. When users scan the bo- Some people are so fond of just old-fashioned mischief. Li, brought too big an improve-
own—the others being a watch, Ofo has lost 1% of its bikes gus codes they end up, in some the bikes they have taken to a 12-year-old Shanghai middle- ment to urban China to be fa-
a radio and a sewing machine. since it launched in September cases, transferring money to hoarding them, so one is al- school student, and his friends tally punctured by crooks or
Bicycles lost their glow to cars 2015—a small share but still a the scammers. Two men in the ways handy. It is common to have a game: seeing how many vandals. He said he thinks
as China’s economy took off, large number; Ofo is set to coastal cities of Ningbo and Fu- see bikes stashed inside offices, Ofo bikes they can unlock by China will eventually learn to
but as traffic and congestion have 20 million bikes on the zhou were charged with com- or cached in stairwells. In Feb- exploiting a weakness in the love its bikes once more, add-
became a problem, bikes be- street by the end of 2017, Mr. mitting such a fraud in March, ruary, two Beijing nurses were company’s system: People of- ing, “Mobike is part of my life
came trendy again. Zhang said. state media reported. arrested for allegedly locking ten neglect to jumble up the now.”
In recent months, investors Mobike, Ofo’s orange rival, Bikes stolen from various up shared bikes with their own lock’s combination at the end —Junya Qian
have plowed $1 billion into Chi- has taken a different tack: Its programs—and repainted— locks, for which they spent five of their ride, enabling some- and Kersten Zhang
nese bike-share companies. higher-end bicycles cost up to have turned up for sale in days locked up themselves, lo- one to flip open the lock free contributed to this article.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, April 4, 2017 | A7
U.S. NEWS
Senate Panel Considers Court Nominee
Republicans weigh nell on Sunday, speaking on during an election year.
NBC. “Gorsuch will not reach the
whether to change The vote in the committee 60-vote margin,” Sen. Chuck
rules if Democrats try is expected to fall largely Schumer, the Democratic
along party lines. Of the nine leader in the Senate, predicted
to block judge Democrats on the Judiciary on NBC Sunday. “Instead of
committee, eight said they changing the rules, which is
BY BYRON TAU would vote against Judge up to Mitch McConnell and the
Gorsuch—citing concerns Republican majority, why
WASHINGTON—The Senate about his judicial decisions doesn’t President Trump,
Judiciary Committee was vot- from his time of the federal Democrats, and Republicans in
ing Monday on whether to Tenth Circuit Court of Ap- the Senate, sit down, and try
support Neil Gorsuch’s nomi- peals and worries about his to come up with a mainstream
nation as the Senate braces for independence from Mr. nominee?”
an increasingly acrimonious Trump. Judge Gorsuch is ex- Democrats changed Senate
fight this week over President pected to draw unanimous rules in 2013 to eliminate the
Donald Trump’s pick to fill the support from Republicans on 60-vote procedural threshold
vacancy left by the death of both the committee and the on cabinet nominees and
Justice Antonin Scalia. Senate as a whole. They lower-court judges, but kept it
Flynn Initially
Didn’t Disclose
Russian Incomes
BY BYRON TAU for possible immunity.
Robert Kelner, an attorney
WASHINGTON—President for Mr. Flynn, said he had dis-
Donald Trump’s embattled for- closed a speaker’s bureau con-
mer national-security adviser, tract but not the itemized
Mike Flynn, initially didn’t dis- speeches in the February
close payments he received form, which he described as a
from three Russian-linked enti- draft. He said the process of
ties on a financial disclosure submitting a disclosure form
form he filed upon entering was suspended when Mr.
government. Flynn resigned.
KEVIN LAMARQUE/REUTERS
U.S. WATCH
about testimony in exchange fense contractors.
WASHINGTON cial information about the rental on the property and helped facili- signaling healthy momentum in
agreement between the couple tate the match. the nation’s manufacturing sec-
What Ivanka Trump, and the home’s owner, a Chilean “This was an arm’s-length tor. The Institute for Supply
Kushner Pay for Rent magnate whose company is em- transaction at a market price,” Management said its closely
broiled in a dispute with the U.S. said Hope Hicks, a spokes- watched index of U.S. manufac-
Ivanka Trump and Jared Kush- government over a mine poten- woman for the White House, turing activity fell to 57.2 in
ner, President Donald Trump’s tially worth billions of dollars. Ms. Trump and Mr. Kushner. March from 57.7 in February. A
daughter and her White House The rent is in line with that —Mark Maremont number above 50 indicates ex-
adviser husband, are paying paid for similar luxury properties and James V. Grimaldi pansion in the factory sector.
$15,000 a month to rent their in the area, according to local Economists surveyed by The
LUCAS JACKSON/REUTERS
new home in Washington’s fash- brokers. Andrónico Luksic, bought MANUFACTURING Wall Street Journal had ex-
ionable Kalorama neighborhood the house after the November pected a March reading of 57.5.
from its billionaire owner, accord- election and paid $5.5 million for Factory Activity It was the seventh consecutive
ing to newly filed documents. the six-bedroom property. The Continues to Expand month of industrial expansion,
The documents, filed by the house never was advertised for though down from a February
landlord with the District of Co- rent. The White House has said U.S. factory activity deceler- reading that was the highest level
lumbia housing department, Ms. Trump’s and Mr. Kushner’s ated slightly in March but con- for the index since August 2014. Mike Flynn at President Donald Trump’s inauguration. Mr. Flynn
present the first concrete finan- broker knew somebody had a bid tinued to expand at a solid pace, —Ben Leubsdorf was forced out of his White House position earlier this year.
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A8 | Tuesday, April 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
LIFE&ARTS
FAMILY
enth in women. In the U.S., there president of the Skin Cancer Foun-
is no national consensus on who dation, which also recommends
should be screened for melanoma Some doctors say individuals at high risk for skin cancer should have one head-to-toe exam a year. annual screenings for everyone.
or how often, so insurance cover- Dr. Hale recommends that indi-
age varies. guidelines to help individuals de- often will be tested for skin can- noma or a history of indoor tan- viduals with risk factors such as
Currently, most patients who termine whether they should get cer. ning and blistering sunburns. Fi- indoor tanning, light skin, freckles
get regular exams, like Ms. McCor- regular total-body skin exams. In the Melanoma Management nally, an annual exam is or atypical moles get two scans a
mick, consult a dermatologist on Such tests usually entail a 10- article, the experts recommend an recommended for individuals with year. “What makes skin cancer so
their own initiative. But some ex- to-20-minute head-to-toe examina- annual total body skin exam for a broad array of physical features, unique is early detection is possi-
perts say screening for melanoma tion in which a health professional people between the ages of 35 and such as light skin; blonde or red ble and so critical,” she said.
should be more widespread and studies the size, shape, color and 75 with one or more risk factors. hair; lots of freckles; severely sun- The average five-year survival
accessible. In a perspective piece borders of moles, including in Such factors include previous damaged skin; 40 or more moles; rate is as high as 98% for mela-
published last week in the journal hard-to-spot places such as the cases of melanoma, a mutation in or two or more atypical moles. noma caught at an early stage, but
Melanoma Management, more scalp, under fingernails, behind a melanoma gene or a compro- “It’s probably one of the most drops to about 18% once it is stage
than 50 dermatologists and skin- the ears and even in the iris of the mised immune system. Other risk cost-effective screenings you can four, or has spread to other or-
cancer experts called for uniform eyes. Any suspicious-looking moles factors: a family history of mela- think about.” said Sancy Leach- gans.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, April 4, 2017 | A9
FROM LEFT: GETTY IMAGES; RYAN DONNELL FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
President Richard Nixon in the
Oval Office. Nixon’s advice to wait
watchfully in the wings before be-
coming king didn’t sit well with
the 21-year-old heir apparent.
“To be just a presence would be
fatal,” Charles wrote in his diary,
railing at the notion of “saying
meaningless niceties.”
The account, from a biography
out April 4, reveals a young man
“who didn’t want to spend his life
cutting ribbons,” says the author,
Sally Bedell Smith. Although the
Prince of Wales has devoted con-
siderable time to fox hunting, gar-
dening and painting watercolors,
he “is absolutely driven by this
sense that he has to accomplish all
sorts of things,” Mrs. Smith says. The book reveals the prince was pressured to marry Diana, left with princes
In “Prince Charles: The Passions William and Harry, by his father. Above, author Sally Bedell Smith.
and Paradoxes of an Improbable
Life,” Mrs. Smith decodes a very paralyzed by in- ents preoccupied by their duties,
private public figure whose de- decision—and Charles turned to his grandmother
cades of philanthropy have re- impervious to for affection. “The first part of his
ceived less tabloid coverage than advice. “Proba- life was completely dictated by”
his romances and occasional bly one flaw is Charles’s father, Prince Philip, Mrs.
gaffes. Overshadowed by his daz- his unwilling- Smith says. “He went to schools
zling first wife, Lady Diana Spen- ness to listen to that he hated and went into the
cer, Charles ultimately was re- other points of Navy as he was commanded to
deemed by his second, Camilla view,” Mrs. do.”
Parker Bowles, whom he wed in Smith says. Although a stickler for protocol
2005. “The game-changer in his “He’s very stub- with a sharp temper, Charles has
life was marrying Camilla,” Mrs. born when it mellowed over time, Mrs. Smith
Smith says. comes to pushing his point of says. A Monty Python fan, he has a
Paradoxes dot the life of a man view.” self-deprecating sense of humor
who moves in rarified circles but Mrs. Smith first crossed paths and sustains a good-natured ri-
is most at ease in the countryside, with Prince Charles in 1991 at a valry with his sister Anne, the
where he spends hours weeding conditions before the Industrial out,” she says, citing one person polo match in England. Among the Princess Royal, to tally the most
and tending to hedges. If he hadn’t Revolution. Charles doesn’t like who served Charles’s mother, seven biographies she has written appearances every year.
been born into the royal family, computers and replies to emails Queen Elizabeth II, for almost 20 are lives of Queen Elizabeth II, as The heir apparent since the age
“he would have been a farmer,” with fountain-penned energetic years before going to work for the well as Diana, the Princess of of three, Charles has waited a re-
Mrs. Smith says. scrawls known in England as his Prince of Wales. The employee Wales, who died in 1997. cord stretch of time to become
In the early 1990s, Charles ad- “black spider” memos. found the shift “a total shock to Charles’s life is improbable, king. Queen Elizabeth, who will be
vocated to “radically modernize” The 68-year-old prince does the system,” according to Mrs. Mrs. Smith says, because it follows 91 this month, is Britain’s longest-
the monarchy, in part by slimming know how to use a smart phone Smith. “He said, ‘In the whole time a jagged arc compared with his reigning sovereign. Mrs. Smith de-
down the royal payroll. But the and to text, Mrs. Smith says, a I worked for the Queen, she never mother’s smooth grooming for the scribes how as a boy, Charles
fervent modernizer also is an un- concession largely to communicate called me on the weekend. And the throne. Charles “was caught be- watched his 27-year-old mother
apologetic luddite, who bought with his staff. There has been first weekend I worked for Prince tween the modern world and the practice for her coronation, walk-
property in Romania’s Transylva- churn among employees because Charles, he called me five times.’ ” world of his parents, his mother in ing around the nursery wearing a
nia in part to experience life in the energetic royal “wears people The exacting prince can seem particular,” she says. With his par- bejeweled crown.
© 2017 Dow Jones & Co., Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ5059
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A10 | Tuesday, April 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK
Donald Trump and
The Truth About the China Trade Shock The Plutocrat’s Hubris
W
hen President Trump hosts Chinese and unemployment to workers in trade-exposed
President Xi Jinping this week at sectors is comparable—or even lower—than the By Joseph Epstein A strong argument can be made that,
I
contra Trump, success in business is
Mar-a-Lago, trade will be high on the risk to workers in non-traded sectors and that
n the petit-bourgeois, confidently too narrow to transfer to other realms.
agenda. If Mr. Trump hopes to these risks have not increased philistine milieu in which I grew up, Orderly thought is needed for success
come away a winner, he’ll need New evidence shows that during the period of more in- plutocratic values held a firm pur- of any kind. So, too, the clarity to get
the right objectives. That imports made firms and tense competition with Chi- chase. When the men gathered in the outside oneself to grasp the larger
means focusing on China’s nese imports.” living room after dinner, money talked— forces involved in any complicated
mercantilist practices without workers more competitive. A second recent study— those who had found the greatest finan- transaction. Confidence helps, to be
jeopardizing the benefits of “Firm Reorganization, Chinese cial success tended to dominate the con- sure. But making a wad in real estate,
mutual trade and investment. Imports, and US Manufactur- versation. Since Lou Riskin had made a mail order or auto sales doesn’t impart
Support for this policy comes from two re- ing Employment” by Columbia Ph.D. candidate killing in the mail-order business, the any special advantage in understanding
cent economic studies that debunk the claim Ildikó Magyari—looks at the impact of Chinese assumption was that he had penetrating the complexities of health care, African-
that imports from China—particularly after its imports on U.S. companies. It finds that trade things to say on the subject of urban re- American culture or foreign policy—as
newal. Saul Levine had run the most Mr. Trump and his billionaire-laden
accession to the World Trade Organization in with China reduced costs and allowed firms to
successful Buick agency in the city, cabinet are discovering.
2001—have hollowed out large areas of the U.S. expand “their total manufacturing employment therefore definitely worth listening to
and made Americans worse off. in industries in which the US has a comparative him hold forth on welfare.
The two new papers address the work of MIT advantage relative to China, even as specific” When I hear Donald Trump talk, I It’s now obvious financial
economist David Autor and co-authors David parts of the same company got smaller. think of how much at home he would
Dorn and Gordon Hanson, who have published Although Chinese imports may mean job have felt in those living rooms. The
success does not easily
several papers on Chinese imports. Their much- losses in one part of the company, Ms. Magyari guy’s a multibillionaire, cleaned up in transfer into other realms.
quoted study, “The China Syndrome: Local Labor writes, “these losses were more than offset by real estate, so why shouldn’t he know
Market Effects of Import Competition in the gains in employment within the same firms. about health care, immigration, life in
United States,” looked at 722 geographic areas Contrary to conventional wisdom, firms ex- the inner cities? Or if he doesn’t know, President Trump’s first weeks in office
no reason why with a bit of quick study demonstrate the hubris of the plutocrat.
from 1990 to 2000 and 2000 to 2007. It found that posed to greater Chinese imports created more
he can’t find out enough to put every- The defeats began with his releasing an
“rising imports cause higher unemployment, manufacturing and nonmanufacturing jobs thing in order. immigration order neither well thought
lower labor force participation, and reduced than non-exposed firms.” Somewhere David Ri- My father was a moderately success- out nor even quite legal. He obviously
wages in local labor markets that house import- cardo is smiling. ful businessman—for a kid who never didn’t investigate thoroughly the men he
competing manufacturing industries.” Both studies conclude that competition from finished high school, an immensely suc- hired for key positions in his campaign
Jonathan Rothwell, senior economist at Gal- China increased the value of U.S. workers. As Ms. cessful one—but too well-mannered to (Paul Manafort) or his administration
lup and a visiting scholar at George Washington Magyari notes, using Census Bureau data, compa- wish to dominate these living-room dis- (Mike Flynn). On health care, he evidently
University Institute of Public Policy, studied the nies that faced competition and reorganized, ex- cussions. Yet he had no argument with had no notion of the variety of views
effects of China trade on the same areas during panded employment “by 2 percent more per year the underlying rules of the game. As an within his newly adopted party.
the same two time periods. His findings, pub- as they hired more (i) production workers in man- adolescent, I heard several of his busi- I’ve not read “The Art of the Deal,”
lished in “Cutting the Losses: Reassessing the ufacturing, whom they paid higher wages, and (ii) ness homilies: If you work for a man for nor do I plan to do so during this life, but
a dollar an hour, always give him two I should imagine that the heart of any ef-
Costs of Import Competition to Workers and in services complementary to high-skilled and
dollars worth of effort; you make your fective negotiation is finding common in-
Communities,” are different because his meth- high-tech manufacturing, such as R&D, design, money not in selling, but in buying terests among those at the bargaining ta-
odology is different. engineering, and headquarters services.” right; you can’t argue with success. ble. In business, the paramount common
The Autor team compared changes across the An import surge does hurt some workers in That last bit was the only one that, interest is obvious: money, profit all
two time periods, but Mr. Rothwell analyzed the some industries, and the Chinese surge after its as I grew older, began to get on my round. In politics, it turns out, much
two time periods separately. He did this to ac- entry into the WTO was bigger than most. But the nerves. What, I would ask my father, is more is usually entailed.
count for macroeconomic trends, which were evidence suggests that its impact was also a net better to argue with? How the success In government, unlike business, many
not the same in both times for all places. For ex- benefit to many U.S. workers and firms, and that’s was achieved, what went into it, who things cannot be delegated. Careful
ample, the dot.com boom followed by a bust in without taking into account the benefit to con- suffered because of it? By success my study may be sufficient for determining
places like San Jose, Calif., shows a downturn in sumers from lower prices for clothing and other father meant financial success. The where to build a new hotel, but an un-
the second period compared to the first but that daily goods. In any event that surge is now over money game was the real one, and not derstanding of varied, often subtle hu-
the least satisfying thing about it was man motives is required to compose and
had little to do with China. and the U.S. economy has adjusted.
the tidy means of keeping score: How pass a complex piece of legislation.
Mr. Rothwell’s results show that foreign com- Mr. Trump is right to press Mr. Xi on intellec- much, in hard cash, did one come out That financial success doesn’t easily,
petition didn’t affect workers in manufacturing tual property and cyber theft, high tariffs, favor- with in the end? or always, transfer into other realms is
any more than domestic factors like automation, itism to “national champions” and other bad I am someone who finds it difficult now obvious. Let’s hope that the evi-
bad management or right-to-work, low-tax practices. He shouldn’t worry about trade in to think about money for more than dence on display during the early days
states. The economist finds “the risk of layoff general or the size of the trade deficit. two minutes at a time. I rather envy of his administration will soon humble
those who have earned enough money even so arrogant a man as America’s
to sit out forever from the financial new president. Donald Trump and those
Japan’s Open Hand to South Korea wars, but I don’t envy them sufficiently
to drop the things that interest me
who support him ought to think about
arguing with success, at least as the plu-
T
okyo’s decision to send Ambassador Ya- the war. But it makes no sense to kill a deal that more in order to emulate them. Money- tocrats construe it.
making seems a useful skill, but not
sumasa Nagamine back to Seoul is a re- offers help for victims in their old age. In this much more. I’ve known too many nin- Mr. Epstein’s books include “Frozen
sponsible decision that will benefit the case, left-wing groups are exploiting the comfort nies who seem to have mastered it to in Time: Twenty Stories” and “Wind
security of Japan and South women issue to hold the coun- be in thrall myself. Sprints: Shorter Essays.”
Korea. The display of leader- Countering North Korea try’s foreign policy hostage.
ship should inspire reflection is too important to let gently Japan and South Korea ur-
among South Koreans.
Mr. Nagamine was with-
drawn from his post early this
need to improve coop-
WWII issues interfere. eration to meet the threat from
North Korea. Last November
No Justice in Argentina
year after the South failed to the two countries reached a The international com- an amnesty for both sides. But when
honor the terms of a 2015 agreement to resolve the deal to share military intelligence. And this week munity is up in arms President Néstor Kirchner took office in
about last week’s at- 2003, he and his wife, Cristina (who was
issue of “comfort women”—Korean women forced they are holding a joint naval exercise along with
tempt by the Venezuelan president from 2007 to 2015) decided
to become prostitutes by the Japanese Imperial the U.S. aimed at countering submarine- Supreme Court to take they would make a name for themselves
Army during World War II. The deal included Jap- launched missiles. Mr. Nagamine’s return will over the National Assem- as human-rights advocates by jailing the
anese compensation for the survivors. help security ties develop smoothly.
The breakthrough agreement also required As Japanese Vice Minister for Foreign Affairs AMERICAS bly, as if doing so would armed forces. The propaganda from the
mark the end of democ- left was already hip-deep, as evidenced
By Mary
Seoul to remove a statue of a Korean girl placed Kiyoshi Odawara wrote in these pages in Janu- racy in the troubled na- by the widespread belief that the dicta-
Anastasia
as a protest outside the Japanese Embassy. That ary, “It is difficult to accept the actions of activ- O’Grady
tion. Let’s face it: That torship “disappeared” 30,000 individu-
didn’t happen, and activists erected an identical ists undermining the trust and expectation of ship sailed long ago. The als, a claim never substantiated.
statue outside the Japanese Consulate in Busan. friendship that we have strenuously worked to onset of authoritarian- With the help of the many militants
It’s easy to understand that many South Kore- build up.” As Tokyo continues to act responsibly ism in Venezuela dates to at least April still dreaming of making Argentina an-
ans remain dissatisfied with Tokyo’s refusal to and offer reconciliation, Seoul has a responsibil- 2002, when the military tried and failed to other Cuba, the Kirchners began arrest-
remove then-President Hugo Chávez for ing former soldiers. They refused to ar-
fully acknowledge atrocities committed during ity to reciprocate.
his violations of the constitution. rest former guerrillas, though many
In those days of the glorious “Bolivar- openly admitted that they had been part
Y
the rule of law and civil liberties as a Clearly not everyone who wore a uni-
ou wouldn’t know from the heavy media come by taxing firms that employ robots. problem. Now it’s beginning to dawn. form was complicit in crimes committed
coverage of Marine Le Pen, but the Na- The problem for Mr. Hamon is that voters as- Thanks a lot. by the military. Most were not. But the
tional Front leader isn’t the only radical sociate him with President François Hollande’s di- It’s not the first time reality got by Kirchners wanted headlines. They
outsider threatening the sastrous tenure, which began in the global elite. For some reason, so- packed the courts with left-wing
French political establishment Socialist voters are 2012 with a march to the hard called human-rights defenders always judges—some of whom were former
in this month’s presidential abandoning the party for left and ended with modest at- rise in opposition to left-wing tyranny guerrillas—who allowed false testimony
only after it has become entrenched. for the prosecution and mobs in the
election campaign. The other tempts at pro-growth reforms. While there is still a chance to make a courtroom to harass witnesses. Many
is independent hard-left candi- a hard-left alternative. Socialist voters who liked the difference? Crickets. defendants were tried in groups, which
date Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who reform half are now supporting Take a country that has rounded up, is against Argentine law. Judges did lit-
over the weekend overtook the Mr. Macron, while the party’s imprisoned and denied adequate medi- tle to hide their biases, sometimes hug-
center-left Socialists in the polls. base sees Mr. Mélenchon as the authentic voice cal care to almost 2,200 citizens since ging fans of the prosecution in jubilation
Mr. Mélenchon is in striking distance of dis- of the left. Why support Mélenchon-lite in Mr. 2005. Only about one-third of those after issuing a guilty verdict.
placing the center-right’s François Fillon in third Hamon if you can get the real thing? prisoners have been given their day in Frequently a lack of evidence tying a
place, not far behind the two frontrunners, Ms. Le France’s leftist grandees are urging the two court. Those who have made it to a tri- defendant to a crime was no obstacle to
Pen and the independent centrist Emmanuel Ma- men to merge campaigns in the hope of making bunal have mostly received show trials. a conviction. He could be pronounced
cron. If enough Socialist voters abandon their it to the runoff, likely against Ms. Le Pen, but Mr. The rest are languishing in jails. Almost guilty on the ground that, given his rank
400 have died behind bars. and posting, he should have known
party’s candidate, Benoît Hamon, Mr. Mélenchon Mélenchon has so far resisted. It isn’t clear whom
Burma, Cuba, North Korea? No, this about human-rights violations. It’s hard
might make it to the second round in May. his voters would support in case Mr. Mélenchon is “democratic” Argentina. The prison- to think of a modern republic anywhere
The 65-year-old spent 35 years in the Social- is eliminated in the first round. Mr. Mélenchon so ers are former members of the mili- in the world that would stand for such a
ist Party before leaving in 2008 to launch his loathes Ms. Le Pen that he refuses to mention her tary. Their problem: They defeated the manipulation of justice.
own movement, which he calls “Unbowed by name, yet the two see eye-to-eye on many eco- left-wing guerrillas of the 1970s and According to the nongovernmental or-
France.” Mr. Mélenchon makes Bernie Sanders nomic questions. early 1980s. ganization La Fuerza de los Dignos—
look like American Senator Ted Cruz, and his Like Ms. Le Pen, Mr. Mélenchon wants to see The guerrillas never got over their made up of sons and daughters of impris-
campaign platform would undo even the mod- Paris form an alliance with Vladimir Putin and loss and are now getting revenge via Ar- oned military—717 former members of
est pro-growth reforms enacted in France over Bashar Assad. He wants to pull the country out gentina’s courts, which deny the former the armed forces have been convicted,
the past decade while adding a raft of new stat- of NATO, and he views the European Union as soldiers their civil liberties. The victims and most have received life sentences. Al-
ist measures. a “neoliberal” vehicle designed to oppress of the guerrilla terrorism have lost their most 1,100 are still in the process of being
rights as well. The state has never com- investigated and tried. Most of them are
These include raising the minimum wage by French workers. Voters who back such a plat-
pensated their families, or even recog- over 70, which means they are entitled to
15% to €1,300 ($1,386) a month after taxes; form might prefer to hold their noses and vote nized their suffering. house arrest under Argentine law. But
shortening the workweek to 32 hours from 35, for Ms. Le Pen in a runoff instead of supporting The “Dirty War” began in Argentina that, too, is politically incorrect in a na-
and lowering the retirement age to 60 from 62. a reformer like Mr. Macron. in the early 1970s, when Castro-inspired tion dizzied by leftist spin. So they sit in
Mr. Mélenchon would slap a 100% tax on anyone France isn’t the only country where the tradi- youth brought terror to the country, jail—for years, denied due process. Mean-
earning 20 times the median income, or about tional center-left party is either jumping further bombing, robbing, kidnapping and mur- while former terrorists roam free.
€33,000 a month. For bad measure, he vows a to the left or falling off a political cliff, or both. dering politicians, businessmen, diplo- Argentines want to move on from this
€273 billion splurge in stimulus spending, public Support for Britain’s Labour Party has plum- mats, police and others. The chaos was painful history. They would rather not
works and “green” projects. meted under the leadership of ’60s-style radical so overwhelming that in 1975 Isabel confront it. In Mauricio Macri, they have
Mr. Hamon, his rival for the left-wing vote, Jeremy Corbyn, and the center-left Labor Party Perón ordered the military to “annihi- elected a reformer as president. But he
calls these proposals irresponsible. But Mr. fell apart in last month’s election in the Nether- late” the subversives. In 1976, with the faces violent obstruction from Kirchner-
civilian government at wit’s end, the era diehards.
Hamon, a former education minister, isn’t all lands, supplanted by the Greens and the far-left military took over. It remained in power If the nation is to avoid Venezuela’s
that moderate himself. He won the Socialist D66 party. until 1983. No one doubts that it, along fate, it needs to restore the rule of law.
nomination after thumping the party’s reform The collapse of Europe’s center-left is as im- with the guerrillas, committed human- That means granting justice to the many
wing, led by former Prime Minister Manuel portant a story as the rise of the far-right. In rights violations. victims of the rotten judiciary that
Valls. Mr. Hamon would also shorten the work- France it is another reason not to rule out a Le In 1989, in an attempt to reconcile the served the Kirchners’ political ends.
week, and he wants to fund a universal basic in- Pen victory next month. nation, President Carlos Menem decreed Write to O’Grady@wsj.com.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, April 4, 2017 | A11
OPINION
T
ing in assessing major tax changes. investment meaningfully in Amer-
he implosion of the U.S. But the frameworks put out last year ica’s roads, bridges, railways and air-
Republican health-care bill by the Trump campaign and House ports. It could be funded with a
shows the limits of what Republicans don’t pass the test. mandatory one-time tax—say, of
one party alone can do in They would add trillions of dollars 15%—on unrepatriated foreign earn-
Washington. Tax reform to the deficit while providing, re- ings as part of the transition to the
will be even trickier, since it touches spectively, 50.8% and 99.6% of their new international tax system. Both
a larger fraction of the economy and benefits to the top 1%, according to tax reform and infrastructure would
threatens more powerful vested in- the Tax Policy Center. be good for growth—and pairing
terests. The only hope for seriously • Focus on business taxes only. them has been a staple of Demo-
revamping America’s inefficient This is where the largest economic cratic and Republican proposals
business-tax system to unlock stron- gains from tax reform can be found. alike in recent years.
ger economic growth is a bipartisan In part that’s because companies can Following these five steps is the
approach, but it will require a course and do move across borders in way to enact genuine, durable tax re-
correction by President Trump. Here search of lower taxes, while individ- form. If Republicans work alone,
are five important steps to building uals are much less likely to do so. they might be able to pass a tempo-
DAVID GOTHARD
a sensible tax reform: For a reformed system to work, rary tax cut through the reconcilia-
all large companies should have to tion process, which requires only 51
file under the corporate-tax code, as votes in the Senate. But the rules of
Focus on fixing the badly President George W. Bush’s tax- reconciliation mean that the tax cut
reform commission proposed. Small would sunset after a decade. That
broken corporate-tax businesses should have their rates already tax U.S. companies doing expense their investments fully would only add a new layer of uncer-
system, and commit left alone but could be helped in business there at more than 19%. But while disallowing interest deduc- tainty on top of America’s inefficient
other ways—for instance, with more- on investments in low-tax countries tions—effectively like a consumption tax system, while swelling the bud-
to no loss of revenue. generous tax breaks for research or such as Ireland, which has a corpo- tax. At the same time, eliminate as get deficit.
employer benefits. rate rate of 12.5%, U.S. firms would many loopholes as possible and Real tax reform would create win-
• For overseas business income, pay the difference. Profits reported lower the tax rate as far as possible. ners and losers, making it almost
• Commit to revenue neutrality adopt something like a “minimum in tax havens such as the Cayman Is- These reforms would make the tax impossible to pass with only one
and distributional neutrality, as in tax.” The current system, which lands could end up facing nearly the system neutral toward investing in party. Republican majorities are rel-
the 1986 tax reform. In other words, taxes U.S. companies on their repa- full 19%. different types of assets, as well as atively slim, and vested interests
a bipartisan plan would focus on triated earnings at the regular rate This is a less-elegant solution to neutral between financing with debt trying to sink the legislation would
making the tax system more efficient of 35%, is badly broken. It raises lit- taxing international income than the or with equity. need to pick off only three GOP sen-
without cutting the revenue raised tle or no revenue while imposing House Republican plan of shifting to How far could rates drop? Clos- ators or 22 representatives. An eas-
or shifting the burden in any direc- substantial distortions, such as giv- a territorial system with a border ing loopholes and moving to an in- ier path would be to write a biparti-
tion. This wouldn’t require a change ing firms an incentive to stash adjustment. But the GOP proposal ternational minimum tax would pro- san bill and aim for the support of
in rhetoric. House Speaker Paul Ryan money overseas permanently. comes with serious side effects: vide some revenue. If the goal is 30 Democrats in the Senate and 100
has already said tax reform should A minimum tax instead would ap- large movements in the currency, revenue neutrality, then getting the in the House. That could be doable,
be revenue-neutral, and Treasury ply to all overseas earnings at some shifts in asset prices and the poten- rate down to 28% might be possible. but only if President Trump is open
Secretary Steven Mnuchin has said intermediate rate—President Obama tial to start a trade war. A minimum But the 15% or 20% rate proposed to changing his approach.
that there will be “no absolute tax proposed 19% and Republican Sen. tax would avoid all of those. by the Trump campaign and House
cut for the upper class.” Rob Portman supported a lower rate. • For domestic business income, Republicans, respectively, would be Mr. Furman, a senior fellow at the
Any specific legislation should be Earnings could then be repatriated adopt something along the lines of impossible without massively rais- Peterson Institute for International
judged against these benchmarks by tax-free. A minimum tax wouldn’t the House Republican proposal. Shift ing the deficit. Economics, was chairman of the
the nonpartisan analysts at the Joint apply to investments in countries from taxing profits to taxing cash • Incorporate into the bill a real White House Council of Economic
Committee on Taxation, a group that such as Germany or the U.K., which flow. This would allow businesses to plan for public infrastructure spend- Advisers from 2013 to 2017.
Who Wins When Foreign Firms Comply With U.S. Tax Laws?
By Nigel Green Fatca (subtracting IRS enforcement stitutions sift through millions of cli- expenses. That included some C$100 when massive compliance practices
R
costs) may be closer to $200 mil- ent accounts looking for American million spent by the Bank of Nova sprang up, offering their services and
ecently I launched the Cam- lion a year and possibly as low as “indicia.” Although there is no offi- Scotia alone as of 2013. advising that repeal of the law wasn’t
paign to Repeal Fatca—the For- $100 million. cial figure for the cumulative world- Mr. Byrnes cites KPMG and Del- in the cards. “Fatca is here to stay,”
eign Account Tax Compliance That isn’t enough to fund the fed- wide cost, the magnitude can be ex- oitte estimates that more than experts from Deloitte, Ernst & Young,
Act. The 2010 law, which purports to eral government for more than half trapolated from piecemeal disclo- 250,000 foreign financial institutions KPMG and PricewaterhouseCoopers
track down tax cheats hiding money an hour. It’s far less than was ex- sures by banks and the companies are affected by Fatca, with costs for rushed to pontificate.
abroad, forces foreign banks and pected at Fatca’s enactment, since some of the larger ones reaching As a businessman, I have no ob-
other financial institutions to disclose the law was scored as bringing in more than $200 million. The repre- jection to anyone offering profes-
Americans’ accounts to the Internal $800 million a year. Excepting penal- Soon the Foreign Account sentative of Spain’s Banco Bilbao sional expertise. But non-American
Revenue Service. ties, writes Mr. Byrnes, Fatca could Vizcaya Argentaria said in a paper accountants who pooh-pooh the no-
Threatened with U.S. sanctions if “soon cost more money than it Tax Compliance Act will released in 2014 that compliance tion that Fatca could be repealed of-
they don’t comply, banks around the brings in.” cost more to enforce than costs could range from $8.5 million ten have little insight into American
world have rushed to submit to That meager gain must be for a local entity to $850 million for politics. What lies behind the smug
Fatca. Foreign governments have weighed against the law’s costs. it recovers in taxes. a global one. The British government posture of inevitability other than
hastened to abrogate their domestic Fatca adds one more onerous and estimated the aggregate initial costs making sure vulnerable clients main-
privacy laws. Fatca, it seems, has expensive reporting obligation for to U.K. financial institutions at $1.1 tain a proper Stockholm syndrome
been a big success. But who really American taxpayers who hold any selling them services. These ex- billion to $1.9 billion, with a continu- docility?
benefits? asset abroad. It largely duplicates penses, as Mr. Byrnes writes, are ing cost of $60 million to $100 mil- Fatca was not subjected to a cost-
Not the U.S. budget. The IRS existing mandates, notably the Re- “staggering.” lion a year. benefit analysis before it was en-
claimed in October that Fatca has port of Foreign Banks and Foreign In 2014 Thomson Reuters sur- Thus there are plausible projec- acted, but the results are now in. As
helped it to collect $10 billion since Accounts, and the penalties for er- veyed some 300 financial institu- tions that the law’s aggregate global a revenue tool for the public purse,
2009 from “taxpayers coming back ror are draconian. The Tax Founda- tions, 27% of which expected their cost is anywhere from $60 billion to the law is a failure. Instead it offers
into compliance.” But that figure tion estimated in 2016 that comply- annual Fatca compliance costs of be- $170 billion. That money comes out a windfall of corporate welfare for
lumps in penalties for filing deficien- ing with Fatca each year takes tween $100,000 and $1 million. The of the pockets of consumers, deposi- the compliance industries. That’s no
cies and money from all offshore en- almost 4.5 million hours and costs same year, The Wall Street Journal tors and perhaps shareholders. reason to keep it.
forcement programs. $166 million. reported that Canada’s five biggest There’s no question where this
William H. Byrnes, a law profes- But the really big boodle goes to banks collectively had spent about money goes—not to the U.S. govern- Mr. Green is founder and CEO of
sor at Texas A&M, believes the ac- the accounting, law and software 750 million Canadian dollars ($693.5 ment but to the bottom line of the deVere Group, a world-wide financial
tual net recovery attributable to firms that help foreign financial in- million) on initial Fatca compliance vendors. Fatca had barely passed consultancy.
Y
spring 2014 that Doe had engaged allegations and impose punish- lawsuit, in late 2013 a female phi- he “was not a perpetrator himself,”
ale’s president, Peter Sa- in sexual intercourse with a woman ments where appropriate. The let- losophy teaching assistant filed a in the lawsuit’s words. A few
lovey, affirmed in October without her consent. He alleges that ter also directed schools to reduce complaint with the university’s Ti- months later, the same Title IX of-
that “we adhere to excep- the woman expressly consented and due-process protections for the ac- tle IX office about a short paper fice initiated the sexual-assault in-
tionally strong principles of free on that evening she harassed him. cused, typically men. Doe had written. In the context of vestigation against him.
expression.” He invoked Yale’s ex- He adds that Yale’s disciplinary pro- Doe insists that Title IX must Through a spokeswoman, Yale
emplary 1974 Woodward Report, cedures were stacked against him protect men as well as women. In described the lawsuit as “legally
which states that the university’s and administered by biased officials punishing him for sexual assault on A class essay condemning baseless and factually inaccurate”
educational mission is inextricably who presumed his guilt. the basis of allegations that were but declined on confidentiality
bound up with “the right to think This case is unusual in several either unfounded or refuted by rape was ‘unnecessarily grounds to address any specific fac-
the unthinkable, discuss the un- respects. Doe advances one rela- facts to which both sides of the dis- provocative,’ the Title IX tual allegations.
mentionable, and challenge the tively new and one completely pute agreed, the lawsuit argues, If the lawsuit’s account is accu-
unchallengeable.” novel legal theory. The relatively Yale discriminated against him on coordinator allegedly said. rate, Yale has reached a new low in
A February lawsuit tells a differ- new one revolves around Title IX, the basis of his sex in violation of the annals of campus policing of
ent story. Tucked inside the the 1972 federal law that provides Title IX. speech. Surely no female student
amended complaint, Doe v. Yale, is that “no person” may be discrimi- The novel legal theory flows out Socrates’ account in Plato’s “Repub- would incur criticism, much less
the extraordinary claim that Yale nated against based on sex in edu- of a reading of “state action” doc- lic” of the tripartite soul, the paper censorship or punishment, for pro-
punished the anonymous male cational programs that receive fed- trine developed by Jed Rubenfeld of argued that rape was an irrational viding weighty philosophical au-
plaintiff for writing a class essay in eral assistance. Yale Law School, who served as act in which the soul’s appetitive thority in support of the proposi-
which he condemned rape. In April 2011, the U.S. Education Doe’s faculty adviser during the uni- and spirited parts overwhelm rea- tion that rape is wrong.
Like dozens of lawsuits now Department’s Office for Civil Rights versity’s sexual-assault proceedings. son, which by right rules. If Doe’s story is true, Yale is no
working their way through state issued a “Dear Colleague” letter Doe argues that through the “Dear According to the lawsuit, Pamela longer satisfied in enforcing correct
and federal courts, Doe v. Yale al- declaring that Title IX imposed a Colleague” letter, the Education De- Schirmeister, Title IX coordinator opinions. To utter the correct opin-
leges that university officials duty on colleges and universities partment conscripted Yale to enforce and an associate dean in the Gradu- ion, Yale also demands that you be
grossly mishandled sexual-assault receiving federal funding—as virtu- criminal law—thereby transforming ate School of Arts and Sciences, the correct sex. Far from protecting
allegations. According to the com- ally all do—to investigate, prose- the private university into an agent summoned Doe to her office and the right to “discuss the unmen-
of the government. told him his rape example was “un- tionable” in accordance with the
That would subject the university necessarily provocative.” She or- Woodward Report, Yale is stretch-
to constitutional limitations. Thus dered him to have no contact with ing the boundaries of censorship by
PUBLISHED SINCE 1889 BY DOW JONES & COMPANY Doe alleges Yale violated his 14th the teaching assistant and directed abridging the right to discuss even
Rupert Murdoch Robert Thomson Amendment rights to due process him to attend sensitivity training at the uncontroversial.
Executive Chairman, News Corp Chief Executive Officer, News Corp and equal protection of the law. the university’s mental-health cen-
Gerard Baker William Lewis This case also involves free ex- ter. She also informed him that he Mr. Berkowitz is a senior fellow
Editor in Chief Chief Executive Officer and Publisher pression because it began, Doe al- had become a “person of interest” at the Hoover Institution, Stanford
Matthew J. Murray DOW JONES MANAGEMENT: leges, with Yale’s draconian regula- to Yale, which meant that the uni- University.
Deputy Editor in Chief Mark Musgrave, Chief People Officer;
DEPUTY MANAGING EDITORS: Edward Roussel, Innovation & Communications;
Anna Sedgley, Chief Operating Officer & CFO;
Real journalists and real news from America’s most trusted newspaper.
#TheFaceOfRealNews
Source: Pew Research Center, Political Polarization & Media Habits, 2014
© 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ5144
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Yen vs. Dollar 110.9510 g 0.40% Hang Seng 24261.48 À 0.62% Gold 1251.80 À 0.36% WTI crude 50.27 g 0.65% 10-Year JGB yield 0.075% 10-Year Treasury yield 2.337%
Macau
Ford Motor Co. reported a
7.2% sales decline in March
compared with the year-ear-
Gambles
lier month. The Dearborn,
Mich., auto manufacturer
pulled back on fleet sales
On High
and experienced a substan-
tial decline in sales of pas-
senger cars.
Leading Japanese auto
week to preserve cash. Gal- tains evidence of a crime. Inc., changed its policy last gations are jeopardized, and
axy Entertainment, which
has net cash, and Sands
Law-enforcement authorities
send Google thousands of re-
year when a New York federal
appeals court became the high-
the processing of all search
warrants. Coordinating with
sometimes end unsuccessfully,”
said Justice Department
SAFER CARS
China, which has a robust quests a year for user data in est judicial body to rule that hundreds of employees, the spokesman Peter Carr. “The COST MORE
mass business, may be
more resilient.
probes ranging from investiga-
tions of human trafficking and
data on foreign servers is be-
yond the reach of warrants.
company quickly developed
tools to identify and filter out
Justice Department is holding
Google to its legal obligation.”
TO INSURE
It could be time to take child pornography to terrorism That case was brought by data stored overseas, Google In at least one case, involv-
some bets off the table. and white-collar cases. Google’s Microsoft Corp., which sought said in court documents. Please see GOOGLE page B4 FINANCE & MARKETS, B5
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
B2 | Tuesday, April 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
A
Airbus Group...............A3
Alphabet ................ B1,B4
Amazon.com ............... B1
Imagination
I
Technologies Group..B4
Institute for Supply
Management.............B7
P
Prada ........................... B1
Q
Qualcomm...................B4
Mustard Maker Is for Sale
Apple......................B4,B8
Audi.............................B1 Intel.............................B8 R Reckitt Benckiser
B Investec Bank.............B4 Reckitt Benckiser Group starts strategic review
J .....................................B2
Boeing.........................A3
S
of French’s food unit;
C Juniper Networks.......B3
L
Sands China................B1 higher margins prized
Credit Suisse...............B1
SoftBank Group..........B4
F Live Nation
Entertainment..........B3
Starbucks....................B3 BY DENISE ROLAND
FedEx...........................A3 T
Ford Motor ............ A1,B1 Lombard Odier............B1
Tencent Holdings........A1 French’s mustard is up for
G M
Tesla............................A1 sale.
Galaxy Entertainment Malaysian Airline Reckitt Benckiser Group
U
Group.........................B1 System......................A3
Uber Technologies ...... B4
PLC, the British owner of
General Motors.....A1,B1 Mead Johnson Nutrition
America’s best-selling mustard
W
and Blue Band. agement of the business. with permanent lung damage Heard: Kraft Heinz might not
Reckitt’s acquisition of French’s is already managed by a humidifier disinfectant be the best match. ............... B8
BUBBLE
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Continued from the prior page
BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY built and lack light,” Mr. Bray
said.
The gains are testing the
limits of government measures
BRENDON THORNE/BLOOMBERG NEWS
BUSINESS NEWS
Schneider
Electric
Starbucks CEO Faces U.S. Test
New captain Kevin Johnson is tasked with turning around the coffee giant’s fortunes at home
To Sell BY JULIE JARGON
trial products and services Kaspersky announced Mon- puter intrusions, this latest Reserve Bank of New York last
companies, according the day at its security conference piece of evidence isn’t conclu- year at the Federal Reserve
Swiss Private Equity & Corpo- on the Caribbean island of St. sive. It is technically possible, Bank of New York last year af-
rate Finance Association web- Maarten that its researchers for example, for someone to ter initiating fraudulent orders
site. It invests in companies in had obtained digital records hack the North Korean com- asking for nearly $1 billion.
Europe and the U.S., taking eq- showing a European server puter and connect it to the The use of digital currency
uity stakes ranging in size used by the group to launch its Lazarus server to throw off in- may have been one of the rea-
from €20 million to €200 mil- attacks exchanged data in Jan- vestigators, Mr. Kamluk said. sons that Lazarus’s server logs
lion, according to the website. uary with a computer that had Bangladesh Bank’s account was attacked at the New York Fed. Although the attacks against weren’t removed, Mr. Kamluk
The acquisition of DTN an internet address belonging Sony and Bangladesh Bank oc- said. The European server
gives TBG ownership of the to North Korea’s state-owned was conducted by North Korea. Nations went unanswered. curred in 2014 and 2016, re- containing log files was config-
Progressive Farmer magazine, internet service provider. Although The Wall Street The newly discovered evi- spectively, the Lazarus group ured to perform a series of cal-
a storied U.S. agricultural peri- Security experts have long Journal reported last month dence came from a rare techni- has been active since at least culations that generated
odical founded in 1886. That suspected the hacking group, that the FBI is pursuing a cal error by the Lazarus hack- 2009 and recently has targeted Monero, a digital currency sim-
operation, though, is only a known as Lazarus, was backed criminal case linking North Ko- ers, according to Kapersky. banks in Europe and the U.S., ilar to Bitcoin. But this compu-
small part of DTN’s business. by North Korea, but that as- rea to Lazarus’s activity, the The hackers failed to re- Mr. Kamluk said. Lazarus is a tationally intensive work
It also collects and electroni- sessment hinged on a 2014 agency hasn’t provided any move computer-log files on a name given to a group of the seems to have overwhelmed
cally transmits weather infor- Federal Bureau of Investigation public evidence to substantiate server used by the group, and hackers by security research- the machine, Mr. Kamluk said.
mation to farmers, primarily claim that one Lazarus hack— the alleged North Korean link. these digital records show the ers. No member of the group “They overconsumed the re-
in the U.S. on a subscription the compromise of Sony Pic- Multiple calls to the North server briefly connecting to has been publicly identified. sources of the server and the
basis. tures Entertainment in 2014— Korean mission to the United another computer in North Ko- Often, as with the Bangla- server just crashed,” he said.
What truly differentiates a law firm is how it serves its clients. When our
clients tell us that the quality of our work and the experience of working
©2017 K&L Gates LLP. All rights reserved.
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
Stored Communications Act, a ously. That’s because, as a A. FOWLER from one of iPad family, the 12.9-inch
pre-internet age statute autho- Google told judges, a file can be Apple’s most- iPad Pro. About the size of a
rizing the government to com- split into “smaller chunks” and hyped prod- box of Cheerios, it also works
pel the disclosure of electronic stored in separate servers. ucts to one of its slowest to with the Apple Pencil and
records with a judge-approved Lawyers for Google and evolve. Even last year’s 9.7- keyboard case, sold sepa-
warrant based on probable other tech companies say it’s inch “Pro” model looks like a rately. It’s a potential laptop
cause. not just customer privacy at is- fraternal twin of the 2013 iPad replacement: Its battery lasts
It’s a fight Google says it sue. Turning over foreign data Air. That doesn’t mean they longer than many of Apple’s
tried to avoid. Court papers de- risks an intrusion upon foreign aren’t worth owning: iPads, newest MacBooks.
scribe failed attempts at “con- sovereignty that could provoke which outsell Macs, serve
structive dialogue” with the countermeasures, they have ar- many of us well from vacation 2016: iPad Pro 9.7
Justice Department. gued. spots to children’s playrooms. The fancy processor,
In the wire-fraud case in San In a brief supporting For most of us, here’s my screen, speakers and accesso-
Francisco, Google said in court Google’s position, Microsoft simple advice: If you bought Seven generations of iPads. The latest one has a 9.7-inch display. ries of the big boy come to a
papers that its data-location and Apple said the govern- one of the new iPads in No- familiar form. The smaller
tools enabled it to disclose ment’s position “invites foreign vember 2013 or after, you’re the grandparents. The low- 2013: iPad Air and iPad Pro is only a hair thicker
more emails it could now con- nations to reciprocate by like- golden. Those, including the resolution screen might hurt Mini with Retina Display than the iPad Air 2.
firm were domestically stored. wise demanding that local of- first iPad Air and iPad Mini our precious eyes. It’s also This is the fastest stan-
Prosecutors say Google is still fices of U.S. technology compa- 2, can run iOS 10, Apple’s lat- slower than molasses. Ver- In this banner year, the dard-sized iPad you can buy
holding back email attach- nies turn over U.S. citizens’ est and most secure software. dict: Give it to a 5-year-old. iPad shed a third of its today. But unless you’re an
ments, calendar data and pho- private communications stored If you enjoy a stroll down weight, and the Mini got the artist or trying to replace a
tos that could be important ev- on U.S. soil.” memory lane—or seek a tad 2012: iPad with Retina screen we love. laptop, you don’t need all the
idence. The Justice Department, for more specific upgrade ad- display (aka iPad 3), iPad Today, both are still fine. bells and whistles.
There hasn’t been any ruling its part, says Congress never vice—I present seven years of Mini and iPad 4 They run the current iOS 10
in this case yet. intended to create such an in- iPads and what they’re still and can handle the tasks 2017: iPad
The fight in some ways vestigative impediment. good for today. This iPad came with the most of us use iPads for. Apple didn’t even give its
echoes Apple’s confrontation “Because Google’s data high-resolution screen we now If you keep them, you’re latest—the seventh-genera-
with the Justice Department moves across its global net- 2010: iPad take for granted. But the Ret- stuck with two mild frustra- tion standard iPad—a new
last year over whether the work automatically and does In the beginning, Steve ina iPad was heavier than the tions: The screens are hard to name. With the same proces-
company could be forced to un- not persist in any one geo- Jobs said, “Let there be iPad 2, and I’ve bonked my see in direct sunlight, and sor as an iPhone 6s, it’s a bit
lock a terrorist’s iPhone. The graphic location,” the govern- iPad.” nose a few times while read- there’s no Touch ID finger- slower than an iPad Pro, but
standoff ended after the gov- ment told a Wisconsin federal Nowadays, however, mine ing in bed. The 7.9-inch Mini print reader to speed up un- that’s noticeable only if you
ernment said it bought a court in March, “the Microsoft sometimes doesn’t even turn didn’t have the nicer screen locking, banking and shop- play games or run intensive
phone-hacking tool to crack the decision renders such data in- on. It can still stream Netflix, (and wouldn’t hurt your nose). ping. apps like Adobe Lightroom.
device without Apple’s help. accessible.”
BUSINESS WATCH
LLUIS GENE/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
GRAB pore-based company to expand BOX OFFICE additional $59 million to the
its offerings beyond ride-hailing DreamWorks Animation film’s
Ride Service Buys services, by moving into online ‘Boss Baby’ Delivers total gross.
Indonesia’s Kudo payments and e-commerce in In- Strong Opening The weekend’s other new
donesia. wide release feature, “Ghost in
Ride-hailing company Grab Kudo allows customers with- “The Boss Baby,” an animated the Shell,” fared worse, with a
said it was acquiring the Indone- out access to traditional banking comedy featuring Alec Baldwin disappointing debut of $19 mil-
sian e-commerce company Kudo services to shop online. as the voice of a petulant, pint- lion. “Ghost in the Shell,” starring
for an undisclosed sum, and said The ride-hailing company said size executive, unexpectedly Scarlett Johansson as a cyborg
it hopes to expand its online it plans to invest $700 million in took the No. 1 spot at the box in futuristic Japan, is based on a
payments network in the coun- Indonesia over the next four office this past weekend with an popular comic series whose fan
try. years to help develop the coun- estimated $49 million in the U.S. base was expected to turn out
Grab’s acquisition of Kudo try’s digital economy. and Canada. in stronger numbers.
Google no longer discloses data that it believes is stored overseas. paves the way for the Singa- —Dan Strumpf Overseas grosses added an —Erich Schwartzel
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, April 4, 2017 | B5
Deutsche
Bank
Safer Cars Cost More to Insure
Premiums reflect since 2003. In addition to the
Executives tech vehicles do crash and radars to detect potential hazards but the
high-tech gear can make repairs costlier when
a collision can’t be averted. Stereo camera,
as more miles driven and dis-
tracted driving, a company
spokeswoman said.
BY JENNY STRASBURG BY CHRISTINA ROGERS Car-crash fatalities are in-
infrared night vision;
AND LESLIE SCISM creasing as people spend more
Deutsche Bank AG is shuf- Near-range lidar (light detection time on the road and attempt
fling more executives while it New cars loaded with high- cameras and ranging) to multitask with smartphones
searches for a new chief finan- tech crash-prevention gear are while at the wheel. Miles
cial officer and reshapes having a perverse effect on Ultrasonic driven by Americans
global businesses for the sec- car-insurance costs: They are sensors rose 2.8% to a record 3.2 tril-
ond time in 18 months. soaring. Radar lion in 2016, according to the
The lender’s group trea- Safety features such as au- devices Federal Highway Administra-
surer since 2009, Alexan- tonomous braking and systems tion. That increase was far
der von zur Mühlen, will to prevent drivers from drift- outpaced by a 6% surge in mo-
leave that post and return to ing out of their lanes are in- tor-vehicle deaths in the same
the investment bank, where creasingly available on vehi- period.
he previously worked, accord- cles rolling off assembly Industrywide, the average
ing to people familiar with lines. Auto companies and Average damage-repair cost, annual car-insurance premium
the matter. third-party researchers say change from previous year* increased 14% since 2014 to
The move, to be announced these features help prevent 4% $990, according to an estimate
as soon as this week, means crashes and are building by the Insurance Information
Mr. von zur Mühlen will con- blocks to self-driving cars. But 2 Institute.
tinue working for current CFO progress comes with a price. “Safer vehicles are more ex-
Marcus Schenck, who will co- Enabling the safety tech are 0 pensive to repair,” Liberty Mu-
head a newly recombined in- cameras, sensors, micropro- tual Chief Executive David
vestment bank once a new cessors and other hardware –2 Long told investors in March,
CFO is named. whose repair costs can be explaining why the severity of
’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16
The investment bank, more than five times that of claims is increasing. The Bos-
Deutsche Bank’s largest divi- conventional parts. And the Note: Diagram shows approximate placement of devices in a typical configuration. *Based on damage appraisals of repairable vehicles ton-based company, among the
sion, is being restructured to equipment is often located in Sources: Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, Highway Loss Data Institute, AAA (technology); CCC Information Services (cost) 10 largest car insurers, has
encompass the trading unit bumpers, fenders and external THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. been raising rates by an aver-
that was split from the deal- mirrors—the very spots that age annual 9% since late last
advisory and transaction- tend to get hit in a crash. In- tems on our vehicles.” surers estimate 25% to 50% of fall over time. year.
banking businesses in late surance companies, unwilling Mr. Woods ended up nego- all vehicles on the road will Owners of ADAS-equipped “We are nowhere near an
2015. to shoulder all the pain, are tiating a price reduction with have to have forward-collision cars aren’t the only ones foot- inflection point,” Allstate
Plans are being drawn up passing some of the cost to State Farm. prevention systems before ac- ing the bill. Liability insurance Corp. spokesman Justin Hern-
for new, adjacent offices to be buyers. Insurance sticker shock is a cident rates decline enough to is on the rise, too: A driver of don said. Even after an aver-
constructed for the invest- Jeff Woods, a professor in blow to auto makers looking offset higher repair costs. a more-basic car may be liable age 7% increase in 2016, he
ment-bank co-heads, Mr. Illinois, recently bought a 2017 to increase adoption of high- It now costs $166 to fix a for damages in a collision with said “there is really no other
Schenck and current markets Volkswagen Passat to replace tech safety packages, which conventional left mirror on a a vehicle loaded with safety place for premiums to go but
chief Garth Ritchie, on the a two-year-old model. It was can add thousands of dollars 2015 Mercedes-Benz ML350, gear. up.”
fourth floor of Deutsche loaded with so-called active to the price of a new car and according to Allstate Corp., Bumpers, fenders, grilles The National Highway Traf-
Bank’s London headquarters, safety equipment. So he deliver significantly higher but the repair bill balloons to and side mirrors fitted with fic Safety Administration esti-
people with knowledge of the wasn’t expecting his State margins than other options. $925 for that mirror with col- safety sensors often cost more mated more than 90% of all
plans say. That floor is home Farm insurance-policy premi- At present, though, only a lision-avoidance technology. A to fix because of the need to crashes are caused by human
to a reduced European stock- ums to jump 20% to $1,200 a fraction of buyers opt for the tech-equipped mirror on a recalibrate software and the error.
trading business. year. technology, often known as Lexus RX 350 is $840, more limited availability of replace- Some insurers are experi-
“I was told by the car deal- “advanced driver assistance than double the $390 for a ment parts, said Susanna menting with discounts. Hart-
ership all the technology systems,” or ADAS. As a result, mirror without the tech. Gotsch, lead analyst for CCC ford Financial Services Group
would improve the cost of in- replacement parts are dispro- An industry alliance repre- Information Services, which Inc. is piloting a program in a
The investment bank surance,” Mr. Woods said. “In- portionately expensive. senting a dozen auto manufac- provides software to collision- few states that offers breaks
is narrowing its client stead, it went up.” Volkswagen About 14% of vehicles sold turers declined to comment on repair shops, insurers and the for car buyers who get fea-
AG declined to comment on in the 2016 model-year were repair costs. Several auto mak- automotive industry. tures such as automatic-brak-
roster while trying to Mr. Woods’s experience but equipped with collision-miti- ers said safety is a prior- State Farm in October ing systems or adaptive head-
recover market share. said it was “proud to offer ad- gation technology, according ity, and while new parts are raised Illinois insurance rates lights; Liberty Mutual also
vanced-safety technology sys- to WardsAuto.com. Some in- expensive at first, they tend to 5.9%, the largest such jump offers some discounts.
kets division: Dixit Joshi is $305 million for 2016, up from years from three consecutive The firm said the 2016 under-
moving into the job after $211 million the previous year. large global grain crops, but lying profit increased from the
overseeing fixed-income sales The total was well below the there are signs of improvement. previous year, but didn’t disclose
globally since late 2015, ac- 2014 level of $648 million. Last week, Cargill, the largest figures.
cording to people familiar “Oversupply, market shocks, of the four, said that quarterly Gunvor’s total trading volume
with the pending move. Dis- geopolitical dynamics and ad- net income in the period ended rose to 187 million metric ton
cussions about the plans were verse weather conditions were Feb. 28 rose 42% to $650 mil- from 180 million tons in 2015.
earlier reported by eFinan- some of the difficulties that the lion. —Sarah Mcfarlane —Sarah Mcfarlane Cane is harvested at a Dreyfus farm in 2012.
cialCareers.
Mr. Joshi’s departure from
global markets is the latest
example of change in client- HSH Nordbank Gets Advertisement INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT FUNDS
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still narrowing its client ros-
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Two Offers to Buy It FUND NAME
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—%RETURN—
YTD 12-MO 2-YR
market share it has lost in BY WILLIAM WILKES Karatzas Marine Advisors &
VP Classic-B Units AS EQ HKG 03/31 USD 128.32 12.0 20.1 -0.3
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ployees, including some in the FRANKFURT—The race to bly have to be parceled into VP Classic-C Units HKD H
VP Classic-C Units NZD H
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EQ HKG
EQ HKG
03/31 HKD
03/31 NZD
11.00
13.39
11.7
11.0
19.0
19.9
NS
0.9
Data as shown is for information purposes only. No offer is being made by
investment bank and trading sell HSH Nordbank AG picked different sizes in order for the Morningstar, Ltd. or this publication. Funds shown aren’t registered with the VP Classic-C Units RMB AS EQ HKG 03/31 CNH 11.39 9.3 25.7 NS
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and aren’t available for sale to United VP Classic-C Units RMB H AS EQ HKG 03/31 CNH 10.86 13.0 22.0 NS
division, have been discussed up speed after Apollo Global states to get the best price for States citizens and/or residents except as noted. Prices are in local currencies. VP Multi-Asset Fund Cls A HKD OT OT HKG 03/31 HKD 10.10 5.0 NS NS
as potential CFO candidates, Management LLC and China’s taxpayers. All performance figures are calculated using the most recent prices available. VP Multi-Asset Fund Cls A USD OT OT HKG 03/31 USD 10.24 4.8 7.0 NS
VP Taiwan Fund AS EQ CYM 03/31 USD 18.59 11.0 22.6 7.0
but people close to the bank HNA Group made offers for The global shipping crisis is NAV —%RETURN—
FUND NAME GF AT LB DATE CR NAV YTD 12-MO 2-YR
say Deutsche Bank executives the state-owned German bank. also complicating the process, For information about listing your funds,
have signaled that an external HSH Nordbank faces liqui- with banks world-wide strug- n Chartered Asset Management Pte Ltd - Tel No: 65-6835-8866 please contact: Freda Fung tel: +852 2831
Fax No: 65-6835 8865, Website: www.cam.com.sg, Email: cam@cam.com.sg
hire is more likely. dation if it can’t find a buyer gling to unload bad shipping CAM-GTF Limited OT OT MUS 03/24 USD 310782.95 2.6 7.3 -2.1 2504; email: freda.fung@wsj.com
The CFO search is focusing after the European Commis- loans and shipping companies
on fluent German speakers sion last year ordered its own- scrapping worthless vessels.
with experience in a finance ers, the federal states of Ham- In Germany, Deutsche Bank
role at a bank or other finan- burg and Schleswig-Holstein, AG and Commerzbank AG
cial entity, the people said.
Deutsche Bank executives
have said they are confident
to sell their combined 85%
stake in the bank.
The privatization must be
have warned that their losses
on shipping loans could be as
high as €346 million and €600
n Website: Https://Www.Valuepartners-Group.Com/ Tel: (852) 2143 0688
China A-Share Fund Cls A AUD H OT
China A-Share Fund Cls A AUD UnH OT
China A-Share Fund Cls A CAD H OT
OT HKG
OT HKG
OT HKG
03/31 AUD
03/31 AUD
03/31 CAD
12.66
11.41
11.69
7.4
4.4
7.1
13.3
9.0
11.5
-0.9
-2.5
-1.5
LIST YOUR
China A-Share Fund Cls A EUR H OT OT HKG 03/31 EUR 12.27 6.8 10.4 -2.1
the revamped strategy an- completed by February 2018, million, respectively. China A-Share Fund Cls A EUR UnH OT OT HKG 03/30 EUR 12.28 6.5 13.4 NS
GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls P MDIs SGD H OT OT CYM 03/31 SGD 10.31 6.1 20.3 13.2
for the troubled bank, which Ermisch has urged the bank’s GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls P USD Acc sh OT OT CYM 03/31 USD 15.10 6.3 20.6 12.9
last week said it had loan loss state owners not to dawdle on GC Hi Yield Inc-Cls P USD MDIs sh OT OT CYM 03/31 USD 9.44 6.3 20.6 12.9 wsja.advertising@dowjones.com
GC Hi Yield Inc-ClsA MDIs EUR H OT OT CYM 03/31 EUR 10.31 5.7 18.5 11.6
provisions of €2 billion ($2.13 the cleanup and privatization. Hi-Div Stk Cls A RMB H Acc OT OT HKG 03/31 CNH 11.28 12.8 17.7 4.4
Hi-Div Stk Cls A RMB UnH Acc OT OT HKG 03/31 CNH 13.45 9.8 21.4 6.7
billion) because of soured The finance ministries of Hi-Div Stk Cls A1 OT OT HKG 03/31 USD 80.07 11.6 15.4 2.0
shipping loans. Hamburg and Schleswig-Hol- Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 AUD H MDIs OT
Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 CAD H MDIs OT
OT HKG
OT HKG
03/31 AUD
03/31 CAD
9.57
9.70
11.4
11.5
15.4
14.2
2.2
1.0
The bidders were earlier re- stein said in a joint statement Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 GBP H MDIs OT OT HKG 03/31 GBP 9.17 12.4 14.5 0.6
Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 HKD MDIs OT OT HKG 03/31 HKD 9.99 12.0 15.8 2.0
ported by Bloomberg. they were “very satisfied” with Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 MDIs OT OT HKG 03/31 USD 10.91 11.4 15.2 1.8
Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 NZD H MDIs OT OT HKG 03/31 NZD 9.80 11.6 16.0 3.2
While the offer details the response from interested Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 RMB H MDIs OT OT HKG 03/31 CNH 9.50 13.2 18.0 4.3
weren’t known, the cost to ac- buyers, without naming them. Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 RMB UnH MDIs OT
Hi-Div Stk Cls A2 SGD H MDIs OT
OT HKG
OT HKG
03/31 CNH
03/31 SGD
9.93
10.53
10.1
NS
22.6
NS
7.0
NS
quire the bank could fall The ministries plan to launch Intel-China Converg Fund-A AUD H AS EQ CYM 03/31 AUD 10.04 14.1 14.9 NS
Intel-China Converg Fund-A CAD H AS EQ CYM 03/31 CAD 10.16 -0.1 1.4 NS
sharply as the February 2018 talks with interested parties, Intel-China Converg Fund-A NZD H AS EQ CYM 03/31 NZD 11.33 10.4 11.0 NS
deadline draws nearer. though any deal requires Euro- Intel-China Converg Fund-A Units AS
Intel-Chinese Mainland Foc Fund AS
EQ CYM
EQ CYM
03/31 USD
03/31 USD
150.10
42.73
12.5
15.3
14.4
18.6
-3.7
-1.1
CFO Marcus Schenck will move. Basil Karatzas, founder of pean Union approval. VP Classic-A Units AS EQ HKG 03/31 USD 285.47 12.1 20.7 0.2
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
B6 | Tuesday, April 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS DIGEST
Nikkei 225 Index STOXX 600 Index S&P 500 Index Data as of 12 p.m. New York time
Last Year ago
18983.23 s 73.97, or 0.39% Year-to-date t 0.69% 379.29 t 1.85, or 0.49% Year-to-date s 4.94% 2346.38 t 16.34, or 0.69% Trailing P/E ratio * 24.75 23.82
High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 19633.75 14952.02 High, low, open and close for each 52-wk high/low 381.14 308.75 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 18.28 17.49
trading day of the past three months. All-time high 38915.87 12/29/89 trading day of the past three months. All-time high 414.06 4/15/15 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 1.97 2.20
All-time high: 2395.96, 03/01/17
International Stock Indexes Data as of 12 p.m. New York time Global government bonds
Latest 52-Week Range YTD Latest, month-ago and year-ago yields and spreads over or under U.S. Treasurys on benchmark two-year
Region/Country Index Close NetChg % chg Low Close High % chg and 10-year government bonds around the world. Data as of 12 p.m. ET
World The Global Dow 2676.08 –16.09 –0.60 2193.75 • 2720.47 5.8 Country/ Spread Over Treasurys, in basis points Yield
MSCI EAFE 1787.08 –5.90 –0.33 1471.88 • 1956.39 4.1 Coupon Maturity, in years Yield Latest Previous Month Ago Year ago Previous Month ago Year ago
MSCI EM USD 962.97 4.60 0.48 691.21 • 1044.05 21.2 5.250 Australia 2 1.752 51.4 50.4 52.4 122.1 1.758 1.833 1.957
4.750 10 2.687 35.4 31.6 33.5 76.6 2.702 2.815 2.537
Americas DJ Americas 565.86 –3.95 –0.69 480.90 • 577.65 4.7
3.000 Belgium 2 -178.9 -178.2 -185.0 -116.5 -0.528 -0.541 -0.429
-0.551
Brazil Sao Paulo Bovespa 64816.71 –167.36 –0.26 47873.65 • 69487.58 7.6
0.800 10 0.821 -151.3 -154.7 -167.5 -139.6 0.839 0.805 0.376
Canada S&P/TSX Comp 15468.09 –79.66 –0.51 13217.17 • 15943.09 1.2
0.000 France 2 -0.503 -174.1 -172.4 -179.7 -117.1 -0.470 -0.488 -0.435
Mexico IPC All-Share 48793.76 252.20 0.52 43902.25 • 49523.94 6.9
0.250 10 0.952 -138.2 -142.7 -153.0 -130.2 0.959 0.950 0.470
Chile Santiago IPSA 3699.17 6.82 0.18 2998.64 • 3764.58 14.8
0.000 Germany 2 -0.808 -204.6 -199.6 -212.3 -120.7 -0.742 -0.813 -0.471
U.S. DJIA 20538.52 –124.70 –0.60 17063.08 • 21169.11 3.9
0.250 10 0.279 -205.5 -205.7 -212.8 -163.6 0.329 0.352 0.135
Nasdaq Composite 5871.21 –40.53 –0.69 4574.25 • 5928.93 9.1
0.300 Italy 2 -0.076 -131.4 -131.5 -135.8 -76.0 -0.061 -0.049 -0.024
S&P 500 2346.38 –16.34 –0.69 1991.68 • 2400.98 4.8
1.250 10 2.144 -19.0 -24.3 -37.6 -54.9 2.143 2.104 1.223
CBOE Volatility 13.31 0.94 7.60 9.97 • 26.72 –5.2
0.100 Japan 2 -0.167 -140.5 -144.7 -159.4 -95.4 -0.193 -0.285 -0.218
EMEA Stoxx Europe 600 379.29 –1.85 –0.49 308.75 • 381.14 4.9 0.100 10 0.075 -225.9 -231.7 -240.6 -183.4 0.069 0.074 -0.062
Stoxx Europe 50 3145.86 –14.83 –0.47 2626.52 • 3174.79 4.5 4.000 Netherlands 2 -0.751 -198.9 -196.6 -209.7 -122.1 -0.712 -0.788 -0.485
France CAC 40 5085.91 –36.60 –0.71 3955.98 • 5132.93 4.6 0.750 10 0.539 -179.4 -180.9 -187.7 -155.2 0.577 0.603 0.220
Germany DAX 12257.20 –55.67 –0.45 9214.10 • 12375.58 6.8 4.450 Portugal 2 -0.166 -140.4 -139.9 -132.4 -50.1 -0.145 -0.015 0.235
Israel Tel Aviv 1394.65 –1.36 –0.10 1372.23 • 1504.42 –5.2 2.875 10 3.558 122.4 126.0 143.1 96.2 3.645 3.911 2.733
Italy FTSE MIB 20242.88 –250.06 –1.22 15017.42 • 20540.39 5.2 2.750 Spain 2 -0.219 -145.7 -144.0 -161.1 -72.6 -0.186 -0.302 0.010
Netherlands AEX 513.45 –3.09 –0.60 409.23 • 518.88 6.3 1.500 10 1.636 -69.8 -74.0 -88.1 -40.2 1.645 1.599 1.370
Russia RTS Index 1122.98 9.22 0.83 839.62 • 1196.99 –2.5 4.250 Sweden 2 -0.607 -184.5 -186.5 -190.3 -138.1 -0.611 -0.594 -0.645
Spain IBEX 35 10325.30 –137.60 –1.32 7579.80 • 10462.90 10.4 1.000 10 0.593 -174.1 -178.5 -178.8 -101.1 0.601 0.692 0.760
Switzerland Swiss Market 8633.86 –25.03 –0.29 7475.54 • 8710.26 5.0 1.750 U.K. 2 0.112 -112.6 -112.5 -121.6 -30.7 0.129 0.093 0.429
South Africa Johannesburg All Share 52457.76 401.70 0.77 48935.90 • 54704.22 3.6 4.250 10 1.067 -126.6 -124.4 -129.6 -36.0 1.142 1.184 1.411
Turkey BIST 100 88669.47 –277.93 –0.31 70426.16 • 91497.00 13.5 1.250 U.S. 2 1.238 ... ... ... ... 1.254 1.309 0.736
U.K. FTSE 100 7282.69 –40.23 –0.55 5788.74 • 7447.00 2.0 2.250 10 2.334 ... ... ... ... 2.386 2.480 1.772
Asia-Pacific DJ Asia-Pacific TSM 1555.00 7.43 0.48 1308.52 • 1570.38 9.3
Australia S&P/ASX 200 5872.70 7.80 0.13 4924.40 • 5896.20 3.7 Commodities Prices of futures contracts with the most open interest 12 p.m. New York time
China Shanghai Composite 3222.51 … Closed 2806.91 • 3282.92 3.8 EXCHANGE LEGEND: CBOT: Chicago Board of Trade; CME: Chicago Mercantile Exchange; ICE-US: ICE Futures U.S.; MDEX: Bursa Malaysia
Hong Kong Hang Seng 24261.48 149.89 0.62 19694.33 • 24593.12 10.3 Derivatives Berhad; TCE: Tokyo Commodity Exchange; COMEX: Commodity Exchange; LME: London Metal Exchange;
NYMEX: New York Mercantile Exchange; ICE-EU: ICE Futures Europe. *Data as of 3/31/2017
India S&P BSE Sensex 29910.22 289.72 0.98 24673.84 • 29910.22 12.3 One-Day Change Year Year
Indonesia Jakarta Composite 5606.79 38.68 0.69 4704.22 • 5606.79 5.9 Commodity Exchange Last price Net Percentage high low
371.50 7.25 1.99% 387.25 354.25
Japan Nikkei Stock Avg 18983.23 73.97 0.39 14952.02 • 19633.75 –0.7 Corn (cents/bu.) CBOT
Soybeans (cents/bu.) 944.00 -2.00 -0.21% 1,088.25 942.75
Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite 1745.49 5.40 0.31 1614.90 • 1754.67 6.3
Wheat (cents/bu.)
CBOT
CBOT 433.75 7.25 1.70 477.00 416.25
New Zealand S&P/NZX 50 7225.01 28.23 0.39 6664.21 • 7571.11 5.0
Live cattle (cents/lb.) CME 110.925 0.050 0.05 114.200 103.150
Pakistan KSE 100 48227.75 71.82 0.15 33566.22 • 50192.36 0.9
Cocoa ($/ton) ICE-US 2,103 8 0.38 2,273 1,869
Philippines PSEi 7341.65 29.93 0.41 6563.67 • 8102.30 7.3
Coffee (cents/lb.) ICE-US 139.45 0.15 0.11 159.30 136.20
Singapore Straits Times 3187.51 12.40 0.39 2729.85 • 3187.51 10.6
Sugar (cents/lb.) ICE-US 16.81 0.05 0.30 21.21 16.58
South Korea Kospi 2167.51 7.28 0.34 1925.24 • 2178.38 7.0
Cotton (cents/lb.) ICE-US 75.68 -1.65 -2.13 79.46 71.55
Taiwan Weighted 9811.52 … Closed 8053.69 • 9972.49 6.0 Robusta coffee ($/ton) ICE-EU 2150.00 1.00 0.05 2,279.00 2,093.00
Thailand SET 1580.86 5.75 0.37 1356.69 • 1591.00 2.5
Copper ($/lb.) COMEX 2.6085 -0.0440 -1.66 2.8360 2.4800
Source: SIX Financial Information;WSJ Market Data Group Gold ($/troy oz.) COMEX 1255.00 3.80 0.30 1,268.10 1,152.20
Silver ($/troy oz.) COMEX 18.245 -0.011 -0.06 18.540 16.000
Currencies London close on April 3 Aluminum ($/mt)* LME 1,954.50 -5.50 -0.28 1,960.00 1,688.50
Tin ($/mt)* LME 20,000.00 -50.00 -0.25 21,225.00 18,760.00
Yen, euro vs. dollar; dollar vs. major U.S. trading partners US$vs,
Mon YTDchg Copper ($/mt)* LME 5,865.50 -15.50 -0.26 6,156.00 5,518.00
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Lead ($/mt)* LME 2,319.00 -30.50 -1.30 2,445.00 2,022.00
20%
Europe Zinc ($/mt)* LME 2,802.00 -46.50 -1.63 2,958.50 2,555.00
Bulgaria lev 0.5447 1.8358 –1.2 Nickel ($/mt)* LME 9,955.00 -55.00 -0.55 11,095.00 9,430.00
10 WSJ Dollar index
0.1436 6.966 –2.9
s
Croatia kuna Rubber (Y.01/ton) TCE 245.00 unch. unch. n.a. n.a.
sYen Euro zone euro 1.0664 0.9378 –1.4
0 Palm oil (MYR/mt) MDEX 2663.00 17.00 0.64 3068.00 2642.00
Czech Rep. koruna-b 0.0394 25.370 –1.2
s Euro Denmark krone 0.1434 6.9747 –1.3 Crude oil ($/bbl.) NYMEX 50.29 -0.31 -0.61 57.50 47.01
–10 0.003455 289.42 –1.7
Hungary forint NY Harbor ULSD ($/gal.) NYMEX 1.5693 -0.0053 -0.34 1.7770 1.4825
Iceland krona 0.008783 113.85 0.8 RBOB gasoline ($/gal.) NYMEX 1.6989 -0.0041 -0.24 1.9065 1.5824
–20 Norway krone 0.1164 8.5894 –0.6
0.2511 3.9831 –4.9
Natural gas ($/mmBtu) NYMEX 3.151 -0.039 -1.22 3.5070 2.7370
2016 2017 Poland zloty
Russia ruble-d 0.01775 56.327 –8.1 Brent crude ($/bbl.) ICE-EU 53.20 -0.33 -0.62 59.89 50.00
US$vs, US$vs,
YTDchg YTDchg Sweden krona 0.1117 8.9551 –1.7 Gas oil ($/ton) ICE-EU 473.50 1.25 0.26 526.50 448.00
Mon Mon
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Switzerland franc 0.9977 1.0023 –1.6
Turkey lira 0.2743 3.6452 3.5 Sources: SIX Financial Information; WSJ Market Data Group
Americas Hong Kong dollar 0.1287 7.7711 0.2
Ukraine hryvnia 0.0370 27.0000 –0.3
Argentina peso-a 0.0648 15.4363 –2.7
India rupee
Indonesia rupiah
0.0154
0.0000750
65.0401
13331
–4.3
–1.4
U.K. pound 1.2488 0.8008 –1.1 Cross rates London close on Apr 3
Brazil real 0.3208 3.1173 –4.2 Middle East/Africa
Japan yen 0.009013 110.95 –5.2
Canada dollar 0.7465 1.3396 –0.3 USD GBP CHF JPY HKD EUR CDN AUD
Kazakhstan tenge 0.003192 313.33 –6.1 Bahrain dinar 2.6532 0.3769 –0.1
Chile peso 0.001519 658.20 –1.7 Australia 1.3161 1.6433 1.3129 0.0119 0.1693 1.4032 0.9825 ...
Macau pataca 0.1249 8.0055 1.1 Egypt pound-a 0.0552 18.1320 –0.003
Colombia peso 0.0003488 2866.86 –4.5 Canada 1.3396 1.6728 1.3365 0.0121 0.1724 1.4284 ... 1.0180
Malaysia ringgit-c 0.2259 4.4275 –1.3 Israel shekel 0.2749 3.6373 –5.5
Ecuador US dollar-f 1 1 unch
New Zealand dollar 0.6997 1.4292 –1.0 Kuwait dinar 3.2781 0.3051 –0.2 Euro 0.9378 1.1711 0.9356 0.0085 0.1207 ... 0.7001 0.7126
Mexico peso-a 0.0534 18.7387 –9.6
Pakistan rupee 0.0095 104.800 0.4 Oman sul rial 2.5968 0.3851 0.03 Hong Kong 7.7711 9.7053 7.7540 0.0700 ... 8.2867 5.8012 5.9052
Peru sol 0.3080 3.2465 –3.2
Philippines peso 0.0199 50.234 1.3 Qatar rial 0.2747 3.641 0.02 Japan 110.9510 138.5500 110.6900 ... 14.2760 118.3100 82.8300 84.3200
Uruguay peso-e 0.0351 28.520 –2.8
Singapore dollar 0.7157 1.3973 –3.5 Saudi Arabia riyal 0.2666 3.7505 –0.01 1.0023 1.2517 ... 0.0090 0.1290 1.0689 0.7482 0.7617
Venezuela bolivar 0.100150 9.99 –0.1 Switzerland
South Korea won 0.0008940 1118.56 –7.4 South Africa rand 0.0732 13.6648 –0.2
U.K. 0.8008 ... 0.7989 0.0072 0.1030 0.8540 0.5978 0.6085
Asia-Pacific Sri Lanka rupee 0.0065794 151.99 2.4 Close Net Chg % Chg YTD % Chg
0.7598 1.3161 –5.2 Taiwan dollar 0.03289 30.400 U.S. ... 1.2488 0.9977 0.0090 0.1287 1.0664 0.7465 0.7598
Australia dollar –6.3 WSJ Dollar Index 90.40 0.02 0.02 –2.73
China yuan 0.1451 6.8913 –0.8 Thailand baht 0.02909 34.380 –4.0 Sources: Tullett Prebon, WSJ Market Data Group Source: Tullett Prebon
The Face of
Real News
#TheFaceOfRealNews
Source: Pew Research Center, Political Polarization & Media Habits, 2014
© 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ5221
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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B8 | Tuesday, April 4, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS
THE DAILY SHOT
WSJ
subscribers can get
Percentage change since 2015 U.S. monthly supply of houses, seasonally adjusted House prices vs. earnings (May 1996=100)
0 6 Average 150
Average
–10 4 125 hourly earnings*
–20 2 100
New privately owned housing units started, New one-family homes for sale per 30-year mortgage rate
three-month moving average 10,000 U.S. civilians
1500 4.5
20
Average
1000 4.0
10
500 3.5
Recessions Recessions
0 0 3.0
2000 ’10 1963 ’70 ’80 ’90 2000 ’10 2012 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17
Source: FactSet (change since 2015); U.S. Census Bureau (new homes for sale, housing starts, supply of houses); U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency (prices vs. earnings); Freddie Mac (30-year mortgage rate) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
Semiconductor Giant Intel Must Chip Away at Fab Rivals grow—rising a whopping 9%
last year. But corporate debt
balances are growing even
Intel is getting more seri- have been hard on Intel. Its market to be worth about Electronics, which serve the faster at 13%, according to
ous about wanting to make Semi-Sweet revenue is projected to rise $23 billion a year now, but bulk of the mobile chip mar- Deutsche Bank analysts. The
chips—for other companies. Annual revenue for fiscal by only 1% this year, but the it will likely take some time ket, also are investing heav- moment there is a pullback
It has good reason to. years ended December costs for keeping its chip to build up. ily to keep their own fabs in the broader economy,
That the company is in production facilities up-to- And it is worth noting on the leading edge. Com- debts will get tougher to ser-
this position now speaks to $60 billion date keeps going up at a that serving large custom- bined capital expenditures vice and pay off. There are
how much the semiconduc- Intel much faster pace. Capital ers such as Apple, which for the two are expected to already signs that debt is
tor business has shifted in 40 TSMC* expenditures are expected outsources production of reach $22.9 billion this spinning further out of con-
recent years. Intel has long to hit a record $12 billion the chips it designs for year, up 6% from last year, trol.
20
had a virtual lock on pro- this year after having aver- products like the iPhone, estimates analyst Wes Investors seem overjoyed
cessors for personal com- aged $9 billion annually would require a significant Twigg of Pacific Crest Secu- with apparent improvements
0
puters and servers. Those over the past three years. expansion of Intel’s produc- rities. in Chinese companies’ finan-
are huge markets that re- 2000 ’05 ’10 ’15 Intel naturally wants to tion footprint. Intel itself It helps that Intel is still cial health. Chinese bank
quire a large number of *Currency adjusted Source: S&P Capital IQ eke out a better return on notes that the cost of build- considered unrivaled in its stocks are up an average of
chips to be produced for THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. this very large investment, ing a modern chip fab is ability to squeeze more per- 10% this year, and are at last
them every year, but the PC hence the company’s latest now around $10 billion. formance out of shrinking trading, on average, close to
business has been stagnat- and being only partially off- program to offer production What is more, Intel’s pieces of silicon. However, their book value. If China’s
ing for quite a while now. set by growing sales of services to other chip de- competitors in chip fabrica- fully cashing in on that ad- economy runs into any trou-
Meanwhile, demand for server processors to cloud signers who can make use tion are hardly sitting still. vantage requires Intel to get ble, this resurgence could
servers from individual service operators. of its state-of-the-art capa- Taiwan Semiconductor Man- a little bit of help from its prove to have flimsy founda-
businesses is also slipping The results of all this bilities. Intel estimates this ufacturing Co. and Samsung friends. —Dan Gallagher tions. —Anjani Trivedi