University of Central Punjab

Faculty of Engineering
Department of Electrical Engineering

EED 2213: Probability Methods for Engineers

Summer 2019

Course Instructor
Name: Dr. Muhammad Sarwar Ehsan
Office: Old Building 306 (Research Lab)
Office Hours:
Email: sarwar.ehsan@ucp.edu.pk
Phone Extension: 215

Prerequisites
1. Calculus and Analytic Geometry

1 Course Description
Understanding of probability as relative frequency and axiomatically, the counting techniques,
concept of random variables, their characterization, mean, variance and moment generating
function, law of large numbers and central limit theorem, introduction to statistics, curve
fitting and hypothesis testing.

2 Main Topics Covered

• Basic probability concepts, conditional probability, Bayes’ theorem

• Random variable, probability density function, cumulative distribution function

• Specific random variable discrete as well as continuous

• Moments and moment generating function

• Law of large numbers

1
 • Basic statistical concepts, samples and sampling distributions

• Parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and data fitting

3 Course Learning Outcomes

CLO PLO Level Statement Assessed In
1 2 C2 Explain basic probability concepts and use Assignments,
in different problems quizes, midterm,
final
2 2 C4 Compare different types of random variables Assignments,
and their usage in science and engineering quizes, midterm,
final
3 4 C4 Apply basic statistical techniques such as Assignments,
regression, data fitting to engineering data quizes, final

4 Student Assessment Tools and their Percentage Division

• Quizzes: 15%

• Assignments: 5%

• Mid Term: 30%

• Final: 50%

5 Text Book
• R. E. Walpole, R. H. Myers, S.L. Myers and Keying Ye, Probability and Statistics for
Engineers and Scientists. 9th ed., , Prentice Hall, 2011

6 Reference Books
• Alberto Leon-Garcia: Probability and Random Processes for Electrical Engineering.
Prentice Hall, Inc. New Jersey, 3rd ed. 2008.

• Richard L. Scheaffer and James T. McClave:Probability and Statistics for Engineers.

Duxbury Press 1995.

2
7 Course Outline and Lecture Plan

Week (Lec) Topics Chapter

1 (1) Introduction and motivation to the course & some applications 1
1 (2) An overview of set theory 2
2 (1) Axioms of probability 2
2 (2) Discrete and continuous sample spaces
3 (1) Counting problems 2
3 (2) Permutations & combinations 2
4 (1) Conditional probability 3
4 (2) Bayes’ Theorem, independence of events 4
5 (1) Concept of random variables (RVs) 4
5 (2) Cumulative distribution function (cdf) 4
6 (1) Probability density function (pdf) 4
6 (2) Some important distributions (discrete) 4
7 (1) Some important distributions (continuous) 4
7 (2) The Gaussian distribution 4
8 (1) Functions of a random variable 4
8 (2) Expected value and variance 4
Mid Term
9 (1) Moments of a random variable 4
9 (2) Moment generating function 4
10 (1) Sum of random variables 7
10 (2) The sample mean 7
11 (1) Weak Law of large numbers 7
11 (2) Strong Law of large numbers 7
12 (1) Central limit theorem 7
12 (2) Introduction to statistics and estimation 8
13 (1) Samples and sampling distributions 8
13 (2) Parameter estimation 8
14 (1) Maximum likelihood estimation 8
14 (2) Confidence intervals 8
15 (1) Hypothesis testing 8
15 (2) Bayesian decision methods 8
16 (1) Curve fitting 8
16 (2) Linear regression 8
Final Term