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FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 1
June 2019
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 1
June 2019
By using his observations of Y.T. Automobiles’ production site to produce his conclusion,
Webber has not violated this standard (with the information obtained from the observations
constituting items of material, public information as well as non-material non-public
information). This holds true despite the fact that Webber used the information to conclude
that the manufacturer could be at risk of being acquired in a takeover or could file for
bankruptcy (which itself can be considered material nonpublic information that investors
would like to know). Furthermore the discussions with industry experts and representatives
from different manufactures as well as the industry information used as part of the analysis do
not violate this standard. In short, Webber has used mosaic theory to arrive at his conclusion
and has thus not violated this standard.
Standard V (A) Diligence and Reasonable Basis requires members and candidates to exercise
thoroughness, independence, and diligence when conducting investment analysis, making
investment recommendations and taking investment action. Additionally the standards
require members to have a reasonable and adequate basis supported by an appropriate level of
research and thorough investigation. Webber’s conclusion is backed by thorough research
and investigation and is thus in compliance with this standard.
By transferring stocks, possessing a low level of liquidity, from the distressed fund to the
developed equity fund, Bridges has violated this standard. This is because he has transferred
stocks to the latter fund to artificially increase the demand for these stocks. Although this
action has been done to improve the value of stocks which may benefit potential investors,
such an activity deceives potential investors into believing the stocks they are buying are
highly liquid and attractively priced.
Standard III (C) Suitability requires members and candidates, in advisory roles, to make a
reasonable inquiry into the client’s investment experience, risk and return objectives, and
financial constraints and must reassess and update this information regularly. The standard
also requires recommending investments and taking investment actions which are consistent
with the client’s financial constraints, risk and return objectives, constraints, and written
mandates. Additionally members/candidates must judge the suitability of the investment in
the context of the client’s total portfolio.
The process of transferring securities from the former to the latter fund does not violate this
standard as these stocks are not owned by any clients nor recommended at the time of the
transfer.
Based on standard III (C) Suitability’s requirements, recommending these stocks to client
categories A, B and E violate this standard. This is because:
• client category A has a short-term time horizon, significant liquidity requirements, and a
low risk tolerance level;
• client category B has significant liquidity requirements;
• client category E has a below average risk tolerance; making such an investment highly
unsuitable for all three categories.
Standard V (C) Record Retention requires members and candidate to “develop and maintain
appropriate records to support their investment analysis, recommendations actions and other
investment related communications with clients and prospects.” This standard is not relevant
in the context of the advertisement.
Standard VII (B) Reference to CFA Institute, the CFA Designation, and the CFA Program
requires members and candidates to avoid misrepresenting or exaggerating the “meaning or
implications of membership in CFA institute, holding the CFA designation or candidacy in
the CFA Program.” Additionally, there is no such thing as a partial designation.
Forecasting that Emerson will successfully complete and pass the Level III examinations
violates this standard. Additionally indicating that Emerson will achieve the completion
status following the upcoming June examinations violates this standard as there is no such
designation.
• Act with integrity, competence, diligence, respect, and in an ethical manner with the
public, clients, prospective clients, employers, employees, colleagues in the investment
profession, and other participants in the global capital markets.
• Place the integrity of the investment profession and the interests of clients above their
own personal interests.
• Use reasonable care and exercise independent professional judgment when conducting
investment analysis, making investment recommendations, taking investment actions,
and engaging in other professional activities.
• Practice and encourage others to practice in a professional and ethical manner that will
reflect credit on themselves and the profession.
• Promote the integrity of and uphold the rules governing capital markets.
• Maintain and improve their professional competence and strive to maintain and improve
the competence of other investment professionals.
Based on the investment policy of Grace Incorporated’s pension plan, Peltier will need to
assure he does not make allocations to growth stocks, and chooses securities which bring
industry diversification (belongs to industries distinct from Grace Incorporated) and are
securities of stable companies.
Based on the data provided, Peltier should ignore stock B altogether as it belongs to the same
industry as the surgical manufacturer.
Peltier cannot choose stock A as its high P/E and P/B ratio (11.2 and 13.4, respectively)
indicate it is a growth stock. Similarly the high projected EPS growth further confirm that it is
a growth stock. Thus Peltier should not consider stock B for inclusion to the plan’s
investment account.
Peltier may select stock C for inclusion into the plan’s investment account. The low P/E ratio
and high P/B ratios (3.8 and 13.6, respectively) indicate the stock is a balanced stock.
Additionally, stock C belongs to the automobile manufacturing industry which indicates it
will bring industry diversification to the plan’s account. By allocating stock C to the
investment account, Peltier does not violate the standards.
Thus by selecting stock B for the plan’s investment account, Peltier has violated standard
III(C) Suitability as he has not followed the plan’s mandate pertaining to industry
diversification.
Standard III (C) Suitability requires members and candidates to make a reasonable inquiry
into the client’s circumstances, risk and return objectives and financial constraints prior to
making any investment recommendation or taking investment action, determining whether
the investment is suitable to the client’s financial situation and consistent with the client’s
written objectives, and judging the suitability of investments in the context of the client’s
total portfolio. There is nothing in the case which indicates Lawson has violated the standard.
There is nothing to indicate that standard III (A) Loyalty, Prudence and Care has been
violated.
Should Lawson accept the round trip cruise offer, Lawson will be violating standard I (B)
Independence and Objectivity which requires members and candidates not to “accept any gift,
benefit, compensation or consideration that reasonably could be expected to compromise
their independence and objectivity.” The condition (to allocate 40% of the shares to
Schmidt’s account in exchange for a reward) attached the cruise trip will itself impair
Lawson’s independence and objectivity since, after accepting the offer, she will favor
Schmidt and allocate a portion of the corporation’s shares to his account only rather to the
accounts of other individuals who have expressed an interest in the shares.
The allocation of the 40% shares solely to Schmidt’s account additionally suggests that
Lawson has violated the standard, III (B) Fair Dealing. Schmidt should have allocated the
shares proportionally to those accounts expressing an interest, for which the investment is
suitable, as well as distribute amongst suitable accounts on a pro-rata basis.
A problem with the source code of a software development corporation’s major product line
is a piece of material information. However it is not necessary that the problem may lead to
the discontinuation of the corporation’s major product line and result in a drop in forecasted
product revenues. The two retirees are merely speculating and sharing this information with
others (either with his friend or fellow portfolio manager) does not result in Brewer violating
this standard.
The chief investment officer's claims are not valid. This is because the officer has not
prohibited the portfolio manager from avoiding emerging market stocks. Additionally, the
chosen stocks meet the socially responsible criteria. Thus by including such stocks, Brewer
has not violated this standard.
As the portfolio manager of The Senior Citizen Endowment’s portfolio, Brewer has not
violated any standards (See the solution to Part 5). Thus there are no violations which Peltier
need to prevent and/or detect. Thus as supervisor he has not violated this standard.
Standard III (C) Suitability is not relevant in this context.
Standard III (E) Preservation of Confidentiality requires members and candidates to keep
information about current, former, and/or prospective clients confidential unless the client
permits disclosure; disclosure is required by law; or the information concerns illegal activities
on part of the client. As the investment banker of G&J, Sutton has the obligation to preserve
the confidentiality of any information received on his client’s expansion plans, which he has
exclusively received. Thus by sharing these plans with Mullins, he has violated this standard.
The best action for Mullins to undertake would be to develop a research report and conclude
it with a recommendation solely based on his analysis of G&J’s future prospects. Since
Mullins believes G&J’s expansion plans may not succeed, he will probably produce a
different recommendation to the buy recommendation instructed by Herrera.
Although Mace Brokerage charges fees higher than the existing broker, the access to global
and local research as well as higher execution speed (relative to the current broker) justify the
fees. Thus by appointing Mace Brokerage, Delgado will not be violating this standard but
instead will be providing Mighty-You Inc. with greater benefits (i.e. execution).
Although Harold and Haroon Associates charges fees lower than the existing broker the
execution speeds are relatively slower. Additionally the firm provides access to local research
only. Thus the relatively slow execution speed makes this broker unsuitable for Mighty-You
Inc. Thus the appointment of this broker-candidate will violate the standard in question as
Delgado will not be providing its client with best execution.
There is a lack of sufficient evidence which may suggest that the firm may have conducted a
suitability analysis prior to implementing the derivative strategy on a portion of the client
portfolios. It is possible that such a strategy may not be suitable for or may be expressly
prohibited by some clients. Thus by implementing a derivative strategy, the firm has violated
this standard.
Standard V (A) Diligence and Reasonable Basis requires members and candidates to “have a
reasonable and adequate basis, supported by appropriate research and investigation, for any
investment analysis, recommendation or action.” The volatility of the national market, which
in turn has substantially increased the risk of several securities in client portfolios, justifies
the use of derivative to offset these risks. Thus this standard has not been violated.
Under Standard V (B) Communication with Clients and Prospective Clients, member and
candidates must disclose to clients the basic format and general principles used to analyze
investments, select securities and construct portfolios and promptly disclose any material
changes to the processes. By delaying the notification to clients (regarding the inclusion of
derivatives in their portfolios) for a period of one month, this standard has been violated.
Policy 2:
Standard III (A) Loyalty, Prudence and Care requires members and candidates to vote proxies
in the best interests of clients and their ultimate beneficiaries as well as to vote proxies in an
informed and responsible manner. A fiduciary who votes blindly with management on non-
routine governance issues violates this standard. Due to cost and benefits, it is not necessary
to vote all proxies. Policy 2 is not consistent with this standard as it does not call for voting
in the best interests of clients and ultimate beneficiaries. This is because the policy calls for
taking into account any benefits to the firm, in addition to clients’ benefits, and ignores the
benefits to beneficiaries (accruing to them as a result of the votes cast). In addition, the policy
requires votes to be cast in line the firm’s management which hampers the
member/candidate’s ability to cast his or her vote in the best interests of its clients and
ultimate beneficiaries.
Policy 3:
Under Standard V (C) Record Retention members and candidates are required to develop and
maintain appropriate records to support their investment analysis, recommendation, actions
and other investment related communications with clients and prospective clients. In the
absence of any regulatory requirements, the CFA Institute recommends a holding period of at
least seven years. By complying with local record retention regulations, policy 3 is consistent
with this standard.
Additionally, Strickland’s statement does not justify the addition of these securities to the
portfolios. The expected decrease in market and securities’ volatility is merely a prediction
which may not materialize after the quoted six-month period. Thus by basing the purchase
decision on a mere prediction of a market factor, Strickland has violated the standard V (A)
Diligence and Reasonable Basis.
There is nothing which may suggest Strickland has been dishonest or engaged in fraudulent
practices adversely affected his professional reputation, integrity or competence. Thus
Strickland has not violated standard I (D) Misconduct.
Strickland has not violated Standard I (C) Misrepresentation nor has he violated standard III
(A) Loyalty, Prudence and Care. The justification statement does not guarantee the volatility
will fall from its current levels, but instead uses the term ‘projected’ which implies Strickland
has not guaranteed any expected performance and thus has not violated standard III (D)
Performance Presentation.
Ideally, to avoid the appearance of any conflicts, Howell should not be asked to cover a
company with which he may be affiliated. Howell’s family relationship with H.O. Zone’s
executive director must be disclosed in his research report as well as to his employer, Trinity
Associates. Without taking any steps to minimize this potential conflict and failing to make
the relevant disclosures to clients, prospective client and to his employer, Howell has violated
this standard.
Standard II (A) Material Nonpublic Information requires members and candidates who
possess material nonpublic information, which has the potential to affect the value of a
security, from acting or causing others to act on the information. There is lack of evidence to
suggest that Howell may have not independently arrived at a buy recommendation or used
insider information to arrive at the recommendation. A mere speculation by Thackeray does
not necessarily mean Howell has used insider information. Additionally by using the
recommendation, Thackeray has not violated this standard (due to the uncertainty of the
information being acquired from insider resources or not).
Standard V (A) Diligence and Reasonable Basis requires members and candidates to “have a
reasonable and adequate basis, supported by appropriate research and investigation, for any
investment analysis, recommendation or action.” Additionally when using secondary
research it is necessary to make reasonable and diligent efforts in evaluating the objectivity
and independence of the recommendations; reviewing the assumptions used, the rigor of
analysis performed, and the date/timeliness of the research.
The question of whether Howell may have arrived at his buy recommendation using insider
sources remains. Without thoroughly evaluating the independence and/or objectivity of the
recommendations and relying on the recommendation Thackeray has violated this standard.
Although Byrd’s model has been considerably modified from the model developed by the
pharmaceutical chief industry executive, Byrd should acknowledge the fact that his model’s
structure was inspired by the latter model and continues to use the same factors as those
employed by the latter model. By not doing so and marketing the model as his own, he has
violated the standard.
According to this standard, Byrd must cite the annual industry forecasts obtained from
discussions with industry experts but not the industry reports published by the local
government agency in his research report.
The newsletter has accurately referred to Terry and Sosa as CFA Level III candidates.
However by stating that Terry will attain a ‘Passed Finalist’ status, the newsletter has
incorrectly referenced Terry’s candidacy in the CFA Program and this reflects a violation of
this standard. This is because there is no such status.
Standard II (B) Market Manipulation prohibits members and candidates from engaging in
practices that distort the prices or artificially inflate trading volume with the intent to mislead
market participants. However the standard does not prohibit transactions done for tax
purposes. Thus the tax-loss harvesting strategy recommended by Terry (selling securities
which have fallen in value to offset the gains on securities which have risen in value) does not
violate this standard.
Standard III (A) Loyalty, Prudence and Care requires members and candidates to act in the
best interests of clients, place client interest before their own, use reasonable care, and
exercise prudent judgment when managing the accounts of their clients. As McFadden’s
financial consultant, Terry has acted in his client’s best interests. Thus she has not violated
this standard.
Standard I (C) Misrepresentation requires members and candidates to have knowledge of all
the services the firm provides and should recommend where a client can obtain the requisite
service should the firm not be able to provide it. By assuring her client that the firm is able to
address her taxation concerns and is able to provide the necessary consultancy services, Terry
has violated his standard. This is because the firm outsources tax consultancy rather than
providing it internally. Additionally, Terry has misrepresented the tax-loss harvesting strategy
by incorrectly stating that it will help to reduce the portfolio’s taxable base in both the current
and future years. In reality, tax-loss harvesting reduces the portfolio’s taxable basis in the
current year to increase it in the future.
A buyout of the firm’s financial consultancy department by the firm managers does not
constitute a violation of this standard. This is because the firm may choose how to respond to
such an action. Thus practice 1 does not reflect a violation of this standard.
Based on standard VI (A) Disclosure of Conflict’s requirements (see the solution to Part 1), a
meeting between some of the firm’s managers after office hours does not constitute a
violation of this standard.
Thus practice 1 does not reflect any violations of the CFA Institute Standards of Professional
Conduct.
Practice 2:
The portfolio managers have complied with standard III (A) Loyalty, Prudence and Care by
using the brokerage arrangement to obtain high quality research to directly assist the
managers in managing the client portfolio.
Standard VI (C) Referral Fees requires members and candidates to disclose to their
employers, current clients, and prospective clients “any compensation, consideration, or
benefit received from, or paid to, others for the recommendation of products or services.” The
firm’s portfolio managers have referred their clients to their respective broker and have
received research in return. This arrangement must be disclosed to their existing clients
and/or any prospects who wish to employ any of these portfolio managers to manage his/her
investment portfolio. By not disclosing the arrangements to their clients, the portfolio
managers have violated this standard.
By incorrectly stated his years of experience, Byrd has not violated standard III (D)
Performance Presentation, which requires members and candidates to make reasonable efforts
to ensure that the performance they present is fair, complete, and accurate. Since the error
pertains to his industry experience as opposed to performance information, Byrd has not
violated this standard.
Standard V (C) Record Retention is not relevant in this context and there is a lack of
sufficient evidence to conclude that Byrd has not retained records used to develop research
reports and make recommendations.
Standard I (D) Misconduct requires members and candidates to avoid any professional
misconduct that may reflect adversely on their professional reputation, integrity, or
competence and encourages employers to conduct reference checks on potential employees
for any past infractions of laws.
The law which is applicable to Riku Associates is the local Shimautanian law as opposed to
the Japanese law applicable to its parent organization. Because employees with past
infractions of securities and/or trading laws of two or more counts are likely to violate such
laws again, it is advisable to avoid hiring such employees. Thus the requirements of the
Institutes’ codes and standards govern [I (D) Misconduct]. Riku Associates must preferably
hire employees with a clean past record.
Standard III (C) Suitability requires members and candidates, who are in an advisory role, to
make a reasonable inquiry into the client’s investment experience, risk and return objectives,
investment constraints and must reassess and update this information regularly. Client
portfolios must be reviewed at least annually and whenever a change in client circumstances
and/or market circumstances occurs. By instructing Lowery to conduct reviews for a period
longer than the minimum 12-month required, for whatever reason, Sayuki has violated this
standard. Additionally, Lowery has also violated this standard as he has conducted the
reviews as instructed.
Standard III (A) Loyalty, Prudence and Care does not address client portfolio reviews has not
been violated.
Standard III (E) Preservation of Confidentiality requires members and candidates to keep all
information concerning former, current, and prospective clients confidential unless the client
permits disclosure; the disclosure is required by law; or the information pertains to illegal
activities on the part of clients. By sharing information regarding Smith’s portfolio holdings
with his family friend, Lowery has violated this confidentiality standard.
The fact that such information has not yet been disclosed and pertains to the discontinuation
of a product line provides sufficient evidence that this piece of information is material and
nonpublic. Although Conway may discuss this piece of information with his supervisor,
Sayuki, his first course of action should have been to make reasonable efforts to achieve
public dissemination of the information by encouraging Furniture Ltd to make the
information public. If Furniture Ltd had refused to release the information, his next course of
action should have been to disclose the information to his supervisor or compliance
department.
However Conway has not made any such efforts and thus has violated this standard.
Standard III (E) Preservation of Confidentiality is not relevant here as the standard covers
confidential client information received by portfolio managers as opposed to the information
received by research analysts on the companies they cover.
In Fukui’s case, participating in an online interview does not violate this standard as she is
not disrupting her duties to the firm as an employee. Additionally, since Fukui has not
undertaken the potential job opportunity at Howell S. Erwin Associates, there is no need to
disclose the opportunity to her employer. Thus Fukui has not violated this standard.
Although Gifu has complied with this standard by informing the employer of the job
opportunity before resigning, he has violated this standard with respect to the backups of past
firm information stored on his home computer. In order to avoid violating this standard, he
should have removed the information from his computer before departing Riku Associates or
should have received his employer’s consent to continue to store the information. Even if he
believes the information to be obsolete, Gifu has violated this standard.
Standard III (D) Performance Presentation requires members and candidates to make every
reasonable effort that the performance they present is fair, accurate and complete. By
intentionally increasing the portfolio return by 0.2% (10.0% – 9.8%) when the portfolio
actually achieved a return of 9.8%, Fukui has clearly violated this standard.
Standard V (B) Communication with Clients and Prospective Clients requires members and
candidates, amongst other things, to separate opinion from fact in their research reports and
recommendations. By using terms such as ‘will’, Youssef is implying that the political crisis
in Kenya will definitely intensify as opposed to stating the probabilities of such an event
happening. Thus he has violated this standard.
Standard III (B) Fair Dealing requires members and candidates to deal fairly with clients
when disseminating investment recommendations, taking investment actions or analyzing
investments. Youssef has discriminated between investors by providing free access to the
database to particular investor categories while charging other investors a nominal fee.
However, standard VII (B) Reference to the CFA Institute, the CFA designation, and the
CFA Program, requires members and candidates not to exaggerate or misrepresent the
meaning or implication of candidacy in the CFA Program, amongst other requirements. By
implying that individuals with a certain level of intellect (who are ‘apt’ enough) are likely to
succeed in the program, Hanson has violated this standard.
objectivity. Members and candidates should pay for their own commercial transportation and
residence and only use the corporate aircraft offered by a client when commercial
transportation is not available.
By accepting the residential and transportation arrangements offered by the client and not
disclosing these arrangements to his employer, Hanson is in violation of this standard. In the
course of allowing JTL to make these arrangements, Hanson may have compromised his
independence and objectivity. Despite his client’s headquarters being half an hour away,
Hanson did not make any attempts to explore the transportation alternatives available.
Additionally despite the residential accommodation being modest, Hanson should have used
the residential allowances provided by his employer to seek and pay for his own residence
and transportation.
Standard IV (A) Loyalty requires members and candidates, in matters related to their
employment, to act for the benefit of their employer and not deprive their employer of the
advantage of their skills and abilities, divulge confidential information or otherwise harm the
employer. During his stay in Malaysia, Hanson has not violated this standard.
By not disclosing the research opportunity offered by the steel manufacturer to Greenwich
Limited and seeking permission prior to beginning the assignment, Hanson has violated the
standard IV (A) Loyalty which requires members and candidates to disclose all aspects of
independent practice and receive employer permission prior to the start of the proposed
independence practice.
Standard VI (A) Disclosure of Conflicts requires members and candidates to make “full and
fair disclosure of all matters that could reasonably be expected to impair their independence
and objectivity or interfere with their respective duties to their clients, prospective clients, and
their employer.” By not disclosing the fact that he is an employed research analyst serving
Greenwich Limited and misleading the steel manufacturer’s executive to believe that he is an
independent research analyst, Hanson has violated this standard.
Standard III (A) Loyalty, Prudence and Care requires members and candidates to act in their
client’s best interest and exercise prudent judgment and use reasonable care. There is no
evidence that Russet has violated this standard.
The factors which Russet instructs her portfolio managers to analyze all are factors which
have been prescribed by the suitability standard. Thus her instructions are in compliance with
the standards.
Green did not intentionally manipulate the prices of the crude oil commodity futures traded.
The heavy futures volume being traded has forced the futures contract prices downward
resulting in a (larger than expected) positive roll return when rolling into new futures
contracts. Thus Green has not violated this standard.
Standard V (B) Communication with Clients and Prospective Clients requires members and
candidates to use reasonable judgment in identifying the factors important to investment
analysis, recommendations, or actions and include those factors in communications with
clients and prospects. Additionally members and candidates must disclose the basic principles
and general format of the investment process used to analyze investments, select securities,
and construct portfolios and disclose any changes materially affecting this process. There are
no changes to the investment process which require communication with clients and/or
prospects. Thus Green has not violated this standard.
Additionally, by not revising Sanchez’s IPS to reflect her changed risk tolerance and liquidity
requirements (which has decreased and increased, respectively following her bankruptcy),
Russet has violated the standard, III (C) Suitability, which calls for revising client
information whenever client circumstances change. Speculative investments in commodity
futures are no longer suitable for Sanchez and thus by not liquidating the holdings Russet has
violated the suitability standard.
Cooper is in violation of the fair dealing standard on two counts. Firstly, relative to other
accounts, he has allocated a larger proportion of the trade to his aunt's account. Secondly, by
delaying the allocation of the trade to a regular-fee paying client, he has treated his aunt's
account unfairly.
By allocating the pharmaceutical manufacturer’s stocks to his aunt’s account a day later
following the allocation of the issue to his clients’ accounts, Cooper has unfairly treated his
aunt’s account and has violated this standard.
As long as RIM describes the concepts in its own words, it does not need to cite the source.
However, for the concepts of price multiples, RIM quotes the words of another author, so it
needs to cite the source from which the descriptions are quoted (even though these are
general concepts).
Pettit is in violation of the standard relating to material nonpublic information because as the
firm's CEO she knew the information was both material and nonpublic and by disclosing the
information to her daughter, she is in violation.
are not his clients can either do the work themselves or become his client if they want access
to his expertise.
Kew has violated Standard 3(A), Loyalty, Prudence and Care, and 3(C), Suitability. The
private equity fund is an illiquid investment since it locks up the fund’s asset for three years.
The IPS clearly states investment in liquid assets. Therefore, private equity is not suitable for
the pension fund.
trading, the case for a trading prohibition is compelling. In such a case, the potential for
illegal profits is great so the most prudent course for firms is to suspend arbitrage activity
when a security is placed on the watch list.
Statement 2 is correct. Adequate compliance procedures are those designed to meet industry
standards, regulatory requirements, the requirements of the Code and Standards, and the
circumstances of the firm.
Standard I (A) Knowledge of the Law requires members and candidates to “understand and
comply with all the applicable laws, rules, and regulations of any government”, amongst
other institutions, “governing their professional activities”. In the event of a conflict, the most
strict law, rule, or regulation applies.
Based on this standard, the strictest law, amongst U.S., Trotia, and Horsha, is the Trotian law,
which requires undertaking local examinations to trade in local and international markets.
However, at the same time, Orswitz can not violate the trading laws of Horsha, which also
requires traders to undertake the local trading exam. Since Orswitz will be trading solely in
Horsha, he will be need to clear Horsha’s trading exam to be granted the country’s trading
license, in addition to Trotia’s, in order to avoid violating the professional conduct standards.
Standard I (B) Independence and Objectivity requires members and candidates to “use
reasonable care and judgment to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in their
professional activities”. Research analysts frequently work closely with investment-banking
colleagues to help evaluate prospective investment-banking clients. This is appropriate
provided conflicts are adequately and effectively managed and disclosed. Given the close
relationship between Earl and Holly, which enables them to discuss shared clients, the
independence and/or objectivity of the two employees may have been compromised.
Additionally, by discussing his research with Holly, Earl may have compromised his own and
his sister’s independence and objectivity with respect to dealing with Woodline Inc.
However, Holly has not violated this standard.
Standard II (A) Material Nonpublic Information requires that members and candidates who
“possess material nonpublic information that could affect the value of an investment must not
act or cause others to act on the information”. Speculating on a potential takeover offer
involving Woodline Inc. by a larger floorboards manufacturer does not amount to material
nonpublic information. Thus this standard has not been violated.
Standard III (E) Preservation of Confidentiality requires members and candidates to keep all
information acquired on current, potential, or former clients confidential unless the client
permits disclosure; the information concerns illegal activity on the part of the client; or
disclosure is required by the law. Speculations on a potential takeover offer do not amount to
confidential information. Thus this standard has not been violated.
Standard VI (A) Disclosure of conflicts requires members and candidates to disclose any
actual and/or potential conflicts of interest which may hinder their duties to their clients and
their employer and impair their independence and objectivity. Her relationship with Earl may
impair her impartiality when serving clients and thus disclosure to a senior compliance officer
may be the optimal solution.
Although asking for a change in assignment is a potential solution, it may not help resolve the
problem in the event the new assignment pertains to a client which is also covered by Earl.
Standard II (B) Market Manipulation prohibits members and candidates from ‘engaging in
practices that distort prices or artificially inflate trading volume with the intent to mislead
market participants’. The standard, however, does not prohibit transactions that exploit a
difference in market power, information, or other market inefficiencies. Since OA’s trading
division has a significant presence in Horsha’s derivatives markets, any derivative contracts
entered into on behalf of clients may significantly influence contract prices and allow them to
move to the benefit of the firm. Thus this standard has not been violated.
Given the lack of information on clients’ requirements and/or circumstances, the suitability of
derivatives trades to client portfolios is not relevant in this context.
Red’s second statement fails to comply with the standard, VII (B) Reference to CFA Institute,
the CFA Designation, and the CFA Program. The standard requires members and candidates,
amongst other requirements, not to misrepresent the meaning or implications of membership
in CFA Institute, holding the CFA designation, or candidacy of the CFA Program. There is
no violation in stating that he has passed the two levels of the CFA exam program in
consecutive attempts as he has done so. Additionally, there is no violation in stating his
intention to appear for the upcoming Level III examination as he has not cited an expected
completion date and is currently registered for the Level III exam. However by including a
statement pertaining to his educational achievements in the experience section of his CV, Red
has violated this standard. Red should have included this statement in the educational section
of his CV.
The disclosure of conflicts standard requires members and candidates to disclose any actual
and/or potential conflicts of interest which may hinder their duties to their clients and their
employer and impair their independence and objectivity. Earl ought to have disclosed the call
options purchased on Lazline’s stock to his clients. This is because he covers the
pharmaceutical manufacturer and purchasing call options on the manufacturer may impair his
independence and objectivity when preparing a research report. This is a matter which
requires disclosure to clients as well as the employer. Since he has disclosed the purchase to
OA, he has not violated this standard with respect to his employer only. However, by failing
to make appropriate disclosure to clients Earl has violated this standard as opposed to the
communications with clients and prospects standards.
By not sharing the results of his analysis with his employer, Earl has violated the Loyalty
standard. His employer has full rights over the research prepared by any employee and by
denying his employer these rights, he has violated this standard.
Ramirez may accept the opera tickets and cash bonus as long as he obtains written consent
from DHFM.
The assumptions underlying linear and multiple regression models as well as any regression
variables used are important and thus should be disclosed.
Ramirez has violated standard II (A) Material Nonpublic Information. This standard prohibits
members and candidates possessing material nonpublic from acting on the information.
Based on his special relation with the two corn producers, access to information on a
potential unannounced merger between Milanto and Sprout constitutes material nonpublic
information. In the case of risk-arbitrage propriety activity, the most prudent course of action
would be to suspend such activity while a firm possesses material nonpublic information. By
engaging in risk-arbitrage propriety trading based on his access to material nonpublic
information Ramirez has violated this standard.
Standard III (B) Fair Dealing requires members and candidates to deal fairly and objectively
with all their clients when providing investment analysis, making investment
recommendations and taking investment action. Since Ramirez has not taken action on any
client accounts, he has not violated this standard.
Standard III (D) Performance Presentation prohibits members and candidates from
misrepresenting past or reasonably expected future performance. This standard has not been
violated.
Cowbell will not violate the loyalty standard if she and the other hedge fund manager form
their hedge fund management firm as they plan to open the firm after leaving their present
employment.
However, contacting clients using client records stored on the employer’s system, without the
employer’s permission, is a violation of the standard. Even though the clients are former,
contacting them using DHFM’s database will constitute a violation of the loyalty standard.
This will hold true even if the managers contact former clients after resigning from their
current positions.
The standards recommend members and candidates consider the following procedures,
amongst others, when devising a written trade allocation policy:
The second statement is incorrect as Watts has relayed that he is professionally superior to
other candidates due to his current CFA Candidacy status.
Addison is no longer an active candidate because she did not appear for the Level I exam.
Therefore, she is correct in stating that she is not a Level I candidate. She may refer to herself
as a Level I candidate when she next enrolls for the Level I exam.
• Members and candidates should maintain a list of all clients and the securities of other
investments each client holds to facilitate notification of clients of a change in investment
recommendation.
• When the full amount of the block order is not executed, partially executed orders will be
allocated amongst the participating client accounts pro rate on the basis of order size.
When attending meetings at client’s headquarters, members and candidates should pay for
commercial transportation and hotel charges.
Standard I does not cover legal transgressions resulting from acts of civil disobedience in
support of personal beliefs because such conduct does not reflect poorly on the member’s or
candidate’s professional reputation, integrity or competence.
Park’s information would be considered material as it would influence the share price of
Jeutte Tech and probably influence the price of the entire exchange-traded fund.
Park shared information that was both material and non-public. Company employees
regularly have such information about their firms, which is not a violation. However, sharing
this information, even in a conversation with friends, constitutes a violation.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 3
June 2019
1. Question:
Correct Answer: C
C is correct. The analysts are incorrect regarding Development 3. ML still requires human judgment
in understanding underlying data and selecting the appropriate techniques for data analysis.
A is incorrect. The analysts are correct regarding Development 1. The application of fintech to the
investment industry means that a greater number of decisions will be executed through computer
applications or automated trading applications. Automated trading will provide a number of benefits
to investors including lower transaction costs and anonymity.
B is incorrect. The analysts are correct regarding Development 2. In addition to the growing amount
of traditional data, massive amounts of alternative data from non-traditional sources such as the social
media can now be integrated into the portfolio manager’s investment decision-making process.
2. Question:
Correct Answer: C
B is incorrect. Before data can be used in an ML model, they must be clean and free from bias and
spurious data.
3. Question:
Correct Answer: B
B is correct. Models which overfit the data may discover false relationships that will lead to
prediction errors and incorrect output forecasts.
A is incorrect. Models which underfit the data, the ML model treats true parameters as if they are
noise and is not able to recognize relationships in the training data. In such cases, the resulting model
may be too simplistic.
4. Question:
Correct Answer: C
C is correct. Davis is correct regarding Reason 3. Most robo-advisers follow a passive investment
approach implementing their investment recommendations with low cost, diversified index mutual
funds or exchange-traded funds. Because of their low-cost structure, robo-advisors are able to reach
the undeserved members of the population which otherwise may be unable to afford a traditional
financial advisor.
A is incorrect. Davis is incorrect regarding Reason 1. Although regulations may vary, robo-advisors
are likely to be held to a similar level of scrutiny and code of conduct as other investment
professionals in a given region.
B is incorrect. Davis is incorrect regarding Reason 2. Although they can cover both passive and active
investment approaches, most robo-advisors follow a passive investment approach. This investment
approach has a zero alpha.
5. Question:
Correct Answer: B
B is correct. Algorithmic trading breaks a large order into smaller pieces and executes these orders
across different exchanges and trading venues. By doing so, algorithmic trading lowers the market
impact (and trading costs) of an extremely large order making it highly desirable for institutional
investors who place large orders.
A is incorrect. Algorithmic trading does not yield greater transparency for the trader.
C is incorrect. Algorithmic trading does not seek to eliminate market mispricing for investors.
6. Question:
Correct Answer: A
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 3
June 2019
Statement 2 is correct. Correlation coefficients can be computed validly if the means and
variances of the two variables, and the covariance between them, are finite and constant.
When these assumptions are not true, correlations between two different variables can depend
greatly on the sample that is used.
Since the t-value is not less than –2.7854, the correlation coefficient is not statistically
significant (we cannot reject the null hypothesis).
Since in a linear regression, the regression line fits through the point corresponding to the
means of the dependent and independent variables, solving for the intercept using this point,
we have:
= 0.1156 − 1.248(0.0785) = 0.0176
Statement 2 is incorrect. Sample correlation can be an unreliable measure when outliers are
present. However, removing the outliers is not always the right thing to do, if the outliers
provide important information about the variables during the period under analysis. One must
use judgment to determine whether the outliers contain information about the variables’
relationship (should be included in the analysis) or contain no information (and should be
excluded).
t-statistic increases, so that even for a small value of r, the null hypothesis can be rejected. A
null hypothesis is more likely to be rejected as we increase the sample size, all else equal.
0.0239 ± 1.994(0.4531)
–0.8796 to 0.9274
The value of 0 falls within this interval so we cannot reject the null hypothesis that b0 = 0.
The value of 1 falls within this confidence interval, so we cannot reject the null hypothesis
that b1=1 at the 0.05 significance level. Because we cannot reject either of the null
hypotheses, we cannot reject the hypothesis that the forecasts are unbiased (which means they
are unbiased).
If they had used earnings announcements for a single corporation and compared the effects of
announcements on that corporation’s share price change across time, the research team would
have been using time series data.
The second assumption, outlined by the two senior analysts, is inconsistent with the
assumptions normally underlying linear regression. Linear regression assumes that the
expected value of the error term is 0 and not 1.
The third assumption is inconsistent with the underlying assumptions. Linear regression
assumes that the error term is normally distributed. Although linear regression may be
modified and still be used in the event error term is not normally distributed, the analysts’
assumptions are inconsistent with the assumptions underlying linear regression.
s 2
1
= s 1 + +
2 (X −X
2
)
n (n − 1)s x
f 2
1 (2.50 − 1.6344 )
2
= 0.7542 1 +
2
+
62 (62 − 1)0.4248
= 0.59444
In order to test whether the regression model is able to produce unbiased forecasts, in terms
of the slope coefficient only, a confidence interval needs to be constructed for the slope
coefficient. Based on the hypothesized value of b1, 3.50, the confidence interval is
constructed as follows:
bˆ1 ± t c sbˆ
1
15.1242 ± 2.00*(2.6556)
9.81300 to 20.43540
*The degrees of freedom are 62 – 2 = 60. Using a 95% confidence interval, the t-statistic is
2.00.
The magnitude of r, the correlation coefficient, needed to reject the null hypothesis decreases
as sample size n decreases, for two reasons: 1) due to the degrees of freedom and the absolute
value of the critical tc value decreasing and 2) due to the absolute value of the numerator
increasing with larger n, resulting in larger magnitude t-values.
Selecting a 90% confidence interval, as opposed to 95%, will decrease the width of the
confidence interval and increase the likelihood of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true,
i.e. increases the probability of a Type I error.
The tc value increases with higher levels of confidence. This will lead to a wider confidence
interval and a decreased likelihood of rejecting the null hypothesis. The converse can be said
to be true for lower levels of confidence, which will lead to narrower confidence intervals and
an increased chance of rejecting the null hypothesis.
Predicted value of interest rate +/- tcsf = 0.02546 +/– (1.372 × 0.0510)
= 0.02546 +/– (0.0700)
= –0.0445 to 0.0954
Standard error of estimate measures the degree of variability between the actual and the
predicted values of the dependent variable.
A decrease in the sample size will lead to an increase in the magnitude of the correlation
coefficient needed to reject the null hypothesis. This will also lead to an increase in the
critical value of the t-statistic, because of which the t-statistic will most likely fall within the
critical range.
or use
SEE = MSE1/2
SEE = 0.0000141/2
SEE = 0.003742
The expected value of the error term is assumed to be zero in the linear regression model.
The calculated t-statistic is 1.729. Since this value falls outside the critical range, Cooper can
reject the null hypothesis and conclude that the relation between Revco and the automotive
index is statistically significant.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 3
June 2019
Statement 2 is incorrect. If the changes in the inflation rate, GDP growth rate and interest rate are 2%,
1.5% and 3% respectively, the change in the stock market returns will be of:
Parks is incorrect. Testing individual coefficients using t-tests and testing them together using an F-
test can yield different results. We can reject the hypothesis that all the slope coefficients equal 0 even
though none of the t-statistics for the individual coefficients is significant. Conversely, the estimated
coefficients can be significantly different from 0 when jointly they are not.
Hofmann is correct with regards to heteroskedasticity. Heteroskedasticity does not affect the
consistency of the regression parameter estimates. A parameter is consistent if the probability that
estimates of a regression parameter differ from the true value of the parameter decreases as the
number of observations used in the regression increases. The regression parameter estimates from
ordinary least squares are consistent regardless of whether the errors are heteroskedastic or
homoskedastic.
Given the computed t-statistics in Exhibit 1, Stowe can conclude that a pharmaceutical firm’s:
• reputation affects its cost of capital as 15.76 (t-statistic in absolute terms) > 2.021;
• earnings quality affects its cost of capital as 15.71 (in absolute terms) > 2.021; and
• market capitalization affects its cost of capital as 87.9 (in absolute terms) > 2.021.
RSS
k MSR 1, 465 3
F= = = =1.45892
SSE MSE 12, 050 36
n − ( k +1)
Stowe is incorrect with respect to her second comment. It is possible to correct conditional
heteroskedasticity by computing robust standard errors or using the generalized least squares method.
Unconditional heteroskedasticity causes no major problems for statistical interference.
Stowe is correct with respect to effect 2. Multicollinearity will inflate OLS standard errors for the
regression coefficients. With inflated standard errors, t-tests on the coefficients have little power
(ability to reject the null hypothesis). This increases the occurrence of Type II errors, a failure to
reject the null hypothesis when it is false.
Statement 4 is incorrect. Multicollinearity occurs when two or more independent variables are highly,
but not perfectly, correlated with each other. The case where one independent variable is an exact
linear combination of other independent variables is known as perfect collinearity.
Given 12–2 = 10 degrees of freedom and a 95% confidence interval, the critical value of the t-statistic
is 2.228. The 95% confidence interval is 6.521 ± 2.228(0.65582)
= 5.0598% – 7.982%
The number of regression coefficients is equal to the number of independent variables plus one.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 3
June 2019
Statement 2 is incorrect. Since the model uses the recent 20-year data, the value of sales next year
will be the 21st observation. The predicted value equals:
At a 0.05 level of significance and 59-2= 57 degrees of freedom, the critical t-value is about 2.
Following is a calculation of the t-statistic for each of the autocorrelations.
None of the t-statistics has a value greater than 2.0, hence none of the above autocorrelations differs
significantly from 0. Hence, the residuals are not serially correlated and the model is correctly
specified.
Hence, if the current profit margin is above 46.37%, the model predicts that the profit margin will fall
in the next period. If it is below 46.37%, the model predicts that the profit margin will rise in the next
period. If it is at the mean-reverting level, then the profit margin will be the same in the next period.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 3
June 2019
Reading 10: Excerpt from Probabilistic Approaches: Scenario Analysis, Decision Tree & Simulation
B is correct. Because of the shifts in the market, Campbell has judged historical data to be unreliable.
Instead, he has decided to employ cross-sectional data. One of the potential issues which may be
encountered is that the real estate funds offered in the market may not be comparable to the three
shortlisted funds.
A is incorrect. An issue which is encountered when using historical data is that market shifts may
render the data unreliable. Campbell is not employing historical data.
C is incorrect. An issue with using statistical distributions is that the data may not precisely fit the
stringent requirements of a statistical distribution. Therefore, the distribution selected may only
approximate and not be close enough to the real distribution.
C is correct. The first stage of the simulation process involves determining probabilistic variables.
Although there is no limit on how the variables can be allowed to vary in a simulation, analysts
should focus their attention on a few variables that have a significant impact on value.
A is incorrect. While it is true that specifying probability distributions represents the most difficult
and crucial stage, this is the second stage of the simulation process.
B is incorrect. Checking for correlation across variables is done right after specifying probability
distributions (Step 2) and before the actual simulation is run (Step 3).
B is correct. Campbell will need to run the greatest number of simulations for the Alpha Fund as it
has the second highest number of probabilistic inputs and, in addition, has diversity in its
distributions. The required number of simulations will be lower where all the inputs have normal
distribution (Zone) than one is which some are based on statistical and some on normal, for example
(Vector and Alpha).
A is incorrect. Although the distributions for Vector’s input variables are diverse, Campbell has
specified the lowest number of probabilistic inputs for this fund.
C is incorrect. Although Zone has the highest number of probabilistic inputs, the distributions of its
input variables are not as diversified as that of Alpha’s.
A is correct. Simulation is least appropriate for Vector. Simulations are better suited for continuous
risks. On the other hand, decision trees and scenario analysis are better suited for discrete outcomes.
B is incorrect. Simulation is appropriate for Alpha as the approach is better suited for continuous risks
and allows for the explicit modeling of correlations.
C is incorrect. Simulation is appropriate for Zone as the approach is better suited for continuous risks
and can be used when the correlations across variables (risks) are independent.
B is correct. Since Campbell is basing his decision on the variability in simulated values, he will be
assuming that all of the risks built into simulations are solely relevant for the investment decision. In
effect, he will be ignoring the line between the risks which could have been diversified away
(nonsystematic risk) and asset-specific risk. In other words, he may be rejecting a fund which has a
high standard deviation in simulated values, even though much of the risk can be diversified when
the fund holdings are allocated to client portfolios.
A is incorrect. The values derived from simulation represent expected cash flows and are not risk-
adjusted.
C is incorrect. Since Campbell is making his selection of the real estate fund solely based on
standard deviation in simulated values, he is not penalizing the unsuitable funds for risk on two
counts. Had Campbell rejected Alpha and Zone based on their risk-adjusted discount rates in
addition to volatility in simulated values, he would have been penalizing the funds twice for their
risk.
The factor outlined by Campbell in his research report represents an earnings and cash flow
constraint. The constraint is internally imposed and managers will want to avoid the possibility of
failing to meet performance expectations and missing out on being awarded an incentives
compensation.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 4
June 2019
A is incorrect. The type of client, individual or institutional, should not have an effect on the
size of the spread quoted.
B is incorrect. The trade will take place when the London FX trading center is open, that is,
the interbank FX market will be relatively liquid. Thus should narrow the spread quoted by
the dealer.
At settlement, Smart will need to purchase CAD 5 million under the original forward contract
and sell CAD 5 million under the offsetting forward contract; the CAD will net to zero.
However the USD will not net to zero because the forward rate has changed since contract
initiation. At settlement Smart will receive CAD 5 million and pay out USD 5,022,097.23
(5,000,000/0.9956) under the original forward contract and sell CAD 5 million and receive
USD 4,974,678.88 (5,000,000/1.00509) under the new contract.
The difference between the USD received and paid is - USD 47,418.35 (USD 4,974,678.88 –
USD 5,022,097.23). This represents an outflow because the original contract was long the
CAD (or short the USD) and the CAD subsequently depreciated (or the USD appreciated,
because the all-in forward rate increased from 0.9956 to 1.00509). The present value of this
outflow is calculated as follows:
− USD 47,418.35
= − 47,397.81
60
1 + 0.0026 360
=
×
*The JPY/USD rate is calculated as the inverse of the USD/JPY rate. Since the bid is the
lower of the two inverse amounts, 0.01222180 and 0.01222210, the bid-offer spread is
0.01222180/0.01222210.
Based on the interbank-implied cross rate of 1.2886/1.2887, the dealer is posting an offer rate
to sell the USD cheaply, at a rate below the interbank market bid (1.2816 vs. 1.2886,
respectively). Therefore, a triangular arbitrage would involve buying USD from the dealer
selling it in the interbank market.
A is incorrect. The dealer’s offer of 1.4862 is lower than the interbank bid of 1.4863. It is
possible to buy USD from the dealer and sell it in the interbank market and earn a profit.
C is incorrect. The dealer’ bid of 1.4867 is higher than the interbank offer of 1.4865. It is
possible to buy USD from the interbank and sell it to the dealer.
A is most likely correct. As stated in the preceding paragraph, Eoria’s domestic currency
should depreciate because of its current account deficit.
C is most likely correct. Relatively long lags can occur between changes in exchange rates,
the ultimate adjustment in traded good prices and the eventual impact on import demand,
export demand, and the underlying current account imbalance.
B is most likely correct. A tight fiscal policy will put downward pressure on domestic interest
rates. With a decrease in Belare’s yield, the interest rate differential, iH – iL, should decline.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 4
June 2019
B’s actual forecasted GDP growth rate is, 2.3% (1.4% + 0.9%), is below its potential GDP
growth rate, 4.0%, suggesting that the monetary authority will pursue a monetary easing
policy to close the output gap.
C’s actual forecasted GDP growth, 3.6% (2.5% + 1.1%), is equal to its potential GDP growth,
suggesting that the monetary will not take any policy action.
A is incorrect. As discussed, bond prices should rise when actual GDP growth is below
potential GDP growth.
C is incorrect. Because potential GDP is growing at a faster rate than actual GDP, consumers
will expect their real incomes to rise more rapidly and real interest rates will need to be
higher to encourage savings required to fund capital accumulation. Thus, higher rates of
potential GDP growth will translate into higher real interest rates and expected real asset
returns.
Similarly in country C, growth due to capital deepening did not translate into a high growth in
labor productivity. This suggests that the impact of diminishing marginal returns is higher.
B is incorrect. Country D does not possess ownership of a natural resource supply and its
currency has not appreciated (see above).
C is incorrect. Without any other indication, sluggish economic growth does not indicate that
that country D suffers from the Dutch disease.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set – Solution
Study Session 4
June 2019
B is a valid regulatory tool. According to Statement 3, the IIROC set standards. Therefore, it
provides public goods by providing regulatory and investment standards for the debt and
equity investment markets.
C is a valid regulatory tool. According to Statement 3, the IIROC has the ‘power to suspend,
fire, and expel representatives.’ To discipline members it can impose conflict of interest
policies to ensure their independence.
A is incorrect. Encouraging competitive pricing will not allow industry participants, the
regulated, to maintain their controlling positions in the industry.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 5
June 2019
Dividends received
$98,000,000 (0.35) ($34,300,000)
Wood’s sells 180,000/250,000 = 72% of the goods purchased; total unrealized profit = 85,000
(0.28) = $23,800, Walter’s share of unrealized profit = 0.30(23,800) = $7,140
Anderson is correct. The difference between the acquisition price and the fair value of the
acquired net assets is recognized immediately as a gain in the profit and loss under both IFRS
and the U.S. GAAP. Also, both IFRS and U.S. GAAP now require minority interests to be
reported on the consolidated balance sheet as a separate component of stockholder’s equity.
The value of the noncontrolling interest will equal the noncontrolling interest’s proportionate
share of the subsidiary’s fair value: 105,500,000(0.15) = $15,825,000
The value of the non-controlling interest equals the noncontrolling interest’s proportionate
share of the fair value of the subsidiary’s identifiable net assets: 0.15(82,650,000) =
$12,397,500.
Statement 4 is incorrect. IFRS require that held to maturity securities be recognized initially
at fair value plus transaction costs, whereas U.S. GAAP require held to maturity securities be
initially recognized at cost including transaction costs.
IFRS requires that investments reported as held to maturity are initially recognized at fair
value plus transaction costs. Subsequent to initial recognition, IFRS requires that held-to-
maturity investments are reported at amortized cost using the effective interest rate method.
For investments recorded at held for trading, any dividends/and or interests paid on the
investment in addition to fair value changes are recorded in the income statement.
£
Acquisition price* 2,825,000
Less: 70% of fair value of net assets** 1,533,000
Goodwill 1,292,000
*The fair value of Rigor’s shares exchanged for Vito’s shares is equal to the
acquisition cost in Exhibit 1, £2,825,000, which represents the acquisition
price.
Since Rigor has acquired a controlling interest in Vito, Vito’s assets will be recorded in
Rigor’s balance sheet at the fair value at the date of acquisition less any subsequent
depreciation and revaluations.
Criterion 3 least likely justifies the classification of Ester Corp as a significant influence
investment as it is inconsistent with the indicators generally used to classify a significant
influence investment (see below).
Under both IFRS and US GAAP when a parent holds 20 to 50 percent of the voting rights of
the investee, it is presumed that the entity has significant influence over the investee. Since
Green Corp holds 25% of Ester Corp’s stock, this criteria has been met. In addition to
percentage ownership, the standards note that significant influence may be evidenced by:
• representation on the board of directors (this has been met by criterion 2);
• participation in the policy-making process;
• material transactions between the investor and the investee (criterion 3 is
inconsistent with this indicator as it restricts inter-corporate transactions to a
maximum immaterial amount);
• interchange of managerial personnel (criterion 1 is consistent with this indicator);
or
• technological dependency.
Green Corp is required to account for the bargain acquisition using the treatment prescribed
by IFRS. In a situation where the acquisition price is less than the fair value of the target’s net
assets, the acquisition is considered a bargain acquisition.
Ester Corp sells 35% of these detergents while 65% remains unsold.
The amount of goodwill arising as a result of the full goodwill method is illustrated below:
* Fair value of the subsidiary is equal to the market value of the subsidiary’s shares on the date
of acquisition, i.e. £650 million
**Fair value of subsidiary’s identifiable net assets =
£770 million – £65 million = £705 million
Under the acquisition method, the acquirer will measure the identifiable assets and liabilities
of the acquired entity at fair value at the date of acquisition. This means that the total
consolidated assets on the date of acquisition, including Green Corp’s total assets, will be
US$2,970 million (2,200 + 770).
Under the pooling of interests method, the combined companies were portrayed as if they had
always operated as a single entity. Consequently, assets and liabilities under this method were
recorded at book values. The amount of consolidated assets to be reported on Green Corp’s
balance sheet in relation to Poly Corp and on the date of acquisition is the sum of the book
values of the two corporations’ total assets, i.e. US$ 2,765 million (2,200 + 565).
Thus Green Corp will be required to consolidate the trust even if it does not own a majority
level of voting rights in the SPE as it has a beneficial interest in the trust (see below).
Given that Green Corp bears the risk of defaults and is responsible for compensating any
defaulted interest and principal payments on the trust’s borrowings, Green Corp has a
beneficial interest in the trust. Thus the trust must be consolidated on Green Corp’s financial
statements. By leasing the asset, Green Corp receives the benefit of leasing the asset through
a residual value guarantee (the defunct factories are marketable after refurbishment) which
gives further evidence of its beneficial interest in the trust.
Under the equity method of accounting, the goodwill is not reported separately in the
acquirer’s balance sheet but is incorporated as part of the cost of investment. Thus the amount
of goodwill to be reported in the balance sheet is $0.
The excess of the purchase price over the fair of Tire-Go’s net assets is calculated as follows:
$000
Purchase Price 22,000
Book Value of Net Assets ($88,000* × 30%) (26,400)
Excess Purchase Price (4,400)
Attributable to the plant [($15,000 – 8,000) × 30%] (2,100)
Goodwill (residual) (6,500)
Explanation: Firstly, Net Assets = Total Assets – Total Liabilities (1) or Total Shareholder’s
Equity (2).
• Using (1) and Tire-Go’s balance sheet, Net Assets = 150,000 – (60,000 + 2,000) or
Total Assets – (Accounts Payable + Long-Term Debt).
• Using (2), Net Assets = 60,000 + 28,000 or (Shareholder’s Equity + Retained
Earnings).
Thus Fisher Corp. should include $6,500,000 as income as part of Tire-Go’s net profit to
determine its share of profits in the associate.
The total value of the shareholders’ equity of the consolidated company under the pooling of
interests method is calculated as follows:
$ ’000
Common Stock ($1 Par Value)* $52,000
Additional Paid in Capital 30,000
Retained Earnings ($55,000 + $1,500) 56,500
Total Shareholders’ Equity $138,500
* Common stock is recorded at par value = [$80,000 (see exhibit 1) – $30,000] + 2,000 (stock
issued)
= $52,000
* see above
** Fisher Corp. has issued 2,000,000 shares worth $1 each or with a par value of $2 million
to acquire C.S. Corp. Under U.S. GAAP or IFRS the investment must be recorded at fair
value. Thus the consideration exchanged is 2,000,000 shares with a market value of $5 each
or $10 million.
Fisher Corp.’s common stock is increased by the par value of the common shares issued, $2
million. The acquirer’s additional paid in capital is increased by $8 million, which represents
the difference between the total market value and par value of the shares issued ($10 million
– $2 million), to a total of $38 million.
Thus the total shareholders’ equity reported under the acquisition method is higher, relative to
the total equity reported under the former method, by $6.5 million ($145 million – 138.5
million).
Since Fisher Corp. and C.S. Corp. are situated in the U.S. the recognition of the impairment
loss will be in accordance with the U.S. GAAP rules.
Under U.S. GAAP, goodwill impairment testing is carried out as a two-step process:
1) Determination of Impairment Loss: The carrying amount of the reporting unit
including goodwill is compared to its fair value.
If the carrying amount exceeds the fair value, impairment has occurred and impairment is
measured as follows:
2) Measurement of Impairment Loss: The impairment loss is measured as the
difference between the implied fair value of the reporting unit’s goodwill and its
carrying amount.
Using the data on C.S. Corp.’s steel conversion unit, the occurrence and amount of
impairment loss is determined as follows:
1) Determination of Impairment Loss
The unit’s carrying value ($1,500,000) is greater than the fair value ($1,250,000). This
suggests that the unit has incurred an impairment loss.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 5
June 2019
Statement 2 is incorrect. Under U.S. GAAP, unamortized past service costs are reported in
accumulated other comprehensive income and subsequently amortized over the average service lives
of the affected employees; the amortized amounts are included in the income statement.
U.S. GAAP only allows the deferred recognition of actuarial gains and losses using either the corridor
method or the faster recognition method to determine the minimum amount to be reported on the
income statement. Park has defined only the corridor method; under the faster recognition method the
actuarial gains and losses can be amortized more quickly.
Statement 4 is incorrect. An increase in life expectancy will have no effect on the promised pension
payments because the payments are to be paid over a fixed time period.
Total periodic pension costs = ($25,670 – $24,586) – ($19,615 – $18,956) – $65 = $360
*Net return on plan assets = Actual return – (Plan assets × Interest rate)
Under U.S. GAAP the amount recognized under a defined benefit plan is the pension plan’s funded
status. The funded status represents the difference between the fair value of the plan assets and the
projected benefit obligation (present value of the pension liabilities). If the projected benefit
obligation exceeds the fair value of the plan assets, this suggests that the plan is underfunded.
In the case of Hewer Corporation, the projected obligation as at December 31, 2009 exceeds the fair
value of the corporation’s plan assets on the same date ($589 million vs. $123 million).
Since the corporation has not made these cash flow adjustments, its operating cash flows are
overstated financing flows are understated for both the periods presented.
Under the corridor method, the net cumulative unrecognized actuarial gains and losses at the
beginning of the reporting period are compared with defined benefit obligation and the fair value of
the plan assets at the beginning of the period.
If this cumulative unrecognized amount exceeds 10% of the greater of the PBO or the fair value of
plan assets, the excess is amortized over the expected average remaining working lives of the
employees participating in the plan and is included as a component of pension expense.
increase in the discount rate to 12.2% in 2010 from 12.1% in 2009, will decrease the value of
the PBO being reported in 2010.
decrease in the actual return on plan assets to 8.5% will not affect the PBO amount as actual
return on plan assets are not used in the PBO computation.
increase in the rate of compensation increases to 3.8% in 2010 from 3.5% in 2009 will
increase the value of PBO being reported in 2010.
For the year 2008, the compensation expense recognized is $360 million ($540 million ÷ 1.5 years).
For the year 2009, the compensation expense recognized is $180 million ($540 million – $360
million).
Since the sponsor’s contributions exceed the total pension costs, the excess is equivalent to a
repayment on a loan in excess of the scheduled payment (financing use of funds). This excess is
treated as an increase in cash inflow from operating activities and an increase in cash outflow from
financing activities by $7,069. Put another way, the $7,069 excess is treated as a decrease in cash
outflow from operating activities and a decrease in cash inflow from financing activities.
Total periodic pension costs (income) = Ending funded status – Employer contributions – beginning
funded status.
Thus the potential for risk aversion is limited and the potential for returns is unlimited on the upside.
This benefit accurately reflects a benefit of issuing stock to firm employees.
Benefit 2:
Although the issuance of stock option will dilute shareholder ownership in the future, as the options
are exercised and underlying shares are issued, the firm does not simultaneously issues shares with its
stock options issue. Regardless of whether the stock options dilute shareholdings immediately or in
the future, the firm’s existing shareholders will be affected by the issue once the options are exercised
(and associated shares issued). Thus benefit 2 does not accurately reflect a benefit of issuing stock
options to existing firm shareholders.
Benefit 3:
When stock options are issued an annual compensation expense in recorded on the firm’s income
statement thereby reducing the firm’s profitability. Additionally, stock options can dilute the firm’s
earnings per share. Thus the issuance of stock options can reduce the firm’s overall profitability as
well an individual shareholder’s share in firm profitability. Benefit 3 misrepresents the benefit as well
as effect of issuing stock options on firm profitability.
When a company reports a surplus, the amount that can be reported as an asset is the lower of the
surplus and asset ceiling (present value of future economic benefits, such as refunds or reductions in
future contributions). Since the value of the ceiling ($54,500,000) is greater than the surplus, the asset
will be reported at the surplus amount.
When a company reports a surplus, the amount that can be reported as an asset is the lower of the
surplus and asset ceiling (present value of future economic benefits, such as refunds or reductions in
future contributions). Since the value of the ceiling ($54,500,000) is greater than the surplus, the asset
will be reported at the surplus amount.
Service costs include current and past service costs. The former is immediately recognized in profit
and loss while the latter is included in other comprehensive income and subsequently amortized to
profit and loss.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 5
June 2019
The relevant functional currency is determined primarily by the currency in which the subsidiary
generates and expends cash; the currency which influences the sales price of goods and services; and
the currency of the country whose competitive forces and regulations mainly determine the sales price
of its goods and services.
In the case of the El-Co Fiesta, the relevant functional currency is the ARP. Since this currency
differs from the parent company’s presentation currency, the relevant translation method to use is the
current rate method. The current rate method records translation gains/losses as part of
comprehensive income, a component of stockholder’s equity.
Based on the exchange rate trend, the ARP has weakened (over the year 2009) from being worth 4.45
to 5.75 for every US$. Additionally, translating El-Co Fiesta’s financial statements would result in a
translation gain as it as has a net monetary liability exposure (the monetary assets, ARP 1,420,000,
are less than the monetary liabilities, ARP 1,730,000) and the ARP has depreciated.
The ratio produced under current rate method will be 0.96 [(ARP 850,000 ÷ 5.10)/(ARP 1,000,000 ÷
5.75)]. This ratio is higher to the one calculated from the temporal method. This is because the ARP
has depreciated relative to the dollar, resulting in a lower US$ value for the inventory figure (which is
converted at the current rate) under the current method, hence a lower denominator for the ratio. On
the other hand, inventory under the temporal method is translated by using the rate at which inventory
was acquired. As the rate at which inventory was acquired is historical, the inventory translated under
this method has a higher US$ value producing a higher denominator and decreasing the inventory
turnover ratio.
If El-Co Fiesta used the LIFO method for inventory valuation (instead of FIFO), all inventory units
on the balance sheet would have comprised of older items and thus valued at relatively older
exchange rates, resulting in higher translated inventory values. Thus LIFO method produces a higher
denominator and hence a lower inventory turnover ratio also decreasing the ratio is the lower
translated value of the cost of goods sold (translated at a newer, lower exchange rate). Current FIFO
inventory valuation method would have resulted in lower translated inventory values (relative to the
LIFO method), as the inventory would have relatively recent items with more recent rates being used.
This produces a smaller denominator and hence a higher inventory turnover ratio. Also increasing the
ratio is the higher translated value of the cost of goods sold (translated at a newer, lower exchange
rate).
The subsidiary has a net monetary liability exposure of €6,740 million as its monetary assets (cash
and accounts receivable), €3,825, are less than its monetary liabilities (total liabilities), €10,565
million.
Eliminating capital stock is not a recommended course of action since the notes payable are exposed
to foreign exchange risk under the temporal method (which is used as the translation method since the
presentation and functional currencies are identical), whereas capital stock is not.
France Co’s existing cash balance of €175 million can only partially reduce its liabilities of €10,565
million. If the parent were required to pay off France Co’s remaining liabilities of €10,390 million
(€10,565 million – €175 million), it would need to send US$ 6,754 million (€10,390 million × US$
0.65/€) on January 1, 2010. On December 31, 2010 Arioco-P would be required to send US$ 7,793
million (€10,390 million × US$ 0.75/€) to pay €10,390 million. This will result in a foreign exchange
loss of US$ 1,038 million (US$ 7793 million – US$ 6,754 million), thereby failing to eliminate
exposure.
On the other hand, since the current exchange rate used to translate total assets under the current
method is greater relative to the historical exchange rates used to translate assets under the temporal
method and since it has a net asset exposure of €4,566 million (€15,131 million − €10,565 million),
there will be a positive translation adjustment. Since the positive translation adjustment will increase
the total equity balance, this will result in a higher total balance being reported for the subsidiary
under the current rate method.
Under both methods, sales will be translated at the average rate. The rate at which cost of goods sold
is to be translated will determine the method to produce the highest gross profit margin for the
subsidiary.
Under the current rate method, cost of goods sold is translated at the average rate, i.e. US$ 0.70 per €.
The rate at which cost of goods sold is translated under the historical method will be an older and
lower rate, given the increase in the value of Euro over the 2010 period. Thus, the cost of goods sold
will be higher and gross profit lower under the current rate method, which produces a lower gross
profit margin using this method.
Since France Co was established on January 1, 2010 it has no opening retained earnings.
In scenarios of hyperinflation, U.S. GAAP simply requires the foreign currency financial statements
of the concerned subsidiary to be translated using the temporal method. On the other hand, IAS 21
(IFRS) requires foreign currency financial statements to be restated for inflation and then translated
using the current rate.
Under the temporal method and U.S. GAAP, liabilities will be translated at an exchange rate of AD
125.53 per US$. Under IFRS, liabilities will not be restated for inflation as they are expressed in
terms of the monetary unit current at the balance sheet date. Thus under the current rate method and
IFRS, these liabilities will be translated at the same exchange rate as used under the temporal method,
i.e. AD 125.53 per US$. Thus the translated liabilities under the two standards are identical.
Inflation in Algeria increased by 300% or by 3 times over the 2010 period. At the same time, the AD
lost about 26% [(125.53 – 100)/100] of its value. Since the decrease in currency value is not matched
by the change in local inflation, IFRS and U.S. GAAP will produce different results.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 5
June 2019
1. Question:
Correct Answer: C
C is correct. Compared to other financial institutions, banks are systematically more important
compared to non-financial institutions because banks serve as intermediaries accepting deposits from
capital providers and providing capital via loans to borrowers. Their role as intermediaries between
and among providers and recipients of capital creates financial inter-linkages across all types of
entities. The network of inter-linkages means that the failure of one bank will negatively affect other
financial and non-financial entities. The risk of failure will disrupt financial services and, depending
on the size of the institution, has the potential to affect the economy as a whole.
A is incorrect. The degree to which a banking institution is regulated does not explain why banking
institutions are systemically important. On the other hand, banks are heavily regulated because they
are systemically important.
B is incorrect. This factor does not explain the systemic importance of banks.
2. Question:
Correct Answer: B
B is correct. Unlike banks, the overall insurance market has a smaller proportion of cross-border
business.
A is incorrect. The re-insurance business is largely international similar to the banking sector.
C is incorrect. Compared to L&H and P&C insurers, the re-insurance market is engaged in substantial
cross-border business.
3. Question:
Correct Answer: B
B is correct. The bank’s market risk exposure has increased as evidenced from the change in net
interest income in response to a yield curve shift; i.e. interest rate sensitivity. The sensitivity has
increased as the magnitude of the change in net interest interest income following a yield curve shift
in either direction has increased over the three years.
A is incorrect. The bank’s capital adequacy has improved as indicated by an increase in the total
capital ratio from 2015 to 2017.
C is incorrect. Short-term liquidity is measured by the coverage ratio and this trend for this ratio is
downward between 2015 and 2017. Short-term liquidity has declined between 2015 and 2017 only to
rise briefly in 2016. The long-term liquidity (as measured by the net stable funding ratio) exhibits a
downward trend indicating a decline in this measure.
4. Question:
Correct Answer: A
A is correct. The CAMELS approach analyzes capital adequacy, asset quality, management
capabilities, earnings stability, liquidity position and sensitivity to market risk. One of the factors
which is overlooked and requires attention is an entity’s corporate culture.
B is incorrect. Analyzing governance structure is not relevant to the analysis of a banking institute.
5. Question:
Correct Answer: C
C is correct. Response to Question 3: Banks are subject to minimum capital requirements which they
are legally obliged to comply with. With respect to P&C insurers, no risk-based global insurance
minimum capital standards exist. However, capital standards exist in various jurisdictions.
Nevertheless, the degree of regulation is not as extensive as that imposed on banks. Similar to P&C
companies, L&H companies are not subject to risk-based global insurance minimum capital
standards. In addition, L&H insurers can afford a lower equity cushion and lower capital
requirements than P&C insurers because L&H claims are more predictable.
Response to Question 4: As discussed above, P&C insurers’ claims are more variable because they
arise from accidents and other unpredictable events.
6. Question:
Correct Answer: C
The efficiency of the underwriting operations is determined using the combined ratio. This ratio is
calculated as follows:
Based on the calculations, insurer 3 has the lowest ratio which corresponds to the greatest efficiency
in its underwriting operations.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 6
June 2019
B is correct. The impact of increasing the discount rate to maintain funded status in a period
when plan assets were underperforming and subsequently decreasing the discount rate when
performance improved will result in financial statements which do not reflect economic
reality and are thus not decision useful. Lowering or increasing the discount rate merely to
maintain funded status reflects a biased accounting choice.
A is incorrect. The process of estimating the discount rate is not prescribed by GAAP and is
left to the discretion of company management. Therefore, an in appropriate estimation of this
rate is a poor representation of economic reality resulting from a biased accounting choice.
C is incorrect. The company was attempting to improve the funded status reported on its
balance sheet as opposed to earnings. Therefore, the question of whether earnings are
sustainable is not relevant in this context.
A is incorrect. A stringent credit policy will force customers to make timely payment of
accounts receivables and is likely to lead to a decline in outstanding account receivable
balances. This will reduce the growth of account receivables relative to sales.
A value for the DEPI variable which is greater than 1.0 indicates a decline in the depreciation
rate. A lower depreciation charge will translate into reduced depreciation charges and higher
net income.
Net profit margin will be higher relative to the previous year due to a lower depreciation
charge increasing net income.
A is incorrect. Debt-to-equity ratio will be lower relative to the previous year as higher net
income will translate into an increase in retained earnings thereby increasing the denominator
of this measure.
C is incorrect. Total debt-to-total assets will be lower relative to the previous year as a lower
depreciation charge will serve to increase the net book value of assets and thus total assets.
The denominator of the ratio will consequently increase.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 6
June 2019
Workings
Tax burden (ex-associates) $(12,232 – 3,343)/$14,856 59.83%
× Interest Burden $14,856/$15,353 96.76%
× EBIT Margin $15,353/$102,424 14.99%
= Net Profit Margin (ex-associates) 8.68%
Net Profit Margin $12,232/$102,242 11.96%
(inclusive of associates)
By including the performance of associates as part of Lester Corporation’s net profit margin, the
exclusive profit margin increases by 3.28% (11.96% – 8.68%) for the year 2010. This represents the
effect of associates’ performance on the parent corporation’s performance. In other words, Lester
Corporation’s net profit margin exclusive of associates’ investments was lower than the total net
profit margin by 3.28%.
100,242
Total assets ex– associates turnover = = 0.7380
136,657 + 134,989
2
100,242
Total assets turnover (inclusive of associates) = = 0.69613
145,646 + 142,353
2
The investments in associates has decreased Lester Corporation’s total asset turnover (exclusive of
the associates) by approximately 0.042 (0.69613 – 0.73803).
Lester Corp. Australia & New Zealand: This segment has the second highest EBIT margin with
capital expenditures in excess of the total assets over the three years. Additionally, the capital
expenditures are in growth mode (increasing from 2008 to 2010). All these factors indicate the
segment will not be a cause of concern for Ali.
Lester Corp. Europe: This segment has the third highest EBIT margin but the level of capital
expenditures relative to assets is considerably low (as evidenced by the lower than 1 ratios over the
three years). Additionally the decrease in capital allocation over the three years (from 0.66 to 0.69 to
0.60) may be a cause of concern for the analyst.
Mineral Extractions: This segment has the third highest ratio of capital expenditure to total assets but
has the second lowest EBIT margin. This segment is detracting capital expenditures from other
segments with higher EBIT margins such as Detergents Inc. and Lester Corp. Europe. Additionally,
capital expenditures are growing over the three year period. This segment will be a cause of concern
for Ali.
Lester Skin Care: This segment has the second highest ratio of capital expenditure to total assets but
has the lowest EBIT margin. This segment is detracting capital expenditures from other segments
with higher EBIT margins such as Detergents Inc. and Lester Corp. Europe. Additionally, capital
expenditures are growing over the three year period. This segment will be a cause of concern for Ali.
Since the group’s operating cash flow before interest and taxes has consistently exceeded EBIT over
the 2007-2010 period and the operating cash flow before interest and taxes/EBIT ratio has increased,
Nosov may conclude the group’s earnings quality has increased.
The cash return on assets measure has increased and thus displayed a positive trend over the 2008 to
2010 period.
The estimated incremental assets to total reported assets exceeds the 6% threshold (16.26% vs. 6%).
This implies that the reported assets and liabilities do not truly reflect the financial position of the
segment and there may be off-balance sheet lease transactions which may have not been reported and
may possibly require capitalization. This implies that there are significant assets and liabilities that
could be justifiably capitalized on the segment’s balance sheet. The issue needs to be further
investigated by Nosov.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 7
June 2019
The relevant discount rate is 12.50%. Using the discount rate and cash flows, the NPV of the Event
Managers Ltd. contract is $4,958,116.14.
For a four-year life and a 12.5% discount rate, the payment with an equivalent annuity is
$1,649,604.46 (PV = -$4,958,116.14; I/Y = 12.50%; N = 4; FV = 0; CPT PMT)
H.S. Creations:
CF0 = –$700,000
CF1 = +$1,882,500
CF2 = +$1,882,500
The relevant discount rate is 12.50%. Using the discount rate and cash flows, the NPV of the H.S.
Creations contract is $2,460,740.74.
For a four-year life and a 12.5% discount rate, the payment with an equivalent annuity is
$1,465,588.24 (PV = -$2,460,740.74; I/Y = 12.50%; N = 2; FV = 0; CPT PMT)
Thus the project with the highest EAA is the Event Management project.
The optimal abandonment strategy would be to abandon the project in the second year if the
subsequent cash flows are less than the abandonment value.
If after the first year a low cash flow occurs, Music Inc. can abandon the project for $3,500,000 and
give up cash flows of $950,000 for the next four years. The present value of the $950,000 annual cash
flows discounted at 12.50% [2% + (7% × 1.5)] for 4 years is $2,855,357.42. Since the present value is
less than the abandonment value, Music Inc. should abandon the project if low cash flows occur after
the second year.
The present value of the $2,500,000 annual cash flows discounted at 12.50% for four years is
$7,514,098.46. Since the present value of the cash flows in this case is greater than the abandonment
value, Music Inc. should not abandon if the high cash flow occurs after the second year.
If a high cash flow occurs and you do not abandon, the NPV is:
$2,500,000
ܸܰܲ = −200,000 + = $9,934,596.32
1.125௧
௧ୀଵ
If low cash flow occurs and you abandon, you will receive the second year cash flow and the
abandonment value. The NPV is:
Shortfall 1: One of the shortfalls associated with capital budgeting is that it fails to taking into account
economic responses. Conditions in the market may change (such as a new competitor entering the
market and reducing profitability) which drastically change the profitability of the project. Thus
shortfall 1 has been accurately identified.
Shortfall 2: Managers may have a short-term focus and seek to increase short-term measures such as
ROE and NP margin. By doing so, they may reject projects which produce negative NPVs and
currently reduce such income and profitability measures but may generate greater shareholder value
in the long run. Thus shortfall 2 has been incorrectly identified.
Shortfall 3: Overhead costs are difficult to estimate and may be inaccurately accounted for in the
capital budgeting process. Opportunity costs and sunk costs are difficult to estimate and/or may be
excluded in capital budgets. Thus shortfall 3 has been correctly identified.
Inflation reduces the value of depreciation tax savings and the value of the depreciation tax shelter.
Higher than expected inflation reduces the value of the depreciation tax shelter and reduces the value
of fixed payments to bondholders. Thus the real interest expenses of the corporations will decrease
decreasing the fixed payments in real terms.
Alternatively, economic income = cash flow – (beginning market value – ending market value) or
cash flow – economic depreciation.
Beginning market value is the present value of the future after tax cash flows discounted at the
applicable required rate of rate
The economic income for the first two years has been calculated (in $):
Year 1 2 3
Beginning Market Value 6,395,454.55 4,690,000.00 2,579,500.00
Ending Market Value 4,690,000.00 2,579,500.00 0.00
Change in Market Value –1,705,454.55 –2,110,500.00 –2,579,500.00
After-tax cash flow 2,345,000.00 2,579,500.00 2,837,450.00
Economic Income 639,545.45 469,000.00 257,950.00
Beginning market value (Year 1) is calculated as the present value of the after tax-cash flows in years
1-3 (CF1 = $2,345,000; CF2 = $2,579,500; CF3 = $2,837,450)
Beginning market value (Year 2) is calculated as the present value of the after tax-cash flows in years
2-3 (CF1 = $2,579,500; CF2 = $2,837,450)
Beginning market value (Year 2) is calculated as the present value of the after tax-cash flows in year
3 (CF1 = $2,837,450)
In addition to the Nevada expansion project, Music Inc. is considering developing a small musical
theatre in Ohio. The estimated construction costs will be $1,500,000 which includes a fixed capital
investment of $900,000 and the remainder of the investment allocated to net working capital. These
costs will be incurred at the beginning of the project. Annual after-tax operating cash flows are
forecasted at $2,345,000 in the first year and will rise by 10% thereafter. The final year’s after tax
operating cash flow includes the equipment’s after-tax salvage value. The company will apply a 10%
discount rate to the project and the capital budget horizon is of 3 years. The applicable tax rate is
25%.
Note: This can also be calculated using the other relationship: PI = PV of future cash flows/initial
investment.
If you abandon:
NPV = –350,000 + 70,000+315,000/1.12 = –$6,250
Boris is incorrect with respect to the flaw. Economic income ignores interest expenses. However, the
effects of financing costs are captured in the discount rate used in a capital budgeting model, and if
interest expenses are included in the cash flows (either economic income or after tax operating cash
flows), we would be double counting them.
$WACC = 0.12(67,394+153,948)
$WACC = 26,561
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 7
June 2019
Thus a change in capital structure does not affect company value. If the management-determined
capital structure is not in agreement with the capital structure desired by investors, the latter group
can borrow or lend at the risk-free rate (as opposed to a general lower rate) to create the capital
structure desired. Since the value of the company is the present value of company operating earnings,
a change in either the percentage of debt or equity will not affect company value. The value of a
leveraged company should equal to the value of an unleveraged company. Theory 1 is inaccurate with
respect to the risk-free borrowing and lending assumptions stated.
Theory 2:
MM Proposition 2 (with taxes) endorses the fact that paying interest will generate tax savings for the
corporation. Thus the value of a company should increase with the value of the tax shield (tD). With
the presence of corporate taxes, the value of a company with debt is greater than the value of an all
equity company.
As debt increases, cost of equity also rises with the rise in the cost of equity being smaller than the
rise in the no-tax case (due to the absence of tax shield benefits in the latter case). Thus as debt
increases, the overall marginal cost of capital falls and company value increases. Wright has
inaccurately described the effects of rising equity costs (from additional debt) on the company’s cost
of raising additional financing or WACC.
D/E (2011):
D/E (2011) =
($20 + $3*) million = $23 million
($25 − $3*) million $22 million
* ± $3 million reflect the additional borrowing received/repurchase of common equity.
Factor 2: The stronger the firm’s corporate governance system, the lower the probability of
bankruptcy and thus the lower the financial distress costs incurred. Thus factor 2 has
been correctly identified.
Factor 3: Bonding costs are incurred by management to ensure they are working in the best
interests of shareholders and directly affect net agency costs of equity as opposed to
costs of financial distress. Thus factor 3 is incorrectly identified and not relevant in
this context.
The smaller the stake that managers have in the company, the less is their share in bearing the cost of
executive perquisite compensation. This results in an increase in the agency costs of equity. Generally
a reduction in net agency costs of equity results from an increase in the use of debt versus equity. The
more financially leveraged a company is the less freedom managers have to take on more debt or
spend the cash unwisely (for example, through perquisite consumption). Thus debt can act as a
disciplining mechanism. This is referred to as the ‘free cash flow hypothesis’ and reflects an effort to
reduce the net agency costs of equity.
Note: Since both countries have similar maturities, the maturities are held constant for the question.
Countries that possess efficient legal systems have a lower D/E ratio and longer debt maturity.
Relative to B, A has a lower D/E ratio (0.70 vs. 0.55) and has a more efficient legal system. Both
countries have long-term maturities (> 20 years).
Countries with a bank-based financial system have higher D/E ratios. Relative to A, B has a higher
ratio and more likely possesses a bank-based financial system. On the other hand, A possesses a
market-based financial system based on its ratio.
Countries that follow common law have lower D/E ratios and longer maturities. The converse is true
for civil law countries. Relative to B, A has a lower D/E ratio. Thus A most likely is a common law
country whereas B is a civil law country based on their respective D/E ratios.
Countries with a greater presence of information intermediaries (auditors and analysts) have lower
D/E ratios and longer debt maturities. Thus A, based on its D/E ratio, has a greater presence of
information intermediaries than B.
Countries with a greater presence of institutional investors generally have companies with lower D/E
ratios and debt with longer maturities. Based on the respective D/E ratios, country A has a greater
presence of institutions relative to B.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 7
June 2019
Theory 2: According to the bird in hand argument, investors prefer a dollar of dividends over a dollar
of capital gains as they perceive the former to have greater economic value and lower risk relative to
the latter. Thus companies that pay more dividends relative to capital gains, have lower costs of
equity capital. This theory has been accurately described by Walters.
Theory 3: According to the MM Dividend Irrelevance Proposition, investors assume capital markets
are perfect, no taxes and transaction costs exist, and investors have access to equal information. Thus
if a company’s dividend policy pays a lower level of dividend relative to the investor’s need for
income, the investor can construct their own dividend policy by selling sufficient shares to create
their own income stream. This theory has been accurately described by Walters.
W.T. Manufacturing Inc.: A cut in dividends is often perceived as a strong negative signal regarding
the firm’s future prospects. Furthermore, a dividend cut following poor profitability forecasts will
lead to lower investor confidence regarding the corporation’s future and a lower share price.
best interest. One such action is investment in negative net present value (NPV) projects where
management may waste shareholder funds on projects which give them more operational control but
fail to generate shareholder value. This is known as the potential overinvestment agency problem and
may also occur when the firm has significant cash flows in excess of the potential profitable projects
available.
In order to resolve such conflicts, managers may be required to pay out all the company’s free cash
flow as dividends such that they have insufficient cash to squander.
In the case of Manufacturer A, a lack of operating cash flows relative to the potential oil supplier
contracts makes the occurrence of the overinvestment agency problem less likely. Additionally, the
presence of non-executives, although equal in number to executives, makes the occurrence of the
overinvestment agency problem less likely relative to Manufacturer B, which lacks board
independence. The presence of non-executives will bring a heightened level of monitoring and help to
reduce agency conflicts.
In the case of manufacturer B, the availability of operating cash flows relative to the profitable
projects makes the occurrence of the overinvestment agency problem more likely as management will
have access to excess funds, which they may utilize for personal benefit. Additionally, the lack of
non-executives on the firm’s board heightens the potential for the occurrence of agency conflicts due
to the lack of board independence. Thus investors are more likely to pressurize B to increase its
dividends per share due to the potential occurrence of the overinvestment agency problem. Gates has
been inaccurate with respect to A experiencing such a problem.
Knight’s statement correctly highlights the impact of the dividend payout ratio on the firm’s per share
value with respect to the dividend irrelevance argument. The argument states that the firm’s dividend
policy should have no impact on its cost of capital or shareholder wealth. Furthermore the argument
states that dividend policy is irrelevant to share value. According to this proposition, if the firm
adopts a payout ratio, which shareholders do not agree with, shareholders can construct their own
policy as policy alternatives merely involve tradeoffs of different dividend streams of equal present
values.
It is unlikely that a policy to use excess cash to pay dividends will alleviate the agency conflicts
between bondholders and shareholders. Paying dividends reduces the cash cushion available to the
company for the disbursement of fixed payments to bondholders. The payment of large dividends
could be seen as effectively transferring wealth from bondholders to shareholders.
The use of excess free cash flow to pay dividends is unlikely to alleviate or create share overhang.
He has not proposed using the excess cash to fund profitable investment opportunities at the expense
of omitting or cutting dividend payments. Thus the factor, investment opportunities, has not
influenced his policy proposal.
Robinson has not shown any concern regarding earnings volatility. Thus the factor, expected future
earnings volatility, has not influenced his policy proposal.
The debt and equity amounts as well as ratios under the ‘before buyback’, after ‘buyback using excess
cash’, and ‘after buyback using additional borrowed funds’ scenarios are compared as follows:
After Buyback
Before Buyback
All Cash All Debt
$ % $ % $ %
Debt* 625,000 20.00 625,000 21.37 825,000 26.40
Equity
2,500,000 80.00 2,300,000 78.63 2,300,000 73.60
(at market)**
Total Capitalization 3,125,000 100.00 2,925,000 100.00 3,125,000 100.00
* Under the ‘After Buyback All Debt’ strategy the value of the debt is increased by the additional
funds borrowed to finance the share repurchase, i.e. $200,000.
**Under both ‘After Buyback’ strategies, ‘All Cash’ and ‘All Debt’, the value of the equity is
decreased by the share repurchase amount, i.e. $200,000.
The share repurchase strategy should be conducted using excess cash as the debt ratio using excess
cash (21.37%) is lower relative to the debt ratio generated under a repurchase strategy using borrowed
funds (26.40%) by 5.03% (26.40% − 21.37%).
The earnings/dividend coverage ratio is increasing over the three-year period, which implies:
Additionally, net borrowings are being increasingly used to fund share repurchases and dividend
payments over the three year period. Such a policy cannot be sustained over the long-term due to the
risks associated with increasing leverage levels. This indicates:
• Dynasty Tours does not have a sustainable policy for funding share repurchases and dividends
and
• it may need to eventually cut the dividends and/or curtail the share repurchase program.
The total dividends paid by Bon Appetite Cuisine for the year 2011, under this policy, are € 1.8
million.
€’000
Net income €4,000
Capital spending/budget €5,500
Financed from new debt 0.6 × €5,500 = €3,300
Financed from retained earnings 0.4 × €5,500 = €2,200
Financed from new equity or debt €0
Residual cash flow €4,000 – €2,200
= residual dividend = € 1,800
Statement A is correct. Stock splits does not affect any shareholder’s equity account.
Statement B is incorrect. Generally, stock splits happen after significant rise in stock price to bring
the price down to a level not perceived too high for investors.
Statement C is correct. A two for one stock splits add one new share for every share currently held, as
a result, a shareholder’s EPS will reduce to half.
C is correct. If a company’s shares are trading at very low price, the company will opt for reverse
stock splits. In case of reverse stock splits, decrease in number of shares outstanding, results in
increase in share price, keeping the company’s underlying fundamentals unchanged.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 8
June 2019
B is incorrect. Scenario 2 does not highlight a potential principal-agent problem but rather
highlights the failure of the employer to respect the right of their employees to compensation
commensurate to their working hours.
Step 3: Identify the claims stakeholders will make on an organization based on Step 2.
Step 4: Identify the key stakeholders (most important from the organization’s perspective).
A is incorrect. Kantian ethics is concerned with treating individuals with dignity and respect.
The liberties provided to employees by the whistleblowing channel go beyond this
philosophical approach.
B is incorrect. Utilitarianism focuses on the maximizing good for the greatest number of
people. The implementation of a whistleblowing channel is not consistent with this approach
which does not consider justice and therefore will not recognize the need to implement a
channel which grants employees with the liberty to report violations in a confidential manner.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 8
June 2019
An executive holding the dual position of a supplier and executive does not satisfy the independence
criteria (directors holding a supplier relationship with the company imply a lack of independence) set
by the provisions.
Thus the board composition is not in agreement with best practice recommendations for reasons
attributable to the proportions of executives and non-executives (dependent vs. independent
members) as well the relationship the executive holds with the company.
I: With respect to the qualifications of directors, best practice recommends executives to have
relevant expertise in the industry and in financial operations; legal matters; and accounting and
auditing.
By requiring all executives to have a minimum 8 years experience with the telecommunications
industry together with knowledge of the company’s product base, sub-component I is consistent
with best practice guidelines.
II: By placing a relatively lower level of importance on accounting and auditing knowledge relative
to industry experience and product knowledge, sub-component II is inconsistent with best
practice guidelines (see above).
III: Best practice guidelines recommend indications of ethical soundness by elected board members
including any public statements or writings by the executive pertaining to problems in companies
with which (s)he has been associated with in the past such as legal or other regulatory violations
involving ethical lapses. By requiring a written statement from executives of involvements in
past legal violations and/or fraudulent practices, subcomponent III is consistent with this
recommendation.
IV: Best practice guidelines recommend the chairman of the board be separate from the senior
executive. If the positions are not separate, an investor may doubt the efficiency and
effectiveness of the board’s monitoring and oversight activities. If the senior executive is
appointed as chairman, the independence of the board may be compromised as the chairman may
be influenced by the firm’s management. Thus subcomponent IV does not comply with best
II: Best practice recommends that executive compensation should include incentives to meet long-
term goals. However the practice of setting compensation rewards based on comparison to the
levels of compensation paid by other companies may not encourage executives to work in the
best interests of shareholders as it is not related to the long-term performance of the company.
Thus the practice of determining executive compensation packages, adopted by the firm, is not
consistent with this provision.
III: Best practice guidelines recommend executive compensation package have a minimum level of
compensation unrelated to company performance such as salary and perquisites and be
dominated by stock options and restricted stocks whose payoff is related to the performance of
the firm. The firm’s existing compensation package satisfies this recommendation as it is
dominated by performance-based compensation (90% stocks options and bonuses vs. 10%
salary).
II: Best practice recommends that members have sufficient expertise in financial, accounting,
auditing, and legal matters to be able to adequately oversee and evaluate the control, risk
management, and compliance systems. Additionally it is advisable for at least two members of
the committee to have relevant accounting and auditing expertise. Thus subcomponent II
satisfies this recommendation.
III: Best practice recommends the audit committee have full access to and cooperation of
management and have authority to investigate fully any matters within its purview. Thus
subcomponent III is consistent with this recommendation.
IV: Best practice recommends that the internal audit staff should report direct to the audit committee.
A policy which requires internal auditors to report to the audit committee through an
intermediary (the senior officer) makes subcomponent IV inconsistent with best practice codes.
holdings. Thus a large grant of stock options (reflecting a rising trend in the share overhang measure)
reflects a practice inconsistent with best practice provisions.
Observation 2: The board of directors should have the ability and sufficient resources to hire legal and
other experts, as required, in order to fulfill their fiduciary duties. Although board members have the
liberty to employ such experts at T.S. Telecommunications Inc., subjecting the funds to an
authorization process does not grant the board with total freedom. This is because prior to hiring the
experts, the funds must be approved by senior management. This observation reflects a practice
inconsistent with best practice recommendations.
Observation 3: It is important that directors and executives take their fiduciary responsibilities to
shareholders seriously particularly in the case of their response of shareholder votes on proxy matters.
T.S.’s merger proposal was rejected by a majority shareholder vote. However, T.S. executives
demonstrate that they are not concerned with the shareholders’ best interests as they have arranged
meetings with the competitor to discuss the proposal. This observation clearly reflects a practice
which is inconsistent with best practice recommendations.
Asset risk is the risk that the firm’s assets will be misappropriated by managers or directors in the
form of excessive compensation or perquisites.
Liability risk is the risk that management will enter into excessive obligations on the shareholder’s
behalf that effectively destroy the value of shareholder’s equity.
Strategic policy risk is the risk that managers may enter into transactions that may not be in the best
long-term interests of shareholders, but may result in large payoffs for managers or directors.
Issue 1: Investing in short-term risky securities whose profits will be allocated to director personal
accounts reflects asset risk (as directors have been using shareholder funds for their benefit) and
strategic policy risk (the characteristics of the investment are unsuitable for shareholders as it exposes
the shareholders to excessive risk over a short time horizon, but results in large payoffs for directors).
Issue 2: Issue 2 reflects liability risk. Directors have entered into excessive obligations (loan
contracts) on behalf of the shareholders.
It is important that individual board members have relevant experience in the industry of the firm they
represent. Although Beridze has served investment advisory firms, his experience is limited to
institutional investor clients as opposed to individual investors. His lack of experience with the latter
investor category suggests a lack of relevant experience. Thus, the lack of Beridze’s experience with
such a category may be a concern for Applegate.
There has been no reference regarding past ethical lapses with which Beridze may have been
involved. Thus this factor will least likely concern Applegate relative to the other two factors.
Suggestion 2 will help to improve the quality of Applegate’s corporate governance system. Corporate
governance codes of best practice recommend boards have an audit committee comprised solely of
independent directors who have sufficient expertise in financial, auditing, accounting, and legal
matters to ensure they are able to oversee and evaluate a firm’s control, risk management and
compliance systems. Furthermore, it is advisable for at least two members of the committee to have
relevant accounting and auditing expertise.
Shareholders prefer that salary and perquisites constitute a relative small proportion of the
compensation package. That is, salary should be adequate but not excessive. Additionally, bonuses
should be awarded based solely on exceeding expected performance. Stock options and restricted
stock grants help to align the interest of managers with those of shareholders.
The salary component comprises 25% of the total compensation and is adequate. This component is
smaller relative to the other components, which make up a total of 75% of the total compensation.
The proposed components of compensation which focus on the long-term and/or expected
performance, i.e. stock options; restricted stock grants; and bonuses, dominate the compensation
package (consuming a proportion of 75% of the total compensation) and are thus consistent with best
practice recommendations.
Since the board has approved the executive compensation package, the regulator may need to assess
the potential for stock options to dilute potential shareholding (share overhang). This is because
following the implementation of the compensation package stock options and restricted stock grants
will be issued which have the potential to dilute shares in the future. This is a task which may need to
be undertaken in addition to the three tasks currently planned.
Problem area 2 reflects a weakness in a core attribute of Applegate’s corporate governance system. A
core attribute of a sound corporate governance system includes complete transparency and accuracy
in disclosures regarding operations, performance, risk, and financial position. Failing to disclose off-
balance sheet liabilities on its financial statements reflects a weakness in the core attributes of a sound
corporate governance system.
This misallocation is also a strategic policy risk as a director has entered into an activity using
corporate funds that is not in the best long-term interests of the shareholders of TBE.
He is, however, currently a senior manager and may have an existing and personal relationship with
existing management. Regardless of this factor, the other candidates are less eligible for the position.
Arnold Calway is a close high school friend of Crosby and this relation falls under the criteria for
related party identification. He is also the director of an automobile dealership and, thus, has a vested
interest in acquiring a directorship position in an automobile manufacturing entity.
Elizabeth Tesan also has a vested interest in the directorship position as she is the partner at a firm
currently providing outsourcing services o Allied Autos.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 8
June 2019
One motive behind cross-border mergers is that they enable companies to exploit potential market
inefficiencies by gaining access to cheaper sources of labor. Given the current economic and
unemployment situation of the developing country, local labor will be more than willing to work for
lower levels of compensation. Thus such a motive is justified.
However since the merger in question is a vertical merger in the same industry, the diversification
motive stated as part of conclusion 2 is not justified.
Conclusion 3: Foreign M&A activity has gained more popularity over the years. One of the motives
behind cross-border acquisitions is that it may help circumvent disadvantageous government policy as
the firm will be given a local identity in the local/foreign market, once and if merged with Griston
Builders Inc. Thus a merger may the only way to overcome the barriers to foreign competition
imposed by the local government. Thus conclusion 3 is justified.
The total number of Skyline Associates’ combined shares after the merger is 100 + 42.5
= 142.5 million
The post-merger per share value given to Griston Builders Inc. is $2,250 million/142.5 million
= $15.79.
The total value paid to Griston Builders Inc.’s shareholders is, including the cash component of $400
million ($8 × 50 million) and a stock component of $671.08 ($15.79 × 42.5 million), is $1,071.08
million. The premium is $871.08 million ($1,071.08 million - $200 million).
The more confident the acquirer is that estimated synergies will be realized, the more the managers
(of the acquirer) will prefer to pay with cash and more the target managers will prefer stock. When it
is highly probable that actual synergies will be lower than the synergies predicted prior to the merger,
the acquirer’s managers will prefer to issue stock (as they would like the target shareholders to share
the losses from a lower-than-expected synergy benefits estimate) whereas target management would
prefer cash (as they would not like to share in the losses). Thus the consultant’s comments with
respect to expected synergies are incorrect.
The other factor which decides the method of payment is the counterparties’ confidence in the
companies’ relative values. The more confident the acquirer’s managers are in estimates about the
target company’s value, the more the acquirer would prefer cash and the more the target would prefer
stock. Thus the consultant’s comment with respect to confidence in target valuation is correct.
Defense 1: This illustrates the post-takeover defense, ‘greenmail’. However in order for the defense to
be effective the target must agree to purchase its own shares back from the acquirer usually at a
premium to market price. A repurchase price involving a discount to market value will not be
effective as the acquirer company shareholders will not be willing to sell their holdings back to the
target at a loss, but would prefer to sell it in the market at the current market price. Additionally, the
use of greenmail as a takeover defense is extremely restricted. For these reasons, the use of this
defense will not be effective.
Defense 2: This illustrates the post-takeover defense, ‘white-knight defense’. This defense can prove
to be highly successful especially if the third party, rescuing the target, has a good strategic fit with it.
Based on such a fit, the party can justify a high bid price which may cause the bidder to withdraw its
takeover offer. Thus this defense is highly effective in the case of Skyline Associates if implemented
as described.
Defense 3: This illustrates the pre-takeover defense, ‘supermajority voting provision’. Although an
amendment to the corporate charter to provide for a supermajority approval by shareholders for
mergers may present the acquirer with significant difficulties in accumulating enough votes to
approve a merger, this defense in no longer effective once the offer has been made. Such is the case
with Skyline Associates.
In stock purchases, payments are made directly to shareholders in exchange for their shares and thus
company shareholders are taxed on their capital gains. There are no corporate-level taxes. The
consultant’s comment with respect to stock purchases is partially incorrect.
In asset purchases, the acquirer company generally avoids the assumption of liabilities. Thus this
form of acquisition is appropriate for the acquirer when it seeks to avoid the responsibility of target
liabilities. The consultant’s comments with respect to asset purchases are correct.
The post-merger HHI (if the two firms are merged) = (35% + 20%)2 + (10%)2 + (5%)2 + (4%)2 +
(26%)2
= 3,842
The difference between post-merger HHI and pre-merger HHI is 1,400 (3,842 – 2,442). Since the
post-merger HHI is more than 1,800, this indicates that the real estate development industry following
the merger will become heavily concentrated. With the difference between pre- and post-merger HHI
being more than 50, the merger will evoke an antitrust challenge.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 9
June 2019
Statement 2 is incorrect. Although it is true that the inputs to a valuation model need to be accurate
and detailed, ‘quality of earnings analysis’ involves the investigation of issues related to the accuracy
of reported accounting results.
Company B has management whose compensation is tied to the stock price or profitability. Such
arrangements, although desirable, can indicate a risk of aggressive reporting as well.
For stock A:
(38.99–33.78) + 1.78 + 2.31/33.78 = 27.53%
Alpha = 27.53–22.31 = 5.22%
For stock B:
(55.48-67.45) + 0.98 + 4.67/67.45 = –9.37%
Alpha= –9.37–2.10 = –11.47%
Statement 4 is incorrect. If the marketplace has confidence that the company’s management is acting
in the owner’s best interests, market prices should on average reflect fair value. In some situations,
however, an asset is worth more to a particular buying maybe because of potential operating
synergies. The value to a buyer taking into account these synergies and based on investor’s
expectations is termed investment value.
A is correct. Being on the verge of bankruptcy, Alpha Inc. will be subject to considerable financial distress. In
this scenario, liquidation value will be most relevant to the company. Liquidation value measures the value of a
company which is dissolved and its assets are sold individually.
B is incorrect. Investment value is relevant when valuing the worth of a business to a specific buyer. This
measure of value is not relevant in the context of Alpha Inc.
A is correct. Given that SS targets a niche market, it will have an exclusive and limited customer base. The
fewer the number of customers, the greater their negotiating power. Therefore, the buyers would represent an
inherent downward pressure on industry profitability.
B is incorrect. Based on Porter’s five forces, when there are many suppliers of input, suppliers have limited
power to raise prices and thus would not represent an inherent downward pressure on industry profitability. SS
has access to a large supplier pool and they cannot negatively influence industry profitability based on their
pricing power.
C is incorrect. A low level of competition will enhance industry profitability. The watch-making industry in
which SS operates has a low degree of intra-industry rivalry.
B is correct. Given that SS operates in an industry with little competition, few potential substitutes will exist
thereby decreasing the threat of substitutes. A low threat of substitutes enhances industry profitability.
C is incorrect. Given that few potential substitutes exist, switching costs are not relevant in this regard.
C is correct. SS is neither in financial distress nor in the process of liquidation. Therefore, the company is
assumed to be operating as a going concern and the going-concern value will be a relevant value definition.
A is incorrect. Intrinsic value is a relevant concept of value when valuing public equities.
B is incorrect. Liquidation value is appropriate for a company which is in financial distress and is used to value
a company if it were dissolved and its assets were sold individually.
A is correct. Carlton is acquiring a minority stake in SS. Therefore, a control premium is not required to be
incorporated when adjusting Time Associate’s stock for the purposes of valuing SS’s stock.
B is incorrect. Given that the SS stock is privately traded, an illiquidity discount will required to be applied as
the shares lack the market depth associated with the publically traded stock of Time Associates.
C is incorrect. Lack of marketability discounts apply to the value of non-publically traded stocks.
C is correct. Gains from the sale of the manufacturing plant and the income received from a positive litigation
settlement represent non-recurring sources income which is not sustainable. Therefore, Line Corporation’s
current year earning comprises unsustainable income sources.
B is incorrect. The capitalization of product development costs will boost the current year’s income at the
expense of reducing income in the future years. However, this accounting treatment does not represent an
attempt to accelerate revenue.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 9
June 2019
Argument 2 supports the use of historical estimates. Historical estimates are based on data, rather than
forecasts, which gives then an objective quality.
Argument 3 fails to support the use of historical risk premium estimates for estimating equity risk
premiums. In using a historical estimate to represent the equity risk premium going forward, the
analyst assumes that returns are stationary and that the parameters describing the return-generating
process are constant in the past and future. This does not allow for scenario analysis to be conducted,
whereby an analyst needs to use different estimates for the parameters to arrive at a range of possible
outcomes.
I. an equity index that accurately represents the returns earned by average equity investors
in the markets examined;
II. the time period of the estimate
III. the type of mean calculated
IV. the proxy for risk-free return
Vazquez has failed to select a representative market index. He should have selected Homali’s national
equity index or an emerging market African index.
Although choosing a nineteen year time period will help to increase the precision of sample data,
issues related to nonstationarity in data will need to be dealt with. Given the significant political risks
to be encountered by foreign investors investing in Homali, it is highly likely that risk premiums will
fluctuate considerably over the long term, in addition to the short-term. Thus Vazquez may have to
deal with nonstationarity in the returns data used.
Generally, a risk-free return can be represented using long-term government bond returns or short-
term government debt instrument returns. A risk premium relative to long-term government bonds is
generally preferred over the latter in a multi-period context of valuation. Using the yield on 20 year
U.S. government bonds as proxy for the risk-free rate is appropriate and does not pose any issue.
Using supply-side model, the estimated equity risk premium is calculated as follows:
[{(1 + 1.45%) (1+ 0.53% + 0.10%) (1 + 3.00%) – 1.0} + (1.21% + 0.35%)] – 2.45% = 4.2618%
Dividend yield on the index based on year-ahead aggregate forecasted dividends and aggregate
market value
Weighted average equity risk premium = (0.7) (4.2618%) + (0.3) (3.0375%) = 3.8945%
Flynn’s statement does not accurately capture the process used to estimate raw beta. Beta equals to
the covariance of returns with the returns on the market portfolio divided by the market portfolio’s
variance of returns.
Given a total debt ratio of 0.3, Horizon’s debt-to-equity ratio is 0.42857 (0.3/0.7).
1
BU ≈ 1.4 = 0.98
1 + (0.3 0.7 )
Given a total debt ratio of 0.15, Agatha’s debt-to-equity ratio is 0.17647 (0.15/0.85)
The country spread model estimates the equity risk premium as the sum of the equity risk premium of
a developed market and a country premium. The country premium is equal to the yield differential
between emerging market government bonds (denominated in the currency of the developed market)
and developed market government bonds.
The country risk rating model provides a regression-based estimate of the equity risk premium based
on the empirical relationship between developed market equity returns and institutional investor’s
semi-annual risk ratings for the country. The estimated regression equation is then used with risk
ratings for less developed markets to predict the required returns for those markets.
To determine whether the Armstrong’s estimate implies above or below average risk, we find the
return if beta equals 1:
5.1% +1(5.5%) = 10.6%
Since Armstrong estimated a required return of 10.2%, her estimate implies below-average systematic
risk.
Statement 2 is incorrect. The statement is true for the APT model. But, in the case of the Fama-French
model (a type of a multifactor model), the premiums of two factors are not stated as quantities in
excess of the risk free rate (one represents a small cap return premium and the other a value return
premium).
Statement 4 is correct. The company is a large cap, value stock high liquidity.
Risk free rate + equity risk premium + incremental premium for small size
= 4 + 5.5 + 4.21 = 13.71%
The company specific premium is added to determine the required return for a privately held
company.
Equity risk premium = [{(1 + EINFL) (1 + EGREPS) (1 + EGPE) – 1.0} + EINC] – Expected
risk-free return
= [{(1 + 0.034) (1 + 0.025 + 0.014) (1 + 0.0145) – 1.0} + (0.0176 +
0.0015)] – 0.045
= 0.064 or 6.40%
Relative to developed markets, transparency in emerging markets is often weaker and thus it may be
more difficult to obtain market data to formulate forecasts such as beta. However the beta adjustment
is rational in the case of both developed and emerging markets to obtain accurate valuation estimates.
Thus factor 1 inaccurately describes the issues involved in estimating returns for emerging markets.
Factor 2:
Models such as the Fama-French model and the Pastor Stambaugh model are generally limited to
developed countries. Historical data on the factors are publically available to 24 countries, which are
all developed countries. Although the latter model represents an extension of the former model by
including an illiquidity risk premium, either of the two models may be difficult to use in emerging
markets such as Morocco where historical data on the factors may not be readily available. Thus
factor 2 inaccurately describes the issues involved in estimating returns for emerging markets.
* A short-term risk-free rate is used as the expected risk-free rate in the Fama-French model.
A positive value premium of 0.24 provides evidence that the stock’s market price is less than the
book value of its equity, i.e. it has a high book-to-market ratio. Additionally, the positive value
premium provides evidence that the stock is a value stock.
In one year’s time, the stock is expected to pay dividends totaling $3.20 ($0.80 × 4).
If the firm’s stock is correctly valued, it will return its cost of equity. Under this assumption, target
price = current price × (1 + Required return) – Dividend
C is correct. With the exception of a flat yield curve scenario, the arithmetic mean is always higher
than the geometric mean. Therefore, the historical risk premium estimate will be higher if arithmetic
mean returns are used.
A is incorrect. Considering that the yield curve is upward sloping, the long-term government bond
return will be higher relative to the (short-term) Treasury bill return. Therefore, the historical risk
premium estimate will be higher relative to the estimate generated using T-bill returns.
A is correct. The baseline value for the expected growth in the P/E ratio is 0 which is consistent with
an efficient market view. A negative value for this factor suggests that the analyst views the current
P/E ratio as reflecting overvaluation.
.
EINFL =
− 1 =
.
− 1 = 2.0076%
EGREPS = Labor productivity growth + labor supply growth = 3.0% + 2.2% = 5.2%
A is correct. A shortcoming of applying the CAPM to estimate a stock’s required return is that the
approach solely considers one source of systematic risk – the sensitivity of the stock’s return to the
returns of the broad market index. On the other hand, the Fama-French model considers other sources
of systematic risk including value and size and is more suitable for deriving return estimates for Zitter
Inc.’s stock. The CAPM is regarded as an incomplete model for measuring risk.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 10
June 2019
B is correct. Pithers is using the market growth and market share approach, a top-down approach, as
he is forecasting industry growth first and considering how Hollistic Inc.’s market share will change
over time.
A is incorrect. Davis is using a hybrid approach. Projections 1, 3 and 4 represent the use of the top-
down approach; Davis starts at the overall level of the economy and uses the rate of inflation to
develop projections at the overall company level. On the other hand, Projection 2 represents the use
of the bottom-up approach to forecasting as Davis is using the company’s past cost of sales-to-sales
ratio to develop forecasts. The combination of the bottom-up and top-down approach represent a
hybrid approach.
C is incorrect. Barrett is using a hybrid approach to forecasting. She generates the short-term forecast
using a bottom-up approach by focusing on the company’s individual growth rate. However, her
long-term forecast is generated using a top-down approach as she projects sales revenue to grow at
the nominal GDP growth rate.
The company will pass 50% of the 2% increase in coffee beans prices to consumers; selling price per
unit should increase by 1% (2% × 0.5) per unit in 2013. Given that sales volume is projected to
decline by 8% in 2013, sales revenue is projected to total BRL 799.112 (BRL 860 × 1.01 × 0.92).
Projected cost of sales attributable to coffee beans (2013) = BRL 645 × 0.4 × 1.02 × 0.92
= BRL 242.1072
= BRL 356.04
Gross profit margin (2013) = [BRL 799.112 – (BRL 242.1072 + BRL 356.04)] ÷ BRL 799.112
= 25.149%
A is correct. An inflection point will occur when the future will look considerably different from the
past. This contrasts with a perpetuity calculation which assumes a constant rate of growth into the
future. Pithers’ SG&A projection represents an inflection point as the sudden policy announcement
will alter SG&A estimates significantly.
B is incorrect. Pithers’ sales revenue forecast does not reflect an inflection point as he expects
industry revenues to grow slowly and this growth is based on its past pattern.
C is incorrect. Barrett’s revenue forecast does not represent an inflection point. Although heightened
competition will reduce Hollistic Inc.’s revenue forecast, the decline is gradual and thus does not
represent a sudden shift in future revenues.
C is correct. Hollistic’s market share has remained constant from 2012 and is expected to remain so:
Part 5) C is correct.
With linear growth, it will take approximately 3 years for the revenue growth rate to equal nominal
GDP growth rate.
N = number of years required for the two aforementioned growth rates to equal.
2% × 1.001 × N = 6%
= 21.218%
Assuming that gross profit remains constant (as stated in the question), projected SG&A for 2014 is
equal to BRL 45.62 (BRL 215 × 21.218%).
Hailey is using the growth relative to GDP growth approach, a top-down approach, to forecast
revenues generated from the sale of generator units. This approach involves considering how the
growth rate of a specific company will compare relative to nominal GDP growth.
Production area space in Year 2019 = 35.5 million × (1.01)4 = 36.9414 million square feet
Utility expenses per square foot in Year 2019 = $3,549.29578 × (1.02)4 = $3,841.87189
Total utility expenses in Year 2019 = $3,841.87189 × 36.9414 million = $141,924.13 million or ≈
$141,924 million.
Interest rate on average cash position = Interest income/average cash position = $4,800/ ($57,600 +
$21,500) = 6.068% or 6.07%
C is correct. The revision in tax laws will result in a decrease in the company’s income subject to
taxation because the company will recognize a higher depreciation expense in the current year as a
result of the accelerated depreciation method employed. However, the company’s effective tax rate
will not be affected if the company adopts the accelerated depreciation method for tax purposes.
A is correct. Register Inc. has acquired significant economies of scale in production relative to its
competitors thereby reducing the intensity of rivalry between the manufacturer and its competitors. In
addition, the dominant market share of the manufacturer further reduces the intensity of rivalry.
Therefore, the intensity of rivalry is described as being low.
The bargaining power of paper suppliers is low because paper is widely available as an input
resource. With a wide availability of paper suppliers, their ability to raise the price of paper is limited.
The more fragmented the consumer base, the lower the bargaining power of an industry’s consumers
as their ability to demand lower prices and/or control the quality and quantity of end products is
limited.
On the other hand, the chain of retail outlets has higher bargaining power as it is the only retain chain
to stock the company’s products. Therefore, one would expect this buyer category to have a more
commanding position with respect to the pricing, quality and/or quantity of the company’s products.
NAD
Sales revenue (NAD 15 × 350,000 × 1.20* × 0.84**) 5,292,000
Cost of goods sold*** 2,665,600
SG&A (NAD 4 × 350,000) 1,400,000
Operating profit 1,226,400
*The 20% increase in the price of the input will be completely passed on to customers in the form of
higher selling prices.
***Cost of goods sold reported in 2015 is equal to NAD 2,800,000 (NAD 8 × 350,000). Out of the
total figure reported, NAD 840,000 (NAD 2,800,000 × 0.30) is variable while NAD 1,960,000 (NAD
2,800,000 – NAD 840,000) is fixed.
In 2018, the fixed component will remain at NAD 1,960,000 while the variable component will
decline to NAD 705,600 (NAD 840,000 × 0.84). Total cost of goods sold will amount to NAD
2,665,600 (NAD 1,960,000 + NAD 705,600).
A is correct. Since the demand is price elastic, a company’s efforts to pass on inflation through higher
prices can have a negative impact on volume. Therefore, in an inflationary environment, raising
prices too soon will result in volume losses.
B is incorrect. On the other hand, raising prices too late will result in a profit margin squeeze in an
inflationary environment.
NAD
Net sales (NAD 15 × 350,000) 5,250,000
Cost of goods sold (NAD 8 × 350,000 × 1.15) 3,220,000
SG&A expenses (NAD 4 × 350,000 × 1.15) 1,610,000
Operating profit 420,000
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 10
June 2019
r = D1/P0 + g
= 2.34(1.055)/65.78 + 0.055
= 0.03753+0.055 = 0.092539= 9.25% (the dividend yield equals 3.75%)
Statement 2 is correct. Even though cash dividends are more predictable than share repurchases, if
applied applied, the DDM is a valid approach to common stock valuation even when the company
being analyzed engages in share repurchases.
• The corporation’s earnings are in line with the U.S. nominal GDP growth.
• The corporation’s profitability is stable as evidenced by its steady required return on equity.
Additionally, the steady stream of revenue from ongoing projects has secured the business and
has helped contribute to its stable profits.
• Its dividends bear an understandable and consistent relationship to its earnings as evidenced by its
policy of steadily increasing dividends.
Based on a 12% required return on equity and 6.5% growth rate, the intrinsic value of North Shore’s
shares is $10.65.
D0 (1 + g ) 0.55 (1 + 0 .065 )
V0 = = = $10 .65
r−g 0.12 − 0 .065
In order to calculate the contribution of PVGO to P/E, the following formula is used:
1 PVGO
P/E = +
r E1
12.46 1 PVGO
= +
0.8 0.14 E1
PVGO
= 8.43
E1
Based on the forecasted steady decline of North Shore’s dividends, the H-model should be used to
determine the firm’s intrinsic value.
Under the H-model, intrinsic value is calculated using the following formula:
D0 (1+ gL ) D0 H ( gs − gL )
V0 = +
r − gL r − gL
= $5.85870 ≈ $5.86
A three stage dividend discount model will be used to calculate the intrinsic value as follows:
Present values
Year Value Calculation Dt or Vt Dt/(1.11)t or
Vt/(1.11)t
2010 D1 $0.55(1.055) $0.58025 $0.52275
2011 D2 $0.55(1.055)(1.04) $0.60346 $0.48978
$0.55(1.055)(1.04)(1.025)/(0.
2011 V2 $7.27702 $5.90619
11 – 0.025)
Total $6.91872
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 11
June 2019
Investment in working capital = [(175 – 150) + (97.55 – 86.31)] – (66 – 60) = $30.24
Statement 2 is correct. If WACC is calculated on a pretax basis the FCFF to be discounted should be
estimated by adding back interest paid with no tax adjustment. This ensures consistency in the
measures of WACC and FCFF.
The incremental fixed capital investment in 2008 was 46.15%, which is calculated as follows:
−
500 − 200
= = 46.15%
650
The incremental investment in working capital in 2008 was 7.69%, which is calculated as follows:
50
= = 7.69%
650
EBIT (1 – tax rate) – Incremental Fixed Capital Investment – Incremental Working Capital
Investment
$ millions
Sales 1,836.000 ($1,700 × 1.08)
EBIT 257.040 14% of sales
EBIT (1 – Tax rate) 167.076 257.040 (1 – 0.35)
Incremental fixed capital (62.764) 0.4615 × (1,700 × 0.08)*
*Both incremental fixed capital and working capital investment are calculated based on the
respective calculated percentages in 2007 (see above) by the incremental increase in sales
which is $136 million ($1,700 million × 0.08)
Using the formula laid out in the previous solution, forecasted FCFF is calculated as follows:
$ millions
Sales 2,141.510 ($1,700 × 1.083)
EBIT 256.981 12%* of sales
EBIT (1 – Tax rate) 167.038 256.981(1 – 0.35)
Incremental fixed capital (73.208) 46.15% of sales increase**
Incremental working capital (12.199) 7.69% of sales increase**
FCFF 81.6310
*Since the EBIT margin will decline by a total of 5% over a five-year period, starting from
2010, the decline in the EBIT margin will be 1% per annum. In 2011, EBIT margin will be
12% (14% − 2%).
**The sales increase between 2010 and 2011 is $158.630 million [(1,700 × 1.083) – (1,700 ×
1.082)]
Characteristic 1 does not decrease the usefulness of the modified buildup model for valuing
corporations such as HL Corp. The approach is particularly useful for countries with either high or
variable inflation rates. A high but steadily increasing inflation rate makes this model useful for
valuation purposes.
Using the modified buildup method, the real required rate of return is 8.32%, which is calculated as
follows:
(%)
Country return (real) 8.50
+/- Size adjustment − 0.23
+/- Industry adjustment + 0.14
+/- Leverage adjustment − 0.09
Required rate of return (real) 8.32
The real growth rate of FCFE is expected to be 2.05% (Exhibit 1), so the value each HL Corp Share
is:
Using EBIT, the FCFF for the year 2009 is calculated using the following formula:
Using the FCFF value, FCFE is calculated using the following formula:
B is correct. The FCFF model is more suitable for valuing a levered company with a
changing capital structure because FCFF estimation may be computed more easily compared
to FCFE estimation in these circumstances.
A is incorrect. The advantage of FCFE and FCFF approaches over earnings-based measures
is that the latter do not account for the reinvestment in working capital and capital assets
which a company makes to maintain or maximize the value of the firm. Therefore, the latter
approach is not consistent with the shareholder perspective which focuses on long-term value
maximization.
FCFF = Net income + non-cash charges + Interest(1 – tax rate) – Fixed capital investment –
working capital investment
2014 2013
Accounts receivable $150 $110
Inventory $85 $100
Total current assets excluding cash $235 $210
C is correct. EBITDA is a poor proxy for FCFF because it fails to consider depreciation tax
shield and the investment in fixed capital and working capital. The measure is also a poor
proxy for FCFE as it fails to consider cash flow from new borrowings or debt repayments
which otherwise feature in a company’s FCFE computation.
A is incorrect. Even though EBITDA is a pre-tax measure, this fact does not justify why
EBITDA is a poor proxy for FCFF and FCFE.
B is incorrect. EBITDA is a before-tax measure and so the discount rate applied to it would
be a before-tax rate.
The two-stage FCFE model will be used to value the Ceta Inc. stock:
Wayne’s opening statement is relevant for calculating FCFF from both EBIT and EBITDA.
This is because many noncash charges are made after computing EBIT or EBITDA and do
not need to be added back when calculating FCFF and/or FCFE from either of the two. An
example of a noncash charge which is not made before computing EBITDA is depreciation.
Therefore, it is not added back to EBITDA when computing FCFF/FCFE. However, because
depreciation is tax-deductible, the effect of taxes must be accounted for when calculating
FCFF. This is done by adding the product of the depreciation expense and tax charge to
EBITDA.
• product of the depreciation charge and tax rate is added (Option C is correct while
option A is incorrect) and
• after-tax interest expense does not feature in the equation as EBITDA is
calculating prior to the inclusion of interest expense (Option B is incorrect).
$$
*Incremental fixed capital investment = = $×. =
88.89%
$$
**Incremental working capital investment =
= $×. = 8.89%
Net borrowing = (Fixed capital investment + working capital investment) × debt ratio
Based on the data in Exhibit 2, the required return on equity should be calculated using
CAPM.
*Brach Tech’s real required return is 1.2% lower that Venezuela’s real GDP growth,
therefore, the company’s real required return is 1.5% (2.7% - 1.2%).
**The real required return for Brach Tech is equal to 10.8%. See below:
• decrease in trade receivable – represents a source of cash and the amount of decrease
should be added to net income;
• increase in other current assets – represents a use of cash and the amount of decrease
should be deducted from net income;
• increase in interest receivable represents a use of cash and should be deducted; and
• decrease in notes payable – should not feature in the reconciliation and should be
omitted.
Based on these three adjustments, the correct figure for operating cash flows is VER 3,587
million. Note: Relevant corrections are highlighted in bold and all figures are in millions.
A is correct. An increase in depreciation expense is positive for future cash flow from
operations (CFO). Net income is reduced by depreciation × (1 – tax rate) while the full
amount of depreciation expense is added back when calculating CFO. Therefore, the
difference between the depreciation expense – the amount added back to net income to
calculate CFO - and the amount by which net income is reduced by depreciation expense is:
(tax rate) × (depreciation expense) which represents a positive increment to CFO.
Therefore, the CFO reported in reading will increase by VER 24.48 million (VER 80 million
× 1.02 × 0.30).
FCFE is not affected by divided payments to common shareholders. The reason is that FCFE
represent the cash flows available to a company’s shareholders while dividends represent
uses of these cash flows. Therefore, the company’s decision to cut its dividend per share
should not affect its FCFE.
On the other hand, an increase in leverage will increase FCFE in the year the debt is issued
by the amount of issuance proceeds.
B is correct. Dividend payments are made at the discretion of the corporation’s board of
directors and therefore, they may imperfectly signal the company’s long-run profitability.
A is incorrect. Dividends represent uses of available cash whereas FCFE represent the cash
flow that will be distributed to a company’s shareholders without impairing the company
value.
C is incorrect. As long as a company’s growth rate is lower than its required rate of return, a
declining rate can be used in the dividend discount model.
FCFE forecasted for the year 2018 is equal to VER 24.8 million/2.5 million = VER 9.92
2018
Expected
(In VER
millions)
Earnings VER 52.0
Net fixed capital investment - VER 22.0
Net working capital investment - VER 12.0
Debt financing [(VER 22 + VER 12) × + VER 6.80
0.20]
Forecasted FCFE VER 24.8
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 11
June 2019
Statement 2 is correct. Of all the accounting adjustments, the potential dilution of EPS generally
makes the least demands on analysts’ accounting expertise because companies are themselves
required to present both basic EPS and diluted EPS. Because companies present both EPS numbers,
the analyst does not need to make the computation.
The EPS based on a fiscal year definition and next year’s forecasted EPS equals:
0.09 + (0.05) + 0.21 + 0.22 = 0.47
P/E equals: 9.84/0.47 = 20.94
The statement is correct with respect to residual income. If the present value of expected future
residual earnings is zero, that is, the business earns its required return on investment in every period,
the justified P/BV will equal 1.
In this case:
P/E = 1/6.7% – 0.10(11.5%) = 14.91
Mahard is incorrect with respect to the benefit. A drawback of the Fed Model is that it inadequately
reflects the effects of inflation and incorrectly incorporates the differential effects of inflation on
earnings and interest payments.
As the earning yield is lower than the 10 year Treasury bonds yield, the decision rule of the Fed
Model dictates that the index is overvalued.
*Valuation is a forward looking process, so analysts usually focus on forward EPS when earnings
forecasts are available; when earnings are not readily predictable, a trailing EPS may be more
appropriate than Forward EPS.
Book Value per Share for Equity Holders = ($256,000 – $103,000 – $23,000 – $6,000)/8,000
= $15.50 per share
As the growth rates of all three companies are similar, and Micro is in the growth stage of the
industry life cycle, we may safely assume the other two companies to also lie in the growth stage of
the lifecycle.
Micro:
PEG Ratio = 50.0/7 = 7.1
Milli:
PEG Ratio = 30/9 = 3.3
Macro:
PEG Ratio = 48/12 = 4.0
Decision Rule: The lower the PEG ratio, the more attractive is the investment.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 11
June 2019
EBIT $1,500,000
Less Interest expense $480,000 (20 million × 0.30 × 0.08)
Pretax Income $1,020,000
Less Income tax $306,000 (at 30%)
Net Income $714,000
NOPAT $1,050,000 (1,500,000 – 30% taxes)
Equity Charge $1,820,000 (20 million × 0.70 × 0.13)
Debt Charge $336,000 [20 million × 0.30 × (1-0.30)0.08)]
Total Capital Charge $2,156,000 (equity charge + debt charge)
Residual income $(1,106,000) (NI less equity charge or NOPAT less total
charge)
Effective capital Charge 10.78% (Total capital charge/20 million)
After tax net operating return 5.25% (NOPAT/20 million)
So the after tax net operating return on total assets is 5.53% less than the effective capital charge.
Year 1 2 3
Beg. BVPS $7.50 $9.45 $11.44
NI/share $3.45 $4.00 $4.79
Less DPS $1.5 $2.01 $16.23
Change in RE $1.95 $1.99 –$11.44
End. BVPS $9.45 $11.44 $0
NI/share $3.45 $4.00 $4.79
Less equity charge $0.90 $1.134 $1.3728
Residual Income $2.55 $2.866 $3.4172
Statement 2 is also incorrect. Lower residual income persistence is associated with extreme
accounting rates of return.
According to the single-stage residual income model, the value of the stock is:
V0 = 25.5 + (.205–0.183)/(0.183–0.093)25.5 = $31.74
Since the stock’s intrinsic value is $7.967 less than the current market price of $39.7, the stock is
overvalued and should not be bought.
• the company does not pay dividends or the dividends are unpredictable;
• the company’s expected free cash flows are negative within the analyst’s forecast horizon;
• the terminal value is uncertain and is thus unpredictable using an alternative present value
approach.
HM’s uncertain dividend payment stream and its negative free cash flow generation pattern, expected
over the foreseeable horizon, make the residual income model the most appropriate model to use for
valuing HM.
Benefit 2:
Residual income models focus on economic profitability, which reflects the profits available to
shareholders after deducting the cost of providing equity capital by equity shareholders. Thus the
model takes the perspective of shareholders by focusing on the profits available to them. On the other
hand, measures based on net income may not be as useful to shareholders as they reflect the profits
available to all the providers of capital, debt holders and equity holders, as opposed to exclusively to
the equity holders. Benefit 2 accurately captures this benefit.
Benefit 3:
As outlined in the solution to Part 1, the model is most appropriate when forecasted terminal values
are highly uncertain making this model beneficial to use in the event of uncertain terminal values.
Benefit 3 accurately addresses this benefit.
Workings:
(2) = (3) – (4) – BVt-1
(3) = (5) ÷ BVt-1
(4) = (3) × 0.20
(5) = (3) ÷ BVt-1
(7) = (6) × BVt-1
(8) = [(5) – (6)] × BVt-1
Using the persistence factor, 0.75, the present value of the terminal value is calculated using the
following formula:
−
1 + − 1 +
T=6
The growth factor of 1.20 reflects a 20% growth rate where the growth rate is the retention rate
multiplied by the ROE: (0.80) (25%) = 0.20
$8.01216
= $11.443893 $11.44
1 + 0.13 − 0.751.13
The current value is thus equal to $56.41 ($44.97 + $11.44) or approximately $56.00.
Should the return on equity (ROE) equal to the cost of equity, the extreme right hand side of the
equation, following the ‘+’ sign, equals to zero and the justified price-to-book ratio will equal to 1.
Additionally, if the return on equity equals the cost of equity, residual income will equal to zero as
demonstrated by the formula below:
Under both U.S. GAAP, which is applicable to HM, and IFRS, foreign currency translation
adjustments bypass the income statement and are recorded as a component of shareholder’s equity. In
the case of H.M., these adjustments will be recorded as part of comprehensive income (i.e.
component of equity).
As a result, these adjustments will distort net income, ROE, and hence residual income. However
since the adjustments are recorded as a component of equity, the book value of equity is accurately
stated.
Wade’s statement is inaccurate with respect to the effects of a violation on the book value of equity
but is accurate with respect to the fact that foreign currency translation adjustments may be a source
of violation.
B is correct. When calculating NOPAT, an analyst should eliminate deferred taxes such that only cash
taxes remain.
To determine whether Monoline Constructors’ shares are fairly valued or not, a single-stage residual
income model will be applied to the data in Exhibit 1 to determine intrinsic value.
The formula for calculating intrinsic value per share using the multi-stage residual income model is as
follows:
T −1
Et − rBt −1 (PT − BT )
V0 = B0 + ∑ +
t =1 (1 + r )t (1 + r )T
2015 2018 2018 2018
Beginning book value per $10.80 $10.80 + $16.35 + $20.45 +
share $8.80 – $6.50 - $5.30 -
$3.25 = $2.40 = $1.85 =
$16.35 $20.45 $23.90
ROE $8.80/$10.80 $6.50/$16.35 $5.30/$20.45 0.10
= 0.81 = 0.40 = 0.26 (given)
Equity charge per share (0.08 × (0.08 × (0.08 × (0.08 ×
$10.80) = $16.35) = $20.45) = $23.90)
$0.86 $1.31 $1.64 = $1.91
Residual income per share $7.94 $5.19 $3.66 (0.10 –
0.08) ×
$23.90 =
$0.48
Given that price will equal book value per share at the end of 2018, the second term of the equation
(to the right hand side of the plus sign) reduces to zero.
The single stage residual income model is provided by the following expression:
ROE − r
V0 = B0 + B0
r−g
If the ROE is lower than the cost of equity, the company would have negative residual income and
would be valued at less than its book value.
A is correct. Terminal value will equal zero on the maturity date of the Ace Limited investment as
return on equity declines to cost of equity. In this scenario, the residual income valuation will not be
sensitive to terminal value estimates.
On the other hand, a large fraction of the stock’s present value in either the discounted dividend or
free cash flow models is represented by the present value of the expected terminal value.
B is incorrect. A high persistence factor will mean that residual income will be higher in the final
stage and the valuation will be higher. However, this fact does not help answer Question 1.
C is incorrect. Although residual income is a highly suitable technique when free cash flows are
negative, there is no information to indicate Ace Limited is generating negative free cash flows.
The multi-stage residual income model will be used to calculate residual income.
V0 = B0 + ∑
T
(EPSt − rBt −1 ) + EPST − rBT −1
t =1 (1 + r )t (1 + r − ω )(1 + r )T −1
Given that ROE will decline to the cost of equity after 2018, the third term on the right-hand side will
be zero.
Lowering the dividend payout will increase residual income persistence as the annual amount of
deduction (for dividends) from a company’s earnings will be lower leading to a higher stream of
residual income in the final stage.
A is correct. Residual income models are not appropriate for valuation purposes when a company’s
ROE is not predictable. Given that Nixing Inc.’s earnings are unpredictable; its ROE cannot be
forecasted with a reasonable degree of accuracy.
B is incorrect. Residual income models are appropriate when a company does not pay dividends or if
its dividends are not predictable. The fact that Nixing Inc. does not currently pay dividends makes the
use of the residual income model appropriate for valuation.
C is incorrect. The appropriateness of the residual income model is not determined based on how
established a company’s revenue base is.
C is correct. The residual income approach is not appropriate when the clean surplus relationship does
not hold. The equation which determines whether this relationship holds is as follows: Bt = Bt-1 + Et –
Dt.
Based on the calculations below, the residual income model can only be used to value Howard’s stock
as the clean surplus relationship holds only for the company.
Based on the relationship between the justified price-to-book (P/B) ratio and the residual income
model (see below), if the cost of equity (represented by ‘r’) is below the company’s required return on
equity (represented by ‘ROE’), the company’s expression to right of the plus sign is positive resulting
in a ratio which is greater than 1.0.
P0 ROE − r
= 1+
B0 r−g
• Observation 2 will increase residual income as a decline in ‘g’ will increase the
expression on the right hand side of the plus sign.
• Observation 3 will increase the intrinsic value estimate as a lower ‘r’ will increase the
expression on the right hand side of the plus sign.
ROE − r
Single-stage residual income model = V0 = B0 + B0
r−g
Market value added = Market value of the company – Accounting book value of total capital =
(1,200,000 × $8.50) – $8,240,300 = $1,959,700
$,, !,,×$".#$
Tobin’s q =
= = 3.7817 ≈ 3.78
$%,#",
Based on the expression for Tobin’s q, the replacement cost takes into account the effects of inflation.
Therefore, a projected increase in inflation will increase the replacement cost of assets, decrease the
Tobin’s q measure, and lower the productivity of a company’s assets.
The intrinsic value of the company’s shares of stock is calculated using the following expression: V0
= B0 + Sum of discounted RIs + Discounted Premium
A is correct. Under US GAAP, R&D expenditures, with the exception of expenses related to software
development, are expensed directly to the income statement. Unproductive R&D expenditures will
lower residual income through the expenditures made. ROE should reflect the productivity of
expenditures without any adjustments. Therefore, Mathews should adjust the company’s earnings to
reflect these unproductive R&D expenditures.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 11
June 2019
Second, the land and commercial property are nonoperating assets, so expenses and income related to
them should be removed from the income statement. The SG&A expenses should be reduced by
$500,000, depreciation should be reduced by $300,000, and operating income should be reduced by
$450,000. Overall, the operating income after taxes (at 40%) will increase by:
Statement 2 is incorrect. For companies with highly leveraged financial conditions and/or significant
volatility expected in future financial performance, the valuation of equity as the residual obtained by
subtracting the face value of debt form the value of the enterprise is not appropriate. Estimates of
market value based on debt characteristics, known as matrix prices, are an alternative in such cases.
Due to the concentration of ownership in firm management, Time Corporation will suffer less from
issues such as monitoring costs arising from a separation of management and ownership commonly
faced amongst public corporations.
Being privately traded, the stock of Time Corporation will, as a privately traded stock, has a reduced
level of marketability.
At the earliest stages of development, the company may be best valued using an asset-based
approach. With progress to a development stage company in a high growth mode, the company might
be valued using an income approach.
A lack of comparable firms in the market makes the use of fair market values to define value for Time
inappropriate. Given the diversity in expectations, with respect to the IPO, the intrinsic value is an
inappropriate value definition.
$1,050,000
= $0.15 × = $157,500
$1
Factor 2 correctly addresses the factors to consider when using the FCFF approach to value a firm. In
calculating a WACC for a valuation based on FCFF, analysts need to consider that a private
company has less access to debt financing than a similar publically traded corporation. The lesser
access means that the company will need to rely more on equity financing, which would increase its
WACC and consequentially result in a lower firm valuation.
C is correct. The analysts’ main reason for valuing BRIC Limited is transaction-related.
C is correct. Given that Zeta is in its early stages of development with significant uncertainty
regarding the future success of the company’s products, the asset-based approach is most suitable for
valuation. The free-cash flow approach may not be suitable as future cash flows may be extremely
difficult to predict at this stage of development.
B is correct. The high growth phase in which Quanto operates makes the application of the FCF
approach appropriate. The analysts will make discrete cash flow forecasts until cash flows are
expected to stabilize at a constant growth rate.
A is incorrect. Once the initial high growth phase is over, the analysts should opt for either the
capitalized cash flow method or market approach.
C is incorrect. Using market multiples to estimate terminal value in high growth industries would not
be appropriate as rapid growth will be incorporated twice: once in the cash flow projections over the
projection period and also in the market multiple used in calculating the residual enterprise multiple.
Normalized earnings are defined as “economic benefits adjusted for nonrecurring, non-economic, or
other unusual items to eliminate anomalies and/or facilitate comparisons.” Quanto’s normalized
earnings should reflect compensation expense which is in line with that offered in the market. In
addition, earnings should not reflect the life insurance premium paid by the company on behalf of its
shareholders.
As
Reported Adjusted
Revenue $58,000 $58,000
Cost of goods sold $37,700 $37,700
Gross profit $20,300 $20,300
Selling, general and $3,900 $3,150
administrative expenses (SG&A)
Earnings before interest, tax,
depreciation and amortization $16,400 $17,150
(EBITDA)
Depreciation and amortization $9,900 $9,900
Earnings before interest and taxes $6,500 $7,250
(EBIT)
Taxes (@ 30%) $1,950 $2,175
Operating income after taxes $4,550 $5,075
C is correct. Analysts believe that The FCFF approach is more robust when there are substantial
capital structure changes because the weighted average cost of capital, which represents the discount
rate used in a FCFF valuation, is less sensitive than the cost of equity, which is used in a FCFE
valuation, to changes in financial leverage.
A is incorrect. The cost of equity used in a FCFE valuation is more sensitive to changes in financial
leverage.
A is incorrect. In evaluating an acquisition, the finance theory indicates that the cost of capital used
should be based on the target company’s capital structure and the riskiness of the target company’s
cash flows.
C is correct. In general, the CAPM approach is least appropriate when guideline public companies are
not available or are of questionable comparability. Based on ‘O Conner’s analysis of the industry,
publically traded comparables do not exist resulting in the CAPM approach being an inappropriate
tool for deriving required returns.
A and B are incorrect. The CAPM can be applied to derive required return estimates for privately
traded companies as long as public company comparables for the company being valued are available
and comparable. The CAPM approach adds a premium for small size and company-specific risk when
deriving required returns for private companies.
The individual discounts are multiplicative rather than additive and are applied in sequence. Total
discount is equal to 54.5% [(1 – (1 – 30%)(1 – 35%)].
B is correct. The GTM considers transactions involving the acquisition of the total equity of
companies and thus the pricing multiple reflects the value of total companies. On the other hand,
pricing multiples from guideline public companies reflect trading in small blocks of stock and may
not reflect the total value of the public companies. The fact that SnT is taking over Prac is indicative
that the acquirer is purchasing a controlling interest in the latter.
A is incorrect. There is no evidence that SnT’s acquisition of Prac will generate synergistic benefits
for the former. SnT is not in the software development industry and, therefore, the purchase of a
private company in an unrelated industry is an example of a financial transaction.
C is incorrect. The composition of a company’s asset base does not drive the decision of which
valuation method to use.
B is correct. The value assigned to Gatco’s stock of £35 by Peterson reflects intrinsic value. Intrinsic
value is defined as the value the investor considers after an evaluation of facts. Peterson arrives at the
value of the stock after evaluating earnings projections and the forecasted dividend payout ratio
which provides further evidence of the use of this approach.
A is incorrect. Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to
transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between marketplace participants at the transaction date.
Data concerning an arm’s length transaction between a buyer and seller is not provided and so stock
value does not represent fair value.
A is correct. For companies that are not expected to grow at a constant rate, FCF using a series of
discrete cash flow projections is theoretically preferred to the CCM.
B is incorrect. A CCM approach is suitable for valuing a private company in which no projections are
available and an expectation of stable future operations exists.
C is incorrect. If market pricing evidence from public companies or transactions is limited, a CCM
approach may be a suitable approach.
The EEM is used to value Spidex. Application of this approach is discussed below:
Intangible assets are valued using the formula for a growing perpetuity. The total value of intangible
assets is (1.03) (£42,600) / (0.10 – 0.03) = £626,828.57
The total value of working capital, fixed capital, and intangible assets equals to the value of the
business according to the EEM. This value is equal to £250,000 + £770,000 + £626,828.57 =
£1,646,828.57 or £1.65 million.
Fair value of property, plant, and equipment = £8,200,000 + (£3,500,000 – £2,750,000) – £800,000 =
£8,150,000
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 12
June 2019
B is correct. The forward contract value will increase during Year 2 as the expected future
spot rate is lower than that implied from the forward rate curve (2.139% and 2.684%
respectively).
A is incorrect. The forward contract value will decline in Year 1 as the expected future spot
rates are higher than that implied by the forward curve (1.994% and 1.954% respectively).
C is incorrect. Since the expected and implied spot rates are equal in year 3, the forward
contract value will remain unchanged.
C is correct. Lev can ride down the yield curve when the yield curve is upward sloping which
is the case if the future spot rates expected by investors are realized. If the yield curve does
not change its shape and level, an investor with a two-year investment horizon can buy bonds
with maturity greater than two years. With the passage of time and assuming an upward
sloping yield curve, the bond will be valued at successively lower yields and higher prices as
long as yields do not change. In summary, the bond’s total return will exceed that of a bond
whose maturity is equal to that of the investment horizon.
A is incorrect. Buying a bond with a maturity equal to the investment horizon will earn a
lower return in contrast to buying bonds whose maturity exceeds the investor’s investment
horizon.
B is incorrect. An upward sloping yield curve will allow the trader to generate profit from the
strategy as long as the yields do not change.
B is correct. The yield curve is downward sloping as the four-year spot rate is lower than the
three-year spot rate, which in turn is lower than the two- and one-year spot rates. A
downward sloping yield curve implies that forward rates will decline with the passage of
time. Therefore the one-year rate for a bond to be delivered three years from today will be
lower than the one-year rate for a bond to be delivered two years from today.
A is incorrect. Given that the spot curve is not flat, one-period forward rates will not equal to
the current spot rate but will be lower.
C is incorrect. A downward sloping yield curve will result in expectations for the long-term
rate, r(T*+T), being lower than that of the short-term rate r(T*).
B is correct. The forward model is used to derive the forward rate f(1,2):
f(1,2) = [(1 + 0.025)3/(1 + 0.035)]1/2 – 1 = 0.020036 or 2.00%.
C is correct. White is incorrect with respect to his opinions regarding both of the statements.
The liquidity preference theory can produce an upward sloping yield curve even when
interest rates are declining or flat if the rising liquidity premium is sufficient to offset
declining or flat interest rates. Rising spot rates will be consistent with an upward sloping
yield curve in any case.
Statement 2 reflects the preferred habitat theory which asserts that investors may be willing
to move out of their preferred habitat as long as they have incentive. This incentive may be in
the form of higher returns or reduced risk.
B is correct. Equilibrium models such as the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) and Vasicek models
assume that short-term rates are mean reverting. That is, they tend to move in a bounded
range and show a tendency to revert to a long-run value, b.
A is correct. The spot curve represents the term structure for zero-coupon securities. Given the
absence of a coupon on the underlying securities, construction of this curve avoids the complications
associated with the reinvestment rate assumption.
C is incorrect. The par curve represents the yields to maturity on coupon-paying government bonds.
Construction of this curve requires a consideration of the reinvestment rate assumption.
Hawke is incorrect regarding Statement 2. The shape and level of the spot yield curve is dynamic
because the spot curve depends on the market pricing of option-free zero-coupon bonds.
Hawke is incorrect regarding Statement 3. The yield on zero-coupon bond maturing in T years is
regarded as the most accurate representation of the T-year spot rate. In the absence of default risk, the
T-year spot rate is equal to the yield-to-maturity of a zero-coupon bond.
The forward rate model will be used to determine the presence of the arbitrage opportunities. If the
return earned on trading the 3-year bond issue exceeds the geometric mean of one-period forward
rates, the trader was able to exploit an arbitrage opportunity.
According to the forward rate model, the spot rate for a security with a 5-year maturity should be
4.27%. However, the trader’s return (6.0%) is greater than this geometric mean of one-period forward
rates. Therefore, he has successfully exploited an arbitrage opportunity.
As evident from Exhibit 1, the forward curve is upward sloping. Therefore, Hawke should expect the
five-year spot rate to be higher than the forward rate on a contract to purchase a 4-year zero-coupon
bond one year from today. In other words, f(1, 4) < r (5)
Given that the yields have declined at all maturity points; the yield curve has experienced a parallel
downward shift. Furthermore, given that the short-term rates have declined more than the long-term
rates, the slope of the yield curve has steepened.
C is correct. The swap rate represents the interest rate quoted on the fixed rate leg of the swap.
C is correct. Abdul is valuing the bond on behalf of County House, which is a wholesale bank. These
organizations employ the swap curve to value assets and liabilities because they hedge many items on
their balance sheet with swaps.
A is incorrect. While it is true that swap contracts are non-standardized and customized, this does not
explain why the swap rate will be preferred over Treasury spot rates for valuation.
B is incorrect. The swap and Treasury markets are both active in the US. This factor will not serve to
influence the choice of benchmark.
I-spread = Bond rate – swap rate of same maturity as bond = 7.99% - 4.55% = 3.44%
TED spread = LIBOR – T-bill yield of matching maturity = 3.00% - 1.25% = 1.75%
A is correct. While the swap spreads provide a convenient way to measure credit and liquidity risk, a
more accurate measure is the Z-spread.
Abdul is correct with respect to Conclusion 1 but incorrect with respect to Conclusion 2. The local
and pure expectations theories both assert that the one-period return is equal to the risk-free rate.
Therefore, the one-year holding period return should equal to the 1-year risk-free rate of 3%.
The local expectations theory asserts that the expected return for bonds over longer-time periods is
higher than the risk-free rate due to the existence of a premium.
A is correct. Given that callable bonds include embedded options, the yield curve is sloping steeply
upwards and the fact that interest rates are volatile, the callable bond’s YTM is a poor estimate of its
expected return. Even though default-free zero-coupon bonds do not include embedded options, the
assumptions concerning yield curve slope and volatility will result in the zero-coupon bond issue’s
YTM being a poor estimate of its expected return.
Since the forward rates are the assumed reinvestment rates, Mathews’ first step will involve
determining the forward rates.
Mathew expects the spot rate curve to be sloping steeply downwards. In this scenario, the forward
rate curve will be below the spot rate curve.
A is correct. Lester’s comments are accurate with respect to modern term structure models but
inaccurate with respect to equilibrium term structure models. Modern term structure models provide
quantitative descriptions of how interest rates evolve and attempt to capture the statistical properties
of interest rate movements.
The CIR model cannot be calibrated to market data because it has a finite number of parameters and
therefore it is not possible to specify the parameter values in such a way that model prices coincide
with observed market prices.
C is correct. Mathews is inaccurate regarding Feature 3. The standard deviation makes volatility
proportional to the square root of the short-term rate which allows for volatility to increase with the
level of interest rates. It also avoids the possibility of non-positive interest rates.
Mathews is accurate regarding Feature 1. The CIR model is a single factor model. The short-term
interest rate can determine the entire term structure.
Mathews is accurate regarding Feature 2. The deterministic or drift term of the model ensures the
mean reversion of interest rates towards a long-run value.
A is correct. Lester’s conclusion concerning the CIR model is appropriate. Because the model
requires the short-term rate to follow a certain process, which features mean reversion to a long-term
value (deterministic part) and a random normal distribution with a mean of 1 and standard deviation
of 0 (stochastic term), the estimated yield curve may not match the observed yield curve.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 12
June 2019
A is correct. Discounting cash flows at their relevant spot rates is inappropriate for bonds
with embedded options such as the Joyce Borde Inc. issue. This is because the framework
assumes constant interest rates and is inappropriate for valuing bonds with embedded
options. Changes in interest rates will impact the size and timing of cash flows of this bond
category.
B and C are incorrect. The binomial model is appropriate for valuing zero-coupon issues
such as Vox Limited while the Monte Carlo method is suitable for valuing bonds with
embedded options whose cash flows are path dependent. The Monte Carlo method is suitable
because it allows for changing interest rates by making a volatility assumption. In this way,
the model incorporates impact of changing interest rates on the size and timing of cash flows.
C is correct. Keeping in mind that the bond is valued at par at maturity, the value of the bond
is $100 at Time 3. The value of the bond issue at Node 1-2 is derived using the value of the
bond at nodes 2-2 and 2-3 (see the table below for the aforementioned nodes).
Value of bond issue at Node 2-2 = 0.5 × (100/1.05215 + 100/1.05215) = 95.04348
Value of bond issue at Node 2-3 = 0.5 × (100/1.04102 + 100/1.04102) = 96.05963
B is incorrect. Increasing the number of paths will only serve to enhance the statistical
accuracy of the value estimate. However, this does not mean that the model value of the
security is closer to its fundamental value or in other words, the model is well-calibrated.
A is correct. In order to determine which trade offers the maximum potential for arbitrage
profits, the issue’s market price is compared to its arbitrage-free value.
Arbitrage-free value of the issue (PV) = 103.6299
FV = 100
I/Y = 4%
PMT = 5
N=4
The arbitrage profit realized if the issue is purchased in NYSE, at a price of 103.6214, and
sold at its arbitrage-free price of 103.6299 is equal to 0.0085 per 100 par (103.6299 –
103.6214). The trader can maximize arbitrage profits by executing this trade.
B is incorrect. The arbitrage profit realized if the issue is purchased in ASE, at a price of
103.6245, and sold at its arbitrage-free price is equal to 0.0054 per 100 par (103.6299 –
103.6245). The realized profit is lower than if the trade is undertaken in NYSE.
C is incorrect. The arbitrage profit realized if the issue is purchased at its arbitrage-free price
and sold in LSE a price of 103.6311 is equal to 0.0012 per 100 par (103.6311 – 103.6299).
The trader realizes the lowest arbitrage profit in this trade.
A is incorrect. Benchmark spot rates cannot be directly used to discount cash flows of a bond
with embedded options. The reason for this is that the rates do not incorporate a volatility
assumption.
A is correct. The law of one price applies to the price of a product trading in more than one
market and specifies that the prices of otherwise two identical products trading in different
markets should be the same. However, this law is not relevant to the generation of implied
forward rates from the benchmark spot rate curve.
Both options B and C are incorrect. Implied forward rates generated from the benchmark
spot rate curve need to be consistent with 1) an assumed level of interest rate volatility, 2) an
interest rate model that governs the random process of interest rates, and 3) the current
benchmark yield curve.
Greene is incorrect with respect to his statement. Regardless of the complexity of the bond, each
component must have an arbitrage-free value.
A is correct. A higher volatility assumption results in the forward rates spreading out on the tree. On
the other hand, a lower volatility assumption will result in the rates collapsing to the implied forward
rates from the current yield curve.
The process of bootstrapping will be used to derive the spot rates necessary for discounting the cash
flows.
A is correct. The rate at Node 6, 6.356%, can be derived using by multiplying the rate at Node 5,
9.467%, by e-2 × 0.20.
C is correct. Mean reversion is implemented by implementing upper and lower bounds on the random
process generating future interest rates. Mean reversion has the effect of moving interest rates toward
the implied forward rates from the yield curve.
B is incorrect. Mean reversion does not allow interest rates to get too high or too low and achieves
this by implementing upper and lower bounds. Therefore, the process helps in reducing interest rate
volatility.
105
Year 3 Present Value = = 95 .9193
1.09467
Year 2 Present Value =
(95.9193 + 5) = 96.1732
1.04935
Year 1 Present Value =
(96.1732 + 5) = 99.1894
1.02
The process of bootstrapping is used to generate spot rates from the benchmark par yield
curve. This process employs linear interpolation to generate the relevant rates.
B is correct. Lone believes that the law of one price is being violated; this is because the
three issues are believed to be mispriced.
When assets are mispriced, there exists an opportunity for arbitrage profits. Therefore, assets
are no longer valued under the principal of no arbitrage which otherwise validates arbitrage-
free valuation. This principal is based on the law of one price and therefore arbitrage
opportunities arise as a result of a violation of the law of one price.
C is incorrect. The existence of arbitrage opportunities will increase the demand of mispriced
securities. Prices will adjust until opportunities disappear. Therefore, the existence of such
opportunities is never permanent.
7 7 107
Arbitrage-free value = + + = 99.9999 or 100.00
1.03 1.05051 1.071983
2
Therefore, the Sliver Inc. issue is mispriced by $5 per 100 of par value.
C is correct. Using spot rates to discount the cash flows for callable bonds ignores one key
aspect of these securities – that is, cash flows are dependent on the path of interest rates.
Changes in future interest rates will affect the likelihood that the option will be exercised
which, in turn, will impact the cash flows.
A is incorrect. The process of discounting cash flows using spot rates considers the time
value of money and so this is not a valid argument.
B is correct. The process of calibration allows for the resulting bond values to be arbitrage-
free or, in other words, equal to the current observable market price.
A is incorrect. Incorporating mean reversion in Monte Carlo simulation ensures that interest
rates never get too high or too low.
The value of the Gary-Tills issue at each of the three nodes is presented below:
C is correct. The attendee’s explanation of the arbitrage-free valuation is inaccurate because the
process is based on the no-arbitrage principal which implies that identical assets should sell at the
same price. This results in an absence of arbitrage opportunities or, in other words, an inability to
earn riskless profits with a zero net investment of money. Although arbitrage-free valuation values a
bond as a portfolio of zero-coupon securities, the approach does not allow a market participant to
realize an arbitrage profit through stripping and reconstitution.
The value additivity principal states that the value of the whole is equal to the sum of its parts. A
violation of this principal results in riskless profits. The individual strategies in the options are
analyzed to determine profits today.
The strategy listed on option B is the only strategy to generate arbitrage-free profits based on the
value additivity principal.
Statement 1 is correct. Arbitrage-free valuation is based on the no-arbitrage principal, which implies
that two otherwise identical assets should sell at the same price. Similarly, two cash flows with the
same maturity and identical risks but attached to different bonds should be discounted at the same
rate.
Statement 2 is incorrect. To derive an arbitrage-free value of an option-free bond, the YTMs on on-
the-run Treasury securities represent the benchmark rates. Spot rates need to be derived from the
benchmark rates using bootstrapping which in turn is used to discount the bond’s cash flows to derive
the arbitrage-free value.
C is correct. Gloethe is inaccurate regarding Step 4. Determining the present value or arbitrage-free
value using the binomial interest rate tree involves discounting the cash flows at the one year forward
rate at the higher and lower nodes and averaging the two present values. This procedure is repeated
while working from the right to left (backwards) of the binomial interest rate tree. The value at the
root of the tree (leftmost node) represents the arbitrage-free value. In short, backward induction is
used to derive the arbitrage-free value.
A is incorrect. The first step in constructing a binomial tree involves the specification of a benchmark
par curve by using bonds of a particular country or currency.
B is incorrect. The second step in constructing the tree is to determine the rates at each node using an
interest rate model, a volatility assumption and the benchmark par curve.
B is correct. The volatility assumption is estimated using implied volatility as it is based on the
observed market prices of an interest rate derivative – the swaption.
The Monte Carlo method simulates a large number of interest rate paths based on a probability
distribution and assumed volatility. Spot rates are generated from the simulated one-month interest
rates which are in turn used to calculate the present value of cash flows across interest rate paths. In
short, simulated interest rates are not directly used to discount the security’s cash flows.
Statement 4 is also inaccurate. To ensure that the model fits the current spot rate curve and is well
calibrated, modelers will want to ensure that the model produces benchmark bond values equal to
market prices. The model will be drift adjusted by adding a constant to all interest rate paths such that
the average present value for each benchmark bond equal to its current market price. Adjusting the
model for drift will ensure that the model fits the current spot rate curve and is well calibrated.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 13
June 2019
Putable bonds are the most effective hedges against rising interest rates. A rise in interest rates will
decrease the value of the straight bond. However, an increase in the value of the embedded put option
will partially offset this decline. Therefore, putable bonds are more valuable when interest rates
decline. A rise in interest rates will give the option holder to put the bond back to the issuer and
reinvest the proceeds of the retired bond in a higher-yielding bond.
On the other hand, the value of the callable bond declines similarly to the underlying straight bond.
The embedded call option is out of the money and does not help to offset the decline. Therefore, a
callable bond is not considered a hedge against rising interest rates.
C is correct. The current yield-to-maturity is higher relative to bond A’s and C’s coupon rates (5.7%
vs. 3% and 4%, respectively.) The call option is out of the money as it is unlikely to be called.
Therefore, the effect of a shift in interest rates will have a similar effect on the prices of a callable and
option-free issue. Both Bond C and the option-free bond have similar effective durations, 2.7.
A is incorrect. The effective duration of a callable bond declines relative to that of the straight bond
when current yields decline below coupon rates. This is when the call option is in the money.
B is incorrect. The effective duration of a putable bond cannot exceed that of the straight bond
regardless of the relationship between current yields and coupon rates.
C is correct. The option-free bond changes very little in response to interest rate movements. On the
other hand, the value of a callable bond decreases and putable bond increases with an increase in
interest rate volatility.
The calculated bond values at each node using the binomial tree are illustrated in the exhibit below:
R = 4.098% C = 105.000
V = 100.867
Coupon = 5
R = 2.273% R = 2.747%
V = 103.644 V = 102.193
Coupon = 5 Coupon = 5 C = 105.000
Callable at 101.000 Callable at 101.000
C = 105.000
Given that Bond B is currently callable the value of the bond is equal to 101 per 100 of par value.
Effective convexity =
(PV− ) + (PV+ ) − [2 × (PV0 )]
(∆Curve)2 × (PV0 )
101.632 + 100.765 − [2 × 101.156]
Effective convexity (Bond A) = = 52.52
(0.004 )2 × (101.156)
101.149 + 99.893 − [2 × 100.207]
Effective convexity (Bond C) = = 391.69
(0.004)2 × (100.207 )
Using the spot rates, the forward rates are determined using linear interpolation:
F(0,1) = 1.50%
F(1,1) = 1.02252/1.015 – 1 = 3.0055%
F(2,1) = 1.0313/1.02252 – 1 = 4.8213%
A is correct. The advantage which the key rate duration measure has over the effective duration
measure is that the former considers shaping risk – the bond’s sensitivity to changes in the shape of
the yield curve.
B is incorrect. Both duration measures consider parallel shifts in the yield curve.
C is incorrect. Both the effective and key rate duration measures are appropriate for measuring the
price sensitivity of bonds whose cash flows are sensitive to the path of interest rates. The exercise of
the embedded call option depends on where the interest rate stands relative to the coupon rate.
Consequently, the cash flows and the value of callable bonds depend on the path which interest rates
follow.
The price of the bond will respond primarily to the movements in the ten-year par rate when the
coupon rate is 2%. When the coupon rate is 2%, the 10-year key rate is the highest while the other
key rates are close to zero. This indicates that the callable bond behaves similarly to a ten-year
option-free bond at this coupon rate.
The issue is first callable five years from today. Because of the virtual certainty of being called at a
coupon rate of 8%, the callable bond behaves similarly to 5-year option-free bond; the 10-year key
rate duration is negligible (0.15) relative to the 5-year key rate duration (1.64).
A is correct. When interest rates decline, putable bonds exhibit greater upside price potential relative
to callable bonds. While both bonds increase in value, negative convexity will compress the price
appreciation potential of callable bonds.
B is incorrect. Although the embedded call option increases with a decline in interest rates, Davis
should not opt for a callable bond issue because of the price compression resulting from negative
convexity (see above).
C is incorrect. The value of the embedded put option decreases with a decline in interest rates.
To determine whether the issue is influenced by stock- or bond-related factors, Davis will need to
determine whether the issue exhibits stock risk-return characteristics or is a busted convertible and
exhibits bond-like characteristics. A comparison between the underlying share price and conversion
price will reveal this.
A is correct. Given that interest rates are forecasted to rise to a level which
significantly exceeds the coupon rate, the embedded call option will have a very low
value and the callable bond will exhibit positive convexity. In this scenario, the
increase in rate will have a similar effect on the prices of callable and option-free
bonds which both exhibit positive convexity.
The minimum value of the convertible is known as the floor value and is calculated as
the greater of the conversion value and the value of the underlying option-free bond.
C is correct. The market conversion premium per share limits downside risk to the
straight value. However, the exact amount of downside risk cannot be known by
buyers of convertible bonds. Investors know only that the most they can lose is the
difference between the convertible bond price and straight bond value. However, the
latter is not fixed and so the amount of loss cannot be known with certainty
beforehand.
A is incorrect. Scholes has correctly calculated the market conversion premium per
share.
Market conversion premium per share = Market conversion price – underlying share
price = $6.00 – $5.80 = $0.20
Conclusion 2 is most accurate regarding share price movements. The upside potential
of a convertible bond issue primarily depends on the prospects of the underlying
common stock.
A is correct. The value of the convertible bond ($1,200) is lower than the greater of
the conversion value ($5.80 × 200 = $1,160) and straight value ($1,500) which
indicates that an arbitrage opportunity exists.
Investors can purchase the convertible bond at a price of $1,200 and secure a profit of
$ ($1,500 – $1,200 = $300).
The convertible bond is trading similar to a hybrid instrument as the current share
price ($5.80) exceeds the convertible bond price ($5.00) and is expected to decline
towards the latter. In this scenario, the change in the convertible bond price will be
lower than the change in the underlying share price as the issue has a floor. Therefore,
the decline in the convertible bond price will be less than 13.79% [($5.80 –
$5.00)/$5.80], which is equal to the decline in the share price.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 13
June 2019
B is incorrect. Reduced form models use hazard estimation procedures. Estimating default
probabilities using these procedures is very flexible as they incorporate changes in the business cycle
and are independent of balance sheet structure.
C is correct. Reduced form models use hazard estimation procedures to estimate default probabilities.
These procedures incorporate changes in the business cycle and are independent of the balance sheet
structure allowing for model flexibility. On the other hand, structural models assume that asset return
volatility will remain constant over time, independent of changing business conditions and economic
cycles.
A is incorrect. Both structural and reduced form models assume markets are frictionless.
B is incorrect. The structural model allows for an understanding of default probability based on
option analogy. Reduced form models allow for an understanding of default probability based on
business cycle conditions and company circumstances. Therefore, this does reflect not an advantage
of reduced form models over structural models.
B is correct. The 3-year issue has a lower loss given default (see below).
A is incorrect. The sum of the recovery rate and loss given default equals to 100%. Based on the
calculated loss given default for the two issues, the 4-year issue has a lower recovery rate.
C is incorrect. Expected loss represents the loss expected in the event a bond defaults prior to
maturity; that is, the loss figure is undiscounted and therefore does not reflect the time value of
money. Furthermore, the default probability is simply multiplied by the loss given default. With no
adjustment for the risk of cash flows, expected loss does not reflect a risk premium.
The maximum amount an investor is willing to pay to at third party to convert the issue to a default-
free bond (remove the credit risk) is equal to 154.775 ($912.393 – $757.618), the present value of
expected loss.
Given that the expected loss is $1,090.225 ($1,245 – $154.775) higher than the present value of
expected loss, the premium for credit risk is dominated by the discount for the time value of money.
A is incorrect. The present value of expected loss reflects the time value of money and credit risk
premium. Therefore, it is incorrect to state either of the two components is not reflected by the
measure.
B is incorrect (see above).
A is correct. The present value of expected loss due to credit risk is $1.039; equal to the difference
between the credit-adjusted and risk-free values on June 30, 2014 ($45.722 – $44.683).
A is correct. Thomas and Yamada are inaccurate with respect to Fact 1. The cash flow structure of
ABS is complex and includes prepayments, principal repayments and coupon interest. Furthermore
different special purpose vehicles (SPVs) have different waterfall structures. In this situation, Monte
Carlo simulation procedures are often used. However, the two individuals have incorrectly pointed
out that these procedures are also applied to corporate bonds.
B is incorrect. Thomas and Yamada are accurate with respect to Fact 2. Credit risk measures used for
corporate or sovereign bonds can be applied to ABS bonds: probability of loss, expected loss, and the
present value of expected loss. The probability of default does not apply to ABS and is replaced by a
probability of loss given that a default in the collateral pool does not cause a default to either the SPV
or a bond tranche.
C is incorrect. Thomas and Yamada are accurate with respect to Fact 3. Given the fact that ABS is
structured debt and its complexity, the use of the same credit-rating scales (as that used for corporate
or sovereign bonds) may at times be inappropriate.
A is incorrect. Credit scores are not a suitable measure of credit risk as they do not explicitly
depend on current economic conditions. Furthermore, the measure merely ranks a borrower’s
credit riskiness and does not provide an estimate of a borrower’s default probability. In this
way, credit scores are an incomplete measure of risk. Furthermore, the time value of money
is not considered.
B is incorrect. Even though the loss given default measure depends on the current health of
the economy and incorporates the riskiness of a corporation’s cash flows, it is not suitable
given Engle’s objectives. This is because the loss given default does not consider the time
value of money.
B is correct. The cost of removing credit risk is greatest for the Smithson Manufacturing
issue as evidenced by the present value of expected loss. This measure represents the largest
price one would be willing to pay to remove the credit risk of purchasing and holding the
bond.
A is incorrect. Credit scores provide ordinal ranking, ordering borrowers’ riskiness from
highest to lowest. Therefore, they do not provide cardinal ranking – which determines the
riskiness of one borrower relative to another in multiples.
C is incorrect. The recovery rate is measured as: ‘1 – loss given default (in %)’. The loss
given default is often expressed as a percentage of the position or exposure.
Given that the recovery rate is the highest, a corporate lender should expect to receive the
most from the Smithson Manufacturing issue.
Concern 1 does not accurately represent a concern of using credit scores while Concern 2
does. Credit scores change as the borrower’s behavioral or financial circumstances change.
Given that credit scores are updated to reflect this change in circumstances, Jefferson should
not have a problem with this feature of credit scores.
On the other hand, there is some pressure on credit rating agencies to maintain stability in the
scores generated by lenders. This may serve to distort the objectivity of the credit risk
measure.
The debt option analogy is based on the notion that holding the company’s equity is
economically equivalent to owning a European call option on the company’s assets with
strike price K and maturity T.
C is correct. What the debt option analogy implies for debt holders is: the time T value of the
company’s debt is equal to K (the face value of debt) if the value of a company’s assets is
greater than K. On the other hand, the value of debt is equal to the time T value of the
company’s assets if the value of the company’s asset base falls below K.
A is incorrect. The debt option analogy states that debt holders lend equity holders K dollars
and simultaneously sell them an insurance policy for K dollars on the value of their assets.
B is incorrect. A company’s shareholders have limited liability; that is, in the event that the
asset value declines below K, debt holders can only claim the value of a company’s assets. In
other words, the value of debt holder’s claims does not extend to the assets of a company.
*Probability asset value 3 years from today is ≥ face value of debt = 0.1451
A is correct. Gavin is recommending the use of the structural model to generate credit
ratings. This model relies on a number of assumptions including that the risk-free rate is
constant over time.
B is incorrect. The structural model only assumes that a company’s assets trade in
frictionless markets. The model does not make any assumption with respect to a company’s
debt.
Reason 1 does not accurately reflect one of the strengths of using credit ratings. The accuracy of
externally generated credit ratings may be distorted if agencies are compensated on the basis of an
issuer-pays model. To obtain more business, credit rating agencies may have an incentive to give a
higher rating than may be deserved.
Reason 2 does not accurately reflect one of the strengths of credit ratings. Ratings create an ordinal
ranking of borrowers. This type of ranking cannot be used as a basis to compare the relative riskiness
of two borrowers.
Reason 3 does not accurately reflect one of the strengths of credit ratings. Although the motivation
to maintain stable ratings reduces unnecessary volatility in debt market prices, this comes at a cost of
reduced accuracy. Stable ratings can only be accurate on average because they change infrequently
while information on the business cycle arrives continuously. Furthermore, stability in ratings will
reduce the correspondence to a debt offering’s default probability.
B is correct. Reduced form which models rely on historical estimation to estimate parameters
introduce flexibility into the estimation process. Historical estimation is an application of hazard rate
procedures. These procedures incorporate business cycle changes and are independent of the
requirement to specify a particular balance sheet structure.
C is incorrect. Reduced form models using historical estimation employ past observations of bond
prices to predict the future.
A is correct. Jarrow’s application of the model is inappropriate because there are more maturity points
and therefore more variables to estimate (unknowns) than the number of bonds in the data set.
B is incorrect. Even though default probabilities and loss given defaults are not constants in reality,
the expected percentage loss per year implied by the credit spread can be roughly estimated by
assuming otherwise.
C is incorrect. The reduced form model can be used to estimate risky zero-coupon bond yields from
coupon bond prices.
Expected percentage loss per year implied by the yields = Average yield spread
Zero-coupon government bond Yield (%)=
(2.50 + 2.55 + 2.60 + 2.60 + 2.63)% = 2.576%
5
Zero-coupon AM bond yield =
(3.84 + 3.90 + 4.00 + 4.01 + 4.11)% = 3.972%
5
Expected percentage loss per year = 0.03972 – 0.02576 = 0.01396
The credit risk-adjusted valuation is derived using the continuously compounded total yield which is
used to compute the discount factor.
A limitation of using both reduced and structural models in decomposing the credit spread is that the
assumption of frictionless markets implies that there is no quantity impact of a purchase or sale on the
price of the security. The presence of a quantity impact introduces liquidity risk. In reality, markets
are not frictionless and liquidity risk is very much present.
The true credit spread consists of both the expected percentage loss (derived from either the reduced
form or structural model) and a liquidity risk premium.
Although Monte Carlo simulation procedures are often used in practice, both the structural
and reduced form model can be used to value ABS.
When measuring the credit risk of ABS, the probability of loss is used as opposed to the
probability of default. Unlike corporate debt, an ABS does not default when an interest
payment is missed but the ABS continues to trade until either its maturity date or its face
value is eliminated because of accumulated losses in the collateral pool or through early loan
prepayments. In addition, a default in the collateral pool does not cause a default to the SPV
or a bond tranche. Therefore, the probability of default is not a relevant measure of credit
risk.
Although credit-rating agencies use the same rating scale as that used for corporate and
sovereign debt, the complexity of ABS may make use of the same scales inappropriate. The
alleged mis-ratings of structured products in the recent past have resulted in credit rating
agencies revising their rating methodologies.
Gabrielle has the highest credit score and thus lower credit riskiness. Therefore, she is the
most eligible candidate for the loan based on credit standing.
B is correct. If a borrower borrows from many institutions and in many forms, his/her credit
score may have different implications for default probability on different types of loans. This
is because there are no cross-default clauses for retail borrowers and so it is possible for the
borrower to be more likely to default on one type of loan than on another.
Given that Walters is the only borrower to borrow one form of loan, there will be less
disparity between his credit score and individual loan default probability compared to Selena
and Gabrielle who have more than one form of borrowing.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 13
June 2019
A is incorrect. CDS A’s credit spread is lower than its standard rate (3.5% vs. 5.0%, respectively)
resulting in the payment of an upfront premium from the protection seller to the protection buyer.
C is incorrect. CDS C’s credit spread is equal to its standard rate; therefore, there is no upfront
premium payment.
C is correct. TM will receive the highest proceeds, $13.5 million, from settling CDS C (see below). In
the case of cash settlement, the payout ratio is based on the cheapest-to-deliver defaulted debt. Since
CDS A and C require cash settlements, the contract’s recovery rate is 80% and 25% respectively.
The CDS’s payout ratio is determined using the formula, [(1 – recovery rate %) × Notional].
TM can cash settle CDS A for $2 million [(1 – 0.80) × $10 million] and sell its bonds for $8 million
(0.8 × $10 million) receiving total proceeds of $10 million.
TM will receive the face amount of the bond, $12 million, in the case of CDS B.
TM can cash settle CDS C for $7.5 million [(1 – 0.25) × $10 million] and sell its bonds for $6 (0.6 ×
$10 million) receiving total proceeds of $13.5 million.
A is correct.
A is correct. Based on the CDS trade undertaken by TM’s management, it believes that long-term
credit risk will increase relative to short-term credit risk. By going short a long-term CDS and long a
short-term CDS, this curve steepening trade reflects short-term bullish views on credit risk.
A is correct.
Coupon payment = $10 million × 0.05/4
= $0.125 million
Recovery rate is based on the cheapest-to-deliver bond, which is the issue selling at 25% par. Thus,
the recovery rate is 25%.
The sum of the first three loan payments total $0.375 million ($0.125 million × 3). If default occurs,
loss given default on the first three loan payments only is equal to $0.28125 million [$0.375 million ×
(1 – 0.25)] or approximately $0.3 million.
C is correct. As a protection buyer, TM is economically short the reference obligation and benefits
from an increase in the company’s credit spread. A widening of the credit spread will imply that the
TM will pay the same fixed coupon to cover a larger credit risk. TM can offset its position by
entering into a new CDS with the same terms as the original CDS, but with higher premium, as
protection seller. Therefore, the entity can sell protection for a higher premium.
A is incorrect. Based on Greene’s forecast, the bond’s credit spread will widen to 6.7% (5.0% +
1.7%). Given that the spread in the CDS market will still be higher relative to the bond market (6.9%
vs. 6.7%, respectively), the basis is positive.
B is incorrect. Credit risk will continue be more expensive in the CDS market (6.9%). relative to the
bond market (5.0% + 1.7% = 6.7%) despite the widening of credit spread. TM can take advantage of
this opportunity by selling protection in the CDS market and going short the bond, paying 6.7% for
transferring credit risk.
The recovery rate is based on the cheapest-to-deliver issue. A debt obligation issued by the borrower
which is ranked equivalently or higher in priority of claims to the reference obligation is covered.
Given that the subordinated issue is not ranked pari passu to the reference obligation, the senior
unsecured issue is classified as the cheapest-to-deliver issue.
Given that the CDS spread is lower than the issue’s credit spread (5% and 7%, respectively), the
protection buyer is paying a standard rate (CDS spread) which is insufficient to cover the risk of the
bond. Therefore, the protection buyer will make a cash upfront payment to the seller.
A long position in a CDS is equivalent to a package of long put options. Put options enable the option
holder to sell (put) the underlying to the seller if the underlying performs poorly relative to the
exercise price. Thus, the option holder is compensated for the poor performance of the underlying. A
CDS performs in a similar manner. Poor performance of the bond or loan results in the protection
seller compensating the protection buyer.
A CDS does not eliminate credit risk but simply substitutes the credit risk of the reference entity with
the CDS seller.
If the borrower defaults on the second loan payment, the amount lost is ($105 × 70%) = $73.50
There is a 4% chance of losing $77.00 ($3.50 + $73.50) and a 3.84% chance of losing $73.50.
Sigma Corp can cash settle for $21.0 million (1 – 0.30)($30 million) and sell the issue for $10.5
million (35%)($30 million) for total proceeds of $31.5 million. Alternatively, the company can
physically deliver the entire $30 million of the issue. Physical settlement will be the preferred option
due to its lower cost.
Observation 2 qualifies as a potential credit event. Failure to pay on a scheduled interest payment
after a grace period may trigger a payment from the credit protection seller to protection buyer.
Observation 1 is defined as a potential succession event as there is a plan to change the corporate
structure of the reference entity.
Observation 3 is does not qualify as a potential credit event. Restructuring includes a number of
possible events including reduction or deferral of principal or interest which is forced on the
borrower by creditors and is thus involuntary. Given that the borrower has requested a reduction, the
event does not classify as a restructuring event.
The present value of the protection leg is greater than the present value of the premium leg ($150 vs.
$146, respectively) indicating that the protection buyer has a greater claim on the CDS payoff and
will make an upfront payment to the protection seller.
The present value of the protection leg is the present value of the contingent obligation that the credit
protection seller will have to make to the credit protection buyer.
An increasing hazard rate implies a greater probability of default in the later years which in turn will
result in an upward sloping credit curve.
Credit spread = Upfront premium*/Duration + Fixed coupon = (83.3333 + 98) basis points = 181.33
basis points
*Value of upfront premium = 5%/6 = 0.0083333 × 100 × 100 = 83.3333 basis points
A is correct. Given that the credit spread has narrowed, the protection buyer continues to pay a fixed
coupon of 98 basis points to receive coverage on a company whose risk justifies a reduced level of
coupons. Therefore, the protection buyer (seller) will incur a loss (profit) and the amount of that loss
is calculated below:
Loss for the protection buyer = (- 0.25%)(5)($2,500,000) = - $31,250
Credit spread of the bond issue is the excess of the yield over LIBOR. Given that the credit spread of
the issue (7.0% - 2.5% = 4.5%) is lower than the credit spread of the CDS (7.0%), its premium is
lower relative to the CDS market which means its price is too high. The CDS is pricing too much
credit risk and bond market is pricing too little credit risk. To capture arbitrage profits, the basis trade
would involve selling the CDS (protection) and the underlying bond issue.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 14
June 2019
Three months after initiation, the current value of the original 6 x 9 FRA is determined using
the 90- and 180-day LIBOR rates. The following steps will be followed to determine the
current value of the FRA:
Step 1: Calculate the new FRA rate of a contract which initiates today and expires at the
same time as the original FRA. The relevant rates to use are the 90- and 180-day LIBOR.
FRA (90, 180 – 90, 90) = {[1 + (0.0438 × 180/360)]/[1 + (0.0425 × 90/360)] – 1} ÷ (90/360
= 0.044626 or 4.46%
Step 2: Calculate the current value of the FRA as the difference between the initial FRA
price and the FRA price determined in step 2 discounted at the provided rate of 5.60% over a
period of 180 days.
Because the FRA rate has declined, the value of the FRA will be negative to Macro Limited.
Because the original FRA contract is a 6 x 9 FRA, the relevant rates to use are the 180- and
270-day LIBOR for determining the potential for arbitrage profits. The FRA rate using the
hypothetical market LIBOR rates is calculated as follows:
Comparing the initial FRA rate of 4.50% to the market rate of 5.68%, the original contract
would have been underpriced if the hypothetical rates actually existed at time 0.
C is correct. Unlike a fixed-rate swap, a floating rate swap in general is not priced because a
single coupon rate is not designated to the swap. At each reset date, the coupon rate will be
re-established according to the LIBOR prevailing at the time. The same holds true for a
floating rate bond which is used to price the swap; the coupon rate is reset at each reset date.
A is incorrect. The statement holds true for fixed-for-fixed currency swaps in which the
coupon rates on fixed-rate bonds are selected to match the fixed swap rates resulting in future
net cash flows equaling zero.
B is incorrect. The value of the swap is equal to par on each reset date.
The notional principal paid by Macro Limited at contract initiation is equal to SEK
54,347,826.09 (£5,000,000/0.092).
Using the rates provided in the exhibit, the SEK present value factors are determined as
follows:
1 − 0.9426 360
rFIX,SEK = × = 3.968%
0.98522 + 0.96618 + 0.94206 180
Annual swap fixed payment = SEK 54,347,826.09 × 0.03968 × 180/360 = SEK 1,078,260.87
or ≈ SEK 1.09 million
At the initiation of the swap, Macro Limited will receive £5 million from and pay SEK
54,347,826.09 (£5,000,000/0.092) to the swap counterparty.
A is correct. Based on the formula for calculating forward iron ore prices (see below), an
increase in the risk-free rate, ‘r’, will increase forward prices relative to spot prices.
B is incorrect. Carry benefits, represented by the symbol γ0 in the formula, decrease the
burden of carrying the underlying instrument through time and so an increase in carry
benefits will decrease the forward price relative to the spot price.
C is incorrect. Expectations of the future underlying price have no bearing on the forward
price. Therefore, an expectation that the underlying will increase in value has no impact on
the forward price.
F (0,T ) = S 0 (1 + r )
T
AUD1,500
− 1 = 0.50
AUD1,000
The risk –free return for seven months is 50%. The annualized return is 100.4% which is calculated as
follows:
(1.5)12 7 − 1 = 1.003875
200 days into the forward contract, the first coupon date (181 days) has already passed. The second
and third coupon payments are 165 days (365 – 200) and 347 days (547 – 200), respectively, away.
85
The present value of the second coupon payment is AUD 83.14578 =
(1.05 )(365− 200 )365
85
The present value of the third coupon payment is AUD 81.14739 =
(1.05 )(547−200 )365
Since the forward contract will expire a day after the third coupon payment, the time to maturity is
348 days [(547 + 1) – 200].
Since Cohen already holds the corporate bonds, he is short the forward contract, thus the value of the
forward contract to Cohen is - AUD 59.64 and the value to the manufacturer is + AUD 59.64
Since Test Manufacturing would like to protect against increase in borrowing costs, it should
undertake a long position in an FRA agreement. The formula to calculate the initial FRA rate is:
h+m
1 + L0 (h + m ) 360 360
FRA(0, h, m) = − 1
1 + L (h ) h m
0
360
FRA (0,30,180) =
(
1 + 14% × 240 )
360 − 1 360 = 0.159671 or 15.97%
(
1 + 7.50% × 60
360
)
180
180
11 + 15.971×
1 360
= − = AUD0.99366538 − AUD0.99297011 = AUD0.00069527
30 210
1 + (7.65%) 1 + 15.00% ×
360 360
Based on the AUD 2.5 million notional principal (AUD 5 million × 50%), the value of the forward
contract after 30 days is approximately AUD 1,738 (AUD 2,500,000 × 0.00069527).
(
F (0, T ) = S 0 e − r
fc
T
)e r CT
Using the initial forward price and current spot price (ST = USD 1.10 per AUD), the formula used to
calculate the value of a forward currency contract at time T (using continuous compounding) is:
[
VT (0,T ) = ST e − r
fc
(T −t )
]− F (0,T )e − r C (T −t )
Since Howell is short the currency forward, the value of the forward contract is USD – 0.12 per AUD.
No-arbitrage forward price of the equity forward is determined by the following formula:
்
F(0,T) = (ܵ,் ݁ ିఋ ் )݁ = (3,250݁ ି.ଵ ×ଵ.ହ )݁ .ସଽଷଵ×ଵ.ହ = 3,411.39
The forward contract is overpriced. Therefore, the most suitable strategy would involve
selling a forward contract on the index and, since the investor does not own index stocks,
borrowing funds to buy the underlying index stocks at the spot price today (S0).
Marshall is also correct with respect to Analysis 2. The sale of a forward contract on an asset
position is priced assuming that the spot price is invested in a risk-free bond that pays F(0,T)
at time T.
The forward contract on the ABC Inc. stock is an off-market FRA as the initial value if
intentionally set at a nonzero value. The forward contract price on off-market forwards is
determined in the process of negotiation between two parties and not by discounting the price
of the asset at the risk-free rate.
Eurodollar time deposits are dollar loans made by one bank to another. Although the term Eurodollars
refers to dollar denominated loans, similar loans exist in other currencies. The primary Eurodollar rate
is called Libor.
19. Question ID: 10939
Correct Answer: C
The formula used to calculate the futures price of a futures bond contract is:
B C 0 (T + Y )[1 + r0 (T )] − FV (CI ,0, T )
T
f 0 (T ) =
CF (T )
Where T = 2.25
FV (CI ,0, T ) = $45(1.0525) + $45(1.0525) + $45(1.0525) + $45(1.0525) = $189.5275 ≈ $189.53
1.75 1.25 0.75 0.25
BC0 (T + Y) = $1,127.95 [N = 10 (5×2); I/Y = 3% (6%/2); PMT = $45 (9%/2 × $1,000); FV = $1,000;
PV = X)
If the futures price for a bond futures contract is higher than the no-arbitrage futures price,
opportunities for arbitrage profits exist. The investor can buy the bond and sell futures to earn more
than the risk free rate. On the other hand when the futures price is lower than the no-arbitrage price,
investors can sell short the bond and undertake a long position in futures. However, the latter
transaction may become difficult unless the bond underlying the long futures contract (from which
the arbitrage was computed) remains the cheapest to deliver. If that is not the case, the short
(counterparty to the long) will not deliver the bond and the arbitrage will not be successful. Thus
there is no guarantee that the short will deliver the same cheapest to deliver bond (cheapest at the time
of contract initiation) and this situation constrains the arbitrage transaction. Melton is inaccurate with
respect to observation 1.
Observation 2:
If a futures contract has many deliverable bonds and the bond underlying such a contract is delivered,
the long pays an amount equal to the futures price multiplied by the conversion factor. The
conversion factor adjustment does not add risk to the risk-free transaction. Melton is accurate with
respect to observation 2.
Although the mismatch of the design of the spot and futures instruments in the Euro-dollar market
make the contract difficult to use for hedging purposes, but the Eurodollar futures can still be used a
hedging instrument. This is because an increase (decrease) in interest rates will decrease (increase)
the value of the time deposit but increase (decrease) the payoff from the Euro-dollar futures contract.
Thus the hedge can be quite effective even if it is not perfect. Melton has incorrectly stated that
hedging using Euro-dollar futures will be ineffective.
The formula used to calculate the continuously compounded dividend yield is δ = ln(1 + δ ) . Since
C
the information given on the S&P 500 concerns discrete dividends, the formula used to calculate δ is:
1 FV (D,0, T )
= 1−
(1 + δ )T
S 0 (1 + r )
T
Using the information on Sweeney’s futures investment, the contnuousy compounded dividend yield
is calculated below.
T = 0.3479 (127/365)
1 $2.54
= 1− = 0.998374 ≈ 0.9984
(1 + δ )T
1,534.65(1 + 5.25% )
0.3479
ln(1.0016)
δC = = 0.004595 ≈ 0.460%
0.3479
T = 56/365 = 0.1534
f 0 (0.1534) = (1.05)0.1534 = $1.5977 (the no-arbitrage futures price)
$1.60
(1.06)0.1534
The current futures price is $1.78. Thus the futures contract is overpriced and if Swanson wishes to
engage in a risk-free arbitrage, the contract should be sold. However prior to selling the futures
contract the number of currency units, which need to be purchased, should be determined. The
number of currency units to purchase is:
1
= 0.9911 which will cost 0.9911($1.60) = $1.5858. Thus $1.5856 units are purchased
(1.06)0.1534
and the futures contract is sold at $1.78. During the life of the contract, 0.9911 currency units will
grow to 1 currency unit as the futures price converges to the spot price and equals it during expiration.
At expiration, the pounds are converted to dollars at the futures rate, $1.78. Thus the return per dollar
1.78
invested is = 1.1225
1.5856
Thus a return of 1.1225 is earned on each dollar invested over the 56-day period. In contrast, the risk-
free return earned on a risk-free investment (the no-arbitrage return on a futures contract) over the 56-
day period 1.0075 = (1.05)0.1534. Thus the return earned over the 56-day period is 0.1150 (1.1225 –
1.0075) or 11.50% higher and Swanson should undertake the arbitrage strategy.
In contrast when futures prices are negatively correlated with interest rates, traders will not prefer to
mark to market so forward contracts will carry higher prices.
Since Swanson has only held a long position in Dutch equity futures over quarters 5 and 6, the data
over the quarters 1-4 is not necessary for analysis in this context.
The correlations between interest rates and equity futures prices have been positive over Q5 and Q6
(0.04 and 0.35, respectively). Being long in the Dutch equity futures, Swanson would continue to
prefer futures over forwards as the rising futures prices imply a gain upon the marking to market of
her futures position and the rising rates imply that these gains are reinvested at higher rates.
Osborne’s opening statement is only correct with respect to the equivalence of futures to a spot
transaction. Because the futures price converges to the spot price on expiration date, the purchase of a
futures contract which expires immediately is equivalent to purchasing the underlying in the spot
market.
Osborne is incorrect in stating that the futures price converges to the spot price each time the account
is marked to market. Convergence only takes place on the expiration date.
The value of a futures contract before it has been market to market is the gain or loss accumulated
since the account was last market to market. At 12:00 hours on Day 2, the futures contract is in
between two marked to market days. Therefore, the value of the futures contract at this time is equal
to the difference in prices on Day 1 on market close (at 17:00 hours) and on Day 2 at 12:00, $50 –
$46 = $4.
Based on a current spot price of $48, the no-arbitrage price of a 3-month futures contract should equal
to $48.3560 ($48 × 1.030.25). At $49, the futures contract is overpriced. To exploit the arbitrage
opportunity, the futures contract should be sold and the underlying asset purchased. At the expiration
of the contract, $0.36 ($48 × 0.03 × 3/12) represents interest lost from the $48 tied in the asset.
On expiration date:
A is correct. The future value difference between storage costs and the convenience yield is indicative
of either backwardation or contango. If this difference is positive, storage costs exceed the
convenience yield thereby increasing the futures price relative to the current spot price and indicating
that the futures market is in contango.
C is incorrect. The relationship between the futures price and expected spot price is indicative of the
existence of normal backwardation or normal contango.
Given that the transaction is assumed to be risk-free, the risk premium is zero and the current spot
price is calculated using the following formula:
Osborne is correct with respect to her statement while Lester is incorrect with respect to his statement.
Eurodollar futures serve as imperfect hedges because they are structured like a T-bill contract - as
though the underlying were a discount instrument. On the other hand, the Eurodollar time deposit is
an add-on instrument. A mismatch between the spot market and futures contract results in an
imperfect hedge between the two. However, this does not mean that Eurodollars futures are an
ineffective hedging tool.
The currency futures contract is overpriced based on a comparison between the current and
no-arbitrage futures prices (€0.9398 vs. €0.9262). Therefore, an arbitrage strategy would
involve selling the USD currency futures and buying the underlying USD.
Given that the current futures price exceeds the no-arbitrage price, the following steps need
to be followed as part of a strategy to earn a risk-free profit:
Step 1:
Buy 1/(1.042)165/360 = 0.98132 units today which should cost 0.98132(€0.92) = €0.902814
Step 2:
Invest the 0.98132 units at the US risk-free rate of 4.2% for 165 days. The amount will grow
to 1.00000 units.
Step 3:
Enter into currency futures to convert the USD to EUR at a rate of €0.9398.
Return per € invested over 165 days is 0.9398/0.902814 – 1 = 0.040967 or 4.0967%. The
domestic risk-free rate over 165 days is (1.0575)165/360 – 1 = 2.596%. The arbitrage
transaction is much better as the return exceeds the domestic risk-free rate by 1.500%.
The bond pays coupons semi-annually (6 months apart) at a rate of 4.75%. Four coupon
payments will be received over the maturity of the 1.75-years futures contract. The
accumulated interest on these coupon payments is:
The amount which the long must pay the short when the underlying bond is delivered is
equal to the product of the futures price and conversion factor, f(0) × CF.
B is correct. The delivery option permits the party holding the short position with the
flexibility in deciding which bond to deliver.
If the arbitrageur buys the futures contract and sells short the underlying, (s) he must be
reasonably assured that the short will deliver the bond from which the potential arbitrage
profit is computed. The CTD bond has a tendency to change over the course of time and if
the bond on which the profit was computed is no longer the CTD bond, the short will not
deliver this bond and the arbitrage will not be successful.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 14
June 2019
B is correct. Knight is incorrect regarding his analysis of how option values are derived
when the expectations approach is used within the binomial model framework to determine
call option values at each node. The formula for deriving call option value at each node
using the expectations approach is:
c = PV[πc+ + (1 – π)c-]
This formula demonstrates that the call option value at Time 0 is equal to the present value
of the cash flows or call option payoffs at Time 1 using a risk-neutral probability (π).
C is incorrect. The statement summarizes how option values are estimated when the no-
arbitrage approach is used within a binomial model framework.
B is correct. The formula for deriving the call option value at Time 0 using the expectations
approach is:
C is correct. An American call option will give the option holder the right to exercise early,
purchase the underlying before it goes ex-dividend, and capture the dividend payment. Note
that the call option is only in the money at Node 2 and therefore the value of the call option at
Node 3 is ignored.
The present value of the dividend payment at Time 0 is $4.5455 ($5/1.10). The value of the
stock without dividends at Node 2 is $113.1818 [($80 – $4.5455) × 1.50]. The exercise value
of the call option including dividends at Node 2 is $38.1818 [Max 0, ($113.1818 + $5) –
$80] ≈ $38.18.
The carry benefit is equal to the foreign currency risk-free rate, which in this case is the US$
risk-free rate of 0.50%.
C is correct. The term N(d2) is interpreted as the probability that the call option expires in the
money and is calculated as N(d2) = 1 – N(-d2). Therefore, the probability that the ¥ call
option will expire in the money is 51.70% [(1 – 0.4830) × 100].
Reginald should purchase 533 (0.5330 × 1,000) units of Jasper Inc.’s stocks and sell 1,000 calls. The
outlay/net cash flow is:
The initial outlay is €21,645. The value of the investment at expiration will be
If ST = 94.25
533(94.25) – 1,000(24.25) = €25,985.25
If ST = 48.75
533(48.75) – 1,000(0) = €25,983.75
Buying a call option is not the best course of action as it will provide a limited payoff if stock prices
rise above the exercise price (ST – X), whereas the put option will provide unlimited payoff.
Additionally, the call will not provide adequate protection if the stock price falls below the exercise
price.
Selling a call option is not the best course of action because if the stock price falls below the exercise,
the counterparty will not exercise the option leaving Ramirez (as the option writer) with the option
premium as profit (which will be insufficient to cover the loss on the stock investment). If price rises
above the exercise price, the counterparty will exercise the call and Ramirez will be responsible for
paying the difference between the stock price and exercise price.
Assumption 2: The basic model does not take into account the cash flows generate by the underlying
asset but the model can be modified by adjusting the spot price of the underlying asset. Assumption 2
is accurate.
The benefit of using the historical method to estimate volatility is that is based on factual data (what
happened in the past). However in order to get the estimate, a large amount of data is required. This
means some of the data needs to be obtained by going far back into the past. The drawback of doing
so is that the data loses its relevance and the volatility estimate becomes less reliable. Thus Ramirez
has inaccurately pointed out the ability of this method to produce reliable estimates.
The drawback of using the implied volatility method to estimate volatility is that it assumes that the
market correctly prices the options, which makes it difficult to identify mispriced options. Thus the
drawback of the implied volatility method has been accurately illustrated.
p0 = c0 + [X − F (0,T )]/(1 + r )
T
The current put price is €65.45. Relative to the price of the put obtained from the put-call-forward
parity, the put is overpriced. The appropriate (arbitrage) strategy is to sell the put and purchase the
synthetic put. To buy the synthetic put it is necessary go long the call, short the forward contract and
hold a bond with a face value of X – F (0,T). The payoff from the transaction at the start of the
contract is:
X/(1+r)T = p0+S0–c0
The speaker is accurate with respect to technique 2. A pay-fixed, receive-equity swap can be
replicated by issuing a fixed-rate bond and using the issuance proceeds to purchase either stock or an
index portfolio.
Using the put-call parity, the synthetic call and put prices are calculated as follows:
c0 = p0 + S0 – X/(1+r)T
= $5.15 + $68.60 – $65/(1.025)150/365
= $9.4063
p0 = c0 + X/(1+r)T – S0
= $9.66 + $65/(1.025)150/365 – $68.60
= $5.4037
The actual call is worth $9.66 while the synthetic call is worth $9.41. The appropriate strategy would
be to buy the synthetic call.
The actual put is worth $5.15 while the synthetic put is worth $5.40. The appropriate strategy would
be to sell the synthetic put.
ܲ
= $54.00݁ .×/ ሾ1 − 0.5714ሿ − 55.25ሾ1 − 0.6293ሿ
= $2.29
.×
ఴ
ܲ
= $55.25݁ భమ ሾ1 − 0.5120ሿ − 55.25ሾ1 − 0.5714ሿ
= $2.84
Delta can be obtained approximately from the Black-Scholes-Merton formula as N(d1) for calls and
N(d1) – 1 for puts.
Given that option M’s call option delta N(d1), is 0.6368, the put option delta is approximately –
0.3632 (0.6368 – 1).
The relation between the change in underlying asset price, delta, and change in option price is
captured by the following equation:
For a $15 decline in BC’s share price, the approximate new put option price is $65.45;
Change in put option price = − 0.3632 × − $15
= $5.448
Greene has incorrectly identified implication 2. With respect to call option, longer the time to
expiration, higher will be the option price. Extending the expiration date of call option L from eight to
ten months should increase the price.
This is a technique that may be used as a starting point to estimate future volatility. It is a valid
volatility estimation technique.
T0 price of floor = T0 price of one-year floorlet+ T0 price of two-year floorlet = 0.01205 + 0.0092
= 0.02125
A lower p/e ratio is the only deduction which results from a reduced growth rate. Reduced growth
rates would lead to an increase in payout ratios.
If St<$92.50 St>$92.50
Short Call 0 -(St-$92.50)
Long Put $92.50-St 0
Short Bond $105.25-$92.50 $105.25-$92.50
Long Forward St-$105.25 St-$105.25
Payoff at Expiration 0 0
A large gamma value effectively points towards a volatile option delta. This highly fluctuating delta
would not be able to hedge a large price change in the underlying stock and would require frequent
portfolio rebalancing
• low time remaining to maturity, so that there are less chances of the option decreasing in value.
• high interest rates, so that the money generated through options can be reinvested at a high rate to
generate greater income.
• low volatility rates, so that there are less chances of fluctuations that will take the option to an at-
the- money or out-of-the-money scenario.
If St < X, the call value is zero and the bond would be worth X.
If St > X, the call is worth St-X and the bond is
Swaps can be thought of as equivalent to futures contracts if the future interest rates are certain
(which makes them equivalent to forward contracts). However, this is not typically the case as future
interest rate are almost always uncertain. Futures can be used to construct swaps provided interest
rates are certain.
Thus fact 1 has been accurately outlined.
Fact 2: A swap can be constructed from a combination of options with expiration dates corresponding
to the settlement dates of the swap. A pay fixed swap can be thought of as equivalent to buying a call
option and selling a put option. This is because if interest rates rise, the call option holder receives the
difference between the strike rate and current market rate. Similarly the pay-fixed party in the swap
receives a payment equal to the difference between the floating payment and fixed rate in the swap. If
interest rates go down, the seller of a put option pays the difference. Similarly the pay-fixed side pays
the floating side of the swap the difference between the floating and fixed rate.
The value of the swap at contract initiation is always zero. Since the swap transaction recommended
by the executive has not yet begun, it will have a market value of zero.
1
B360€ =
(
1 + 3.12% × 360
360
) = 0.96974399
1
B540€ =
(
1 + 3.25% × 540
360
) = 0.95351609
Step 2: Determine the present value (PV) of the fixed payments in Euros.
The fixed rate (given) paid by Beta Build on the swap is 3.45%. The non-annualized rate is 1.725%
(3.45%/2).
The euro notional principal established at the start of the swap is calculated as $25 million/0.85
The total euro fixed payments are converted to $ at the new exchange rate. Thus the total PV of fixed
payments paid by Beta Build is $26,568,195.89 (€1.00368740)($25,000,000/0.85)($0.90)
Step 4: Determine the total PV of floating payments paid by Alpha Corp. in U.S. $.
The PV of floating rate payments is simply $1.0 multiplied by the notional principal as floating rate
bonds re-set at each swap payment date (which corresponds to the 180th day in this case). Thus the
total PV of floating payments is $25,000,000.
Since Beta Build pays the fixed rate and receives the floating rate, the value of the swap to Beta Build
will be $25,000,000 – $26,568,195.89 = –$1,568,195.89 ≈ –$1,600,000
• they are used to terminate an existing swap – a party holding a pay floating/receive fixed swap
will enter into a payer swaption, and not a receiver swaption, to terminate the existing swap.
• they are used by parties who anticipate the need for a swap at a future date but wish to secure a
fixed rate today, while retaining the flexibility to not engage in the swap at a later date or engage
in a swap at a more favorable rate in the market. Thus a corporation may want to secure its
borrowing costs today by securing a fixed rate on a swap, which may be needed in the future.
• they are used by parties to speculate on interest rates.
1
(
1 + 4.88% + 180
360
) = 0.97618118
1
(
1 + 4.90% + 270
360
) = 0.96455269
1
(
1 + 5.00% + 360
360
) = 0.95238095
1 − 0 .95238095
= 0.01226705
Market/Fixed rate = 0.98875294 + 097618118 + 0.96455269 + 0.95238095 or
1.23%.
Compared to the exercise rate of 3%, the annualized market fixed rate is much higher. Thus the best
course of action would be to let the swaption expire at enter into a new swap at the current market
rate of 4.92% to receive a higher fixed rate.
Entering into the present swaption at a swap rate of 3% is not optimal as it will result in the receipt of
fixed payments at a rate lower than current annualized market swap rates (3% vs. 4.92%).
Rolling the present swaption into a new receiver swaption at the market rate is not optimal for the
same reasons and such a transaction may not exist (depending on local market factors).
Hedge funds are the largest growing participants of the CDS market.
Fund managers use the positions created by the CDS market to exploit mispricings.
A fixed rate payer swap is equivalent to a long interest rate call and a short interest rate put.
Currency swaps exchange notional principals at the end of the swap’s life and therefore, credit risk is
concentrated towards the middle and end of the swap’s life. Credit risk at contract initiation, which is
the current risk at the time of entry, is low otherwise parties would not be willing to enter into the
contract. Therefore, potential credit risk is higher relative to the current credit risk.
While it is fairly common to view swaps as being equivalent to options and swaps, the equality of
swaps to futures contracts holds true only in very limited cases.
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Reading 40 Valuation of Contingent Claims FinQuiz.com
The current value of the fixed rate leg of the swap in Euros is $1.3333 × €0.80 × $0.997711 =
€1.064198
Present value of Euro swap payments = [€1 + (0.025 × 90/360)] × 0.99215 = €0.998351
Value of the pay $ fixed, receive € floating = €0.998351 – €1.064198 = - €0.065848 ≈ €0.0658
The swap spread is not a measure of the credit risk of a given swap but a reflection of the credit risk
in the global economy. Therefore, one would expect swap spreads to widen as a result of economic
recession and remain unaffected by the credit risk of individual swap counterparties.
Sports IMEX wants to protect its future investment from a loss in income which will result from a
decline in interest rates. To hedge against a decline in interest rates, the company should enter into a
receiver swaption which will allow the company to receive a fixed rate of interest and require it to
pay the floating rate.
To calculate the swap fixed rate at day 360 (swaption expiration date), the discount factors are
calculated for the three years of the underlying swap’s tenor:
1
L (360) = = 0.966184
1 + (0.035)(360 / 360)
1
L (720) = = 0.926784
1 + (0.0395)(720 / 360)
1
L (1,080) = = 0.888099
1 + (0.042)(1,080 / 360)
1 − 0.888099
Swap fixed rate = = 0.040237 or 4.02%
(0.966184 + 0.926784 + 0.888099)
PV of remaining payments = $500,000/ (1+ 0.05 × (90/360)) + $20,500,000/ (1+ 0.054 × (270/360))
= $20,195,893
The second floating-rate payment combined with 1 at the end of the swap has a present value of 1 on
the first payment date. The present value of 1 is 1/ (1 + 0.05 × (90/360)) = 0.987654321 so the present
value of the second floating rate payment combined with the principal amount is
= 0.987654321 × $20,000,000
= $19,753,086
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 14
June 2019
An equity swap does not involve any initial outlay but involves an agreement by one party to
trade the return on a stock portfolio for the return of another asset. Therefore, this type of
agreement is the cheapest in terms of required initial investment amount.
Strategy 1 is relatively expensive compared to Strategy 2 as WLC will need to pay option
premium to purchase call options. Initial investment outlay = $0.85/call × 1,000
calls/contract × 125 contracts = $106,250
Strategy 3 is the most expensive out of the three as the initial investment cost is $2.5 million.
A synthetic long call position is replicated from a long stock and long put position.
Under the equity swap, WLC will receive the total return on the equity stock and pay the six-
month LIBOR.
WLC will receive a net payment from the swap counterparty which amounts to (6.50% -
0.40%) × $2,500,000 = $152,500. Put another way, WLC will make a net payment of –
$152,500 to the swap counterparty.
The put strategy executed by Rubin is described as a bear spread strategy as this position is
constructed by buying a put option with the higher exercise price of $40 and writing another
put option at the lower exercise price of $38.
The maximum profit will occur when the underlying price is equal to or lower than the put
option with the lowest exercise price. If the underlying price is $38, the profit on each option
is as follows:
38-Put = - Max (0, X – ST) + premium = - Max [0, (38 – 38)] + $2.05 = $2.05
40-Put = Max (0, X – ST) + premium = Max [0, (40 – 38)] – $2.33 = - $0.33
C is correct. A longer time to expiration would mean that there is a greater chance that the
option will move in the money, resulting in the option being exercised by the buyer and the
stock being called away from the writer.
A is incorrect. Based on the option prices in Exhibit 3 it is clearly evident that the option
writer can earn greater income from writing the longer-term option.
B is incorrect. Exercise value is the difference between the underlying price and exercise
price. Given that the underlying is expected to remain relatively constant, the exercise value
will also remain constant for the at-the-money call option under consideration.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 15
June 2019
However real estate performance has not been highly correlated with the performance of asset classes
such as stocks and bonds, so adding real estate helps to lower the risk of the portfolio (provide
diversification). This is true with regard to both publically and privately traded real estate and justifies
the addition of the asset class to existing client portfolios.
Private real estate is traded less often and is not publically traded. Therefore, there are an insufficient
amount of transactions from which prices can be determined. Thus privately traded real estate often
exhibits ‘stale’ prices, which do not reflect their actual values. On the other hand, because publically
traded real estate trade on formal exchanges, their prices are readily determinable.
Property 3 is not making the highest and best possible use as the value under existing use is
$(100,000). Thus Property 3 should be considered for demolition.
• The markets are expected to be weaker in the future with lower expectations for rental growth
than in the current market. Investors are willing to pay a higher price for a property with greater
growth potential and therefore the current implied growth rate will be higher and going-in cap
rate lower in this scenario; or
• interest rates are expected to be higher in the future resulting in a higher terminal cap rate
therefore pushing up discount rates; and
• there is uncertainty of what NOI will be in the future which may result in the selection of a higher
terminal cap rate.
Step 2: Discount the level NOI for the first three years and the resale price:
PMT = $200,000
FV = $3,000,000
n=3
i = 15%
Solving for PV, the current value of the property is $2,429,194 and using the formula, going-in cap
rate = NOI/Market value, the implied going-cap rate is $200,000/$2,429,194 = 8.23%
A is correct. The most appropriate form of real estate investment is REIT shares as management of
the underlying property is professionally managed and requires no real estate expertise on the part of
the investor in shares of REITs (Concern 1 is addressed). In addition, the shares of publically traded
REITs are traded in public markets and thus have greater liquidity making the asset class suitable for
Richards who has liquidity concerns (Concern 2 is addressed). REITs are a type of publically traded
equity investment. REIT shares are typically liquid and active trading results in prices that are more
likely to reflect market value (Concern 3 is addressed).
Sheffield is accurate with respect to Drawback 1. Equity investors have a residual claim on real estate
and this value is equal to the value of the real estate less the amount owed to the mortgage lender.
C is incorrect. Equity investors are entitled to two income streams: an income stream resulting from
such activities as renting the property and a capital appreciation component resulting from changes in
the value of the underlying asset.
C is correct. Sheffield is inaccurate with respect to drawback 2 because he has incorrectly stated that
equity real estate investments bring little to no diversification opportunities to a portfolio. Real estate
equity offers diversification benefits as it is less than perfectly correlated with stocks and bonds.
B is incorrect. Real estate investment returns are influenced by factors affecting the profitability of
companies leasing the space and the strength of the overall economy.
If the value of a site under existing use (with the constructed property) is more than the land value,
the office complex should remain on site. Otherwise, the complex should be demolished.
The value of Property 2 has a negative implied building value indicating that the building should be
demolished.
The GIM method does not consider explicitly vacancy rates and operating expenses and thus
implicitly assumes that the ratio of vacancy and expenses to gross income is similar for the
comparable and subject properties.
C is correct. Unlike public equity real estate investments, privately traded equity investments do not
trade in public markets and are less likely to behave like the stock market. Therefore, one would
expect the individual correlations between private equity real estate and stocks and bonds to be lower
relative to the former type of equity real estate.
A is incorrect. A private equity investment in a hotel chain will require the investor to incur higher
property management expenses. In general, private equity real estate is more management intensive
compared to a public real estate equity investment. In the case of the latter, the underlying real estate
is professionally managed.
B is incorrect. Private real estate investments may receive a favorable tax treatment. Similarly,
publically traded REITs may also have some tax benefits in some countries. Therefore, there is no
distinct tax advantage of investing in private equity real estate.
Stone has observed the terminal cap rate to be higher relative to the going-in cap rate. When this is
the case, the following holds true:
• interest rates are expected to be higher pushing up discount rates; therefore, the future
discount rates are expected to be higher or
• growth is expected to be lower as the property is older at the time of sale and the market
may not be competitive or
• there is greater uncertainty of what the NOI will be in the future compared to today.
The following steps will be followed to estimate the current value of the real estate:
Step 2: Discount the level NOI for the first four years and the resale price:
PMT = $190,000
FV = $3,571,429
n=4
i = 10%
When the growth rate is equal to zero, the value of the property is calculated as: NOI/Discount rate.
Value = $190,000/0.10 = $1,900,000
B is correct. The sales comparison approach cannot be used when there is a lack of comparable
properties being sold in the market. This makes the use of the cost approach more appropriate as it
does not rely on the sale of comparables.
C is incorrect. The cost approach relies on the replacement cost of property, which assumes it is built
today using current construction costs and standards. Therefore, when construction is no longer
feasible, the replacement cost will be difficult to determine, which in turn will make it difficult to
employ the cost approach for valuation.
A is incorrect. The discount rate is not used when valuing a property using the cost approach. Failing
to fully consider a property’s risk in the discount rate will result in the income approach producing an
incorrect value.
$1,400,000
Replacement cost
Curable physical deterioration - $50,000
$1,350,000
Incurable deterioration [(8 – 6)/8] × $1,350,000 - $337,500
Economic obsolescence - $35,000
Incurable functional obsolescence ($4,950/0.10) - $49,500
Locational obsolescence ($320,000 – $30,000) - $290,000
Land value + $80,000
Final appraised value (land and building) $718,000
In addition to the data collected in Exhibit 1, Emmanuel makes the following observations:
Observation 2 mandates a property survey be done to determine whether the conversion activity is
conducted within the premises of the property.
C is correct. When a property is older, estimating depreciation and obsolescence becomes more
difficult. The cost approach will generate an unreliable estimate of value. Therefore, the approach will
be more reliable for newer properties that have a relatively modern design in a stable market.
B is incorrect. The sales comparison assumes that investors make rational purchase decisions.
Therefore, the sales comparison approach will be appropriate when this assumption holds.
Since the loan will be advanced in accordance with a maximum loan to value ratio, the mortgage loan
amount is first calculated and then used to determine the loan to value ratio.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 15
June 2019
A is incorrect. In general, publically traded real estate securities (equity REITs and REOCs) provide
the ability to trade on stock exchanges. Thus REITs and REOCs both provide liquidity.
C is incorrect. Because REITs are constrained in their operations, investment choices and
distributions, REITs are prevented from maximizing their returns.
The most appropriate response to Concern 2 is No. Investments in publically traded REITs are not
suitable for investors seeking control over property-level investment decisions. Investors desiring
control should opt for a direct investment in the underlying property.
A is incorrect. Insurance costs are incorporated in the NOI calculation and are thus an element of
AFFO.
B is incorrect. Straight-line rent is an element of NOI and AFFO. It is the average contractual rent
over a lease term. Subtracting cash rent paid from straight-line rent produces non-cash rent; thus
straight-line rent is the sum of cash rent paid and non-cash rent, in other words it is equivalent to the
gross rental revenue.
To determine which type of REITs is most undervalued, it is necessary to determine the level of
discount to the average subsector P/AFFO:
Given that the economy is in an expansionary phase, short remaining lease terms provide mark-to-
market opportunities on term rent. All three properties have lease terms exceeding a year and are thus
almost equivalent in this respect; the three REITs do not provide attractive mark-to-market
opportunities.
Low-in place rents provide upside potential to cash flows upon lease re-negotiation while high in-
place rents represent additional risk to maintaining current cash flows. Office REITs and residential
REITs have low-in place rents and are desirable from this perspective while healthcare REITs are
least desirable.
The properties underlying office REITs have the highest percentage of tenant occupancy while
healthcare REITs' properties have the lowest percentage occupancy. Thus healthcare REITs are
undesirable from this perspective.
Based on in-place vs. market rent and percentage of occupied space, healthcare REITs are the least
desirable form of investment.
A is correct. REIT shares can be traded on the stock exchange and therefore they provide greater
liquidity than buying and selling real estate in property markets. Due to their large lot sizes, a direct
investment in real estate represents a relatively illiquid form of investment.
B is incorrect. The maintenance of a REIT structure is costly and may not be offset by the benefits.
C is incorrect. The stock market of a REIT is more volatile than the appraised value of a REIT.
Therefore, one would expect the REIT shares to have higher price and return volatility.
B is correct. Investment in REITs allows investors to diversify their real estate portfolios by
geography and property type. This type of diversification is hard to achieve in direct property
investing because of the large size and value of each property.
A is incorrect. Because REITs are associated with high dividend yields, there is less income available
for reinvestment. This low rate of reinvestment will reduce income growth potential.
C is incorrect. Because investors in REITs have their interests managed by professional managers,
control over property-level investment decisions no longer remains in their hands. This contrasts with
investors acquiring a direct investment in real estate; the latter are actively involved in the
management of the underlying property.
B is correct. Trends in government funding influences the value of an investment in a health care
REIT and is not relevant for the purposes of analysis.
A is incorrect. Job creation will lead to an increase in the use of storage space as personal and small
businesses need space to rise.
P/AFFO = Market price per share/[(NOI – General and administrative expenses – interest expense –
non-cash rent – maintenance-type capital expenditures)/Shares outstanding]
The warehouse appears to be relatively undervalued as it has a lower P/AFFO multiple compared to
the average industry.
Lewis is inaccurate regarding to Reason 1. FFO estimates are readily available through market data
providers.
Lewis is accurate regarding Reason 2. Applying a multiple to the FFO and AFFO may not capture the
intrinsic value of real estate assets held by the REIT or REOC. An example of this includes a parcel
of land and empty building which do not produce current income and thus do not contribute to FFO
but have value.
Lewis is accurate regarding Reason 3. The recent increase in one-time items such as gains as well as
new revenue recognition rules have affected the income statement making the P/FFO and P/AFFO
multiples more difficult to compute and complicating comparisons between companies.
The repositioning strategy will be dilutive to earnings because the cap rate at which the properties
will be sold is higher than yields at which they are reinvested reflecting lower risk premiums.
Therefore, the REIT will most likely face cash flow growth pressures in the near term as a material
portion of the portfolio is reinvested into higher-quality properties.
Prior to discounting the dividends, the required rate of return will need to be determined
using CAPM:
Current value of office REIT share = $0.7970 + $0.9671 + $2.0608 + $130.94 = $134.76
A is correct. A higher long-term growth rate will decrease the cap rate and a lower cap rate will
increase the current value of each REIT share.
Intrinsic Value =
=
C is incorrect. Parking income (other income) increases the net operating income, which eventually
increases the intrinsic value of the property.
B is correct. Observation 1 will have an indeterminate impact on NAVPS while Observation 2 will
increase NAVPS. A higher future rental income stream will increase NOI and thus NAVPS; the latter
includes the next 12 months’ expected NOI as a component. On the other hand, a higher cap rate
resulting from a higher rental income stream will reduce the NAVPS. The dividend growth rate does
not affect the NAVPS calculation. Therefore, the observation does not have a clear cut impact on the
NAVPS measure.
Observation 2 will serve to increase NAVPS. Land held for future development is added to the
estimated value of operating real estate to arrive at net asset value. Therefore, an increase in the land
value will serve to increase NAVPS.
A is incorrect. The NAVPS includes the next 12 months’ growth in NOI as a component in its
calculation.
C is incorrect. NAVPS includes the value of land as a component. Where the market value of land
cannot be reliably estimated, book value is used instead.
C is correct. National GDP growth is one of the main drivers influencing the value of an office REIT
as businesses are prepared to pay more rent as well as demand office space to accommodate more
business in a stronger economy.
A and B are incorrect. The value of an office REIT is least affected by retail sales growth and
population growth.
REITs are characterized by high dividend yields often paying a significant portion of their income as
dividends. Therefore, this makes the dividend discount model an appropriate valuation tool.
Penn should invest in either the REIT or REOC to achieve diversification. On the other hand,
diversification is hard to achieve in direct property investing because of the large size and value of the
property.
Unlike REITs, REOCs as well as direct property investors are free to invest in any kind of real estate
subject only to the limitations that may be imposed by their articles of incorporation and/or the
market. In contrast to REOCs, REITs are constrained in their investments, operations, and
distributions.
REOCs are free to use a wider range of capital structures and degrees of financial leverage.
For his personal investment portfolio, Penn should select either a REOC or REIT investment. Both
types of structures permit investors to purchase shares that represent fractional interests with a much
lower investment than a single commercial property. On the other hand, large lot sizes of real estate
considerably increase the cost of investment making it difficult for investors such as Penn to
purchase.
B is correct. Equity markets of most countries have shown a preference for the tax advantages, high-
income distributions and stringent operating and financial mandates that come with the REIT status.
Therefore, REOCs have less access to equity capital and lower market valuations relative to REITs.
C is incorrect. REOCs are ordinary taxable corporations thus subjecting investors to the taxation of
their dividend income.
C is correct. Given that the management of the underlying properties is delegated to subsidiary
REITs, due diligence of senior management serving the parent REIT is not relevant.
A is incorrect. Because the income of a hotel REIT is variable and demand is cyclical, analysts need
to be wary of structures that use a high degree of financial leverage. Therefore, a review of the
REIT’s balance sheet and leverage levels need to be examined.
B is incorrect. Compared to other real estate, hotels have the shortest lease terms. Short-term leases
are a positive consideration in an expansionary economy and/or rental market and a negative
consideration in a declining economy and/rental market.
Penn is accurate with respect to Reason 1 but inaccurate with respect to Reason 2.
One of the main reasons of why REIT shares trade at a premium or discount relative to their NAV is
that public equity market investors ascribe a different value to the REIT relative to the private buyers.
When the value ascribed by the public equity market is lower relative to private buyers, REIT shares
trade at a discount to their NAV.
When the underlying property market is illiquid, estimating a NAV becomes difficult as the estimates
can become quite subjective.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 15
June 2019
Fact 2:
In context of the variability of returns on investment portfolios comprising of buyout funds, the
underlying investments are characterized by lower variances across investment returns. Additionally,
bankruptcies are of rare occurrence. In contrast, the variability of venture capital fund portfolios are
characterized by very high returns from a limited number of investments and a significant number of
write-offs from low performing investments or failures. Thus fact 2 does not accurately address the
level of write-offs and success rates of the latter investment type.
Fact 3:
A venture capital firm requires a significant cash burn rate to ensure company development and
commercial viability. This contrasts with buyout funds which offer the investor restructuring and cost
reduction potentiality. Fact 3 does not accurately address the purpose of the high cash burn rate.
Transaction fees are paid to GPs in their advisory capacity when providing investment banking
services for transactions such as merger and acquisitions or IPOs. These fees may be subject to a
sharing agreement between the GP and limited partners. Provision 2 makes reference to this economic
term.
Rachet is a mechanism which helps to determine the allocation of equity between shareholders and
the management team of the private equity controlled company. Provision 1 makes reference to this
economic term.
A placement fee is an upfront or a trailer fee fundraising fee charged by the fund raiser. Neither
provision 1 nor 2 make reference to this type of fee.
Using the initial total value (share of the initial investment) of the PE equity fund and the preference
shares of $3.60 million ($0.20 million + $3.40 million) and the final total value upon termination of
$82.82 million ($81.75 million + $1.07 million), the annual IRR earned by the private equity fund is
approximately 29.86%.
Factor 2:
Lack of diversification arises from investment portfolios being highly concentrated in investments of
the same vintage year and/or at the same stages of development. This exposes the portfolio to
significant losses (possibly during a market downturn producing simultaneous losses for these highly
correlated investments). Factor 2 correctly addresses this risk exposure/factor.
Factor 3:
Government regulations can pose significant risks to private equity funds if the underlying investee
companies’ product and services are subject to changes in governmental regulations that adversely
impair their business model. The exposure of company practices to evolving and consequentially
more stringent measures correctly addresses this risk exposure/factor.
Step 1: Determine the post-money valuation at the time of the second round of financing
(POST2)
POST2 = V/(1 + R2) = $50/(1.10)2 ≈ $41.32
Step 2: Determine the pre-money valuation at the time of the second round of financing (PRE2)
PRE2 = POST2 – I2 = $41.32 – 3 = $38.32
Step 3: Determine the post-money valuation at the time of the first round of financing (POST1)
POST1 = PRE2/(1 + R1) = 38.32/(1.12)3 ≈ $27.28
Step 4: Determine the pre-money valuation at the time of the first round of financing (PRE1)
PRE1 = POST1 – I1 = $27.28 – 4 = $23.28
Step 5: Determine the required ownership fraction for the investors in the first round (F1)
F1 = I1/POST1 = $4/27.28 ≈ 0.146628
Step 6: Determine the number of shares required by the investors in the first round to achieve
their desired ownership fraction (y1)
y1 = x1[F1/(1 – F1)] = 2[0.1466276/1 – 0.1466276)] ≈ 0.3436427
Step 7: Determine the price per share in the first round (p1)
p1 = I1/y1 = $4/0.3436427 ≈ $11.64 per share
Private equity funds tend to have durations of 10 to 12 years, which may be extendable to an
additional 2 to 3 years. SPVII’s duration (13 years) is consistent with typical fund structures.
Vintage year is the year when the private equity fund was launched. There is nothing indicating that
either of the three funds’ vintage years is inconsistent with the typical fund structure.
The first year that NAV is higher than committed capital, carried interest is 20% of the excess.
Thereafter, provided that NAV before distribution exceeds the committed capital, carried interest
equals (20%)(increase in NAV before distributions).
Since NAV before distributions exceeded the fund’s committed capital (C$200 million) for the first
time in 2010, carried interest is C$3.16 million [20% × (C$215.8 millions – C$200 millions)].
TVPI is the portfolio company’s distributed and undistributed value as a proportion of the cumulative
invested capital. It is presented net of management fees and carried interest. It is calculated as the sum
of ‘the residual value to paid-in capital (RVPI) and distributions to paid-in capital (DPI)’.
Net IRR is estimated by calculating the internal rate of return between the following cash flows:
The executives are incorrect with respect to the benefit to LPs, of adopting the key man clause. The
key man clause will ensure that in the event a certain number of key named executives leave the fund,
or devote insufficient time to the fund management, the GP may be prohibited from making any new
investments until a new key name executive is employed.
The J-curve effect refers to the typical time profile of reported returns by private equity funds,
whereby low or negative returns are reported in the early years of a private equity fund. This period of
low returns is followed by increased returns thereafter, as the private equity firm manages portfolio
companies toward exit.
Gross IRR is estimated by calculating the IRR between the called down capital at the beginning of the
period and operating results.
B is incorrect. The payment of cash generated to shareholders does not assist in the alignment of
interests.
C is incorrect. Private equity firms are not the sole catalysts of change in a large organization.
A is incorrect. The replacement cost approach rarely applies to mature companies as it is difficult to
estimate the cost of recreating a company with a long operating history.
C is incorrect. The real option approach generally applies to companies operating at the seed or start-
up stage where management or shareholders have significant flexibility in making radically different
strategic decisions.
Policy 2 is an example of the earn-outs clause which links the acquisition price paid by the private
equity firm to the firm’s future financial performance over a predetermined time horizon.
Policy 3 is an example of the reserved matters clause which requires certain areas of strategic
importance to be subject to approval or veto of the private equity firm.
B is correct. The discounted cash flow approach is not a good starting point for valuing a VC
investment because there is uncertainty surrounding the projected future cash flows. The approach
depends on a predictable cash flow stream to generate value.
B is correct. A clawback provision will require Romero Associates (the general partner, GP) to return
capital to limited partners (LPs), including Oregon Associates, in excess of the agreed profit split
between the GPs and LPs. This provision ensures that, when a private equity firm exits from a highly
profitable investment early in the fund’s life but subsequent performances are less profitable, the GP
will pay back capital contributions, fees and expenses back to LPs in line with the fund’s prospectus.
A is incorrect. A co-investment clause grants LPs the first right to co-invest with the GP. This allows
for fees and profit share to be lower on co-invested capital.
C is incorrect. A distribution waterfall is a payment mechanism which ensures that distributions are
made to LPs before the GP receives carried interest.
B is correct. In contrast to buyout funds, which require full blown due diligence (financial, strategic,
commercial, legal, tax and environmental), venture capital firms tend to conduct primarily
commercial and technological due diligence before investing. Since the portfolio companies have a
very short operating history, VC firms do not conduct extensive financial due diligence.
C is incorrect. VC firms are primarily equity funded with use of leverage being very rare and limited.
NAV before distributions = NAV after distributions t – 1 + call-down capital – management fees +
operating results
*In the first year, NAV is lower than committed capital ($63.5 million versus $405 million).
Therefore, carried interest is $0.
B is correct. A closed end fund structure restricts existing investors from redeeming their shares
during the lifetime of the fund.
A is incorrect. A closed end fund structure limits the entry of new investors to predefined time
periods, at the discretion of the GP.
C is correct. One of the challenges associated with exit via an IPO is that the private company must
have an established operating history with excellent growth prospects. Being a startup, there is
uncertainty surrounding Rita Robotics’ ability to build a reasonable amount of operating history in
five years’ time.
A is incorrect. Going public offers significant advantages including high valuation multiples as result
of enhanced liquidity. An enhancement of liquidity is the result of private company shares being
traded on an established trading platform.
B is incorrect. Although exit via an IPO has numerous benefits, it comes at an expense of less
flexibility for managers who are now subject to the scrutiny of analysts, investors and the public
market at large. However, it is incorrect to attribute the reduced flexibility to excessive leverage.
To determine the price per share, two variables are required – Stone Tech’s 1) initial investment
amount (given as $5 million) and 2) the number of shares needed to acquire a 58.7% stake in Rita
Robotics (denoted y).
Given that the founders own 1,800,000 shares, the number of shares required by Stone Tech is
calculated as follows:
B is correct. Prior to determining the pre-money valuation, it is necessary to determine the post-
money valuation. Based on the data in the exhibit, an investment of $5 million buys 58.7% of the
company. Therefore 58.7% × post-money valuation = $5 million.
A is correct. Investors in the Stone Tech fund will not experience a dilution of ownership interests if
the fund is used to finance both stages. This is because the same fund is merely expanding its
investment in Rita Robotics while ownership is retained by fund investors.
B is incorrect. Given the challenges surrounding exit via an IPO, it is unlikely that Stone Tech
agreeing to finance both rounds will help avoid this uncertainty.
The required investment for the second round is $2 million while the post-money valuation at the
beginning of the second round is $5,340,576 ($35,000,000/1.64).
The additional ownership fraction required by Stone Tech is equal to 37.4% ($2,000,000/$5,340,576).
The post-money valuation in the second financing round is equal to $35,000,000/1.454 = $7,917,645.
The ownership stake demanded by the second round of investors would equal $2,000,000/$7,917,645
= 25.26% or 25.3%
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 15
June 2019
A is incorrect. Arbitrageurs who have the ability to inventory physical commodities can
capitalize on mispricing between the commodity futures price and spot price. However, Sun
Capital does not possess this capacity.
B is incorrect. With a growing middle class in emerging and frontier markets, consumers
capable of purchasing meat protein as part of their regular diet increases. This will result in a
higher demand for livestock and increased investment in the livestock and meatpacking
industries.
Reading 45 Commodities & Commodity Derivatives: An Introduction FinQuiz.com
C is correct. The storage costs of livestock such as live cattle are tied to grain prices. If grain
prices increase, then animals are slaughtered more quickly to avoid the higher cost of feeding
them. This will pull supply forward in the near term leading to an excess supply and lower
prices. However, an increase in storage costs will not produce the same effect on natural gas
supply.
A is incorrect. Natural gas can easily be transported via ships. Slaughtered meat is usually
frozen and advances in freezing technologies means that products are moving from one part
of the world to another in response to differences in production costs and demand. Therefore,
the advancement of technology has allowed slaughtered meat to become more transportable.
B is incorrect. Weather has a surprising impact on animal health and weights. In the winter
cattle suffer more than hogs and chickens because of their height. Winter is a key driver of
the demand for natural gas with colder months driving up the demand for natural gas.
B is incorrect. Positive calendar spreads can only be earned when futures markets are in
backwardation. Negative calendar spreads are associated with futures markets in contango.
As established above, the live cattle market is in a state of contango and therefore an investor
can only earn a negative calendar spread.
A is correct. Orme is relying on the insurance theory to explain the trend in futures prices.
This is because he assumes that the hedging pressure of commodity sellers has lead to the
present state of backwardation in the natural gas sector. This coincides with the insurance
theory which assumes that the futures market is in backwardation as a result of the demand
for commodity sellers to seek price insurance.
B is incorrect. The theory of storage attempts to explain how the level of commodity storage
influences commodity futures price curves. Orme is not considering the level of natural gas
storage and is therefore not relying on this theory.
A is incorrect. A basis swap exchanges periodic payments based on the values of two related
references prices which are not perfectly correlated. This type of swap will not be relevant
for exploiting the volatility expectation.
B is incorrect. A variance swap involves two buyers periodically exchanging payments based
on the proportional difference between an actual variance in price levels and a fixed amount
of variance established at the outset of the contract. However, this type of swap will not be
relevant for Sun Capital which seeks to exploit the difference between actual and expected
volatility in price levels.
Reading 46 The Portfolio Management Process & the investment policy statement FinQuiz.com
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 16
June 2019
The newsletter has incorrectly addressed the fourth stage of the planning process.
Thus the newsletter has incorrectly addressed the third step of the execution process.
Frequent investment officer changes are not a factor which would dictate portfolio revisions. Such
changes generally do not affect investor circumstances or capital market expectations.
Defined benefit plans state their return requirements in terms of the return that will adequately fund
liabilities on an inflation-adjusted basis. The risk tolerance of such plans depend upon the plan and
sponsor characteristics, plan features, funding status, and workforce characteristics.
Defined contribution plans’ return requirements depend on the stage of life of the individual
participants. The risk tolerance of such plans varies with the risk tolerance of individual participants.
Thus assertion 1 has inaccurately addressed the return requirements and risk tolerances of pension
plans by failing to make a distinction between the two categories.
Assertion 2:
The risk tolerances of individual investors; defined contribution plans; and banks, as institutional
investors, vary according to the type of investor. Thus assertion 2 has incorrectly pointed out that
individuals are the only investor category whose risk tolerance varies.
Since her current and future needs (living expenses) are secured, Lance is capable of taking risks.
There is nothing to indicate that her spending needs are extravagant. Additionally at 47 years of age,
her risk taking ability is high. Together these factors demonstrate an above average ability to take
risk.
1. the current period till the time of his mother’s death (she is terminally ill);
2. from her death to the date of his retirement;
3. retirement onwards.
C is correct. The portfolio perspective is based on the concept that an asset class should not be
evaluated from a stand-alone perspective, but from a portfolio perspective. This means that portfolio
managers should consider the interrelationship between the asset classes and how much risk each
asset class brings to the portfolio.
B is incorrect. The portfolio perspective does not address how portfolio management should be
viewed and dealt with – as a process or random set of individual procedures.
The ‘Ethical Responsibilities’ excerpt accurately presents the concept with respect to all three points
discussed. Ethical conduct is the foundation requirement for managing investment portfolios. In
addition, the conduct of a manager affects the well-being of clients and thus looking after their
welfare is crucial. Furthermore, portfolio managers must keep in mind that they are in a position of
trust as reflected by the Code of Ethics and Standards of Professional Conduct.
Lee retired 25 years ago when his investable asset base was $95,000. Given that he withdrew $25,000
each year for 25 years and built a $1 million investment portfolio at the end of this time period, his
post-tax required rate of return was 26.97% (see below). Given a 30% tax rate, his pre-tax required
rate of return was 38.53% [26.97%/(1 – 0.3)].
Lee has significant liquidity concerns as is evident from his desire to hold cash in reserves and his
dependence on the investment portfolio as a source of liquidity. Hector can modify the payoff
structure of a risky portfolio to address liquidity requirements using derivative strategies.
Concern 2 addresses a tax constraint only. The increase in estate tax rates may influence Lee’s
decision to transfer his investment portfolio upon his death. Therefore, tax concerns will influence
any investment decisions made on behalf of his portfolio.
A is incorrect. The policy has incorrect described returns from market timing as security selection
returns.
If the impact of the occurrence of an event on the financial circumstances of the investor is significant
enough, an additional time horizon stage is warranted. The receipt of the $0.5 million will increase
Redel’s ability to take risk and will therefore require an additional time horizon stage.
A is correct. The receipt of the $0.5 million will increase the size of Redel’s financial asset base.
Therefore, she will be able to tolerate greater volatility in her asset base as a result of employing
riskier investment strategies. In conclusion, Redel’s ability to take risk will increase.
B is incorrect. An increase in the inflation rate will not have an impact on her ability to take risk.
C is incorrect. The impact of an increase in tax rates should be reflected in the tax constraints section
of Redel’s IPS. Therefore, Note 3 will not have an influence on her risk taking ability.
Both notes 1 and 4 combined indicate that a revision in Redel’s liquidity requirements is warranted.
Redel is required to spend $500,000 in three months which reflects a demand on portfolio liquidity
(given that her earnings are only sufficient to offset her living expenses). The receipt of the
inheritance sum will reduce the demand on portfolio liquidity as Redel can employ the amount
received towards the boat purchase.
Out of the three statements made by Redel, only Statement 2 reflects a unique circumstances
constraint. These circumstances are internal factors (other than a liquidity requirement, time horizon,
or tax concern) that may constrain portfolio choices. The requirement to avoid tobacco stocks
constrains Knight’s investment choices with respect to his client’s portfolio and does not constitute a
constraint which may classify in any of the aforementioned categories.
C is correct. Note 7 reflects a legal and regulatory constraint which will not have an impact on the
investment account’s risk tolerance.
A is incorrect. The plan sponsor will need to arrange for the payment of benefit payments for the
employees who have elected to retire early. This will put a strain on portfolio liquidity and decrease
the plan’s risk tolerance (Note 5).
B is incorrect. The risk tolerance of the plan will decrease as a result of the deficit reported in the
current year (Note 6).
The return requirement for a foundation’s investment account should reflect compensation for
investment expenses and expected inflation.
Boyle’s ability to take risk is classified as average. She has a long-time horizon and has no plans for
retirement; both these factors serve to increase her risk-taking ability. However, she has significant
liquidity needs including funding for her children’s university education, paying installments on the
residential mortgage loan and car lease agreement. Since her salary does not cover her living
expenses, she will heavily depend on her portfolio to meet these requirements. Therefore, the liquidity
constraint serves to decrease her risk-taking ability. Her overall risk-taking ability is average.
Boyle’s liquidity constraints are significant. She depends on her portfolio to pay for installments on
both the mortgage and automobile loan as well as fund her children’s university education. In
addition, she will need to rely on her portfolio to fund her living expenses which significantly exceeds
her current income.
Boyle’s current income and capital gains are subject to taxes. Therefore, the tax constraints on her
portfolio are significant.
Boyle’s willingness to take risk should be dictated by the investment portfolio details as opposed to
her opinion on risk taking.
Her opinion on risk taking is in clear conflict with her portfolio holdings given that the former
indicates a below average willingness whereas the latter indicates an above average willingness.
Boyle’s allocation to high-yield bonds, venture capital equity funds, and small-cap equities indicates
an above average willingness to bear risk.
Emerson is correct with respect to Statement 1 and incorrect with respect to Statement 2. The
planning process involves an elaboration of the investment strategy – the manager’s approach to
investment analysis and security selection.
Emerson is incorrect with respect to Statement 2. The formulation of the investment strategy is a key
component of the planning process.
A is correct. An advantage of the adopting the single-period perspective in the risk and return
characteristics of asset allocations is its simplicity.
Options B and C are incorrect. A multiperiod perspective can address the liquidity and tax
considerations that arise from rebalancing portfolios over time, as well as serial correlations in
returns.
On the other hand, tactical asset allocation strategies respond to changes in short-term capital market
expectations rather than to investor circumstances.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 16
June 2019
Compared to the expected return calculated by the one-factor model, Portfolio B is offering a
relatively lower return. Portfolio B is overvalued. An arbitrage opportunity exists which can be
exploited by selling portfolio B and investing the proceeds in portfolios A and C. The arbitrage profit
earned per dollar shorted is equal to $0.1352 – $0.0924 = $0.0428
Emerson is accurate with respect to Assumption 2. A key assumption of APT is that there are many
assets so investors can form well-diversified portfolios that eliminate asset-specific risk.
K
Total active return = ∑
i =1
[(Portfolio sensitivity)k – (Benchmark sensitivity)k] × (Factor return)k +
Security selection
HML has the greatest contribution to active return in absolute and non-absolute terms.
Boyle has a negative active exposure to the HML (value) factor of – 0.92 (0.08 – 1.00). Value stocks
should have a positive active exposure while growth stocks should have a negative active exposure.
This implies that he has adopted a growth mandate. His portfolio exposure is inconsistent with the
investment mandate and benchmark.
The negative sensitivity to the SMB (size) factor of – 2.50 in the benchmark indicates a large-cap
orientation and that Boyle’s performance benchmark is appropriate given his investment mandate.
However, Boyle has adopted a positive active exposure of 0.70 [- 1.80 – (- 2.50)] to this factor.
Therefore, his portfolio exposure is inconsistent with the investment mandate in this regard.
Total residual risk is measured by active specific risk. This risk can be calculated using the following
equation:
∑ (w ) σ
n
a 2 2
Active specific risk = i εi
i =1
Non-systematic risk may feature in the macroeconomic model and for a stock it might represent the
return from an unanticipated company-specific event or nonsystematic risk. However, this risk is
represented by the residual term. The intercept of the model represents an asset’s expected return.
A distinction between macroeconomic multifactor models and fundamental factor models is the
specification of variables. In case of the former, the factor (surprise) series is developed first and then
the factor sensitivities are estimated through regression. In case of the latter, the factor sensitivities
(attributes) are specified first and then the factor returns are estimated through regression. Both
models differ with respect to how statistical techniques are used to specify model variables.
A is correct. Jing’s conclusion concerning statistical factor models is correct. In this model, the
factors are portfolios of securities in the group under study where the factors are defined by portfolio
weights. A portfolio of Polish stocks would be represented by a weight of 57% ($5.7 million/$10.0
million) and a portfolio of Turkish stocks would be represented by a weight of 25% ($2.5
million/$10.0 million).
B is correct. Weidman has incorrectly asserted that statistical factor models require substantial
assumptions. In reality, these models make minimal assumptions.
C is incorrect. Weidman has correctly asserted that the model does not lend itself to the economic
analysis of the factors. Associating a statistical factor with economic meaning is generally not
possible with this model.
C is correct. To determine whether the manager has passive risk exposure to any of the factors,
information concerning the benchmark and portfolio factor exposures should be provided.
Using a macroeconomic factor model, the expected fund return is equal to - 1.50% (calculated
below). A benchmark expected return of 1.05% will yield a zero active return, which in turn implies a
passive risk exposure.
Expected Fund Return = 2.20% + (0%)(1.5) + (- 2%)(0.8) + (1.5%)(- 1.1) + (1.0%)(0.0) = -1.05%
To speculate on an expansion in money supply, Portfolio B is the most optimal choice because it has
a sensitivity of 1.00 to the money supply factor and 0.00 to all other factors. This portfolio is therefore
the most efficient in placing a pure bet on an expansion in money supply. A long position should be
taken in portfolio B to bet on the positive growth in money supply.
Emerging market stocks are often characterized by high share price volatility. Davis’ portfolio has the
most significantly positive active exposure (1.60 – 0.00 = 1.60) to this factor.
Both Thornton’s and Segal’s portfolios do not have active exposure to the share price volatility factor.
Value stocks are characterized by high book-to-market ratios and low earnings yield.
B is correct. Segal’s portfolio has an active exposure of - 0.70 (1.10 – 1.80) and 1.55 (1.55 – 0.00) to
the earnings yield and book-to-market ratio factors, respectively. The negative active exposure to the
earnings yield factor suggests that he his portfolio has an exposure to (low earnings yield) value
stocks. Both exposures clearly indicate that Segal’s portfolio has a value bias.
Thornton has a positive active exposure of 0.05 (1.85 – 1.80) and 1.50 (1.50 – 0.00) to the earnings
yield and book-to-market ratio factors, respectively. Thornton’s exposure to the earnings yield factor
suggests that his portfolio does not have a value/growth bias while his exposure to the book-to-
market ratio factor suggests his portfolio has a value bias. Therefore, the value bias conclusion is
indeterminate.
C is incorrect. Davis has an active exposure of 0.00 (1.80 – 1.80) and – 0.80 (- 0.80 – 0.00) to the
earnings yield and book-to-market ratio factors, respectively. Based on his exposure to earnings
yield, he has no value/growth bias while his exposure to the book-to-market factor indicates he has a
growth bias.
The decision of which manager to select will solely be based on the return from factor tilts. Davis’
portfolio has generated the highest return from factor tilts (see below) and will be the preferred
candidate.
The decision of which manager to select will be based on the information ratio(IR) calculated for
each manager:
Segal is projected to generate the highest information ratio for his portfolio and should be selected.
Allen is correct with respect to both advantages. Multifactor models have the ability to decompose
and attribute sources of total and active risk.
Allen is correct with respect to the second advantage. Allen is employing a fundamental factor model
as is evident by his choice of factors. When decomposing the sources of tracking error, an analyst’s
first choice is the fundamental factor model because the model can decompose the sources of active
risk and directly relate them to the manager’s portfolio decisions.
Use 1 is classified as rules-based active management. These strategies tilt specific systematic risk
factors when constructing portfolios. The objective of this approach is to capture systematic risk
exposures traditionally attributed to a manager’s skill or alpha in a rules-based manner at low cost.
Use 2 is classified as passive management. Analysts seeking to construct a fund which tracks an index
with many component securities will rely on a multifactor model to replicate the index’s fund
exposures, mirroring those of the index tracked.
bik =
Based on the calculations, the ARC Corp stock has the greatest sensitivity to the two factors.
Unlike macroeconomic models, the factors in a fundamental factor model are stated as
returns rather than return surprises, in relation to their predicted values. Therefore, the factors
do not generally have expected values of zero.
C is incorrect. The factors in macroeconomic models are defined as surprises, which refer to
the difference between the actual and predicted values of variables. Therefore, it is incorrect
to state that factor surprises are calculated as the difference between actual and unpredicted
values.
The intercept of the macroeconomic factor model reflects the effect of the predicted values of
the macroeconomic variables on expected stock returns. Therefore, the intercept reflects
expected stock returns.
Although analysts prefer the fundamental factor model in return attribution as they allow the
sources of a portfolio’s performance to be described using commonly understood terms,
macroeconomic models (although a less preferred option) may also be used.
The ability to generate active returns based on portfolio holdings is measured using the
security selection return. This return is calculated as the difference between the active return
of 5% and the factor return.
Lone was unable to generate a security selection return with respect to the ARC Corp stock.
Lone was able to generate a 2.3275% security selection return due to his above average
ability to select shares of the Skim Ltd stock.
A pure earnings growth factor portfolio has an exposure of 1.00 to the earnings growth factor
and zero to the dividend yield factor.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 16
June 2019
Based on an average of 22 trading days in a typical month, a 16% one-month VAR would
imply that the minimum losses (as stated by VAR) are expected to occur on 16% of the
trading days or on 3.52 (16% × 22 days) days in a month. Based on the data in the exhibit,
the actual loss frequency of Portfolio C (4 days) exceeds that implied by the 16% VAR.
B is correct. VAR can be interpreted as the level of confidence that portfolio losses will not
exceed the VAR amount of $2.5 million, 84%* of the time over a period of one month.
A is incorrect. VAR is not a worst-case scenario. Portfolio losses can and will exceed VAR.
C is correct. The Monte Carlo simulation method is capable of handling any complex
distribution. This will allow the method to be readily used to analyze the riskiness of
embedded options which are characterized by a non-normal return distribution.
A is incorrect. The parametric method is difficult to use when the investment portfolio
contains options. Although adjustments can be made to render options more responsive to the
parametric method, these adjustments are not perfect which limits the usefulness of the
parametric method when there are options in the portfolio.
The method constructs a return distribution using actual prices for the risk factors. However,
the biggest assumption which underlies the historical simulation method and the return
distribution of the parameters is that history will repeat itself. Another assumption is that
each day in the time series carries an equal weight which can be a potential problem if there
is a trend in volatility – lower in earlier periods and higher in later periods or vice versa.
C is incorrect. A drawback of historical simulation is that it assumes that history will repeat
itself. Therefore, any correlation behavior observed in the past is expected to continue into
the foreseeable future. However, correlations do not necessarily remain constant as assumed
and can break down in periods of market stress.
C is correct. Ex-ante tracking error measures the volatility of the performance of a portfolio
with respect to its benchmark. Hedge funds are typically absolute-return strategies for which
a benchmark does not always exist. In this scenario, a benchmark-relative measure such as
relative VAR will not be used in the risk analysis.
Both banks are long-only asset managers can use ex-ante tracking error with the latter
frequently employing ex-ante tracking error as a key risk metric to estimate the degree to
which the current portfolio could outperform its benchmark.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 17
June 2019
B is correct. BEI rates reflect investors’ expectations concerning inflation as well as a premium to
compensate investors for the uncertainty concerning inflation. BEI rates are calculated by subtracting
real yields from nominal yields.
An increase in the BEI rates from the 4-year issue and onwards indicates an expectation that
inflationary pressures will be rising which in turn will lead to an increase in the cost of goods and
services. High inflationary pressures arise from higher demand for resources so that cost and prices
rise as fast.
C is incorrect. BEI rates do not help conclude whether bonds have been effective as hedges against
bad consumption outcomes.
B is correct. An upward sloping yield curve suggests that shorter-maturity bonds carry lower expected
returns (and thus lower premiums) relative to higher-maturity bonds. Shorter-maturity bonds are seen
as being more effective as an inflation hedge which implies that during bad economic times these
instruments will generate payoffs. Therefore, investors are willing to pay a high price for them
leading to a decline in the expected return and bond risk premiums relative to long-maturity bonds.
C is incorrect. The nominal yields are increasing with maturity. This indicates that bond risk
premiums are increasing with maturity.
B is correct. The interpretation of an upward sloping yield curve is often ambiguous. The positive
relationship between bond risk premiums and maturity does not necessarily embody expectations of
future rate increases. Conversely it could imply a combination of expected rate increases and risk
premiums or even rate cuts that are more than offset by the existence of positive risk premiums.
C is incorrect. The limited supply of short-term default-free government bonds will drive down short-
term yields. However, they will not explain the shape of the entire yield curve.
Both credit risky and default-free bonds are exposed to interest rate risk. A parallel upward shift in
the yield curve will have an identical proportionate impact on the prices of the four-year default-free
issue and the comparable Aa2 corporate issue.
If investors are risk-neural, they will demand a return on their corporate bond investments which is
sufficient to compensate them for the possible loss they would incur from holding a corporate bond.
This expected loss will depend on the probability of default and expected recovery rate in the event
of default. The expected loss on the 8-year government bond will equal to the loss adjusted expected
return of the Aa1 corporate issue.
Expected loss = 5%
Loss-adjusted return = (11.8%)(1 – 0.05) = 11.21% or 11.2%
When an economy enters into the recessionary phase of the business cycle, credit spreads will widen
as there is a general increase in issuer defaults and thus credit risk. In this scenario, the spreads on
bonds with a low rating and/or that are part of a cyclical sector will widen the most and in turn will
experience the greatest percentage price decline.
Out of the two lowest rated issues (A1 and Baa1), the A1 issue is part of the cyclical sector. The
credit spreads on bond issues belonging to this sector are highly sensitive to fluctuations in the
business cycle. Although, the Baa1 issue carries the lowest rating, it is part of the non-cyclical sector
and is less sensitive to fluctuations in business cycle activity.
Campbell is correct with respect to his statement while Burns is incorrect with respect to his statement.
The expected returns on equity investments will decline when the economy takes a downturn. In such a
scenario, companies suffer a decline in profitability. Therefore, expected equity returns and profitability
are pro-cyclical.
Burns is correct in pointing out that risk-averse investors will seek to avoid equities when the economy
takes a downturn; this is because equities are a poor hedge against bad consumption outcomes. However,
he has incorrectly pointed out the positive covariance relationship. During bad economic times, expected
future consumption is low (inter-temporal rate of substitution is high) and equities decline in price. This
results in a decline in equity returns and produces a negative covariance relationship between the inter-
temporal rate and equity returns which, in turn, causes investors to demand a positive risk premium.
Given the volatility in economic growth and inflation, 1-year nominal zero-coupon bonds will serve
as the best hedge against bad consumption outcomes. The relative payoff from a short-term issue and
thus the relative certainty about the amount of consumption that the investor will be able to undertake
with the payoff suggests that this issue will be a good hedge against bad consumption outcomes.
Furthermore, the negative correlation between asset payout and economic growth suggests that the
asset will generate a payoff when there is weak economic growth.
B is incorrect. On the other hand, the payoff from the 12-year government bond is only certain in
nominal terms. Investors will have less confidence in their ability to form views about future inflation
resulting in less certainty about the real value of the bond’s payoff.
C is incorrect. Credit risky corporate bonds will be more sensitive to shifts in the economic cycle
relative to the two government issues. Spreads will tend to widen as the business cycle takes a
downturn at the same time as the risk of default increases. The relationship between the economic
cycle and defaults mean that credit risky bonds will tend to perform poorly in bad economic times.
C is correct. In addition to the premium demanded for inflation and inflation uncertainty, investors of
credit risky bonds demand a credit premium. The total premium quoted for this bond issue will be the
highest.
A is incorrect. The risk premium demanded for 1-year zero-coupon government bonds will be the
lowest because of the negative correlation between bond payoffs and economic growth. The issue
provides a good hedge against bad consumption outcomes (when marginal utility of consumption is
high) and so will bear a negative risk premium.
B is incorrect. While the premium demanded on 12-year zero-coupon government bonds is higher
than the 1-year government bonds, it is lower than that quoted on corporate bonds. This is because the
returns on default-free coupon bonds do not incorporate a credit spread.
A is correct. The difference in yield between the 12-year corporate and default-free issue reflects
credit spread.
B is incorrect. The BEI rate is equal to the difference between a zero-coupon nominal default-free
bond and a zero-coupon default-free real bond of the same maturity.
C is incorrect. A premium for inflation uncertainty will be included in the yields of the two 12-year
issues.
Edmond has short-listed value stocks for his portfolio. Value stocks tend to outperform growth stocks
when the economy is in a state of recession. In addition, large-cap stocks tend to outperform small-
cap stocks during bad economic times. Therefore, Edmond stock selection suggests that he most
likely anticipates a recession.
According to the Taylor rule (see below), the policy rate is equal to 1.55%.
prt = lt + it + 0.5(it − i *t ) + 0.5(Yt − Y *t ) = 2.0% + 1.5% + 0.5(1.5% − 2.2% ) + 0.5(− 3.2% ) = 1.55%
Given that inflation is below the target level and the output gap is negative, the policy rate should be
below the neutral interest rate.
A is correct. A downward-sloping yield curve implies that short-term interest rates are expected to
decline. In addition, bond risk premiums are expected to decline. A decline in bond risk premiums
implies that investors are willing to pay a high price of the consumption hedging properties on
government bonds.
B is incorrect. The expected change in short-term interest rates is ambiguous when the yield curve is
upward-sloping.
C is incorrect. A decline in risk premiums suggests that investors place more value of the
consumption-hedging properties of government bonds.
Real yields are positive correlated to real GDP growth and volatility. Therefore, real GDP growth will
be the lowest in Yugoslavia corresponding to the low real yield on 1-year default-free government
bonds. When real GDP growth is low, investors worry more about their future and their consumption
abilities in the future indicating that their inter-temporal rate of substitution is high. Therefore,
Peterson should expect that the investor’s willingness to trade current consumption for future wealth
(inter-temporal rate of substitution) to be the highest for Yugoslavia.
A is correct. Real yields or inflation-adjusted yields are not affected by inflation expectations.
B is incorrect. High (low) GDP growth volatility will translate into high (real) yields.
C is incorrect. The policy rate of central banks has an influence on the real yields of default-free
government bonds. The former rate should fluctuate around the neutral policy rate as central banks
respond to changes in the output gap.
The yield curve in Peru is expected to be sloping steeply upwards and so 1-year default-free
government bonds should bear the lowest risk premium. This contrasts with Yugoslavia, where the
yield curve is expected to invert and the premium demanded on short-term bonds should be higher.
An upward sloping yield curve can be interpreted as the yields on short-dated bonds beings less
positively correlated with bad times than are long-dated bonds. The less positive or more negative
correlation will make short-dated bonds more reliable as hedges against bad consumption outcomes
than long-dated bonds. This, in turn, implies that the premium should be higher for the latter. The
yield curve should be upward sloping to reflect the differences in premium.
When the yield curve is inverted, short-dated bonds will quote a higher premium relative to long-
dated bonds.
In addition, a steeply sloping yield curve will correspond to high inflation expectations. An inverted
yield curve will signal a decline in inflation once a peak has been reached during the late stages of a
business expansion.
Based on the calculations below, bond risk premiums are projected to increase. An increase in
premiums implies that investors place less value on the consumption-hedging properties of
government bonds. Therefore, the demand for such bonds is projected to decline.
The bond risk premiums (BRP) for each of the five issues are calculated as follows:
Bond risk premium = Projected yield on conventional government bond – Projected yield on
inflation-indexed government bond – Expected inflation rate
Based on the maturity schedule, inflation risk premiums increase with maturity. Therefore, Peterson
should expect domestic interest rates to increase with inflation.
C is correct. When credit spreads are narrowing, lower-rated corporate bonds will outperform
higher-rated bonds. This is because the latter are associated with a higher credit spread and thus the
increase in price as a result of narrowing in spread will be greater for this issue. Therefore, relative to
the higher-rated Issue 2, Issue 3 is the most attractive from an investment perspective.
A is incorrect. When credit spreads are narrowing, corporate bonds will outperform government
bonds making Issue 1 the least attractive from an investment perspective.
Since the local government has proposed to pay rental income that is indexed to inflation, the
discount rate that would apply to the investment in commercial property would include
liquidity and equity risk premium in addition to the real risk-free rate.
On the other hand, the discount rate on the investment in which ATC Services is the
borrower would equal to the sum of the real risk-free rate, liquidity risk premium, equity risk
premium, credit risk premium, premium for expected inflation, and premium for inflation
uncertainty. Therefore, the difference between the two rates is equal to the sum of the credit
risk premium, premium for expected inflation, and premium for inflation uncertainty. The
discount rate on an investment in which ATC Services is the borrower is higher by 3.00% +
0.75% + 1.80% = 5.55%
The equity risk premium compensates investors for the uncertainty related to the value of the
property at the end of the lease.
The discount rate used for the investment is equal to 1.40% + 3.00% + 0.75% + 1.80% +
1.20% + 0.90% = 9.05%
$6,131,406.58.
CF1-7: $250,000
CF8: $9,750,000
I/Y = 9.05%
NPV = 6,131,406.58
Given that the asking price of $9.5 million is greater than the implied property value, the
return would be less than the implied hurdle rate of 9.05%. Therefore, the investment would
not be worthwhile for Train Inc.
Young is incorrect with respect to Reason 1. Rental income has been found to be relatively
stable in nominal terms and almost immune to the business cycle. Young has incorrectly
pointed out this fact.
On the other hand, Young has correctly stated that commercial property capital values are
sensitive to business cycle fluctuations.
In general, commercial real estate has been found to be an ineffective hedge against bad
consumption outcomes. The reason for this is that commercial real estate prices are
procyclical, declining during recessionary periods and rising during periods of economic
growth. During recessionary periods, current income and consumption will be low and so the
marginal utility derived from an additional unit of consumption increases which decreases
the inter-temporal rate of substitution. Therefore, the correlation between the two variables is
positive.
Young is correct regarding Conclusion 2. Because commercial real estates are privately
traded, they are relatively illiquid. Therefore, investors will experience difficulty in easily
converting this asset class to cash during bad economic times. On the other hand, equity is a
relatively liquid asset class and conversion to cash during bad economic times is easier.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 17
June 2019
Value added return = (Portfolio weight – Benchmark weight)(Portfolio return – benchmark return)
Portfolio active risk = [(3.66%)2 (0.305 – 0.258)2 + (4.50%)2 (0.2760 – 0.2385)2 + (6.80%)2(0.2185 –
0.3260)2 + (2.77%)2(0.2005 – 0.1775)2]0.5 = 0.77233%
1.0288% = IC 4 × 0.77233%
IC = 0.666045
B is correct. A consequence of the two country stocks being positively correlated is that the breadth
of the investment strategy will be lower than the number of securities in the portfolio; this is because
part of the manager’s forecast will be higher or lower based on the perspective the investor has about
the industry. This will considerably reduce the number of independent decisions a manager has about
an industry. Since the breadth of the investment strategy will remain overstated, Ali’s proposed
strategy will not contribute positively towards increasing the information ratio of the investment
account; IR = IC BR .
B is incorrect. The transfer coefficient is not affected by the correlation between stock returns or an
improvement in forecasting accuracy.
C is incorrect. Ali’s suggestion will not help in increasing the expected information ratio of the
portfolio because the information ratio can only increase if the active return decisions are independent
over time and the information coefficient can be maintained. In the case of the client’s investment
account, active return decisions are not independent. A policy aiming to increase managerial skill will
increase the information coefficient but will not serve to increase the information ratio when
rebalancing decisions are accounted for.
The transfer coefficient is less than 1.0 which provides evidence that the portfolio manager’s ability
to translate active return forecasts into actual active returns is restricted due to portfolio constraints.
With limits on active risk, the percentage of successful and unsuccessful market calls cannot be used
to calculate the expected active return.
Gregory is also incorrect with respect to Statement 2. The maximum possible Sharpe ratio of a
constrained portfolio is equal to the sum of the squared Sharpe ratio of the benchmark and the product
of the squared information ratio of an unconstrained portfolio and squared transfer coefficient.
Statement 1 is inaccurate. While active security return can be defined as the residual return in a
single-factor statistical model, RAi = Ri – βiRB, the benchmark return does not necessarily need to be
the market return as the fundamental law does not require the empirical validity of any equilibrium
theory of required returns. Evans has correctly pointed out that active security return can be defined
as benchmark excess return or the actively managed portfolio’s excess return, RAi – RB.
When the TC = 0, there would be no correspondence between the active return forecasts and active
weights and thus expectation of value added from active management. In this case, one would expect
the manager to follow a passive risk management mandate. Manager C is therefore following a
mandate which is inconsistent with the stated active mandate.
Evans is correct with respect to Observation 1. Manager A’s constrained portfolio’s active risk is
higher than the optimal active risk. According to the full fundamental law of active management,
optimal active risk is calculated as:
IR * 0.78
σ A = TC σ B = 0.90 × × 0.13 = 0.1404 or 14.04%
SR B 0.65
The portfolio’s actual active risk is higher than the optimal active risk (15.50% and 14.04%,
respectively). Manager A can reduce his portfolio risk by mixing 9.42% (1 – 14.04/15.50) in the
benchmark and 90.58% in the actively managed fund.
Evans is incorrect with respect to Observation 2. Manager B’s actual active risk of 12.85% is lower
than the optimal active risk of 13.71% (see below).
IR * 0.65
σ A = TC σ B = 1.00 × × 0.1856 = 0.1371
SR B 0.88
The Sharpe ratio of each managed portfolio is calculated using the formula:
Marshall’s statement is inaccurate as the risk being mentioned is strategy risk. Strategy risk reduces
expected and average realized information ratios. The higher the uncertainty about forecasting ability
(IC), the smaller the expected value added is likely to be. An overestimated IC will lead to a smaller
expected value added.
In an absence of portfolio constraints, the transfer coefficient is equal to 1.00. In this scenario, the
expected active return for managers A, B and C after incorporating the uncertainty of the information
coefficient is:
IC 0.05
E(RA) – Manager A: σA = × 15 .50% = 5.032 %
σ IC 0.1540
0.04
E(RA) – Manager B = × 12.85% = 4.283%
0.1200
0.07
E(RA) – Manager D = × 5.11% = 1.5827%
0.2260
After incorporating the lower information coefficients, Manager A generates the highest expected
active return on his portfolio.
The basic fundamental law states that the expected active return is E(RA) = IC BRσ A
There is no information to indicate that the returns of the bond issues in Forecast 1 are correlated.
Therefore, the breadth of the strategy is equal to 40. Given that the forecasts are made semi-annually,
expected active return is equal to 15.74% = ( 0.20 × (40 × 2) × 8.8% ).
In contrast, the breadth for Forecast 2 will not equal to the number of securities in question (10)
because active return forecasts relate to GDP growth expectations, which is fairly stable. Therefore,
(
expected active return returns will not equal 5.56% 0.20 × 10 × 8.8% . )
The breadth for forecast will be lower than the number of securities in question (20) as the returns of
stocks constituting the fund are positively correlated. Therefore, Adams should expect the expected
(
active returns to be lower than 7.87% 0.20 × 20 × 8.8% . )
14. Question ID: 48668
Correct Answer: A
Adams is correct with respect to the limitation he has outlined. Unlike equity securities, for which the
risk factors can be decomposed and systematic risk factors removed, almost all bonds represent a
combination of duration risk, credit risk and optionality. Therefore, returns are highly correlated in
subtle ways which complicates the process of determining breadth.
Based on the calculations below, Gilbert appears to enjoy the higher information ratio.
Rearranging this equation, we can determine the information ratio for each fund manager:
Considering the leverage levels and the expected active risk provided in the exhibit, the optimal risk
is calculated for the two managers:
• A is incorrect. Leverage serves to increase the level of aggressiveness for the two
managers. Gilbert’s active risk level will increase from its current level of 12.90% to
15.480% while Cohen’s active risk level will increase from its current level of 9.15% to
13.725%.
Given that both the Domestic Equity fund’s Sharpe ratio and active risk is higher than its benchmark,
the objective will be to maintain the fund Sharpe ratio while minimize risk.
B is correct. The initial expected excess return of the fund is 23.75% (0.95 × 25.00%). The strategy
will decrease the expected excess return to 19.84% (0.95 × 20.88%).
A is incorrect. The fund’s Sharpe ratio will not be affected by the active risk reduction strategy.
Increasing or decreasing the level of aggressiveness has no impact of the information ratio of an
unconstrained portfolio because active risk and active return will increase proportionally. There is no
evidence to indicate that the Fund is subject to investment constraints. Therefore, the information
ratio will remain unchanged.
Since ex post value added returns are being calculated, the realized or the ex post information
coefficient will be used.
Based on the value added returns calculated, Paul has generated the highest value added
returns during the period.
The variation in the performance over time, which is attributable to the success of the
forecasting process, is calculated as TC2. Based on this measure, Paul has reported the
highest transfer coefficient and thus the highest TC2 measure.
A is correct. Conclusion 1 is based on the mean variance theory which assumes that portfolio
with the highest Sharpe ratio is the one with the highest information ratio:
However, given that the value of Gayle’s TC is less than 1.0, this conclusion is not correct.
Immediately after considering portfolio constraints, her portfolio’s Sharpe ratio declines
below that of Paul’s portfolio. The latter’s portfolio is not subject to portfolio constraints and
will thus maintain a Sharpe ratio of 0.86.
A is correct. Weaver is correct with respect to Conclusion 2 because the ex post IC for all
four managers is lower relative to their ex ante IC. The difference between the two values
can be attributable to an overestimated forecasting ability resulting from overconfidence.
C is incorrect. The transfer coefficient measures the correlation between forecasted active
returns and optimal active weights.
A is correct. Conclusion 3 can be directly implemented for Paul without influencing her
existing information ratio. Based on a TC of 1.00, Paul’s portfolio is not subject to any
constraints and, therefore, she can increase her aggressiveness without changing the overall
information ratio. Increasing the aggressiveness of an unconstrained portfolio will increase
active return and risk by the same magnitude leaving the overall information ratio
unchanged.
B is incorrect. As evident from the TC and his portfolio’s active risk, Jacobs has adopted a
passive management approach. Increasing his aggressiveness will change his investment
mandate as well as the zero or near-zero information ratio reported for his investment
portfolio.
C is incorrect. Based on a TC of less than 1.00, Lee’s portfolio is subject to constraints and
therefore increasing the aggressiveness of the active weights will influence his reported
information ratio.
FinQuiz.com
CFA Level II Item-set - Solution
Study Session 17
June 2019
C is correct. The trading strategy most appropriate for the pension fund is volume-weighted
average price. The volume-weighted average price uses the historical trading volume
distribution for a security over the course of the day dividing the order into slices in a way
which is proportioned to the distribution. This technique is an example of the execution
algorithm which has a goal of achieving a benchmarked (fair) price.
The HFT strategy most appropriate for the bank is mean reversion. The difference between
the current price of $50 and the mean price of $40 presents an arbitrage opportunity to sell
the underlying bonds of the issue.
The order submitted by Twain is classified as a child order which represents a subset of the
overall parent order. The instructions sent by the pension fund manager to Twain represents a
parent order. The parent order specifies whether the order is a buy or a sell order, the
quantity, and the algorithm to use.
B is correct. While the use of algorithms has helped to bring down the cost of execution, this
positive impact of algorithmic trading does not underlie Twain’s beliefs with respect to the
need for trading strategies to evolve.
Fat finger trades are trades in which order entry mistakes are made. By entering an order to
sell 100 bonds instead of 1,000 bonds, BMC has engaged in fat finger trading.
Twain is correct with respect to Comment 1 and Comment 2. Although trading venues have
had real-time surveillance technologies for a long time, there is a lack of consistency across
the market. The monitoring and surveillance role of regulators is also challenged by the
multitude of high-frequency algorithms, market fragmentation, cross-asset trading, and dark
pools (where trading venues do not publish their liquidity and are only open to selected
clients).
B is correct. Although HFT techniques as well as the market and news event data purchased
by HFTs are available to any firm, these techniques are quite costly to develop and run, and
many investors cannot afford them, creating unequal access to information.
C is incorrect. HFT research literature strongly supports the assertion that HFT has led to
narrowing of bid-ask spreads, lower transaction costs, and an increase in liquidity and price
efficiency. All these developments have taken place without an increase in volatility.